Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / Buccaneers vs Rams NFL DFS Showdown | Week 12 SNF | Picks, Plays & Process

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Buccaneers vs Rams NFL DFS Showdown | Week 12 SNF | Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:08
Speaker 1: Ball system's going clear, the lift up? What is going on?
0:40
Speaker 2: Shipping Nation YouTube station, Back of the saddle with my
0:43
Speaker 2: guy ham here talking a good one here him tonight.
0:47
Speaker 1: We got the Rams.
0:47
Speaker 2: We got the Buccaneers heading into La to Sofi Stadium
0:52
Speaker 2: and face those Rams over there, Todd Bowles Sean McVay.
0:55
Speaker 2: Should be a nice game here. Forty nine and a
0:57
Speaker 2: half total Ram seven point favorites. Year should be a
1:01
Speaker 2: pretty fun one, obviously, the Rams looking one of the
1:04
Speaker 2: best teams in the league.
1:05
Speaker 1: We know Tampa is a pass funnel here.
1:08
Speaker 2: We know everybody's crowning Matthew Stafford as the covenant MVP
1:13
Speaker 2: of the season. The dude just can't stop throwing for
1:16
Speaker 2: three hundred plus and three tds every week. What does
1:19
Speaker 2: that look like here tonight. We'll do our best to
1:20
Speaker 2: break it all down here him, what's up?
1:22
Speaker 1: Man? Happy Sunday? How are you, brother?
1:24
Speaker 3: Yeah, happy Sunday. Excited for this game. We got former
1:27
Speaker 3: Rams legend Baker Mayfield going back home or he had
1:31
Speaker 3: two illustrious career games as the Rams starter. But it
1:35
Speaker 3: should be a good When they were in Buffalo last week,
1:37
Speaker 3: now flying across the country to take on this Rams team,
1:40
Speaker 3: you said, MVP front runner Matthew Stafford, the ageless one,
1:44
Speaker 3: just throwing darts left and right, no look passes. Hopefully
1:47
Speaker 3: they don't play seven tight ends again tonight. Looking forward
1:50
Speaker 3: to breaking this one all down, and it should be
1:52
Speaker 3: a good one, as you alluded to.
1:53
Speaker 2: Yeah, well maybe they'll play six tight ends because mister
1:57
Speaker 2: old Tyler Higbee is on the shell for the IR
2:00
Speaker 2: there should thrust in some additional potential opportunities, I should
2:05
Speaker 2: say for guys like Terrence Ferguson, the young player who
2:08
Speaker 2: they typically like a little bit there.
2:11
Speaker 1: But it's just obviously so muddied up there.
2:13
Speaker 2: They still have three tight ends with one of them
2:15
Speaker 2: going to the shelf in Parkinson, Davis, Allen and Ferguson.
2:18
Speaker 2: So we'll do our best to talk all all through there.
2:21
Speaker 2: But let's go ahead and pull our screen share here up.
2:26
Speaker 2: And we got a partner, Saber sim let me just
2:28
Speaker 2: swap over and while so I ran one hundred and
2:31
Speaker 2: fifty teams here Ham just as kind of an average
2:34
Speaker 2: of us in Saber Simps projections. Obviously, this is eight
2:36
Speaker 2: thirty in the morning on Sunday here, so everything's gonna
2:41
Speaker 2: change by then. We have some big questionable tags in
2:45
Speaker 2: Chris Godwin looking like he's trending towards the play. Doesn't
2:48
Speaker 2: know what that looks like from a snap count perspective
2:51
Speaker 2: and all of that, but there is some They're pretty
2:55
Speaker 2: injury riddled elsewhere, especially on the defense side of things
2:58
Speaker 2: for Tampa in general.
3:00
Speaker 1: But captain position, no surprise.
3:03
Speaker 2: Puka Nakua seventy one percent of the dry run optimal.
3:07
Speaker 1: He is going to be the chalkiest guy up there.
3:09
Speaker 2: And then his counterpart, his old quarterback running the helm,
3:13
Speaker 2: is going to be the second highest on captain at
3:14
Speaker 2: least from early looks, and then Davante Adams, So it's
3:18
Speaker 2: pretty much a three headed monster in terms of ownership.
3:20
Speaker 2: Obviously you filter by ownership here in the captain spot.
3:23
Speaker 2: You see the four rams pop up there Kyen Williams.
3:26
Speaker 2: I'm pretty pretty scared there for Kyen Williams. I don't
3:28
Speaker 2: think this is a great spot there for him, so
3:30
Speaker 2: we'll touch on him. But Pooka Stafford Devonte Adams lead
3:34
Speaker 2: the charge in terms of ownership on the slate. What
3:38
Speaker 2: do you see here fro from the captain position based
3:41
Speaker 2: on the dry run, and what are you kind of
3:43
Speaker 2: looking at as your kind of top captains here.
3:47
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, no surprise. I mean I like what
3:49
Speaker 3: you see up there. I actually have Davante as my
3:52
Speaker 3: number one captain. He does plays more than Puka in
3:57
Speaker 3: those you know, two or three tight end sets. If
4:00
Speaker 3: you get around inside the five, he's there. You know,
4:04
Speaker 3: quote unquote goal line receiver.
4:06
Speaker 2: Uh.
4:07
Speaker 3: You know they thrown him two yard touchdown passes. Uh.
4:10
Speaker 3: So I actually like Davante a little bit more than Pooka.
4:13
Speaker 1: Uh.
4:13
Speaker 3: Pookah only played sixty seven percent of the snaps last week.
4:16
Speaker 3: They did control that game, and they're slated to control
4:19
Speaker 3: this game as well. So I have Davante number one, uh,
4:22
Speaker 3: Stafford number two, Puoka three, and then yeah, I'm with
4:26
Speaker 3: you on Kyron. Kyeren just doesn't have the same bellcal
4:28
Speaker 3: role that he had last year. A lot more of
4:30
Speaker 3: Korum is getting mixed in there and not really catching
4:33
Speaker 3: the ball like he has in the past. And then
4:36
Speaker 3: on the flip side, it's a it's a two man
4:38
Speaker 3: show for me. Over there. You see a Mecca right there.
4:40
Speaker 3: He's a he's a stud. We've seen what he can do,
4:43
Speaker 3: you know, against the likes of Seattle Tampa. I think
4:47
Speaker 3: he had a good or not Tampa, New England, he
4:50
Speaker 3: had a good game. Uh so, just numerous games where
4:52
Speaker 3: he cut up really well. And then Baker. You know,
4:55
Speaker 3: if you're gonna have a Buka, then you you also
4:57
Speaker 3: got to think that he could pull Baker along as well.
5:01
Speaker 3: Baker has a little bit of a rushing upside. He
5:03
Speaker 3: doesn't want to run, but he will, and then he'll
5:06
Speaker 3: get up and first down in your face and go
5:08
Speaker 3: crazy like Baker does. So to me, it's really just
5:10
Speaker 3: five people. It's it's it's Adams, Stafford, Puka. Then it's
5:15
Speaker 3: a Mecca and Baker, I'm not getting cute with the defense,
5:18
Speaker 3: is not getting cute with the kickers. And I'm gonna
5:21
Speaker 3: roll with those five and try to get the best
5:22
Speaker 3: team I possibly can.
5:24
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I like that. I'll touch on a little bit.
5:27
Speaker 2: My overall favorite captain on the slate is gonna be
5:29
Speaker 2: a mecca.
5:29
Speaker 1: Buca.
5:31
Speaker 2: The Rams bleed wide receiver. One points to the opposition. Here,
5:34
Speaker 2: there's seven point dogs on the road.
5:36
Speaker 1: Here. You know, Baker's gonna sling it.
5:38
Speaker 2: This Rams defense is fairly good as well, and this
5:41
Speaker 2: backfield is kind of a mess with Rashad White and
5:44
Speaker 2: Sean Tucker. I don't think Sean Tucker is running for
5:46
Speaker 2: his nine hundred and sixty four yards again in five tds,
5:49
Speaker 2: so we'll we'll see what happens there.
5:51
Speaker 1: But I think a Mechabuka.
5:53
Speaker 2: Here is kind of my flag plant on this on
5:57
Speaker 2: the slate, I mean septem percent ownership in the captain
5:59
Speaker 2: position here. Godwin coming back I think just helps free
6:02
Speaker 2: like Guka up a little bit, just in terms of
6:05
Speaker 2: defensive schemes. I know Godwin's not fully healthy, He's gonna
6:08
Speaker 2: be out there probably on a pitch count, but when
6:10
Speaker 2: he's out there, I think it's gonna free up at
6:13
Speaker 2: Buka quite a bit. So I like him overall as
6:16
Speaker 2: my top. Pooka Nakula would be my second, just in
6:19
Speaker 2: line with every the kind of ownership there. But there's
6:23
Speaker 2: a reason why I'm back in on Pooka. We kind
6:25
Speaker 2: of seen his production slipped last couple of weeks because
6:28
Speaker 2: the Rams have been running more thirteen personnel now with
6:32
Speaker 2: Higbee off, and they obviously love Higbee in general. Higbe
6:35
Speaker 2: and Parkinson. Yeah, they could do that with guys like
6:38
Speaker 2: Ferguson and Davis Allen in there, but I think they
6:40
Speaker 2: just rely more on pookin Nakua this week with no
6:44
Speaker 2: Tyler Higby. It's not the same Higbe soaking up a
6:47
Speaker 2: ton of targets. But from a personnel standpoint and an
6:50
Speaker 2: offensive standpoint, that's what affects pookin Nakula the most. So
6:53
Speaker 2: I think he is propped to be really good here,
6:57
Speaker 2: and then DeVante Adams it is my third guy there.
7:01
Speaker 2: I would probably if I'm going DeVante Adams in the
7:04
Speaker 2: captain I would probably avoid Puoka in the flex just
7:07
Speaker 2: because it's hard to see in that's realm you're gonna
7:11
Speaker 2: because from a salary game, right, you got Puka, you
7:14
Speaker 2: got Stafford, you got Baker, you got DeVante, Kyron and
7:17
Speaker 2: Ibuka are all priced up there when we swap over
7:20
Speaker 2: to the flex, right, they're all ninety six hundred and above.
7:24
Speaker 2: You got to make some stands when you're building your rosters.
7:27
Speaker 2: You can't just go in and play them all. I'll
7:29
Speaker 2: touch on that here in a second. With some additional
7:31
Speaker 2: captains that you can look at to be able to
7:33
Speaker 2: do more of a Stars and Scrubs type route, but
7:36
Speaker 2: when you're playing either Puka or DeVante in the captain position,
7:40
Speaker 2: I would probably avoid the other one in the flex
7:43
Speaker 2: and just say, hey, they're gonna soak it up. And
7:45
Speaker 2: that's why they're up in the captain spot, and it's
7:47
Speaker 2: not Matthew Stafford, because if they're both kind of eating,
7:51
Speaker 2: I foresee Stafford probably being the guy you need up
7:54
Speaker 2: top at the salary discount a little bit off of
7:56
Speaker 2: Puka Nakua there. So I do like kind of separating
7:59
Speaker 2: them and just getting in on them in the captain
8:02
Speaker 2: position to saying, hey, if it's a pooka game, I'm
8:05
Speaker 2: gonna be lower on DeVante and then take some values
8:08
Speaker 2: from the front, from the Bucks or the Rams, et cetera,
8:12
Speaker 2: maybe the kickers, things like that, some of these backup
8:14
Speaker 2: tight ends, which makes my overall roster look a little
8:18
Speaker 2: bit better, right than kind of going up with both
8:21
Speaker 2: of them there. So those are kind of the three
8:22
Speaker 2: main guys I'm looking at there. I think Stafford is fine,
8:25
Speaker 2: but I actually probably prefer Baker at ownership and with
8:28
Speaker 2: the total. I'm sure the Rams are fine sitting on
8:32
Speaker 2: the football here, even in a tough spot against Tampa,
8:35
Speaker 2: but if they're playing with the lead, I have a
8:37
Speaker 2: hard time seeing them just kind of slinging it left
8:40
Speaker 2: and right NonStop coming down the stretch here, whereas Baker
8:42
Speaker 2: on the other end can make plays, he has rushing upside,
8:45
Speaker 2: he can run. So at the fraction of the ownership,
8:48
Speaker 2: I mean you're talking like one seventh of the ownership
8:51
Speaker 2: here for Baker versus Stafford. When I'm already in more
8:55
Speaker 2: on the rams pass catchers in the captain position, I'm
8:58
Speaker 2: more heavily invested in Baker when he can spread it out.
9:02
Speaker 2: God when coming back right, you got Sean White in
9:04
Speaker 2: the in the receiving game, you got Kate Otten, obviously
9:07
Speaker 2: you've got ted Johnson Sheppard all these other donkeys that
9:10
Speaker 2: he can spread it out to plus get it done
9:12
Speaker 2: with with his legs. So overall, my favorite captains on
9:15
Speaker 2: the slate like Buka number one, Puka two, Davonte three,
9:19
Speaker 2: Baker four, And then I'll make a case for two
9:23
Speaker 2: other guys here or one other guy in particular. I
9:26
Speaker 2: think Chase McLoughlin is an interesting captain here. And the
9:29
Speaker 2: reason being is why is it puts you on a
9:32
Speaker 2: completely different build than what the field does. And if
9:35
Speaker 2: you look at the games where McLoughlin has had a
9:37
Speaker 2: ceiling on the season, I mean he's got a ceiling
9:39
Speaker 2: of twenty one at five thousand dollars in the flax.
9:42
Speaker 2: You put him up in the captain position, he's seventy
9:44
Speaker 2: five hundred, and guess what if Pooka hits his medium projection,
9:48
Speaker 2: If Stafford hits their median projection, if Baker hits his
9:50
Speaker 2: median projection, Kyron Davante a Buca, if some of those
9:55
Speaker 2: four or five of those guys hit their medium projection, well,
9:57
Speaker 2: how do you have those in your ross?
10:00
Speaker 1: You have to go to a cheaper captain.
10:01
Speaker 2: I think more people go to like a Kobe Parkinson
10:05
Speaker 2: or a Tees Johnson or something like that up in
10:07
Speaker 2: the captain position to be able to afford those guys.
10:10
Speaker 2: I like going with a guy Chase McLoughlin, who in
10:14
Speaker 2: games where it's back and forth, he's shown a twenty one,
10:17
Speaker 2: he's shown a sixteen, a twelve, a seventeen. I mean,
10:20
Speaker 2: if him at seventy five hundred in the captain position
10:23
Speaker 2: gets you twelve, sixteen, seventeen, twenty one one of those,
10:26
Speaker 2: like he did against the Saints, like he did against
10:28
Speaker 2: the Seattle in a thirty eight to thirty five game
10:31
Speaker 2: where he scored twelve Philly game thirty one, twenty five.
10:34
Speaker 2: They lost that game, but it was fairly competitive. He
10:36
Speaker 2: scored sixteen against the Jets. When it was back and
10:39
Speaker 2: forth twenty nine to twenty seven, he scored twenty one. Right,
10:42
Speaker 2: So in situations like that, I think you could see
10:45
Speaker 2: him find his way to the optimal captain position because
10:48
Speaker 2: what it does for your roster construction in the flex
10:51
Speaker 2: gets you more of those guys that have a potential
10:54
Speaker 2: to score those twenty eighteen to twenty five range in
10:58
Speaker 2: the flex with those top dogs that that are very
11:01
Speaker 2: expensive there. So he's probably my distant fifth captain would
11:04
Speaker 2: be Chase McLoughlin. And then I think you could take
11:07
Speaker 2: a sprinkle of guys like Ted Johnson Kobe Parkinson for
11:10
Speaker 2: the same realm, but I much prefer the the Ted
11:14
Speaker 2: Johnson to Parkinson over there.
11:15
Speaker 1: So overall captain pool fairly spread out.
11:19
Speaker 2: But I think, uh, condensing on on the top four
11:21
Speaker 2: that I talked about seem to seem to be kind
11:24
Speaker 2: of where I'm focused on any additional takes from the
11:27
Speaker 2: captain before we jump over and talk flex.
11:29
Speaker 3: Hear him, Yeah, No, I like I like your point
11:32
Speaker 3: about about about the McLoughlin. It allows you to jam
11:36
Speaker 3: in a few more studs, right, you're giving up a
11:38
Speaker 3: little bit in projection, but you're getting you're getting more, Uh,
11:41
Speaker 3: you're getting more studs that you can jam in there.
11:43
Speaker 3: So I don't I don't hate that.
11:45
Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I just think it's it's gonna be more contrarian, right.
11:48
Speaker 2: Kicker captains feel like a mess for for a lot
11:50
Speaker 2: of people. But people have to understand why why a
11:53
Speaker 2: kicker captain could work on a slate like this when
11:55
Speaker 2: we have six guys that are priced at ten k
11:57
Speaker 2: basically or above with medium projections anywhere from sixteen to
12:02
Speaker 2: twenty four right with Pooka there, And if those guys
12:05
Speaker 2: do end up hitting those medium projections, you're gonna see
12:09
Speaker 2: more balanced captain route and have more of these guys
12:11
Speaker 2: in the flex hit. So don't want to rule myself
12:14
Speaker 2: out of a scenario like that. So let's jump over
12:17
Speaker 2: and talk flex here. Talk to quarterbacks. Stafford Baker. Obviously
12:21
Speaker 2: both great plays, but they are priced up. I mean
12:23
Speaker 2: DraftKings finally priced these quarterbacks up. They looked at the
12:25
Speaker 2: total both of these guys right at the battle for
12:28
Speaker 2: Baker's kind of slipping in the MVP, he was up
12:30
Speaker 2: there for a while. Stafford has been the front runner
12:34
Speaker 2: in general ten eight, ten to six. What do you
12:37
Speaker 2: think from these quarterbacks here in the flex? Are you
12:41
Speaker 2: higher on one, lower on the other, et cetera.
12:44
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I like them both. Obviously, Stafford's has
12:48
Speaker 3: been playing so well in terms of just getting spread
12:51
Speaker 3: in the ball around. Jamel Dean is out again, no
12:55
Speaker 3: hasan Reddick. So I really like Stafford tonight. You know,
13:00
Speaker 3: especially if I have Puca or DeVante in the captain,
13:04
Speaker 3: I'm gonna want Stafford in the flex. And even if
13:07
Speaker 3: I have Stafford and the captain, I think I want him.
13:10
Speaker 3: I want like three pass catchers like his two big
13:13
Speaker 3: big dogs, and then one of the tight ends and
13:16
Speaker 3: then Baker. Same thing as like, if Baker will give
13:18
Speaker 3: you that that rushing upside, Matthew's not gonna really run it.
13:22
Speaker 3: So Baker is squarely in play. I would say he's
13:26
Speaker 3: slightly behind Stafford for me. You made another good point though,
13:30
Speaker 3: is that Baker's gonna be chucking that ball around all
13:34
Speaker 3: night because they they're going to be down, so he's
13:37
Speaker 3: gonna have to find the guys to pass it to.
13:40
Speaker 3: So that's a good point there. But I still think
13:42
Speaker 3: with Stafford's touchdown upside, I'm gonna go Stafford over Mayfield.
13:46
Speaker 3: But they're both squarely in play in the flex.
13:49
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just think I'm gonna be higher on what
13:51
Speaker 2: the field is going to be on Baker here. I'm
13:52
Speaker 2: seeing right around thirty percent ownership on Baker and sixty
13:57
Speaker 2: percent on Stafford. I mean, I'm happy being much closer
14:01
Speaker 2: than that, if not favoring more more towards Baker, because
14:06
Speaker 2: we have seen scenarios where Puka gets his, DeVante gets him,
14:10
Speaker 2: and Stafford just kind of has a middling game, right,
14:13
Speaker 2: like at twenty to twenty something point game, right because
14:17
Speaker 2: it's not a bunch of touchdowns, it's a bunch of
14:18
Speaker 2: yardage and receptions, right that kind of get Pookah in
14:22
Speaker 2: DeVante there. So in a scenario like that where the
14:25
Speaker 2: field is gonna naturally want to be pairing Stafford obviously
14:28
Speaker 2: with one of them in the captain position, all it
14:31
Speaker 2: takes is Baker to outscore Stafford for two hundred dollars
14:33
Speaker 2: cheaper in a build like that where Puka still gets
14:36
Speaker 2: his or DeVante still gets his up top, and then
14:38
Speaker 2: Baker still does enough to outscore Stafford but those guys
14:42
Speaker 2: are still optimal in the captain or same thing in
14:44
Speaker 2: the flex. So I'm gonna be higher on Baker in
14:47
Speaker 2: the flex here. Looking, I mean, he's got a thirteen
14:49
Speaker 2: and a half rushing prop that's ten yards, just ten
14:52
Speaker 2: yards less than a guy like Rashad White at twenty
14:55
Speaker 2: three and a half. I mean, Baker's rushing prop is
14:57
Speaker 2: thirteen and a half. His passing props are are right
15:00
Speaker 2: there as well, two forty three and a half, which
15:03
Speaker 2: is right in line with Stafford at two fifty nine
15:05
Speaker 2: and a half. So overall, I think I think Baker
15:10
Speaker 2: is a really good play. I mean, he's plus seven
15:13
Speaker 2: hundred to score a touchdown as well, which which is
15:16
Speaker 2: pretty solid. So overall, I like Baker a ton here,
15:19
Speaker 2: and I'll be higher on Baker over Stafford, especially in
15:22
Speaker 2: the flax and the captain position as well, and just
15:24
Speaker 2: taking that ownership discount there where I like the skill
15:27
Speaker 2: players more. From the rams side of the ball, Let's
15:30
Speaker 2: talk these running backs here. Let me filter by by
15:32
Speaker 2: running backs, and uh, it's kind of a muddy situation,
15:36
Speaker 2: right Kyron and Korum kind of a kind of a
15:39
Speaker 2: split in general, just looking at the kind of outlook
15:44
Speaker 2: from the last couple of weeks for Korum and Kyron.
15:48
Speaker 2: I mean it's like a sixty to thirty split, seventy
15:51
Speaker 2: thirty split or seventy thirty. Excuse me, it was sixty
15:55
Speaker 2: forty week ten went up to seventy thirty. Last week
15:58
Speaker 2: was seventy thirty nine, So it's kind of seventy thirty.
16:02
Speaker 2: But again, we know it's tougher to run on the
16:07
Speaker 2: Bucks defense here, right, They're historically a pass funnel, So
16:10
Speaker 2: what does that do?
16:10
Speaker 3: Right?
16:11
Speaker 2: Korum at three K, Kyron all the way up at
16:13
Speaker 2: ten K is kind of ridiculous price point there. And
16:16
Speaker 2: then we got Rashad White and Sean Tucker. Shan Tucker
16:18
Speaker 2: seems to be the lead rushing back, and then Rashad
16:21
Speaker 2: White is obviously that pass catching guy. I think I
16:24
Speaker 2: slightly lean to Rashad White in a scenario like here,
16:28
Speaker 2: just with the rushing game or the receiving game. I
16:30
Speaker 2: think they're gonna need him out there more as they're
16:32
Speaker 2: playing with a playing from behind in a trail script.
16:36
Speaker 2: So I think overall, my favorite running back is the
16:38
Speaker 2: lowest owned one of all four of these guys, in
16:40
Speaker 2: Rashad White at seven k I think everybody sees what
16:43
Speaker 2: Sean Tucker just did last week, chases that, but I
16:46
Speaker 2: think it's completely different match up here, a completely different
16:49
Speaker 2: game environment for the Bucks.
16:50
Speaker 1: I like Rashad White the best of all four of
16:52
Speaker 1: these guys. What do you see here?
16:54
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you all that. I mean, Rashad White's
16:57
Speaker 3: not a running back, he's a wide receiver too, and
17:00
Speaker 3: they're gonna dump it down to him. We know the
17:02
Speaker 3: front four of the Rams can get after it, so
17:04
Speaker 3: that's gonna lead a lot of dump dump offs to Rashad.
17:07
Speaker 3: You know, he could catch seven passes for nineteen yards
17:11
Speaker 3: and you're looking at basically you know, or nine points, right,
17:14
Speaker 3: So just the little things like that are going to
17:17
Speaker 3: rack up for him. So I'm with you on that,
17:19
Speaker 3: Sean Tucker. Although he is a much better true running
17:25
Speaker 3: back than Rashad, I'm with you there. Uh not gonna
17:28
Speaker 3: be playing him against this rushdee. And like I said,
17:31
Speaker 3: I mean, I love Kyra in the back, I just
17:34
Speaker 3: don't love I don't love the way they're using him
17:38
Speaker 3: this year. Right, you remember last year, I mean eighty
17:40
Speaker 3: eighty eighty five ninety percent of the snaps. But now
17:43
Speaker 3: Korum's just eating into him so much it almost feel
17:47
Speaker 3: it almost feel like that they're like alternating series. They're not,
17:50
Speaker 3: because he's you know, he's out snapping him two to one.
17:52
Speaker 3: But still he's just taking into some of his some
17:54
Speaker 3: of his base work, and so, uh so, yeah, I'm
17:57
Speaker 3: with you, I'm fading these running backs outside of shod White.
18:01
Speaker 2: I know, I like that there. Going back to Rashad
18:04
Speaker 2: White's right receiving props. Two and a half is a
18:07
Speaker 2: reception prop. I think fourteen and a half or somewhere
18:10
Speaker 2: in that realm is his receiving yards prop there, which
18:13
Speaker 2: isn't great by any means. But look at the rest
18:15
Speaker 2: of the team, Kate out and at four, which I
18:17
Speaker 2: do like him, but Godwin at three, Sterling Shepherd at
18:20
Speaker 2: two and a half, Ted Johnson at two and a half,
18:22
Speaker 2: he's right there in line with the rest of the
18:23
Speaker 2: team as kind of that receiving receiving option there. So
18:28
Speaker 2: that's kind of the reason I'm in on some Rashad
18:30
Speaker 2: White at the ownership discount there fair enough price point
18:33
Speaker 2: at seven, k probably would definitely do a max one
18:36
Speaker 2: of Sean Tucker and Rashad White just at those price
18:38
Speaker 2: points seven K and sixty four hundred with these studs
18:41
Speaker 2: on the slate, it's gonna be contrarian, but I think
18:44
Speaker 2: that's kind of paying the rake at this point playing
18:46
Speaker 2: those two guys at these price points together, not so
18:50
Speaker 2: much playing Korum and Kyron because in a game script
18:53
Speaker 2: where they kind of just lean on them and maybe
18:56
Speaker 2: they just beat up this this Bucks team, it could
18:59
Speaker 2: be both of them. But again, I just don't love
19:01
Speaker 2: it on either side playing both running backs together. Don't
19:04
Speaker 2: love the running backs in general very much at all,
19:06
Speaker 2: which isn't going to be very contraying and take by
19:08
Speaker 2: any means. But again, thirty to forty percent of the
19:10
Speaker 2: fields still going to play those guys, and being underweight
19:14
Speaker 2: on that I think gets you in a different different
19:17
Speaker 2: section than than than the rest of the field.
19:19
Speaker 1: Let's jump over and talk receivers. Now.
19:22
Speaker 2: Obviously got Puka all the way up at eleven eight
19:24
Speaker 2: big boy price point in the Flex probably is gonna
19:28
Speaker 2: benefit a little bit with like I talked about, they
19:30
Speaker 2: should probably run less thirteen personnel with no Tyler Higbee,
19:33
Speaker 2: which does benefit to Puka Nakua.
19:35
Speaker 1: But DeVante Adams is right there in target share.
19:38
Speaker 2: He had a thirty percent target share last week, despite
19:41
Speaker 2: only catching the one yard touchdown.
19:43
Speaker 1: He's at nine to eight two thousand dollars cheaper. I
19:45
Speaker 1: think that goes a long ways.
19:47
Speaker 2: Ownership gonna be pretty pretty similar in between both of them. Obviously,
19:52
Speaker 2: Puka is gonna be higher round and then a Buka.
19:55
Speaker 2: Those are kind of the three headed monster and then
19:57
Speaker 2: it drops off a cliff. Tes Johnson is coming back
19:59
Speaker 2: down to earth after kind of acceeding for a little
20:02
Speaker 2: bit there.
20:03
Speaker 1: What do you see here from the wide receiver room?
20:05
Speaker 2: Lots of options on both sides, including a guy like
20:07
Speaker 2: Zavier Smith who should uh and has seemed to slot
20:11
Speaker 2: in over Jordan Winnington as the wide receiver three in
20:14
Speaker 2: this offense.
20:16
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, of course you're gonna love the big boys,
20:18
Speaker 3: Puka Davonte in America. I'm interested to see with Chris
20:21
Speaker 3: Godwin coming back, he has seventy six hundred dollars. That
20:24
Speaker 3: is a that is a pretty hefty price tag for
20:26
Speaker 3: the unknown. I think that hurts the most. I think
20:31
Speaker 3: that hurts Tes the most because uh, you know he
20:35
Speaker 3: he you know, both the slot guys right with Sterling
20:39
Speaker 3: Shepherd and you know, looking back at all game logs
20:42
Speaker 3: like when when Godwin played the two games, tz was
20:46
Speaker 3: the guy that Snaps got basically cut in half. So
20:49
Speaker 3: I mean, even if god would only plays forty percent,
20:51
Speaker 3: I mean that's forty percent less that theoretically, uh Tez
20:57
Speaker 3: is gonna be sitting out. So I'm out on tes
21:00
Speaker 3: I'm out on Sterling Shepherd. I'm probably out on Godlin
21:04
Speaker 3: even at I like Gotlin, that's just too much.
21:07
Speaker 1: I don't know.
21:07
Speaker 3: Dad's like, talk me into some of these other receivers.
21:10
Speaker 4: You definitely, I mean, I don't see anything outside of
21:15
Speaker 4: the big boys up top, and then I can't play
21:19
Speaker 4: those three for Tampa that I just alluded to.
21:21
Speaker 3: But maybe you see something I don't.
21:24
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Jordan Winnington might be worth a shot
21:27
Speaker 2: at twenty eight hundred. More so, in like Matt Stafford
21:30
Speaker 2: Captain bilds, if you go there as a way to
21:32
Speaker 2: kind of get different and not go where most people
21:34
Speaker 2: are gonna go in that price for range of that
21:36
Speaker 2: three K to one of the tight ends in a
21:38
Speaker 2: Stafford Captain bild So I like Jordan Winnington in a
21:41
Speaker 2: scenario like that, I think Sterling Shepherd is probably my
21:45
Speaker 2: favorite in this range. The reason being is I think
21:47
Speaker 2: he's gonna be the lowest owned of any of these
21:49
Speaker 2: guys within this range, including the tight ends, and Shepherd
21:52
Speaker 2: has been involved in this offense obviously the slot guy there,
21:57
Speaker 2: his snaps are up. Even with Godwin coming back, I
22:00
Speaker 2: think it'd hurt him a little bit. But again, I
22:02
Speaker 2: don't think Godwin's gonna come back and play even remotely
22:05
Speaker 2: close to one hundred percent of the STAPs. You look
22:07
Speaker 2: at last week Godwin or Shepherd, the last how many
22:10
Speaker 2: weeks since Godwin's been out sixty percent of the stap
22:13
Speaker 2: sixty four, sixty five, sixty six percent. Tes Johnson up
22:17
Speaker 2: at a eighty three percent there, So not sure what
22:19
Speaker 2: that looks like with with Chris Godman. I think that
22:22
Speaker 2: really more so affects a guy like Tes Johnson, at
22:26
Speaker 2: least from looking back earlier in the year when Godwin
22:29
Speaker 2: was playing and getting eighty to seventy to eighty percent
22:32
Speaker 2: of the snaps, Tes Johnson was down in the thirty
22:34
Speaker 2: percent snap range, where Sterling Shepherd was still up in
22:37
Speaker 2: sixty and forty percent range. So I think overall, Godwin
22:41
Speaker 2: coming back when he's out there is gonna hurt tes
22:44
Speaker 2: Johnson in general, And I think Sterling. The Shepherd's gonna
22:47
Speaker 2: be pretty low owned, definitely involved. Ted Johnson is more
22:50
Speaker 2: so boombust, more so like Ted Johnson in a in
22:53
Speaker 2: a game where Poka captain or something like that right
22:57
Speaker 2: where you need the salary and as someone who who
23:00
Speaker 2: can speed that game up and get the ball back
23:02
Speaker 2: to the Rams offense, but more so in Baker captain builds.
23:05
Speaker 2: I like going in on both of these guys, Ted
23:07
Speaker 2: Johnson and Sterling Shepard, but I think in general my
23:10
Speaker 2: favorite would be Sterling Shepherd here.
23:12
Speaker 1: Not really getting to any of these cheap guys, think
23:15
Speaker 1: the value is pretty weak.
23:16
Speaker 2: Jordan Winnington would be the distant third, not playing Chris
23:19
Speaker 2: Godwin seventy six hundred.
23:20
Speaker 1: I'm going to take a wait and see approach on him.
23:23
Speaker 2: Let's jump over to from one muddy position to even
23:27
Speaker 2: another muddy position.
23:30
Speaker 1: The tight end position.
23:32
Speaker 2: I will talk about the tight end Kate Atton, I
23:34
Speaker 2: think is a really really good play here.
23:35
Speaker 1: Tight Ends against the Rams have been a thing. They've
23:38
Speaker 1: had success.
23:39
Speaker 2: Rams are bottom ten in the league or towards bottom
23:42
Speaker 2: twenty twelve in the league.
23:43
Speaker 1: I think they're twentieth or so right now.
23:46
Speaker 2: Fantasy points given up against the tight end position here,
23:49
Speaker 2: Kate Atten fifty four hundred.
23:50
Speaker 1: I think he's a good, good play in general, going
23:53
Speaker 1: to be owned as such.
23:54
Speaker 2: And then we got this three headed monster, Kobe Parkinson
23:57
Speaker 2: twenty four hundred, Davis Allen two k Terrence fergus In
24:00
Speaker 2: sixteen hundred. We know the Rams have been running a
24:02
Speaker 2: ton of thirteen personnel. Higbee's on the shelf. I think
24:05
Speaker 2: Terrence Ferguson is my favorite option of all of them,
24:08
Speaker 2: just because of the price point. But that's not going
24:10
Speaker 2: to be sneaky by any means that everybody's favorite option,
24:12
Speaker 2: and he's the highest projected of any of these guys.
24:15
Speaker 2: So maybe you flip it and you go to more
24:17
Speaker 2: Kobe Parkinson, who we've seen succeed in games when Tyler
24:22
Speaker 2: Higbey's been on the shelf previously.
24:24
Speaker 1: What do you see here from the tight end position?
24:27
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you on Kobe played sixty plus percent
24:30
Speaker 3: of the snaps last week. I think he's going to
24:32
Speaker 3: be the one that's out there the most. I think
24:34
Speaker 3: Ferguson does flash the most upside as you kind of
24:37
Speaker 3: alluded to not going to get to David Allen and then, Yeah,
24:41
Speaker 3: I'm with you on k Dotton. K Dotton basically the
24:44
Speaker 3: only tight end that that Tampa has. He's out there
24:48
Speaker 3: a bunch doing a lot of blocking, you know, playing
24:51
Speaker 3: you know, almost one hundred percent of the snaps, and
24:54
Speaker 3: just by that, I'm going to have a lot of
24:57
Speaker 3: interest in him at only fifty four hundred. You know,
25:00
Speaker 3: he's kind of slots in there that wide receiver too
25:02
Speaker 3: that I talked about with Rashad and Kate Otten. To me,
25:05
Speaker 3: those are the two best options to catch passes outside
25:08
Speaker 3: of a mecca. So Kate Otten's definitely my number one
25:11
Speaker 3: tight end and then my favorite and probably probably the
25:14
Speaker 3: only one I'm getting to in like single entry of three,
25:16
Speaker 3: Max is going to be Parkinson at two four playing
25:19
Speaker 3: sixty five percent of the snaps. We know Stafford loves
25:22
Speaker 3: him around the red zone. He loves all of them
25:24
Speaker 3: around the red zone. But I'm gonna go with Parkinson
25:27
Speaker 3: as the lee, as the lead tight end for me
25:29
Speaker 3: for the Rams.
25:30
Speaker 1: Yeah. No, I like that a ton there.
25:34
Speaker 2: You saw even last week Parkinson seventy sixty nine percent
25:37
Speaker 2: right when Higbee was in there? Did Higby only played
25:41
Speaker 2: twenty STAPs?
25:41
Speaker 1: Right? I think he got injured mid game?
25:43
Speaker 3: Right?
25:44
Speaker 2: And then you saw Parkinson tick up and snaps obviously there.
25:48
Speaker 2: But again I mean even with all of them in
25:51
Speaker 2: every the weeks prior, thirty percent for for Ferguson, sixty
25:55
Speaker 2: percent for Parkinson, fifty percent for David Allen, fifty percent
25:59
Speaker 2: for Higbee. So all three of these guys are firmly
26:02
Speaker 2: in play. They can all slip up and catch a touchdown.
26:05
Speaker 2: I like them a lot more. Filtering these guys in
26:08
Speaker 2: Stafford type captain builds right if you're going that route.
26:11
Speaker 1: But again, all of these guys are sense, makes sense.
26:15
Speaker 2: I don't mind playing two of them together as well,
26:18
Speaker 2: just because again we want those studs up there, and
26:20
Speaker 2: how do you afford those studs? You can play these
26:22
Speaker 2: guys that are gonna be on the field. The props
26:25
Speaker 2: would suggest Parkinson is tight end one. Ferguson right, there
26:29
Speaker 2: is tightened kind of one B in general in terms
26:32
Speaker 2: of props, and then Davis Allen is a distant a
26:35
Speaker 2: distant third. But Davis Allen is also going to be
26:37
Speaker 2: a distant third in terms of ownership as well. And
26:40
Speaker 2: all it takes is him to slip one past in
26:42
Speaker 2: the red zone catch a touchdown. I don't know if
26:44
Speaker 2: if one catch and five yard touchdown. Right five yards,
26:48
Speaker 2: one catch and a touchdown is enough right right around.
26:51
Speaker 2: That's six to seven fantasy points. I don't know if
26:54
Speaker 2: that's gonna be enough at two k but it could
26:56
Speaker 2: be certainly with the studs we have on the slate.
26:59
Speaker 2: So I think the tight end position Kayatten is far
27:01
Speaker 2: and away my favorite option of any of these guys.
27:04
Speaker 2: Then it would be Parkinson, then Ferguson, then Davis Allen
27:06
Speaker 2: is kind of how I have it ranked, but it's
27:09
Speaker 2: really close between the all three of those Rams tight
27:11
Speaker 2: ends in my opinion. Here, let's talk kickers and defenses.
27:14
Speaker 2: I definitely like Chase McLoughlin quite a bit here, just
27:17
Speaker 2: in game environments where I think it's could have the
27:19
Speaker 2: potential to be back and forth. Chase McLoughlin has shown
27:21
Speaker 2: a ceiling has been involved. Josh Cardy is out this one,
27:26
Speaker 2: so Harrison MeVis is going to slot in. Don't love him,
27:31
Speaker 2: and I would much rather just play the ownership game
27:34
Speaker 2: with these kickers and go to a Chase McLoughlin. But
27:37
Speaker 2: forty six hundred is cheap for these kickers. The Rams
27:40
Speaker 2: defense at forty eight hundred forty four hundred for the Bucks.
27:43
Speaker 2: Not much inter myself here, but what do you see
27:45
Speaker 2: from the special teams?
27:47
Speaker 3: Ah, yes, the thicker kicker, Harrison Meavis, that's his name.
27:51
Speaker 3: Name's get it know it now, the thicker kicker, the
27:54
Speaker 3: big body Jared lorenzen s kicker. But yeah, I like
27:59
Speaker 3: both of these kickers. McLoughlin's good, but also the thicker kicker.
28:04
Speaker 3: You know they're slated to put up how many points days?
28:06
Speaker 3: I think it's like twenty semi points, so we know
28:09
Speaker 3: he's gonna get extra point opportunities, which we don't love,
28:11
Speaker 3: but they're gonna be down in the red zone if
28:13
Speaker 3: they stall out. That's good for Harrison. So I like
28:17
Speaker 3: both kickers, and the only defense I like it's going
28:20
Speaker 3: to be this Rams defense. I talked about this front
28:22
Speaker 3: four earlier. They get after it. My boy Nate Landman
28:25
Speaker 3: just signed a twenty two million dollar extension over the weekend.
28:28
Speaker 3: They get after it. Their secondary's probably their weakest link,
28:32
Speaker 3: but they do have some excellent pass rushers with Verse
28:36
Speaker 3: in company that can get after it. So I like
28:38
Speaker 3: the Rams defense. I like both kickers, and I'm with you,
28:41
Speaker 3: I think Chase if you're ranking them like one through four,
28:44
Speaker 3: I think Chase is going to be the best, the
28:46
Speaker 3: best of the bunch.
28:48
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would just probably do something like this. I
28:50
Speaker 2: would probably just make Chase McLoughlin. I think his production
28:53
Speaker 2: is light just from his season average in general. I
28:56
Speaker 2: mean the dudes had twenty plus in the season. He
29:00
Speaker 2: had twelve plus in like four or five games this season,
29:03
Speaker 2: whereas mevs Right in his two games hasn't cracked six
29:06
Speaker 2: Fantasy points.
29:06
Speaker 1: There.
29:07
Speaker 2: Obviously it's only a one game sample. I get it, right,
29:09
Speaker 2: we just need them to do what tonight. But ownership
29:12
Speaker 2: is going to suggest that Mevas is going to be
29:14
Speaker 2: up there, and I would rather just take ownership from
29:16
Speaker 2: him and give more to a guy like Chase McLoughlin
29:19
Speaker 2: here who you could see them have a big play,
29:22
Speaker 2: rip a big play right, Ted Johnson gets loose like
29:25
Speaker 2: Buka comes across the middle, they pick up a chunk
29:27
Speaker 2: yardage of forty fifty yards and then stall out from
29:29
Speaker 2: this front seven or front four right like you talked
29:32
Speaker 2: about from the Rams here.
29:34
Speaker 1: Very good, third ranked D line in the league.
29:37
Speaker 2: But again on the other side, the Bucks fourth ranked
29:40
Speaker 2: O line in football based on what the spread would indicate. Right,
29:44
Speaker 2: you're expecting more dropbacks, which give more opportunities for the
29:48
Speaker 2: RAMS defense. So I think that playing the RAMS defense
29:50
Speaker 2: over the kicker, I think is an interesting route to go,
29:53
Speaker 2: not going to be heavily exposed to the RAMS defense.
29:56
Speaker 2: But Baker Mayfield can make mistakes. He runs around like
29:58
Speaker 2: a headless chicken back there trying to make plays, which
30:01
Speaker 2: a lot of times he does, but a lot of
30:03
Speaker 2: times he doesn't, and that'll lead to sacks that will
30:05
Speaker 2: lead to turnovers interception. So I think for me, Chase
30:08
Speaker 2: mcgloflin and RAMS defense my two favorite the most expensive
30:11
Speaker 2: guys here MeVis I'll be probably under the field on
30:14
Speaker 2: Bucks defense. Whatever I get, I get, but it's not
30:17
Speaker 2: going to take much to be overweight on them. Everybody
30:19
Speaker 2: wants to go in on these Rams, Rams, on slots
30:23
Speaker 2: in general. So I think we broke it down pretty
30:26
Speaker 2: good here him. Any closing remarks before we get out
30:29
Speaker 2: of here.
30:31
Speaker 3: Yeah, nothing else to say, really, you know, good luck
30:34
Speaker 3: hopefully we get another shipper up there up top. Two
30:36
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty K is kind of where we're at
30:39
Speaker 3: at there. So yeah, good luck to everybody to night
30:40
Speaker 3: in the contest.
30:41
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, good luck to everyone up there.
30:43
Speaker 2: I think we broke it down really well, like I
30:46
Speaker 2: like I talked about, we went pretty adept at at
30:48
Speaker 2: every position there. So again, drop your final score predictions
30:52
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31:12
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