Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Week 6 NFL Lines with Scooch and the Millimonster

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Week 6 NFL Lines with Scooch and the Millimonster · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Favorites podcast. I am Shad
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Milman of the Action Network. It is Wednesday, which means
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: we are bringing in Bookmaker to the world, head of
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: the Orleans and all the Boyd gaming books in the
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: state of Nevada, a man with his own boom tastic
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: walk up music, Mr Bob Scoochee. I can't even I'll
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: tell you what. It sounds so much more over the
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: top today than it ever has ever to me too.
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: I don't know why that is. I think it maybe
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: it's early in the morning, and maybe it was louder.
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: But there's three of us there, the two mats, the
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: producers of the podcast. We were all just laughing hysterically
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: as like it crescendoed into something that was so overwhelmingly, deliciously,
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: sweetly bigger than this podcast could ever possibly live up to. Right, No,
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: that's great. It is very early for you at six am.
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: We had to record normally recorded this on Tuesday nights.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: We're recording it very early Wednesday morning because you're crazy
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: busy with the huge gambling conference G two E that
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: is going on. I know you're very busy. Um, I
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: do want to talk about one thing. What's that. I
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: am a man of principles, as I stated last week,
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: and I did what I said I was going to do.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: When there were short home phaves and home dogs, I
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: bet them. The only two teams that I avoided as
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: short home favors home dogs were the Lines and the Jets,
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: and I got bit in the asked for it. But
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: every other time I had the chance, I did it.
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: The Seahawks, the Bills. Who else was it last week? Um,
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: the Browns, the and then I got the Cardinals. Uh.
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: The only game I lost, like week last week that
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: I that I bet was the Jags. Like I made
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: a last minute decision to bet the Jags plus three,
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: and like it was the one game I said all
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: week I wasn't going to bet, and then I bet
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: them and I lost. And this week Scooch is shaping
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: up to be one of those weeks where all of
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: my principles are going to be tested, because every single
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: short home faith and home dog looks like trash. Yeah,
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: this is this is this might be the opposite of
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: last week. I don't know this this this week kind
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: of scares me. You know, every of the early games
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: last week, every home team won Uh, they weren't all favorites.
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: Obviously mustiplem are dogs, but every home team one. This week,
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: we've got a lot of short road favorites. Um, they're
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: not exactly teams you'd like to unload the house on,
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: but a lot of a lot of short point spreads
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: this week only only really two games that have a
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: point spread more than three and a half. Well, we
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: got a lot to get to and later on in
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: this interesting Yeah, yeah, there's gonna be a lot of
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: games that are troubling me. I've only made two bets
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: so far this week, two times where I thought I
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: was getting the best of the number. And then I
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: want to talk to you before I do anything else.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: But we're gonna get to it later on the show.
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: We will get to Scooch Roulette, which we both won
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: last week. You had the Bills, I had the Seahawks.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: Worked out well for both the of us. Um, yeah,
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: it killed me. Like you know, I do Sports Center
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: every Sunday. I like to mention that as often as
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: I can, and then I will write about my Sunday
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: in Millman's Red Zone Diaries, which you can find on
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: the Action Network Action network dot com him download the
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: app and um, I talked about how the Seahawks were
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: the play that I loved the most, talked about him
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: a week, bet him aggressively, actually bet him twice once
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: by accident, and Um Sunday morning, I lost my courage
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: and did not talk about them on Sports Center and
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: I talked about the Jags and the Chiefs instead. And
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: I am kicking myself still, like who are you? Why
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: are you not a man who believes what you think? Yeah,
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: and there's another game that's identical with one of the
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: same teams involved. I know we're going to get to it.
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: We're gonna get to it. And I like, I don't know,
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: case Keenum doesn't feel like Russell Wilson, but we'll get
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: to that. We'll totally get to that. Um, So what
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: did you so? What did you say about the What
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: did you say about the Jags and the Chiefs? And
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: I went with the Jags. I went with the Jackson.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: I felt like there was a little bit of value
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: on the Jags. I thought like the Chiefs were over inflated.
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: The line probably should have been too. I felt like
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: it was just a matchup of strength. I felt like
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: best score defense, best scoring offense, best, second best red
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: zone defense, second best red zone offense. I felt like
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs defensive line would be dominated by the Jaguars
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: offensive line and that the Jaguars would be able to
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: control the ball and keep it close. Um, And they
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: might have been able to do that, but Blake Bortles
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: decided to be Blake Bortles and was throwing the ball
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: off of teammates helmets in the red zone and like
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: had the re turnovers there and so you know, for that,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: that's what happened, and so I ended up, you know,
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: eating that one. Yep, my logic was sound, but analysis,
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: as they've said on a podcast before, the right side
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: is the winning side. Melmonism, boom, Let's get this baby going.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: I know you gotta get to the airport. Let's get
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: this baby going. This Thursday night game speaks exactly to
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: everything we're talking about regarding short road favorites home underdogs.
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: The Philadelphia Eagles three point favorites over the New York Giants.
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: This is where the rubber meets the road. This is
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: the rub for me. I can't bet the Giants because
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: I bet the Giants is home dogs like three times
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: this year and gotten my ass handed to me. I
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: can't be at the Eagles because I don't believe in
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: them at all right now, So what am I supposed
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: to do? The play is normally to take the three
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: points at home, and I think this is definitely going
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: to go up to three and a half. So, um,
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: if you if you stick by those principles, then you
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: have to take the Giants plus the three and a half.
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: Uh they did get the Giants did get the cover
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: last week against Carolina, they were getting six and a half. Uh.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: They end up losing the game by two. And uh
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: but if you saw any of that game, Eli Manning
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: just you know, interceptions that right right when they're driving
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: inside the red zone and uh, he's just I mean,
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: you're amazed at the guy that that. He's like an
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: iron man. He can just he never seems to get injured.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: He's been around forever. But then he he he throws
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: these passes just out of nowhere that you're like, oh
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: my god. They've got a lot of issues this year.
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: We talked about him last year how you just can't
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: bet the Giants, but the the Eagles, you talk about
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: a game that they cannot afford to lose, you know, Uh,
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: last week against Minnesota, I felt like that was a
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: critical game where both Minnesota and Philly they that neither
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: one of them could afford to lose that game. And
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: now you know Philly loses that game against Minnesota, they
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: cannot afford to lose this one. So I understand the
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: move and the money on the on the Eagles, but boy,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: the Giants. Giants can keep this game closed. So if
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: if it goes to three and a half, I think
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: you gotta take the home team. Yeah yeah, Uh, the
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: Chicago Bears minus three at Miami. Let's test our principles
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: right now? Where is everyone going? Yeah, you're not getting
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: uh sharp guys and the public both on the same
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: side on this one, both on both on the Bears,
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: and uh, we kind of like them or ourselves. We
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: thought we were more on the high side than the
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: low side going We didn't want to go more than
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: a field goal on the road with the Bears. But
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: we we opened three. We're up to three minus twenty,
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: very close to going to three and a half. I
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: know that some places actually open two and a half. So,
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: like I said, I thought we were on the high
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: side on this one. But it turns out We're gonna
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: be big Dolphin fans, both the sharp guys and the
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: public publics on this game at a clip of about
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: six to one. So uh really no uh no love
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: for the Dolphins, and uh, you know you can kind
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: of kind of understand why. But these are kind of
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: the games, like I said, short road favorites, these are
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: the kind of weeks we either have real big weeks
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: or we get crushed and there's like nothing in between.
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: I feel like this game gets to three and a
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: half and you kind of gotta you might get some
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: sharp action on the other side at three and a half.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: I think there's value on the Dolphins at home. Uh.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: You know, I know there's probably not a whole lot
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: of reason to get excited about Miami. I think last
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: week I said they were one of the worst three
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: win teams in the in the NFL. Uh so uh
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: and then last week watching them blow that seventeen nothing
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: lead against Cincinnati in a blink, Um, you know, it
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: doesn't give you a whole lot of confidence in them.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: So uh but uh, I think the Bears are coming
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: off of by a week, so I could understand the
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: move on the on the Bears, but I think like
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: you said, plus three at home, and especially if you
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: get three and a half, probably a little more value
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: on the the Dolphins. Do you know what I'm gonna do?
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: In the Action Network app, you can set alerts for
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: UH line watching, and I'm going to send alert to
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: get the Dolphins plus three and a half? Wow? What
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: I do next game? And then and then you just
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: automatically beat them? Right? I think I would. I think
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: it's automatically bet them at three. Yeah, I think I would.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, how could I not. I'm getting the hook,
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: as they say in the biz, I'm getting the hook.
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: Mm hm. Why do you think they call the half
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: point the hook? Is it like because you're hooking in betters?
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I got to look that one up.
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: That goes way back, doesn't it? It does the hook?
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: You got the hook, especially if you if you if
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: you lay three and a half and they win by three,
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: you got hooked. Well there you go. Hey. Maybe it
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: was something that Bob Martin, one of our Sports Betting
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: Hall of Famers um, one of the original bookmakers. Maybe
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: maybe he thought of that phrase. Ye remember when we
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: did the Sports Bidding Hall of Fame and I wanted
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: to put Phil Nicholson in and like you were afraid
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: to say his name because like it was almost like
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: he was Boldemort, And for some reason you decided that
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: was that was taking it too far, like saying Phil
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: Mickelson wasn't known better? Like that was that was something
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: that made you scared. Yeah I did. I don't. I
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: don't know why. I let I'll let you bring him in.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: It's like it's like like six months later, you still
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: don't want to talk about it. It's like, what is
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: this guy had on you? All Right, it's good? This
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: is the game. I thought, this is the game I
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: bet because I wanted to get the best of the
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: number Cincinnati minus two and a half against Pittsburgh in Cincinnati.
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: I bet the Bengals a two and a half. I can.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: And you think this is going to go to three.
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: Obviously you wanted to You wanted to get it before
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: it goes to three. I think you could. Yeah, I mean,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: I'm seeing it seems to me like the money in
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: the bets are coming in on Pittsburgh right now, which
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: is surprising to me. Um, but this isn't a very
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: good team and the Bengals are a little bit hotter
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: and if they're not getting the money, then bully for me.
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: I'm on the right side, I think. Yeah. So so
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: this is one that I think when the sharp guys
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: do come in, they'll come in on the Bengals. But
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: I haven't seen it yet, and the public is on
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: the Steelers, so this game could kind of creep down.
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: I think if it was going to go to three,
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: I think it already would have went. Um. You know,
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: we do get those moves a half hour before game
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: time that those are the real, the real strong steam moves. Uh.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: When you see something move right before game time, it's
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: usually the right side, so you know, the late moves
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: the correct move, as they say, bringing back a scooch
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: is um yeah yeah, but you know the Steelers Finally,
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: I think the Steelers played probably their best game uh
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: last week. Uh. I was a little surprised at how
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: well they played. I thought after the first three games,
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: looking at who they played and how they played, they
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: had a lot of problems. But it looked like they
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: kind of solved all their offensive issues and defensive issues
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: last week and I think put together one of their
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: best games. So uh, certainly the public is gonna remember that,
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: and the public loves to like to They love to
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: bet on the Steelers when they're good. So uh, they
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: gave him a reason to bet them this this week.
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: That everything you're saying gives me no confidence in my
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: bet on the Bengals thinking on them, sharp guy here, Yeah, yeah,
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: you know, so you know you look, you look at
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: how the Bengals came back in that game against Miami,
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: and it gives you a little confidence. But getting down
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: seventeen and nothing early doesn't you know, it doesn't really
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: bolster any good, good feelings about putting your money on them. Okay, well,
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: especially against the Steelers who may have find only gotten
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: there their mojo back. Don't be against me when I've
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: got a short home favorite. Okay, I gotta go with
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: my gut, all right, you got you gotta bet the number.
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: Sometimes you don't even look at the teams. You bet
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: the number. That's what I do. I have principles and
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: I have theories, and I don't even look at the teams.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: The first thing I do, I've said this many times.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: The first thing I do as I look at the number.
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: Second thing I do is look at the market. Third
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: thing I do is see if any sort of the
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: metrics and stats are buoying my um foundational principles. Yeah,
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: and if it works of the time, you're good, damn straight.
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: Here's a game I did bet you're ready yea, And
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: I bet it New England minus three before it moved
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: to three and a half because I got the best
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: of the number. Someone in the bookmaking community his name,
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: his name may or may not be abob Scucci once
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: said to me, nobody gets rich betting against Bill Belichick.
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: I amended that to nobody gets rich betting against Bill
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: Belichick when he's less than a touchdown favorite at home.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: That theory has served me well. I'm going with the
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: Patriots minus three. I tried to be as high as
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: I could could be on this game, so um I
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: I thought at three that they would take the Chiefs,
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: but I went I went to three minus twenty on
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: the Patriots. Got a little bit of money on the Chiefs,
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: and uh, I went to three and a half pretty
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: quickly off of just a few thousand dollars, and uh
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: it's been all Chiefs since then, but mostly from from
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: public money, which is okay. I expect the public to
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: come in on the Chiefs on this one. At a
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: rate of about two to one only because they feel
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: like the Chiefs are statistically the best team in the
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: in the a f C. And uh, but you gotta
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: take gotta throw those first couple of games out on
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: the Patriots. And this is you know, before the season started,
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: what would the line have been. Uh, you know, the
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: Patriots may have been four or four and a half
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: point favorites. And then we saw the big adjustment to
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs after they win their first four games, and
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: we saw a little adjustment down on the Patriots. And
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: now we're kind of creeping back up. So if there
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: is value on this game, I agree with you that
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: it's on the Patriots. And normally you don't lay three
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: and a half. But uh, I like the Patriots and
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: this one also love it. I love it at three.
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: I don't need to worry about laying three and a half.
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: You didn't Yeah, you didn't get hooked. No, no, Sewie Scooch.
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: Let's take a break and talk about one of your
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: favorite things, horse racing. Keenland is an idyllic horse racing
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: track right in the heart of thoroughbred country in Lexington, Kentucky.
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: They're referred to you as racing as it was meant
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: to be. I think what Augusta is to golf, Wimbledon
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: is the tennis. Keenland is the horse racing. Their fall
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: meat is underway and they have already awarded nine spots
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: in the Breeders Cup after opening weekend through their stakes
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: races on the Breeders Cup Challenge Series. The final win
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: and you're in for Breeders Cup is Wednesday, October today
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: at Keeneland. Keenland offers high quality racing with big pools
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: and full fields for betters. For insights and analysis on
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: who to bet on, you can follow at that Keenland
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: on Twitter for on demand content on Keenland racing from
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: expert handicapper Jeremy Plunk. You can watch Keenland's racing from
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: any location and bet directly from your phone with Keenland
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: select their online betting platform Scooch, let's get back to
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: her brother next up. I think this game is in London.
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: I um, Seattle at Oakland? Is that where it is?
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: It is? Isn't it Cheerio? So it's it's considered a
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: home game for the Raiders. Uh uh. The Seahawks are
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: three point favorites. I guess it's a neutral field. I
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: guess what you're saying to me is that Seattle is, uh,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: you know, the better team than the Oakland Raiders, which
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: not surprising. I have no opinion on this game. Yeah,
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: it's a trash game. Let's not talk. Has anybody done
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: anything with move on? Has anyone done anything with it?
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: It's one. This is one of the lowest bet games
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: on the board. There isn't even a big bet that
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: that I see on this game. The Raiders, their their
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: power rankings just keep dropping week after week. Their their
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: offense and Derek carrs just it seems like a completely
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: different offense than the last couple of years. And uh
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: and Seattle put together, I mean, you know, loosen tone.
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: But to the Rams by only two um isn't a
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: bad loss for Seattle. So I expect the money to
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: come in on Seattle. This is where again my principal
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: are tested. The New York Jets two and a half
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: point favorites at home against the Indianapolis Colts. Yeah, boy,
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: you got to just lay the favorite this one, right,
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: really do right? You got to close your Yeah, you
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: gotta close your eyes and just lay the favorite on
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: this one. Um, I'm surprised. Is that the right thing
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: to do? Like, if you're telling me that's what I
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: should do, I would make the bet right now. I'm
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: not there's certain there are certain teams that that I
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: that I can't do it with. Um. I'm not a
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: d sold on the Jets. And I'm not just gonna
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: look at how well they played against the Broncos last
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: week to say, Okay, the Jets are really that good. Um,
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: I just think it's situationally. Last week Denver was probably
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: a little down, uh from from the week before, where
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: a game that they felt that they should have won
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: against the Chiefs. And UM, I'm just not completely sold
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: on on the Jets. And I was pretty high on
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: this Colts team. Uh, and Andrew Luck and the way
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: he's been able to get this team back when they're down,
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: the Jets are probably you know, I I would probably
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: say that the Cults are the better team. And uh,
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: that's so if they're getting two and a half, I
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: just wouldn't bet it, but I would leave Colts. I'm
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: not betting it the next game, however, the next game,
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: the Los Angeles Chargers at the Cleveland Browns. One of
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: the things I pride myself on as a sharp as
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: a wise guy is knowing when to get off a team.
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: So like for me, I knew sort of the steam
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: had run out on the Colts right, I just wasn't
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: feeling it anymore. UM. I felt like the Cardinals were
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: a team where there was still a lot of value,
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: and I have won on them three weekends, and we'll
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: get to them. The Browns are one of those teams
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: where I just knew last weekend they were the right
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: side against against um, I already Baltimore at home Baltimore.
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: The Chargers, to me, they're a team that I think
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: is getting better, and I think that I think the
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: Browns like had the right defense against the right team
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: last week, a one dimensional Ravens offense. The Chargers are
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: not one dimensional, and so this is a bigger challenge.
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: Like it's harder for me to bet on the short
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: home dog here. I think I agree with you. We
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: were trying to put ourselves in a position where we
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: would need the Chargers in this one. The publics are
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: already on the Chargers at about a two to one clip,
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: and I don't think the Browns win last week was
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: enough to really kind of persuade any of the betters
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: to suddenly bat Leland. So, um, we know we want
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: to be pretty aggressive if they start coming in on
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: on the Chargers here. Um, we're at minus one now. Uh,
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: it's kind of the line that can go to two
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: two and a half without without a whole lot of
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: money on it. So uh, we're probably gonna move this
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: pretty pretty aggressively. And and I agree with you if
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: if you had to put a gun to my head
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: pick aside. I'm going with the Chargers in this one.
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: I'm so tempted to play it right now so I
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: can get the best of the number. Um, I don't
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: think so. There's not a whole lot of difference if
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: the line goes down to pick. Uh, not a whole
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: lot of difference. And you know, there's not a whole
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: lot of value that you're missing out on. It's not
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: going to move that much where you're gonna get a
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: bad number. So if you like the Chargers, minus one
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: isn't a bad number, That's what I mean. Yeah, I'd
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: lay it. I think I'm gonna yep, I'm gonna do it.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: I like this chart. I like this charge you please.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Chad is making a bet allegedly you like that. Huh,
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: you caught me off guard. It's early in that one.
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: That one woke me up in a hurry. That was fun.
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: I'm doing it. I may or may not be doing it, allegedly.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: Bring it up. What's the next game on the board?
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: Was that Atlanta? I don't know, because I don't know
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: what I don't know what order. You're going may be
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: looking at a different screen, so I may or may
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: not know. Uh, Tampa Bay at Atlanta Falcons three and
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: a half. Here's the thing. I think that's the perfectly
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: right number. I don't think there's an advantage on either
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: side there. Um, sharp guys are taking the three and
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: a half and I could see this line coming down
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: to three by game time. But this is another are
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: short um home favorite that I think, Uh, I think
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: I would lay. I favored the Falcons in this one.
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: I tried to be a little bit high and invite
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: a little Tampa Bay money on this one. Um. You know,
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: I like this Falcons team. You know, you look at
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: their record, you look at their losses, and like I said,
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: you know, last week, I thought it was kind of
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: a key game for them that I thought that they
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: would have beaten Pittsburgh or at least kept that game close,
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: but they just got dominated. I think they rebound, and uh,
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: you know, a divisional game like this one, I think
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: they're going to be up for and you know, it's
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: tough to lay the three and a half. I'd much
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: rather lay three. But that's why I'm high, because I
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: do like them, and I'm inviting a little Tampa Bay money.
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: I don't like it one bit to pass from me.
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: I don't trust you. There are these teams. I'll tell
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: you what though. Yeah, I'll tell you what is next game.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: Here's thing I wrote in the Millman Red Zone Diaries,
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: which you can read on Action network dot com or
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: download the app and read there. I wrote that my
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: challenge next week is going to be if Minnesota beats Philadelphia,
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be huge favorites against the Cardinals, and I
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: am going to have to make a decision. Do I
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: get greedy and ride the Cardinals for one more week
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: as huge underdogs, or do I think I've gotten the
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: best of what I can get out of them, and
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: like I'm asking for too much to have them cover
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: a big number against a team that is probably starting
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: to feel a little bit better about itself. Yeah, we
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: had no problems making this line as high as we did.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: And uh, and I can see it going up. So
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: anyone that that's gonna bet the Vikings might want to
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: do it now because this line is this line, I
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: might even move it. Might even move it today. Um
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: wait the line change? Should we do it? Wow? Really
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: with us this morning? That was great? Didn't Was it
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: wasted effort? Did you actually? I went to eleven? I'm
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: at eleven now you just turned it up to eleven?
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: That's my that's my what do you call it? What
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: do you call that? Spinal tap? Why keep it when
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: you can turn it up to eleven? There you go.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: We we have more. We have the least amount of
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: bets on the Cardinals, uh, for any game on the board,
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: with the exception of the Bills Texans because we don't
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: have a line on it. But there's the least amount
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: of bets. The Cardinals have the least bets of any
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: team on the board for us, So might as well
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: go to eleven now? Uh, maybe take a couple of
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: sharp bets from you know, maybe some of that is
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: trying to middle a game or get a good number, Um,
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: but public is all on the Vikings. Wow, you did
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: that just now? I did? Well. I guess what I
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: just did? What you bet plus eleven? Chat? I didn't.
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: I didn't. I didn't do it. I didn't do it.
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: I didn't do it. But I may maybe I may
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: have bet. The Chargers have done everything that I don't
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: believe in, which is bet against Baker Mayfield and bet
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: on a uh bet against a home dog. Right another game. God,
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: it's like every week. It's so complicating in the NFL
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: because week tweek teams do things that get in your head.
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: Josh Allen is a horrible quarterback. He threw eighty two
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: yards last week. Yet somehow the Bills won that game.
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: They go on the road to the Texans, who are
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: looking at and they're favored by eight and a half.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: That's too big of a number for me. But I
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: don't trust built like the buffalo of Bills on the road. Yeah, wise,
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: guys coming into the bed. Well mostly most most places
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: have this game off the board. UM. Still waiting on
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: the status of Deshaun Watson on this one. So this
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: line you could see a difference of I've seen as
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: high as ten early in the week. Uh, I could
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: see this line as low as six five right in
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: that neighborhood. So we we just need a little more
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: information on whether he's going to be playing Washington minus
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: one in over Carolina. Oh boy, oh boy, oh boy,
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: oh gosh. Scooch scooch, scoog scog. I might have take
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: the redskins. You have to have. You have to. I mean,
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: they're they're they're not even laying a field goal at home.
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: They're laying one, uh, coming off the loss. But they're
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: at home. The Panthers just struggled against the Giants. Now
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: the Panthers are on the road. Uh, you just have
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: to lay the redskins if you're if you have any
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: principles whatsoever, you got to just lay the one. Not
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: look back. Yeah. But here's the thing. I have principles,
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: and I just bet against them because I bet the Chargers.
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: I'm allegedly making just so everybody in the room knows
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: your attention, Please, Chad is making a bet allegedly Like yeah,
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: I love it. I got to yeah, you know. So,
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: So the public is going to be all over the
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: Panthers in this one, probably at about five to one
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: clip or ratio, and uh, I haven't seen any sharp
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: money on this one yet. Uh. I don't think they
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: know what to do with this one yet either. Really. No,
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: not a whole lot of movement. Well, I just bet it?
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: Did that move it? Yeah? Is that? Yeah? Okay? Yeah, okay,
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: you said that like that was the most authentic thing
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: I think you've ever said to me. Yeah, okay, sure, buddy.
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: My move isn't pinging around the world right now and
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: making sports books change this number. No, not in the least.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: What about the next game? What if? What if? Allegedly
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: I would have bet the Denver Broncos at plus seven
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: against the Los Angeles Rams. Yeah, next to next to
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: the Bears. The Broncos have attracted the most wise guy
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: money on the board for us. UM. We opened the
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: game seven and a half, We went down the seven
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: minus money. They took the Broncos again at plus seven
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: even money. We're at seven flat now, and uh, this
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: is similar to last week's game. We talked a little
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: bit about it the Rams. Last week, we're seven and
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: a half against Seattle at one point six and a half.
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: It went down to uh kind of bounced back and forth,
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: and the public was all over the Rams last week,
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: and even even with them not covering last week, they're
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be on him again. Here. Uh, I don't
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: mind needing the Broncos plus that many points. I think
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: the value was all on the Broncos here. Uh, you
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: just you have to take uh, you have to take
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: the home team getting seven points. I don't care who
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: they're playing, so they're playing the best team in the
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: the NFC. But you have to just take the seven points.
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: You know what, you know what what I'm doing it.
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: There you go, your attention. Chad is making a bet
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: allegedly allegedly. That's great, I've allegedly done it. Yea, I
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: am having an action Jackson morning. I'll tell you these
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: are principal plays except for the Chargers. Yeah, that's the
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: only one. You know what the Chargers is though. That's
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: a smart play. That's like, let me just being smart.
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: I'm I in that Cardinals game. I may get there. Well,
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: you got the best line in town right here at
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: our place. Let me have the Cardinals. Let me hop
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: on my private jet and get to Vegas immediately and
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: hope that you don't move the number in the next
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: seven hours. Right, Baltimore Ravens. No, no, no, let me
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: move on Baltimore Ravens, because you were just gonna say something. Mean,
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: you're gonna say something to me. Baltimore Ravens minus three
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: at Tennessee, God, why do why do you guys all
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: have to challenge my principle so much? Yeah, you said
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: it at the top of the podcast that this week
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: will test every principle you have because there because they
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: don't pass the eye test. You know, you're getting three
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: points at home with the Titans. You have to you
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: have to take the Titaness. There's no reason for a
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: sharp better to be laying three with with the Ravens
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: on the road. Um, but it's this one just takes
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: a lot. You watch the Titans play and you know
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: they're they're not very consistent, uh that they don't and
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: still a whole lot of confidence in you. But you
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: are getting the three points. I think you just take
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: it here, uh and then just kind of say, hey,
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: if the Browns can beat the Ravens, then why can't
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: the Titans at home? All Right, Well, let's let's pair
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: these two games. Let's pair the Ravens and the Titans
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: and the Jags and the Cowboys because the Jags are
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: three point favorites over the Cowboys at home. Yeah. Same
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: same theory too, Same same theory there. I don't mind
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: needing the Cowboys in this one. Um. The publics on
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: the Jaguars, even though they didn't look great last week,
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: publics on the Jaguars. The sharp guys didn't really weigh
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: in on this one yet. UM on the on the
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: Jaguars Cowboys haven't seen a whole lot of sharp action.
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: Most of it's just public money on the Jags. Um.
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: But I just I favored the favorite of the Cowboys here.
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: I don't mind needing the home dog. What games do
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: you think I should talk about in Sports Center on Sunday, Well,
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: definitely the Rams Broncos. That to me, that's one of
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: the most interesting ones. Well, the Chiefs Patriots is the
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: big one, and definitely talking about those, all right, So
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: I should talk Rams Broncos, in which I will say
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: I'm taking the Broncos. I should talk Patriot Chiefs, in
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: which I will say I'm taking the Patriots. And then
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: do I go like be bold and say that I'm
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: taking the Cowboys like against the Jags, Like it's the
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: perfect time, You're never going to get better value on
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys, like this is the game they need. This
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: is sort of the gut check moment where am I crazy?
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: I don't think you're crazy. Um, I don't know that.
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: That's the third most interesting game on them, an interesting scooch.
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: I want to freaking win. I don't want to be
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: a loser. You want winners. Yeah. By the way, the
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: Monday night game is Green Bay San Francisco. Green Bay's
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: and nine and a half point favorite. This game's dog
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: trash because like one legged Aaron Rodgers. It's like it's
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: like an s a t question is a one legged
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers? And acclaim Matthews who's afraid to rush the
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: quarterback better then a guy named CJ. Bethard mhmm yeah,
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: even with c. J. Beth You know, nine and a
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: half points again, you almost have to just take the
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: dog here. But I wouldn't feel great about it. We
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: we felt that, you know, ten is that critical kind
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: of tipping point. We didn't want to quite go that high.
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: But by by game time the public might drive green
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: Bay up a little bit. But you know, it's not
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: one I want to watch. I don't want to watch
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: it either. I don't want to watch it. I'm not
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: gonna watch it. Scooge we got um. You know you
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: haven't given me a third game? Like? Do I take
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: the Chargers over the Browns? Do I go against the Green? Like?
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: What do I do here? I thought you were gonna
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: take Arizona plus eleven on Sunday to talk about on
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: TV on Sunday morey Uh yeah, No, that's not good.
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: That's not good. I mean that's how I took Arizona
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: plus four to Cleveland plus three last week. How much
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: do you like the Bengals? I do like the Bengals.
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: That might be a nice one to talk about. There's
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: a lot of Steeler fans out there you can take off. Dude,
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: what part of this? Like? Are you not understanding? I
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: am not interested like the broadest possible audience. I am
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: interested in being right. It's scary to go on television
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: and say I am taking this side. You want you
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: want locks? I got it. I want a lock. I
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: want locks, and I don't mean the kind you put
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: on a bagel. Yeah. I can't help you there. Well
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: give me your scooch roulette, then I'll let you go
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: for guess what it's time to do. It's time to
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: play Scooch Roulette. I didn't see that, guy, I did not. Well,
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: you got them all? You hitting me with all of
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: them today, three new ones. We are so ready. Yeah.
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: I love the Patriots And uh no you didn't, Oh
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: no you was. I not supposed to go first? Yeah,
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: three and a half probably not the best number to lay,
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: but I don't think it all matter this This is
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: so far the most important game for the Patriots this
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: year and they want to make a statement. All right.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: Am I going with the Chargers? Am I going with
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: the Bengals? Am I going with the Broncos? Chargers, Bengals
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: or Broncos? Which team? Like? You know which team? If
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: my life is depending on it, who am I betting on? There?
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: Andy Dalton, case Keenum or Philip Rivers. If you boil
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: it down to that, who am I choosing? It's a
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: no brainer. You with Philip Rivers? Yeah? Tell me is
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: go against everything you believe in. I'm not telling you
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: anything because you are trying to pick a winner. That's it.
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: Far be it from me to try and persuade you
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: during Scooch Roulette. I gotta take off my glasses and
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: think for a minute. I need to rub my eyes.
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: Oh my god. It is like an S A T test.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: I just keep thinking, like they're the right side. Who
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: do they play last weekend that they almost lost to?
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: Who the Chargers try to play the Raiders? Raiders and
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: they I think they beat him by ten. Yeah, but
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: it was close. It was back and forth. Yeah. No,
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: that was the Niners the week before. They'd be him
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: by sixteen. That's right, Yeah, that was the Niners the
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: week before. It was like back and forth. Forget everything
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: I've ever written, ever said. I'm going with the Chargers.
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: Is road Favorites short road? He's he's hitting on a sixteen.
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: Guess a five. I know what the dealer's got. Yeah,
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: I know what Philip Rivers has. All right, truth be told?
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: All right. Thank you for listening to the Favorites podcast
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: from the Action Network. I am Chad Milman. I was
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: joined by a bookmaker to the world, Bob Scooci. You
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: can listen to us every Monday, Wednesday and Friday. We'll
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: be back on Friday with black Jack Fletcher. We're gonna
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: choose five games to win one point four million dollars.
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: Subscribe rate and review at Apple Podcasts, or listen to
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: us on radio dot com. Join us on Friday. Thank you,
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: UT