Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Trump Media Targets Nuclear Fusion Through Merger With TAE
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- 0:24Speaker 2: The newest company to get into the energy sphere of
- 0:27Speaker 2: admittedly in nuclear energy, is the Trump Media and Technology Group.
- 0:31Speaker 2: DJT is the ticker, of course, and it's President Trump's company.
- 0:35Speaker 2: Basically social media company because it owns truth social but
- 0:38Speaker 2: they are now in nuclear fusion. So we want to
- 0:42Speaker 2: understand what's going on here. Simon Casey is Bloomberg News
- 0:45Speaker 2: is managing editor for Energy and Commodities. Simon Trump Media
- 0:49Speaker 2: and Technology is now a nuclear fusion company.
- 0:53Speaker 3: How does this work?
- 0:54Speaker 4: Yeah, I didn't think anybody had this on that bingo
- 0:56Speaker 4: cod this morning. We certainly didn't. It appears they are
- 1:00Speaker 4: fusion company as much as they're social media company or
- 1:02Speaker 4: a crypto company. Now they're merging with a company called TAE.
- 1:07Speaker 4: It's a far as we can see, a credible fusion player.
- 1:11Speaker 4: They've been around for over two decades. They've raised money
- 1:14Speaker 4: from the likes of Gold and sacks from Google and
- 1:16Speaker 4: various other big investors. I think Chevron. Chevron, the old
- 1:21Speaker 4: company's venture capital arm, has put money in as well.
- 1:24Speaker 5: This deal gives them.
- 1:27Speaker 4: I believe, something in the region of two hundred million
- 1:29Speaker 4: dollars of a cash infusion to continue their work for DJT.
- 1:37Speaker 4: They are touting this as a pivot to the exciting
- 1:40Speaker 4: world of nuclear fusion, which is the future of cheap, affordable,
- 1:44Speaker 4: abundant energy for everybody, and that's been the dream for decades.
- 1:49Speaker 4: Of course, there was a breakthrough in twenty twenty two
- 1:52Speaker 4: where fusion was actually created for a brief moment in
- 1:56Speaker 4: a laboratory. It's Lawrence with a multi laboratory, and that
- 1:59Speaker 4: was a fairly significant achievement. And it's been recreated since,
- 2:04Speaker 4: but only sort of sporadically and not at commercial scale.
- 2:07Speaker 4: We're a long way off, you know. It's it's it's
- 2:10Speaker 4: very technically challenging to do this, let alone commercially.
- 2:15Speaker 5: I'll ask the elephant in the room question, where are
- 2:18Speaker 5: we in conflicts of interest with this president and this
- 2:20Speaker 5: administration and investments in business and that type of thing.
- 2:23Speaker 5: Where's the market kind of evolved to? This is this
- 2:26Speaker 5: is before the Trump administration. This stuff, I would say,
- 2:29Speaker 5: rarely happened.
- 2:31Speaker 4: It almost I struggle to remember it happening. Now It's commonplace,
- 2:34Speaker 4: isn't it. And you know, we let's be clear, the
- 2:37Speaker 4: Trump administration has a very very robust I would say,
- 2:41Speaker 4: very sort of clearly outlined energy agenda and energy dominance agenda.
- 2:45Speaker 4: They are profoss or fuel. They also support the nuclear industry,
- 2:50Speaker 4: and the nuclear industry has taken has gained a lot
- 2:53Speaker 4: of momentum since that discussion discovery I mentioned in twenty
- 2:57Speaker 4: twenty two. But since Trump has come in, he's been
- 2:59Speaker 4: very support of the nuclear industry to build new nuclear reactors. Look,
- 3:04Speaker 4: we have serious issues here in this country with nuclear,
- 3:08Speaker 4: with power demand from the AI industry and how we're
- 3:10Speaker 4: going to service that demand and keeping a lid on prices.
- 3:14Speaker 4: The Energy Secretary, Chris Riot is also very pro nuclear,
- 3:17Speaker 4: being very vocal on that front. But yeah, it's it's, it's,
- 3:21Speaker 4: it's it's kind of amazing. Nevertheless, to see this kind
- 3:25Speaker 4: of deal this morning.
- 3:26Speaker 5: Well, just looking at the dees function for DJT twelve employees,
- 3:31Speaker 5: that's I guess in the trailing twelve months three point
- 3:35Speaker 5: seven million of revenue one point three billion of cash
- 3:38Speaker 5: though nine hundred and fifty million of total debt. So
- 3:41Speaker 5: what does Donald Trump company, Trump Media and Technology Group cooperation?
- 3:46Speaker 5: What is that? What did they really bring to this
- 3:49Speaker 5: deal other than maybe some cash?
- 3:51Speaker 4: The name, I guess, the ticker. Yeah, it's It's, It's,
- 3:53Speaker 4: It's so a large extent, it is a memestock, I
- 3:55Speaker 4: think it's fair to say. And with a cash pile,
- 3:58Speaker 4: and if they can use some of that cash pile
- 4:00Speaker 4: to fund nuclear research and development, and maybe that's a
- 4:04Speaker 4: sensible use of that cash.
- 4:05Speaker 3: Yeah. Name recognition goes a long way.
- 4:08Speaker 2: In twenty twenty five, in twenty twenty six, Simon, how
- 4:11Speaker 2: big is the investable universe of nuclear companies right now?
- 4:14Speaker 4: That's a good question. I mean that in terms of
- 4:16Speaker 4: fusion companies, I think this is the first, This will
- 4:19Speaker 4: be the first company fusion developer that's actually listed on
- 4:21Speaker 4: a stock exchange. So there's a handful of these companies,
- 4:26Speaker 4: some of them on the East coast here, there's a
- 4:28Speaker 4: big there's a cluster around the Boston area, and they're
- 4:34Speaker 4: all privately held apart from this one. In terms of
- 4:37Speaker 4: other nuclear stocks, there's a handful of them. There's a
- 4:40Speaker 4: company called Fermi which has got had a lot of
- 4:43Speaker 4: interest recently, which is trying to develop a campus down
- 4:47Speaker 4: in West Texas that would include AI data centers and
- 4:51Speaker 4: potentially a new nuclear reactor to power those that data center.
- 4:56Speaker 4: That's a very ambitious project. Then you have a handful,
- 5:01Speaker 4: as I say, of other companies that are developed trying
- 5:04Speaker 4: to develop small, medium sized nuclear reactors. And this is
- 5:07Speaker 4: the other thing that the Trump administration is very keen
- 5:10Speaker 4: on to to kind of lower the cost of entry,
- 5:13Speaker 4: if you like, into the nuclear industry.
- 5:15Speaker 5: What can you tell us about the timetable associated with
- 5:19Speaker 5: commercially deploying utility scale fusion power companies?
- 5:25Speaker 4: So well, if we're talking fusion, it hasn't been proved
- 5:28Speaker 4: at commercial scale, so we're probably talking decades before I
- 5:32Speaker 4: would say it's fair.
- 5:33Speaker 5: So I'm just looking at the Bloomberg reporting and it's
- 5:35Speaker 5: the combined company plans to begin construction next construction next
- 5:39Speaker 5: year on the world's first utility scale fusion power plants.
- 5:42Speaker 5: So that's going to take a long time to construct that.
- 5:45Speaker 4: I mean, we don't even know if it can work
- 5:48Speaker 4: at a commercial scale. Now they can, they can pour
- 5:50Speaker 4: the concrete and build the foundations. Nothing to stop them
- 5:53Speaker 4: doing that, and.
- 5:53Speaker 5: This sounds like a multi billion dollar type of plant
- 5:57Speaker 5: for these things.
- 5:57Speaker 4: Potentially, no one's ever built one before, so I don't
- 6:00Speaker 4: we don't really know. I mean we know that, you know,
- 6:02Speaker 4: conventional fission reactors, which have been around since the end
- 6:06Speaker 4: of the Second World War. They take the last one
- 6:08Speaker 4: built in this country went over budget and it was
- 6:10Speaker 4: about over ten billion dollars.
- 6:11Speaker 3: I believe who's going to provide the financing on all that?
- 6:14Speaker 4: I think if it can work at scale, then you
- 6:17Speaker 4: might a lot of more investors might take a look
- 6:19Speaker 4: at this, including mainstream investors. But it's so it's so
- 6:24Speaker 4: sort of hypothetical at the moment, it's almost impossible to
- 6:27Speaker 4: say what is the return on investment going.
- 6:29Speaker 2: To be for something like it's early innings, not even
- 6:31Speaker 2: first inning them very early.
- 6:32Speaker 4: I mean, the sort of the well worn joke it's
- 6:35Speaker 4: not even funny anymore, that nuclear fusion. It's the future,
- 6:38Speaker 4: and it's always been. It's the future thirty years out
- 6:41Speaker 4: and it always will be thirty years out. That's kind
- 6:43Speaker 4: of where we've always been. It exists in the textbooks,
- 6:47Speaker 4: it now exists in the laboratory, which, don't get me wrong,
- 6:49Speaker 4: is a big step forward, but transferring that, you know,
- 6:53Speaker 4: creating nuclear fusion for a fraction of a second and
- 6:56Speaker 4: then evolving that to where it's on all the time
- 7:00Speaker 4: and being able to power a town or a city
- 7:03Speaker 4: is a quantum leap.
- 7:05Speaker 5: SMR Small modular reactors. Yes, how that seems like pretty
- 7:11Speaker 5: cool technology to me, but that's still years out.
- 7:14Speaker 4: That is again probably years out because it's technically challenging,
- 7:17Speaker 4: but it does exist. I mean, we use them in
- 7:19Speaker 4: nuclear submarines and aircraft carriers, so there's nothing to stop
- 7:24Speaker 4: you taking one of those out of out of a
- 7:26Speaker 4: ship and having it on land. The challenge there is
- 7:29Speaker 4: actually possibly more regulatory, and again that's something that Trump
- 7:33Speaker 4: administration is actually trying to address in terms of permitting
- 7:36Speaker 4: reform and so forth. So there are companies listed that
- 7:40Speaker 4: are developing these things. We haven't seen one yet that's
- 7:44Speaker 4: been sort of produced and it's been proven it can
- 7:47Speaker 4: be manufactured at scale, but it's more it's more achievable.
- 7:50Speaker 5: I would say, stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence
- 7:54Speaker 5: coming up after this.
- 7:59Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 8:02Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 8:06Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App, listen on demand wherever
- 8:09Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 8:13Speaker 2: Paul, I think we need to take a closer look
- 8:15Speaker 2: at Micron given the roaring comeback gets made this year.
- 8:18Speaker 2: I mean, memory chip maker. That's an old school product,
- 8:21Speaker 2: but it's having its day. Let's bring in Jake Silverman,
- 8:23Speaker 2: Bloomberg Intelligence Semiconductor analysts to recap these results. Jake, let's
- 8:27Speaker 2: start just with the big massive gain Micron has seen
- 8:30Speaker 2: this year, up two hundred percent. What were investors pricing
- 8:33Speaker 2: in and did they get what they wanted with today?
- 8:36Speaker 3: With yesterday's earnings report, Yeah, I.
- 8:38Speaker 6: Think investors were expecting a little bit more of a
- 8:40Speaker 6: subdued outlook for the first physical sorry, second fiscal quarter,
- 8:44Speaker 6: primarily just due to typical little bit of conservatism for management,
- 8:48Speaker 6: but also you know, the February ended quarter tends to
- 8:51Speaker 6: be a little bit more seasonally weak. You get December
- 8:53Speaker 6: portion of that, but usually consumer products PCs and smartphones
- 8:58Speaker 6: tend to see a little bit of a squad decline
- 9:00Speaker 6: just off of strong holiday seasonality. We all kind of
- 9:04Speaker 6: knew that pricing was going to be the most important
- 9:08Speaker 6: factor going into the quarter, And obviously demand from AI
- 9:11Speaker 6: is pretty strong, but there are areas like high bandwidth
- 9:15Speaker 6: memory where they're actually Micron is actually somewhat constrained in
- 9:18Speaker 6: terms of their ability to supply, just simply because they
- 9:20Speaker 6: haven't invested in that much additional capacity and.
- 9:23Speaker 7: They need to improve yields.
- 9:24Speaker 6: And they're transitioning over from HBM three to E to four,
- 9:28Speaker 6: which is to support Nvidia's next architecture and other customers.
- 9:31Speaker 6: So there's a few factors going on here that I
- 9:33Speaker 6: think had investors a little bit more maybe conservative, in
- 9:37Speaker 6: terms of what they were expecting.
- 9:38Speaker 5: I don't know a lot about SEMy conductors, and I
- 9:40Speaker 5: want to keep it that way, But what I do
- 9:42Speaker 5: know is it's a cyclical business. Has this AI spending
- 9:47Speaker 5: thing kind of even out the cycles or just throw
- 9:49Speaker 5: the cycles out the window.
- 9:51Speaker 7: It's a little unprecedented.
- 9:54Speaker 6: I don't think that we're necessarily at that point where
- 9:56Speaker 6: we can say that there aren't going to be cycles,
- 9:59Speaker 6: or at least not in the next I don't know,
- 10:02Speaker 6: call it five ten years something like that. Typically, what
- 10:06Speaker 6: we see with memory, I'll just focus on that Specifically,
- 10:10Speaker 6: we send tend to see something like seven to ten
- 10:13Speaker 6: quarters about two years plus of upcycles, and then what
- 10:17Speaker 6: happens from there is that we tend to see some
- 10:20Speaker 6: sort of cyclical decline, and that really is because of
- 10:24Speaker 6: supply ending up being a little bit more, a little
- 10:28Speaker 6: bit more supply growth relative to demand growth. AI is
- 10:32Speaker 6: structurally limiting some of that. We're seeing AI inferencing demand
- 10:36Speaker 6: being really strong. That's both for DRAM and land. At
- 10:40Speaker 6: this point, DRAM is more important for Micron. It's a
- 10:43Speaker 6: much more it's a much larger percentage of their sales
- 10:46Speaker 6: and that's where high bandwidth memory is included in their revenue.
- 10:51Speaker 7: And so.
- 10:53Speaker 6: What this does to the cycle, it's definitely extending it.
- 10:56Speaker 6: It's elongating what we would expect, and it's making it
- 10:58Speaker 6: a lot more difficult for investors, I think, to capture
- 11:02Speaker 6: what will be the ultimate peak of the cycle. But
- 11:05Speaker 6: on the other hand, we have to look at what's
- 11:07Speaker 6: happening with pricing. If customers like PC, smartphone, automotive run
- 11:12Speaker 6: the gamut, if they can't get supply, someone need to
- 11:17Speaker 6: meet that, which means that Micron or their peers are
- 11:20Speaker 6: going to at some point need to expand capacity.
- 11:22Speaker 7: They're kind of working on it.
- 11:23Speaker 6: They hinted at it with the additional capex increases for
- 11:27Speaker 6: the fiscal twenty six gone up from eighteen to twenty billion.
- 11:31Speaker 6: But it's just a question of how fast and to
- 11:34Speaker 6: what magnitude can they actually increase capacity.
- 11:38Speaker 2: Right, And I'm glad you bring that up because we
- 11:40Speaker 2: know that the industry's shifting production to the more advanced
- 11:44Speaker 2: technology for AA data centers and therefore there's a short
- 11:47Speaker 2: account this less sophisticated memory chips for PCs. Doesn't that
- 11:50Speaker 2: mean that Micron has the upper hand when it comes
- 11:52Speaker 2: to Dell or HP and they can call the shots more.
- 11:56Speaker 2: I mean, what does a Dell What does an HP do?
- 11:58Speaker 2: Then if they can't get what they need.
- 12:00Speaker 7: Yeah, it's complicated.
- 12:01Speaker 6: So Micron has to decide how they want to allocate
- 12:03Speaker 6: that capacity that they have, whether that goes to PC.
- 12:06Speaker 6: I think that when you're a larger customer like Dell HP,
- 12:09Speaker 6: you kind of have to just take the product at
- 12:11Speaker 6: the price that.
- 12:12Speaker 7: Micron is offering it now.
- 12:14Speaker 6: I do think if you can buy in large volumes,
- 12:17Speaker 6: you can you know, mitigate some of those price increases,
- 12:20Speaker 6: But at the end of the day, you're kind of
- 12:23Speaker 6: you're being dictated by the market demand. The market forces
- 12:27Speaker 6: but also when prices have declined in the past, PC
- 12:31Speaker 6: makers have also benefited from that. So if there is
- 12:33Speaker 6: a cyclical decline, which I expect to happen at some point,
- 12:37Speaker 6: they'll also benefit from a decline in memory pricing as well.
- 12:42Speaker 5: Where does Micron manufactures chips?
- 12:46Speaker 6: Yeah, so it's primarily in Taiwan, but also in Japan
- 12:50Speaker 6: as well, and they have some They have a fab
- 12:52Speaker 6: in Manassas, Virginia, but they're also expanding now to Boise, Idaho,
- 12:58Speaker 6: and they're eventually going to bring a fab online in
- 13:00Speaker 6: New York.
- 13:01Speaker 7: So it's pretty gen Where in New Yorkers we know Clay,
- 13:03Speaker 7: New York.
- 13:04Speaker 3: Where's Clay, New York.
- 13:05Speaker 5: I'm gonna say Upstate Coelle.
- 13:07Speaker 3: Upstate Okay, yeah, so not not near us.
- 13:10Speaker 5: No, Upstate. There's you know, I didn't know there's Upstate,
- 13:13Speaker 5: and I think there's mid State for some people call it.
- 13:15Speaker 2: Well everyone in Manhattan thinks Upstate is like Westchester, so right.
- 13:19Speaker 5: Yes, but I learned this during the pandemic. There's different
- 13:22Speaker 5: regions of the state of New York and I have to
- 13:24Speaker 5: go google that now.
- 13:25Speaker 7: I wasn't aware of that.
- 13:26Speaker 2: Well, you're a New Jersey guy, so there's just a
- 13:28Speaker 2: city and then that's it.
- 13:29Speaker 5: That's exactly exactly right. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg
- 13:32Speaker 5: Intelligence coming up after this.
- 13:38Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 13:42Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 13:45Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever
- 13:48Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 13:52Speaker 5: Activist investor Elie Investment Management has built a stake of
- 13:55Speaker 5: more than one billion dollars in Lululemon Athletica. The stock
- 13:58Speaker 5: is up six and a half percent to but I
- 14:00Speaker 5: think the problem is it's down forty two percent year
- 14:03Speaker 5: to date. So let's see see what's going on over
- 14:05Speaker 5: there at Lulu. Putum Goyle Senior, a US e commerce
- 14:09Speaker 5: and retail analyst Bloomberg Intelligence. She's based down there in
- 14:12Speaker 5: for instance, she joins us, put them what's going on
- 14:15Speaker 5: with Lulu Lemon? What's the problem here? And what do
- 14:18Speaker 5: you think Elliott believes it can do to fix it?
- 14:22Speaker 8: The problem is that they've had plenty of execution missteps
- 14:25Speaker 8: over the past two years, led directly to product innovation,
- 14:29Speaker 8: and as a search for a new leader, the candidate
- 14:34Speaker 8: that he's outlined seems like a strong one. You know,
- 14:37Speaker 8: she's led a turnaround or helply to turnaround at Ralph
- 14:41Speaker 8: Lauren in the past, that coach both iconic brands that
- 14:45Speaker 8: struggled in that time, and she helped lead that turnaround.
- 14:48Speaker 8: So I think Lula Lemon roll a different turnaround. She
- 14:52Speaker 8: has the track record if she is at the lead
- 14:56Speaker 8: to really help drive this turnaround.
- 14:59Speaker 2: Punam tell us a little bit more about the role
- 15:01Speaker 2: of Chip Wilson. He founded Lululemon and he's been making
- 15:04Speaker 2: comments really agitating for change, accusing Calvin McDonald of killing
- 15:09Speaker 2: innovation and some serious strategic missteps. But he is not
- 15:14Speaker 2: part of management at Lulu Lemon. So why does this
- 15:17Speaker 2: voice carry such weight?
- 15:19Speaker 8: I mean, he was the founder, right, He did find
- 15:23Speaker 8: this brand, he did grow this brand very quickly into
- 15:27Speaker 8: a strong, loved, well known brand, and I think the
- 15:31Speaker 8: brand emerged by having great product. Like if you think
- 15:35Speaker 8: about Lulu Lemon in the past, it was all about product.
- 15:38Speaker 8: You could not find Lululemon product or something like it
- 15:43Speaker 8: anywhere else. Leggings that made you feel good, leggings that performed.
- 15:47Speaker 8: That's how they made their mark. And the question is
- 15:50Speaker 8: what's next? Have they been able to innovate fast enough
- 15:53Speaker 8: to prevent competition from encroaching that space. And the answer
- 15:56Speaker 8: is no. And that's the struggle that they're having right now.
- 16:00Speaker 5: Is it just a question of money, putting more money
- 16:02Speaker 5: into I don't know, research and development of leggings. I
- 16:05Speaker 5: don't know how that works.
- 16:07Speaker 8: I think it's execution right. It's about staying ahead of
- 16:09Speaker 8: trends and really innovating faster than competition. Clearly today with
- 16:14Speaker 8: AI and up their mediums, there is the ability for
- 16:18Speaker 8: a competition to come on faster. But that said, Little
- 16:21Speaker 8: Lemon was ahead of the game and they've kind of
- 16:23Speaker 8: fallen behind. So they do need someone who knows the
- 16:26Speaker 8: product story and can lead a product let turnaround.
- 16:30Speaker 5: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 16:37Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
- 16:41Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 16:44Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever
- 16:48Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 16:51Speaker 5: More earnings out there, this time from our friends at
- 16:54Speaker 5: Darden Restaurants put out some I think surprisingly pretty good
- 16:58Speaker 5: news out there. On the Rachel Flour she covers the
- 17:01Speaker 5: restaurants for Bloomberg New She joints us here in our studio, Rachel,
- 17:04Speaker 5: what do we hear from Darden today?
- 17:06Speaker 9: Yeah, so the company has done well today. It saw
- 17:10Speaker 9: the same store sales rise. It actually raised sales forecast,
- 17:14Speaker 9: and stock is up as much as four point five
- 17:17Speaker 9: percent today, which is the biggest game in almost seven months.
- 17:22Speaker 9: And I mean while sales are up, though, it's profits
- 17:26Speaker 9: have kind of taken a hit because of high beef prices.
- 17:29Speaker 9: You know, we've been hearing about that. That has affected
- 17:32Speaker 9: their earnings for a little bit. But now they do
- 17:35Speaker 9: expect beef prices to hopefully come down in the near future.
- 17:38Speaker 5: Okay, I guess they're fast casual is kind of their stuff.
- 17:43Speaker 5: So like the I'm sitting down, I've got a waitress'm
- 17:46Speaker 5: doing on that stuff. But it's it's talk to us
- 17:48Speaker 5: about their brands and what they're saying about their brands.
- 17:50Speaker 9: Sure, yeah, so I guess they will call themselves a
- 17:52Speaker 9: bit more more casual dining and a fast casual. I
- 17:55Speaker 9: guess you know this this industry has yeah terms, but yeah,
- 17:59Speaker 9: they actually kind of saying that. It's it's just still
- 18:01Speaker 9: been pretty pretty resilient you know, their target audience are
- 18:04Speaker 9: these like middle and high income customers, and those haven't
- 18:07Speaker 9: been so much affected by the economy. Maybe they're a
- 18:10Speaker 9: bit more worried, but they that hasn't really stopped them
- 18:12Speaker 9: from spending. And you know, they see these restaurants as
- 18:15Speaker 9: kind of a treat to them. And you know, for
- 18:18Speaker 9: many consumers too, I think they're starting to see these
- 18:20Speaker 9: restaurants like Olive Garden and Longhound Stakhouse as a place
- 18:24Speaker 9: where they can kind of get pretty good food for
- 18:27Speaker 9: you know, a pretty good price right now, especially when
- 18:29Speaker 9: you see places that Cover and Chipotle, which those are
- 18:33Speaker 9: your fast casual places, and you know they're pretty expensive
- 18:36Speaker 9: now with inflation, and so the comparison is you know,
- 18:40Speaker 9: like as a consumer, you know, why not just pay
- 18:42Speaker 9: a little bit more and I can get a better
- 18:43Speaker 9: experience and an Olive Garden.
- 18:45Speaker 5: So they're they're raising there for your forecast. Is that
- 18:48Speaker 5: more on the revenue side or is that costs or
- 18:51Speaker 5: what are they doing there?
- 18:52Speaker 9: So they actually increase the same store sales, the comparable sales,
- 18:56Speaker 9: and so they do expect, you know, consumers to keep coming.
- 18:59Speaker 9: You know, they have other tools in their belt to
- 19:03Speaker 9: kind of keep drawing consumers like they are smaller, they
- 19:05Speaker 9: introduce like smaller portions. They are on uber Eats now.
- 19:09Speaker 9: But yeah, they actually maintain their earnings for share guidance
- 19:13Speaker 9: just because of commodity prices.
- 19:15Speaker 5: So again, what are some of the are you seeing
- 19:18Speaker 5: differences within the restaurant industry, you know, the the lower
- 19:21Speaker 5: end of the higher end about just sales trends, how
- 19:23Speaker 5: their customers are doing there is it a different discussion.
- 19:26Speaker 3: I think it's a different discussion.
- 19:28Speaker 9: I think we've heard a lot about how a lot
- 19:30Speaker 9: of the fast food chains, a lot of the fast
- 19:32Speaker 9: casual chains, you know, they're still getting hit by your
- 19:36Speaker 9: lower income consumers kind of pulling back, you know, like
- 19:39Speaker 9: inflation and commodity prices are highways your casual dining restaurants.
- 19:43Speaker 9: You know, they seem to still be pretty resilient. A
- 19:46Speaker 9: Chili's is another example. They're still able to draw that consumer,
- 19:51Speaker 9: which is are still able to spend a little bit more.
- 19:54Speaker 5: So, as a reporter covering the restaurant industry, you got
- 19:56Speaker 5: to get out in New York City because we don't
- 19:58Speaker 5: have a lot of that stuff. So you gotta travel
- 20:00Speaker 5: around the country, right go to where the cracker barrels
- 20:02Speaker 5: are and the Chilis are.
- 20:03Speaker 9: Yeah, you definitely have to, I think for most of us.
- 20:06Speaker 9: I mean in New York City unfortunately, you have to
- 20:09Speaker 9: try to get into Times Square just to get that.
- 20:13Speaker 3: But I want to get one faster, which is.
- 20:15Speaker 7: Not the most fun.
- 20:16Speaker 5: Yeah, exactly. So what's the format? You know, what are
- 20:21Speaker 5: what's the buzz within the restaurant industry these days? Like
- 20:23Speaker 5: maybe the format or is there a new cool company?
- 20:26Speaker 5: Like for a while there was shake Shack and all
- 20:28Speaker 5: the burger stuff and the smash Burgers and all that stuff.
- 20:31Speaker 9: I mean, I think Chili's was the cool company for
- 20:34Speaker 9: a bit. You know, they had a really good social media.
- 20:38Speaker 9: You know, a lot of the items were going viral.
- 20:42Speaker 9: I think with Olive Godden. You know, I think what
- 20:44Speaker 9: we've seen today is the popularity of smaller portions seem
- 20:48Speaker 9: to be something that consumers uh gravitating towards, you know,
- 20:52Speaker 9: especially with some of them, you know, going on we
- 20:55Speaker 9: lost drugs, you know, becoming more like half conscious. You know,
- 20:58Speaker 9: this might be actually a play for them.
- 21:01Speaker 5: Yeah, So was that ever a thing with the GLP
- 21:04Speaker 5: one drugs and restaurants ors that faded?
- 21:07Speaker 9: I think they're still trying to figure it out. I think,
- 21:10Speaker 9: you know, I think we are still trying to figure
- 21:12Speaker 9: out too, like how many people are actually really going
- 21:14Speaker 9: to go on a drugs?
- 21:15Speaker 3: How you know people are going to go off it?
- 21:18Speaker 3: So I think they are also watching it.
- 21:20Speaker 9: They did say they're slightly affected, like some they're seeing
- 21:23Speaker 9: some diners cutback on appetizers and desserts, But they also
- 21:27Speaker 9: say that it's mostly alcohol, which that they're pulling back on,
- 21:30Speaker 9: which is the longer term tread.
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