Latest / The Matt Walsh Show / Gas Prices Are Out Of Control. Here's What No One Is Telling You.
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Conventional wisdom is that high gas prices are the result
- 0:04Speaker 1: of the war in Iran, that they're going to result
- 0:06Speaker 1: in heavy losses for the Republicans in the midterms, and
- 0:09Speaker 1: that the cost of living is going to remain high
- 0:11Speaker 1: for the foreseeable future. But this consensus view, while not
- 0:15Speaker 1: entirely wrong, is actually a simplistic and very optimistic version
- 0:19Speaker 1: of events. The truth is actually worse than what conventional
- 0:23Speaker 1: wisdom says. The truth is that we're now careening towards
- 0:26Speaker 1: a potentially historic energy crisis and solving it Won't be
- 0:31Speaker 1: easy because it's a physics problem, not simply an economic one.
- 0:35Speaker 1: There are a lot of theories about where this potential
- 0:38Speaker 1: energy crisis is coming from. We just spoke to a
- 0:40Speaker 1: White House official off the record who posited one theory,
- 0:43Speaker 1: which we'll talk about in just a moment.
- 0:45Speaker 2: But before we get to that, we need.
- 0:47Speaker 1: To establish that as hysterical as it may sound and
- 0:52Speaker 1: as depressing as it is maybe to hear on a Monday,
- 0:54Speaker 1: it is indeed the case that a full-blown catastrophic energy
- 0:58Speaker 1: crisis could be.
- 0:59Speaker 2: On the horizon.
- 1:00Speaker 1: In fact, that is actually becoming something of a mainstream
- 1:04Speaker 1: opinion if you know where to look. According to analysts
- 1:07Speaker 1: at major financial institutions, including JP Morgan, we could soon
- 1:10Speaker 1: realistically hit the operational floor for the global energy system,
- 1:14Speaker 1: which in the worst case scenario could lead to the
- 1:17Speaker 1: point where pipelines lose pressure, refineries have to shut down
- 1:21Speaker 1: to protect their equipment, and gas stations run out of
- 1:24Speaker 1: fuel to sell. Now, nobody really talks about this, but
- 1:27Speaker 1: as it turns out, Fuel infrastructure requires a certain minimum
- 1:31Speaker 1: amount of fuel to function. So think of it like
- 1:34Speaker 1: your body requires a certain amount of blood running through
- 1:37Speaker 1: the veins or else it will shut down completely. When
- 1:40Speaker 1: it comes to our oil infrastructure, that buffer is now
- 1:43Speaker 1: in danger of failing, and it's not entirely because of
- 1:45Speaker 1: the war in Iran, which becomes clear when you realize
- 1:49Speaker 1: that the vast majority of oil exports from the Middle
- 1:52Speaker 1: East are sent to Asia, not the Americas. But there
- 1:56Speaker 1: is a supply shock, and we need to talk about
- 1:59Speaker 1: it because the magnitude of the risk can't be overstated.
- 2:04Speaker 1: Every civilization requires energy to function. Without energy, we go
- 2:09Speaker 1: back to the Stone Age. I mean, look what's happening
- 2:12Speaker 1: right now in Europe. It was just a few years
- 2:14Speaker 1: ago that Germany, the biggest economy in Europe, got rid
- 2:18Speaker 1: of all of their nuclear power plants. They shut them
- 2:20Speaker 1: all down in favor of renewables. And they laughed at anybody,
- 2:24Speaker 1: including Donald Trump, who said that they were making a
- 2:26Speaker 1: fatal mistake, even though they obviously were. And around the
- 2:30Speaker 1: same time, Germany ran out of firewood completely. The price
- 2:33Speaker 1: went up 100 percent and then nobody could buy it anymore.
- 2:37Speaker 1: Loggers put GPS trackers on their firewood because theft became
- 2:41Speaker 1: so rampant. People began using wood chips in desperation in
- 2:45Speaker 1: neighboring Poland. Instead of lining up outside the Apple store
- 2:49Speaker 1: for the latest iPhone, people were queuing for days outside
- 2:52Speaker 1: of coal mines. hoping for some fuel. Now, this statistic
- 2:56Speaker 1: sounds too insane to be true, but it is true.
- 3:00Speaker 1: Every year in Europe, more than 360,000 people die from
- 3:05Speaker 1: cold-related excess mortality, otherwise known as cold temperatures. And that
- 3:10Speaker 1: includes many elderly people living in their homes, which don't
- 3:13Speaker 1: have adequate heating and other causes. Now, that's more than
- 3:17Speaker 1: eight times the number of Europeans who die from heat-related causes,
- 3:20Speaker 1: which is pretty inconvenient if you're a big believer in
- 3:23Speaker 1: global warming. Turns out the problem is maybe the opposite.
- 3:28Speaker 1: In the United States, by contrast, we only have around 1,000
- 3:30Speaker 1: hypothermia deaths per year, mostly drunk people who get lost
- 3:34Speaker 1: in the woods during the winter, homeless drug addicts.
- 3:39Speaker 2: And that sort of thing.
- 3:40Speaker 1: But even by the most liberal estimates, only around 40,000
- 3:43Speaker 1: Americans die annually for a reason that can be linked
- 3:46Speaker 1: in some tangential way to cold temperatures. So here's another
- 3:50Speaker 1: way to measure the distinction, to put it in perspective.
- 3:53Speaker 1: In America, around 44,000 people die from so-called gun violence
- 3:59Speaker 1: every year.
- 3:59Speaker 2: That includes mass shootings and suicides.
- 4:03Speaker 1: That's a whopping 12% of the total number of people
- 4:07Speaker 1: who die in Europe every year from cold weather. So
- 4:11Speaker 1: anytime you hear Europeans claim that America is dangerous because
- 4:14Speaker 1: of all the quote unquote gun violence, tell them that
- 4:18Speaker 1: Europe is dangerous because people freeze to death all the time.
- 4:22Speaker 1: And these are numbers that are unthinkable in the United States.
- 4:24Speaker 2: But if we continue on this.
- 4:26Speaker 1: Trajectory, they're not going to be unthinkable forever. We've taken
- 4:31Speaker 1: our energy production for granted, and that could be a
- 4:34Speaker 1: fatal mistake in a very literal sense. And before I
- 4:38Speaker 1: go into detail about how exactly we might see a
- 4:40Speaker 1: failure of global energy infrastructure, I want to start with
- 4:44Speaker 1: this communication that I just mentioned that we just received
- 4:46Speaker 1: from a former White House official. Now, I don't normally
- 4:50Speaker 1: share communications with Washington insiders for the simple reason that
- 4:53Speaker 1: I don't know any Washington insiders, nor do I have
- 4:56Speaker 1: any interest in knowing any Washington insiders. Most people in
- 4:59Speaker 1: conservative media go to great lengths to cultivate relationships in Washington.
- 5:04Speaker 1: My approach is essentially the opposite of that. But this
- 5:07Speaker 1: former White House official got in touch with one of
- 5:10Speaker 1: my producers over the weekend while talking about high gas prices.
- 5:15Speaker 1: And I thought this statement was interesting, so I'll pass
- 5:17Speaker 1: along what the official said.
- 5:19Speaker 2: Quote, it's Zelensky.
- 5:21Speaker 1: It's literal Western civilization suicide. Europe and the United States
- 5:25Speaker 1: are funding their own energy crisis. Now, at first when
- 5:30Speaker 1: I heard that, it sounded like typical White House messaging
- 5:32Speaker 1: to me. Obviously, they want to distract attention from the
- 5:35Speaker 1: war in Iran. which does also play a part, is
- 5:40Speaker 1: a factor in this whole picture, obviously. And they want
- 5:44Speaker 1: to blame Ukraine for high gas prices. Let's take the claim.
- 5:48Speaker 2: Seriously for a second.
- 5:49Speaker 1: So this is footage of President Trump speaking at a
- 5:52Speaker 1: golf tournament just a week ago.
- 5:54Speaker 2: Listen. Mr.
- 5:56Speaker 3: Zelensky has to do one thing. He has to stop
- 5:59Speaker 3: knocking out diesel fuel in Russia. Let him go after targets,
- 6:04Speaker 3: but not diesel fuel, because he's causing... A shortage of diesel.
- 6:08Speaker 3: This isn't done by the Middle East. This is done
- 6:10Speaker 3: by what's happening with Russia and Ukraine. So we spoke
- 6:14Speaker 3: to Mr. Zelensky about it. There are plenty of other targets.
- 6:17Speaker 3: Don't hit diesel fuel because that's hurting the world. We
- 6:20Speaker 3: don't want him to hit diesel.
- 6:23Speaker 4: Fuel.
- 6:24Speaker 3: He's hitting diesel refineries.
- 6:27Speaker 1: Okay, so one day after those comments, Trump posted the
- 6:30Speaker 1: following message on Truth Social. He said, quote, Ukraine has
- 6:34Speaker 1: agreed not to hit Russian energy targets. Russia has agreed
- 6:37Speaker 1: to do likewise. Now, we have no reason to think
- 6:40Speaker 1: that Trump was lying about this. It would certainly be
- 6:42Speaker 1: a strange thing to make up. And indeed, if true,
- 6:45Speaker 1: it would be a major breakthrough. Ukraine has been bombing
- 6:48Speaker 1: Russia's fuel infrastructure, their fuel depots, storage tanks, pumps and
- 6:52Speaker 1: so on for a long time now. They've reportedly taken
- 6:56Speaker 1: out roughly a third of Russia's refining capacity. which has
- 6:59Speaker 1: led Russia to ban the foreign sale of its diesel,
- 7:02Speaker 1: which is no small thing since Russia is or was
- 7:05Speaker 1: the second largest diesel exporter.
- 7:07Speaker 2: In the entire world.
- 7:09Speaker 1: This is why diesel is now more expensive than it's
- 7:11Speaker 1: ever been in recorded history, at more than $ 6 a gallon. Yes,
- 7:16Speaker 1: diesel is right now more expensive than it has ever been.
- 7:21Speaker 1: So there's the chart, just to prove it if you
- 7:24Speaker 1: didn't believe it. And how does this affect you? Well,
- 7:28Speaker 1: I think that should be pretty obvious. It affects you, obviously.
- 7:30Speaker 1: But there are two main ways. First of all, pretty
- 7:32Speaker 1: much everything you buy was transported on a semi truck
- 7:35Speaker 1: or a cargo ship or a freight train at some point,
- 7:39Speaker 1: all of.
- 7:39Speaker 2: Which run on diesel.
- 7:41Speaker 1: And when diesel supply goes down, price goes up, which
- 7:44Speaker 1: means the costs are passed along to you when you
- 7:47Speaker 1: buy things at the grocery store or Amazon or anywhere else.
- 7:50Speaker 1: And secondly, refineries outside of Russia are now yield switching
- 7:53Speaker 1: to diesel to maximize their profits, meaning they're refining less products.
- 7:57Speaker 1: regular gasoline as a result, which drives up the price
- 8:00Speaker 1: of regular gasoline. Remember, diesel and regular gas come from
- 8:03Speaker 1: the same barrel, but many refineries are capable of switching
- 8:07Speaker 1: their output to some degree. According to Goldman Sachs, the
- 8:09Speaker 1: price difference between diesel and gasoline in the United States
- 8:13Speaker 1: is now over $ 60 per barrel when it was just
- 8:16Speaker 1: $ 3 a barrel one year ago. So there's much, much
- 8:20Speaker 1: more money to be made refining diesel right now. And
- 8:24Speaker 1: because refineries are already operating at full capacity, any effort
- 8:28Speaker 1: to refine more diesel means that less gasoline will be refined.
- 8:32Speaker 1: And that's why global exports of gasoline have dropped 24%
- 8:34Speaker 1: in the past year.
- 8:36Speaker 2: Everyone's switching to diesel, if they can swing it.
- 8:39Speaker 1: From March to August of this year, diesel yields in
- 8:41Speaker 1: the United States are well above their historical averages, while
- 8:44Speaker 1: gasoline yields have been cut. And meanwhile, demand for gasoline
- 8:48Speaker 1: has not gone down. In fact, it's gone up, especially
- 8:51Speaker 1: in Russia, since many of their oil refineries have been
- 8:53Speaker 1: blown up. So If Ukraine agreed to stop bombing Russian
- 8:57Speaker 1: refineries and allowed the world's number two diesel exporter to
- 9:01Speaker 1: get back to refining diesel, that would be good news
- 9:04Speaker 1: for the American consumer unequivocally. And that's what Trump said
- 9:08Speaker 1: was happening on Monday. But that night, Ukraine's leader, Zelensky,
- 9:12Speaker 1: spoke to reporters and contradicted the president. He stated that, quote,
- 9:15Speaker 1: there's now a strong U.S. proposal for a mutual halt
- 9:17Speaker 1: to strikes on critical infrastructure. And Zelensky said that Ukraine
- 9:21Speaker 1: is ready to support de-escalation, but only if Russia would agree,
- 9:24Speaker 1: in turn, to stop bombing Ukraine's infrastructure. Okay, fast forward
- 9:29Speaker 1: six more days to last night, and Zelensky has clearly
- 9:33Speaker 1: given up on that whole plan. He posted this footage
- 9:37Speaker 1: of burning Russian refineries, demonstrating quite clearly that Ukraine has
- 9:41Speaker 1: actually doubled down on their strategy of destroying Russia's fuel infrastructure.
- 9:46Speaker 1: On social media, Zelensky then bragged that About what he
- 9:49Speaker 1: had done, quote, our long range responses had a very
- 9:52Speaker 1: significant impact in the Moscow region last night. One of
- 9:55Speaker 1: Russia's key oil industry facilities and the aggressor's logistics facilities
- 9:59Speaker 1: were hit. These are billions of dollars that sustain the
- 10:01Speaker 1: war machine. I thank our warriors for their accuracy, the
- 10:05Speaker 1: security service of Ukraine, together with the unmanned systems forces,
- 10:08Speaker 1: the special operation forces, the defense intelligence of Ukraine, and
- 10:11Speaker 1: the foreign intelligence service. I thank everyone who is strengthening
- 10:14Speaker 1: Ukraine's long-range capabilities. I'm grateful to everyone who complements our
- 10:19Speaker 1: Long-range responses with responses through sanctions.
- 10:22Speaker 2: Glory to Ukraine. Now, remember when we were.
- 10:26Speaker 1: Supposedly arming Ukraine with defensive weapons and gave them explicit
- 10:30Speaker 1: instructions not to escalate the war by bombing Russian infrastructure?
- 10:35Speaker 1: Shortly before the Biden administration left power, they rescinded those restrictions,
- 10:39Speaker 1: and apparently under the Trump administration, Zelensky is happy to
- 10:43Speaker 1: say one thing and do another.
- 10:45Speaker 2: No one is stopping him.
- 10:46Speaker 1: So now he is openly celebrating a military campaign that,
- 10:49Speaker 1: in addition to raising the possibility of World War III
- 10:52Speaker 1: in a very direct way, is also making day-to-day life
- 10:56Speaker 1: much more miserable for millions of Americans. So why would
- 11:01Speaker 1: he do that? Why in a million years would he
- 11:04Speaker 1: dream of doing such a thing? Let's go through the numbers,
- 11:07Speaker 1: if only to provide some historical context. By some estimates
- 11:10Speaker 1: this year, we've seen the largest surge in gas prices
- 11:13Speaker 1: in percentage terms from January to the summer peak of
- 11:18Speaker 1: any midterm election year in the past century. And it's
- 11:21Speaker 1: not even close. So gas has now reached $ 4. 48 a
- 11:25Speaker 1: gallon on average, which is roughly $ 1. 20 more than last year.
- 11:31Speaker 1: The typical sedan is now around $ 20 more expensive to
- 11:34Speaker 1: fill up as compared with 2025. And if you drive
- 11:37Speaker 1: an SUV or a truck, you're easily paying $ 30 or
- 11:39Speaker 1: $ 40 more than you used to. You're paying around 52%
- 11:43Speaker 1: more for gas at the moment compared to January. The
- 11:47Speaker 1: previous record in a midterm election year was dramatically lower,
- 11:50Speaker 1: just a 27% increase in the price of gas all
- 11:53Speaker 1: the way.
- 11:53Speaker 2: Back in 2002.
- 11:55Speaker 1: So we have doubled the previous record when it comes
- 11:59Speaker 1: to the increase in the price of gas. This is
- 12:03Speaker 1: uncharted territory in the modern history of this country. And
- 12:07Speaker 1: don't take my word for it. CNN brought out the
- 12:10Speaker 1: nerd with the totally unnecessary smart board thing to tell
- 12:13Speaker 1: you the same thing.
- 12:14Speaker 2: Watch.
- 12:16Speaker 4: During the course of a midterm year, but never this high.
- 12:18Speaker 4: This is record-breaking. We are talking record-breaking for a midterm
- 12:22Speaker 4: this century. Changing gas prices from January 1 to September 14.
- 12:26Speaker 4: The average for a midterm cycle this century is 18%.
- 12:29Speaker 4: But look at this on the right side of the screen.
- 12:32Speaker 4: 52% rise this year. 52% rise this year. Up like
- 12:36Speaker 4: a rocket, right?
- 12:36Speaker 2: Look at that.
- 12:37Speaker 4: My goodness gracious. By far the highest on record. The
- 12:39Speaker 4: prior high was just 27%. This is nearly double the
- 12:43Speaker 4: prior record high.
- 12:45Speaker 2: We are talking really, really large jump.
- 12:51Speaker 1: As always, it's a good thing to have him there
- 12:52Speaker 1: circling the big number, the big red number, 52%. It's
- 12:56Speaker 1: in huge red block letters and it says 52% and
- 13:00Speaker 1: then there's an arrow pointing up. But if you didn't
- 13:04Speaker 1: notice it, then he's there to circle it also in
- 13:06Speaker 1: case you didn't see it. Anyway, that's not even getting
- 13:09Speaker 1: into the cost of groceries or heating oil, which is
- 13:12Speaker 1: a pretty big deal for the millions of Americans who
- 13:14Speaker 1: would prefer to survive the winter. Home heating oil prices
- 13:18Speaker 1: just came out, and they've increased by around 75% year
- 13:21Speaker 1: over year in parts of the Northeast, including in Maine,
- 13:25Speaker 1: where several very important races are going to be decided
- 13:28Speaker 1: in November. Control of Congress could very well come down
- 13:31Speaker 1: to how people vote in Maine, and as it stands,
- 13:34Speaker 1: it's not looking very good. In fact, it's not even
- 13:37Speaker 1: looking good in Kansas anymore, where Republicans have won every
- 13:40Speaker 1: Senate race since 1932. The incumbent Senator Roger Marshall was
- 13:45Speaker 1: just booed by a large crowd at the state fair.
- 13:48Speaker 1: And the chair of the Kansas Republican Party, in an
- 13:50Speaker 1: interview with The Wall Street Journal, is publicly asking national
- 13:54Speaker 1: Republican groups to spend more money in the state, which
- 13:56Speaker 1: is never a good sign. As the chair put it, quote,
- 14:00Speaker 1: Kansas gets overlooked a lot because we are reliably red.
- 14:03Speaker 1: But this is a weird cycle. Yes, this is a
- 14:07Speaker 1: weird cycle. Now, even taking into account that the incumbent
- 14:11Speaker 1: party usually loses seats in a midterm election, this is
- 14:15Speaker 1: shaping up to be a very weird cycle indeed. And
- 14:19Speaker 1: that's very good news for Zelensky, who has obvious reasons
- 14:22Speaker 1: to prefer a Democrat-controlled Congress. Ever since the war in
- 14:26Speaker 1: Ukraine began, Democrats have been unanimous in their support for
- 14:29Speaker 1: White writing blank checks to Zelensky. As recently as this summer,
- 14:33Speaker 1: the House passed a $ 9 billion aid package for Ukraine
- 14:36Speaker 1: that by a vote of 226 to 195 with near
- 14:40Speaker 1: unanimous Democrat support. The only no vote was Ilhan Omar,
- 14:43Speaker 1: who didn't like the sanctions against Russia.
- 14:45Speaker 2: That were included in the bill.
- 14:47Speaker 1: A grand total of 18 Republicans supported the aid package.
- 14:50Speaker 1: So there's no question that for Zelensky, it would be
- 14:53Speaker 1: very beneficial for Republicans to suffer a massive defeat in
- 14:56Speaker 1: the midterm elections. He wants to flood Congress with Democrats
- 15:00Speaker 1: who will vote to send Ukraine even more money. And
- 15:03Speaker 1: one way to do that, of course, is to give
- 15:05Speaker 1: Americans a reason to despise their incumbents. Destroying the world's
- 15:09Speaker 1: fuel supply is one way to achieve that. Hike up
- 15:12Speaker 1: our gas prices in a midterm election, and that will
- 15:15Speaker 1: help him get rid of the people that he doesn't
- 15:16Speaker 1: want in Congress, in our Congress, so he gets the
- 15:20Speaker 1: people that will write him the blank check. You don't
- 15:21Speaker 1: have to be a conspiracy theorist to connect the dots here.
- 15:26Speaker 1: And by the way, even if you put aside these
- 15:28Speaker 1: strategic political considerations, a lot of Democrats, by their own admission,
- 15:33Speaker 1: want higher gas prices. because they think it will hasten
- 15:36Speaker 1: our transition to a so-called green economy. This has been
- 15:40Speaker 1: a long-term ideological objective of the left, and you should
- 15:43Speaker 1: keep that in mind whenever you see Democrats going on
- 15:46Speaker 1: television pretending to care about high gas prices. They spent
- 15:49Speaker 1: the last decade telling us again and again that expensive
- 15:52Speaker 1: gas is good for the environment.
- 15:55Speaker 2: We should want it.
- 15:57Speaker 1: The Seattle Times even published an article during the Biden
- 15:59Speaker 1: administration entitled, High Gas Prices?
- 16:01Speaker 2: They're Just What We Need.
- 16:04Speaker 1: And in case you forgot that, here's what they said
- 16:05Speaker 1: at the time, quote, the biggest paradox of the moment
- 16:08Speaker 1: is Americans complaining about high gasoline prices when climate change
- 16:11Speaker 1: is growing worse. Carbon needs to be priced high enough
- 16:14Speaker 1: to keep it in the ground instead of burning it
- 16:16Speaker 1: into the atmosphere. This is essential to preventing global catastrophe.
- 16:22Speaker 1: The AP ran a similar article quoting experts as saying that, quote,
- 16:25Speaker 1: fuel prices that are high have a long term ability
- 16:27Speaker 1: to cut demand and the administration wouldn't mind seeing that.
- 16:33Speaker 1: Another expert at Berkeley said, quote, high gas prices are
- 16:35Speaker 1: unequivocally good for fighting climate change because people use less
- 16:39Speaker 1: fossil fuel and emissions go down. Just this year, the
- 16:43Speaker 1: United Nations expressed excitement that the war in Iran would
- 16:46Speaker 1: accelerate our transition to renewable energy. This is from Reuters, quote,
- 16:51Speaker 1: the Iran war is supercharging the world's shift to renewable
- 16:54Speaker 1: energy as countries scramble to reduce their exposure to volatile
- 16:58Speaker 1: oil and gas markets, the.
- 16:59Speaker 2: UN climate secretary said.
- 17:01Speaker 1: Early signs indicate the war, which began two months ago,
- 17:03Speaker 1: is speeding up some countries' low-carbon transition. Renewables offer safer, cheaper,
- 17:08Speaker 1: cleaner energy that can't be held captive by narrow shipping
- 17:12Speaker 1: straits or global conflicts. So this is a very long-term
- 17:16Speaker 1: goal for the left. They've been very explicit about it,
- 17:20Speaker 1: and now they're closer than ever to achieving it.
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- 19:52Speaker 2: will all play out. And I can't help it. I'm
- 19:54Speaker 2: just the optimistic type.
- 19:56Speaker 1: Or to put things in terms that Lindsay Clancy jury
- 19:58Speaker 1: could understand, I'm a Sagittarius.
- 20:02Speaker 2: I don't know what I am. I'm something.
- 20:06Speaker 1: The main risk at the moment, even aside from the midterms,
- 20:09Speaker 1: is that Republicans will embrace an energy stopgap measure that
- 20:14Speaker 1: makes the problem significantly worse than it already is. This
- 20:17Speaker 1: is from Bloomberg from a few days ago. Quote, Senate
- 20:20Speaker 1: Majority Leader John Thune said he's open to exploring an
- 20:22Speaker 1: export ban for diesel fuel as average national prices surge
- 20:26Speaker 1: past $ 6 a gallon. We'll be looking at any proposal
- 20:29Speaker 1: that is a viable solution. But I do think if
- 20:32Speaker 1: we have the supply in this country and we're exporting
- 20:34Speaker 1: it right now, that might be one way of getting
- 20:36Speaker 1: at it. If that would take pressure off of prices,
- 20:39Speaker 1: you know I'm open to exploring it. Thune said an
- 20:41Speaker 1: export ban probably makes more sense to him than suspending
- 20:44Speaker 1: the diesel tax, an action recommended by Democrat James Tallarico.
- 20:48Speaker 1: Oil industry executives have warned that while an export ban
- 20:51Speaker 1: would initially lower prices for U.S.
- 20:52Speaker 2: Consumers, it would ultimately backfire.
- 20:54Speaker 1: Energy companies would likely respond by cutting crude production and
- 20:58Speaker 1: fuel refining. Ultimately, prices for gasoline could increase 15 cents
- 21:02Speaker 1: or more per gallon. Meanwhile, Chuck Grassley just posted this
- 21:06Speaker 1: message on X where he attacks Big Oil and proposes
- 21:10Speaker 1: more government regulation. Quote, Big Oil is telling us we
- 21:14Speaker 1: can't embargo diesel. If true, they still don't have to
- 21:17Speaker 1: make some profits off of U.S. farmers and truckers that
- 21:20Speaker 1: they make in foreign sales.
- 21:22Speaker 2: America first. So he's also.
- 21:26Speaker 1: Floating an embargo of diesel or alternatively some kind of
- 21:28Speaker 1: price control on domestic sale of diesel. He says, and
- 21:31Speaker 1: I quote, They don't have to make the same profit
- 21:34Speaker 1: off of U.S. farmers and truckers. This is exactly the
- 21:38Speaker 1: kind of rhetoric you expect from Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren.
- 21:42Speaker 1: Here we have a government bureaucrat, someone who's held political
- 21:46Speaker 1: office for all 5,000 years of his life, saying private
- 21:49Speaker 1: businesses don't have to earn profit. Therefore, he wants to
- 21:56Speaker 1: take over one of the most important markets in the world,
- 21:58Speaker 1: which is the market for diesel fuel, where the United
- 22:01Speaker 1: States is the top exporter. Well, actually, Chuck Grassley, well,
- 22:05Speaker 1: here's the reality. The oil companies, like any other company,
- 22:10Speaker 1: they make profits. They're entitled to whatever profits they can get.
- 22:13Speaker 1: That's how it works in the market. That's not because
- 22:16Speaker 1: they're good people or because they deserve it or anything else.
- 22:20Speaker 1: It's because once you let the government take over the market,
- 22:24Speaker 1: then everyone will be totally screwed in very short order.
- 22:28Speaker 1: That's always what happens in every single case when government
- 22:31Speaker 1: bureaucrats start implementing price controls, especially in very complicated markets
- 22:36Speaker 1: they don't understand. Has any Republican actually thought about the
- 22:40Speaker 1: effects of an export ban or the effects of price
- 22:42Speaker 1: controls on diesel.
- 22:45Speaker 2: In the US market?
- 22:47Speaker 1: Do any of them remember the shortages in gas lines
- 22:49Speaker 1: from the last time the US attempted an export ban
- 22:51Speaker 1: like this back in the 1970s, which aggravated the shortages
- 22:55Speaker 1: caused by the Arab oil embargo? To put aside how
- 22:59Speaker 1: many problems we'd be causing for our alleged allies in Europe,
- 23:02Speaker 1: we'd have to go back to stealing firewood to stay alive. Logically,
- 23:06Speaker 1: if we impose an export ban and price controls, then
- 23:10Speaker 1: profit margins for domestic suppliers would collapse overnight. And that
- 23:13Speaker 1: means less diesel production and more expensive goods that you
- 23:16Speaker 1: buy from Amazon or anywhere else.
- 23:18Speaker 2: And guess what?
- 23:19Speaker 1: As we said, gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel all come
- 23:22Speaker 1: from the same barrel. There are no diesel factories. If
- 23:26Speaker 1: you manipulate the market so that diesel is suddenly unprofitable,
- 23:29Speaker 1: they're going to scale back on their refining, and that's
- 23:31Speaker 1: going to affect regular gasoline as well. It'll affect the
- 23:34Speaker 1: prices of airline tickets. It'll affect everything. Now, it's true
- 23:39Speaker 1: that China has restricted diesel and gasoline exports, although nothing
- 23:42Speaker 1: on the scale the Republicans are talking about right now.
- 23:44Speaker 1: But there's a catch, which is that China has spent
- 23:46Speaker 1: a long time ramping up their coal production as an
- 23:49Speaker 1: alternative fuel supply. China now accounts for something like 50%.
- 23:52Speaker 2: Of all global coal production.
- 23:55Speaker 1: Which they use for two purposes, creating synthetic natural gas
- 23:58Speaker 1: and substituting for natural gas power plants. And meanwhile, our
- 24:02Speaker 1: coal production is down something like 50% since 2008. So
- 24:06Speaker 1: that's a big distinction. At the same time, China has
- 24:10Speaker 1: been pushing electric vehicles on its population, which naturally reduces
- 24:14Speaker 1: the demand for gasoline. In other words, if we implement
- 24:16Speaker 1: Chinese style export controls, we're running several risks that they
- 24:21Speaker 1: aren't taking, at least not to the same degree. And
- 24:23Speaker 1: no one in Washington, in either party, has apparently considered
- 24:27Speaker 1: any of this. Well, on the same lines, evidently, no
- 24:31Speaker 1: one considered the fact that the Saudis have a very
- 24:33Speaker 1: vulnerable east-west pipeline that stretches for around 750 miles from.
- 24:37Speaker 2: The east, where they produce the oil, to a port
- 24:39Speaker 2: in the Red Sea.
- 24:40Speaker 1: This is the pipeline they're using now, that the Strait
- 24:43Speaker 1: of Hormuz is compromised. But for years, we've known that
- 24:47Speaker 1: this pipeline is vulnerable to another choke point at the
- 24:50Speaker 1: Red Sea. where the Houthis, terrorists from Yemen who are
- 24:53Speaker 1: backed by Iran, are now using drones and missiles to
- 24:57Speaker 1: disrupt shipping. They've just conducted a lightning offensive to seize
- 25:01Speaker 1: a vital maritime choke point in the region. So the
- 25:04Speaker 1: warlords are basically in control of shipping traffic in the
- 25:08Speaker 1: area of Param Island, which is how you get into
- 25:11Speaker 1: the Red Sea. And as a result, there's now another
- 25:14Speaker 1: problem to worry about, which is a shortage of tankers.
- 25:18Speaker 1: This is from the Wall Street Journal, quote, drone attacks
- 25:20Speaker 1: that shut Saudi Arabia's bypass pipeline earlier this month have
- 25:24Speaker 1: forced more crude back to the strait and onto a
- 25:28Speaker 1: tanker fleet already stretched thin. The impact has spread worldwide
- 25:32Speaker 1: as longer voyages and shuttle runs around Hormuz tie up
- 25:36Speaker 1: ships and push the daily rate of hiring oil tankers
- 25:39Speaker 1: to records. The sudden supply crunch among oil supertankers known
- 25:44Speaker 1: as very large crude carriers or VLCCs has boosted the
- 25:48Speaker 1: cost of hauling oil through the Strait to the highest
- 25:51Speaker 1: on record. Earlier this month, the cost of hiring an
- 25:54Speaker 1: oil supertanker to load inside the Persian Gulf and transit
- 25:58Speaker 1: the Strait of Hormuz topped a million dollars a day,
- 26:01Speaker 1: according to maritime intelligence firm Windward.
- 26:04Speaker 2: That works out to $ 26.
- 26:05Speaker 1: A barrel, or roughly a quarter of the crude's value
- 26:08Speaker 1: based on the current market price. Normally, shipping costs are
- 26:12Speaker 1: a fraction of the value of a crude cargo. So
- 26:16Speaker 1: somehow no one foresaw this development when the war planning
- 26:19Speaker 1: was going on. We were told that Iranians would, if
- 26:23Speaker 1: you remember, they would rise up and take their country back,
- 26:26Speaker 1: which hasn't happened. But we weren't told that there would
- 26:30Speaker 1: be a shortage of oil tankers, as well as oil
- 26:34Speaker 1: in general. You know, there used to be a category
- 26:37Speaker 1: of clothing called dressing like an adult. You weren't wearing
- 26:40Speaker 1: a suit. You weren't going anywhere particularly formal. you just
- 26:44Speaker 1: put on decent clothes because you were leaving the house.
- 26:46Speaker 1: We've mostly abandoned this concept, I'm afraid, but I'm trying
- 26:50Speaker 1: to keep it alive, and Tecova's is helping.
- 26:53Speaker 2: I like their boots. I wear them myself. They're classic.
- 26:55Speaker 1: They're understated. They're very comfortable, and they look just as
- 26:58Speaker 1: good with a normal pair of jeans as they do
- 27:00Speaker 1: when you need to dress things up a little bit.
- 27:02Speaker 1: And more importantly, like I said, they're actually comfortable. Tecova's
- 27:05Speaker 1: handcrafts their boots in more than 200 steps, but there's
- 27:08Speaker 1: no mandatory period where you have to limp around for
- 27:11Speaker 1: two weeks regretting your purchase. Mine felt broken in right
- 27:15Speaker 1: out of the box. And Decova's isn't just boots. They
- 27:17Speaker 1: make denim.
- 27:19Speaker 2: They make shirts. They make belts, wallet, shoes.
- 27:21Speaker 1: Plenty of other things for men who would like to
- 27:23Speaker 1: look put together without looking like they're trying too hard.
- 27:27Speaker 2: It's a surprisingly difficult balance. But Decova's, they get it right.
- 27:30Speaker 1: Right now, get 10% off at decovas.com slash matt when
- 27:34Speaker 1: you sign up for email and text. That's 10% off
- 27:37Speaker 1: at t-e-c-o-v-a-s dot com slash matt decovas. dot com slash Matt,
- 27:42Speaker 1: see cipher details to Cova's, point your toes west. And
- 27:46Speaker 1: while this might not be a big deal in normal circumstances,
- 27:50Speaker 1: the thing is we've already exhausted our own emergency stores
- 27:54Speaker 1: of oil. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve was 638 million barrels
- 27:59Speaker 1: when Biden took office and dropped to under 400 million
- 28:02Speaker 1: barrels when he left. That's a drop of roughly 40 percent.
- 28:06Speaker 1: It was widely reported at the time as a betrayal
- 28:08Speaker 1: because that's exactly what it was. It was deliberate sabotage.
- 28:13Speaker 1: By the time the Iran war began, the reserve was
- 28:15Speaker 1: back up around 415 million barrels, still a fraction of
- 28:18Speaker 1: what it used to be before Biden. And then since
- 28:21Speaker 1: this latest war began, the White House has announced plans
- 28:24Speaker 1: to release around 170 million barrels, which brings the reserve
- 28:27Speaker 1: down to its lowest level since 1983. So now we're
- 28:30Speaker 1: down to between 240, 280 million barrels, which is significant
- 28:34Speaker 1: because according to the federal government, around 100 million barrels
- 28:38Speaker 1: of these remaining barrels cannot be deployed at all for
- 28:41Speaker 1: any reason due to a mixture of construction outages and
- 28:45Speaker 1: cavern outages, according to a government watchdog. So really, we're
- 28:49Speaker 1: running on fumes, in other words, and there's no backup.
- 28:53Speaker 1: That's part of the reason why even mainstream analysts, particularly
- 28:56Speaker 1: JP Morgan, have been modeling a worst-case scenario lately. So
- 29:01Speaker 1: I'm going to read from one of their reports from
- 29:03Speaker 1: May of this year.
- 29:06Speaker 2: This is what it says. If the Strait is.
- 29:08Speaker 1: Not opened by September, global inventories could hit an operational
- 29:12Speaker 1: stress floor of 6.7 to 6.8 billion barrels, after which
- 29:17Speaker 1: demand destruction would occur at a faster pace, mostly in
- 29:21Speaker 1: Asia and Europe. Now, this disaster scenario hasn't come to
- 29:27Speaker 1: pass yet because demand has been lower than they forecast,
- 29:32Speaker 1: but it's still a possibility. And more recently, in a
- 29:35Speaker 1: note this week, JP Morgan announced that they've given up
- 29:37Speaker 1: on trying to predict oil prices, saying, quote, we simply
- 29:40Speaker 1: don't know how to model the end game. So what's
- 29:45Speaker 1: the operational stress floor, quote unquote, of global.
- 29:49Speaker 2: Inventories of oil exactly? Well, here's what it could mean
- 29:53Speaker 2: in practice.
- 29:54Speaker 1: Once oil hits the operational stress floor and stays there
- 29:57Speaker 1: for a sustained period of time, It becomes very difficult
- 30:00Speaker 1: for any buyer to purchase oil, no matter how much
- 30:03Speaker 1: he's willing to pay. That's because the pipelines and the
- 30:06Speaker 1: refineries and the storage tanks are not allowed to go
- 30:08Speaker 1: below a certain level of oil. If they go below
- 30:11Speaker 1: the operational limit, then the machines themselves break. The result,
- 30:16Speaker 1: as JP Morgan put it, is demand destruction, which is
- 30:19Speaker 1: a polite way of saying rationing. The market can't provide
- 30:23Speaker 1: any more oil, so governments have to use force to
- 30:27Speaker 1: prevent people from using it. The global economy would in
- 30:31Speaker 1: all likelihood crash. Many people would die. Inflation would reach
- 30:35Speaker 1: historic levels. And we would enter in all likelihood an
- 30:39Speaker 1: economic death spiral. Now, that's not a risk that I'm inventing,
- 30:44Speaker 1: you know, just to get your intention.
- 30:48Speaker 2: It's from J.P.
- 30:49Speaker 1: Morgan, which is one of the most established mainstream financial
- 30:51Speaker 1: institutions in the world. Did you hear about this? Has
- 30:56Speaker 1: anyone told you about it? Probably not, because if they
- 31:00Speaker 1: did that, then you'd demand solutions. An energy crisis is
- 31:04Speaker 1: one of the worst things that can happen to a civilization.
- 31:08Speaker 1: We are currently careening towards one. To the extent that
- 31:12Speaker 1: our politicians do anything, it should be their number one
- 31:16Speaker 1: goal to prevent something like that from happening. So what
- 31:20Speaker 1: are they doing about it? Well, as far as I
- 31:23Speaker 1: can tell, they aren't really doing anything. But that's not
- 31:26Speaker 1: because they don't have options. The first thing they should
- 31:30Speaker 1: do is tell Zelensky, not ask, tell Zelensky to stop
- 31:35Speaker 1: bombing Russian refineries immediately. Because of the incredible harm it's
- 31:41Speaker 1: doing to us.
- 31:42Speaker 2: It's not about Russia.
- 31:45Speaker 1: And if he refuses, if he continues to lie to
- 31:48Speaker 1: us while he brags about destroying Russian fuel infrastructure, then
- 31:52Speaker 1: we should bomb Ukraine until Zelensky is removed from power.
- 31:56Speaker 1: We cannot tolerate this anymore. He's taken billions of dollars
- 32:01Speaker 1: from U.S. taxpayers, and now he's deliberately tanking the global
- 32:04Speaker 1: market for diesel.
- 32:05Speaker 2: It's unconscionable.
- 32:07Speaker 1: He is a threat to us. We aren't simply wasting
- 32:11Speaker 1: our money on Ukraine. The return on investment has been
- 32:14Speaker 1: overwhelmingly negative. We are suffering for it. And we need
- 32:19Speaker 1: to shut these con artists down immediately. The second thing
- 32:23Speaker 1: we need to do is end this ridiculous war in Iran.
- 32:26Speaker 1: Some of us warned that the war would have this
- 32:28Speaker 1: result when it first started.
- 32:29Speaker 2: We were shouted down by many on our own side.
- 32:34Speaker 2: But we were right. And we've been proven right every
- 32:37Speaker 2: step of the way. And now here we are. And
- 32:39Speaker 2: it has to end.
- 32:41Speaker 1: And next, we need to ramp up the oil exports
- 32:43Speaker 1: from our newest puppet state, Venezuela. This should be the
- 32:46Speaker 1: advantage of having it as a puppet state, which we do.
- 32:51Speaker 1: And we should make manifest destiny real again.
- 32:54Speaker 2: Make it great again.
- 32:56Speaker 1: And take over all the oil we can get in
- 32:58Speaker 1: Cuba and Africa as well, which is significant. If we
- 33:02Speaker 1: need to, we can move on to Canada. All these
- 33:04Speaker 1: countries are right next door. They're all communist and dysfunctional.
- 33:07Speaker 1: They're not using their resources to any significant degree. And
- 33:12Speaker 1: so we should take what we need for the good
- 33:14Speaker 1: of our own people. The alternative is too unthinkable. It
- 33:21Speaker 1: just shouldn't be an option on the table. Now we
- 33:25Speaker 1: elected this administration to come up with solutions like this,
- 33:27Speaker 1: solutions to problems that could realistically destroy this country and civilization.
- 33:33Speaker 1: This is why Donald Trump beat Kamala Harris. You know,
- 33:37Speaker 1: she was talking about racial equity and making sure black
- 33:40Speaker 1: people didn't lose their Bitcoin or whatever. Donald Trump won
- 33:44Speaker 1: because he said he would make life better for everyday
- 33:47Speaker 1: Americans in a real tangible way.
- 33:48Speaker 2: And he now has an opportunity to do that.
- 33:52Speaker 1: If it doesn't happen, If the GOP doesn't step up,
- 33:57Speaker 1: then they deserve everything that's going to happen in November.
- 34:01Speaker 2: We have one chance now to.
- 34:03Speaker 1: Stabilize a situation that is rapidly spiraling out of control.
- 34:08Speaker 1: We can take that chance or we can become Germany
- 34:12Speaker 1: or Poland. And instead of waiting outside the Apple store
- 34:15Speaker 1: for the latest iPhone or whatever, we'll be lining up
- 34:18Speaker 1: outside the coal mine, begging for some fuel so our
- 34:22Speaker 1: children don't freeze to death. It sounds unthinkable, but every
- 34:26Speaker 1: great tragedy seemed unthinkable before it happened. Every great empire
- 34:30Speaker 1: thought it was untouchable before the fall. And with every
- 34:34Speaker 1: day this war drags on, as even alleged conservatives openly
- 34:38Speaker 1: embrace the rhetoric of communists, our own fall, not simply
- 34:41Speaker 1: the fall of the GOP, but of the entire country,
- 34:46Speaker 1: becomes more and more likely.
- 34:49Speaker 2: That'll do it for the show today. Thanks for watching.
- 34:50Speaker 2: Thanks for listening. Talk to you tomorrow. Have a great day. Godspeed.
- 35:00Speaker 1: Every significant movement in history has started with protesting.
- 35:03Speaker 2: You're a traitor! Uncle Tom! This is our generation's civil rights!
- 35:06Speaker 2: I have no idea what the protest is about. Bingo!
- 35:09Speaker 3: Given the current climate, should a figure as polarizing as
- 35:12Speaker 3: Clay Saunders even be allowed on campus?
- 35:14Speaker 2: Uh, can you hear me okay?
- 35:15Speaker 1: Saunders is a close personal friend of Chancellor Friedman.
- 35:18Speaker 2: This is a decision I cannot fight. Islam will conquer
- 35:21Speaker 2: the West. As-salamu alaykum. Are we paying attention? They've taken
- 35:29Speaker 2: over the building. They're downstairs and they've blocked the doors.
- 35:33Speaker 4: I seek forgiveness from Allah the Almighty.
- 35:37Speaker 2: We cannot run and hide. Muhammad is the.
- 35:39Speaker 4: Messenger of God. There is no God but Allah.
- 35:45Speaker 2: What do you say we turn those SOBs into a
- 35:49Speaker 2: fine red mist?
- 35:51Speaker 4: As we move, one man will cover while the other
- 35:54Speaker 4: guys go. They call that leap project.
- 35:56Speaker 3: Stretch them out and listen.
- 35:59Speaker 2: You need a course in safe weapons handling.