Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL DFS Week 7 Takedown Breakdown | Winning DraftKings Lineups & Strategy Review
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems go.
- 0:06Speaker 2: Clear for liftoff.
- 0:36Speaker 1: What's up, everyone? Tyler Tamerlene here, a.k.a. Totag and Tambo,
- 0:39Speaker 1: back for another edition of the Takedown Breakdown here on
- 0:42Speaker 1: the Ship It Nation YouTube station. Got my guy Nades
- 0:44Speaker 1: with me, as usual, and we'll be breaking down the
- 0:47Speaker 1: Week 7 main slate over on DraftKings. We'll be using DFSOS.com.
- 0:51Speaker 1: Bring that up here in a second. But it was
- 0:53Speaker 1: a fun slate yesterday, Nades. Didn't quite get to the top,
- 0:56Speaker 1: but I appreciate everybody that reached out, had a lot
- 0:58Speaker 1: of support. Down the stretch, cheer for that Millie Maker.
- 1:01Speaker 1: Got fourth in the $ 20 Millie Maker myself, and then
- 1:04Speaker 1: ended up getting a King of the Desert ticket as
- 1:06Speaker 1: uh you'll call it a consolation prize we'll tell you
- 1:08Speaker 1: i think it's guaranteed 8k but can win up to
- 1:11Speaker 1: 500k if you can get in that it's 150 plays
- 1:13Speaker 1: down to i believe 50 and then 50 down to
- 1:16Speaker 1: 20 to go live to the king of the desert
- 1:19Speaker 1: in phoenix but uh what's going on my friend how
- 1:21Speaker 1: you doing still got a showdown it's late tonight and
- 1:23Speaker 1: more brewers action for you.
- 1:24Speaker 3: Too yeah more brewers brewers out to 20 lead all
- 1:28Speaker 3: this bullshit on people saying brewers are cheating this and
- 1:30Speaker 3: that it's just crazy right like small market teams right
- 1:33Speaker 3: they haven't been there since 82 and Um, everyone runs
- 1:36Speaker 3: to cheating allegations and this and that, but yeah, like yesterday, um,
- 1:40Speaker 3: unfortunately for you, um, same, same kind of run out
- 1:43Speaker 3: happened with me.
- 1:43Speaker 2: Not, not to the extent of, of you, but, um,
- 1:46Speaker 2: that's all you can ask for. Right. Put yourself in
- 1:48Speaker 2: a position. Hopefully it rolls your way.
- 1:49Speaker 3: Um, three weeks in a row, it feels like I've
- 1:51Speaker 3: been right there and, uh, have cashed in profits, but
- 1:55Speaker 3: not gotten.
- 1:56Speaker 2: All the way there.
- 1:56Speaker 3: And hopefully, uh, one of these pops and hopefully for
- 1:59Speaker 3: your sake, right. It's this week at the big mega Millie,
- 2:02Speaker 3: the 1500s. I believe is this week, week eight. So
- 2:06Speaker 3: that should be good. Hopefully your cards go your way
- 2:08Speaker 3: and you get some more tickets or some tickets, et cetera, there.
- 2:13Speaker 3: I'll be trying to do the same this week with
- 2:15Speaker 3: the different sports going on. But fun slate in general.
- 2:19Speaker 3: It was, I think, the first chalk bus slate we've
- 2:21Speaker 3: seen in quite some time, right? Like we're all the
- 2:24Speaker 3: really mega chalk outside of a couple of running backs,
- 2:27Speaker 3: but that's typically the case, right? Running back chalk is
- 2:29Speaker 3: usually the best position to eat some chalk there. Um,
- 2:32Speaker 3: but yeah, I think that's why you had a pretty
- 2:35Speaker 3: successful week. I had a pretty successful week because we
- 2:38Speaker 3: kind of tap into what the field isn't doing.
- 2:40Speaker 1: Right.
- 2:40Speaker 3: Like every, it feels very cookie cutter and we've played
- 2:43Speaker 3: DFS long enough.
- 2:44Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:44Speaker 3: Obviously you got, you got more tenure than I do,
- 2:46Speaker 3: but I've been in the street since, um, way back, uh,
- 2:49Speaker 3: basically after I graduated high school.
- 2:51Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:52Speaker 3: Um, and so it's been when it feels super easy
- 2:56Speaker 3: and it feels like it can't miss, like you gotta
- 2:59Speaker 3: be understanding.
- 3:00Speaker 1: Okay.
- 3:00Speaker 3: If it doesn't miss, how do you go away from that?
- 3:03Speaker 3: How do you play into that and still get pieces,
- 3:05Speaker 3: things like that, right? Just some stuff that, especially with
- 3:09Speaker 3: all the shows and content and AI and things like that, right?
- 3:11Speaker 3: Like you see these popular kind of situations just get
- 3:15Speaker 3: steamed more and more. And it's hard for people to
- 3:18Speaker 3: really kind of put the box aside and think outside
- 3:21Speaker 3: the box, okay? This box is going into... into a
- 3:24Speaker 3: bigger box of 170,000 entrants, right? Like how do you
- 3:28Speaker 3: get yourself outside of that inner circle that everyone feels
- 3:31Speaker 3: like they have every different combination solved on that and
- 3:35Speaker 3: think differently without being crazy. So I think there's some
- 3:38Speaker 3: stuff we can pull away from this week for sure.
- 3:39Speaker 3: And yeah, it was a good week. And if you
- 3:42Speaker 3: haven't had a good week, we got a nice showdown
- 3:44Speaker 3: game tonight. We've got World Series tonight. So it should
- 3:46Speaker 3: be fun.
- 3:47Speaker 1: Yeah. I think there's a ton of stuff to pull
- 3:49Speaker 1: away from that. I will say one thing that's, you know,
- 3:50Speaker 1: just a little off is it's been, it's been back
- 3:52Speaker 1: to back big chalk bust weeks. Cause last week, if
- 3:54Speaker 1: you remember, it was like Puka, Bijan, all those guys
- 3:56Speaker 1: this week, some stuff there, but I'll say a couple
- 3:59Speaker 1: of takeaways. One, you know, was the, the Gibbs stuff.
- 4:03Speaker 1: Gibbs got way higher than people expected. If you remember
- 4:05Speaker 1: on leverage lane on Saturday, I was having the back
- 4:07Speaker 1: and forth with Blickle about that. I just said at
- 4:09Speaker 1: the end of the day, it's just too easy to
- 4:11Speaker 1: click this guy. I think he was 35, still 31,
- 4:13Speaker 1: something like that in the, in the main stuff. And yeah,
- 4:16Speaker 1: you know, like people late swapped or whatever thought that,
- 4:18Speaker 1: you know, he would be lower on, however they got there.
- 4:21Speaker 1: It doesn't matter. Cause at the end of the day,
- 4:22Speaker 1: he got up there and that's actually part of the reason, uh,
- 4:25Speaker 1: some of the slight adjustment that I was able to
- 4:26Speaker 1: make where obviously I ended up getting more Aminra St.
- 4:29Speaker 1: Brown and that ended up being the chance that I
- 4:31Speaker 1: had down the stretch. So that one just kind of
- 4:33Speaker 1: worked out naturally into that lineup. Um, So there was that.
- 4:38Speaker 1: And then I think the other thing was a lot
- 4:40Speaker 1: of talk about the Tony Pollard stuff. I know our
- 4:41Speaker 1: man Ham is right here. And yeah, shout out to
- 4:44Speaker 1: the guy, Coach. Coach Sav, 1990. I saw a big
- 4:46Speaker 1: 5K shipper for him. Awesome to see there. Congrats to you.
- 4:50Speaker 1: Shout out to Sully. Always working to get better. We
- 4:52Speaker 1: got Philly Phantom. We got our man Gary saying KOTD.
- 4:55Speaker 1: Excited for that. And then we'll get to some of
- 4:57Speaker 1: the other stuff here in a minute. But the Tony
- 5:00Speaker 1: Pollard stuff was interesting, too, just because– you still couldn't
- 5:03Speaker 1: get to him. Even if you loved him, like it
- 5:05Speaker 1: wasn't like you could get too much of him, but
- 5:07Speaker 1: obviously if you came down on any of those higher
- 5:09Speaker 1: owned running backs there, that was the next guy that
- 5:12Speaker 1: would have fit in. It was Woody marks. It was
- 5:14Speaker 1: Braylon Allen. It was CMC. Then you had Gibbs who,
- 5:18Speaker 1: like I said, I thought it'd be a lot higher.
- 5:19Speaker 1: You had Bijan. But after that, I think realistically, if
- 5:22Speaker 1: you look down the board, like I'm looking, there's 10 games.
- 5:26Speaker 1: nobody else on really on these other guys. Nobody ended
- 5:28Speaker 1: up getting to, um, you know, Jacobs Kyron definitely had
- 5:31Speaker 1: some love, but yeah, it was basically that. And once
- 5:34Speaker 1: Spears was ruled out and we have it on ship
- 5:37Speaker 1: at nation, I'll just pull it up here. I'll bring
- 5:38Speaker 1: up mastermind in a second. Cause I had a bunch
- 5:40Speaker 1: of people reach out, you know, the night after you do, um,
- 5:43Speaker 1: a Millie run. You always have like five, 10 people
- 5:45Speaker 1: sign up right away or want to sign up because like, Oh,
- 5:47Speaker 1: I want to follow you and do it like that
- 5:48Speaker 1: is now. It's like, it's been there forever, but people
- 5:51Speaker 1: want to chase after they see your, your close call
- 5:53Speaker 1: or big hit. But, um, Pollard did boost after the
- 5:56Speaker 1: Spears news. Cause no one knows who Kalo Mullings is, uh,
- 6:00Speaker 1: And we had him up to a 10% optimal rate
- 6:03Speaker 1: at $ 5, 300. He was only $ 300 more on FanDuel. Not
- 6:07Speaker 1: really owned as much over there. He did get a
- 6:09Speaker 1: bunch of steam late on FanDuel, though. People always know
- 6:12Speaker 1: on FanDuel. I said they always love to get to
- 6:14Speaker 1: old Tony Pollard. So he got huge ownership in the
- 6:17Speaker 1: high stakes stuff over there. He started popping in the
- 6:19Speaker 1: Sims quite a bit. late as well. So for the
- 6:22Speaker 1: last runs that people got, once the Spears news, it
- 6:24Speaker 1: wasn't like he got a big boost by the way,
- 6:25Speaker 1: because of the Spears stuff, it's just something when there's
- 6:27Speaker 1: not another guy there. And I don't know, the matchup
- 6:30Speaker 1: was okay. Like people always say, Oh, it's not a
- 6:31Speaker 1: good matchup. It's not a good matchup, way more worried
- 6:33Speaker 1: about the secondary of the Browns than teams running on them.
- 6:37Speaker 1: So I think that's something to think about as well,
- 6:39Speaker 1: but I'm bringing up Quick Nades Mastermind. If you guys
- 6:42Speaker 1: haven't checked it out, you can go to dfsmastermind.com. It's
- 6:45Speaker 1: where I talk about my own proven process. People like Nades,
- 6:49Speaker 1: others from around the industry have done. There's over 60
- 6:51Speaker 1: videos in the vault. You can check it out and
- 6:54Speaker 1: see what's in the vault. It's right here. This is
- 6:56Speaker 1: just a two minute video showing you exactly what you get.
- 6:59Speaker 1: on the inside. But if nothing else, this is one
- 7:01Speaker 1: where you can just invest in yourself. You can spend
- 7:04Speaker 1: $ 47 and you can learn in less than a nine
- 7:06Speaker 1: to five shift. What I've spent the last 10 plus
- 7:08Speaker 1: years working on and talk to over a thousand DFS
- 7:11Speaker 1: players to put together these mind map modules. So the
- 7:14Speaker 1: models here are all changing soon. I've talked to the
- 7:16Speaker 1: mastermind members about this, but if you want to get
- 7:18Speaker 1: in on the lifetime before it's too late, it's two
- 7:20Speaker 1: payments of two 49. That's it. You're done forever. You'll
- 7:23Speaker 1: get all the future stuff. as well. $ 4. 97 just to
- 7:26Speaker 1: get it over with, or you can just pay $ 47,
- 7:28Speaker 1: get the modules and figure it out later. But let's
- 7:31Speaker 1: move on. Let's go to dfsos.com. This is our partnership
- 7:35Speaker 1: over there. You guys can use code SHIPIT at DFSOS
- 7:38Speaker 1: if you want to use the same data that we're
- 7:39Speaker 1: using and see how the best DFS players actually play.
- 7:42Speaker 1: This has a study section. It has a review. It's
- 7:45Speaker 1: meant to go with the other sites that you already use.
- 7:48Speaker 1: It's not a competitor. It's a complimentary piece. It's got
- 7:51Speaker 1: the FanDuel data that you could never get before. That's
- 7:54Speaker 1: over there. you can look up any DFS player and
- 7:57Speaker 1: see what their winnings look like over time. You know,
- 7:59Speaker 1: 15 million bucks plus for the tracked winnings. I will
- 8:02Speaker 1: say there's a lot of, you know, sites that just
- 8:05Speaker 1: pop up with AI and things like that that are
- 8:07Speaker 1: completely wrong. They're missing people's million dollar scores. They're missing
- 8:10Speaker 1: so much of the action along the way and trying
- 8:13Speaker 1: to prove it out there as what's real. People know
- 8:15Speaker 1: what's real. Go look up who's playing. Go find out
- 8:18Speaker 1: on a site like this where you can actually see
- 8:20Speaker 1: and go about it. But when you get into your dashboard,
- 8:23Speaker 1: And I'm just going to expedite this. But when you
- 8:24Speaker 1: get into your dashboard, it's fully trackable and traceable. But
- 8:28Speaker 1: I'm going to the perfect lineup nades where we usually start.
- 8:30Speaker 1: We just like to look at it. We say success
- 8:32Speaker 1: leaves clues. We'll get into the Millie Sweat stuff and
- 8:34Speaker 1: more in a minute. But this is already tracking to Sunday,
- 8:38Speaker 1: the 25th main slate. Wild, perfect lineup nades. But I'll
- 8:41Speaker 1: let you sort of walk it through here. Burrow, Bucky, Pollard, T. Higgins,
- 8:45Speaker 1: Omar Cooper Jr. goes off again. Zay Flowers, Trey McBride, Concepcion.
- 8:50Speaker 1: And then you've got the Buccaneers defense who Came through
- 8:53Speaker 1: yesterday at $ 2, 200. I'll talk more on that, too. I mean,
- 8:56Speaker 1: there was a lot of stuff on X of these
- 8:58Speaker 1: people popping up and posting stuff out. They're like, if
- 9:00Speaker 1: you landed on the Bucs D, you've got a crystal
- 9:03Speaker 1: ball or stuff like that. It's just not even close
- 9:05Speaker 1: to true. It's all slate dynamics. It's all the things
- 9:07Speaker 1: we talk about at Ship It Nation and DFS Mastermind.
- 9:09Speaker 1: But go ahead, Nades. I'll let you run through this
- 9:11Speaker 1: perfect lineup here. By the way, it was $ 225 is
- 9:14Speaker 1: what actually won the $ 20 Millie. So 40-point delta here.
- 9:21Speaker 3: Yeah, so I think this is one of the better
- 9:23Speaker 3: perfect lineups we've seen from like not just a random standpoint.
- 9:27Speaker 3: I mean, you got the Burrow to Higgins with the
- 9:30Speaker 3: Flowers run back in a game that was.
- 9:34Speaker 2: The fourth highest total on the slate.
- 9:36Speaker 3: And that was it would have been the second highest
- 9:39Speaker 3: total had Lamar Jackson not gotten ruled out.
- 9:41Speaker 1: Right.
- 9:42Speaker 3: And you look at the projected ownership in that game
- 9:44Speaker 3: and it was like eighth on the board of 10 games.
- 9:46Speaker 1: Right.
- 9:46Speaker 2: In terms of projected ownership. So that's one of the
- 9:48Speaker 2: big deltas. I called this out.
- 9:49Speaker 3: Last time I was on here, I've done a lot
- 9:52Speaker 3: of study and research, and it's held up a.
- 9:55Speaker 2: Couple of times now, right.
- 9:56Speaker 3: Where, um, there's a big Delta in the Vegas total
- 10:01Speaker 3: and the ownership of what the field wants to account
- 10:04Speaker 3: for that game.
- 10:05Speaker 2: Right. And this was a prime example.
- 10:07Speaker 3: So I thought I had a lot of Higgins and, and, um,
- 10:10Speaker 3: that it was pretty hard to get to burrow just
- 10:12Speaker 3: because of obviously the Jordan love stuff, the cheaper quarterbacks. Um,
- 10:15Speaker 3: but that doesn't mean, um, that it wasn't, uh, it
- 10:19Speaker 3: wasn't a sharp play, right? Obviously that game total, right?
- 10:21Speaker 3: All that news that it was still reasonably priced players
- 10:25Speaker 3: like T Higgins, six K as a pivot off of
- 10:27Speaker 3: all those Packers receivers, all of those kind of popular
- 10:30Speaker 3: plays within that range. Mark Cooper did it again, not
- 10:35Speaker 3: being results oriented, but in a lineup, how you could
- 10:37Speaker 3: have landed on a guy like him.
- 10:38Speaker 2: Number one, it's a.
- 10:39Speaker 3: Pivot off of a little bit more expensive than all
- 10:42Speaker 3: the bucks guys. And you have the bucks guys covered
- 10:44Speaker 3: through Bucky Irving in a lineup like this. And you
- 10:47Speaker 3: also aren't going to the Braylon Allen piece, which everybody
- 10:49Speaker 3: would have went to. Typically, when you're thinking about this
- 10:52Speaker 3: ahead of the slate, not being results oriented because it's
- 10:54Speaker 3: just up on the screen here. And it's what was perfect.
- 10:57Speaker 3: It's how do you land there differently? Well, I'm already
- 11:00Speaker 3: got Bucky. I'm not playing any of those Panthers chalk guys,
- 11:03Speaker 3: the Tats, the Cokers of the world, the Bryce Youngs
- 11:06Speaker 3: of the world.
- 11:07Speaker 2: I can throw in Bucky's defense.
- 11:09Speaker 3: If Bucky's doing his thing, the Bucks defense is shutting
- 11:12Speaker 3: down Carolina, which I don't have in my lineup. Well,
- 11:15Speaker 3: why would I go in and play the chalk value
- 11:18Speaker 3: wide receivers from the buck side? I'm not playing Braylon
- 11:21Speaker 3: Allen because I'm going to a cheaper guy in a
- 11:24Speaker 3: guy like Tony Pollard. So I think you could land
- 11:27Speaker 3: it on a similar lineup like this.
- 11:29Speaker 2: And it wouldn't have been as crazy. The Trey McBride play. Right.
- 11:33Speaker 3: I'll start with that. Everyone was going to craft Laporta,
- 11:39Speaker 3: all those cheaper tight ends.
- 11:40Speaker 2: Right.
- 11:40Speaker 3: If they were spending, they were going to Brock Bowers. Um,
- 11:43Speaker 3: people just couldn't get up to him. He can do
- 11:45Speaker 3: it on any slate. And then the Casey conception, right?
- 11:49Speaker 3: Who's the chalk defense of the slate, the Titans, right?
- 11:52Speaker 3: So you're not playing the chalk defense down at 2,300
- 11:54Speaker 3: at the Titans or 24, whatever they were, you're playing
- 11:57Speaker 3: the box.
- 11:58Speaker 2: Well, how do you leverage that?
- 11:59Speaker 3: You don't also use a Tucker craft or something like
- 12:01Speaker 3: that at a similar price point in the flex where
- 12:03Speaker 3: you could have, you throw in a guy who's shown
- 12:06Speaker 3: to do it weekend and week out pretty much on
- 12:08Speaker 3: this offense against the chalk defense.
- 12:10Speaker 2: And all of that.
- 12:11Speaker 3: So I think this is a really actually one of
- 12:13Speaker 3: the better, perfect lineups we've seen to digest.
- 12:15Speaker 2: And you can actually pull a lot of slate dynamic
- 12:18Speaker 2: thoughts away from it.
- 12:20Speaker 1: I think. Yeah, we're going to have a bunch, but
- 12:21Speaker 1: I do think the coolest part of this one is
- 12:23Speaker 1: actually that it's burrow Higgins was a flowers. So it's
- 12:28Speaker 1: a two one it's Bucky with his defense. I had
- 12:31Speaker 1: that in my $ 20 million maker lineups. So that's makes sense.
- 12:34Speaker 1: It's Pollard across from Concepcion. So you got that. And
- 12:38Speaker 1: the two that you would remove that's boosting the score,
- 12:40Speaker 1: like Jerry says here, it's crazy how wide of a
- 12:43Speaker 1: margin is. The two that people would say, yeah, but
- 12:45Speaker 1: you'd never get to Omar Cooper and you'd never get
- 12:47Speaker 1: to McBride. You're right. Probably not. 2.3, 1.4. Those are
- 12:50Speaker 1: the ones.
- 12:50Speaker 2: Let's pull them.
- 12:54Speaker 1: For 55 points and plug in almost anything else. It's
- 12:57Speaker 1: going to come very close to 10 points, plug in
- 13:00Speaker 1: whatever chalk you want. That makes more sense to you.
- 13:02Speaker 1: And it's going to actually come in and probably still
- 13:04Speaker 1: win the Millie. Cause we got it. We had 40
- 13:06Speaker 1: points to start with, right? Two 25 ish to two
- 13:08Speaker 1: 65 ish. And so you pull them. you're 55. So
- 13:14Speaker 1: it's like, you need to come up with whatever your
- 13:16Speaker 1: two V two is and get your 10 points. So
- 13:19Speaker 1: I don't know what it would be. Let's just say
- 13:21Speaker 1: it's Kittle and wherever else you land, it's going to
- 13:24Speaker 1: be a more expensive receiver and be able to, let's
- 13:26Speaker 1: say it's, um, you know, an interesting part about this too.
- 13:28Speaker 1: No green Bay Detroit, right. Going to talk about that
- 13:31Speaker 1: in depth in a second, but I got it.
- 13:34Speaker 2: It's Kittle and Jamo, I think. 57 and 5,800, right?
- 13:38Speaker 3: So you could throw in Kittle and Jamo as just
- 13:40Speaker 3: a one-off piece that can speed up that game, right?
- 13:43Speaker 1: Or if you can have that, you can have a
- 13:49Speaker 1: craft for 14 points on his own and anything you
- 13:52Speaker 1: land on. I don't care, right? That's kind of the point.
- 13:55Speaker 1: He'd be 4,700, so... 6,800 left for your wide receiver spot, which.
- 14:02Speaker 3: I don't know who was in that range in the
- 14:03Speaker 3: afternoon only, but in terms of 6,800 on just in general,
- 14:09Speaker 3: that would have been T Higgins, Malik neighbors, Garrett Wilson.
- 14:13Speaker 1: Well, T Higgins is in there, but I'm saying you
- 14:15Speaker 1: set it up beforehand. So to your point, it's probably neighbors. Yeah.
- 14:18Speaker 2: Neighbors neighbors.
- 14:18Speaker 1: Yeah. So you could add neighbors and whatever, you know,
- 14:21Speaker 1: and get a bunch more points. So just that it's
- 14:23Speaker 1: not about that. It's more concept. Like everyone's, it's easier
- 14:25Speaker 1: to look back. Look, when you see my lineup in
- 14:27Speaker 1: the $ 20 Millie maker, the two B two sits staring
- 14:29Speaker 1: right at you, but it's not how it works, right?
- 14:32Speaker 1: You're building with an optimizer, most cases, things like that.
- 14:34Speaker 1: So we've talked about this before, but the other thing
- 14:36Speaker 1: I'll take away. So no green Bay, Detroit, leads me
- 14:40Speaker 1: to one, the game busted for sure, like overall versus
- 14:43Speaker 1: what it could have been. And then two, just how
- 14:46Speaker 1: it can be spread out. Like both those teams have,
- 14:49Speaker 1: you know, we had Jacobs back in the fold. You've
- 14:51Speaker 1: got Sabian Williams on top of Golden, on top of Watson,
- 14:55Speaker 1: on top of Kraft, on top of other options that
- 14:58Speaker 1: could happen there. And then you've got the other side
- 15:00Speaker 1: in Detroit, all the options. They had Tesla in the
- 15:02Speaker 1: mix again. They've got Gibbs. They've got Almond Rod. They
- 15:05Speaker 1: got J-Mo.
- 15:06Speaker 2: They got Laporta.
- 15:07Speaker 1: I don't know if they just didn't want to give
- 15:08Speaker 1: Laporta after the media comments. Both him and Kyron Williams
- 15:11Speaker 1: both looked like they got a little bit of taste
- 15:13Speaker 1: of their own medicine on that little hush-hush, get off
- 15:15Speaker 1: the mics and start playing football and just do your job.
- 15:18Speaker 1: You already get paid and you're going to continue to
- 15:21Speaker 1: get paid. And if you keep playing good, you'll keep
- 15:22Speaker 1: getting paid. So just keep doing that. That's probably the
- 15:25Speaker 1: best case for them. I'm no expert in that field,
- 15:27Speaker 1: but it looked like some of that happened out there yesterday,
- 15:30Speaker 1: which was interesting. But just to note it, The line-up
- 15:33Speaker 1: kind of made sense. The other thing I want to
- 15:35Speaker 1: talk about is about the slate dynamics, like Sean Sully
- 15:38Speaker 1: says here, and multiple, we've talked about this, but the Ds.
- 15:42Speaker 1: When people always say there's like, close your eyes and
- 15:45Speaker 1: just pick Ds. That's fine. But the good idea is,
- 15:48Speaker 1: you know, you can either go the Pat Mayo route,
- 15:51Speaker 1: which he likes to pick a pool of Ds that
- 15:53Speaker 1: he thinks are actually going to get takeaways and chances.
- 15:56Speaker 1: And regardless of ownership, just go after the ones that,
- 15:58Speaker 1: that can get the opportunities, have quarterbacks throwing, have quarterbacks
- 16:02Speaker 1: that will actually get chances to throw or whatever the
- 16:04Speaker 1: game scripts and flows might be. Or the other route
- 16:07Speaker 1: to go, like I like to do, is to look
- 16:08Speaker 1: at what's optimal. And a lot of times what's optimal
- 16:11Speaker 1: and works is the chance that they can hurt some
- 16:14Speaker 1: of the other stuff on the slate. And so when
- 16:17Speaker 1: you go back and look, we'll flip over here. So
- 16:20Speaker 1: if you guys are on DFSOS here, you can just
- 16:23Speaker 1: go to Slate Review. And then we're looking at yesterday. Again,
- 16:27Speaker 1: a little bit of data missing today, working on some
- 16:30Speaker 1: pretty cool stuff over there, Josh is. So I'm excited
- 16:33Speaker 1: to see what he comes out with and when he
- 16:34Speaker 1: can announce that. But the $ 20, 20 millimeter is where
- 16:39Speaker 1: I came in fourth, right? And if only the 50K
- 16:43Speaker 1: salary spend was the 50K cash, but the ending of
- 16:46Speaker 1: this game was so tilting with Kyron Williams getting to
- 16:50Speaker 1: play with the last three minutes while they're up 14.
- 16:53Speaker 1: I'll talk more about the sweat in a minute, but
- 16:54Speaker 1: just to note it, you've got Deshaun, Fannin, and Concepcion
- 16:59Speaker 1: versus a very popular Tennessee D. And then you've got.
- 17:07Speaker 1: Bucky and the Bucks D going against the popular other
- 17:11Speaker 1: stack in Bryce Young, Tet, and Coker, which is another
- 17:17Speaker 1: stack like the Deshaun stack. So you see how you're
- 17:19Speaker 1: like flip-flopping and double flip-flopping, like it's double leverage. And
- 17:23Speaker 1: then you're still getting Two running backs in really good
- 17:26Speaker 1: spots with Braylon Allen and CMC. And you're still getting
- 17:30Speaker 1: a piece of the afternoon game with Amon Raw and
- 17:32Speaker 1: a good receiver that is just a fine mid-range guy.
- 17:36Speaker 1: The other thing, though, before I get to the Millie Swetnades,
- 17:38Speaker 1: I want to go back and just mention two with
- 17:39Speaker 1: that perfect lineup. Let's see if I got it here.
- 17:45Speaker 1: Perfect lineup. Go back to it. Very balanced, again, too.
- 17:51Speaker 1: If you noticed yesterday, a lot of people were building
- 17:53Speaker 1: the Hurst lineups and the Hurst to get Gibbs and
- 17:57Speaker 1: all that stuff ended up happening. And so you see
- 18:00Speaker 1: now where it's like a really balanced lineup. lineup there,
- 18:03Speaker 1: it's actually no different. If you go to the $ 20
- 18:06Speaker 1: Millie maker, like if you look at this, it's very
- 18:09Speaker 1: balanced outside. I mean, $ 4, 400 Concepcion, $ 4, 200 tight end, right
- 18:13Speaker 1: in the same range as the popular tight ends that
- 18:15Speaker 1: everybody was on Bucky, Christian McCaffrey, Alan, no Bijan, no Gibbs,
- 18:20Speaker 1: no expensive stuff there, no cheap wide receivers. And again,
- 18:24Speaker 1: in my pool and other lineups that happened, I'm just
- 18:26Speaker 1: noting what came through yesterday on Again, this game busted,
- 18:30Speaker 1: but a Jared Goff, Amon Raw with Jamo still ended
- 18:36Speaker 1: up getting there. And then you had afternoon pieces with,
- 18:39Speaker 1: you know, Jenty and Parkinson and all this stuff, but
- 18:42Speaker 1: still a pretty balanced lineup for the most part. So
- 18:44Speaker 1: when you're, when you are looking at how a slate's
- 18:46Speaker 1: being played and people are using Hearst and all these
- 18:48Speaker 1: other things to jam expensive running backs, you can build
- 18:52Speaker 1: some lineups like this without going towards the results. You
- 18:55Speaker 1: know what I mean?
- 18:56Speaker 2: Yeah, no, absolutely. And like the T. Higgins, right?
- 18:58Speaker 3: He's sandwiched between Golden and Christian Watson to the high stone.
- 19:02Speaker 3: They were the two high stone receivers on the slate
- 19:05Speaker 3: in large field stuff.
- 19:06Speaker 2: Ted Hurst, right?
- 19:07Speaker 3: You're not using him as a cheap guy to unlock.
- 19:10Speaker 3: A lot of Amara teams probably had Ted Hurst, right?
- 19:13Speaker 3: Because they were probably on the golf stacks, right? Where
- 19:15Speaker 3: golf was more expensive than the other cheaper quarterbacks, things
- 19:18Speaker 3: like that, right? Who else was in that 6K range? Well,
- 19:21Speaker 3: Malik Nabors at 6,800, Jalen Coker. at 6100 right so
- 19:25Speaker 3: that 6k to 7k wide receiver range had so much
- 19:29Speaker 3: chalk built into it that it made people punt value
- 19:35Speaker 3: somewhere whether it was at the tight end or it
- 19:37Speaker 3: was at that wide receiver three position right why you
- 19:39Speaker 3: saw tad hearst coming at 28 ownership or something at
- 19:43Speaker 3: 3k right and these other tight ends get steamed way
- 19:46Speaker 3: up the board right tucker craft higby right higby at
- 19:49Speaker 3: 30 3,500. Kate Otten, 3,100, right? So people were trying
- 19:53Speaker 3: to find value to afford two, at least two, spend-up
- 19:57Speaker 3: wide running backs and usually one spend-up wide receiver, right?
- 20:01Speaker 3: At least in that mid to upper 6K range, right?
- 20:04Speaker 3: So just understanding that, that's not about picks and plays.
- 20:08Speaker 3: The result is what it is. It's, you know what
- 20:11Speaker 3: the field wants to do and what they feel comfortable
- 20:15Speaker 3: doing going into a.
- 20:16Speaker 2: Slate like that, right?
- 20:18Speaker 3: And you can ask the question, well, how do you
- 20:20Speaker 3: know that? Well, number one, we have very good projected
- 20:23Speaker 3: ownership and we've done backtesting week in and week out
- 20:26Speaker 3: and have literally showed it off and you can do
- 20:28Speaker 3: it yourself right on DFS OS if you want to
- 20:31Speaker 3: do your own backtesting, but ownership is continuing to get better.
- 20:35Speaker 3: So that's piece number one. Piece number two is you
- 20:38Speaker 3: can use any optimizer and build out as many teams
- 20:41Speaker 3: as you allow and kind of look through them and see, okay,
- 20:44Speaker 3: projection wise, which projections drive all of these contests, regardless
- 20:48Speaker 3: of if you think it is or not, even the
- 20:51Speaker 3: single entry stuff, what are these teams all look like?
- 20:54Speaker 2: What do they have in common? And you can kind
- 20:57Speaker 2: of extrapolate that out.
- 20:58Speaker 3: And now how do I play against that without being
- 21:02Speaker 3: off the wall, without being crazy, without trying to find the,
- 21:06Speaker 3: the 1% owned Cooper that scores 30 points. Like, That
- 21:10Speaker 3: doesn't matter. That shit doesn't matter. It wasn't showing up
- 21:12Speaker 3: on the winners. So that's kind of the evergreen stuff
- 21:15Speaker 3: that you can look out.
- 21:16Speaker 1: Yeah. Omar Cooper made an appearance in sixth, but, um,
- 21:20Speaker 1: got to say too, first off, congrats to DFS underscore
- 21:23Speaker 1: ads or ADS been around for quite a while. Crushes it,
- 21:26Speaker 1: you know, awesome win there for a million bucks. We
- 21:28Speaker 1: will go through that lineup in a second. Shout out
- 21:30Speaker 1: to my boy, one 800 Eddie OG stochastic guy. I've
- 21:34Speaker 1: met Eddie and his wife at a bunch of different
- 21:36Speaker 1: live finals. The guy is the man. So congrats to
- 21:38Speaker 1: him on a nice run. I mean, he got me
- 21:40Speaker 1: He clipped me late with the Chiron. So he'll get
- 21:42Speaker 1: a little bit of extra coin or cheese for him.
- 21:45Speaker 1: But Scorpio was up there all day and then had
- 21:48Speaker 1: it taken away at the end. I just need a
- 21:50Speaker 1: little bit of an almond raw boost at the end
- 21:52Speaker 1: to get the a hundred K. And I kind of
- 21:54Speaker 1: thought that's what it was. I will say this. We
- 21:56Speaker 1: have no control over what happens. And we talk about
- 21:59Speaker 1: this all the time on here. So, I'll do my
- 22:02Speaker 1: little Monday motivation for you on this stuff. First off,
- 22:04Speaker 1: I really appreciate everybody that reached out. I always have
- 22:07Speaker 1: the sign, nobody cares, work harder. But it is awesome
- 22:09Speaker 1: when you're getting texts from people and all this stuff
- 22:12Speaker 1: after the fact saying, hey, you know, great run. It'll be,
- 22:15Speaker 1: you know, keep knocking on that door, all that stuff.
- 22:16Speaker 1: That means a lot. So I do appreciate it. but
- 22:19Speaker 1: I will say like, um, you know, down the stretch,
- 22:22Speaker 1: the momentum, you do feel the change. I don't care.
- 22:24Speaker 1: Like no matter who you are out there, anytime you've
- 22:26Speaker 1: had a close call or a run. And I can
- 22:28Speaker 1: tell you exactly everything was going my way. Like I
- 22:31Speaker 1: literally felt like this is crazy. This is going to
- 22:33Speaker 1: be something special. Like everything's going my way. And I
- 22:37Speaker 1: got both games on the TVs and, um, the game
- 22:41Speaker 1: I got turned on is I need almond raw. So
- 22:43Speaker 1: I got the Detroit for sound for sound. We're talking about,
- 22:45Speaker 1: it's a bit about the Millie sweat here. And, um,
- 22:48Speaker 1: The other game is on, and I see Kyron, or sorry,
- 22:51Speaker 1: I see Corum, the best case scenario, bust this TD off,
- 22:56Speaker 1: and it's going to be 34, 35 to 6. And
- 22:59Speaker 1: I'm going nuts. I'm saying, oh my God, that's the
- 23:02Speaker 1: exact perfect run out because we got a close game
- 23:04Speaker 1: over here and just need Amun-Ra points. And this just happened,
- 23:08Speaker 1: which hurts Kyron. It's going to be the fourth quarter.
- 23:11Speaker 1: They'll be up 34 to six, 35 to six, whatever.
- 23:14Speaker 1: And there'll be no, like they're going to have, why
- 23:16Speaker 1: would they play their starters much longer at all? Puka's
- 23:18Speaker 1: coming back off injury. He's down below me. They've got Kyron.
- 23:22Speaker 1: Why use him? They could just use Coram. He just
- 23:23Speaker 1: busted off a TD for him. He's looking good. And
- 23:26Speaker 1: that TD gets a flag. and gets called back. And
- 23:29Speaker 1: all of a sudden it's gentee time and 28 to
- 23:33Speaker 1: 18 and the game's tight and they're playing their starters.
- 23:36Speaker 1: So I was like, ah, that's just brutal. So you
- 23:37Speaker 1: did feel the turn, the offside, the not using Amon Ra,
- 23:42Speaker 1: all that stuff. But I will say a couple of things, Nades,
- 23:44Speaker 1: just on this stuff. I appreciate Bryce here saying, you know,
- 23:47Speaker 1: CMC getting hurt for a little didn't help either. The
- 23:50Speaker 1: black TD, Kalen Black could have been CMC. All that
- 23:53Speaker 1: stuff is true, but we always got to remember it's
- 23:55Speaker 1: true for everybody. Bellman and I talked about this last week.
- 23:58Speaker 1: Colby Parkinson, well, Davis Allen got two, almost three touchdowns. This,
- 24:03Speaker 1: you know, DFS underscore ADS could have blew the whole
- 24:05Speaker 1: field away by a million if those two touchdowns came
- 24:07Speaker 1: through Colby Parkinson. Like there's always the woulda couldas, but
- 24:12Speaker 1: at the end of the day, I was going to
- 24:13Speaker 1: show it with mine. You know, Braylon Allen, could have
- 24:16Speaker 1: been $ 5, 300 Pollard, who would have been a run back
- 24:19Speaker 1: to the stack. And I could have just singled stacked
- 24:22Speaker 1: with Concepcion and hope that Deshaun runs like he did
- 24:25Speaker 1: and change Fannin up to Kraft. And I would have
- 24:29Speaker 1: had a perfect 2v2 with 100 bucks left over of Allen,
- 24:32Speaker 1: Fannin for Kraft with the same points and Pollard with more.
- 24:36Speaker 1: And it would have been a Kraft secondary with Aminra.
- 24:39Speaker 1: And it would have been a Pollard with a Deshaun, Concepcion, Pollard,
- 24:43Speaker 1: and I win the millie. But if some butts and
- 24:45Speaker 1: butterfly effect and all that other stuff. I will say this.
- 24:49Speaker 1: My topic for today, Nades, was perspective. One of the
- 24:52Speaker 1: coolest things ever. Way worse things are happening to people
- 24:56Speaker 1: right now than me finishing fourth for 25K and getting
- 24:58Speaker 1: a king of the desert seat. I'll be all right.
- 25:00Speaker 1: And we'll continue on tonight and go back and play.
- 25:03Speaker 1: But the coolest thing is my kids are getting a
- 25:05Speaker 1: little bit old enough now to sort of sweat it
- 25:07Speaker 1: with me a little bit. They have no clue what
- 25:09Speaker 1: the sweat is.
- 25:09Speaker 2: What I mean by.
- 25:10Speaker 1: sweat it with me is like sit down there and
- 25:12Speaker 1: watch the games. And my son who's six and is
- 25:15Speaker 1: getting into all the sports and football and soccer and
- 25:17Speaker 1: basketball and baseball and all these things, watch the world
- 25:20Speaker 1: cup with them, all that stuff. This was really cool.
- 25:23Speaker 1: Doesn't really pay attention to the game, but we were
- 25:25Speaker 1: cheering for Amun-Ra, right? We needed 14. So he kept
- 25:27Speaker 1: saying 14, 14. And then anytime he'd get a catch,
- 25:31Speaker 1: my son is doing this. Amun-Ra does the, his hands
- 25:34Speaker 1: like this and then boom for the first down, right?
- 25:38Speaker 1: So he's doing that. And then this morning, after a
- 25:41Speaker 1: tough beat, it always sucks, right? We got to come out.
- 25:43Speaker 1: We're going to talk about this stuff. It is what
- 25:45Speaker 1: it is. But, you know, it's part of the game.
- 25:47Speaker 1: It's why we do it. We still love it. It's
- 25:48Speaker 1: a lot of fun. But when my son's going to
- 25:50Speaker 1: school and my wife's driving him in the morning, he's
- 25:53Speaker 1: looking out the window and he's going like this to me.
- 25:56Speaker 1: and giving me the Amun-Ra first down salute. So anyway,
- 26:00Speaker 1: it's a long story short. It just shows that there's
- 26:03Speaker 1: a lot more to it than just DFS. Would I
- 26:05Speaker 1: like to win a million dollars?
- 26:06Speaker 2: Yes.
- 26:06Speaker 1: Have no control over the outcomes. All we can do
- 26:09Speaker 1: is continue to put ourselves in the position to do that.
- 26:12Speaker 1: But fourth place this time, maybe we win it this
- 26:14Speaker 1: week in week eight for the main event. Maybe it's
- 26:16Speaker 1: a sign of things to come, but we keep on
- 26:18Speaker 1: the grind, Nades. That's what it's all about.
- 26:20Speaker 2: Yeah, no, that's awesome.
- 26:21Speaker 3: I was at a Packer party myself and had Britt
- 26:24Speaker 3: and my best friend and his wife and their friends
- 26:27Speaker 3: and stuff.
- 26:27Speaker 2: We were all cheering for it.
- 26:28Speaker 3: Right.
- 26:28Speaker 2: Cause I'd said, I pulled it up on my phone.
- 26:31Speaker 3: Cause it, people out there still don't know how to
- 26:33Speaker 3: pull up live contest standings on DraftKings, which is wild
- 26:37Speaker 3: in 2026. But I pulled it up on my phone
- 26:39Speaker 3: after I saw the discard, checked it out myself, look
- 26:41Speaker 3: through kind of some.
- 26:42Speaker 2: Of the lineups.
- 26:43Speaker 3: And so I was like, wow, it's really going that way.
- 26:46Speaker 3: So like, obviously we're watching the Packer game. And then
- 26:50Speaker 3: I saw Dan Campbell do that stupid bullshit ask. Fourth
- 26:53Speaker 3: and one from his own 20. And I was like,
- 26:55Speaker 3: if he just punts it away there, Packers go three
- 26:57Speaker 3: and out. Now they're now the Lions have to drive
- 27:00Speaker 3: the whole field.
- 27:01Speaker 2: Right. Everything. So there's just so much. I was like,
- 27:03Speaker 2: this is just terrible.
- 27:04Speaker 3: And then I saw I was on the sweat down
- 27:07Speaker 3: and I saw the frickin Trey Tucker. Inevitable garbage time
- 27:11Speaker 3: bomb touchdown week after week. I was like, oh, fuck,
- 27:15Speaker 3: that sucks because I know you're sweating, Kyron, and then that. But, yeah,
- 27:19Speaker 3: just overall great. They obviously don't have any clue either.
- 27:22Speaker 3: Like my buddy plays casually at times and asks me
- 27:25Speaker 3: for advice and stuff because he knows.
- 27:27Speaker 2: Obviously, I work for Ship It Here.
- 27:29Speaker 3: So, like, he kind of had an idea, but everyone
- 27:30Speaker 3: else had no clue. They were just like, where's Amun-Ra?
- 27:34Speaker 3: Every time he got a catch, like, they were cheering
- 27:35Speaker 3: and stuff. So it was pretty cool. We were sweating
- 27:38Speaker 3: for you too, and that's what obviously a nice community
- 27:40Speaker 3: about here.
- 27:42Speaker 2: It is right.
- 27:42Speaker 3: It's just having those memories and stuff. And the biggest
- 27:46Speaker 3: takeaway is right. You've got to put yourself in position
- 27:48Speaker 3: to have these chances. And that's the biggest thing. And
- 27:52Speaker 3: if you aren't getting in position, well, that's where you
- 27:54Speaker 3: probably have to take a look at your process and
- 27:56Speaker 3: your your setup and really do some more digging. If
- 27:59Speaker 3: you've been in position and you just feel like the
- 28:01Speaker 3: chips have slid off the back end of the table.
- 28:04Speaker 1: Right.
- 28:04Speaker 2: And it's to no fault of your own because the
- 28:06Speaker 2: leg collapsed. Right. And you can't control that. Well, that's
- 28:10Speaker 2: what happens.
- 28:11Speaker 3: And your process is usually pretty dialed in and just
- 28:14Speaker 3: keep putting yourself there. And one of these days, eventually
- 28:17Speaker 3: it's going to fall your way, right? There's a million
- 28:19Speaker 3: case studies out there that show this is true. So
- 28:22Speaker 3: for anyone out there who hasn't or feels like they're
- 28:26Speaker 3: there and they just haven't and they're getting down mentally, just.
- 28:29Speaker 2: Keep going, right?
- 28:30Speaker 3: Because you're putting yourself in a position. If not, that's
- 28:33Speaker 3: where you need to start asking yourself questions. Start reviewing
- 28:37Speaker 3: like we do week in and week out and not
- 28:39Speaker 3: just review your losses, but review your winners and do
- 28:43Speaker 3: exactly what we're doing here. And why did this win? Well,
- 28:46Speaker 3: the field played this way and this kind of went
- 28:48Speaker 3: that way. Do that kind of stuff. So that's just
- 28:51Speaker 3: a little motivation for everyone out there.
- 28:53Speaker 1: Yeah, just back to it, because a lot of people
- 28:55Speaker 1: hit me up in DMs and things last night. But
- 28:57Speaker 1: if you are just getting the modules, I'll show you
- 28:59Speaker 1: what comes with it at dfsmastermind.com. But if you join Method,
- 29:02Speaker 1: and again, you could do it, start for $ 249, and
- 29:04Speaker 1: it's just two payments. It's lifetime membership. Go from there.
- 29:08Speaker 1: But the modules really do help you. If you don't
- 29:09Speaker 1: have a full process, get back to the basics, right?
- 29:12Speaker 1: It's all from my perspective. You could take it in
- 29:14Speaker 1: less than... a nine to five shift. I would say
- 29:16Speaker 1: it's about seven and a half hours. You can speed
- 29:18Speaker 1: it up if you want, but it's got bankroll management,
- 29:20Speaker 1: contest selection, one to three max, MME, the secrets of satellites.
- 29:24Speaker 1: I use a lot of these qualify. I got three
- 29:25Speaker 1: tickets to the mega, to the main event coming up
- 29:28Speaker 1: this week. And I might put a couple more in
- 29:30Speaker 1: just so I have a portfolio to work with that
- 29:32Speaker 1: I'm comfortable with, but that's in there. How to handle
- 29:34Speaker 1: live finals, data and tools, player pool creation, optimizer benefits,
- 29:38Speaker 1: the content and the future of this industry, roster construction
- 29:42Speaker 1: and lineup selection. So part two is a little bit
- 29:44Speaker 1: more intermediate to advance, but a lot of people talk
- 29:46Speaker 1: about contest selection, not enough about roster construction, lineup selection, leverage.
- 29:51Speaker 1: We talked about, about, you know, condensed offenses with Deshaun, Concepcion, Boston, Fannin,
- 29:56Speaker 1: pick two. Well, there was two in that lineup. It
- 29:58Speaker 1: was all right. You got going against the Chokti, but
- 30:02Speaker 1: then when you're going against the Chokti, also using Bucky
- 30:05Speaker 1: and Tampa Bay versus the Chok players that fit the
- 30:08Speaker 1: same builds as a Deshaun build. Like again, it's just
- 30:11Speaker 1: layers and levels to it that I don't think people
- 30:13Speaker 1: go into enough and most certainly not than any that
- 30:15Speaker 1: play at a high level go into. So the Sims,
- 30:18Speaker 1: talking about the contest Sims, late swap. Most people have
- 30:21Speaker 1: no clue when to late swap any process whatsoever. Review process.
- 30:24Speaker 1: We're doing it now some, but there's way more to
- 30:27Speaker 1: it using DFSOS.com. A good idea. Single entry specific strategy
- 30:32Speaker 1: playing showdown. That's another fun game. You know, big slate
- 30:35Speaker 1: coming up myself, hoop and title in the next hour
- 30:37Speaker 1: and a half will be on breaking down the Monday
- 30:39Speaker 1: night football game. And then just all my lessons learned
- 30:42Speaker 1: over the years, right? This is 10 plus years of
- 30:44Speaker 1: my history. But if you're playing NFL and you're a
- 30:49Speaker 1: method member, right? You get in for the full membership.
- 30:52Speaker 1: You actually also get the breakdown here, right? And this
- 30:55Speaker 1: is an hour, two hours, you know, an hour and
- 30:57Speaker 1: a half. There's three and a half hours, four hours,
- 31:00Speaker 1: five and a half hours, six hours total. What else
- 31:03Speaker 1: do we got? seven, eight, nine, about nine and a
- 31:08Speaker 1: half hours just on NFL that you could take in.
- 31:10Speaker 1: And it's way more in depth and you'd be able
- 31:13Speaker 1: to see it all on there and check it all out.
- 31:14Speaker 1: So go to dfsmastermind.com. You guys can check that out there.
- 31:18Speaker 1: Going back to the winning lineup from yesterday, Nades, DFS
- 31:23Speaker 1: underscore ADS has, or adds, I don't know what it
- 31:25Speaker 1: is actually, but just to note it, it ended up being,
- 31:28Speaker 1: let's see if I can pull it up here. I
- 31:32Speaker 1: think it's up to date now. So let me share this.
- 31:36Speaker 1: And it is. Okay, so they had 150 lineups, cashed
- 31:40Speaker 1: 50 of them, used 93 unique players. We'll sort by
- 31:44Speaker 1: exposure first. Uh, very heavy. This is another thing too.
- 31:48Speaker 1: You'll see my stuff as well. You got away with
- 31:51Speaker 1: a lot yesterday. Look at this, you know, Bijan bust
- 31:54Speaker 1: 26% overweight, Kittle 15, whatever, not bad, I guess 28,
- 31:58Speaker 1: but like Ted Hearst had a zero by the way, 30%.
- 32:01Speaker 1: We all did. I said that too. Like it's not
- 32:04Speaker 1: going to fully affect you and maybe it doesn't affect
- 32:06Speaker 1: you at all. Still can have a chance to, to
- 32:08Speaker 1: break free from it. Had a huge stand on Pollard though.
- 32:11Speaker 1: That obviously was important, right? If you look here, 39.5 points,
- 32:15Speaker 1: 26% delta. Was big on McCaffrey. Slightly over, I should say,
- 32:18Speaker 1: on McCaffrey. Big on Otten, though. And I'm guessing if
- 32:21Speaker 1: you go down and see, like, yeah, there's Woody Marks,
- 32:23Speaker 1: Nico Collins, Colby Parkinson was a huge stance. CJ Stroud
- 32:27Speaker 1: goes with the Nico Collins stuff. Where was– I'm curious about, like, Baker.
- 32:32Speaker 1: If we just sort it by this. Not a lot
- 32:38Speaker 1: of Baker by the looks of it. Maybe none.
- 32:40Speaker 3: He had no Baker, but he was– Yeah. So the
- 32:47Speaker 3: biggest thing I see just overarching on the portfolio manipulation
- 32:50Speaker 3: part is Gibbs. He didn't full fade him. He kind
- 32:55Speaker 3: of he probably projected him kind of similar to you.
- 32:58Speaker 3: He went with 20 percent. That seems like a hard cap,
- 33:01Speaker 3: I would assume, on Gibbs because he probably projected 35
- 33:05Speaker 3: to 40 percent ownership.
- 33:06Speaker 2: So he wanted about half the field.
- 33:09Speaker 3: With him doing that while he wanted to be over
- 33:12Speaker 3: overweight on Kyron, which is another, um, guy up in
- 33:16Speaker 3: that price point.
- 33:17Speaker 2: Um, the big one though is Pollard, right?
- 33:19Speaker 3: He matched the field with Braylon and Woody marks in
- 33:23Speaker 3: doing so, who was the other cheap running back down
- 33:27Speaker 3: there with no Tajay Spears getting ruled out and this
- 33:30Speaker 3: and that the chalk Tennessee D. So if you go
- 33:32Speaker 3: to his defense, let's see how much, uh, Tennessee Titans.
- 33:36Speaker 2: He had, um, Field. Field, field, yeah.
- 33:41Speaker 3: So I say that to say he matched the field
- 33:45Speaker 3: of the cheap running backs and went in, picked one
- 33:48Speaker 3: guy in that same range to give similar roster type
- 33:51Speaker 3: construction that everyone wanted because it made a lot work
- 33:56Speaker 3: and really went in on it. He didn't just sprinkle
- 33:59Speaker 3: in this guy because of what if. He actually took
- 34:01Speaker 3: a serviceable stand and said, okay, if I have Pollard,
- 34:05Speaker 3: I want enough Pollard to get the similar type roster
- 34:08Speaker 3: constructions that I like based on what I'm seeing and
- 34:11Speaker 3: going in.
- 34:12Speaker 2: And how do you do that?
- 34:13Speaker 3: Because it was very hard to do so. Well, I'm
- 34:15Speaker 3: going to field level Woody Marks. He probably assumed right
- 34:20Speaker 3: around 30%. So he was in between 25 and 30%
- 34:22Speaker 3: in his portfolio and field level with, with Braylon Allen.
- 34:26Speaker 1: Right.
- 34:26Speaker 3: So that's like portfolio manipulation to one-on-one right there, which
- 34:30Speaker 3: I think is really sharp. The other thing too, is,
- 34:34Speaker 3: matching right the the field in jordan love he probably
- 34:37Speaker 3: projected jordan love to be right around 20 well shocker
- 34:40Speaker 3: it came in higher probably because some of the low
- 34:43Speaker 3: owned stuff in the morning window um did did good
- 34:46Speaker 3: so more people probably swapped on to jordan love which
- 34:49Speaker 3: is an uh important thing to know as well um
- 34:52Speaker 3: in in doing so where did he go overweight he
- 34:54Speaker 3: went to overweight on the other quarterback in that range
- 34:57Speaker 3: that was in a good spot and cj stroud it
- 35:00Speaker 3: didn't work out but he had double the field on
- 35:04Speaker 3: a guy like CJ Stroud, Kyler Murray, another cheap quarterback,
- 35:08Speaker 3: triple the field, right? So that's how you kind of
- 35:11Speaker 3: look at portfolio manipulation. And that's why this, this site
- 35:15Speaker 3: is so powerful, especially now with the ability to search names,
- 35:18Speaker 3: sort by position.
- 35:20Speaker 2: He's doing a ton of work over there to make
- 35:22Speaker 2: this better.
- 35:23Speaker 3: And I mean, this is literally like you go in,
- 35:26Speaker 3: you're going into the Superbowl, you hand the other team
- 35:29Speaker 3: your playbook and say on first down, These are the
- 35:33Speaker 3: plays we're going to run. On second down, these are
- 35:35Speaker 3: the plays we're going to run. Nobody would do that
- 35:38Speaker 3: in their right mind, but you have a tool available
- 35:41Speaker 3: for the potential to win millions of dollars, and people
- 35:45Speaker 3: don't want to spend $ 30 a month using code SHIPIT
- 35:48Speaker 3: to get access to this. It's literally a poker playbook.
- 35:53Speaker 3: It's a DFS playbook results study without having to have
- 35:57Speaker 3: consent from all of these players. You can literally do
- 35:59Speaker 3: it yourself. It takes a little work. So I can't
- 36:03Speaker 3: speak highly enough about this site. I use it every day.
- 36:05Speaker 3: I'm in here constantly. And I've had my best start
- 36:09Speaker 3: to an NFL main slate season since I started DFS,
- 36:13Speaker 3: since I really put a bunch of time into learning
- 36:16Speaker 3: and understanding this and looking on the evergreen stuff you
- 36:19Speaker 3: can pull out, not just, oh, you needed this guy
- 36:22Speaker 3: because he scored 30 points.
- 36:23Speaker 2: Well, no shit. That's that's the result. The process leads
- 36:26Speaker 2: to results.
- 36:28Speaker 1: Yeah, I think another interesting thing, too, is just like
- 36:30Speaker 1: when you see Let's go to ownership for a second. Obviously,
- 36:34Speaker 1: Woody Marks in a great spot yesterday, et cetera, et cetera.
- 36:37Speaker 1: So you look and see that he's 23% owned is
- 36:40Speaker 1: what he came in at. And then you go do
- 36:42Speaker 1: the same thing. And you know, the Texans were getting
- 36:45Speaker 1: ownership and people were playing them together and all that.
- 36:47Speaker 1: We talk about the slice and dice all the time.
- 36:50Speaker 1: So you had a defense in the Titans, which people
- 36:53Speaker 1: always love running back with DST, but they don't always
- 36:55Speaker 1: go DST with running back. It's the exact same thing.
- 36:58Speaker 1: Once the lineup's built, I'm talking about the concept and
- 37:01Speaker 1: how you think about it though. A lot of people
- 37:03Speaker 1: say Woody Marks and I like the Texans D. A
- 37:06Speaker 1: lot of people were saying, I like the Titans D
- 37:09Speaker 1: and didn't flip. You like the D with Woody Marks
- 37:12Speaker 1: because obviously they're going up against J.J. McCarthy, possibly Jameis
- 37:16Speaker 1: if he comes in or something, but then you also
- 37:17Speaker 1: have the pairing that you like. But if the Titans
- 37:20Speaker 1: D are putting themselves in the position, And then you
- 37:24Speaker 1: get the news right before lock that Spears is out.
- 37:27Speaker 1: Not that it was a big boost from that perspective.
- 37:29Speaker 1: I'm just saying the concept of being able to put
- 37:30Speaker 1: two and two together. It's, it's just funny how things
- 37:33Speaker 1: registered different for people. It doesn't even mean you're always
- 37:36Speaker 1: going to play them together. It's just the concept of
- 37:38Speaker 1: if it's there, you're saying the running back's good. And
- 37:41Speaker 1: that's going to put them up so that then the
- 37:42Speaker 1: D is in place to tee off. It can be flipped.
- 37:45Speaker 1: If the D is going to put them in place
- 37:47Speaker 1: to tee off, then it can be the tee. Look,
- 37:48Speaker 1: how did Tony Pollard get what he got in the
- 37:51Speaker 1: first quarter? The D turned it over. He did his
- 37:53Speaker 1: job and then the D turned it over and he
- 37:55Speaker 1: did his job again. And then there was other opportunities throughout.
- 37:58Speaker 1: It's yes, you need some luck and things like that.
- 38:00Speaker 1: But the concept of like Tony Pollard never has good
- 38:03Speaker 1: games and it's all just luck. yeah, like in yesterday's version,
- 38:06Speaker 1: he got a good game and had, and had some
- 38:08Speaker 1: luck go his way. But the theory behind the builds
- 38:12Speaker 1: and behind the thought process of like, if everyone's already
- 38:14Speaker 1: on the D, aren't you saying that D is good.
- 38:17Speaker 1: And they're going to put themselves in the position where yes,
- 38:19Speaker 1: a running back could take it from there and get
- 38:21Speaker 1: the job done. So kind of interesting, just the way
- 38:24Speaker 1: people think about things and see it. So like that
- 38:26Speaker 1: call out quite a bit, but my big takeaway was like,
- 38:29Speaker 1: you did still get away with overall. If we switch
- 38:32Speaker 1: to all the, This is the person that won the
- 38:35Speaker 1: million dollars. Congrats again. But you look at like CMC.
- 38:39Speaker 2: Okay.
- 38:40Speaker 1: Result. Good enough. Result. You know what I mean? 20,
- 38:42Speaker 1: 22 points. Kate Otten, 40% Kate Otten. How's that? Zero.
- 38:46Speaker 1: 30% Ted Hurst. How's that?
- 38:48Speaker 2: Zero.
- 38:49Speaker 1: Oh, they must've sucked then. They played all these guys. Yeah. Pollard.
- 38:52Speaker 2: Cool.
- 38:53Speaker 1: Came through, but Kittle only got 15. Bijan bust with 17.
- 38:57Speaker 1: Woody Marks didn't even crack 10. Nico, 26% for a two.
- 39:00Speaker 1: 25% on Parkinson for nine. Are you crazy?
- 39:06Speaker 2: Only 16.
- 39:06Speaker 1: Like, look at how many busts. But it doesn't matter
- 39:10Speaker 1: because it's a portfolio, right? You got a full lineup.
- 39:12Speaker 1: You got a full set here. It's all built in
- 39:14Speaker 1: the accordance of giving yourselves the opportunity to have one lineup.
- 39:18Speaker 1: A one lineup is going to win. 149 are not
- 39:21Speaker 1: going to win. It only takes one to come through.
- 39:23Speaker 1: And if you look and scroll down, there's your 225.
- 39:27Speaker 1: Look at the Delta. Next best lineup. 183. Bellman and
- 39:31Speaker 1: I were on last week when everyone was giving, you
- 39:33Speaker 1: probably watched it. Nays think you were in the chat. Oh,
- 39:35Speaker 1: why would they ever play Pennix when you could play Winston? Yeah,
- 39:38Speaker 1: they did. They played the lineup. You begged for them
- 39:40Speaker 1: to play and told them they're an idiot for not playing.
- 39:42Speaker 1: They played that. It won them $ 200. The other version
- 39:45Speaker 1: that you're talking shit about won them a million dollars.
- 39:48Speaker 1: So how's that? How's them apples?
- 39:50Speaker 2: You know what I mean?
- 39:51Speaker 1: And then you look at this one. It's like, oh,
- 39:52Speaker 1: his portfolio sucked. Must be nice. to sneak one through.
- 39:56Speaker 1: It's the name of the game. Like you said, portfolio manipulation.
- 39:59Speaker 1: I talk about this all the time, but you can
- 40:01Speaker 1: play your portfolio to have it so that you've got,
- 40:03Speaker 1: it's your portfolio. It's just like someone who buys stocks.
- 40:06Speaker 1: You can put it all on a blue chip. You
- 40:08Speaker 1: can risk it all, gamble it all because you're young
- 40:11Speaker 1: and you want to put it on AI stocks or
- 40:12Speaker 1: things like that that you think are going to pop
- 40:14Speaker 1: and go off. You can do that. Or you can
- 40:15Speaker 1: mix it. You can say, I got 80% of this,
- 40:17Speaker 1: 10% of this, or 15% of this. And the last five,
- 40:21Speaker 1: I'm going to gamble with a little bit. You can
- 40:23Speaker 1: do whatever you want. It's your portfolio. So the way
- 40:26Speaker 1: you manipulate it and move stuff around and make it
- 40:28Speaker 1: work in your favor and take your stances and all
- 40:30Speaker 1: of those things are important. And to Nade's point, that's
- 40:34Speaker 1: what happens. A lot of people just come into this
- 40:36Speaker 1: and look and go, okay, Must be nice. Got lucky.
- 40:40Speaker 1: He's got, you know, all these guys on here that
- 40:43Speaker 1: didn't do well, but he somehow had all the Pollard.
- 40:45Speaker 1: Somehow had. Like, you know what I mean? Somehow he
- 40:47Speaker 1: didn't just.
- 40:47Speaker 3: You want to know how he had it? Right here's
- 40:49Speaker 3: a prime example, Tambo. Like, filter to his team exposure
- 40:53Speaker 3: to Green Bay. Because the counter argument to what we're
- 40:57Speaker 3: saying that people could say, right, is the devil's advocate is, oh,
- 41:00Speaker 3: this guy just played everyone.
- 41:02Speaker 2: He didn't.
- 41:03Speaker 3: Look at his Green Bay. He's under every single player.
- 41:06Speaker 3: On Green Bay, 15% golden, 10% craft. He matched the
- 41:10Speaker 3: field with love because his value at quarterback was too
- 41:13Speaker 3: hard to stomach a fade. But all the other guys,
- 41:17Speaker 3: like he's underweight on.
- 41:19Speaker 2: Filter to Detroit.
- 41:20Speaker 3: He's underweight on everyone on Detroit besides three guys, which
- 41:24Speaker 3: he was just trying to match the field with.
- 41:26Speaker 2: And it was probably just– but where was he overweight?
- 41:29Speaker 3: Click on the Rams. He was overweight on everyone on
- 41:32Speaker 3: the Rams. He matched the field with Higby. But when
- 41:34Speaker 3: he was matching the field with Higby, he went– an
- 41:37Speaker 3: extreme stance on a 4% on Colby Parkinson because he
- 41:41Speaker 3: was in on the Rams offense as a whole to
- 41:43Speaker 3: have success, right? Kyron, Puka, Parkinson, Stafford, wild, right? It's
- 41:48Speaker 3: not rocket science. He didn't play everyone. That's just the
- 41:53Speaker 3: poor man's cop-out of, I don't want to really put
- 41:56Speaker 3: time into improving and digesting what one, yeah, the lineup
- 42:01Speaker 3: that got a million bucks is the lineup that won.
- 42:03Speaker 3: But looking at how he set himself up to have that.
- 42:07Speaker 3: Because if you don't go underweight to Dallas or to
- 42:10Speaker 3: green Bay and Detroit, well, your portfolio is going to
- 42:14Speaker 3: be very heavily skewed towards that game because projections, because
- 42:17Speaker 3: of ownership being high. So naturally leverage built into your
- 42:20Speaker 3: optimizers are either going to go way.
- 42:23Speaker 2: Underweight or way overweight.
- 42:24Speaker 3: More times are going to err on the side of
- 42:26Speaker 3: way overweight to get over leveraged because the projections in
- 42:29Speaker 3: the point per dollar wise on that game specifically are
- 42:33Speaker 3: looks too good. You're using a calculator, right? But the
- 42:35Speaker 3: calculator does not solve the problem without a human or
- 42:38Speaker 3: without yourself manipulating and punching in the numbers to spit
- 42:42Speaker 3: out what you want it to, right? He spit in,
- 42:45Speaker 3: I don't want to be overweight. I want to be
- 42:47Speaker 3: underweight on the most popular game on the slate, which
- 42:50Speaker 3: then gives me outs to get to these other games,
- 42:53Speaker 3: the Joe Burrows, right? The Matt Staffords of the world,
- 42:56Speaker 3: the higher price, the top end quarterbacks when he knows
- 42:59Speaker 3: the field is, if they're going up there, is going
- 43:01Speaker 3: to Jared Goff.
- 43:02Speaker 2: He's not going to Jared Goff. He's going to the
- 43:04Speaker 2: two guys that can beat Jared Goff.
- 43:05Speaker 3: And then he's also not playing the guy and all
- 43:09Speaker 3: the weapons that everybody else does want to at that
- 43:12Speaker 3: low 6K range in Jordan Love, right? So that's where
- 43:15Speaker 3: you can learn and really dig through and look through
- 43:17Speaker 3: this at not just his, but pick out your favorite pro,
- 43:21Speaker 3: your McLovin's of the world, the Unicals of the world,
- 43:23Speaker 3: whoever you deem as this is the best player in
- 43:27Speaker 3: my mind for how I play, you can do it.
- 43:30Speaker 3: And the site continues to get better. There wasn't availability
- 43:33Speaker 3: to filter this. You had to really kind of dig
- 43:36Speaker 3: through it. Now you can search names, you can filter,
- 43:38Speaker 3: you can look at his flex usage. You can look
- 43:40Speaker 3: at every single one of his 150 lineups and look
- 43:43Speaker 3: how it put the puzzle together.
- 43:44Speaker 2: So this is the kind of level of review that
- 43:47Speaker 2: you should be including in your process. And instead of
- 43:49Speaker 2: making excuses, Oh, I didn't win again. Tambo told me this.
- 43:53Speaker 2: Nades told me that who told me that none of
- 43:55Speaker 2: the shit worked. Well, What did you do for yourself, right,
- 43:59Speaker 2: to do this? We can't enter your lineups for you.
- 44:01Speaker 2: We can just help put you in a position to
- 44:05Speaker 2: take the pieces and put the puzzle together yourself in
- 44:08Speaker 2: a way that makes sense to you.
- 44:10Speaker 1: Well said. I think that's what we're saying, too, is
- 44:12Speaker 1: like when you're looking into this stuff, you want to
- 44:13Speaker 1: use it to your advantage. And maybe some don't know
- 44:15Speaker 1: how to do it. That's what we're trying to educate
- 44:17Speaker 1: you on and explain to you of how we're using it.
- 44:19Speaker 1: But like it's also, you know, what did he do
- 44:22Speaker 1: with the chalk while he played Woody Marks around the field?
- 44:25Speaker 2: Right.
- 44:25Speaker 1: He probably thought he was coming in around 25 percent.
- 44:27Speaker 1: He took the number he got, 26.7%. But then how
- 44:30Speaker 1: did he handle that beyond that? Well, he said, also,
- 44:33Speaker 1: let me get some CJ Stroud and Nico Collins, a
- 44:36Speaker 1: way to leverage that chalk. You know what I mean?
- 44:38Speaker 1: You can see that and look at it. You talked
- 44:40Speaker 1: about his Rams coverage. It's like, here's a spot that
- 44:43Speaker 1: it's like kind of mediocre ownership. Not many people are
- 44:46Speaker 1: going to it. I'm going to take some heavy stands here.
- 44:48Speaker 1: I'm going to get double the field on Puka. I'm
- 44:50Speaker 1: going to get a bunch of Parkinson and then I'm
- 44:53Speaker 1: going to get Uh, Stafford in here and almost 10%
- 44:55Speaker 1: of my lineups as well. When he's coming in at
- 44:57Speaker 1: two or 3%, he ended up coming in at 3.6.
- 44:59Speaker 1: So just how somebody handles the chalk, how they handled the,
- 45:02Speaker 1: you know, how they don't use it. If you look,
- 45:04Speaker 1: like you said, on the green Bay point, you mentioned
- 45:06Speaker 1: you can sort it by ownership here and see right away. He's,
- 45:08Speaker 1: he didn't go away from it completely, but he took
- 45:11Speaker 1: a much, um, much higher or a much more of
- 45:15Speaker 1: an underweight stance, uh, against the field there. And don't
- 45:18Speaker 1: take this for gospel. This is the part I hate
- 45:19Speaker 1: about all these sites, just whipping something up and coming together.
- 45:22Speaker 1: I've talked to a bunch. I get approached so often.
- 45:25Speaker 1: I like how Josh does it at DFSOS. Look, there's
- 45:29Speaker 1: been 5,365 total tracked contests. This is the breakdown right now.
- 45:36Speaker 1: And it tells you at the bottom, this is a
- 45:37Speaker 1: multi-year drafting contest data. It's not trying to put this
- 45:41Speaker 1: guy on blast for his P and L or but
- 45:44Speaker 1: how much did he profit? Whatever. It's, it's showcasing that.
- 45:47Speaker 1: I think he knows what he's doing. You don't just
- 45:49Speaker 1: show up and win $ 5. 6 million. And that's not the
- 45:51Speaker 1: real number. He's been playing longer for sure. And he's
- 45:54Speaker 1: got other sites and all that. So it's not to
- 45:57Speaker 1: say like, he, he might even sit there and say, Hey,
- 45:58Speaker 1: or they, I don't know who he is, but I'm
- 46:00Speaker 1: said like, they might sit there and say, Hey, I've
- 46:02Speaker 1: actually won way more than that. And you probably have.
- 46:04Speaker 1: They definitely have won more than this. But no one's
- 46:07Speaker 1: trying to say it or shit on them and say, look,
- 46:09Speaker 1: here's your P & L over the last five years
- 46:11Speaker 1: or something like that. That's what I'm seeing from these sites.
- 46:13Speaker 1: And they don't even have accurate data. So to me,
- 46:15Speaker 1: that shoots your credibility and your reputation right out of
- 46:18Speaker 1: the gate. You're useless. You're using shitty data. You don't
- 46:21Speaker 1: have it scraped. You don't have all the stuff beyond.
- 46:23Speaker 1: I like how Josh says, hey, it's connected. It's up
- 46:26Speaker 1: to date, but only from here and only for what
- 46:28Speaker 1: we've got. It's really just to showcase like, does someone
- 46:31Speaker 1: have the capability? I've had this debate for years with
- 46:34Speaker 1: people about like, oh, but don't learn from anybody who
- 46:39Speaker 1: wins all the time, but isn't profitable. Again, make your
- 46:42Speaker 1: own decision. I get it. I understand where you're coming.
- 46:44Speaker 1: I'm not trying to like take a side. I'm just
- 46:45Speaker 1: noting it, that it comes up often. if someone can like,
- 46:49Speaker 1: someone could win Millie makers all the time, but have
- 46:52Speaker 1: shit bankroll management, don't take their bankroll management advice. But
- 46:55Speaker 1: if they're teaching about how to win tournaments, they probably
- 46:57Speaker 1: know how to win tournaments. So it's, you can't control
- 47:00Speaker 1: what everybody else does. Not everybody knits it up or
- 47:03Speaker 1: only plays the big ones when they win tickets or
- 47:05Speaker 1: has a very set structure to how they do things.
- 47:08Speaker 1: It's just, you know, typically those people don't stay in
- 47:10Speaker 1: the game for as long as some of us have.
- 47:12Speaker 1: But I will note that it's like, all I'm looking
- 47:14Speaker 1: at here is to say, I already knew this about them.
- 47:17Speaker 1: But it's not a surprise that they won the Million
- 47:19Speaker 1: Maker yesterday. If you don't think there's something you can
- 47:21Speaker 1: take away from that, look up somebody else. Like Nate said,
- 47:23Speaker 1: you can go to player leaderboard.
- 47:25Speaker 2: Click the leaderboard, and this is a prime example.
- 47:28Speaker 3: Obviously, everyone that's playing serious DFS knows Yuta's a freak.
- 47:32Speaker 3: I think he's the best player in the world, all sports.
- 47:36Speaker 3: So if you hit the X there, Tam, just so
- 47:37Speaker 3: people can kind of see this, when you're on player profile,
- 47:39Speaker 3: scroll up to the top, or go to player profiles
- 47:43Speaker 3: on the left-hand side. and then hit the leaderboard, and
- 47:46Speaker 3: right there, click Yuta's name, and you can see this.
- 47:49Speaker 2: It's not just one sport. Everything is there. This is
- 47:54Speaker 2: a player that you should probably.
- 47:56Speaker 3: Want to take a look at and see how he
- 47:58Speaker 3: manipulates a portfolio, obviously, and extrapolate.
- 48:01Speaker 2: Out into your stakes, your contest that you play. Because
- 48:04Speaker 2: guess what? If he's beating the best players in the world,
- 48:06Speaker 2: the whales, the sharks of the world, there's.
- 48:09Speaker 3: A good chance that you can pull some strategy out
- 48:12Speaker 3: from his portfolio manipulation, looking through all of the stuff
- 48:14Speaker 3: that's available on here to see and extrapolate it out
- 48:18Speaker 3: into your stakes, whether it's the $ 1. 20 max, the mini max,
- 48:21Speaker 3: the whatever it is, because if it's working at that level,
- 48:23Speaker 3: it sure is the hell going to.
- 48:25Speaker 2: Work at your level that you're playing in, right?
- 48:27Speaker 3: I don't play the highest stakes, but do you think
- 48:29Speaker 3: I skip all this analysis and looking through all these
- 48:31Speaker 3: guys and see how it can apply to my portfolio
- 48:34Speaker 3: and my products and my teams and sports and things
- 48:37Speaker 3: that I'm playing?
- 48:38Speaker 2: Absolutely. Like this is everything is there. You can look
- 48:41Speaker 2: through everything.
- 48:42Speaker 3: And I mean, it's not just by chance you win 70,
- 48:46Speaker 3: probably at this point over a hundred million dollars.
- 48:47Speaker 1: 10 years beyond what this will ever host. He's been
- 48:52Speaker 1: playing since 2010 or something. So it's like, this only
- 48:54Speaker 1: shows 2020. So it's, it's, it's really more again. That's
- 48:57Speaker 1: what I said. I don't like when people are sitting
- 48:58Speaker 1: there saying like, Oh man, that's not like, it's just
- 49:01Speaker 1: showcasing that. Like you said, and people know you to cows.
- 49:03Speaker 1: It's totally different. Obviously it's good, but being able to
- 49:06Speaker 1: find out like, how does he handle a 20 max
- 49:09Speaker 1: showdown slate? And it was funny. I looked up the
- 49:10Speaker 1: one before and it looks like he always does this. His,
- 49:13Speaker 1: you know, you to handles the 20 max play the
- 49:15Speaker 1: same lineup 20 times. Boom bust. Like I got it
- 49:18Speaker 1: or I don't. It looks like that's been the case
- 49:20Speaker 1: for a lot of his 20 maxes. But again, that's
- 49:23Speaker 1: a product of bankroll. And it's like for 60 bucks
- 49:26Speaker 1: in a 20 max, why not just do that? How
- 49:29Speaker 1: he handles a 150 is going to be way more valuable.
- 49:32Speaker 1: And if you go back like this and you can
- 49:34Speaker 1: go back to the previous, should be sorted by date.
- 49:38Speaker 1: and him in the same tournament yesterday. You can see
- 49:41Speaker 1: his breakdown, and you'll see in a second, 150 lineups,
- 49:46Speaker 1: cashed 40, 93 unique players, very similar to what we saw.
- 49:51Speaker 1: You can sort by ownership. You can see he was
- 49:53Speaker 1: way under on Golden, under on McCaffrey. way over on Gibbs.
- 49:58Speaker 1: So even if he was coming in at 20 to 25,
- 50:00Speaker 1: he didn't care. He was already playing a bunch of Gibbs.
- 50:03Speaker 1: He was under on love. He was under on Kittle.
- 50:06Speaker 1: He was way under on marks. He was over on Bijan.
- 50:10Speaker 1: So he attacked it as double for the most part.
- 50:12Speaker 1: These are going to be in a lot of the lineups,
- 50:14Speaker 1: you know, at 60 and 66% playing double pay up
- 50:18Speaker 1: running back there. And then who else did he have big?
- 50:21Speaker 1: If you go down and look, Kyron, another pay up 40%.
- 50:25Speaker 1: still in on Ted Hurst to the field, still about
- 50:27Speaker 1: right on Amin Ra with the field about, you know,
- 50:30Speaker 1: with Jamin with a coker and that, and then you see,
- 50:32Speaker 1: but yeah, it's just interesting to see how different people
- 50:35Speaker 1: handle it and how they play. One thing I will
- 50:37Speaker 1: say that you can do as well is find somebody
- 50:41Speaker 1: who you think matches your game. If you're a 20
- 50:44Speaker 1: max player, And you constantly see the same names at
- 50:48Speaker 1: the top of the 20 max that aren't the mock
- 50:50Speaker 1: lovins or you to cows of the world of the names,
- 50:52Speaker 1: you know, the most, but somebody that you respect and
- 50:54Speaker 1: you're like, damn, I know that they play my stakes.
- 50:57Speaker 1: I see them all the time. They're always kind of
- 50:59Speaker 1: having good runs at it though. That's where you can
- 51:01Speaker 1: use this to your advantage and look it up and
- 51:04Speaker 1: see what they do. And it's not saying to copy
- 51:07Speaker 1: them one for one. I had this conversation with somebody
- 51:09Speaker 1: yesterday in the DFS mastermind discord nades, just about going
- 51:12Speaker 1: back to the basics. And again, I don't want anyone
- 51:15Speaker 1: to copy anyone's strategy. It's not necessarily about that of
- 51:19Speaker 1: like one for one, like what they do, I have
- 51:21Speaker 1: to do because you won't always know. And it's also
- 51:23Speaker 1: what data do they input? How are they manipulating the
- 51:25Speaker 1: data once they've inputted, et cetera, et cetera. But getting
- 51:28Speaker 1: information and using that to your advantage of ways you
- 51:32Speaker 1: can apply it to your own process is definitely a possibility.
- 51:36Speaker 1: Like if somebody says, hey, I use the stone at
- 51:38Speaker 1: Shiba Nation, and then I take the optimal rates and
- 51:42Speaker 1: the good spots, and then I put it into SaberSim.
- 51:44Speaker 1: And then I turn off guys in SaberSim, and I
- 51:46Speaker 1: make my pool based off of the stone. I'm talking
- 51:48Speaker 1: about myself here. And then I say, okay, I look
- 51:51Speaker 1: at with 12 quarterbacks in there, what ones actually pop
- 51:55Speaker 1: out as like the better lineups? Because it's not just
- 51:57Speaker 1: about a quarterback or a stack. It's what does it
- 52:00Speaker 1: do for the rest of the lineups? We're playing a
- 52:01Speaker 1: game of lineups. You got to have it all correct. Okay.
- 52:04Speaker 1: Then I see that three or four of those quarterback
- 52:06Speaker 1: stacks do shit. I don't want to my lineups and
- 52:09Speaker 1: I don't need, I don't have high exposure to those
- 52:11Speaker 1: ones anyway, or certain guys in them. So to me,
- 52:14Speaker 1: I can then break it down to a smaller quarterback pool.
- 52:17Speaker 1: And then I get to the number of whatever I
- 52:19Speaker 1: get to. It's not a magic number of lineups. It's
- 52:22Speaker 1: down to whatever I'm comfortable with and how I'm assessing
- 52:25Speaker 1: the slate. If it's a week, like last, like yesterday, uh,
- 52:29Speaker 1: your decision is probably bigger on Jordan love. You have
- 52:32Speaker 1: a quarterback where it wasn't spread out as much as
- 52:35Speaker 1: we usually have it. It was heavier on that game.
- 52:37Speaker 1: And for good reason going in, but if it's a
- 52:39Speaker 1: normal week, it's typically spread out anyway. So you'll see
- 52:42Speaker 1: like hoop always talks about it. You'll have eight to
- 52:44Speaker 1: 10% on a quarterback, but then they're, they're wide receivers
- 52:48Speaker 1: or tight ends or, or other pass catchers or different things.
- 52:51Speaker 1: Running backs maybe will be at higher ownerships. And then
- 52:54Speaker 1: you're making different stances there. You saw with the winner
- 52:57Speaker 1: of the million maker yesterday for the $.
- 52:58Speaker 2: 20 had a.
- 53:00Speaker 1: Field on woody marks but then also was over on
- 53:04Speaker 1: collins and on stroud so it was like using that
- 53:08Speaker 1: as a decision making spot for the slate so lots
- 53:10Speaker 1: of different things you can do here um i do
- 53:12Speaker 1: want to look at the 150 million maker do you
- 53:14Speaker 1: have anything else on that you wanted to add no overall.
- 53:17Speaker 3: I think i mean we're we're partnered with this site
- 53:21Speaker 3: but we're not tasked with selling for them um i mean.
- 53:25Speaker 1: Yeah you don't have price but it is uh it's
- 53:29Speaker 1: an affiliate agreement so it's like if you use it
- 53:31Speaker 1: use it you don't you don't i'm just i'm just
- 53:32Speaker 1: showing you where you can get it and it's all
- 53:34Speaker 1: organized somebody asked about ai yesterday in the discord as
- 53:37Speaker 1: well and it's like a lot of ai is built
- 53:39Speaker 1: into stuff but it's assisting it's building it's organizing it's
- 53:42Speaker 1: putting it all together people that are just going into
- 53:45Speaker 1: um ai with blind or without this information or knowledge
- 53:48Speaker 1: or anything just saying hey i like these guys build
- 53:51Speaker 1: me a good lineup probably not working out for you.
- 53:54Speaker 3: Yeah and speaking on ai like uh i i mean
- 53:57Speaker 3: i call myself kind of an ai master class because
- 54:00Speaker 3: i've spent thousands of hours it feels like at this
- 54:02Speaker 3: point getting it and checks notes you can use ai
- 54:06Speaker 3: to help on this site as well and really help
- 54:09Speaker 3: analyze that kind of stuff instead of going through it
- 54:12Speaker 3: right so from an automated autumn is it autumn getting
- 54:15Speaker 3: like more uh, less, less manual, right.
- 54:18Speaker 2: Labor to, to kind of research it. You can have it,
- 54:20Speaker 2: do it for you.
- 54:21Speaker 1: Right.
- 54:21Speaker 3: So that's like good use cases of AI, not, Hey, here's,
- 54:25Speaker 3: here's what this show, this show and that show said,
- 54:27Speaker 3: build me a lineup. Well, now you just built the same,
- 54:29Speaker 3: same lineup as everyone else and all the other hundred
- 54:32Speaker 3: thousand people that have watched those sites and heard this
- 54:34Speaker 3: and that.
- 54:34Speaker 1: Right. So, um, It's like, it's just prompting in general,
- 54:38Speaker 1: but you know, you people use AI image generation and
- 54:40Speaker 1: they all get the same shitty thing. That's like from, uh,
- 54:43Speaker 1: you know, like the, you see it in your Facebook groups,
- 54:46Speaker 1: your neighborhood, like the mom's bake sale and all this,
- 54:48Speaker 1: it's all the same shit with like the crazy graffiti
- 54:50Speaker 1: looking writing and all that. But it's like when someone
- 54:52Speaker 1: does AI image generation, some are doing like, Hey, give
- 54:56Speaker 1: me a picture. There's a funny joke. And it shows
- 54:58Speaker 1: like the, get me an image of this. And it's
- 55:00Speaker 1: the shittiest prompt of all time. And it draws like
- 55:02Speaker 1: a stick figure of a guy. walking a dog and
- 55:05Speaker 1: it's like me and my dog, you know, in the mountains,
- 55:07Speaker 1: give me a picture of that. And it's like, that's
- 55:09Speaker 1: what it gets. But if you, the people that are
- 55:11Speaker 1: prompting it to the max are like, give me a
- 55:14Speaker 1: cinematic version of myself in realistic version of this, use
- 55:19Speaker 1: an 18 by 55 millimeter lens, put the setting here,
- 55:22Speaker 1: focus on this, focus in on it. Like it's a
- 55:25Speaker 1: prop like this. And then they get like the most
- 55:27Speaker 1: beautiful image ever of like buddy with his dog up
- 55:30Speaker 1: on a mountain, looking off into the, you know, tons
- 55:33Speaker 1: of detail and all these different factors and the blurs
- 55:35Speaker 1: where it's supposed to be. And it's like, yeah, it
- 55:37Speaker 1: can do kind of whatever, but you it's how, how
- 55:40Speaker 1: you're prompting it. And that reminds me of DFS where
- 55:43Speaker 1: it's like I said, people are like, oh, I saw
- 55:46Speaker 1: a logo up top, so I better go sign up
- 55:50Speaker 1: for that site. And even our own, I'll use ours.
- 55:51Speaker 1: I better go sign up for Shiba Nation. The logos
- 55:54Speaker 1: are all over the top. It's probably a good reason.
- 55:57Speaker 1: There's a reason they're up there, but I can tell
- 55:59Speaker 1: you the people with the logos up top are putting
- 56:01Speaker 1: in the work. They didn't just magically press a button
- 56:04Speaker 1: and land at the top of that. We talked earlier
- 56:06Speaker 1: about our guy, uh, coach Sab. Yeah. He's been here
- 56:10Speaker 1: every year with us on the show. I've been doing
- 56:11Speaker 1: the show for years. He's been here. So, uh, you know,
- 56:14Speaker 1: at Shiba nation. So he's, he's in it right now
- 56:15Speaker 1: saying I'm an AI nerd. You can successfully create any
- 56:18Speaker 1: type of platform to help you with your process, but there.
- 56:20Speaker 2: Is no easy button.
- 56:21Speaker 1: I'm not paying him to say this. He just chimed
- 56:23Speaker 1: in at the exact same time, but it's just noting it.
- 56:25Speaker 1: It's like things like that, where people just want to
- 56:27Speaker 1: press the easy button.
- 56:28Speaker 2: Always.
- 56:28Speaker 1: That's not what this is. And that's why this show
- 56:31Speaker 1: gets the least views of any show that we do.
- 56:33Speaker 1: It's not really about that. It's for us to work
- 56:35Speaker 1: on it for ourselves and, If others want to do it, awesome.
- 56:38Speaker 1: If they don't, they're missing out. That's on them, right?
- 56:41Speaker 1: It's like you deposit again and go play the next
- 56:44Speaker 1: slate and hope to win again and probably going to
- 56:46Speaker 1: get those results. It's hard enough, by the way, Nate,
- 56:49Speaker 1: not to keep going on this tangent, but it's hard
- 56:51Speaker 1: enough to win as it is when you are putting
- 56:54Speaker 1: in all the work. So the people that are literally
- 56:56Speaker 1: just showing up on Sunday or, or, you know, the
- 56:58Speaker 1: Sunday show and saying, give me the picks and plays
- 57:00Speaker 1: and hope to get it right. And then wondering why
- 57:02Speaker 1: they're failing. Well, that's because the people that are busting
- 57:04Speaker 1: their ass are still failing at times. So I just
- 57:08Speaker 1: have more faith in them. If I'm betting on anybody
- 57:10Speaker 1: that they're going to come through over time because they're
- 57:13Speaker 1: putting in the work than the ones that aren't.
- 57:17Speaker 2: No, exactly.
- 57:18Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 57:18Speaker 3: For the a hundred dollars, $ 150 Millie maker, obviously the
- 57:21Speaker 3: scores are going to be a little bit different, but
- 57:22Speaker 3: not much.
- 57:23Speaker 2: There's just more, separation of deltas across the players.
- 57:27Speaker 3: Obviously when you have much less right entrance, you're at 16,000
- 57:30Speaker 3: instead of a hundred and whatever, 30, 40, 50,000, whatever
- 57:34Speaker 3: the $ 20 Millie maker is.
- 57:36Speaker 2: I don't even play that contest. So I don't know,
- 57:39Speaker 2: but yeah.
- 57:40Speaker 1: Right. We said it was 225. This is two. Yeah.
- 57:43Speaker 2: Yeah. Very similar.
- 57:44Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 57:44Speaker 2: So like, I mean, and it's very obviously right. Tambo.
- 57:49Speaker 2: What if I, if I would have just played this year,
- 57:51Speaker 2: I would have won a hundred grand.
- 57:52Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 57:53Speaker 3: But it also would have costed, way more money to
- 57:55Speaker 3: max out on this and stuff like that too. So
- 57:57Speaker 3: like that's another thing of process and reviewing. Don't be
- 58:01Speaker 3: results oriented in a way that, oh, if I just
- 58:03Speaker 3: played this there, I would have won this. But yeah,
- 58:07Speaker 3: like your process doesn't allow for you to play that
- 58:10Speaker 3: there to get that potential result that you would have.
- 58:13Speaker 2: Had, right?
- 58:14Speaker 3: So like that's another thing to realize as well. But
- 58:16Speaker 3: a lot of the same stuff you're going to see here, Um,
- 58:19Speaker 3: but it's still like going back, like even here, right?
- 58:22Speaker 3: Like the highest, one of the highest stakes tournaments, right?
- 58:24Speaker 3: $ 150 entrance, a hundred, a hundred, what?
- 58:27Speaker 2: 50 max in this contest. Yeah.
- 58:29Speaker 3: 150 max. So these are obviously going to be the
- 58:32Speaker 3: pro majority. These guys are all going to be that
- 58:35Speaker 3: are maxing it out, right? The pros that have bankrolls
- 58:37Speaker 3: and built up bankrolls year in and year out. So
- 58:39Speaker 3: you're going to see a lot of the same, same stuff,
- 58:41Speaker 3: but it's interesting to kind of look at a contest
- 58:44Speaker 3: like this and then a contest like The $ 20 Millie
- 58:47Speaker 3: maker where there's, quote unquote, a lot more casuals, a lot,
- 58:50Speaker 3: a lot more of just two entries here, three from
- 58:53Speaker 3: this person, five from that person.
- 58:55Speaker 2: Right.
- 58:55Speaker 3: And look at how they kind of approach a contest
- 58:57Speaker 3: like this. But you're going to see a lot of
- 58:58Speaker 3: the similar stuff in terms of the deltas of ownership.
- 59:02Speaker 1: Right.
- 59:02Speaker 2: They kind of picked their spots, right? On this one.
- 59:05Speaker 3: So I see from Swidby here, Drake London, right? Took
- 59:10Speaker 3: a big stance on Drake London. Be willing to bet
- 59:12Speaker 3: if you went over to running back, he took an
- 59:15Speaker 3: underweight or field level or underweight on Bijan. And that's
- 59:19Speaker 3: exactly the case, right? So like just going through this further,
- 59:22Speaker 3: I think is super interesting, super beneficial. You can take
- 59:26Speaker 3: a look at their flex usage, right? Like it's a
- 59:28Speaker 3: very common theme. in flex usage across obviously all the winners.
- 59:32Speaker 3: Cause that's more of a product of the result, but
- 59:36Speaker 3: going in, right. Like they ate the tight end value, right.
- 59:40Speaker 3: In terms of the flex, because that's where the value was.
- 59:42Speaker 2: They use the running back. Cause there was a ton
- 59:44Speaker 2: of value at running back. Right.
- 59:45Speaker 3: So pretty much all these portfolios are going to see
- 59:48Speaker 3: a big shift in a big swing towards tight end,
- 59:52Speaker 3: heavy flex, number one, running back, heavy flex, number two,
- 59:56Speaker 3: And then wide receiver is just kind of the product
- 59:59Speaker 3: of spreading across 150 lineups. So that's one of the
- 1:00:03Speaker 3: big things that you can pull there. But I think
- 1:00:05Speaker 3: you're going to see very similar results here. So I'll
- 1:00:08Speaker 3: throw back to you in terms of what you see here.
- 1:00:10Speaker 3: But it's very similar to what we just reviewed in
- 1:00:13Speaker 3: the twenty dollar.
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: Yeah, of course, it's going to be similar. I think
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: like I like looking at sort of what the people
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: I know and respect do. Grex is the man always
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: crushing across multiple sports. Got to meet him and his
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: girl at a few different live finals, just crushing it.
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: You know, I usually it's the golf streets. I'm seeing
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: him in just continuing on the success in football. 100,000,
- 1:00:30Speaker 1: obviously the winner. Congrats to Swid B. Got it done.
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: Go through that in a second. Ski basher, super underrated
- 1:00:37Speaker 1: because amazing player that just a lot of people don't
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: follow or track. I like looking at like Grex. Ski Basher,
- 1:00:45Speaker 1: RS Bathla, multi-time Millie Maker winner.
- 1:00:47Speaker 2: Fantasin.
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: My boy Fantasin, Guillaume. These guys I'm going to look at.
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: But even then, it's tough. Guillaume plays way more volume
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: and higher stakes stuff. Obviously, I still care how he
- 1:00:59Speaker 1: applies to this particular tournament and have the most respect.
- 1:01:02Speaker 1: He's my GOAT. I was talking about Yuta. Him and
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: Yuta are up there. Peter Gibbons up there. These guys
- 1:01:07Speaker 1: are all the best to me. But I honestly think
- 1:01:11Speaker 1: the way... I would play and track is more like
- 1:01:14Speaker 1: Grex or Ski Bash or those guys that, again, it's
- 1:01:17Speaker 1: not because they finish higher here overall. I'd much rather
- 1:01:19Speaker 1: have the bankroll of Phantason or Uticao or those guys
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: and be able to be up at that level. But
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: it's not my focus and what I'm playing at right now.
- 1:01:28Speaker 1: I'm playing to play the best I can play and
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: win as much as I can possibly win with my bankroll.
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: with the tournaments I play and with my discipline. Like
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: we talk about all the time when I don't have tickets,
- 1:01:36Speaker 1: I'm not going up. There's weeks I don't play the mega.
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: People are like, oh, aren't you a pro? Don't you
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: play the mega? Like I would like to, but I'm
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: not going to go throw five grand at it if
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: I didn't win my way in because that's how I've
- 1:01:45Speaker 1: always done it. And that's what's worked for me. And
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: I feel comfortable doing that. I wake up fine on
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: Monday and it's fine. It's good. But awesome to see
- 1:01:52Speaker 1: some of these lineups. I think like this is interesting
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: here with Ski Basher. And this is just what came
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: through for them. But like, and it's for third, it's
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: not even the winner, but like Bo Nix, Jalen Waddle,
- 1:02:04Speaker 1: Trey McBride. And then you see how they filled it
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: out though. Like I like this more too. Like, so
- 1:02:09Speaker 1: it's just a unique stack. That makes sense. A two one, right?
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: You got Bo next with Waddle, run it back with McBride,
- 1:02:15Speaker 1: still too tight end. Like you could get too easily
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: on this slate. It made a ton of sense. You're okay.
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: You're going to be on McCaffrey and Allen. Good shock.
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: And that actually came, you know, pretty much came through
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: 22 for McCaffrey. I know people wanted more, but it
- 1:02:27Speaker 1: was fine. He got injured and all that stuff. But
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: I'm noting, it's like, you're already different enough with Nick's
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: waddle and McBride, but they don't just stop there. You know,
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: you got pits and people say, why pits? Well, if
- 1:02:36Speaker 1: you're not playing Bijan and most are, that makes sense. Buccaneers. Well,
- 1:02:42Speaker 1: if you're not playing Coker like everybody was or anything
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: with Bryce Young or all that, that's fine. Wherever you land. Oh,
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: but they didn't get a piece of, you know, they're
- 1:02:49Speaker 1: not high on the Green Bay Detroit game. That's fine.
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: Pick up a balanced piece. Very balanced build again too,
- 1:02:53Speaker 1: by the way, right? Like you have a 7K and
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: a 7K. but it's a 5K, 6K, 5.8, 4K, 5, 6K.
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: Like these guys are all in that range. Tee Higgins
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: as a piece there. So I really like this build
- 1:03:07Speaker 1: just to showcase how you don't have to go completely
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: off the board. Like you still have stuff that can
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: get there. And then in the Deshaun lineups, you know,
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: they fit with Pollard, but it's like Deshaun, Pollard, Concepcion
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: with Wandale. And so we talked about this, um, Blickle
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: and I, a bunch of times about the, we just
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: talked about this past week. I talked about it with Stroud,
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: Nico Collins, neighbors, and likely it's like, I don't know
- 1:03:32Speaker 1: about McCarthy and Winston and what's going to happen there.
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: And like Winston's coming in to run tush pushes and
- 1:03:37Speaker 1: all this stuff. But if I just go with the
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: Nico him, I get, I move off of Woody Marks.
- 1:03:42Speaker 1: But then I also get two guys from the other
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: side that can just rack up the points. Well, if
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: you've got Deshaun and Concepcion, what's going to push them?
- 1:03:49Speaker 1: Pollard and Wandale. What else do you got here? Well,
- 1:03:51Speaker 1: I'm not on CMC, so I'll play the popular Kittle instead.
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: I'm going to get a piece of the game that
- 1:03:56Speaker 1: the guy that can just break it wide open. And
- 1:03:58Speaker 1: by the way, There's Grex's story for whatever his sweat
- 1:04:02Speaker 1: was last night. Are you kidding me? Like five points
- 1:04:05Speaker 1: away with the highest Gibbs. How good does that feel?
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: And then only to watch this guy just get stuffed
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: all these times. So everybody has a story. the next
- 1:04:14Speaker 1: day of when their close call was just, you know,
- 1:04:16Speaker 1: it's right there. So shout out the Grex, but you know,
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: Buccaneers with Bucky, the Bucky squared. We talked about it yesterday.
- 1:04:22Speaker 1: If you're not on Carolina, the T Higgins one-off was
- 1:04:25Speaker 1: a common theme across these winners, the big day he had,
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: but there's a reason we had him in there. It's like,
- 1:04:29Speaker 1: he still is attached to burrow. He builds a balance build.
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: He doesn't, you can't get to Jamar chase. Well, then
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: you kind of want to hope it's through Higgins. Then
- 1:04:37Speaker 1: if it's a, if it's a big chase day, you're
- 1:04:38Speaker 1: already in trouble. Anyway, if you don't have that type
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: of setup, uh, And then the rest of it just
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: made sense. So I like that lineup. The winner, Swid B,
- 1:04:45Speaker 1: was Deshaun with Concepcion, Fannin, and Pollard. It had CMC
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: and George Kittle. It then allowed him to get Buccaneers D,
- 1:04:58Speaker 1: Puka Nakua, and T. Higgins. Anything you want to add
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: on that, Nades, or anything there? I think it's all
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: good stuff.
- 1:05:04Speaker 3: Yeah, the one thing real quick on ski bashers, I think,
- 1:05:07Speaker 3: what was the popular, right, secondary stack?
- 1:05:09Speaker 2: Bijan.
- 1:05:10Speaker 3: And if they were playing Bijan, they were playing Kittle, right?
- 1:05:13Speaker 3: So flipping it to CMC, which obviously people were playing CMC,
- 1:05:16Speaker 3: but flipping it with instead of Bijan, Kittle, McCaffrey, Pitts
- 1:05:21Speaker 3: in the same game, right? And Pitts also leverages off
- 1:05:24Speaker 3: all those other cheap mid-range tight ends that everybody wanted
- 1:05:28Speaker 3: to play, right? Most people having J-Mo as a one-off here,
- 1:05:32Speaker 3: instead of Pitts, would have tried to find a way
- 1:05:34Speaker 3: to get to Kraft, right? And did the J-Mo Kraft, which, hey,
- 1:05:38Speaker 3: obviously would have still worked out right and probably would
- 1:05:40Speaker 3: have got got him um what another point or so
- 1:05:44Speaker 3: whatever um but that's one thing i wanted to call
- 1:05:46Speaker 3: out too and the t higgins play right is like
- 1:05:49Speaker 3: who else is in that range well malik neighbors projected
- 1:05:52Speaker 3: to be very high on christian watson and matthew golden
- 1:05:55Speaker 3: he's sandwiched between those right the same same stuff we
- 1:05:58Speaker 3: talked about earlier if people weren't playing braylon allen right
- 1:06:01Speaker 3: people wanted to kind of find a way maybe to
- 1:06:03Speaker 3: get to the Garrett Wilson in that range.
- 1:06:05Speaker 2: Right. So like it's just that mid six K.
- 1:06:08Speaker 3: Range where everyone else wanted to play golden Coker, Christian Watson,
- 1:06:12Speaker 3: tap for a little bit more or Malik neighbors in
- 1:06:15Speaker 3: that same exact range.
- 1:06:16Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:06:16Speaker 3: So like just playing a guy that can get there,
- 1:06:19Speaker 3: that doesn't need his quarterback.
- 1:06:21Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:06:21Speaker 3: Whereas chase doing, and this is part of the review
- 1:06:25Speaker 3: process and doing, and really kind of looking at it yourself.
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: Right.
- 1:06:29Speaker 2: Like I've done a ton of extensive research.
- 1:06:30Speaker 3: I know you have as well, of when Chase gets there,
- 1:06:34Speaker 3: it's almost 99% of the time attached to Burrow. Well,
- 1:06:38Speaker 3: that's because usually his price is prohibitive. Well, whose price
- 1:06:42Speaker 3: is in the same range that everybody was already playing
- 1:06:44Speaker 3: plays from that would work in other lineups? Tee Higgins, right?
- 1:06:48Speaker 3: So like that's little things like that. It's not about, oh,
- 1:06:51Speaker 3: Tee Higgins scored 29.8.
- 1:06:53Speaker 2: Obviously you need him in that range.
- 1:06:54Speaker 3: Well, yeah, people were already landing on this range and
- 1:06:57Speaker 3: other plays that they thought in their head or projections
- 1:07:00Speaker 3: or whatever it was, we're pushing them over the edge.
- 1:07:03Speaker 3: And that's talking about reverse engineering a process and what
- 1:07:07Speaker 3: everyone feels like they can't get away from and not
- 1:07:11Speaker 3: playing a crazy, crazy play. It's the fourth highest game
- 1:07:14Speaker 3: total on the slate, right?
- 1:07:15Speaker 2: T Higgins in the same range, everyone, he fits rosters.
- 1:07:18Speaker 2: I'm not stretching my roster to go get him.
- 1:07:21Speaker 3: He's just, I'm playing him where I could have played
- 1:07:24Speaker 3: all of these other guys. I could have played the
- 1:07:26Speaker 3: Matthew golden at 40% ownership as a secondary stack, Jameson Williams.
- 1:07:30Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:07:31Speaker 3: But if, T Higgins beats golden. Well, now I left
- 1:07:34Speaker 3: all of those lineups that are usually probably attached to
- 1:07:36Speaker 3: Jordan love or Jared golf. And I'm probably already capped
- 1:07:39Speaker 3: on that way anyways.
- 1:07:40Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:07:41Speaker 3: So why would I go in and do that and
- 1:07:43Speaker 3: add more chalk in that? So like that, that's some
- 1:07:45Speaker 3: of the stuff that I like to like to look
- 1:07:47Speaker 3: at it. And it's very, very, very clear.
- 1:07:50Speaker 1: I love the flips like that. Like you talked about one,
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: one thing of Josh's watching and I'll maybe I'll hit
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: them up after, but I would love to see salary
- 1:07:58Speaker 1: right here. because then we can do some more comparisons.
- 1:08:01Speaker 1: And then I'd also, whether you put like Den next
- 1:08:04Speaker 1: to Bo Nix and put the salary there or even
- 1:08:07Speaker 1: add it and just extend the box a little bit
- 1:08:09Speaker 1: so we can get salary underneath it above this or something.
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: I'd like to see it. Do you remember how much
- 1:08:14Speaker 1: T Higgins was? Was he 6,600?
- 1:08:15Speaker 2: Yeah. 60 T Higgins was 6,600 and neighbors was 68.
- 1:08:18Speaker 2: Wilson was 65. No, but it wasn't Coker 62.
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:08:20Speaker 2: Coker was 61. Golden was 6k.
- 1:08:27Speaker 1: So this is interesting too. Like I loved your call
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: it on the flip. This is Bijan and and Kittle
- 1:08:33Speaker 1: a lot more often than it's McCaffrey and Pitts. Even
- 1:08:36Speaker 1: though McCaffrey is high-owned like Bijon, et cetera, you know
- 1:08:40Speaker 1: how to slice and dice that is to play this.
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: The other version is just super popular. So he just
- 1:08:44Speaker 1: flipped the same game, the same flip. And it's funny
- 1:08:47Speaker 1: because people loved McCaffrey and Pitts had a good game
- 1:08:49Speaker 1: the week before, but now nobody wanted him. It's like,
- 1:08:51Speaker 1: it could be a thing. But one more interesting thing
- 1:08:54Speaker 1: that I just saw is not only was it the um,
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: the setup of what did he have here? He had
- 1:09:00Speaker 1: McCaffrey Allen and double tight end. So he didn't have
- 1:09:04Speaker 1: Bucky with this, but what is interesting is the popular
- 1:09:09Speaker 1: defense of Tennessee Titans or the jets with Braylon Allen
- 1:09:15Speaker 1: or whatever it might be. And then bring this guy
- 1:09:17Speaker 1: down to the popular coker. You can just say, I'm
- 1:09:20Speaker 1: going to go to the guy nobody's really on in
- 1:09:22Speaker 1: that range, go with the more balanced build with Tee Higgins,
- 1:09:25Speaker 1: and yeah, it drops me down to the Tampa Bay defense,
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: but I'm not on a popular coker. So it's like
- 1:09:30Speaker 1: a double whammy there as well. When you find the flips,
- 1:09:33Speaker 1: it's fun. And it's not meant to be. People say, oh,
- 1:09:35Speaker 1: he did it in an optimizer. I get it. But
- 1:09:37Speaker 1: it's like what you're not understanding is that most people
- 1:09:40Speaker 1: are building 10 or less lineups by hand. A lot
- 1:09:44Speaker 1: of people don't use an optimizer at all. I can
- 1:09:46Speaker 1: promise that because over at Ship It Nation, we actually started,
- 1:09:50Speaker 1: we added the Stone 2.0. And if you look here
- 1:09:54Speaker 1: and go to NFL, we'll just go classic, the Stone 2.0,
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: this is like people's favorite feature. We added the lineup
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: hand builder where you can, again, it's not up, or
- 1:10:02Speaker 1: actually it still is, where you can go through and say, okay,
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: let me sort by optimal or let me sort by
- 1:10:07Speaker 1: salary or let me sort by ownership or whatever it
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: might be. And you can start to say, okay, if
- 1:10:12Speaker 1: I go Bo Nix, Let me look at this. All right,
- 1:10:14Speaker 1: I'll sort it by the team. Broncos. I want Jalen Waddell.
- 1:10:17Speaker 1: He's popping in blue here. Good projection. He's optimal. He's
- 1:10:21Speaker 1: actually optimal leverage. All right, let me go to tight end.
- 1:10:25Speaker 1: Let's go back to sort it by price. All right,
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: Trey McBride. Not nearly as optimal as some of these
- 1:10:30Speaker 1: other guys, but let me have a look here and
- 1:10:32Speaker 1: just see what I can do. Oh, I can see
- 1:10:34Speaker 1: this one. Kittle is 29. and Bijan Robinson is 28
- 1:10:40Speaker 1: and McCaffrey is 32 for sure, but he's cheaper than Bijan.
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: And then let me go down here and go to pits.
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: Who's coming in at 3.9. I think he came in
- 1:10:49Speaker 1: at 3.6. We were very accurate, still good, still fine.
- 1:10:52Speaker 1: Just a way to flip it that you can look
- 1:10:54Speaker 1: at that and see. So little things that you can
- 1:10:56Speaker 1: do nades. I mean, it just goes a long way.
- 1:10:58Speaker 1: I don't think enough people spend time on trying to
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: figure these things out, but yeah, you know, when people
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: are hand-building, finding these theories and then applying them to
- 1:11:07Speaker 1: your hand-builds is definitely a good idea. Hey man, shout
- 1:11:10Speaker 1: out to Josh. This is Josh, by the way, owner
- 1:11:12Speaker 1: of DFSOS.com, the founder. He says, salary view is a
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: good idea. We'll get it in there. Great show fellas.
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: We appreciate you, man. Obviously doing a great job. If
- 1:11:21Speaker 1: you guys want to check out what Josh is working on,
- 1:11:23Speaker 1: he's busting his ass over at DFSOS.com. You guys have
- 1:11:26Speaker 1: seen it on the show today. Review, study, grade. You
- 1:11:30Speaker 1: can do so much more. By the way, I barely
- 1:11:32Speaker 1: scratched the surface. You can sign up for the free
- 1:11:34Speaker 1: newsletter and find out daily. He sends it out every
- 1:11:36Speaker 1: freaking day of who won. the day before what were
- 1:11:40Speaker 1: the slate takeaways it's free to read put your email
- 1:11:41Speaker 1: in there but go to dfsos.com if you want to
- 1:11:44Speaker 1: get half off the founder pricing it works out to
- 1:11:47Speaker 1: 29 a month with code ship it and you get
- 1:11:50Speaker 1: it for a dollar a day basically less than a
- 1:11:52Speaker 1: dollar a day and you've got it locked in for
- 1:11:55Speaker 1: 29 a month so check that out check out ship
- 1:11:57Speaker 1: it nation.com if you guys haven't already we've got the
- 1:11:59Speaker 1: site updates over there now if you're unsure and you've
- 1:12:03Speaker 1: wanted to get involved, you can scroll down and actually
- 1:12:05Speaker 1: take the 60 second quiz and go through and just
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: tell it, Hey, I only play NFL. I focus on
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: a handful of entries, right? Um, I typically bill one
- 1:12:15Speaker 1: to five lineups right now. I build it by hand
- 1:12:18Speaker 1: and I like it that way. Well, you could say that,
- 1:12:20Speaker 1: or you could say I build it by hand in
- 1:12:21Speaker 1: this case, build it by hand. I'm just looking to
- 1:12:23Speaker 1: try it out month to month.
- 1:12:25Speaker 2: Great.
- 1:12:25Speaker 1: The NFL only plan is the best for you. And
- 1:12:28Speaker 1: then it comes with stone 2.0 and all this stuff.
- 1:12:31Speaker 1: You can change the plan or you can go see
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: plan details. It will take you right down to the
- 1:12:36Speaker 1: NFL plan and you can go here and see what
- 1:12:38Speaker 1: it covers. So Nate's anything else you want to add
- 1:12:40Speaker 1: before we get out of here, man?
- 1:12:41Speaker 2: I just want to give a huge shout out to Josh.
- 1:12:43Speaker 3: The site is way quicker, way faster, way, way easier
- 1:12:48Speaker 3: to really digest. Like I say, I used AI to
- 1:12:51Speaker 3: really analyze a bunch of this for me and kind
- 1:12:53Speaker 3: of make that in that because I put a lot
- 1:12:56Speaker 3: of trust in the site and know Josh is working
- 1:12:58Speaker 3: his tail off. I know Tambo and I, you and
- 1:13:01Speaker 3: I have been talking behind the scenes about this site
- 1:13:03Speaker 3: and using this. So I just want to give a
- 1:13:05Speaker 3: huge shout out. He's put a lot of time and
- 1:13:07Speaker 3: energy into Um, it's not easy, right. To, to have
- 1:13:09Speaker 3: APIs connected to all these sites and download this and
- 1:13:12Speaker 3: draft Kings also, right. Deletes contest entries after a couple
- 1:13:15Speaker 3: of days. So you have to be on top of
- 1:13:17Speaker 3: it like right away. Um, so huge shout out to that.
- 1:13:20Speaker 3: It's just way more functional, um, super quick.
- 1:13:24Speaker 2: It's instant.
- 1:13:25Speaker 3: Um, but there was some lagging issues and stuff, which
- 1:13:27Speaker 3: is any new site always has. So, um, huge shout
- 1:13:30Speaker 3: out to him and the team for really improving the
- 1:13:33Speaker 3: functionality and the, uh, and the interface on it to
- 1:13:36Speaker 3: make it really, uh, A lot less seamless or a
- 1:13:40Speaker 3: lot more, I guess, yeah, a lot.
- 1:13:44Speaker 2: Less problems, right?
- 1:13:45Speaker 3: Where normally people would have seen that and probably not
- 1:13:48Speaker 3: have signed up because they said it takes a lot.
- 1:13:50Speaker 2: So huge shout out to that. And it's obviously going
- 1:13:53Speaker 2: to continue to improve as we go.
- 1:13:55Speaker 1: Yeah, added a bunch more free stuff too over to
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: Ship It Nation just to note for while people are here.
- 1:14:00Speaker 1: Like Gary says, hitting Chipotle and then back for the
- 1:14:02Speaker 1: show at 2. We do have the show at 2 p.m. Eastern.
- 1:14:04Speaker 1: It's the Monday Night Football Showdown show. But the latest
- 1:14:07Speaker 1: shows and articles are both free. I'm going to show
- 1:14:10Speaker 1: these quickly just because anybody watching this obviously wants to.
- 1:14:13Speaker 1: If you're still here, you're definitely interested in stuff like this.
- 1:14:15Speaker 1: This is completely free. You can go to ShipItNation.com. Just
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: bookmark this page if you want. But the coolest thing
- 1:14:21Speaker 1: is you can search. So let's say you're like, Hey,
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: I've never watched the takedown breakdown before, but I want
- 1:14:26Speaker 1: to see takes with T A E K. That was
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: a good one, but it's Monday. Let me get away
- 1:14:30Speaker 1: with it. So you could say, okay, I want to
- 1:14:32Speaker 1: go back and check out the other takedown breakdowns because
- 1:14:34Speaker 1: there is evergreen value in these shows. So you go
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: to last week's show, you can find out all the topics.
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: From last week, we're talking about unconventional stacks and double runbacks.
- 1:14:45Speaker 1: We just talked about the double runback in that lineup
- 1:14:47Speaker 1: that we were just on there, right? You saw it there.
- 1:14:49Speaker 1: You can see us reviewing those lineups. You can talk
- 1:14:51Speaker 1: about handling bad beats and staying disciplined. All the closing thoughts.
- 1:14:55Speaker 1: You can go back in, see it by name, who
- 1:14:57Speaker 1: we talked about. Everybody that we talked about throughout the show.
- 1:15:00Speaker 1: You can see all the terms that we use, right?
- 1:15:03Speaker 1: You can see what that is. You can then go
- 1:15:04Speaker 1: to the glossary. It's all in there. The glossary page
- 1:15:06Speaker 1: has it built in. You can scroll down and have
- 1:15:09Speaker 1: the actual transcript and then you can search it. Like,
- 1:15:11Speaker 1: did they talk about leverage? They did two different times
- 1:15:16Speaker 1: during the show. And then you could see it and
- 1:15:18Speaker 1: all you're like, Oh, I want, I wish I could
- 1:15:19Speaker 1: hear them talk about that.
- 1:15:21Speaker 2: 1954.
- 1:15:21Speaker 1: Boom. It brings you right to 1954. Again, this is
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: what I'm talking about when people are like, I'll just
- 1:15:26Speaker 1: whip together the next thing. How about you make it
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: useful for people and actually put something together, a resource
- 1:15:31Speaker 1: that they can use for themselves. This is the way
- 1:15:34Speaker 1: to do it. And then more resources under articles. We're
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: starting to get them out there. Even this is near
- 1:15:39Speaker 1: and dear to Nate's heart. We even got an NHL.
- 1:15:41Speaker 2: Section.
- 1:15:42Speaker 1: Now that you can check out some of these articles
- 1:15:45Speaker 1: over there, how to pick a goalie back to backs
- 1:15:46Speaker 1: and rest, how the schedule affects the goalies and the
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: lines and all that lineup building ownership and leverage again,
- 1:15:52Speaker 1: fully free on ship at nation.com. You can bookmark this page.
- 1:15:55Speaker 1: You can search, go to all sports. Again, I'm just
- 1:15:58Speaker 1: using a common word that we use on these shows,
- 1:16:00Speaker 1: but you can search by leverage. All these articles feature
- 1:16:04Speaker 1: it somewhere in there When you search it out. So
- 1:16:06Speaker 1: check it out. If you guys want to do it,
- 1:16:08Speaker 1: go to ship at nation.com. You can find this. I
- 1:16:11Speaker 1: wasn't under it. Sorry. By, by the latest, you can
- 1:16:13Speaker 1: see it here. This is these two have ownership and
- 1:16:15Speaker 1: leverage in them, both written by me. So you guys
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: can check this out. The glossary is there. If you're
- 1:16:20Speaker 1: a member, the free courses are all inclusive on the site, right?
- 1:16:24Speaker 1: You can go check it out here. We've got the
- 1:16:25Speaker 1: new update on this as well. I'm seeing, so you
- 1:16:27Speaker 1: can see what we cover. Go right directly to the
- 1:16:31Speaker 1: course and then get in. But we've currently got courses
- 1:16:33Speaker 1: for NFL, PGA, MLB, NBA, and MMA. So check it out. Shippendation.com
- 1:16:39Speaker 1: if you guys want to get in. That's going to
- 1:16:40Speaker 1: do it for this week, guys. Four nades for myself,
- 1:16:42Speaker 1: Toe Tag, and Tambo. Got to bring up one more content.
- 1:16:45Speaker 1: Best site in the business, not a paid ad. Appreciate you.
- 1:16:47Speaker 1: Appreciate you as well. And shout out to Darren. Thank
- 1:16:50Speaker 1: you for you and everybody else that congratulated me on
- 1:16:53Speaker 1: the fun week. Good sweat. Let's get back at it
- 1:16:54Speaker 1: tonight for Nades, for myself, Toe Tag, and Tambo. Good
- 1:16:57Speaker 1: luck in your contest. Let's ship it.