Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 153 - 10/31/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 153 - 10/31/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello, and welcome to episode 153 of the All Systems Go sports
0:24
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:35
Happy Thirsty Thursday, but more importantly, happy Halloween.
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That's right, one of my favorite holidays of the year.
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When I was growing up used to be all about trick or treating.
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Now I am very much proud and happy to hand out candy because
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I am a new homeowner. Just hit our three-year
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anniversary, me and the wife in the new house and I love handing
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out candy. So I am very much looking
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forward to that tonight. But I got to be quick because
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trick or treat is from 6:00 to 8:00 PM in my neighborhood
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tonight. And then I got a beer league
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softball game. And this is one of the last
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games before the playoffs. So we're fighting for a playoff
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seed games at 9, right? When trick or treat ends, boom,
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me and the wife who do this beer league softball together, she's
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the catcher. I play first base.
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I will be jumping in the car going down to Cambridge to play
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under the lights for a special Halloween match up here tonight.
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So big night ahead guys. And I have a three pack of
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sweats for you, including couple plays here in the NFL.
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We got Thursday Night Football and just prepare yourself, put
1:33
on the hazmat suit because this is one of the sharpest, most
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disgusting, just God awful plays you're ever going to have.
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And by God awful, I mean it's super sharp, but it feels like
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we got no shot sometimes in betting you learn to love those
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plays. So I got to play for you Jets
1:47
and Texans. I also have a bet for you in
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terms of a player prop for it tonight.
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I'm looking at a wide receiver to put up a good, good amount of
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yards for us tonight and then one play here in the NHL, which
1:57
is a pretty good shar mush edge. I want to remind everyone that
2:00
juice Reel with their shar mush indicator, which I really enjoy
2:03
because it's kind of a cherry on top for me.
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It lets me know, OK, the best betters in the Juice Reel A am I
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with them? Am I against them?
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Obviously I want to be with them, but it's kind of an
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interesting way to look at, OK, what's the percentage of more of
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the sharper batters versus the worst batters?
2:18
And are they on, you know, one side of it and the, you know,
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sharp batters on one side, bad batters on the other.
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It gives you a percentage indicator for all these
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different matchups. And they does have an indicator
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for hockey. So there's one hockey game that
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caught my eye for tonight. So overall, 3 pack, you guys
2:32
know the drill. Let's try to get 2 out of 3 eek
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out of winning night. The NFL, There's no football and
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one NHL bet in terms of last night.
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Guys just can't catch a break this week. 1 and 3 -. 2.1 units.
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We had a nice hit with the Knicks in the heat over 214 1/2,
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but that was it. The Yankees.
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The Yankees. The freaking Yankees.
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As a Red Sox fan, I play you last night.
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Sharp as a tack, low bets, higher dollars fade.
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The trendy dog. RLM play 5 nothing lead.
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Yankees have a 5 nothing lead in the 5th inning.
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I'm saying oh I'm glad I played the Yankees.
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Then what happens? They completely implode.
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So I'm going to read you a tweet guys, because if you're like me
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and you're pissed off at the Yankees for blowing it last
3:12
night, this will make you probably more mad.
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But you're just going to roll your eyes and just just throw up
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your hands and say hey, you might just laugh, but the
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Yankees last night became the first team ever, regular season
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or postseason since 1913 / 100 years to do all of these things.
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Blow A5 run lead. Allow five or more unearned
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runs. Commit 3 plus errors.
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Commit catcher's interference and commit a Bach.
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I mean, seriously, if those are on your bingo cards, obviously
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you're, you're winning bingo. But what a complete implosion.
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Aaron Judge dropping the fly ball in center, That was just
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pathetic. So tip your cap to the Dodgers.
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Obviously baseball's over. Hey, it pays to spend money and
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bring in good players. Dodgers obviously win, win the
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whole thing. But 5 nothing lead and you do
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all those pathetic errors and mishaps, Yankees, you're dead to
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me. That was, that was just putrid
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and disgusting last night. Liberty.
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Give me Liberty or give me death.
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Well, we died last night. Liberty came up short.
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They had a chance to win the game at the end and their
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quarterback threw an interception late.
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So that screwed us. And then VGKI did not see that
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coming. They didn't even show up.
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They got rolled by the Kings on the second night of a
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back-to-back. They were arrested.
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The Kings were tired and the Kings bloom out of the water six
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to three. So what are you going to do?
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1 and 3 -, 2.1 units. I think we're right there.
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We just got to get some some breaks to go our way.
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Before we kick off today's pod and talk about Thursday Night
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Football, I just want to mention a pretty cool thing that Rhythm
4:36
is doing right now. They have teamed up with Splash
4:39
Sports and there is a 4 1/2 grand, $4500 week nine pick,
4:45
pick, ATS, challenge, whatever you want to call it.
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So there's 500 entries available.
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I think there's about 100 entries left, but there are
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$4500 in prizes. The 1st place winner gets 675
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bucks not bad, but I'd love for you guys to enter this contest,
5:02
have a little fun hope you can make some money and it's kind of
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just a a free entry and or sorry, I believe it's a $10
5:08
entry. Let me get that right.
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Yes, I think it's $10 entry, but you could win 675.
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You could win, you know, 100 bucks or more.
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But if you're interested in testing your skills, little skin
5:18
in the game, maybe you do well this weekend.
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Hopefully you can maybe maybe brag and say rhythm helped you
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to cash some tickets. But I tweeted that out.
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I'll tweet it out again today. But again, if you want to enter
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this challenge, make some money this weekend, Hopefully you can
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enter the splash and rhythm NFL 4.5 K week nine pick all ATS.
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So you got to pick every game ATS.
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Then the winner will get the the lion's share of the money.
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So I just wanted to mention that.
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But anyway, guys, let's get to Thursday Night Football because
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this is one of those games where it's very clear which side is
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the sharp side. But O does it feel disgusting to
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back this side? And wouldn't you know it, we're
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right back there with The Jets, The Jets, jets, jets, Jets.
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I feel like I've played them several times this year.
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I want to say I'm O and two O and three playing them.
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They've let me down many times in a row.
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So you know what I'm ready for let for them to let me down one
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more time in a row. Just kidding.
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I hope they come through for me tonight.
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I got to play The Jets. This is one of the most
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interesting and most just perplexing lines that you're
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ever going to see. So let's set the stage and I'll
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give you my play here for tonight.
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So going into it Thursday Night Football kicking off Week 9, we
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have the Houston Texans, who are 6 and two Texans.
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Let me just dial up my my breakdown for this one.
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Texans come in six and two, which I'm happy about because
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I'm on the over 9 1/2 win total, but I hope they lose tonight.
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But they've won four. Their last five held off the
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Colts 23 to 20 last week we were happy about that because a lot
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of us had the Colts +5. On the other hand, The Jets 2
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and six, they've lost five straight, just lost to the
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Patriots. Oh my God, 25 to 22.
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They're A7 point Rd. favorite. Lost out right now going to
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this. We had the New York Jets open
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around a one point home favorite.
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So I did see one shop that opened Houston -1 I saw a shop
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that opened jets -1 1/2 kind of split the difference.
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Most books were consensus around jets -1 Now the public says this
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is the easiest bet in the history of sports betting.
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Houston six and two. Jets are two and six Jets lost
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to the Patriots. Jets are a dumpster fire.
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Take Houston all day. Don't even think about it.
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Houston six and two Jets 2:00 and 6:00 and you're giving me a
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point or more to take. Houston public is absolutely
7:31
hammering the Houston Texans. The Texans are getting 71% of
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spread bets. However, here's the kicker.
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Even though big vast majority of betters are going Houston guys,
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this line has moved further toward New York.
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NY went from -1 now up to -2 and some shops are even creeping up
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to -2 1/2. And if you just look at the last
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24 hours, it's further movement, you know -1 up to 1 1/2 - 2.
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And again, some books, 2 1/2. So it's not just that we open
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with The Jets as a short favorite.
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And you got to think through the odds makers when they're opening
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jets -1 they know that the public will hammer Houston, yet
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they open Jets as the favorite anyway.
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A lot of people will say, you know, wrong team is favored.
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I always kind of poke fun at that because if you say wrong
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team is favorite, that means you think you're smarter than the
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odds makers. And let me just break it to you.
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You're not. Now, Houston may win this game.
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They may roll, but the odds maker setting the number and
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their power ratings, which are incredibly accurate, tell them
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The Jets should be a slight favorite in this one.
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So don't think you're smarter than the books.
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You might win a bet, but you're not smarter than the books.
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And if you just go into every bet saying the wrong team is
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favorite, that's an automatic kind of like waving the white
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flag of like, OK, you, you don't really understand the way lines
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are set. Again, I don't blame you.
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It's it seems does seem like the wrong team is favorite, right.
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But take a step back. Know that these lines are very
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sharp and set with a lot of money on the line.
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So public is all over Houston, 71% of bets.
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But the line moved to The Jets -1 now up to -2 two and a half.
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You guys know what that means. Fade the trendy dog reverse line
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move. Even though The Jets are only
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getting 29% of bets, the line is moved in their favor.
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And think of it this way, if the public is hammering Houston,
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they love them +1. Why are the odds makers now
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giving the public 2 or 2 1/2? Why are they giving the the
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public more points, helping them to make it easier for them to
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cover well? Tells me they took a position on
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New York. Tells me they took a lot of
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respected money on The Jets moving that line in favor of New
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York. Now New York, aside from that
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reverse line move, just classic bet against the public play.
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They're only getting 29% of bets and heavily bet primetime game.
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Make sure you can get your Prime Amazon login authenticator ready
9:37
to go here on Halloween night. But aside from just a contrarian
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play, they're sharp as well. And that's really what I look
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for when I'm betting on sports. I want the contrarian
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foundation, but I want to apply that with some smart money
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because in the end, I always want to be, if I can help it,
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simultaneously against the public and with the sharps.
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So Jets are only getting 29% of bets, but 46% of dollars.
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So low bets, higher dollars, lines moving in their favor.
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Now let's get to some system matches here on The Jets.
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If you look at Thursday Night Football home favorites and
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Thursday Night Football are three and one against the spread
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this year 75%. They're 93 and 76 against the
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spread 55% with a 7% ROI since 2006.
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So that's nearly a 20 year sample where we've seen these
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Thursday Night Football home favorites cover the number.
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It's a short week you're at home don't have to travel that short
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condensed week to typically benefits at home favorite.
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Now you may have known this from having me told tell you, you
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know, for years now or maybe you learned it on your own.
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But I like to money line short favorites.
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Moneylining short favorites to me is important because if you
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lay a 2 or 2 1/2 for The Jets and they win by one or two and
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you push or lose your bet, you know, I can't go.
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I won't be able to go to sleep at night for that.
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That's happened to me early in my career in sports betting and
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I just would be fixated on, hey, I want to lay -110 juice.
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I don't want to lay -125 -, 130. But once you get clipped for the
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first time in that situation, you get you get whacked like
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Tony Soprano whacking somebody when you lay a 2 1/2 and they
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win by one or two and you lose. Then you learn to money line
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short favorites. This is a money line play for
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me, Jets to win the damn game to me.
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Also money lining short favorites.
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It protects you. Yes, you're paying more juice,
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but the odds makers are telling you this is a, you know, one or
11:19
two point game. This could be a very short,
11:22
close game. Therefore, I want to just say
11:24
win the damn game versus having to worry about winning by three
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or more. Also, you look at in that vein,
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the money line play Thursday Night Football favorites are six
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and two straight up. This year, they're 194 and 76
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straight up, 72 percent, 5% ROI since 2006.
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So it's been really beneficial here to money line and, and play
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those short favorites, especially when the line short,
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like if you're a -, 7 home favorite -10 again, you're not
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going to money line that. It's just too expensive.
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But this is kind of in the wheelhouse of really not a lot
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of juice here to lay. So we've seen money lining short
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favorites do well on Thursday Night Football.
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This is just the classic buy low, sell high, guys.
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This is the ultimate buy low, sell high.
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Jets are a dumpster fire. They look terrible.
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They got a terrible record. They've lost.
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What did I say? They've lost five straight
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versus Houston. Who's won?
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What would I what I say for their last five, One of the
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better teams in football. You're buying low on The Jets,
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you're selling high on Houston. Houston also or The Jets in this
12:21
case, would be a non division favorite.
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So lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote.
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The better team, which would be not based on the one loss
12:28
record, but better team based on who's expected to win with the
12:31
minus number in front of their odds.
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But here's where I think we might have an angle.
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Texans are down their top 2 wide receivers.
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Nico Collins has already been out for a while, but Stefan digs
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just towards ACL going into this game, I believe it's John
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Metchi, Tank Dell and Xavier Hutchinson as the top three wide
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outs for Houston against, you know, Sauce Gardner, even though
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it might be not the greatest year, but a decent jet
12:55
secondary. So maybe that's an angle here.
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Why, you know, obviously if a guy like Stefan Diggs is maybe
13:00
worth a half point to the spread, something like that, A
13:03
benefit here to The Jets with those guys out.
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Now, in terms of the total, I didn't play it, but it does look
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like a little bit of liability under the totals, 42 1/2.
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It really hasn't moved despite 68% of bets going over.
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So it might be a little bit of a line freeze because the books
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aren't really moving this line up to 4344, even though 68% of
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bets are going over. Primes and wonders haven't been
13:25
great this year, but look at the larger sample.
13:27
They're 58% since 2019. Sean Hockley, Ed Hockley's son
13:32
with the guns, he's got a 58% historical win rate to the
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under. And you know, the forecast
13:38
should be nice nights, high 60s, low 70s, cloudy skies, but you
13:42
do have eight to 10 mile per hour winds.
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So it's a little bit windy. And the Texans, by the way, are
13:46
really good under team this year.
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There's six and two to the under.
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That's tied for the Giants for the second best under team in
13:52
the NFL. And if you know who's first, the
13:54
Chargers. So with all that being said,
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it's a lean to me on the under, but I got to go jets here, guys.
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This is one of those bets were like, I fully expect The Jets to
14:03
let us down and and lose this game because they stink and
14:06
they're terrible. But it's one of these games
14:08
where I got to trust the market. You know, if if I were to play
14:11
Houston and The Jets win this game, I really could not live
14:14
with myself because I would be if I'm if I'm on Houston, I
14:17
would be with the public with a line moving away from me with
14:20
the masses. So this is a play where I know
14:22
it's hard to back The Jets. They've let us down multiple
14:25
times this year. They look like a dumpster fire,
14:28
but the market is the market and the market is telling us Jets
14:32
are really getting no support yet the lines moving in their
14:34
favor. So I got to go Jets here, guys,
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hold your nose, put on the hazmat suit, say a prayer.
14:39
Can you win the damn game, Jets? Come on, give me The Jets on the
14:43
money line. I got a -, 130 at Bet MGM.
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Now one player pop for you. In the same vein of hoping The
14:50
Jets play well tonight, I'm going to bank on Garrett Wilson
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to have a good night here. Receiving wise, I'm going to go
14:55
Garrett Wilson over 59 1/2 receiving yards.
14:59
Now that's a bill available at FanDuel, but definitely make
15:02
sure you shop around because I noticed Caesar's is at 61 1/2,
15:05
Fanatics is at 60 1/2. So may not seem like a big
15:08
difference, but again, if he lands on 60 yards, you use, you
15:11
win your FanDuel over 59 1/2, you lose your Caesar's or
15:14
Fanatics play. So I'm going to go over 59 1/2
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hoping that Wilson can get a 60 or more.
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But Wilson has gone over this number in four straight games.
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He just had five catches for 113 yards against the Patriots last
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week. And you'll get Wilson.
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Not only does he lead his team in targets, he leads the NFL in
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targets. He's been targeted 84 times this
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year. I think the second top receiver
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there to be target, I think it's Brock Bowers, believe it or not,
15:39
but it's like 10 or 12 less than Garrett Wilson.
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So even though, you know, Aaron Rodgers hasn't played great this
15:46
year, he does seem to target Wilson a lot.
15:47
He does seem to have at least forged a little bit of a
15:50
connection here with Garrett Wilson.
15:52
And then also, I'm thinking game plan wise, you actually saw this
15:57
with kind of the since Devante Adams joined The Jets.
16:01
I know it's only been a couple games, but usually you've seen
16:05
at least the Patriots, Christian Gonzalez and Joey Porter Junior,
16:08
they've gone up against Devante Adams.
16:11
So Devante Adams has gotten the top cornerback from each
16:15
opposing team since he joined The Jets.
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If that continues, if the Texans put Derek Stingley junior on
16:20
Devante Adams, boom, that means we have good news obviously for
16:24
Wilson because he'll be going up against probably Lassiter or the
16:29
second best corner or third corner here.
16:31
So hopefully that kind of leads to some favorable matchups.
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And oh, by the way, I know it was last year.
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I know it was Zach Wilson. But if you guys remember, The
16:38
Jets played the Texans. They won the game 30 to six at
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home and Wilson went off. He had 9 catches for 108 yards
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in his lone matchup against the Texans last year.
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I gave you all those stats and now here's the kicker.
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Our friends at Rhythm, they are predicting Garrett Wilson to
16:55
catch 69.6 receiving yards. So 69.6 is their prediction from
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Rhythm and Wilson is 59 1/2 in the betting market.
17:06
So shop around. Hope you got access to FanDuel.
17:08
But I'm going to go Garrett Wilson over 59 1/2 receiving
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yards and I'm going to play that with The Jets.
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Not a parlay, flat betting, individual bets, but I'm going
17:17
to play that also with The Jets at -130 on the money line.
17:21
So Jesus CHRISD, Jesus Christo, can we get The Jets to win this
17:27
game? Can Wilson go off?
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Let's at least get one of those. It'll be great if we could get
17:30
both. Now over to a little bit of NHL.
17:34
I'll tell you right now, guys didn't have much in the NBA.
17:36
They're only four games. Nothing really caught my eye.
17:39
There was a couple games in college football, didn't see
17:43
much there. And I'm waiting for obviously
17:46
college hoops to come back. We have UFC this weekend, which
17:49
we'll talk about on tomorrow's pod.
17:50
Baseball's over. So it's a bit of a smaller than
17:52
usual slate, but I did find one system match in the NHL, Chicago
17:57
Blackhawks and the San Jose Sharks.
18:00
Now, this is probably not the game you're most excited to
18:02
watch tonight. Both these teams are not very
18:05
good. Chicago comes in three, six and
18:07
one on the air. The Sharks come in at 2-7 and
18:10
two. So these are kind of two of the
18:11
worst teams in the NHL. But I saw a Shark move and I saw
18:14
a ton of system matches on the Blackhawks.
18:17
I'm going to go Chicago here, guys.
18:19
I got Chicago at -155 Chicago actually open this game on the
18:23
road at around -140 We've now seen the Blackhawks up to -155
18:28
even -160 at some shops start off the bat.
18:31
We've seen movement toward the Blackhawks.
18:34
Then we layer in a few other system matches here.
18:36
And the Big 1 is a rest first. Tired.
18:38
So if you look at, and I know this didn't come through last
18:41
night, the tired team beat us, which was a surprise.
18:44
BGK didn't even put up a fight. Pathetic.
18:46
But you look at the system historically, we have the Sharks
18:52
on the second leg of a back-to-back or sorry, not not a
18:54
back-to-back, but they played two nights ago against LA.
18:57
The Blackhawks have been off since the 28th.
19:00
So Blackhawks last played 28th. Sharks played on the 29th.
19:03
Sharks also played on the 28th. So this is the Sharks third game
19:07
in four days. And you have the Blackhawks
19:09
playing their second game in four days.
19:11
So we have a rest first tired. And that applies to a lot of
19:14
system matches here. So if I look at rested Rd.
19:17
favorites at least two days or more between their last game and
19:20
their current game, those teams are 31 and 17 this year, 65%,
19:25
seven percent ROI, both missed the playoffs the previous year.
19:28
Take the favorite, which will be Chicago here, 22 and 12 this
19:32
year, 65 percent, 8% ROI favorite off a win versus an
19:36
opponent who missed the playoffs the previous year.
19:39
That's 21 and 1264% this season. And then Rd. favorites with
19:43
Steam playing an opponent to miss the postseason.
19:45
So Rd. favorites getting at least $0.10 of steam or more in
19:48
their direction. They're 13 and eight this year,
19:50
62% with a 4% ROI. So a lot of system matches here
19:54
on Chicago. Digging a little bit deeper,
19:57
guys. Offensively, you have the
19:59
Chicago Blackhawks scoring 2.7 goals per game, San Jose scoring
20:04
2.5 S, better offense and better defense.
20:08
Chicago's giving up 3.3 goals a game.
20:10
San Jose is giving up four goals per game.
20:13
Then you dig a little bit deeper into the starting goal tenders.
20:16
Neither are very good, but hopefully Peter Mrazik is a
20:18
little bit better than Mackenzie Blackwood.
20:21
Mrazik on the year three and five, 3 point O, four goals
20:24
against, 896 save percentage. Blackwood 1-3 and two 3.89 goals
20:30
against, 888 save percentage. So again, Mrazik is no, you
20:35
know, Tim Thomas in the 2011 playoffs, but he's got better
20:38
numbers than Blackwood, who's really struggled here.
20:40
You also get goal differential. Chicago -6 on the year, not
20:44
great, but if you look at San Jose, they're -18 so we got a
20:49
lot of system matches. We got a road favorite here with
20:51
some steam, better offense and defense, hopefully better goal
20:55
tending. And then oh, the cherry on top,
20:56
if you fire up your rhythm or sorry, your juicer lap and you
21:00
go to your sharp mush indicators, there's a 13% sharp
21:03
mush edge on the Blackhawks tonight.
21:05
That means there is a 13% basically discrepancy where the
21:09
better betters are going Chicago and the worst betters on the app
21:12
are going San Jose. So can we get the Blackhawks
21:15
here to show up tonight? Fingers crossed we get an
21:18
opportunity to sweat Connor. But dad, if you never sweat them
21:20
before, got kids, Incredible. But I'm going to follow these
21:24
system matches in line moves. I got the Blackhawks at -155 S
21:29
Jets money line, Garrett Wilson over 59 1/2 and Chicago
21:33
Blackhawks -155 that about does it guys.
21:37
I know it's a short pod on Halloween, but I still got to,
21:39
you know, get the get the tombstones out in the front
21:42
yard, get the candy ready, get ready for the kids tonight.
21:45
So I got a few things I got to do.
21:46
If you're like me in New England, the leaves are all
21:48
falling down. It's beautiful, but it's
21:50
annoying if you own a home and your yard is covered with leaves
21:52
and you got to rake them. I guess those are those are
21:55
problems that I guess I'm happy to have, but kind of annoying
21:57
when you have to rake them constantly.
21:59
But anyway, short pod tonight, 3 pack.
22:02
Let's see, we can get at two out of three of these eek out a
22:04
winning night. This is the part of the pod
22:06
though, where we wrap things up. And I start off by first
22:08
thanking you for taking the time out of your day to listen to the
22:12
part the pod here as we break down data-driven, sharp
22:15
contrarian plays each day. But secondly, I ask a favor of
22:18
you. Could you please do me a solid
22:20
if you enjoy this pod, win, lose or draw you, you appreciate the
22:24
insights and the information. Hope you guys know I'm never,
22:29
I'm never, you know, recommending anything that is,
22:31
you know, opinion based or, or kind of bias driven.
22:34
We're always trying to bet based on what the market is telling
22:36
us. So you kind of think when I when
22:38
I give you these breakdowns, it's not my opinion.
22:41
It's you're kind of getting the, you know, objective breakdowns,
22:44
not the subjective breakdowns, which pretty much is taking over
22:47
all of sports betting media. But Long story short, if you
22:50
enjoy the pod, could you please give it a five star review?
22:53
If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, go to rate and
22:55
review, give it five stars. That'll be very helpful to help
22:59
us to grow the pod, to gain more, more credibility, rise up
23:02
the charts. If there's an option to click a
23:04
follow button, click that. Though you get alerted as soon
23:07
as it drops each day. It'll be right there in your
23:09
your library for Spotify or iTunes.
23:12
Of course, if you want to recommend it to a friend, word
23:13
of mouth is great as well. But please, a five star review
23:16
would be very much appreciated. Secondly, if you enjoy the style
23:20
of betting breakdown and you're intrigued by following the
23:23
market, you never really knew this was an option.
23:26
Now you're starting to learn how to read line movement, look at
23:28
percentages, go contrarian, look at system matches, flat bet.
23:32
You're not parlaying. Hopefully you're seeing your
23:34
bankroll. You know, you know, slowly but
23:36
steadily creep up a little bit. If any of that is the case and
23:39
you want to learn more about data-driven betting, or you have
23:42
someone in your life who's new to betting and needs to learn a
23:44
thing or two about data-driven betting, then guess what?
23:47
I wrote a book which is available to purchase on Amazon
23:51
or Barnes and Noble. Amazon's probably the easiest
23:53
way. You just go to Amazon.com and
23:55
type in the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
23:59
That's my baby. I wrote that thing a few years
24:01
ago, very proud of it. But it's got everything I've
24:03
learned in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
24:05
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
24:07
action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop
24:10
for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan, all
24:13
included in the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
24:16
So pick one up, gift it to a buddy of yours or family member.
24:19
It makes a great stocking stuff for a holiday gift.
24:22
But bring it to the book and I will sign it for you and I'll
24:24
buy you a beer and we'll sweat some sharp and train plays
24:27
together. We'll sweat The Jets together.
24:29
Can you believe that? We got to do it, guys?
24:31
It's a sharp play we got. We got to put our bias aside.
24:34
Let's go jets. But anyway, lastly or second to
24:37
last or third to last, I should say, if you haven't done it yet,
24:40
I would love for you guys to download Juice Reel and Rhythm,
24:42
my two favorite sports betting apps.
24:44
They help me win. I know they're going to help you
24:46
win. So Rhythm is fantastic powering
24:48
this pod. I mentioned that pics contest
24:50
you could join earlier. Just check my Twitter for a
24:52
tweet about that. But Rhythm is great for their AI
24:54
backed models and predictions, their best bet picks looking at
24:58
comparing what kind of they're predicting versus the betting
25:00
market for both player props and game bets, sides, totals, the
25:04
whole deal. And then Rhythm or Juice real, I
25:07
should say great for a plethora of reasons, whether you want to
25:10
just tail the robo Jackson best bet picks that are the AI backed
25:14
model plays each day or you want to take advantage of sharp mush
25:17
opportunities. Arbitrage plays.
25:19
If you want to look at looking at game breakdowns, actual bets
25:23
and dollars on every single bet for every single game that's
25:26
available to you as well. It's great for shopping for the
25:28
best line, getting the best futures price, all included when
25:32
you sign up for for juice reel. So please take advantage.
25:36
Go sign up for Juice Reel and Rhythm.
25:38
You can do so by clicking the custom links that are located in
25:41
the bio description of each all systems go podcast.
25:44
All you got to do is go to the description of each pod.
25:46
For example, it'll say something today like Josh dishes out a
25:49
three pack of sweats for for Halloween day, Halloween night,
25:52
whatever you want to call it. OK, scroll below that.
25:55
You'll see a link to juice real and rhythm.
25:56
Go click those links. Get started with your 7 day free
25:59
trial and then you'll be off and running.
26:02
So how about does it everybody? Other potty are in the books.
26:04
Whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
26:07
Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
26:10
Sundown in Connecticut, at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
26:13
Park Casino or MGM Springfield and my neck of the woods in
26:16
Massachusetts. Or out in the desert where the
26:18
true grinders get down. Where Billy Walters sends his
26:21
number runners. Where the lowest juice possible
26:23
is found at the South Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
26:25
plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool when he cashed a
26:28
big ticket. Wherever you are, you're going
26:30
to come up to me, show me a nice heat Nicks over ticket.
26:34
But you're telling me the Yankees blew that 5 nothing
26:37
lead. I'll never get over that.
26:38
I'll get over it by tomorrow. But Yankees Liberty VGK the
26:42
gross tickets RIP them up, recycle them and we'll we'll get
26:45
back at it here for tonight, hopefully.
26:48
So that about does it everybody, as always, my parting words,
26:50
whether we're one and three, three and one last night up,
26:53
down, treading water. The process, the mindset, the
26:56
plan, it never changes. Remember, we're betting games
26:59
based on data and information, not bias and you know,
27:03
favoritism. So if we can do that, if we can
27:05
stick to our model against the public with the house, with the
27:08
pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line value.
27:11
If we can do that long term, we're going to be successful
27:14
betters. So have a great Halloween night,
27:16
everybody, enjoy the candy, enjoy, enjoy handing it out or
27:20
however you're going to celebrate tonight.
27:21
Maybe you're having a party big night for for yours truly with a
27:26
big beer league softball game. We're right on the edge of
27:28
getting a playoff seed. So we got it some pretty much a
27:31
must win tonight. I hope you guys have a great
27:33
holiday. Stay safe.
27:35
If you drink, don't drive, call an Uber.
27:37
I'll be happy Halloween and enjoy the sweats for tonight.
27:40
Guys. We back at it tomorrow for a big
27:43
Friday edition of the all systems go sports betting pod
27:46
powered by rhythm. That'll be episode 154 and I
27:49
should have a UFC biting play for you.
27:52
So very much looking forward to that guys.
27:53
But in happy have a have a happy Halloween.
27:56
Have a great night, guys. Let's see if we can find a way
27:58
to get two out of these 33 plays tonight.
28:01
And of course, we'll be back at it tomorrow for episode 154 of
28:04
the All systems go sports betting podcast powered by
28:07
rhythm. Good luck everybody, trick or
28:09
treat.