Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 472 - 3/11/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome to. Episode. 472 of the all systems.
- 0:19Go sports betting podcast. Powered by.
- 0:22Rhythm, I am your. Host Josh.
- 0:25Applebaum What's going on, everyone?
- 0:31Happy Wednesday. It's officially.
- 0:33Hump day, guys that. Means we are halfway.
- 0:35Through our work week. It also.
- 0:36Means we're now just. One day away.
- 0:38From other rhythm rundown. So I was trying to mention this
- 0:41to you guys, but I'm a very, very.
- 0:42Proud partner of Rhythm. Rhythm does a great job of
- 0:45powering this pod. And rhythm is such a great and
- 0:48fantastic. Tool for sports betters.
- 0:49Because. It allows us to.
- 0:50Act like our own. Billy Walters, our own sharps.
- 0:54Our own wise guys because. Basically what we're going to do
- 0:57is, again, we didn't do the legwork, but we take advantage
- 0:59of what rhythm is is telling us. But we can basically take the.
- 1:03AI back model and prediction and then compare it to the betting
- 1:06market and look for. Discrepancies.
- 1:07Look for edges for example, maybe you want to.
- 1:10Take a dog +5 and Rhythm says. They should be plus. 2.6.
- 1:15Gives you a little. Bit more.
- 1:16Excitement. A little more.
- 1:17Confidence because, because. Rhythm is telling you that you
- 1:19have an edge over the book, so. Rhythm.
- 1:22We always mention, of course, the predictions.
- 1:24Each day on the pod but I just want to.
- 1:25Mention that every Thursday. Remind you guys we're going to
- 1:28have our. Rhythm Rundown 6.
- 1:29PM Eastern Time streamed. Live on Twitter, myself, my
- 1:33buddy Kate Harper. So those of you who have
- 1:35attended, thank you and. Even if you haven't.
- 1:37Or maybe you've done you know every, you know 1.
- 1:38Here or there. I'd love to have you guys.
- 1:41Join in, ask any questions. We'll talk about.
- 1:44The bracket. Generator as well as.
- 1:46How to create a contrarian bracket?
- 1:47And go through all the games that are on the board lighting
- 1:51up with some some sharp edges there.
- 1:53So hope to see everyone. Tomorrow night.
- 1:55For the rhythm rundown. 6:00 to. 7:00 PM Eastern Time.
- 1:59Stream live on Twitter. Now looking toward today guys,
- 2:02you know what? The deal is.
- 2:03We're going right back to college basketball we got.
- 2:05Conference tournament. Wall to wall coverage. 38 games.
- 2:09Overall, there are day. Sweats going on as we speak.
- 2:12And we got a. Huge card here for.
- 2:13Tonight. So I do have another three pack
- 2:15for you. Including all three.
- 2:17Conference tournament games, but. 1 is a conference
- 2:19championship. Game so big game here.
- 2:22That's very important late night.
- 2:23But all three plays always risking.
- 2:25One unit. Trying to go 2IN1 eek out a
- 2:28winning night. Now looking back to our last
- 2:30night guys after we went three and O on Monday, which is.
- 2:32Awesome 1 and 2. Yesterday -1.17 units.
- 2:36Did have a great hit. With Idaho, the vandals.
- 2:39Took the handles. Last night because.
- 2:41We had Idaho. With a fantastic dog to fave.
- 2:43Line move plus one and half to -1 1/2.
- 2:46Even beat the closing line, that line closed at 2 or even 2 1/2
- 2:49and Idaho really had. Control most of the.
- 2:51Game turned it. On late ended up winning 81 to
- 2:5468 so nice money line short favorite came through.
- 2:57But unfortunately couldn't get Portland State or VAA Tech.
- 3:00Portland. State was frustrating because.
- 3:03They had a good sharp line move -2 1/2 up to -3 -, 3 1/2.
- 3:08And I was I really I distinctly. Remember the saying this and
- 3:11when I was looking at. Explaining this game right in
- 3:14the Sharp report for visa.com, I was saying how man Montana is.
- 3:18Two and O against. Portland State this year.
- 3:20So look at it one of two ways. Either Montana has their.
- 3:22Number or. It's very hard to sweep your
- 3:25opponent in a conference three times in a.
- 3:27Row so revenge. Angle and you know, water
- 3:30seeping its level there means Portland State has the
- 3:33motivational edge. Well, sadly, Montana came
- 3:36through and again, Montana was up big.
- 3:38Portland State had a. Huge.
- 3:39Second-half. Surge there to make it
- 3:42interesting, make it close and. Actually had a an.
- 3:44Opportunity there to to hit a three and tie the game and send
- 3:47it to overtime, but the kid bricked it so unfortunately I
- 3:50ended up losing by three. So annoying when a top seed with
- 3:54some CLV doesn't come through, but what are you going to do?
- 3:57And then the one that was really frustrating was Vatech.
- 4:00Now I I knew going into it that we were maybe.
- 4:03Walking a tightrope. Here because that line did come
- 4:06back down. Basically toward a pick em and
- 4:08we were looking at Vatech at the time.
- 4:10They're as high as -2 1/2 so late movement was.
- 4:13Going back toward Wake Forest, that made me nervous going into
- 4:15it because again, late movement. You always wanted to be breaking
- 4:18your way, not. Against you it doesn't.
- 4:20Guarantee a. Win or a loss, but it's all
- 4:23about. Closing line value like you know
- 4:24if you got wake. Plus. 2 1/2 They close at a
- 4:27pick. You're feeling good, even.
- 4:29Before the ball gets tipped off you money line or lay a 2 1/2.
- 4:32With Vaatec, they get down to a pick.
- 4:34You're nervous because the late money's breaking against you.
- 4:37Well, still sticking with Vaatec, they had a chance to win
- 4:40the game. The game was tied.
- 4:41With like 25 seconds left and Vaatec held for the final shot,
- 4:46they had an. Opportunity to walk off, win the
- 4:49game. They missed the shot.
- 4:50There's actually a put back attempt that they missed.
- 4:52As well. And the game went to overtime
- 4:54and I don't. Know about you guys, but I feel
- 4:56like this happens. All the time.
- 4:58It's anecdotal, I don't have an exact number.
- 5:00For you but. Doesn't it feel like when you
- 5:02have a chance? To walk off and win it with the.
- 5:04Ball in your hands with. The shot clock off.
- 5:08You know, taking the final shot to win the game and you don't.
- 5:11Capitalize I always. Feel like it seems.
- 5:14Like you got overtime and you lose the game because you had
- 5:16your. Chance and you blew it.
- 5:18And that was very frustrating with Vottech and they go to
- 5:20overtime and Wake Forest wins by 6.
- 5:23So annoying there with Vottech. But maybe we deserve to lose
- 5:26that one, because that line really broke the other way
- 5:29toward Wake. But either way, guys. 1 and 2
- 5:31minus. 1.17. Units.
- 5:33So we're going to see if we can. Get back into the green here for
- 5:36today on a big conference tournament Wednesday.
- 5:39So without further ado, we got a huge slate here today.
- 5:43Let's see if we can. Stack some units here.
- 5:45Get a couple winners. Try to go 2 and one and get back
- 5:48in the green. So first.
- 5:49One on the board for me, I want to talk about an.
- 5:51Early game, 6:00 PM. Eastern Time.
- 5:53This is Delaware State playing. Morgan State and this.
- 5:57Is the. MIAC tournament quarterfinal so.
- 5:59Let's set the stage. Talk splits line move system
- 6:02matches. I'll give you my play for this
- 6:03one. So going into it, we got.
- 6:05Delaware State. 7 and 20. Two on the year, they're the
- 6:08seven seed. Just snapped a.
- 6:09Seven game losing skid though. By beating Maryland Eastern
- 6:12Shore in the. Regular season finale. 57 to 56.
- 6:16They won that game outright as a six point row dog, meanwhile.
- 6:19Morgan State 14 and 15 on the year.
- 6:21They are the two seed. In the MIAC tournament.
- 6:23They've won. Four of their last. 5 just beat
- 6:26Coppin State 70 to 60. Six and the regular season
- 6:29finale didn't cover, though as a 6 1/2 point home favorite.
- 6:32So what is seen across the market?
- 6:33Here. Well, this game opened with
- 6:35Morgan Stateless. Around A2 or. 2 1/2 point.
- 6:38Neutral site favorite, some looks even.
- 6:40Open as low. As Morgan state -1 1/2 and early
- 6:43on. Very clearly, this line was
- 6:45going toward. Morgan State, because Morgan.
- 6:47State went from -2 1/2 up to as high as -3 1/2 now.
- 6:51Since that time, this line has. Come back down a bit, I'm now
- 6:54seeing. Morgan State get back down to -2
- 6:57-, 2 1/2. So shot up.
- 6:58Toward Morgan State kind of has come.
- 7:00Back down a bit here. So we're close to basically
- 7:03where we open. With this game.
- 7:05But if you look at the splits. And this is.
- 7:07What's really important to. Me on the one hand, heavy, heavy
- 7:10lopsided betting on Morgan State 90% of bets over 95% of.
- 7:14Spread dollars at DraftKings. So big low.
- 7:17Bets higher dollar. Split one way split.
- 7:19In favor of Morgan. State now it might.
- 7:21Worry you? Taking the side.
- 7:22Getting over 90. Percent bets and dollars, but I
- 7:25would just. Keep one thing.
- 7:26In mind it's. A tiny little game.
- 7:28It's an added extra game. It's a six.
- 7:30Digit rotation game. Game three O 6.
- 7:32Five O 9. 3O651-O So what that tells me?
- 7:36Is that being on the 90% bets and dollars side isn't?
- 7:40Quite that public because. It's a low bet match up.
- 7:42And again, can you name me the mascots here?
- 7:44You probably can't. This game's on ESPN.
- 7:47Plus, it's not a game. The public is targeting.
- 7:49On a Wednesday with so many games, you know being.
- 7:51Played all day. So that tells.
- 7:53Me that a. Lot of these bet.
- 7:54Splits and line. Moves which have been either
- 7:56staying the same or moving toward Morgan State I've been
- 7:59coming from. Probably sharps.
- 8:00Wise guys, wise gals. Like you out there listening who
- 8:03have targeted this tiny little matchup because the public wants
- 8:05nothing to do with it. Now you might not like the fact.
- 8:08This line. Kind of crept back.
- 8:09Toward Delaware State because. I am on Morgan State money line
- 8:12here but this might give you a little bit more confidence.
- 8:15Popped open. Ken Palm prediction for this
- 8:17one. And he has Morgan State winning
- 8:19by 4. Points. 73 to 60. 9.
- 8:23So with that in mind. Looking at a money line play
- 8:25here now I got Morgan state -150. 6A.
- 8:29Little bit earlier today. That line has fallen a bit so
- 8:31you can get as low as -134 at FanDuel, but now?
- 8:35Looks like some books are you? Know hopping back up to around
- 8:37-140 -, 140. Five maybe -150.
- 8:40So again, shop around. If you're like me and you.
- 8:42Want to ride Morgan State? In an added extra game.
- 8:46Then again, you want to definitely get the lowest price
- 8:48you can. But protect ourselves and the
- 8:50off. Chance Morgan State only wins by
- 8:52one or two. But I also like the money line.
- 8:54Splits on Morgan State. 89. Percent bets 90% dollars on the
- 8:58money line. At DK.
- 8:59And get a load. Of this out at.
- 9:00Circa in. Vegas caters to wise.
- 9:02Guys, 75% money line bets over 90%.
- 9:06Money line dollars. So good split there.
- 9:08On Morgan State to win the game. Morgan State.
- 9:11Few advantages here. They have the better.
- 9:13Offensive efficiency 300 and 24th in the country 1st 360. 5th
- 9:18for Delaware State, Better offensive rebound.
- 9:20Percentage 100 and. 75th 1st. 292nd Better three-point
- 9:25shooting 260th 1st 300 and. 57th and very.
- 9:30Important in a tight game. Make your free throws, Morgan.
- 9:32State has the edge here at the charity Stripe.
- 9:35They are 116th in the country versus 290. 2nd for Delaware
- 9:39State. So added extra game tiny.
- 9:42Little game. Overlooked.
- 9:43Very low bet. The line shot up pretty heavy
- 9:45toward Morgan State early. It's come back down a little
- 9:48bit, although now it looks like. Maybe it's creeping back up.
- 9:51Toward Morgan State. We got good splits.
- 9:53System matches Ken Palms got Morgan State by.
- 9:56Four and oh by the way, 2 added. Bonuses here I noticed.
- 10:00A 6%. Nothing crazy.
- 10:02But a 6% sharp mush edge on Morgan State from her friends at
- 10:05Juice. Rail, but what I really like.
- 10:07Is an official Rhythm Green Star recommendation on Morgan?
- 10:11State's money line here. So that's a good sign that the.
- 10:14Rhythm AI model. Is recommending we take Morgan
- 10:17to win this game straight. Up on the money line and that
- 10:19model. Actually has rhythm with Morgan
- 10:22state predicted minus. 3.6. When this line is around 2, two
- 10:25and a half. But it did creep.
- 10:26Up as high as 3 1/2. So again crept up, came back
- 10:29down a bit, but we got a sharp mush edge, a green.
- 10:32Star recommendation from Rhythm. Tiny little game I'm going
- 10:36Morgan State. Here to hopefully win.
- 10:38This game in advance in the MIAC.
- 10:40Tournament again I got a bad. -156 on the money line, but you
- 10:44can get as low as -134 right? Now, but definitely shop around
- 10:47because again, some books are creeping up higher to -140 -,
- 10:51150 but first play. Of the night.
- 10:52Morgan State money line for me. Next bet, let's look at an.
- 10:578:30. Game.
- 10:58Let's go to the. WAC Tournament match up here
- 11:00between. Charlton State and Abilene.
- 11:03Christian now first round. Of the WAC.
- 11:05Tournament. We got Charlton State coming in
- 11:0714 and 17 on the year. They are the seventh seed.
- 11:10They've dropped four straight, however, they.
- 11:12Just lost to UT Arlington 65 to 60 in the regular season.
- 11:16Finale losing. Outright as a one.
- 11:18And a half point home favorite, meanwhile.
- 11:20Abilene. 13 and 18 on the year. They are the six seed they have.
- 11:24Also lost two in a row. Just fell to UT Arlington 6550.
- 11:287. And the regular season.
- 11:29Finale lost out right as a one. Point home favorite.
- 11:32So similar records, similar seating, both on a four-game
- 11:35losing streak, both. Ironically lost to UT Arlington
- 11:38in their last game. However, what are we seeing
- 11:40across the the market here? Well, this game.
- 11:43Open with Tarlton. State listed as a very short.
- 11:45One or 1 1/2. Point neutral, site favorite and
- 11:49wise guys. Are laying it here.
- 11:51With the Tarlan State Texans because.
- 11:52Tarlan State has been bet up -1 1/2.
- 11:55Up to -2 1/2. I really like the.
- 11:57Bet split on Tarleton. State at DraftKings.
- 12:00Only 58. Percent of spread bets.
- 12:02But 89%? Of spread dollars.
- 12:04So good low. Bets higher dollar split.
- 12:07On Tarleton State. From the.
- 12:09From the DraftKings book you also look at.
- 12:11Ken Palm, He's got Tarleton State winning by. 2. 71 to 69 he
- 12:16does have the Texans ranked. Quite a bit higher though. 217th
- 12:19in the country versus 246th for Abilene.
- 12:23As a result though. I'm going money line here on
- 12:25Tarleton State I'd. Hate to see them win by one or
- 12:28two. You lose your 2 1/2 if you lay
- 12:30the 2 1/2. I hope you win by three or more.
- 12:32But I did get. Tarleton State on the money line
- 12:34at Bally bet -129 so not a bad price.
- 12:38I'm seeing now most books are -135 -, 140 although I do.
- 12:42See some books. As high as minus. 140. 5 S Shop
- 12:45around. It looks like -140 at Caesar's
- 12:48might be your best price right now.
- 12:49But again, protect ourselves on the off chance Tarleton only.
- 12:52Wins by 1. We want to protect ourselves and
- 12:55win that. Bet like the splits quite a bit.
- 12:57On the money line in. Particular with Tarleton state.
- 13:0044% of money line bets. 64. Percent of money line dollars,
- 13:04so low bets higher dollars in favor of the Texans winning this
- 13:07game. Bunch of advantages.
- 13:09Here for Tarleton State. They have the better offensive.
- 13:12Efficiency 267th in the country doesn't sound great, but Abilene
- 13:16is 300 and. 18th Tarleton. Has the better effective?
- 13:19Field goal percentage 300 and 5th.
- 13:22Verse 300 and 35th. We also have Tartan state
- 13:25better. 3 point. Shooting 266th versus 300 and
- 13:2918th. They have the better free throw
- 13:31shooting. Big advantage here, hopefully
- 13:33make your free. Throws 112th.
- 13:35Verse 200 and 60th and they. Hold their opponents to a better
- 13:38effective. Field goal percentage. 280
- 13:41Second Verse 300. And 54th.
- 13:43Lastly. Nothing huge, but there is a 2.
- 13:46Day rest advantage. For Tartan State because they
- 13:48last played on March 5th, Abilene last.
- 13:51Played on March 7th. So a short price here for
- 13:54Tarlin. State, but Tarlin State.
- 13:56Open as a short. Favorite has become more of a
- 13:57favorite. Really good splits.
- 13:59Again, Ken Palms. Got him by two.
- 14:01So we're going money line here, great splits on the money line
- 14:04as well and a bunch. Of stat advantages along with a
- 14:06rest advantage. So, second play of the night for
- 14:08me, Tarleton. State money line -129.
- 14:12But again, some books now closer to -140.
- 14:15Last bed of the night. This one goes out to my guy.
- 14:18KN King. Nebuchadnezar, because I was.
- 14:21Joking with him on Twitter saying let's go back to the
- 14:24vandals. Here tonight.
- 14:25So biggest one. Again, put on a.
- 14:27Pot of coffee. If you're an East Coaster.
- 14:29Like Me 11:30. PM Eastern Time tip.
- 14:32Idaho. Against Montana in the Big Sky
- 14:36Tourney Championship. Game again.
- 14:38The winner punches their ticket to the big dance so setting.
- 14:41The stage for this one we got. Idaho 20 and 14 on the year.
- 14:45They're the seven seed and they came.
- 14:47Up huge for us. Beating Eastern Washington 81 to
- 14:4960. 8 and yesterday's semifinal. Covered as a 2 1/2 point neutral
- 14:53site favorite. Meanwhile, Montana.
- 14:55Again, don't love them. Because they beat Portland
- 14:57State. Lost that one last night,
- 14:59annoyingly teased us only to overcome a huge deficit, only to
- 15:03lose. But anyway, Montana. 18 and 15
- 15:05on the year. They're the four seed, just beat
- 15:08Portland State. 75 to 70. Two and yesterday's.
- 15:11Semifinal 1 outright. As a 3 1/2.
- 15:13Point neutral site dog so. What we've seen across the
- 15:16market here. Well, this game open.
- 15:18With Idaho. Listed as a very.
- 15:20Short 1 1/2. Point neutral site favorite.
- 15:23And the public. Doesn't know what to.
- 15:25Do they saw Idaho? And Montana.
- 15:27Both win yesterday, yeah. Idaho's got a slightly better
- 15:30record, but also. You know they're laying points.
- 15:33So championship game again. Public doesn't know what.
- 15:36To do you look. At the splits at DK it's
- 15:38basically 5050 down the middle. So we always talk about.
- 15:41When it comes to. A 5050 ticket.
- 15:43Count Again, this is only bets tickets raw tickets written.
- 15:46Not the money, but anytime you get. 5050 tickets.
- 15:50Take a step back. Theoretically in a vacuum.
- 15:52Line shouldn't move at all, right?
- 15:54Because you would. Assume the odds.
- 15:55Makers have balanced action, no need to bring the the number up.
- 15:59Or down at all. You know you would assume they
- 16:01have balanced action both sides, so no need to.
- 16:02Adjust however, when you. See a 5050.
- 16:05Ticket split yet? Then you see a.
- 16:06Line move. That's important to me.
- 16:09Because it tells me. That even though the public is
- 16:11undecided and doesn't know what to do, the.
- 16:12Line move tells me that smart money.
- 16:14Has taken a clear. Position so smart money.
- 16:17On Idaho baby, I'm going vandals.
- 16:19Because the vandals have gone up from -1 1/2 up to -2 1/2 and I
- 16:23see. One book, even.
- 16:24Inching up toward 3. Even though.
- 16:26Tickets are split. So it tells me smart money 5050.
- 16:29Line move in favor. Of Idaho now in particular.
- 16:32You want to get technical at DraftKings Idaho is getting. 48.
- 16:36Percent of spread bets, but 72% of spread dollars.
- 16:39So good low bets, higher dollar split, further evidence of the
- 16:42big. Smart money.
- 16:43In this game siding with Idaho now.
- 16:46Ken Palma. 'S Idaho winning by. 175 to 74
- 16:49He does have the Vandals ranked a.
- 16:51Little bit higher though. 152nd in the country versus 180. 1st
- 16:55for Montana. But as a result.
- 16:57I'm going money line save ourselves on the off chance
- 17:00Idaho wins by 1. We got or I got Idaho.
- 17:03On the money line -137 at Bally bet looks like -144.
- 17:07At FanDuel might be your best price.
- 17:09But again, shop around. Some books inching up closer to
- 17:12-150 but a bunch of advantages here.
- 17:15For the vandals, hopefully. To come through for us tonight
- 17:17and punch their ticket to the big dance they have the better.
- 17:19Offensive Efficiency 176th, 1st 200.
- 17:23And 8th for Montana. They have the better.
- 17:25Offensive Rebound Percentage 244th 1st 361st.
- 17:30They have the better defensive efficiency. 141st verse 157th.
- 17:35They allow fewer. Offensive rebounds to their
- 17:38opponents, 6th in the country, verse 137th for Montana, and
- 17:43they commit fewer turnovers on offense.
- 17:45They take better. Care of the ball. 72nd verse.
- 17:47338th 2 more. Advantages for Idaho 1A.
- 17:51Little bit of a rest. Advantage now.
- 17:53Both teams did play. Yesterday.
- 17:55But you go back another day. Idaho was off.
- 17:58You go back another day. The Montana Grizzlies played.
- 18:02A game. So Montana.
- 18:03Is playing their third game in three days.
- 18:05Montana is on a. Back-to-back.
- 18:08To back remember. Who is it man?
- 18:11The guy from ESPN back-to-back. He back, back, back, back, back,
- 18:15back at the you. Know the Home Run Derby, the
- 18:18Shwami, but anyway back. To back-to-back.
- 18:21Three days in a row for Montana. Hoping we have some.
- 18:23Tired. Legs for the Grizz versus Idaho,
- 18:25who, yes, played yesterday but two days ago was off.
- 18:28So a little rest. Advantage there.
- 18:30For Idaho and then? Lastly.
- 18:32You might have noticed watching this game last night.
- 18:34The crowd was very. Pro Idaho.
- 18:36Because this game was played or and it will be played.
- 18:38Last night and tonight. Same arena, the Idaho.
- 18:41Central Arena in Boise. So basically home crowd,
- 18:45hopefully and a little de facto home crowd advantage for Idaho.
- 18:49So Idaho came through last night.
- 18:51We're going right back to the well here tonight.
- 18:52They got a line move. 5050 tickets split.
- 18:55But sharp movement in their favor, we have some good.
- 18:57Splits system matches rest first.
- 18:59Tired de facto homecourt. And by the way.
- 19:03Rhythm has Idaho. -2 point. 7 So not a bad edge there on the
- 19:08money line just to win by 1. So, last bite of the night for.
- 19:10Me Idaho money line -137 again, looks like maybe minus. 140.
- 19:15Ish is your best. Price now so.
- 19:17Morgan State, Charlton State, Idaho.
- 19:20All three money lines. Let's find a way to scratch and
- 19:22claw and get 2 out of 3. Eek out a winning day.
- 19:26So that about does it for episode 4. 72 of the all.
- 19:29Systems go sports betting. Podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 19:32This is the part of the pod where you wrap things up.
- 19:34And I always start first by saying.
- 19:36Thank you. Thank you for listening, Thank
- 19:38you for taking. The time out of your day.
- 19:39Out of your busy lives. To pull up a chair to the
- 19:42virtual. Bar and sweat some sharp
- 19:43data-driven breakdowns. With me.
- 19:45If you do enjoy this pod, hopefully you value the
- 19:47insights. If that's the case, I would love
- 19:49for you to help me grow this podcast and.
- 19:51You can do some. Very easy, simple things.
- 19:53To support the pod. 1. Give it a 5.
- 19:55Star Review on Spotify or. ITunes if you.
- 19:58Want to leave a nice comment under the rate and review
- 20:00section? Or click the follow.
- 20:01Button or recommend the pod to a friend or.
- 20:04Retweet the pod. When I put it out each day on
- 20:06Twitter, at Josh, under Score Insights, any or all of those
- 20:09things. Would be very much appreciated.
- 20:12Next. If you enjoy this style of
- 20:13sports betting. Breakdown data-driven, sharp
- 20:16contrarian betting focusing on line movement bets, split system
- 20:19matches focusing on what the market and the numbers are
- 20:22telling us, not what our gut and our.
- 20:24Bias is telling us. If.
- 20:25This style of betting. Has appealed to you.
- 20:27You've been provided A blueprint to.
- 20:28Attack the market. And you want to learn more?
- 20:31About data-driven betting. Or you have a friend or
- 20:33colleague or someone you know. Who could use some?
- 20:35Data-driven tips, then I'd love. For you.
- 20:37To go to Amazon.com. And type in the NFL sharp
- 20:41betting. Playbook or type in the.
- 20:42Everything guide to sports betting.
- 20:44Those are the two books that I've written.
- 20:46Very proud of both. The Everything guide.
- 20:48Has a lot of March Madness tips and MLB.
- 20:50So. That's a little more timely,
- 20:52although. NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 20:54Hey, it's got some NFL draft tips as well.
- 20:56If you want to grab one or both my books, you'll make my.
- 20:58Day, and you will. Bring them.
- 21:00To the sports book, I'll sign them for you.
- 21:02I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat some games
- 21:05together. Next.
- 21:07Have you downloaded Rhythm in Juice?
- 21:08Real yet? My 2.
- 21:09Favorite Sports Sports betting? Apps around because they help me
- 21:13when? I know they're going to help you
- 21:14win. But Rhythm is great for their AI
- 21:16backed models and predictions for game bets and player props
- 21:19and juice. Reel so many.
- 21:21Great features. You can just.
- 21:22Tail if you'd like the Robo Jackson best bet picks pair of
- 21:25pics that come out. Every day at noon.
- 21:28You can also get the. Sharp mush indicators Arbitrage
- 21:31plays Shop for the. Best line features and of
- 21:34course. If you'd like to tip your
- 21:35podcast host. You can do it in the form of
- 21:37signing up. To get the.
- 21:39ASG best bet picks. From Juice Reel.
- 21:41It costs $4. And 90.
- 21:43Nine cents a week. 5 bucks for seven.
- 21:45Days worth of plays less than a. Dollar a day.
- 21:48You'll get the. Plays early, hopefully beat some
- 21:49closing lines and again. This pods free so I consider it.
- 21:52Tipping your podcast host if you enjoy the insights, but.
- 21:56Definitely download rhythm. Download Juice Reel.
- 21:57Give them both a. Five Star.
- 21:59Review in the app. Store next you.
- 22:02Have a live odds page. Well, if you don't have one.
- 22:04You really, really need one because it is going to.
- 22:06Make your life so. Much easier.
- 22:07It's nothing. 'S easy in sports.
- 22:09Betting it's never easy to. To cash a ticket but it makes
- 22:12you. It gives you the.
- 22:13Ability, I should say, to track the betting market in real time.
- 22:16Which is a huge, huge part. Of making a smart bet I need.
- 22:19All the games being played in front of me I need.
- 22:21Start times. Live in game wagering odds, live
- 22:24scoring. I need to be able.
- 22:25To track the market in terms of the opening column.
- 22:28Which never moves then compared to all the other.
- 22:30Books on the right. As well as all the big.
- 22:32Books, when they move, they get. Lit up in red.
- 22:34And we can find a book. That is.
- 22:36Maybe slow to adjust? And get a good number like for
- 22:39example. If you see, you know.
- 22:41A team that's -1 1/2. And you know Pinnacle which is
- 22:44now considered primary market labeled on the odds.
- 22:47Logic live odds page. Or.
- 22:49Maybe circa or bet? Online or Chris, they're going
- 22:52to -2 and you. Find a book that's.
- 22:54Still at -1 1/2 has an adjusted boom that team.
- 22:57Wins by two you. Cover the number you push if you
- 23:00were late. So great live odds page with
- 23:02odds logic. I'd love for you guys to test it
- 23:04out. All you got to do is go to
- 23:06oddslogic.com. Slash Josh 123 that's going to
- 23:11give you a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first.
- 23:14Month of service. So that about does it for
- 23:16episode 472. On a hump day.
- 23:19Of the ASG pod as always guys, two final thoughts.
- 23:21One whether I. See you at the.
- 23:23Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
- 23:26Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun Down in
- 23:29Connecticut at the Encore in Boston.
- 23:31Plain Ridge park casino MGM Springfield.
- 23:34Or the Nash in my. Neck of the woods on the border
- 23:36of. Massachusetts in New Hampshire.
- 23:38Or out in the desert, where the where the true grinders get
- 23:41down, Where Billy. Walters sends his number runners
- 23:43with lowest juice possible is found at the South Point or
- 23:46sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium.
- 23:48Swim pool when you catch a big ticket at Circa, wherever it
- 23:51may. Be you're going.
- 23:52To walk up to me, you're going to show me a nice Idaho Vandals
- 23:55ticket. Don't show me Portland State or
- 23:57Vaught Tech. I.
- 23:58Cannot believe Vaught Tech again had a chance.
- 24:00To win it couldn't. Same thing with Portland State.
- 24:03Had a chance to tie it again, couldn't come through.
- 24:06But hey, that's life. Either way guys.
- 24:08First one. 'S on me, next one's on you.
- 24:10We'll post it at the book. So it's some more conference
- 24:12attorney games for tonight. So as always, coming off a 1 and
- 24:152. Or a two and one A3 and O or an
- 24:18O and. 3A. Winning Night A.
- 24:19Losing night a hot. Streak a cold streak, whether
- 24:21everything's going. Our way or nothing's going our
- 24:23way. We just got to.
- 24:24Stick to the model. Stick to the.
- 24:25Blueprint. Discipline with our bankroll
- 24:27management. Flat that one unit and just
- 24:30grind the system matches get, you know, bypass the games that
- 24:33got. Red flags get.
- 24:34Down on the games that have the green flags, so those green
- 24:37flags. Go a little something like this.
- 24:39Games that are against the public.
- 24:41With the house with the pros flat bet Avoid parlays.
- 24:44And get that CLV. If we can.
- 24:45Do that. We're going to be.
- 24:46Successful sports bettors. So everyone has a.
- 24:49Great, Wednesday night again. Let's get some winners in the on
- 24:52the conference tournament. Tournament hardwood.
- 24:54And I'll be right back at it tomorrow.
- 24:56For a big Thirsty Thursday edition, that'll be episode 4.
- 24:5873 of the all. Systems go sports betting.
- 25:02Podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody.
- 25:05And have a great. Wednesday night.