Latest / Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast / Felix Prehn - The FORBIDDEN STOCK that They Don't Want You to BUY + Stock Market News 25 September 2025

Transcript

Felix Prehn - The FORBIDDEN STOCK that They Don't Want You to BUY + Stock Market News 25 September 2025 · Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: No one is talking about the stock.
• 0:01
  Speaker 1: It's almost as if they don't want you to know.
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: So what if I told you that while you were sleeping on this opportunity, companies and siders are backing up the truck, buying over 1.3 million worth of their own shares?
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: And what if I told you that this company just drilled oil wells with over 100% return.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: It has a debt-to-profit EBITDA ratio of just 1.1 and is sitting in the middle of the biggest oil industry consolidation we have seen in years.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: This isn't some penny stock pump scheme or crypto moonshot.
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: This is Amplify Energy Corporation.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: Ticker symbol is AMPY.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Charts on the screen here for you, and I'm going to show you exactly why this could be the most overlooked opportunity in the energy sector right now.
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: Now, why the heck should you listen to me or Winston back there?
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: Well, before we dive into that, let me be clear about something.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: I'm not here to sell you a get-rich-quick scheme.
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: This is not a sponsored video.
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: I never have, I never will take money from anybody trying to pump anything.
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: I'm here to walk you through the facts, the numbers, the catalysts that make AMPY one of the most compelling value plays I've seen in the energy sector.
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: My name is Felix Breen.
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: That's Winston back there.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: We used to be ex-investor bankers who spent years watching how the big players really operate, and I've seen firsthand how they profit from you and me, the retail investors.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I'm also the founder of the Goat Academy, with over 20,000 students, and a co-founder of Trade Vision, where we analyze market data that most retail investors never seen.
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: Our mission after retiring is I'm dedicating my retirement to leveling the playing field, teaching regular people how to build real wealth instead of just enriching their bankers, and some of my recent stock calls have done rather well.
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: Let me show you one or two of them.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: When we jump into AMPY, how about MP Materials?
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: We did a video on that 28th of April.
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: The actual entry point was a little later than that.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: That's up about 173% right now.
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: How about you?
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: Well, we did a video on that here.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: Another one a little bit later.
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: There, that's now up 174 percent.
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: Well, how about leu?
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: That was just last week.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: Well, that went up really nicely 15 16 percent.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: Now it's come down.
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: Well, maybe you don't know how to sell and guess what?
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: Most people don't know how to sell, so I'm going to fix that for you too not in this video, but as an actual bonus.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: I'm going to run, on thursday at 9 pm, new york time, a live training session teaching you Wall Street's rules on when to sell, when to take profits, because that's the number one lowest hanging fruit for all retail investors.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: If you just don't sell the winners.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: And well, they sell too early.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: Actually, they sell the winners far too early and they don't sell the losers, and that's what holds you back, in my humble opinion.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: So let's jump straight into this here.
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: Everything I'm about to share with you is backed by public filings, analyst reports, verified financial data.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: So I'll give you only verified information.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: Now, this isn't about hype, it's about fundamentals.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: So what's the ball case?
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: What are the five reasons that AMPY could, in my humble opinion, at least double on?
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: A promise, obviously, but that's what I think.
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: So what have we got?
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: Number one we've got insiders.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: Now there is a lovely quote from somebody I can't remember who, who said that insiders sell for many reasons taxes, second yacht, fourth mistress, that sort of thing but they only buy for one reason they think their stock's going to go up.
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: It's a powerful signal, and they know things about the business that we don't.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: They see the pipeline of opportunities, they see the internal projections, the strategic plans that haven't been announced yet, and we're seeing exactly that kind of insider confidence.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: So Just in August, a company director purchased $1.3 million of his own shares, according to SEC filings Not a small amount serious money being put into this business.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: But what makes this even more interesting is that the same insider was recently appointed to the board of directors and he's now their largest shareholder.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: The chap's called Clint.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: Isn't Clint a great name?
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: Wouldn't you want to be born with a name like Clint?
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: You would immediately be more handsome, more attractive and richer.
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: Undoubtedly right when the biggest shareholder is buying more shares with his own money.
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: It tells you kind of everything you need to know about what he thinks the stock's having.
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: And then, secondly, we have Wall Street.
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: The guys are not talking about this stock, because have you seen a video on AMPY on YouTube?
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: I certainly have, or anywhere else probably won't find one.
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: But these guys see 83% upside.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: Now I always say analysts are a bit like sheep.
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: No offense to the sheep.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: They tend to follow.
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: They're not really early.
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: And, yes, they're following a little bit, because if you go back to the chart here, the real bottom of the market was down here at about 250, and we were moving up quite nicely.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: But if you're a little bit of a chartist like me, you simply draw some trend lines and you see we're actually breaking out of that trend line.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: So we're about to accelerate.
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: We're about to move up to where the stock probably should be.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: So analysts have an $8.50 per share price target and I always think analysts are conservative nitwits but even that would be about an 80% upside.
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: There are people also actually with $11 on the higher end of that, but let's just take the average, which is what we're looking at here Now.
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: Point number three and this is where it gets exciting is they're drilling little baby drill, and they're not just drilling, but they're drilling wells and they're making a 100% return on that.
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: Imagine buying an apartment, like a condo, and it goes up in value by 100%, or you're getting 100% of its value in rent, right?
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: That's kind of exciting.
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: So they literally have these oil wells.
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: Here's one.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: It's called C54, which is a rather cryptic name, and this was completed in just in April this year, april 2025.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: It's producing 850 barrels per day of oil and guess what?
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: It's going to pay for itself excuse my handwriting in eight months.
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: So again, it is like buying a condo or a house and renting it out and in just eight months the rent you're getting is covering the entire purchase of that Crazy stuff.
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: And, by the way, that doesn't happen with homes.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: It just doesn't happen.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: So most oil companies to give you a little bit of perspective are not looking for 100% returns, certainly not in a year.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: They're usually looking at 20% to 30%.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: That's normal, that's AMPY.
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: So they're generating three or four times higher return than the industry average, and this isn't a one of success either.
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: They have other welds which are called the desand.
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: They are projected to have also these returns of 90% or greater, as long as the oil price stays at $60 per barrel.
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: Oil prices are well above that right now, so this seems like a pretty conservative thing.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: So they're generating exceptional cash flow straight to the bottom line.
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: And talking about the bottom line and this is my point number two my number four, even it is something very exciting.
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: It is called Rock Solid Balance Sheet.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: Yes, balance sheets are sexy, aren't they?
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: The dullest things you could do is with a balance sheet.
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: You know what you can do nowadays.
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: Put a balance sheet into a decent AI and it'll tell you everything you need to know.
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: You know what that is.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: Put a balance sheet into a decent AI and it'll tell you everything you need to know.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: Just tell it.
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: Act like a financial analyst and tell me only the three things that actually matter from this that are unusual, and you're going to get a tremendous outcome.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: You don't have to learn to read the bloody things, because why are we excited about the balance sheet?
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: Because one of the biggest risks in the energy sector is debt.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: Most of them are drowning in debt, not in oil.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Too many oil companies loaded up debt during the good times and then they get crushed when oil prices collapse.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: Ampy seem to have learned from these mistakes and they have a fortress of a balance.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: Most energy companies out there have a three or four times debt multiple AMPY 1.1.
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: So those guys are conservative and they're printing money Pretty tremendous stuff.
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: But the most exciting reason and this is always why I look at a company, I always start with the industry Is Wall Street pouring money into the industry?
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: That's always my first question.
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: At the moment, we're loving oil-related stocks.
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: There is a $105 billion consolidation wave going on.
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: So the macro trend, the big trend for the industry, is something we haven't seen in decades.
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: We're seeing this is Albert, albert Stelvada, and now his bottom.
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: Albert, don't show your bottom on the screen, nobody wants to see it.
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: He's the energy analyst around here, by the way, if you're wondering where all the data comes from.
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: So we're seeing huge m&a activity.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: And why does that matter?
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: Because amp y, quite frankly quite frankly is exactly the type of company that becomes a takeover target.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: They have high quality assets, as in oil wells, that actually make money.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: They have low debt and they have strong cash flow, and it appears to be trading at a pretty significant discount.
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: So why does this matter?
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: Well, if you understand a little bit about M&A, which is just mergers and acquisitions, watch one of those 80s movies.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: That's what it's all about.
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: What does a buyer want?
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: Well, yes, they want to own a quality asset on the cheap.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: That's, of course, a starting point, but they don't want to use their own money.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: No, those guys are really tight.
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: So what do they want to do is borrow.
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: Then they want to put that debt onto the balance sheet of the company that they bought, which you can only do if it has low debt and then they want the company that they've just bought to pay for all the borrowed debt, and you can only do that if you have cash flow.
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: So this is actually the perfect setup.
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: Somebody could come in and buy this company and probably put not a dollar into it.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: That's how the M&A world works but just for the entire sector it creates higher valuations because everyone's looking at stuff that could possibly be bought.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: So, look, I'm not going to tell you that this AMPY stock is a guaranteed winner, because that will be a lie.
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: Nobody ever knows that.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: If you want a guarantee, I can teach you how to never have a big loss again.
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: I can teach you that in about half an hour.
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: If you join me at Felix Friends at Oxlash Training on Thursday, I'll teach you that It'll probably take us an hour and a half or something like that.
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: And if you learn those sell rules, you're no longer worried about having guaranteed winners, because there's no such thing.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: Oil prices could be unpredictable.
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: They could do something stupid, right.
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: But if you look at the combination of factors we discussed here, we've got massive insider buying.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: We've got price targets that are much, much higher than where it's trading right now.
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: We've got these crazy 100% returns, irrs.
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: We've got an industry which for me, quite frankly, is the most important thing.
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: That is just going up because we need more energy in the US and oil is one you've actually got.
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: And for me, the best investments often come from finding quality companies that are temporarily out of favor, overlooked by the market, because everyone's like, oh, global warming or something right, no one's going to use oil anymore.
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: Yeah, bs to that.
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: If you've got some value out of this, don't run out and blindly buy it.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: Do your own research.
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: But you also need, more importantly before you buy something, you need to know where you're going to sell it.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: You need to know what your risk management looks like.
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: You need to know how big that position should be, and I'll teach you all of that for free at FelixFriendsorg training if you come and join me, because understanding when to sell is probably way more important than knowing when to buy, because the buying is easy.
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: The selling is the hard part.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: If you got some value out of this video, smash the you know what and share it with a friend or a cat or a golden retriever, and I hope they get some value out of it too.
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: All the best.