Latest / Pod Save America / Republicans Beg Trump to Be New Person
Transcript
- 0:20Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:22Speaker 2: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 0:22Speaker 1: On today's show, Donald Trump holds another absolute banger of
- 0:25Speaker 1: a press conference while Kamala Harris and Joe Biden... Hold
- 0:28Speaker 1: their first joint event since the president left the race.
- 0:31Speaker 1: Big announcement about lower drug prices. And later, RFK Jr.
- 0:36Speaker 1: was apparently willing to drop out of the race if
- 0:39Speaker 1: Kamala Harris offered him a job. But first, there is
- 0:43Speaker 1: one topic that Republicans are focusing on the last couple days,
- 0:47Speaker 1: and it's not Kamala Harris or the economy or even immigration.
- 0:51Speaker 1: It's this.
- 0:52Speaker 3: Quit whining about her. The campaign is not going to
- 0:55Speaker 3: win talking about crowd sizes. It's not going to win
- 0:58Speaker 3: talking about what race Kamala Harris is. It's not going
- 1:01Speaker 3: to win talking about whether she's dumb.
- 1:03Speaker 4: I will say that in that discussion with Elon, to me,
- 1:07Speaker 4: he seemed quite rambling. I mean, it was like he rambles.
- 1:11Speaker 1: He goes on.
- 1:13Speaker 4: Too long at his rallies and in these exchanges and
- 1:16Speaker 4: at his presser the other day to where you get
- 1:19Speaker 4: kind of bored, you lose the thread, you lose interest.
- 1:22Speaker 1: The winning formula for President Trump is very plain to see.
- 1:25Speaker 2: It's fewer insults, more insights, and that policy contrast. It's
- 1:29Speaker 2: insane to attack.
- 1:32Speaker 5: Kamala Harris personally when, in fact, the attacks on her
- 1:39Speaker 5: actual policy statements will be much more devastating.
- 1:44Speaker 1: So that was Nikki Haley, Megyn Kelly, Kellyanne Conway, and
- 1:50Speaker 1: Peter Navarro.
- 1:51Speaker 2: Fresh from prison to the podcast studio.
- 1:55Speaker 1: Yeah, he was guest hosting for Steve Bannon on The
- 1:58Speaker 1: War Room. I guess Tommy wasn't available.
- 2:03Speaker 2: Well, they record the same time as Pod Save the World,
- 2:04Speaker 2: so Tommy's never available for the gig of his dreams.
- 2:07Speaker 2: Peter Navarro went to prison for Trump and now is
- 2:10Speaker 2: criticizing his campaign strategy. Like, Maybe you should take what
- 2:13Speaker 2: he has to say a little bit seriously. No rhino there.
- 2:17Speaker 1: So Republicans are once again nervous that Trump's lack of
- 2:21Speaker 1: discipline and obsession with petty grievances, aka his personality, might
- 2:27Speaker 1: cost him a race. He was favored to win just
- 2:30Speaker 1: a month ago. So his campaign tried to send the
- 2:33Speaker 1: old man out to talk about the economy. in what
- 2:36Speaker 1: was billed as a major policy speech in North Carolina
- 2:40Speaker 1: this week. Let's listen to how that went.
- 2:43Speaker 6: We're talking about a thing called the economy. They wanted
- 2:47Speaker 6: to do a speech on the economy. A lot of
- 2:49Speaker 6: people are very devastated by what's happened with inflation and
- 2:53Speaker 6: all of the other things. So we're doing this as
- 2:55Speaker 6: an intellectual speech. We're all intellectuals today. Today we're going
- 2:59Speaker 6: to talk about one subject, and then we'll start going
- 3:03Speaker 6: back to the other because we sort of love that,
- 3:05Speaker 6: don't we? But it's an important, no, it's an important,
- 3:09Speaker 6: they say it's the.
- 3:09Speaker 2: Most important subject.
- 3:11Speaker 6: I'm not sure it is, but they say it's the
- 3:12Speaker 6: most important.
- 3:14Speaker 1: Spoiler, he did not talk about the economy in that
- 3:18Speaker 1: economic policy speech. He ended up just going on. He
- 3:21Speaker 1: did his usual STEM speech, rambling. He did his tampon
- 3:25Speaker 1: Tim thing. He's yelling about Kamala Harris. It was just
- 3:29Speaker 1: a complete mess. So then Trump's advisors somehow convinced him
- 3:34Speaker 1: to shuffle out of another one of his golf clubs.
- 3:37Speaker 1: today for a redo on economic messaging. Let's see how
- 3:41Speaker 1: that went.
- 3:42Speaker 6: She's running on the Maduro plan. We call it the
- 3:44Speaker 6: Maduro plan, like something straight out of Venezuela or the
- 3:48Speaker 6: Soviet Union. She wants to change a free enterprise type
- 3:52Speaker 6: country into a communist type country. That's what she knows.
- 3:57Speaker 2: Ideas and Joe Biden too.
- 3:59Speaker 6: I mentioned him, but he's sort of gonzo. But you're
- 4:01Speaker 6: allowed to rob a store as long as it's not
- 4:03Speaker 6: more than $ 950.
- 4:04Speaker 2: Has everyone ever heard of that?
- 4:06Speaker 6: You can rob a store and you have thieves going
- 4:10Speaker 6: into stores with calculators calculating how much it is. Because
- 4:14Speaker 6: if it's less than $ 950, they can rob it and
- 4:17Speaker 6: not get charged.
- 4:18Speaker 2: That was her.
- 4:19Speaker 6: I think I'm entitled to personal attacks. I don't have
- 4:22Speaker 6: a lot of respect for her. I don't have a
- 4:24Speaker 6: lot of respect for her intelligence. And I think she'll
- 4:27Speaker 6: be a terrible president.
- 4:29Speaker 1: And I think it's.
- 4:30Speaker 2: Very important that we win.
- 4:32Speaker 6: And whether the personal attacks are good, bad, I mean,
- 4:34Speaker 6: she certainly attacks me personally. She actually called me weird.
- 4:38Speaker 6: He's weird. And by the way, I'm a big fan
- 4:40Speaker 6: of electricity.
- 4:41Speaker 1: It was nearly two hours, this press conference. He walks
- 4:48Speaker 1: out of Bedminster in New Jersey, his country club there.
- 4:53Speaker 1: And he's surrounded by tables with... cereal and other products
- 4:57Speaker 1: because they wanted to do like an inflation event, a
- 5:00Speaker 1: high prices event. And he walks out, he sort of
- 5:04Speaker 1: sticks to the script for a little while. He seems
- 5:06Speaker 1: just terribly bored reading what his advisors wanted him to say.
- 5:11Speaker 1: He's doing like, he's just reading off statistics about the economy.
- 5:14Speaker 1: This price is up 30%, blah, blah, blah, done those things.
- 5:17Speaker 1: Then he goes and starts taking questions and just all
- 5:19Speaker 1: bets are off as per usual. He was talking about,
- 5:22Speaker 1: he was criticizing Hillary Clinton at one point. And like
- 5:26Speaker 1: talking about how she should feel lucky that he never
- 5:29Speaker 1: threw her in jail and he never really wanted to
- 5:31Speaker 1: throw her in jail. And then he went back to
- 5:34Speaker 1: the bleach bit. He's playing the old hits now. She's
- 5:38Speaker 1: banging her Blackberry around and burning the emails. And it
- 5:42Speaker 1: was wild. What did you think? Favorite moments?
- 5:46Speaker 2: I just want to start with the premise here that
- 5:49Speaker 2: they held an event that To highlight the high cost
- 5:53Speaker 2: of living at a golf club where it costs a
- 5:56Speaker 2: half a million dollars to join.
- 6:00Speaker 1: You don't think that's a good setting?
- 6:01Speaker 2: It's truly one of the fucking stupidest things I've ever
- 6:04Speaker 2: seen a campaign do in my life. It's because he's
- 6:06Speaker 2: too lazy to go do it at a grocery store.
- 6:09Speaker 2: There's clearly a grocery store pretty close because they went
- 6:11Speaker 2: and bought all the groceries. And this is a small
- 6:14Speaker 2: thing that only people like us care about. But they
- 6:16Speaker 2: set almost all the groceries up so they weren't in
- 6:18Speaker 2: the camera shot.
- 6:19Speaker 1: Yeah, it was just like him and a random box
- 6:21Speaker 1: of honey bunches of oats next to him.
- 6:23Speaker 2: Yes, there was Cheerios, three coffees, and some meat just sitting,
- 6:28Speaker 2: baking in the sun there for two hours. And they
- 6:32Speaker 2: had all these signs that apparently had the increase, like
- 6:37Speaker 2: an egg cost or something over the course of the
- 6:38Speaker 2: Biden-Harris administration. No one saw any of that. All they
- 6:42Speaker 2: saw was three tubs of coffee, some rotting meat, and
- 6:46Speaker 2: his golf club in the background. I mean, just... Insane.
- 6:50Speaker 2: A truly insane thing for a campaign to do. Like
- 6:55Speaker 2: blown away by how stupid it was.
- 6:57Speaker 1: I think it's very funny that that clip that we
- 7:00Speaker 1: played of Republicans giving him advice. They're like, Kellyanne Conway's like,
- 7:05Speaker 1: don't go with the personal insults. Talk about policy. And
- 7:09Speaker 1: Nikki Haley's like, stop complaining about her. And then you
- 7:12Speaker 1: heard there at the press conference, he's like, I'm entitled
- 7:14Speaker 1: to my personal attacks on Kamala Harris. He just goes
- 7:17Speaker 1: right into it.
- 7:19Speaker 2: Well, that's in response to a question that was asked
- 7:22Speaker 2: by a CNN reporter, essentially about the argument of Nikki
- 7:25Speaker 2: Haley and others have made about the personal attacks. And
- 7:27Speaker 2: apparently that's something a lot of Republicans have been saying
- 7:29Speaker 2: on the Hill. And he then answered that with a
- 7:32Speaker 2: 10 minute tirade of personal attacks on people.
- 7:36Speaker 1: I couldn't, I... I came into the studio to interview
- 7:42Speaker 1: our friend David Plouffe, who's now in the Harris campaign.
- 7:45Speaker 1: Tune into The Wilderness this Sunday at the finale. I
- 7:47Speaker 1: got a great conversation with Plouffe. And I came out
- 7:49Speaker 1: and he's like still giving that answer. It was wild.
- 7:53Speaker 1: I was like, I can't believe he's, I'm like, John
- 7:56Speaker 1: and Tommy. I was like, what's going on? What did
- 7:58Speaker 1: I miss? He's still talking. He's still giving this answer.
- 8:01Speaker 2: Sometimes I do the thing where I wait till it's
- 8:04Speaker 2: over and then I watch Trump at, you know, 1.75
- 8:07Speaker 2: speed to prepare for this podcast or whatever else I'm doing.
- 8:11Speaker 2: But you know, what was that? Was that one 30
- 8:12Speaker 2: hour time of day? We're recording it three hour time. Like,
- 8:14Speaker 2: you know, I'm going to sit in front of the
- 8:16Speaker 2: TV and I'm going to watch it. And I watched
- 8:19Speaker 2: it and I watched it and I watched it. And
- 8:23Speaker 2: my kids came home from school and I'm still watching it.
- 8:26Speaker 2: It's just, I mean, is it, did he actually stop?
- 8:29Speaker 2: I had to leave my house to come to my
- 8:31Speaker 2: office to walk.
- 8:32Speaker 1: Right before I came in here, he was about to leave.
- 8:35Speaker 1: And then they had one more shouted question. Do you
- 8:37Speaker 1: wish you hadn't debated Joe Biden?
- 8:39Speaker 2: He did a whole, that was the thing he was
- 8:41Speaker 2: most passionate about in the opening remarks. He went on
- 8:44Speaker 2: a little tangent about how he did too good in
- 8:47Speaker 2: the debate by taking Joe Biden out. And maybe that
- 8:49Speaker 2: was a mistake.
- 8:50Speaker 1: He did. He did circle back to that. One thing
- 8:53Speaker 1: I noticed is that like, even last time he did
- 8:56Speaker 1: a press conference, I was kind of like, oh, I
- 8:58Speaker 1: can't believe we have to watch this. But you know what?
- 8:59Speaker 1: He always says some crazy shit. It'll be fun. We'll
- 9:01Speaker 1: have some good content to talk about on Pod Save America.
- 9:05Speaker 1: Like this one, We were just sitting there and he's
- 9:07Speaker 1: going and going. I'm like, he's so boring. It's like
- 9:09Speaker 1: what Megyn Kelly was saying, right? Where he just like,
- 9:11Speaker 1: he rambles on and on and on and you lose interest.
- 9:15Speaker 1: And it's just like, if it is not your job
- 9:18Speaker 1: to watch Donald Trump like it is ours. Wonderful, wonderful job.
- 9:24Speaker 2: What a series of mistakes have found us in this place.
- 9:28Speaker 1: Why would you, I don't know why you'd watch that.
- 9:30Speaker 1: Even if you like Donald Trump, I don't know why
- 9:32Speaker 1: you'd watch that. It was so fucking boring.
- 9:34Speaker 2: It's not easy to watch either. CNN cut him off
- 9:36Speaker 2: like 20 minutes into the opening remarks and came back
- 9:39Speaker 2: for the questions.
- 9:40Speaker 1: So we all tend to think that the rambling, the incoherence,
- 9:46Speaker 1: the two-hour press conferences, it's not really helping with persuadable voters,
- 9:52Speaker 1: not really helping with much. But it does keep him
- 9:55Speaker 1: in the news cycle. He is in the news cycle
- 9:57Speaker 1: more than he has been. Now, in the the Biden-Trump race,
- 10:02Speaker 1: the theory was the more Trump, the better, because then
- 10:05Speaker 1: everyone's going to remember what they don't like about Trump.
- 10:08Speaker 1: You know, now with Harris and Trump, people really like
- 10:11Speaker 1: Kamala Harris and she's doing really well and she's got
- 10:14Speaker 1: sort of this like hopeful, joyful message. And I wonder,
- 10:19Speaker 1: just as an intellectual exercise here, do we think that
- 10:24Speaker 1: there's a case to be made for the let Trump
- 10:26Speaker 1: be Trump and more Trump the better strategy that they
- 10:30Speaker 1: are seemingly pursuing now based on just, I'm sure, the
- 10:35Speaker 1: desires of one man, Donald Trump?
- 10:38Speaker 2: Oh, we're all intellectuals now, huh, John?
- 10:40Speaker 1: We're all intellectuals, just like John said, just for the speech.
- 10:45Speaker 1: There is no.
- 10:47Speaker 2: Way in any sort of intellectual exercise, I could justify
- 10:50Speaker 2: a strategy that allowed Trump to be this Trump. Boring, aggrieved, rambling.
- 10:58Speaker 2: He mumbles through the message and the only thing he
- 11:00Speaker 2: gets passionate about are things that involve personal grievances against him.
- 11:03Speaker 2: This is, that does not matter. And I think it is,
- 11:07Speaker 2: like it's, it is, from a, like a strategic question,
- 11:11Speaker 2: it's sort of interesting because Trump's approval number, like he is,
- 11:15Speaker 2: obviously Kamala Harris is doing much better against Trump than
- 11:18Speaker 2: Biden was, but Trump's favorable ratings are the highest they
- 11:20Speaker 2: have been possibly ever, other than maybe a blip right
- 11:24Speaker 2: after COVID. He's in the mid forties in the battleground states.
- 11:27Speaker 1: Certainly higher than they were at this point in 2016
- 11:31Speaker 1: and 2020 in the campaigns. Yes, for sure.
- 11:34Speaker 2: And that it might be because He has been out
- 11:38Speaker 2: of the news for a month. There's been no Trump.
- 11:43Speaker 2: And that may have helped him. Now, he can't just
- 11:46Speaker 2: let Kamala Harris run to the White House on a
- 11:50Speaker 2: wave of energy, hope, and joy as she is doing
- 11:52Speaker 2: right now. So he needs a strategy to get in
- 11:54Speaker 2: the news. And it's one of the reasons why he's
- 11:56Speaker 2: acting like a lunatic is he has now run for
- 11:59Speaker 2: president three times.
- 12:01Speaker 6: Hmm.
- 12:02Speaker 2: In a row.
- 12:04Speaker 1: In a row. Who's the last candidate that's run for
- 12:06Speaker 1: president three times in a row?
- 12:09Speaker 2: Like Ron Paul, maybe?
- 12:10Speaker 1: Yeah, besides like your gadflies.
- 12:13Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think there is a threefer in modern history.
- 12:17Speaker 2: We need to bring our own Daniel Dale.
- 12:18Speaker 1: FDR? Maybe FDR?
- 12:19Speaker 2: FDR, yes, yes.
- 12:20Speaker 1: You have to go that far back. Okay. But this
- 12:24Speaker 1: is the.
- 12:24Speaker 2: First time that he has been losing the attention wars, right?
- 12:29Speaker 2: In 2016, he dominated, obviously, the Republican primary. None of
- 12:32Speaker 2: them could get their message out. Through much of the
- 12:35Speaker 2: general election, Hillary Clinton was responding to Trump, right? 2020,
- 12:39Speaker 2: Biden had the strategy of basically let Trump light himself
- 12:42Speaker 2: on fire, and that strategy worked. In 2024 against Biden,
- 12:49Speaker 2: Biden just had no ability to ever put Trump on
- 12:51Speaker 2: the defensive. That was not in his wheelhouse. But what
- 12:54Speaker 2: Kamala Harris is doing is not only is she getting
- 12:56Speaker 2: attention and dominating it, she's kind of doing it without
- 13:00Speaker 2: really talking about Trump. Trump is obviously in her speech,
- 13:03Speaker 2: but it is not the way that everyone in politics
- 13:06Speaker 2: and media has gotten attention for the last nine fucking years,
- 13:09Speaker 2: which is take the crazy thing Trump says and then
- 13:11Speaker 2: respond to that. She is driving the conversation and he
- 13:14Speaker 2: is being forced to respond to her. And so he
- 13:16Speaker 2: has to do something to change that dynamic. The things
- 13:20Speaker 2: they have currently tried are not working for them. And
- 13:22Speaker 2: this is not the right approach. So I don't believe
- 13:24Speaker 2: that he's just let more of this or more Trump
- 13:26Speaker 2: is good, but they need to find something between don't
- 13:30Speaker 2: be in the news at all and call the cameras
- 13:33Speaker 2: to your golf club to light yourself on fire, right?
- 13:38Speaker 2: There's gotta be like a happy middle ground there strategically.
- 13:41Speaker 1: In his mind, I would bet that he believes all
- 13:47Speaker 1: attention is good attention, even if it's negative, right? Even
- 13:50Speaker 1: if he's saying, he just wants to be in the news,
- 13:51Speaker 1: he thinks that helps him. just being in the news
- 13:54Speaker 1: because he's got to get attention. I think that even
- 13:58Speaker 1: though he knows the economy is the top issue, despite
- 14:02Speaker 1: the fact that in that North Carolina speech, he questioned that,
- 14:05Speaker 1: he doesn't believe that if he just talks about the economy, immigration,
- 14:10Speaker 1: Kamala Harris's record, her plans, that that's going to do
- 14:13Speaker 1: anything for him. Because A, people have sort of made
- 14:17Speaker 1: up their minds about him. And B, that's not going
- 14:21Speaker 1: to get him the kind of attention that he craves
- 14:24Speaker 1: and that he needs and so what he wants to
- 14:27Speaker 1: do that's why he said that thing i think about
- 14:28Speaker 1: the personal insults which is like he he wants to
- 14:31Speaker 1: draw her in to a fight you know and he
- 14:35Speaker 1: he probably the thing he hates the most is that
- 14:37Speaker 1: she is not responding to him like you said that
- 14:39Speaker 1: she is barely talking about him or she's just talking
- 14:42Speaker 1: about him like he's like a washed up entertainer in
- 14:44Speaker 1: the past that's probably driving him crazy because what he
- 14:46Speaker 1: wants to do is to goad her into responding to
- 14:50Speaker 1: some of the crazy shit that he says about her
- 14:52Speaker 1: and so far he hasn't been able to do that
- 14:54Speaker 1: And I'm sure that's why he's probably looking forward to
- 14:56Speaker 1: the debate.
- 14:57Speaker 2: I think he has also confused attention and approval, right?
- 15:02Speaker 2: What he wants is not to actually capture the mind
- 15:06Speaker 2: share of the voters who are going to start the election.
- 15:07Speaker 2: It's he wants applause. And the economy stuff doesn't get
- 15:10Speaker 2: the applause, right? We're talking to David Oxrod on Wednesday's podcast.
- 15:12Speaker 2: He made the point that Trump got up there to
- 15:14Speaker 2: do the unity stuff during the convention speech, realized the
- 15:16Speaker 2: unity stuff didn't get applause. We went back to throwing
- 15:18Speaker 2: them the red meat. And it's the same thing in
- 15:21Speaker 2: all these events, right? He gets up there. He does
- 15:24Speaker 2: the egg prices or whatever, or the gas prices, whatever else.
- 15:29Speaker 2: And the rabid crowd of MAGA people in the room
- 15:32Speaker 2: don't cheer for that. They're not showing up for that, right?
- 15:35Speaker 2: They're showing up for the old hits. They're showing up
- 15:37Speaker 2: for the shtick. But the audience is not people in
- 15:41Speaker 2: the room. The audience is the people who are watching
- 15:43Speaker 2: the coverage of what he's saying. And he can't separate
- 15:46Speaker 2: those two things in his head because he wants the
- 15:48Speaker 2: applause too much.
- 15:50Speaker 1: The other thing when I was talking to Plouffe, he
- 15:53Speaker 1: said that that Trump is at 46 in some of
- 15:56Speaker 1: these battleground states. He's as high as 48 in some
- 15:59Speaker 1: other battleground states. But it makes me think that he's
- 16:03Speaker 1: not really gaining a lot of vote share here. And
- 16:06Speaker 1: his vote share has been relatively stable this entire race,
- 16:10Speaker 1: even with all that's happened, survives an assassination attempt, convicted felon,
- 16:14Speaker 1: wins the debate with Biden. Biden went up and down
- 16:17Speaker 1: and then down and then Kamala Harris went up. But
- 16:20Speaker 1: Donald Trump has stayed steady. So how do you win
- 16:23Speaker 1: if you're between 46% and 48% of the vote, well,
- 16:27Speaker 1: you try to peel off some of her voters and
- 16:31Speaker 1: either have them go third party or have them stay home.
- 16:34Speaker 1: And you do that by just a scorched earth campaign
- 16:37Speaker 1: where you say as much crazy shit about her as possible.
- 16:40Speaker 1: It seems like that's his path. Because if she consolidates
- 16:45Speaker 1: enough vote where she's getting 48, 49, 50 in these states,
- 16:48Speaker 1: he can't win.
- 16:52Speaker 2: That's right. There is scorched earth and then there is
- 16:56Speaker 2: strategic attacks that actually peel off voters, right? He's just
- 16:59Speaker 2: throwing all the shit against the wall. And once again,
- 17:02Speaker 2: he is judging success or failure based on the applause
- 17:05Speaker 2: of people who would lie down and moving traffic for him,
- 17:09Speaker 2: not on the voter's side. Who is the soft Kamala
- 17:14Speaker 2: Harris voter who's going to listen to the stuff Trump
- 17:16Speaker 2: just said and move away from her based on that?
- 17:19Speaker 6: No.
- 17:19Speaker 2: Some of the stuff they have on air about immigration
- 17:22Speaker 2: and the economy, that's a different deal. But Trump, there's
- 17:25Speaker 2: a real gap between what Trump's saying and what's in
- 17:27Speaker 2: the paid media. And I mean, in Franklin, the presidential campaign,
- 17:33Speaker 2: what the candidate says in the broader social media media
- 17:36Speaker 2: conversation is way more important than the ads. And until
- 17:38Speaker 2: those get in alignment, he's in trouble, I think.
- 17:40Speaker 1: Okay. Two quick things before we go to break. Big news.
- 17:43Speaker 1: The very first episode of Assembly Required with Stacey Abrams
- 17:46Speaker 1: is out now. Stacey Abrams, Crooked Media podcast. We love it.
- 17:52Speaker 1: On Assembly Required, Stacey's breaking down the most complex issues
- 17:55Speaker 1: in American politics and asking, how did we get here?
- 17:58Speaker 1: What obstacles lie ahead? And what can we do to
- 18:00Speaker 1: make the kind of change we want to see? The
- 18:03Speaker 1: first episode is all about how the Electoral College sucks,
- 18:05Speaker 1: and it spotlights the activists working on ways to counteract
- 18:08Speaker 1: its power, including with rank choice voting. If you are
- 18:11Speaker 1: looking for a pod, that makes your political conversation smarter
- 18:15Speaker 1: and keeps you motivated for the long haul, and you
- 18:17Speaker 1: love listening to Stacey Abrams, and who doesn't? This is
- 18:21Speaker 1: your pod. You're going to love it. New episodes drop
- 18:23Speaker 1: on Thursdays. You can follow and listen to Assembly Required
- 18:27Speaker 1: with Stacey Abrams right now wherever you get your podcasts.
- 18:31Speaker 1: Take a second right now.
- 18:33Speaker 6: Go.
- 18:33Speaker 1: Find Stacey Abrams' podcast. Click on it. Save it for later.
- 18:37Speaker 1: Remind yourself to go listen to it. Follow it. Rate it.
- 18:41Speaker 1: It's going to be great. All right. Also, speaking of
- 18:43Speaker 1: the convention, a reminder that we will be doing a
- 18:45Speaker 1: reaction show every night from Chicago. But we're also going
- 18:48Speaker 1: to do a ton of great stuff just for Friends
- 18:50Speaker 1: of the Pod subscribers. We'll have lots of behind-the-scenes content
- 18:53Speaker 1: and community events, including a DNC live chat for subscribers
- 18:57Speaker 1: and a new subscriber-exclusive segment featuring Lovett, Tommy, and Dan.
- 19:02Speaker 1: Not me.
- 19:04Speaker 2: I am learning about this in real time.
- 19:06Speaker 1: What's my name?
- 19:09Speaker 2: What are we doing?
- 19:10Speaker 1: I don't know. I guess I'm not doing anything. Keep reading.
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- 19:18Speaker 1: of next week's shows ad free. Isn't that nice? Isn't
- 19:21Speaker 1: that nice? Head to crooked.com slash friends to sign up now.
- 19:25Speaker 1: And you'll find out what the content is, I guess,
- 19:29Speaker 1: right when Dan does.
- 19:30Speaker 2: Whatever time it takes to edit it and put it up.
- 19:32Speaker 2: That's the only head start I'll have.
- 19:48Speaker 1: So you might be wondering who could possibly get Trump
- 19:50Speaker 1: back on message? Well, we got our answer today. Corey Lewandowski,
- 19:54Speaker 1: Trump's 2016 campaign manager, who's been fired twice from Trump World,
- 19:59Speaker 1: once in June of the 2016 campaign after he was
- 20:01Speaker 1: charged with misdemeanor battery for grabbing a reporter. And then
- 20:06Speaker 1: he was fired again from a pro-Trump super PAC. In 2021,
- 20:11Speaker 1: when he was accused by a top Trump donor's wife
- 20:13Speaker 1: of making unwanted sexual advances towards her, now he's back
- 20:17Speaker 1: on as senior advisor. And Trump's also bringing back an
- 20:21Speaker 1: array of other goons from past campaigns and other parts
- 20:24Speaker 1: of his life. Always a good sign, right? How do
- 20:27Speaker 1: you think this is going to work?
- 20:29Speaker 2: I think, look. What could possibly go wrong is what
- 20:32Speaker 2: I would say. What could possibly go wrong? This is
- 20:35Speaker 2: the sort of– like these are comfort items for Trump, right?
- 20:38Speaker 2: He's feeling at sea. He needs his blankie. Corey Lewandowski
- 20:40Speaker 2: has his blankie. And it's a way– this is the
- 20:43Speaker 2: thing that clearly Clarissa Savita and Susie Wiles are giving
- 20:49Speaker 2: to Trump to preserve their role in the campaign, right?
- 20:53Speaker 2: There are people calling for their heads. Trump has never
- 20:56Speaker 2: gone this long without really firing a campaign manager of sorts.
- 20:59Speaker 2: So this is addition instead of subtraction, and I'm sure
- 21:01Speaker 2: they're going to continually give Corey Lewandowski the wrong passcode
- 21:06Speaker 2: to the Zoom for the meetings. And maybe he'll fly
- 21:11Speaker 2: on the plane.
- 21:11Speaker 1: Like we did to you this morning?
- 21:12Speaker 2: Like you did to me this morning, exactly.
- 21:16Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, look, you have a campaign like that,
- 21:18Speaker 1: and you start adding people, especially people from the past
- 21:20Speaker 1: who were fired.
- 21:22Speaker 2: Yeah, it's not great management style.
- 21:24Speaker 1: It's never a great sign. So we're heading into the
- 21:26Speaker 1: DNC next week, which will be wall-to-wall coverage of Democrats' message.
- 21:30Speaker 1: What is Trump's next opportunity to change the narrative here?
- 21:35Speaker 1: If you're trying to be strategic on that campaign, what
- 21:38Speaker 1: do you do?
- 21:39Speaker 2: You probably kind of wind Trump down. Maybe send him
- 21:42Speaker 2: to some battleground states. Do some whiter type stuff.
- 21:44Speaker 1: Sedatives, some horse tranquilizer.
- 21:47Speaker 2: Only show him. Limit his media diet, probably. No, I think...
- 21:53Speaker 2: You probably are looking at the first debate on September
- 21:56Speaker 2: 10th because you're going convention to Labor Day weekend to
- 22:00Speaker 2: start a school and you have to deal that debate
- 22:03Speaker 2: if you're Trump. Like that is, if he goes there
- 22:05Speaker 2: and he gets his ass kicked, that's a huge problem
- 22:07Speaker 2: for him.
- 22:08Speaker 1: And they are probably guessing that since the media is
- 22:12Speaker 1: already sort of getting antsy and tired of the like Kamala's,
- 22:16Speaker 1: you know, joyful campaign is surging narrative. she's going to
- 22:21Speaker 1: sit down for an interview at some point. She's going
- 22:23Speaker 1: to take questions. They're going to want a real race.
- 22:26Speaker 1: And then if, you know, if that happens around the
- 22:29Speaker 1: debate and then they can argue that, you know, he
- 22:32Speaker 1: didn't do horrible at the debate or he won the debate,
- 22:35Speaker 1: then maybe they can change things. And you can see
- 22:37Speaker 1: that through the beginnings of that strategy in the statement today,
- 22:40Speaker 1: like originally it was billed as just, he's going to
- 22:42Speaker 1: talk about inflation, but he sort of unloaded the oppo
- 22:45Speaker 1: file on Kamala Harris. And he just did every single
- 22:48Speaker 1: position she's ever changed on, every position she took that's
- 22:51Speaker 1: too liberal, all of that stuff. He did it all today.
- 22:55Speaker 1: So I guess that's a preview of what they're going
- 22:56Speaker 1: to do.
- 22:57Speaker 2: I guess a couple things they would do. One is
- 22:59Speaker 2: wait for her to potentially make a mistake. She has
- 23:01Speaker 2: not made one to date. Maybe one happens in an
- 23:04Speaker 2: interview or on the trail. So you can see something
- 23:06Speaker 2: because the press is bored of this. And then there
- 23:10Speaker 2: is always this thing with poll numbers where the press
- 23:14Speaker 2: reads them in the context of the narrative they're currently saying.
- 23:17Speaker 2: So right now it's like Kamala Harris is surging, right?
- 23:20Speaker 2: She's got all the momentum. And that is true. She
- 23:22Speaker 2: is surging momentum, but you can also look at the
- 23:23Speaker 2: polls and say, after all of that, she only has
- 23:27Speaker 2: a one point lead in the national polls. Right.
- 23:30Speaker 6: Right.
- 23:30Speaker 2: Or she's taught, you know, she's doesn't, she's not ahead.
- 23:33Speaker 2: The Trump that they're going to look at this, we're
- 23:35Speaker 2: going to get past the convention. Maybe she'll get a
- 23:36Speaker 2: little bump in the convention. It's typically three points and
- 23:38Speaker 2: pretty fleeting historically. And we'll give you heading into the debate.
- 23:43Speaker 2: You're going to see the press like, Trump made it
- 23:45Speaker 2: through all of that, and he's still only down two points.
- 23:48Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 23:49Speaker 2: And then the narrative shifts, right?
- 23:50Speaker 1: And then the pressure's on her and the debate and everyone. Yeah,
- 23:53Speaker 1: that's what they're hoping for. Okay. While Trump flails and
- 23:57Speaker 1: Republicans complain, Democrats are just in such a ray. We
- 24:01Speaker 1: are just, we're crushing it. Thursday in Maryland, Kamala Harris
- 24:05Speaker 1: and Joe Biden held an event together, their first joint
- 24:08Speaker 1: appearance since Biden stepped down from the race. The event
- 24:11Speaker 1: was notable for two things. One, Harris and Biden driving
- 24:15Speaker 1: a clear message on an incredibly popular policy. Imagine that. Two,
- 24:19Speaker 1: the amount of love in the room for Joe Biden
- 24:22Speaker 1: and the feeling of ease between him and Harris. Let's
- 24:24Speaker 1: listen to a clip.
- 24:26Speaker 7: We finally addressed the longstanding issue that for years was
- 24:31Speaker 7: one of the biggest challenges on this subject, which was
- 24:34Speaker 7: that Medicare was prohibited by law from negotiating lower drug prices.
- 24:40Speaker 7: And those costs then got passed on to our seniors,
- 24:44Speaker 7: but not anymore.
- 24:46Speaker 1: Folks, I have an incredible partner. The progress we've made,
- 24:52Speaker 1: she's going to make one hell.
- 24:53Speaker 2: Of a president.
- 24:55Speaker 7: And of course, I could speak all afternoon about the
- 24:59Speaker 7: person that I am standing on this stage with.
- 25:03Speaker 1: Let's start with the vibes. What did you think of
- 25:07Speaker 1: the vibes? Joe Biden seemed happy. Kamala Harris seemed happy.
- 25:09Speaker 1: The crowd was loving it. That's great.
- 25:12Speaker 2: When I saw this on the calendar, and then I
- 25:14Speaker 2: saw this on the calendar on a day that we
- 25:15Speaker 2: were podcasting with an event happening right before we podcast,
- 25:18Speaker 2: I dreaded this. I felt like maybe it was going
- 25:20Speaker 2: to be awkward or strange or tension-filled, and it was
- 25:23Speaker 2: on the above. It was awesome.
- 25:25Speaker 1: You know why? Because we weren't there. That's why.
- 25:28Speaker 2: Speak for yourself. I would have been there in full sport. Well,
- 25:32Speaker 2: I thought it was great. I mean, the president really
- 25:35Speaker 2: did seem unburdened.
- 25:36Speaker 4: Yes.
- 25:36Speaker 2: Like he wasn't, he was touting.
- 25:39Speaker 1: He was having fun. He was cracking jokes, having a
- 25:41Speaker 1: good time.
- 25:41Speaker 2: Donald Dump, good joke there.
- 25:42Speaker 1: I don't know what that was, but yeah, sure.
- 25:46Speaker 6: Great.
- 25:47Speaker 1: And also more importantly, incredible accomplishment. Now like the top
- 25:51Speaker 1: 10 drugs under Medicare now much cheaper. Truly one of the.
- 25:55Speaker 2: Most popular policies anyone has ever passed. You know, I
- 25:58Speaker 2: just saw a poll from the folks at Blueprint, which
- 26:00Speaker 2: said that 70% of people thought that this policy was good,
- 26:05Speaker 2: but also 70% of people thought this policy would affect
- 26:08Speaker 2: themselves or people in their family. You hear all kinds
- 26:11Speaker 2: of people like, I love this policy. It's great, but
- 26:12Speaker 2: it would never affect me. Here's one that everyone thinks
- 26:15Speaker 2: is going to help them. It's a huge accomplishment. It's
- 26:19Speaker 2: a huge political winner. It was great to see them
- 26:21Speaker 2: talking about it. It was great to see that easy
- 26:24Speaker 2: chemistry is still there with them. It was just great.
- 26:26Speaker 2: The whole thing was great.
- 26:28Speaker 1: There are certain policies that Democrats have loved forever and
- 26:32Speaker 1: talked about forever, and they also happen to poll really well.
- 26:36Speaker 1: And one of them has always been, we're going to
- 26:38Speaker 1: have Medicare negotiate for cheaper drug prices, and we're going
- 26:42Speaker 1: to take on the drug companies to make sure that people,
- 26:45Speaker 1: and especially seniors on Medicare, don't have to pay too
- 26:47Speaker 1: much for their prescriptions. And for years and years, couldn't
- 26:52Speaker 1: get it done. And in the Inflation Reduction Act, Joe
- 26:55Speaker 1: Biden and Kamala Harris got it done. And You know,
- 26:58Speaker 1: Biden talked a lot in the campaign about capping insulin
- 27:01Speaker 1: at $ 35. There's other drugs aside from insulin that a
- 27:05Speaker 1: lot of people count on. They were way too expensive.
- 27:08Speaker 1: And now they're going to be able to afford them
- 27:09Speaker 1: because of this. It is a huge accomplishment. And, you know,
- 27:12Speaker 1: we don't talk a lot of policy here, but people
- 27:14Speaker 1: should be pretty proud of that accomplishment. And it's going
- 27:17Speaker 1: to really make a difference in people's lives. The conventional
- 27:20Speaker 1: wisdom is that, like, Harris doesn't want to be, like,
- 27:21Speaker 1: tied too closely to the Biden administration because Biden's approval
- 27:26Speaker 1: ratings were quite low. for most of the campaign. But
- 27:31Speaker 1: this seems to be an example of why being tied
- 27:34Speaker 1: to the Biden administration and specifically the Biden administration's accomplishments
- 27:38Speaker 1: could be quite a good thing for her.
- 27:40Speaker 2: Do you know who's newly popular again?
- 27:42Speaker 1: Joe Biden.
- 27:43Speaker 2: Well, everyone's approval rating is up. Harris's, Biden's, Trump's. Yeah,
- 27:48Speaker 2: his approval ratings have gone up since he made his decision.
- 27:50Speaker 2: He's obviously become a less polarizing figure. Democrats who Even
- 27:55Speaker 2: if they love the president personally, were head concerns about
- 27:57Speaker 2: him running, they now will tell pollsters they like him.
- 28:00Speaker 2: It is a tricky dance for her because she does
- 28:03Speaker 2: not want to be the incumbent in this race. She's
- 28:05Speaker 2: actually managed to make Trump the incumbent. He is the past.
- 28:07Speaker 2: He is status quo. She has changed. But there are
- 28:10Speaker 2: these really important things they've done, which– and I thought
- 28:12Speaker 2: this was smart about the way they did this in
- 28:14Speaker 2: this event is here's a thing we did and here–
- 28:17Speaker 2: this is proof positive that we're going to do similar
- 28:19Speaker 2: things and we take on powerful special interests in the future.
- 28:22Speaker 2: And so this was the right tone for doing it.
- 28:24Speaker 2: And just all over, you know, Biden, when he was
- 28:26Speaker 2: on his CBS interview over the weekend, talked about how
- 28:30Speaker 2: he had talked to Governor Shapiro about doing a tour
- 28:32Speaker 2: of Pennsylvania at some point with him to campaign for
- 28:35Speaker 2: Harris and the Democratic ticket. And there are voters that
- 28:38Speaker 2: Biden can be helpful with Harris. Like, when you look
- 28:41Speaker 2: at the polling, she has gained with a whole younger voters,
- 28:43Speaker 2: Black voters, Latino voters, but she has lost some with
- 28:46Speaker 2: older white voters. And Biden can be helpful with that.
- 28:51Speaker 1: Yeah, no, he definitely can. And to your point about
- 28:54Speaker 1: here's some great stuff we did. We took on powerful interests,
- 28:58Speaker 1: brought down costs for people, and now she's going to
- 29:01Speaker 1: do more in the future. That future is today, where
- 29:04Speaker 1: she is delivering a major economic policy speech. Unlike Trump,
- 29:08Speaker 1: I think she's actually going to probably give the speech.
- 29:12Speaker 1: According to Politico, the focus of the speech is going
- 29:14Speaker 1: to be a federal ban on price gouging and other
- 29:18Speaker 1: actions she'll take in her first hundred days to lower
- 29:21Speaker 1: the cost of groceries and other everyday expenses. She will
- 29:24Speaker 1: also reportedly call for the construction of 3 million housing
- 29:28Speaker 1: units by offering tax incentives for builders that contract properties
- 29:32Speaker 1: for first-time homebuyers. What do you think of that? What
- 29:36Speaker 1: do you think of those policies?
- 29:37Speaker 2: Love it. Love it. I feel like I was listening
- 29:40Speaker 2: to a podcast recently that maybe they suggested this would
- 29:43Speaker 2: be a good idea to do these economics before the convention.
- 29:47Speaker 1: Was it Hacks on Tap?
- 29:49Speaker 2: Well, I listen to Hacks on Tap. I took that
- 29:51Speaker 2: idea I brought to you right now. I mean, obviously,
- 29:53Speaker 2: they did not get this idea from our podcast. I'll
- 29:55Speaker 2: be very clear about that. But I think this is
- 29:57Speaker 2: very smart because the– I can get to the politics
- 30:00Speaker 2: and the policy in a second here. But just she
- 30:03Speaker 2: has this tremendous burden that she's been running for a month.
- 30:05Speaker 2: She got to give her convention speech. A normal candidate
- 30:08Speaker 2: at this point who had not just started a month
- 30:10Speaker 2: before the convention would have given 12 economic speeches over
- 30:14Speaker 2: the course of the primary and the general election already.
- 30:16Speaker 2: And you don't want your convention speech to be the
- 30:19Speaker 2: State of the Union. It's just like a laundry list
- 30:21Speaker 2: of policies. So– by doing this now, and it's a really,
- 30:24Speaker 2: I would say, unfair burden to put on their speechwriters
- 30:26Speaker 2: to have to write this speech during the convention, but
- 30:29Speaker 2: this is going to make it easier to give a
- 30:31Speaker 2: convention speech that tells her story in the context of values,
- 30:35Speaker 2: not policy. So I think it's great they're doing it.
- 30:37Speaker 2: These are the right policies. These are popular policies. It's
- 30:40Speaker 2: very smart. It's like really stark contrast to the absurdity
- 30:42Speaker 2: we just saw with Trump today.
- 30:45Speaker 1: It's also, she's addressing the top issues on voters' minds.
- 30:50Speaker 1: And we were just talking about Kamala Harris tying herself
- 30:55Speaker 1: too closely to Biden or not, or what should she do?
- 30:57Speaker 1: The number one concern about Biden was his age. That
- 31:00Speaker 1: was the number one driver of his low approval rating.
- 31:04Speaker 1: And the fact that people did not want this Trump-Biden rematch,
- 31:07Speaker 1: and they weren't sure that they wanted to vote for
- 31:09Speaker 1: Joe Biden for another four years. And then the only
- 31:11Speaker 1: other driver, I think, significant driver of his approval rating
- 31:16Speaker 1: was concerns about lingering high prices from inflation and costs
- 31:23Speaker 1: and that he had not done enough about that, even
- 31:26Speaker 1: though he, you know, gave us the strongest recovery of
- 31:28Speaker 1: any other country since COVID. But like prices are still high.
- 31:31Speaker 1: And so that is on people's minds. And on that issue,
- 31:35Speaker 1: if she just focuses on her plans to lower costs
- 31:38Speaker 1: for people and goes around saying, you know, look, people
- 31:41Speaker 1: were struggling with high costs even before the pandemic sent
- 31:44Speaker 1: inflation soaring. And it's been like this for decades. And,
- 31:48Speaker 1: you know, we've made progress and, President Obama made progress
- 31:51Speaker 1: with the Affordable Care Act and Joe Biden made progress.
- 31:54Speaker 1: And we made progress in the White House by bringing
- 31:56Speaker 1: down the cost of prescription drugs and energy and child
- 31:59Speaker 1: tax credits. But now I got to do more to
- 32:01Speaker 1: bring down costs for everyone. And so I'm going to
- 32:03Speaker 1: bring down the cost of groceries. I'm going to bring
- 32:06Speaker 1: down the cost of housing. Look, in every focus group
- 32:11Speaker 1: I did for the wilderness in 2022, every single, I'm
- 32:14Speaker 1: like a broken record on this, every single demographic, everywhere
- 32:17Speaker 1: I went, open-ended question, what are you worried about? It's
- 32:20Speaker 1: not that people said the word inflation or high cost, housing.
- 32:24Speaker 1: Housing was the first thing. The cost of housing is
- 32:27Speaker 1: the biggest challenge for people. And it is not a
- 32:31Speaker 1: topic that politicians have necessarily talked about a lot, or
- 32:35Speaker 1: at least it's not been central to the national debate
- 32:38Speaker 1: over the last decade, maybe, maybe since we had the
- 32:42Speaker 1: housing crisis around the Great Recession. And so coming out
- 32:46Speaker 1: by you know, talking about building new houses and incentives
- 32:48Speaker 1: and stuff like that. It's a state and local issue.
- 32:51Speaker 1: It's not just a national issue, but the federal government
- 32:53Speaker 1: has a role here. And the fact that she's now,
- 32:56Speaker 1: like now her big plans, her big economic plans are
- 32:59Speaker 1: to lower the price of groceries, drugs, healthcare, and housing.
- 33:05Speaker 1: I mean, it's great. It's great. And it's very popular.
- 33:08Speaker 1: And I think it's going to be a great message
- 33:09Speaker 1: to run on.
- 33:10Speaker 2: And just in breaking news here, the Wall Street Journal
- 33:11Speaker 2: is now reporting that tomorrow Kamala Harris is going to
- 33:14Speaker 2: propose a $ 25, 000 in down payment support for first-time homebuyers.
- 33:18Speaker 1: Wow. That's great. That's great.
- 33:21Speaker 2: Obviously, we can't speak to the full substance of policy.
- 33:24Speaker 2: We know her economic advisors. I'm sure it's great. But
- 33:26Speaker 2: from a political perspective, from a narrative perspective, this is
- 33:29Speaker 2: right on the money.
- 33:31Speaker 1: Also, she's running against a former slumlord. Yes. Donald Trump
- 33:38Speaker 1: has screwed people out of their housing forever. He has
- 33:41Speaker 1: cheated people, homeowners, for a long, long time. So it's
- 33:45Speaker 1: a great contrast. All right. So if you've noticed that
- 34:00Speaker 1: the last we heard from RFK Jr. was when he
- 34:02Speaker 1: was talking to Roseanne. about dumping a dead bear cub
- 34:05Speaker 1: he had planned to eat in Central Park. You're not alone.
- 34:10Speaker 1: It seems like he might at least be considering a
- 34:13Speaker 1: way out of his campaign. According to Kennedy campaign officials,
- 34:17Speaker 1: RFK Jr. has approached the Harris campaign about meeting with
- 34:20Speaker 1: her and also the possibility of dropping out and endorsing
- 34:24Speaker 1: her if she'll give him a job in the administration.
- 34:28Speaker 1: It seems like he has not been able to secure
- 34:30Speaker 1: that meeting yet. Does it seem like the Harris folks
- 34:33Speaker 1: have gotten back to him? I'm going to go out
- 34:36Speaker 1: on a limb and say I don't think they're going
- 34:37Speaker 1: to give him a job in the administration. Kennedy himself
- 34:40Speaker 1: threw cold water on this idea after it was reported
- 34:43Speaker 1: in The Washington Post. He wrote a tweet on Wednesday
- 34:45Speaker 1: night that said VP Harris's Democratic Party would be unrecognizable
- 34:49Speaker 1: to my father and uncle. And I cannot reconcile it
- 34:52Speaker 1: with my values. And he ended it with, I have
- 34:54Speaker 1: no plans to endorse Kamala Harris for president. I do
- 34:57Speaker 1: have a plan to defeat her. Sure. Worth noting, RFK Jr.
- 35:01Speaker 1: also met with Donald Trump in Milwaukee during the RNC
- 35:05Speaker 1: and might have made a similar offer to him. J.D.
- 35:08Speaker 1: Vance got in on the action today, urging RFK Jr.
- 35:10Speaker 1: to endorse Trump, saying they have similar views on quote
- 35:12Speaker 1: unquote medical freedom and not starting stupid wars. What do
- 35:18Speaker 1: you think is going on here with RFK Jr.
- 35:20Speaker 6: Dan?
- 35:20Speaker 2: Well, I would say that RFK Jr. is an example
- 35:23Speaker 2: of the apple falling very far from the tree. I mean,
- 35:28Speaker 2: the whole thing's absurd. He will forever, in my mind,
- 35:33Speaker 2: be defined by the dead bear cub video. Just truly
- 35:38Speaker 2: one of the most bizarre stories ever told. And even
- 35:42Speaker 2: more bizarre that it was told on video and then
- 35:44Speaker 2: released to the public.
- 35:45Speaker 1: To Roseanne.
- 35:46Speaker 2: To Roseanne. Like, how did that.
- 35:48Speaker 1: I don't want to... Yeah. The story's incredible. I could
- 35:51Speaker 1: tell the story forever.
- 35:51Speaker 2: I mean, the part where he goes to Peter Luger
- 35:53Speaker 2: with the dead bear cub at his back.
- 35:55Speaker 1: The falconing at the beginning.
- 35:56Speaker 2: I spent a lot of time trying to figure out
- 35:59Speaker 2: the geography of going from Peter Luger to Central Park
- 36:03Speaker 2: to the airport.
- 36:04Speaker 1: I know. I've been very... Yeah. It doesn't make any sense.
- 36:06Speaker 1: Where was he going? Why was it a night flight?
- 36:08Speaker 1: What was happening? I just don't understand any of it.
- 36:10Speaker 1: And then there was the bear cub meat, right?
- 36:11Speaker 2: But that's... It's the soon-to-be-eaten bear cub meat.
- 36:14Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 36:16Speaker 2: He does have a plan in his defense to defeat
- 36:18Speaker 2: Kamala Harris. And that plan is to be funded by
- 36:20Speaker 2: Trump's biggest donors to take away two to 3% of
- 36:23Speaker 2: her vote in a couple of battleground states and elect
- 36:25Speaker 2: Donald Trump. That is his plan to defeat Kamala Harris.
- 36:27Speaker 2: He has that plan. The problem for him in this
- 36:30Speaker 2: is that his appeal, you know, and we saw this,
- 36:33Speaker 2: I remember you and I both listened as we always
- 36:35Speaker 2: do to Sarah Longwell's focus groups on RFK curious voters
- 36:39Speaker 2: and what they all said about whether they were former
- 36:41Speaker 2: Biden supporters or former Trump supporters, Republicans or Democrats was,
- 36:46Speaker 2: he was the anti-politician, right? These guys are all corrupt
- 36:49Speaker 2: and he was not. And here he is doing the
- 36:51Speaker 2: single most corrupt thing you can possibly do in politics,
- 36:54Speaker 2: which is like, you have said these people are terrible.
- 36:56Speaker 2: They're warmongers and you're, but you're going to support them
- 36:58Speaker 2: in exchange for a job.
- 37:00Speaker 1: And you've gone to both of them. That's like the
- 37:03Speaker 1: idea that you're like, well, I'm going to stand on
- 37:05Speaker 1: principle and I'm a third party. I'm a new, I'm
- 37:07Speaker 1: a brother fresh air. And it's like, but I tried
- 37:09Speaker 1: to get a job with Donald Trump and said, I
- 37:11Speaker 1: would drop out if he gave me a job. He said, no.
- 37:13Speaker 1: Then I went to Kamala Harris. I said, I'll drop
- 37:15Speaker 1: out if you give me a job. And she said, no.
- 37:16Speaker 1: So here I am. I'm going to beat both of
- 37:18Speaker 1: them now.
- 37:19Speaker 2: What are you doing? It's one thing to, like, if
- 37:23Speaker 2: you're RFK, you're like, you know, in the end, I'm
- 37:26Speaker 2: closer to Trump than I am to Harris or closer
- 37:28Speaker 2: to Harris than Trump. And I'm going to step aside
- 37:30Speaker 2: for one of them. But to be willing to go
- 37:33Speaker 2: with the highest bidder is just the highest form of corruption.
- 37:37Speaker 2: And so if this story gets out and gets traction,
- 37:39Speaker 2: and I imagine knowing the people we do who are working,
- 37:42Speaker 2: have been working at the DNC on this third party stuff,
- 37:45Speaker 2: it is damaging with a lot of the voters that
- 37:47Speaker 2: he had a shot with, which is not a ton
- 37:48Speaker 2: of voters, and we can get to that in a sec.
- 37:50Speaker 2: But it is enough, right? We know what the margins
- 37:52Speaker 2: are in these battleground states. And if he's getting a
- 37:54Speaker 2: couple points, they got to come from somewhere. And the
- 37:56Speaker 2: person they come more from is probably going to lose
- 37:58Speaker 2: the state.
- 37:59Speaker 1: Yeah, well, this was supposed to be, you know, the
- 38:01Speaker 1: year of third party candidates. And, you know, when Biden
- 38:04Speaker 1: was in the race, it did seem like RFK Jr.,
- 38:07Speaker 1: Jill Stein, others were getting, you know, a bigger share
- 38:10Speaker 1: of the vote than polls showed in 2020, at least.
- 38:13Speaker 1: Was that overblown or did Biden dropping out just change everything?
- 38:19Speaker 2: It was changing before Biden dropped out. If you were
- 38:22Speaker 2: watching the tracking and the polling averages, RFK Jr. was
- 38:25Speaker 2: at a high about six to eight months ago and
- 38:27Speaker 2: had been coming down on sort of, it's still at
- 38:28Speaker 2: a particularly, at a high number for a third party candidate.
- 38:31Speaker 2: Normally his candidates are getting one to 2% and he
- 38:33Speaker 2: was getting five to seven and sometimes more. But what's
- 38:36Speaker 2: changed is third party candidates do well when people are
- 38:40Speaker 2: angry with both candidates. And we spent all this time,
- 38:44Speaker 2: we spent a year talking about the double haters, people
- 38:45Speaker 2: who didn't like Biden or Trump. The double haters are gone.
- 38:48Speaker 2: The number has been cut by more than half since
- 38:50Speaker 2: Biden dropped out. That's because Kamala Harris's approval ratings are
- 38:53Speaker 2: much higher than Biden's, but also Trump's have gone up.
- 38:56Speaker 2: And that's kind of why the third party share goes
- 38:58Speaker 2: down over time, because people sort of realign with their candidates, right?
- 39:04Speaker 2: You had all these Trump voters who Maybe they weren't
- 39:07Speaker 2: sure they were for Trump or they were voting for Trump,
- 39:09Speaker 2: but they didn't really like him. But now the more
- 39:11Speaker 2: the race gets polarized, the more they like their candidate.
- 39:13Speaker 2: So there's just the lane in which a third party
- 39:15Speaker 2: candidate can get a significant vote share has gone down. Now,
- 39:19Speaker 2: that does not mean this is still modeling like an
- 39:21Speaker 2: incredibly close race. So if Jill Stein gets a point
- 39:25Speaker 2: or two, Cornel West gets a point and RFK Jr.
- 39:28Speaker 2: gets two points, therefore points would be decisive, incredibly decisive.
- 39:32Speaker 2: So it still matters a lot.
- 39:33Speaker 1: Well, we were just talking about Trump at, you know,
- 39:35Speaker 1: if Trump's at 48 in some of these states, if
- 39:38Speaker 1: he could, you know, 47 or 48, and then three
- 39:40Speaker 1: or four points, yeah, then that becomes a tight race.
- 39:43Speaker 2: He can win at 48 because RFK Jr. is going
- 39:45Speaker 2: to be on the ballot in almost all the battleground states.
- 39:48Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 39:49Speaker 2: And Joe Stein is already on the ballot in a
- 39:51Speaker 2: lot of these states.
- 39:52Speaker 1: Yep. And then you got the libertarian candidate too.
- 39:54Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 39:55Speaker 1: I don't remember his name, but he's out there.
- 39:56Speaker 2: Something Oliver, Gary Oliver. Does that sound right?
- 39:59Speaker 1: No, it's not Gary, but Oliver's right. All right. Let's
- 40:03Speaker 1: just work this out here.
- 40:04Speaker 2: All right.
- 40:05Speaker 1: Lastly, something fun before we go. The Harris campaign just
- 40:08Speaker 1: posted just an incredibly charming YouTube video of Harris and
- 40:12Speaker 1: Tim Walz getting to know each other. Here's a sampling.
- 40:15Speaker 1: I called you, Tim. I was hoping maybe we wouldn't
- 40:16Speaker 1: have to.
- 40:17Speaker 7: I called you, Tim.
- 40:18Speaker 6: Yes.
- 40:19Speaker 1: You didn't answer, Tim. I know.
- 40:21Speaker 6: I know.
- 40:21Speaker 1: What happened? The most important call of my life. It
- 40:24Speaker 1: popped up, and we didn't recognize the caller ID, and
- 40:29Speaker 1: it went to voicemail.
- 40:30Speaker 3: Hi, this is Tim.
- 40:31Speaker 2: I'm not able to answer.
- 40:33Speaker 1: There you go. It's not possible.
- 40:36Speaker 2: Thank you.
- 40:38Speaker 1: Hey, Tim, it's Kamala. I really want to talk to you.
- 40:42Speaker 7: Talk about how Prince was with that guitar, man. I
- 40:45Speaker 7: almost know by heart every one of those songs.
- 40:47Speaker 1: I feel like a trip to Paisley Park is going
- 40:49Speaker 1: to happen here.
- 40:50Speaker 7: It's on my bucket list, I'll tell you that.
- 40:53Speaker 4: I have white guy tacos.
- 40:54Speaker 7: What is that, like mayonnaise and tuna?
- 40:57Speaker 2: What are you doing?
- 40:57Speaker 1: Pretty much ground beef and cheese.
- 40:59Speaker 6: That's okay.
- 41:00Speaker 2: Do you put any flavor in it?
- 41:02Speaker 7: No.
- 41:03Speaker 1: Here's the deal. She was so disappointed. Oh, you didn't
- 41:10Speaker 1: put any flavor. Where do you rank a video like
- 41:13Speaker 1: this on the impact scale compared to like a rally
- 41:16Speaker 1: or an ad? It seems like the kind of thing
- 41:18Speaker 1: that a lot of people, maybe people who aren't political
- 41:21Speaker 1: junkies like us would share because it's just like two
- 41:24Speaker 1: normal people having a good time laughing with each other.
- 41:27Speaker 1: It's kind of nice.
- 41:28Speaker 2: It's great. It's so much more valuable than a single
- 41:30Speaker 2: ad or even a rally because it's going to Especially
- 41:32Speaker 2: like in a world of TikTok, it's just going to
- 41:33Speaker 2: be there for a long time. It's going to circulate.
- 41:35Speaker 2: People are going to see it. They seem like normal humans.
- 41:38Speaker 2: Kamala Harris is– we know Tim Walz is great in
- 41:40Speaker 2: these scenarios. He's been posting– we've all seen them now,
- 41:43Speaker 2: amazing videos for years now. I mean the video of
- 41:47Speaker 2: Tim Walz's daughter telling him that turkey is meat is
- 41:49Speaker 2: still one of the greatest videos of all time.
- 41:51Speaker 1: Yeah, it's great.
- 41:51Speaker 2: Or the one where they're doing the hands-free PSA ad,
- 41:55Speaker 2: which is also superb. Like he is very good at this.
- 41:58Speaker 2: Kamala Harris is great at this stuff. She was, I mean,
- 42:00Speaker 2: do you remember the video that she did cooking with
- 42:03Speaker 2: Indian food with Mindy Kaling?
- 42:05Speaker 6: Yes.
- 42:05Speaker 2: It's like superb, right? Superb. And we haven't seen a lot.
- 42:08Speaker 1: The Trump later tweeted.
- 42:09Speaker 2: Thinking that it was damaging.
- 42:11Speaker 1: To prove that she's not black. Yeah.
- 42:12Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 42:13Speaker 1: I remember that.
- 42:14Speaker 2: So this is like, this is like shows him as people.
- 42:17Speaker 2: Like we just listened to Trump spent, try to treat
- 42:19Speaker 2: her as this radical person. communist who's stupid and mean
- 42:25Speaker 2: and all of this. And here she is just being
- 42:26Speaker 2: a normal human being, have a normal conversation with a normal,
- 42:28Speaker 2: normal human being. It's, it really is gold. Like this
- 42:31Speaker 2: is the people want, this is relatable. This stuff defangs
- 42:35Speaker 2: the caricature when they see it. And I love it.
- 42:37Speaker 1: Speaking of relatable, what do you think was going on with, uh,
- 42:41Speaker 1: with Tim Walls missing the call? I said, she, she he's,
- 42:45Speaker 1: he's getting a call. The most important call of his life.
- 42:48Speaker 1: Could you, would you serve as my vice president? And
- 42:52Speaker 1: because it's a blocked number, he just goes right to voicemail.
- 42:56Speaker 2: It's inexcusable, frankly. Inexcusable.
- 42:59Speaker 1: And I say that I am someone who never answers
- 43:01Speaker 1: the phone. I don't talk on the phone. You call
- 43:05Speaker 1: me on the phone. I don't answer. When Emily calls
- 43:07Speaker 1: me on the phone, I think it's an emergency. My
- 43:09Speaker 1: parents do. And certainly numbers I don't recognize or blocked numbers,
- 43:14Speaker 1: I don't answer those. So I don't, I mean, I
- 43:17Speaker 1: understand that. But if you know that, okay, she's probably
- 43:21Speaker 1: calling the winner of the veep stakes today, then I
- 43:25Speaker 1: turn on the ringer and I'd start looking at the
- 43:27Speaker 1: phone and I'd just pick up any number.
- 43:28Speaker 2: If you knew you were the finalist to win Powerball
- 43:32Speaker 2: and you were going to get a call the next morning,
- 43:34Speaker 2: one way or the other to find out if you
- 43:36Speaker 2: had won Powerball, you're answering the phone no matter what
- 43:39Speaker 2: the number is. It could say spam risk on it
- 43:42Speaker 2: and you would answer that phone. Like what's the, like,
- 43:45Speaker 2: what is the worst case scenario? It answers that it
- 43:47Speaker 2: turns out to be a scam and he hangs up
- 43:50Speaker 2: on the person. He just says bye. And then waits
- 43:52Speaker 2: for the next call.
- 43:53Speaker 1: Like, did he, did he think that the call was
- 43:55Speaker 1: going to come through and just say like, it's Kamala Harris?
- 43:58Speaker 1: I mean, obviously he's.
- 43:59Speaker 2: Talked to her. It's so funny.
- 44:02Speaker 1: It's really funny. It's really like, I get, there is
- 44:05Speaker 1: like a, I remember when we were in the white house,
- 44:07Speaker 1: like you get those calls and it was like, it's,
- 44:09Speaker 1: it's the, it's the president and it's like a blocked
- 44:11Speaker 1: number or it's the two, whatever. And you're like, it
- 44:14Speaker 1: is very scary when you're awaiting a call from an
- 44:16Speaker 1: important person. But like, you just got to do it.
- 44:19Speaker 1: You got to pick up.
- 44:20Speaker 2: You know when it's really scary? When you're not awaiting
- 44:22Speaker 2: a call from an important person and that phone rings.
- 44:24Speaker 1: No, that's, you're right. That is the scary.
- 44:26Speaker 2: That's when you know something's going, you're in trouble and
- 44:28Speaker 2: your night is over, whatever you were doing.
- 44:31Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly. Like when I was at Lollapalooza in 2007
- 44:35Speaker 1: during the campaign and I thought that the speech was locked.
- 44:38Speaker 1: Our energy speech was locked because Barack Obama said, we're
- 44:41Speaker 1: all done. I have no more edits. And then right
- 44:44Speaker 1: in the middle of the concert on my phone, there
- 44:46Speaker 1: you guys, I want to rewrite the speech.
- 44:48Speaker 2: Well, look, in defense of you, people have been talking
- 44:51Speaker 2: about that speech for the 15 years since. Everyone remembers
- 44:53Speaker 2: the energy speech.
- 44:56Speaker 1: I don't remember anything about it. Tacos. Look, I'm a
- 45:00Speaker 1: white guy. I put seasoning on my tacos. Do you
- 45:05Speaker 1: like spice? White guy tacos? Come on, Tim.
- 45:09Speaker 2: I think there's a couple ways to look at this. One,
- 45:11Speaker 2: the no seasoning thing, also inexcusable, right? They give you
- 45:14Speaker 2: a packet in the taco kit, Tim.
- 45:16Speaker 1: Put it in there. That's what makes tacos so good.
- 45:18Speaker 2: Yes, that's called taco seasoning. Otherwise, you're just eating fucking hamburger.
- 45:21Speaker 2: You're eating a hamburger without the helper in a tortilla chip.
- 45:27Speaker 2: But I will say in Tim's defense, I have to
- 45:29Speaker 2: say this carefully. As someone who has now lived in
- 45:31Speaker 2: California for nine years and is married to someone from
- 45:35Speaker 2: the Bay Area who takes her Mexican food incredibly seriously,
- 45:39Speaker 2: I have no objection to a crispy shell taco. No.
- 45:44Speaker 2: I don't. Is that a– oh, because that's– That is
- 45:47Speaker 2: one of the key ingredients of a white guy taco
- 45:49Speaker 2: or a white person taco is crispy shell taco like
- 45:53Speaker 2: comes in the taco kit as opposed to.
- 45:55Speaker 1: A corn tortilla. I also like a crispy shell taco.
- 45:57Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, look, it's not a traditional taco. I
- 46:01Speaker 2: have to say that if I want to be able
- 46:02Speaker 2: to return to my home later tonight. But I will not.
- 46:06Speaker 2: If you want to give me a crispy shell taco
- 46:08Speaker 2: with some ground beef, with seasoning, Tim Walls, some lettuce
- 46:10Speaker 2: and some cheese, I'll eat that. That's delicious.
- 46:13Speaker 1: But also, medium to hot salsa, jalapenos.
- 46:16Speaker 2: Oh, spice, for sure. For sure. It is funny.
- 46:20Speaker 1: And apparently Kamala Harris really likes spicy food. And she
- 46:23Speaker 1: should really go on hot ones. I mean, I think that's...
- 46:26Speaker 1: I have such.
- 46:26Speaker 2: I mean... The current podcast aside, I have such a
- 46:29Speaker 2: list of great podcasts for Kamala Harris to do that
- 46:31Speaker 2: I just want to see. And Hot Ones is one
- 46:33Speaker 2: of them.
- 46:35Speaker 1: I think she'll be able to hang on that for sure.
- 46:37Speaker 2: Absolutely. There is a funny part in that video that
- 46:40Speaker 2: is not in our Supercut where he says that the
- 46:44Speaker 2: black pepper is the pinnacle of spice in Minnesota, which
- 46:47Speaker 2: is very funny.
- 46:47Speaker 1: That is very funny. That is very funny. All right. Well,
- 46:50Speaker 1: that's our show for today. We will be back on Monday,
- 46:54Speaker 1: the two of us and Lovett and Tommy in Chicago
- 46:56Speaker 1: for the very first dnc reaction show uh we'll be
- 46:59Speaker 1: doing that monday night so that episode will be out
- 47:01Speaker 1: on tuesday get excited chicago here we come have a
- 47:05Speaker 1: good weekend everyone.
- 47:06Speaker 2: We're gonna go to one of america's great cities and
- 47:08Speaker 2: record podcasts.
- 47:10Speaker 1: Can't wait bye bye everyone if you want to get
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- 47:41Speaker 1: a Crooked Media production. Our producer is David Toledo. Our
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- 47:48Speaker 1: is our executive editor, and Adrian Hill is our executive producer.
- 47:51Speaker 1: The show is mixed and edited by Andrew Chadwick. Jordan
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