Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Nvidia Invests $2 Billion More in CoreWeave, Offers New Chip
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- 0:23Speaker 2: All right, and what can be I guess another one
- 0:25Speaker 2: of these circular financing deals in Vidia Corporation today and
- 0:30Speaker 2: announce it's vested an additional two billion dollars in core
- 0:33Speaker 2: Weave cloud computing firm and key customer to speed up
- 0:37Speaker 2: an effort to add more than five gigawats of AI
- 0:40Speaker 2: computing capacity by twenty thirty. There's a lot going on there.
- 0:43Speaker 2: Let's check in with anaag Rana. He's a technology analyst
- 0:46Speaker 2: to Bloomberg Intelligence. An Rok, thanks so much for joining
- 0:49Speaker 2: us here. What's your reaction to this additional investment buy
- 0:52Speaker 2: in Nvidia into core Weave.
- 0:55Speaker 3: Yeah, if you go back in history and see when
- 0:57Speaker 3: Gorviv was going public, it was having a hot time
- 1:00Speaker 3: getting a good pricing, and then in Vidia kicking and said,
- 1:03Speaker 3: you know, we're going to be a part of this
- 1:04Speaker 3: particular ripo. And I think what's happening here?
- 1:07Speaker 4: Is this.
- 1:07Speaker 3: In Vidia is creating the chips, and code Weeve is
- 1:10Speaker 3: helping them sell the computing using those chips. Two different
- 1:14Speaker 3: public that's out there now. At this time, Codevieve has
- 1:18Speaker 3: a massive backlog of orders, but it you know, needs
- 1:21Speaker 3: to get funding done in order to convert that into
- 1:24Speaker 3: data centers and then capacity. Now you know, in Vidia
- 1:27Speaker 3: isn't giving them money straight away, but it's basically saying,
- 1:30Speaker 3: you know, we have confidence in this in this company,
- 1:32Speaker 3: and it would help then Code Weeve go out and
- 1:35Speaker 3: raise capital from outside. So I think it's a little
- 1:38Speaker 3: bit more like spreading the Nvidia ecosystem, is what that's
- 1:41Speaker 3: happening right now.
- 1:43Speaker 2: Looking at your research note, note that corew've has fifty
- 1:47Speaker 2: billion dollars in remaining performance obligations. What does that mean?
- 1:53Speaker 3: Yeah, basically it's this is kind of the contracted revenue
- 1:55Speaker 3: they have on hand, which means, you know, Microsoft has said,
- 1:58Speaker 3: you know what, I'm good for ten turn out of that.
- 2:00Speaker 3: For example, Meta has a deal with them, so they
- 2:03Speaker 3: have this backlog of all these orders. But you know,
- 2:06Speaker 3: unlike other companies, you just can't go out and fulfill
- 2:09Speaker 3: the demand. You have to create a very large data
- 2:11Speaker 3: centers using a radio chips. It then starts to work
- 2:15Speaker 3: out or runs and then you realize that fifty billion
- 2:18Speaker 3: into revenue over the next several years.
- 2:21Speaker 2: So what's the gating issue here for Coreweve? Is it
- 2:26Speaker 2: more access to more data centers? What's kind of the
- 2:29Speaker 2: gating issue for them to fulfill that revenue?
- 2:33Speaker 3: Multiple gating factors. One is actually the data center itself.
- 2:36Speaker 3: For that, you need land, you need power. You know,
- 2:39Speaker 3: the chip side is okay at this point because in
- 2:41Speaker 3: radio is there. But then also you need capital. I
- 2:43Speaker 3: mean code Weave is not a company like Microsoft or
- 2:46Speaker 3: Amazon that has unlimited capital to create these data centers.
- 2:49Speaker 3: It has to go in the market and raise capital.
- 2:52Speaker 3: Before they went public, I mean their cost of capital
- 2:54Speaker 3: was north of ten percent. Right now after they went public,
- 2:58Speaker 3: I mean the cost of capital has gone down to
- 3:00Speaker 3: about eight percent. But the entire new clouds are in,
- 3:03Speaker 3: whether it is code we or whether it is Nebus,
- 3:06Speaker 3: really depends on private credit lending or lending by other
- 3:10Speaker 3: banks to really come up with the funding to create
- 3:13Speaker 3: these data centers.
- 3:15Speaker 2: So I also see in the news here today that
- 3:19Speaker 2: Microsoft unveil's latest AI chip to reduce reliance on in
- 3:23Speaker 2: video what's going on there.
- 3:26Speaker 3: So this is something that's going on with all hyper
- 3:28Speaker 3: scale cloud providers, you know, whether that's Google with its CPUs,
- 3:31Speaker 3: Amazon with its chip, and now Microsoft launching. I mean,
- 3:35Speaker 3: they have one chip, but the first generation was not
- 3:38Speaker 3: you could say, did not do that well in terms
- 3:40Speaker 3: of you know, reception from customers. What Microsoft is hoping
- 3:44Speaker 3: here right now is, you know, for training, they'll still
- 3:46Speaker 3: use the more powerful in video chips, but for you know, running,
- 3:50Speaker 3: let's say a copilot, they could get around and use
- 3:53Speaker 3: less powerful chips and big band. If they do that,
- 3:56Speaker 3: they actually save.
- 3:57Speaker 5: A lot of money.
- 3:58Speaker 3: You know, in our math, we think if if Microsoft
- 4:00Speaker 3: is going to spend you know, somewhere north of one
- 4:03Speaker 3: hundred and forty billion dollars this year, more than fifty
- 4:05Speaker 3: of that is going to go just buying chips, and
- 4:07Speaker 3: so you know, it's it's a very big ticket for
- 4:10Speaker 3: them and they everybody needs to be doing this frankly
- 4:13Speaker 3: in house.
- 4:14Speaker 2: So what's the next thing we should be looking for?
- 4:16Speaker 2: We get earnings coming up this week. An Aaraj just
- 4:18Speaker 2: gives a little preview kind of what you think the
- 4:21Speaker 2: market's keying on this time around.
- 4:24Speaker 3: The biggest thing we want to know is where are
- 4:26Speaker 3: the use cases, what kind of AI adoption we are
- 4:29Speaker 3: seeing across different sectors, And that's I think was going
- 4:32Speaker 3: to probably be the most important thing for us. We
- 4:35Speaker 3: have already seen that infrastructure spending is very high. Everybody
- 4:39Speaker 3: has that big AI factory in place, but is the
- 4:42Speaker 3: demand coming from you know, non LLLM customers to deploy
- 4:47Speaker 3: those And that's really I think that one of the
- 4:49Speaker 3: biggest focus areas for us going into this earning season
- 4:52Speaker 3: and probably all of twenty twenty six.
- 4:55Speaker 2: So what's the what do you think is the best
- 4:58Speaker 2: positioned kind of the big tech names that you follow
- 5:01Speaker 2: for twenty twenty six year, because there's probably as much
- 5:05Speaker 2: concern in the marketplace that this could be a year
- 5:07Speaker 2: where the AI story begins to disappoint.
- 5:09Speaker 4: Perhaps.
- 5:11Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, if you think about it, the three
- 5:13Speaker 3: companies that are probably most i mean better position than
- 5:17Speaker 3: the others are really Microsoft, Google and Amazon, because not
- 5:22Speaker 3: only do they have an emerging AI infrastructure business, but
- 5:26Speaker 3: they also have a legacy cloud business. And one of
- 5:28Speaker 3: the ways you deploy this technology is using cloud. So
- 5:32Speaker 3: if you're building an application using one of the lllms,
- 5:35Speaker 3: you're hosting it in one of these cloud providers, and
- 5:37Speaker 3: we've already seen that and improvement in growth rates for
- 5:40Speaker 3: Microsoft and Google, and I think this year we see
- 5:43Speaker 3: that improvement coming in for Amazon as well.
- 5:46Speaker 2: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 5:53Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
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- 6:07Speaker 2: Let's redrive into your little healthcare here we can check
- 6:10Speaker 2: in with Sam Fizzelli joins us in Bloomberg Intelligence. He's
- 6:14Speaker 2: over there in London covering all the healthcare stuff for us. Sam,
- 6:19Speaker 2: what's front of mine as you go into earning season
- 6:21Speaker 2: this season for investors in some of the biotech and
- 6:24Speaker 2: big cap big farmer companies.
- 6:27Speaker 6: Yeah, so, Paul, I think what people hope to hear
- 6:30Speaker 6: and expect to hear is that all that MFN stuff
- 6:33Speaker 6: is behind us, All the negotiations have happened. They're not
- 6:37Speaker 6: worried about any any talk of it anymore. And of
- 6:40Speaker 6: course what people are also looking for is what farmer
- 6:44Speaker 6: is doing. Looking into twenty eight twenty nine thirty with
- 6:48Speaker 6: some patent expiies. How good does their pipeline looking? Are
- 6:52Speaker 6: they still solidly behind it? It's a tid have any
- 6:57Speaker 6: negative things to day the pipeline and also listen out
- 7:00Speaker 6: for m and A right MNA is what there this
- 7:03Speaker 6: solution to some of these issues they might have with
- 7:05Speaker 6: their patents are and thatfore that's what biotech investors are
- 7:09Speaker 6: looking for in terms of what are the kinds of commentary.
- 7:12Speaker 6: Remember or we just had this up and down yo
- 7:16Speaker 6: yo with Revolution Medicine share price where there was a
- 7:19Speaker 6: rumor that Merk might be wanting to buy them, and
- 7:22Speaker 6: a JP Morgan they said, look, we got tens of
- 7:23Speaker 6: billions of dollars to put to work. And of course
- 7:26Speaker 6: that's a sort of number that people were thinking about
- 7:28Speaker 6: Revolution Medicine and apparently they've walked away from each other.
- 7:31Speaker 6: So we've done a lot of analysis on that. But
- 7:33Speaker 6: that's the sort of thing people are going to be
- 7:34Speaker 6: looking for.
- 7:36Speaker 5: I didn't realize that Mark was this price sensitive.
- 7:38Speaker 7: I mean, how how much more particular how much more
- 7:42Speaker 7: price sensitive are these big tech not big tech sorry
- 7:46Speaker 7: there In a way they're kind of like tech companies,
- 7:47Speaker 7: big pharmer companies going to be at this stage of
- 7:50Speaker 7: M and A.
- 7:51Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean there's price and price though, right. I mean,
- 7:55Speaker 6: what we calculated here is that at about a thirty
- 7:58Speaker 6: billion dollar value for Revolution Medicines. The only way it
- 8:03Speaker 6: would have worked is if you had the largest number
- 8:07Speaker 6: that we might be out there already with in terms
- 8:09Speaker 6: of sales going out to twenty thirty five, and assume
- 8:12Speaker 6: a massive cash generation out of that, something in the
- 8:16Speaker 6: region of sixty seventy eighty percent cash conversion doable. Novel
- 8:21Speaker 6: had a few years of having like almost one hundred
- 8:24Speaker 6: percent cash conversion. The point is that doesn't usually work
- 8:28Speaker 6: a in a standard farmer company. So we just thought
- 8:30Speaker 6: that number was too much, and it turns out to
- 8:33Speaker 6: be what the company came out, not too much, but
- 8:36Speaker 6: too hard to justify. I mean, Revolution Medicine is a
- 8:39Speaker 6: classy company, it's got a great pipeline. Probably it's got
- 8:43Speaker 6: to change the fate of many people with pacreatic cancer.
- 8:47Speaker 6: We'll have to wait and see the data. So there's
- 8:49Speaker 6: a lot going for them, but price sensitivity, and we've
- 8:51Speaker 6: thirty billion dollars a small amount of money.
- 8:55Speaker 2: M and A in twenty twenty six am so we
- 8:56Speaker 2: expect it to be another robust year in the healthcare space.
- 9:00Speaker 6: Yeah, yeah, yeah. I mean biotech was pretty good last
- 9:03Speaker 6: year in terms of farmer buying them and some biotech
- 9:05Speaker 6: buying each other. We had gen Map buying mirrors, so
- 9:08Speaker 6: I think that would be still the case. Whether this
- 9:10Speaker 6: stal happens or not, whether it happens at one hundred
- 9:13Speaker 6: and ten dollars a share or whatever, or never happens.
- 9:16Speaker 6: There's plenty of food assets out there. What also we're
- 9:18Speaker 6: looking at for twenty twenty six is IPOs. We've had
- 9:22Speaker 6: a couple already holding above the issue price, and I
- 9:26Speaker 6: think people are hoping maybe we get twenty to twenty
- 9:28Speaker 6: five IPOs in twenty twenty six.
- 9:32Speaker 5: Stay with us.
- 9:32Speaker 2: More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 9:39Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 9:42Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am easterne on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 9:46Speaker 1: Otto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever
- 9:49Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 9:53Speaker 7: David Wu has been one of my favorite guests for years.
- 9:55Speaker 7: He was the head of inter interest rates and Economic
- 9:58Speaker 7: research at BAVA for many many years. One of our
- 10:02Speaker 7: long term guests, and then he retired. He had told
- 10:05Speaker 7: me even before he retired that he was planning to
- 10:07Speaker 7: write a book. And this book is now about to
- 10:09Speaker 7: be published.
- 10:10Speaker 5: So David Wu joins us right now.
- 10:12Speaker 7: He is a founder of strategist of Unbound Retail on
- 10:15Speaker 7: his new book, Mary Go Round Broke Down, a novel
- 10:18Speaker 7: of guilt, greed and globalization.
- 10:20Speaker 5: David, good to speak with you.
- 10:21Speaker 7: You now live in Israel, You've written this book, it's
- 10:23Speaker 7: about to be published. Except the world is very different
- 10:26Speaker 7: than what it was when you first started writing this book.
- 10:30Speaker 5: What stage of globalization are we at right now? Isn't
- 10:33Speaker 5: it just deglobalization?
- 10:36Speaker 4: I think, you know, honestly, Scarlett, I think is as
- 10:39Speaker 4: dead as Dodo actually. And the way I look at
- 10:43Speaker 4: this is that I'm just hoping and I know it's over.
- 10:46Speaker 4: I'm just hoping that, you know, we're not going to
- 10:49Speaker 4: throw out the baby with the bath water. And this
- 10:51Speaker 4: is the reason why I wrote the book, by the way,
- 10:52Speaker 4: because I now want to basically take the war the
- 10:56Speaker 4: battle organization to the general public. This is why I
- 10:59Speaker 4: wrote it as a novel as opposed to another policy book,
- 11:02Speaker 4: because I want to basically explain I want to basically
- 11:04Speaker 4: make accessible the story of globalization to every person in
- 11:08Speaker 4: the stry, regardless their background, so that we can make
- 11:10Speaker 4: a decision about which part we want to keep and
- 11:13Speaker 4: which part we want to part with. So that that's
- 11:15Speaker 4: really the purpose of the book, because I think, you know,
- 11:18Speaker 4: to be honest with you, I think for the world
- 11:20Speaker 4: to be a better place, there's never been more important
- 11:22Speaker 4: for everybody. I'm talking about everybody to understand the workings
- 11:26Speaker 4: of the world.
- 11:27Speaker 2: So David, to the extent that globalization is at the
- 11:30Speaker 2: very least losing prominence in global trades, some people would
- 11:34Speaker 2: say the ear of globalization is over. I don't know
- 11:38Speaker 2: what's changed in the last several years, because it really
- 11:42Speaker 2: seemed to be on a post World War two pretty
- 11:44Speaker 2: solid trajectory, right.
- 11:47Speaker 4: I think for the most part, I think, you know,
- 11:49Speaker 4: the honest truth is if you look at what's going on, right,
- 11:53Speaker 4: I mean, we all knew the US has not only
- 11:56Speaker 4: been the guaranteur of the root based global order that
- 11:59Speaker 4: it's been in place for whatever seventy years, let's call
- 12:02Speaker 4: it dapts, right, and the US has also been, you know,
- 12:04Speaker 4: the biggest beneficiary. Now, so the question is why all
- 12:08Speaker 4: of a sudden, the US wants to walk away from
- 12:10Speaker 4: this root based order. I think the answer is pretty obvious,
- 12:13Speaker 4: which is that the US was the main beneficiary as
- 12:16Speaker 4: long as the US economic and military domination was total,
- 12:21Speaker 4: and it's become very clear that this is no longer
- 12:23Speaker 4: the case. And therefore the US decided that, you know what,
- 12:26Speaker 4: we want to be able to reposition ourselves in a
- 12:29Speaker 4: competitive way. This is why we want to basically do
- 12:32Speaker 4: away with the rules. And this is why, in a way,
- 12:34Speaker 4: you know, the I mean, the whole Medora's extraction from Venezuela,
- 12:39Speaker 4: it was not about the US is trying to go
- 12:40Speaker 4: down to Venezuela to promote democracy. I mean, this is
- 12:44Speaker 4: really about an oil grab. It's about the US. I mean,
- 12:47Speaker 4: it's China no longer the US that is the dominant
- 12:50Speaker 4: trading partner for South America, the biggest sovereign lender, and
- 12:53Speaker 4: then US decided that's it, that's what we're going to do.
- 12:56Speaker 4: So I think, not point of view, this is what
- 12:58Speaker 4: it is. I mean, it's not about globalization or not.
- 13:01Speaker 4: It's about the global you know. I mean, I think
- 13:04Speaker 4: it's about the group based international order that has come
- 13:07Speaker 4: to an end. I mean, I'm sympathetic to the view
- 13:11Speaker 4: of you know, Mark Karney, who declare it this thing.
- 13:14Speaker 5: Is over right.
- 13:15Speaker 7: And to the US's credit or to President Trump's credit,
- 13:18Speaker 7: he never pretended that this was about promoting democracy in Venezuela. Right,
- 13:21Speaker 7: It was always about oil, and he was pretty upfront
- 13:24Speaker 7: about that. So in your book, David Merry, Go Around,
- 13:26Speaker 7: Broke Down, you have a number of different characters to
- 13:28Speaker 7: really tell the story of globalization from their perspective. There's
- 13:32Speaker 7: a director of a failing factory in China, a trader
- 13:35Speaker 7: in London, a Japanese housewife who learns and.
- 13:38Speaker 5: Perfects the yen carry trade.
- 13:39Speaker 7: A Mexican artist who becomes an undocumented worker in the US.
- 13:43Speaker 7: Which is your favorite first of all to write about,
- 13:47Speaker 7: Which is the one that you think can survive in
- 13:49Speaker 7: this next stage of globalization slash d globalization?
- 13:54Speaker 4: You know, the honest truth is and I'm embarrassed to
- 13:56Speaker 4: say this is of course the hedgeflon manager.
- 13:58Speaker 5: I knew it said in a way it's very sad.
- 14:01Speaker 4: It's very sad. I mean, this is what we have
- 14:03Speaker 4: a K shape economy right now. You know, people the
- 14:05Speaker 4: world could be going to para shape, but somebody is
- 14:07Speaker 4: gonna make some money basically on their way down. And
- 14:10Speaker 4: that's what it is. I mean, this is why, like
- 14:12Speaker 4: you know, I think, not put of view, it's actually
- 14:15Speaker 4: the financialization of a global crisis that's making a lot
- 14:18Speaker 4: of people very rich. And I'm not just talking about obviously,
- 14:21Speaker 4: you know, the hedge funds, whatever. I mean, everybody's trying
- 14:24Speaker 4: to milk this cow because what is really going on.
- 14:27Speaker 4: Also part of this is that ironically, you know, as
- 14:30Speaker 4: Trump tries to dismantle the order his the only thing
- 14:35Speaker 4: that he cannot dismantle is the stock market. That's the
- 14:38Speaker 4: honest true. This is why talk is taking Trump less
- 14:41Speaker 4: and less time to taco and because at the end
- 14:43Speaker 4: the day, for him to go out there and win
- 14:45Speaker 4: trade wars, he needs the U s stock market to cooperate.
- 14:48Speaker 4: I mean, the honest truth is if the US economy
- 14:50Speaker 4: would have gone into a recession last year if it
- 14:53Speaker 4: hadn't been for the stock market. So not put of view, like,
- 14:56Speaker 4: that's just what it is. And so people get it.
- 14:58Speaker 4: People get it. This is why every everybody and their
- 15:00Speaker 4: grandmother's overweight stocks. Everybody in the grandmother's overweight goal, so
- 15:04Speaker 4: basically buying stocks and buying gold has become the Trump
- 15:07Speaker 4: traits of basically a second term, and it's about how
- 15:10Speaker 4: he's going to dismantle the world, but he has to
- 15:13Speaker 4: tackle when the stock market even has a little basically
- 15:16Speaker 4: coughing context.
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