Latest / Merryn Talks Money / Physical Gold, Stocks and Retirement: Your Questions Answered
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts. Radio.
- 0:06Speaker 2: News. Welcome to Merrin Talks Your Money, the personal finance
- 0:19Speaker 2: edition of Merrin Talks Money.
- 0:21Speaker 1: In these bonus podcasts.
- 0:23Speaker 2: We talk about the best strategies for making the most
- 0:25Speaker 2: of your money. I'm Merrin Somerset Webb, and with me,
- 0:27Speaker 2: senior reporter and money distilled author, John Steppett.
- 0:30Speaker 1: Hi, John. Hi, Merrin. Don, we get a lot of emails,
- 0:33Speaker 1: which we love. We love emails. Send us more emails.
- 0:36Speaker 2: Today, we are digging into the show in books and
- 0:38Speaker 2: pulling out some of the questions that listeners have sent
- 0:41Speaker 2: us to discuss. Okay, so the first one is one
- 0:45Speaker 2: that I know we both have firm answers to it,
- 0:48Speaker 2: and it's about from someone who came from one of
- 0:50Speaker 2: our fringe shows in Edinburgh. And basically, he holds the
- 0:53Speaker 2: majority of his gold through one of the physically backed
- 0:59Speaker 2: ETFs rather than owning it directly. Increasingly, he says, he'd
- 1:04Speaker 2: been wondering about the risks inherent in holding gold this
- 1:07Speaker 2: way and whether some of those risks potentially undermine the
- 1:11Speaker 2: very reasons for owning gold in the first place.
- 1:14Speaker 1: So he wants to know how comfortable.
- 1:15Speaker 2: Are we with the idea of physically backed ETFs or
- 1:18Speaker 2: ETCs as a long-term way of holding gold.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Now, I have a very clear answer to that, which.
- 1:23Speaker 2: Is that you're holding gold as emergency insurance. So I
- 1:29Speaker 2: think that you should have a reasonable amount of your
- 1:32Speaker 2: gold in actual, physical, easy-to-access gold, just in case all
- 1:39Speaker 2: the worst things really happen all at once, and then
- 1:43Speaker 2: you have your gold. But you can also, you know,
- 1:45Speaker 2: gold in a ETF or ETC with a good provider
- 1:51Speaker 2: is a pretty safe way to do. Yes, you are
- 1:53Speaker 2: inside the financial system. Yes, you do have custodian risk
- 1:58Speaker 2: and management risk and financial risk to the extent it's
- 2:03Speaker 2: entirely possible that your provider might become insolvent, might go bust,
- 2:07Speaker 2: and then it'll be difficult for you to reclaim your money.
- 2:09Speaker 1: But the gold is there. The gold is there.
- 2:13Speaker 2: And while you don't have an individually allocated bit of gold,
- 2:17Speaker 2: you have a share of the existing gold.
- 2:19Speaker 1: So are there risks with it? Absolutely. But the gold
- 2:23Speaker 1: is there.
- 2:23Speaker 2: So yes, you should have a reasonable amount, I think,
- 2:27Speaker 2: as physical gold, because one of the reasons for holding
- 2:30Speaker 2: gold is because terrible, terrible things can happen But if
- 2:33Speaker 2: you're holding it as a protection against inflation or the
- 2:38Speaker 2: general collapse of fiat currencies or repression that doesn't involve
- 2:42Speaker 2: seizing gold, then it's a perfectly good way to capture
- 2:46Speaker 2: that upside.
- 2:47Speaker 1: Is that fair, John?
- 2:48Speaker 3: Yeah, I do think that's fair. I mean, I think
- 2:51Speaker 3: in a funny kind of way, there's a risk appetite
- 2:54Speaker 3: thing going on here. And the honest truth is that
- 2:57Speaker 3: I am not so confident worried about the physical side,
- 3:02Speaker 3: I definitely take your point about if you're genuinely worried
- 3:07Speaker 3: about an apocalypse, if you genuinely want to ensure against
- 3:09Speaker 3: an apocalyptic scenario, then the only answer is to have
- 3:13Speaker 3: some physical gold that you can literally access, which creates
- 3:17Speaker 3: its own problems. It's a pain in the neck to
- 3:19Speaker 3: store and you have to have a safe, things like that.
- 3:22Speaker 3: But if that's what you want, then that's what you
- 3:25Speaker 3: need to have. I'm perfectly comfortable with the idea of
- 3:28Speaker 3: physically gold-backed ETFs don't have any kind of worries about
- 3:31Speaker 3: that and I think it's a good way to get
- 3:33Speaker 3: exposure to the price. But what I would say is
- 3:37Speaker 3: this reader has pointed out that they actually do hold
- 3:40Speaker 3: quite a lot of gold relative to, I guess, you know,
- 3:44Speaker 3: what probably, certainly what your average kind of investor does.
- 3:48Speaker 3: And so from that point of view, I would think that, well,
- 3:50Speaker 3: you're clearly somebody that is worried about this sort of thing.
- 3:53Speaker 3: So yes, you specifically probably have got a lower risk
- 3:57Speaker 3: tolerance for the emergency scenario. So you probably should have
- 4:00Speaker 3: a bit more physical gold literally to hand than you
- 4:03Speaker 3: do at the moment. I guess would be the only
- 4:06Speaker 3: kind of bet I would add to what you said.
- 4:10Speaker 1: Okay, fair enough.
- 4:22Speaker 2: Right, John, here's another one which I actually think is
- 4:25Speaker 2: kind of Interesting. And we've discussed it the other way
- 4:27Speaker 2: around previously. So it's from Tim, and he's writing about
- 4:33Speaker 2: one of the podcasts we did recently. This one was
- 4:35Speaker 2: with Lawrence Hulse, who is from Onward Opportunities, basically invested
- 4:40Speaker 2: in small caps. And along the way in the podcast,
- 4:43Speaker 2: he mentions that him buying the shares supports the businesses
- 4:50Speaker 2: that he's buying into. And Tim says, you hear this often,
- 4:53Speaker 2: but what does it mean in that If you're just
- 4:56Speaker 2: buying shares in the secondary market, it doesn't seem to hold.
- 4:58Speaker 2: So an investment fund buying a stake is just facilitating
- 5:01Speaker 2: the selling of other investors. The funds, the shares just
- 5:04Speaker 2: switch hands, but there's no impact on the firm itself.
- 5:09Speaker 1: Now, that is absolutely fair.
- 5:12Speaker 2: And one of the things that we've talked about or
- 5:13Speaker 2: I've written about quite a lot over the years is
- 5:15Speaker 2: that when people sell shares in big companies as a protest,
- 5:19Speaker 2: you know, sell shares in tobacco companies or whatever, it
- 5:20Speaker 2: makes absolutely no difference.
- 5:22Speaker 1: Whatsoever to anything.
- 5:24Speaker 2: Because the capital has already been raised and the company
- 5:27Speaker 2: just carries on as is. But it's different, I think,
- 5:32Speaker 2: if we're talking about small companies who may need to
- 5:35Speaker 2: raise money again in the future. The higher the share price,
- 5:39Speaker 2: the lower their cost of capital effectively. So if they
- 5:43Speaker 2: want to raise more money, they want to issue shares
- 5:45Speaker 2: at a high price. So if you're supporting a smaller
- 5:47Speaker 2: company that may need an injection of capital, then simply
- 5:50Speaker 2: by buying and holding the shares, you are to a degree,
- 5:53Speaker 2: supporting them. So that does kind of work. And also,
- 5:56Speaker 2: of course, but in the same way, you're providing them
- 5:59Speaker 2: with the ability to pay their employees with some kind
- 6:03Speaker 2: of equity stake or some kind of option stake, which
- 6:06Speaker 2: we don't necessarily always approve of, but nonetheless is a
- 6:08Speaker 2: positive for company management. So I'd say that if you're
- 6:11Speaker 2: right down the bottom of the market cap structure, that
- 6:15Speaker 2: can work. And if you look at the other way around,
- 6:17Speaker 2: one of the things that we've talked about, quite the
- 6:20Speaker 2: other way around, but with bigger companies, we've talked previously
- 6:22Speaker 2: about The way that passive pushes shares in some companies
- 6:26Speaker 2: up to what appear to be unreasonable valuations.
- 6:30Speaker 1: Relative to their business.
- 6:31Speaker 2: And one of the things that that does is a
- 6:33Speaker 2: misallocation of capital on the other side. And it allows
- 6:36Speaker 2: companies to raise large amounts of money very cheaply when
- 6:39Speaker 2: maybe they wouldn't have otherwise.
- 6:41Speaker 1: So it holds in that kind of place. You have
- 6:45Speaker 1: to be.
- 6:45Speaker 2: Raising capital or be needing at some point to raise
- 6:48Speaker 2: capital for it to matter. Have I explained that well
- 6:50Speaker 2: or I have made a complete mess of explaining it? No, no, no.
- 6:53Speaker 3: I think you've explained the practical side of it really
- 6:56Speaker 3: well there. But also there's the other point of when
- 7:01Speaker 3: you go public, there's an element of doing that for
- 7:04Speaker 3: profile as well. And it's one thing if you're BP,
- 7:08Speaker 3: you don't need the profile. But if you're a kind
- 7:10Speaker 3: of small cap that's just going public on aim or
- 7:13Speaker 3: even at the bottom end of the footsie, then at
- 7:16Speaker 3: least one of the reasons a lot of companies do
- 7:18Speaker 3: that is to get some kind of exposure and some
- 7:22Speaker 3: kind of profile and obviously investing in it is is
- 7:26Speaker 3: a good way to kind of like help them on
- 7:28Speaker 3: that front as well you know i know the other
- 7:30Speaker 3: point that we're always talking about is if we want
- 7:33Speaker 3: to have companies that uh you know british people if
- 7:37Speaker 3: you like kind of benefit from as opposed to you
- 7:41Speaker 3: know buying into spacex once it's already made a trillion
- 7:44Speaker 3: percent on the private market then this is the kind
- 7:48Speaker 3: of thing that we want to encourage. And that's getting
- 7:49Speaker 3: away from what Tim's asking to an extent. But if
- 7:54Speaker 3: you want to have a thriving ecosystem of businesses, then
- 7:57Speaker 3: they need to know that they can go on the
- 7:58Speaker 3: market and someone's going to be interested in their shares.
- 8:01Speaker 3: Because if they don't, then if Lawrence House isn't buying them,
- 8:05Speaker 3: then who is going to buy them?
- 8:06Speaker 1: What's the point?
- 8:08Speaker 3: Yeah, this is the other issue. Why have a market
- 8:11Speaker 3: at all?
- 8:11Speaker 1: Okay. All right. I think we're agreed on that.
- 8:14Speaker 2: Right.
- 8:15Speaker 1: One more question before we finish up today. This is
- 8:17Speaker 1: from Robert in Sevenoaks. Thank you, Robert, for your question.
- 8:21Speaker 1: By the way, Robert says that you're great, John. So
- 8:23Speaker 1: that's nice.
- 8:25Speaker 2: He is suggesting that we do some podcasts or even
- 8:27Speaker 2: just talk about how you manage a tricky 10 years
- 8:30Speaker 2: before you actually start taking your pension, assuming you have
- 8:33Speaker 2: a DC pension that's inside a SIP wrapper, for example.
- 8:36Speaker 2: How do you balance the move to less risky assets
- 8:39Speaker 2: while at the same time acknowledging you may be investing
- 8:41Speaker 2: for 13 more years? Now, Actually, we should do a
- 8:44Speaker 2: proper podcast on this, but there is one thing that
- 8:46Speaker 2: I wanted to say about it, which is that, of course,
- 8:48Speaker 2: you can bring your risk levels down. You become increasingly diversified.
- 8:52Speaker 2: Maybe you move more into equity income, etc. So there's
- 8:55Speaker 2: lots of things you can do to bring down your
- 8:57Speaker 2: risk while being fully invested. But the one thing that
- 9:00Speaker 2: I would say is this is a time to have
- 9:03Speaker 2: more cash or cash equivalents. So as a younger investor,
- 9:07Speaker 2: we always say, you know, maybe you should have six
- 9:09Speaker 2: months worth of spending money in cash. That makes sense.
- 9:12Speaker 2: and then the rest of your money, you have time
- 9:14Speaker 2: for it to grow. But if you are older, it
- 9:17Speaker 2: seems to me that you should have quite significantly more
- 9:20Speaker 2: of that, either in cash or short-term gilts.
- 9:23Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think the other thing to remember is
- 9:25Speaker 3: that it's moving from, because when you're younger, you're investing
- 9:27Speaker 3: for growth, but the older, perhaps not the older you get,
- 9:32Speaker 3: the closer you get to your retirement goals or whatever
- 9:34Speaker 3: your financial goal, the more you should be focusing on, okay,
- 9:37Speaker 3: I've made it, now can I protect it? So the
- 9:40Speaker 3: kind of wealth protection element. So having a kind of
- 9:43Speaker 3: clear idea how much you think you need is also
- 9:46Speaker 3: really helpful there, because then it gives you the confidence
- 9:49Speaker 3: to do the kind of de-risking that perhaps you need
- 9:53Speaker 3: to do. Because it's hard, it's hard to shift out
- 9:56Speaker 3: of that mode of like, oh, I want to make
- 9:58Speaker 3: X percent and realizing, well, actually, what I've got is
- 10:01Speaker 3: just about enough. So maybe I should be looking for
- 10:04Speaker 3: something that delivers Y percent instead.
- 10:07Speaker 2: And that's particularly the case if historically you've found investing
- 10:10Speaker 2: to be.
- 10:10Speaker 1: Kind of fun.
- 10:11Speaker 2: You know, there's an experience.
- 10:12Speaker 1: It's not so much fun, right?
- 10:14Speaker 2: Maybe you have to do what we always suggest people do,
- 10:17Speaker 2: which is that you move The majority of inter, more diversified,
- 10:21Speaker 2: more income generating, et cetera.
- 10:22Speaker 1: And just keep a little bit for playing. Yeah.
- 10:25Speaker 2: Yeah. Anyway, we should do a full podcast on this
- 10:29Speaker 2: and we'll try and find a proper expert to come
- 10:31Speaker 2: and talk to us about this.
- 10:33Speaker 1: Anyway, more questions, please send them in. We like them.
- 10:35Speaker 2: And also it makes us think, which is useful. Thanks
- 10:43Speaker 2: for listening to this week's Merrin Talks Your Money. If
- 10:45Speaker 2: you like our show, rate, review, and subscribe wherever you
- 10:47Speaker 2: listen to podcasts. Also be sure to follow me and
- 10:49Speaker 2: John on X at MerrinSW and John underscore Steppick.
- 10:53Speaker 1: This episode was produced by Sam Asadi and Moses Andam.
- 10:56Speaker 2: Questions and comments on this show and all our shows
- 10:58Speaker 2: are always welcome. Our show email is merrinmoney at bloomberg.net.