Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / SWISS Investor Unveils THESE Critical Insights - (Gold, Silver and Precious Metals Prices)
Transcript
- 0:03There's a lot going on in the gold and silver investment
- 0:07arena. Today we have a special guest,
- 0:09Claude Bijay. He's joining us from
- 0:12Switzerland. He's a successful individual
- 0:15investor. Claude, welcome to Ron's
- 0:17Basement. Well, I'm happy to be in the
- 0:20basement. Some of my stocks by the way,
- 0:22are also in the basement. So it's a good, it's a good
- 0:25opportunity to talk about that. That's right, Claude, I've said
- 0:28many times when the, when the market for the precious metals
- 0:32and the precious metal mining stocks really take off, I'll do
- 0:35a, a video from the roof of my house as a, as a celebration.
- 0:39So, so, so you've been around and you've been very successful
- 0:42investing in the precious metal sector.
- 0:45Can you tell our viewer a little bit about yourself?
- 0:48I'll ask you to brag about yourself a little bit and maybe
- 0:51share with us your views on what you see happening right now in
- 0:55the gold and silver market. And then I want to share with
- 0:58our viewers, well, that we'll then move on to talking about a
- 1:01couple specific investments, including first mining gold,
- 1:04which is a, an investment that Claude and I share together.
- 1:07But, but who is Claude Bijay and and what do you think about the
- 1:10gold and silver market, Claude? Well, look, I've been, I've been
- 1:15basically managing my own portfolio since 87 and I have,
- 1:20you know, I'm perfectly totally independent.
- 1:22Nobody pays me, I have no customers.
- 1:25So I'm really concentrating on, on, you know, on speculating for
- 1:28my own account. And I can tell you that you're
- 1:32not always successful. You know, I've done, I've done
- 1:35quite well over the long term, but there's been periods which
- 1:39were, you know, better than others.
- 1:41So you know, your, your style is not always in in tune with this
- 1:47with the market you, but you have to keep your style.
- 1:52So, so that's the basic idea. Now, so on the on the gold
- 1:56market is really, really interesting because you've had
- 1:59gold exploding, OK, from the November 20 to low gold is up a
- 2:04huge 70%. GDX was up 105 percent.
- 2:08I mean, these are big numbers, OK.
- 2:10And you know, we, we have Trump coming in.
- 2:14So since this little Trump adventure, then, you know, gold
- 2:18has corrected about 10% and GDX about 19%.
- 2:24So the question now is what's going to happen?
- 2:27So my view is that we've seen something similar to the last
- 2:32time Trump was elected, the gold went down some 18% and then it
- 2:36it flew from 2016 to 2020, gold was up 78%.
- 2:41So I don't think, I don't think that the second term of Trump
- 2:45will be, you know, much different.
- 2:48You know, he's he's somebody who who, who prefers to have the
- 2:51lower dollar, who prefers to have lower interest rates and
- 2:55who's certainly not going to solve the debt problem or the
- 2:58deficits. Yeah.
- 3:01We, we, we, we're in the long term bull market for gold.
- 3:04OK. What about silver?
- 3:05Any thoughts you want to share with us about the silver market
- 3:08as well so? You know, silver, look, it's
- 3:12very simple. I mean, some things in investing
- 3:14are difficult and some things are easy.
- 3:16In all precious metal bull markets, silver always
- 3:20outperforms gold. So, but of course it comes with
- 3:24a caveat because it's more difficult to trade silver
- 3:29because it's more volatile. So I would say long term you'll
- 3:34do much better with silver. But you know, it's it's a more
- 3:39tricky animal. Yeah, yeah, even more tricky
- 3:42than gold. Yeah.
- 3:43What are your thoughts on the gold mining sector?
- 3:47Obviously, this gold has to come from somewhere that's going to
- 3:51be demanded in the future. Same thing with silver.
- 3:54But if we focus in on the gold mining sector, what are your
- 3:58thoughts in terms of how that market has performed relative to
- 4:02this big increase that we have experienced in the gold price?
- 4:06Well, ask anybody who's been investing in, in mining stocks
- 4:10for, for the last decade, they'll tell you it's, you know,
- 4:12it's been very, very rough. If you, if you take, if you look
- 4:17at the long term chart of, of the ratio of gold miners to
- 4:21gold, I mean, you are at all time lows.
- 4:24It's incredible. I mean, you're in the, you know,
- 4:28very, very solid bull market in gold and the, the gold miners
- 4:31are, are not keeping, are not keeping pace.
- 4:36So since the, you know, since since January of 22, gold has
- 4:45basically gone up 50%. But if you take, you know, the,
- 4:50the, the GDX is done not as well.
- 4:53And if you take the small caps, you know they're down 38%.
- 4:58So, so that's why I'm interested still in this market is because
- 5:03there's still a lot of opportunities.
- 5:06Lot of great values. You know, you and I chatted
- 5:08yesterday morning and you said something that really resonated
- 5:12with me and really stuck with me.
- 5:14And we were talking about the junior sector, the the of the
- 5:17mine, of the gold miners, the developers and the explorers.
- 5:20And you said one of the things that attracts you is that you're
- 5:24protected by value. Can you, can you expand on that
- 5:28a little bit because that that just really hit home with me.
- 5:31Yeah, look, you know, it's always the same thing.
- 5:36You know, gold has had a big run.
- 5:39So for the investor, for me, for everybody else, you know, what
- 5:43do you do? Because gold has had a big run,
- 5:48it's correcting a bit. If you're buying, if you're
- 5:52going to keep buying the seniors, then you know they,
- 5:57most of them have doubled. So what do you do now?
- 5:59If you want to increase, if you want to increase your position,
- 6:02are you going to buy the seniors?
- 6:04But then you know you could. But if you have if the
- 6:07correction continues, you know they can easily go down 2030%.
- 6:14So that's why I think today the investor is better off to to go
- 6:21where they're you're still trading near the lows.
- 6:24So that's why I really like the developers.
- 6:28The explorers are also an extremely, extremely undervalued
- 6:31and some are very cheap, but then you have the exploration
- 6:34risk. So for someone who wants to
- 6:37increase their position or to rebalance their portfolio, I
- 6:40think, you know, selling some of the seniors, I don't have much
- 6:44seniors left, so I don't have much leeway there.
- 6:48But I think that's the way to go because they're so they're,
- 6:53they're so cheap versus the rest of the market that they're going
- 6:58to outperform. Yeah.
- 6:59Yeah, I'm going to pull up a chart for us to look at here,
- 7:02Claude, and I'll be curious to get your thoughts on this.
- 7:04This shows how the good This comes from the first mining gold
- 7:08investor presentation, which people can check out at
- 7:11firstmininggold.com. But it shows the go how the gold
- 7:14prices moved but the equities have lagged.
- 7:16Any any commentary you can add on this clock?
- 7:20Yeah. Well, look, we, we all know
- 7:23what's interesting here and, and what's interesting here is that
- 7:28we all know why the equities of last, OK, because you have all
- 7:33this ESG thing, mining is not in fashion.
- 7:38There's a lot of red tape. It's difficult to get permits.
- 7:42It takes a very, very long time. You know, 30 years ago you could
- 7:48permit a mine in six months in the US Now it's going to take,
- 7:51you know, 10 years or whatever. So what I do like is that all
- 7:57the negative is known. So the underperformance in my
- 8:02mind, you know, should, should stop and now you're starting to
- 8:08see, you know, a little trickle of mergers and acquisitions.
- 8:14So, you know, look at the look at Equinox, they, they bought
- 8:19the, the 40% they didn't own from, from Greenstone, they paid
- 8:24600 something I think six, $600 million.
- 8:29That's a lot of money. Yeah, Yeah, there that
- 8:32definitely has been an uptick in mergers and acquisitions even in
- 8:38somewhat up at the development stage level as well.
- 8:41You know, you said something earlier, first mining gold is a
- 8:45development stage company and I want for our viewer who may not
- 8:48completely understand a development stage company
- 8:51already has gold in the ground. It's already been discovered,
- 8:56it's many times already been defined in terms of how many
- 9:00ounces are based are are you know, based upon scientific
- 9:03methods, how many ounces are in the ground.
- 9:05And that sector like that chart just showed us that we that we
- 9:08saw earlier, these junior development companies often
- 9:11times are being valued at $10.00 or less per per ounce of gold.
- 9:19I mean, is the value really that extreme at this point, Claude?
- 9:24Yeah, it's it's as it's never been more extreme.
- 9:27So you're at you're at all time lows in most metrics.
- 9:30So, so that it's so you know why, you know, why take an
- 9:36exploration risk if you can, if you're, you know, you're sure to
- 9:41have. I mean, you're mentioning first
- 9:43mining. I mean, I love the stock.
- 9:45Spring pool is 5 million oz Du Parque is 6,000,000 oz and
- 9:50you're paying nothing for it. I think any metrics you take,
- 9:53you're at, you're basically at the low.
- 9:55Yeah. So and, and, and and and what
- 9:58about the fact that these senior producers right now, let's just
- 10:03throw the the the story out there.
- 10:05They have, for the last 10 years been more focused on repairing
- 10:10their balance sheets, getting their balance sheets in order.
- 10:13They weren't really investing in exploration or development on
- 10:18their own. And every time they pull an
- 10:20ounce of gold out of the ground through their mining activities,
- 10:23it's gone forever. It's gone from their pipeline.
- 10:26So their pipelines are going to need to be replenished.
- 10:29And there's only so many companies I know first mining,
- 10:33who you and I both have a significant investment.
- 10:36And you know, they, like you mentioned, have two of the
- 10:38largest development stage projects in Canada, Canada being
- 10:43a very favorable jurisdiction. But these big companies are
- 10:47going to need to do something here in the coming years to
- 10:49replenish their pipelines. Yeah.
- 10:52Well, you know, the story of big companies is usually pretty
- 10:55simple. They're always doing the wrong
- 10:57thing. So when everything was expensive
- 11:00in 2011, you know, they were listening to the brokers, to the
- 11:04fund managers. They were all encouraging them
- 11:06to do the mergers and acquisition, buy big.
- 11:09You want to buy, you want size and everything, you know, then
- 11:12comes the, you know, the bear market, 2011, 2015.
- 11:17And then the same people are, you know, since then I've been
- 11:20saying the opposites. So, you know, one of my
- 11:23criterias to judge as CEO is I, I want him not to listen too
- 11:27closely to his shareholders and to do, you know, what's best in
- 11:31the, in the interest of, of his company.
- 11:35So for example, today, what's happening with the, the, the,
- 11:38the big, the big senior producers, they're listening to
- 11:43the brokers and listening to the, to these big fund managers.
- 11:46And what are they doing? What are they saying?
- 11:49Well, we want yield, we want dividends, OK, Now when you can
- 11:54buy things extremely cheaply, the last thing you want is to
- 11:58just to pay out a dividend because you can do much better
- 12:01in the, in the, in the real world.
- 12:04What else are they saying that they have to reduce that to, to,
- 12:11to nothing to, to reduce the, you know, to reduce the, the,
- 12:16the, the, the risk. But you can buy plenty of other
- 12:19things so cheaply. Why reduce that if you don't?
- 12:22If you don't need to, it's buying time still.
- 12:26It is. So, so they're doing the
- 12:28opposite of what should be done. That's why there's still is very
- 12:32little merger than acquisition, but but of course now they're
- 12:37building up a huge, huge amounts of cash.
- 12:41You've never had, you know, better margins.
- 12:43The margins now of the gold, of the gold producers are something
- 12:47like 40%. They have better margins than
- 12:50any other sector in the S&P. So every month they're reducing
- 12:57debt. They're getting more and more in
- 13:00the treasury. And one of these days, things
- 13:04will change and they'll start to buy, you know, to buy the
- 13:08development companies. Yeah, yeah.
- 13:10And you know, I mean, I just thought of something, Claude,
- 13:12that that as you were speaking, but if the majors actually get
- 13:17into a real bull market as well, right?
- 13:19Because usually it's the big companies who stock prices go up
- 13:22first, they could find themselves from a from the
- 13:26perspective of potentially using equity to purchase the juniors,
- 13:31They could find themselves, I mean, it could all happen very
- 13:34quickly, right? I guess is what I'm saying, Like
- 13:36these, the majors could could see big moves in their stock
- 13:40price, then they could use equity to buy some of the mid
- 13:43tier or development stage companies.
- 13:45And what's your experience been? And then and then I want to
- 13:48focus in on what you like about first mining gold, which again
- 13:52is a sponsor of my channel and one of my my biggest position.
- 13:56But what's been your experience in the past investing in this
- 14:00sector about how things move? Any stories you can you can
- 14:03share with us? Yeah.
- 14:04Look, I've, I've invested also a lot in the emerging markets.
- 14:08I'm a good friend of Mark Faber. We went to to some strange
- 14:14countries when everything was very cheap.
- 14:17And my experience is that, you know, it's true that first you
- 14:22have the big caps moving, then you have the mid caps, and then
- 14:25you have the juniors. But the problem is that you
- 14:28never know the timing. In other terms, sometimes the
- 14:31lag between the seniors and the juniors is 3 months, sometimes
- 14:35it's five years. So usually you're better off
- 14:40buying, you know, real if the, if the value is really there,
- 14:44you're often better to concentrate on the value and
- 14:48then not working, worry too much about the timing because you'll
- 14:51make so much more money that even if you have to wait, you're
- 14:54going to be OK. Now, of course, recently I, I
- 14:58wish I'd done the opposite because I would, I would have
- 15:00preferred to have much more seniors in My Portfolio than I
- 15:04than I did. So you see, you never get
- 15:07everything right. But but the, you know, the
- 15:11developer, the development companies are so cheap that, you
- 15:14know, you can wait. Yeah, timing is less important
- 15:19if you can, you know, have things going up three, 5-10
- 15:22times. Yeah.
- 15:23Well, I think, and I think you, you, you hit the nail on the
- 15:25head. It's impossible for anyone to
- 15:28always get the timing right, but it is much more possible to
- 15:32always get the value proposition right.
- 15:35The idea that there's value in a lot of these development stage
- 15:39companies right now, right? Like we can, I, can I, we, we
- 15:44can't predict when any company's stock is going to take off.
- 15:48But I think you and I could sit down and look at financial
- 15:50statements of a lot of these companies, look at what they
- 15:52hold with their assets are, what actions they're taking and
- 15:56determine that there is a big value proposition there and big
- 15:59opportunity for capital appreciation.
- 16:03Now one stock that that you and I share in common and have a
- 16:06keen interest in is first mining gold.
- 16:09Can I ask you what it attracts you to 1st mining gold?
- 16:13What are you excited about with what's going on there?
- 16:15Well. I'm I'm very excited about this
- 16:17because they have two big assets, OK, which the major will
- 16:23have to buy. OK, it's spring polled in
- 16:25Ontario, du Parque in Quebec. So you know you're in a great
- 16:29jurisdiction. It's Canada.
- 16:31But you see I have some experience with this stock.
- 16:34I know it's real and it's a really an interesting stock.
- 16:39When we're in a bull market, spring pull, everybody loves it.
- 16:45And when we're in a bear market, when the sentiment is negative,
- 16:48nobody wants to touch it. And you have, they tell you
- 16:51crazy stories. So for example, today and people
- 16:54will tell you, oh, spring pull, it's under a lake.
- 16:58It's, you can't build a mine under a lake.
- 17:01Of course you can build a mine under a lake.
- 17:04And as soon as the stock is up, you know, people will, will tell
- 17:08you, well, in Canada you can, you can build a mine under a
- 17:11lake, especially it's, it's pretty shallow.
- 17:13So it's no, no, no big deal. So, so that's why I'm attracted
- 17:19to to this stock. Yeah, yeah.
- 17:22And it, and it was First Mining Gold was founded by Keith
- 17:25Newmeyer. They acquired this package of,
- 17:29of projects, mostly all in Canada, including the Spring
- 17:33pole project, but there's the Du Parquet project in Quebec they
- 17:37still own. And I've heard Keith over the
- 17:39years mention this in a very positive manner.
- 17:43The Cameron project, which is another, I think almost million
- 17:47ounce project in Canada. These are, these are gold ounces
- 17:51in the ground in Canada. And, and I think it's even more
- 17:56astounding if you look at it from a, you know, there, of
- 17:58course there's big, you know, opportunity, potential
- 18:01opportunity, right. Claude and I are not financial
- 18:03advisors. We're not giving financial
- 18:05advice here, but there is big opportunity for capital
- 18:08appreciation in the stock. But it's important to remember
- 18:12too, that just from a value perspective, the amount of money
- 18:16that's been invested in these projects over decades and
- 18:20decades, right? Is, is, I would imagine would
- 18:23have, would, would would add up to being way higher than what
- 18:27the current market cap of the company is.
- 18:29So this is gold in the ground in Canada that's been defined.
- 18:33There's not big, there's no exploration risk.
- 18:36It's not like they're the and they are exploring.
- 18:38They're they're adding too. But there's already millions and
- 18:42millions of Oz in the ground in Canada.
- 18:45Yeah, absolutely. That's it's not a new, it's not
- 18:48a new chicken, right. They've had numerous studies in
- 18:52spring pool. You have APFS.
- 18:54So that's pretty solid. You know numbers if you take
- 19:00gold at six at $1600, the net present value after tax is $995
- 19:07million. If you take it at today's price,
- 19:11you know you're somewhere around two 2.5 billion and the IRR at
- 19:17$1600 is 29%. So you know, if you add the,
- 19:22the, the, the, the, the, the valuation of Duparque, you know,
- 19:26the PA at $1800, you're talking about $600 million.
- 19:30You know, at today's price it's much, much higher.
- 19:34So basically you're, you're paying the stock much less than
- 19:3810% of the net present value. So at these prices, I'm willing
- 19:45to wait. Yeah, Yeah.
- 19:47I mean at these prices, you know, I'll go back to what you
- 19:49said yesterday, which I thought was was just almost brilliant,
- 19:53right, like buying these stocks at these prices and it's the
- 19:57whole sector. I want to, I want to emphasize
- 19:59that as well. This is not a individual case.
- 20:02The entire kind of junior development sector has been very
- 20:06challenged over the last 30 years.
- 20:07But you really are protected by value because.
- 20:11If you look at a company like like First Mining, yes, as we've
- 20:15discussed, there's millions of Oz of gold in the ground in
- 20:18Canada, but there's no debt either, right?
- 20:21The company has essentially 0 debt.
- 20:23So this is a situation where you know, if you invest money into
- 20:27this company or, or any similar companies that that have no
- 20:31debt, you're basically buying the assets and and getting in at
- 20:37a very attractive valuation. We talked earlier, I think you
- 20:39mentioned I hear you know, $6.00 an ounce per oz gold valuation
- 20:43at this point. I mean, that is really
- 20:45astounding for big projects that the big companies are going to
- 20:50need here in the near future. Yeah, I think the near future is
- 20:55right, because I think you have to.
- 20:58Your readers should your listeners should can, should
- 21:01concentrate on the name of the company.
- 21:03It's called first mining gold. So I think this will be one of
- 21:12the first new production coming that can be acquired by a major
- 21:20because the seniors have done really well.
- 21:24They're loaded with cash and the, the, the next, the next
- 21:30level is to buy the big developers.
- 21:33And 1st mining goal is a big developers.
- 21:36So of course I have a portfolio. So I have many other developers.
- 21:40One thing I do particularly like with first mining is that
- 21:44usually the developers are owned.
- 21:46I own, are have one asset here you have two gigantic assets.
- 21:51So, you know, you have much more diversification and a very
- 21:55important point because we never know exactly, you know, what
- 21:58gold can can do. I have the impression that we're
- 22:02not going to have a big correction.
- 22:04I could be wrong. But what's important with this
- 22:08company is that since the management is, it is really good
- 22:12and then they, there's, there's very little risk in other terms,
- 22:17even if you know, the gold price goes down, the stock is so cheap
- 22:22that it can go down much more. And if it did, then it's going
- 22:28to survive whatever happens because this management has the
- 22:33ability to, to raise money even in difficult circumstances.
- 22:37They're, you know, they're, they're in the game.
- 22:39They've, they've increased their position in the last two
- 22:43financing. They own 4.1% of the stock.
- 22:47So, you know, you're protected by a bunch of guys who are, you
- 22:50know, really good in capital markets.
- 22:54Yeah. I know that both Dan Wilton, the
- 22:57CEO and Keith Neumeyer, the founder, obviously he's the CEO
- 23:01of First Majestic Silver, but Keith Neumeyer founded First
- 23:05Mining Gold and he continues to participate in buying the stock
- 23:11at, at some points over the last few years in the open market,
- 23:14but also in the recent placements.
- 23:17You know, I know at one point, I think the one in 2003, 2023,
- 23:21excuse me, I think Dan Wilton, this is all publicly available
- 23:25information. Invested a half $1,000,000 in
- 23:29Keith during that round, invested $1.25 million.
- 23:35Both continuing to grow their stake in the company.
- 23:39Obviously they have some belief or strong conviction about the,
- 23:43the value #1 that the stock price represents, but also, you
- 23:49know, the ability for the stock to, to appreciate potentially
- 23:52greatly as we, as we kind of move through these coming years
- 23:57in the, in the, the gold mining sector starts to get just a
- 24:03little bit of, of improvement when it comes to sentiment.
- 24:08Yeah, and these guys they're, they're pros, so they, they
- 24:10understand the market. So let's say the market is still
- 24:13very difficult. They're not going to spend a lot
- 24:15of money, they're not going to promote heavily.
- 24:18But you know, once the market turns, these guys know how to
- 24:22promote. They'll, they'll, the stock will
- 24:24go up, they'll promote the stock and then they they can sell at
- 24:28the at the great price. That's another ad.
- 24:31That's another reason I like this, this management team, is
- 24:35that, you know, sometimes CEOs will sell the company too, too
- 24:41early at a too cheap price. These guys understand what they
- 24:45have, they understand the value of what they have, and they'll
- 24:49make the shareholders profit from that.
- 24:52So that's an added plus in this situation.
- 24:56Yeah, yeah. You know, and you and you
- 24:57mentioned earlier the Greenstone mine which Equinox recently
- 25:03completed and then then required the remaining 40% of.
- 25:07I think it's important to is, you know, we talked about Keith
- 25:09Newmeyer, the founder, Dan Wilton, the CEO, but you've also
- 25:13got some other top tier people working at this company.
- 25:16Steve Lines was instrumental in getting that greenstone mine
- 25:20permitted before he joined the first mining team.
- 25:25And he has experience, I think even working on the regulatory
- 25:28side in Canada. I've met him in person.
- 25:31He's a super impressive professional.
- 25:34And then you have James Maxwell who's heading up all the
- 25:37exploration efforts and kind of piercing together.
- 25:40I mean, I think it's also important to, to, to, to mention
- 25:43Claude, that like especially at the Stew Parquet project in
- 25:46Quebec, there was a lot of money spent.
- 25:49I actually visited there about a year and a half ago and there
- 25:52was a lot of money spent over decades in terms of drilling on
- 25:56that property. I don't have the specific
- 25:59numbers, but you know, it was a lot of money and there's a lot
- 26:03of data there. But James Maxwell, who was I
- 26:06believe with Sabina Gold previously, he's kind of been
- 26:10tasked with exploration efforts because there is big opportunity
- 26:14also for the company to even expand these big deposits
- 26:18through exploration. Yeah, I know Quinton ending
- 26:23quite well. And again, you know, when
- 26:25nobody, when everybody said that, you know, three companies
- 26:29have gone bankrupt on spring poll, you know, he, he, he, he
- 26:32understood, he reinterpreted the geology differently.
- 26:36And every time he got started drilling, he was hitting and he
- 26:39got to 5 million oz. He has always told me that there
- 26:42would be 10 million oz there. So there's huge exploration
- 26:46potential. So of course, today with these,
- 26:49this press price, you know, it's not worth, you know, spending
- 26:53money diluting the shareholder to, to drill.
- 26:55But you know, these big deposit, once you're in production, you
- 26:59have plenty of money then you know, they're usually, they
- 27:03usually expand and the same for Duparque.
- 27:06I wouldn't be surprised. They could also go to 10 million
- 27:09oz. So there's explanation
- 27:11potential. And I don't think they'll
- 27:14realize that now because it would dilute the shareholders to
- 27:17do a lot of drilling. But when you're selling a
- 27:19company to a major, they, they, they, they need to understand
- 27:24and they want to see that there's exploration potential.
- 27:27So even if they pay the right price for the asset, they know
- 27:31it can grow, so that's a big plus.
- 27:35Yeah, yeah. And you know, and and we talked
- 27:37earlier about this two to three-year period recently that
- 27:40we've gone through with the with the mining sector, which has
- 27:43been challenging for all the companies.
- 27:46One thing that I find encouraging in terms of what
- 27:51first mining gold was doing during that period, which which
- 27:54relates to the point that you just made, is they were
- 27:57acquiring more land. They were, I guess it was about
- 28:00two years ago was the the point at which they were able to pull
- 28:04off this major consolidation which became the Du Parquet
- 28:09project, I guess you could call it in whole now in Quebec, like
- 28:13they've been busy for the last two to three years.
- 28:15There's, you know, just recently they've submitted their
- 28:19environmental permit for the spring pole project.
- 28:23Like they've been working, working, working diligently
- 28:27during this time period to move forward these projects in the
- 28:31development stage, right. And, and probably flying under
- 28:35the radar. I mean, the market's not giving
- 28:37anybody much credit for anything, but it's important to
- 28:41recognize that, that the first mining, you know, led by Dan
- 28:44Weldon has been doing a lot over the last two to three years.
- 28:48Not just sitting on the projects waiting, but really working hard
- 28:52to, to, to move these along that I guess the Lausanne curve
- 28:56through this development process, which will make the
- 28:59company's projects pretend. You know, if we're going to talk
- 29:02about acquisition or interest from the majors, we'll make
- 29:06these projects much more attractive to the to the majors.
- 29:09So I think we're pretty much protected by valuation now and
- 29:15there's very few institutions left.
- 29:17It's basically mainly retail. I like these situations because
- 29:21since it's just a fantastic asset, the funds will have to
- 29:25buy and we'll we'll have a great re rating institutions only 12%
- 29:30it'll be 50%. They'll they'll have to buy it
- 29:33because it's just next in the line.
- 29:36OK, so you know, they did very well with the seniors.
- 29:39They did well with the mid cap producers.
- 29:42Now they'll go to the the developers, the big developers
- 29:45first, probably. Yeah, and it, and it, and it can
- 29:47be challenging from an investor's perspective.
- 29:51I think you and I share, you know, I'm heavily invested in
- 29:54the, in the, in the development stage companies, the junior
- 29:57stage companies. It can be hard to be a
- 30:00contrarian because like you said earlier, right, our your, your,
- 30:05your thesis, the value proposition is 100% there, no
- 30:10doubt about it. But the timing of, of realizing
- 30:14when what we're talking about is everybody else waking up, right?
- 30:18Everybody else realizing like, wow, this is where I want to be
- 30:22that it's it's hard to predict when that when that specifically
- 30:25will occur. Yeah, right.
- 30:26So, so that's why I like to to be in stocks where where I can
- 30:31average down in other terms, I'm protected by value.
- 30:35I have averaged down aggressively and I mean, I don't
- 30:38feel comfortable, but I'm feeling OK because it's a
- 30:44producer. You can have a glitch, you can
- 30:46have a, you know, a dam breaking out.
- 30:50Anything can happen here. No production, no risk.
- 30:54Yeah. You know, that's a great point,
- 30:55Claude, and one that I've thought of in the past, but
- 30:58haven't thought of for a while, right?
- 31:00That with these development stage companies, it, it, it, it,
- 31:03and correct me if I'm wrong on this, but it really is a sweet
- 31:06spot because you know, the gold is there.
- 31:09You know the gold is in the ground.
- 31:11You know what the asset is. You know that the companies are
- 31:14working to move the asset through the, through the
- 31:17permitting process. But you don't have that risk
- 31:21like on the exploration side. You have the risk that that the
- 31:23company is going to spend $40 million and, and drill a bunch
- 31:27of nothing, right, which can be very detrimental to the stock
- 31:31price. And with a producer,
- 31:34unfortunately, there's, there's probably more risk even to the
- 31:37price of the metal itself. But also, you know, mining gold
- 31:42and silver, you know, I talked to a lot of the, the producing
- 31:45mining CEO's and I'll tell you like, this is a tough business,
- 31:49right? There's, you never know what's
- 31:50going to happen. Whereas the developers have
- 31:53really kind of a sweet spot. The companies like first mining
- 31:56Gold where they, they, they don't have that production risk
- 31:59and they don't really have the exploration risk either, But
- 32:02they're not getting enough love, Claude, right.
- 32:05I mean that's it's. Yeah, right.
- 32:06So, yeah, look, not only they have huge, I mean this, these
- 32:10are huge assets. Who has, I mean, who has 5
- 32:13million ounces, the 6,000,000 ounces in Canada?
- 32:16I mean you count them on 10 fingers.
- 32:19OK, well, who has two assets like that First mining.
- 32:25So, and not only they have the ounces in the ground, but
- 32:28basically they're economic because they have the studies.
- 32:32So it'll be mines. It'll be mines.
- 32:34And their economic at $1600 gold, you said that earlier,
- 32:39right? We know that the net present
- 32:40value goes up by hundreds of millions for each $100 increase
- 32:45in the. OK, so Ron, you talked to a lot
- 32:47of people. What are the negatives?
- 32:49What do people tell you? Why don't they buy the stock?
- 32:52Yeah. Well, I think it honestly, you
- 32:55know, Claude, the the biggest reason why people aren't buying
- 32:59any of the development stage companies would would be that
- 33:04that there there just aren't enough people.
- 33:07The people, the people, let me let me rephrase my answer.
- 33:09The people that I talked to are buying the development stage
- 33:13stocks, but I think it's just a matter of from a, from a more
- 33:17macro level, there's just not enough interest in this sector
- 33:22yet, right? I had, because it's not been
- 33:26it's been somewhat out of favor. I mean, you know, there's no
- 33:29other way to there's no other way to really describe it.
- 33:31It's unfortunate, but I will say that the people I do talk to,
- 33:36and I'm not just saying this because they agree with me, but
- 33:39but you know, and I'll say this about you as well.
- 33:41The people that I do talk to that do that are buying these
- 33:44development stage companies are really smart people, right?
- 33:48And also, like you said, people that realize that, that, that
- 33:53being right and being early can sometimes feel like you're wrong
- 33:59and that it takes patience and realizing what you have.
- 34:02I mean, I don't want to go off on a soapbox here, but like
- 34:05what? Just from a personal perspective
- 34:07and, and I don't know how you feel about this, but if I have,
- 34:10if I have $10,000 that I, I need to invest and I'm going to put
- 34:14it into a stock, to me it's a no brainer.
- 34:17When I look at do I want to put it in Apple computer or do I
- 34:20want to put it into a development stage company?
- 34:23To me, the value that I'm getting when I compare those two
- 34:27and there's risk with Apple, you know, there's risk with Apple,
- 34:30there's risk with NVIDIA, there's risk with, you know,
- 34:33these high flying tech stocks. And when I compare what I get
- 34:37for $10,000, you know, let's say it's $6000 with first mining
- 34:44gold. I know I'm getting roughly 1000
- 34:46ounces of gold in the ground in Canada.
- 34:48Yeah, there's a lot that needs to be done to get that gold from
- 34:51being in the ground to being mined and sold.
- 34:55But nonetheless, the value proposition is there.
- 34:58So I think, you know, it, it we're, we're going to see a
- 35:04point where people will start to wake up.
- 35:08I know I've heard several people say it's, you know, maybe even
- 35:11when like if there's a, if there's a big correction in the
- 35:14tech stocks. I mean, there is, there's, there
- 35:17is so much money out there right now that's been printed and
- 35:21everything else that's in, that's in tech stocks, that's in
- 35:25just everything under the sun. We don't need a lot, I mean,
- 35:29for, for our sector. I know that I think I read this
- 35:32morning .5% of the world's financial assets are invested in
- 35:38precious metals related investments.
- 35:41And you know, it doesn't take a lot to, for .5% to go to 2%, but
- 35:48that's four times the amount of money.
- 35:49And we know what that would do for stock prices in the in the
- 35:53development sector. Yeah, Look, not not too long
- 35:57ago, first mining was trading at one point $3.
- 36:00It's now trading at $0.13. And at that time the goal was,
- 36:06you know, much, much lower. It was I think something like
- 36:10$1600 goal. You're at 2600 so you know, the
- 36:15stock has corrected a lot. It's, and you, I also feel that
- 36:19now there's upside. So in March and it went from,
- 36:23you know, $0.10 to $0.18 very quickly.
- 36:26And then recently it had a bounce to, you know, around 18
- 36:29cents. Also look at the charts.
- 36:31It's looking good. I think there's a big, a nice
- 36:33little floor around $0.13. So, so I, I think we're there.
- 36:39Yeah, yeah. It, it, it certainly feels like
- 36:42on from many different perspectives that there, there
- 36:45will be a number of factors which will provide a tailwind
- 36:49for first Mining Gold and for the whole development sector as
- 36:53well. Quad, thank you for joining me
- 36:56today. It's, it's a treat to get to
- 36:58talk to you and you know, you're in Switzerland and, and I know
- 37:01you've been, I don't think that you wanted to brag about
- 37:06yourself so much too much, but you've been a very, very
- 37:09successful investor over the years.
- 37:12So on behalf of myself, on behalf of First Mining Gold, the
- 37:17sponsor of Ron's Basement, and our viewer who who was able to
- 37:21gain a wealth of knowledge from you, I want to say thank you for
- 37:24joining us today. Is there anything that I forgot
- 37:26to ask you anything that I, anything you'd you'd like to say
- 37:29before we sign on? Well, first thing that we've
- 37:32been talking about a lot about First mining, but I want to be
- 37:37very clear about that. Nobody's paying me to do this.
- 37:40I just do that because I like the stock, I own the stock.
- 37:44So of course, if it goes up, I'll profit from this and I was
- 37:48happy to join you in the basement.
- 37:50And hopefully very soon we'll have some high Flyers and a lot
- 37:55of stocks, the big ones, the small ones, the mid caps, the
- 37:58developers, the exploration, everything we should be, you
- 38:03know, heading for silly season one of these days.
- 38:06That's why the, that's, you know, most of the really,
- 38:09really, very, very smart investors, you know, the big
- 38:14guys like Frank Giustra and so on.
- 38:17They, they, they say it's a typical bull market and you
- 38:21know, we'll have euphoria. It'll end in euphoria as it
- 38:25usually does. So hopefully we'll be right.
- 38:28Yeah, you know, we did, we did. We didn't touch on, we didn't
- 38:30touch on that. But, but we, but we have seen
- 38:33some, some good positive healthy signs on the, on the, on the
- 38:38majors, on the big mining companies.
- 38:41And usually during, from what I understand during a healthy bull
- 38:44market, it takes some time for that to filter down to the
- 38:48developers in the exploration stage company.
- 38:51So while we may be a little feeling a little frustrated
- 38:54right now, anyone who's invested in the junior sector, what we're
- 38:58really going through, you know, if we're if we are in a decades
- 39:02long bull market is kind of a normal, normal situation.
- 39:07Right. But, you know, I tell you I've
- 39:10been very frustrated because it's the first time that gold
- 39:13goes ballistic without the juniors, you know, going
- 39:17exponential. So.
- 39:18Following say. Well, we'll see how it it plays
- 39:20out. Thank you very much.
- 39:22Thank. Thanks, Claude, and we'll look
- 39:23forward to seeing you again. Thank you.
- 39:25Thank you. Bye.
- 39:26Bye.