Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 456 - 2/17/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 456 - 2/17/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems go with Josh Appelbaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and welcome to Episode 4. 50.
• 0:17
  Six of the all. Systems Go sports betting
• 0:20
  podcast powered by Rhythm. I'm your host, Josh.
• 0:25
  Appelbaum. What's going on everyone?
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  Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena
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  guys, and we're going to get right back to doing what we love
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  this time of year. Waiting for baseball, watching
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  the snow melting if you're like me in New England, but more
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  importantly, sweating college hoops.
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  OMG, we got more college basketball today and I love it.
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  I do have a three pack once again for you guys.
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  Going to see if we can grind out another two in one day, which is
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  knock on wood, but our MO here doing pretty well recently so
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  let's see we can keep it. Rolling but tonight we're.
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  Really going to put it to the test because I have a.
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  Money line I have. Two money line short favorites,
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  one of which looks so disgusting they let us down and got rolled
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  the last time we played them, but they're actually playing a
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  ranked team and their favorite. Tonight, it's the ultimate.
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  Fishy play. And then we have another dog
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  that no one wants to play. They think this favorite is
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  absolutely going to crush them. We're going to take the the dog
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  here in a epic, epic inflated dog by low by low.
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  Opportunity so. Once again, a three pack of
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  college basketball and we're going to see if we can eke out
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  another two and one night because that's exactly what we
• 1:33
  did last night. 2 and 1 + 0.44 units.
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  Man, I tell you what, I have not had my heartbeat out of my chest
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  like Iowa State last night in quite a while.
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  I don't know what it is about college basketball guys, but
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  when you're in that tight game and I wrote about this in my
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  book, The NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
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  But what I love about sports betting, obviously cashing
• 1:54
  tickets is the best. But to me, and why I love
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  betting, aside from just, you know, the challenge, the daily
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  challenge of trying to stare at the information, stare at the
• 2:03
  data, find a good. Sharp spot, you know.
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  Take a position and then go sweat your game.
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  But to me, the best part of betting, when I feel the most
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  alive, when my heart is beating out of my chest, is when the
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  game is right on the edge, where it's right on the number and
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  you're in that. Crazy little.
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  Zone, you know, walking the tightrope of you don't know if
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  you're going to win or lose. It's right there and you just
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  got to sweat it out and just grind, grind, grind and find a
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  way to come out with a win. So to me.
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  That's that's the best part of sports.
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  Betting. And If you watch the Iowa State
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  game last night, you know exactly.
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  What I'm talking about? Because that was a epic play for
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  us. You don't basically everything.
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  We talked about going contrarian, falling sharp
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  action. Remember everyone and their
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  mother. Was on Houston there.
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  However, the line crept up toward Iowa State minus. 1 1/2.
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  To -2 1/2 Iowa State got off to a great start and they're up
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  like 15 to 5 at one point. Then they get down and Houston
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  looks like they're absolutely rolling with who's the Kingston
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  Fleming's. I think that that guy's going to
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  be a great pro. He's a little guy.
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  But he reminds me of Steph Curry.
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  But anyway, Iowa State battles back, hits a couple.
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  Huge. Threes.
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  Some free throws at the very end, which again, if you laid
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  the points you actually ended up covering -2 1/2.
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  But man, I was glad to just get the money line there.
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  You needed a one last free throw from Jefferson to cover that
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  three. But man, what an epic, epic
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  performance. And come back by Iowa.
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  State my heart was pounding as they were.
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  Down by like, you know, 10 and then down by 7, then down by 5.
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  Had some breaks go our way and we will take it.
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  So, Iowa State. Epic.
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  Epic. Fade the trendy dog play, you'll
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  love to see it. And it was funny because I
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  tweeted about this game at Josh under Score Insights when when
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  they came through and I had a bunch of people, you know, reply
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  to the tweet the same exact same, the same exact thing they
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  all said. What a rigged game.
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  That was rigged. Houston was point shaving.
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  It's like. No, no, no, no.
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  Number one, I know who you're on.
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  You're on Houston because if it was the other way around.
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  You. Wouldn't be tweeting me.
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  Saying the game was. Rigged, but no.
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  The games are not rigged. This is it's craziness.
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  It's it's March or it's not March yet, but this is the
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  madness that we're used to. I can tell you it is not rigged,
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  but sometimes you know, things break your way, sometimes they
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  don't. But Iowa State the.
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  Cyclones coming up, absolutely massive for the team.
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  That was great to see, so shout out to the Cyclones.
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  Also got Charlton State. What a sweat that was.
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  The line dipped against this little bit, but we danced with
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  the one who brung us. Charlton State was down much of
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  the game. They actually should have.
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  Won it in. Overtime missed a free throw.
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  Abilene forced overtime, but then Tarlin State turned it on
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  in OT. It was right on the wire, and
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  then a kid made a huge and 1 three-point play to win it.
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  There at the end. So Tarlin State came through.
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  Only loser was Alcorn State and again that was a crazy 1 and I
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  was telling my buddy DA Roush. Weird line movement.
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  Yesterday like. Alcorn State ends up losing
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  their -1 1/2. It flipped back to Florida A and
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  M -, 1 1/2. Then the other game I mentioned
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  this earlier was Nichol State. Nichol stayed against Houston
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  Christian. At one point they opened getting
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  a point, and then they flipped to -1 1/2 and then it flipped
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  back to Houston Christian -1 and. 1/2 so.
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  Weird. Movement back and forth.
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  In some of these low bed obscure games, but either way guys.
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  Our goal, as we've been talking about.
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  Is is going 2 and 133 plays. Try to go 2 and one.
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  Just make it very. Simple.
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  And you notice when we have 3. Plays We don't say let's crush
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  the books and let's get a sweep. No, I think you're taunting the
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  betting gods when you say that. The goal is to.
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  Eke out a 2IN1, grind out A2 in one because you know sports
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  betting is not easy, it's very hard so.
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  We just want to have realistic expectations.
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  But that is now 7 of the last eight days going two in one.
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  So as always, guys, we'll see if we can keep it rolling.
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  And again, we got some huge games tonight not to talk about.
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  So let's waste no more time and get right back to it again.
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  College hoops What's? Better than that.
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  So first one on the board. Let's talk about this one.
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  This is the first game and it's also the most heavily bet game
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  of the night. We got Michigan and Purdue. 6:30
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  PM Tip. I believe this.
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  Is on Peacock, so. Let's set the stage.
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  Talk splits, talk line moves. We'll.
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  See if we can get a winner here, hopefully.
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  Fingers crossed. So Michigan comes in 24 and run.
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  24. And one the number one ranked
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  team in college. Basketball Arizona dropped a
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  couple games so Michigan is now #1.
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  They've won ten straight, just beat up.
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  On UCLA, 86 to 56, easily covered as a. 15 1/2 point home
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  favorite, meanwhile. Purdue. 21 and 4 not too shabby
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  either. They're ranked 7th.
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  So we got 2. Top 7.
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  Teams facing off here most heavily back game of the night,
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  but we have seen the Purdue Boilermakers win four in a row.
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  And just beat Iowa 7857. Don't remind me.
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  I had Iowa there. And Purdue rolled. 7857 easily.
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  Cruising as a 1 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
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  So to see across the market for this one.
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  Will this game open with Michigan listed as a 1 1/2 point
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  Rd. favorite? And the public cannot.
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  Believe that. This line is so short.
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  Because Michigan 24. And one number one.
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  Team in the country, they're only laying a point and a half.
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  Seems fishy odds makers. Are stupid, right?
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  Michigan is the easy play. Lots of the public saying 77% of
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  spread bets are going with Michigan.
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  Now, must admit a lot of. Books you did see.
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  This line tick up. -1 1/2 up to -2 1/2.
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  In favor of the. Wolverines.
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  However, here's the thing. Once you see a.
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  Low, low number that gets ticked up a little bit.
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  You're always. Thinking to yourself.
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  You know. Does it get to?
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  A point where you start. To see buyback and it comes
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  back. Down because this.
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  Has been a situation here in a. Lot of these big.
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  Games where? You'll see quote UN quote the
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  better team. On the road.
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  Move up a little bit. And then you'll see sharps come
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  in and hit that. You know that.
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  Basically that Bilo dog at an inflated.
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  Number. Bring it back.
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  Down. So that's kind of.
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  What we're seeing here, we saw Michigan go -1 and a.
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  Half up to -2 1/2. However.
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  A lot of these two and a halfs are juiced up toward.
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  Purdue Plus. 2 1/2 - 115 looking like it may.
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  Get back down to. 2 so that tells.
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  Me that once this got inflated and just the public overwhelming
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  support for Michigan, you know, brought that line up a bit.
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  It. Didn't you know Fly?
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  Through three up to. 4 maybe? 2 1/2.
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  Is your high watermark. Here, So we're starting to see
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  it come back down to Purdue. And why is that important?
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  Because Purdue is the. Number one.
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  Contrarian play tonight. Everybody and their mother in
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  Michigan, 77. Percent of tickets at.
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  DraftKings. So even if we take away kind of
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  the. Inflated value in the.
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  High watermark. May be coming back.
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  Down maybe some. Some late, you know.
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  RLM here. In favor of Purdue, even if we
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  take all that away. This is just your number one bet
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  against the public. Play It's a Tuesday.
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  Night, every drunk guy at the bar is saying you got to lay
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  with Michigan. They're going to dominate and
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  roll and crush the Boilermakers. So just from the standpoint of
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  fading the public, great opportunity here to go with
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  Purdue only getting 23% of spread bets at DK in the most
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  heavily backed game of the night.
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  We flip over to Circa. Further validation here of
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  Purdue being sharp. They're only getting 28% of
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  spread bets, but nearly 50%. Of spread dollars so low bets
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  higher dollars they're out in the desert at Circa.
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  And the wise guys. This was notable.
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  To me. Because I'm taking the points
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  with Purdue, but I did notice. If you're bold.
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  And you think they? Can pull off the upset.
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  They're only getting 58% of money line bets, but over 90% of
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  money line. Dollars at.
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  Circa so it. Is a sharp split on Purdue
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  around plus 1/30? I'm going to take the points
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  though, protect ourselves a bit. Ken Palm has Michigan winning by
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  278 to 76. Which does.
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  Provide some actual. Value on Purdue +2.
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  And a half Purdue. Has some advantages here.
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  Better three-point shooting, 23rd in the country versus 91st
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  for Michigan. They.
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  Do a better job. Of not.
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  Turning it over on offense, 21st versus 160. 4th and they limit
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  their opponents. To fewer offensive rebounds.
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  So fewer extra. Possessions for their opponents.
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  18th Fewest turnovers or sorry, 18th.
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  Fewer. Offensive rebounds allowed
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  versus 70th for Michigan. Lastly noticed a 10%.
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  Sharp mush edge from. Our friends at Juice.
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  Reel on Purdue, so 10% more of the.
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  Sharper winning betters like you guys out there listening who
• 10:03
  have. Downloaded Juice Reel.
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  Synced up your books. 10% more of the sharper players also
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  going Purdue, so everybody. And their mother.
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  In Michigan, that means you had. Me at Purdue.
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  Contrarian play here. Well see, we can grab an
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  inflated. Dog.
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  Now here's the thing. Purdue is pretty much +2 and
• 10:19
  half everywhere but this is. Why you got to?
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  Shop around, have multiple. Outs utilize your odds logic.
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  Live odds page, remember? 7 day free trial. 50% off your
• 10:28
  first month. Just by going to.
• 10:29
  Oddslogic.com. Slash.
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  Josh 123. Why?
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  Do I say that? Because I did notice.
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  One book that was. Offering me a plus.
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  Three, everybody's at 2 1/2, and even FanDuel is at plus 2 1/2 -,
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  114. For Purdue, so they're juiced
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  toward Purdue. But again, This is why you want
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  to play different books off each other, I noticed.
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  That Caesar's was offering plus three at -110.
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  That tells me they have a ton of Michigan money, so I played
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  Purdue. +3 at caesar's -110 again at.
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  Least try to get the 2 1/2 there, but if you can.
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  Get a three Caesar's. Is offering the best price?
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  But wouldn't it be nice if Purdue won this game outright?
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  Let's go Boilermakers. 2nd. Game on the board for me let's.
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  Look at a 7:00 PM tip. Off here between Kent State and
• 11:13
  bowling. Green now.
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  Kent State comes in. 19 and seven on the year.
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  They've won two in a row. Just held off Ball State 75 to
• 11:21
  68, however, did not cover as a 7 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
• 11:25
  Meanwhile, Bowling Green 16 and 10 on the year.
• 11:28
  They've also won two in a row. They just brushed aside Toledo
• 11:31
  80 to 70. Covered as a 3 1/2 point home
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  favorite. So we've seen across the market
• 11:36
  here. Well, this game opened Bowling
• 11:38
  Green listed around a 2 1/2 point home favorite.
• 11:41
  And right. Off the bat, even when you
• 11:42
  factor in home homecourt, which Bowling Green is at home?
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  Bowling Green 16 and 10. Kent State is 19 and 7.
• 11:49
  So just the fact. That Kent State.
• 11:50
  Has a better record. Public is saying the wrong team
• 11:53
  is favored. So we're getting nearly. 2/3.
• 11:56
  Of spread bets at. DraftKings going with Kent
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  State. However, the line isn't down to
• 12:01
  two or one or pick them and the public going Kent State.
• 12:04
  It's actually kind of gone the other way.
• 12:06
  You've seen Bowling Green get juiced up -2 1/2 -, 115.
• 12:10
  Some books are even at -3 and if you look at the line.
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  History, which is super important.
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  And again, you can get your odds logic live odds, just you know.
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  With your. Mouse or with your finger If
• 12:19
  you're on your, your your. Tablet or your iPad, You tap the
• 12:23
  box. That shows any odds for any
• 12:25
  game. They'll pull up the line history
• 12:26
  and you'll notice that some books even reached as high as 3
• 12:29
  1/2. Bowling Green -3 1/2 so.
• 12:33
  The fact that the. Juices toward Bowling Green and
• 12:36
  some books even got in a three or three and a half.
• 12:37
  This line has never gotten down to two or one or anything less
• 12:41
  than Bowling Green -2 1/2, even though the public's on Kent
• 12:44
  State. That tells me if the sharp money
• 12:46
  the liability. Is on Bowling Green here.
• 12:49
  Now if you look at. DK Bowling Green only getting
• 12:52
  about 1/3 of tickets but more than half the money.
• 12:54
  So good. Sharp low bets, higher dollar.
• 12:56
  Split at Circa out in Vegas 15 or sorry?
• 13:00
  55 O. Percent of spread bets on
• 13:02
  Bowling Green, but it accounts for 73% of spread dollars, so
• 13:06
  both DraftKings and Circa offering a very.
• 13:09
  Sharp low bets, higher dollar split in favor of.
• 13:12
  The Falcons. The bowling.
• 13:13
  Green. Falcons Ken Palm has.
• 13:15
  Bowling Green winning by three points.
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  He also has the Falcons ranked a little bit higher, 140th in the
• 13:21
  country versus. 140. 7th So remember the rankings.
• 13:25
  Or the win loss. Records, you know they can be
• 13:27
  deceiving sometimes. You know, basically.
• 13:30
  Even though Bowling Green is 16 and 10 and Kent states 19 and
• 13:34
  seven, Ken Palm Analytics actually say Bowling Green is
• 13:38
  the better. Team based on again the the
• 13:41
  analytics. Now you know.
• 13:42
  Where I might be going with this one, I ain't laying a -, 2 1/2
• 13:45
  or a -, 3. So I went Bowling Green money
• 13:47
  line. I got them at -150 at Caesar's.
• 13:50
  Or maybe it was. Fanatics shop around because
• 13:53
  some other books are. As high as -150. 5 -, 160.
• 13:56
  Bowling Green does. Have the better.
• 13:58
  Defensive efficiency 89th in the country versus 186th They force
• 14:03
  more turnovers on defense 48th versus. 240. 3rd and they allow
• 14:08
  fewer. Offensive rebounds, 55th versus
• 14:10
  126th. Lastly, because it's.
• 14:13
  Late in the year, you know, if you're looking at these
• 14:15
  conference games. At least just.
• 14:16
  You know, be aware of. Maybe a revenge factor?
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  Like Tarleton state last. Night that was a revenge game
• 14:22
  they had lost previously to Abilene.
• 14:25
  Well, Bowling Green they went on the road back on December 30th.
• 14:29
  To Kent. State and they lost by 396 to 93
• 14:33
  so this would be another motivational.
• 14:34
  Revenge angle for Bowling Green. So public is saying.
• 14:38
  Kent State better record. You got to take the points.
• 14:41
  But all movement. Liabilities been on Bowling
• 14:42
  Green. We got good faith.
• 14:44
  The trendy dog. Splits we also have.
• 14:46
  A 22% sharp mush. Edge in.
• 14:49
  Favor of Bowling Green. Falcons from our friends at
• 14:51
  Juice Rail. So you add it all up, guys.
• 14:53
  I'm going Bowling Green to win the damn game.
• 14:56
  Straight up. On the money line. -150.
• 15:00
  Last bit of the night. And boy, I'm worried about this
• 15:03
  one. This is the the.
• 15:04
  Joke I made. Earlier at the outset.
• 15:06
  This is a. Team that totally let us down.
• 15:08
  And, and completely, you know, just gave away a unit to them
• 15:11
  even though they're sharp as a tack, but they're really sharp
• 15:14
  again here tonight. So I got to play them.
• 15:16
  I'm talking 9:00 PM. Tip tonight, Nebraska.
• 15:20
  At I was going. To say Omaha.
• 15:22
  Nebraska at Iowa, Nebraska. Comes in 22 and 3.
• 15:26
  Ranked 9th in the country. They've won two of their last.
• 15:28
  Three just beat up on Northwestern 68 to 49.
• 15:32
  Easily covered as a 13 1/2 point home favorite.
• 15:35
  On the other hand, Iowa 18 and 7.
• 15:36
  But they've lost two in a row. And as I mentioned, remember, if
• 15:40
  you're like me, you took them plus. 1 1/2.
• 15:42
  I think they're 2 1/2 down to 1. And a half in that game against
• 15:44
  Purdue and they got rolled. 78 to 50. 7 So let us down, but.
• 15:49
  Here's where it gets interesting.
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  This game opened up basically a pick em.
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  Some shops even open Nebraska a very short 1 or 1 1/2 point.
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  Favorite and the public. Cannot believe.
• 16:01
  That they can get Nebraska at basically a pick em price.
• 16:03
  Because Nebraska ranked 9th. Great record.
• 16:05
  Iowa unranked. Lost.
• 16:07
  Two in a row. Just got dominated.
• 16:09
  By Purdue, so we're. Off the bat opening line,
• 16:12
  unbelievable. You know, public is saying this
• 16:14
  should be Nebraska -5 you're giving me, you know, a pick em
• 16:17
  or getting a point all day. Public says Nebraska all day.
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  79% of spread bets are running as fast as they can to the
• 16:26
  window. To back the Cornhuskers.
• 16:28
  However, even though Nebraska in the second most heavily bet
• 16:31
  game, this may end up being most heavily bet game of the night
• 16:34
  because Purdue Michigan is your number one bet game, but that's
• 16:36
  a 630 game this Nebraska. Iowa.
• 16:39
  Game was a nine O clock game. So just.
• 16:41
  The fact that it's later in the night.
• 16:42
  Probably will end up being the most heavily bet and everybody
• 16:45
  and their mother. Is on Nebraska, however, the
• 16:48
  fact that this line has moved toward.
• 16:49
  Iowa. Tells me smart money here.
• 16:51
  Feed the trendy dog Sharp RLM. Is going with the Hawkeyes.
• 16:56
  Even if you take. Away this pick em or even kind
• 16:59
  of dog to fave. Plus 1 1/2 to -1 -, 1 1/2.
• 17:02
  We've seen the line get. Further toward Iowa.
• 17:05
  To -1 or. Even one 1 1/2 at some shops.
• 17:08
  Even if you take. That away, Iowa, is just.
• 17:10
  A great fade the drunk guy at the bar.
• 17:12
  You know what the drunk guy at? The bar is doing.
• 17:14
  Tonight, he's money line parlaying.
• 17:16
  Michigan and Nebraska and hopefully he loses both.
• 17:20
  But anyway, you look at this fade the trendy dog play.
• 17:24
  In favor of Iowa, only 21% of spread bets at DraftKings and
• 17:27
  the second most heavily. Bet game and.
• 17:29
  What might be? The most heavily bet game of the
• 17:31
  night. Those are the games you want to
• 17:32
  bet against the public with the most public bias.
• 17:35
  But you also look at circa. Only 32% of spread bets.
• 17:38
  Are on Iowa. But it accounts for 71.
• 17:41
  Percent of the dollars. So out in Vegas.
• 17:43
  Circa caters to Wise. Guys.
• 17:45
  Lot of big money going with. Iowa you also look at.
• 17:50
  Money line play here. So.
• 17:51
  I jumped on Iowa at -125 shop around here you might be able to
• 17:56
  get. Iowa.
• 17:57
  As low as -115 I I money land Iowa when they were -1 1/2.
• 18:02
  I am seeing some books now at. -1 I think as long as they kind
• 18:05
  of stay a favorite here, I think we're all right.
• 18:08
  But again, if you get them as. Low as -115 at circa 40%.
• 18:12
  Money line bets over 90%. Of money line dollars on Iowa
• 18:17
  and then here we go, one of our favorite system matches.
• 18:20
  Unranked home fave. Verse ranked opponent.
• 18:22
  It's fishy. Why is Iowa favored?
• 18:25
  I know it's only a point or point half, but.
• 18:26
  Why are they favored? If they're unranked and Nebraska
• 18:29
  is the far better. Team Well teams in this spot
• 18:32
  Unranked home Favors ranked opponent on the money.
• 18:34
  Line just winning. The game, they're eight and five
• 18:36
  this. Year 62.
• 18:37
  Percent. They're 137 and 7565%.
• 18:41
  Straight up with a 5% ROI. Since 2020 so.
• 18:45
  If you out there. Listening and saying how on
• 18:47
  earth? Can we bet Iowa?
• 18:49
  We bet him against Purdue and they got just completely rolled
• 18:52
  and was. Disgusting.
• 18:53
  And they were pathetic. If you watch that game was just.
• 18:55
  Just so many bunnies. Missed layups and just just a
• 18:58
  gross team to sweat. Well, this.
• 19:00
  Is the thing about sports betting, even if they hurt your.
• 19:02
  Real bad last time. If they're sharpest attack you
• 19:05
  got a plan so I am believe it or.
• 19:07
  Not going Iowa money. Line win the damn game.
• 19:09
  You can get them anywhere -115 to -125.
• 19:13
  So. Iowa money line.
• 19:15
  Bowling Green money line. And Purdue, try to get the +3 if
• 19:19
  you can at Caesar's. So that about does it for
• 19:22
  episode 450. Six of the all systems go sports
• 19:25
  betting. Podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 19:27
  This is the part of the pod where.
• 19:28
  We wrap things up. And I always start first by
• 19:31
  saying thank you. Thank you for listening.
• 19:33
  Thank you for. Tuning in, thank.
• 19:34
  You for grinding in the arena with me every single day.
• 19:37
  Trying to eek out two in one nights.
• 19:39
  If you do, enjoy the pod if you look.
• 19:41
  Forward to the breakdowns. Maybe your tail?
• 19:43
  Maybe you pick and choose, but you listen because you value the
• 19:46
  insights, which I hope is the case well.
• 19:48
  Please could you do? Me a solid and give.
• 19:50
  This podcast, a five star review.
• 19:52
  If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, all you got to do is
• 19:55
  click the the five stars. Leave a nice.
• 19:57
  Comment if. You feel so inclined, Recommend
• 19:59
  the pod to a friend. Click the Follow button.
• 20:01
  Retweet the pod when I put it out at Josh. under score
• 20:05
  insights on Twitter. All those things would be very
• 20:07
  much appreciated. Next, if you enjoy this style.
• 20:10
  Of sports betting breakdown, we don't talk opinions.
• 20:13
  You know, we don't go off of our gut, we go off of what the
• 20:16
  market. Is telling us.
• 20:17
  Anytime you go into a a big slate of.
• 20:20
  Whatever the sport may. Be you don't want.
• 20:22
  Preconceived notions. You're just saying let the board
• 20:24
  speak to me. Let me.
• 20:24
  Find the system matches. That's the whole goal of this
• 20:27
  podcast to to teach the data-driven approach.
• 20:29
  But if you. Want to learn more about
• 20:31
  data-driven? Betting you want to let me know
• 20:33
  you appreciate the pod? You have someone in your life
• 20:36
  who could use some data-driven tips.
• 20:37
  Who told you? Yeah, Houston all day, the wrong
• 20:40
  team is favored, all that kind of stuff.
• 20:43
  If any of that is the case or you want to just again.
• 20:45
  Make my day. I would love for you to go to
• 20:47
  Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to Sports
• 20:51
  Betting or the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
• 20:53
  And grab one of my books. Bring them to the sports book,
• 20:55
  I'll sign them. For you.
• 20:57
  I'll buy you a. Beer or ginger ale or we'll take
• 20:59
  a we'll take an Irish car bomb when, when Iowa State comes
• 21:03
  through for us. That kid that hit the three in
• 21:05
  the corner, man, that was just so huge last night.
• 21:08
  But anyway. Also wanted to mention.
• 21:11
  Have you downloaded? Rhythm and juice.
• 21:12
  Reel yet my 2. Favorite sports betting apps
• 21:15
  Rhythm. Fantastic for their AI backed
• 21:17
  models and predictions. For game bets and player props.
• 21:19
  And Juice Reel so many great features you can follow.
• 21:22
  The Robo Jackson best bet picks the sharp mush indicators.
• 21:25
  The arbitrage plays the shop for the best sign.
• 21:27
  Features you can also. Support the pod.
• 21:29
  I'll pass the hat. If you'd like.
• 21:31
  To tip your podcast host. Right from the juice.
• 21:33
  Reel app you can sign up to get the ASG best bet picks as soon
• 21:37
  as I play them. They go right to the app, so I
• 21:39
  bet these games you know earlier.
• 21:41
  In the day you. Know if you want to listen.
• 21:42
  To the pod and get the plays, but maybe you want to get them
• 21:44
  earlier you know you can sign up to.
• 21:46
  Get those ASG. Best bets directly from Juice
• 21:49
  Rail. It cost you 4. 99 a week?
• 21:52
  No, not 4. $199 a week 4. Dollars and $0.99 a week. 5
• 21:57
  bucks you know again I make the joke but my wife loves going to
• 22:00
  Starbucks. I'm a dunks guy.
• 22:02
  You know it's less than a it's a cup.
• 22:04
  Of coffee at Dunks. It's less than a.
• 22:05
  Cup of coffee, a venti mocha da da da da, whatever it may be at
• 22:10
  Starbucks, but you would be. Supporting the pod and you'd be
• 22:13
  getting the plays early and hopefully.
• 22:14
  Beating closing lines. So download rhythm, download
• 22:17
  juice real, give them a 5. Star Review in the App Store.
• 22:21
  Lastly, do you? Have a live odds page.
• 22:23
  If you don't have one, you need one.
• 22:24
  You got to be able to track the market I, I.
• 22:26
  Don't know how people. Bet without a live odds page
• 22:28
  because you got to know number one what?
• 22:30
  Are all the, you know, sports available to bet on today?
• 22:33
  What are all the games? I need the start times, I need
• 22:35
  the live in game wagering odds, I need the live scoring.
• 22:39
  But I really got to be able to track the market preflop leading
• 22:41
  up to the game. So give me all the games.
• 22:43
  Give me the opening column that never changes.
• 22:45
  The current odds you can see which.
• 22:47
  Direction The line is. Moved you can shop for the best
• 22:49
  price you can pull. Up the line history.
• 22:51
  It's all available to. You.
• 22:52
  When you sign up. For odds logic.
• 22:55
  So go sign up for Odds Logic. Best live odds page.
• 22:57
  Around. Whether you don't have a live.
• 22:59
  Odds and you need one or you have 1:00 and it's free but it's
• 23:02
  slow and you don't know where the data.
• 23:03
  Is coming from. Or you have one and it's really
• 23:06
  expensive, if any of. Those are the.
• 23:09
  You know, happen. To be the case for you, you
• 23:11
  should give Odds Logic a try. I think you're going to like it.
• 23:14
  In fact, I'm almost very confident you're going to like
• 23:16
  it. Just go to.
• 23:17
  Oddslogic.com slash. Josh 123 make sure you do the
• 23:21
  slash Josh one 2-3 at the end because that'll give you the
• 23:24
  seven day free trial and 50% off your first month of service.
• 23:28
  So that about does it for episode 456 of the ASG pod on a
• 23:31
  big Tuesday. As always guys.
• 23:33
  Two final thoughts. One whether I see you at the
• 23:35
  Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
• 23:38
  in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut,
• 23:41
  at the Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge Park casino MGM
• 23:44
  Springfield the Nash in my neck of the woods on the border of
• 23:47
  Massachusetts in New Hampshire, or of.
• 23:50
  Course out in the. Desert where the true grinders
• 23:51
  get down or Billy Walter sends his number runners.
• 23:54
  With lowest juice possible is found at the South point where
• 23:57
  sweat and sharp contrarian. Plays jumping in the stadium
• 23:59
  swim. Pool.
• 24:00
  When you cash a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
• 24:03
  you're going to walk up to me. You're going to show me a
• 24:05
  Tarleton State getting it done in overtime ticket and you're
• 24:08
  going to show me an Iowa State? Holy crap, what a sweat.
• 24:11
  That was last night. That's got to be top five this
• 24:13
  year for us. Unbelievable.
• 24:16
  But show me that Iowa State, Charlton State ticket.
• 24:19
  Guess what first one. 'S on me next.
• 24:20
  One's on you. We'll post about the book
• 24:22
  Sweatshop Contrane plays all night long.
• 24:25
  So as always, guys coming off a two and one or one and two, A3
• 24:28
  and O or an O and three, A great night, a terrible night, a hot
• 24:31
  streak, a cold streak, whether we're up and things are going
• 24:33
  great or whether we're down and we're grinding and nothing's
• 24:35
  going our way. We just got to.
• 24:37
  Stick to the model. We got to be consistent.
• 24:40
  We got to be disciplined. Flat betting, risking 1 unit per
• 24:43
  play, limiting our plays. Betrus not bet to win, not
• 24:46
  chasing. If we can find those system
• 24:48
  matches, games that fit our model against the public.
• 24:51
  With the house with the pros flat.
• 24:53
  Bet, avoid parlays and get that CLV if we can do that.
• 24:57
  We're going to be successful sports bettors.
• 24:59
  So have a great. Tuesday night, everybody, and
• 25:02
  they'll be right back at it tomorrow.
• 25:03
  That'll be a Hump Day edition episode 457 of the All Systems
• 25:08
  Go Sports Betting podcast. Powered by rhythm.
• 25:11
  Good luck. Everybody and have.
• 25:12
  A great Tuesday night.