Latest / Financial Survival Network / Oil, Gas, and the AI Effect - Michael Moor #6342
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: You know all this stuff with AI coming out, there's
- 0:03Speaker 1: just going to be more and more demands on energy. Obviously,
- 0:06Speaker 1: natural gas is used to produce electricity on levels, so
- 0:09Speaker 1: I think at some point despite other fundamental I mean,
- 0:13Speaker 1: obviously fundamentally, there's gonna be a lot more natural gas
- 0:15Speaker 1: you have put out there too under this administration.
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- 0:46Speaker 3: And welcome you are listening to the Financial Survival Network.
- 0:50Speaker 3: I'm your host, Carrie Lutz. And well, these markets have
- 0:54Speaker 3: been volatile, watching the gold oil oil trading at under
- 0:59Speaker 3: sixty bucks a barrel. Who would ever believe that that
- 1:02Speaker 3: could happen? And yet here we are and get a
- 1:07Speaker 3: better grasp of it. Our good friend Michael Moore from
- 1:11Speaker 3: More Analytics is with us today. Michael, welcome back. So hey,
- 1:16Speaker 3: interesting interesting markets here, aren't they?
- 1:20Speaker 1: Yes, Kerry, thank you very much for having me back
- 1:22Speaker 1: on your show. I appreciate it always.
- 1:26Speaker 3: So where should we start? Should we start with oil?
- 1:29Speaker 3: We always like oil.
- 1:30Speaker 1: Okay, start off with the crew oil. We had been
- 1:34Speaker 1: in quite a slide from late September from sixty five
- 1:39Speaker 1: to seventy seven to brow down to fifty five ninety
- 1:41Speaker 1: six to barrel, but we turned bullish a couple of
- 1:44Speaker 1: days ago. The trade above fifty seven forty three, I said,
- 1:48Speaker 1: projected this upward, and we've seen four dollars and forty
- 1:51Speaker 1: four cents of that so far coming into today. And
- 1:54Speaker 1: then we broke back above a significant pattern at sixty nine,
- 2:00Speaker 1: which are also warns of continued strength. We've seen about
- 2:04Speaker 1: a dollar seventy eight of that so far, so I
- 2:06Speaker 1: feel we're probably going to see continued strength in general
- 2:10Speaker 1: from that in.
- 2:10Speaker 3: The days ahead.
- 2:11Speaker 1: If we were to fail back down through that formation,
- 2:13Speaker 1: which is going to commit a sixty oh eight through tomorrow,
- 2:16Speaker 1: then that would likely bring back in renewed pressure. But
- 2:20Speaker 1: I would also note that the R bomb, which is
- 2:24Speaker 1: another word for unleaded gasoline, so when crude oils, when
- 2:28Speaker 1: crude oil is brought in, it is put through a
- 2:30Speaker 1: refinery and it's broken out into two amongst other products.
- 2:34Speaker 1: The two main products that come from it are unleaded
- 2:37Speaker 1: gasoline and heating oil, which are put through a process
- 2:41Speaker 1: called cracker and crack those out of there. But those
- 2:43Speaker 1: are the main drivers for the demand of the crude oil,
- 2:48Speaker 1: and more recently the demand for heating oil has really
- 2:51Speaker 1: been leading the upside.
- 2:52Speaker 3: Mm hmm. That mean we're going to have a cold
- 2:54Speaker 3: winter in the Northeast.
- 2:57Speaker 1: Not necessarily, I don't. I know this may sound odd,
- 3:01Speaker 1: even though I analyze these every day and make some
- 3:04Speaker 1: of the larger predictions in the industry, don't really pay
- 3:08Speaker 1: attension a lot to the fundamentals because the technical analysis
- 3:12Speaker 1: of price action gives you signals in the market ninety
- 3:17Speaker 1: percent of the time earlier than the fundamentals will present themselves,
- 3:21Speaker 1: even though the fundamentals are the very underpinnings of why
- 3:25Speaker 1: these move.
- 3:26Speaker 3: Okay, all right, so interesting though, what I find really
- 3:33Speaker 3: interesting is that the prices went down in the first
- 3:37Speaker 3: place in the face of inflation. Is this market pressures
- 3:44Speaker 3: that are causing it to go down or is it
- 3:46Speaker 3: a manipulation of some sort.
- 3:49Speaker 1: Well, there's a lot obviously, with this new administration and
- 3:52Speaker 1: stuff like that, opening up a lot of avenues for
- 3:57Speaker 1: our energy to be put out there, especially eric and energy.
- 4:00Speaker 1: So there's a general expectation that energy prices would go down,
- 4:07Speaker 1: being that there'd be a lot more supply out there.
- 4:10Speaker 1: But that's obviously that can be interrupted at any time
- 4:14Speaker 1: due to geopolitical events or.
- 4:20Speaker 3: Oh yeah, we know about them. What the geopolitical events
- 4:25Speaker 3: they happen, also known as black swans, right, or gray
- 4:30Speaker 3: swans or even white swans exactly.
- 4:34Speaker 1: And then market structure has its own corrective tendencies. The
- 4:38Speaker 1: heating oil actually was the one of the main reasons
- 4:43Speaker 1: why it's very important to analyze the unleaded gasoline and
- 4:48Speaker 1: the heating oil when you're looking at the crude oil
- 4:52Speaker 1: is because unleaded gasoline and heating oil their price action
- 4:56Speaker 1: will lead the price action of crude oil eighty to
- 4:59Speaker 1: n tinety percent of the time. So, for instance, the
- 5:04Speaker 1: heating well was the first one that suggested that there
- 5:06Speaker 1: was going to be a turnaround in the market because
- 5:09Speaker 1: it broke back above a pattern on October seventeenth, at
- 5:15Speaker 1: around two thirteen fifty five. And it's sewer that two
- 5:20Speaker 1: thirteen forty three that warned of renewed strength, and that's
- 5:25Speaker 1: rallied now up to two thirty five sixty seven at
- 5:29Speaker 1: other multiple levels, so that's still bullish. It also left
- 5:35Speaker 1: a medium bullish reversal below yesterday that warned of higher
- 5:38Speaker 1: trade for days. So this pronounced spike up here is
- 5:42Speaker 1: pretty significant spike to have in just a couple of days.
- 5:45Speaker 1: And the R bob again, which is another word for
- 5:50Speaker 1: unleaded gasoline, that also left a medium bullish reversal below
- 5:56Speaker 1: yesterday which warned of higher trade for days, and that
- 6:03Speaker 1: turned bullish on the break above six twenty seven, and
- 6:11Speaker 1: now we're treating up at one eighty eight twelve, right,
- 6:18Speaker 1: pretty pretty sizeable move for just a couple of days.
- 6:21Speaker 3: Okay, all right, So what else you got for us today? Michael?
- 6:26Speaker 3: You got like it's been a while since we last spoke,
- 6:29Speaker 3: and uh, I know you've been busy. What else are
- 6:32Speaker 3: we looking at? Well?
- 6:34Speaker 1: The Brenton here also just talking about the London markets.
- 6:37Speaker 1: That's left the medium bullish reversal below as well, and
- 6:43Speaker 1: has been bullish since the break above sixty one fifty.
- 6:49Speaker 1: So we've seen our sixty one fifty five. We've seen
- 6:52Speaker 1: four dollars and fifty seven cents of that so far,
- 6:55Speaker 1: and then it broke above another significant level, that sixty
- 7:01Speaker 1: four to twenty nine, which also warns of strength for days.
- 7:06Speaker 1: I guess I don't really have to go over the gas. Well,
- 7:08Speaker 1: it's very similar to our heating oil. But if you'd like,
- 7:11Speaker 1: I could, uh, yeah, would you.
- 7:13Speaker 3: I've just always had a little interest in that gas myself,
- 7:19Speaker 3: the way the markets evolved from take or pay contracts,
- 7:23Speaker 3: from the days when not gas was more expensive for
- 7:27Speaker 3: BTU than home heating oil was, and the way that's changed.
- 7:32Speaker 3: So you know, that market's evolved, and I'm always fascinated
- 7:36Speaker 3: by it. I don't know quite why it has, but
- 7:38Speaker 3: it certainly has.
- 7:39Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, well, I can get into the natural gas.
- 7:42Speaker 1: I'm sorry I had said gas oil before. It sounds
- 7:45Speaker 1: a little bit more like natural gas.
- 7:47Speaker 3: Put out gas oil, Okay.
- 7:48Speaker 1: Gas oil is, you know, basically the London equivalent of
- 7:52Speaker 1: heating oil.
- 7:52Speaker 3: Sure.
- 7:53Speaker 1: Sure, But the natural gas I can climb into with
- 7:56Speaker 1: you if you like. So the natural gas. You've had
- 7:59Speaker 1: me on your show a number of times in the
- 8:02Speaker 1: past couple of years, but we've been barishing there from
- 8:05Speaker 1: eight dollars and twenty cents point eight and we've seen
- 8:08Speaker 1: six dollars of sixty eight cents of that to the downside,
- 8:10Speaker 1: which is a very significant move. And then more recently
- 8:16Speaker 1: we got bullish. We held a macro exhaustion level down
- 8:22Speaker 1: below at two ninety one twenty with a two eighty
- 8:25Speaker 1: nine thirty low, and I've rallied six hundred and seventy
- 8:29Speaker 1: nine ticks from there into a bullish correction. And the
- 8:36Speaker 1: bullish correction, I said, was bear with me against the
- 8:42Speaker 1: move down from four point fifty seven to thirty, and
- 8:44Speaker 1: then possibly against the move down from five thirty nine
- 8:46Speaker 1: to sixty. So we had a minimum target to the
- 8:49Speaker 1: upside of three forty two thirty, which we took out,
- 8:52Speaker 1: and our next target is three sixty five eighty and
- 8:55Speaker 1: we became shy of that by three point fifty seven
- 8:58Speaker 1: to twenty and then roll over over today. Currently right now,
- 9:02Speaker 1: it's bearsh You just broke below a formation that came
- 9:04Speaker 1: in at three forty two ninety, which warns of pressure
- 9:09Speaker 1: likely for days. If we were break back above where
- 9:12Speaker 1: that line comes in at three forty two ninety minus
- 9:17Speaker 1: point four of a tick per hour starting at eleven
- 9:19Speaker 1: o'clock PM, that would warn to we need strength. I
- 9:22Speaker 1: do think that.
- 9:22Speaker 4: This is likely going to be a pullback here within
- 9:26Speaker 4: a bullish correction against one of those moves down from
- 9:31Speaker 4: either four point fifty seven thirty or five thirty nine sixty,
- 9:36Speaker 4: because we're still pretty early into this.
- 9:39Speaker 1: Also, structurally, taking out three fifty eight to fifty would
- 9:43Speaker 1: be key in the market because that is basically the
- 9:46Speaker 1: top of this grinding basing market that we've been in
- 9:51Speaker 1: since mid August. So this may roll over a bit,
- 9:55Speaker 1: drift sideways a bit, and then if we start heading
- 9:58Speaker 1: up to take out those levels, it'll leave it and
- 10:01Speaker 1: even an even more healthy base where well symmetrical base
- 10:07Speaker 1: below for this to then launch more to the upside. Also,
- 10:11Speaker 1: and again I'm not a big fundamental person, but you know,
- 10:15Speaker 1: all of this stuff, with AI coming out, there's just
- 10:18Speaker 1: gonna be more and more demands on energy. Obviously, natural
- 10:22Speaker 1: gas is used to produce electricity on levels, so I
- 10:25Speaker 1: think at some point, despite other fundamental I mean, obviously fundamentally,
- 10:29Speaker 1: there's gonna be a lot more natural gas being put
- 10:32Speaker 1: out there too under this administration or allowed. So it'll
- 10:35Speaker 1: be interesting to see the dynamics between this too. But
- 10:37Speaker 1: I think the demand for it could be very significant
- 10:42Speaker 1: in the next couple of years. Barring any other significant
- 10:48Speaker 1: technological advance to produces some other type of energy.
- 10:52Speaker 3: Right, all right, so okay, onto the next Okay, So.
- 10:57Speaker 1: Then if you'd like, we could switch modes here and
- 11:00Speaker 1: jump into the SP five hundred next, okay, and the
- 11:06Speaker 1: S ANDPS bear with me just a minute. So again,
- 11:09Speaker 1: I've been on your show for periodically for quite some time,
- 11:12Speaker 1: so you know that in past shows I've been bullish
- 11:16Speaker 1: in the SMP five hundred innext since holding a macrosaush
- 11:20Speaker 1: from below at thirty five oh two, and we've rallied
- 11:23Speaker 1: three thy three hundred and ten point twenty five points
- 11:27Speaker 1: into this bull trend. That a lot of other bullish
- 11:30Speaker 1: calls since then, and then more recently I just put
- 11:35Speaker 1: all that bullishness on hold. Yesterday. The trade back below
- 11:40Speaker 1: sixty eighth four twenty five has brought in one hundred
- 11:45Speaker 1: and thirteen point five of pressure, and if we see
- 11:51Speaker 1: another break below sixty six seventy seven eighty one zero
- 12:00Speaker 1: point five to nine per hour starting at eleven thirty,
- 12:04Speaker 1: that a war of additional pressure. Now, one big thing
- 12:07Speaker 1: I would mention in the S and P five hundred
- 12:09Speaker 1: and next is we have a very significant formation that
- 12:12Speaker 1: has been building in here, and this formation has been
- 12:16Speaker 1: building since July, and so where we were set up
- 12:21Speaker 1: up here is if it fails down through it's already
- 12:25Speaker 1: failed back below a formation up here which is bearish,
- 12:29Speaker 1: and if it fails down below that other formation just below,
- 12:32Speaker 1: which I said would also be bearish, that'll set up
- 12:34Speaker 1: another level to get short below, and then a more
- 12:37Speaker 1: significant level down below is going to be at sixty
- 12:41Speaker 1: six h one forty five plus twenty six per hour
- 12:48Speaker 1: starting at eleven thirty pm, and a decent break below
- 12:51Speaker 1: there is going to project this downward one hundred and
- 12:54Speaker 1: ninety five minimum two hundred and seventy five plus maximum,
- 13:00Speaker 1: and that, like I said, it's very well formed formation.
- 13:02Speaker 1: You could see a good deal more than that. That'll
- 13:06Speaker 1: also be a very pivotal area. If we were to
- 13:09Speaker 1: break below that formation decently and back up through it decently,
- 13:14Speaker 1: that would mourn of decent strength. Now, when I say decently,
- 13:17Speaker 1: that is not supposed to be a vague term. It's
- 13:20Speaker 1: just a term that I use. I to my clients.
- 13:24Speaker 1: I send out what that decent number is every day.
- 13:27Speaker 1: It changes each day, but today it's thirty four point
- 13:31Speaker 1: five points. So in other words, if it broke below
- 13:34Speaker 1: that line by thirty four point five points, that would
- 13:37Speaker 1: be your confirmation of being short below it, and it
- 13:40Speaker 1: would have to break back above the line by thirty
- 13:42Speaker 1: four point five points to negate that bias on the
- 13:45Speaker 1: downside and switch the bias back to lamm.
- 13:48Speaker 3: Gotcha, all right?
- 13:51Speaker 1: All right, So over to the gold if you like it.
- 13:55Speaker 3: Yeah, let's go to the gold. Okay.
- 13:57Speaker 1: So the gold had a sizeable correction over the past
- 14:02Speaker 1: couple of days.
- 14:03Speaker 3: Certainly did that.
- 14:04Speaker 1: Yeah, And I'd said in here, so in the gold. Also,
- 14:08Speaker 1: I've been on your show for a while, so you know,
- 14:10Speaker 1: I've been bullish since August sixteenth of twenty eighteen. With
- 14:14Speaker 1: the break above eleven eighty three, then we've seen three
- 14:17Speaker 1: two hundred and fourteen per ounce to the upside. A
- 14:21Speaker 1: lot of other bull calls in here, but more recently
- 14:23Speaker 1: I just put those on hold. I warn the trade
- 14:27Speaker 1: back below forty three eighty nine sixty would likely bring
- 14:30Speaker 1: in pressure. We've seen three hundred and sixty eight point
- 14:32Speaker 1: four per ounce from there, and then the trade below
- 14:36Speaker 1: forty one to ninety six. I also said, warns of
- 14:38Speaker 1: pressure possibly for two hundred plus. We've only seen one
- 14:42Speaker 1: hundred and seventy four point eight of that, but still
- 14:45Speaker 1: a good portion of it, and then the trade below
- 14:48Speaker 1: forty one twenty three forty awesome word to pressure. We've
- 14:52Speaker 1: seen one hundred and two point two of that, But
- 14:54Speaker 1: we are testing that line as we speak, which comes
- 14:58Speaker 1: in at forty one thirty six fifty plus per hour
- 15:03Speaker 1: starting at eleven twenty pm. That's not a line how
- 15:06Speaker 1: we get long above. I would note though, that it's
- 15:10Speaker 1: eleven twenty four right now. Gold closes it one thirty
- 15:14Speaker 1: pm Eastern Standard time. And if we leave a maintained
- 15:18Speaker 1: gap higher in there on the day, which it looks
- 15:20Speaker 1: like there's a good likelihood we will, that would put
- 15:23Speaker 1: the bearishness on hold. What that means is today the
- 15:27Speaker 1: current official session, which would the low, would be forty
- 15:31Speaker 1: one thirteen seventy and yesterday's high. I don't want to
- 15:36Speaker 1: use the term pit session because obviously we don't have
- 15:38Speaker 1: a pit open up anymore, but the official session of
- 15:41Speaker 1: when it's open. Yesterday's high was forty one oh one
- 15:45Speaker 1: right we currently is forty one thirteen seventy. If that
- 15:48Speaker 1: gap between price action remains, that would suggest that this
- 15:53Speaker 1: is bull's.
- 15:54Speaker 3: Short term Let me just kind of makes sense, right,
- 15:58Speaker 3: What's that kind of make sense, doesn't it?
- 16:01Speaker 1: Yeah? Yeah, exactly, And I think you know, so on
- 16:05Speaker 1: a very macro level, let me just jump macro here,
- 16:10Speaker 1: since you know, September of twenty twenty two, this is
- 16:15Speaker 1: basically holding the last final macro possible exhaustion that it
- 16:20Speaker 1: could hold up at forty three fifty one. Although it
- 16:23Speaker 1: violated to it quite a bit up to forty three
- 16:25Speaker 1: to ninety eight, it's generally holding it, and we smack
- 16:29Speaker 1: down a bit. If this was going to correct in
- 16:34Speaker 1: a more significant nature, you know, that would have to
- 16:37Speaker 1: be over quite a period of time more than this.
- 16:41Speaker 1: So we may see if we don't take out the high,
- 16:45Speaker 1: we may see some some decent volatility here as or
- 16:51Speaker 1: if this corrects to the downside. If it does take
- 16:54Speaker 1: out that high, it just suggests that this is continuing
- 16:57Speaker 1: into continuing in a more macro.
- 17:01Speaker 3: Trem gotcha, all right? All right? What else we got? Bitcoin? Yep?
- 17:09Speaker 1: So bitcoin again, I've been on with you for quite
- 17:14Speaker 1: a while, so I'm just going over to the macro
- 17:16Speaker 1: stuff here. I've been bullish in here's fince the break
- 17:18Speaker 1: above sixteen two seventy five, So we saw one hundred
- 17:21Speaker 1: and ten thousand, nine hundred and sixty five per coin
- 17:24Speaker 1: from there, with a lot of other bullish calls along
- 17:27Speaker 1: the way. Then they got barish on the break below
- 17:29Speaker 1: one twenty four to twenty eight, and we saw twenty thousand,
- 17:32Speaker 1: four hundred and eighty three per coin below there, and
- 17:36Speaker 1: a couple other bearish calls on.
- 17:38Speaker 3: The way down.
- 17:39Speaker 1: Those are currently on hold, and we just held exhaustion
- 17:43Speaker 1: on the down side at one of four to two
- 17:46Speaker 1: oh three to one oh three five fifty eight, with
- 17:48Speaker 1: at one oh three seven forty five low and rallied
- 17:51Speaker 1: ten thousand, six hundred and thirty five. We also left
- 17:54Speaker 1: the gap higher in place on October twentieth, So we
- 17:59Speaker 1: do have a four meat just above that comes in
- 18:01Speaker 1: at one eleven three eighty seven minus fifty four per
- 18:05Speaker 1: hour starting at eleven eleven o'clock AM Eastern Standard time.
- 18:10Speaker 1: A decent break above there is going to project this
- 18:13Speaker 1: upward about six thousand minimum, right, could be more like
- 18:22Speaker 1: just give me a second lik here, and it could
- 18:25Speaker 1: be more in the tune of twelve thousand. We were
- 18:31Speaker 1: to break above that decently and back down through it decently,
- 18:34Speaker 1: that would warn a decent pressure and decent in there
- 18:36Speaker 1: today is one and seventy five, and there's a minor
- 18:43Speaker 1: formation below that comes in at six, and that increases
- 18:48Speaker 1: by actually, you know what, scratch that formation. I don't
- 18:52Speaker 1: really like the whittings drawn, but there is one below
- 18:54Speaker 1: here if we take out, if we if we leave
- 18:56Speaker 1: a maintain gap lower intact tomorrow, that would lead a
- 19:01Speaker 1: minor barish reversal above that would warrant reneed pressure to
- 19:06Speaker 1: the downside. All right, the thing on a macro level
- 19:10Speaker 1: in here, Let's just give me one more second. This
- 19:14Speaker 1: possibly could possibly be in a bearish the beginnings of
- 19:18Speaker 1: the bearish correction of the move up from fourteen nine
- 19:23Speaker 1: to twenty five. But what does that mean? Let me
- 19:28Speaker 1: just give you a little bit more teath to that.
- 19:31Speaker 5: It means that if we're gonna correct here, then it
- 19:36Speaker 5: could correct right up into October twenty twenty six, with
- 19:40Speaker 5: wide sideways downward more on October.
- 19:44Speaker 3: Huh really for a year? Yeah, I mean really run.
- 19:47Speaker 1: Up from from November of twenty twenty two, that's taken
- 19:54Speaker 1: from that all the way up to October twenty five. Yeah,
- 19:58Speaker 1: about three years. So a correction of a year wouldn't
- 20:02Speaker 1: be out of the realm of possibilities. Of course, anything
- 20:05Speaker 1: can happen in here. I'm talking pretty macro out there.
- 20:08Speaker 3: Yeah, do you think good's possible that we could see
- 20:11Speaker 3: a short squeeze in.
- 20:14Speaker 1: Bitcoin if it takes out that formation above? You know,
- 20:18Speaker 1: I think you'd see a short squeeze. Again, my analysis
- 20:22Speaker 1: is for the most part geared fairly short to medium term.
- 20:29Speaker 1: So you know, I usually have traders in the direction
- 20:34Speaker 1: of what the market's going within two to three days
- 20:37Speaker 1: of a market turning point.
- 20:40Speaker 3: How will we know, so you said, when it takes
- 20:44Speaker 3: out a particular level, which level we talking about that
- 20:46Speaker 3: it needs to take out?
- 20:48Speaker 1: So on the upside, I mean, I'm already bullish right
- 20:51Speaker 1: now short term, as I said, And on the upside
- 20:56Speaker 1: if we take out.
- 21:00Speaker 3: Just give me a sick.
- 21:00Speaker 1: It takes some eight to calculation.
- 21:02Speaker 3: Not Hey, you're on a computer, you're doing this live.
- 21:04Speaker 3: We appreciate, we appreciate the moment by moment market commentary. There.
- 21:10Speaker 1: Thank you appreciate what eleven three eighty seven mayas fifty
- 21:15Speaker 1: four per hour starting at eleven o'clock AM Eastern Standard times.
- 21:19Speaker 1: We break above there by one thousand, eight hundred and
- 21:21Speaker 1: seventy five. That would confirm the bullishness above it, not
- 21:25Speaker 1: that you have to buy right there. You go buy
- 21:26Speaker 1: it and to pull back back to the line, and
- 21:27Speaker 1: your stop is going to be one thousand, eight hundred
- 21:29Speaker 1: and seventy five back below wherever the line comes in
- 21:32Speaker 1: keeping and it decreases by fifty four per hour starting
- 21:36Speaker 1: eleven o'clock, and so that's your projector that would have
- 21:39Speaker 1: a minimum projection to the upside of six thousand in
- 21:43Speaker 1: a maximum of eleven to twelve thousand plus. When I
- 21:46Speaker 1: say a maximum of one, you know, eleveny twelve thousand plus.
- 21:50Speaker 1: That means that the formation itself has its own projections.
- 21:56Speaker 1: But obviously, if the market is trending in that direction,
- 21:58Speaker 1: you could see far more than what the projections of
- 22:02Speaker 1: the formation give you.
- 22:04Speaker 3: Right, gotcha? Interesting? Interesting?
- 22:08Speaker 1: And likewise, if we break above this line decently and
- 22:11Speaker 1: back down through it decently, it would be a good
- 22:14Speaker 1: short And then you put your stop and seventy five
- 22:18Speaker 1: back above the line. Now, as you get long above
- 22:21Speaker 1: the line, since the line is decreasing each hour, your
- 22:25Speaker 1: stop is actually going against you and widening out against you.
- 22:29Speaker 1: If you break above there decently and back down through
- 22:31Speaker 1: it decently and gets short. Then your stop is actually
- 22:33Speaker 1: moving in your favor because it's moving down above the
- 22:36Speaker 1: line that you were short below.
- 22:38Speaker 3: Got it, Got it all right? So uh all right,
- 22:44Speaker 3: So it looks like we're kind of like in a
- 22:45Speaker 3: little holding pattern here.
- 22:47Speaker 1: Yeah, but it shouldn't. Shouldn't be very long right here,
- 22:51Speaker 1: just chopping the chopping sideways for a number of days.
- 22:54Speaker 1: It should be should be breaking out of here pretty soon.
- 22:57Speaker 3: Okay.
- 22:58Speaker 1: My feeling is I I wouldn't be surprised to see
- 23:01Speaker 1: it rally a bit and then roll back over. But
- 23:03Speaker 1: that's just that's just off the cuff, get a pop up,
- 23:07Speaker 1: and then it roll over them.
- 23:09Speaker 3: All right. So anything else you want to cover, not really,
- 23:13Speaker 3: unless you have any questions on that.
- 23:14Speaker 1: I mean I could, I could get into all kinds
- 23:17Speaker 1: of heavier detail on you know, spreads and the and
- 23:22Speaker 1: the energies and stuff, but I don't. I'm not sure
- 23:24Speaker 1: if you're.
- 23:25Speaker 3: If I think we're good. I think we got to what.
- 23:28Speaker 3: I think we got what we came for.
- 23:31Speaker 1: I would just say this though, for for your audience.
- 23:36Speaker 1: If you are trading crude oil as part of your portfolio,
- 23:43Speaker 1: are you not looking at the r at the unletted
- 23:46Speaker 1: gas and the heat oil. You are putting yourself at
- 23:50Speaker 1: a great disadvantage because, for instance, my clients, I'll have
- 23:58Speaker 1: them bullish the heating oil. I'll have them a long
- 24:00Speaker 1: the heating.
- 24:01Speaker 6: Oil instead of the crude oil, even though the crude
- 24:03Speaker 6: oile is going up. Since the heating oil is leading
- 24:08Speaker 6: the market movement, you're going to make more money in
- 24:11Speaker 6: the heating oil than you would in the crude even
- 24:16Speaker 6: having your risk coming.
- 24:17Speaker 1: Out of the gate basically the same. So it Harbell
- 24:21Speaker 1: ever wanted to have a great leading indicator of a
- 24:24Speaker 1: market in the crude oil. Your leading indicators are the
- 24:28Speaker 1: unletted gas or the heating oil, and you can determine
- 24:31Speaker 1: those based off of spreads between them, which I do
- 24:35Speaker 1: in a more technical level.
- 24:36Speaker 3: So, so, how HI you think home heating oil can go?
- 24:42Speaker 1: I don't really have much more of a projection for
- 24:44Speaker 1: it from here. I'm just bullish right now. Actually I
- 24:49Speaker 1: don't have a specific projection right here. I'm just bullish, gotcha.
- 24:56Speaker 1: Sometimes I do have measured amounts. I mean, so your
- 24:58Speaker 1: question is valid, uh, I just at this at this point,
- 25:02Speaker 1: right now, I don't have a measured move.
- 25:04Speaker 3: Like I do in the in the bitcoin understood understood?
- 25:09Speaker 3: All right, Well, hey, we always appreciate you coming on, Michael.
- 25:13Speaker 3: Just tell us how we can subscribe to your work
- 25:15Speaker 3: where we find you and all that good stuff.
- 25:19Speaker 1: Sure, I appreciate it. Yes, my website is more Analytics
- 25:23Speaker 1: dot com. That's just spelled m o o R with
- 25:26Speaker 1: no E at the end, so it's m o O
- 25:28Speaker 1: R A N A L Y T I c S
- 25:33Speaker 1: dot com. And you can look at the different products
- 25:37Speaker 1: I have on there for energy or whatnot. And by
- 25:41Speaker 1: the way, Carrie, if you, if you or your subscribers
- 25:45Speaker 1: have ever have any want a an opinion here or
- 25:48Speaker 1: there on the s P five hundred or goal to
- 25:50Speaker 1: bitcoin or energies, you're always welcome the uh give me
- 25:54Speaker 1: a call or just pulled me in real quick, and yeah, absolutely.
- 25:59Speaker 1: I I do analysis every morning and I send that
- 26:02Speaker 1: out to traders in the am prior to the open
- 26:08Speaker 1: of the market every day. Those are actionable trading suggestions,
- 26:11Speaker 1: and then in the afternoon I do a video podcast
- 26:14Speaker 1: every day that I also send out to traders.
- 26:17Speaker 3: All right, excellent, excellent, appreciate you coming on. Any questions
- 26:21Speaker 3: for Michael myself, shoot me an email KL at Kerrie
- 26:25Speaker 3: LUTs dot com and for all you interested, we're now
- 26:29Speaker 3: just strictly substock only. No more running my own website.
- 26:34Speaker 3: I did that for fifteen years, had enough of it.
- 26:37Speaker 3: But I think the substock gives us so many different
- 26:40Speaker 3: ways to keep in touch with you, to keep you
- 26:43Speaker 3: up to date on these markets, and to really let
- 26:48Speaker 3: you know what's happening in the world. Michael, it's always
- 26:52Speaker 3: a pleasure. Appreciate you coming on and we will talk
- 26:55Speaker 3: to you again real soon.
- 26:56Speaker 1: Thank you very much. It's an honor. I appreciate it here.
- 26:58Speaker 2: Thanks for listening. Carry lets this Financial Survival Network your
- 27:03Speaker 2: solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go to
- 27:07Speaker 2: Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network now more than
- 27:13Speaker 2: ever