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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Bowls + NFL Best Bets Saturday 12/27/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: bruins hat man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day it is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Own five. The
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: about this anymore. The slump, the slump discontinues, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially.
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: End it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Sewed back with you to It's still sports. Saturday,
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: December twenty seventh, That is the day with the most
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: Bowl games, and luckily some of the other sports don't
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: have a ton going on here. One and two on
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: the show yesterday kind of pissed about it. I think
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: we should have fared better than that the Bowl game.
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, New Mexico had chances to win that thing
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: in regulation, they were winning the game or early they
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: got held to a couple of field goals. Probably should
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: have been winning by more than that early in the game.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: And Minnesota really did not have much offense in that
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: game at all, but they were able to get a
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: late touchdown to take the bigger lead. New Mexico tied
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: the game up with a two point conversion. Then New
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: Mexico did have it. I believe they were on the
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: Minnesota side of the field and they were not quite
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: a field goal range and they had to punt thinking
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: that they were gonna get a game winning field goal opportunity,
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: and then they lose an overtime because they get held
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: to the field going. Of course, Minnesota, even though their
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: offense is ass of course, they get the touchdown to
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: win the game. I'm pissed. Of course it lands on
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: three as well. So if you had played the game
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: really early, when the bowl lines first came out, you
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: probably would have pushed on that game rather than taking
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: a loss. I'm pissed about it. I haven't looked at
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: the final stat sheet on that, but I know that
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: New Mexico had more yards than Minnesota did early in
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: the game, at the point where they were losing seven
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: to six. I mean, they had multiple scores, they just
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: got held the field goals. I'm not happy about it.
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: We got the win with Charlotte in the NBA outright
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: win with the Hornets, like wired to why or easy win,
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: easy cover, but also outright win, and then Portland decided
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: to just completely lose it in the second half. Portland
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: was looking pretty good in that game, winning i think
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: at halftime, and then imploded after that. But if you
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: look at the box score in that game, it wasn't
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: really what it looked like. I think Portland outrebounded who
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: were they up? I don't even remember who do we
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: fade and the Clippers. Portland out rebounded the Clippers by
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: like double digits in the game. Like Zoubac not being
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: there was a huge deal, and usually that alone will
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: get you a win if you win the rebounding battle substantially.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: But no, and it was a lot of it was
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: because the Clippers hit fifty from three point range, which
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: is bullshit, and Portland had more field goal attempts in
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: the game as well, and Portland also failed at the
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: free throw line, so more free throws came. I think
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: maybe there was a double digit free throw disparity in
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: the game as well on the side of the Clippers.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: So I don't even really think we had that game wrong,
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: and we had Portland as a slight underdog as well.
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: But you win the rebounding battle by that much and
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: you have more possessions in the game, you shouldn't fucking
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: lose outright. So I'm not happy about that either. I
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: don't think that that was the wrong handicap there. I'm pissed.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: Jeffrey what's up. Thanks for hanging out, Charles, Thanks for
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: hanging out. Big dogs winning out right? Yeah, I mean
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to be on those Tyson. What's up man.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: Let's get into today, man. I mean, I'm yeah, I'm
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: not happy about yesterday. I'm not happy about this slump
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: that we're on here. I mean, we were so hot
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: the last few months. It's like whatever, Like we're still
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: gonna wind up like way up on the year because
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: of how hot the last few months have been. But
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: I'm only gonna have three plays today out of all
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: this madness. There really aren't that many games today, but
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: I'm skipping NBA completely. I hate the NBA board like
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: any of the teams that I really want to fade
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: or playing against each other. I'm gonna have one hockey play,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: even though it's a massive hockey board, and then I'm
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: gonna have one bowl that I already had identified a
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: while ago, and it's one where I think maybe waiting
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: will get you a slightly better number on it. And NFL.
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: I'm actually gonna throw out an NFL play. There are
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: two NFL games, and I'm gonna give out a play
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: in one of them, which I didn't think was gonna
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: happen until Christmas happened, and now I think it's actually
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: worth a play the game tonight. So no angles. There
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: are some, but they're like for me, the best angles
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: are teams that are playing against each other, so I
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: can't do it. We do have one Division I college
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: basketball game to night on the ACC network and it's
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: Stanford is the ACC team involved here against in state
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: little brother cal State Northridge. I mean when I look
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: at this game, I think the only way that I
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: could really play this is to take the points with Northridge.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, an in state little brother like this, you
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: got to think they're gonna try to get up for
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: a game against a bigger name in the state like Stanford.
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: I know, both teams actually know Stanford excuseually sitting at
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: ten and two, and Stanford has not really been that
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: battle tested. So I don't think they're really as good
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: as the record looks for Cal State Northridge. I mean
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: they're not horrible. They're on a four game wins struggle.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: Of course, these teams are coming out of a little
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: bit of a break here, and I do worry about
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: that a little bit. You know, when when teams have breaks.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: Sometimes it just disrupts whatever momentum they had, So if
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: they had positive momentum, sometimes that break can hurt them.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: But this is still one of the biggest games on
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: Northridge on their entire schedule, so I expect them to
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: show up. And Stanford, I don't think the spot is
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: good for them. They also went into the break on
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: a win streak, so that's kind of just negated there.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: But they beat Colorado. It was a nice win for them.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: It was a neutral location game, I believe. I think
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: Colorado actually might have even been a slight favorite in
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: that game, which that tells you what the oddsmakers really
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: think of Stanford. They're not that great, So they got
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: that win against a big twelve team. Now they have
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: Northridge here, and then three days from now they actually
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: start acc play against Notre Dame. So I think this
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: is kind of a sandwich spot here when games surrounded
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: by two Power Conference games. So again, I could only
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: look to take the points with north Ridge here. The
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: money looks like it is starting to kind of agree
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: with that. Stanford is up to a sixteen and a
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, although it's a high total of one
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: hundred and sixty five so it makes taking the points
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: a little less tempting. Sixty seven percent of tickets is
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent of the cash on Northridge, so the
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: money seems to kind of be indicating that way. I'm
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: not gonna do anything with it. The public probably is
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: not gonna be playing this game either. They don't even
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: know that this game exists. Hockey. We have a massive,
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: massive board here, and I just I don't love it
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: A lot of times teams coming out of breaks, I
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: just don't really love the handicapping angles. And usually my
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: main angle when teams come out of breaks is what
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: I just said, Like, if a team went into the
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: break really hot, the break tends to disrupt their momentum.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: If a team went in a really bad note, the
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: break tends to help them. So that's kind of the
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: way you want to handicap these games. The Rangers are
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: playing the Islanders Battle of New York here, and my
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: opinion on this is that the Rangers are not in
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: a very good spot. I mean, they just crushed Washington
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: before going into the Christmas breaks seven to three. That's
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: a huge win, very satisfying winning. They do have to
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: play Carolina and then Washington again. After this and then
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: Florida not only the returning champs back to back, but
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: also in the Winter Classic. Is what that game is
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: on January second, So I believe it is. It's a
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: night game, so am I wrong about that? No? It
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: is usually the Winter Classic is in the afternoon. Very
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: weird to see that at night, but whatever. So I
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: think you could argue that they could overlook the Islanders
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: here even though it's their New York rival. The Islanders,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: even though they have a decent record, they always kind
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: of play little brother to the Rangers, although of course
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: it is the Rangers technically on the road, so the
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: Rangers are definitely a lot better on the road, as
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: we point out time and time again. On the Islanders,
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: they did just be New Jersey. That was a nice
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: win for them going into the break, but that was
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: only one win going into the break, which maybe stopped
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: their losing momentum. They don't have anything surrounding this, so
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: to me, the spot does set up better for the Islanders,
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: and that's my opinion in this game would be to
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: look towards the Islanders. We see the money kind of
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with that. This game is a little bit early
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: by the way, it's six pm Eastern, sixty tickets, eighty
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on the Rangers and the
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: Islanders dropped from minus one twenty to minus one fifteen.
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: It is interesting that the oddsmakers are kind of telling
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: you these teams are close to even where the Rangers
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: might even be a slightly better team. But in this spot,
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: I think the spot is worse for the Rangers. It's
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: not on my card, but I would. This one is
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: actually one of the stronger opinions I have in the
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: NHL today. I lean towards the Islanders. My Bruins are
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: at Buffalo. Bruins are one of those teams that went
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: into the break on a really bad note. They lost
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: four games in a row, the last two six to
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: two to the awful Canadians Auto one Montreal. So you
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: gotta think that this break is gonna help just bust
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: that losing momentum for the Bruins. They're starting a road trip,
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: I talk about them. When you start a road trip,
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: you tend to be focused. It might be good to
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: just get out of home. After that ugly loss to Montreal,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: which by the way, wasn't really as bad as it looked.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: The game was two to two in the third period,
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure. So I think a lot of things
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: do line up for the Bruins to come out with
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: with focus in this one. And meanwhile, Buffalo actually went
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: into the break as well as possible. They won seven
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: games in a row, including beating the Auto, a team
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: that just beat the Bruins, you know, overtime. So people
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: might take a look at that and maybe want to
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: jump on board on the Buffalo side because of that.
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: But I think that having that break at that time
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: might like hurt Buffalo's momentum here. So if I was
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: gonna play this game, I would lean towards the Bruins.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: They're actually gonna get them as an underdog here, which
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: the osbagers are basically telling you Buffalo is the better
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: team though at home against the Bruins here Buffalo getting
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: more than home ice down for minus one to fifty
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty eight. Though, though the Bruins are looking
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: like a public dog, and you know I like to
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: avoid public dogs. Sixty nine percent to take it sixty
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on the Bruins, although yesterday
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: I think both of my NBA plays were public dogs.
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: Although I didn't look at what the market looked like
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: at night. But I just didn't think those that much
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: market look was accurate at all yesterday. I don't know
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: what was going on with the board yesterday, but I
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: didn't think that a lot of those percentages are right
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: at all. Anyway, I'm staying off the game. I would
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: lean to the Bruins though, just because I think the
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: spot sets up a lot better for them. You're getting
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: them at a really nice underdog price here. It is
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: interesting that the oddsmakers are telling you Buffalo is the
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: better team though, although recency bias maybe factors in here
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: and maybe has Buffalo maybe favored a little bit more
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: heavily than they should be. Ottawa was facing Toronto the
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: Battle of Ontario. I mean, these two teams, of course,
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: do not like each other, Toronto or e Souseie. Ottawa
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: just lost a four game win streak in their last
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: game with the loss to Buffalo, so you could argue
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: that'll disrupt their momentum here. But you could also argue
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be in a bounce back because that was
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: a pretty ugly loss, losing at home as a favorite
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: to Buffalo, and they don't really have anything surrounding this game,
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: so it looks like a focus spot to me for Ottawa. Generally,
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: I would say for Toronto, they broke a loss streak
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: with a win against Pittsburgh in a return home spot
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: as well prior to the break, so you could argue
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: the break will hurt their momentum again because they just
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: started some new momentum, or you could argue, well, they're
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: just gonna show up in this game because it is
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: It is a big game, and beating Pittsburgh isn't necessarily
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: that big and that did end a lost streek for them,
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: So generally, I think both teams are gonna show up
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: for this game. Looking at the market, read pretty strong
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: indicators on Ottawa. Ottawa flipped from plus one hundred to
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: minus one to twenty nine, although some of that might
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: have to do with goaltender information or something like that.
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: You don't usually see a number move that significantly like that.
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: Sixty three percent of the tickets and ninety nine percent
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Ottawa. I don't think that cash
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: percentage is accurate, but it does seem like some of
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: the money this morning has come in on the Ottawa side.
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: The Oswegers are kind of telling you a lotta was
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: the better team, lining them as a road favorite here,
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna really have much of a reason to
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: disagree with it. I'm just staying away completely. But yeah,
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: I won't really disagree with Ottawa there. Tampa Bay at Florida.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay did just lose at home five to two
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: to Florida not that long ago. So this is one
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: of those possible zigzag scenarios, or you know, if you
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: want to call it quick revenge, fine, but really it's
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: more zigzag that, like, you know, Tampa is gonna make
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: adjustments after that loss and show up. And by the way,
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: that was the last game before Vasilevsky came back, so
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: Tampa will most likely I believe a Vasilevski in net
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: here because they're on a huge break here. Tampa did
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: win surprisingly against Saint Louis going into the break, surprising
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: because Tampa had beaten Caroline of the game before that,
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: had the break, and then Florida upcoming, so it was
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: basically a sandwich spot and they won. Anyway. Now, maybe
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: the break will disrupt that momentum winning two games in
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: a row, but I just see no way that Tampa's
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook this game. Yeah, they got to travel down
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: to South Florida for this, but they're gonna show up
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: for it. Man, it's Tampa Florida, you know. I think
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: Tampa might be the somewhat more motivated team here too,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: because Florida's won two championships in a row. Florida just
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: embarrassed them on their own ice. Florida is coming off
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: a win over Carolina and that's how they went into
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: the break. They lost to Saint Louis the game before that,
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: which was a win for us because that was a
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: Carolina sandwich, so we faded Florida in that spot. Now,
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: I think it's actually Florida that's in the worst spot
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: here because they just beat Carolina and they have Washington next.
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: They're not gonna overlook Tampa Bay. But I think Tampa
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: Bay might be just a little bit more motivated here
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: to get that quick like road reversal revenge if you
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: want to call it that, for lack of a better term.
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: Tampa did flip from plus one ten to minus one
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: oh nine, So the oddsmakers are telling you Tampa is
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: the better team, a favorite on the road in this case.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: Although the percentages look like they're indicating in the opposite direction.
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: But these are so close to fifty to fifty that
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: it's hard to really gauge fifty two percent of tickets
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: on Tampa fifty percent of the cash on Florida. I'm
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: not really going to buy into that very much. I
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: would lean towards Tampa Bay in that one if I
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it. Washington at New Jersey pretty good game. Actually,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: New Jersey now with Jack Hughes back. Washington was good
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: for a bit. They had started playing well again, kind
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: of like they were last year, but now they're on
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: a slide again. Ei then went into the break with
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: three more losses in a row, including that ugly loss
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: seven to three to the Rangers that I mentioned a
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: little while ago. I think this sets up as a
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: focus spot for Washington. I mean, again, you go into
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: the break on losing, note that break could just disrupt
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: your losing momentum. They're starting a little road trip here,
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: they could be focused for that reason as well. Coming
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: off an ugly loss again, that sets up focused spot
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: as well. So I think that the spot sets up
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: pretty nicely for Washington. For New Jersey, they went into
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: the break on two losses in a row as well,
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: only scoring two goals. So I think it sets up
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: fine for New Jersey here as well, and staying in
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: the New Jersey New York area here as well. They're
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: gonna show up for a game against Washington, you would
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: have to imagine, so both teams should be in a
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: focused spot in this one. The money is kind of
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: indicating on the New Jersey side, even though they dropped
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: from minus one twenty five to minus one fifteen. Washington
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: looks like a public underdog here, which again you usually
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: want to fade these public dogs. Sixty eight percent of
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: tickets fifty five percent of the cash on them, and
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: fading a public dog, you know, you're not only fading
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: the public, and the public might have a misperception about
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: the game, but it does mean that you get you're
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: getting your money down on a decent team, right if
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: they're favored against the team that the public wants to
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: be on. So slightly in for me to New Jersey
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: in that one, but I don't have a strong opinion
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: in it all there, Garrett, what's up? Thanks for hanging out, man.
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: You're doing well again. You're hitting the props, man props
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: see you for that. Yeah, the Hornets, I mean they
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: were my only win last night. Even though you could
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: definitely argue I should have swept the three and zero.
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: I should have had a three to zero sweep yesterday
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: and wound them one and two. I'm not too happy
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: about it, but I think my read was all right
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: on those games yesterday. Where am I at here? Detroit
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: at Carolina this game? Detroit coming into this, they went
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: into the on a three game win streak, and it
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: was a nice win streak. They'd be Washington twice and
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: beat Dallas, winning the last two games, both in overtime.
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming off with that. You could argue maybe
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: there's like a letdown component of this. The break could
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: disrupt their momentum for sure and halt their winning momentum.
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: But Detroit's not gonna overlook Carolina, man, I mean, this
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: is a huge game, even though Detroit does play Toronto
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: next kind of a geographic rivalry and Original Six rivalry
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: as well. But they're not gonna overlook Carolina, although they
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: do it to travel down to Carolina for this. Now,
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: Carolina is probably gonna be in an angry mood because
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: they went into the break on a three game losing streak.
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: They lost on the road to Florida and Tampa. I mean,
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: you can forgive those, and then the return home spot
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: they lost to Florida again wasn't the greatest spot for them.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: Carolina is still a really good team, and they're in
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: a positive spot here. I think they can use this
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: break to just kind of forget about that break that momentum.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: They'll still be at home here, which sometimes you know,
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: the distractions are still in play there from the holidays
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: and whatever. But if I was gonna play this game
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: I would have to lean towards Carolina here. The money
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: seems to say otherwise, though. Carolina dropped from minus one
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: ninety four to minus one seventy seven, sixty five percent
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on them seventy eight percent of the
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: casual in Detroit. Again, I don't really understand that market
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: read I don't really agree with it. I would play
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: Carolina or leave the game alone in that one, although
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: if you're playing Carolina, you gotta lay a huge price
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: for it. So again, you could do like a split
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: bet on that one, make your own minus one puck line, whatever,
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: But of course I'm recommending only playing my plays, But
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: that's a whole different thing. I know everybody wants some
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: action on games that they're interested in, and whatever, Garrett,
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: you want Jokic over his assists or pra I'm gonna
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: disagree with you on that because he's coming off like
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: an absolute monster game, so I think they're gonna have
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: to jack the prices up on all of his stuff.
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: I would not go over on any Jokic props after that.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: He's coming off a triple double with more than fifty points.
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: I would There's no way that I would play Jokic
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: over on his props after a game like that underbenhare
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: out twenty four and a half points. You know, that
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: might depend on who's playing for Orlando, because Orlando might
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: be getting Wagner and Suggs back. So there's a lot
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: of stuff that's up in the air about that game.
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: I think if those guys come back, obviously that's gonna
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: eat into Bunchero's scoring opportunities. If neither of those guys
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: are back, then I worry that because Benchero's just gonna
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: have to like shoulder the load if neither of those
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: guys are back. Although the one thing you do have
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: going for you is Orlando. They don't necessarily really put
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: up a ton of points, even though for some reason
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: they're trying to be a fast paced team this year,
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: which seems stupid to me because the way that they
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: the reason why they were so good the last couple
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: of years is because they were a slow down team
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: that played defense. So I don't know Orlando. Also, they
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: do not shoot a lot of threes, so something else
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: to kind of keep in mind there. Minnesota at Winnipeg.
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: Interesting game here in Minnesota. They lost their hot streak
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: and they went to the break with an ugly loss
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: to Nashville in overtime, But of course they had lost
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: not only their win streak, but lost to Colorado the
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: game before, so I think it did set up kind
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: of a hangover spot there. Now they have multiple days rest,
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: break that losing momentum, they get to go out on
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: the road. To me, it looks like a focus spot
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: from Minnesota, even though they do have a potential look
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: ahead to Vegas next for Winnipeg, they're not going to
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: overlook Minnesota. Winnipeg they got hell of book back, although
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: they went into the break on a bad note, losing
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: four games in a row. They did lose back to
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: back games in elevation, but I mean, what can you do.
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: You lose to Colorado by one goal, definitely can excuse that,
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: and then they had probably a hangover effect and lost
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: again close in elevation again to Utah. They're returning home
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: from a road trip technically that they started on Wednesday,
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: December seventeenth, but they've been back home for a while now.
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: But of course the holidays can kind of interfere with
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: that and take up a lot of your time and whatever,
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: so maybe the distraction kind of lingers. But I still
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: think that having all this time off can disrupt this
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: losing momentum. You gotta think Winnipeg is going to show
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: up for a game against the team that's been on
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: fire for the most part recently, like Minnesota. So it
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: looks like a focused spot for both teams. But if
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: that's the case, I mean, Minnesota is the better team
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: right now. The market read is same Minnesota. I can't
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: exactly disagree with it. They flipped from plus one oh
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: one to minus one fourteen seventy one percent of tickets
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the cash on Minnesota, so the
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: market is kind of sat Minnesota. There Nashville at Saint
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: Louis in what might be the ugliest game of the day.
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: Nashville is on a three game win streak, so again,
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: going into the break on a win streak could be
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: a negative, could disrupt their momentum a bit. Don't really
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: know how much focus. They're gonna have a Blues team
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: where they were just here on December fifteenth, and they
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: beat the Blues five to two, and prior to that,
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: they beat them at home seven to two. So Nashville
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: might just they might just overlook Saint Louis. Man although
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: Utah is their next opponent, which isn't exactly the greatest
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: upcoming opponent, but Saint Louis, you know, they might have
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: some adjustments to make here. They've had some extra days off,
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: they haven't played since Monday. They went into the break
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: on a loss, losing four to one. They were turning
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: on from a road trip, but it was a quick
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: trip just to the Floridas and then back home. Yeah,
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: they've you know, they've presumably been you know, going through
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: the holidays and whatever, staying at home here. Maybe a
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: little bit of a distraction. But I think if we're
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: gonna play this game. I think you have to lean
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: towards Saint Louis in this one. The money seems to
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: agree for the most part of that. They dropped initially
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: from minus one twenty to minus one a weight. You're
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: getting a nice price on Saint Louis if you want them,
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: and a very cheap price for a home team. Fifty
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: six percent of ticket, sixty five percent of the cash
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: on Saint Louis. And again, you know, I like the
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: fact that they could make some recent adjustments to two
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: really hideous losses to Nationhville and Nashial is still not
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: really a good team, man. So I think it's Saint
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: Louis or pass in that one. Chicago at Dallas. This
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: is going to be the biggest line of the day.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: Chicago on a huge skid. They've lost six games in
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: a row going into the break. But again, the break
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: comes at a time where it might help you disrupt
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: that momentum. They get to leave home forget about it,
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: go out on the road. You know they're gonna be
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: focused for Dallas. So it really comes down to is
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: Dallas so good that they could just beat Chicago anyway? Now,
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: Dallas did lose a win streak in their last game,
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: in an overtime game to Detroit. They're coming back home here.
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: I think the spot actually does set up a little
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: bit better for the Blackhawks, and this one Detroit, maybe
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: that excuse me, to Dallas, maybe that last loss could
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: linger a little bit, because I always talking about when
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: you lose a win streak sometimes that actually hangs you
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: over rather than having a break disrupt any sort of
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: losing momentum that you might have, because they didn't really
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: have momentum yet, so it's really like their winning momentum
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: is still stopped. You get Chicago at a massive dog
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: price here you want it, you might even be able
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: to get a decent price on like plus two goals
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: or something like that. Dallas down for minus three forty
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: five to minus three thirty five on the money line,
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: ninety seven percent of tickets, one hundred percent of the
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: cash on them. Obviously I don't buy that, but I
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: think if you're gonna play the game, taking Chicago to
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: huge dog price would be the lead in that one.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: Anaheim at La in the Battle of La. Essentially here
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: La technically at home. La not really very good at
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: home this year, As I keep pointing, out. Anaheim went
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: into the break on a pretty ugly loss at home
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: to Seattle. Now they're just going down the street to
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: face LA. You gotta think they're gonna get up for
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: the game. I think probably both teams will, though. Uh.
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: The Kings went into the break on two straight losses,
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly ones at home to Columbus and Seattle. Columbus
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: Woman was in a return home spot, which I think
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: that one might have been a win for us on
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: the show as well. I think they're gonna show up too.
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: They do have a potential look ahead to Colorado, but
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: Anaheim's been playing decent this year. I don't think LA
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: is gonna overlook Anaheim. So then it kind of comes
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: down to like who's the better team here? Really? And
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: the Oswegers are actually surprising at telling you LA is.
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: So it is very interesting to see the team with
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: the worst record, which is LA, and I know the
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: team it's not very good at home, being a more
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: than a home ice favorite here they're down for minus
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: one forty five to minus one forty. But the osmakers
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: are telling you something by lining LA as a favorite
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: like that. It almost looks too easy to play Anaheim
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: as a Dog here with the better record, Ana, I'm
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: fifty two percent of the tickets on them, sixty six
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the La Kings. Uh, So
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: the money is saying the Kings. I don't really have
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: much of a reason to disagree, So you know, take
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: that for what it's worth. Garrett, Yeah, Chargers Texas is
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: a very difficult handicap. So obviously that is not the
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: NFL game that I'm playing tonight. Other than I think
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: the total is uh is easier to figure out than
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: the on the side in that game. But I'll talk
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: about it because I think there are a lot of
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: conflicting factors as far as the side is concerned. I'm
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: really struggling with that game. And of course I have
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: pick them pools that I have to deal with, where
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: I'm picking every single game. I also have my contest enter.
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: I'm only picking my best five every week, so that
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: game is obviously not gonna be in that, but I
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: have to pick it in my pools where you pick
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: every game, which I'm doing well in. But I'm like
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: twenty I think twenty one games above five hundred right
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: now in the season. Edmonton at Calgary in the Battle
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: of Alberta. Here, you got to figure both teams are
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: probably gonna show up in this one of those. Calgary
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: probably has a little bit of a chip on their
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: shoulder because they're the lesser of the two teams. They
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: did just lose to Edmonton in Edmonton five to one
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: right before the break, So this is basically a zigzag
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: spot where maybe Calgary comes out and they make adjustments
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: here after an ugly five to one loss. Maybe Edmonton
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: just kind of looks past Calgary this time. They have
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg next, which isn't exactly cause for a look ahead
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: right now, but still I think you got to kind
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: of towards Calgary here, I mean, and then of course
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: both teams are coming out of the break having played
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: each other going into the break, where of course Calgary
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: was on the losing side of it. So again I
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: think the handicap here really is that it's a zigzag
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: and the Calgary did the team that has the adjustments
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: to make the stuff to fix. If you're Edmonton, everything works,
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: you have not a whole lot to fix here. Edmonton
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: is up for minus one twenty to minus one thirty one.
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: No percentages yet really on this, but you get Calgary
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: as a home dog here. I mean that would be
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: the way that I would lean in that game. It
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: almost looks too easy to play Edmonds in it. What
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: is not really that big of a price. So next
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: game up is my play in hockey best bets. I
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: guess we're gonna go right back to the team that
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: abus in the last game. I haven't played them much
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: this year, so hopefully they do us better this time.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: We're gonna play the San Jose Sharks again. Money line
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: plus one twenty was the best number I saw out there.
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: You can get them in an all right underdog price here,
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: So that's my recommendation here San Jose. They're coming into
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: this of an ugly loss, which unfortunately was a loss
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: on the Show against Vegas. I thought, like pot Vegas
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot, man, San Jose got run over
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: in that game seven to two. I think you're gonna
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: see a much better effort from them here. Presumably they
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: went home after that celebrated, you know, Christmas. Now they're
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: going out on the road, so it's technically the start
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: of a road trip. I would say I talk about
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: that teams usually are focused to start the road trip.
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: They're usually focused off an ugly loss, and they're usually
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: focused if they have a break that disrupts a losing streak,
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: and San Jose falls into all three of those categories.
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: They went into that break on a three game losing streak,
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: So I like all of that looks like a focus
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: spot for San Jose to me. For Vancouver, I know,
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: it looks maybe kind of easy to take San Jose
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: because they actually have kind of the better record and
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: they're not really that good. Neither of these teams are
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: that good on Vancouver. If you look at how this
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: sets up for them, this is an awful spot for Vancouver. Man,
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: this is the biggest road trip return spot on the
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: board today. They started a road trip on December fourteenth,
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: The road trip went all the way through Monday, December
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: twenty second, and then of course they came home and presumably,
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: assuming they do this, they do Christmas in Canada. Presumably
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: they're celebrated Christmas, so that can be an added distraction.
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: I just talk about generally a return home spot when
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: you've been away for so long, you got stuff to
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: do at home, But couple that with celebrating the holidays
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: and whatever, this could be a major distraction. Spot where
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: they just don't pay much attention here to a mediocre
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: San Jose team, and then they go back out on
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: the road to face Seattle on Monday for a single
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: game though on the road, but it's one of these
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: single game home stance to which I usually like to
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: fade teams in that spot. And on top of all that,
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: going into the break, Vancouver had lost a four game
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: win streak with a loss of Philadelphia, so I talk
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: about that too. That can disrupt your momentum and hang
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: you over when you lose a win streak. So I
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: like how it sets up. We're gonna take San Jose
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: on the money line here. The market seems to agree.
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: Vancouver dropped for minus one fifty minus one thirty eight already,
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: so you know, I mean, getting San Jose a any
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: somewhat decent underdog price I think is the right approach here.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: Seventy one percent of tickets, it's seventy percent of the
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: catch from Vancouver, so it does look like Vancouver maybe
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: the public side here, despite the fact that the record
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: is slightly worse. They were a little bit hot recently
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: and people just don't want anything to do with San
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: Jose probably right now after their recent losses. So we're
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: gonna buck that perception there and we're gonna we're gonna
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: grab San Jose there on that one. Mostly it is
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: about the spot and then Colorado Vegas debatably maybe the
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: best game on the board here to finish it off
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: late game ten PM. Colorado went into the break on
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: a long win streak. What else is new? It's Colorado,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: but six wins in a row. And again, when you
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: go into a break, that's not good when you're winning. Man,
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: when you're winning, you want to keep playing like you do.
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: Not want to break here, and then to have a
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: single game road trip to Vegas. So could be a
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: little bit of a disruptive break for Colorado there, although
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: you gotta think they're still gonna show up. Both teams
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: will show up here. Both teams have a combined ten
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: regulation loss as which is crazy Colorado only with two.
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: Vegas ended a three game losing streak in their last
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: game with Unfortunately that win I just mentioned where they
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: beat us beating San Jose staying at home, But that
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: break might not hurt them because again they just ended
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: a lost streak, so I think there's less momentum to
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: disrupt here. You know they're gonna show up for a game.
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: Gets Colorado. So slight opinion for me on Vegas in
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: this one. Colorado looks like they're gonna be a public
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: road favorite here. Up for minus one thirty five his
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: one forty one. Crazy that Colorado is so good that
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: they're a decent favorite at Vegas. Crazy Vegas, pretty good team,
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: sixty tickets, seventy one percent of the cash. On Colorado,
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: I think they're shaping up to be a public road
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: favorite here. Lean for me would be to grab Vegas
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: as a dog in that one money line. I suppose,
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: all right, I'm gonna get into NBA in a second,
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: which it's gonna be kind of boring because I don't
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: have much to say about the NBA today. Here is
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: the schedule here at the NBA and the board. I
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: guess the NBA. It makes me bored today the NBA,
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: to be honest, this is the entire no calvs. Rockets,
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: I think is one game. It's at the end of
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: the board here. But hold on, I'm gonna be right
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: back because I am dealing with Winter Sinus crowd again.
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: I'll you're right back. Hang on. Four picks against Grossman
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: and two Fumbels. What do you see about the Bears
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: shut them down that way? Now you know what I mean?
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: We just let's wait. The Bears are what we thought
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: they were. What the what we thought they were? We
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: played them in preseason. Who the hell takes a third
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: game in the preseason likes book, We played them in
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: the third game. Everybody played three quarters their Bears or
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: who we thought they were. Now, that's why we took
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: the damn field. Now, if you want to crown them,
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: then crown their ass. But they are who we thought
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: they were, and we got about the hook. Thanks coaches Away.
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: That's a disappointed coach. All right, we're back NBA. Who Yeah,
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: I have ailments during every season, but I do not
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: like this at all. Blues Vegas, Blues again to Blues
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: and Blackhawks. I generally agree with all those sides. Okay,
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: NBA tough, tough NBA card today or board today. Man. Again,
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: there are certain teams that I definitely would want to fade,
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: but they're all facing each other. Dallas at Sacramento is
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: an early game at five pm Eastern for whatever reason
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: on NBA TV. Now, this is the day where by
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: the way, a lot of times, it does make sense
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: to fade teams coming off of big Christmas performances because
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: it's a big, you know, big deal in the NBA
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: or whatever. Now Dallas maybe isn't one of those teams.
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: They did have to play a big game on Christmas.
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: They went to Golden State. The game was never really
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: in doubt, though, I mean, I guess it was somewhat
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: close coming down the stratch here. So Dallas did play,
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: you know, fairly competitive. I think Golden State did wind
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: up with a cover in that one though, which I
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: said they would one of the games I got right
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: on Christmas barely. So Dallas. I mean, they are kind
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: of coming off of a pretty big performance, though, I
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: would say, and could be a bit of a hangover here.
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know, are they really going to
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: focus on Sacramento. The travel isn't too bad though, just
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: going from Golden State to Sacramento. But it's possible they
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: overlook Sacramento though. I don't think Dallas had any much
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: bigger games upcoming. But Sacramento just had a somewhat close
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: loss at home to Detroit. But the good thing for
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: Sacramento is they didn't play on Christmas. They haven't played
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: since Tuesday, so they've had a lot of days off
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: to kind of just get over it and break that
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: if you want to call it losing momentum, and I'll
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: just break free of that. So I do think the
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: spot does set up better for the Kings. Slightly. I
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: would lean to the Kings in this game. The money
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: is disagreeing for now. MAVs are three point road favorite,
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: fifty eight percent of tickets, seventy seven percent of the
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: couch on the MAVs. I would slightly lean towards taking
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: the points. I mean, nobody's gonna want the Kings here.
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: The public's definitely not gonna want them. It looks too easy,
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: I think to lay the points with Dallas as well.
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: You know, you gotta keep an eye on injury reports
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: as always with Dallas, ad is questionable. I'm pretty sure
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: for Sacramento Sobonas is still out, so not really a
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: question there. He's not gonna play, He's not gonna be
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: back for a while. I think he might be back
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: within the next week or so, actually, but I don't know.
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: We will say Christmas throws off the NBA season. What
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: do you mean Denver at Orlando. I believe these two
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: teams just played each other, if I'm not mistaken. In Denver, Yeah,
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: Denver beat Orlando by eleven in Denver, which was a
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: spot where I thought Orlando would cover, and Orlando was
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: looking good early in the game, but you know, fell
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: fell short of it. I think Orlando. I mean, I
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: know Orlando's been dealing with injuries, as I pointed out already,
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: so I forget what their lineup looked like in that game. Now,
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: Denver did play on Christmas and they had an overtime
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: win over Minnesota. I could see this going two ways
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: because you could argue, well, that was a big game,
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: big effort, they went into overtime. They could be hungover
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: coming off to that. You could also argue that, well
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: Denver was a pretty big favorite in that game. They
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: should have won more easily. So maybe they'll be in
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: more of a focus spot here after getting a scare
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: and they're starting to row toever usually you are focus.
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: But I think the former of those two is actually
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: the way to look at this. I think Denver, I
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: think it may very well be a hangover spot after
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: a big ot game. Minnesota is still considered to be
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: a good team. Denver got the win there, They're facing
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: this Orlando team they just played and beat them. Orlando's
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: got a thin roster right now unless these guys come back,
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: which is still up in the air, and maybe Denver
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: does focus a little bit more on Miami after this.
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but I think maybe the leaning of
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: this game is towards Orlando. Orlando's coming off a disgusting
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: loss to Charlotte, but again, that was the win that
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: we had last night. So keep in mind Orlando is
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: on a back to back, but Orlando might be getting
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: guys back here. So it's a very very weird game
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: to handicap here. Where normally I'm avoiding teams on a
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: back to back, Here you have game time decision on
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: both Sogs and Wagner. Here, Franz Wagner is the guy
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: we want to look at. Wagner his brother is the
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: less impactful player significantly, Franz Wagner is the guy you
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: want to keep an eye on. Both guys are game
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: time decisions between Suggs and Wagner. Now, if both those
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: guys come back, normally I would say, well, that's a
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: reverse injured player spot. You know, the team has to
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: get used to those guys being on the floor again.
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: They have to ramp up their play again. You know,
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: the team's got to get used to their roles again.
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: And while all that is true, I think that it
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: actually is maybe helpful for them to come back in
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: a spot like this because on a back to back,
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: it's gonna mean you're gonna get a more rested or
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: Lando lineup because those guys didn't play yesterday. So it
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: kind of goes both ways in a case like this. Overall,
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: I think I would slightly lean to the Magic in
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: this game, but obviously not playing it. It looks like
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: the market does agree with me on that Nuggets three
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: and a half point road favorite, sixty six percent of
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, seventy eight percent of the cash on
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: the Magic, so it looks like it disagreeing with me.
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: Christmas fucks up the schedule for good teams. Some players
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: say the season doesn't start until Christmas. That is a
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: weird way to look at it. Who's saying that? I
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: mean that? I mean, I guess probably what they mean
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: is that, like from Christmas on is like the final
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: stretch of the season, Like that's when the games have
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: more meaning is probably what they mean. But it's not
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: like players are just coming out and tanking, you know,
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: all the way up until Christmas. I mean, that doesn't
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: that's that is not the case. But Christmas, it's a Christmas.
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: NBA is a weird thing. It's been around for a
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: while now. But I don't know. I mean, it's all
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: money making, like these ESPN and whatever. They just want
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: to have these stupid events and make money and turns
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: out pretty bad a lot of times, like the Netflix
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: Christmas games and Fun Football. The NFL games have been awful.
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: Phoenix at New Orleans this game, I mean, you could
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: argue this is kind of just at right up zigzag
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: handicap here as Phoenix had beat they'd beaten the Lakers,
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: and then they came out of that and they still
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: beat New Orleans. So though I think New Orleans did
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: cover this number if I'm not mistaken, which was my
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: opinion in that game, was to lean towards New Orleans.
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: That was yesterday. Now they're playing again today in the
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: same location in New Orleans, so you could argue that, well,
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: Phoenix won the last game, could be a zigzag spot
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: for New Orleans is gonna be the team that makes
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: the adjustments here. Maybe that's true, but I believe Phoenix
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: didn't even cover that number. But even so, I mean,
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: I think the argument still remains that maybe the team
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: that lost the previous game will be the team to
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: be able to make more adjustments and play better here.
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: Phoenix only plays Washington next, so it's not really a
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: look ahead spot for them. For New Orleans, they've not
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: lost two games in a row. Could maybe be a
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: bounce back opportunity for them here? Yeah, I mean, to me,
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: I guess it would be a slightly in to New
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: Orleans just because it's a zig zag. Potentially, I think
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: they would be the team maybe to make the adjustments here.
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: The money seems to agree. Phoenix down from five and
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: a half to five sixty seven percent of tickets on
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: the Sun seventy three percent of the cash on the Pelicans,
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: So that's the market, Reid says the Pelicans. No, tanking
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: is not a thing. It's like massively overstated in every
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: single sports. Unless players literally are betting against like their
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: own props and stuff, they're not tanking, like it's just
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: against human nature. Tanking is just such a bullshit thing.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: It's It's not a thing like you get onto the floor,
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: your competitive nature takes over. You're not gonna intentionally lose
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: a game. It's like saying you're gonna go into a
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: fight and then intentionally lose it. It doesn't make any sense.
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: Even if the fight doesn't mean anything, You're still gonna fight, unless, again,
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: you bet against yourself, if you have money against yourself,
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: then that's a different story. Knicks at Atlanta. This is
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: one of those games where I looked at it and
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: I'm like, I kind of want to fade the Knicks
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: here because they just had a big win on Christmas
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: against Cleveland. However, you could argue that the Knicks are
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: gonna be more focused because they escaped against Cleveland, but
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: they did have to put in a huge effort to
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: come back. They were down seventeen points in the fourth
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: quarter in that game, and one they should have won
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: more easily. Arguably as a favorite, I thought Cleveland might
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: cover that one, which they did. They probably should have won.
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: So the Knicks are coming up all that they are
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip. Usually teams are focused to start
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: a road trip, so there were definitely some conflicting factors here.
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: Could be a focused spot for them, but it could
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: also be a letdown spot for them. The Hawks played yesterday,
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: so they're on a back to back, and they played
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: poorly again against Miami. They've lost five games in a row.
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: Don't really love the idea playing on a team on
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: a back to back, but they are staying at home.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: You know, they're not going to overlook the Knicks though.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, even though the Hawks are on a back
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: to back, I still think overall, probably slight opinion for
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: me on on that side on the Hawks. The Knicks
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: are up to a six and a half way favorite.
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be close to seven eighty eight percent of tickets,
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: ninety seven percent of the casual on the Knicks. They're
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: gonna be the public side at the very least. Slight
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: opinion on the Hawks for me, But I don't like
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: it at all. They're lazy and they don't play defense.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: I sometimes it depends on the individual game in my opinion. Again,
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: I think tanking is way overstated. I just I do
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: not think it's really a thing. Karl Anthony Towns got married.
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: I guess that is a distraction. Then to add that
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: into the mix, the the just got married spot I
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: don't know what else to call it. The husband spot,
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: I thought, but that's a did you did he marry dude?
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: I thought, yeah, I was gonna say. I thought the
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: whole thing was that Kat is gay? Gay A team? Wow,
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: I'm surprised he's not gay. WHOA Indiana at Miami. Now,
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: Indiana's on a back to back, which I know because
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: my Boston Celtics beat them again and this time beat
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: them way more easily. In Indiana. Indiana's on a big
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: time slide here and now on a back to back,
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: they've lost seven games in a row. Maybe it'll be
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: good for them just go out on the road, though,
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: because remember these teams on back to backs today, most
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: of them, pretty much all of them had multiple days
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: off prior to yesterday. I mean they all did. I
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: think no no team played yesterday and also playing on Christmas.
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: I don't think so, or if they did, they're not
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: playing today. So Indiana on a back to back, they
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: did have rest prior to that ugly loss. Maybe it'd
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: be good for them just forget about that. Going the road.
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: They're facing Miami here, My Miami, they just beat Atlanta
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: pretty solid, and they're also on a back to back.
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: They just won at Atlanta yesterday, so big win for them.
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: Coming back home, they might overlook Indiana. Man, they got
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: Denver up next, so I think it is kind of
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot from Miami, so I would lean towards
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: Indiana in the spot. Both teams actually on back to
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: backs with travel. Miami did just break a losing streak,
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: so sometimes that'll give you momentum. But with their next
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: three games being Denver, Detroit, Minnesota, looks really really easy
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: for them to just look right past the Pacers here.
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: Pacers again off an ugly loss. I think the only
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: way to look at this game is to take the
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: points with the Pacers probably one of the stronger NBA
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: opinions for me of the day, sixty seven percent of
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: the tickets and cash on the heat as an eight
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. That would be my opinion
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: in that one. Milwaukee at Chicago. Man, there's so many
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: fucking games today in the NBA and NHL. Milwaukee they
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: played yesterday and they lost real bad and lost by
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: twenty one at Memphis. Now they're traveling up to Chicago.
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: But again, they did have rest prior to that game
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: against Memphis, playing against Chicago here. Chicago also played yesterday
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: and continued their win streak, so their momentum was not snapped,
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: and they now have won five games in a row.
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: They beat Philadelphia yesterday, I believe in a slight upset.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: Maybe now they're facing Milwaukee has just been really bad
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: without Yannis. They're still without yanis that Chicago does have
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: Minnesota next, maybe they'd be looking ahead to that game
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: against Minnesota because Minnesota's got the better record. Whatever, Yeah,
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: I mean for me, slight opinion towards Milwaukee in this one.
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: Where are they at? The Bulls already dropped from a
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: five point favorite to a three and a half point favorite.
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: Seventy six percent of tickets on the Bulls, fifty six
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Bucks, So the money
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: seems to agree with me on that one as well.
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: On the Milwaukee side, I've had a decent gauge on
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee recently as well. For what it's worth, I was
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: correct about them beating Indiana. I gave them out as
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: a play against Minnesota. That was a win. Against Boston,
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: that was a win. I believe we faded them as
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: well against Brooklyn and that was a win as well.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: Don't remember if I gave them out or not against Toronto,
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: but I have had a good gauge on them recently,
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: so we'll see if that continues. Cleveland at Houston. This
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: is the game where really both teams are in spots
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: where if they were playing any other team right now,
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: I'd be fading them both. Very unfortunate these teams are
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: playing each other because how does Cleveland get back up
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: off the mat after what they just did on Christmas?
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: They just went into New York to Madison Square Guard
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: and they had the Knicks completely on the ropes up
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: by seventeen in the fourth quarter and they lose the game.
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: How do you get back off the mat after that?
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: I know they're having to play Houston. Houston is a
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: good team, but traveling down to Houston to play Houston, man,
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: that is ugly, really really difficult spot for Cleveland here
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: man and for Houston, and it's not much better used
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: in playing on Christmas and they beat the Lakers on
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: the road and now they're returning home from a long
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: road trip. But they were on the road from December
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: fifteenth through Christmas and they had to play on the
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: road on Christmas, so they're coming back home, and you
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: gotta think they have holiday stuff to do, like a
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: late holiday celebration. In addition to the return home spot.
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: In addition to it being a huge letdown spot after
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: crushing the Lakers on National TV on Christmas on the road,
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, this looks like a horrible spot for Houston.
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: Return home spot again tends to be a distraction. It
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: was a long road trip. Maybe they won't overlook Cleveland,
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: but man, I mean, beating the Lakers is a much
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: much bigger deal, especially for a Western Conference team. So
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: I think it is a letdown spot, major distraction spot here.
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: I think the spot is actually worse for Houston than
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: it is for the Calves. So I'm going to lean
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: towards the Calves in this one. Houston six to four.
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: Here on the line, there isn't a whole lot going
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: on with the injury situation. You do have to watch
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: Singoon to see if he is playing or not for Houston.
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: Sixty two percent of the tickets fifty six percent of
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Rockets. Calves are mostly an intact
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: roster right now, I believe, except for the guys that
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: are like already known to be out for the season. Yeah,
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: the money seems to agree with the Calves side here.
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: I agree with that, but I can't get there with it.
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think Cleveland's also in a bad spot,
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: so uh, it's a pass for me. Don't like it
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: at all. Brooklyn at Minnesota. Now, if I was gonna
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: play any NBA game today, it might be this one.
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: Sob is not here, so I'm gonna have to be
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: the nets whisper for him here. Brooklyn. They did just
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: meet Philly, So this is what worries me because I
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: like Brooklyn in this game, but they're coming up upset
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: wins over Toronto and Philadelphia, so I do worry about that.
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: And they went into the break after that, so that
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: break might ruin their momentum a little bit, So I
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: don't like that. That might slow their momentum a little bit.
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook Minnesota. Hear. Now, for Minnesota,
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: they could definitely easily overlook Brooklyn. Minnesota's coming up that
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: really tough overtime game against Denver, and prior to that,
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: they beat Oklahoma City Milwaukee in a sandwich spot. They
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: escaped with a win there. I think we got the
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: cover with Milwaukee in that one, and then Minnesota beat
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: the Knicks, so they've started to play well against good
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: teams finally, and that overtime loss at Denver, that's got
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: to take a lot out of you. Man. Now you
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: come back home and you face an awful net team,
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: and then you go right back out on the road
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: out to face Chicago, who's at least a team that
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: will at least draw more over your focus than Brooklyn will.
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: I think if you're gonna play the game, you gotta
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: fade the Tea Wolves. They're down for twelve and a
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: half to ten and a half, sixty seven percent of
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: the tickets, seventy nine percent of the cash on the nets,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: so the money is coming in on the nets. No,
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: I disagree with Houston, and I disagree with the under
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: in that game. I think Houston's in the way worst
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: spot because it's a return home spot in addition to
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: it being a massive Christmas letdown spot. And I think
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: that in a game like that, you actually want to
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: go over because it has mostly an effect on the
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: defense when the teams are tired aka in a bad
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: spot whatever. Although I'm not really a totals guy, the
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: total is already plummeted down from two forty one to
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: two thirty three and a half. So if you like
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: the under, there's absolutely no value left in it. Utah
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: at San Antonio. But yeah, Brooklyn would be the game
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: that I would actually maybe consider playing in the NBA today.
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Brooklyn, but I don't
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: love it either. Utah. This is another one where I
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: saw San Antonio on the schedule. I'm like, come on, man,
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: san Antonio is in such a monster letdown spot here,
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: you gotta fade them. But then I'm like, oh shit,
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: Utah just beat Detroit yesterday, so you doesn't a back
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: to bad. They have a single game road trip to
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: San Antonio for whatever reason. The good thing about it
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: is they broke a lost streak and they've been playing
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: generally pretty competitively, although they are definitely more competitive at home.
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: But it is I mean, it seems like a letdown
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: spot coming off the win over Detroit. They should still
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: be focused against San Antonio. And yes, I do think
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: the spot is worse for San Antonio because they just
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: beat Oklahoma City again on Christmas. Now they've beating them
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: back to back. Now they beat them Neutral Site in
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: San Antonio and Oklahoma City the trifecta, and with the
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: last one being the most difficult and it being on Christmas,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: and after they play Utah, which they might completely overlook them,
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: they got Cleveland and New York in their next two games,
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: So the spot is horrible for San Antonio. It is
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: basically a sandwich spot. If you're gonna play it, I
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: think you got to take the points with Utah, But
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: I can't really get there with it, because again, they're
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: just off a difficult game themselves, a big time upset wins,
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: so I'm staying away. Unfortunately, Spurs seventy five percent of
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: tickets on them eighty five percent of the cash on
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: the Jazz. The money looks like it's kind of coming
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: on the under in that one as well. But again,
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: even though I'm not really a totals guy, I tend
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: to think that when teams are in bad swats. I
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: do this mostly in hockey, and it has worked out
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: more often than it hasn't. Is that I think it
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: affects the defense more than the offense. It's harder to
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: play defense than it just play offense. So when you're
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: either lacking focus or tired, I think it's harder to
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: play defense, so I think it lends itself to more scoring.
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: That's my opinion. There. Cleveland has way more threes than usually. Yeah,
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: Houston doesn't take threes. They're they're a huge team. They're
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: a paint presence team. Yeah, Houston, they sound like Houston's.
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: Houston's college basketball team. They don't take that many threes,
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: but they're very efficient at hitting them. Him more to
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: Houston's college basketball team. So being of college we have
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: college football. We have eight bowl games today. I thought
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: it was seven. It's eight. And you know how ridiculous
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: these bowl games again, and the first one is up
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: at eleven am. Unfortunately, this is the biggest It's not
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: the biggest bowl day necessarily, but it's the day that
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: has the most balls on it. But with the transfer
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: stuff getting in the way, man, it is so difficult
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: to handicap these balls. And I'm sticking with one that
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: was kind of an initial handicap for me. We're getting
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: a better number on it now because of some stuff
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: that's happened. We're getting almost what the initial number was
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: on it. So I'm sticking with my gut instinct again
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: on my one bowl game today, and hopefully it is
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: going to work out. It is not the first game,
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: which is the Go Bowling Military Bowl, which I assume
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: Go Bowling is literally like a bowling company, but in
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: this case we're bowling. We're bowling in more ways than one. Here,
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: we're gonna be in a college bowl. Here. This is
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: pit and he Carolina, and the game is in Annapolis,
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: Maryland because it is the Military Bowl, so it is
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: hosted by the Navy, the Naval Academy. Not really a
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: venue that's beneficial necessarily for one team or the other.
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, both teams are in the Eastern Times on whatever,
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: They're both not that far away. Pitt probably has just
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: a bigger fan base in general, and it's gonna be
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: a little bit cold, so I think the forty degree
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: weather and whatever, I think it's actually more beneficial to
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh because pitt is more of a defensive team. They
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: run the football quite a bit East Carolina. I mean,
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: not that they really necessarily do anything well, but they're
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: kind of a more warmish weather team. So there are
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: definitely some benefits to pitt here. Now you gotta always
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: look at the opt outs. Whatever I've switched over to
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: using Action Network for this. Whoops, I just gave away
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: what my other players are. But Action Network is doing
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: a better job keeping track of all the opt outs
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: here a little bit harder to read because they're all
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: in different sets. As they split it on into sections,
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: you can kind of see what's going on. So looking
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: at Pitt for their opt outs, they don't have too
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: many opt outs. It looks like for the most part,
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: Pitt is gonna be somewhat showing up in this game. Uh.
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: They do have a few guys in the transfer portal,
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: but depending on the school, guys can be in the
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: transfer portal but still playing their bowl games. So that's
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: another thing, Like a guy can be like I'm transferring out,
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: but I'm still gonna play in this bowl game. It
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: looks like that's happening with a few of Pitt's players.
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: They do have. I guess their most key opt out
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: is one of their running backs, but they do play
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: like they do have multiple running backs that they use.
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: So Desmond Reid, I don't even know if he's their
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: top running back, so I don't think that's that big
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: of a deal. They do have a few injuries, but
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is football. Every team has injuries, So
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: for the most part, Pitt is you know, they're mostly intact.
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: And then for coaching, not really much going on with
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: their coaching either, other than the fact that their defensive
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: coordinator has announced that he is retiring after this, so
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: he is going to call the defensive plays here and
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: it'll be his last game. But if anything, the guys
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: might get pumped and play for him, you know what
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: I mean. If they know that Randy Bates is gonna retire,
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: it might be like a going out party, you know
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: what I mean. So I'm really not interested in fanning
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: Pitt in this game. But to put it mildly, although
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: you gotta lay a ton of points if you want
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: Pitt here. And part of the reason for that is
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: that Carol East Carolina is actually the team has all
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: these opt outs, which you think it would be the opposite,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: like Pitt was the team that was in the ACC
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: race almost up into the end of the season, so
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: you would have to think that Pitt, I mean, you
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: still have to kind of worry that maybe Pitt's a
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: little bit disappointed because they thought they could make the
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: a SEC Championship whatever, and now they're in the an
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: eleven Am bowl game in cold weather playing against East Carolina, Like,
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, that is what worries me about Pitt. It
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: doesn't really seem like a game they're necessarily gonna get
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: up for, other than the fact that it looks like
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: they are gonna play and show up here. And East Carolina, shockingly,
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: they're the team where people are opting out. Their quarterback
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: is not playing Houser, so their offense is already not
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: that good to begin with, but their offense is going
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: to struggle here. Man. East Carolina, they played well in
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: their bowl game last year, they beat in state, big
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: brother NC State, but it seems like they're somewhat disinterested
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: in playing this game against Pitt. They have numerous opt
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: outs on the offensive side, including their quarterback, and those
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: are really the big things going on here. And then
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: their defensive coordinator actually left for South Florida, so actually
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: both coordinators are leaving. Other oc is leaving for Ole
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: Miss as well, so I believe both of both of
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: their coordinators are going to be gone for this game
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: as well. So that's not good either for East Carolina.
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: So obviously Pitt is going to be the favorite here.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: They're already up to a thirteen point favorite, though, So
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: if you like Pitt, I mean, you're not getting any
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: value at this point. They're up from they were initially
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: a six point favorite, and now because of all the
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: opt outs and whatever, they're a thirteen point favorite. There's
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: no value left in it, man, seventy seven percent of tickets,
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: eighty three percent of the cash on Pitt. They should
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: win the game. I would imagine. Pitt is also kind
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: of a more defensive minded team. The total seems high
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: even still it's down for fifty nine and a half
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: all the way down to fifty two. Of course because
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: of all the East Carolina offensive opt outs. But if
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: Pitt's gonna just have the lead and then just start
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: running the football and playing defense and whatever, the total
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: still seems kind of high to me at fifty two.
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: So maybe under worth considering a little bit, maybe, although
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: he could have gotten a much better number earlier. Fifty
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: nine percent of tickets, fifty six percent of the cash
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: on the over and you know, you know, I don't
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: love playing, you know, losing that much value on a
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: number either of those. This game's got to be a
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: pass for me. But I expect Pitt will win the game,
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: So we will see. No, what did Lane Kiffin do?
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: He took a grocery store of basket home with him.
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: Does he usually not do his own shopping? Does he
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: even know that you're not supposed to do that? Or
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: you do it intentionally? I have no idea, Stacks, what's
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: up man? Thanks for hanging out, Stacks. Thanks for having
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: me on your show. Last week I was on Stacks show.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: Now you guys can check that out. Making it to
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: the super Bowl, Oh god, that is a I have
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: to stick with the Packers because the Packers were my
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: NFC pick preseason. So I'm gonna go with the Packers
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: to shock everybody, and it's gonna be even more shocking
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: after I analyze tonight's game, I will go with the
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: Packers out of the NFC and then AFC. Oh god,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: I mean preseason, I said Baltimore, but that was before
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: I realized that Baltimore was gonna have a massively injured
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson who doesn't even look like he's interested in
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: playing anymore. And it looks like they aren't playing Derrick
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: Henry either, so it's like, I don't know, I'm Baltimore.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: Of course, they're completely on the ropes and likely to
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: not even make the playoffs, so I can't go with Baltimore.
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think the Packers would have to be
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: my pick to win the Super Bowl now because I
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna you know, they're still my pick to
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: win the NFC, so I'm just gonna stick with it,
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: although I mean, really, I mean, after seeing how the
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: season has played out, I mean, the Rams are gonna
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: be really really difficult to knock out in the NFC.
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: They're probably the best team in the NFL, the Rams.
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, certainly possible that the Rams do it very
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: balanced team as well, and people still might kind of
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: seem to be overlooking the Rams a little bit. For
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: the AFC, though, I mean, the AFC is just awful, dude.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: The AFC is wide open, Like the Chiefs would be
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: favored against all but like two teams in the AFC
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: and they're already eliminated. That's how bad the AFC is.
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: Like the best team in the AFC might actually be Houston.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: It's crazy. I mean, Houston has a really really good deepfense,
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: and their offense is decent enough, and they have a
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: decent amount of experience now having been to the playoffs
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: multiple times. I might go with Houston to make the
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: super Bowl. Man, I mean, I know it sounds that
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: that really sounds insane, but I know Denver has a
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: really good defense. With their offense is just not good enough.
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: To me.
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: They're not experienced and of a lot of these other
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: teams just there's not experience of in the Bills, I
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: don't trust their defense at all. The AFC is just
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: a mess right now, man, I mean it would be insane, dude.
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: Imagine if the Super Bowl is Rogers against Stafford the
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: Old Man Bowl. That would be unbelievable. But they both
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: won super Bowls before, they're both experienced. I mean, it's
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: almost like you can't count the Steelers out. Even though
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: they have not clinched a playoff spot yet. They just
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: keep Mike tomlining. Man, That's what I call it. They
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: keep winning even though they have a severe lack of talent.
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, Rogers is still out there just kind of
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: doing his thing and whatever. They keep winning. I mean,
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: it's I don't know what to say about it the Steelers.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know, as Mike Tomlin does, the usually
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: just get to the playoffs and then run into a
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: team that's better than them and lose. But the AFC
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: is so wide open this year, there is a chance
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: that it could be the Steelers. I mean it's crazy. Yeah,
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: the Steelers have a shot. I mean, if they win
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: one more game, they're gonna be in the playoffs. Your
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: Panthers beat the Rams, that's true. That was a weird
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: spot for the Rams, though I still don't buy that
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: the Panthers are any good at all. To be honest,
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: it would be pretty insane if the Panthers are in
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. I think they're a one and done playoff
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: team if they make the playoffs at all. He didn't know,
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: and he would he refused by the ten cent bag.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: I kind of like Lane Kiffin for that, to be honest.
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's a serial killers. He might be
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: like a serial sex offender or something like that, though
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: he likes women, let's just put it that way. Houston
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: playing on Saturday afternoon. What when's the last time they
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: played on a Saturday afternoon. I don't know. They probably
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: played one playoff game. No, their playoff games last year
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: were both night games. I think as well. I don't
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: know what we're talking about here. They have an afternoon
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: game today, but they played on Christmas afternoon last year.
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: That was not a Saturday. That was a Wednesday, I believe.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. I don't know what we're talking
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: about there, all right. Anyway, Yeah, that was the go
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: Bowling Military Bowl there at noon. The bowls start overlapping
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: and we have the Disappointment Bowl Penn's State and Clemson,
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: which is actually the Bad Boy Mower's Bin Stripe Bowl
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: on ABC. That first game I talked about is on
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: ESPN because of course everybody wants to watch these bowls
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: where teams don't give a shit about being there, right,
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: that's really the best thing to watch today. It's ridiculous.
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: But yes, this game, I mean Penn State and Clems
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: and they both started the season with national title aspirations.
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: They both made the playoffs last year, and now they're
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: both playing in the New York City and the Pinstripe Bowl.
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: And I can tell you it has been snowing up
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: in the northeast here. So it's thirty two degrees and
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: it just snowed. I think it's not snowing during the game,
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: but snow just came in through the northeast. Man, so
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: which one of these teams is gonna play better in
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: the cold, though, you gotta think that's gonna be Penn
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: State because they're from a colder weather environment. So the
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: cold environment here probably is actually better for Benn State,
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: and they're closer, and I think their fan base probably
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: will actually travel better for this game. So there are
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: some advantages to Ben's State in this one. Of course,
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: you got to look at the opt outs here, and
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: the opt outs in this game are just crazy. Penn
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: State's opt outs are unbelievable. Like half the team is
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: not playing in this game for obvious reasons. I mean,
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: the coach has gone, you know, James Franklin obviously got fired.
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: They'll be sticking with their interium coach though, But in
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: a way that's not that horrible, just because they've had
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: that coach for several weeks now, so he's gonna just
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: keep coaching for this bowl game. They know Matt Campbell
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: is coming in next year, so in a way, some
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: of these players are gonna want to play hard and
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: look good for the incoming Matt Campbell, you know what
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, and maybe play hard for the indroum too.
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: So the one thing that you do get when you
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: have a team where all these starters are just not
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: gonna play in the game. The backups, when they get
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: an opportunity, even if they're not as good, you get
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: effort out of the backups, you know what I mean.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: The backups get their chance to play on an on
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: national TV, and they don't usually get to play, so
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they get excited about it. But yes,
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: Penn State, eighty percent of their starting offensive line has
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: opted out of this game. Pretty much. They got a
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: lot of guys out. I believe their quarterback is still playing,
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: although of course Drew Aller got hurt during the season,
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: so whoever came in and backed him up, he's still
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: playing in this game, I guess the quarterback. But it's
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: mostly gonna be a Penn State second string team here
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: and then as far as Clemson, it looks like they
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: have a fewer opt outs. On the Clemson side, they
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: do have some. Obviously, they have a bunch of guys
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: entering the NFL draft, a lot of it on the defense.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: So Clemson's defense is actually gonna take a bigger hit
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: in this game. Through the transfer portal and the opt outs,
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: it's almost all defense. It looks like Club Nick is
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: still playing in the bowl game. Their quarterbacks, so he's
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: been there for years now, he is their star quarterback.
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: He's gonna play in the game. This again, this game
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: is really really difficult to figure out. They do have
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: a whole list of injuries here. Club Nick, I guess
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: has been injured technically, but I guess he's saying he's
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: gonna play. Dabos Sweeney is still coaching at Clemson. He's
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: still there. He's got a lot of BAWL experience. And
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: now Here's the thing about Clemson is that one reason
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: why they might show up here is Clemson has some
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: ridiculous streak where they've won either a bowl game or
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: a playoff game in fifteen years in a row. I believe,
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: as insane as that sounds, Clemson they just keep winning
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: these bowl games. Man, So they get up for bowl games.
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: They get well coached in bowl games for whatever reason.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: So very very difficult game to handicap. The money is
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: coming in on Clemson. They flip from a one point
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: dog to a two and a half point favorite, sixty
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on them, fifty percent of
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: the tickets evenly split. I mean Clemson has to be
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: the favorite here because they have fewer opt outs and
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: their quarterback is playing, but their defense is definitely taking
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: a hit, even though it looks like the money kind
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: of came in a little bit on the under Denver
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: forty eight and after forty seven. I know there are
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: a lot of offensive opt outs on Penn State, but
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, if there are a lot of guys not
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: playing on the defenses too, you might actually see this
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: game being, you know, getting a over this total. I
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: don't know, fifty nine percent of the tickets and cash
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: on the under. But again, if you're getting defenses that
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: might not be playing as intense, potentially it is possible
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: this thing gets over this total. Although I've also seen
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: Bowl games like this where they wound up being very
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: low scoring as well. But Clemson, I mean, they're taking
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: mostly the hit that they're taking is all on the
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: defensive side of the ball. Weird game, for sure, very
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: very difficult to handcot. My initial instinct on this was
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: that Penn State might be more more motivated because I
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: just think that their season was done so early on
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: and they were just such a laughing stock after they
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: lost to UCLA and whatever, and their season was over
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: so quickly that they did. It's not like they went
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: deep into the season thinking that they were gonna make
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: the playoffs or whatever. But neither did Clemson. Clems the
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: season was over early on too. They had like a
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: loss to Syracuse early on. So they're both kind of
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: in the same boat. I mean, I guess I'll slightly
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: lean to Clemson just because they do have the more
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: intact teams slightly. You know, they have a little bit
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: more experience on their side, with Club Nick playing more
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: experienced coach, of course, and I think to keep their
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: streak alive of winning all these bowl and playoff games,
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: I think they might be motivated for that reason. But
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: I don't like the cold weather aspect of this for
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: Clemson really, So it's an interesting one for sure. And
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: Bad Boy Mowers, by the way, used to be the
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: Gas Maria Bowl sponsor for a bit and now they're
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: sponsoring the Pinstripe Bowl here. Texas have made the playoffs
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: eight times. In every game was at four point thirty
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: on a Saturday afternoon. No, that is not correct. They
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: played two playoff games last year. They were both at night,
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: because I absolutely know because one of them was a
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: win for me on Houston at home against the Chargers,
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: and the other one was the game at Kansas City.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: Both of those were absolutely night games because I remember
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: watching them, So I don't know what you're talking about,
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: all right. Yukon and Army on ESPN two fifteen PM
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: in the Wasabi Fenway Bowl. The Fenway Bowl is usually
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: at eleven am, like since its inception, it's only happened
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: like three times, four times maybe, but it's always at
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: eleven am, and now it got pushed back to two
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: fifteen BM, probably because nobody wants to play in Fenway
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: at eleven am, especially in the winter. And as I said,
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: it's cold up here. It's it just snowed overnight here,
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: so they're gonna have to clear the field here. It
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: won't be snowing during the game, but twenty three degrees.
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: So this is Yukon and Army, and I know both
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: teams are, you know, probably decently like they're probably gonna
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: be all right in a cold weather environment because Yukon
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: is from New England and Army runs the football and
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: plays defense because they're a service academy. But you gotta
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: think that the cold weather environment will help Army a
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: little bit more just because they run the football. Running
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: the football and playing defense that plays a lot better
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: in cold weather environments, whereas Yukon their playbook is mostly
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: all throwing the football. But the problem with that is
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: that Yukon their best player, their star quarterback Fanyano, this year,
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: he is either opting out or I don't know if
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: he's in the transfer port or if he's just going
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: into the NFL draft, but Yukon they might be down
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: to a fourth string quarterback here as this says, Finano's
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: not playing. I don't know if he's going into the
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: draft or what he's doing, but basically all of Yukon's
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: quarterbacks are opting out. And look at this parade of
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: guys opting out for Yukon, which is crazy, Like their
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: entire team is basically opting out of this game. So
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: it's it's almost insane that Yukon can even field a
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: team in this game. So this is why Army is
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: a massive favorite in this game because normally they if
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: both teams were fielding their full team, Yukon would actually
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: probably be a slight favorite here and they probably get
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: a little bit of the crowd in Boston, even though
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: Army is not that far away either. But in this case,
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: Yukon is just getting totally depleted by the transfer portal,
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: by the opt outs whatever the draft Army, they're not
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: allowed to hit the transfer portal. The service academies don't
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: do the transfers, so Service academies don't participate it, I
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: don't think in the nil or the transfer stuff. So
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: this is why the service academies tend to do well
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: in bowls, or part of the reason why. But of
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: course the transfer stuff is new. But the Service academy
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: is basically always field like their complete team for the
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: bowl games because there are just rules against it, and
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: they're just like super disciplined teams and whatever, so they
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: usually play well in the bowl games. Man Service academies,
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: by the way, areuning eleven eleven to one against the
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: spread on in bowl games, so they cover a lot
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: in bowl games. However, a lot of times they're coming
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: into these bowl games as an underdog, and in this
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: case that is certainly not the case with Armby because
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: again Connecticut basically doesn't even have a team in this game.
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: So Army has gone up from a two and a
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: half point favorite to a seven and a half point favorite.
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: Now fifty eight percent of the tickets, only fifty three
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, and the total has
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: really plummeted down from fifty one to forty two, mostly
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: because of Yukon's offense pretty much all opting out of
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: the game. Money's still coming into the under, sixty five
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, ninety two percent of the cash
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: on the under, and uh yeah, what else are they
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: gonna say about this game? But yeah, I mean this game.
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: I mean I would still possibly lean to an under
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: in this game, I mean Yukon. Maybe you could go
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: with Yukon's team total under because we don't even know
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: who they're playing on their offense. Here a fourth string
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: quarterback with zero experience and all these other offensive players
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: opting out. It seems like they're not gonna put a
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: whole lot of points up on the board. Here. Army
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: will be running the football and keeping Yukon's offense off
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: the field. Army's defense is actually fairly solid. Looks like
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: it does have the makings of Yukon not scoring a
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: lot in this game. Now, do I want to lay
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: seven and a half with an Army team that doesn't
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: score a lot, not really, although Yukon is not good
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: at defending the run, so there is that. It does
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: mean that if Army is winning the game, they can
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: keep running it and actually put up more points because
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: Yukon's not good at defending the run. Yukon did face
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: air Force this year, so they did face They actually
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: faced two triple option attacks this year. They faced Rice,
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: although Rice doesn't do it that well. Rice actually beat them,
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: but it was in a really bad spot for Yukon
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: and Yukon. I believe they beat air Force this year,
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: but Army is better than air Force, so Yukon has
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: not faced a triple option that's quite as good as Armies,
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: although Navy has the best out of them. But all
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: that being said, yeah, I expect Army to win the game.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: I'm not really keen on taking the points with a
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: Yukon team. It's completely depleted either. I mean, I think,
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: if you have to play the game, I think, oh
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: my god. I mean it's difficult to say. I mean
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: I might probably even still lay the points just because
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: Armies the team is just fielding the complete team, But
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: I really worry about the you know, laying points again
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: with a rushing team with a defense. I don't love that. Also,
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: Army just played Navy really close. That is something to
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: keep in mind. Army Navy, that's a big game. Both
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: those teams wanted an Army covered and lost by one
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: point in their big Army Navy games, So could maybe
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: set up a little bit of a hangover. But again,
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: these military academies don't really have that much of a
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: hangover effect in these bowl games. They tend to come
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: out and play well. They're super disciplined, they don't allow
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: opt out, so they field their full team. So that's
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: what's going on in the Wasabi Fenway Ball Chargers versus Texans.
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: I'm almost positive that was a night game because that
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: was a that was a bet that I gave out
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: on the show. Uh alright, So we have Georgia Tech
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: and BYU number twenty two, Georgia Tech number twelve BYU.
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: This is the pop Tarts Bowl where Notre Dame was
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: gonna be in the pop Tarts Bowl and they said no,
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: fuck you and they're not going to be in a
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: bowl game. Iowa State also did that in Soda Kansas State.
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: Although I think this game originally was gonna be BYU
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: against Notre Dame probably and Georgia Tech was gonna be
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: in some other bowl, but Georgia Tech now slides into
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: the pop Tart Pole. This will actually be a good
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: weather game for once, after some shit weather cold weather
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: games that all in the morning and after early afternoon here.
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: This game is going to be in Florida in Orlando,
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: so you get good weather for this one. These teams
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: are mostly showing up. Man teams tend to want to
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: show up for the pop Tart Powl because they get
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: to kill an anthropomorphic pop Tarts if you haven't and
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: it's the most demonic presentation that exists. This bowl has
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: only existed for two years and now they're increasing the
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: amount of pop tarts from three to five, so the
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: winning team gets to choose one of those pop tarts
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: toast the pop tart, kill it, and then eat it.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: And then last year they resurrected the strawberry frosted pop
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: Darud that was killed in pop Tart Bowl one, which
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: came back as a one eyed zombie pop star. Because
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: that's all kid friendly stuff going on in this bowl game.
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: You know, it is a satanic demonstration in the pop
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: Dart Bowl man, but we're trying to handicap this game,
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: and in this game, you know, I've been talking about
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: how I think Georgia Tech's been overrated all year, so
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: I think this game is gonna be almost kind of
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: a straight up handicap because both teams are fielding most
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: of their teams for this game. There aren't many opt
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: outs in this one. PYU absolutely has the better defense,
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: and I think that's probably the difference in this game.
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: And they the more physical team, and Georgia Tech is
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: a more finesse team that has a bet add defense
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: and focuses more on offensive. While I like their quarterback
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: Haynes King, I just don't really see it for Georgia
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: attack here, man. I think they're gonna have a hard
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: time against a physical defensive team. It's a big team
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: like BYU, which BYU hasn't really had a persona like
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: this being in the Big Twelve, but now that they do,
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: which is basically why Utah has been successful in that conference.
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be something that Georgia Tach hasn't
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: really had to go up against this year. So I
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: do like BYU in this one. As far as what
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: the market looks like BYUS up from a two and
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite to a three and a half
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: point favorite. I think they were at four to four
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: and a half for a little while fifty four percent
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: of tickets fifty five percent of the cash on BYU.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: I agree with BYU here. It is a high total
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: as well, up to fifty six seventy two percent of
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: tickets on the over and eighty two percent of the
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: cash on the overall, though, I could see the game
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: being high scoring again, I mean, I think both pop
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: Tart bowls in the pass were high scoring. I mean,
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: it's a good, good weather game. Maybe the team's don't
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: come out and really totally sell out on defense. But
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: I think if you like BYU, you got to kind
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: of like their defense to kind of keep Georgia Tech
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: in check. Georgia Tech in check. Yeah, I'm ryman, I'm
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: I'm a poet here now. But I think BYU. I mean,
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: you could argue that BYU is also correlated to the
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: under in this game. So I don't love the over
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: that much. I think if I was gonna play the game,
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards BYU, and I don't Also,
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: I really don't love laying points with the defensive team either.
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: But I think BYU should be able to score against
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech because their defense is not that good. Now
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: in this game, there are a few guys hitting the
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: transfer portal, but nothing major looks like Georgia most Georgia Tech,
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: most of the guys that could have opted out or playing,
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: including of course Haynes King, the most key player. Their quarterback,
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: very good quarterback, dual threat quarterback, runs their offense. And
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: then the major thing for Georgia Tech really is, yeah,
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: they got a couple of injuries. Here's more affecting the
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: defense in the offense. So the major thing for Georgia
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: Tech is their offensive coordinator is leaving to go to Florida.
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: So Georgia Tech has been mostly an offensive team and
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: now they're co offensive coordinator former quarterback Chris Winky is
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: gonna be calling the plays here, which maybe that affects
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: the deep the offense here for Georgia Tech. Man So
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit worrisome that I think Faukner, the
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: OC was leaving, also took some of his staff with
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: him to Florida, So Georgia Tech is gonna have a
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: depleted offensive coaching staff, which isn't great for BYU. It
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: looks like there's not a whole lot going on with BYU.
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: They got a couple of injuries, but other than that,
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, it looks like they might actually have almost
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: no opt outs in this one. So pretty complete roster
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: for BYU here. The biggest again, the biggest missing piece
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: here is Georgia Tech's offensive coordinator, and of course they're
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: more of an offensive team, so that might be a
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: p album in that one. So I think BYU is
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: gonna be the team eating the pop tart at the
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: end of the day. I don't know if it's against
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: their Mormonism to kill and eat an anthropomorphic pop tart though,
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: don't know if that thing is. I don't know what's
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: what's what is the Mormon's equivalent of kosher or whatever.
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: I have no idea Mormon kosher moremosher, I have no idea.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: But BYU is my opinion in that one. At three
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: point thirty PM on ABC, the Bush Family in Israel.
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: Why would they why would they make their Oh? Because
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: well they're probably fans of Dallas, right, so they're gonna
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: try to screw Houston. Is that what you're saying, I
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: don't know, making them plant Saturday or whatever. I have
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: no idea. Next up at four thirty PM as we
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: get into the late afternoon on the c w uh
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: this this is the game that gets the least television
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: fan fair and probably rightly so, because you're gonna have
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: some ugly offense in this game. Most likely this is
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: the Snoop Dog Arizona Bowl, So even Snoop Dog can't
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: get this game to be on a better network, even
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: though I'm assuming he's gonna be at the Bowl because
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: it's his bowl. Now they're gonna hot box the entire stadium.
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: By the way, this is in Tucsons. I think it's
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: probably hosted by the University of Arizona, though I'm not
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: positive about that. But yeah, they're gonna put a roof
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: over the stadium and everybody's just gonna smoke. Man, and dude,
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: they should have scheduled this game at four to twenty.
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: How could the Snoop Dog Bowl not be at four
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: to twenty? What are you doing? Man, it's at four thirty.
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: You had an opportunity to do something so funny you
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: have this game be at four to twenty. Give me
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: a break man. But anyway, this is gonna be an
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: ugly game, man, So you're probably gonna want to be
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: high if you watching this game because there's not a
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: whole lot going on with these offenses. This is Miami
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: Ohio and Fresno State in this one, Samuel, what's up man?
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: C W. They do have a logo, but it's just like,
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know, it's just it's just a scene a W.
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: I can picture it in my mind. They have they
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: have a logo, not only ESPN. ESPN's not showing their logo.
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: Maybe they don't have the rights to it. They do
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: have a logo though, too bait to notice it. Yeah,
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: maybe Snoop Dogg will be so high that he won't
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: even show up. And I mean, dude, Snoop dog I
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: mean he probably would be rooting for Fresno in this game,
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: right Because they're a California team here, Fresno probably will
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: get a little bit more of the fans to show up.
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: It's a little bit more in their neck of the
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: woods playing in Arizona as a Mountain West team, so
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: the venue, the site is probably a little bit better
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: for Fresno here. Now for Miami Ohio, I mean they
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: should have been one of the better teams in the
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: MAC that kind of fell apart during the middle of
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: the season. They still they had a chance. I think
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: they actually did it. They actually made the title game.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: What am I saying? Yeah, Miami Ohio actually made the
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: championship game in the MAC and lost. So they could
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: actually be maybe a disappointed team because they lost the
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: MAC championship game to a Western Michigan team they'd beaten
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: earlier in the season. So Miami Ohio had a chance
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: to be in a better Bowl even though Western Michigan
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: already played the Myrtle Beach Bowl. I think maybe Miami
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: Ohio won't be as happy about being in the Arizona Bowl.
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: And you could actually see that Miami Ohio is not
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: as excited about this because they got a lot of
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: guys hitting the transfer portal, including one of the best
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: wide receivers in the country, Cam Perry. He's not playing
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: for Miami Ohio. He's gone. Their best defensive player, Adam Trick,
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: defensive end, really good pass rusher, he's out as well,
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: So the one of their best players on both sides
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: of the ball gone, and their quarterback Finn I think
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: he's been gone for a bit now, but he left
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: the program entirely I think during the season, so they're
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: gonna be without him as well, obviously, but I think
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: they've been without him for a little while. But Miami Ohio,
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: they're definitely hurting man kind of on both sides of
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: the ball, but especially on offense. Their best offensive lineman
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: is also not playing and is in the transfer portal
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: at the very least, so definitely looks like a game
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio is not going to field their complete team,
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: and to say the least, for Fresno, it looks like
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: there are fewer issues there. It looks like they have
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: a safety Davis who might be in the transfer portal,
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: a couple of maybe other potential opt outs on the
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: defensive side, but other than that, they're gonna be mostly
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: intact here. And then their quarterback is gonna be Carson Conklin,
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: which I don't really think that matters. Their quarterback for
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: a lot of the year was Kurt Warner's son. I
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: believe one of his sons, Evan Warner, I think is
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: his name or is it his grandson? Now? Is am
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: I that old? Is Warner? That old out of whatever
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: but Conklin will be the starter. He does have some experience.
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: But Fresno they're not a good passing attack anyway. Man.
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: So both of these teams I think are gonna ruggle offensively.
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: They're both not good offenses anyway. But Miami Ohio really
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: depleted on offensive. Fresno they just don't throw the ball well.
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: Both teams are better on defense than offense. So you
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: know where I'm going with this. If I was gonna
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: play the game, I think the under would be the
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: way to play. But you gotta get at least forty
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: one if you're gonna go under on this The total
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: is crashed from forty five to forty and a half,
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: sixty four percent of tickets seventy five percent of the
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: cash on the under. I agree with the under, but
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: forty one is a key number. I think you got
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: to at least try to get forty one if you're
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: gonna go under in this one. And I don't really
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: like the idea of fading Miami Ohio in this game either.
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: Fresno is up from three and a half to four
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: and a half. Here. They have the more complete roster here. Obviously,
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: it looks like some of the money's kind of disagreeing
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: with it. But for these bowl games, it's really hard
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: to read the market percentages and really get a good
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: gauge on what's going on. Sixty three percent of tickets,
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: only sixty one percent of the cash on Fresno. But
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, on the side, I think it's probably Resno
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: or pass. But the problem is it's a very low total.
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: So obviously when points are at a premium, does kind
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: of make more sense to want to take the points.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: But I think Fresno might actually be the more excited
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: team here too, because I think they haven't been to
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: a bowl in a bit. If I'm if I'm not mistaken,
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: I forgot about that little aspect of this game here.
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: I know they lost the Potato Bowl last year. My mistake.
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: I know, my mistake. They won a bowl two years
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: ago in the New Mexico Bowl, But so my mistake there.
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: But I'll be in their area of the country for this.
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: The next game up is the game I'm actually gonna
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: give out a play on, which is number twenty five
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: still ranked North Texas against San Diego State in the
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: ESPN is leta New Mexico Bowl. I have no idea
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: what is Letta. Is this used to be Guilden the
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: like sport sports clothing company or whatever. Guilden used to
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: be the sponsor. I don't know what is Leta even is.
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: I have no idea. It sounds like they should be
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: like a travel company. Sum dog. What he thinks black
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: people don't watch the Cleveland Show? Is that we're saying.
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, everybody got so offended
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: by a white guy doing Cleveland's voice. All of that
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: is just such bullshit, man, Like, the only rule is
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: just be funny. That's it. Kurt Warner, Yeah, was a
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: grocery bager. That is pretty funny. Actually, yeah, Lane Kippen
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: has never even been inside a grocery store, that is correct. Yeah,
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: that is true. All right. This game is going to
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: be my best bet on the bull slate today. This
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: is one that I had my eye on early on.
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: It's mostly because of the disappointment aspect of it. We're
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: gonna take San Diego State plus the points. It is
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: six and a half now, I think it was seven
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 1: at some point. Oho, it looks like it opened at six.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: I do think it was seven. Maybe I'm wrong about that.
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: I might wait on this because this game isn't until
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: five forty five, and if the number drops back to six,
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: you're not really losing much. Between six and a half
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: and six, they might be sevens showing up. Probably not,
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: but maybe on North Texas is probably gonna get the
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: public action here, because of course, you know what the
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: public likes still like offense, and North Texas had one
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: of the most high scoring offenses that we've ever seen
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: this year, and they don't like teams that play defense
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: like San Diego State. Fifty percent of tickets, sixty two
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on North Texas. Uh. I expect
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: North Texas just to be a public side though, and
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: I think this is a game where taking the points
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: makes sense. And of course when it's crazy offense against
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: crazy defense. Of course the total is correlated with the
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: side here, like if you like North Texas, you probably
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: like the over. If you like San Diego State, you
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: probably like the under. The totals drop from fifty six
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: and a half to fifty three. Some of it has
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: to do with some offensive opt outs, though sixty five
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets sixty seven percent of the cash on
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: the over, the total looks crazy low for a North
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: Texas game. I think this is the lowest total for
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: North Texas this season, and it's also the highest for
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: San Diego State this season. That shows you how different
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: these teams are, Like these teams are in different worlds.
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: One team is all offense, one team is all depfense,
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: and there's almost no like no middle ground there, you
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. It's just a major, major contrast
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: in styles here. But you know me, I like taking
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: points with the deepense and the public usually is all
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: over the offense. That's what I'm doing here. But the
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: biggest part of this handicap is North Texas has got
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: to be super disappointed. Man. They were one win away
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: from getting into the playoff and instead they lost to
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: Tulane and Tulane got into the playoff again instead of
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: North Texas, and North Texas might be just feeling you know,
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess you could argue they'll be playing
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: with a chip on their shoulder because they want to
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: prove we should have been there instead of Tulane. But
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: what is beating San Diego State prove? I mean, that's
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: the problem. Like they don't get to play a good
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: team here, you know what I mean. So how excited
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: do they really get, you know, for playing against a
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: Mountain West team, Probably not that excited. So they don't
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: really have that opportunity to prove that they belong because
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: winning this game won't prove anything they're expected to win.
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: So I think you're gonna get a disappointed North Texas
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: team here. Man kind of like what I said with
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: South Florida, like they were just on the verge. It's
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: North Texas even more south than South Florida. They were
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: just on the verge of making the playoff. Now they're
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: not gonna playoffs. Now they're not gonna be there. I
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: mean they're obviously they're already not there and they watched
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: Tulane get wiped out. Are they really gonna be exciting
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: to play in the New Mexico Bowl against a Mountain
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 1: West team. I just don't really think so. And North Texas, now,
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: the one thing you can say about them is even
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: though they're in bowls constantly, they have lost eight bowls
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: in a row. North Texas has not won a bowl
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: since twenty thirteen. So maybe that will be a motivator
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: to try to get a bowl win for the program.
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: But it's also a trend that North Texas's doesn't play
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: well in bowl games, and you want to talk about
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: North Texas is coaching here, like maybe they're coaching is
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: not good in bowl games. Well, they're coaching is gonna
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: be at a disadvantage here because their coach bailed, Eric Morris.
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: He's gone and he's gonna be going to I forget
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: where's he going, And you guys can remind me where
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: he's going after this. I forget. He took a new
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: job at some bigger school. I forget where. But he's gone.
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: So Morris is not gonna be there for North Texas.
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: So I think they're at a disadvantage there too because
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: they have some interim coach that isn't as used to coaching.
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: Morris coach the the CUSA championship too, so I believe.
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: But I think Morris is now out of this game,
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: So that's gonna be that's gonna throw a wrench into
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: what North Texas is gonna want to do here. So
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: San Diego State has more continuity here, So I like that. Uh,
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: they're playing a little bit closer to I guess they're playing, yeah,
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: because North Texas is kind of an Eastern Texas in
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: Denton so I think San Diego State is a little
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: bit closer to this venue. That's how big Texas is.
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'm wrong about that. You can correct me if
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: I'm wrong about that, but San Diego State playing in
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: New Mexico, they're more familiar with the venue because this
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: is I believe this is New Mexico's stadium. San Diego
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: State plays there every other year because they're in the
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: same conference as New Mexico, so this is right in
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: San Diego State's territory. So I think the venue helped
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: San Diego State, and I think San Diego State will
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: be more excited because even though they were in a
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: Bowl a couple of years ago, and they've won a
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: Bowl more recently than North Texas has, which I think
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: they won a Bowl in maybe twenty twenty two something
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: like that. San Diego State they completely plummeted it off
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: as a program the last two years. I think they
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: were horrible and didn't even make the bowl season at all.
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: So I think the fact that they're back, I think
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be excited about it. Man to some extent
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: to represent the program, although there are opt outs on
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: both sides, and now with North Texas the line moved
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: all over the place here because it was six and
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: a half, maybe close to seven. Then it dropped all
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: the way down to like three because mess to Make
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: or their best player, their quarterback looked like he wasn't
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: gonna play. But now he's saying he is gonna play,
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: which is weird. I mean, I know he missed like
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: a team meeting the other day, which was for this
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: bowl game. He wasn't there because he was accepting some award.
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know what that means. But I don't know, man,
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you're gonna get a full effort
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: out of this North Texas team out of mess to
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: Maker Hero. We do have some other offensive players opting
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: out for North Texas potentially here. I don't even know
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: which ones are gonna which of these guys are gonna play,
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: and which guys are not gonna play for North Texas here.
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Eric Morris is going to Oklahoma State, right,
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: so he's not here for the Bowl. It looks like
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: he might be taking some of his players over there
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: to Oklahoma State, so some of these guys might be
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: gone for that reason. Neil Brown is gonna be their
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: head coach, but he's not here yet, so Saboda, their
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: special teams coach, is gonna be the interim head coach,
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: and he doesn't know how to run the offense man,
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: so the offense might take a hit. Year Morris was
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: the offensive play caller, so he's gone. It looks like
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: they didn't really have an OC, because you think that
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: the OC would have been the guy to fill the role.
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: If they had one, he would be the interim coach.
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: But whatever, I don't know. This is all really really
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: weird for North Texas. I still think they're a very
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: disappointed team for San Diego State. They do have some
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 1: opt outs. They have a couple of opt a couple
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: of transfer portal guys from the defense, but it's possible
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: some of these guys play as well, so we don't
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: really know who's playing and who isn't playing for San
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: Diego State. It seems like one of their best cornerbacks
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: might be not playing because he might enter the draft,
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: the NFL Draft, but we'll see. And they do have
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: a few injuries, including their quarterback Donegal Senegal. Donegal he
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: would be playing for San Diego State if he was healthy,
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: but he's not. He had surgery he's out. But San
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 1: Diego State they're all defense man, they're not af they're
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: not a passing offense, so I don't think their quarterback
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: being out actually matters that much. So we will say
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: former Central Michigan quarterback Emmanuel Junior is gonna make the
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 1: start a quarterback, But again I don't think that that
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a huge deal because again, San Diego
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: State doesn't do much passing really either. Now, they did
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: lose their defensive coordinator, which might be bad because San
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 1: Diego State is all about their defense, and for some
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: reason their passing game coordinator is gonna be the interim
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: defensive coordinator. I don't know what a guy who's on
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: the offensive side of the ball knows about defensive coordinating,
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: but whatever coordination, maybe that's Maybe that's bad for San
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: Diego State because they had a great defense this year. Man,
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: really good defense, and you probably want the continuity of
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: having your DC there. But I'm still gonna go with it.
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 1: I like it. For San Diego State. I think you're
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: fading a very disappointed team. That's gonna be the public's
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: gonna be all over this offense that looks like it's
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: you know, almost an unstoppable offense for North Texas. I'm
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: just not sure how unstoppable they're gonna be in this game.
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: San Diego State really likes to ugly up the game
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: and play shockingly low scoring games. So it's like which
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: one is gonna win out. I've had my eye on
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: it for a while. We're gonna go with San Diego
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: State in that game for all those reasons, and hopefully
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: they're more excited just to be back in the bowls
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: at all. Where at least North Texas played in a
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: bowl last year and they lost a closed game to
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: Texas State last year. Is Leta is really? Is that true?
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: It's a town, but they're not. But they're not playing
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: what really, It's got to be a company, man, It's
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: got to be a sponsor, because this game is in Albuquerque,
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: all right. Then we have the Gator Bowl, which is
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: another the tax slayer, Gator Bawl. I'm sorry, you have
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 1: a a tax company helping you out, helping to a
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 1: sligh taxes man. They're probably like H and R. Block.
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: I'm guessing they're the sponsor of the Gator Bowl recently.
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be a good weather game. It's gonna
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: be in Jacksonville. It is in Jacksonville on number nineteen,
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 1: Virginia against Missouri. I was gonna call this the Disappointment Ball,
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 1: but really it's mostly a disappointment for Virginia. I mean,
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: think about what Virginia just did. Man. They just made
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 1: the ACC championship game. They were favored against Duke, and
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: all they had to do was win that game and
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: they would have been in the playoff playoffs. They probably
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 1: would have lost in the playoffs, but they all they
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: had to do was win that game to get to
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: the playoff, man, and they would have been in probably
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: instead of James Madison. And instead they missed the playoffs
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: because they lost to Duke. That's just brutal. Now they
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: wind up in the Gator Bowl, I mean, which is
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 1: actually kind of one of the better, Like there were
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: always big conference teams in this bowl at least, But
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: I just don't know that they're gonna be that excited. Yeah,
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: they get to play an SEC team, but I don't know, man.
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 1: I Thinksouri is gonna be the less disappointed team here
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: because Missouri they knew they were out of it for
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: a while. Missouri has played the way more difficult schedule.
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: You know, I've been talking about how Virginia has been
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: overrated all year and Missouri is favored in this game,
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: and of course they're favored for a reason. But you know,
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 1: I talk about this. When you have an unranked team
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: being favored against a ranked team, you usually want to
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: look to that side, to the unranked team it's favored
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: because the public is going to think there's value going
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: the other way and taking the dog. Now, the problem
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: is Missouri was gonna be a seven point favorite here,
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: but they have a bunch of opt outs as well
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: that don't want to play in this game, so they've
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: dropped to about a four point favorite. Is their value there?
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, the way the Missouri plays,
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: I'm not that interested in jumping on this game at all.
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 1: I was actually at first I was thinking about Missouri
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: here because Virginia is just such a disappointed team here.
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: And I still lean to Missouri in this game, but
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: I just don't think I can get there with it. Man,
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: with all the guys that seem like they're not playing
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: and the style that Missouri plays, Missouri's played the way
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: more difficult schedule they're in the SEC They're a more
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: physical team that runs the football. Virginia is not good.
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be good at playing a
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: team of that style. So I don't like Virginia really
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 1: in this game. You know. In addition to them being
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: super disappointed, Virginia has a bunch of guys that are
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 1: not playing in this game, of course, including I believe
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: their quarterback Chandler Morris. He's out. Possibly this running back Taylor,
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: Jamari Taylor. I don't know if he's the their top
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: running back or not, but a lot of these guys
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: are out to code. A twity ridiculous name is an
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: injured tight end for Virginia, but I just think that
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: his name is hilarious. Now, we got a lot of
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: guys that are not gonna be playing for Virginia Tech.
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: For Virginia, excuse her my apologies. Now, for Missouri, I
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: think you can kind of guess that quarterback Pribula wasn't
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: gonna play. He got injured during the season. I think
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: he did come back, but he's not gonna play in
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 1: the game. But I think Missouri's gonna have more continuity
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: here because Zolars is gonna play quarterback and he played
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: three games this season when Pribula was injured, so Zolars
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: is gonna be more experienced. And I think whoever is
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: playing quarterback for Virginia here, so at least there's some
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 1: continuity with the fact that Zolers did start three games
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: this year from Missouri. That's a decent thing from Missouri.
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 1: Now Missouri is losing two of their wide receivers, so
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: that's not good. Although Missouri is mostly a rushing based offense,
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: so I don't know how detrimental that will be to
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: their offense. The fact that they're losing two wide receivers.
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be running the football a lot because that's
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: what they do. I guess gott to keep an eye on.
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: You know, they're being potentially other opt outs, although their
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: coach Drinkwitz is saying there aren't gonna be that many
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: opt outs we'll see Missouri. I mean, they're a good
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: defense too, and they're they're definitely the better defense here.
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: But you're gonna be laying points with the better defense here,
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: and their defense is probably gonna be mostly intact and losing.
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: Virginia is probably gonna have a few more opt outs
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 1: on the defensive side than the Missouri will and I
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: thought the Virginia's coach was out of here too, but
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: maybe I'm wrong about that because I don't see that
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 1: listed here. I don't know why I thought that, but whatever.
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: So overall in this game, yeah, my opinion is slightly
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: towards Missouri. But the line is crashed from seven to
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: three and a half, sixty five percent of tickets and
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: only fifty one percent of the cash, so the money
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 1: looks like it is jumping in on the Virginia side.
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: But you know, I don't really love it. I mean
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 1: in the ESPN game, where if you're getting Virginia at
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: plus seven and a half, you probably got to just
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: take the line value or whatever in the ESPN game,
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 1: but at three and a half, I would probably start
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: leaning towards laying it with Missouri. I think Missouri is
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: better set up to get away with the win in
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 1: this game, but we'll see total plummeted to forty four.
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: Although I actually think Missouri is correlated to an under
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 1: in this game because Missouri is the much better defense.
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: The money is kind of coming in on the under here,
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: so we'll see in that in that game. But a
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: low score game, laying points. You know, I don't really
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 1: love laying points in a low scoring game either.
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 2: So.
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: We will see it could be a black woman's name. Yeah,
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: that is true. Uh, it's a tourusttown south of Albuquerque,
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: all right, but I'm guessing that it's that. It's still
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: a company though, But I'll look Garrett, what's up, man,
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: what's a good take? Virginia? Virginia is not that good. Yeah,
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 1: that's correct. We gotta win with them against Florida State
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: on the show, so that was that was a fun
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: one to get a win on. But Florida State also
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: was way overrated at the time. Yeah, Virginia is not
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 1: that good. All right, And now I'm gonna look up
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 1: is Letta real quick here, yeap, is Letta is a casino.
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: I told you it was a company, man. It is
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 1: a It is a casino, a major attraction casino and
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: resort complex near Albuquerque. So that's what is Letta is.
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: I told you man, it's a it's a spot answer, yes,
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: so it is. Yeah, it is sponsored by a casino.
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: That is correct. Is Leta is a casino? All right?
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 1: And then the final game of the day in college
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: is the Kinders Texas Bowl. Kinders. I have no idea.
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: What the fuck Kinders Kinders is. This is LSU and
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: number twenty one Houston and this game is literally in Houston.
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: It is at the Houston Texans Stadium at NRG. Now,
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: one question you gotta answer is does Houston get excited
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 1: to play in their own city? Now, yes, they're gonna
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 1: have fans support. Obviously their fans will show up for
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 1: the game. For Houston, they could also maybe get excited
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: because they get to play a big name team like LSU,
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: So maybe Houston will get excited about that. So my
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 1: first instinct on this was kind of like, you gotta
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 1: think Houston probably will be excited for this because they
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: don't really you know, I mean, they get into bowls
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: most of the time, it seems, but they a lot
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: of times they don't get to play a better, you know,
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: a better team like this like LSU. So maybe they
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: will be excited to play a name team like this,
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 1: So that was kind of my thought originally. Of course,
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 1: LSU had championship aspirations this year and now they have
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: none of that, so that is a concern similar to
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: what I said about Penn State and Clemson here, But
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 1: the more I started thinking about this, the more I
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: was thinking, like, maybe there are actually reasons to maybe
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: actually lead towards LSU in this game. Now, Houston, we
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: don't know how excited they're going to be to play
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 1: in their own city, because a lot of times teams
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: just don't get excited to play in their own city
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: because it's just not a destination Bowl, so they don't
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: really see it as a reward. Houston, remember they were
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 1: trying to win the Big Twelve and they got kind
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: of close to doing it and they fell just short.
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: And maybe they had an opportunity later in the season
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: to make the playoff. Even so, I think LSU know
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. LSU knew they were eliminated from the playoffs
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 1: earlier than Houston did, So that is something to keep
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: in mind that maybe Houston does actually have a disappointment
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: factor here. Now, maybe the fact that they get to
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: play in an NFL state, maybe we'll pump them up.
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: They will have a crowd there. But LSU is not
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 1: that far away from Houston, man, and you know how
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: LSU has a massive fan base, So LSU is probably
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 1: gonna travel all right for this game, even if the
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: game is you know, a disappointment game for LSU. You
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: got to think they'll have a decent crowd at least
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: in this game. So that's one thing that kind of
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 1: has to me thinking, you know what, maybe I kind
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 1: of want to start leading in the other direction here.
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: Now the money is, the money has kind of been
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: coming in an LSU, although it's swinging back towards Houston
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Houston came out as a three point favorite,
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: and that's because LSU had a lot of guys that
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: we knew weren't going to play in the game. Because
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: LSU is the better team here if their starters play,
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: but of course they're not starting. Of course, the main
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: news is that nus Meyer, the quarterback for LSU, has
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: been there for years, their star quarterback who didn't have
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 1: a good year. By the way, he's not playing, But
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: maybe that's not that much of a downgrade for LSU
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 1: because he wasn't good this year, so he's not playing
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 1: for LSU. That was one of the big components of
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 1: this y. Houston was a favorite because, of course, if
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: these teams were both fielding their starters, LSU would have
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 1: to be the favorite. So maybe there is a little
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: bit of line value on LSU. Though the line is
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 1: now down to one, it was actually a pick them
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: a little while ago. We see fifty one percent of
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: tickets fifty five percent of the cash on LSU. It's
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: a low total down for forty two and after forty two,
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 1: and now I think the better way to play this
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: is actually probably the under. In this game, you get
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 1: the total above forty one, you're looking at two offenses
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: that are not great and two defenses that both teams
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: are much better on the defensive side than the offensive side.
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 1: So I think the under might be the way to
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: look at this game, although you do have to worry
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 1: about especially on the LSU side, a lot of their
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 1: best defensive players are not playing in this game. Seventy
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: four percent of tickets on the over, ninety percent of
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over. But here's the thing, man,
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: Even though LSU does have all these opt outs here,
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: including both Weeks brothers, of course West Weeks is West Week,
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 1: which we which Weeks? I forget. One of the Weeks
• 1:52:05
  Speaker 1: is is plowing Lane Kiffin's daughter, I forget, which, But
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: of course whicheveryone it is probably wants to just get
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: the hell out of here before Lane Kiffin shows up
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 1: because he's gonna be coaching LSU. So we have all
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: these opt outs from LSU, a lot on the defensive side.
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: Of course, nus Meyer is out. Like I said, a
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 1: lot of opt outs for LSU in this game. You know,
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 1: a disappointed team obviously. Now the thing about the quarterback
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 1: situation for LSU, though, is Vin Buren has already played
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 1: three games. He's already made three starts, so he's not
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: coming in cold. So I think there's a little bit
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: of continuity there. So that's not that bad for LSU.
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: The fact that their quarterback in this game has played
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Now, they did lose their starting center,
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: that's not great. Houston definitely has the fewer opt outs here.
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: They're the more intact team for sure, so it seems
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: like they do want to show up for this game.
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: So motivation does seem like it's on the side of
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 1: you here, So I do worry. But here's the thing, man,
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: with LSU having all backups basically playing, I think the
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: backups will be motivated. Like I said earlier in the show,
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: when you have your backups playing, they do tend to
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 1: want to show up and play because they get the
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: opportunity to play in a big national TV game. It's
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 1: like an isolated game, you know, So I think they
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: might actually show up in this game, the backups might,
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 1: so I'm not totally convinced that LSU is just a
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: dead team in this game. You know, it's a very
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: difficult game to handicap. A lot of these bowls are,
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: which is why I'm very very I'm trying to be
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 1: very selective with these bowl games. It is way easier
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 1: to handicap the playoff games, man, because you know that
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get, you know what you're gonna get. You
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 1: know you're gonna get the effort out of both teams.
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 1: So although in a way if you can actually identify
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: which team is because this is why I do the
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 1: situational handicapping during like the regular season, because that it
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 1: makes it easier to identify this team might not show
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: up in this particular spot, whereas in the Bulls it's
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: harder to identify that, and the lines adjust way more
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: in the Bulls to it. So that's the whole thing
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 1: about the Bulls man. Now, of course, we also know
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 1: LSU is dealing with an interim coach as well, because
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: they fired Brian Kelly in the middle of the season,
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 1: So whoever was coaching for them on an interim basis
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 1: is continuing continuing to coach through this game. Lane Kiffin
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 1: is not going to be there until next year. So
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 1: that's what's going on in all the bulls. I mean,
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 1: I might slightly lean towards LSU in this game as
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 1: it stands right now, it's gonna be one where you
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 1: probably have to do some market watching on it. Difficult
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: handicapping this one. By the way, it looks like we
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 1: might wind up getting a seven on the San Diego
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 1: State play here, so we will see. I don't know
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: what else what else there is here to say? Kinders
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: is the meat season is who black? You listen to
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 1: his West Weeks and wit Weeks? You do? Do you
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 1: think those guys are black? Writ and West? Uh No,
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: They're They're Southern, They're down South, white home boys. LSU
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 1: will have the upper hand. I don't know, Kiffin's not
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 1: gonna owe you. Oh right, So the players might want
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 1: to play knowing that Lane kiffn is coming in the players, Yeah,
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 1: I want to show something. Yeah, that probably is a factor.
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: Players might want to look good for the incoming coach,
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 1: because you know he's gonna be watching the game. He might.
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know if he's gonna be there just in attendance.
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: I have no idea, but betting my leans, I mean,
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 1: my strongest ones are the actual plays I'm giving out though,
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: and that's that's what I've you know, made my bones doing.
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: So uh, we'll see. That's it for the for the
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: for the Bulls today. Man, I believe a lot of
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 1: bowls today though, a lot to get through. It's the
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 1: biggest Bowl day though. The next Bowl we have is
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 1: an isolated afternoon game on Monday, which is really going
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 1: to be a banger, by the way, in the Birmingham
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 1: the J Lab at Birmingham, Oh j Lab. I don't
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 1: think we want to talk about that, all right, Let's
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 1: get to the NFL. These games are They're definitely interesting.
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: And I do have a play that I was not
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 1: going to have until Christmas happened, and now I think
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 1: it's worthy of a play in the night game. You
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 1: probably know what it is. Then the afternoon game here
• 1:56:17
  Speaker 1: is the Saturday afternoon game Houston at the Chargers. But
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: it's not a late game, so you know, I talk
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 1: about how these teams that are further east. A lot
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 1: of times they struggle in these late night games out west,
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 1: but that's not what this is. It's four thirty now,
• 1:56:31
  Speaker 1: this game, the market read looks like it's indicating on
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 1: the Chargers, but I'm not so sure. Charges a flip
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 1: from a one point dog to a one and a
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 1: half point favorite. Here sixty percent of tickets, fifty three
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Texans, So it looks
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 1: like the Texans are a public dog here, which is
• 1:56:49
  Speaker 1: bizarre to me because if you just go based on
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 1: what happened last week, I'm surprised the public is on
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 1: Houston because what did Houston do last week? They almost
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 1: lost to the Raiders. That was a bad performance from them,
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 1: and I think they were looking ahead, man, because these
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 1: games against the Chargers and the Colts just mattered more.
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 1: They almost got caught, and I thought people would see
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: that not want Houston this week because they looked so
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 1: bad against the Raiders, whereas the Chargers they looked way
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: better in beating Dallas on the road and they beat me.
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 1: I thought it was a good spot to fade the
• 1:57:21
  Speaker 1: Chargers in what I thought was pretty much a sandwich
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 1: spot and they still annihilated Dallas, so they looked like
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 1: the way better team. So my first instinct on this
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 1: was Houston would be the way to look in this game.
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: And I'm surprised the public is not looking towards the Chargers. Yeah,
• 1:57:40
  Speaker 1: the public just really doesn't like the Chargers at all.
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: It seems like they just hate the way the Chargers
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: run a slow offense and whatever. They don't like it
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: at all. But the Chargers put up a lot of
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 1: points last week against I know it's Dallas. Their defense
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 1: is miserable, so yes, the Chargers are having to go
• 1:57:56
  Speaker 1: from facing one of the worst defenses in the league
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 1: to facing one of the absolute best. So this is
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 1: a huge step up in class for the Chargers offense
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: to have to face Houston here. So yeah, there is that.
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 1: But they did play Kansas City the week before that.
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 1: That's a good defense. They played Denver earlier in the
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 1: year already and won decent good defense for Houston as
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 1: well for a Denver excuse me, So I don't know,
• 1:58:20
  Speaker 1: there are a lot of things to consider in this game. Now.
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 1: This game is a wild card game for the most part,
• 1:58:25
  Speaker 1: I think, because yeah, the Chargers, they do face Denver
• 1:58:28
  Speaker 1: next week. You could argue that's a little bit of
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: a look ahead, but they're probably not gonna catch Denver.
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 1: They would have to win this game and then beat Denver,
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: and they would have the tiebreaker against Denver if they
• 1:58:40
  Speaker 1: did that. And in addition to that, they need Denver
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 1: to lose this week, which I don't forget who Denver's
• 1:58:46
  Speaker 1: playing or No, Denver already won this week, right, Yeah,
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 1: they already beat Kansas City. So actually, maybe the Chargers
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 1: can't win the division anymore now that Denver won. Let
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: me think about that, because the worst Denver could be
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 1: now is thirteen and four. Chargers still could win. Yeah,
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 1: the Chargers can still win the division. They have to
• 1:59:03
  Speaker 1: win this game and beat Denver next week on the road,
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: and then they would actually win the division by way
• 1:59:09
  Speaker 1: of the tie breakers. So the Chargers can still win
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: the division. Here is Herbert one hundred per healed? No,
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 1: I don't believe he is. He doesn't look right. There's
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 1: something wrong with his hand or something there. Garrett, this
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: is a good point.
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 2: I was.
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I was gonna get to that. The Texas crushed
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 1: the Chargers the last time. But I'll get to it
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 1: in a minute. But not only that, but that that
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 1: may be a motivating factor for the Chargers here. So now, yes,
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 1: the Chargers will be motivated or the Houston will be
• 1:59:38
  Speaker 1: motivated too. Now, the Chargers are unlikely to win the
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 1: division here because they would have to win basically a
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 1: coin flip game here and then they have to win
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 1: as a dog on the road at Denver. So unlikely
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 1: but possible that they could still win the division, but
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 1: they still got to battle Houston for wild card seating
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 1: here as well. Though playing for seeding doesn't matter that
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 1: much in the NFL, Like that's not really that much
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 1: of a motivator to play for seeding. But if you
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 1: look at what's going on in the NFL standings here,
• 2:00:09
  Speaker 1: there is something going on here where I think the
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 1: Colts are actually not eliminated yet. I don't know, there's
• 2:00:14
  Speaker 1: something weird going on here because it seems like both
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 1: these teams are almost guaranteed to be in the playoffs.
• 2:00:20
  Speaker 1: The Chargers are already guaranteed to be. In Houston, it
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: seems like there's some way that Houston could still fall
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 1: out of the playoffs. It seems like Indianapolis could still
• 2:00:31
  Speaker 1: somehow overtake Houston because they play each other next week.
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 1: So I guess if Houston loses this game, if Indianapolis
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 1: somehow beats Jacksonville this week and then Indianapolis beats Houston
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 1: next week, they would still make the playoffs. But it's
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 1: not really that much of a concern. I think effectively,
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 1: Houston is pretty much in So it's kind of a
• 2:00:50
  Speaker 1: battle for seeding, which I don't think really matters as much.
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 1: And you know, for the Chargers, by the way, when
• 2:00:58
  Speaker 1: teams are they don't control their own destiny, Like the
• 2:01:02
  Speaker 1: Chargers don't control their own destiny to win the division
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 1: really because well no, actually no, my mistake, they do. Actually,
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 1: never mind, because I was gonna say, when teams don't
• 2:01:12
  Speaker 1: control their own destiny, I actually think they're a better
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 1: play on team because it's like some of that is
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 1: out of their hands, you know what I mean, Like
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 1: all they can do is win, but they can't control everything.
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: But with the Chargers that I think they can control
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 1: everything because they can they need to win both games.
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: So I don't like teams to control their own destiny
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: because it's like the pressure is all on them, like
• 2:01:31
  Speaker 1: you have to win to control your own destiny. Now
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 1: we got to put all this in a blender here,
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 1: and Garrett is making a good point. This is playoff
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 1: revenge for the Chargers, which is what we were alluding
• 2:01:45
  Speaker 1: to that earlier in the show as well. Chargers played
• 2:01:48
  Speaker 1: at Houston during the playoffs last year and that was
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 1: a win for me on the show with Houston. Houston
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: embarrassed them. Man, it was a bad game for the Chargers.
• 2:01:55
  Speaker 1: Houston's defense took control of that game and made Justin
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 1: Herbert look off. He had one of his worst games
• 2:02:01
  Speaker 1: of his career in that game. Now, that does mean
• 2:02:04
  Speaker 1: that Houston's deepfense knows how to stop Justin Herbert. They
• 2:02:08
  Speaker 1: know what to do. But it also means that La
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 1: might be more motivated in this game the Chargers, I mean,
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 1: because playoff revenge is a thing. Man. You have to
• 2:02:16
  Speaker 1: think the Chargers have this game circled for that reason,
• 2:02:20
  Speaker 1: because the Houston are the team that eliminated them from
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 1: the playoffs last year. Now, that's not the only thing
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 1: on their mind though, you know. I mean, what's on
• 2:02:27
  Speaker 1: team's minds right now is we got to get into
• 2:02:30
  Speaker 1: the playoffs whatever. And yeah, the Chargers have already made
• 2:02:33
  Speaker 1: the playoffs and this is a this game. I really
• 2:02:36
  Speaker 1: really struggle to figure this game out. The market read
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 1: right now is saying the Chargers. I mean, I guess
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: I have to go with the market read on this one,
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 1: just because there are so many factors that I can't
• 2:02:47
  Speaker 1: figure the game out. But I don't love it. My
• 2:02:51
  Speaker 1: initial instinct was Houston, just based on what we saw
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 1: the teams do last week. But sometimes that instinct is
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 1: wrong when you got to kind of dive in and
• 2:02:58
  Speaker 1: see what else is going on. The dynamics totals really
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 1: low at thirty nine and a half, and an under
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 1: still might make sense here because you're looking at a
• 2:03:08
  Speaker 1: really good Texas defense. You're looking at a Chargers defense
• 2:03:11
  Speaker 1: that has been they're good at limiting their opponents from scoring,
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 1: and part of that is because the Chargers stay on
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 1: the field for long possessions, so they rest their defense.
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 1: Even though it isn't exactly great, I wouldn't really disagree
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 1: with an under though. Even though the total is extremely low,
• 2:03:27
  Speaker 1: it's low for a reason. Seventy three percent of tickets
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 1: fifty four percent of the cash on the over, So yes,
• 2:03:33
  Speaker 1: uh under might actually even be the better way to
• 2:03:36
  Speaker 1: look at this game. It could be real ugly in
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 1: this one. Yeah, Texas ninety nine percent chance to make
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, right because Indy would have to win out
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 1: and the Texas would have to lose out. I believe
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 1: for that to happen. Okay, and then the other game
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 1: is the game we're gonna have the other play on,
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 1: which is you know what this is gonna be, man,
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 1: And we did the opportunity to grab it at four
• 2:04:01
  Speaker 1: four and a half, but I chose to kind of
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 1: wait for more information. But fine, we're gonna take the
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 1: points of the Baltimore Ravens. You probably can get three
• 2:04:11
  Speaker 1: and a half on this. This game isn't gonna be
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: until tonight. The public is gonna come in on the Packers.
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 1: We're gonna fade it. Uh, sixty percent of the tickets
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: on the Packers, only fifty four percent of the cash
• 2:04:22
  Speaker 1: on the Packers. There's like one really really major reason
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 1: why I'm gonna do this, Maybe a couple really, but
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 1: I like how this sets up for the Ravens, and
• 2:04:32
  Speaker 1: a lot of it has to do with the Christmas games.
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 1: The money is also coming in the under for what
• 2:04:38
  Speaker 1: it's worth a low total of thirty eight and a half.
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 1: But some of that has to do with the fact
• 2:04:42
  Speaker 1: that we have backup quarterbacks playing on both sides of
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 1: the ball here in this game, on both teams. So
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 1: the total crash from forty six and a half down
• 2:04:50
  Speaker 1: to thirty eight and a half. Maybe it was an overreaction,
• 2:04:53
  Speaker 1: but I like taking I like taking underdogs when it's
• 2:04:56
  Speaker 1: expected to be a low scoring game. You know, uh,
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of tickets on over seventy nine percent
• 2:05:01
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the under again, you know me,
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 1: I like grabbing the points when it's gonna be expected
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 1: to be a low scoring game. The points are worth more.
• 2:05:08
  Speaker 1: Run a key number three here. I think you can
• 2:05:10
  Speaker 1: wait and you might get three and a half. I
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 1: think at worst you're gonna get three on this, so
• 2:05:14
  Speaker 1: I would wait. You might be able to get the
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 1: seven if I get them all, update the description and
• 2:05:19
  Speaker 1: whatever I'm gonna put out the Instagram videos as well,
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 1: we'll see. But San Diego Stany, I think you'll be
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 1: able to get seven. And Baltimore, I think you might
• 2:05:27
  Speaker 1: be able to get three and a half on this,
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 1: but I would still do it at three. Now the
• 2:05:31
  Speaker 1: line was at four to four and a half. Very
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 1: briefly on the Packers yesterday because it looked like Jordan
• 2:05:36
  Speaker 1: Love might come back and play in this game. But
• 2:05:39
  Speaker 1: here's the thing, the Packers, they don't want to do
• 2:05:42
  Speaker 1: anything stupid here at this point. The Packers, they're getting
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 1: ready for the playoffs because guess what happened on Christmas.
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 1: The Detroit Lions lost on Christmas and they handed the
• 2:05:54
  Speaker 1: Packers a Christmas gift by way of handing the Packers
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 1: a playoff berth. So the Packers they're in the playoffs
• 2:06:01
  Speaker 1: now because Detroit lost. The Packers are they've clinched. They're
• 2:06:05
  Speaker 1: essentially locked into they were locked into a wildcard essentially
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 1: now because I don't think they can catch the Bears now,
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 1: unless I think maybe if the Packers went out and
• 2:06:14
  Speaker 1: the Bears lose out, the Packers could win the division.
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 1: But they're not focusing on that at this point. Man.
• 2:06:20
  Speaker 1: They're they're focusing on making the playoffs, and a lot
• 2:06:22
  Speaker 1: of they've already made the playoffs. They're focusing on being
• 2:06:26
  Speaker 1: healthy for the playoffs. So they're not playing Jordan Love
• 2:06:28
  Speaker 1: in this game. He got a concussion in the last game,
• 2:06:31
  Speaker 1: and I think this could be a hangover spot for
• 2:06:33
  Speaker 1: the Packers because you saw what happened in the last
• 2:06:35
  Speaker 1: game at Chicago. The Packers should have won the game,
• 2:06:39
  Speaker 1: and then they'd be in position to probably win the
• 2:06:41
  Speaker 1: division if they'd beaten the Bears, because they would have
• 2:06:44
  Speaker 1: swept the Bears on the season. The Packers were winning
• 2:06:47
  Speaker 1: by ten with like three or four minutes to go
• 2:06:49
  Speaker 1: in the game, and it took a horrific offensive effort
• 2:06:54
  Speaker 1: out of the Packers late in the game to not
• 2:06:56
  Speaker 1: be able to get any first downs there. They gave
• 2:06:58
  Speaker 1: them an on side kick to the Bears. The Bears
• 2:07:01
  Speaker 1: tied the game, and then the Packers with a backup center,
• 2:07:04
  Speaker 1: and I think the Packers are actually on a third
• 2:07:06
  Speaker 1: string quarterback in the game because I think Malik Willis
• 2:07:09
  Speaker 1: got hurt as well for the Packers. I think he
• 2:07:11
  Speaker 1: hurt his arm or something. The Packers fumbled in overtime
• 2:07:16
  Speaker 1: in the Bears territory and they were at least gonna
• 2:07:18
  Speaker 1: put points on the board and they lost the game.
• 2:07:20
  Speaker 1: I think that's brutal man a huge divisional game like
• 2:07:23
  Speaker 1: that for the Packers, that's what they're coming off of now. Yes,
• 2:07:26
  Speaker 1: the Ravens did a similar thing. The Ravens blew a
• 2:07:29
  Speaker 1: double digit lead in the final four minutes against the Patriots.
• 2:07:32
  Speaker 1: I know, but I don't think that game was of
• 2:07:34
  Speaker 1: a magnitude that the Packers Bears game was. So you
• 2:07:38
  Speaker 1: could argue both teams are in a hangover spot here,
• 2:07:40
  Speaker 1: but I think the Packers. For the Packers, it's worse.
• 2:07:43
  Speaker 1: But again, the fact that the Packers clinched a playoff spot.
• 2:07:47
  Speaker 1: A lot of times teams will have a weak effort
• 2:07:49
  Speaker 1: after they know they're in the playoffs. They kind of
• 2:07:51
  Speaker 1: just take their foot up the gas. Whereas the Ravens,
• 2:07:55
  Speaker 1: they not only do they have to win, but they
• 2:07:57
  Speaker 1: gotta have help man and they're an underdog. So I
• 2:08:00
  Speaker 1: like this. I think you know you're gonna get an
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: effort out of the Ravens here. They know they didn't
• 2:08:04
  Speaker 1: look good in prime time. I know they played a
• 2:08:06
  Speaker 1: team with a good record, the Patriots, but the Ravens
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 1: blew that game and everybody's just making fun of them.
• 2:08:11
  Speaker 1: Why was Derrick Henry not playing in the final twelve minutes?
• 2:08:15
  Speaker 1: That is definitely a question you need to ask what
• 2:08:17
  Speaker 1: the hell were they doing after he the last time
• 2:08:19
  Speaker 1: we saw him, he scored the touchdown and put them
• 2:08:21
  Speaker 1: ahead eleven and then he never saw the field again.
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 1: He wasn't hurt. Makes no sense. And of course both
• 2:08:27
  Speaker 1: quarterbacks got hurt last week, so the Ravens were without
• 2:08:30
  Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson, but Lamar Jackson was over on the sidelines
• 2:08:34
  Speaker 1: laughing it up. Something's not right there with Lamar Jackson. Man.
• 2:08:37
  Speaker 1: I think he hasn't been fully healthy this year, but
• 2:08:39
  Speaker 1: he seems like he's not fully focused and fully invested
• 2:08:43
  Speaker 1: on winning games here either. So I actually think that
• 2:08:46
  Speaker 1: the Ravens' backup quarterback situation is much much preferable to
• 2:08:51
  Speaker 1: the Packers. Now. I know it's gonna be Malik Willison
• 2:08:54
  Speaker 1: this game for the Packers. I know he's got a
• 2:08:55
  Speaker 1: little bit of experience. He was on Where was he
• 2:08:59
  Speaker 1: before this year? He was on the Titans. I think
• 2:09:01
  Speaker 1: prior to this year he's played some games before. For sure,
• 2:09:04
  Speaker 1: he played a couple of games for the Packers last year.
• 2:09:06
  Speaker 1: He's got experience. He played last week a bit, but
• 2:09:09
  Speaker 1: he also injured his arm, I'm pretty sure. So it's
• 2:09:11
  Speaker 1: kind of weird that he's gonna be playing in this
• 2:09:14
  Speaker 1: game with an injured arm. Potentially seems odd to me,
• 2:09:18
  Speaker 1: but I also think the continuity is just way better
• 2:09:20
  Speaker 1: for the Ravens with Huntley playing. Huntley played, you know,
• 2:09:23
  Speaker 1: in the backup role last week. He didn't get hurt.
• 2:09:26
  Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson got hurt, but Huntley was fine. He's healthy,
• 2:09:29
  Speaker 1: and you know how much he's played for the Ravens.
• 2:09:32
  Speaker 1: He's played several games for the Ravens already this season
• 2:09:35
  Speaker 1: because Jackson was hurt, so Huntley's more experienced this year.
• 2:09:39
  Speaker 1: Huntley has also been on the Ravens for a while,
• 2:09:42
  Speaker 1: and I think they got him back this season because
• 2:09:44
  Speaker 1: he's very familiar with the Ravens offensive schemes. Because he's
• 2:09:48
  Speaker 1: been on their team for so many recent years, he's
• 2:09:51
  Speaker 1: very familiar with their offense. They don't have to change
• 2:09:53
  Speaker 1: their offense because he is a dual threat quarterback similar
• 2:09:56
  Speaker 1: to Lamar Jackson. So I like it a lot better.
• 2:10:00
  Speaker 1: There's a lot more continuity for the Ravens here, and
• 2:10:02
  Speaker 1: again you're getting points with a team that needs to
• 2:10:05
  Speaker 1: win the game. And when a team needs to win
• 2:10:07
  Speaker 1: a lot of times I won't want to play them
• 2:10:09
  Speaker 1: because you're not getting line value playing that team. But
• 2:10:12
  Speaker 1: in this case, they're an underdog, and when you're getting
• 2:10:14
  Speaker 1: an underdog and you know you're gonna get effort out
• 2:10:16
  Speaker 1: of them. I like that. So we're gonna get an
• 2:10:18
  Speaker 1: effort out of the Ravens. And the Ravens are in
• 2:10:20
  Speaker 1: a situation where they also don't control their own destiny.
• 2:10:23
  Speaker 1: They gonna win and they need help. They need the
• 2:10:25
  Speaker 1: Steelers to lose to the Browns tomorrow for the Ravens.
• 2:10:31
  Speaker 1: Steelers matchup in the final week to meet anything for
• 2:10:33
  Speaker 1: the Ravens. So and it's possible that happens, by the way,
• 2:10:38
  Speaker 1: which I'm gonna mention that in a second actually, because
• 2:10:41
  Speaker 1: I think if you like the Browns, you gotta play
• 2:10:43
  Speaker 1: them now before this game happens. And I'll talk about
• 2:10:46
  Speaker 1: that in a second, just as then a side before
• 2:10:48
  Speaker 1: I get out of here. Now for the Ravens, what
• 2:10:52
  Speaker 1: the hell was like? Man, this is a long show.
• 2:10:54
  Speaker 1: Fuck man. I thought I was gonna get this done
• 2:10:56
  Speaker 1: way faster, starting an hour earlier. Jesus. Anyway, Ravens, Yes,
• 2:11:04
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be motivated. The Packers, all they
• 2:11:06
  Speaker 1: have to play for right now is seeding and you
• 2:11:08
  Speaker 1: know the outside chance of winning the division. Nah. The
• 2:11:11
  Speaker 1: Ravens have way more of a motivational factor here. They
• 2:11:15
  Speaker 1: look bad on primetime. People are making fun of them.
• 2:11:18
  Speaker 1: You know, you know you're gonna get an effort out
• 2:11:20
  Speaker 1: of them, whereas the effort for the Packers might be questionable.
• 2:11:23
  Speaker 1: Where the fact that they're not starting love here but
• 2:11:27
  Speaker 1: have to lead you to believe that the Packers are
• 2:11:29
  Speaker 1: trying to keep Love healthy for the playoffs now that
• 2:11:32
  Speaker 1: they know that they're in. So that's what we're gonna do.
• 2:11:35
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the Ravens here plus the points,
• 2:11:38
  Speaker 1: and that is the final play here. Wait and see
• 2:11:41
  Speaker 1: if you get the three and a half on this one,
• 2:11:43
  Speaker 1: you're getting the seven? Is it juice? What's what's the
• 2:11:46
  Speaker 1: juice on it? Love is not playing, No, they decided
• 2:11:51
  Speaker 1: that last night. I believe Lamar is not playing, which
• 2:11:56
  Speaker 1: might actually be a good thing because he looks like
• 2:11:58
  Speaker 1: he is not on percent and head case right now
• 2:12:02
  Speaker 1: and not fully into it. So I'd probably rather have
• 2:12:05
  Speaker 1: Huntley out there, to be honest. Colts would have to
• 2:12:11
  Speaker 1: win the strength the victory Tiberger, yeah, because they would
• 2:12:13
  Speaker 1: pull into a tie head to head with Houston as well.
• 2:12:16
  Speaker 1: But the Colts are not eliminated yet, so so yeah,
• 2:12:22
  Speaker 1: they would win that tiebreaker. Is what what the standings
• 2:12:26
  Speaker 1: are saying here. Because the Colts are not eliminated yet,
• 2:12:28
  Speaker 1: so they're they're gonna win that tiebreaker if they do
• 2:12:31
  Speaker 1: win those two games. Yes, seven, we'll see if it's
• 2:12:35
  Speaker 1: juiced or not. Yeah, it seemed like that game was rigged.
• 2:12:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the fuck that was, but but
• 2:12:42
  Speaker 1: the public was all over the Patriots in that game.
• 2:12:44
  Speaker 1: So I don't know what was going on in that game.
• 2:12:46
  Speaker 1: The books probably wanted Baltimore in that game. Bears and Niners. Yeah,
• 2:12:52
  Speaker 1: I like the Niners in that game, Henry overshit. What
• 2:13:00
  Speaker 1: talking about? What do you mean with a backup running back?
• 2:13:03
  Speaker 1: What are we talking about here? Baltimore uses like three
• 2:13:06
  Speaker 1: different running backs in their in their scheme, oh with
• 2:13:09
  Speaker 1: a backup quarterback? Yeah, yeah, so Baltimore is gonna be
• 2:13:12
  Speaker 1: running the ball. Well, I don't know, Baltimore doesn't change
• 2:13:15
  Speaker 1: their offense that much with Huntley out there, Like he's
• 2:13:18
  Speaker 1: he's definitely not his talented as Lamar Jackson, but he's
• 2:13:20
  Speaker 1: not bad. Like they're gonna do mostly the same things.
• 2:13:23
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Henry, I think after Henry got like never
• 2:13:27
  Speaker 1: saw the field for almost the entire fourth quarter last week,
• 2:13:30
  Speaker 1: I think he is gonna play more. Although I don't
• 2:13:32
  Speaker 1: love playing star players over their totals necessarily, but maybe
• 2:13:36
  Speaker 1: worth a look in this one. Now. The last thing
• 2:13:38
  Speaker 1: I was gonna mention is if you like the Browns,
• 2:13:41
  Speaker 1: which I do, you gotta play them now. I think,
• 2:13:44
  Speaker 1: even even if you do agree with Baltimore here, the
• 2:13:47
  Speaker 1: result of this game is gonna really impact what the
• 2:13:49
  Speaker 1: Steelers do tomorrow. Tomorrow. Eighty percent ticket seventy one percent
• 2:13:54
  Speaker 1: of the catch on the Steelers right now, they're down
• 2:13:55
  Speaker 1: for four and a half to three. Here. I like
• 2:13:58
  Speaker 1: the Browns in this game, and you're getting a really
• 2:13:59
  Speaker 1: low total as well. Now the Steelers. The thing is
• 2:14:04
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have nothing to play for. If the Ravens lose,
• 2:14:07
  Speaker 1: then the Steelers clinched the division and they're in and
• 2:14:10
  Speaker 1: they have nothing to play for against the Browns. So
• 2:14:12
  Speaker 1: you'll see this line is gonna tank. So I think
• 2:14:15
  Speaker 1: if you like the Browns enough to make the play,
• 2:14:18
  Speaker 1: you gotta do it now because you're not gonna get
• 2:14:20
  Speaker 1: a bit of number on this once this game happens.
• 2:14:23
  Speaker 1: The only way you're gonna even get like the same
• 2:14:25
  Speaker 1: number on on this is if the Ravens win, which
• 2:14:27
  Speaker 1: maybe they will because I'm saying you should play the
• 2:14:29
  Speaker 1: Ravens here. But if the Ravens do lose, the Steelers
• 2:14:33
  Speaker 1: line is gonna crash to like one, probably because the
• 2:14:36
  Speaker 1: Steelers will just start resting players because they'll locked up
• 2:14:39
  Speaker 1: the division. They won't need this game. And for the Browns,
• 2:14:44
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be basically their super Bowl. The
• 2:14:47
  Speaker 1: Browns they do well against the Steelers. I think the
• 2:14:50
  Speaker 1: Browns have won four their last five games in Cleveland
• 2:14:53
  Speaker 1: against the Steelers as well. Uh so they've been good
• 2:14:56
  Speaker 1: at home against the Steelers recently, and they're gonna treat
• 2:14:59
  Speaker 1: it like their super Bowl, their final home game they
• 2:15:01
  Speaker 1: get to host the Steelers. I like the Browns actually
• 2:15:04
  Speaker 1: either way, Like if the Steelers are still fighting to
• 2:15:08
  Speaker 1: win the division, the Steelers are gonna have like a
• 2:15:11
  Speaker 1: you know, a potential look ahead to that game against
• 2:15:14
  Speaker 1: the Ravens because that's the only game that's gonna matter
• 2:15:16
  Speaker 1: to the Steelers. So I still like the Browns regardless
• 2:15:20
  Speaker 1: of the outcome of the Ravens Packers game. I like
• 2:15:22
  Speaker 1: the Browns in this game. It's just a matter of
• 2:15:23
  Speaker 1: getting the best number. And you know that if the
• 2:15:26
  Speaker 1: Ravens lose, this number is gonna tank and you won't
• 2:15:29
  Speaker 1: get the best number. So yeah, if you like the Browns,
• 2:15:33
  Speaker 1: it's actually better for the Ravens to win and set
• 2:15:35
  Speaker 1: up a showdown in the final week. And the NFL
• 2:15:38
  Speaker 1: kind of wants that. By the way, if you if
• 2:15:40
  Speaker 1: you believe in rigging, maybe the NFL will rig this
• 2:15:42
  Speaker 1: so that the Ravens win tonight and then it does
• 2:15:45
  Speaker 1: set up the Ravens Steelers showdown in the final week.
• 2:15:49
  Speaker 1: But yes, I do like the Browns generally in that game.
• 2:15:52
  Speaker 1: My problem is the Browns just had a huge effort
• 2:15:54
  Speaker 1: and almost beat the Bills last week, so I do
• 2:15:56
  Speaker 1: worry about that a little bit. So I don't think
• 2:15:58
  Speaker 1: I'm adding that one to my card. But if you're
• 2:16:00
  Speaker 1: going to, I think you have to play it before
• 2:16:02
  Speaker 1: Tonight's Baltimore game. That's what I'll say about that. Colts
• 2:16:10
  Speaker 1: have played what they've had wins against a slightly better
• 2:16:15
  Speaker 1: slate of teams I guess than Houston. Yeah, Houston is
• 2:16:18
  Speaker 1: the better team though, especially right now with the Colts
• 2:16:22
  Speaker 1: having Philip Rivers in there. Okay, but yeah, but you're
• 2:16:30
  Speaker 1: not looking at what I'm You're not looking at what
• 2:16:32
  Speaker 1: I'm saying. What I'm saying is that If the Colts
• 2:16:35
  Speaker 1: beat Jacksonville and Houston, and Houston loses to the Chargers,
• 2:16:40
  Speaker 1: Indy gets into the playoffs. That's the deal. Because right
• 2:16:44
  Speaker 1: now the standings are saying that India is not eliminated,
• 2:16:46
  Speaker 1: and obviously that means they would win the tiebreaker based
• 2:16:50
  Speaker 1: on that. So what whoever currently has a tiebreaker doesn't matter.
• 2:16:54
  Speaker 1: If Indy gets those two wins, they will win that tiebreaker.
• 2:16:57
  Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying. All right, that's gonna do it
• 2:17:01
  Speaker 1: for today. Once again, the plays San Jose in hockey
• 2:17:04
  Speaker 1: money line San Diego State. Find the seven out there
• 2:17:08
  Speaker 1: in whatever that bowl is, the New Mexico Bowl, Baltimore
• 2:17:12
  Speaker 1: Ravens plus three or three and a half. Let's do it.
• 2:17:15
  Speaker 1: Let's get it done. Learn it tode on Instagram, learn
• 2:17:17
  Speaker 1: it tode on Twitter, Like, subscribe, give me good comments here,
• 2:17:22
  Speaker 1: listen on audio, give me good reviews on audio, Spotify,
• 2:17:25
  Speaker 1: Apple covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube,
• 2:17:31
  Speaker 1: Paedreon dot com, slash learn it to You can get
• 2:17:33
  Speaker 1: bonus yuke stuff there and the Loser cast go check
• 2:17:37
  Speaker 1: that out as well. I gotta still add that to
• 2:17:39
  Speaker 1: my links to my link tree. That's gonna do it.
• 2:17:41
  Speaker 1: I'll have to be back tonight for the usual NFL show,
• 2:17:44
  Speaker 1: where at least we have fewer games to talk about
• 2:17:46
  Speaker 1: because five games will already have been played, so we're
• 2:17:49
  Speaker 1: only gonna have whatever eleven games to talk about, but possible.
• 2:17:53
  Speaker 1: I went up with anywhere between two and four were
• 2:17:55
  Speaker 1: at avel plays depending on how I vibe with some
• 2:17:59
  Speaker 1: of these games here, because there were a few that
• 2:18:01
  Speaker 1: I have my eye on, but we'll see what I want.
• 2:18:03
  Speaker 1: Didn't think that I was gonna give out a play
• 2:18:04
  Speaker 1: on the games tonight, but I actually like the Ravens
• 2:18:07
  Speaker 1: enough to do it now that the Packers have clinched,
• 2:18:09
  Speaker 1: So we're going we're playing it on the fly here, baby,
• 2:18:14
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Thank you, sir, Thank you, mister Pinsey. Oh,
• 2:18:18
  Speaker 1: I thought you were saying that they wouldn't have the tiebreaker,
• 2:18:21
  Speaker 1: but obviously they will if they win those two games.
• 2:18:24
  Speaker 1: That's the whole point. Let's go. Yes, hell yeah, Charles,
• 2:18:30
  Speaker 1: thanks for hanging out. Thanks for hanging out, Jeffrey Pinsey, Garrett.
• 2:18:34
  Speaker 1: I appreciated everybody who else was in here today. Do
• 2:18:37
  Speaker 1: we have anybody else this morning, Charles? Yeah? I think
• 2:18:41
  Speaker 1: it was just it was just oh, stacks. Yes, I
• 2:18:44
  Speaker 1: knew there was somebody else in the in the mix
• 2:18:46
  Speaker 1: there Samuel as well. Thanks guys, thanks for hanging out. Yeah,
• 2:18:51
  Speaker 1: the last tiebreaker is a coin flip. I don't know
• 2:18:53
  Speaker 1: if they've ever actually had to resort to that. It's ridiculous,
• 2:18:57
  Speaker 1: but yes, that's gonna do it. I'll be back tonight.
• 2:19:02
  Speaker 1: Peace happy all it is. I'm getting mad, man, I'm
• 2:19:05
  Speaker 1: starting to get frustrated because yesterday I was not happy
• 2:19:08
  Speaker 1: with the results. I'm not happy with the way my
• 2:19:10
  Speaker 1: bow entries are going right now. But let's get it done, man,
• 2:19:14
  Speaker 1: Let's do it. Peace,