Latest / Uncomfortable Conversations with Josh Szeps / Eli Lake: Gaza & Israel
Transcript
- 0:00Get a humans welcome to the safe space for dangerous ideas and why there are a lot of dangerous
- 0:06ideas floating around and also some very hackneyed and predictable and not particularly dangerous
- 0:13and convenient ideas floating around since most of us tend to talk to each other inside little
- 0:18sound bites at the moment there's a lot of oh yes well we have to be very measured and we have
- 0:22to be cautious about about the things that whether we say so I'm getting a little weary
- 0:30the inability to just talk bluntly about things that they're going on especially
- 0:35when tempers are running as high as they are given what's happening in Israel and garrows up
- 0:41Eli like is a great person to chat to about this you may have heard if you're a loyal
- 0:45listener and if you're not a loyal listener hey what the hell are you doing?
- 0:50Recently Antony Lowenstein was on the show who is a Jewish Australian journalist
- 0:56extremely critical of Israel and this was well before Gaza the Gaza tragedy happened
- 1:03and Antony and I had a really interesting conversation where I felt like I was the more
- 1:10pro-Israel more pro-Zionist one then the atrocities in the Middle East just happened
- 1:16with with Humus's attack on Israel and now the the ongoing fallout from that and some people
- 1:22on Twitter were saying well it wasn't great timing that you had that conversation just a few weeks
- 1:26beforehand which was so critical of Israel how bad a little bit of balance this episode is that
- 1:30balance in which I find myself on the opposite side being the more anti-Israel or critical
- 1:37voice here because Eli like knows basically a lot more about it than I do and then most people
- 1:44do since he spent his life as a national security journalist specializing in the Middle East he's
- 1:50contributing editor to commentary magazine he was a syndicated columnist for Bloomberg for almost
- 1:5710 years from 2014 to 2022 he was a reporter of the New York Sun the Daily Beast the Washington Times
- 2:04and his specialty as I say his national security Israel it's almost terrorism knows everything
- 2:10there is to know about that region and about the insides and outsides he breaks big stories he has
- 2:15contacts on the ground and he's broadly as the Jewish-American guy sympathetic to Israel's
- 2:23plight and so here I try to push back here against that point of view and get a more balanced
- 2:28perspective then perhaps you're getting in the rest of the media especially if you live outside
- 2:33the United States Eli has a podcast called the re-education with Eli Lake check it out and enjoy
- 2:40this conversation with the one and only Eli Lake
- 2:53I think we have to look at this as something beyond Israel set a attack on Jews
- 3:00why is it useful to think of it that way I think there are a couple of reasons the first is that
- 3:05the Hamas the organization that orchestrated this pogrom is motivated first and foremost by a
- 3:16desire to kill Jews and ultimately conquer what is the land of Israel and impose Islamic law so
- 3:25that I think it's important in that respect to distinguish this from nationalist violence or
- 3:31something you know of that kind even though I if any any group for whatever reason that conducted
- 3:37such an atrocity should obviously be condemned I think the second reason is because we have seen in
- 3:43the West a kind of response to this murder spree that is very much like a celebration of a lust for
- 4:01Jewish blood so if you notice I mean the first demonstrations began before Israel really did
- 4:09anything and it was celebrated by certain groups as an active resistance you know a prison break out
- 4:17of some kind and when you're talking about the kind of horrific violence the kind of horrific
- 4:26atrocity that we saw on October 7th well I mean I just think that we have to look at that in the
- 4:32context of this is this is this is this is more than just objection to the Jewish state it's objection
- 4:39to the Jewish people I'm wary of conflating Israel with Jewishness and resent the fact that liquid
- 4:48and bibi Netanyahu have worked over time to try to seem to make that case I was talking to David
- 4:54Badeel who's an English prominent Jew and successful comedy writer who has an attitude of like
- 5:01why do people keep asking me as a British Jew about the misdeeds of Israel like that that doesn't
- 5:06have anything to do with me we don't ask we don't ask Chinese Australians or Chinese Americans
- 5:10to account for the crimes of the Communist Party we don't say that China shouldn't get a state
- 5:14because of its treatment of the Uighurs in Western China we don't ask Persian Americans to account
- 5:22for the mullahs in Tehran you know only when it comes to Jews do we expect Jews globally to be
- 5:28to sort of answer for this country that claims to speak on behalf of them but doesn't really
- 5:33and that actually it only serves the the sort of anti-Jewish narrative to conflate Israel with Jews
- 5:40we have to be able to criticize Israel as a country and then there are the world's Jews as a separate
- 5:46pot and it's in the interest of both islamists and also hyposynist anti-pesnic liquid settlers to
- 5:55conflate Jews with Israel do you think there's anything there no first of all there's a very
- 6:01special circumstance for the Jewish people and the Jewish state and that is that Israel was created
- 6:07as a safe haven for Jews because of a long history of persecution of Jews when they were stateless
- 6:16so even if you and there are plenty of Jews in Israel and in in diaspora who disagree with
- 6:23policies of Israel there are anti-Zionist Jews I am not here as a kind of Talmudic authority
- 6:29to claim who is and who is not a Jew rather I'm saying that in a situation like this the group
- 6:38that perpetrated the massacre was motivated by a desire to kill Jews full stop so I think it's
- 6:49different than this kind of question of Jews and diaspora feeling uncomfortable when asked
- 6:55to defend this or that Israeli policy and you know anybody who who is kind of mildly informed
- 7:03about you know the history or the conflict and understands that there are multitude of there
- 7:10many opinions that Jews and diaspora in Israel have about how to proceed and so I'm certainly not
- 7:17saying that if you criticize Israel's policy of settlements then you know you're not a good
- 7:26Jew or something like that but I do think that there are groups or I should be more specific there
- 7:32are there are sort of Jewish organizations we have something in the United States called Jewish
- 7:36Voice for Peace which I have dubbed Jewish Voice for for a program and they are explicitly
- 7:43anti-Zionist and they they have you know along with other voices on the left tried in many ways to
- 7:52describe what is the you know worst massacre of Jews since the Holocaust as some kind of act of
- 8:00resistance which in addition to being in my view almost a kind of a very kind of sly anti-Semitism
- 8:11because it's like you you people deserve this it's also bad for Palestinians I don't understand
- 8:18how you can claim to be in solidarity with Palestinians by rationalizing or celebrating or explaining
- 8:24away an atrocity committed by theocratic fascists full stop and so you know this will set back
- 8:34the quest for a Palestinian state this will set back the prospect for a two-state solution
- 8:40this will set back the living conditions in Gaza this started a war I mean but what were the
- 8:45prospects for a two-state solution or for a peace settlement you know up until this let me
- 8:53to let's let's just drill into this act of resistance idea okay okay because and let's park
- 8:58whether or not conflating Israel's interests with Jewish interests hands Benjamin Netanyahu the
- 9:06the ability to either enrich or destroy global jury which is unwise like I don't want to be hostage
- 9:12to the policies of Israel and therefore I'd like nobody nobody is saying you are there's a
- 9:16difference though between no when when we say that that every time someone criticizes Israel
- 9:24there's implicitly criticizing Jews or that it's well I'm not saying that anti-Semitic to be
- 9:29anti-Zionist that I'm not saying that either I think I'm not saying that either I'm saying that if
- 9:34you you said they're in favor of pogroms because they are explicitly anti-Zionist no I'm saying
- 9:40that they represent they they they pass themselves off as a part of them of the sort of I think that
- 9:45they're providing a kind of fig Lee for people who would celebrate this terror if you just say I'm
- 9:50an anti-Zionist Jew but then you full-throatedly condemn Hamas with no ifsans or buts like
- 9:57Judith Butler in the London Review of Books where which is evidence of her evolution in many ways
- 10:03because she was the person who said that Hamas and Hezbollah were part of a progressive coalition
- 10:07which is nonsense in 2006 if you if you if you if you you know conduct if you have demonstrations
- 10:17that you help organized with groups that are openly celebrating this massacre well then you
- 10:22are celebrating a horrific atrocity against Jews and hiding behind this idea that we just don't
- 10:28like Israel or what do you expect with you know people you know I mean who are you know caught in
- 10:35an open air prison or something like that you are deliberately kind of you're deliberately
- 10:41camouflaging you're confusing what Hamas is and what they are trying to do this is in their chart
- 10:48let's get let's get to that let's get to Hamas and resistance and let's just let's just set aside
- 10:54for the moment although we can get back to it if you want people who celebrate the massacre
- 11:00of Jews who celebrated what happened a couple of weeks ago let's set aside the entrenched
- 11:07anti-Semitism across much of the Arab world and let's set aside the deluded purple head want to be
- 11:16social justice warriors periding around in the streets in the west who don't understand the history
- 11:22of the region and let's let's just look at what I think is probably the strongest case of
- 11:27your opponents which would be what I think is the center of gravity of public opinion in Australia
- 11:35and probably the UK and Europe I'm not sure about America which says Hamas is terrible they didn't
- 11:43come from nowhere they weren't conjured out of the ether without any historical context of what had
- 11:50happened to the people who were so frustrated that they turned to them as a savior much to their
- 11:58detriment liquid the Israeli right the settler movement has done nothing for about a quarter of a
- 12:05century on peace not since the 1990s has there been any opportunity for Palestinians to have a future
- 12:13in many ways Netanyahu has explicitly emboldened Hamas because he doesn't want to have a partner
- 12:19for peace in the Palestinian Authority it suits him to have garrisons rotting in this quote-unquote
- 12:25open air prison I mean whether you call it that or not whether that's inflammatory it's one of
- 12:30the shittiest places to live in the world and that blame can be shared by Hamas and also Israeli
- 12:36intransigence on doing anything about resolving what to do with this couple of million people who
- 12:43are sitting there so is it Jew hate and Jew slaughter yes is there also a historical context in
- 12:51which it's taking place as an active resistance against an unsustainable status quo also yes and
- 13:00do we not want Israel to excuse me to do what we know what we knew that it would do three seconds
- 13:09after the slaughter which is end up killing lots more Palestinians who don't like Hamas didn't
- 13:15have anything to do with Hamas maybe they kind of like Hamas now but then what other option do they
- 13:19have but they weren't born wanting to slaughter Jews they were made okay well I mean that's a lot
- 13:27to unpack yeah so the first thing I would say is that I don't agree with that with your statement
- 13:34that nothing was done for 25 years because in 2005 Ariel Shorone dismantled and removed the
- 13:44IDF and a few settlements basically from Gaza making it free of any Jews and also some settlements
- 13:55in the West Bank unilaterally in a deal with the George W Bush administration there were efforts
- 14:02under Ahud Omar his successor to reach a kind of you know revive the Oslo peace process it didn't
- 14:10go very well or didn't go very far so that's the first point I would make which is that yeah I would
- 14:17agree that the Nanyahu government has not made a peace process a priority but I think you have to
- 14:24credit Nanyahu and here's where I think there's been a lot of I guess you could say convenient
- 14:32sort of argument from people who make this point about bolstering Hamas or something like that
- 14:39I mean the actions that you when you talk about in the abstract it sounds sinister but what
- 14:44what what what we're talking about in reality is that Nanyahu ended up issuing more work permits
- 14:50for people from Gaza and Nanyahu ended up in some ways loosening some of the restrictions
- 14:57or border controls on Gaza so you know in that respect he was he was going not as far probably
- 15:05as some of these critics would like but certainly in the direction that they would like in trying to
- 15:10loosen the border controls that Israel places on Gaza now second of all I would say that
- 15:20the massacre of October 7th is all the evidence one would need for why there must be some border
- 15:31control of Gaza full stop because this is what the people who rule Gaza have been planning I don't
- 15:43think that Hamas speaks for all Palestinians or all people in Gaza they won a single election in
- 15:512006 and they have not stood for elections since and there have been sporadic demonstrations at
- 15:59great personal risk to the Palestinians who have protested I'm not saying that those protesters
- 16:04spoke for the majority of Palestinians in the Gaza either I think we have to accept that we just
- 16:08don't know the answer to that because they have not been asked Palestinians have not been asked for
- 16:13their opinion on what they think of Hamas's misrule Hamas has used its power to you know they take
- 16:24money from the international development aid they seize resources they keep their populations
- 16:32they have some they have some role in the kind of misery and poverty of Palestinians in two
- 16:38respects one is that they they are autocrats little autocrats for the strips so they rule through
- 16:46corruption and the second is that they have created the security problems that affect
- 16:54Gazans with these skirmishes that we have seen up to this point with Gaza so they they have started
- 17:00all of these sort of little mini wars and then they've just started a big one and so in that
- 17:06respect I just think that trying to put this about Netanyahu's you know government or you know
- 17:13Palestinians are hopeless and they turned to violence or something like that well that doesn't
- 17:18really follow there's been a single political party in charge of this strip of land that has
- 17:25decided to basically prepare for war in every possible way and make war in every possible way whether
- 17:33that is through their education program where they are you know have you know they tell kindergarteners
- 17:40to revere the Shaheeds or the martyrs you know of you know these former suicide bombers or whether
- 17:46it's the actual stockpiling of rockets and missiles and other fairly advanced like you know military
- 17:56weaponry that they used in this massacre so in that respect you you know if you want to try to
- 18:04have a complex analysis sure there's more that the Israeli governments could have done to negotiate
- 18:11maybe with the you know a boss leadership we can get to that or and or taken a harder line
- 18:21on some of the settlement activities although that is often exaggerated there there are there is
- 18:26an IDF presence in part in the West Bank in order to tamp down some of the vigilante activity
- 18:32from the settlers although it's not perfect but I think we have to take a step back and like sort
- 18:38of plainly understand what this political party political terrorist group Hamas is all about
- 18:45what their goals are how they seek to achieve them and how you know you can't you can't be at a
- 18:52position where you're making war all the time and then your position as well oh my god is real can't
- 18:59can't respond because it's the more powerful party it's it's like I don't get it I mean there
- 19:04are a couple of things about that but you know one strikes me that the claim that what happened
- 19:10on October 7th proves why you needed to have a blockade on Gaza in the first place is not a blockade
- 19:17by the way because blockade implies that there's nothing that comes in or out and that's not true
- 19:23well I mean if if a country imposed on Australia or America the kinds of restrictions on goods
- 19:28coming in and out that the Israel imposed on Gaza we'd call it a blockade I don't know if we
- 19:32would it's I mean I'm just seeing a blockade massive restrictions on all kinds of medicines massive
- 19:38restrictions on you know it goes international humanitarian groups have demonstrated that it goes
- 19:44well beyond what you could use to launch an invasion okay but nonetheless for some reason it seems
- 19:52that Hamas had fairly advanced weaponry not to mention power gliders and all kinds of other things
- 19:58so yeah I mean well inside of the blockade there's a working very well I'm just saying what
- 20:03when I say that it sort of is it demonstrates the need for border control I think it's obvious
- 20:09I mean there's a reason why you can't have people coming in and out of Gaza without getting
- 20:13you know having having an IDF officer check their papers and you know find out who they are
- 20:19and so forth it's because yeah but it's not just that I mean it's the shipping into Gaza is
- 20:24curtailed and intercepted by Israel to make sure that you know only a certain amount of
- 20:29very specific types of things are coming in and out everything everything it goes in and out of
- 20:33that enclave is controlled by Israel except for what is not legal there's what was brought in
- 20:40illegally well yeah I mean that's it but they've still managed to you know develop a rocket
- 20:47arsenal that it's capable of hitting Tel Aviv and beyond so that I'm just saying it's just
- 20:52doing with whether there's you know well that's why that's why there are
- 20:55mine that's why you well that's why you check every shipment that comes into Gaza that's why
- 21:00because you the group that's in control of Gaza uses as much of its uses its resources to again
- 21:08build a war machine to commit atrocities like it just did I mean it part it on one level I understand
- 21:15that and on another level it sounds a bit like the the old joke that the beatings will stop when
- 21:20morale improves and yeah but but but wait a second when was there a period when Hamas was not
- 21:28trying to make war with Israel since it took for it's actually I think it's a bit cheeky to
- 21:33keep focusing on Hamas because the the generous interpretation of the center of gravity of
- 21:39Australian heartland opinion or opinion around other Western liberal democracies is not that Hamas
- 21:45are great it's that Hamas is a perverted eruption that comes out of underlying conditions that
- 21:54Israel is complicit in creating well I would agree with that if there was any evidence that we had
- 21:59other than the 2006 election which Hamas won barely won a majority of the legislature but we have
- 22:06no way of knowing they don't they're not a legitimate democratic government in that respect I don't
- 22:12think that Hamas's behavior is in the interest of Palestinians and I've been to Gaza the last time
- 22:17I was there I should say is 10 years ago but I've been to Gaza and when I've talked to people
- 22:23privately and not to be quoted what they will say is that they understand perfectly well that
- 22:30Hamas's behavior is one of the main reasons for all of these restrictions on their daily life I'm
- 22:36not denying that it's not it's it's it's it's not there's not a hardship although sometimes I do
- 22:43think some of these groups exaggerated as I said we're saying earlier Netanyahu is loosened some
- 22:47of those restrictions of which you will I think pay the fatal political price but the key point
- 22:54here is that I don't deal you know Hamas planned this two years ago they came up with three
- 22:59different explanations they are the actors in this respect so I I I really push back on this idea
- 23:06that the desperation of living in Gaza led Hamas to do something that had been pledging to do
- 23:12ever since it was founded in 1987 which has to kill lots of Jews I mean if the claim is that
- 23:21there would it there are other is the claim that there are other ways that dozens should have
- 23:25tried to aspire towards self actualization and free free a richer lives for themselves because
- 23:32if there are the Palestinians on the West Bank also haven't made any headway and they haven't
- 23:38elected a death cult to run them and they're not doing things like October 7th and they still don't
- 23:45have the ability to move freely around without being harassed without fear of new settlements being
- 23:52built on their land with any aspiration for having a state someday and not living under the
- 23:58conditions that they do well I mean in that so to answer your question I think it's it's it's
- 24:05too simplistic to say there's more that the Gazans could do to oust Hamas or something like that
- 24:10some Israelis had said that I think there were things that Israel could have done I think there's
- 24:14things that the United States could have done I think that there should have been a priority and
- 24:19I'm not trying to be a modest here but I have written many columns in the last 16 years saying that
- 24:26there should be more elections in Gaza and there should be a plan to get rid of Hamas from
- 24:31ruling it but I'm just you can't you're gonna have this restrictive these restrictive conditions
- 24:37on Gaza so long as Hamas is in control the argument that nothing else has seemed to work for us
- 24:43I think is a little bit disingenuous yes the Fata spend force that is in control of the Palestinian
- 24:51authority in the West Bank is not they're not they're not as fanatic as as Hamas and they they
- 25:00have not done this horrendous atrocity of October 7th but they still have a program in the Palestinian
- 25:07authority to have you know stipends for the families of what they call martyrs and people who
- 25:14have committed to risk of atrocities if you look at the rhetoric of Mahmoud Abbas it's disgusting in
- 25:19recent years and so on the idea that you know one corrupt kind of spend force in the West Bank
- 25:31you know they haven't gotten anywhere either I think it that that yeah they haven't gotten
- 25:36there because they're corrupt and that they they still have you know these stipends as I said
- 25:42for the families of suicide bombers and they're so called their their Shaheeds and they're I think
- 25:47it goes back to something that it's very very difficult for Westerners to really understand
- 25:52but with maybe the exception of a few years in the 1990s under Arafat and we now know that Arafat
- 26:00probably didn't mean it when he you know was you know negotiating pieces at least most of the
- 26:07histories of the final camp David negotiations in 2000 and tell us
- 26:12um that you know part of Palestinian political liberation like how they understand it has been
- 26:21that their method is going to be if you create enough of atrocities against Jewish people that they
- 26:26will find it intolerable to live there and they will leave that was the that was the kind of animating
- 26:34idea behind the Arab revolt of the 1930s it's led them to the Munich you know the the thinking
- 26:41behind you know the masquerade the Munich Olympics and on and on it goes I mean if you look at what
- 26:46the second intifada supposed to the first intifada the second the uprising that comes after the
- 26:51Oslo process in 2000 um it's absolutely like vicious and there are there they're there we I have to
- 26:58go back as I wrote about it at the time but there are there's you know we they're documentation
- 27:04documentation from Arafat that part of the strategy was we're going to make life intolerable
- 27:10in Israel and if you remember in that period there were you know pizza parlors and hotels that were
- 27:15blown up by um Palestinians yeah usually very young who were probably brainwashed to give their
- 27:22lives to kill more Jews now that to me uh is a kind of pathology um I don't mean to say that it
- 27:29applies to all Palestinians there are plenty of Palestinians who have disagreed with it including
- 27:33at one point even Abu Mazin that's not the point the point is is that it's it is something that
- 27:39has been a kind of animating idea in the notion of like how Palestinians will achieve their
- 27:46statehood it goes back to uh Franz Fanon who I talk about my latest podcast um this idea that
- 27:52decolonization and you know the emancipation of one's colonial mind comes you know through violence
- 27:59against their oppressors and you know there are a million reasons why it doesn't work for Jews
- 28:05in Israel because there is no mother country there but let's leave that aside
- 28:09so again I don't I don't buy this argument that like the Palestinians have tried all of this
- 28:14nonviolent means to do stuff and you know what it just you know now they have to turn to massacres
- 28:20that's that's that's uh I think it's also in some ways the soft bigotry of low expectations for
- 28:25Palestinians hmm let's go through that that history like because a lot of people have a vague sort of
- 28:32idea and like I had someone say of Mahmoud Abbas that he only seems to do three things he sleeps he
- 28:38smokes and he says something stupid uh but we've gotten to that point uh after many decades I think
- 28:44I think there's a latent assumption from people who don't know the details of the history to think
- 28:49well what do you expect when you when you grind people into the ground for decades you know
- 28:54when 70 years ago you drive them off their land you come in as a colonial power and I'm speaking as
- 29:00the as the the voice of a person who I disagree with here um this is not Josh speaking you come
- 29:04in as a colonial power you parachute in uh in the long history of uh of colonialism and imperialism
- 29:10you push people off their land and then you give them no viable way to achieve uh a state and
- 29:15certainly since the 1990s uh you continue to build settlements on their land that criticism I do
- 29:21I do agree with and then you turn around and go oh my goodness these people are dysfunctional they
- 29:25just say silly things and they're full of hate and they launch attacks at us yet well what exactly
- 29:30else did you expect to come of this do how did you expect this flourishing democracy to emerge in
- 29:35the embers and the banter stands that you have raised and that you insist on uh you know and that
- 29:41even when you withdraw from you impose blockades on now the the question the parallel history that
- 29:48you're kind of hinting at which is a which is an alternative history in which Palestinian leaders
- 29:54had the foresight to take a Gandhi approach or a Mandela approach uh is an interesting alternative
- 30:03history to explore what would have happened if instead of blowing up bus bus falls of Israeli
- 30:08citizens Palestinian leadership had had had had pursued a an aggressive peaceful resistance was
- 30:17that ever on the card let's go so let's go back to before 67 and I mean you can go back to 48 if
- 30:23you want and just give people applauded history of how well we are well I mean I think it's worthwhile
- 30:31to start in 1948 but we should say even before that that there's always been a Jewish connection
- 30:35to the land of Israel and Jews have always lived in Israel so that's the first point that we should
- 30:40always sort of start with um the they're you know I guess I'm not an I'm not I don't want to get
- 30:49this wrong but I'd say since the 1920s there have been um violence between the Zionist um
- 30:58you know kind of people who have come to Israel you know pursuing a Jewish state and
- 31:04various kinds of Palestinians and the wars have been vicious they were very vicious before 1948
- 31:081948 was a war between a people that had just arrived the Holocaust and the entire Arab world
- 31:16all the Arab armies participated the Jewish forces won and if you remember there was an offer
- 31:24at the time from the UN to share the land and the Palestinians rejected it then and again we're
- 31:30going very quickly 1967 is the six day war that again is most of the Arab states attacking Israel
- 31:37Israel wins that war although we should say that Israel technically is the first strike but
- 31:44all these forces were sort of a raid on their border and there were threats to cut off Israel
- 31:49from the Suez Canal and then 1973 is another version of that war um and then the the Palestinians
- 31:57then kind of pursue in the 1970s um that's a strategy of terrorism um just to clarify an important
- 32:04wrinkle on 67 is that that's when Israel comes into possession yeah of course that was done
- 32:10basically over you know there was this whole area there was part of Jordan uh and then the
- 32:14Gaza Strip which was part of Egypt sign art and it's very uh go and sign as well yeah that's
- 32:20right and so all of a sudden Israel finds itself uh through what was initially a defensive war
- 32:25sitting on top of all this land and there's an amazing documentary film with a a a succession
- 32:31of Israeli military leaders up from that era who are all saying like we all thought this was
- 32:37temporary I mean we thought we you'd have we'd have a negotiation we'd figure out how to give
- 32:40the land back and then there'd be peace that they can't believe that half a century later
- 32:45Israel's still sitting on on this land but uh so some of that land I think that Israel shouldn't
- 32:50give back like the Go on Heights and East Jerusalem but that's a separate question um and then
- 32:57you know the Palestinians then kind of engage in uh the terrorism of that era um and the
- 33:08you know the Israeli uh have did uh does you know have invades Lebanon in I think 81
- 33:16and they're that's a very bloody war um lots of innocence are killed but it is a response to
- 33:22the fact that there are the that that Palestinian terror groups are committing atrocities you know
- 33:28in cross-border raids and things like that eventually the uh and does hezbollah exist at that point
- 33:34hezbollah is formed in the 1980s uh with help with their weapons yes during that war it's about
- 33:40at this time that the Palestinians and the Iranians and the hezbollah are beginning to create a
- 33:47coordinated well I mean it's it's it's probably much more coordinated uh after uh 2003 when the
- 33:55US invades Iraq or at least it begins in that decade the last decade and then much more in this
- 34:00decade and the two thousand teens were in the two thousand twenties now um eventually the the
- 34:06leadership of the PLO is uh kind of uprooted from Lebanon and they are briefly in Tunis
- 34:14then the Berlin wall comes down I again potted history this is super fast um the Berlin wall
- 34:21comes down Soviet Union collapses there's something called the Madrid peace conference where
- 34:26Arifat is uh I don't know you could say elected I don't know if he was elected he was
- 34:32he was chosen by various Palestinian leaders in the West Bank to represent the Palestinian
- 34:37negotiations the first time the Israeli sat down and negotiated with them then there's
- 34:411993 under Bill Clinton where you start what's known as the Oslo peace process that's where you
- 34:46get the famous handshake with uh Rubin and Arifat at the White House lawn um and then oh that
- 34:55Peters out but there was a last ditch effort in 2000 um and well just uh I why I'd pated that
- 35:02uh right wing is Riley assassinated the prime minister well I would I would know there was still a
- 35:07lot of negotiation after that um I mean there was that was not I think the reason I think the
- 35:13reason was because in the camp David too was it's known um then prime minister after Rubin's
- 35:21after Rubin's assassinations in 2000 very end of yes the end of the Clinton well the Iraq
- 35:29is the PM in this in these negotiations and this is uh the end of Clinton's presidency and
- 35:36um you know a good Barack um offers Arifat probably the best offer you know that could have
- 35:44been conceivable from Israel including joint sovereignty of Jerusalem and Arifat cannot accept it
- 35:50and doesn't come up with a kind of counteroffer now there is a dissenting view on this from Robert
- 35:56Malley who was a mid-level staffer and is in the news again in Washington because uh his security
- 36:02clearance was recently suspended um that says you know that that sort of blames Israel and the
- 36:08United States more but this is what Bill Clinton Dennis Ross and all of uh the you know most
- 36:14of the people who were there when their memoirs after this these negotiations were basically like
- 36:19Arifat did not have a counter-proposal and just said no and then we get what's known as the
- 36:24second into Fata the second into Fata then um you know obviously prompts a military response
- 36:29from Israel eventually they deal with this problem with suicide bombers for a number of reasons we
- 36:33don't have to get into it and uh people who don't have a living memory of the Fata what is the so
- 36:39so i'm just going to slide down here because the 90s is critical i think to uh if we're going to
- 36:43portion blame anywhere then it is crucial that people understand that in the 1990s there was an
- 36:49offer there was an offer for something like 97% of Palestinian land yeah no more settlements
- 36:56an actual country sharing the holy capital of east Jerusalem uh you know all that there wasn't
- 37:03that the Palestinians really care about was a right to for all Palestinians to return to the
- 37:08original lands of Israel as i understand yeah and it's that that's a fantasy kind of anyway yeah
- 37:13obviously that's not gonna happen i mean no other no other country in the world that has attention
- 37:19between people who were here previously and uh and a new and new arrivals whether that's the
- 37:26First Nations Australians or Native Americans or whatever no one would accept that they get to come
- 37:32and take my house or live on you know the house that i that i that i bought that would never be on
- 37:37the cards yeah and so the Palestinians walk away from that offer and in clinton's biography he says
- 37:44that arafat said to him that he that clinton is a great man and clinton said no i'm a failure
- 37:49and you made me one yeah that's that's all true but i mean even if you don't want to take clinton's
- 37:53word for it there's lots of other people who would test to basically that arafat said no and didn't
- 37:57have a counter offer so they so he goes away and launches an intifada which by the way there's evidence
- 38:04that he was planning at you know at the end of the summer of 2000 when there were still these
- 38:08camp david two talks so um there's a second intifada uh what does that mean intifada just means
- 38:15uprising but the uprising is there's two intifadas there's one in eighty eight where
- 38:21there there there is there are terrorist components of it but it's largely nonviolent and
- 38:28you see a generation of kind of Palestinian local leaders and it i think it was much more
- 38:33defensible in some ways but the second intifada is i mean we see the uh formation by the way of
- 38:40something that sounds very islamist called the al-oxamarders brigade but that was that was the
- 38:45the PLO doing that kind of riding on the wave of of this uh more current ideology of political Islam
- 38:53as opposed to the PLO's founding ideology which was like uh the socialist nationalism of
- 39:00nasser or aflak or others so what he's this uprising the second intifada is it coordinated and
- 39:07decreed from above or is it an organic thing that comes from the grassroots well there's a lot of
- 39:12evidence from uh what's called the the arifat compound that was seized by israel they got a lot
- 39:17of documents and yes there's a lot of evidence that it was coordinated from above i actually
- 39:22did an interview in the middle of the second intifada um with aminal hindi who was the uh kind of
- 39:29fahta aparat and charge of uh intelligence for the gaza strip and he he acknowledged that there were
- 39:35there were there was coordination and he said this is like a war and you know that kind of thing so
- 39:40the reason why that is such an uh an important point to make about the second intifada that it was
- 39:46indeed coordinated was because the very institutions that were brought in with israel during the
- 39:54peace process to maintain security then basically not only didn't stop the bad guys but participated
- 40:02in this um so this then led to this idea of um basically kind of a consolidation for israel where
- 40:14in 2005 are else maroon after bringing quiet and putting down this second intifada
- 40:20with straws from gaza it did it it was very very uh traumatic for israel at tour the country apart in
- 40:28a lot of ways but they did it um and you know and then then there were elections that were pushed
- 40:36by the bushing administration and hummus wins the legislature elections and the fahta party the
- 40:45PLO will not seat their representatives where they would have a majority so this creates a standoff
- 40:50and then in 2007 this so the elections in 2006 and 2007 hummus has had enough they feel that they're
- 40:56you know that they that the uh the pa the Palestinian Authority is not is welching on you know
- 41:03their guarantees of abiding by an election and so they then kick out the remnants of the security
- 41:12forces for the Palestinian Authority in gaza and take over um and hummus has been in control of
- 41:19gaza ever since and that has led to a situation where every few years there have been these rocket
- 41:27wars uh and each you know and over time hummus gets better and better at these rockets and then finally
- 41:34and i again i'm skipping over a lot but finally we see it the october 7 massacre which is
- 41:39representing a kind of new and grotesque strategy uh for hummus so that's that's the the potted history
- 41:48hmm thanks for that the so it was what were the off ramps let's be as generous as possible to
- 41:56Israel's critics because i think there's just a vague cloud of suspicion especially about
- 42:01the past 20 years i mean you keep saying that the Israel withdrew from gaza and it did uh but critics
- 42:08would say that it withdrew and then imposed an untenable blockade and then you can say well of course
- 42:13they had to blockade it because it wasn't a blockade when they withdrew okay there was a blockade
- 42:18after hummus took power that's a very important just i mean play again that's the reason there's blockade
- 42:24do you understand why now there might Israel might have a problem with things going in and out of
- 42:29gaza after october 7th as if you needed more information not you i'm saying Josh but i'm saying to
- 42:34the man like um okay uh so what were the off ramps well i mean this is going to sound maybe
- 42:41counterintuitive but Israel declined uh to go after the hummus military headquarters and i think
- 42:51it's 2011 but i'd have to remember what it was one of the wars where because they were under one
- 42:56of the largest hospitals and if they were to go after the hummus military headquarters and decapitate
- 43:02this you know regime in gaza they would there would be you know a pr nightmare not to mention
- 43:07lots of innocent people and kill you know destroying a hospital so um i would say that one off ramp
- 43:15was the failure of the IDF to understand that um you needed to you couldn't have any kind of
- 43:25you know real security if hummus was in charge of gaza they believed they could manage the conflict
- 43:31that for the most part you know hummus decided to fire lots of rockets they had iron dome
- 43:38and they could protect the country um and you know hummus would you know kind of stew in gaza and
- 43:44meanwhile you know it was very cruel in some ways uh to the Palestinian people that they had to live
- 43:50under these um you know fanatic autocrats who you know torture political dissidents you know torture
- 43:57gays and lesbians and uh we all know the list of horrors but we should remember them in the context
- 44:03of what the hummus does to their own population um so that's one off ramp another off ramp might
- 44:11have been although i don't know that it was necessarily ready but i mean i think that you know
- 44:16there there could have been more creative efforts to try to bolster um i'm gonna forget his name
- 44:24but there was one guy who was brought in to basically try to fight the corruption of the Palestinian
- 44:30authority he was an American Palestinian um i'm sorry i'm not remembering his name right now but
- 44:36you know this was on the west bank this was on the west bank and um he was somebody who did have a
- 44:42serious idea of trying to end corruption and eventually uh the us to sort of you know let him
- 44:48dangle in the wind so to speak and carry uh decided to pursue negotiations between
- 44:55Israel and Abu mauson uh and you know to sort of stop trying to create other power centers or to
- 45:03have government reform uh for the Palestinian authority so that was another area where maybe
- 45:08there could have been more attention paid to the quality of governance as opposed to just finding
- 45:15you know dealing with the same old corrupt people who spoke for the Palestinians who were
- 45:20not willing to deliver peace um you know i don't know uh whether i mean i think the Israelis could have
- 45:27done a better job of maybe leaving out the you know trying to um well i you know it depends on
- 45:36what you mean by settlements i i don't think it's realistic to ask um israel to prepare to you
- 45:43divide the city of Jerusalem or redeviate it but i do think of there there there could have been
- 45:50more consistency and you saw this under ulmer of going after um some of the uh sort of illegal
- 45:58settlements that were not approved and more importantly some of this this generation of
- 46:04you know youth gangs that were you know Jewish that harass the Palestinian population
- 46:09though we should not you know it's a two-way street there's a lot of you know they're Palestinians
- 46:15who do the same kind of thing and but you know those those kinds of Jews these kinds of fanatics
- 46:20people like Baruch Goldstein who was responsible in 1994 for a horrific massacre in a mosque
- 46:27you know he he was killed in that attack but you know groups like that should be
- 46:32um dealt with swiftly by the IDF and there have been times when they have been dealt with not
- 46:38as swiftly although that again i think is exaggerated by some of the critics of israel because
- 46:45you know they're there there there are arrests of of uh you know Judeo fascists on the west bank
- 46:52so it's not i don't think that's i mean the so there's the there's that whole thing of you know
- 46:58individual lone wolf people who are perpetrating violence and i think most reasonable people
- 47:04could agree that those people should be uh you know should be punished but then there's this i
- 47:10think the sense that i get from people who are just world weary of israeli in transgences as they
- 47:16see it is that uh after the failure of the peace process in the 1990s and the withdrawal from Gaza
- 47:25perhaps because of big demographic changes in israel where some of the more hippie-dippy kibbutzim
- 47:32style secular Jews who were dominant in the country in the past have been replaced by orthodox uh Jews
- 47:41from eastern europe and russia who are much more committed to a very robust vision of Zionism
- 47:49you've got this electorate that is now electing and re-electing governments that you know
- 47:55forget what forget about netanyahu he looks like a left-wing peacenick in comparison to some of the
- 48:00right-wing parties that he's in coalition with who really do and i've interviewed some of these guys
- 48:06they basically do think that israel should be you know a single jewish state all throughout the
- 48:13entire region and they have been aggressive about allowing and authorizing these little settlements
- 48:20on land that everybody in the world knows would have to end up being palestine so you put yourself
- 48:27in the palestinians shoes and you go okay well this is the only space in the world that we're
- 48:33going to ever get a state you can forget about right-of-return or anything and they're constructing
- 48:37towns fortified towns on that land for us to move around we have to face constant road checks and
- 48:44you know the nightmare of being ensnared in kaffka esk bureaucracy and 22 year olds with machine
- 48:51guns in israeli military outfits we're policing how much flower you're bringing to your neighboring
- 48:59town to give to your mother-in-law because there happens to be a settlement now that's constructed
- 49:03between your two towns like what is the the off ramp at strikes me would have been stop building
- 49:12those fucking towns in a place that everybody knows would have to be palestine that is palestine
- 49:19and provide some indication that the the Palestinians who are not trying to execute
- 49:29and slaughter Jews have a path towards a state and that what has been happening on that front
- 49:35in the past 15 years well again I am not really that persuaded by that because there are things
- 49:45that the Palestinians could do such as again ending this like pay for slave stuff and you know I
- 49:54mean you're dealing with the population I mean the population would boot them up like with every
- 49:58passing year of misery the population is likely to become more radicalized and we see that in
- 50:03israel as well with every passing year of frustration I mean let's talk about Ben Gavir and
- 50:09and smother because I agree with you that these are Judeo fascist I criticized Netanyahu for kind
- 50:16of making a cynical alliance which really began in like 2018 with these parties and I think that
- 50:24they have no place in a kind of respectable Israeli politics but on the other hand I you know
- 50:32that they they are able to be part of a ruling coalition because most of the country has given up
- 50:38on a fantasy that the Palestinians if you if you just you know offer them the right incentives
- 50:45will you know live in peace with israel so I mean they you have to understand how I mean there's a
- 50:53reason why the labor party is now an afterthought in israel when that was you know it came from the
- 50:58original coalition of Ben Gorean and and and had a political monopoly until 1978 in the election
- 51:04of Monoccan Bacon and that is that the labor party promised a kind of approach of land for peace
- 51:13which when it was tried by a lecude prime minister arael chiron ended up being land for rocket wars
- 51:21and so there there is a sense here where I think Israelis feel that you know they they they're not
- 51:29going to go back to what they see as the kind of illusion that you know negotiations will somehow end
- 51:37the conflict because it seems that when they have given up land and they also by the way got out
- 51:43of southern Lebanon and 2000 that it only just adds to their security nightmare so every time that
- 51:53israel has you know sort of conceded territory it's been met with you know more war
- 52:01so again you have to ask the south the question has the Palestinians really made that strategic
- 52:06choice that we all thought they made in the 1990s that they're willing to accept less than their
- 52:11historical demands for a you know a Jew-free Palestine the entire territory
- 52:20um you know is that something that represents you know where Palestinian leadership is at this
- 52:27point my view is that the answer is in governance reform and finding better and better leaders
- 52:36and figuring out how to incentivize us now to out in Israel like I think the Israelis I think
- 52:43the Israelis if there was a every time you've seen a former foe um take risks for peace whether it's
- 52:51onwarsada or the recent Abraham Accords the Israelis have been eager to make peace it's it's you know
- 52:58if you had a palace I mean isn't it incumbent on isn't it the job of the people who hold all the
- 53:03tads to be more aggressive about trying to find a solution well I don't know that I would say
- 53:09that Israel Israel doesn't hold the cards if it did it would I mean I as I said I would have been
- 53:15in favor of Israel using one of these wars to just get to kick him us out of Gaza that would have
- 53:21been obviously a good thing in retrospect but they've they've always I mean especially in
- 53:27Nanyahu is always you know sort of load the idea of another reoccupation of that strip and then
- 53:33all of the problems that come along with it so right but the options are not either reoccupation
- 53:39or unilateral withdrawal and then the tight control over the area I mean what Palestinians want
- 53:47is an agreement an agreement to where they have independence and they can run their own
- 53:52if that's all they want it then like they could have had that in 1995 they could have had it
- 53:57in 2000 they could have maybe even added in 2010 during the over negotiations why I mean are
- 54:02you sure about that I'm not so sure about that well I mean I'm sort of channeling like I heard in
- 54:07all these rally generals saying it's not us against them it's some of us and some of them against
- 54:13some of them and some of us so there is there is some cohort of people in in the Palestinian territories
- 54:20one would assume who would be okay with a state maybe even an unarmed state that does not occupy
- 54:28the entirety well I okay if that if that's true and I hope it is then then it is in Israel's interest
- 54:35it's an America's interest it's in the Arab regions interest it's in the world's interest and it's
- 54:40in the interest of Palestinians to find those people and cultivate them as peace partners because
- 54:46clearly the leadership right now of the Palestinians is not interested in that yeah absolutely but I
- 54:52mean again yeah the beatings will stop when morale improves but that's not I don't think that's
- 54:56really the case because you cannot expect a state to I mean who is the negotiating partner they
- 55:06supposed to try to you know say well let's try another approach with Hamas and and talk about
- 55:11you know what a great future will be when we all live side-by-side we know that that's not going
- 55:15to work with them we know that I'm not talking the time I'm most confident okay fine but I mean
- 55:20Abumazan what what we first of all I don't even know that Abumazan has any legitimacy he also has
- 55:25not stood for an election since 2006 second of all I don't know that I mean based on his recent
- 55:35you know comments in the last five or six years that he wants either this is something that he
- 55:40necessarily wants I mean it whatever who knows what he wants but he is you know sensitive to the
- 55:46Arab street as we call it and he obviously if he was too conciliatory then the his people would
- 55:54would boot him out so there's there is there is that I mean in the same way I totally understand
- 55:59your your frustration about like who is the partner for peace here and well who exactly you
- 56:03supposed to be negotiating with and at the same time while there is this alternative history that
- 56:11I can imagine in which Palestinians instead of responding with bouts of terrorism had responded
- 56:19with a strategy of peaceful non-resistance I can also imagine a parallel history in which since say
- 56:272005 Israel was ruled by you know imagine that Rabin had been in power instead of Netanyahu are
- 56:35we confident that he couldn't have found some in maybe but you know you have to you have to
- 56:44understand that when when Arifat launches the second into Fada it's it's devastating to the
- 56:52peace camp in Israel and then after a liquid prime minister goes against his own party and his own
- 56:59base and withdrawals from Gaza and five settlements in the West Bank never forget that and
- 57:08you know you know almost tears the country apart that is met in less in like less than a year and a
- 57:16half by rockets I mean I'm just telling you that like this is the political reality in Israel
- 57:21Israel's a democracy so it's it's hard for me to imagine how you can have a
- 57:29bleeder that would not you know take a different line after the experience of the 1990s and the
- 57:352000s let's talk about the future rely okay there are now two things that Israel needs to do one is
- 57:46make sure that October 7 can never happen again and the other is in a longer term sense to turn
- 57:54down the heat on the conditions that you're talking about right I mean if the problem is that where
- 58:01we're skeptical about how much willingness there is amongst Palestinians to tolerate
- 58:06merely a state and how much of a desire among power among Palestinians on the street there is to
- 58:13actually wipe Jews off the face of the earth or at least out of the region then you've got to
- 58:19find a way to turn the dial towards yes we'll cop a state versus no we want to execute Jews or like
- 58:29can you do both those things at the same time because it strikes me that to really protect yourself
- 58:33against hummus you have to do some devastating shit in Gaza which then inflames the opinion which
- 58:39prevents the long term settlement I mean at this point I think Israel has to focus on reading
- 58:45Gaza at the very least of hummus I would imagine that I mean I have no inside information but I
- 58:51would imagine that that you know hummus is leaders that live in luxury outside of Gaza and Doha and
- 58:57Istanbul and Ankara should probably could very well be targets I think we have to look very
- 59:04seriously at the prospect that the Iranians are more involved it's it's unclear at this point
- 59:10the US government says they don't have direct evidence there are other people in Congress who say
- 59:13they do there've been some journal some reports that have suggested the Iranians certainly had a
- 59:17role and if you look at the comments from Ayatollah Hamanay the supreme leader of that country
- 59:25and the history of Iran's support for these proxies then of course you know the Iranians
- 59:30have some culpability so I think we're already looking at a kind of regional war and a regional war
- 59:35started by what the Iranians will refer to themselves as the axis of resistance I would prefer to
- 59:41call them the axis of dirt bags but you know the listeners can be the judge of that so you know in
- 59:48in that respect I think that those are the kind of immediate questions that take priority into
- 59:54you know the take priority over you know what will public opinion be in Gaza and the West Bank
- 59:59after this war or something like that sadly I believe the Palestinians are caught up as pawns
- 1:00:06in this regional conflict that is you know really being fueled by Iran and so
- 1:00:14you know I would love it for there to be you know an opening for you know some Palestinian leaders
- 1:00:20to sort of say we are no longer going to be you know the the pawns of of Tehran they have nothing
- 1:00:27to do with us but I'm not holding my breath precisely because I think that it's going to be a
- 1:00:34bit of brutality that the IDF is going to unleash in Gaza it's always a kind of human tragedy
- 1:00:41they're going to be innocent we're going to be killed and I don't think that anyone should
- 1:00:44celebrate any of that certainly not me but the priority if you want to make sure that you prevent
- 1:00:50October 7th from ever happening again is that you just have to just destroy Hamas you have to
- 1:00:56you know you have to you have to destroy them you know some people would say well Hamas is a brand
- 1:01:00it's an idea okay but there are also leaders of Hamas and there are also you know they have resources
- 1:01:07and you have that's what you have to focus on and that was not the time for abstractions because
- 1:01:12they're a very real threat it is interesting to ask a question of what happens to the next I mean
- 1:01:19well you know so you kill all of Hamas do you think of Hamas as a discrete thing or do you think
- 1:01:25of Hamas and Hezbollah and Al-Qaeda and the Taliban and ISIS as different forms of Islamist fascism
- 1:01:33that will find a way to infect people's minds and provide a convenient model a blame you know it
- 1:01:41makes you blameless it makes it makes other people the Americans the Jews the colonizers the bad
- 1:01:47guys it makes you feel righteous it gives you a simple worldview it offers you paradise after death
- 1:01:54it's a cute model it's nice it's a fundamentalism and you know is what do you do about that
- 1:02:00well I'm I think that you there's two different things going on as we talked about a little
- 1:02:06it earlier there is a very deep rooted sense in kind of Palestinian political expression that
- 1:02:18its strategy should be atrocities against Jews in Israel and forcing them to eventually leave
- 1:02:25so that you know Palestinians can take over and that as I said has been a strategy since before
- 1:02:31even there was a state of Israel and then it's it's kind of been taken over at least parts of it
- 1:02:37have been taken over by this imperialist revanchist version of political Islam which wants to conquer
- 1:02:49you know to recreate the caliphate so yes there is a connection between Hamas, ISIS, Al-Qaeda
- 1:02:57the Muslim Brotherhood it was originally kind of formed as out of the branch of the Palestinian
- 1:03:03Muslim Brotherhood and all of this kind of goes back to a lot of very bad ideas about
- 1:03:08you know imposing Islamic law and again recreating the caliphate
- 1:03:15but you know we've dealt with this I mean I don't you know you don't let the perfect be the enemy
- 1:03:20of the good ISIS looked really tough in 2015 and by 2020 they they're you know they
- 1:03:29there was no ISIS caliphate and they became less of a threat al-Qaeda looked very imposing in 2001
- 1:03:35and now you know nobody really cares what they do and they're sort of you know like I don't know
- 1:03:41they're like living in like you know the you know in in squalor in rural Afghanistan or wherever
- 1:03:47the hell they are and yes there are other regional affiliates of al-Qaeda but it's not the
- 1:03:52it's not the force that it once was so I think we've seen that you know the ideology is poison
- 1:04:00and it does offer something to a certain kind of you know I guess like a certain kind of Muslim
- 1:04:07a certain kind of person but it's possible to sort of you know there's nothing inevitable about
- 1:04:12you know them and there are there strategies for destroying their leadership just as
- 1:04:18you know there was a time when Abu Nidal was a was a major figure and you know eventually
- 1:04:23you know through counterterrorism and things he's really and probably the CIA did Abu Nidal
- 1:04:29became a spent force and you know his his lieutenants turned on him and he was living in exile
- 1:04:36in Iraq so I just mentioned all of this because I don't think it's an excuse for not
- 1:04:42necessarily doing anything as for the appeal of political Islam you know when you control
- 1:04:53all of the education in a little statelet like Hamas has done now since 2007 it's very easy
- 1:05:01that you will raise a generation of people who you know go along with this nonsense
- 1:05:09um so part of it part of the way that you deal with this ideological problem is to deal with
- 1:05:15the you know physical presence of these organizations and make sure that they're they don't have
- 1:05:21they don't control territory and they don't have the ability to um you know poison more minds and
- 1:05:27then I just want to say one other thing that history of particularly Islamist groups does not
- 1:05:34show that they get their recruits for their most you know kind of their their their next generation
- 1:05:39of leaders and most fervent operatives from you know the most dispossessed they usually come from
- 1:05:46you know educated middle-class families just look at the bin Laden's look at I'm an also
- 1:05:50watery he was a medical student at the University of Cairo um you see all kinds of examples of a lot
- 1:05:56of people who have embraced revolutionary violence you know whether in the Islamist version of it
- 1:06:02or you know earlier versions of kind of you know the inspired by Lenin and Marx like you know
- 1:06:09Carlos the Jackal um these were people that came from fairly comfortable you know bourgeois families
- 1:06:18so um so in that respect I would just say that there's a that we should be careful about how we
- 1:06:25think about um you know what to do but there's an immediate problem right now and that immediate
- 1:06:31problem is Hamas and you know I think it's fair to say that Israel had had the wrong strategy
- 1:06:38thinking that they could manage the conflict with them and now they think they understand that they
- 1:06:42they can't live in a world with Hamas and then in the longer term uh like how optimistic or pessimistic
- 1:06:50are you what becomes of Jews in that part of the world like I don't imagine you know Australia is
- 1:06:54122 years old it's pretty recent uh that the country formed into an actual nation in 122 years
- 1:07:03it doesn't strike me as likely that the status quo continues to persist where Israel is able to
- 1:07:09continue merely using the tools of security to protect itself so do you end up
- 1:07:16like is there a nightmare scenario in which uh you know Arab countries or Iran
- 1:07:26take advantage of this is there a better scenario in which there's a two-state solution
- 1:07:31is there an alternative scenario in which there's some kind of one-state solution what do you think
- 1:07:35ends up happening in a hundred years oh well um you know I mean I think that you you have to deal with
- 1:07:43the Iran problem and I think the ideal solution there is to support the millions of Iranians who
- 1:07:49despise their regime and I think that then things begin opening up a bit um you know it's uh if you
- 1:07:57think about it um you know Israel has managed to almost come very close to a piece with Saudi Arabia
- 1:08:10which nobody would have thought would have even remotely possible even a few years ago so I think
- 1:08:16that there's a lot of options out there I don't want to predict what will happen in a hundred years
- 1:08:19I certainly hope that Israel still exists and um but I think in the in the near term a part of
- 1:08:27the answer to that problem is you have to prevent this uh fanatic regime in Tehran from getting
- 1:08:33a nuclear weapon Eli thanks for your expertise uh hang in there you too it's thank you for
- 1:08:40having me no but that's it's great to talk to you thank you absolutely thank you