Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL Week 12 MNF Showdown | Ravens @ Chargers | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yeah, all system's going clear to the LEFTO. What's all run?
- 0:36Speaker 1: Tyler Tamberline here aka Totagg and Tambo back for another
- 0:40Speaker 1: edition of the Monday night football Showdown. Show here on
- 0:43Speaker 1: the Ship at Nation YouTube station. Got title here, got
- 0:45Speaker 1: hoop You're gonna break it all down as usual, talk
- 0:48Speaker 1: through grand scheme, overview, captain ownership, how we're handling the
- 0:51Speaker 1: captain position, take it position by position, from their roster, construction,
- 0:55Speaker 1: build outs, all that and more Hoopster I'll bring you
- 0:58Speaker 1: in first. Been a pretty good week for the ship
- 1:00Speaker 1: Nation crew and all the members. Last night even in showdown,
- 1:02Speaker 1: three shippers up top for thirteen k plus. Just a
- 1:05Speaker 1: huge week across the board. What's going on, man?
- 1:07Speaker 2: Yeah? Solid week. I mean the tweets out there with
- 1:10Speaker 2: all the success that the members had, and it's like
- 1:12Speaker 2: one of the most rewarding things to see when you're
- 1:15Speaker 2: in this sort of industry. I mean, obviously you want
- 1:17Speaker 2: your personal successes along the way, but when you see,
- 1:21Speaker 2: you know, members of this community continue to have really
- 1:24Speaker 2: big weeks and in some cases really really big weeks
- 1:27Speaker 2: as you can see in that tweet, it's cool and
- 1:31Speaker 2: it's fun and it makes it all worth it and
- 1:33Speaker 2: congratulations all the winners, and let's not stop the winning yet.
- 1:37Speaker 2: I mean, we got a game here tonight and then
- 1:39Speaker 2: right into the Thanksgiving slate, which is very exciting, you know,
- 1:43Speaker 2: despite the shitty contest layout, which I agree with your
- 1:47Speaker 2: tweet from Draftings just you know, makes very little sense
- 1:50Speaker 2: to me. But again, the contests are big tonight and
- 1:54Speaker 2: on Thursday, and it's going to be a fun week.
- 1:56Speaker 2: Got a standalone game on Friday, which we'll have a
- 1:58Speaker 2: show too, in full content.
- 2:00Speaker 3: So it's an exciting stretch of football here.
- 2:02Speaker 1: Yeah, the early show, like you just talked about storry
- 2:04Speaker 1: title before I bring in just quick quick stuff. The
- 2:06Speaker 1: Wednesday show is going to be one pm Eastern, same
- 2:09Speaker 1: crew here, you don't expect. It's gonna be the three
- 2:11Speaker 1: of us breaking down the three Gamer. The coverage over
- 2:13Speaker 1: at ship in Nation will be on the three Gamer.
- 2:15Speaker 1: We'll have featured coverage for the Thursday night game that
- 2:19Speaker 1: it's going to be on that Thanksgiving slate, and then
- 2:21Speaker 1: we'll have the Friday, the Black Friday game I think
- 2:23Speaker 1: they're calling it, that's going to have coverage as well.
- 2:25Speaker 1: So everything you don't expect. Twenty dollars buying today title
- 2:28Speaker 1: five hundred k up top. What's going on by Man?
- 2:30Speaker 1: Week twelve? Still here if great week, keep it rolling.
- 2:33Speaker 1: Not the best week. We got tonight to fix that.
- 2:35Speaker 1: What's going on man?
- 2:36Speaker 4: Yeah, a huge week for the nation. Love going in
- 2:39Speaker 4: Discord and seeing all the screen shots. I mean NBA
- 2:42Speaker 4: shout out to Rio and the team ham BJ always
- 2:45Speaker 4: grinding there see plenty there answer got a big one,
- 2:48Speaker 4: always grinding the Sean Sullivan one earlier. College football stays
- 2:51Speaker 4: on fire. I mean, it's such a good time over
- 2:54Speaker 4: here at Chippin' Nation. But yeah, five hundred k up top.
- 2:57Speaker 4: Absolutely no one will complain about that. Good real life game.
- 3:00Speaker 4: FFTY one total two and a half point Favorites are
- 3:02Speaker 4: the Ravens and chalk Or. It's very concentrated at Captain,
- 3:06Speaker 4: which with a couple guys as you'd expect when it's
- 3:09Speaker 4: a Lamar Derrick Henry slates, and then only really a
- 3:13Speaker 4: couple guys on the Chargers that are pretty appealing.
- 3:16Speaker 5: But yeah, it's a solid show showtown game.
- 3:17Speaker 1: I think, Yeah, we'll talk more when we get into
- 3:19Speaker 1: the show. How I'm gonna go broke on this slate,
- 3:21Speaker 1: But that's perfect. I'm definitely taking a huge stand. But
- 3:24Speaker 1: shout out to Sean not only calling a shot adding
- 3:26Speaker 1: a full zero. He shipped fifty k last week, had
- 3:29Speaker 1: a nice little giveaway for everybody yesterday, so again thank
- 3:31Speaker 1: you to Sean. Hooked a couple of members up with
- 3:34Speaker 1: eighty five bucks the package there, so congrats again to Sean,
- 3:37Speaker 1: but now calling a shot for that. And this is
- 3:39Speaker 1: need's what we're all hoping for. Everyone's had some bad
- 3:42Speaker 1: runouts this season at times. Maybe we can get it rolling.
- 3:45Speaker 1: This is a good question though, something I always debate.
- 3:48Speaker 1: I would think, you know, play this towards what your
- 3:50Speaker 1: game and style is. I think you should always sort
- 3:51Speaker 1: of have a feel for what that is. If you
- 3:53Speaker 1: like a smaller slate, remember it's staggered, so there's like
- 3:57Speaker 1: late swap. I mean, you're always gonna be up against
- 3:59Speaker 1: the best in the world with multiple seats and all that.
- 4:01Speaker 1: But I really would focus on what you feel best
- 4:03Speaker 1: is about your game. Hoop ono. Did you have a
- 4:06Speaker 1: thought on this one?
- 4:07Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, think about what sort of slate and
- 4:10Speaker 2: number of games you feel most comfortable with. We let's
- 4:12Speaker 2: talk about it, like on the PGA stuff too. Like
- 4:15Speaker 2: with the PGA Showdown. Some people are just better at
- 4:17Speaker 2: PGA Showdown. I think you and I have had a
- 4:20Speaker 2: lot of success PGA Showdown, sometimes more than on the
- 4:22Speaker 2: main slate, And we've had these conversations like, find the
- 4:26Speaker 2: game the style play that fits your process the best,
- 4:32Speaker 2: and if it's a smaller slate, like yeah, fire away.
- 4:35Speaker 2: If it's the main slate, save it for the main slate.
- 4:39Speaker 2: So yeah, whatever you feel most comfortable with. But I
- 4:41Speaker 2: guess you know, congratulations on the seat and hopefully turn
- 4:44Speaker 2: that into some life changing money.
- 4:46Speaker 1: Yeah, and think about that too. I like that part
- 4:47Speaker 1: you just ad or what did you win the seat in? Right?
- 4:49Speaker 1: If you want it in Showdown on a single game,
- 4:51Speaker 1: yeah it's different. Maybe you can't apply as much from
- 4:53Speaker 1: that situation. But if you want it on a main
- 4:55Speaker 1: slate in a you know, a field that same similar
- 4:57Speaker 1: size or something, play it like you just played it
- 4:59Speaker 1: and hope that the the run goes in your way again. Right,
- 5:02Speaker 1: you have that good runout and you get the top
- 5:03Speaker 1: of that one for a million bucks, So certainly appreciate
- 5:06Speaker 1: that hoop. I'll get your grand scheme over you in
- 5:08Speaker 1: a sec. But just real quick title mentioned this title,
- 5:11Speaker 1: did you look at the upcoming schedule, the two teams
- 5:14Speaker 1: play a night, good real life game. We're getting a
- 5:16Speaker 1: lot of them. The Ravens got a bunch of these
- 5:18Speaker 1: Island and two game slates coming up. There's a bunch
- 5:20Speaker 1: of two games slates this month too, So if you're
- 5:22Speaker 1: not watching or didn't plan on watching, tune in with
- 5:24Speaker 1: us on Wednesday breaking down the three gamer that's staggered
- 5:26Speaker 1: because you'll be able to use that in the future.
- 5:29Speaker 1: But the Chargers are three of the next eleven slates.
- 5:32Speaker 1: I think that we played for Showdown, they got flexed
- 5:34Speaker 1: into another one. So a lot to take away this
- 5:36Speaker 1: is round one, But just wondered if you saw anything
- 5:38Speaker 1: on that. And to the Harball Bowl, right, we're getting
- 5:41Speaker 1: version two, not the super Bowl and forty nine ers,
- 5:43Speaker 1: but the Harbaugh coaches going back and forth tonight.
- 5:45Speaker 4: Yeah, two defensive mind coaches and a big boy total.
- 5:49Speaker 4: So that's pretty interesting. But I don't hate Chargers primetime
- 5:52Speaker 4: games really because Herbert's been bawling and there's plenty of
- 5:55Speaker 4: different ways you can kind of go with this team. So,
- 5:57Speaker 4: I mean, we just saw it last week with Disleey
- 6:00Speaker 4: kind of low own mid tier captain lad got heard
- 6:03Speaker 4: he came back like they're moving the ball. Herbert's looking good.
- 6:05Speaker 4: So I'll sign up for some more Chargers prime time games.
- 6:08Speaker 1: I'm with you. I like that And the one they
- 6:10Speaker 1: flexed out was good. Hoop your boy. Danny's in here said,
- 6:13Speaker 1: it's coming down to my Vikings and your Lions. See
- 6:15Speaker 1: you at us Bank Stadium for the NFC Championship game, Buddy,
- 6:19Speaker 1: Is that a deal?
- 6:20Speaker 2: Yeah? This has been going back and forth since week one,
- 6:24Speaker 2: and man, like, I feel good about my Lions being there,
- 6:27Speaker 2: but the Vikings, I don't know. Man, they struggle with
- 6:29Speaker 2: the Bears yesterday, like they're kind of trending in the
- 6:31Speaker 2: wrong direction in my eyes. But hopefully, hopefully it happens
- 6:34Speaker 2: because it's kind of been an ongoing thing and if
- 6:37Speaker 2: it is the NFC Championship, you're gonna be coming. You'll
- 6:40Speaker 2: be coming my way, so we'll definitely we'll definitely get connected.
- 6:44Speaker 2: And you know, there's no doubt I'll be at that game.
- 6:46Speaker 2: So hopefully it happens, we'll meet up and we'll be
- 6:49Speaker 2: at the game together for sure.
- 6:51Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna bring up the stone and I'll get
- 6:52Speaker 1: your grand scheme over. You just wanted to point this
- 6:54Speaker 1: out to people as well. Besides the promos and what
- 6:56Speaker 1: I just don't know. I know a lot of people
- 6:57Speaker 1: out there want to know what's going on ship at
- 7:00Speaker 1: Nation before they hop in, and maybe some people didn't
- 7:02Speaker 1: know this, but you can go to the site. The
- 7:04Speaker 1: shipdemizer tutorials are completely free, so you just click tutorials
- 7:08Speaker 1: you can see what our optimizer is all about. But
- 7:10Speaker 1: if you want to see what all this stuff is,
- 7:12Speaker 1: everyone knows. Oh, I see the list, like what is it?
- 7:14Speaker 1: You can just click NFL up at the top and
- 7:17Speaker 1: go through and see what everything is. You can't view
- 7:19Speaker 1: it further unless you're a member, but if you do
- 7:21Speaker 1: want to know what we carry and what we've got
- 7:22Speaker 1: you covered for and all the value that you can get.
- 7:24Speaker 1: We'll get into the promos later. But wop, I'm going
- 7:26Speaker 1: to bring up the Stone to start things off. This
- 7:29Speaker 1: is found under NFL showdown the Stone. You got it
- 7:32Speaker 1: all updated and ready to go. Man, Big Boy Totals.
- 7:34Speaker 1: I like what title said there. That's kind of interesting.
- 7:37Speaker 1: Two defensive minded, sort of you know, run the ball
- 7:39Speaker 1: type of coaches in some cases special teams, et cetera.
- 7:42Speaker 1: Big Boy Total, what's your thoughts? On this game early
- 7:45Speaker 1: first looking, I.
- 7:46Speaker 2: Always got a shout out our guy, Derek the teacher,
- 7:49Speaker 2: so parent teacher conferences today, so no kids the rest
- 7:52Speaker 2: of the day, so he doesn't even have to, you know,
- 7:54Speaker 2: keep these kids distracted. He's able to enjoy the full show.
- 7:57Speaker 2: So as always appreciate, appreciate your worked and enjoy the
- 8:01Speaker 2: afternoon without the kid.
- 8:02Speaker 4: Up.
- 8:02Speaker 2: Hey read the last sentence and yeah, well that's that's
- 8:06Speaker 2: secondary first ever shift last night too, So I congraduates there.
- 8:11Speaker 1: Shout out Derek. That's awesome. And to get to nice
- 8:13Speaker 1: it's like another little ship for today. No kids there
- 8:15Speaker 1: you go, good to go.
- 8:16Speaker 2: Yeah, double shit, back to back. So the one thing,
- 8:20Speaker 2: you know, five weeks ago, if we said we have
- 8:22Speaker 2: the Chargers on tonight and the Chargers on a bunch
- 8:25Speaker 2: of primetime games, we had been like, ah, shit, man,
- 8:27Speaker 2: that's gonna be boring because they weren't really doing they
- 8:30Speaker 2: weren't pushing it offensively. It was all like run it out,
- 8:33Speaker 2: run out the clock, like make it nasty. Well something
- 8:36Speaker 2: shift obviously, and they're shifted in their play calling the
- 8:39Speaker 2: last few weeks because they've been moving the ball and
- 8:42Speaker 2: throwing it more and Herbert's had some you know, pretty
- 8:45Speaker 2: solid fantasy games as well. I mean early on in
- 8:47Speaker 2: the season you look at it ten thirteen, nine, eleven, thirteen,
- 8:51Speaker 2: and then fantasy performances of seventeen twenty four, nineteen, nineteen
- 8:56Speaker 2: twenty five, So it's like halfway through the season. They
- 8:59Speaker 2: obviously they have shifted something and gone a little more
- 9:02Speaker 2: pass heavy, which makes the games more appealing. And if
- 9:05Speaker 2: you're going to beat the Ravens, as you can see
- 9:07Speaker 2: here on the stone off against the pass defense and
- 9:11Speaker 2: at a against the run defense, you want to pass
- 9:14Speaker 2: the ball, So you know, the one the difficult part
- 9:19Speaker 2: about the slate is the captain, Like who you play
- 9:22Speaker 2: at the captain position? Yes, if you just run it,
- 9:26Speaker 2: it's gonna be a lot of Lamar Jackson. You've got
- 9:28Speaker 2: the dry run here. I guess that's a really good
- 9:30Speaker 2: segue into that. The drive run has sixty eight was
- 9:32Speaker 2: at eighty four, So eighty four four and I.
- 9:35Speaker 1: Checked it twice, Man Mount Santa Claus, I'm checking my list.
- 9:37Speaker 1: I turned it off, ran everything.
- 9:39Speaker 3: That's just it.
- 9:40Speaker 2: Is there anything crazy in flex? If you click on flex?
- 9:42Speaker 2: Is there some random bum that's like all the way
- 9:46Speaker 2: Herbert Jalen twenty two but not no. Yeah, it's not
- 9:50Speaker 2: like super super crazy, so nothing like wild. But we're
- 9:53Speaker 2: getting a two hundred dollars guy that's projected for two
- 9:56Speaker 2: fantasy points at like eighty percent. So yeah, if you
- 9:59Speaker 2: just run it, it's going to be Lamar Jackson. Now, like,
- 10:01Speaker 2: if you don't want to play Lamar off top, like,
- 10:03Speaker 2: what do you do? You know the problem? I don't
- 10:06Speaker 2: know if it's a problem, but if you want to
- 10:08Speaker 2: go with like Herbert and the Chargers passing game, he's
- 10:10Speaker 2: probabed so closely to Lamar Jackson where he's just got
- 10:13Speaker 2: to beat him straight up, Like he's got to beat
- 10:15Speaker 2: him straight up, And is it possible? Yeah, sure, But
- 10:18Speaker 2: I mean more times than not, you're gonna be putting
- 10:20Speaker 2: your money on Lamar Jackson over Herbert. There's only a
- 10:23Speaker 2: six hundred dollars difference. He's gonna have to beat him
- 10:26Speaker 2: just straight up in raw Fantasy points Tonight, Derrick Henry
- 10:29Speaker 2: ten eight. I mean, that's that's a big price take.
- 10:32Speaker 2: So where I'm struggling tonight is at the captain position,
- 10:35Speaker 2: and you know, I'm the show will definitely go a
- 10:37Speaker 2: long way in terms of what I do at the captain,
- 10:39Speaker 2: and I'll be honest at this point, I'm struggling. I
- 10:41Speaker 2: don't want the running backs I know for sure from
- 10:43Speaker 2: the Chargers kind of you know, with Gus Edwards back,
- 10:46Speaker 2: they're mixing more of these guys in. JK. Dobbins doesn't
- 10:49Speaker 2: have like the workhorse sort of role that we saw
- 10:52Speaker 2: early on in the season. The pass catchers for the
- 10:56Speaker 2: Chargers outside of Mconkie the donkey, you know, kind of
- 11:00Speaker 2: hit or miss, and he's.
- 11:01Speaker 3: All the way up at nine K and J. Flowers.
- 11:03Speaker 2: So I'm struggling in terms of what I want to
- 11:07Speaker 2: do at the captain position, and we'll talk through it.
- 11:10Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson clearly it looks like the best option up top.
- 11:13Speaker 2: He's going to be the most popular. We're showing twenty
- 11:16Speaker 2: six percent ownership. So kind of curious what you guys
- 11:19Speaker 2: think at the captain and it's definitely gonna dictate probably
- 11:21Speaker 2: what I do today as well.
- 11:23Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll let title hop in here. First title, just
- 11:26Speaker 1: quick quick thoughts on how you sort of see the
- 11:28Speaker 1: game playing out. I guess if you had to just
- 11:30Speaker 1: pick away, you'll start there. Obviously, you can build your
- 11:33Speaker 1: lineups and sets accordingly. Et cetera, and then just take
- 11:36Speaker 1: us into your thoughts at the captain as well.
- 11:38Speaker 4: I think both teams move the ball. No, Roquan Smith
- 11:41Speaker 4: is pretty big on the raven side. That definitely has
- 11:44Speaker 4: a boost for the Chargers. I mean, obviously, I bet
- 11:46Speaker 4: Hoop five hundred bucks that the Ravens would outlast the Lions.
- 11:49Speaker 4: I think they're a really good football team, Avery, brod No,
- 11:53Speaker 4: I mean it's not like I knew. I wasn't giving
- 11:56Speaker 4: you getting myself the best odds. It just its wise.
- 11:59Speaker 4: I think Ravens are better because the NFC. You said,
- 12:01Speaker 4: why the NFC.
- 12:03Speaker 3: That's a tough statement to make at this point in
- 12:05Speaker 3: the season.
- 12:05Speaker 2: Man, I test Ravens look better.
- 12:10Speaker 3: Yeah, I think so, Bro, Come on, you don't mean that.
- 12:13Speaker 5: I truly mean Lions.
- 12:15Speaker 2: I mean, even as a Ravens.
- 12:17Speaker 5: Fan, they played some really bad teams have the Lions?
- 12:20Speaker 3: I mean they just went to Houston beat that.
- 12:22Speaker 2: I mean they I mean what Houston just do yesterday
- 12:26Speaker 2: lost Tennessee. Yeah? I agree, But like, who dude to
- 12:29Speaker 2: say say that anyone in the NFL right now looks
- 12:32Speaker 2: better than the Lions is just a bad statement to make.
- 12:36Speaker 4: I think I think Ravens look better, but I'll keep
- 12:39Speaker 4: it moving. I'll take I'll take the quarterback. I'll take
- 12:42Speaker 4: the running back. Not im and Ra but uh, I
- 12:45Speaker 4: mean your boy laport it too.
- 12:46Speaker 3: He is cheeks.
- 12:47Speaker 4: So Andrews ain't great either, but let's keep it calling
- 12:50Speaker 4: Ravens side or this game, I think they moved the ball.
- 12:54Speaker 5: Lamar is up there.
- 12:55Speaker 4: The thing with Lamar and Herbert which is interesting is
- 12:57Speaker 4: Herbert has been running the ball lately, which is big.
- 12:59Speaker 2: You look at the.
- 13:00Speaker 4: Rushing prop forty two and a half for Lamar, twenty
- 13:04Speaker 4: and a half for Herbert, so that's not a crazy difference.
- 13:08Speaker 4: Lamar's a touchdown prop. Obviously, this is on the ground
- 13:12Speaker 4: or receiving plus two twenty. Herbert's is plus three eighty.
- 13:15Speaker 4: I usually expect higher from Lamar. A lot of that
- 13:18Speaker 4: is because Derrick Henry's minus two twenty this year. They're
- 13:21Speaker 4: just willing to give it to him on the goal
- 13:23Speaker 4: line and it's not as many read options and stuff.
- 13:26Speaker 4: So I have Herbert projected a lot closer than Lamar
- 13:30Speaker 4: than I thought I would.
- 13:31Speaker 5: I am within about two Lamar. We have right now
- 13:34Speaker 5: like three and a half four.
- 13:35Speaker 4: And he's gonna be we look at Captain ownership twenty
- 13:38Speaker 4: six percent and we have Herbert at sixteen or fifteen percent.
- 13:41Speaker 4: I wouldn't even be surprised if Lamar gets to like
- 13:44Speaker 4: the thirty ish range and Herbert gets down to like
- 13:46Speaker 4: the eleven or twelve range.
- 13:47Speaker 5: So I'm gonna play some Herbert.
- 13:49Speaker 4: He can spread it around, he can use his legs
- 13:51Speaker 4: a little bit, and he's a fraction of the ownership,
- 13:54Speaker 4: so I'm definitely going there. I am playing Lamar. I mean,
- 13:56Speaker 4: he obviously could break any slate with his legs. I'm
- 14:00Speaker 4: going to keep it, I think relatively condensed. It's for
- 14:02Speaker 4: sure Lamar Herbert. I'm with Hoop. I'm not playing any
- 14:06Speaker 4: of JK. Dobbins or Gus Edwards or anything there. I'm
- 14:10Speaker 4: going to say Flowers wide receiver one on Baltimore side,
- 14:13Speaker 4: and then I'm just playing Lamar Henry Flowers captain.
- 14:15Speaker 5: I'll play a little more on Chargers.
- 14:17Speaker 4: I like Herbert I talked about, and then I think
- 14:20Speaker 4: it's Lad Disley for me, and that might be it.
- 14:23Speaker 4: I'm debating Quentin Johnston a little bit because it's a
- 14:25Speaker 4: fair price sig and when we get to like position
- 14:28Speaker 4: by position, there is not a lot of value on
- 14:30Speaker 4: this play, like Jalen Rager, as he showed at twenty
- 14:33Speaker 4: two percent, he's eight hundred dollars, one of the better
- 14:36Speaker 4: values down there, and he very well could go out
- 14:38Speaker 4: and get you a zero. So that's why I do
- 14:40Speaker 4: think I'm going to play some Disley, some Quentin Johnston.
- 14:45Speaker 4: But the problem is, man, I don't love Andrew's likely Bateman,
- 14:49Speaker 4: I guess is fine, but one of these guys up topskin.
- 14:51Speaker 4: I think gonna put up a big boy the value.
- 14:53Speaker 4: Though we saw Covey the worst play ever yesterday. I'm
- 14:56Speaker 4: sorry Rio and made our members get there. It was
- 14:59Speaker 4: one of the few showdown I think maybe once all year.
- 15:02Speaker 4: It's happened more in the past. It could be a
- 15:04Speaker 4: slate like that as well, but I never try and
- 15:06Speaker 4: play for it like that.
- 15:07Speaker 1: Yeah, it's tough to see how it goes. I mean,
- 15:09Speaker 1: it's all gonna be what you decide. The game is.
- 15:10Speaker 1: If you guys can give us your final score in
- 15:12Speaker 1: the chat. I see some people already throwing it in there.
- 15:14Speaker 1: I wanted to get that early on. I already had
- 15:16Speaker 1: the consensus, and it's most certainly coming true exactly what
- 15:20Speaker 1: I expected to see. All big boys scores, and the
- 15:23Speaker 1: product of last night is I think the product of
- 15:24Speaker 1: those two teams, right, we know what it was. There's
- 15:27Speaker 1: three big dogs with no Devant de Smith. It was
- 15:29Speaker 1: Barkley AJ Brown hurts the other side all season, even
- 15:32Speaker 1: if you exclude Matt Stafford has been Kyron Williams, cup Nikua.
- 15:37Speaker 1: I don't necessarily see these options like those options, and
- 15:40Speaker 1: I also think they can spread it out a lot more,
- 15:41Speaker 1: which is why I liked your Herbert call. I am
- 15:44Speaker 1: definitely telling you my captain thoughts right out of the gate,
- 15:46Speaker 1: and I love this slate. I am going one hundred
- 15:48Speaker 1: percent fade Lamar. It's five hundred kf top, it's twenty dollars.
- 15:52Speaker 1: It's fine. He's definitely the best captain. So I'm I'm
- 15:55Speaker 1: willing to go broke on this, but I have I
- 15:58Speaker 1: always have reasons for it, and I have multi things
- 16:00Speaker 1: that I think are leaning in my favor. I don't
- 16:02Speaker 1: have an overwhelming sense of wanting to build for a
- 16:06Speaker 1: big back and forth over game. I actually think I
- 16:08Speaker 1: love titles take right off the top, just to mention
- 16:10Speaker 1: that was already how I'm thinking. The chats all on
- 16:12Speaker 1: the opposite side I think these two guys are gonna
- 16:15Speaker 1: just hammer each other on the ground and make this
- 16:18Speaker 1: a big, heavy ground and pound. It may still get
- 16:20Speaker 1: the forty five forty eight. It's you know, the numbers
- 16:22Speaker 1: are set for a reason. I just have this. That's
- 16:25Speaker 1: my thought about it. And if I if I already
- 16:26Speaker 1: feel that way, and it could happen, and I think
- 16:28Speaker 1: they have the options to make it happen. The chat
- 16:30Speaker 1: already talked about it. I don't care about the revenge
- 16:32Speaker 1: narrative of Gus Edwards and JK. Dobbins, but won't surprise
- 16:36Speaker 1: me to see those guys being in the mix. And
- 16:37Speaker 1: when I fade Lamar, it's automatic, Henry, it's automatic. Herbert,
- 16:42Speaker 1: it's I don't know exact what's what's lad McConkie's health
- 16:45Speaker 1: right now, but I think they expect him to play, right,
- 16:47Speaker 1: So yeah, I.
- 16:47Speaker 2: Think he's gonna play. I mean, he's officially questionable, but
- 16:51Speaker 2: it looks like he's in.
- 16:53Speaker 1: Yeah, I think he's in. So yeah, that's what I
- 16:55Speaker 1: was gonna say, Thank you, So mconkie Johnston and then
- 16:58Speaker 1: it's Zay and then I'll take a sprinkle of the
- 17:01Speaker 1: tight ends. But I can take that sprinkle because I
- 17:03Speaker 1: don't have Lamar at any ownership in captain. I will
- 17:06Speaker 1: have him in the flex everywhere because he's gonna have
- 17:09Speaker 1: a good game. It's does he have a game that
- 17:10Speaker 1: breaks it? And I got it right last night I
- 17:13Speaker 1: had I was way underweight. It was in the slate
- 17:15Speaker 1: plan on Hurtz didn't didn't Really, it's it's the same
- 17:18Speaker 1: kind of thing. If you can get that floor outcome,
- 17:20Speaker 1: I think that's what it's gonna be. They're gonna make
- 17:22Speaker 1: it happen through other guys. They're gonna want to ground
- 17:24Speaker 1: and pound it. So it's multiple reasons. I never like
- 17:27Speaker 1: the super popular quarterback up in the top with these
- 17:30Speaker 1: expensive ones. Also, I will say, hoop, I'll kick it
- 17:33Speaker 1: back to you. Now I'm rambling. But the thing about
- 17:35Speaker 1: last night versus this night too is not only do
- 17:37Speaker 1: we know how condensed it would be on both sides,
- 17:39Speaker 1: but Hurts wasn't getting the steam everyone thought he was.
- 17:42Speaker 1: Like Hurts was going to be somewhat popular, but not
- 17:45Speaker 1: as popular when you had aj Brown, Barkley, you really
- 17:48Speaker 1: did have Nikua Cuff other choices that could go off top.
- 17:51Speaker 1: I don't feel like that's the same tonight. I don't
- 17:53Speaker 1: see anyway where Lamar is not pushing thirty.
- 17:56Speaker 2: Yeah, it's gonna be massive ownership. Yeah, there's just not
- 17:58Speaker 2: the I mean there was last night. On the other side,
- 18:02Speaker 2: you had Nikia, you had Cooper Cup, Kyron Williams and
- 18:06Speaker 2: even Matthew Stafford who people were interested in playing a captain,
- 18:09Speaker 2: And then you had guys on the same side you
- 18:11Speaker 2: go outside of Lamar Jackson. That's why I opened it,
- 18:13Speaker 2: where like this is, you know, not.
- 18:16Speaker 3: A first look.
- 18:16Speaker 2: I've looked a little bit, but like first time actually
- 18:19Speaker 2: digging into it, and you can poke holes in anything
- 18:23Speaker 2: outside of Lamar Jackson. So everyone's gonna want to go
- 18:26Speaker 2: just Lamar Jackson up top. They're gonna play him at
- 18:28Speaker 2: a very very high rate. I think you could be
- 18:31Speaker 2: even higher. So we're showing what we have, like twenty five.
- 18:35Speaker 3: I think you're right. I think it's probably more into
- 18:37Speaker 3: the thirty.
- 18:38Speaker 2: Range, because again, I just I said it like if
- 18:42Speaker 2: you're playing Herbert, he's gotta beat Lamar, and you got
- 18:44Speaker 2: to say in your head, like Herbert can beat Lamar Derreck,
- 18:47Speaker 2: Henry's gotta beat Lamar Jackson. Just in terms of raw
- 18:51Speaker 2: fantasy points, there's no distance in salary there where they
- 18:55Speaker 2: could like kind of underperform and still beat be there.
- 18:57Speaker 2: So a lot of people are gonna look at that
- 18:59Speaker 2: when they're building their team, and it's going to be
- 19:00Speaker 2: a very Lamar heavy approach. And in regards to our
- 19:03Speaker 2: guy seat sites, however he pronounce it, Derek Henry to
- 19:06Speaker 2: Saquan tonight, hold my beer, I.
- 19:08Speaker 3: Wouldn't go that far.
- 19:09Speaker 2: Like, can say, can Henry be the Wedner tonight? Yeah? Absolutely,
- 19:12Speaker 2: can Henry go off? Absolutely What Saquon did last night
- 19:15Speaker 2: was beyond impressive. I don't think he's I don't think
- 19:19Speaker 2: it's a hold my beer scenario.
- 19:21Speaker 3: I'll say that.
- 19:22Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't disagree there either. I think the other thing,
- 19:25Speaker 1: because you do such a good job pointing this out
- 19:26Speaker 1: with these dry runs, is I always you know, I
- 19:29Speaker 1: didn't even think of that step right away. But you're like,
- 19:30Speaker 1: now go to the flex and the key component to
- 19:33Speaker 1: that strategy and that part of your process is how
- 19:35Speaker 1: easy is it?
- 19:36Speaker 5: Like Lamar, you.
- 19:39Speaker 1: Feel comfortable, you don't have any punts. Reagan at twenty percent,
- 19:42Speaker 1: eighty percent, he's in eighty four percent, and only twenty
- 19:46Speaker 1: of your overall portfolio twenty two has Rigers so like
- 19:49Speaker 1: you're gonna get lineups with Lamar, you feel more than comfortable.
- 19:52Speaker 1: So again analogy before I go, you know, back to
- 19:55Speaker 1: hoop here. But I know I'm playing with fire the
- 19:59Speaker 1: money that I'm putting in, and you should know your
- 20:01Speaker 1: own bankroll management and all this stuff that you're doing.
- 20:03Speaker 1: I can afford to take a little burn and put
- 20:05Speaker 1: a band aid on it and get wrapped up and
- 20:07Speaker 1: go into the next like I'm doing this on my
- 20:10Speaker 1: own account what I'm doing, and I'm comfortable with it
- 20:12Speaker 1: for other reasons than just to fade them. I think
- 20:15Speaker 1: if it goes under which I'm calling here what I'm thinking,
- 20:18Speaker 1: that it gives me the ability to get some even
- 20:20Speaker 1: more balanced rosters. And I think title it was a
- 20:22Speaker 1: couple slates ago you brought up a really good point
- 20:24Speaker 1: with the balanced rosters, were like, how does a Mark Andrews.
- 20:27Speaker 1: I think it was you and I were compared. I
- 20:28Speaker 1: didn't like one tight end as much as you did
- 20:30Speaker 1: fer the Schultz maybe yeah, And it made me think
- 20:33Speaker 1: even further with my own process of that idea where
- 20:35Speaker 1: it's like this, how does Disley get up there tonight? Well?
- 20:39Speaker 1: Pretty simple, it's a lower scoring game. He gets you,
- 20:41Speaker 1: you know, six catches and a touchdown or whatever that
- 20:44Speaker 1: might be, and you need Lamar, Henry, Herbert, whatever else
- 20:47Speaker 1: that might look like. That would be a way. So
- 20:50Speaker 1: I can see that happening. I'm gonna put my money
- 20:53Speaker 1: and if it gets burnt in the fire, I am
- 20:55Speaker 1: putting more money behind me to be able to go
- 20:57Speaker 1: into the next building and see if I can make
- 20:59Speaker 1: it through that one. But I'm not playing with money.
- 21:00Speaker 1: I can't afford to lose assention, is what I'm saying.
- 21:02Speaker 1: You should be cognizant of that in your lineups as well.
- 21:05Speaker 2: Go ahead, Yeah, I mean the one thing, yeah, with
- 21:08Speaker 2: like the Disley, I think a lot of people think
- 21:10Speaker 2: if they're playing a captain like that, captain has to
- 21:12Speaker 2: be like the highest scoring guy on the slate.
- 21:14Speaker 3: And that's just simply, you know, not the case.
- 21:16Speaker 2: Like there's the way Disley works where he doesn't absolutely
- 21:19Speaker 2: go off is if he scores like eighteen Fantasy points tonight,
- 21:24Speaker 2: and you need you need Herbert, you need Henry, and
- 21:28Speaker 2: you need like Lamar Jackson in the flex. All those
- 21:30Speaker 2: guys get between twenty and twenty five, and you just
- 21:33Speaker 2: need all those guys in the flex that's how it
- 21:34Speaker 2: can can play out with.
- 21:35Speaker 3: The mid range or cheaper, cheaper captains.
- 21:40Speaker 2: You know. The one thing about this dry run as well,
- 21:43Speaker 2: not only do we not have a ton of like
- 21:47Speaker 2: super cheap flex guys that don't make sense, we are
- 21:50Speaker 2: getting the best plays on the slate with Lamar a captain.
- 21:52Speaker 2: I mean, we're getting Herbert at eighty seven percent and
- 21:56Speaker 2: we're getting Derrick Henry at fifty seven. So it just
- 21:58Speaker 2: goes to show you how easy it is to build tonight.
- 22:03Speaker 2: You know, Lamar Jackson is going to be very, very popular,
- 22:05Speaker 2: and it's a good slight to leave big chunks, as
- 22:08Speaker 2: far as it looks right now, big a good slightly
- 22:10Speaker 2: big chunks of salary on the table, because when you're
- 22:13Speaker 2: able to build Lamar captain teams with this much ease,
- 22:18Speaker 2: you know there's going to be a lot of duplications,
- 22:19Speaker 2: So be willing to do some awkward things and leave
- 22:22Speaker 2: a lot of sailor at the table.
- 22:23Speaker 1: Yeah, one question, did you have anything more on Captain
- 22:26Speaker 1: at all? Hooper? You're you're good. I know title sort
- 22:28Speaker 1: of ran through and I'll come back to them just
- 22:30Speaker 1: for final thoughts there, but do you have anything else
- 22:31Speaker 1: on that? Because you just made me think of something
- 22:33Speaker 1: else here I want to show.
- 22:34Speaker 2: I think I think you go. My initial lead right
- 22:38Speaker 2: now is you go one of two ways with the
- 22:40Speaker 2: Lamar stuff. You either just go way overweight and by
- 22:43Speaker 2: way over weight, I don't mean like thirty thirty three percent.
- 22:47Speaker 2: I'm saying like probably like fifty percent go. So you're
- 22:50Speaker 2: making a stand up there, like I'm going to have
- 22:53Speaker 2: more of Lamar Jackson teams than almost anyone in the field,
- 22:56Speaker 2: or you just don't play it like you're talking about doing.
- 22:59Speaker 1: So.
- 22:59Speaker 2: I don't think playing Lamar with the field makes much
- 23:03Speaker 2: sense because no matter how you shake it, you're just
- 23:06Speaker 2: going to have very similar teams to everyone else if
- 23:08Speaker 2: you just kind of hang around that you know, twenty
- 23:10Speaker 2: five to thirty percent range. So that's my initial read,
- 23:14Speaker 2: you know, justin Herbert, I think makes sense. You know,
- 23:17Speaker 2: Derreck Henry for sure, Zay Flowers, McConkie. I don't know
- 23:22Speaker 2: how much of the cheaper title or cheaper captains I'll
- 23:25Speaker 2: really have. It's hard to make a case for many.
- 23:29Speaker 2: I wanted to make the case for Mark Andrews, but
- 23:32Speaker 2: I don't think get there. It would probably just be
- 23:35Speaker 2: maybe a guy like Disley. But again, well, you know
- 23:38Speaker 2: I'd start building most of my teams right after the show,
- 23:40Speaker 2: so all the content will follow shortly after.
- 23:44Speaker 1: Yeah, who's got his whole playerpool goes up on the site.
- 23:46Speaker 1: Ship at Nation again, if you guys want to get
- 23:47Speaker 1: in right now, NBA fifty gets you fifty percent off.
- 23:51Speaker 1: So if you want access to everything right now, you
- 23:53Speaker 1: can use code NBA fifty. It gets you thirty four
- 23:55Speaker 1: dollars and fifty cents for your first month for all
- 23:58Speaker 1: the content. But if you want ship them, which is
- 24:00Speaker 1: what we're on there now, once I pull this back
- 24:02Speaker 1: off the screen, this is ship Deemizer. You can get
- 24:05Speaker 1: this as well for forty nine to fifty a month
- 24:08Speaker 1: if you want just football and you only care even
- 24:10Speaker 1: if it's just NFL that you care about. We have
- 24:12Speaker 1: a rest of season through February through Super Bowl Sunday
- 24:15Speaker 1: for ninety nine bucks or one twenty nine with ship
- 24:18Speaker 1: Demizer just ten bucks more per month to add it.
- 24:20Speaker 1: So one thing I saw there title, I'll kick it
- 24:22Speaker 1: over to you for this and you can give your
- 24:23Speaker 1: captain final thoughts. But Tucker Fisk and Stone Smart the
- 24:27Speaker 1: two hundred dollars back end tight ups back back up,
- 24:31Speaker 1: tight end. Sorry, let me get this right, are popping
- 24:33Speaker 1: up and it's like still splitting them. It's obviously not
- 24:36Speaker 1: putting them together, I don't think. But it's saying like
- 24:38Speaker 1: seventeen percent of FISC based on projection and then Stone
- 24:41Speaker 1: Smart five percent, So that's twenty percent of the lineups
- 24:44Speaker 1: that are popping with those guys. Any any quick thoughts
- 24:47Speaker 1: on that, and you can give your final Captain thoughts.
- 24:49Speaker 5: That shows how bad value is.
- 24:51Speaker 4: We just saw a cove with the zero get there like,
- 24:54Speaker 4: and there's a lot of studs to pay for. And
- 24:56Speaker 4: last week Fisk ran twenty four percent or hed it's
- 24:58Speaker 4: on the field for twenty four snaps, which is thirty
- 25:01Speaker 4: six percent, Smart ten percent. So just naturally I lead
- 25:04Speaker 4: into Fisk right there three times as many snaps.
- 25:07Speaker 5: Do I like it?
- 25:08Speaker 2: Though?
- 25:08Speaker 4: Now these guys are cardio machines blocking might very well
- 25:11Speaker 4: get zero targets.
- 25:13Speaker 5: So that's when I guess on Captain.
- 25:16Speaker 4: The more I was thinking and looking at props, Bateman's
- 25:18Speaker 4: the one that kind of stands out to me. He
- 25:20Speaker 4: has very similar props to Disley, pretty similar to Quentin
- 25:24Speaker 4: Johnson too. He's two k Lesson Johnson one k Lesson
- 25:27Speaker 4: Disley unknowned at captain and like, yeah, like I like
- 25:31Speaker 4: to spend up captains, but I'm gonna play some Disley
- 25:33Speaker 4: for sure. And now I think Bateman, so I don't
- 25:36Speaker 4: have to play Fisk or Rager or we're gonna get
- 25:39Speaker 4: to Justice Hill. Like he looks like one of the
- 25:41Speaker 4: better values on the slate so many ways that none
- 25:44Speaker 4: of those guys get there and going Bateman. So I
- 25:46Speaker 4: guess I'll ask you, guys, is looking at his game
- 25:49Speaker 4: love seventeen two weeks ago twenty five obviously good enough?
- 25:53Speaker 5: Eleven fifteen?
- 25:54Speaker 2: Eleven?
- 25:55Speaker 5: Is fifteen or seventeen good enough? At captain today?
- 25:57Speaker 3: You guys think, I think.
- 25:59Speaker 1: It's possible because how I see the game going.
- 26:01Speaker 5: But I would say that I would sign out.
- 26:03Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I mean it's yeah, those scenarios, it's like
- 26:06Speaker 2: where what you're fading in those teams is well, first off, obviously,
- 26:11Speaker 2: if he nukes the slate or you know, absolutely goes off,
- 26:14Speaker 2: that's option one. Option two is he scores the fifteen
- 26:18Speaker 2: to twenty and then Lamar Jackson, Herbert Henry.
- 26:22Speaker 3: No one else goes off.
- 26:24Speaker 2: But they're all around twenty twenty five, and you kind
- 26:26Speaker 2: of need them in your lineup as well. That's how
- 26:28Speaker 2: that's how it all works. And just to add on
- 26:29Speaker 2: to the conversation because it was a fun show yesterday
- 26:32Speaker 2: and the dong bong. If you didn't hear the story
- 26:34Speaker 2: about the dog bong, go back because I don't want
- 26:36Speaker 2: to fully rehash it. But I must have been talking
- 26:38Speaker 2: super loud at that point of the show and Missus
- 26:42Speaker 2: Whop heard the whole conversation. I didn't realize she was
- 26:44Speaker 2: texting me as she was going on. So number one,
- 26:48Speaker 2: the dongbong is still active. It's at my mother in
- 26:51Speaker 2: law's house.
- 26:51Speaker 3: I found out.
- 26:52Speaker 2: Number two. Number two is she has pictures of Hoopster
- 26:57Speaker 2: doing the dog bong. She goes, oh, I could release
- 26:59Speaker 2: those if you want. I said, no, no, no, no.
- 27:01Speaker 2: I said, we're we're pumping the brakes on that. Those
- 27:03Speaker 2: things are not gonna make it on the social media.
- 27:06Speaker 2: So that's the update on me on the dog bob.
- 27:09Speaker 4: Yeah, if the Ravens get past the Lions Hoop, maybe
- 27:12Speaker 4: that picture gets out there.
- 27:15Speaker 2: Ooh, you'll have to you have to go to missus
- 27:17Speaker 2: Hoop with that one. She might she would probably she
- 27:19Speaker 2: would make a deal. She'd definitely cut a deal with
- 27:21Speaker 2: you because she was willing to. She was willing to
- 27:23Speaker 2: hop on the office computer here and post some discoord.
- 27:26Speaker 1: Who's on the five hundred bucks plus give the picture on.
- 27:30Speaker 2: That's the scenario we talked about yesterday. I'll double pay
- 27:33Speaker 2: or something or trip before I have to do something.
- 27:37Speaker 1: That was what Title was angling for. If he can
- 27:39Speaker 1: get you to slice that in there, maybe you.
- 27:41Speaker 2: Can add in a little two to one or something
- 27:43Speaker 2: for No.
- 27:44Speaker 1: Probably I won't do the picture a part, just double
- 27:46Speaker 1: it up to one K. A couple of quick thoughts
- 27:49Speaker 1: there too. I guess the Bateman one is interesting. Title
- 27:51Speaker 1: Natty said that, and I'll definitely have the room to
- 27:53Speaker 1: play with with no Lamar, And there's ways that it
- 27:55Speaker 1: can happen. Nobody wants him even in flex he's like
- 27:57Speaker 1: fifteen sixteen percent. No in flex, he's probably see up
- 28:00Speaker 1: top and he could be the guy. But this is
- 28:02Speaker 1: another angle I was gonna mention earlier. And I'm a
- 28:05Speaker 1: Ravens homer. I understand Titles protecting his money. The Reliants
- 28:10Speaker 1: have looked damn good and the Ravens have looked pretty
- 28:13Speaker 1: bad in a few of these spots where I just.
- 28:14Speaker 2: I mean literally, I mean I respect title like so
- 28:17Speaker 2: so much like, but that's that's gotta be like one
- 28:20Speaker 2: of the worst statements he's ever made on at the.
- 28:24Speaker 4: Faith, your guy your guys fightings and the Jaguars and
- 28:28Speaker 4: all this ship.
- 28:29Speaker 2: I mean, I know, do we need to should we
- 28:32Speaker 2: pull up the Ravens and Ravens schedule and Browns? Yeah,
- 28:36Speaker 2: I mean like they seem like they're beating the Chiefs
- 28:40Speaker 2: every week or something.
- 28:41Speaker 1: Yeah, there's there's arguments to be made. I'm the you know,
- 28:44Speaker 1: the man in the middle here, I'm a homer.
- 28:45Speaker 2: To say, I mean to stay based on the eye test,
- 28:48Speaker 2: That's that's what got me. If you think they're better,
- 28:50Speaker 2: that's fine. But to say based on the eye test
- 28:52Speaker 2: like that that I love.
- 28:53Speaker 5: What I'm seeing.
- 28:54Speaker 4: When this team gets in the playoffs, I think the
- 28:56Speaker 4: Ravens are set up for a lot of success.
- 28:58Speaker 1: It's never worked that way recently, but I hope that
- 29:02Speaker 1: I've had some massive letdowns these last couple of times.
- 29:04Speaker 4: Derrick Hemry edition, I think in December or in January
- 29:08Speaker 4: will be huge, like taking a lot off of Lamar.
- 29:11Speaker 5: I think will be will be big.
- 29:13Speaker 1: I do love that call. One hundred percent. Actually, the
- 29:15Speaker 1: other thing I was gonna say though about you know
- 29:17Speaker 1: this game is I also think there is just a
- 29:19Speaker 1: chance that one side just shows up, and if it's
- 29:22Speaker 1: the Ravens, it could be through others and not just Lamar.
- 29:25Speaker 1: It's a team game, you know, passing around moving it.
- 29:27Speaker 1: That could be the reason why. The other thing is
- 29:30Speaker 1: if it is just the pass defense just continues to
- 29:32Speaker 1: be a letdown or people talked about guys not being
- 29:34Speaker 1: available in the secondary where the running game gets going
- 29:38Speaker 1: for the Chargers. That keeps the score down, most likely
- 29:40Speaker 1: keeps the clock running, and other angles of attack that
- 29:43Speaker 1: the Chargers could just get there. So it will be
- 29:46Speaker 1: interesting to see. But that's my sort of final thoughts there.
- 29:48Speaker 1: I just have no problem and going off of Lamar
- 29:51Speaker 1: gives me a lot of options of what I can
- 29:53Speaker 1: do up top. I'll have all that up on the
- 29:54Speaker 1: site later under the slate plan title. Any other final
- 29:58Speaker 1: thoughts a captain that you had?
- 30:00Speaker 5: Nope, that's all I got, all right, man.
- 30:02Speaker 1: Halfway through thirty minutes in let's get too running backs
- 30:05Speaker 1: talk to us more. We just talked about Derek Henry.
- 30:07Speaker 1: You said when he gets to the playoffs, it's not
- 30:09Speaker 1: quite de Hember yet, but he's been doing it every
- 30:12Speaker 1: month leading up. We looked at his career sample size
- 30:14Speaker 1: obviously gets better in November, gets better in December. It's
- 30:17Speaker 1: been great. I think he's a good spot tonight from
- 30:20Speaker 1: a leverage perspective, obviously with the Lamar stuff. But talk
- 30:22Speaker 1: to us about running backs.
- 30:24Speaker 4: Yeah, the Raven side, as always we talked about in
- 30:26Speaker 4: every show, it's really game script dependent for them. If
- 30:30Speaker 4: they're playing with the lead, it's Derrick Henry all day
- 30:32Speaker 4: and they just pounding the football and win it that way.
- 30:35Speaker 4: If they're trailing or close games or two minut drills,
- 30:37Speaker 4: anything like that, it's Justice Hill. And I'm not like
- 30:40Speaker 4: the Keaton Mitchell since he's came back from injury, has
- 30:43Speaker 4: hardly been involved, so I'm not worried about that yet.
- 30:46Speaker 4: But like last week, both Henry and Justice Hill played
- 30:49Speaker 4: thirty snaps. They lost that game eighteen to sixteen, a
- 30:53Speaker 4: very close game. When they're trailing a little bit, when
- 30:55Speaker 4: they need pass catching backs, they will go to Justice Hill.
- 30:58Speaker 4: If you think Chargers, someone said Chargers by double digits,
- 31:02Speaker 4: I think Justice Hill would be one of the best
- 31:03Speaker 4: plays on the slate.
- 31:04Speaker 5: Then if that is the case, because more than.
- 31:06Speaker 4: Likely it won't be Henry out there, it'll be Justice
- 31:09Speaker 4: Hill get in the garbage time and can clean.
- 31:11Speaker 5: Up that way.
- 31:12Speaker 4: The thing I don't love about Justice Hill, and I
- 31:14Speaker 4: mentioned like two minutes ago, was he is getting ownership.
- 31:17Speaker 5: I wouldn't even be surprised if that eighteen the flex
- 31:19Speaker 5: is like twenty four in the flex.
- 31:21Speaker 4: And that's because when you compare him to others in
- 31:23Speaker 4: the range, it's really gross. People aren't gonna want to
- 31:26Speaker 4: go Chargers defense. People want to go Justice Hill over
- 31:29Speaker 4: Raven's defense. Yathay Johnson, who the heck knows about him.
- 31:32Speaker 4: Gus Edwards is fine, Aguilar's fine too. I mean, I
- 31:36Speaker 4: still have Justice Hill projected for like four points higher
- 31:39Speaker 4: than Aglar stuff like that, So just be careful. And
- 31:43Speaker 4: I guess I don't even know. I want you guys
- 31:44Speaker 4: to discuss like playing Henry and Hill together. Obviously it
- 31:48Speaker 4: is possible, but again, because the game scripts they're so
- 31:51Speaker 4: gamescript dependents, I don't really know how that would work.
- 31:54Speaker 4: So I want you guys to mention that other side
- 31:57Speaker 4: Chargers go ahead, Yeah, yeah, trying it. Like my thing
- 32:01Speaker 4: is it probably have to be like a gain Well
- 32:03Speaker 4: thing yesterday where he just falls in kind of silly
- 32:06Speaker 4: like that, and they're playing from the lead, but he's
- 32:08Speaker 4: hardly out there, so it'd have to be a two
- 32:10Speaker 4: minute drill.
- 32:10Speaker 1: Yeah, And I can't like what you nailed. Is like
- 32:12Speaker 1: if it's a high scoring game, like again, yes, Justice
- 32:15Speaker 1: Hill could have just got one of them and then
- 32:16Speaker 1: they keep crushing them, so it ends up being that way.
- 32:19Speaker 1: But you'd almost think it would be in a lower
- 32:20Speaker 1: scoring game where Henry did enough to be in the
- 32:23Speaker 1: flex as like a touchdown and some yards on the ground,
- 32:26Speaker 1: and then Hill got involved because they were down, So
- 32:29Speaker 1: maybe like a four to two Chargers where they both
- 32:31Speaker 1: got I mean, that's interesting, but yeah, I get what
- 32:33Speaker 1: you're saying.
- 32:33Speaker 4: Go ahead, Sorry, yeah, no, no, it's I'm glad he's
- 32:36Speaker 4: Like most spots, you can always play two running backs
- 32:39Speaker 4: like that rotate and like Swift and ro Seawan Johnson
- 32:42Speaker 4: or whatever. This one just feels a little a little harder,
- 32:45Speaker 4: but you definitely can do it because of the lack
- 32:47Speaker 4: of value Chargers side, I know, I don't have much
- 32:49Speaker 4: interest and Dobbins, I mean that is a big boy
- 32:52Speaker 4: price tag. It leverages off everything, like he's by far
- 32:55Speaker 4: the lower. He's like the Kien Williams of yesterday. There's
- 32:58Speaker 4: so many other better plays. You know what you're getting.
- 33:01Speaker 4: You're getting a low owned starting running back. He is
- 33:03Speaker 4: minus one thirty to score. He's expensive though, he's got to.
- 33:07Speaker 5: Do a lot.
- 33:08Speaker 4: I'm not playing for that game script not saying I'm fading.
- 33:10Speaker 4: I will definitely be underweight. I prefer going Gus Edwards
- 33:14Speaker 4: at two point eight k. We need value on the slate,
- 33:16Speaker 4: a pivot from Justice Hill, and I mean first week
- 33:20Speaker 4: back twenty five percent of snaps last week sixteen percent
- 33:23Speaker 4: has some goal line equity. He is plus four hundred.
- 33:26Speaker 4: I guess isn't the greatest to score, but we need
- 33:28Speaker 4: value on the slate. Four points might be enough from him.
- 33:31Speaker 4: He'll be on the field to get some touches. So
- 33:33Speaker 4: I think my favorite running backs if I had to pick,
- 33:36Speaker 4: I mean, I'd do like Henry and Hill more than
- 33:38Speaker 4: Gus a little bit. But it's really really tough, and
- 33:41Speaker 4: I guess we have Haskins projected for one down there.
- 33:44Speaker 5: I can't completely say no to him.
- 33:46Speaker 4: Six snaps last week five the week before has had
- 33:49Speaker 4: some goal line touches though, and we just saw zero
- 33:52Speaker 4: on the winner at mid price yesterday. Again different slate,
- 33:55Speaker 4: but probably not ten teams or less. If you're playing
- 33:58Speaker 4: one fifty, he might be my pool again. Zero literally
- 34:01Speaker 4: won it yesterday, which is insane as that do with
- 34:04Speaker 4: sixteen percent?
- 34:06Speaker 1: Yeah, whops, who's gonna keep coming at you here?
- 34:08Speaker 2: Obviously he's gotta he's gotta pull out those clear glasses
- 34:11Speaker 2: that he puts on after the show title so you
- 34:13Speaker 2: can start seeing straight.
- 34:14Speaker 5: I agree with these glasses.
- 34:16Speaker 3: See yeah, those ones, That's what I'm talking about.
- 34:18Speaker 5: And these are different. These are my shooting glasses.
- 34:21Speaker 2: Oh it looks the same as your other one.
- 34:25Speaker 1: Likes the safety goggles for the meeting.
- 34:30Speaker 5: You want my shooting headphones on to There we go,
- 34:32Speaker 5: let's go.
- 34:33Speaker 3: You take you take the old lady with you.
- 34:35Speaker 5: Nah, I got my brother in law. She ain't much
- 34:37Speaker 5: of a shooter.
- 34:38Speaker 1: All right, we're over here, man hoop, give us your thoughts. Man, like,
- 34:44Speaker 1: this is the thing I will say quick, I guess
- 34:47Speaker 1: like the Rokwan Smith thing was already brought up, but
- 34:49Speaker 1: just to bring up our guy Shaloube always want to
- 34:50Speaker 1: say what's up to him? The the thing I'll say
- 34:52Speaker 1: is if you are really I mean title, you're talking
- 34:55Speaker 1: through it, and it all makes perfect sense. If you're
- 34:58Speaker 1: selling yourself on more of these options, you should be
- 35:01Speaker 1: excited about Lamar up top because now you've got tons
- 35:04Speaker 1: of different ways to get different with him. I have
- 35:06Speaker 1: a harder time selling myself outside of the scenarios you
- 35:09Speaker 1: mentioned where I feel very good about like my charger
- 35:12Speaker 1: stuff and then using Justice Hill on the other side,
- 35:14Speaker 1: love that that's gonna fit what I'm doing very well.
- 35:17Speaker 1: I don't know how likely I am to get to
- 35:19Speaker 1: all these other options. But who what's your thoughts in.
- 35:22Speaker 2: Terms of running back position? I mean, it just couldn't
- 35:24Speaker 2: be more clear for me, Like I I don't care,
- 35:27Speaker 2: Like Dobbins, what's his ownership twenty we're showing like twenty seven.
- 35:31Speaker 3: I hope, I hope it stays or goes up. I
- 35:33Speaker 3: just can't. I just can't even imagine clicking that today.
- 35:36Speaker 2: Like at ten K, I think it's the easiest fade
- 35:38Speaker 2: of the sleigh, and I already know without going in
- 35:40Speaker 2: and building my teams, I'm gonna have zero JK. Dobbins,
- 35:43Speaker 2: and I feel great about it. Like at ten K,
- 35:45Speaker 2: still getting probably close to like thirty percent ownership, Like
- 35:50Speaker 2: he's got to be. He's so he's probably so close
- 35:52Speaker 2: to those other guys. He's got to beat Lamar Jackson,
- 35:55Speaker 2: Derrick Henry, Justin, Herbert Zay Flowers. He's got to beat
- 36:01Speaker 2: probably three of those dudes to be the guy you need.
- 36:04Speaker 2: And I don't think he's doing it so clarified.
- 36:07Speaker 1: Not to cut you off, but are you talking flex
- 36:09Speaker 1: now or are you still talking captains?
- 36:10Speaker 2: Oh well, I will not be. I will not be
- 36:12Speaker 2: playing him in FLEX. I think it's the thing. It's
- 36:15Speaker 2: just a very easy fade on the slate. I get
- 36:18Speaker 2: like the leverage thing for sure. For me, like nothing
- 36:22Speaker 2: lines up to JK. Dobbins being a solid play. And
- 36:26Speaker 2: I'd be willing to put a lot of money on
- 36:27Speaker 2: the fact, the fact that he is not optimal tonight I.
- 36:30Speaker 3: Could not have.
- 36:30Speaker 2: I mean, now he's scoring three touchdowns for sure. I
- 36:32Speaker 2: just feel so good that he is not the guy today.
- 36:35Speaker 2: I'll be axing him out love Henry huh revenge game?
- 36:39Speaker 1: Come on?
- 36:40Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 36:40Speaker 4: Yeah, I will say one thing quick. Lamar's rushing prop
- 36:44Speaker 4: forty five and a half. Dobbins is forty six and
- 36:46Speaker 4: a half.
- 36:46Speaker 2: That's Dobbins rushing prop is for I mean, how can
- 36:49Speaker 2: you click the name and it's favored on the under
- 36:53Speaker 2: He's got to be one of the worst plays of
- 36:55Speaker 2: this show those like a reasonably priced guy, not like
- 36:58Speaker 2: a shit or dude. He has to be one of
- 36:59Speaker 2: the worst showdown plays.
- 37:00Speaker 3: Of all time.
- 37:01Speaker 5: And what percent would you play them?
- 37:04Speaker 2: You'd have to be like ten or twelve percent or
- 37:07Speaker 2: something fifteen maybe yeah, maybe fifteen, but like, yo, yeah,
- 37:10Speaker 2: it's coming for sure, it's coming, Like this is a
- 37:13Speaker 2: bold thing. Yeah, there's definitely a clip MBS two point zero. Yeah,
- 37:17Speaker 2: get it, get it fired up, get it ready to go. JK.
- 37:20Speaker 2: Dobbins the worst Showdown play of the year at time
- 37:24Speaker 2: K against the Ravens, and I feel very good about that.
- 37:28Speaker 1: The best part is you're right like ninety percent of
- 37:30Speaker 1: the time on these they only remember this is like
- 37:32Speaker 1: the recency bias. They're all gonna tak MBS clip and
- 37:36Speaker 1: Dobbins is gonna get like three fantasy points tonight and
- 37:38Speaker 1: you're gonna be right as usual and they're gonna be like, oh,
- 37:40Speaker 1: that didn't work out for me either, and there you go.
- 37:42Speaker 1: That's why.
- 37:43Speaker 2: So yeah, definitely, yeah, get a little sprinkle if you
- 37:46Speaker 2: were faded, maybe maybe get a little sprinkle in there
- 37:48Speaker 2: for sure. I just I feel very good about that one.
- 37:51Speaker 2: The Justice Hill thing. I think you can play them
- 37:54Speaker 2: together because with Justice Hill, we've seen him just get
- 37:58Speaker 2: all these fantasy points in a like it'll be like
- 38:01Speaker 2: a two minute warning and it's like three receptions for
- 38:03Speaker 2: like forty yards. He'll get some other stuff throughout the game,
- 38:07Speaker 2: like it is a slave where at three point two
- 38:09Speaker 2: K ten could definitely be enough. So I'm good with
- 38:13Speaker 2: Justice Hill, and you know, how I play him is
- 38:16Speaker 2: not going to be correlated with Derrick Henry at all.
- 38:18Speaker 3: I'm fine with both of them in there.
- 38:19Speaker 2: Now. If you're doing what I'm doing and fully fading JK. Dobbins,
- 38:24Speaker 2: you gotta have some Gus Edwards in there for sure,
- 38:26Speaker 2: and I will be playing Gus Edwards. I'll be over
- 38:28Speaker 2: the field on Gus Edwards at twenty eight hundred, I mean,
- 38:31Speaker 2: he is essentially one fourth the price of JK. Dobbins,
- 38:34Speaker 2: and I'll be in on that, not messing with the
- 38:37Speaker 2: other guys. But Henry absolutely zero. JK. Dobbins worst play
- 38:43Speaker 2: of the showdown season Justice Hill and then Edwards.
- 38:47Speaker 3: I'm good with both of those guys.
- 38:48Speaker 1: You said one fourth the price. I'm wondering this. What
- 38:51Speaker 1: do you think the size is double the side? Do
- 38:54Speaker 1: you think, Guz the bus is double The size of JK.
- 38:56Speaker 1: Dobbins has got to be. I wish I could see it.
- 38:59Speaker 1: I can't find the big how big this dude is?
- 39:01Speaker 1: But he could just bust in for a couple of touchdowns,
- 39:03Speaker 1: a little goal line shots, anything like that. I don't know.
- 39:06Speaker 1: I kind of like the Gus call there quite a
- 39:08Speaker 1: bit actually in the price even better, so shoutut guard
- 39:11Speaker 1: guy sheets team Faye. Jkd with with hoop will pick
- 39:15Speaker 1: you up and go to the kitchen.
- 39:18Speaker 2: It's gonna be a rough one, I'll be. It'll be
- 39:20Speaker 2: a close the laptop, go to bed and don't read
- 39:23Speaker 2: the comments. Sort tonight. If he scores two touchdowns, yeah,
- 39:26Speaker 2: I won't be. I won't be seeing until tomorrow afternoon.
- 39:29Speaker 2: I'll promise you that.
- 39:30Speaker 1: What if it's all just kickers the entire first half,
- 39:32Speaker 1: we'll get there later. That could be a thing too,
- 39:34Speaker 1: But anything else there that you want to talk about title?
- 39:37Speaker 1: If not, you could take us into wide receiver. I
- 39:39Speaker 1: guess I should say quick. I don't have much to
- 39:41Speaker 1: add at running back. My take was I I don't
- 39:43Speaker 1: have a lot of love. I think even if Keaton
- 39:45Speaker 1: Mitchell starts to get involved, these guys can show up
- 39:47Speaker 1: in you know, one off spots and lineups and stuff
- 39:50Speaker 1: like that. But the way the Ravens like to do
- 39:52Speaker 1: it when they get him back and healthy is they
- 39:54Speaker 1: like to mix up the trio of them just to
- 39:56Speaker 1: screw around. It just keeps the defense tired. They don't
- 39:58Speaker 1: know what to do. It makes ru When you already
- 40:00Speaker 1: have to deal with Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry, it's
- 40:03Speaker 1: not fun to then have to deal with shifty dudes
- 40:05Speaker 1: like Justice Hill and Keith Mitchell. You see the defense
- 40:08Speaker 1: panting out there, the clock moving quicker, all of that,
- 40:11Speaker 1: so can they get there? Sure? It just that's anything
- 40:14Speaker 1: in Showdown. But I don't have a lot of love
- 40:15Speaker 1: outside of the Gus Edwards, Henry and Hill. And I'm
- 40:19Speaker 1: with Hoop on the the JK. Dobbins stuff. Not super
- 40:21Speaker 1: excited about him even regard you know, irregardless of my
- 40:24Speaker 1: other thoughts at captain and whatnot, so title anything else there,
- 40:27Speaker 1: If not, you can go to wide receiver.
- 40:29Speaker 5: Was there?
- 40:30Speaker 4: My mind definitely could be wrong, but I feel like
- 40:32Speaker 4: there was a game earlier on the year where Derrick
- 40:34Speaker 4: Henry exploded too, but Justice Hill also had a good game,
- 40:37Speaker 4: and they both were and might competitive.
- 40:39Speaker 2: It was very early on. I think it was. It
- 40:41Speaker 2: might have been like one of the first showdown slates
- 40:43Speaker 2: of the season, and like it was.
- 40:44Speaker 4: That wasn't the Chiefs, unfortunately because I checked, But it
- 40:47Speaker 4: was really close to one of the first.
- 40:49Speaker 1: Henry had a couple of big games, and it was
- 40:50Speaker 1: a Justice Hill like a ten yard checkdown and then
- 40:53Speaker 1: he took it to the house or whatever that kicked
- 40:54Speaker 1: it off. I think I remember what you're talking about.
- 40:56Speaker 1: I don't remember what game it was.
- 40:58Speaker 4: Some of them will have the game, but it was
- 41:00Speaker 4: the first one to hoop and then that was the
- 41:02Speaker 4: likely game when I went back and looked. But yeah,
- 41:05Speaker 4: your point hoop too. Just like the two minute drill
- 41:07Speaker 4: and the lack of value, I do. I will play
- 41:10Speaker 4: probably some Henry Hill. I definitely won't exit out receiving.
- 41:14Speaker 2: It was a Bills game. It was a Bills game.
- 41:17Speaker 5: Bills game. Oh they killed him, yeah.
- 41:19Speaker 2: Yeah, and he had forty and then I think Justice
- 41:23Speaker 2: Hill had.
- 41:25Speaker 3: They pulled this up.
- 41:26Speaker 5: He caught a nineteen yard touchdown when they're at fourteen
- 41:28Speaker 5: to three.
- 41:29Speaker 3: Yeah he's got yeah, yeah, so.
- 41:33Speaker 4: Yeah, six for seventy eight. That game The Hunter is
- 41:35Speaker 4: twenty four for one.
- 41:37Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 41:37Speaker 4: Receiving I mean, I love two of my favorite plays.
- 41:41Speaker 4: I end the slate, say Flowers, Rashad Bateman, you leverage
- 41:44Speaker 4: off with some Henry ownership those guys, I mean, Lamar
- 41:47Speaker 4: is going to be owned, but we made the case
- 41:49Speaker 4: at the captain position. They'll both showing the ownership. Bateman
- 41:53Speaker 4: only sixteen percent we have right now thirty one for
- 41:57Speaker 4: Zay Flowers, say he's been an absolute monster. They on
- 42:00Speaker 4: the field eighty percent of the times, even in two
- 42:02Speaker 4: tight nine sets. I think they're both very, very solid.
- 42:05Speaker 4: Will be playing both in the flags looking to get overweight.
- 42:09Speaker 4: And then Deantay Johnson's hardly been anything. Tyron Wallace what
- 42:15Speaker 4: he broke that one play which is really really tilting,
- 42:17Speaker 4: not going to go there. Rager is the one, I
- 42:20Speaker 4: guess because of his price takedown cheap, but we did
- 42:23Speaker 4: show that. Or raygar Aglar excuse me, We'll get to
- 42:28Speaker 4: Rager on the other side a little bit. Looks to
- 42:30Speaker 4: be the wide receiver three still still outsnapping Wallace and
- 42:33Speaker 4: Deontay Johnson in double. I'm gonna play some how excited
- 42:37Speaker 4: on him to play like the fifth option, though like
- 42:40Speaker 4: Andrews is still ahead of him, likely still had Zay
- 42:42Speaker 4: Bateman Henry. I mean, I'll let you talk more about that.
- 42:45Speaker 4: It's your Ravens team. It still looks to me though,
- 42:48Speaker 4: like he's the wide receiver three until I see what
- 42:51Speaker 4: Deontay or other these one of these other guys out
- 42:53Speaker 4: snap them charger side. I think Quentin Johnson's a very
- 42:57Speaker 4: solid play. I think Lad's a solid play, and then Rager.
- 43:01Speaker 4: I think I prefer more than Palmer because of the savings,
- 43:05Speaker 4: but man like he was on the field thirteen snaps
- 43:08Speaker 4: last time, eighteen the week before. It's clearly Palmer, Ladd
- 43:11Speaker 4: and Quentin Johnson in three receiver sets. The problem is
- 43:14Speaker 4: we just have very very little value on the slate,
- 43:17Speaker 4: which is why we were talking about Raager bits. I
- 43:19Speaker 4: prefer Bateman to Palmer a good bit at the same
- 43:21Speaker 4: price range. But I mean, of course I'm gonna play
- 43:24Speaker 4: some Palmer runs like seventy five percent of snap. So
- 43:27Speaker 4: how I rank it? I love Zay and Bateman my favorites.
- 43:31Speaker 4: I think Quentin Johnson might be my favorite on the
- 43:33Speaker 4: charger side and then lad and then I want you
- 43:37Speaker 4: to talk about Agelar a bit because he looks wide
- 43:40Speaker 4: receiver three to me, but still not exciting.
- 43:42Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's you nailed it, because it's also
- 43:43Speaker 1: dealing with Andrews and likely on top of definitely dealing
- 43:45Speaker 1: with Zay Flowers and Bateman's always there too, But I
- 43:48Speaker 1: will say it's another area where again, why I feel
- 43:50Speaker 1: very comfortable with my takes tonight and my stand on
- 43:52Speaker 1: my stuff is because like Rager and Davis are based
- 43:56Speaker 1: off or Jalen Reager whatever, Like these guys are based
- 43:59Speaker 1: off a last game basically and no value on the slate.
- 44:01Speaker 1: So like, if you can get the money, which I
- 44:03Speaker 1: can up at Captain, then I can easily get to Agalore,
- 44:06Speaker 1: or I can get to Deontay Johnson if I think
- 44:09Speaker 1: they finally roll them out for some catches. They've talked
- 44:11Speaker 1: about not being able to find ways to use them,
- 44:13Speaker 1: and so he's just been a product of why not
- 44:15Speaker 1: pick him up? The Ravens basically did the same thing
- 44:17Speaker 1: they do with their drafts with Deontay Johnson. They said,
- 44:19Speaker 1: the best on the board in drafts is what we're
- 44:21Speaker 1: going to take he's not the best on the board.
- 44:23Speaker 1: They were saying, for what they want for this guy,
- 44:25Speaker 1: and for us just to pick him up. Let's just
- 44:27Speaker 1: pick him up. We don't use him, we don't use them.
- 44:28Speaker 1: It didn't cost us much, so we'll just grab him.
- 44:30Speaker 1: That's all they thought about. He's a little bit better
- 44:32Speaker 1: than what they're asking for, so we'll take him. If
- 44:34Speaker 1: they don't use them. They don't, but showdown will be
- 44:36Speaker 1: a place to find out. But the facts are Agalore Johnson,
- 44:40Speaker 1: Tylan Wallace, any of those guys, if you have love
- 44:42Speaker 1: for any of them, just don't seem to be getting
- 44:44Speaker 1: as much in the optimizer, at least as you're gonna
- 44:47Speaker 1: get with Rieger and Davis because a lot of what
- 44:49Speaker 1: we seen lately, and then needing the value for Lamar.
- 44:52Speaker 1: So you can just pay up a little bit to
- 44:54Speaker 1: those guys. You can pay up a little bit to
- 44:56Speaker 1: Gus Edwards, who we just talked about at running Back.
- 44:58Speaker 1: The Justice Hill one's the one that ibably get steamed.
- 45:00Speaker 1: So title you always do a good job of kicking
- 45:02Speaker 1: these things back and forth. If Justice Hill is getting
- 45:05Speaker 1: all that steam, we know what lineups to put him in,
- 45:07Speaker 1: what game scripts and talk even other ways you could
- 45:09Speaker 1: do it. Well, why not get Guz Edwards on the
- 45:11Speaker 1: other side for four hundred bucks less f it's the
- 45:13Speaker 1: same spot and maybe he's the guy that scores a
- 45:15Speaker 1: couple of touchdowns and it's not Justice Hill, Knight or
- 45:18Speaker 1: who knows. And then same at wide receiver, so who,
- 45:20Speaker 1: I'll kick it to you. At wide receiver. I like
- 45:22Speaker 1: the Big three, which is for me, Lad McConkie zay
- 45:25Speaker 1: and Quintin Johnston Bateman very close behind, and like title
- 45:28Speaker 1: statements for him, so I'll go there. But I kind
- 45:31Speaker 1: of like the Ravens guys as just plug and play
- 45:33Speaker 1: for a thousand bucks or two thousand bucks more before
- 45:36Speaker 1: playing around with all the other stuff, just because I
- 45:38Speaker 1: won't need it as much at captain for you, if
- 45:40Speaker 1: you take the heavy Lamar stand, you probably need them.
- 45:42Speaker 4: Who yeah, watch it and just said Bateman's over rushing
- 45:45Speaker 4: or receiving yards. I just saw that go off on
- 45:47Speaker 4: DraftKings someone watching.
- 45:51Speaker 2: I do like that player. I do like that call
- 45:53Speaker 2: at fifty four hundred. He might be my favorite wide receiver.
- 45:56Speaker 2: I mean he's the guy that Lamar's going to with
- 45:59Speaker 2: these deep shots. He tends to get open because A
- 46:01Speaker 2: lot of attention goes to Zay, A lot of attention
- 46:04Speaker 2: goes to Mark Andrews. He's kind of like the third
- 46:06Speaker 2: guy there, and he's you know, when he does well,
- 46:08Speaker 2: it seems like he's wide freaking open for these touchdowns.
- 46:11Speaker 2: So I do like him a ton. At fifty four,
- 46:14Speaker 2: I want to I'm with you, guys. I want to
- 46:16Speaker 2: focus on like these main guys, like I want to
- 46:18Speaker 2: focus on lad Quintin Johnson, Palmer. I want to focus
- 46:21Speaker 2: on Zay, Flowers, Bateman and even Agelar, like I know
- 46:25Speaker 2: he's gonna be out there and get opportunities. I don't
- 46:26Speaker 2: want to mess with like I'm gonna have some of rigor,
- 46:31Speaker 2: and you know, I don't know, maybe just him, like
- 46:33Speaker 2: the Deontay Johnson thing like crazy, like he not only
- 46:38Speaker 2: is he not getting repch when he does get reps,
- 46:40Speaker 2: it looks terrible, like there's no connection with Lamar Jackson.
- 46:43Speaker 2: He looks lost out there. It looks absolutely lost. So
- 46:46Speaker 2: I don't want to have to dig dig down to
- 46:49Speaker 2: these guys. So if I have to lower my I'm
- 46:51Speaker 2: playing Lamark cappen. If I have to lower my Lamar
- 46:54Speaker 2: Captain exposure to avoid some of these dumpster fires down here,
- 46:57Speaker 2: Like I'm definitely gonna do that, like, definitely gonna do it.
- 47:00Speaker 3: I just don't you.
- 47:01Speaker 2: Know if Rigor and Darius Davis and Thailand Wallace are
- 47:05Speaker 2: like the popular pump plays, man, I want nothing to
- 47:08Speaker 2: do with that, And they're not going to be like popular,
- 47:10Speaker 2: but they're the ones that people are going to play
- 47:12Speaker 2: on the slate. I want to avoid that as much
- 47:14Speaker 2: as possible. I want to focus on the main guys here,
- 47:16Speaker 2: Like we talked about the Chargers, McConkey, Quintin, Johnson, Palmer,
- 47:21Speaker 2: and then with the Ravens, Ze Flowers, Bateman, and I
- 47:25Speaker 2: agree with you guys. In my eyes, it's aguilar number
- 47:28Speaker 2: three and he gets looks, man, he gets red zone
- 47:30Speaker 2: looks too, So it's very valuable. So, you know, just
- 47:33Speaker 2: to sum it up here, at wide receiver, if I
- 47:35Speaker 2: have to lower some Lamar Captain to avoid some of
- 47:38Speaker 2: these dudes, these cheap wide receivers, I would be willing
- 47:41Speaker 2: to do so because I just don't see the upside
- 47:43Speaker 2: with these guys. Why why is Reger? Why's Rieger the
- 47:47Speaker 2: guy though? Like why is he getting a respectable projection today?
- 47:51Speaker 2: Like it's not a huge number but you know what,
- 47:53Speaker 2: why is it?
- 47:54Speaker 5: Why is it him thirteen snaps last week which was.
- 47:57Speaker 2: The thirteen, So that's what we're banking.
- 48:00Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, I know, nineteen percent and no value.
- 48:03Speaker 2: That's that's it.
- 48:05Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, And I just like what you said because
- 48:07Speaker 1: I don't think a lot of people understand how to
- 48:09Speaker 1: use it that way, probably, but like, that's exactly what
- 48:11Speaker 1: you can do inside ship Tomizer. So you just said it.
- 48:13Speaker 1: If you don't like your twenty two percent reager and
- 48:16Speaker 1: you want to put him down to ten, let's just say.
- 48:18Speaker 1: And you're like, I'm good with that. I was making
- 48:19Speaker 1: stuff up, but you go do a rebuild and come back.
- 48:23Speaker 1: And let's say you were comfortable with sixty, so you'd
- 48:24Speaker 1: already had Lamar capped at sixty. You're saying that if
- 48:27Speaker 1: that takes Lamar down to fifty two, you just run.
- 48:30Speaker 1: You're like, I I'd rather fit. I'd still got fifty two,
- 48:33Speaker 1: and I feel good with Lamar, but I'm comfortable because
- 48:35Speaker 1: now I don't have twenty two percent riager. Who I'm
- 48:38Speaker 1: not really feeling that even though it's not a crazy number,
- 48:41Speaker 1: it's just not a number that you love either. So yeah,
- 48:43Speaker 1: good calling.
- 48:44Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, any optimizer you're using. If you go ahead
- 48:46Speaker 2: like in this scenario, and obviously we'd prefer that you're
- 48:50Speaker 2: using the ship demizer in this scenario. If you reran that,
- 48:53Speaker 2: you're just going to naturally get less Lamar. He's the
- 48:55Speaker 2: most expensive captain. When you put a cap on the
- 48:59Speaker 2: cheap play, it's getting ownership, it's gonna bring down your
- 49:02Speaker 2: ownership for the more expensive guys, and it'll it'll naturally happen.
- 49:06Speaker 1: Yeah, good, good call out there. Go back to you
- 49:08Speaker 1: title anything else you want to mention there. I think
- 49:11Speaker 1: you know, we talked about quite a bit there, but
- 49:13Speaker 1: I think, yeah, I definitely like agal Or more than
- 49:15Speaker 1: Deontay Johnson. I just wanted to bring up sort of
- 49:17Speaker 1: some of the coach speak around him is they're not
- 49:19Speaker 1: even trying to get this guy going. He's a depth
- 49:22Speaker 1: versatility piece. We know how that goes. Sometimes it's all,
- 49:25Speaker 1: we can't really use a guy, we're not planning on
- 49:27Speaker 1: using them. Then what happens all of a sudden they're
- 49:29Speaker 1: using them tonight. But I'm just saying my lineup, it's
- 49:31Speaker 1: all how you build. I know, my boy, Nick Kat
- 49:34Speaker 1: I got to call him out. He's got like forty
- 49:36Speaker 1: comments in here today and I love the guy and
- 49:37Speaker 1: appreciate him big time. Ravens fan. He said to be
- 49:40Speaker 1: if he finishes top three, he'll take me to a
- 49:42Speaker 1: Ravens game. Everything he's saying is Raven's heavy, and I
- 49:45Speaker 1: love it. Cheer for your team, but it's like that's
- 49:48Speaker 1: you know your plan that you should love tonight. You're
- 49:50Speaker 1: set up for what you think is gonna happen. You
- 49:52Speaker 1: got a perfect game, but there should be no confusion
- 49:54Speaker 1: when you go to build and then you hope that
- 49:56Speaker 1: that's what happens. I'm doing the same thing, just in
- 49:58Speaker 1: a different way, so it would lead to these type
- 50:00Speaker 1: of lineups more for me than needing to go that
- 50:02Speaker 1: other way. That's that's kind of the breakdown. I can
- 50:04Speaker 1: give title anything else you want to add at wide
- 50:06Speaker 1: receiver if not go to the tight ends.
- 50:08Speaker 4: Yeah, so just quick looking. Week nine was Deontay Johnson's
- 50:12Speaker 4: first week back. Aglar had nineteen snaps, Wallace twenty, Deontay seventeen,
- 50:17Speaker 4: so pretty much a straight chop of all of them.
- 50:20Speaker 4: Last week Week ten Deontay or yeah, two weeks, yeah,
- 50:24Speaker 4: it would be last week. We're still Week twelve, De'ante
- 50:26Speaker 4: only had five, Wallace twelve, Agilar thirty one, so that
- 50:29Speaker 4: was way more. But then last week it came down
- 50:32Speaker 4: a little bit. Wallace got nine snaps and deontay overdoubled.
- 50:36Speaker 4: So do you think that trend continues and we can
- 50:37Speaker 4: see D'Onta and Aglar almost getting the same snaps this week?
- 50:41Speaker 1: Do you have any I know like the Kenny knows
- 50:44Speaker 1: and this is the Ravens man. That's what I'm saying.
- 50:45Speaker 1: They do this shit and it makes it extremely frustrating,
- 50:48Speaker 1: frustrating for fantasy players us and people watching. The reason
- 50:52Speaker 1: they love it though, is because it's confusion for the defense.
- 50:55Speaker 1: There's what what did you prepare for? It's hard enough
- 50:57Speaker 1: preparing for Lamar Jackson with Derek Henry to your point title,
- 51:00Speaker 1: why you feel comfortable with your eyesight and watching this,
- 51:02Speaker 1: because man, that gets tough to deal with in itself.
- 51:05Speaker 1: Now you've got to figure out all this other shit
- 51:07Speaker 1: and they're switching it up on you. So it's really
- 51:09Speaker 1: hard to say, but I think your breakdown of how
- 51:11Speaker 1: you can handle it in the way like you separate
- 51:14Speaker 1: them or you can make your stands based on what
- 51:16Speaker 1: you're seeing. A lot of it's dictated by your captain
- 51:19Speaker 1: ownership and who you've got up top, and then how
- 51:21Speaker 1: you see the game flow going. So I mean, I
- 51:23Speaker 1: thought you broke it down best, and I can't really
- 51:25Speaker 1: poke holes in that, Like, I think that is a
- 51:27Speaker 1: good call out. That's exactly what I would expect to
- 51:29Speaker 1: see tonight.
- 51:30Speaker 4: Yeah, so at the end of the day, they're all
- 51:31Speaker 4: below ten percent, I'd make a max one. They're all cheap,
- 51:35Speaker 4: and then you hope you get the right one. It
- 51:36Speaker 4: looks like a gilar to me. Wallace looked like the
- 51:39Speaker 4: last guy though, whenever he the Bengals game, when he
- 51:41Speaker 4: absolutely went off, it took one play. I mean, if
- 51:44Speaker 4: you watch the Washington Dallas Cowboys game yesterday, one of
- 51:47Speaker 4: the most bizarre fourth quarters ever, you will see that
- 51:50Speaker 4: the most random stuff can always happen in showdown. So yeah,
- 51:54Speaker 4: max one of them. Tight end position another interesting spot.
- 51:58Speaker 4: I mean, people are gonna have to play Andrews and
- 52:00Speaker 4: likely right in that mid tier, both on the field obviously,
- 52:03Speaker 4: both big names, and there's not value, much value on
- 52:06Speaker 4: the slates.
- 52:07Speaker 5: I was surprised.
- 52:08Speaker 4: Andrews props are a decent bit better plus one eighty
- 52:10Speaker 4: five to score Likely plus three eighty a couple more
- 52:13Speaker 4: rushing or receiving yards on the Andrews side. Yesterday, when
- 52:17Speaker 4: I didn't really know, I leaned into props with Bucky Irving,
- 52:20Speaker 4: which I mean, man, dude couldn't have ran any worse
- 52:22Speaker 4: at the one yard line with Sean Tucker, but he
- 52:24Speaker 4: still did get there, and props led me right with
- 52:27Speaker 4: White or with him over White. Today, the ownership's close,
- 52:31Speaker 4: but my brain like this is eye test. Andrews look
- 52:34Speaker 4: slow in dust. Likely an absolute beat.
- 52:37Speaker 2: We're back to the eye test. You better put those
- 52:38Speaker 2: goggles back on.
- 52:40Speaker 5: Yeh likely a beast.
- 52:46Speaker 4: Andrews is slow and dust. I will be playing both.
- 52:49Speaker 4: The thing is Andrews has been out snapping. I think
- 52:53Speaker 4: I'm gonna go eye test. Wise, it lean likely I'm
- 52:55Speaker 4: gonna play them both. I'm gonna play them both. I'm
- 52:57Speaker 4: I'm locked in now with these Galagles. He got that
- 53:01Speaker 4: they're both good plays. You need them both. I don't
- 53:02Speaker 4: love them at the captain spots though, because of how
- 53:05Speaker 4: much they do rotate. I prefer going up to the
- 53:07Speaker 4: Bateman the Dissley's of the world. But right now, my leagues,
- 53:10Speaker 4: likely just because I think he's better, props do like Andrews,
- 53:13Speaker 4: though ownership close, price close.
- 53:15Speaker 5: I will play both. Disley another very solid play. I
- 53:18Speaker 5: said'm going to play a little at the captain spot.
- 53:21Speaker 4: Then at Tucker Fisk twenty four snaps list last week
- 53:24Speaker 4: twenty three, the week before. Again he's absolutely terrible. He's
- 53:27Speaker 4: not he's not a part of the offense of like
- 53:30Speaker 4: passing the ball. He's gonna make plays, he blocks, he's there.
- 53:33Speaker 4: It's like the fifth option. The fifth option might be enough.
- 53:36Speaker 2: Again.
- 53:37Speaker 4: Kuby literally scored zero yesterday and was on the winner.
- 53:39Speaker 4: He gets one two Lamar, Henry, all that goes off.
- 53:43Speaker 4: I'm gonna have to play a little Fisk, I guess,
- 53:45Speaker 4: but I shouldn't say I have to play him. You
- 53:46Speaker 4: don't have to play this bumb by any means. I'm
- 53:49Speaker 4: playing thirty plus teams. I'll probably play very little. But
- 53:52Speaker 4: that's just again, there's no value on this slate.
- 53:55Speaker 1: Yeah, I want to say this, who before I kicked
- 53:57Speaker 1: you on tight end because this is a couple interesting things. One,
- 54:00Speaker 1: I adjusted the Jalen Rieger down to ten as you
- 54:03Speaker 1: can see here, insanity, but Lamar went up to eighty six.
- 54:07Speaker 1: Now and if I mean this is your thing and
- 54:10Speaker 1: you can definitely attest to this, Like you go back
- 54:12Speaker 1: look at Mark Andrews hops up to almost fifty percent.
- 54:15Speaker 1: At forty six hundred, you got almost twenty percent fisk.
- 54:19Speaker 1: Now like it is just still finding you those value
- 54:21Speaker 1: plays and jamming them up there to put Lamar up top.
- 54:24Speaker 1: So it's even when you make adjustments, you could still
- 54:27Speaker 1: do it differently in other ways. You can obviously go
- 54:29Speaker 1: to captain and adjust Lamar down. But I'm just saying
- 54:32Speaker 1: just to note there's that, but it's put in a
- 54:34Speaker 1: lot of faith. The other thing I will say, give
- 54:36Speaker 1: me your thoughts, so because I'm gonna segue to you
- 54:37Speaker 1: on this anyway, forty six hundred Mark Andrews, you know
- 54:40Speaker 1: he made fun of the goggles, but we're showing around
- 54:42Speaker 1: twenty four percent ownership in the flex here we're getting
- 54:45Speaker 1: double at you go to the very bottom, Isaiah likely
- 54:48Speaker 1: two hundred bucks less, we're showing higher ownership on him.
- 54:51Speaker 1: But man, he's just not getting in there in the projection.
- 54:54Speaker 1: My question to you is it's projection driven, and I
- 54:57Speaker 1: get that, but we know what they both are capable,
- 55:00Speaker 1: and realistically, I don't know if we see this ownership,
- 55:03Speaker 1: if the if that's how it's going to go in
- 55:04Speaker 1: and optimizer. Our optimizers great and others are awesome too,
- 55:07Speaker 1: But if that's what it's jamming, how can it possibly
- 55:10Speaker 1: be that close in ownership? Therefore, Isaiah likely could end
- 55:13Speaker 1: up being like one third the ownership of Mark Andrews
- 55:16Speaker 1: and he could do the same thing.
- 55:17Speaker 2: Yeah, based on what we have, that's a pretty widespread
- 55:20Speaker 2: two point was a two point seven fantasy points. So yeah,
- 55:24Speaker 2: if you run it using our projections, that's what's going
- 55:28Speaker 2: to happen. I mean, I think it's closer than that
- 55:30Speaker 2: for sure, and I'm going to have you know, a lot.
- 55:33Speaker 3: Of both, to be honest with you.
- 55:34Speaker 2: I like Andrews, I like Likely. The one thing about
- 55:38Speaker 2: likely very steady workload. I mean in terms of targets
- 55:43Speaker 2: like five one against Denver that was a blowout. We
- 55:46Speaker 2: talked about it on the show. We predicted that, we
- 55:48Speaker 2: said the Ravens were gonna absolutely smash. That's the one
- 55:51Speaker 2: spot where titles eye tests were paid off quite well
- 55:54Speaker 2: because the Ravens beat the shit out of the Broncos
- 55:56Speaker 2: and we all kind of agree with that. But they
- 55:58Speaker 2: didn't need to pass the ball just one time than
- 56:00Speaker 2: four four four three too, so he's steadily getting targeted
- 56:04Speaker 2: by Lamar Jackson. I think a better play than Lamar Jackson.
- 56:08Speaker 2: Captain teams. Both these guys probably are the probably somewhat
- 56:11Speaker 2: touchdown dependent, but I like both of these guys, Like
- 56:14Speaker 2: this is the range I want to get to over
- 56:16Speaker 2: the punts, if possible. I want to get to these
- 56:20Speaker 2: tight ends. I want to get to the Gus Edwards,
- 56:23Speaker 2: the Justice Hills of the world, opposed to like these
- 56:26Speaker 2: cheap random pass catchers.
- 56:28Speaker 3: So that's one thing I'll be looking to do.
- 56:30Speaker 2: The fifth guy at two hundred, I'll play some of
- 56:32Speaker 2: him and then I'm really not going to mess with
- 56:34Speaker 2: anyone else at this position. Then well Disley, I mean
- 56:37Speaker 2: just it's almost like he's on a lot of these plays,
- 56:41Speaker 2: Like it's like the players are almost like designed for him.
- 56:44Speaker 2: I mean, Herbert's looking to him immediately getting the ball
- 56:47Speaker 2: quick sixty four hundred when we know that the way
- 56:52Speaker 2: to beat the Ravens is through the air. I think
- 56:53Speaker 2: he's a really, really good play today. Don't know if
- 56:56Speaker 2: I get there in Captain, but we'll certainly have a
- 56:59Speaker 2: lot of will Disley uh in the flex. I mean,
- 57:02Speaker 2: even like Ravens heavy teams like Ravens five ones or
- 57:07Speaker 2: Ravens four two's. I think Disley is like the perfect
- 57:10Speaker 2: guy to include in there because just so many just
- 57:13Speaker 2: easy receptions that he gets racks up the PPR points
- 57:16Speaker 2: pretty quickly. So I really like Disley, like Andrews likely
- 57:21Speaker 2: and then Fisk and you know nothing else.
- 57:24Speaker 1: Really, this was just one thing to show too, is
- 57:26Speaker 1: if you go to like Lamar Captain lineup with Herbert
- 57:29Speaker 1: on the on the other side, who we saw it
- 57:30Speaker 1: was jamming in the flex, you could obviously remove Disley
- 57:33Speaker 1: even and get Zay in there with Mark Andrews and
- 57:36Speaker 1: still have almost five thousand for the just have to
- 57:39Speaker 1: fill two spots like that doesn't even force you to
- 57:41Speaker 1: go to Riger or any of those guys if you
- 57:42Speaker 1: don't want to. So that's why these lineups make sense,
- 57:45Speaker 1: that's why they'll be popular. You're really just kind of
- 57:47Speaker 1: having to hope that it's not Lamar that does it
- 57:49Speaker 1: if you're you're on my side of the things of
- 57:50Speaker 1: handling it. But clearly this is why it looks so good.
- 57:53Speaker 1: And again some people won't want Zay and they'll say,
- 57:56Speaker 1: like I think a lot of people tonight are good
- 57:58Speaker 1: with Dicker because it rhymes with kicker, right, Dick or
- 58:00Speaker 1: the kicker people are happy to put that in. You
- 58:02Speaker 1: could see the other thing too. We're going to kickers anyway.
- 58:04Speaker 1: In a second, hoop, I'll stay with you. But Justin Tucker,
- 58:07Speaker 1: you know, banish him from the Hall of Fame. Now
- 58:09Speaker 1: he can't make a kick. He sucks. He's another reason
- 58:12Speaker 1: tonight this guy's gonna pop, you know, three or four
- 58:14Speaker 1: field goals in when Lamar slows down. That's another leverage
- 58:17Speaker 1: piece to the Lamar and Henry stuff. He'll just bounce
- 58:21Speaker 1: back and do it. Andy'll go, oh, he does still
- 58:22Speaker 1: know how to kick. Imagine that one of the best
- 58:24Speaker 1: kickers of all time knows how to still kick a
- 58:26Speaker 1: field goal. And sure enough, that's a thing. So take
- 58:29Speaker 1: us into kickers and D's man, we're getting through it.
- 58:31Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 58:32Speaker 2: Interested in the kickers tonight for sure, Dicker and Justin Tucker.
- 58:38Speaker 2: I anticipate being overweight on both of those guys. The
- 58:42Speaker 2: defense will just be going back to my standard stuff
- 58:45Speaker 2: like whatever I get, I get, and it's probably not
- 58:47Speaker 2: gonna be much. And they're not really that highly owned,
- 58:50Speaker 2: you know. You know the case with the defense, there's
- 58:53Speaker 2: a lot of times one play is enough they get
- 58:54Speaker 2: a pick six. I mean, that's probably good enough. That's
- 58:57Speaker 2: the risk you take with fading them. But I can't
- 58:59Speaker 2: imagine I go and build my teams on and be
- 59:01Speaker 2: overweight on either. I'll be overweight on the kickers and
- 59:05Speaker 2: under on the on the defenses.
- 59:07Speaker 1: Tonight, yeah, title, I'll come to you on that. In
- 59:10Speaker 1: one second, I was just gonna show because the chat
- 59:11Speaker 1: was asking another like ship demizer, another great thing overwrite
- 59:15Speaker 1: our projected points here. If you're on team Hoop and
- 59:18Speaker 1: you say, look, you guys gave me a great starting point.
- 59:20Speaker 1: I think it's a little closer than that. You know,
- 59:22Speaker 1: I'm gonna you can do it easily, But I think
- 59:25Speaker 1: some people don't do this. You don't have to. It's
- 59:26Speaker 1: just my takeaway though, too is if you want to
- 59:28Speaker 1: give some here to seven point three, I also take
- 59:33Speaker 1: and you obviously it can come from a lot of
- 59:34Speaker 1: other places. You can still leave our projection alone. I'm
- 59:37Speaker 1: gonna say I like to give and take because then
- 59:39Speaker 1: it will really fix it up in the optimizer too,
- 59:41Speaker 1: to say, okay, now it's gonna consider the price per
- 59:43Speaker 1: dollar you're robbing, you know, robbing Andrews to pay Likely
- 59:47Speaker 1: so to speak for Rob Peter to pay Paul if
- 59:48Speaker 1: you ever heard that one. So other things you can
- 59:50Speaker 1: do like that that it will overwrite it and take
- 59:53Speaker 1: over where you use everything we have as a starting point.
- 59:56Speaker 1: You can also do that with ownership. You say, you
- 59:58Speaker 1: know what I heard Tambo say that doesn't make much sense.
- 1:00:00Speaker 1: I actually think it's gonna be twenty five point seven
- 1:00:04Speaker 1: over here on him, and I'm gonna take Likely down
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: to see. I think it directly affects him, same price,
- 1:00:09Speaker 1: same like just the way people do it. You can
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: do whatever you want with that the title before you
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: go Kickers and D's look at this lineup, almost seven
- 1:00:15Speaker 1: k left on the table and you got Lamar Captain
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: with Herbert Andrews and Dicker Like, that's pretty good starting
- 1:00:22Speaker 1: point for a game like this.
- 1:00:23Speaker 2: You think on that, Yeah, and that's why if you
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: just go in to an optimizer and run run teams,
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: you're gonna get a ton of Lamarch.
- 1:00:30Speaker 3: It's easy to play him.
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: It's soft pricing, like it just goes to show like
- 1:00:36Speaker 2: the initial run we did where you're getting all that
- 1:00:39Speaker 2: Lamar Captain, but you're still getting a ton of Herbert
- 1:00:41Speaker 2: and Henry, who are by far the next two highest
- 1:00:44Speaker 2: projected guys.
- 1:00:46Speaker 1: Oh baby, just on the great call outs. But I
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: also just saw something that was gonna send over to
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: title for the perfect segue. Justin Tucker the same price
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: as Mark Andrews tonight and the projection hates him. That
- 1:00:58Speaker 1: is the play right there.
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: Man.
- 1:00:59Speaker 1: We got to get back on the It doesn't matter
- 1:01:01Speaker 1: what the game is. It can go over, it can
- 1:01:03Speaker 1: go close, it can go with it. Like if they're
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: putting up points of any kind, we could still be
- 1:01:07Speaker 1: some of those. Some of those could still be coming
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: from Tucker. So give us your thoughts, Kickers and D's
- 1:01:11Speaker 1: title anything extra add there. That's an interesting one though.
- 1:01:14Speaker 5: I love the Kickers.
- 1:01:15Speaker 4: I mean, why can't Justin Tucker outscore Zay Flowers last
- 1:01:18Speaker 4: week's say had eleven point nine week before seven point four?
- 1:01:21Speaker 4: Why can't Justin Tucker get twelve? And I'll score both
- 1:01:24Speaker 4: of them Like that's leaving chunks of sailor on the table.
- 1:01:28Speaker 4: I'm not saying Bill is a lineup dropped on to Tucker,
- 1:01:31Speaker 4: but that show's right there. You can leave four thousand
- 1:01:33Speaker 4: and three thousand something like that on the table. I
- 1:01:36Speaker 4: don't like a lot of these value punts. I have
- 1:01:38Speaker 4: to like these kickers in the mid tier. Jake Elliott
- 1:01:41Speaker 4: got the job done again yesterday. And then the defense
- 1:01:43Speaker 4: is I'm naturally gonna play them because we're showing them
- 1:01:47Speaker 4: without thirteen and ten percent. I wouldn't be surprised if
- 1:01:49Speaker 4: that was ten percent Ravens, six percent Chargers or something.
- 1:01:53Speaker 4: And on a very when a slate that I want
- 1:01:56Speaker 4: to eat pretty good or a decent I want to chalk.
- 1:01:59Speaker 4: I want to try that cheaper range as much as possible.
- 1:02:02Speaker 4: Why not just instead of going Justice Hill, go Charters defense.
- 1:02:06Speaker 4: I know they're a little more expensive, more people will
- 1:02:08Speaker 4: leave that four hundred and go Hill because he projects
- 1:02:11Speaker 4: a lot better if Ravens are Chargers outscore Andrews are
- 1:02:14Speaker 4: likely That's a way that you could see solo shipper
- 1:02:17Speaker 4: five hundred k Shawn's calling it, et cetera. Like if
- 1:02:20Speaker 4: you tell me the defense is on the winner, there's
- 1:02:22Speaker 4: a lot better chance that you're gonna have a lot
- 1:02:24Speaker 4: less dupes than if it's not.
- 1:02:26Speaker 5: And it's like both kickers, et cetera. So just game theory.
- 1:02:29Speaker 4: Wise, it's like I like the defenses more than that,
- 1:02:32Speaker 4: Like Fisk, Davis, Wallace, Johnson has kids, et cetera. Because
- 1:02:37Speaker 4: they always will have forty eight minutes they have a
- 1:02:39Speaker 4: chance to make one play. But yeah, it's in a vacuum.
- 1:02:43Speaker 4: Looking at the game, I think they both put up points.
- 1:02:45Speaker 4: Doesn't make sense to like the defense as much.
- 1:02:47Speaker 5: But hey, maybe an on side kick return like the
- 1:02:50Speaker 5: Cowboys yesterday to seal it.
- 1:02:52Speaker 1: Yeah that was wild too, Hoop, I'll kick it over
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: to you man, any I guess title, Any final thoughts
- 1:02:58Speaker 1: before we go to Hoop for fandels stuff.
- 1:03:01Speaker 4: No, I know, I don't like the chief stuff much,
- 1:03:04Speaker 4: and I think I'm gonna I'm we talked about captain,
- 1:03:07Speaker 4: but I'm definitely gonna place on Distelly, some Bateman, some Johnston,
- 1:03:11Speaker 4: and then you can leave money easier and avoid the
- 1:03:13Speaker 4: bottom tier. So I'm definitely gonna be playing more mid
- 1:03:16Speaker 4: I'll be overwaight to the mid tier relative to the field.
- 1:03:19Speaker 2: Yeah, this has been the case for like some showdowns started,
- 1:03:23Speaker 2: and people still go on Twitter and bitch about it
- 1:03:25Speaker 2: every single time they're on No, I mean it's literally
- 1:03:26Speaker 2: been every single season. Like they show up on Optimal,
- 1:03:29Speaker 2: the same dudes get on Twitter and cry about it
- 1:03:32Speaker 2: and don't adjust their play.
- 1:03:33Speaker 3: I mean it's it's it's just endless, absolutely endless.
- 1:03:38Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, it's the gift that keeps on giving.
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: How do these kickers keep doing it? I don't because
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: they're price and they get natural opportunities throughout the game
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: and just tons of different ways that you can see
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: it all right, who final thoughts and then FanDuel anything
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: you see over there.
- 1:03:53Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel definitely a little better after talking through it,
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: and not one hundred percent sure the direction I'm gonna go.
- 1:04:00Speaker 4: To me.
- 1:04:00Speaker 2: It's either if you my main thing for sure is
- 1:04:03Speaker 2: if you are playing Lamar captain, I think go very
- 1:04:06Speaker 2: overweight and leave Salar around the table and not just
- 1:04:09Speaker 2: like a little bit, leave like big chunks of salary
- 1:04:12Speaker 2: on the table.
- 1:04:12Speaker 3: That's kind of my thought.
- 1:04:14Speaker 2: But I think you know, we did a good job
- 1:04:16Speaker 2: bringing I want to avoid those cheap plays as much
- 1:04:18Speaker 2: as possible too, So if that does end up meeting
- 1:04:20Speaker 2: less Lamar, I'm fine with that.
- 1:04:22Speaker 3: Like I just it does not feel good playing some
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: of those dudes.
- 1:04:26Speaker 2: I'm talking dudes. I mean the top value that showed
- 1:04:29Speaker 2: up a ton played what did you say was thirteen
- 1:04:31Speaker 2: plays last week and that's why he's getting a decent number.
- 1:04:34Speaker 2: That's that's not where you want to be FanDuel. Really
- 1:04:39Speaker 2: bad pricing. I mean, i'd say, you like, really really bad.
- 1:04:42Speaker 2: Sixteen k for Henry, fifteen to five for Lamar Justin
- 1:04:47Speaker 2: Herbert fourteen k.
- 1:04:48Speaker 3: After that, everyone's super cheap.
- 1:04:50Speaker 2: JK. Dobbins is ironically the next most expensive. Feel the
- 1:04:54Speaker 2: same way about him on FanDuel as I do on DK.
- 1:04:58Speaker 2: But like lad At eleven five, J. Flowers twelve five.
- 1:05:01Speaker 3: Quintin Johnson ten to five, Disley seven k, Like what
- 1:05:06Speaker 3: a bad price? Take seven k for Disley, he's been
- 1:05:08Speaker 3: so so good seven K.
- 1:05:10Speaker 2: Bateman eight k, Deontay Johnson ten K, Yeah, ten K
- 1:05:16Speaker 2: for Johnson that is the craziest price. Holy shit, you're right.
- 1:05:20Speaker 3: Ten K for Deontay Johnson.
- 1:05:22Speaker 2: That is insane. Wow, it's you know, you know what
- 1:05:25Speaker 2: you're getting with Fandal. I guess you know, shouldn't be surprised.
- 1:05:28Speaker 2: But like dis at seven k is definitely miss price.
- 1:05:31Speaker 2: It's gonna be very easy to build teams. Dicker and
- 1:05:34Speaker 2: Tucker eighty five nine k.
- 1:05:37Speaker 3: You know it is what it is, what it is
- 1:05:39Speaker 3: over there on fandel.
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: Yeah, it's for that reason. I mean like bad, bad
- 1:05:43Speaker 1: pricing tonight, it's almost the same price for Dobbins as
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: his quarterback, who's going against one of the worst pass
- 1:05:48Speaker 1: defenses in the NFL that has the opportunities. If you
- 1:05:50Speaker 1: like the Herbert stuff on DraftKings, you should love it
- 1:05:53Speaker 1: over on FanDuel because the ownership over there with MVP
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: ownership is just basically all in on Lamar. You have
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: literally more than half the field. It's probably gonna play
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: Lamar up top over there because it's free based on
- 1:06:04Speaker 1: the other pricing. So yeah, you did a good job
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: breaking it down, but some of the stuff embarrassing over there.
- 1:06:09Speaker 1: By the way, I've been liking pandle for the main slate.
- 1:06:11Speaker 1: It's been coming through about another really good week. Had
- 1:06:13Speaker 1: a chance last night with the the Hurts aj Brown
- 1:06:17Speaker 1: stuff rounding out the main Slate again. We got seventeenth
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: and the big two hundred dollars Blitz had some outs
- 1:06:22Speaker 1: there with Barkley, like it's just it's great for main Slate.
- 1:06:25Speaker 1: It's a tough scene for Showdown. But like you said
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: Hoop earlier and a segue into the marketing stuff for
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: next week. For upcoming this week, we got the Wednesday
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: show by the way DraftKings did add their new contests,
- 1:06:36Speaker 1: and because of the five dollars and the forty four
- 1:06:38Speaker 1: to forty four that they ran, they did get some
- 1:06:41Speaker 1: hundreds and two hundreds and stuff in there. But what
- 1:06:43Speaker 1: they did, which I can at least appreciate somewhat, is
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: they focused on the balanced payout structure to try and
- 1:06:49Speaker 1: not piss people off even more. But everything got chopped
- 1:06:52Speaker 1: to what the size I would have expected to see,
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: Like we got way less people in the field for
- 1:06:56Speaker 1: these backup alternatives to the six hundred k some five
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: dollars or the four and forty four dollars buy in
- 1:07:04Speaker 1: that only so many people can play, so.
- 1:07:07Speaker 3: Very very disappointing setup, Like it's just just looking through this.
- 1:07:12Speaker 2: It's not.
- 1:07:14Speaker 1: I didn't check that yet.
- 1:07:16Speaker 3: Hopefully better, hopefully better.
- 1:07:18Speaker 1: It's all day though, because it's got it's it's three
- 1:07:21Speaker 1: games staggered. There's you know, everyone's doing stuff with their families,
- 1:07:24Speaker 1: even me. I'm Canadian. It's not my Thanksgiving, but I'm
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: still celebrating talking to people about it in Discord, having
- 1:07:29Speaker 1: a good time. My challenge is, I know why they
- 1:07:31Speaker 1: do it with the marketing angle five bucks to win
- 1:07:34Speaker 1: a million. But if you're not going to advertise it
- 1:07:36Speaker 1: and blow this thing up all the time, why take
- 1:07:38Speaker 1: away one of the best days for your regular players
- 1:07:41Speaker 1: that love this slate. It just that's what bugs me
- 1:07:43Speaker 1: about it is what it is.
- 1:07:45Speaker 3: I agree Titling thoughts on that.
- 1:07:48Speaker 1: Anything else you want to add, man or we'll get
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: out of here.
- 1:07:51Speaker 4: Fandly, if you don't play Lamar or Herbert's, you're pretty
- 1:07:54Speaker 4: much different to MVP. The defenses will be mega contrarian
- 1:07:57Speaker 4: priced up right by the Kickers, and then just like
- 1:08:00Speaker 4: the Palmers, the Likelys, the Gus Edwards, the Justice Hills
- 1:08:03Speaker 4: of the world, Angular all have to be lower on
- 1:08:06Speaker 4: because of that disleey miss price at seven k So
- 1:08:09Speaker 4: I mean I still don't play FanDuel Showdown. I can
- 1:08:12Speaker 4: get a plenty of money on DraftKings think gets a
- 1:08:14Speaker 4: way better format. But I do think there's plenty of
- 1:08:16Speaker 4: pivots because of that disleey miss pricing and it being
- 1:08:19Speaker 4: soft up top to leave little money make a pivot
- 1:08:22Speaker 4: here or there, and the bonuses like you talked about
- 1:08:25Speaker 4: either last week or two weeks ago, for the receivers
- 1:08:27Speaker 4: and running backs being able to get the one hundred
- 1:08:29Speaker 4: yards is huge on Fandal to up their chance at
- 1:08:33Speaker 4: the oppomot MVP, whereas in the past it was almost
- 1:08:36Speaker 4: solely quarterbacks. So you have nothing more to add. And yeah,
- 1:08:40Speaker 4: I'm excited for Wednesday. Thanksgiving is always one of my
- 1:08:43Speaker 4: favorite days for DFS. Christmas is up there as well
- 1:08:45Speaker 4: with NBA, but the late swap ability staggered game times
- 1:08:50Speaker 4: get my pack on the late as well. Hoops Lions
- 1:08:52Speaker 4: always started off so not the best game, I mean,
- 1:08:55Speaker 4: Cooper Rush and stuff, but hey, money to be made.
- 1:08:57Speaker 1: Cooper Rush pon me like storyline around these guys now,
- 1:09:01Speaker 1: So before it was just bad games, bad quarterbacks. It's
- 1:09:03Speaker 1: still kind of that, but now like Cooper Rush, you know,
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: a little bit more talk de Vito after what we saw. Yes,
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: so there's at least some buzz around them, even though
- 1:09:10Speaker 1: they didn't play great. It's more of at least we
- 1:09:12Speaker 1: got something to talk about going into the games. But
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: we'll break it all down on Wednesday. Hoop any final
- 1:09:16Speaker 1: thoughts before we get out of here.
- 1:09:17Speaker 2: I got the promos up uh No to be a
- 1:09:22Speaker 2: good game, big total, close spread, looking forward to it again.
- 1:09:25Speaker 2: The Chargers kind of pushing the pace a little bit
- 1:09:27Speaker 2: more and hopefully they play into the weakness of the
- 1:09:30Speaker 2: Ravens pass defense and go that route to make it exciting.
- 1:09:34Speaker 3: As you said, we got our promos up. NBA fifty
- 1:09:37Speaker 3: is still active.
- 1:09:37Speaker 2: If you want monthly all access, that'll give you fifty
- 1:09:40Speaker 2: percent off your first payment. If you're just interested in
- 1:09:44Speaker 2: NFL rest of season, ninety nine dollars without shift to
- 1:09:47Speaker 2: Miser gets you all the way through the Super Bowl.
- 1:09:49Speaker 2: I mean, best deal in the industry by far. If
- 1:09:52Speaker 2: you want to add on the ship to Miser, it's
- 1:09:53Speaker 2: just one hundred and twenty nine dollars gets you all
- 1:09:56Speaker 2: the way through the Super Bowl.
- 1:09:57Speaker 3: So basically three full months of content. And yeah, we'd
- 1:10:02Speaker 3: love to have you over here.
- 1:10:03Speaker 1: Yeah, a ton of good stuff going on. If you
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: already have this with somebody else, I mean, this now
- 1:10:06Speaker 1: is the time to check our stuff out. Maybe can
- 1:10:08Speaker 1: help you make a switch in the future. I mean,
- 1:10:09Speaker 1: we try and keep everything as affordable as possible. Our
- 1:10:13Speaker 1: mission is to give you the most value at the
- 1:10:15Speaker 1: most affordable price. That's what it's all about. The Discord's great,
- 1:10:18Speaker 1: So check it out. Go to ship at nation dot com,
- 1:10:20Speaker 1: get in on one of these deals, give it a shot,
- 1:10:22Speaker 1: and yeah, we'll see how this game goes tonight. The
- 1:10:24Speaker 1: funny enough, the Ravens are back on that Christmas slate too,
- 1:10:27Speaker 1: talk about Christmas Day basketball and whatnot. Member NFL's trying
- 1:10:30Speaker 1: to take it over nowadays too. So two games on
- 1:10:32Speaker 1: Christmas Day? Yeah, what do you say?
- 1:10:35Speaker 2: Who? I said? Smart? And then they can own any
- 1:10:38Speaker 2: I mean NBA ratings are down, I mean why not
- 1:10:40Speaker 2: take advantage of it and pop in with the NFL games.
- 1:10:43Speaker 1: That's what That's what they do exactly. They say, you
- 1:10:46Speaker 1: don't want to take it, we'll take it. We're up
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: for it. So and yeah, Kenny talks about it on
- 1:10:49Speaker 1: the way out. Like a game. The The Ultimate is
- 1:10:52Speaker 1: really nice. At the end of December, it's it's expensive
- 1:10:54Speaker 1: buy in, but with satellites and stuff, you can win
- 1:10:56Speaker 1: your way in two hundred and three hundred k with
- 1:10:58Speaker 1: the even structure. But that one it's like two point
- 1:11:01Speaker 1: five one, but it's it's a really nice payouts structure.
- 1:11:03Speaker 2: It is crazy how every player has the same mindset
- 1:11:05Speaker 2: with this, and every player has bitched and voice their
- 1:11:09Speaker 2: their concerns and their opinions, and yet it never gets changed.
- 1:11:13Speaker 2: It's wild to me, Like if you think at some
- 1:11:14Speaker 2: point they'd listen to their customers. But I guess not.
- 1:11:17Speaker 1: I think it probably Yeah.
- 1:11:19Speaker 2: Yeah, you keep filling it up. Yeah, they're not.
- 1:11:21Speaker 4: Gonna change if they keep filling it. But it's still
- 1:11:23Speaker 4: like they would fill it the other way if that's
- 1:11:25Speaker 4: what people want.
- 1:11:26Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:11:26Speaker 5: There has to be some reason.
- 1:11:28Speaker 1: That's what it's all about. Rob, that's the one man
- 1:11:30Speaker 1: Secrets of Satellites. You got to play and then you
- 1:11:32Speaker 1: can beat up on small fields. Some of the people
- 1:11:34Speaker 1: that are playing in it that have the bank roles
- 1:11:36Speaker 1: to play in small fields are mme players that you know,
- 1:11:39Speaker 1: just throwing it in there just to see how it does.
- 1:11:41Speaker 1: So they may not be playing the best strategy for
- 1:11:43Speaker 1: that either. So certain little things to take away there,
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: but covered a lot, guys, we're excited about this one.
- 1:11:48Speaker 1: We'll get in there, cover it over on ship at Nation.
- 1:11:50Speaker 1: We'll have all the coverage up sooner than later for
- 1:11:52Speaker 1: tonight' showdown slate, and then we'll be back Wednesday at
- 1:11:54Speaker 1: one pm Eastern. Joined Title Hoop and Myself. That's going
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: to do it for this one, guys for the same
- 1:12:00Speaker 1: crue Title Hoop and my Self toe tagging tambo Let
- 1:12:02Speaker 1: Ship it