Latest / The Financial Exchange Show / Tesla and SpaceX Merger Talks Heat Up After Strong Earnings
Transcript
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- 1:03Speaker 1: is The Financial Exchange with Chuck Zada and Paul Lane.
- 1:10Speaker 2: Chuck, Paul, Tucker with you here. And we kick things
- 1:16Speaker 2: off with.
- 1:20Speaker 4: I'm going to tell you a little bit of a
- 1:22Speaker 4: victory lap on my part. Some people say they don't
- 1:27Speaker 4: like to take victory laps. I say those people are lying.
- 1:31Speaker 4: It's one thing to be humble about things, like we're
- 1:33Speaker 4: not always right, but hey, when you are right, it's
- 1:36Speaker 4: okay to be like, yeah, I was right. And likewise,
- 1:39Speaker 4: when you're wrong, you got to be like, hey, I
- 1:41Speaker 4: was wrong. It's like you got to own both sides
- 1:43Speaker 4: of the coin. And in this case, last week, when
- 1:48Speaker 4: Tesla unveiled their Roadster by having it do a flip
- 1:54Speaker 4: off a little half loop, I said, hey, it sure
- 1:57Speaker 4: seems like they're trying to make this thing seem spacey
- 2:00Speaker 4: because maybe they want to merge Tesla and SpaceX. Now,
- 2:04Speaker 4: this was not exactly going out.
- 2:05Speaker 1: On a limb.
- 2:07Speaker 5: That had been mentioned before.
- 2:08Speaker 4: This was not exactly going out on a limb, given
- 2:11Speaker 4: that Elon Musk, owns a bunch of Tesla shares, owns
- 2:16Speaker 4: a bunch of SpaceX shares, and has a history of
- 2:20Speaker 4: merging his companies from time to time. But yesterday on
- 2:26Speaker 4: the SpaceX conference call, where SpaceX had a really nice
- 2:30Speaker 4: little quarter of earnings, a good quarter, they have finished
- 2:35Speaker 4: the merger of not the merger, but the acquisition of Cursor,
- 2:40Speaker 4: who is a, Cursor, if you're not familiar with them,
- 2:43Speaker 4: they are an AI-powered coding tool. And so that revenue
- 2:48Speaker 4: is obviously factoring into the growth and the profits that
- 2:51Speaker 4: we've seen here. And so as part of the earnings call,
- 2:56Speaker 4: Musk coming out and saying, yeah, there's groups at each
- 3:00Speaker 4: side that are involved in potentially exploring a merger. He says, basically,
- 3:05Speaker 4: I can't comment on any of it because I'm obviously
- 3:08Speaker 4: an interested party, but there's groups on each side that
- 3:11Speaker 4: are talking about doing something right now.
- 3:13Speaker 5: He certainly flirted with the line of it. I believe
- 3:15Speaker 5: during the call, it was recorded that he said it
- 3:18Speaker 5: would be a good idea three times. And now what
- 3:23Speaker 5: it comes down to, and clearly the way the stocks
- 3:26Speaker 5: are trading today, it indicates that there's certainly momentum behind this.
- 3:30Speaker 5: SpaceX is up about 12% in early trading, and Tesla's
- 3:34Speaker 5: up about three and a third percent in the first
- 3:37Speaker 5: half hour of trading here. So it certainly seems like, Chuck,
- 3:41Speaker 5: this has significant potential to happen in terms of the
- 3:45Speaker 5: mechanics of it. As you mentioned, Musk owns about 44%
- 3:48Speaker 5: of SpaceX and he owns about 28% of Tesla. The
- 3:54Speaker 5: Tesla shareholders would need to get over the 50% approval
- 3:58Speaker 5: level in order to merge with SpaceX. This would create
- 4:02Speaker 5: the largest merger of all time in terms of market cap.
- 4:05Speaker 5: SpaceX had been sitting around, I believe, a little over $ 2. 25
- 4:10Speaker 5: trillion for its market cap, and Tesla's a little bit
- 4:13Speaker 5: over $ 1 trillion. So certainly a lot of excitement on
- 4:18Speaker 5: this news today, $ 1. 5 trillion for the market cap of Tesla.
- 4:22Speaker 5: And what was a very good quarter for SpaceX here
- 4:25Speaker 5: in terms of the numbers that we saw, they came
- 4:28Speaker 5: in with about $ 4. 4 billion of net income. That was
- 4:33Speaker 5: significantly up from where they were a year ago in
- 4:35Speaker 5: this same quarter where they had reported a loss. They
- 4:39Speaker 5: are generating a significant amount of revenue from leasing out
- 4:43Speaker 5: their cloud computing. This had been discussed.
- 4:46Speaker 2: Yeah, they signed a few deals in the course of
- 4:47Speaker 2: the spring and summer.
- 4:48Speaker 5: Yeah, exactly. Anthropic, I believe, is paying them about a
- 4:52Speaker 5: billion dollars a month if memory serves on... The leasing
- 4:56Speaker 5: out of cloud computing, that whole unit in general generated
- 4:59Speaker 5: about $ 7. 6 billion in revenue. That was a nine times
- 5:03Speaker 5: increase from where that was last year. And even just
- 5:06Speaker 5: their AI operations themselves, forget the leasing agreements with Anthropic
- 5:10Speaker 5: and some of the other big players. reported a $ 430
- 5:14Speaker 5: million income. So not a significant number, but that was
- 5:17Speaker 5: a $ 1. 7 billion loss last year. So a lot of
- 5:21Speaker 5: good numbers here across the board. Revenue for the company
- 5:24Speaker 5: in general up to about $ 14. 5 billion double where it
- 5:27Speaker 5: was last year. So it seems as if they are
- 5:32Speaker 5: pretty well firing on all cylinders. This was a really
- 5:35Speaker 5: good quarter. I didn't really find anything to poke holes in.
- 5:39Speaker 1: In it.
- 5:40Speaker 5: I'm not sure if anything stood out to you that
- 5:42Speaker 5: viewed as negative. They're still spending a lot of money,
- 5:44Speaker 5: but they're at least getting the growth with it.
- 5:47Speaker 4: Yeah, I think along with the positives that you mentioned here,
- 5:52Speaker 4: when we go and talk about, okay, some of the
- 5:57Speaker 4: stuff that quite honestly, didn't make sense on the conference call.
- 6:02Speaker 4: Musk said, hey, look, we think that SpaceX is going
- 6:05Speaker 4: to be able to have revenue by the end of
- 6:08Speaker 4: next year of $ 500 billion to a trillion dollars. And
- 6:12Speaker 4: I just want to put this in context, because when
- 6:16Speaker 4: we look at the largest publicly traded companies out there,
- 6:22Speaker 4: there are, well, the Again, you look at the numbers,
- 6:28Speaker 4: and there are none that have a trillion dollars in revenue.
- 6:32Speaker 4: As an example, Amazon does the most revenue out of
- 6:36Speaker 4: any publicly traded company in the world.
- 6:41Speaker 2: They do about $ 775 billion in revenue.
- 6:42Speaker 5: That's going to get $ 600, yeah.
- 6:45Speaker 4: Walmart does about $ 735 billion.
- 6:49Speaker 2: You go down the list.
- 6:50Speaker 4: Apple does around $ 466 billion. So there's only two companies
- 6:52Speaker 4: in the world, publicly traded ones. that do more than
- 6:57Speaker 4: $ 500 billion in revenue. And the idea that SpaceX is
- 7:01Speaker 4: going to do $ 500 billion to a trillion in revenue
- 7:05Speaker 4: next year fundamentally doesn't make sense because I just don't
- 7:09Speaker 4: know where that spending would come from. There's not just
- 7:12Speaker 4: like an extra trillion dollars in new spending lying around
- 7:16Speaker 4: that companies are like, yeah, we're going to just spend
- 7:21Speaker 4: this money. Remember, if you look at, like, the projections
- 7:25Speaker 4: where we stand right now, the annual run rate for
- 7:29Speaker 4: AI-related spend between the two big guys out there, Anthropic
- 7:32Speaker 4: and OpenAI, is estimated to be somewhere around $ 100 to
- 7:37Speaker 4: $ 120 billion. You're talking about 10x-ing that by the end
- 7:40Speaker 4: of next year to get to those guys being at,
- 7:44Speaker 4: you And based on what we've seen from the growth
- 7:50Speaker 4: rates of those spending levels in the past several months,
- 7:55Speaker 4: they're slowing down.
- 7:57Speaker 2: They're not accelerating.
- 7:58Speaker 4: So I don't think we're going to get there. So
- 8:01Speaker 4: I think that we can look at this and say, hey,
- 8:03Speaker 4: it's pretty clear that SpaceX is seeing some really impressive
- 8:07Speaker 4: growth as far as, again, being able to lease out
- 8:09Speaker 4: these data centers and things like that. But it's also
- 8:13Speaker 4: fundamentally unclear to me that there is any realistic path
- 8:18Speaker 4: to SpaceX having anywhere near a trillion dollars in revenue
- 8:22Speaker 4: by the end of next year, given that there isn't
- 8:25Speaker 4: a single company in the world that has a trillion
- 8:28Speaker 4: dollars in annual revenue right now.
- 8:30Speaker 5: That logic is sound. I cannot beat that up.
- 8:34Speaker 2: That's my point.
- 8:36Speaker 4: You know, it's, I'm just going to, I mean, again, like,
- 8:41Speaker 4: Google is an example, has like $ 450 billion in revenue.
- 8:46Speaker 4: Do we really think, like, let's even say that there's
- 8:48Speaker 4: going to be a trillion in AI spending next year,
- 8:50Speaker 4: which I don't think there will be.
- 8:51Speaker 2: Which is estimated by all that. Not in CapEx.
- 8:55Speaker 5: Okay.
- 8:55Speaker 4: Let's say there's going to be a trillion in, like,
- 8:57Speaker 4: actual spending by companies on AI.
- 9:00Speaker 2: Because the CapEx is separate from that.
- 9:03Speaker 1: Right, right.
- 9:03Speaker 3: Okay.
- 9:03Speaker 4: The CapEx is like, we're going to build this. I'm saying, hey,
- 9:06Speaker 4: companies paying for AI models are going to spend a bit.
- 9:09Speaker 4: Because that's what you need in order to get SpaceX
- 9:11Speaker 4: to a trillion dollars in revenue next year. Do we
- 9:15Speaker 4: really think SpaceX is going to capture all of that?
- 9:18Speaker 1: No.
- 9:19Speaker 2: No, we don't. So if you want to say, what's
- 9:23Speaker 2: SpaceX doing revenue for this quarter?
- 9:25Speaker 1: $ 14.
- 9:25Speaker 5: 5 billion. Okay.
- 9:27Speaker 4: So let's say they do $ 14. 5, so that's an annualized
- 9:29Speaker 4: rate of about $ 60 billion. I'm willing to even go
- 9:33Speaker 4: out and say, okay, in a crazy high-end fashion.
- 9:36Speaker 2: $ 120 billion.
- 9:37Speaker 5: 120, 150, you know, like somewhere in that range. Look
- 9:43Speaker 5: at like the Nvidia stuff when that really exploded.
- 9:45Speaker 3: Sure.
- 9:46Speaker 2: Doublings.
- 9:47Speaker 4: I'm willing to say like, yes, like if they hit everything,
- 9:51Speaker 4: like could they do that?
- 9:53Speaker 5: Yes.
- 9:53Speaker 4: Do I think that that's, you know, likely and going
- 9:56Speaker 4: to happen? I have no idea. I'm not pretending. to
- 10:00Speaker 4: you know be able to say like oh yeah it's
- 10:02Speaker 4: gonna but could I see it as a possibility sure
- 10:05Speaker 4: could I see a trillion dollars as a possibility no
- 10:09Speaker 4: because that just doesn't make sense So, good quarter from SpaceX.
- 10:13Speaker 4: Nice little runway that they have to grow from here.
- 10:17Speaker 4: And I think, again, exactly what you want to see
- 10:20Speaker 4: from a relatively new publicly traded company making their second
- 10:24Speaker 4: public earnings report.
- 10:25Speaker 5: Yeah, certainly the big takeaway from this will be all
- 10:28Speaker 5: the conjecture on the Tesla and SpaceX merger, which... is
- 10:33Speaker 5: going to just only heat up, it sounds like, after
- 10:35Speaker 5: this earning call. And it seems like that it is
- 10:38Speaker 5: more likely than it was a week or so ago
- 10:40Speaker 5: that these two become a united company at some point.
- 10:43Speaker 4: Let's take a quick break. When we come back, we're
- 10:46Speaker 4: talking Netflix and oil. Not together, but we're talking about
- 10:49Speaker 4: both of those next.
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- 11:40Speaker 4: Before we get to talking about Netflix, we've got to
- 11:43Speaker 4: talk a little bit about this Wall Street Journal exclusive
- 11:47Speaker 4: that came out yesterday.
- 11:50Speaker 3: It's like 20 minutes ago.
- 11:50Speaker 2: Half hour ago.
- 11:52Speaker 4: If you're not familiar with PHP, it is a scripting
- 11:56Speaker 4: language that the best way I can describe it, it's
- 11:59Speaker 4: kind of the back end under the hood for a
- 12:05Speaker 4: vast swath of the internet. You don't need to know
- 12:07Speaker 4: any more than that because, quite honestly, my knowledge is
- 12:10Speaker 4: relatively limited. I remember playing around with it during late 90s,
- 12:14Speaker 4: early 2000s, building websites and stuff like that, but my
- 12:17Speaker 4: knowledge is minor. But just know that PHP is a
- 12:20Speaker 4: scripting language that is the back end that makes the
- 12:23Speaker 4: Internet function in a lot of cases the way that
- 12:26Speaker 4: it does today. And so basically what we have here
- 12:30Speaker 4: is that the creators of PHP disclose that there is
- 12:36Speaker 4: a critical security issue that hackers could use to take
- 12:41Speaker 4: control of any system that runs its software. And so
- 12:43Speaker 4: this is problematic.
- 12:44Speaker 2: They subsequently....
- 12:47Speaker 4: This was recently, within the last 15-20 minutes, they have
- 12:52Speaker 4: now released a patch for two critical vulnerabilities that all
- 12:57Speaker 4: PHP installations that are connected to the web, which is
- 13:00Speaker 4: basically all of them, because I don't know what else
- 13:02Speaker 4: you would use it for, but basically saying, hey, you
- 13:05Speaker 4: need to update to these patches, so anyone who's involved
- 13:09Speaker 4: in managing websites or domains at any scale today, they're
- 13:12Speaker 4: going to be pretty busy making sure that this is
- 13:14Speaker 4: happening in order to prevent all kinds of problems from
- 13:20Speaker 4: popping up. PHP occasionally does run into these issues. This
- 13:25Speaker 4: is the biggest one that we've seen in probably a
- 13:28Speaker 4: decade or so, and so you've got this race now
- 13:32Speaker 4: to release, or rather to update, all of the instances
- 13:38Speaker 4: that are running PHP as quickly as possible, because you
- 13:42Speaker 4: better believe that today, You have all kinds of automated
- 13:46Speaker 4: bots that are going to get spooled up to try
- 13:48Speaker 4: to attack as many of these as quickly as possible.
- 13:50Speaker 4: And so it is very much a different world than
- 13:53Speaker 4: the last time we saw an issue of this scale
- 13:57Speaker 4: with PHP.
- 13:59Speaker 5: Yeah, it's interesting. Just an excerpt here from the piece
- 14:01Speaker 5: from the Wall Street Journal. This class of bugs had
- 14:03Speaker 5: been hiding in the source code for years. A security
- 14:06Speaker 5: researcher had flagged its problem decades earlier as a problem area,
- 14:11Speaker 5: but the flaw had been considered too difficult to exploit
- 14:14Speaker 5: and was largely forgotten. Now, with the help of chat
- 14:19Speaker 5: GPT or GPT 5.6 Sol, this was uncovered in a
- 14:24Speaker 5: far more efficient manner and it's it is scary when
- 14:28Speaker 5: you read this stuff you're talking about 70 of the
- 14:31Speaker 5: world's websites at risk here it's.
- 14:33Speaker 4: A problem uh let's talk a little bit about uh
- 14:36Speaker 4: netflix then now that we've covered our uh doomsday uh
- 14:40Speaker 4: should we have a bug of the day tucker it
- 14:42Speaker 4: feels like we you know maybe not of the day
- 14:45Speaker 4: but there's at least a bug of the week we
- 14:46Speaker 4: used to do our data breach of the week This
- 14:49Speaker 4: feels like it's trending in that direction.
- 14:50Speaker 3: It seems like it's every other day we're getting one
- 14:52Speaker 3: of these reports. But this one seems like a doozy,
- 14:54Speaker 3: so something to keep an eye on here.
- 14:56Speaker 4: Can you get some kind of, like, bug of the
- 14:58Speaker 4: week liner that we could drop in?
- 15:00Speaker 2: You know, like, it's creepy, crawly, it's the bug of
- 15:04Speaker 2: the week. Like, something like that. I don't know.
- 15:07Speaker 4: But in any case, Netflix reported earnings yesterday, and they're
- 15:12Speaker 4: just kind of lackluster. At this point, it's they're pushing
- 15:17Speaker 4: as much as they can on the price lever to
- 15:19Speaker 4: try to drive revenue. But there's just not that many
- 15:23Speaker 4: people left in the world that don't have Netflix that
- 15:25Speaker 4: want it on a regular basis. The content, if I'm
- 15:29Speaker 4: being honest, is someone who has a Netflix subscription. Basically,
- 15:34Speaker 4: all of the Netflix-produced content outside of some of their
- 15:40Speaker 4: dumb dating reality stuff, I think, largely is the same
- 15:43Speaker 4: and just sucks today. It's just mind-numbing content that doesn't
- 15:49Speaker 4: have anything unique to it. There's no point of view.
- 15:53Speaker 4: There's no interesting discussions to be had about most of it.
- 15:57Speaker 4: And I think they're feeling this, and they've pretty much
- 16:00Speaker 4: admitted as much because... They're getting rid of their content head.
- 16:03Speaker 4: They got rid of another division chief yesterday as well.
- 16:07Speaker 5: The film content head, too, for movies.
- 16:09Speaker 4: So you're kind of sitting there and you're like, okay,
- 16:11Speaker 4: they know they've got a problem with their content. But remember,
- 16:16Speaker 4: it's a big ship to steer when you're talking about
- 16:18Speaker 4: content production. The stuff that you start putting into production
- 16:21Speaker 4: today has already been in development for a couple of years.
- 16:25Speaker 1: Right.
- 16:26Speaker 4: They might not see results on this until like 2028,
- 16:29Speaker 4: 2029 in terms of can they actually produce the stuff
- 16:33Speaker 4: that's needed to turn the ship here?
- 16:35Speaker 5: I think it does come down to as simple as
- 16:37Speaker 5: they just, they need another hit. You know, long gone
- 16:39Speaker 5: are the days of Stranger Things and Squid Games. Those
- 16:42Speaker 5: were the franchises that had really been the last hits
- 16:46Speaker 5: that Netflix had come out with on the show side
- 16:49Speaker 5: of things. From the movie side, they had some momentum
- 16:51Speaker 5: last summer and with K-pop Demon Hunters and Happy Gilmore
- 16:55Speaker 5: 2 in terms of a lot of people tuning in
- 16:57Speaker 5: to watch those things. It's an interesting place that they
- 16:59Speaker 5: find themselves in now with the Warner Brothers acquisition failing
- 17:02Speaker 5: earlier this year. That had sent the stock down, and
- 17:05Speaker 5: they really haven't recovered momentum since. They don't disclose subscriber
- 17:09Speaker 5: count since early 2025. They have the benefit, unlike other
- 17:13Speaker 5: streaming services, where the churn that they see is very low.
- 17:16Speaker 5: It's only around 2%, according to Antenna. That's far below
- 17:20Speaker 5: less than some of its peers, but none of its
- 17:23Speaker 5: peers are at the same size and scale of Netflix.
- 17:26Speaker 5: It just seems like to get the momentum going on
- 17:30Speaker 5: this company, it comes down to something as simple as
- 17:32Speaker 5: just having the next show that everyone's talking about and
- 17:37Speaker 5: is interested in. And it just seems like it's been
- 17:39Speaker 5: a while since that has been the case. They've now
- 17:42Speaker 5: really acknowledged it to your point with cutting 6% of
- 17:44Speaker 5: their workforce and replacing all the heads on the content
- 17:48Speaker 5: side of things here.
- 17:49Speaker 2: Let me ask you a couple of different questions.
- 17:54Speaker 4: Is there a show today that really is just, like,
- 17:59Speaker 4: you know, like, the show that captures, like, public imagination?
- 18:03Speaker 4: I mean, you go back through, like, the 2010s and
- 18:04Speaker 4: you had, you know, Game of Thrones. You had The
- 18:07Speaker 4: Sopranos back in the day.
- 18:08Speaker 2: Like, Breaking Bad. Breaking Bad, yeah.
- 18:11Speaker 4: Is there one out there on any platform that gets
- 18:14Speaker 4: to that level of widespread focus?
- 18:18Speaker 1: No.
- 18:18Speaker 5: I just feel like everything is so fragmented now that
- 18:21Speaker 5: everybody is sliced up and dealt what is best for
- 18:24Speaker 5: Chuck or Tucker or Paul. There is not that community
- 18:28Speaker 5: experience of all of us watching the same show and
- 18:31Speaker 5: coming to work on Monday and talking about the finale of,
- 18:34Speaker 5: Game of Thrones or Breaking Bad or whatever it may be.
- 18:37Speaker 5: Part of that is because there's just so many of
- 18:39Speaker 5: these frigging streaming services. It's too many platforms. It's impossible
- 18:42Speaker 5: to keep track of. Chuck, you could tell me about
- 18:44Speaker 5: a great show. I would say, wait, what is that on?
- 18:46Speaker 5: Apple TV? Oh, I don't have that one. And it
- 18:49Speaker 5: just sort of stalls the whole process versus the simplistic
- 18:53Speaker 5: way before Breaking Bad was AMC, Sopranos, HBO. There was
- 18:57Speaker 5: far fewer options, so you would gravitate to it more quickly.
- 19:00Speaker 2: So let me ask you this now.
- 19:02Speaker 4: Out of all of the different producers, who's got the
- 19:04Speaker 4: best slate in the aggregate?
- 19:06Speaker 5: It seems like Apple TV has the most now.
- 19:08Speaker 2: I'm going there as well. Tucker, what do you think? Yeah,
- 19:10Speaker 2: I would agree with that.
- 19:11Speaker 3: I mean, they just cleaned up with Widow's Bay.
- 19:13Speaker 2: Did they? Oh, at the Emmys?
- 19:15Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 19:15Speaker 3: Matthew Rhys won two Emmys for two different shows.
- 19:18Speaker 2: It's because Matthew Rhys is the dude. Like, he's a dude, man.
- 19:21Speaker 2: He's a dude.
- 19:24Speaker 3: He is a dude.
- 19:24Speaker 2: Let's take a quick break.
- 19:27Speaker 5: True.
- 19:27Speaker 2: When we return, Todd Lutzky, the other dude.
- 19:30Speaker 1: He's a dude.
- 19:31Speaker 2: He's coming by right after this.
- 19:40Speaker 1: Like us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter at
- 19:43Speaker 1: TFE Show. Breaking business news is always first, right here
- 19:47Speaker 1: on the Financial Exchange Radio Network. Time now for Wall
- 19:52Speaker 1: Street Watch. Tracking the stocks, the data, and the headlines
- 19:56Speaker 1: driving markets so far today, right here on the Financial
- 19:59Speaker 1: Exchange Radio Network.
- 20:00Speaker 3: Markets are mixed with more third quarter earnings as SpaceX
- 20:04Speaker 3: and Tesla making headlines surrounding a potential mega merger. Right now,
- 20:09Speaker 3: the Dow is down only nine points. S & P
- 20:12Speaker 3: 500 is up over a tenth of a percent or
- 20:14Speaker 3: 12 points higher. NASDAQ up six-tenths of a percent or
- 20:17Speaker 3: 156 points up. Russell 2000 is up a third of
- 20:21Speaker 3: a percent. Ten-year Treasury real down one basis point at 5.102%.
- 20:24Speaker 3: Crude oil flat at $ 97. Brent also flat at $ 108
- 20:26Speaker 3: a barrel. SpaceX rallying 10% after the rocket and AI
- 20:28Speaker 3: company posted A 161% jump in third quarter revenue. Elon
- 20:40Speaker 3: Musk also.
- 20:40Speaker 2: Said that.
- 20:42Speaker 3: SpaceX and Tesla have formed special committees to discuss a
- 20:47Speaker 3: potential merger. Tesla up 3% and will report earnings after
- 20:52Speaker 3: today's close. Meta up 1% ahead of its earnings after
- 20:55Speaker 3: today's closing bell. Meanwhile, Netflix shares are sinking over 4%
- 21:00Speaker 3: after the streaming giant reported its lowest revenue growth in
- 21:03Speaker 3: years and acknowledged it could do better.
- 21:05Speaker 2: With U.S.
- 21:06Speaker 3: Programming, Supermicrocomputer jumping 10% after the data center server company
- 21:11Speaker 3: raised its fiscal first quarter revenue outlook. And Abbott Laboratories
- 21:16Speaker 3: plans to spin off its nutrition unit into a separate
- 21:19Speaker 3: publicly traded company. Abbott Lab stock is down by 2%.
- 21:25Speaker 3: I'm Tucker Silva and that is Wall Street Watch.
- 21:28Speaker 1: This is Ask Todd on the Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 21:32Speaker 1: If you have an existing estate plan or are in
- 21:34Speaker 1: the market for one, Todd Lutzke is here to answer
- 21:37Speaker 1: your questions and help you plan for later life. Ask
- 21:40Speaker 1: Todd is presented by Cushing and Dolan, serving Massachusetts and
- 21:43Speaker 1: New England for more than 35 years, helping families with
- 21:46Speaker 1: estate and tax planning, Medicaid planning, and probate law. Visit CushingDolan.com. Now,
- 21:52Speaker 1: here's Todd Lutzke.
- 21:55Speaker 4: We've got Todd Lutzky here live in studio on the
- 21:59Speaker 4: Financial Exchange because he wants to answer your estate planning questions.
- 22:04Speaker 4: That's what he's here for. That's why we call the
- 22:05Speaker 4: segment Ask Todd. Phone lines, they are wide open at 888-205-2263.
- 22:10Speaker 2: Again, that's 888-205-2263.
- 22:11Speaker 4: We can usually get through two or three of your calls,
- 22:14Speaker 4: so Get calling so that you can get in line
- 22:23Speaker 4: and we can get to you because otherwise we won't. Again,
- 22:28Speaker 4: 888-205-2263 is the number.
- 22:31Speaker 1: Mr.
- 22:31Speaker 2: Lutzky, how are you today? I'm doing great. How are
- 22:34Speaker 2: you doing? Okay. Had a daughter's goldfish died over the weekend.
- 22:40Speaker 2: Your daughter has goldfish?
- 22:41Speaker 1: Uh-huh.
- 22:42Speaker 2: Offered to get her another one just like it.
- 22:45Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 22:45Speaker 2: She said, why would I want two dead goldfish? That's true.
- 22:48Speaker 2: I couldn't disagree there. Todd, I want to talk to
- 22:51Speaker 2: you a little bit about annual gifting.
- 22:54Speaker 4: What is the annual gifting limit for 2026 before you
- 22:59Speaker 4: run into the gift tax exclusion?
- 23:04Speaker 6: So and I think it's a great question because so
- 23:08Speaker 6: many people ask me all the time. I'll tell them
- 23:10Speaker 6: how much they can give away and they'll say, oh.
- 23:13Speaker 6: I heard that you can only give away $ 19, 000 because
- 23:16Speaker 6: I'll give them a much bigger number. I'll give them
- 23:18Speaker 6: the $ 15 million number and they're like, whoa, wait a minute.
- 23:21Speaker 6: I heard I can only give away $ 19, 000. So let
- 23:25Speaker 6: me explain the difference. And of course, a lot of
- 23:27Speaker 6: you that have been listening over the years, you probably
- 23:29Speaker 6: know that way back when, when we started this, this
- 23:32Speaker 6: exemption that you speak of, this present interest exclusion amount
- 23:38Speaker 6: was $.
- 23:38Speaker 5: 10, 000.
- 23:39Speaker 2: It was $ 10, 000.
- 23:40Speaker 1: Yep.
- 23:40Speaker 2: But it's been indexed for inflation. So- over the years,
- 23:43Speaker 2: it's now creeped up to 19.
- 23:46Speaker 6: So when you're thinking of the 10, it's the same 10,
- 23:48Speaker 6: except now it's 19.
- 23:50Speaker 2: What is this?
- 23:51Speaker 5: It is the.
- 23:52Speaker 6: Ability to gift per person per year, $ 19, 000. And when
- 23:59Speaker 6: I say that to anybody, it doesn't have to be
- 24:01Speaker 6: a family member. So, you know, if you want to
- 24:03Speaker 6: give me some money, that's okay. At 19,000 per year,
- 24:08Speaker 6: per person, and you do not have to report it anywhere.
- 24:14Speaker 6: Tell the government nothing, file no income, gift tax return, nothing.
- 24:19Speaker 6: So it's a freebie versus, and by the way, if
- 24:24Speaker 6: you're married and you want to make gifts, you can
- 24:26Speaker 6: move a lot of money, right? So if you've got
- 24:27Speaker 6: a bunch of kids and grandkids, you can set up
- 24:29Speaker 6: a trust and you can start moving between husband and wife.
- 24:32Speaker 6: You can move $ 38, 000 per year. And if you've got,
- 24:37Speaker 6: you know, three kids and six grandkids in a trust,
- 24:40Speaker 6: you can count each head. So now it's $ 38, 000 times
- 24:44Speaker 6: nine if you really wanted to. Do you know what
- 24:46Speaker 6: that adds up to?
- 24:49Speaker 1: No.
- 24:49Speaker 2: $ 342, 000. That's why I just gave you the number. You're welcome.
- 24:53Speaker 2: So it's a lot of money, though. That's what you said, Chuck.
- 24:56Speaker 2: That's a lot. $ 342, 000. That's a big, big chunk of change.
- 24:59Speaker 6: I'm not suggesting that people can do that.
- 25:01Speaker 3: Sure.
- 25:02Speaker 6: But, you know, it just helps you understand the power
- 25:05Speaker 6: of gifting without reporting a single thing.
- 25:09Speaker 5: Right?
- 25:10Speaker 2: You can do that.
- 25:11Speaker 3: Now.
- 25:13Speaker 6: I can conversely tell you that you also have the
- 25:17Speaker 6: ability to give away once in your lifetime $ 15 million.
- 25:25Speaker 6: So I have $ 15 million, you have $ 15 million, my
- 25:28Speaker 6: wife has $ 15 million.
- 25:29Speaker 2: That's also equal, oddly enough, to our estate.
- 25:34Speaker 6: Tax exemption, which of course we have to have because
- 25:36Speaker 6: if you didn't have the gift tax rules, you'd have
- 25:39Speaker 6: no estate tax teeth, right?
- 25:40Speaker 2: Because right before you died, everybody would just give away
- 25:43Speaker 2: All their assets.
- 25:43Speaker 1: Sure.
- 25:44Speaker 6: And there'd be no gift tax or no estate tax.
- 25:47Speaker 6: So you have to have the gift tax rules. So
- 25:50Speaker 6: you can use your exemption, $ 15 million, either when you die,
- 25:54Speaker 6: which most people do, but higher net worth people might
- 25:57Speaker 6: want to use it while they're alive by making a gift.
- 26:00Speaker 6: So I'm allowed to give away, let's say, $ 10 million
- 26:03Speaker 6: to a trust, perhaps for my benefit if I choose
- 26:05Speaker 6: to do it that way.
- 26:07Speaker 2: And that gift, I would have to file immediately.
- 26:10Speaker 6: A 709 gift tax return, report that to the government.
- 26:14Speaker 6: And then I would not pay any gift tax, but
- 26:17Speaker 6: I would eat into my $ 15 million exemption by 10 million,
- 26:21Speaker 6: leaving me with only 5 million over my lifetime to exempt.
- 26:24Speaker 6: But at least I moved assets out of my estate
- 26:28Speaker 6: and all the future growth folks. It's not just what
- 26:31Speaker 6: you move today. It's the future growth that really matters.
- 26:35Speaker 4: Todd, when's the last time you actually saw someone have
- 26:37Speaker 4: to pay a gift tax?
- 26:39Speaker 2: Have you ever? I have.
- 26:41Speaker 6: I mean, there's sometimes we tell people to make net
- 26:44Speaker 6: taxable gifts. There's a benefit to a net taxable gift
- 26:48Speaker 6: because you can actually leverage how much you're giving away.
- 26:51Speaker 6: So there can be times, I'll be getting into the
- 26:53Speaker 6: weeds with this one, but there can be times that
- 26:57Speaker 6: it makes sense to do.
- 26:57Speaker 2: A net taxable gift. But mostly you're right, Chuck. Few
- 27:00Speaker 2: and far between when that's the case. Yeah, you don't
- 27:01Speaker 2: need to pay a gift tax.
- 27:03Speaker 4: Talking with Todd Lutzky from Cushing and Dolan, and we
- 27:07Speaker 4: still have room on the phone lines for your estate
- 27:10Speaker 4: planning questions. That number is 888-205-2263. Again, this is your
- 27:18Speaker 4: chance to ask Todd your estate planning questions live on
- 27:21Speaker 4: air right now. 888-205-2263 is the number. We're going to
- 27:29Speaker 4: take a quick break, but when we return... We're going
- 27:32Speaker 4: to get right to your questions with Todd. That phone
- 27:34Speaker 4: number is 888-205-2263. Again, it is 888-205-2263. Ask Todd with
- 27:37Speaker 4: Todd Lutzke. Every Wednesday at 1030. Only here on the
- 27:40Speaker 4: Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 27:43Speaker 1: You're listening to Ask Todd with Todd Lutzke on the
- 27:47Speaker 1: Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 28:11Speaker 4: Still room on the phone lines for your estate planning
- 28:14Speaker 4: questions at 888-205-2263. Again, that number is 888-205-2263. And this
- 28:18Speaker 4: is your chance to ask Todd Lutzky your.
- 28:21Speaker 2: Estate planning questions.
- 28:22Speaker 5: Again, 888-205-2263.
- 28:23Speaker 2: Todd, let me ask you this one. If someone decides
- 28:24Speaker 2: that they want to.
- 28:40Speaker 4: Conduct some gifting to, again, children, like heirs, whoever it
- 28:45Speaker 4: may be. Out of cash, appreciated stock, real estate, or
- 28:54Speaker 4: business interests, can you rank those from... Best to worst
- 29:00Speaker 4: general thoughts of which are the ones that people should
- 29:03Speaker 4: consider gifting first versus last?
- 29:05Speaker 6: Yeah, and I think that is such a good question
- 29:08Speaker 6: because so many people think, oh, just give because giving
- 29:12Speaker 6: is easy.
- 29:13Speaker 2: It isn't.
- 29:15Speaker 1: Why?
- 29:15Speaker 2: Because of what you just said.
- 29:17Speaker 6: So if I'm going to start giving away something, the
- 29:19Speaker 6: number one, I'll just start with number one for you,
- 29:21Speaker 6: the number one best item to gift from this group
- 29:24Speaker 6: that you gave me is an easy no-brainer, cash.
- 29:28Speaker 2: How come? Cash is king. That's how. But it's king why?
- 29:33Speaker 6: It's king because there's no built-in gain in cash.
- 29:39Speaker 2: Cash... is cash.
- 29:40Speaker 6: So if I give away a $ 500, 000 of cash, I've
- 29:46Speaker 6: given away $ 500, 000 of cash and the person who has
- 29:49Speaker 6: it is going to incur no income tax and no
- 29:51Speaker 6: gift tax and that's just theirs and there's nothing to sell.
- 29:55Speaker 6: But if I gave away my investment portfolio that I
- 29:58Speaker 6: bought for you know, $ 100 and now it's $ 500, 000, there's
- 30:05Speaker 6: a lot of gain built in there. Or I've saved $ 100, 000,
- 30:08Speaker 6: it's worth $ 500, 000. Now there's, you know, $ 400, 000 of built-in
- 30:12Speaker 6: gain in there. Well, now I've given away $ 500, 000. That's true.
- 30:16Speaker 6: But I've also given that person a tax bill, which
- 30:20Speaker 6: is the gain on $ 400, 000. And when they liquidate that stock,
- 30:24Speaker 6: they have to pay the capital gains tax where that
- 30:26Speaker 6: capital gains tax bill could go away if I died
- 30:30Speaker 6: owning that stock and instead gave away cash.
- 30:33Speaker 4: Todd, we got George from Woburn on the line for you. George,
- 30:37Speaker 4: what is your question for Tom Lutzky?
- 30:41Speaker 5: Good morning.
- 30:42Speaker 6: About six years ago, my wife and I did an
- 30:44Speaker 6: irrevocable trust with you, but recently we purchased a sum
- 30:48Speaker 6: up place at the Cape.
- 30:50Speaker 5: And what will we do to protect that?
- 30:52Speaker 2: When did you buy that?
- 30:54Speaker 5: Uh, January 26th.
- 30:57Speaker 2: This year?
- 30:59Speaker 5: Yes.
- 30:59Speaker 2: Okay.
- 31:00Speaker 6: And you said six years ago you set up irrevocable trusts?
- 31:06Speaker 1: Yes.
- 31:06Speaker 2: Okay. And is there one for you and one for
- 31:09Speaker 2: your wife? We did two or was it just one?
- 31:12Speaker 2: Just one. Just one like, you know, George Family Trust,
- 31:15Speaker 2: we'll call it. So, okay.
- 31:17Speaker 6: So it's one joint irrevocable trust, which means, you know, again,
- 31:21Speaker 6: this from an estate tax standpoint, it helps me understand
- 31:24Speaker 6: the value of the assets. At the time when we
- 31:26Speaker 6: did your plan, you were probably worth less than $ 2
- 31:30Speaker 6: million in total so that I would have done one
- 31:33Speaker 6: joint irrevocable trust. So now, how much is this house worth?
- 31:37Speaker 5: $ 700, 000.
- 31:40Speaker 6: So that's just one asset now. Of course, your assets
- 31:43Speaker 6: have grown since six years ago. You simply need to
- 31:47Speaker 6: prepare a deed. By the way, are you going to
- 31:49Speaker 6: live in this house? It could be your primary residence?
- 31:52Speaker 5: No.
- 31:53Speaker 2: Are you going to rent it?
- 31:55Speaker 1: Nope.
- 31:55Speaker 2: Oh, great.
- 31:56Speaker 6: So just call it a vacation home. So now you
- 31:58Speaker 6: simply just need to take that property and transfer it
- 32:01Speaker 6: into the trust. Let me ask you one more question.
- 32:02Speaker 6: Did you borrow to buy it or did you pay cash?
- 32:06Speaker 6: Pay cash.
- 32:07Speaker 4: Excellent.
- 32:08Speaker 2: So all good news across the board.
- 32:10Speaker 6: Simply need to prepare a deed, transferring the property from
- 32:13Speaker 6: your name into the irrevocable trust. And in your case,
- 32:17Speaker 6: since it's these Medicaid irrevocable trusts, and since we're talking
- 32:20Speaker 6: about gifting, this would not be a completed gift for
- 32:25Speaker 6: gift tax purposes. You do not have to worry about
- 32:27Speaker 6: filing any gift tax returns. It's not a gift. It's
- 32:30Speaker 6: going to just be put into the trust. But then
- 32:33Speaker 6: it will do one other thing. It will start your
- 32:36Speaker 6: five-year waiting period for Medicaid eligibility in all over again,
- 32:41Speaker 6: but only for that house. So the other stuff that
- 32:44Speaker 6: you put in six years ago, just remember that if
- 32:46Speaker 6: there's other real estate or money from the sale of
- 32:49Speaker 6: real estate, if you've sold any, that's all protected. It's
- 32:53Speaker 6: just a new five years for this item, but it
- 32:57Speaker 6: will be doing what you want. It'll avoid probate, provide
- 32:59Speaker 6: bloodline planning to your family and take care of you.
- 33:01Speaker 6: So certainly we can help you with that if you
- 33:03Speaker 6: need to. And that's the answer for that. Folks, you know,
- 33:07Speaker 6: this is great, though, because he just mentioned, you know,
- 33:09Speaker 6: I got something new, and this is what you do
- 33:11Speaker 6: with an estate plan. You keep in touch. You say,
- 33:14Speaker 6: you know, life events change. I need to, you know,
- 33:16Speaker 6: keep my estate plan moving forward. Well, gifting assets might
- 33:20Speaker 6: be an idea. In this case, even though it was
- 33:22Speaker 6: an irrevocable trust, it's not a gift. It's an incomplete
- 33:25Speaker 6: gift for gift tax purposes. That's still included in his
- 33:28Speaker 6: estate for estate taxes. He's going to get a step-up
- 33:30Speaker 6: in basis when he dies. But the point of the guide,
- 33:34Speaker 6: the point of me making this is this guide getting
- 33:36Speaker 6: the most out of making gifts is just that. What
- 33:40Speaker 6: do we give away? Like Chuck asked, do I give
- 33:42Speaker 6: away cash? Do I give away a depreciated rental property?
- 33:45Speaker 2: No, right? Maybe, maybe not.
- 33:47Speaker 6: You got to read the guide to figure out which
- 33:49Speaker 6: kind of gift is right to make. And the other
- 33:51Speaker 6: thing that's important is how do I give it away?
- 33:54Speaker 6: I don't want to just dump things in my kids' hands.
- 33:56Speaker 6: In fact, I might want to put it in a
- 33:58Speaker 6: trust to control it for my kids. Or I might
- 34:01Speaker 6: want to just gift it away in a way in
- 34:02Speaker 6: which I can still enjoy what I gave away.
- 34:04Speaker 2: Let's face it.
- 34:05Speaker 6: I got to live too. And I want to do
- 34:07Speaker 6: the both things. I want to enjoy what I give
- 34:09Speaker 6: away and reduce my estate taxes. Folks, there's so many
- 34:12Speaker 6: things to think about when you're giving away assets. Call
- 34:16Speaker 6: and get the guide and figure out whether or not
- 34:19Speaker 6: gifting fits into your estate plan.
- 34:21Speaker 2: It may. It may not.
- 34:22Speaker 3: 866-848-5699.
- 34:27Speaker 6: Or LegalExchangeShow.com. Again, 866-848-5699, or LegalExchangeShow.com. And you can also
- 34:37Speaker 6: go to Cushing, Dolan, PC, our Instagram page for more information.
- 34:41Speaker 4: Todd, how does someone make the decision with assets in
- 34:45Speaker 4: terms of, hey, what's the calculus between, okay, I want
- 34:50Speaker 4: to start making gifts of these versus, hey, I need
- 34:53Speaker 4: to create some kind of document some kind of trust
- 34:57Speaker 4: or something, and maybe the assets need to be held
- 34:59Speaker 4: by that to accomplish my goals over a longer term instead.
- 35:03Speaker 2: How do you figure out what the right tool is
- 35:05Speaker 2: for you?
- 35:06Speaker 6: I think it probably has a lot to do with
- 35:08Speaker 6: how much you're giving away. I would think that would
- 35:11Speaker 6: probably be the driving force. If I'm just maybe giving
- 35:15Speaker 6: a down payment to my daughter to buy a home,
- 35:18Speaker 6: I might want her just to have it so that
- 35:20Speaker 6: she can go buy the home. But if I'm talking
- 35:23Speaker 6: about making, you know, ongoing, like you said, like when
- 35:25Speaker 6: we talked about that $ 38, 000, say I want to set
- 35:29Speaker 6: up something now and my kids, the other thing would
- 35:31Speaker 6: be age of children. You know, are they mature, responsible?
- 35:34Speaker 6: Can they hold it? Do I want to also include
- 35:36Speaker 6: grandkids who are certainly maybe not of age, not ready
- 35:40Speaker 6: to handle that kind of money? I'd want to set
- 35:43Speaker 6: up a trust for something like that because I would say, listen,
- 35:47Speaker 6: I'm not going to put.
- 35:48Speaker 2: $ 338, 000 in right now. But you know what?
- 35:49Speaker 6: I might take, 38, 38, 30. I might put, you know,
- 35:55Speaker 6: annually 38,000 and I might put, you know, 40,000 in annually.
- 36:00Speaker 6: Let it build up over time. And if that's the case,
- 36:03Speaker 6: I want that. I want it to build up. I
- 36:05Speaker 6: want to control it. And if I put it in
- 36:07Speaker 6: that trust, I can control the trustee. I could even
- 36:09Speaker 6: be a trustee. Well, not the giver. Like if the
- 36:12Speaker 6: spouse gives, say I was to give, I might have
- 36:15Speaker 6: my wife be the trustee. So now we have some
- 36:18Speaker 6: control over the assets as to when they will come
- 36:20Speaker 6: out of here.
- 36:22Speaker 2: To the hands of the kids or the grandkids, right?
- 36:25Speaker 6: So I really think it becomes a function of what
- 36:28Speaker 6: the goal is of your gifting. If it's just to
- 36:32Speaker 6: give it to them because they want to buy something
- 36:33Speaker 6: right away, fine. But if it's over time building wealth,
- 36:37Speaker 6: the other reason I'm not giving it to them is
- 36:39Speaker 6: it's building up because I'm adding to it over time.
- 36:42Speaker 6: But it's also if they died, it's not going to
- 36:43Speaker 6: be included in their estate for estate tax purposes and
- 36:46Speaker 6: it's going to be protected from their creditor. So to me,
- 36:50Speaker 6: it's really all about what the goal is of your
- 36:54Speaker 6: ultimate gifting. So I hope that helps a little.
- 36:57Speaker 2: It certainly does. Mr.
- 36:58Speaker 4: Lutzky, thank you so much for joining us today. We
- 37:01Speaker 4: appreciate it.
- 37:02Speaker 2: It's always a pleasure. Thank you.
- 37:04Speaker 1: This has been Ask Todd on the Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 37:07Speaker 1: Ask Todd with Todd Lutzke has been presented by Cushing
- 37:10Speaker 1: & Dolan, serving Massachusetts and New England for more than
- 37:13Speaker 1: 30 years, helping families with estate and tax planning, Medicaid planning,
- 37:17Speaker 1: and probate law. Call 800-393-4001 or visit CushingDolan.com. The views
- 37:23Speaker 1: expressed in this segment are solely those of Cushing & Dolan.
- 37:25Speaker 1: Armstrong Advisory does not provide any legal or tax advice.
- 37:28Speaker 1: Please consult with your legal or tax advisor on such matters.
- 37:30Speaker 1: Cushing & Armstrong do not endorse each other and are
- 37:32Speaker 1: not affiliated.