Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / NBA & NHL Playoffs, UFC 328 Parlay of the Day & More For May 8, 2026!
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: All right, it is Friday, can you believe it? First
- 0:03Speaker 1: week in May, already here, and we got a lot
- 0:05Speaker 1: going on. It's the best betting show ever here on
- 0:09Speaker 1: the wager Talk TV program slate. And the good news
- 0:14Speaker 1: is the Pres won't be here today, and I know
- 0:18Speaker 1: my good friend Art to Caesar, well he's here and
- 0:22Speaker 1: we're both excited. Although you're gonna hear from Pres coming
- 0:25Speaker 1: up a little bit later. But we do have huge
- 0:29Speaker 1: slate here. Not to mention baseball. Of course, we've got
- 0:33Speaker 1: some do or die spots in the NBA here, the NHL,
- 0:38Speaker 1: and I believe the kickoff to the w NBA. So
- 0:42Speaker 1: we got a lot going on here. Art. Let's talk though,
- 0:45Speaker 1: first and foremost, about how you guys did last night
- 0:49Speaker 1: in the book here, because there were some Yeah, I
- 0:53Speaker 1: got it. I don't know why anybody bets on James
- 0:55Speaker 1: Harden anymore. I really don't, unreal it's incredible.
- 1:00Speaker 2: I'll say this, Joe, we would have had like a
- 1:02Speaker 2: small winning night, but like pretty much, I want to say,
- 1:06Speaker 2: I don't know. An hour or two before the thunder
- 1:08Speaker 2: tip off, one of our big house players came in
- 1:11Speaker 2: and laid a big five figure bet on the thunder
- 1:15Speaker 2: minus fifteen and a half.
- 1:17Speaker 1: Yep.
- 1:18Speaker 2: Obviously, Yeah, obviously that went out there and covered. We
- 1:21Speaker 2: had talked about that yesterday. It's kind of the only
- 1:23Speaker 2: way you could bet that game, and with him winning
- 1:26Speaker 2: that bet, we ended up having a small losing day instead.
- 1:29Speaker 2: So you know, he came out there and he pretty
- 1:32Speaker 2: much torched us with that fifteen and a half.
- 1:35Speaker 1: Yep. Well, I mean, let's face it, that wasn't an
- 1:39Speaker 1: easy and I wasn't a rocking chair win either. That
- 1:41Speaker 1: was a sweat job. But you can thank the refs
- 1:44Speaker 1: for their usual okay see favoritism there at the end
- 1:48Speaker 1: of that game. Any I'm gonna imagine what Carolina was
- 1:53Speaker 1: probably anchoring a lot of moneyline parlays as well yesterday
- 1:56Speaker 1: are No.
- 1:58Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, we had mentioned that where you know, the
- 2:00Speaker 2: only real thought in that game. You know, we talked
- 2:03Speaker 2: about the total being five and a half juice pretty
- 2:05Speaker 2: heavily to the under at minus one forty, but Carolina
- 2:09Speaker 2: being in that minus one fifty five to minus one
- 2:11Speaker 2: sixty five range, they were going to be in a
- 2:14Speaker 2: lot of the money line parlay. So obviously Carolina taking
- 2:17Speaker 2: care of business, had gone up three to zero, not
- 2:19Speaker 2: going to be good.
- 2:19Speaker 1: Yep, so that yes, sorry Flyer fans, but there's always
- 2:23Speaker 1: the Sixers, which play tonight. I guess, right, Flyer season
- 2:28Speaker 1: about the end at Philadelphia, and the Sixers don't figure
- 2:31Speaker 1: it out here tonight, art that season is going to
- 2:34Speaker 1: end as well. But these are the two most intriguing series.
- 2:39Speaker 1: I think what we got last night is I give
- 2:41Speaker 1: up with the Calves. They don't look like a very
- 2:44Speaker 1: good team right now. But we've heard some injury reports
- 2:48Speaker 1: ANDNOBE likely out. They have not ruled them. Bead In,
- 2:54Speaker 1: I would imagine if he can go, he's going to go.
- 2:57Speaker 1: But quite honestly, Philadelphia at home favorite. What are we
- 3:01Speaker 1: seeing in the NBA here tonight with our shop betters?
- 3:06Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you look at that Sixers game, and
- 3:08Speaker 2: you know, it's always funny when you see Sixers minus
- 3:11Speaker 2: one and a half for the game, and then it's
- 3:13Speaker 2: basically the same thing for the first half of the
- 3:15Speaker 2: first quarter. I mean, you basically have Sixers minus one
- 3:18Speaker 2: and a half, minus two in the first half. First
- 3:21Speaker 2: quarters minus one, you know, which doesn't really correlate to
- 3:24Speaker 2: one and a half. But this is always the old
- 3:26Speaker 2: adage when you come home down oh two. You're gonna
- 3:29Speaker 2: play your best. You probably come out hot, first quarter,
- 3:31Speaker 2: first half, all that type of stuff. Obviously, the injury
- 3:34Speaker 2: concern is there and it's usually now Obviously og Nanoby's
- 3:39Speaker 2: a really good player and that would affect the line,
- 3:41Speaker 2: but not like it would EMBD like when we saw
- 3:44Speaker 2: him get ruled out for Game two and that thing
- 3:45Speaker 2: go from seven and a half eight to ten ten
- 3:48Speaker 2: and a half. So you know, we'll obviously all have to.
- 3:50Speaker 1: Keep an eye on Embiid.
- 3:51Speaker 2: We know how they go with this NBA stuff, probably
- 3:54Speaker 2: be closer to game time before this happened, so really
- 3:57Speaker 2: nothing much to report in that game. It's pretty good
- 4:00Speaker 2: to action the Spurs. We open three and a half,
- 4:03Speaker 2: it's now five, so obviously we've seen money coming on
- 4:05Speaker 2: the Spurs. Not really sharp. Really, the public's pushing that
- 4:09Speaker 2: number up.
- 4:10Speaker 1: It's interesting art because I mean, you're talking about a
- 4:13Speaker 1: Sixers team that was a seven point dog at the Garden,
- 4:18Speaker 1: and that was a healthy New York team. Now we've
- 4:21Speaker 1: got Ananobi out now there, I'm even seeing two one
- 4:24Speaker 1: and a half, even twos maybe popping up here, even
- 4:28Speaker 1: if Embiid is in or not. It man, that is
- 4:31Speaker 1: a huge swing for a home court and you know,
- 4:35Speaker 1: because I think even if MB doesn't go, they showed
- 4:39Speaker 1: enough last game that they you know, now the Knicks
- 4:43Speaker 1: are going to be a little shorthanded. Man, is that
- 4:46Speaker 1: a big swing from New York to Philadelphia? There? What
- 4:49Speaker 1: seven eight points here? I mean that's crazy.
- 4:52Speaker 2: Yeah, it's huge, And you're right. I mean, you know,
- 4:55Speaker 2: obviously we had talked that Game one spot was tough
- 4:57Speaker 2: playing Saturday night, turning around playing that money game. But
- 5:00Speaker 2: the Sixers look better in Game two without indeed, so
- 5:02Speaker 2: you got to factor that in, and then obviously got
- 5:04Speaker 2: a factor in back against the Wall. I think, you know,
- 5:07Speaker 2: this probably is a five game series, and if the
- 5:09Speaker 2: Sixers get one, it's probably tonight.
- 5:12Speaker 1: Yep. And you mentioned there's still nothing who knows, I mean,
- 5:15Speaker 1: Ant's coming off the bench. So with San Antonio, you
- 5:19Speaker 1: don't know the total obviously not a whole lot there,
- 5:24Speaker 1: but I would imagine if there's a total to move,
- 5:28Speaker 1: it's likely going to be the San Antonio Minnesota game.
- 5:31Speaker 1: I think once we get some clarification on exactly who's
- 5:34Speaker 1: in and who's out there, But there's always a chance.
- 5:37Speaker 1: You worry that series tied one one, maybe ant takes
- 5:41Speaker 1: a game off, you never know, but it at Desno,
- 5:44Speaker 1: it looks like is also still questionable. So injuries, there's
- 5:48Speaker 1: still a concern with Minnesota here.
- 5:52Speaker 2: Yeah, they certainly aren't, you know, for us, So that
- 5:53Speaker 2: total we were like two sixteen, We got up to
- 5:56Speaker 2: as high as two seventeen, I think right before I
- 5:58Speaker 2: came back to on with you, to sixteen and a half.
- 6:02Speaker 2: So it really hasn't been a ton of movement. Same
- 6:04Speaker 2: thing with the NICK game, there really hasn't been much moving.
- 6:06Speaker 2: I think we open two thirteen and a half and
- 6:08Speaker 2: haven't moved off that total. So totals, which in these
- 6:11Speaker 2: playoff games you've seen move you know, two points here
- 6:14Speaker 2: or there, haven't really done that on either of these games.
- 6:17Speaker 1: Kind of crazy here, all right, two NBA games. Let's
- 6:21Speaker 1: keep it in the hard wood though. You got WNBA
- 6:24Speaker 1: kicking off tonight, and I love the way that WNBA
- 6:26Speaker 1: scheduled it where you come out swinging with your best team.
- 6:30Speaker 1: Right the Indie Oh no, no, they're not playing tonight.
- 6:35Speaker 1: What kind of soft open do we have for the
- 6:37Speaker 1: WNBA here tonight? Art?
- 6:40Speaker 2: Yeah, I believe it's three games today, four or five tomorrow,
- 6:42Speaker 2: And I always try to let people know this. The
- 6:45Speaker 2: WNBA is a sharp better's market. I'm not saying there
- 6:50Speaker 2: are general public players who come in and make a
- 6:52Speaker 2: bet here or there, but all this action is always
- 6:56Speaker 2: dictated by sharp action. If I'm giving you WNBA stuff rarely,
- 7:01Speaker 2: and I mean rarely, is it going to be the
- 7:03Speaker 2: public push to number one way or the other. The
- 7:05Speaker 2: sun was as high as thirteen. We saw sharp ritters
- 7:09Speaker 2: here take twelve, that's now ten. And then the under
- 7:13Speaker 2: this morning on the Toronto Tempo game one sixty one
- 7:17Speaker 2: now down to one fifty nine and a half.
- 7:21Speaker 1: The irony the Toronto Tempo team to be under unreal, yes,
- 7:26Speaker 1: and people like, what the hell of the Toronto Temple
- 7:29Speaker 1: new team? New teamam? You got a lot of new
- 7:32Speaker 1: money there in the WNBA, So we got expansion all
- 7:35Speaker 1: across the board. All right, talk to me here at
- 7:38Speaker 1: NHL Playoffs tonight. Two good series here. I mean, Buffalo
- 7:42Speaker 1: handled business against Montreal in game one. You've got Vegas
- 7:47Speaker 1: now on the road against Anaheim. Anaheim even that series up.
- 7:51Speaker 1: It feels like though that Montreal game took them a
- 7:54Speaker 1: little while to get their legs under them against bull
- 7:57Speaker 1: Buffalo just kind of beat them out to the front
- 7:59Speaker 1: and that it was for you know, it was four
- 8:02Speaker 1: to one before they knew what to do. You know,
- 8:05Speaker 1: it feels like maybe Montreal has their legs under them
- 8:08Speaker 1: again here. I feel like this is going to be
- 8:10Speaker 1: a pretty close game tonight.
- 8:11Speaker 2: No, yeah, I don't disagree.
- 8:14Speaker 1: And you look at both these games.
- 8:16Speaker 2: We actually really have just taken public money on both,
- 8:18Speaker 2: and both on the home favorites. You know, not that
- 8:21Speaker 2: the Ducks are really favorite, it's kind of a pick them,
- 8:23Speaker 2: but money's coming on the Ducks, money's coming on the Sabers.
- 8:26Speaker 2: I'm with you. I haven't personally played it, Joe, but
- 8:28Speaker 2: I think if I were to look at anything tonight,
- 8:31Speaker 2: it would probably be the Montreal side. I like getting
- 8:33Speaker 2: the plus money. I think this is going to be
- 8:35Speaker 2: a long series, the six or seven game series, and
- 8:38Speaker 2: I think Montreal will play way better than they did
- 8:40Speaker 2: in Game one. So you know, we'll be rooting for Montreal,
- 8:44Speaker 2: like I said, because of the Saber money that's coming.
- 8:46Speaker 1: Early.
- 8:47Speaker 2: You've seen the Duck Knight's price move up on the total.
- 8:51Speaker 2: We were six flat this morning, we're now six over
- 8:54Speaker 2: a quarter, and some places are even starting to go
- 8:56Speaker 2: to six and a half, So money is if you
- 8:59Speaker 2: like there, you probably need to bet at now in
- 9:01Speaker 2: that game.
- 9:02Speaker 1: It's interesting because I'm seeing some places Vegas is the favorite,
- 9:05Speaker 1: some places Anaheim is the favorite. So it's just it's
- 9:08Speaker 1: gonna be like that all day, isn't it?
- 9:11Speaker 2: Yeah, no doubt and now listen, of course, with the
- 9:14Speaker 2: Knights being the whole team, I always say this, we're
- 9:16Speaker 2: gonna get night money. The initial money is on the Ducks,
- 9:19Speaker 2: and I think the Ducks proved in the first two games,
- 9:21Speaker 2: obviously winning won in Vegas that I think a lot
- 9:24Speaker 2: of people maybe thought this would be a short series.
- 9:26Speaker 2: Doesn't feel like it's going to be a short series.
- 9:28Speaker 2: I think the Ducks are here to play.
- 9:30Speaker 1: A lot of people do, and of course aren't big
- 9:33Speaker 1: slate Major League Baseball here tonight, some big series getting
- 9:39Speaker 1: ready to start, and actually I mean a lot of
- 9:42Speaker 1: getaway games yesterday for teams here. Yankees and Milwaukee are interesting.
- 9:49Speaker 1: I think the Cubs, who have won what ten straight
- 9:51Speaker 1: now taken on Texas. What do we got to hear
- 9:55Speaker 1: from Mars sharp betters there with major League Baseball?
- 9:59Speaker 2: Yeah, and probably the best series Atlanta and the Dodgers.
- 10:02Speaker 2: That's a really great series. So, you know, sharp stuff
- 10:05Speaker 2: was really good. I think it was three and oh
- 10:06Speaker 2: yesterday in baseball, the sharp stuff that I gave out,
- 10:08Speaker 2: So another three games today. They took the Reds. You know,
- 10:12Speaker 2: we talked about where people are probably going to start
- 10:14Speaker 2: to heavily fade the Astros if they haven't already done that.
- 10:17Speaker 2: So sharp money came in on the Reds. This was
- 10:20Speaker 2: an interesting one. I thought sharp money came in on
- 10:23Speaker 2: the Angels, which was surprising to me in Toronto against
- 10:28Speaker 2: Dylan Ceaz. But we did have a sharp better take
- 10:30Speaker 2: a shot, you know, a plus one forty five on
- 10:33Speaker 2: the Angels even I think it might even been closer
- 10:35Speaker 2: to one fifty on his bet. So that was an
- 10:38Speaker 2: interesting one. And then Red Sox under took under eight
- 10:41Speaker 2: and a half at even money. We're now under eight
- 10:43Speaker 2: and a half minus one fifteen.
- 10:46Speaker 1: Interesting. Yeah, that keeps going down too as well. Dettler
- 10:49Speaker 1: is on the mound for the Angels and he's actually
- 10:52Speaker 1: been really really good here. But man, it's tough to
- 10:55Speaker 1: trust an Angels team that can't score any runs. It's
- 11:00Speaker 1: no matter how good the pitching is in that one.
- 11:03Speaker 1: There anything else happening over the weekend ark we got
- 11:06Speaker 1: into UFC or anything. We got what a couple of
- 11:09Speaker 1: weeks away from another major too on PGA Tour, So
- 11:14Speaker 1: what's the what's new over there? Yeah?
- 11:17Speaker 2: UFC three twenty eight. You know our UFC better? Who
- 11:21Speaker 2: only bets UFC with us? I've never seen the guy
- 11:23Speaker 2: bet any other market. He actually took two underdogs, which
- 11:26Speaker 2: I was surprised with. Normally not his style. Usually takes
- 11:28Speaker 2: a favorite and a dog, but he took two dogs.
- 11:31Speaker 2: He took Joshua van At plus one fifty and he
- 11:33Speaker 2: took Waldo Cortes Acasta plus one fifty five.
- 11:39Speaker 1: You said Waldo? Right? What was a Waldo? Waldough? Forget
- 11:43Speaker 1: everything though, find a Waldo on the card and you've
- 11:46Speaker 1: got you've got yourself a bet there. That's how it is,
- 11:49Speaker 1: how it works. All right. It's been a hell of
- 11:51Speaker 1: a week here, Art, you got a lot going on
- 11:54Speaker 1: over at the at the west Gate. So let's get
- 11:58Speaker 1: one of these favorite bets for the parlay of the day. Here,
- 12:02Speaker 1: a little two teamer action heading into the weekend. Who
- 12:06Speaker 1: do you like on the board? Where are you gonna look?
- 12:09Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm happy to report we actually won our parlay
- 12:12Speaker 2: of the day last night. I know people have been
- 12:14Speaker 2: chirping us in the comments, but we did get off
- 12:17Speaker 2: the schnide and we won. It was actually pretty easy
- 12:19Speaker 2: one as well. I'm gonna go to that night scheme.
- 12:22Speaker 2: I like the over. I like that it's trending there.
- 12:24Speaker 2: You could still get six over twenty over twenty five.
- 12:27Speaker 2: Try to get it before it hits six and a half.
- 12:29Speaker 2: Give me the Knights and Ducks over six.
- 12:32Speaker 1: Nice. Give me Max freed an the Yankees over Miss Jones.
- 12:39Speaker 1: I believe got called up after Dominga's jacked himself all
- 12:44Speaker 1: up there. But I don't know. There's not a lot
- 12:46Speaker 1: of times you're gonna get Max freed at minus one
- 12:48Speaker 1: twenty five. I'll take it number two. By the way,
- 12:52Speaker 1: in the we showed in the predictive markets for cy
- 12:55Speaker 1: Young Canadacy there, so I'll take the Yankees at minus
- 12:59Speaker 1: one twenty five. Art to Caesar, always a pleasure, my man.
- 13:04Speaker 1: We get to do it again next week. You've got
- 13:07Speaker 1: one woman, guy. I know you've got a autograph signing
- 13:11Speaker 1: this weekend giving out some of the albums and all
- 13:14Speaker 1: of that good stuff, so appreciate it. We got another
- 13:17Speaker 1: release next week with Brian Power. It's called dumpster fire.
- 13:21Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's gonna be it's gonna be hot, man,
- 13:25Speaker 1: just telling you that right now. Art, enjoy the weekend, brother.
- 13:29Speaker 1: We'll see you again on Tuesday. Art to Caesar on
- 13:34Speaker 1: the best betting show ever. Unbelievable. All right, A lot
- 13:37Speaker 1: to get to here, predict the markets, NBA rundown, NHL rundown,
- 13:41Speaker 1: and the Major League Baseball rundown. We'll do an abbreviated
- 13:45Speaker 1: version of all of that, but first we got to
- 13:48Speaker 1: hear from the press.
- 13:50Speaker 3: Lawrence Presben here. Sorry I couldn't make Friday show. I
- 13:54Speaker 3: do have some NHL bets to give out anyway for
- 13:57Speaker 3: you guys. But before we get into that, I do
- 14:00Speaker 3: have two NHL bets we're going to discuss. I want
- 14:03Speaker 3: to tell you guys that on Friday night, I have
- 14:05Speaker 3: my second five percent NHL total.
- 14:09Speaker 1: Of the year.
- 14:10Speaker 3: I had an NHL five percent total on Monday. That
- 14:13Speaker 3: was my first one.
- 14:14Speaker 1: It cashed.
- 14:15Speaker 3: We're going again this Friday. And to give you guys perspective,
- 14:19Speaker 3: I am on a ten and oh and seventeen and
- 14:23Speaker 3: one NHL totals run. I am taping this video prior
- 14:28Speaker 3: to the Thursday night game, so I will not take
- 14:31Speaker 3: that into account. So I'm on a ten and oh
- 14:33Speaker 3: and seventeen and one NHL totals run. I'm on a
- 14:36Speaker 3: seven and oh and eleven and one NHL run. I
- 14:40Speaker 3: am the number one NHL expert in profit over the
- 14:44Speaker 3: last two years at wager Talk, I am the number
- 14:47Speaker 3: one NHL expert in profit these playoffs fourteen and three
- 14:51Speaker 3: in the NHL Playoffs and last year's playoffs. These plays
- 14:56Speaker 3: are incredibly strong. We've all been winning them the last
- 15:00Speaker 3: few months together. Please head over to wager talk and
- 15:03Speaker 3: make sure to get my five percent NHL total. It
- 15:07Speaker 3: goes Friday. This is the strongest bet I've had in
- 15:11Speaker 3: a while. I'm super stoked about it. It's thirty five dollars.
- 15:16Speaker 3: Head over and grab that play now for a couple
- 15:19Speaker 3: of bets. Look, Montreal's playing Buffalo tomorrow, and I really
- 15:24Speaker 3: like Buffalo again. We had Buffalo as a play where
- 15:27Speaker 3: our clients on Wednesday they cash, and I'm gonna come
- 15:29Speaker 3: right back and take Buffalo again. Now, I understand everybody
- 15:33Speaker 3: likes the zigzag theory, and I get that, but what
- 15:37Speaker 3: you have to take into account here is that Buffalo
- 15:39Speaker 3: played terribly. In Game one against Montreal, Buffalo put up
- 15:43Speaker 3: sixteen shots in total. In game one against Montreal, Buffalo
- 15:49Speaker 3: puts up thirty shots on a regular basis. This is
- 15:52Speaker 3: one of the highest scoring teams in the league. This
- 15:54Speaker 3: is a team that carries the puck. This is a
- 15:57Speaker 3: team that puts shots on net. They were out of
- 15:59Speaker 3: st game one, yet they still got it done. They
- 16:02Speaker 3: won four to two. I think we get Buffalo playing
- 16:05Speaker 3: much better in game two, and I think Martreal plays
- 16:09Speaker 3: somewhat around the same. I think Buffalo is to play.
- 16:13Speaker 3: Take them at minus one point thirty. And on Saturday,
- 16:18Speaker 3: we got Colorado and Minnesota playing each other. I like
- 16:21Speaker 3: the under in this game. We saw a nine to
- 16:24Speaker 3: sixth game. In the first game, we saw five two
- 16:28Speaker 3: second game, but that five two score was not real.
- 16:32Speaker 3: It was three to one with four minutes to go
- 16:34Speaker 3: in the game. They took that game over the total
- 16:36Speaker 3: with four seconds left to go. I think we got
- 16:40Speaker 3: a look to play under the total. Look scoring on
- 16:43Speaker 3: Colorado has not been an easy thing, both in the
- 16:45Speaker 3: regular season and the playoffs, and Minnesota's got an outstanding defense.
- 16:50Speaker 3: I think we'll see a four to two maximum score
- 16:53Speaker 3: at six and a half take the under. That's it
- 16:56Speaker 3: for me. I hope you guys are enjoying Friday's show,
- 16:58Speaker 3: the best betting show ever. And please, please please make
- 17:02Speaker 3: sure to get my five percent NHL play. Thanks so
- 17:06Speaker 3: much everybody, and well let's have a great weekend, all.
- 17:09Speaker 1: Right, Prez appreciate it. Make sure you guys head over
- 17:12Speaker 1: to his page at wager talk dot com grab that
- 17:15Speaker 1: five percent bet. I got two four percent top plays
- 17:19Speaker 1: in the NBA here tonight. I've got two plays in
- 17:23Speaker 1: Major League Baseball that I also love. You can head
- 17:26Speaker 1: over to my page at wager talk dot com pick
- 17:28Speaker 1: them up. But just gar up the three days, the
- 17:32Speaker 1: three day all access heading into the weekend. What is
- 17:34Speaker 1: it forty nine dollars, and you're gonna get all four
- 17:37Speaker 1: plays here tonight every NBA, Major League Baseball play again
- 17:41Speaker 1: tomorrow one on Sunday. I am eyeing up another five
- 17:45Speaker 1: percent top play. By the way, Max bet im three
- 17:48Speaker 1: and zero in the postseason already, and if the number
- 17:53Speaker 1: breaks the way I think it's going to tomorrow, we
- 17:56Speaker 1: will have that five percent up for you. So take
- 17:59Speaker 1: advantage of the three day all access pass forty nine bucks,
- 18:02Speaker 1: all sports, all plays. Just forty nine dollars that includes
- 18:07Speaker 1: tonight's top plays. All right, We're gonna do a combination
- 18:12Speaker 1: of predictive markets and NBA rundown because well, I think
- 18:17Speaker 1: there this is a shining example here of something I'm
- 18:20Speaker 1: looking at and the markets that I'm invested in. So
- 18:23Speaker 1: I thought maybe for those of you that have been
- 18:26Speaker 1: a little confused as to what is the predictive markets,
- 18:30Speaker 1: how does it work with who I like to win tonight?
- 18:35Speaker 1: What is the forty eight cents? What does all of
- 18:39Speaker 1: this mean? And I think there's a pretty clear path
- 18:43Speaker 1: here for a game that's going to happen tonight and
- 18:45Speaker 1: how it correlates to the predictive market. So tonight you've
- 18:49Speaker 1: got the Knicks in a Game three on the road
- 18:52Speaker 1: taking on the Sixers. Nicks cartly slight plus money tonight,
- 18:57Speaker 1: Philadelphia the favorite minus one twenty minus one twenty five. Now,
- 19:03Speaker 1: if you're of the mindset that you like the Philadelphia
- 19:07Speaker 1: seventy six ers to get one back here tonight, and
- 19:09Speaker 1: I do I happen to like the Sixers to get
- 19:13Speaker 1: one back here tonight, well then okay, I can lay
- 19:16Speaker 1: the minus one twenty five, But that doesn't mean there
- 19:21Speaker 1: aren't predictive markets that you can jump in that won't
- 19:26Speaker 1: be final tonight, but where you can really jump in,
- 19:29Speaker 1: And what do we say? Always buy low, sell high right.
- 19:33Speaker 1: Sportsbooks pay you for being right, and that'll happen tonight
- 19:37Speaker 1: if you lay the money lion on either the Knicks
- 19:40Speaker 1: or the Sixers. But the predictive markets, now they pay
- 19:45Speaker 1: you for being early. And they're all correlated here, and
- 19:48Speaker 1: I'll show you what I mean. Let's look at the
- 19:50Speaker 1: Eastern Conference championship price. Right now, You've got the New
- 19:54Speaker 1: York Knicks hovering around fifty two cents to win the
- 19:59Speaker 1: East fifty two cents, Well, what the hell does that mean? Well,
- 20:03Speaker 1: fifty two cents correlates. Got a little conversion board here
- 20:08Speaker 1: for you. Fifty two cents, as you can see on
- 20:10Speaker 1: the board is about minus one oh eight at the
- 20:13Speaker 1: sports books. Okay, minus one o eight. So if you
- 20:17Speaker 1: think the Knicks are going to win the Eastern Conference,
- 20:21Speaker 1: whether it's Detroit or Cleveland or what in ain't gonna
- 20:24Speaker 1: be Cleveland. But let's say Knicks win this series, you
- 20:27Speaker 1: still like them to win this series, which I do. Uh,
- 20:30Speaker 1: And if you like the Knicks to end up winning
- 20:33Speaker 1: the East while they're at almost even money minus won
- 20:36Speaker 1: to W eight right now. But here's the rub, Right,
- 20:40Speaker 1: if the Knicks lose tonight, like I think they're going
- 20:43Speaker 1: to do, I'm gonna back the Sixers minus won twenty
- 20:47Speaker 1: five tonight, and that's my sportsbook side. I'm gonna cash
- 20:51Speaker 1: that ticket tonight. Sixers win Tomorrow, I'm gonna wake up
- 20:55Speaker 1: and based upon the probability of where the Knicks are
- 21:00Speaker 1: right now, likely be the same thing for game number four.
- 21:05Speaker 1: Then when we wake up tomorrow, the Knicks that Eastern
- 21:09Speaker 1: Conference price is going to be forty three cents right
- 21:14Speaker 1: because the market has to move, not because the Knicks
- 21:16Speaker 1: suck or they don't have a chance to win the East,
- 21:20Speaker 1: but because the market has to reprice it because their
- 21:23Speaker 1: path and their probability has changed, and that, Folks, is
- 21:28Speaker 1: where the edge lives. So if I like the Knicks
- 21:32Speaker 1: to win the East, I don't want to bet them
- 21:34Speaker 1: tonight at fifty two cents. I want to bet Philadelphia
- 21:37Speaker 1: to win tonight because that correlates to the Knicks dropping
- 21:41Speaker 1: in the Eastern to win the Eastern Conference market. And
- 21:45Speaker 1: now all of a sudden, at forty three cents, I'm
- 21:48Speaker 1: at plus one thirty three for the Knicks to do
- 21:52Speaker 1: just that. So that is one of the correlated markets
- 21:56Speaker 1: to a play that I'm gonna make tonight. I like
- 21:58Speaker 1: the Sixers on the money line tonight, and you know what,
- 22:01Speaker 1: I still like the Knicks to win the East. So
- 22:04Speaker 1: guess what I'm gonna jump in tomorrow in that market
- 22:07Speaker 1: and grab them at one thirty three. Why Well, because
- 22:11Speaker 1: from that point, if they win Game four, which I
- 22:15Speaker 1: think they likely will, guess where that price is going.
- 22:18Speaker 1: It's gonna go back up. And if they win this
- 22:21Speaker 1: series then the likelihood of that number continuing to rise
- 22:26Speaker 1: is really good. So it's all about the correlation between
- 22:30Speaker 1: the plays that I make tonight and the predictive markets
- 22:34Speaker 1: on when I'm buying in and how I'm buying in now.
- 22:37Speaker 1: The same thing here could be said for the series
- 22:39Speaker 1: price you have got right now Philadelphia at ten what
- 22:44Speaker 1: ten cents? Ten to eleven cents right now in the series.
- 22:50Speaker 1: If Philadelphia wins this game tonight, like I think they're
- 22:53Speaker 1: going to, you buy in on ten cents in this
- 22:56Speaker 1: market right now, and there is a good chance you're
- 23:00Speaker 1: going to wake up tomorrow and guess why that this
- 23:03Speaker 1: market is going to double all of a sudden, Philadelphia
- 23:06Speaker 1: is going to be in the twenty cent range here,
- 23:10Speaker 1: not because they're going to go ahead and win it
- 23:13Speaker 1: in over ten. It's not what I'm saying. I don't
- 23:15Speaker 1: care whether or not they actually win the series. The
- 23:19Speaker 1: only thing that I care about is that I am
- 23:22Speaker 1: buying them at ten cents tonight. I am buying them
- 23:26Speaker 1: to win the game tonight, and I am buying the
- 23:29Speaker 1: fact that I can likely jump in for ten and
- 23:32Speaker 1: then sell it tomorrow for twenty cents. That is how
- 23:38Speaker 1: you use the predictive markets. You correlate them to the
- 23:43Speaker 1: future bets of what the market should do and how
- 23:46Speaker 1: they reprice. We are buying repricing. We are not buying
- 23:52Speaker 1: it actually to happen. Don't care. Don't think the Sixers
- 23:55Speaker 1: are going to win the series. But that's not really
- 23:57Speaker 1: what I'm investing in. I'm investing in the ten cents
- 24:01Speaker 1: because I need them to win tonight, because I know
- 24:03Speaker 1: that market is going to reprice tomorrow. Play the minus
- 24:07Speaker 1: one twenty five, play the series, get out tomorrow, win
- 24:12Speaker 1: this game tonight. You can get out tomorrow and guess
- 24:14Speaker 1: what I can still bet the New York Knicks to
- 24:18Speaker 1: win the East. Only if I wait twenty four hours
- 24:22Speaker 1: and ah and the Sixers win, like I think they're
- 24:24Speaker 1: going to. Guess what, Ingo, You're gonna get the Knicks
- 24:29Speaker 1: at a much lower price than you would have if
- 24:33Speaker 1: you jumped in today. That is all we're saying about
- 24:36Speaker 1: the predictive markets. The math makes sense. It's a way
- 24:40Speaker 1: to hedge and leverage your betting opportunities here. And if
- 24:44Speaker 1: you're gonna play the Sixers tonight one way or the other,
- 24:49Speaker 1: then why not invest in a couple of predictive markets
- 24:52Speaker 1: that are gonna allow you to make money on top
- 24:56Speaker 1: of the minus one twenty five on the money line
- 24:58Speaker 1: that you're already go to play. That's the concept with
- 25:02Speaker 1: the predictive markets. So why would I want to get
- 25:04Speaker 1: involved in the predictive markets? Well, that's why because one
- 25:08Speaker 1: bet could make you money in three different markets. So
- 25:12Speaker 1: why if you're going to bet one, might as well
- 25:16Speaker 1: bet the other two and invest in them because that
- 25:19Speaker 1: is the beauty of the predictive markets. I am not
- 25:22Speaker 1: buying outcomes in the predictive market. I am buying repricing.
- 25:28Speaker 1: Doesn't matter if the Sixers lose the series, not what
- 25:34Speaker 1: I'm betting. I am betting repricing here, guys, and that
- 25:38Speaker 1: is the concept of the predictive markets. So there you
- 25:43Speaker 1: got it, all right. We did NBA, the pres gave
- 25:45Speaker 1: you the NHL. So that means we've got a Major
- 25:50Speaker 1: League Baseball rundown that we have to go through. And
- 25:53Speaker 1: we've got a ton of games here today in some
- 25:56Speaker 1: very interesting series. I mean, my goodness, is anybody going
- 26:01Speaker 1: to beat the Tampa Bay the Tampa Bay Rays right now?
- 26:05Speaker 1: They are absolutely on fire. Well, I gotta tell you,
- 26:08Speaker 1: I'm shot the Red Sox money that's been coming in
- 26:11Speaker 1: right now. And the Red Sox at home lost Game
- 26:15Speaker 1: one of that series last night rather easily too. They
- 26:19Speaker 1: got Connor early on the mound here going up against
- 26:22Speaker 1: Schlotton's who's also another one of these pitchers nobody has
- 26:25Speaker 1: heard of for the Rays. But you know what does
- 26:29Speaker 1: win games? And they win games because the Rays are
- 26:31Speaker 1: fundamentally sound here, and I like them at plus money.
- 26:35Speaker 1: Call me crazy, I'll take the Rays to keep rolling here.
- 26:39Speaker 1: Marlins got it done for us last night against the O's.
- 26:43Speaker 1: They got the Nats at home here today snelling against Griffin. Yeah,
- 26:49Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the under in that game there. I'm
- 26:52Speaker 1: also I like reed debt meers, but I wouldn't bet
- 26:55Speaker 1: them more than the first five because I think the
- 26:57Speaker 1: Angels bullpen is trash. I do think the Athletics, coming
- 27:01Speaker 1: off a SmackDown of the Phillies last night. I think
- 27:05Speaker 1: the Athletics, who are in Camden taking on the O's,
- 27:09Speaker 1: I think they're a live dog here tonight. I think
- 27:12Speaker 1: the Reds with Ladolo on the mound, also good to
- 27:15Speaker 1: go here tonight. I think the Phillies bounce back and
- 27:18Speaker 1: handle business there against the Colorado Rockies. I do like,
- 27:23Speaker 1: call me crazy, the White Sox over the Mariners. I
- 27:26Speaker 1: like the Yankees on the road over the Milwaukee Bucks.
- 27:29Speaker 1: I think the Cubs ten straight wins. I think you
- 27:32Speaker 1: can make it eleven against the Rangers here tonight, brown
- 27:36Speaker 1: against Kumar Rocker. I like the Diamondbacks to handle business
- 27:40Speaker 1: against the Mets. I think the Braves handle the Dodgers.
- 27:44Speaker 1: I think the Padres bounce back against the Cards. And
- 27:47Speaker 1: I like the Pirates two beats the Giants there. That
- 27:52Speaker 1: is your major League Baseball rundown, and that'll do it
- 27:57Speaker 1: for this week here. Guys certainly appreciate that time of course,
- 28:00Speaker 1: make sure you hit that light, make sure you hit
- 28:03Speaker 1: that subscribe button. Become part of the wager Talk TV
- 28:06Speaker 1: family press. They'll be back on Monday. Brian Power will
- 28:10Speaker 1: be here and we will have the brand new single
- 28:14Speaker 1: from the Three Sharps. Yes, Brian Power Day on Monday.
- 28:19Speaker 1: His new hit song will be world premiered called dumpster Fire,
- 28:25Speaker 1: and you are not gonna want to miss it. Guys,
- 28:27Speaker 1: that's happening on Monday. In the meantime, best of lucks.
- 28:31Speaker 1: Do not be shying away from the predictive markets because
- 28:35Speaker 1: you don't understand them. The concepts are easy, and there
- 28:39Speaker 1: is no reason if you're right on a money line
- 28:42Speaker 1: play or a spread play that you can't make money
- 28:44Speaker 1: in the predictive markets on that same bet. There a
- 28:49Speaker 1: lot of opportunities, guys. We're gonna do our best to
- 28:51Speaker 1: point you in that direction as we move on. But
- 28:55Speaker 1: in the meantime, best of luck of the plays here tonight.
- 28:57Speaker 1: We'll see you again on Monday for there a dumpster
- 29:01Speaker 1: Fire here by the Three Sharps on the best betting
- 29:05Speaker 1: show ever. Good luck and enjoy tonight. We'll see you
- 29:07Speaker 1: again on Monday.