Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Martial Law Declared in South Korea
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- 0:23Speaker 2: A headline earlier with South Korea declares marshall law. However,
- 0:27Speaker 2: lawmakers have now voted to request the lifting of the
- 0:30Speaker 2: marshal law. The president says that marshal law those necessary
- 0:34Speaker 2: because of political deadlock over the budget. It's confusing, it's
- 0:37Speaker 2: moving the FX market. We want to get more for
- 0:40Speaker 2: you joining us now as Dan Daniel ten Kate joining us,
- 0:44Speaker 2: he's Asia ecogov Executive Editor, Economic Government Executive Editor. Hey Dan,
- 0:52Speaker 2: can you just help us understand the last twelve hours.
- 0:58Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean we're still trying to figure it out.
- 1:00Speaker 3: But essentially the President kind of stunned the nation with
- 1:04Speaker 3: this late night power grab where he declared martial law
- 1:09Speaker 3: for the first time in decades and careers a long
- 1:12Speaker 3: history of that and essentially banned all political activity, banned parliament, etc.
- 1:20Speaker 3: Claiming there were North Korea sympathizers that he had to
- 1:23Speaker 3: take down. In reality, he lost the parliament election in April,
- 1:29Speaker 3: and ever since then he hasn't had a majority in Parliament,
- 1:32Speaker 3: and the opposition party is doing what opposition parties do
- 1:36Speaker 3: around the world, which is, you know, try and block
- 1:39Speaker 3: his initiatives and push their own initiatives through. So he's
- 1:42Speaker 3: had a bit of divided government there. It sort of
- 1:46Speaker 3: came to a head with a vote on the budget.
- 1:48Speaker 3: They were demanding different things and then he just pulled
- 1:54Speaker 3: this move which even his own party is condemning at
- 1:58Speaker 3: the moment. So you had opposition and lawmakers race to Parliament.
- 2:01Speaker 3: They voted to ask him to withdraw the requests from
- 2:07Speaker 3: martial law. According to the constitution, that means he must
- 2:11Speaker 3: comply with the request. There is some legal ambiguity now
- 2:15Speaker 3: that they're trying to work through. We haven't heard from
- 2:18Speaker 3: him since parliament voted, so we're not sure if he'll comply.
- 2:22Speaker 3: But people are coming on the streets. There was some
- 2:24Speaker 3: clashes with police. Overall fairly calm on the streets that
- 2:31Speaker 3: we could see right now. But the big question now
- 2:35Speaker 3: is whether he'll comply and drop this whole thing.
- 2:39Speaker 4: I have to ask the question, Danielle, but who has
- 2:42Speaker 4: the support of the armed forces of South Korea.
- 2:48Speaker 3: Well, that's a big question right now. You know, it's
- 2:54Speaker 3: unclear if the army is going to back him to
- 2:56Speaker 3: the extent if you get mass protests, are they going
- 2:59Speaker 3: to you know, started shooting in the streets or something
- 3:02Speaker 3: like that. I mean, that's that's a big question. And
- 3:04Speaker 3: we've seen in Asia a couple other places where the
- 3:07Speaker 3: army has refused to do that. This year. Bangladesh in particular,
- 3:10Speaker 3: was was one. It doesn't appear like it's coming to
- 3:15Speaker 3: that yet. Well, we'll have to see with the next
- 3:18Speaker 3: and a few hours in days spring, but that that's
- 3:23Speaker 3: an open question.
- 3:25Speaker 2: So I guess okay, let's just pretend that the president says, okay,
- 3:30Speaker 2: you guys are repealing martial law. Fine, then what happens
- 3:33Speaker 2: because we're still clearly at a standstill, and clearly this
- 3:36Speaker 2: is a big negotiating tactic that the president was using
- 3:40Speaker 2: to get his agenda passed. So then what happens if
- 3:43Speaker 2: the government is in paralysis? What gives.
- 3:48Speaker 3: Well, I mean they were, they were negotiating about it,
- 3:51Speaker 3: so you know, his his his view of paralysis and
- 3:55Speaker 3: and what's actually taking place on the ground. There are
- 3:57Speaker 3: two different things it looks. So you know, there's already
- 4:01Speaker 3: people calling for him to be impeached after this. His
- 4:04Speaker 3: own ruling party is condemning his move. He's very unpopular anyway,
- 4:10Speaker 3: so you know, it's very likely we could see support
- 4:14Speaker 3: and tun and he could be impeached and turn out
- 4:18Speaker 3: of office that way. That looks the way it's going,
- 4:21Speaker 3: unless the army worked to back him and he worked
- 4:24Speaker 3: to kind of bend the constitution, which you know, so
- 4:27Speaker 3: far we haven't seen that. We're pariously on the brink
- 4:30Speaker 3: of that.
- 4:31Speaker 4: My gosh, all right, Daniel, thank you so much for
- 4:34Speaker 4: your reporting.
- 4:34Speaker 5: Really appreciate it.
- 4:35Speaker 4: Daniel ten Kate he is Asia Economic and Government Executive
- 4:39Speaker 4: editor for Bloomberg News.
- 4:41Speaker 5: He is based in Hong Kong.
- 4:44Speaker 4: For those of you that have a terminal, Top go
- 4:46Speaker 4: and you kind of get t live and boy, this
- 4:50Speaker 4: top Live blog is kind of that's where we're getting
- 4:53Speaker 4: all information, real up to date information from reporters on
- 4:55Speaker 4: the ground in that part of the world here, so
- 4:58Speaker 4: we will certainly keep you off the time date on that.
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- 5:20Speaker 2: All right, let's get the market. Then take here with
- 5:22Speaker 2: Nancy Tangler, CEO and CIO of Laffler Tangler Laffer Tangler Investments. Nancy,
- 5:29Speaker 2: I keep reading about how there's so much money in stocks.
- 5:32Speaker 2: We're still in a US exceptionalism kind of situation, but
- 5:36Speaker 2: no one wants to pull the trigger and like sell
- 5:37Speaker 2: and go somewhere else. What are you guys doing?
- 5:39Speaker 6: Yeah, well, we still like the US best best house
- 5:42Speaker 6: on the block in terms of earning's growth, in terms
- 5:45Speaker 6: of productivity, in terms of technological innovation, and the valuations
- 5:49Speaker 6: despite all the handwringing, are not super out of line.
- 5:52Speaker 6: I mean, you've got look at the equal weighted pees
- 5:55Speaker 6: eighteen times forward earnings. Historically it's average seventeen and a half.
- 6:00Speaker 6: So we keep going back to our analogy, which we've
- 6:02Speaker 6: been taking about for almost two years, which is this market,
- 6:05Speaker 6: this economy is analogous to the nineteen nineties, and we
- 6:09Speaker 6: see so many similarities. I mean, no analogy is perfect, right,
- 6:12Speaker 6: but we see so many analogies that line up, and
- 6:16Speaker 6: that was a time when you had, you know, an
- 6:18Speaker 6: inverted yield curve of labor shortage, geopolitical tension, you know
- 6:23Speaker 6: a number of the things that we have today as
- 6:26Speaker 6: well as high interest rates ten years between five and
- 6:30Speaker 6: eight percent, fed funds rate above five percent, yet you
- 6:33Speaker 6: had robust stock returns coexisting with that. So we still
- 6:37Speaker 6: think you want to be long this market for some time.
- 6:40Speaker 6: And you know, Europe has dramatically underperformed. The rest of
- 6:44Speaker 6: world has dramatically underperformed for the last twenty years, and
- 6:47Speaker 6: I think a lot of that has to do with technology.
- 6:49Speaker 5: So what is your technology call?
- 6:51Speaker 1: Here?
- 6:51Speaker 5: These days? We still like it.
- 6:53Speaker 6: I mean, you know, I think the MAG seven is
- 6:55Speaker 6: the MAG seven. But we are still exposed to the
- 6:58Speaker 6: chip sector and we have been we had been shifting
- 7:01Speaker 6: to software, so we still like a number of those names.
- 7:05Speaker 6: Largest holding reports tomorrow which is Oracle, but we own
- 7:09Speaker 6: Service now Microsoft, we own some Adobe, so we're in
- 7:13Speaker 6: the space and we think that continues to be where
- 7:16Speaker 6: you want to be.
- 7:17Speaker 2: What do you do with the super popular AI plays,
- 7:21Speaker 2: like like in Nvidia, if you didn't own it, actually
- 7:23Speaker 2: do you own it? And if you didn't know what
- 7:24Speaker 2: would do? Okay, would you add or do you just
- 7:26Speaker 2: kind of put it in there and say, all right,
- 7:28Speaker 2: you're good, I'm going to go look elsewhere.
- 7:30Speaker 6: It's such a great question because if you're trained like
- 7:32Speaker 6: I was as a value investor, you're always waiting for
- 7:34Speaker 6: the pullback. But if you go back and look at Amazon,
- 7:37Speaker 6: for example, since IPO in May of ninety seven May fifteenth,
- 7:41Speaker 6: it's up two hundred and seventy thousand percent. So when
- 7:45Speaker 6: was it too late to get involved with Amazon? We
- 7:48Speaker 6: added Nvidia in the summer during the tech the summer
- 7:52Speaker 6: tech swound, so we missed, you know, a big chunk
- 7:54Speaker 6: of it. But I think, like Tesla, these are stocks
- 7:58Speaker 6: that are driving in. You can go back and look
- 8:01Speaker 6: at Walmart. I mean that stock outperformed for many, many years,
- 8:05Speaker 6: and so I think this again is where you want
- 8:08Speaker 6: to be. We owned the and still own the poor
- 8:11Speaker 6: man's Nvidia, which is Broadcom in our twelve Best Ideas portfolio,
- 8:16Speaker 6: along with Service now, Microsoft and some of the names
- 8:18Speaker 6: I already mentioned.
- 8:19Speaker 4: You mentioned the chip Space have had Intel in the news.
- 8:21Speaker 4: With mister Gelsinger, we now blim we're reporting that he
- 8:24Speaker 4: was forced out by the board here. What's your take
- 8:27Speaker 4: on Intel, because we all grew up with Intel as
- 8:30Speaker 4: being a leader.
- 8:31Speaker 5: Now obviously they are not. Can they get the mojo
- 8:34Speaker 5: back at all?
- 8:34Speaker 6: Do you think, Paul, I'm not optimistic. I think go
- 8:38Speaker 6: back to Xerox, who developed the mouse but did not
- 8:42Speaker 6: commercialize it. So Microsoft and Apple commercialized it and then
- 8:46Speaker 6: they lost their innovative edge. I think Intel is so
- 8:49Speaker 6: far behind at this point. We sold it about three
- 8:52Speaker 6: years ago because it was clear to me that he
- 8:54Speaker 6: didn't have the leadership chops to turn the thing around. Instead,
- 8:58Speaker 6: he went to Washington with his in hand and got
- 9:02Speaker 6: you attempted to get money, which he did. But now
- 9:04Speaker 6: you've got to deliver and the foundry business is losing money.
- 9:08Speaker 6: But the money from Washington is contingent on having a
- 9:11Speaker 6: foundry business. It wasn't just Pat, I mean, Bob Swan
- 9:14Speaker 6: ran the company sort of as a placeholder for a
- 9:16Speaker 6: couple three years, and there was a time when we
- 9:19Speaker 6: used to joke that AMD existed simply to ensure that
- 9:23Speaker 6: Microsoft didn't have a monopoly. And look how that has
- 9:26Speaker 6: shifted with the right leadership. So I think in a
- 9:29Speaker 6: bull market there are much better places to be and
- 9:31Speaker 6: you're not even getting paid to wait via the dividend
- 9:34Speaker 6: any longer.
- 9:35Speaker 2: So that's sort of your call on tech. You mentioned
- 9:37Speaker 2: Walmart a couple of times. What other stocks are on
- 9:39Speaker 2: your radar right now?
- 9:40Speaker 5: We like a lot.
- 9:41Speaker 6: We're overweight industrial and industrials and consumer discretionary, and our
- 9:45Speaker 6: theme is old economy companies that have pivoted to the
- 9:48Speaker 6: right technologies.
- 9:49Speaker 7: So in.
- 9:51Speaker 6: I'm sorry, in industrials, think of Quantus Services, which is
- 9:55Speaker 6: PWR and Emerson Electric. Those are names that we own,
- 9:59Speaker 6: along with a number of the fence names. But that's
- 10:01Speaker 6: that's where we're focused in that space. In consumer discretionary,
- 10:05Speaker 6: we like, you know, some of the usual suspects, but
- 10:09Speaker 6: included in that is home Depot and Chipotle, which are
- 10:13Speaker 6: both in our twelve Best Ideas portfolio, as well as Amazon,
- 10:16Speaker 6: which is in our twelve Best Ideas portfolio.
- 10:18Speaker 4: Did you guys change your investment outlook approach the day
- 10:22Speaker 4: after the election last month?
- 10:23Speaker 5: Did anything change?
- 10:24Speaker 7: No?
- 10:24Speaker 6: We anticipated, I mean as much as you could. And
- 10:28Speaker 6: you know, I always tell our clients because we've got
- 10:31Speaker 6: on both sides of the spectrum, right, don't invest your
- 10:33Speaker 6: politics by great companies that you can own for a lifetime.
- 10:37Speaker 6: So we've been kind of shifting in the summer during
- 10:39Speaker 6: the second summer tech swoon in a two years in
- 10:42Speaker 6: a row, and then broadening out over the last year.
- 10:46Speaker 6: And I think, you know, we run a clean energy
- 10:48Speaker 6: infrastructure strategy, but we had it with oil. So I
- 10:51Speaker 6: think there's there's a you know, it's a little cynical
- 10:53Speaker 6: that you need that bridge. And so I think there
- 10:56Speaker 6: are a lot of ways to make money no matter
- 10:58Speaker 6: who's in office, and so that that's been our.
- 11:01Speaker 2: Focus for consumer discretionary in particular. Do tariffs raise your
- 11:06Speaker 2: eyebrows at all?
- 11:08Speaker 6: I think, Alex, I think it's mostly rhetoric. I mean,
- 11:11Speaker 6: I know that he uses this as a negotiating tactic.
- 11:14Speaker 6: We know that from last administration. Could it be problematic?
- 11:18Speaker 6: I mean, I think the costs just get passed along
- 11:20Speaker 6: to the consumer, so that has its own implications for inflation.
- 11:24Speaker 6: But I just don't I just don't see this president
- 11:27Speaker 6: is so this elect president elect is so focused on
- 11:32Speaker 6: the markets. I don't think there are going to be
- 11:34Speaker 6: policies that are designed to cause problems for US companies.
- 11:39Speaker 6: So that's speculation.
- 11:41Speaker 4: Folks on the East coast, This is what some folks
- 11:43Speaker 4: on East coast do they winter in Florida and they
- 11:46Speaker 4: summer you know, in New Hampton's or.
- 11:47Speaker 5: Something like nor If you're on't a west, Oh yeah,
- 11:50Speaker 5: you summer Lake Tahoe and winter in Lake Scottsdale. That's
- 11:54Speaker 5: how it's done.
- 11:55Speaker 2: Out o It doesn't it get cold in Scottsdale?
- 11:58Speaker 6: Yeah, does a little bit.
- 11:59Speaker 2: But what has cold mean? It doesn't mean this.
- 12:01Speaker 6: It means, oh, it's forty five degrees outside. I better
- 12:05Speaker 6: put on another down jacket over my.
- 12:06Speaker 5: Downvest because you're like fifteen minutes.
- 12:08Speaker 6: You're wrecked for every other climate when you live in Scottsdale.
- 12:12Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, Scotstdale. Isn't it like? You know, you start
- 12:14Speaker 2: out the morning in a thirty degrees and then it
- 12:15Speaker 2: gets to be eighty and then it goes back to fifty.
- 12:17Speaker 2: I can't it's too much. You know, as a woman,
- 12:21Speaker 2: you already carry a big person. It's heavy, and now
- 12:23Speaker 2: you got to carry layers, layers, that's what it's too hard.
- 12:26Speaker 4: Nancy, thank you so much for joining us here in
- 12:28Speaker 4: our studio. Nancy Tangler, she's the CEOP and she's investment
- 12:31Speaker 4: officer Laffert Tangler Investments again coming in from the West
- 12:36Speaker 4: to bring us some of her thoughts on you're.
- 12:39Speaker 1: Listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live weekdays
- 12:43Speaker 1: at ten am Eastern on Apple card Playing and Broyd
- 12:46Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever
- 12:49Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 12:54Speaker 2: Joining us now in studio is Sarah Samuels, head of
- 12:56Speaker 2: Investment Manager Research over at n EPC. She's a partner
- 13:01Speaker 2: over there and oversees the firm's forty five person investment
- 13:04Speaker 2: manager selection team across private equity, private debt, private real estate,
- 13:08Speaker 2: real assets, hedge funds, and public markets. Sarah, it's great
- 13:11Speaker 2: to have you in studio. Thank you for joining us.
- 13:13Speaker 7: Thank you very much. It's a pleasure to see you again.
- 13:15Speaker 2: You too, So little see public markets side for a
- 13:17Speaker 2: sec because we get plenty of guys with their calls
- 13:19Speaker 2: blah blah blah. Let's talk about the private market. What
- 13:21Speaker 2: do you think is going to the hotspots are going
- 13:23Speaker 2: to be for next year?
- 13:24Speaker 7: Well, you know, just to set the stage for what's
- 13:27Speaker 7: on limited partners minds, institutional investors' minds today. They're really
- 13:32Speaker 7: not seeing the distribution activity that they typically have, so
- 13:36Speaker 7: distribution to paid in capital is not coming back at
- 13:38Speaker 7: the pace that they had modeled out, and what that
- 13:41Speaker 7: means is that there are fewer dollars to commit to
- 13:43Speaker 7: future funds because it's an equation, it's a closed loop system.
- 13:46Speaker 7: There isn't unlimited capital. And so we're really hoping that
- 13:50Speaker 7: we see deal activity and distributions and transaction activity begin
- 13:55Speaker 7: to pick up in twenty twenty five, and I think
- 13:57Speaker 7: that it will. We are seeing lower interest rate, which
- 14:00Speaker 7: helps with the deal economics. We are seeing better valuations,
- 14:05Speaker 7: and you know, we may see some simulative policy and.
- 14:09Speaker 4: It looks like from a I guess just maybe from
- 14:12Speaker 4: a tax perspective, there may be some easier tax treatment
- 14:17Speaker 4: for some of these gains that some of the limited
- 14:19Speaker 4: partners have.
- 14:20Speaker 5: Do you expect this new administration to foster more deal flow?
- 14:24Speaker 4: We have seen some reporting on that, do you, guys,
- 14:26Speaker 4: from your perspective, expectancy increase deal flow, whether it's IPOs,
- 14:29Speaker 4: whether it's and a emdeon.
- 14:32Speaker 7: Yes. So there are a number of ways that these
- 14:34Speaker 7: things can happen, that these deals can can actually be executed.
- 14:38Speaker 7: There's obviously the IPO market which is open today but
- 14:41Speaker 7: not being tapped broadly because buyers and sellers are not
- 14:45Speaker 7: the meeting in the middle on price. There are strategic investments,
- 14:49Speaker 7: so selling to corporations, and we are still seeing a
- 14:53Speaker 7: lot of that. And then there's sponsored a sponsor, which
- 14:55Speaker 7: is a private markets firm buying something from another private
- 14:57Speaker 7: markets firm. And so if we see the more favorable
- 15:01Speaker 7: tax treatment, if we see lower interest rates, more easy
- 15:05Speaker 7: antitrust stances as well as regulatory then I think that
- 15:11Speaker 7: it could be quite a bit easier for smaller companies
- 15:13Speaker 7: in particular, to either go public or to grow their earnings.
- 15:18Speaker 2: So typically when I talk to someone in private equity,
- 15:20Speaker 2: they're like, oh, well, you know it's a vintage, so
- 15:22Speaker 2: it's a long term, right, So you're gonna give us
- 15:23Speaker 2: money now, you don't get it back for ten years.
- 15:25Speaker 2: Like it's fine, Like everything will sort itself out in
- 15:27Speaker 2: ten years. And then we get to today and then
- 15:30Speaker 2: I want my money back. It's been ten years and
- 15:32Speaker 2: it's hard to get that cash back. Does that interrupt
- 15:35Speaker 2: the popularity of private equity or even a private credit
- 15:39Speaker 2: at this point, or are these things that are just managed.
- 15:41Speaker 7: It's a great question. There's a lot to it, So
- 15:43Speaker 7: it doesn't interrupt the popularity because there is still a
- 15:47Speaker 7: pretty meaningful premium for private market investments over public markets,
- 15:51Speaker 7: and public markets alone are not going to get institutions
- 15:53Speaker 7: to where they need to be. Many institutions haven't expect
- 15:56Speaker 7: a return of six seven eight percent nomenal, and we're expecting,
- 15:59Speaker 7: you know, mid single digit returns for US equities, for example,
- 16:03Speaker 7: over the next ten years, whereas in the private markets,
- 16:06Speaker 7: we're expecting double digit returns.
- 16:09Speaker 2: Double digit like ten eleven, twelve percent, or like more
- 16:12Speaker 2: than that. Orpends on the area.
- 16:14Speaker 7: So for something like private debt, and there are a
- 16:16Speaker 7: variety of different flavors in there. There's subordinated capital, there's
- 16:20Speaker 7: you know, direct lending, which is a lower returning asset today,
- 16:23Speaker 7: there's a lot of capital in there, there's distress, and
- 16:26Speaker 7: then there's opportunistic which we're really excited about. And that's
- 16:28Speaker 7: a catch all term for really creative financing solutions. So
- 16:31Speaker 7: that's either providing so being a liquidity provider is what
- 16:35Speaker 7: we are most excited about, both in this year, in
- 16:37Speaker 7: twenty twenty four and next year. That could be providing
- 16:40Speaker 7: creative financing solutions for GPS to get capital back to LPs.
- 16:44Speaker 7: It could be being a lender to real estate, you know,
- 16:47Speaker 7: with real estate debt through private debt, or by investing
- 16:51Speaker 7: in secondaries and providing liquidity to GPS and LPs alike.
- 16:54Speaker 4: Are you surprised we haven't had more IPO activity in
- 16:57Speaker 4: twenty twenty four and the S and p's of twenty
- 16:59Speaker 4: five percent back in the day, I would have been
- 17:01Speaker 4: ripping companies.
- 17:01Speaker 5: Out of look into the marketplaces.
- 17:03Speaker 4: I mean, we get a ten percent move in the market,
- 17:06Speaker 4: we're on the phone straight for thirty six hours calling everybody.
- 17:09Speaker 7: So I have IPO activity has honestly not historically been
- 17:14Speaker 7: the line's share of exits, so but it is very
- 17:17Speaker 7: important and it is open. So I think it's really
- 17:19Speaker 7: interesting that we haven't seen more companies price and go public.
- 17:24Speaker 7: Many cases, especially in venture capital, the last round financing
- 17:27Speaker 7: is the valu valuation methodology that is used, and that
- 17:31Speaker 7: last round of financing won't reset until they price another round,
- 17:35Speaker 7: and so we are seeing lots of companies that are
- 17:37Speaker 7: held at valuations that are not actually reasonable and there
- 17:41Speaker 7: will need to be a reconing.
- 17:43Speaker 2: Where in say, private credit is the most interesting, and
- 17:47Speaker 2: how do you look at it? Is it like industry
- 17:49Speaker 2: based is in how do you break it down into buckets?
- 17:53Speaker 7: Yeah, so we are looking at things like distressed debt,
- 17:57Speaker 7: which is really looking to take advantage of the type
- 18:00Speaker 7: of financially not necessarily like sector based right now. Well,
- 18:03Speaker 7: and then we're also you know, pretty interested in as
- 18:05Speaker 7: a backed lending, so abl investing, and so there are
- 18:12Speaker 7: there are a number of other areas and ways to
- 18:14Speaker 7: play this, but I would say that direct blending is
- 18:17Speaker 7: becoming more and more mainstream and less of a premium there.
- 18:21Speaker 4: When I got to the board at a large university,
- 18:24Speaker 4: I was shocked to see how much is allocated to
- 18:26Speaker 4: private getting in private alternatives broadly defined, not the ten
- 18:30Speaker 4: to fifteen percent that I grew up with, forty yes
- 18:33Speaker 4: and more.
- 18:34Speaker 7: And I've been in that set. I've worked at an
- 18:36Speaker 7: endowment and like, so.
- 18:37Speaker 5: In twenty twenty two comes along twenty twenty three, I'm like,
- 18:40Speaker 5: we're the marks down.
- 18:40Speaker 3: Kids.
- 18:41Speaker 5: Didn't get a mark down.
- 18:43Speaker 4: It's such a scam that private business they don't mark
- 18:46Speaker 4: That's why I'm so shocked that they allocate so.
- 18:48Speaker 5: Much to that.
- 18:49Speaker 4: Is that A Are you surprised that universities have taken
- 18:54Speaker 4: such an aggressive.
- 18:55Speaker 5: View of their portfolios of really its alternatives.
- 18:57Speaker 7: I'm not surprised. As I mentioned earlier, the return premium
- 19:01Speaker 7: is there over public markets. You do need a chief
- 19:04Speaker 7: investment officer mindset when you're allocating capital to private equity.
- 19:08Speaker 7: So you don't want to lock up your capital in
- 19:09Speaker 7: just any investment. You want to make sure that you're
- 19:12Speaker 7: being paid to lock up your capital, and you can
- 19:13Speaker 7: do that looking at public market equivalents or other measures.
- 19:17Speaker 7: And you know, these universities and public pensions for that matter,
- 19:21Speaker 7: have pretty lofty return targets and they need to get there.
- 19:24Speaker 7: The thing to look at is how much of the
- 19:26Speaker 7: operating budget is the institution supporting? Is it thirty forty
- 19:29Speaker 7: fifty percent? And if it is, then be really careful
- 19:31Speaker 7: with your liquidity guardrails. And that's something that we do
- 19:33Speaker 7: for our clients at ANYPC. It's a number of simple
- 19:36Speaker 7: but very powerful metrics. Understand if we get out over
- 19:38Speaker 7: our skis, and if we had those in place prior
- 19:40Speaker 7: to two thousand and eight, a lot of heartache would
- 19:42Speaker 7: have been avoided.
- 19:44Speaker 2: That's really interesting, Hey, Sarah, really great stuff. I really
- 19:46Speaker 2: appreciate you. How you coming in, Sarah Samuels. We will
- 19:48Speaker 2: definitely be seeing you soon joining us from an EPC.
- 19:51Speaker 2: Thank you so very much.
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