Latest / Space Nuts: Astronomy Insights & Cosmic Discoveries / Snowball Earth Theories, High-Energy Neutrinos & The Fascinating MWC349A
Transcript
- 0:00Andrew Dunkley: Hi there. Thanks for joining us on a Q and A
- 0:02edition of Space Nuts. My name is Andrew
- 0:05Dunkley and this is the. The show we do each
- 0:07week where you supply the agenda
- 0:10and we pretend we know what we're talking
- 0:12about. And questions are coming in,
- 0:15for this week's show from Peter, who's asking
- 0:18about climate change.
- 0:20Jonti Horner: Paul is.
- 0:21Andrew Dunkley: Well, I suppose it's a similar story.
- 0:24Snowball, Earth and, a couple of
- 0:26objects of interest. Casey is asking about
- 0:29KM M3230213A.
- 0:32Know all about it. And an even more obscure
- 0:35thing. Henrik has asked about
- 0:38MWC3498, which I just did a
- 0:41Google search for and it came up blank.
- 0:45Anyway, it's an A at the end, not an A. I had
- 0:48fun with that. Ah, is that the one? All
- 0:50right. And that's what we're talking about
- 0:52with that little voice you just heard in the
- 0:54background on this edition of space
- 0:57nuts.
- 0:57Voice Over Guy: 15 seconds. Guidance is internal.
- 1:0010, 9. Ignition
- 1:03sequence start. Space nuts. 5, 4, 3,
- 1:062. 1. 2, 3, 4, 5, 5, 4,
- 1:093, 2, 1. Space nuts. Astronauts
- 1:12report it feels good.
- 1:14Andrew Dunkley: And that voice belongs to none other than
- 1:16Professor Jonti T. Horner, professor of
- 1:18Astrophysics at the University of Southern
- 1:21Queensland, Jonti. Hello again.
- 1:23Jonti Horner: Good afternoon. Yeah, clearly professor of
- 1:25interruptions. This is what happens when I've
- 1:26had enough time for the coffee to kick in.
- 1:29Andrew Dunkley: yes, it's been, what, four days and
- 1:31we're still wearing the same clothes.
- 1:33Jonti Horner: Absolutely.
- 1:34Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, I get a lot of mileage out of that
- 1:35joke. Yeah.
- 1:38Jonti Horner: but you've been done.
- 1:39Had a musical interlude. Haven't I have.
- 1:40Andrew Dunkley: Look, I,
- 1:42Jonti Horner: It.
- 1:43Andrew Dunkley: It was just. Last weekend was a long weekend,
- 1:45in New South Wales, and I think it was in
- 1:48Queensland too. But, it was the weekend that
- 1:50Taylor Swift released her latest album.
- 1:54And, I've got three
- 1:56granddaughters, all of Taylor's
- 1:59swifty age. And we.
- 2:02Yeah, we took them to see the launch of her
- 2:04new album. and, I. Look, I've got to
- 2:07tell you, I really did, I did. I enjoy
- 2:10it. Yes.
- 2:12It's not aimed at me or my demographic, but,
- 2:16it was, it was interesting to
- 2:19watch some of the thinking behind the artist
- 2:21and some of the creativity that went into
- 2:23film clips and things like that. That's the,
- 2:26that's what I got out of it. But what, an
- 2:28extraordinary.
- 2:29Jonti Horner: It's one of the things I love.
- 2:30I know we've gone totally off topic straight
- 2:32away, but my favorite critic, and the kind of
- 2:35only one I pay attention to, really is a guy
- 2:37called Mark commodity in the UK who's, they
- 2:39used to be on BBC Radio 5 live and now
- 2:41they've got their own independent, thing. And
- 2:43it's one of those things that's like comfort
- 2:45food for the soul that you can listen to and
- 2:47just makes your children relax. But part of
- 2:49what's nice about him is that you get a lot
- 2:51of film critics who, if a film's not made for
- 2:53them, are in some misdiabos about it. Right.
- 2:56And you know, I remember this with the
- 2:58Twilight films, which I'm not the target
- 2:59audience, they're not my cup of tea, but they
- 3:01got panned because they're made for
- 3:04teenage girls and film critics are elderly
- 3:06men and there's a slightly different
- 3:07demographic there. And this guy's brilliant
- 3:10because he'll m. Make the point. You know,
- 3:11I'm not the target audience for this. I'm
- 3:13very clearly not it and I enjoyed it. Okay.
- 3:16But you look around the room at the people
- 3:17who are the target audience and they love it.
- 3:19So it's obviously doing well. I think it's
- 3:21the same with what you're saying by the
- 3:23Taylor Swift stuff. We're not the target
- 3:24audience. But you can appreciate that this is
- 3:26someone who's awesomely talented and ah, for
- 3:29the target audience, it's really
- 3:30fundamentally awesome, you know.
- 3:33Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. I was still working on radio,
- 3:36when she was, announced by Time magazine as
- 3:39Person of the Year. And I did a big, big
- 3:42statement at the time as far as I was
- 3:45concerned, about why she deserved it
- 3:47because she brought light into the world
- 3:51at a very dark time towards the end of COVID
- 3:54And but then they went and
- 3:57made Donaldjohanson Trump the, Person of the
- 3:58Year. So anyway, whatever.
- 4:01Jonti Horner: can't see the light without having darkness.
- 4:03Right.
- 4:03Andrew Dunkley: And I will say one of the songs on the new
- 4:06album has got to be about Donaldjohanson
- 4:08Trump. So anyway, he's after
- 4:11a Nobel priest Peace Prize and the word on
- 4:14the hill is that, you might just get it.
- 4:18we won't go there. It's not our agenda. But,
- 4:20we will go to some questions. Why don't we
- 4:22try and tackle this very first one?
- 4:25And this one comes from Peter.
- 4:27With all this climate change happening, I,
- 4:29was wondering how CO2 is warming the
- 4:32planet when it's heavy. Heavier than air.
- 4:35Maybe the problem is the axis of the planet
- 4:37has moved because of all the millions of tons
- 4:40of minerals that have been moved. Maybe
- 4:43someone should check the axis angle.
- 4:45Geez, Peter, I think I've heard this
- 4:48theory Once before. I doubt that the
- 4:51amount of stuff we take out of the ground and
- 4:53move around the planet is going to make that
- 4:56big a difference to the tilt.
- 4:59Jonti Horner: No, and the beauty is we can measure the
- 5:01tilt. I mean, I grew up in the north
- 5:04of England, and high in the sky was
- 5:06Polaris, the pole star, which is the
- 5:08direction that the northern end of the
- 5:10Earth's, spin axis points to. I'm very, very
- 5:13close to that star. So we can see exactly
- 5:15where the spin axis of the Earth is pointing.
- 5:18We can measure its spin rate. And it is
- 5:21right that moving material around on the
- 5:24Earth will to some degree change its spin
- 5:26and change its spin axis tilt.
- 5:29but, and it's a very big but the amount of
- 5:32change that you get from human activity is
- 5:35very, very, very, very small. A much
- 5:38bigger shift in mass, for example, happens
- 5:40with melting of the polar caps. Yeah, if you
- 5:43melt the polar caps, you move the water. The
- 5:45water settles all around the Earth, so you're
- 5:46effectively moving mass from near the poles
- 5:48to near the equator. And that changes the
- 5:51Earth's rotational angular momentum and will
- 5:52change the Earth's spin very, very, very,
- 5:55very slightly. But we're now incredibly
- 5:58technologically capable, so we can measure
- 6:00things that are that small. And a good
- 6:01example of that was the big Indian Ocean
- 6:04tsunami. The earthquake that caused that, on
- 6:06the Pacific Rim had a measurable effect on
- 6:08the Earth's spin. But if I remember rightly,
- 6:11and I stand to be corrected here, that
- 6:13measurable effect was something like one, one
- 6:15millionth of a second in the spin rate or
- 6:17something like that. And we can measure that,
- 6:19but it's not like you'd notice it in your day
- 6:21to day life. And it's not like that would be
- 6:23big enough to cause the impact on the climate
- 6:26that we see today. Now, I understand
- 6:28that, thanks to, decades of
- 6:31discussion, that climate change is still a
- 6:33bit of a controversial topic with some
- 6:35people. And I'm quite
- 6:38fundamentally comfortable saying climate
- 6:39change is a real thing, that the climate is
- 6:41changing. I spent three years early in my
- 6:43career living in Switzerland, and when I was
- 6:46in Switzerland, I used to go skiing, because
- 6:48skiing's awesome. And if you're in
- 6:49Switzerland, why wouldn't you? And all these
- 6:51beautiful little towns that I went to in the
- 6:53winter, and then you went back in the summer
- 6:55and you went walking in the hills instead of
- 6:57skiing because all the snow had gone. They
- 6:59all have these photos from 50 or 100 years
- 7:01ago where you have the village in the
- 7:03foreground and the glacier in the background
- 7:05winding out of the hills. And then if you're
- 7:07up there in the summer, you go out and look,
- 7:09and it isn't there anymore. It's retreated
- 7:11that far. And I think that's fundamentally
- 7:14why in a lot of those countries with Alpine
- 7:16regions, climate change has been accepted for
- 7:18much, much longer, because you can really
- 7:20physically see the effects. And so it's very
- 7:23clear that it's happening. And the argument
- 7:25that it's caused by humor rather than
- 7:26something natural, the strongest evidence for
- 7:29that, to be honest, is the speed at which
- 7:31it's happening is unprecedented. The natural
- 7:34effects that could cause it, like the
- 7:36transition from the ice ages to the
- 7:38interglacials, and we'll talk about this a
- 7:39bit more later on, are, much more gradual.
- 7:42Changes in brightness of the sun are much
- 7:44more gradual. And in fact, the sun has dimmed
- 7:45a little bit over the time that we've been
- 7:47measuring climate change due to little bits
- 7:49of tweaks in its behavior. So if
- 7:52the climate wasn't changing, we'd actually be
- 7:54slightly cooler now than we were a couple of
- 7:55hundred years ago, only very slightly. But
- 7:58that leads to this perverse and confusing
- 8:00statistic that 110% of all climate change is
- 8:03caused by humans because we're not just
- 8:05making it warmer, but we're offsetting the
- 8:07cooling as well. Yeah, so that's all the
- 8:09background to it here, how carbon dioxide
- 8:12plays a role. Even though it's, you know,
- 8:15heavier than air, it's still gas, it still
- 8:16floats around up there. It's not like it all
- 8:18sits at ankle level on the Earth. But even if
- 8:20it did, it would still be fairly effective
- 8:22because what carbon dioxide is in a really
- 8:25broad sense is it's like a good winter doona
- 8:27that you've got. The way that
- 8:30I can understand this as an astronomer most
- 8:32obviously is, I think back m to again. When I
- 8:34was a kid, 1983, when I was five years old,
- 8:37there was this satellite launch called the
- 8:38infrared astronomical satellite IRAs. And
- 8:41that was really foundational for a lot of
- 8:43what we've learned about planets around other
- 8:45stars, because it was a tool that first
- 8:47allowed us to find debris disks around stars,
- 8:50which are, the leftovers from planet
- 8:51formation. And that was a bit of a shock
- 8:54because stars didn't look how they were
- 8:56expected to. Three of them in particular.
- 8:58Vega, Fomalkauten, Beta Pictoris. They were
- 9:01brighter in the infrared wavelengths than we
- 9:02expected. They thought the satellite was
- 9:04broken. Then they realized that, no, really,
- 9:06the stars just had all this debris around
- 9:08them that was getting hot, warming up, and
- 9:10Giving off radiation and infrared
- 9:11wavelengths. So this tells us that
- 9:14when you heat something up, it radiates that
- 9:17energy away in infrared. And that's why
- 9:19thermal imaging cameras work. You can see
- 9:21people at night if you're using a thermal
- 9:23imaging camera because they're warmer than
- 9:25the surrounding area, so they give off more
- 9:27infrared radiation. You can see that. But the
- 9:29reason we had to launch IRAs was that you
- 9:32can't do infrared astronomy from the ground
- 9:34except a couple of very specific wavelengths.
- 9:37And the reason that you can't do infrared
- 9:38astronomy from the ground is that the
- 9:39atmosphere is fundamentally opaque at
- 9:42infrared wavelengths. And a big part of that
- 9:44is carbon dioxide. So if you've got a photon
- 9:47of infrared radiation, it coming into our
- 9:49atmosphere, we'll essentially see our
- 9:51atmosphere as utterly thick cloud. It will be
- 9:53absorbed and re emitted back out.
- 9:56Optical light, visible light makes it through
- 9:59the atmosphere intact. And that's why if I
- 10:00look out of the window at the minute, we've
- 10:02got a lovely sunny day and I can see what I'm
- 10:03doing. And, that solar radiation comes in and
- 10:06it warms the Earth up. And what does the
- 10:08Earth do? It radiates that energy back
- 10:10outward at infrared wavelengths. But because
- 10:12the atmosphere is opaque at infrared
- 10:14wavelengths, that energy gets absorbed and re
- 10:16emitted. And it'll be re emitted randomly in
- 10:18any given direction. So the odds are it'll
- 10:21come back down. So in other words, that
- 10:22radiation gets trapped. And that's how the
- 10:25doona works. That's how the carbon dioxide's
- 10:27working. Now the carbon dioxide
- 10:30we've got in our atmosphere is really
- 10:32effective as a greenhouse gas. It's actually
- 10:35mostly saturated. So adding
- 10:37some carbon dioxide from no carbon dioxide
- 10:40would have a much bigger effect than adding
- 10:42carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. Now, when
- 10:44we've got a fair bit of it in there already,
- 10:46but it's not totally saturated. So what that
- 10:48means is as we add more carbon dioxide, it
- 10:51can still have a bigger effect. And, that's
- 10:53why as we put more carbon dioxide into the
- 10:55atmosphere, the Earth gets warmer because the
- 10:57Dooner gets more effective.
- 10:59There are other gases that are effective
- 11:01greenhouse gases as well. Methane is a really
- 11:03good example. Methane is actually much more
- 11:05effective than carbon dioxide. But the
- 11:07difference is methane's fairly short lived in
- 11:09the atmosphere. Methane molecules on average
- 11:12will be removed from the atmosphere within
- 11:13400 years by interacting with oxygen.
- 11:16Carbon dioxide is only removed by life
- 11:19or by weathering. You know, if you get lots
- 11:22of rain on the continents, that breaks up the
- 11:24rocks, the rocks crumble down. Chemistry
- 11:27happens. Carbon dioxide can be pulled out
- 11:28into the rocks and locked up in the surface.
- 11:31They're the mechanisms that get rid of carbon
- 11:33dioxide and they're slower. So that's part of
- 11:36why carbon dioxide is a problem, because when
- 11:37we put it in the atmosphere, it's going to
- 11:39hang around for a good long time. But that
- 11:41hopefully kind of answers that question, that
- 11:43I am respectful of the fact that it's hard
- 11:46for people to comprehend how we
- 11:48can change the world's environment. Because
- 11:50you think of yourself and your friends and
- 11:51you think the Earth's so big and we're so
- 11:54small, how can we have that much of an
- 11:56effect? And it's hard to come to terms with
- 11:58just how many people there are and just how
- 12:00much stuff we're doing and pumping stuff into
- 12:02the atmosphere. Yeah, it's a bit
- 12:04misleading to say, you know, if you change to
- 12:07an EV rather than a petrol car, you'll save
- 12:09the world, but it'll contribute a little drop
- 12:12in the ocean towards lessening climate
- 12:15change potentially in the long term. And,
- 12:18that's kind of what people are looking at.
- 12:19But fundamentally, this is what's happening.
- 12:22It's very, very well established. Nothing
- 12:24astronomically can even come close to
- 12:26explaining what we're seeing. So when you
- 12:29rule out all the other options, the only
- 12:30thing that's left is human influence. And
- 12:32that's kind of sad, but shows what an
- 12:35effective species we are at changing our
- 12:36environment, you know?
- 12:38Andrew Dunkley: Well, hopefully we can be just as effective
- 12:39in finding a solution, but I think, to do
- 12:42that, everybody has to be on the same page,
- 12:44and that's just not the case at the moment.
- 12:46Jonti Horner: I'm an optimist. I mean, there's.
- 12:49There's real challenges here. I remember
- 12:51there was an incredible article by a guy
- 12:53called Jeff Masters who used to run the
- 12:56Weather Underground site, used to write blogs
- 12:57there. yeah. and he wrote about. I think it
- 13:00was book review, actually. But he wrote about
- 13:01something called Manufactured Doubt, which is
- 13:04a whole industry that has sprung up to
- 13:07sow confusion over something that should be
- 13:09settled science in order to allow business
- 13:12to operate without being restricted
- 13:14effectively. And, it first came about with
- 13:16smoking. So cigarette smoking. Tobacco
- 13:19smoking was known to be very harmful to
- 13:21people going back 100 years from now. But
- 13:24even when I was growing up in the 1980s, he
- 13:26still had smoking in public places. You still
- 13:28had it everywhere. You still have adverts on
- 13:29TV and tobacco sponsorship. Because there'd
- 13:32been this very cleverly managed marketing
- 13:35strategy of casting doubt on the science and
- 13:37casting doubt on the scientists involved,
- 13:39effectively slandering them. And you have
- 13:41things like, you know, top sportsmen in the
- 13:43world, footballers and cricketers and things
- 13:45like this being sponsored by tobacco
- 13:47companies and smoking cigarettes and
- 13:49interviews and giving this impression. Can't
- 13:51be harmful, can it? I mean, look, here's one
- 13:52of the fittest athletes in the world and they
- 13:54smoke and that makes them a great athlete.
- 13:56You shouldn't see children. And
- 13:59what was interesting in this article from
- 14:00Jeff Masters, who's a very powerful advocate
- 14:03for knowledge, about climate change, was
- 14:05that, there is a lot of evidence that the
- 14:07companies that used to do that for tobacco
- 14:09through the 1980s were brought on board by
- 14:12the big oil companies to do the same kind of
- 14:15strategy. And it's been incredibly effective.
- 14:18And I think it's led to this wider thing of
- 14:22diminishing trust in science and greater
- 14:24doubt in it, which has led to the challenges
- 14:26we face now with things like vaccines, with,
- 14:28you know, flat earthing to some degree, with
- 14:31places where people are skeptical and
- 14:34don't trust scientists and don't trust
- 14:36science, even though science is so
- 14:37fundamental and foundational for our day to
- 14:39day lives. And it's really sad. But the flip
- 14:42side is we got cigarettes banned,
- 14:45people's health has improved. We, you know,
- 14:47no longer do you go to a pub and the walls
- 14:49are grimy and the windows are dark because of
- 14:51all the cigarette smoke. No longer do you get
- 14:52on a train and have to cough your way to your
- 14:55destination. Things have changed and I think
- 14:57we're starting to see the same change with
- 14:59climate change and, with the actions that we
- 15:01can take. And it's not happening out of the
- 15:03goodness of people's hearts. It's happening
- 15:04because commercially it's now becoming viable
- 15:07to make the changes. Yes, electric vehicles
- 15:10are a really good example. Back in the early
- 15:121900s you had electric vehicles, we had
- 15:15electric milk floats in the uk, but they were
- 15:16an oddity and there were specific use. But
- 15:19it's finally got to the point where those
- 15:20kind of vehicles can be competitive with
- 15:23combustion engine vehicles, can even possibly
- 15:25work out cheaper and more efficient and
- 15:27suddenly there's an incentive for people to
- 15:29get them, not because they're doing good for
- 15:30the planet, but because it's a better option
- 15:32for them. And that's the kind of change that
- 15:34hopefully is going to improve things.
- 15:35Andrew Dunkley: Yes, yes, I hope you're right. I
- 15:38suppose the other difficulty that comes into
- 15:41play with trying to change the minds of
- 15:44people and get the right thinking happening
- 15:47is social media, because there's so much
- 15:50scandal going through social media and as
- 15:52I mentioned, in the last program,
- 15:56we now have artificial intelligence, so
- 15:59you don't even know what you're looking at is
- 16:01real anymore.
- 16:02Speaker C: It's.
- 16:02Jonti Horner: Yeah, it's all saying that. And
- 16:05I know it from a Terry Pratchett. But like
- 16:07many things, Terry Pratchett, he was probably
- 16:10referencing people before. But this whole
- 16:12idea that a lie can run around the world
- 16:13before the truth can get its boots on, it's
- 16:16very easy to tell a convenient lie. And
- 16:18people are naturally biased as
- 16:21humans, with all the different cognitive
- 16:22biases we've got, there's a confirmation bias
- 16:25that you remember the things that fit in well
- 16:26with your lived experience and not the things
- 16:28that disagree with it. And, my lived
- 16:30experience is that I don't change the world
- 16:32when I go around. I'm not fundamentally
- 16:34altering the world around me, which I live
- 16:36in. So it's very easy when somebody says,
- 16:38we're not changing the world. Climate change
- 16:40can't be real, because how could you change
- 16:42the world for people to really empathize with
- 16:44that and fit in with it in just the same way
- 16:47that people who are getting vaccinated,
- 16:49they'll remember that their anti ulcer had a
- 16:51bad reaction to the vaccine, but they don't
- 16:53remember that many people who have had the
- 16:56vaccine and not had a reaction, but didn't
- 16:58die from the thing they were vaccinated
- 17:00against because they were vaccinated. So you
- 17:02get that confirmation bias that feels like it
- 17:04supports the idea that vaccines are bad
- 17:07when in fact they're not. And fundamentally,
- 17:09this is why as scientists, we use statistics
- 17:11for all these things. Lies down, blind
- 17:14statistics. We use statistics to try and
- 17:16avoid falling into the trap of our own biases
- 17:19because we think we've seen a pattern, but
- 17:20statistics will give us a hint as to whether
- 17:22it's really there or not.
- 17:24Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. Gosh, we could talk forever on this.
- 17:28It's like opening that can of worms and just
- 17:30letting it spill out and everybody has a go.
- 17:33thank you, Peter. We're going to sort of
- 17:34continue on to this type of, angle, with a,
- 17:37question from Paul.
- 17:39Speaker C: G', day, Space nuts. Paul Feen from Sunny
- 17:41Bridges, Vegas here. Quick question. If
- 17:44our Earth were to suddenly or not suddenly
- 17:47become a snowball, as
- 17:50might have happened if our, scientific
- 17:52theories are correct, you know, back in our
- 17:55deep, distant past, what effect
- 17:57would that have on oxygen levels in our
- 18:00atmosphere? Would they
- 18:03stay the same? would they drop? Because
- 18:05plants don't grow really well down in
- 18:07Antarctica. I'd be curious to
- 18:10know your thoughts on this. Also
- 18:13what kind of events would actually trigger
- 18:15that in the first place? Anyway, keep doing a
- 18:18great job. Whoever happens to be at helm of
- 18:19the good ship Space Huts, big shout out to
- 18:22Heidi Campo. Wow, what a great job he
- 18:25did. Thank you. And Jonti, wherever you are,
- 18:28would love to hear from you again if Fred
- 18:31goes off gallivanting over to, I don't know,
- 18:34Norway or somewhere like that to see the
- 18:36northern lights. Cheers.
- 18:39Andrew Dunkley: Thank you, Paul. Well, guess what, that's
- 18:41exactly what's happened. And Jonti is
- 18:44with us because of Fred's gallivanting.
- 18:47So, yes, you get to answer Paul's question
- 18:50about snowball Earth. the effect on O2 levels
- 18:52and what sort of, events would trigger it.
- 18:55Jonti Horner: That's great. And there's a lot to this and
- 18:56it's good to hear from a local. So, yeah,
- 18:58thank you. And hi from.
- 19:00Andrew Dunkley: You're just up the road.
- 19:01Jonti Horner: I'm just up the road. Only a couple of
- 19:02hundred Ks inland. So, yeah, good hear from a
- 19:05local. This is. This sent me down some
- 19:07rabbit holes actually. I was digging into
- 19:09this and it's fascinating. So I've never
- 19:11actually had that thought of how snowball
- 19:13Earth episodes could link to oxygen before.
- 19:16And it's a really, really, really good
- 19:17question. So almost answer these kind of
- 19:19things in a bit of reverse order.
- 19:22The idea is, for those who aren't familiar
- 19:24with it, that at a couple of occasions in the
- 19:26past, one a bit more than 2 billion years
- 19:28ago, 1, 600, 500 million years ago,
- 19:32the Earth's climate went across a tipping
- 19:34point and like the ice age began, but the
- 19:37glaciers just kept advancing and you ended up
- 19:39with pretty much the entire planet clad in
- 19:42ice. And conditions at the equator at
- 19:45that point could even have been colder than
- 19:46we see in Antarctica right now. So really
- 19:49kind of dramatic conditions. And that lasted
- 19:52for a few million, even tens of millions of
- 19:54years before that condition got broken.
- 19:57And it makes perfect sense now. The climate
- 19:59of the, Earth is relatively stable at the
- 20:02minute. We've just talked about our impact on
- 20:04it. But, on geological timescales, our
- 20:07climate tends to sit around a fairly stable
- 20:09point. But what the snowball Earth idea
- 20:12is reminding us of is that you have a
- 20:15few possible stable scenarios for the Earth's
- 20:17climate, of which we are one, we're one,
- 20:20which is essentially the warm version. But
- 20:22equally, if you turn the Earth into a
- 20:24snowball, it will remain a snowball for a
- 20:27very long time. And the reason for that is
- 20:29that, if you make the Earth a snowball, it
- 20:31becomes incredibly More reflective. And so
- 20:34therefore it absorbs less energy and so it
- 20:36stays cold. You get this kind of feedback
- 20:38that keeps the Earth cold. And the idea is
- 20:41when you flip from one state to another, you
- 20:43can be locked in that new state for a very
- 20:45long time until something changes. Now what
- 20:47could cause that? One thing that could cause
- 20:50that is life on our
- 20:53planet. Removing carbon dioxide from the
- 20:54atmosphere and weathering on the continents.
- 20:56Removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere
- 20:59at, ah, a rate that cools a planet quicker
- 21:01than the sun getting brighter, warms a
- 21:03planet. So the sun, when the Earth was very
- 21:05young, was probably about 30% dimmer. And the
- 21:08sun is thought to brighten by about 6 or
- 21:117% every billion years. So it's 30%
- 21:13brighter now than it was when the Earth
- 21:15formed. So the question is, if the sun was so
- 21:17dim when the Earth was young, how were we
- 21:19warm enough to have liquid water? And the
- 21:21answer is, at that point we had a hugely rich
- 21:24atmosphere of greenhouse gases, things like
- 21:26carbon dioxide and methane and no oxygen. And
- 21:29so the atmosphere was very, very rich in
- 21:31things that would create a really thick doona
- 21:33and we were very, very pleasantly warm.
- 21:36Over time, the sun has got brighter, but
- 21:39life and weathering have removed the
- 21:41greenhouse gases from the atmosphere and
- 21:44averaged over the entire age of the Earth,
- 21:46those two things have roughly balanced out.
- 21:48And so we still have a temperate climate. Now
- 21:51if we had the atmosphere the Earth had when
- 21:52it was young, the Earth would be like Venus
- 21:54now. The oceans would have boiled and we
- 21:56wouldn't be having this conversation. Yeah,
- 21:58but the climate has kind of fortunately
- 22:01stayed for most of its time in the kind
- 22:04of warm, stable version. But there have
- 22:07been these two big occasions that have had
- 22:09the snowball Earth scenario. Now
- 22:12there's some debate over, exactly what
- 22:13triggered that. And it's likely there were a
- 22:15few things. There was life and increased
- 22:17weathering, pulling carbon dioxide out of the
- 22:19atmosphere. So you weaken the greenhouse
- 22:21effect and cool the planet down. That is
- 22:24most likely. You also have a scenario,
- 22:26incidentally, where if you make the Earth
- 22:29more reflective around the equator, you lower
- 22:32the amount of heat that's absorbed by the
- 22:33Earth, increase the amount reflected and you
- 22:35cool the Earth as well. So what are the
- 22:37scenarios that's proposed to explain how we
- 22:39got into the snowball Earth periods? At first
- 22:42was that you got a period where you got one
- 22:44of these supercontinents where all the
- 22:45continental material on the Earth kind of
- 22:47smushed together, like we had with Pangea,
- 22:49like was proposed with Pangaea. Previous
- 22:51episode of that. We have most of the Earth's
- 22:54continents around the Earth's, equator,
- 22:57continental material, rock and, vegetation
- 23:00and everything else is more reflective than
- 23:02water. And in fact, most of the energy coming
- 23:05into the Earth these, ah, days is absorbed by
- 23:07the water. The water is the main thing that
- 23:09locks in the heat and keeps us warm. And
- 23:11that, of course, is why Brisbane gets so warm
- 23:13and humid in the summers. It's why Western
- 23:15Europe is so pleasant in the winters compared
- 23:18to the middle of Canada. The water carries a
- 23:21lot of heat, holds onto it for a long, long
- 23:22time. So you have this speculative scenario
- 23:25where all the continents end up smushed up
- 23:28and near the Earth's equator. So the Earth's
- 23:30albedo gets more reflective, a higher
- 23:33albedo, so the Earth would naturally cool
- 23:35because it's absorbing less heat and
- 23:36reflecting more. Added to which, if you put
- 23:39the continents nearer the equator, you're in
- 23:41a location which gets much higher rainfall
- 23:43and much higher weather levels because the
- 23:45water at that latitude is hotter, so
- 23:47evaporates more. The atmosphere can hold more
- 23:49water, so you get more weathering, which
- 23:51drives more chemistry, which also acts to
- 23:53pull more carbon dioxide out of the
- 23:54atmosphere. And, that exacerbates this and
- 23:57we, you know, removes the greenhouse effect
- 23:59as well. So you've got more energy being
- 24:01reflected and less absorbed. So the Earth
- 24:03cools more carbon dioxide pulled out of the
- 24:05atmosphere, so the greenhouse effect weakens,
- 24:07so the Earth cools. That then causes the
- 24:10Earth to start entering ice ages where the
- 24:12water near the poles freezes and the ice
- 24:15expands towards the equator. That ice is more
- 24:18reflective than the water that it sits on is.
- 24:21So less energy is absorbed and more is
- 24:22reflected. And so the Earth cools. And so you
- 24:24get this feedback effect where the ice
- 24:26gradually reaches down towards the equator.
- 24:28And once you're in that scenario, you're in a
- 24:31position where even if you put all the carbon
- 24:33dioxide back in the atmosphere, the Earth is
- 24:35so reflective that it will stay cold.
- 24:38You're locked into this other stable state.
- 24:41However, longer term, what happens is that,
- 24:43you've got the ice sheet now sat over all of
- 24:45the rocks. So you prevent the weathering that
- 24:48was removing carbon dioxide from the
- 24:50atmosphere. You turn that off, you've still
- 24:52got things putting carbon dioxide back in the
- 24:54atmosphere.
- 24:54You've still got volcanoes erupting and all
- 24:56the sources of gases that were putting it
- 24:59back into the atmosphere and eventually
- 25:00return the weather, material, weather gases
- 25:02into the atmosphere. So you're in the
- 25:04snowball, Earth setup. But gradually over
- 25:06time, then your greenhouse gas levels rise
- 25:08and rise and rise until eventually you start
- 25:11to melt the ice and you get this other
- 25:13tipping point where suddenly you're warm
- 25:16enough for the ice to melt and retreat, which
- 25:18means you expose more water, more water is
- 25:21exposed, which means more area to absorb the
- 25:23heat, which means the Earth will warm up
- 25:25more, which means more ice melts, and you go
- 25:27back to being this kind of warmer, Earth.
- 25:30That brings with it, though, a time when
- 25:33you've had the continents crunched up under
- 25:35ice sheets, broken up into kind of gravelly
- 25:37small bits of debris. And then when you start
- 25:39raining on that again, you get a huge amount
- 25:42of weathering water washing out
- 25:44minerals and putting it into the ocean.
- 25:47And that means that suddenly all that life
- 25:49that has been starved through the snowball
- 25:51Earth epoch is suddenly going, hey, look, the
- 25:54Earth's nice and warm. It's a nice place to
- 25:55live again. Brilliant. And, oh, look, there's
- 25:58suddenly all this food in the oceans. And so
- 26:00the papers that I came across when I was
- 26:02looking into this as a result of Paul's
- 26:04question, it seems that after both of the big
- 26:07snowball Earth eras, there was a massive
- 26:09oxygenation event on Earth. So after the
- 26:12first one, you went from effectively no
- 26:13oxygen in Earth's atmosphere to Earth's
- 26:16atmosphere being about 2%
- 26:18oxygen, which is a big jump from nothing to
- 26:202%. And, then
- 26:236,500 million years ago,
- 26:25you had the end of the most recent snowball
- 26:28Earth thing, and you got another mass
- 26:29oxygenation event. Why suddenly you've
- 26:32got all this nutrient and all this stuff
- 26:34washing off into the oceans, prime conditions
- 26:36for things to grow and a huge amount of
- 26:39oxygen released. And, that is thought to have
- 26:41been what drove oxygen up to something
- 26:43comparable to its current levels relatively
- 26:45quickly. And that then led to there
- 26:48being sufficient free evidence for what's
- 26:50called, I think, the Cambrian explosion,
- 26:52where suddenly you've got an Earth that has
- 26:54all these different niches suddenly freed up
- 26:57and the source of ready oxygen, and
- 26:59everything goes crazy evolving to fill the
- 27:02available opportunities. And
- 27:05so all of that kind of gives you an idea how
- 27:07we think snowball Earth episodes could
- 27:09happen. And, what would happen to oxygen
- 27:11afterwards? Which seems to be the accepted
- 27:13scientific wisdom, that after a snowball
- 27:15Earth episode, when it ends, you can get the
- 27:18oxygen suddenly getting significantly more
- 27:20oxygen rich as life takes advantage of the
- 27:22new conditions. What would happen to
- 27:25oxygen now that there's a lot of it in the
- 27:27atmosphere during the snowball Earth period,
- 27:29I couldn't find any speculation on. So
- 27:32it's a really interesting question. Now, it
- 27:33doesn't mean there's no speculation out
- 27:35there. It just means that I couldn't find any
- 27:37of his. Big difference there. But
- 27:40there's a few things that are going on that I
- 27:41think could be interesting. Firstly, there's
- 27:43a huge amount of oxygen in the atmosphere. So
- 27:45even if you stop producing it and you manage
- 27:48to keep alive the things that use it, it will
- 27:51probably go down very slowly just because
- 27:52there's so much of it. And if you were
- 27:54killing off a lot of life, then
- 27:57to be honest, there's not as much using it
- 27:59anyway. Volcanoes erupting, carbon
- 28:02dioxide and particularly methane that's been
- 28:04erupted and outgassed, particularly towards
- 28:07the end of the ice age kind of period,
- 28:10getting lots of methane released into the
- 28:12atmosphere would remove the oxygen as the
- 28:14methane and the oxygen interact with each
- 28:15other. And if that was happening quicker than
- 28:18life was putting new oxygen into the
- 28:19atmosphere, then you can imagine that leading
- 28:21to a bit of a dip in the amount of oxygen in
- 28:23the atmosphere at the time. But my
- 28:26guess would be that probably during the
- 28:28snowball Earth period, the oxygen levels
- 28:31wouldn't change all that much. You might be
- 28:33producing less oxygen, but you'd also be
- 28:35using less. So that will balance out. But
- 28:37what you would get over time is, particularly
- 28:40if you killed off a lot of life, you get this
- 28:42slow, steady increase in
- 28:45greenhouse gas levels because you're still
- 28:47pumping out the same amount in terms of
- 28:49volcanism, but you've removed the weathering
- 28:51that's taking it away again. And so that
- 28:53would lead to the greenhouse gas level rising
- 28:56slowly over time until it got to the point
- 28:59where it turned it back over the tipping
- 29:00point and allowed the Earth to warm up again.
- 29:02And that will probably then be a very bad
- 29:04thing because the sun is now much more
- 29:06luminous than it ever has been in the past.
- 29:08If you get a runaway greenhouse effect now,
- 29:11that's a lot more problematic than it was 500
- 29:13million years ago. And maybe that could lead
- 29:15to conditions where you don't hit our current
- 29:18stable level, but you go past that and you
- 29:20end up hurrying the end of the Earth, as a
- 29:23habitable world, effectively.
- 29:25Andrew Dunkley: Oh, fun. Yeah.
- 29:26Jonti Horner: Careful path.
- 29:28Andrew Dunkley: I, just did a.
- 29:31I'll get some negative press for this, but, I
- 29:34just did a, put a question into chat. GPT
- 29:38Would, current oxygen levels on Earth reduce
- 29:40if Earth were to freeze over? And it's come
- 29:42up with a few scenarios, but basically says
- 29:44most, he he. It says most oxygen
- 29:47on Earth comes from photosynthetic organisms,
- 29:50mainly marine plankton and land plants. If
- 29:52Earth froze over ocean, surfaces
- 29:55would be sealed under thick ice, preventing
- 29:57sunlight from reaching most marine
- 29:59photosynthesizers. Land plants would die or
- 30:02go dormant due to cold or lack of liquid
- 30:04water. So oxygen production would drop
- 30:07dramatically.
- 30:08Jonti Horner: And that makes sense, but I'd argue that
- 30:10oxygen use will drop dramatically as well
- 30:12because you kill the things that are using
- 30:14the oxygen. Yes. The other thing that I've
- 30:16stumb across in my reading actually, and that
- 30:17just reminded me of was one of the things
- 30:20that tied into this idea of the snowball
- 30:22earth stuff was how on earth did life make it
- 30:24through. And one of the things that people's
- 30:27modeling found was that even though you'd get
- 30:28ice all the way down to the equator, the
- 30:31processes that happen at the equator will
- 30:33probably prevent that ice being more than
- 30:35about 10 meters thick. And studies have shown
- 30:37that enough light can make it through ice for
- 30:39photosynthesis to continue unless the ice is
- 30:4220 meters thick or more. And so there'd
- 30:45likely be a band where you could continue
- 30:46photosynthesis under the ice because the ice
- 30:48is not thick enough to block all the
- 30:50sunlight. That seemed to be the argument.
- 30:52There was some discussions of where the
- 30:54pockets of life holding on through the
- 30:56hellish times would be and that was quite
- 30:58interesting. But like I said, I'm not a
- 30:59biologist, so that is straining my expertise
- 31:02to look at exactly how life would adapt to
- 31:04those conditions.
- 31:05Andrew Dunkley: Indeed. All right, Paul, thanks for the
- 31:07question. Great one. And there might be more
- 31:09to talk about that, in regard to that down
- 31:12the track. This is Space Nuts with Andrew
- 31:14Dunkley and Jonti Horner.
- 31:19Speaker C: Three, two, one.
- 31:22Jonti Horner: Space Nuts.
- 31:23Andrew Dunkley: Now Jonti, a couple of questions have come in
- 31:26about objects or events that
- 31:29have happened in space. Casey
- 31:32has messaged, us. Hello again, this is Casey
- 31:35from Colorado. I recently read a little bit
- 31:37about the record breaking KM
- 31:39M32302 213A.
- 31:43Please correct me if I'm wrong, but detecting
- 31:46a 220 PETA electron
- 31:49volt neutrino is pretty crazy
- 31:51considering that that's like 30 times more
- 31:54energetic than the previous record holder.
- 31:57what could possibly be its source? Love the
- 31:59podcast and hope you're both well. Thanks
- 32:02from Casey in Colorado and she hopes you're
- 32:04well too, Jonti.
- 32:06Speaker C: Yes.
- 32:07Andrew Dunkley: Then again she might be talking about Fred
- 32:08and Heidi. I don't know.
- 32:13Jonti Horner: So this is a really interesting one. I must
- 32:15say that I hadn't seen this announcement and
- 32:17so this was a really interesting thing to
- 32:19read about. this is a neutrino that according
- 32:22to the name was seen in 2023, on
- 32:25February 13th. And, it was detected
- 32:28by this huge array of detectors on the bottom
- 32:31of the Mediterranean Ocean, Mediterranean
- 32:33Sea, about 3 and a half kilometers below sea
- 32:36level, in the pitch black of the deep ocean,
- 32:38where they have all these detectors that have
- 32:41the job of detecting incredibly faint flashes
- 32:44of light that occur when cosmic rays
- 32:46or neutrinos collide with an atom in the
- 32:49ocean and cause a cascade of light as
- 32:52this whole collision chain of, particles
- 32:55being formed and energy being released as the
- 32:57energy from those things is dumped into the
- 32:59ocean. And this occurred before they'd
- 33:02finished building and testing this array. So
- 33:04it was during the testing phase, and it is
- 33:07reliably says on all of these websites, by
- 33:09far the most energetic neutrino ever
- 33:12detected. And it is so energetic
- 33:15that there is no source within our galaxy
- 33:18that could generate a neutrino that energetic
- 33:21that we know of. And if it had been generated
- 33:23by something nearby, we'd have seen other
- 33:25things happening. You might have seen a very
- 33:27powerful gamma ray burst or something like
- 33:30that. And, no counterpart was detected. There
- 33:33was nothing that happened at this time that
- 33:36synced up with when this happened. Now should
- 33:38be said that when I search for this, there's
- 33:39a nice little article describing it by the
- 33:42Astrobytes website, which is a website run by
- 33:45graduate students in astrophysics in the US
- 33:48that tries to be a literature review journal
- 33:51club for other graduate students
- 33:54and, to give students an opportunity to
- 33:56practice science writing about things out of
- 33:58their field. And there's a bit of a
- 33:59description of it. There's and that's a nice
- 34:01little website if you're interested in
- 34:02getting a little snapshot summary of research
- 34:04papers to try and do one a day. But I also
- 34:08stumbled across the official page for this
- 34:10event, which is published by the network
- 34:14that are running these detectors. And that's
- 34:16got a lovely little YouTube Music video right
- 34:18at the top that you can watch. It's about two
- 34:20and a half minutes long that describes this
- 34:22thing, how it's detected, and some of the
- 34:24possible suggestions for its formation. Now,
- 34:27going beyond that to what could have created
- 34:30it is really pushing beyond the bounds of my
- 34:33knowledge and expertise. So I'm afraid,
- 34:36Casey, you're going to have to accept a
- 34:37journeyman's explanation based on what I was
- 34:40able to read around about this, which digs
- 34:43into things that I honestly don't fully
- 34:44understand. But the argument is, because of
- 34:47the incredibly high energy of this thing, it
- 34:49couldn't have been generated locally. And
- 34:52that points to an origin in the very distant
- 34:54and therefore very early universe.
- 34:57Now, there's some theories that fall
- 35:00under the branch of what I think is called
- 35:01quantum field theory that talk
- 35:04about there being photon
- 35:07fields permeating space. And
- 35:10I don't fully understand what that is and
- 35:11what that means, in all honesty. But
- 35:14the idea seems to be here that you've got
- 35:17radiation from the cosmic microwave
- 35:18background, or from very early in the
- 35:20universe that includes incredibly high energy
- 35:23radiation at, that time,
- 35:26because that's a heat from the big Bang. Now,
- 35:28nowadays we see that as a cosmic microwave
- 35:30background. It's very low energy levels
- 35:32because it's been redshifted. But at the
- 35:35time, the energy levels were incredibly,
- 35:36incredibly high. And that means that these
- 35:39photon fields, if you follow the, quantum
- 35:42field theory ideas, were incredibly intense.
- 35:45Now, one of the ways that you can produce
- 35:47neutrinos that is predicted by this
- 35:50predicts what are called cosmogenic
- 35:52neutrinos. Now, it should be said that
- 35:54none of these have ever been detected until
- 35:56potentially this one. But it's one of the
- 35:59predictions that quantum field theory makes
- 36:02is that you should see these cosmogenic
- 36:04neutrinos that are generated by
- 36:06cosmic radiation rather than a specific event
- 36:09like a gamma ray burst or a supernova or
- 36:11something like that. And the idea is that in
- 36:14the very early universe, you've got these
- 36:15incredibly high amounts of energy. And that
- 36:18means that these photon fields, I think
- 36:21they're called, can interact with
- 36:23particles of matter. And, when you get this
- 36:26interaction, that can lead to the production
- 36:28of an incredibly high energy neutrino.
- 36:31Now, the very high energy neutrino, as
- 36:34we know, neutrinos, are, about the weakest
- 36:36interacting things we know of. So
- 36:39once you produce a very high energy neutrino
- 36:42that can pass across the entire universe
- 36:44without interacting with anything, we've got
- 36:47millions of these things passing through our
- 36:48bodies as we speak, and we just don't feel
- 36:50them. Which incidentally, is why to detect
- 36:52them, you want to be at the bottom of the
- 36:53ocean or in a huge volume of water so that
- 36:56you maximize the number of atoms available
- 36:58for one of these to by chance collide with
- 37:00and give you the light show. Because you need
- 37:02a huge volume of water to get even one
- 37:04neutrino to hit something and give you a
- 37:06show, because they're that weakly
- 37:07interacting.
- 37:07Andrew Dunkley: Yeah.
- 37:08Jonti Horner: Once you produce these cosmogenic neutrinos,
- 37:10they then carry on through the universe
- 37:12forevermore at ridiculously high energies.
- 37:15Now, the bit I quite honestly don't
- 37:17understand with this, and none of the things
- 37:19I've read have been able to explain to me is
- 37:22the fact that if this thing was
- 37:24created with the cosmic microwave
- 37:27background, I would have thought it should be
- 37:29redshifted by the expansion of the universe
- 37:32in the same way that photons are
- 37:35the light we see it. And doing a bit of
- 37:37reading around it does seem that neutrinos
- 37:39can be gravitationally redshifted. So if you
- 37:41get a neutrino produced at the surface of a
- 37:43neutron star, that is one energy, by the
- 37:46time it escapes from the neutron star's
- 37:48gravity, it's lost energy and it's
- 37:49effectively redshifted. What I haven't been
- 37:52able to find out though is whether the
- 37:53expansion of the universe would redshift
- 37:56neutrinos and therefore lower their energy.
- 38:00Now if the expansion of the
- 38:03universe doesn't lower the energies then this
- 38:05makes perfect sense. You know, you've got
- 38:07this incredibly high energy neutrino that's
- 38:09tied to how high the energies were when the
- 38:11universe was young and it's only just reached
- 38:13us now. If they are redshifted then
- 38:16that makes this even more head scratchingly
- 38:18awesome because if it has been
- 38:20redshifted and its energy dropped by an
- 38:23incredible amount and it's still 220peta
- 38:25electron volts, what was its energy when it
- 38:28was formed? And I just don't fully understand
- 38:30that. So my knowledge is limited of this.
- 38:33I've done my best to read around it and get
- 38:35an understanding of what they think is going
- 38:37on. But I guess what
- 38:40comes out of this for me a, it's just a very
- 38:42cool detection. But if you want to push
- 38:45the boundaries of what we know and build
- 38:46theories of how the universe works, our
- 38:49theories will eventually go
- 38:52beyond our level to observe the things that
- 38:54they predict. A good example of this I always
- 38:57go back to because it's my own wheelhouse, is
- 38:59Newton's theories of gravitation which he
- 39:01published in like in Principia Mathematica in
- 39:041680, 1682. Around then, and that
- 39:07gave us mathematical tools that allowed us to
- 39:09work how things moved in gravitational
- 39:11fields, allowed us to work out orbits and
- 39:13predict things in the future. And that's been
- 39:15incredibly powerful. By the
- 39:171800s observations were
- 39:20starting to show that the orbit of Mercury
- 39:23was behaving slightly different to how
- 39:25Newton's gravitation will predict it would
- 39:27work. That effectively led to the precession
- 39:30of Mercury's orbit, the wobble of the orbit
- 39:33wobbling at a slightly different rate. And
- 39:35nobody could explain that. It led to people
- 39:36speculating that maybe there's an unseen
- 39:38planet closer to the sun than Mercury.
- 39:40Because we'd seen for the planet Uranus that
- 39:43an unseen planet pulling it around could
- 39:44change its orbit. And that was Neptune. But
- 39:46that didn't work. We never found anything.
- 39:48And it wasn't until Einstein came up with the
- 39:51general theory of relativity that, as a
- 39:54byproduct of that, his method for
- 39:56understanding how gravity works accurately
- 39:59Models the precession of Mercury's orbit With
- 40:01incredible precision. So when Newton came up
- 40:03with his ideas, the predictions you
- 40:06would make with Newton's gravity Were so
- 40:09accurate that it was only 150 years or so
- 40:11before our observations got good enough to
- 40:13show that Newton's theories were wrong. They
- 40:15disproved those theories, but we still use
- 40:18them because they are so accurate. They're
- 40:20slightly off, but they're so accurate and
- 40:22easy to use that they're easier for me to use
- 40:24in my modeling than general relativity, when
- 40:27the uncertainties in the things I model are
- 40:29so great that the difference between those
- 40:31two is lost in the noise. So it's just easier
- 40:33for me to use Newton's laws. But it's a
- 40:35really good example of how theory makes
- 40:38predictions that are verified for a very long
- 40:39time. But eventually you get to the point
- 40:42where you go beyond what theory explains,
- 40:45and that leads to new theories. And in this
- 40:47case, it's a case where there are these set
- 40:48of theories that, are very much at the
- 40:50cutting edge of science, where the
- 40:53predictions that they make are predictions of
- 40:55things we have not yet seen. Because it's
- 40:57fairly pointless to only predict the things
- 40:59we have seen and not go beyond that. So they
- 41:01predict things we haven't yet seen. One of
- 41:04those things is the existence of cosmogenic
- 41:06neutrinos. And, it may well be that this is
- 41:08the first detection of a cosmogenic neutrino,
- 41:11which then adds credence to the idea that
- 41:13these quantum field theories work and make
- 41:15sense. So it's that interplay between theory
- 41:18and observation, an experiment that I think
- 41:20is really interesting, Even if, to be honest,
- 41:23I really don't understand it.
- 41:24Andrew Dunkley: And what, Jonti is saying, Casey, is that
- 41:27it'll be 150 years before someone comes up
- 41:30with a model that actually explains it.
- 41:33Possibly it could happen that way. You never
- 41:35know. and thanks for the question. Casey and
- 41:38I assumed female, but, looking at the
- 41:40spelling of Casey could be male. Apologies if
- 41:43I got that the wrong way around.
- 41:47Jonti Horner: Roger, your lots are here. Also space nuts.
- 41:50Andrew Dunkley: Our final question today comes from young
- 41:53Henrik.
- 41:54Jonti Horner: Hello, It's Henrique from Portugal again.
- 41:58This time I'd like to ask about the
- 42:01object NWC,
- 42:03349A. What makes it so
- 42:06extreme? How does it emit
- 42:08lasers and lasers. Can you
- 42:11explain to my dad what's masers are?
- 42:14Thank you. Bye.
- 42:16Andrew Dunkley: Thank you. Henrik. yes,
- 42:18MWC349A.A for Apple
- 42:21M, not eight. That's what I thought he said.
- 42:23But yeah, this is ah, this is a,
- 42:26a mysterious emission line star and
- 42:29radio bright object in the constellation of
- 42:31Cygnus.
- 42:32Jonti Horner: Yes.
- 42:33Andrew Dunkley: And it's it's, it's suffered an intensive
- 42:36mass loss.
- 42:38Jonti Horner: Yeah, it's a really interesting object. Now I
- 42:41wasn't familiar with this object before the
- 42:43question came in and it's probably something
- 42:44that when I was Henrik's age, I'd have heard
- 42:47of and come across and would have really
- 42:49found fascinating, just like Henrik does.
- 42:51It's fabulous question as best we
- 42:53understand that this is something that is a
- 42:55very luminous, very bright star,
- 42:59much younger than the Sun. It's probably at
- 43:01most 5 million years old. But it could either
- 43:03be a baby star that's still forming
- 43:06or a very massive star that's just coming to
- 43:08the end of its life, even though it's only 5
- 43:10million years old. And there's been a lot of
- 43:11debate of that over the years. It
- 43:14is famous and it's prominent because it's one
- 43:16of the most bright things in the sky at
- 43:19millimeter and radio wavelengths. It's very,
- 43:22very bright, very obviously visible, even
- 43:23though it's way too faint to see with the
- 43:25naked eye. Part of the reason it's too faint
- 43:28to see with the naked eye though, is that
- 43:29there's a lot of dust and gas around both
- 43:32where the object is. We found that it's got a
- 43:35disk of dust and gas around it. Let's edge
- 43:37onto us and is blocking some of the light.
- 43:39Plus it's in the spiral arm of the Milky Way,
- 43:41so there's a lot of dust and gas between us.
- 43:43So this thing has an apparent magnitude of
- 43:45about 13, but there are about 10
- 43:48magnitudes of extinction along the line of
- 43:50sight between us and it, which means that for
- 43:52every 10,000 photons it emits, only one
- 43:54reaches us. In other words, if you could
- 43:57clear all the dust and gas out, this will be
- 43:59a third magnitude star and easy to see with a
- 44:01naked eye.
- 44:01Andrew Dunkley: Right.
- 44:02Jonti Horner: So that's intrinsically how luminous it is.
- 44:04It's thought to be about 1300 parsecs away.
- 44:07So that's 39004000 light years. So
- 44:10the light we receive from it we're seeing it
- 44:12how it was 4,000 years ago when that light
- 44:14was emitted. And because it's so
- 44:17luminous in radio wavelengths, it's been
- 44:19fairly well studied. And in particular, it
- 44:22gives off a lot of energy at, wavelengths
- 44:24linked to molecular hydrogen. And it's known
- 44:27as one of the few hydrogen masers that we see
- 44:30in the sky. Which leads to Henrik's question
- 44:32about what is a maser? The very
- 44:35simple answer to that, which doesn't tell you
- 44:37anything, is that a maser is a laser,
- 44:40but happening at millimeter wavelengths. So
- 44:41in the infrared, on radio. But it's the
- 44:44same physical process. And in fact, masers
- 44:46were what we developed before we could do
- 44:49lasers, because lasers are the same
- 44:51phenomenon happening at visible wavelengths
- 44:53in the optical. That is a very accurate
- 44:55description that tells you actually nothing
- 44:57about what's going on. And I dug into this a
- 44:59bit because like a lot of people, I use
- 45:01lasers and think about them, but never really
- 45:04remind myself how they work. Laser
- 45:06stands for light activated.
- 45:10Simulated Emission of radiation. Sorry,
- 45:13Light Amplification by Simulated Emission of
- 45:15radiation. It's an acronym. And MESA stands
- 45:18for Microwave Amplification by Stimulated
- 45:20Emission of Radiation. So it's the same
- 45:22process just happening at longer wavelengths.
- 45:25What's happening effectively is that when
- 45:28atoms are excited, when energy is
- 45:31pumped into atoms and that energy is
- 45:34absorbed by them, it makes the electrons in
- 45:36those atoms jump from one level to a higher
- 45:38energy level. And they are very specific
- 45:41jumps in energy. It can only jump by a
- 45:43certain amount. It can't miss a gap. It's got
- 45:45to get exactly the right jump to jump from
- 45:48one level to the next. So those energy levels
- 45:51have very specific wavelengths and we
- 45:52actually calculate them at universities, part
- 45:54of our undergrad quantum mechanics courses
- 45:56and things like this. It's one of the tasks
- 45:57you have is work out the energy levels of a
- 45:59hydrogen atom and they are
- 46:02quantized such that, when you're at an energy
- 46:04level, if you want to jump down to another
- 46:05one, you can only do that by emitting a
- 46:07single photon. You can't emit multiple
- 46:10photons that add up to that level. You can
- 46:12only emit one photon. And you have to hit the
- 46:14right energy level to get the gap.
- 46:17And so that's why excited hydrogen glows at
- 46:20very specific colors. So the photo behind me,
- 46:23which won't be visible if you're listening to
- 46:24this as a podcast, but the photo behind me
- 46:26shows the Helix Nebula, which is a star
- 46:29forming, sorry, the Trifid Nebula, which, is
- 46:32a star forming region in the middle of It's a
- 46:34very distinctive pink color. And that pink
- 46:36color is hydrogen alpha emission, which,
- 46:39which is hydrogen atoms jumping from the
- 46:41third energy level to the second, emitting
- 46:43light, and all emitting light of exactly the
- 46:45same color. So that's known as
- 46:48spontaneous emission. That's where the atom
- 46:50sheds its energy by emitting light of a
- 46:52certain color. Simulated emission is where
- 46:55something happens to trigger that emission,
- 46:58specifically at a specific time. So you've
- 47:01got an atom, that is excited, is sat at a
- 47:03higher energy level, and something gives it a
- 47:05nudge and causes it to emit energy. And the
- 47:08way that that works is that it absorbs a
- 47:10photon of the same energy of the energy level
- 47:13difference that it was going to emit anyway,
- 47:15and then immediately emits two photons of
- 47:17that energy. So you get one photon in and two
- 47:20photons out. Two photons out can hit two
- 47:22atoms and trigger them to emit, which means
- 47:25you get four photons out and so on. So you
- 47:26can get this cascade. So what makes it work
- 47:29is that there are many ways of exciting the
- 47:31atoms in the first place. They don't have to
- 47:33just absorb photons. They can be excited
- 47:36through magnet magnetic fields, or all sorts
- 47:37of different things going on. And so a maser
- 47:40is effectively somewhere where
- 47:43emission is being stimulated by
- 47:45incoming photons of a given wavelength, which
- 47:48results in more photons being emitted of that
- 47:50wavelength than are coming in. And so you get
- 47:53this amplification effect. So in this
- 47:55case, this being a hydrogen maser means that
- 47:57you've got a lot of hydrogen gas there. That
- 48:00hydrogen gas is being irradiated by emission
- 48:02of a specific wavelength by this object.
- 48:05and that is stimulating the emission of more
- 48:07photons, which means you get an extremely
- 48:09bright emission at that wavelength because
- 48:12you're getting this amplification effect. And
- 48:14so that's how these things works as a maser.
- 48:16And that has been very useful in allowing us
- 48:18to study it because it means we get a
- 48:20stronger signal, we get more light, so
- 48:22there's more we can study.
- 48:24What my research around it this morning
- 48:27kind of found out was that there is some
- 48:29significant debate historically over whether
- 48:32this is firstly a binary star, or on its own,
- 48:35there's another very hot blue star very close
- 48:37to it in the sky that for a long time was
- 48:39thought to be a binary companion. And that's
- 48:42why this is MWC349A,
- 48:45because there's a star MWC349B.
- 48:48Now, recent studies that have measured the
- 48:50radial velocity of the two stars suggests
- 48:53that the star B is moving 35
- 48:56kilometers per second compared to star A. So
- 48:59they're not gravitationally held together
- 49:00anymore. So they're probably not now a
- 49:02binary. Though there is some debate whether
- 49:06they were in the past, whether they were held
- 49:08together by gravity. And then those two stars
- 49:10have shed mass. As we said, this star seems
- 49:12to have thrown mass away in recent times, may
- 49:15even have lost half its mass. It may have
- 49:17gone from 40 solar masses to 20. That
- 49:19weakens its gravitational pull until
- 49:21eventually the binary falls apart. So that's
- 49:23one part of the debate. But the recent
- 49:25results seem to suggest that even if they
- 49:27were a binary in the past, they no longer
- 49:29are. The other debate is
- 49:32whether this is a very young star that's only
- 49:34just forming now. Or whether it's a star that
- 49:37formed a few million years ago and is coming
- 49:39to the end of its life. And, you'd have
- 49:41thought that was obvious. But for stars like
- 49:43this, it's quite hard to tell, especially
- 49:44when they're so obscured by gas and dust.
- 49:47Now, if it was a baby star, the really
- 49:50odd part of that would be, why are there no
- 49:52other baby stars around it? Stars kind of
- 49:54form in big nurseries. And particularly
- 49:56massive stars don't tend to form alone. They
- 49:59tend to form in big associations where lots
- 50:01of stars are forming at once. And there's one
- 50:04relatively near this called Cygnus OB2.
- 50:07And, one of the suggestions for this star, if
- 50:09it's an older star that's coming to the end
- 50:11of its life, is that it formed in that
- 50:13association and was ejected in an encounter
- 50:15with other stars and flung outwards. And,
- 50:17we're seeing it quite far away because it's
- 50:18traveled that distance through its lifetime.
- 50:21So it formed there, but it's escaped.
- 50:23If it's a baby star, we have the problem of
- 50:26how is it only just forming in an area where
- 50:28there's not really any other stars forming
- 50:29around it. Recent studies have suggested,
- 50:32by looking over all things, the balance
- 50:35between carbon 13 and carbon 12, these two
- 50:38different carbon isotopes in the gas that
- 50:41has been shed by this star. Recent,
- 50:44measurements of that have suggested it's
- 50:45actually an old star. Well, old for its mass,
- 50:49you know, about 5 million years old. But
- 50:50coming to the end of its life, that has been
- 50:53shedding mass. And, that is explained by the
- 50:55balance of the isotopes in the gases that it
- 50:57has emitted. Which fits in a bit better with
- 51:00the idea that it may have formed in that
- 51:01Cygnus LB2 association a few million years
- 51:04ago, have been flung outwards and escaped.
- 51:06Would also fit A little bit with the idea
- 51:08that the star, B next to it, was once held
- 51:11to it as a binary. But with the mass loss,
- 51:13they've separated and they're going their
- 51:15separate ways. You know, that happens all the
- 51:17time. And so that all kind of, as a narrative
- 51:20seems to fit together. But it's got a disk of
- 51:22material around it that's nearly edge on.
- 51:24It's got jets of material coming out of it.
- 51:26There is a suggestion that it's probably shed
- 51:29something like 20 times the mass of the sun
- 51:31over the last few hundred thousand years.
- 51:33And, that it's shedding something like
- 51:351/100,000th of a solar mass per year,
- 51:39which doesn't sound like a lot, but that's a
- 51:41huge amount of mass to be throwing away in
- 51:43every given year, which means it would throw
- 51:45away a mass equ, the mass of the sun in just
- 51:47100,000 years. That's really significant
- 51:50mass loss going on as this star comes to the
- 51:52end of its life. And it's a really
- 51:54interesting case study of that detective
- 51:57story again, of how we gather clues from
- 52:00all these different types of observations
- 52:02about a star that for us, at optical
- 52:04wavelengths is so heavily concealed from us
- 52:07that only one part in 10,000 of the light it
- 52:09emits actually reaches as the rest of it gets
- 52:11absorbed en route. and that's why it's been
- 52:14such a challenging problem for astronomy for
- 52:16so many years, because it's really hard to
- 52:17see what's going on. But by looking at the
- 52:20masers emitting this light, by looking at all
- 52:23the different things going on around it, by
- 52:24doing clever studies of the chemistry of the
- 52:27gases around it, we can start to piece
- 52:30together its life story and figure out what
- 52:31it is. I don't think that story of
- 52:34discovery is finished yet, by any means. And
- 52:37it may well be, Henrik, that when you're
- 52:38older, you can actually work on this object
- 52:39and learn more about it yourself. I suspect
- 52:41people will still be discovering things about
- 52:44this object in decades to come. But
- 52:46it's a really fascinating object, and I'm
- 52:49just so delighted that you brought it to my
- 52:50attention because I'd never stumbled across
- 52:52it before, and it's really, really cool.
- 52:53Andrew Dunkley: Yes, it's, Sorry for this. It's amazing.
- 52:56but, Henrik, thanks for the question, and you
- 52:59do sound, very astute, and maybe, maybe you
- 53:01will be the one that will solve it in years
- 53:04to come. Lovely to hear from you. And if
- 53:06you have questions for us, please send them
- 53:09through. We can take, your questions on our
- 53:11website. So, Space Nuts podcast.com spacenuts
- 53:14IO click on that little AMA
- 53:17link up the top and you can send us text
- 53:20or audio questions or both. Some people have
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- 53:26we're kind of running sort of
- 53:29parallel with the number of questions we need
- 53:32each week. So, we haven't got a big stockpile
- 53:34at the moment. So it's a good time to send
- 53:36some questions into us. So please do. Would
- 53:39love to hear from you. Don't even worry if
- 53:41you think it's dumb, because there's no dumb
- 53:44questions in astronomy and space science.
- 53:47There's weird questions, but there aren't any
- 53:49dumb questions. And, while you're on our
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- 54:14all the support we get, so thank you. And
- 54:17Jonti, thank you so much. it's been great to
- 54:19talk to you and, we'll see you on the next
- 54:21episode.
- 54:22Jonti Horner: Yeah. Thank you for having me. It's good to
- 54:23be back.
- 54:24Andrew Dunkley: Always a pleasure. Jonti, Horner, professor
- 54:27of Astrophysics at the University of Southern
- 54:29Queensland. And, thanks to Huw in the studio
- 54:32who, couldn't be with us today because
- 54:34they're going to hate me for this one. He got
- 54:37lost in a maser. Oh, dear. And from me,
- 54:40Andrew Dunkley. Thanks for your company.
- 54:41We'll see you on the next episode of Space
- 54:43Nuts. Bye. Bye.
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