Latest / Pod Save America / Two Strikes. Is Hegseth Out?
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- 1:21Speaker 2: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 1:23Speaker 3: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 1:24Speaker 2: On today's show, we'll talk about the latest drama with
- 1:26Speaker 2: Mike Johnson and House Republicans after their way-too-close-for-comfort win in
- 1:30Speaker 2: Tuesday's Tennessee special election, as well as Donald Trump's promise
- 1:33Speaker 2: to come to their rescue with a nationwide messaging blitz
- 1:36Speaker 2: on affordability, the issue he calls a con job. We'll
- 1:40Speaker 2: also talk about Trump's especially disgusting, even for him, comments
- 1:44Speaker 2: about Somali immigrants and how the Pentagon Press Corps has
- 1:47Speaker 2: now officially been replaced with intrepid journalists. like Laura Loomer
- 1:52Speaker 2: and Matt Gaetz. Then Dan talks to Democratic leader Hakeem
- 1:56Speaker 2: Jeffries about Trump's pardon of Congressman Henry Cuellar, Mike Johnson's headaches,
- 2:00Speaker 2: and lots more. But let's start with the new developments
- 2:05Speaker 2: and what is still the biggest political story of the week.
- 2:14Speaker 2: Had to do it. Had to do it. Because he is.
- 2:17Speaker 2: Because he is. Hegseth continues to live up to the song,
- 2:20Speaker 2: A new independent investigation of Signalgate from his own Department
- 2:24Speaker 2: of Defense found that his actions put American troops at risk.
- 2:27Speaker 2: We'll talk more about that in a bit. And he
- 2:30Speaker 2: was defiant this week about the Pentagon's decision to murder
- 2:32Speaker 2: the survivors of a September strike on an alleged Venezuelan
- 2:36Speaker 2: drug boat. Here's Hegseth during one of those 24-hour cabinet
- 2:40Speaker 2: meetings where everyone takes turns glazing Trump while he catches
- 2:43Speaker 2: a few winks.
- 2:44Speaker 3: Got another use of glazing, huh?
- 2:46Speaker 4: We've only just begun striking narco boats and putting narco
- 2:51Speaker 4: terrorists at the bottom of the ocean. I did not
- 2:54Speaker 4: personally see survivors, but I stand, because the thing was
- 2:58Speaker 4: on fire.
- 2:59Speaker 5: It was exploded in fire and smoke. You can't see anything.
- 3:01Speaker 5: You got digital. This is called the fog of war.
- 3:04Speaker 5: This is what you and the press... don't understand.
- 3:07Speaker 4: You sit in your air-conditioned offices or up on Capitol
- 3:10Speaker 4: Hill and you nitpick and you plant fake stories in
- 3:13Speaker 4: the Washington Post about kill everybody. I watched that first
- 3:16Speaker 4: strike live. As you can imagine at the Department of
- 3:19Speaker 4: War we got a lot of things to do. So
- 3:20Speaker 4: I didn't stick around for the hour and two hours
- 3:23Speaker 4: whatever where all the sensitive site exploitation digitally occurs.
- 3:27Speaker 5: So I moved on to my next meeting. And by
- 3:29Speaker 5: the way.
- 3:29Speaker 4: Admiral Bradley made the correct decision to ultimately sink the
- 3:33Speaker 4: boat and eliminate the threat.
- 3:34Speaker 2: I didn't stick around for that second strike because I
- 3:37Speaker 2: had to go back to my air-conditioned office, which is
- 3:40Speaker 2: much like the air-conditioned set on Fox News, where I
- 3:43Speaker 2: was previously employed before this job. Like, what the fuck
- 3:48Speaker 2: is that guy doing? It's his first strike on a boat,
- 3:52Speaker 2: on a Venezuelan boat, and he had to go somewhere else?
- 3:55Speaker 2: What was he doing? Was he going to fucking take
- 3:59Speaker 2: some kind of Department of Defense nameplate off a door
- 4:02Speaker 2: so he could put Secretary of War back on there?
- 4:03Speaker 6: Like, what the fuck?
- 4:04Speaker 3: I assume that in the room in which you watch
- 4:07Speaker 3: these strikes live, you can't bring your phone. As we know,
- 4:10Speaker 3: this guy's got a lot of group chats happening, and
- 4:12Speaker 3: so he had to go back and check in.
- 4:15Speaker 2: Other meetings, okay. On Thursday, Admiral Frank Bradley, who gave
- 4:19Speaker 2: the order to kill the survivors, and Chairman of the
- 4:21Speaker 2: Joint Chiefs Dan Raisincane, briefed members of Congress about their
- 4:25Speaker 2: rationale for the second strike in a classified closed-door session
- 4:28Speaker 2: that included video footage of the attack. Republicans left the
- 4:32Speaker 2: meeting largely satisfied. Tom Cotton called the strikes, quote, righteous
- 4:37Speaker 2: and entirely lawful. He also said, quote, I saw two
- 4:40Speaker 2: survivors trying to flip a boat loaded with drugs bound
- 4:44Speaker 2: for the United States back over so they could stay
- 4:46Speaker 2: in the fight. Democrats, unsurprisingly, had a completely different take.
- 4:50Speaker 2: Adam Smith, the ranking Democrat on the Armed Services Committee,
- 4:53Speaker 2: told Greg Sargent at the New Republic, quote, This did
- 4:56Speaker 2: not reduce my concerns at all. or anyone else's, calling
- 5:00Speaker 2: it a, quote, highly questionable decision that these two people
- 5:04Speaker 2: on that obviously incapacitated vessel were still in any kind
- 5:08Speaker 2: of fight. And here's Jim Himes, the top Democrat on
- 5:11Speaker 2: the House Intelligence Committee, speaking to reporters after the meeting.
- 5:14Speaker 7: What I saw in that room was one of the
- 5:16Speaker 7: most troubling things I've seen in my time in public service.
- 5:20Speaker 7: You have two individuals in clear distress without any means
- 5:25Speaker 7: of locomotion. with a destroyed vessel, who were killed by
- 5:32Speaker 7: the United States.
- 5:34Speaker 2: So we have moved from fake news, it didn't happen,
- 5:38Speaker 2: to where we always seem to end up with Trump,
- 5:41Speaker 2: which is we did it and we're proud of it.
- 5:44Speaker 2: Now that Republicans in Congress seem satisfied, because it did
- 5:48Speaker 2: seem like there were some cracks in the support among
- 5:51Speaker 2: Republicans and some questions that Republicans in Congress had about this,
- 5:55Speaker 2: but now Tom Cotton and the rest of them seem
- 5:57Speaker 2: like they are on board again with the administration's explanation.
- 6:02Speaker 2: Where does this story go from here?
- 6:05Speaker 3: I think the question is going to be if and
- 6:07Speaker 3: when the video is released, because based on what Congressman
- 6:11Speaker 3: Himes and others have said about the video, it is
- 6:14Speaker 3: quite disturbing. It seems very... Based only on the description, obviously,
- 6:18Speaker 3: we haven't seen it, of course. But It seems to
- 6:20Speaker 3: completely undermine what Hexeth has said, the argument here, because
- 6:25Speaker 3: the rationale, and this is important, the rationale is that
- 6:27Speaker 3: this lethal strike was necessary because these two people on
- 6:33Speaker 3: a destroyed boat were either going to reenter the fight,
- 6:36Speaker 3: we don't know what fight that is or how they
- 6:37Speaker 3: were conducted, or more ridiculously, continue the effort to deliver
- 6:42Speaker 3: the drugs. Were they going to paddle with their hands? Like,
- 6:46Speaker 3: how are they going to get it? It is absolutely absurd.
- 6:49Speaker 3: If the video says what these Democrats say it says,
- 6:52Speaker 3: it completely exposes the fallacy at the heart of the
- 6:57Speaker 3: entire Republican argument here of Trump's defense, of Hex's defense,
- 7:00Speaker 3: of the military's defense.
- 7:02Speaker 2: Yeah, they were trying to say that they were going
- 7:05Speaker 2: to radio or somehow call for help to other, you know,
- 7:10Speaker 2: quote unquote, enemy combatants, part of this drug smuggling ring
- 7:13Speaker 2: that's heading to the United States. Though they, at least
- 7:18Speaker 2: Adam Smith told Greg Sargent that in the briefing, the
- 7:22Speaker 2: official said there were no records of any kind of communication.
- 7:25Speaker 2: So this is just a guess on their part. And
- 7:29Speaker 2: he also said that from what he saw in the video,
- 7:32Speaker 2: that it was just like two shirtless men sitting on
- 7:36Speaker 2: a capsized boat. He's like, what you would expect from
- 7:39Speaker 2: survivors of wreckage like that. And even though Adam Smith
- 7:43Speaker 2: said he believed them that there were drugs originally on
- 7:46Speaker 2: the boat. He said once it was hit, there was
- 7:49Speaker 2: no proof that the drugs were still on the boat. But, like,
- 7:53Speaker 2: that aside... Even if.
- 7:54Speaker 3: They were, what were they going to do with the drugs?
- 7:56Speaker 2: I thought about this when we first started talking about
- 7:59Speaker 2: this story about the second strike. Like, the focus on
- 8:01Speaker 2: the second strike, which is completely understandable because that's been
- 8:04Speaker 2: the big story of the week, it's making the first
- 8:07Speaker 2: strike somehow seem like less of a war crime by comparison...
- 8:12Speaker 2: But it's just as horrifying and likely just as illegal
- 8:16Speaker 2: because the administration has offered no justification that the people
- 8:20Speaker 2: they are murdering because they say they're part of a
- 8:23Speaker 2: foreign terrorist organization that threatens the United States... They have
- 8:28Speaker 2: no evidence that they are other than the existence of
- 8:31Speaker 2: cocaine on their boats. So you are part of a
- 8:34Speaker 2: foreign terrorist organization that is threatening the United States, the
- 8:38Speaker 2: safety and security of the United States, because you happen
- 8:40Speaker 2: to be on a boat with drugs. That is what
- 8:43Speaker 2: the U.S. government has decided now, with cocaine. And that
- 8:47Speaker 2: is insane. It is insane to say that people who
- 8:49Speaker 2: are on boats with cocaine are enemy combatants who can
- 8:53Speaker 2: be murdered by the U.S. military with no arrest whatsoever.
- 8:56Speaker 2: No trial, no conviction, no due process. It's like, it's insane.
- 9:01Speaker 2: It is insane. And that boat, even if you, that
- 9:04Speaker 2: boat wasn't even headed to the fucking United States. It
- 9:06Speaker 2: started to turn around when the strike hit. It had
- 9:10Speaker 2: already started to turn around.
- 9:12Speaker 3: You raise a really good point here, which is it's
- 9:14Speaker 3: easy to get, like once you start talking about war crimes,
- 9:17Speaker 3: you start talking about this from the context of this
- 9:20Speaker 3: happening within a lawful war.
- 9:22Speaker 2: Right.
- 9:22Speaker 3: This is not a lawful war. There is, there is no, justification.
- 9:26Speaker 3: There is no congressional authorization. There is no evidence. It
- 9:29Speaker 3: is just murder, right? It is pure murder under the
- 9:34Speaker 3: argument of self-defense. But the argument for self-defense seems absurd.
- 9:38Speaker 3: These are not people taking bombs to the United States
- 9:41Speaker 3: or anything like that. There is not an imminent threat
- 9:45Speaker 3: to the United States that would require these people to
- 9:47Speaker 3: be killed. Why couldn't they be arrested? Why couldn't we
- 9:49Speaker 3: stop the boat.
- 9:50Speaker 2: How come– like, when Hegseth ever testifies or any of
- 9:54Speaker 2: them testify in open– before Congress and it's public, like,
- 9:58Speaker 2: I want someone to answer the fucking question. why the
- 10:00Speaker 2: Coast Guard can't do what they always have done in
- 10:02Speaker 2: the past and interdict these ships and arrest these people.
- 10:05Speaker 3: And the military could do it because they're in international waters.
- 10:08Speaker 5: Of course.
- 10:08Speaker 2: Right.
- 10:09Speaker 3: But yeah, that's what we've always done to stop drug
- 10:12Speaker 3: trafficking is you have stopped the people, seized the drugs,
- 10:15Speaker 3: arrested the people, sent them back to where they came
- 10:17Speaker 3: to be prosecuted, brought them to the United States to
- 10:19Speaker 3: be prosecuted. And none of that is even on the table.
- 10:22Speaker 3: And it is, the whole thing is so bizarre because
- 10:25Speaker 3: it's not even clear what the end game is other
- 10:29Speaker 3: than just death for the sake of death.
- 10:32Speaker 2: I think they probably believe that it is all much
- 10:36Speaker 2: like their immigration policy and the horrors they're carrying out there,
- 10:39Speaker 2: that it's all about deterrence. And that if people in
- 10:42Speaker 2: Central and South America who are smuggling drugs hear that
- 10:45Speaker 2: boats are getting blown up by the United States, they
- 10:47Speaker 2: won't even try. And so they think this is some
- 10:49Speaker 2: kind of deterrent. And because they think it's a deterrent,
- 10:52Speaker 2: they feel like it's completely justified just murdering people left
- 10:56Speaker 2: and right who they happen to believe are on boats
- 11:00Speaker 2: with drugs. That's it.
- 11:01Speaker 3: If there's one thing the war on drugs has taught us,
- 11:03Speaker 3: it's that harsh penalties and deterrents work.
- 11:05Speaker 2: Right.
- 11:06Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 11:06Speaker 3: Oh, wait, no, no, no. That is the opposite of
- 11:09Speaker 3: what has happened. And the other thing on this, on
- 11:12Speaker 3: the call, I think this is also just notable because
- 11:14Speaker 3: the original order that Hegseth signed off on said that
- 11:17Speaker 3: essentially there could be a second strike if there was
- 11:21Speaker 3: some sort of hostile act. And included, according to the
- 11:24Speaker 3: story in the Wall Street Journal, among things that include
- 11:26Speaker 3: a hostile act is calling back to the cartels, which
- 11:30Speaker 3: is why they cited that here, even though there was
- 11:31Speaker 3: no evidence of it. A call for help being the
- 11:34Speaker 3: equivalent of shooting at American troops or an act of
- 11:37Speaker 3: war is an absurd proposition. I do understand that if
- 11:41Speaker 3: these people were called back to the cartel and you
- 11:43Speaker 3: had reason to believe that other members of the cartel
- 11:46Speaker 3: were coming to the scene of the wreck by a
- 11:49Speaker 3: boat with weapons or whatever else that you would not then,
- 11:51Speaker 3: it would be risky to send American troops to rescue
- 11:54Speaker 3: those shipwrecked traffickers. But there's no evidence of that. And
- 11:57Speaker 3: also we had full surveillance on the area. So you
- 11:59Speaker 3: would know where, whether there was other people coming or not.
- 12:03Speaker 3: It's just, this was, this was just to kill people
- 12:06Speaker 3: for the sake of killing people.
- 12:07Speaker 2: It is also worth repeating that as we have said
- 12:10Speaker 2: a couple times in talking about this story, that this
- 12:13Speaker 2: was the first strike on September 2nd. There have been
- 12:16Speaker 2: many strikes since then. There have been about 80 people
- 12:18Speaker 2: that we know of killed. And in a subsequent strike,
- 12:22Speaker 2: when the first strike did not kill everyone on the boat,
- 12:25Speaker 2: the survivors were picked up by the Coast Guard, not tried,
- 12:30Speaker 2: not arrested, sent back to their countries where they were
- 12:34Speaker 2: just let free. So these enemy combatant terrorists who pose...
- 12:38Speaker 2: such a grave threat to the United States, were just
- 12:41Speaker 2: freed and sent back, which shows you how dangerous they
- 12:44Speaker 2: really are.
- 12:45Speaker 3: Or how little evidence we had to prosecute them if
- 12:49Speaker 3: we wanted to.
- 12:50Speaker 7: Right.
- 12:51Speaker 2: And obviously, the president cares a great deal about drug trafficking,
- 12:55Speaker 2: which is why he pardoned the former president of Honduras,
- 12:59Speaker 2: who was involved in one of the biggest drug trafficking
- 13:02Speaker 2: rings in modern history. So he cares a lot about that.
- 13:07Speaker 2: There's a story in the New York Post before we
- 13:08Speaker 2: started recording, that there's a Long Island drug dealer who
- 13:12Speaker 2: was freed by Trump because, of course, had connections with
- 13:16Speaker 2: the family, I think with Kushner's dad, who was freed
- 13:20Speaker 2: by Trump.
- 13:20Speaker 3: They met in prison.
- 13:21Speaker 2: Yeah, probably. Freed by Trump, now convicted again of molesting
- 13:25Speaker 2: his kid's nanny and threatening a synagogue congregant. That's the
- 13:29Speaker 2: headline in the New York Post. So again, this is
- 13:31Speaker 2: an administration that cares deeply about prosecuting drug crimes. We
- 13:34Speaker 2: know that. We know that. Did you see the reporting
- 13:37Speaker 2: from the Wall Street Journal on Hegseth forcing out the
- 13:40Speaker 2: commander of U.S. Southern Command back in October?
- 13:44Speaker 8: I did.
- 13:44Speaker 3: There's an anecdote at the beginning of that story that
- 13:46Speaker 3: talks about Hegseth's first conversation with this commander and where
- 13:52Speaker 3: Hegseth basically says on the secure call, basically, when I
- 13:55Speaker 3: give you an order, you do it fast and you
- 13:56Speaker 3: don't ask questions.
- 13:58Speaker 2: This guy is a four-star head of the military operations
- 14:01Speaker 2: in the Caribbean. Less than a year into his tenure,
- 14:04Speaker 2: he leaves. It's from the Journal. because they say he
- 14:06Speaker 2: had concerns about the legality of the strikes. And this
- 14:10Speaker 2: is someone who, during his Senate confirmation hearing in September,
- 14:14Speaker 2: argued for a more muscular approach to dismantling drug cartels
- 14:19Speaker 2: and talked about how, you know, when he first started
- 14:21Speaker 2: his career, he started doing sort of anti-drug trafficking operations.
- 14:26Speaker 2: So this is not like someone who wanted to crack
- 14:29Speaker 2: down on the drug cartels, but for him, who was
- 14:33Speaker 2: like going to be confirmed to work in the Trump administration,
- 14:36Speaker 2: once he got there and heard from Hegseth, thought it
- 14:38Speaker 2: was too much and was worried about it.
- 14:40Speaker 3: And the fact that he left at the height of
- 14:41Speaker 3: the military buildup in a lot of military experts say
- 14:44Speaker 3: is very, that's highly unusual and very telling. And imagine
- 14:48Speaker 3: this guy, I mean, also this guy served his country
- 14:50Speaker 3: for his entire life. His first job is to get,
- 14:53Speaker 3: his first interaction in this job is to get yelled
- 14:55Speaker 3: at by a cable news host. And then his second
- 14:58Speaker 3: task is to devise war plans for seizing the Panama Canal.
- 15:03Speaker 2: Oh yeah, that's right. And he wasn't working. He wasn't
- 15:05Speaker 2: moving fast enough on that. So that was one of
- 15:07Speaker 2: the early strikes against him, according to Hegseth.
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- 17:29Speaker 2: So in some really exquisite timing for Pete, the Pentagon
- 17:33Speaker 2: Inspector General's report on Signalgate went public just as the
- 17:36Speaker 2: commanders were on the hill trying to explain away the
- 17:38Speaker 2: double tap strike. Hegseth tweeted, total exoneration case closed, which
- 17:43Speaker 2: of course is not true. The report actually said, quote,
- 17:46Speaker 2: using a personal cell phone to conduct official business and
- 17:49Speaker 2: send non-public DOD information through Signal risks potential compromise of
- 17:54Speaker 2: sensitive DOD information, which could cause harm to DOD personnel
- 17:59Speaker 2: and mission objectives. In other words, Pete Hegseth, by running
- 18:04Speaker 2: his mouth too much on Signal with all of his
- 18:07Speaker 2: buddies in the administration, put American troops at risk in
- 18:10Speaker 2: that operation when they were bombing the Houthis. So in
- 18:15Speaker 2: one week, we have learned that the guy who runs
- 18:17Speaker 2: our military may be responsible for war crimes and put
- 18:19Speaker 2: American troops in jeopardy by talking about sensitive information on
- 18:23Speaker 2: an unsecured device, which, of course, a mistake that we
- 18:28Speaker 2: know our president cares about deeply. Again, it was, you know,
- 18:32Speaker 2: back in 2016, cared about it deeply. Do you think
- 18:35Speaker 2: that Hegseth's job is still safe because Trump just... doesn't
- 18:40Speaker 2: want to show weakness, doesn't want to give, doesn't want
- 18:43Speaker 2: to be seen giving his opponents a win.
- 18:47Speaker 3: I do think his job is safe because in Trump world,
- 18:49Speaker 3: the only mortal sin is disloyalty. So you can be corrupt,
- 18:53Speaker 3: you can be incompetent, you can be a anti-vax wackadoodle,
- 18:57Speaker 3: you can be all of those things as long as
- 18:58Speaker 3: you are loyal to Trump.
- 19:01Speaker 2: And so this will just, I mean, I guess you're right.
- 19:05Speaker 2: Like if the video is released and that causes more
- 19:09Speaker 2: of an uproar, maybe there's more pressure, but I don't know.
- 19:12Speaker 3: It's like every other- The pressure will be on the admiral, right?
- 19:14Speaker 2: It's like every other scandal, they just weather it and
- 19:18Speaker 2: they don't care. They figure everyone's attention is going to
- 19:20Speaker 2: go somewhere else. And so Pete Hegseth continues to just
- 19:25Speaker 2: fuck up his job as the top official overseeing the
- 19:30Speaker 2: most powerful military on earth.
- 19:32Speaker 3: And also, I think Trump likes it when his staff members,
- 19:36Speaker 3: his cabinet members feel like their job is at risk
- 19:39Speaker 3: or they're in trouble. because that's more leverage. Because what
- 19:41Speaker 3: Trump wants is someone who's going to do whatever they
- 19:43Speaker 3: say and not disagree at all, not push back at all.
- 19:46Speaker 3: And Pete's in no position to push back on anything.
- 19:49Speaker 3: So no matter how illegal the order, no matter how
- 19:52Speaker 3: absurd the request, he will do what Trump says. And
- 19:54Speaker 3: that's what Trump wants at the end of the day,
- 19:56Speaker 3: above all else.
- 19:57Speaker 2: Yeah, you can be as incompetent as you want. And
- 20:02Speaker 2: plenty of his cabinet officials have taken him up on that.
- 20:06Speaker 2: Pam Bondi, for example, over at DOJ, I don't know
- 20:09Speaker 2: if you saw just before we started recording, the brilliant
- 20:14Speaker 2: legal minds at the Department of Justice have failed to
- 20:17Speaker 2: secure an indictment of Tish James 10 days after a
- 20:22Speaker 2: judge threw out their first indictment. Just absolute confidence. They're
- 20:28Speaker 2: 0 for 2 on trying to indict Tish James for
- 20:31Speaker 2: mortgage fraud. They are 0 and 1 on trying to
- 20:35Speaker 2: indict James Comey for mortgage fraud. And wouldn't you know,
- 20:39Speaker 2: We also learned today that the Government Accountability Office, which
- 20:42Speaker 2: is a independent organization, but under the purview of Congress,
- 20:47Speaker 2: has opened an investigation into Bill Pulte, the federal housing
- 20:51Speaker 2: official who spends most of his days, I guess, accusing
- 20:56Speaker 2: politicians the president doesn't like of mortgage fraud, so far unsuccessfully.
- 21:00Speaker 2: So they're crushing it.
- 21:03Speaker 3: It's, I mean, it's, you always just have to say
- 21:05Speaker 3: it again, that's the easiest thing to do in our
- 21:08Speaker 3: criminal justice system is to indict someone. It's a, it's,
- 21:11Speaker 3: I think it's a flaw in our system, but like
- 21:13Speaker 3: the saying is you can indict a ham sandwich and
- 21:15Speaker 3: they cannot, these guys cannot indict a ham sandwich. The
- 21:17Speaker 3: cases are, they're too dumb. The cases are too spurious.
- 21:21Speaker 3: Their evidence is too thin and they keep failing, falling
- 21:24Speaker 3: flat on their face.
- 21:25Speaker 2: Do you think they try again? I guess they can
- 21:26Speaker 2: try again. How many times, can you just keep trying
- 21:28Speaker 2: to indict someone over and over?
- 21:30Speaker 3: Yeah, you are, you are, it's, you only get, you're
- 21:33Speaker 3: only freed of this when you get acquitted.
- 21:37Speaker 6: Yeah, I was.
- 21:38Speaker 2: Going to say something. Man, they are. I'm starting to
- 21:43Speaker 2: think that maybe these charges aren't on the level about
- 21:45Speaker 2: the mortgage fraud.
- 21:47Speaker 3: I mean, it seems possible.
- 21:48Speaker 2: All right. You and Lovett already did some reaction to
- 21:51Speaker 2: Tuesday's special election in Tennessee 7, where Afton Bain didn't
- 21:55Speaker 2: pull off the upset, but did hold Matt Van Epps
- 21:57Speaker 2: to single digits. What was it, like nine? Nine points?
- 22:00Speaker 5: Nine.
- 22:01Speaker 3: Nine at the end.
- 22:02Speaker 2: But we now have some more reaction from Republicans. They
- 22:04Speaker 2: aren't encouraged, to say the least. Here's Tennessee Congressman Tim Burchett,
- 22:09Speaker 2: who's About as conservative as they come.
- 22:11Speaker 8: Evangelical Christians, which I associate with, 45% of them don't
- 22:16Speaker 8: go to the polls. 30% of gun owners don't go
- 22:18Speaker 8: to the polls. Yeah, we got a real problem and
- 22:20Speaker 8: we better wake up.
- 22:22Speaker 2: What do you think? You think he's speaking some wisdom there?
- 22:26Speaker 3: I listened to the full clip and I don't think
- 22:28Speaker 3: he fully understands the scope of the problem, but he
- 22:29Speaker 3: is correct that there is a problem.
- 22:32Speaker 2: So give him credit for that.
- 22:34Speaker 10: Yeah.
- 22:34Speaker 2: You've written a couple of message boxes about this now.
- 22:36Speaker 2: What are your big takeaways from Tuesday night, now that
- 22:39Speaker 2: we've all had a few days to process?
- 22:42Speaker 3: So throughout the course of the year, Republicans have dismissed
- 22:45Speaker 3: the previous special elections by pointing out, somewhat correctly, that
- 22:49Speaker 3: Democrats always do well because it's a low turnout special election.
- 22:52Speaker 3: So it's not really indicative of things. And we know
- 22:54Speaker 3: that because we did well in special elections in 23
- 22:56Speaker 3: and 24, and we did not win the presidency. Then
- 22:59Speaker 3: they sort of dismissed the victories in Virginia and New
- 23:02Speaker 3: Jersey and elsewhere, saying these are taking place in largely
- 23:04Speaker 3: blue states. Here you have an election that took place
- 23:07Speaker 3: in a deep red district, and it was not low turnout.
- 23:10Speaker 3: The turnout on Tuesday night was just as high as
- 23:14Speaker 3: it was on election day 2022 in the last midterm.
- 23:17Speaker 3: So this is as good a dry run as we're
- 23:20Speaker 3: going to get to understand how voters are interpreting the economy, Trump,
- 23:25Speaker 3: backlash to the extremism, all of the above. And so
- 23:27Speaker 3: this is very hard to– you can't dismiss this. And
- 23:31Speaker 3: so I think the main takeaways are the Democratic base
- 23:34Speaker 3: is fired up. Afton Bain received 20% more votes than
- 23:38Speaker 3: the Democrat who ran in 2022. While Republican turnout was
- 23:42Speaker 3: high for a special election, Matt Van Epps, the Republican
- 23:45Speaker 3: who won, received about 9,000 less votes than Mark Green,
- 23:48Speaker 3: who was the incumbent in 2022. So Democrat turnout was
- 23:53Speaker 3: way up, Republican turnout not the same. We don't have
- 23:56Speaker 3: exit polls here. So we can't know for sure, like
- 24:00Speaker 3: we did in Virginia and New Jersey, about how many
- 24:03Speaker 3: Trump voters or Republicans voted for a Democrat. But the
- 24:06Speaker 3: math in a district this red suggests that certainly a
- 24:09Speaker 3: lot of this has turned out, but some of it
- 24:10Speaker 3: is also persuasion. So there are some people who, probably
- 24:14Speaker 3: similar to New Jersey and Virginia, who are soft Republican
- 24:17Speaker 3: voters who voted for Trump because of prices or whatever else,
- 24:21Speaker 3: voted for a Democrat this time. That's a very positive sign.
- 24:24Speaker 3: The other thing that I think is really interesting here
- 24:26Speaker 3: is the absence of Trump. Trump did a couple like
- 24:30Speaker 3: fake teletown halls, which is always what they do to
- 24:32Speaker 3: let him say he did something. His only other appearance
- 24:34Speaker 3: in the race was he happened to call Mike Johnson
- 24:36Speaker 3: while Mike Johnson was at a press conference and Mike
- 24:39Speaker 3: Johnson put him on speaker.
- 24:41Speaker 2: Classic.
- 24:42Speaker 3: But interestingly enough, Trump showed up in no ads, not
- 24:46Speaker 3: even like GOTV stuff down the stretch. And that's really,
- 24:51Speaker 3: really interesting because in a– like if this was a
- 24:54Speaker 3: swing district, you understand that decision because Trump will gin
- 24:59Speaker 3: up Democratic turnout more. But here's a race in a
- 25:02Speaker 3: district so Republican that if you turn out every single voter,
- 25:06Speaker 3: you gin up everyone, Republicans win by a lot. And
- 25:09Speaker 3: so they made a decision that– they decided not to
- 25:12Speaker 3: use Trump. That was a conscious decision. They did it
- 25:14Speaker 3: for either one of two reasons. The first being they
- 25:17Speaker 3: thought he wouldn't turn out voters that much. It's interesting.
- 25:21Speaker 3: And the second is that he was so toxic to
- 25:26Speaker 3: swing voters to independence that it would push more people
- 25:31Speaker 3: into Baines camp. And there's reason to believe the latter
- 25:34Speaker 3: one is certainly true because in the Gallup poll that
- 25:37Speaker 3: came out recently, Trump's approval rating among independents is 25%.
- 25:41Speaker 3: On every single issue, a majority disapprove of what he
- 25:44Speaker 3: is doing. And, you know, independents tend to make up,
- 25:47Speaker 3: in the 2022 midterms, they made up basically a third
- 25:49Speaker 3: of voters. And so if you are losing three of
- 25:53Speaker 3: every four independent voters, you don't want Trump anywhere near
- 25:57Speaker 3: the race. I think that has real implications for what
- 26:00Speaker 3: the midterms look like and how Democrats can use Trump
- 26:02Speaker 3: and how Republicans can't.
- 26:04Speaker 2: Do we know that it was the Van Epps campaign's
- 26:08Speaker 2: decision not to have Trump come? Or could it also
- 26:12Speaker 2: have been the case that Trump was just lazy and
- 26:15Speaker 2: didn't care.
- 26:15Speaker 3: I think Trump visiting would be a relatively extreme measure
- 26:20Speaker 3: for a special election. But they didn't even use him
- 26:23Speaker 3: in ads. He didn't record one of those weird videos
- 26:25Speaker 3: that you put out. I've seen no reports of Trump
- 26:27Speaker 3: robocalls at the end. He just was.
- 26:30Speaker 3: For some reason.
- 26:31Speaker 2: Maybe he posted. Yeah, I think he posted.
- 26:33Speaker 3: But he posted on Twitter. That's a fake thing to do.
- 26:36Speaker 3: It doesn't really affect... What percentage of people in the
- 26:39Speaker 3: 7th District of Tennessee are seeing his tweets on the
- 26:41Speaker 3: 9th most trafficked social media site?
- 26:44Speaker 2: That's where he calls for Democrats to be hanged.
- 26:46Speaker 3: Yes, yes. I mean, not that his tweets don't matter.
- 26:48Speaker 3: They do matter, but it's not a particularly effective or
- 26:51Speaker 3: efficient GOTV tool.
- 26:53Speaker 2: Have you... So obviously this is like a rough calculation,
- 26:56Speaker 2: but what? It was a Trump 22 district. She lost
- 27:01Speaker 2: by nine. So that's like a 13 point swing. Have
- 27:05Speaker 2: you done the math where like if in the midterms
- 27:07Speaker 2: it was a, I don't know, 10 plus point swing, like,
- 27:12Speaker 2: you know, 10 and change if you're sort of approximating it,
- 27:15Speaker 2: how many seats we'd win?
- 27:17Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 27:17Speaker 3: So there are four Republicans in seats Kamala Harris won
- 27:21Speaker 3: right now. There are, I think, 10 Republicans in seats
- 27:25Speaker 3: that Trump won by five or less. And then there's
- 27:28Speaker 3: another 14 or so that are in seats that Trump
- 27:31Speaker 3: won between five and 10 points. And so that gets
- 27:34Speaker 3: you to 28 seats. Now, there are some Democrats in
- 27:37Speaker 3: seats that.
- 27:37Speaker 2: Are- Jared Golden's seat.
- 27:40Speaker 3: Jared Golden.
- 27:43Speaker 2: Who's not running again.
- 27:44Speaker 3: Henry Cuellar, Don Davis in North Carolina who are a
- 27:46Speaker 3: handful of people who are in very gerrymandered seats who
- 27:49Speaker 3: have– they're Democrats who are in either lean or solid
- 27:53Speaker 3: Republican seats according to the Cook Political Report ratings. But
- 27:56Speaker 3: the question.
- 27:56Speaker 2: Here– None of them are in Trump– like over Trump
- 27:59Speaker 2: plus 10 seats, right?
- 28:00Speaker 3: No, no, no, no. But they're– No, I think they're
- 28:04Speaker 3: all under Trump plus 10. The question– and then you
- 28:07Speaker 3: have Don Bacon who is one of those four who's
- 28:09Speaker 3: in actually a lead Democratic seat in Nebraska too. The
- 28:13Speaker 3: question will be about the size of the Democratic majority
- 28:16Speaker 3: to get to something that looks like a 2018-style majority.
- 28:28Speaker 3: You're going to be able to get to those districts
- 28:30Speaker 3: who are between Trump 10– and Trump 15. You have
- 28:32Speaker 3: to put some of those in play because you're not
- 28:35Speaker 3: going to win all of the Trump plus 10 ones,
- 28:37Speaker 3: you know, just because of their, you know, it depends
- 28:39Speaker 3: on who our candidate is, depends on who their candidate,
- 28:41Speaker 3: like we actually only won, this is political report data
- 28:45Speaker 3: that Amy Walter and I talked about on last Sunday's pod,
- 28:47Speaker 3: but I think we won like a third of the
- 28:49Speaker 3: Trump five to 10 districts in 2018. There just were
- 28:52Speaker 3: so many more, there were 19 Republicans in districts that
- 28:56Speaker 3: Hillary Clinton won that time around. And so there's just,
- 28:59Speaker 3: it was a wider playing field, but With a plus 13,
- 29:02Speaker 3: plus 10, you can have a majority much larger than
- 29:04Speaker 3: what the Republicans have.
- 29:06Speaker 2: So you mentioned that that certainly depends on the candidates
- 29:10Speaker 2: that run in each party. After the results came in
- 29:13Speaker 2: on Tuesday, since the results have come in on Tuesday,
- 29:16Speaker 2: I should say, there's been a lot of conversation online
- 29:19Speaker 2: about whether Afton Bain was the right candidate for the
- 29:22Speaker 2: district and candidate quality generally as we head into the midterms.
- 29:27Speaker 2: Would you like to weigh in? Yeah, I think this
- 29:30Speaker 2: is a really hard- Here, instead of just posting on
- 29:33Speaker 2: Twitter like Elijah, I know Elijah's weighed in. Elijah is
- 29:35Speaker 2: very- He's having a great time on Twitter.
- 29:37Speaker 3: He's doing it. I have a hundred retweets on that
- 29:39Speaker 3: last time I looked. That's a lot of engagement for
- 29:40Speaker 3: an Elijah tweet. He hasn't gotten that much engagement since
- 29:43Speaker 3: he got to a Twitter fight with Jamie Harrison. It
- 29:48Speaker 3: is hard to- There's a counterfactual here, right? Which is,
- 29:53Speaker 3: to her credit, Afton Bayne drove up Democratic turnout in
- 29:57Speaker 3: Davidson County, which has Nashville in it. She won Davidson
- 30:00Speaker 3: County by 58 points, which is 20 points better than
- 30:03Speaker 3: Kamala Harris did in 2024. So that's a significant gain.
- 30:07Speaker 3: That's obviously a significant gain. It's probably fair to say
- 30:10Speaker 3: that she is not the best ideological fit for a
- 30:13Speaker 3: district that Trump won by 22. She had a lot
- 30:17Speaker 3: of positions on defunding the police, a lot of video
- 30:20Speaker 3: about how much she hates Nashville. She was a very
- 30:22Speaker 3: prominent organizer with a robust social media history. and endorsed
- 30:27Speaker 3: by the DSA in the primary when she ran for
- 30:30Speaker 3: state rep, that's easily weaponizable against the Republicans. And when
- 30:34Speaker 3: you have to do the math and you have to
- 30:35Speaker 3: win a significant number of Trump voters, that's probably not
- 30:38Speaker 3: your candidate. Would someone else have won the seat? Probably not.
- 30:42Speaker 3: I haven't looked at the other– there were four people
- 30:44Speaker 3: in that primary. Hard to know that someone else would
- 30:47Speaker 3: have won. I think this debate is really hard because, yes,
- 30:52Speaker 3: of course you want candidates who are good fits for
- 30:56Speaker 3: ideologically and culturally for the district. That seems obvious, right?
- 31:01Speaker 3: Even though he didn't win, you want someone like Jon
- 31:03Speaker 3: Tester running in.
- 31:06Speaker 2: Montana.
- 31:07Speaker 3: Jared Golden, who's obviously retiring, was an excellent fit for
- 31:10Speaker 3: his district. But the question is, how do you execute that?
- 31:15Speaker 3: Do we really want folks in DC to decide who
- 31:21Speaker 3: the most electable candidate is. You're having this, we're having
- 31:23Speaker 3: the same conversation because it seems like Jasmine Crockett's going
- 31:26Speaker 3: to throw her hat in the ring in the Texas
- 31:27Speaker 3: Senate race in the coming days. And a lot of
- 31:30Speaker 3: people are saying, well, she's the least electable of the
- 31:31Speaker 3: three candidates. And so do you want the DSCC or
- 31:36Speaker 3: the DCCC to come in and say, no, this is
- 31:38Speaker 3: the most electable candidate? Which is the exact thing that
- 31:41Speaker 3: we're very pissed about happening in Maine and Michigan.
- 31:44Speaker 2: Well, it's not just do you want them to do it,
- 31:47Speaker 2: it's do you think that will be effective?
- 31:49Speaker 3: Well, that's my point.
- 31:50Speaker 2: I think there's a lot of like, oh, we can
- 31:53Speaker 2: just move around pieces on a chessboard, those of us
- 31:56Speaker 2: who play pundits on Twitter. And it's like, yeah, I
- 32:00Speaker 2: totally agree that you want a candidate who fits the
- 32:03Speaker 2: district for sure. But what, five people ran in that primary?
- 32:07Speaker 2: Or four people?
- 32:08Speaker 3: I think four, yeah.
- 32:09Speaker 5: Four?
- 32:09Speaker 2: Four or five, yeah. And she won. So she ran.
- 32:14Speaker 2: took a chance. She ran for office. She beat everyone
- 32:17Speaker 2: else in the primary. The voters decided, the Democratic primary
- 32:20Speaker 2: voters decided they wanted her over the other candidates. And
- 32:24Speaker 2: then she went on and, and so, yeah, was she
- 32:27Speaker 2: the strongest candidate? Maybe not, but like that was democracy.
- 32:31Speaker 2: It played out. So like, you can talk to all
- 32:32Speaker 2: the candidates who ran against her in the primary and
- 32:35Speaker 2: ask them like, why, why did you fuck up and
- 32:37Speaker 2: not beat her? If you were a more electable, more
- 32:40Speaker 2: moderate candidate. And I realized that, you know, some of
- 32:42Speaker 2: the discussion online is like, well, you know, Republicans in
- 32:46Speaker 2: 2010 nominated a bunch of, like, Tea Party doofuses and
- 32:48Speaker 2: that's what cost them the Senate. It's like, yeah, they did,
- 32:51Speaker 2: but I don't know that the NRSC could have really
- 32:55Speaker 2: done much about that.
- 32:56Speaker 3: Well, they have.
- 32:59Speaker 2: You can try, right? Like, someone can, if people think
- 33:03Speaker 2: that Colin Allred is the best candidate, say, in Texas,
- 33:07Speaker 2: people can, you know, party leaders can call James Tallarico
- 33:11Speaker 2: and call Jasmine Crockett and try to tell them, hey,
- 33:14Speaker 2: look at the polling. This is it. You shouldn't run.
- 33:16Speaker 2: They can try to do that, but they can't force
- 33:18Speaker 2: them to do anything. They can try to put their
- 33:22Speaker 2: thumb on the scale like they're doing in some other races.
- 33:26Speaker 2: And that could easily backfire as we predicted it might
- 33:29Speaker 2: in some of those other races. So you can try
- 33:31Speaker 2: to do that stuff. But at the end of the day,
- 33:33Speaker 2: it's like it's up to the voters in the district
- 33:36Speaker 2: and the candidates running. And as much as I understand
- 33:41Speaker 2: the concern among more moderate-minded strategists and pundits that you
- 33:47Speaker 2: need a candidate to fit the district and that some
- 33:51Speaker 2: candidates are either and i would say either too progressive
- 33:55Speaker 2: or it's always like talked about in terms of ideology
- 33:58Speaker 2: but i don't even know if it was her ideology
- 34:00Speaker 2: as much as some of the some of the things
- 34:02Speaker 2: she said in the past and then chose not to
- 34:04Speaker 2: really explain like it's not this wasn't this wasn't a
- 34:08Speaker 2: race that was based on her positions necessarily like When
- 34:12Speaker 2: I saw the clip of Catherine Rampell of MSNBC interviewing
- 34:16Speaker 2: Afton Bain and asking her about some of her tweets
- 34:19Speaker 2: from 2020 when she said that the Nashville Police Department
- 34:23Speaker 2: should be dissolved and that, you know, good morning, especially
- 34:27Speaker 2: to the 54% of Americans that believe burning down a
- 34:29Speaker 2: police station is justified. So it's like, whatever. You have tweets.
- 34:33Speaker 2: Everyone has tweets they don't like. And then she didn't
- 34:36Speaker 2: explain them. And she's like, I don't remember those tweets.
- 34:37Speaker 2: And she's like, all right, what do you think about those?
- 34:39Speaker 2: Do you have a position on that? And she's like, well,
- 34:41Speaker 2: I'm not really focused on that. And I'm like, you know,
- 34:45Speaker 2: Zoran Mamdani, DSA, socialist, right, had some positions and tweets
- 34:51Speaker 2: in the past that he and his campaign decided that
- 34:55Speaker 2: they were going to clean up, that they were going
- 34:57Speaker 2: to say, no, this is the position I hold now.
- 34:59Speaker 2: I am strongly in favor of X, Y, and Z,
- 35:02Speaker 2: even though I said that in the past, you know.
- 35:04Speaker 2: So some of this is ideology. Some of it is
- 35:06Speaker 2: just like how you decide to campaign. And so I
- 35:10Speaker 2: think like that's a big thing. But regardless, I also
- 35:13Speaker 2: think that moderate candidates, candidates that do fit the district,
- 35:19Speaker 2: have a responsibility to figure out how to beat some
- 35:23Speaker 2: of these other candidates who they think are too progressive
- 35:26Speaker 2: or too far to the left or not good fits
- 35:28Speaker 2: for whatever reason. And if the moderate candidates are either
- 35:32Speaker 2: too bland or boring to gain any traction or to
- 35:35Speaker 2: beat these candidates, then who the fuck's fault is that?
- 35:39Speaker 3: Yeah, it's... I mean... There is a world where you
- 35:42Speaker 3: can– if this party apparatus were to choose, decide that
- 35:47Speaker 3: they knew who the best candidate was, they can play
- 35:50Speaker 3: a real role here. The Republicans lost the Senate in
- 35:53Speaker 3: 2010 because they nominated a bunch of knuckleheads, lost the
- 35:56Speaker 3: Senate in 2012 because they lost a bunch of knuckleheads,
- 35:58Speaker 3: even lost Indiana and Missouri in that cycle because they
- 36:02Speaker 3: had terrible candidates, Todd Akin included there. By 2014, they
- 36:06Speaker 3: decided we're not doing that again. The Republican version of
- 36:13Speaker 3: the Senate majority pack, Republican super PACs, basically nuked anyone
- 36:16Speaker 3: who was not– they did not think was electable. They
- 36:19Speaker 3: shut off their access to money. They would run ads
- 36:22Speaker 3: against them. They would put pressure on them to drop out.
- 36:26Speaker 3: They would play with the field. So like what happened
- 36:29Speaker 3: in– as I understand it, what happened in Tennessee 7–
- 36:32Speaker 3: now obviously no one thought this was going to be
- 36:34Speaker 3: a real race, so it's not like anyone should have
- 36:35Speaker 3: been involved here. But as you had a progressive and
- 36:38Speaker 3: a handful of moderates– what the NRSC and the Republicans
- 36:41Speaker 3: have done in the past is they've tried to get
- 36:42Speaker 3: out the other moderate so that it's moderate versus progressive. Now,
- 36:46Speaker 3: the problem with that is I don't really trust the
- 36:48Speaker 3: people in charge to do that correctly. And so it's
- 36:52Speaker 3: sort of as we live where we live. I think
- 36:54Speaker 3: the responsibility all of us have to talk about and
- 36:56Speaker 3: write about politics is to be as honest as we
- 36:58Speaker 3: can be about our assessments of the candidates and what
- 37:02Speaker 3: it takes to win and have humility about what makes
- 37:05Speaker 3: someone electable in 2025.
- 37:06Speaker 2: Yes. And also, I just think it's the responsibility of
- 37:13Speaker 2: both sides of this debate to field candidates and support
- 37:17Speaker 2: candidates that they think can win. And it's the candidates
- 37:19Speaker 2: in those campaigns' responsibility to win in these primaries.
- 37:22Speaker 3: Yeah. There's this assumption that there's a bunch of people
- 37:25Speaker 3: on the left in the middle who are like their
- 37:27Speaker 3: puppet strings picking the people. It's really just a bunch
- 37:29Speaker 3: of local candidates deciding to run. And then maybe some
- 37:33Speaker 3: DC groups get involved and support them. But It's a
- 37:37Speaker 3: much more organic process than I think the conversation about
- 37:40Speaker 3: Tennessee 7 allows.
- 37:43Speaker 2: We should say that there's some breaking news before we
- 37:45Speaker 2: leave the midterm map here. The Supreme Court has permitted
- 37:49Speaker 2: Texas to keep its newly redistricted GOP-favorable congressional map in 2026.
- 37:55Speaker 2: Kyle Chaney from Politico just tweeted this. 6-3 decision. Kagan, Sotomayor,
- 37:59Speaker 2: and Jackson dissent. Although Kyle also points out that it's notable...
- 38:04Speaker 2: that Alito, Thomas, and Gorsuch say they view California's new
- 38:07Speaker 2: map is indisputably driven by the pursuit of partisan advantage
- 38:11Speaker 2: as opposed to impermissible race-based goals, which bodes very well
- 38:16Speaker 2: for Newsom and California in that legal challenge.
- 38:20Speaker 3: Because partisan gerrymandering is allowed by the Supreme Court.
- 38:23Speaker 2: Of course. But it's also interesting, though, that they're saying,
- 38:27Speaker 2: as opposed to impermissible race-based goals, when we know that
- 38:30Speaker 2: the Section 2 of the VRA is very much up
- 38:34Speaker 2: for grabs. So I don't know what that says about that,
- 38:37Speaker 2: but that's what we got. Yeah.
- 38:39Speaker 3: And they had to make this decision now because the
- 38:41Speaker 3: filing deadline's in five days, I think.
- 38:43Speaker 2: Right. Now, I think, I don't know, with everything we've seen,
- 38:46Speaker 2: I still think, and I know you talked to Amy
- 38:49Speaker 2: Walter about this on Sunday's episode, but even with Texas
- 38:53Speaker 2: keeping their gerrymandered plus five map, I don't think Democrats
- 38:56Speaker 2: are in terrible shape.
- 38:57Speaker 3: I mean, the Speaker of the Virginia House just said
- 39:00Speaker 3: that he was contemplating a 10-1 Democratic-Republican map in Virginia.
- 39:05Speaker 2: How many seats does that net us?
- 39:07Speaker 3: I think the map of Virginia is like 6-5 right now.
- 39:10Speaker 2: Oh, wow. Look at that.
- 39:22Speaker 1: Pods of America is brought to you by ZipRecruiter. Tommy,
- 39:25Speaker 1: what's your favorite holiday movie?
- 39:27Speaker 6: Saw.
- 39:27Speaker 1: Saw?
- 39:28Speaker 6: Okay.
- 39:28Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 39:29Speaker 1: You know, it's about a person who hides a present
- 39:34Speaker 1: inside a stomach of someone, in a sense. That's something
- 39:38Speaker 1: that happens in there. And then also, spoiler for Saw,
- 39:43Speaker 1: it looks like somebody is dead. And then Have you
- 39:46Speaker 1: heard the good news? He is risen. So that's also
- 39:49Speaker 1: that's a good idea to say that. But here's the thing, Tommy,
- 39:54Speaker 1: to make a holiday movie, it takes a team of
- 39:56Speaker 1: talented people.
- 39:57Speaker 9: That's what we're getting back to.
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- 40:02Speaker 1: And when it comes to building such a team, whether
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- 40:48Speaker 1: Could have said Miracle on 34th Street. That's a good one.
- 40:51Speaker 1: Could have said Die Hard.
- 40:52Speaker 3: Wicker Man.
- 40:52Speaker 1: Could have said Wicker Man. Wicker Man is really a
- 40:55Speaker 1: very pagan. It's just sort of a pagan worship ceremony.
- 41:00Speaker 2: In a sense.
- 41:01Speaker 1: But that is also a holiday. We're saying.
- 41:06Speaker 1: We're saying Merry Wicker Man again. That's ZipRecruiter.com slash crooked. ZipRecruiter,
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- 41:17Speaker 2: So Republicans aren't waiting for the midterms to knife Mike Johnson,
- 41:21Speaker 2: Speaker of the House, who's becoming less and less popular
- 41:24Speaker 2: with some of his MAGA members. Elise Stefanik, who's been
- 41:28Speaker 2: performing the role of MAGA attack dog so she can
- 41:30Speaker 2: get a better job. She's currently gunning for governor of
- 41:33Speaker 2: New York. Good luck with that. is, uh, out there
- 41:36Speaker 2: calling Johnson a serial liar who's in league with the
- 41:39Speaker 2: deep state, uh, and said that he wouldn't win the
- 41:42Speaker 2: speakership again if the election were held today. Nancy Mace,
- 41:46Speaker 2: who seems perpetually unwell, told the New York Times, quote,
- 41:50Speaker 2: I stand with Elise and is reportedly considering following Marjorie
- 41:54Speaker 2: Taylor Greene into early retirement because of her anger at
- 41:57Speaker 2: Johnson's treatment of Republican women. Um, What is all this about?
- 42:02Speaker 2: Can you tell us what all the anger at Johnson
- 42:05Speaker 2: is about lately?
- 42:06Speaker 3: Well, I talked to Leader Jeffries about this and you'll
- 42:08Speaker 3: hear his comments on it. But I think there are
- 42:10Speaker 3: a couple of things going on here. One is Mike
- 42:13Speaker 3: Johnson's a doofus. I mean, he just is. He just
- 42:16Speaker 3: happened to be the least defensive person when they desperately
- 42:18Speaker 3: needed to get to 218. And so he got the job.
- 42:21Speaker 3: He is not a policy wonk. He's not a strategist.
- 42:24Speaker 3: He's just a guy. And being just a guy in
- 42:27Speaker 3: charge of the narrowest majority since the Great Depression... is
- 42:32Speaker 3: probably– he's punching above his weight. He's not doing it well.
- 42:35Speaker 3: The second thing is he owes his entire job to
- 42:39Speaker 3: Donald Trump. And so he's always one Trump truth away
- 42:43Speaker 3: from being ousted. And so he has put Trump's interests
- 42:47Speaker 3: in his own job security over the interests of the caucus.
- 42:50Speaker 3: And I think you saw that most vividly during the
- 42:53Speaker 3: Epstein files thing. Basically, he made these Republicans go months
- 42:59Speaker 3: of asking– answering awkward questions, being on the outs with
- 43:03Speaker 3: the base, because that's what Trump wanted, even though it
- 43:05Speaker 3: was bad for the members themselves. It was bad for
- 43:08Speaker 3: the caucus. It's probably bad for their attempt to actually
- 43:09Speaker 3: have the majority. And then I think the last thing
- 43:12Speaker 3: here is just they're all feeling the pressure. They see
- 43:16Speaker 3: these results in the elections. They see the poll numbers.
- 43:18Speaker 3: They see that Trump's numbers are in the toilet. And
- 43:21Speaker 3: they're all starting to look for the exits. They figure
- 43:24Speaker 3: out what's going on.
- 43:25Speaker 4: They're nervous.
- 43:26Speaker 3: They don't want to lose. And so they're starting to
- 43:27Speaker 3: act out.
- 43:29Speaker 2: It seems like with Elise Stefanik, she's just pissed that,
- 43:32Speaker 2: remember she was up for the UN job.
- 43:34Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 43:35Speaker 2: And then Trump and Johnson basically told her, no, you
- 43:40Speaker 2: got to stay in Congress because the number, the margin
- 43:43Speaker 2: is so slim. And so we need you in Congress.
- 43:45Speaker 2: So she loses that job. And then she's running for governor.
- 43:50Speaker 2: And her whole gubernatorial campaign is that, you know, Hochul
- 43:54Speaker 2: is too tied to Mamdani. And then Trump yucks it
- 43:57Speaker 2: up with Mamdani in the Oval. So it's possible that
- 44:01Speaker 2: she's just pretty pissed at Mike Johnson. She's taken out
- 44:04Speaker 2: her anger at Donald Trump on Mike Johnson because obviously
- 44:06Speaker 2: she can't be angry at Donald Trump. I see.
- 44:08Speaker 3: I think it's more political calculation than pure anger.
- 44:11Speaker 2: You think she just looks like a– what is the
- 44:15Speaker 2: political calculation there that just helps her with the base?
- 44:17Speaker 6: Well, no.
- 44:18Speaker 3: I think it is. So just– I don't think she
- 44:19Speaker 3: has any sincere moments in her life. She was anti-Trump
- 44:21Speaker 3: and that was good. She was pro-Trump and that was good.
- 44:23Speaker 3: And now she wants to be governor of New York.
- 44:25Speaker 3: And so she has to seem, and she is in
- 44:29Speaker 3: the worst position possible. She is in the leadership of
- 44:33Speaker 3: a Congress that is at its second least popular time
- 44:35Speaker 3: in the history of Gallup polling. And so she's trying
- 44:38Speaker 3: to separate herself, seem like an outsider, but do it
- 44:40Speaker 3: without actually pissing off Trump or the base. And this
- 44:42Speaker 3: is a way to do it.
- 44:44Speaker 2: Yeah, I guess. Because the actual substance of what she's
- 44:46Speaker 2: pissed about is supposedly this provision that would force the
- 44:51Speaker 2: FBI to notify Congress if they ever opened another investigation
- 44:55Speaker 2: of a political candidate. And so she's alleging that Mike
- 44:58Speaker 2: Johnson is in league with Jamie Raskin in the deep state.
- 45:02Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 45:02Speaker 3: I mean, like it's absurd, but I think she is
- 45:04Speaker 3: looking for places to distance herself from her own party
- 45:07Speaker 3: without upsetting the base before a primary.
- 45:11Speaker 2: Now, I mean, it makes for interesting conversation about the
- 45:14Speaker 2: drama with Mike Johnson, but he doesn't seem like he's
- 45:18Speaker 2: in any real trouble. Like it's a, It's a year
- 45:20Speaker 2: to the midterms. What, are they going to hold a
- 45:23Speaker 2: new vote for Speaker and someone else is going to
- 45:24Speaker 2: get the votes? I mean, I could see him exiting
- 45:27Speaker 2: after 2026, but I can't see him getting ousted before then.
- 45:32Speaker 2: Can you?
- 45:32Speaker 3: No, I would be shocked if he was ousted before that.
- 45:35Speaker 3: It just seems no one wants the job. The process
- 45:37Speaker 3: before was so painful. They've tolerated having this duvis in
- 45:40Speaker 3: charge for years now because they don't want to revisit
- 45:42Speaker 3: that process. I think it's highly likely if they lose
- 45:44Speaker 3: the majority, which I also think is pretty likely, that
- 45:47Speaker 3: he will get tossed aside then. He doesn't even really
- 45:49Speaker 3: want the job. I can't believe I did this, but
- 45:52Speaker 3: I watched several minutes of his and his wife's interview
- 45:55Speaker 3: with Katie Miller.
- 45:56Speaker 2: Because you're a big Katie Miller fan.
- 45:59Speaker 3: Well, it's like I'm always looking for content out here, right?
- 46:02Speaker 3: Just to try to help Elijah in his job. And
- 46:04Speaker 3: the whole thing is a sob story about how hard
- 46:06Speaker 3: the job is and how he doesn't like it.
- 46:10Speaker 2: So sad for you.
- 46:11Speaker 3: Yeah, so hard.
- 46:12Speaker 2: Well, luckily for Johnson and all of these very anxious Republicans,
- 46:16Speaker 2: Trump is reportedly planning to tear himself away from ballroom
- 46:20Speaker 2: renovations and midday naps long enough to hit the road
- 46:23Speaker 2: for the next year so he can sell Americans on
- 46:26Speaker 2: everything he hasn't done to bring down the cost of living.
- 46:29Speaker 2: We're already getting a preview of how that's going to go.
- 46:32Speaker 2: Take a listen.
- 46:33Speaker 5: It's a conjunct. They say affordability. They don't say anything else.
- 46:38Speaker 5: Everyone says, oh, it's a fake narrative that the Democrats
- 46:42Speaker 5: talk about affordability. The word affordability is a con job
- 46:46Speaker 5: by the Democrats. Affordability, affordability, affordability. She had no idea.
- 46:51Speaker 5: Their prices were much higher.
- 46:53Speaker 2: You think that was on the message calendar for that day?
- 46:56Speaker 3: No, I don't think so. I think that is possibly
- 46:58Speaker 3: the worst message you could possibly design ever.
- 47:03Speaker 2: A new Politico poll has 46% of Americans and a slim.
- 47:07Speaker 2: A plurality of Trump voters saying the cost of living
- 47:11Speaker 2: is the worst they can remember where they live. Asked
- 47:15Speaker 2: whether Trump bears full responsibility for today's economy. Almost 20%
- 47:19Speaker 2: of Trump voters said yes. Obviously, a big majority of
- 47:22Speaker 2: all voters said yes. What are your thoughts on the
- 47:26Speaker 2: affordability pivot? Will we even get one?
- 47:29Speaker 3: I don't think we're going to get one because when
- 47:31Speaker 3: Trump hits, if you read the Axios story that previewed
- 47:33Speaker 3: his upcoming event, and Trump has been so I don't
- 47:38Speaker 3: say lazy is the right word. He really hasn't done
- 47:39Speaker 3: any domestic travel at all as president. He really just–
- 47:42Speaker 3: he does foreign trips and he renovates ballrooms. That's like
- 47:45Speaker 3: the full extent of his duties. But if you read
- 47:47Speaker 3: the story preview, it says that Trump is going to
- 47:49Speaker 3: hit the road to talk about his economic accomplishments, which
- 47:52Speaker 3: is the exact wrong thing to do.
- 47:55Speaker 2: You're going to call it Trumponomics? Trumponomics.
- 47:58Speaker 3: Exactly. I mean it is– I mean we talked about this.
- 48:00Speaker 3: There are parallels to Biden, but it's like 100 times
- 48:02Speaker 3: worse than Biden at this. Trump is going to fail
- 48:06Speaker 3: at this because– To admit that prices are still high
- 48:09Speaker 3: is to admit that he failed. And he can't admit failure.
- 48:14Speaker 3: He's never done it in his eight decades on the planet,
- 48:15Speaker 3: so he's not going to do it then. So instead,
- 48:17Speaker 3: he's going to go out and do what he did
- 48:18Speaker 3: in those clips we just listened to, which is poke
- 48:20Speaker 3: voters in the eye every single moment. It has to
- 48:24Speaker 3: make as it being an absolute political disaster, which I
- 48:26Speaker 3: plan on enjoying.
- 48:27Speaker 2: The other big difference is Trump has at least two
- 48:32Speaker 2: very easily doable options in front of him to help
- 48:37Speaker 2: with the cost of living. He could get rid of
- 48:39Speaker 2: the tariffs that everyone knows he put in place on
- 48:42Speaker 2: his own and have hurt the economy and have made
- 48:46Speaker 2: things in their lives more expensive. Or he could do
- 48:49Speaker 2: something about the Affordable Care Act subsidies that are about
- 48:54Speaker 2: to expire and the premium hikes that are coming for
- 48:57Speaker 2: 20 million Americans. And he is thus far refusing to
- 49:01Speaker 2: do anything about that. So people are going to know
- 49:04Speaker 2: that there are just options that he is just saying, no,
- 49:06Speaker 2: thank you. And he's just going to go around talking
- 49:10Speaker 2: about the tax cuts that he passed from the big,
- 49:13Speaker 2: beautiful bill. And then talk about how he lowered drug
- 49:16Speaker 2: prices 5,000%. Now he's paying people to take their drugs.
- 49:23Speaker 3: Yes. Mike Johnson went out and said, he was trying
- 49:25Speaker 3: to put a brave face on everything that happened on Tuesday,
- 49:27Speaker 3: and he said, well, when the Big Beautiful Bill kicks in,
- 49:29Speaker 3: people are going to feel better. They're not. He's just
- 49:31Speaker 3: extending tax cuts that people already had. They're not going to.
- 49:35Speaker 2: I know. I guess that some of the smaller tax cuts,
- 49:37Speaker 2: like the no tax on tips, are going to affect
- 49:39Speaker 2: some people and maybe it's a small percentage.
- 49:41Speaker 11: Yeah.
- 49:42Speaker 2: Maybe a small percentage of people will maybe see a
- 49:44Speaker 2: slightly higher tax refund, uh, in the spring. But I
- 49:49Speaker 2: don't know when you've got the, the tariffs hitting the economy,
- 49:51Speaker 2: like they have been the premium hikes, everything else. I
- 49:55Speaker 2: don't really, I wouldn't count on that if I were
- 49:57Speaker 2: the white house. No, I would not. One tried and
- 49:59Speaker 2: true option for Trump is to, uh, just tell everyone
- 50:01Speaker 2: that the real blame for all their problems lies with immigrants.
- 50:05Speaker 2: Certain he'll do that. He's already doing it. Uh, this
- 50:07Speaker 2: week he put a, really disgusting new spin on this
- 50:11Speaker 2: while talking about enforcement operations in Minnesota, which is home
- 50:15Speaker 2: to a large population of Somali Americans. Let's listen.
- 50:20Speaker 5: We're going to go the wrong way if we keep
- 50:21Speaker 5: taking in garbage into our country. Ilhan Omar is garbage.
- 50:26Speaker 5: She's garbage. Her friends are garbage. These aren't people that work.
- 50:31Speaker 5: These aren't people that say, let's go, come on, let's
- 50:33Speaker 5: make this place great. These are people that do nothing
- 50:35Speaker 5: but complain. They come from hell. and they complain and
- 50:41Speaker 5: do nothing but bitch, we don't want them in our country.
- 50:46Speaker 5: Let them go back to where they came from and
- 50:48Speaker 5: fix it. Thank you very much.
- 50:54Speaker 2: Just really sick stuff. For people who don't know, the
- 50:58Speaker 2: reason he was even talking about the Somali community in
- 51:02Speaker 2: Minnesota is because there was a fraud charges brought against
- 51:10Speaker 2: an organization, a couple organizations, I think, that were basically,
- 51:14Speaker 2: you know, stealing taxpayer money. And I think a lot
- 51:19Speaker 2: of Somali Americans in Minnesota were charged, though the ringleader,
- 51:25Speaker 2: the person who ran the whole scam was a white person.
- 51:29Speaker 2: So Republicans, right-wing media, everyone is using that case as
- 51:34Speaker 2: a reason to say, you know, we've got to kick
- 51:37Speaker 2: all of the Somali Americans out. Uh, nevermind the fact
- 51:41Speaker 2: that the vast majority, so Minnesota has the largest Somali
- 51:44Speaker 2: community in the United States. The vast majority of Somalis
- 51:48Speaker 2: in Minnesota are us citizens who've been here for over
- 51:50Speaker 2: a decade who have jobs just so everyone knows there's
- 51:54Speaker 2: only a small percentage that have temporary protected status or
- 51:57Speaker 2: are refugees or, you know, applying for asylum or whatever
- 52:00Speaker 2: it may be. Um, and I don't know, what do you,
- 52:03Speaker 2: what do you think of, uh, the tried and true
- 52:05Speaker 2: tactic from Trump on this one.
- 52:08Speaker 3: Just so people know, that sound you heard at the
- 52:10Speaker 3: end of the clip was J.D. Vance banging on the
- 52:11Speaker 3: table in support.
- 52:13Speaker 2: Was that J.D.
- 52:13Speaker 5: Vance?
- 52:14Speaker 10: Yeah.
- 52:15Speaker 2: Of course.
- 52:15Speaker 3: In the past, Trump has somewhat effectively changed the subject
- 52:21Speaker 3: by making these outrageous sort of statements. This is, they're
- 52:24Speaker 3: eating the dogs, they're eating the cats from 2024. Various
- 52:27Speaker 3: attempts during.
- 52:32Speaker 3: His first term where he was able to just focus
- 52:33Speaker 3: people on something else through offensive, jingoistic, racist remarks. And,
- 52:40Speaker 3: you know, sometimes that would be effective. I don't, I
- 52:42Speaker 3: think that is doomed to fail this time around because
- 52:44Speaker 3: every single, now there is, unlike in Trump's first term
- 52:47Speaker 3: where things were kind of just like proceeding at pace
- 52:50Speaker 3: in life. Now there is one central issue that everyone
- 52:53Speaker 3: cares about and everyone's mad about and it's cost of living.
- 52:57Speaker 3: So every time Trump is doing something that's not affecting
- 52:59Speaker 3: the cost of living, He is not helping himself. You
- 53:01Speaker 3: can't really distract people from the price of groceries, utilities,
- 53:04Speaker 3: and housing. You're not going to convince them that that's
- 53:06Speaker 3: not a big deal and a big problem. So when
- 53:08Speaker 3: you're trying to distract them, they can see the cards
- 53:11Speaker 3: up your sleeve. They know what you're doing. And I
- 53:13Speaker 3: think it's going to be incredibly ineffective.
- 53:15Speaker 2: Yeah. The big problem for him here is that he's
- 53:18Speaker 2: in charge. You could imagine a scenario where Biden was president,
- 53:21Speaker 2: Trump's running against Biden, And he's saying, oh, you know,
- 53:24Speaker 2: the reason that we still have high prices and inflation
- 53:27Speaker 2: is because all these immigrants are stealing government benefits. And
- 53:30Speaker 2: Biden's letting them because he let them all into the country.
- 53:32Speaker 2: And you could say, OK, I could see that, unfortunately,
- 53:34Speaker 2: being politically effective. But in this instance, it's like, OK,
- 53:38Speaker 2: you're complaining about Somali immigrants who the authorities in Minnesota,
- 53:42Speaker 2: a state mostly run by Democrats, are they've been charged.
- 53:47Speaker 2: Governor Walz was like, good people who are criminals should
- 53:49Speaker 2: go to jail. I don't care. what nationality they are.
- 53:52Speaker 2: I don't care where they come from. If you commit
- 53:54Speaker 2: a crime, you go to jail. And so I don't
- 53:58Speaker 2: really understand the argument there that like, oh yeah, prices
- 54:01Speaker 2: are high, costs are high. You're having a tough time. Also,
- 54:04Speaker 2: I'm in charge. I'm going to blame immigrants. I am
- 54:07Speaker 2: deporting immigrants. I am cracking down on them. But like,
- 54:10Speaker 2: what's his excuse? You know, it's just not a, it
- 54:13Speaker 2: just doesn't, it doesn't work as well. Okay. One last
- 54:16Speaker 2: thing before we get to your conversation with Hakeem Jeffries.
- 54:18Speaker 2: You may remember that back in October, Basically, the entire
- 54:22Speaker 2: Pentagon press corps, including Fox News and Newsmax, gave up
- 54:25Speaker 2: their badges and walked out of the building rather than
- 54:27Speaker 2: agree to a list of new rules from Hegseth that
- 54:30Speaker 2: basically amounted to a ban on real reporting. The Times
- 54:33Speaker 2: announced on Thursday they're suing Hegseth over the policy. But
- 54:37Speaker 2: fear not, we've got a new crop of defense reporters
- 54:39Speaker 2: on the beat, including 9-11 truther Laura Loomer, ladies' man
- 54:43Speaker 2: Matt Gaetz, the National Pulse, the Postmillennial, Turning Point USA,
- 54:48Speaker 2: Tim Kast, and the Gateway Pundit, all of whom agreed
- 54:52Speaker 2: to the reporting restrictions and they're already hard at work
- 54:55Speaker 2: holding DOD accountable. Sorry, D-O-W. Here's conservative influencer Cam Higby
- 55:01Speaker 2: just grilling Pentagon Press Secretary Kingsley Wilson, who no one
- 55:05Speaker 2: even knew existed until this week. Let's listen.
- 55:08Speaker 10: What was the environment like here with the old press corps?
- 55:12Speaker 10: There's a lot of talk online about us and our
- 55:15Speaker 10: level of professionalism. I'm interested to hear what the level
- 55:18Speaker 10: of professionalism was like before. I've heard stories about ambushing
- 55:21Speaker 10: people outside their offices, making a hostile work environment for
- 55:24Speaker 10: everyone who works in the DOW.
- 55:25Speaker 2: What was that like?
- 55:26Speaker 11: Oh, it was absolutely crazy. My first weeks here, they
- 55:29Speaker 11: just waltzed in my office, rang my doorbell literally nonstop.
- 55:32Speaker 11: My doorbell was going off probably every single second. There
- 55:35Speaker 11: were instances where they were hanging outside of the secretary's
- 55:38Speaker 11: office trying to see who he was meeting with.
- 55:41Speaker 10: In your mind, what is the purpose of the Pentagon
- 55:45Speaker 10: press corps? Because It seems to be that a lot
- 55:47Speaker 10: of people online, including the former press corps who have
- 55:49Speaker 10: been tweeting at me, that the purpose of the press
- 55:52Speaker 10: corps is just to gather classified information and release it
- 55:55Speaker 10: to the public. It seems like that's, if you're an
- 55:57Speaker 10: American journalist, I mean, you're not a Chinese spy.
- 56:00Speaker 11: Holding us accountable, I think, is very important, but also
- 56:03Speaker 11: communicating to the American people all of the work we're
- 56:05Speaker 11: doing and all of the work that our warfighters are
- 56:07Speaker 11: doing every single day.
- 56:09Speaker 2: That is, that is... That is the role of the
- 56:12Speaker 2: press corps is to communicate to the American people all
- 56:14Speaker 2: the wonderful things that the government is doing.
- 56:17Speaker 3: One of the most honest things any Trump flack has
- 56:19Speaker 3: ever said.
- 56:19Speaker 2: I just like, thank God, her poor ears having to
- 56:24Speaker 2: hear her doorbell ring from these reporters that just, they
- 56:29Speaker 2: were trying to reach her. She is the press secretary.
- 56:32Speaker 2: That is the job of the press secretary to talk
- 56:35Speaker 2: to reporters. Am I right?
- 56:37Speaker 3: Those reporters hanging outside trying to See who Pete Hegseth
- 56:40Speaker 3: is meeting with in public spaces in the Pentagon?
- 56:43Speaker 2: Bunch of fucking Chinese spies right there trying to suss
- 56:46Speaker 2: out a meeting at the Pentagon.
- 56:48Speaker 3: And this whole thing was so comical. These people were
- 56:50Speaker 3: so embarrassing. I think it was Camp Pegby, one of
- 56:52Speaker 3: them tweeted, I just had a great off-the-record conversation.
- 56:55Speaker 2: With- John Conrad.
- 56:57Speaker 3: John Conrad, right? Great off-the-record conversation with Pete Hegseth. He
- 57:00Speaker 3: said great things.
- 57:02Speaker 2: He says, Hegseth answered my questions. It's off the record,
- 57:04Speaker 2: so no details, but I am very pleased with his leadership.
- 57:08Speaker 3: It's so good.
- 57:11Speaker 2: He works for the world's top maritime news website. And
- 57:14Speaker 2: then in his bio, it says blacklisted by Wikipedia. So
- 57:17Speaker 2: you know it's good.
- 57:19Speaker 3: And then they all took, everyone's mad at the Washington
- 57:23Speaker 3: Post because they wrote the original story about the second strike.
- 57:26Speaker 3: All these people took pictures at different desks saying that
- 57:30Speaker 3: they were at the Washington Post desk. But they couldn't
- 57:32Speaker 3: even figure– they couldn't even suss that out. So it's
- 57:35Speaker 3: like Dan Lamothe, the Pentagon reporter for The Post who
- 57:38Speaker 3: wrote the original story, he tweeted out pictures of all
- 57:41Speaker 3: of them at the various desks saying, I'm at the
- 57:44Speaker 3: Washington Post desk saying, you have to figure this out
- 57:46Speaker 3: amongst yourselves.
- 57:48Speaker 2: This isn't really important, but do you think there are
- 57:50Speaker 2: other maritime news websites that aren't the top maritime news website? Oh, absolutely.
- 57:54Speaker 3: Absolutely.
- 57:56Speaker 2: Absolutely. Do you think there's a number two, number three,
- 57:57Speaker 2: number four?
- 57:58Speaker 3: I think you are dramatically underestimating the vibrant maritime press
- 58:04Speaker 3: that exists.
- 58:04Speaker 2: I mean, to be honest, there's a lot going on
- 58:07Speaker 2: in the Caribbean right now that someone could be. Maybe
- 58:09Speaker 2: Cricket should have a maritime reporter.
- 58:12Speaker 3: You know what? Let's send Elijah. Put Elijah on a boat.
- 58:18Speaker 3: Get him off Twitter for a little bit. Get him
- 58:19Speaker 3: on a boat. Get him doing some real reporting.
- 58:21Speaker 2: Honestly, this is a great idea. Elijah, you're going to
- 58:23Speaker 2: the Caribbean. Okay, when we come back from the break,
- 58:26Speaker 2: you'll hear Dan's conversation with Leader Jeffries, but two quick
- 58:29Speaker 2: things before we get to that. Strict scrutiny is coming
- 58:31Speaker 2: to the West Coast. Join Kate, Melissa, and Leah in
- 58:34Speaker 2: San Francisco on March 6th at the Herbst Theater and
- 58:37Speaker 2: in Los Angeles on March 7th at the Palace Theater.
- 58:40Speaker 2: Grab your tickets before they sell out at crooked.com slash events. Also,
- 58:44Speaker 2: go get your holiday shopping done with a visit to
- 58:46Speaker 2: the Crooked Store. I know a lot of you are
- 58:49Speaker 2: looking for the right Epstein Files-related Christmas presents. May I
- 58:54Speaker 2: humbly suggest, I don't even know, I have not read
- 58:57Speaker 2: this copy, as always. May I humbly suggest our Release
- 59:00Speaker 2: the Naughty List sweatshirt. We got ornaments, too.
- 59:05Speaker 3: Uh we decorated our christmas tree this weekend and we
- 59:10Speaker 3: were unpacking the boxes and i found the offline ornament from.
- 59:14Speaker 2: A few years ago that's a good one i like
- 59:16Speaker 2: that one i.
- 59:17Speaker 3: Was like what is oh this is from john's other
- 59:19Speaker 3: podcast that's what this is.
- 59:22Speaker 2: Anyway go check out offline Don't be that guy on
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- 1:01:10Speaker 3: Joining us now is House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries. Leader Jeffries,
- 1:01:13Speaker 3: welcome back to Positive America.
- 1:01:15Speaker 6: Great to be with you.
- 1:01:16Speaker 3: Let's start with some good news because that's what we
- 1:01:17Speaker 3: need these days. So on Tuesday night, Democrats, although we
- 1:01:20Speaker 3: didn't win, had a very good night in the special
- 1:01:23Speaker 3: election in the Tennessee's 7th District where Democrats outperformed Kamala
- 1:01:29Speaker 3: Harris's performance there by 13 points. I take it you
- 1:01:33Speaker 3: see that election as a positive sign in your quest
- 1:01:36Speaker 3: to retake the majority? And why do you think the
- 1:01:38Speaker 3: Democrats did so well?
- 1:01:39Speaker 12: Well, I think It's another positive sign on the trajectory
- 1:01:42Speaker 12: that we've seen from the very beginning of this year.
- 1:01:45Speaker 12: The first special election of this year took place in
- 1:01:48Speaker 12: late January, a state Senate seat in Iowa that Donald
- 1:01:53Speaker 12: Trump had just won the previous November by 21 points.
- 1:01:57Speaker 12: Democrats won it by four. That was a 25 point
- 1:01:59Speaker 12: over performance. We flipped that state Senate seat and we've
- 1:02:03Speaker 12: been winning special election after special election after special election
- 1:02:07Speaker 12: ever since. And if we've failed to win, we've overperformed dramatically,
- 1:02:13Speaker 12: as we just saw in Tennessee. And of course, during
- 1:02:17Speaker 12: the off-year elections that occurred in early November, we saw
- 1:02:22Speaker 12: decisive Democratic victories all across the country, in New Jersey,
- 1:02:26Speaker 12: in New York, in Virginia, in Pennsylvania, in Georgia, in Mississippi,
- 1:02:31Speaker 12: and of course, in California, with Prop 50 up and
- 1:02:34Speaker 12: down the ballot, at all points in between. I think
- 1:02:37Speaker 12: that the thing that unites these consistent Democratic victories, or
- 1:02:42Speaker 12: if we fall just short, our dramatic overperformance numbers, are
- 1:02:47Speaker 12: that the American people are tired of the extremism that
- 1:02:51Speaker 12: they've seen from Donald Trump, the failure to do anything
- 1:02:54Speaker 12: meaningful to make their life better, and Democrats, of course,
- 1:02:58Speaker 12: leaning in aggressively and consistently on two messages, affordability, we're
- 1:03:04Speaker 12: working hard to drive down the high cost of living,
- 1:03:06Speaker 12: which is out of control, and health care. We want
- 1:03:09Speaker 12: to fix our broken healthcare system and, of course, deal
- 1:03:12Speaker 12: with the Republican healthcare crisis that's crushing the American people.
- 1:03:17Speaker 3: So affordability was a big part of this campaign. It
- 1:03:20Speaker 3: was the central focus of Afton Bain's message to the
- 1:03:23Speaker 3: Democrat in that race. In New Jersey and Virginia, where
- 1:03:27Speaker 3: Democrats did well earlier this month, the Democrats not just
- 1:03:30Speaker 3: ran on saying prices were too high, but because they
- 1:03:33Speaker 3: were governors, had specific proposals about what they would do
- 1:03:36Speaker 3: to lower prices and you know, Mikey Sherrill, the governor-elect
- 1:03:39Speaker 3: of New Jersey, talked about freezing utility rates. As you
- 1:03:42Speaker 3: think about 2026 and the midterms, do Democrats need to
- 1:03:45Speaker 3: have some specific proposals about what we would do to
- 1:03:49Speaker 3: lower costs, not just what Trump has failed to do
- 1:03:51Speaker 3: to lower costs?
- 1:03:52Speaker 12: Yeah, I think that is going to be important as
- 1:03:54Speaker 12: we pivot from 2025 to 2026. And listen, there are
- 1:03:57Speaker 12: a variety of different ideas that we've already begun to articulate.
- 1:04:01Speaker 6: We need to repeal the Trump tariffs.
- 1:04:03Speaker 12: These tariffs have actually increased costs on everyday Americans, buy
- 1:04:08Speaker 12: thousands of dollars per year. That's both groceries and its goods.
- 1:04:12Speaker 12: And the American people are feeling it right now in
- 1:04:14Speaker 12: a significant way. Congress needs to reassert its authority in
- 1:04:18Speaker 12: this area because Donald Trump has usurped the congressional power
- 1:04:23Speaker 12: over tariffs, claimed some emergency authority, and as a result,
- 1:04:28Speaker 12: he's adversely impacting the American people. So one of the
- 1:04:30Speaker 12: first things that Congress can do is to repeal the
- 1:04:33Speaker 12: Trump tariffs. Absolutely essential if the Supreme Court doesn't beat
- 1:04:37Speaker 12: us to it. I think with respect to healthcare, and
- 1:04:40Speaker 12: when people talk about the affordability crisis, the three things
- 1:04:44Speaker 12: that I hear the most from folks as I travel
- 1:04:47Speaker 12: across the country, it's housing, it's healthcare, and of course,
- 1:04:50Speaker 12: it's groceries, goods, utilities. And in terms of healthcare, one
- 1:04:56Speaker 12: of the more immediate things that we need to do
- 1:04:58Speaker 12: right now is to extend the Affordable Care Act tax
- 1:05:00Speaker 12: credits because the failure to renew them is actually going
- 1:05:03Speaker 12: to result in tens of millions of people experiencing dramatically
- 1:05:06Speaker 12: increased health care costs. We're talking about $ 1, 000 or.
- 1:05:10Speaker 6: $ 2, 000 per month in some instances.
- 1:05:12Speaker 12: This is unaffordable for working class Americans, middle class Americans,
- 1:05:16Speaker 12: and everyday Americans. It's a big difference between what Democrats
- 1:05:19Speaker 12: are all about and what Republicans are all about. I
- 1:05:23Speaker 12: think on housing, we need to use the tax code
- 1:05:26Speaker 12: to both incentivize increased production to deal with the supply
- 1:05:32Speaker 12: problem that we have, And if you increase the supply
- 1:05:34Speaker 12: of housing, you bring down housing costs, both on the
- 1:05:37Speaker 12: rental side and on the homeownership side. But also, I think,
- 1:05:41Speaker 12: use the tax code to incentivize and make it easier
- 1:05:45Speaker 12: for first-time homebuyers to be able to purchase a home
- 1:05:51Speaker 12: and get their piece of the American dream. This was
- 1:05:53Speaker 12: done previously under President Barack Obama, as you know, in
- 1:05:57Speaker 12: the aftermath of the Great Recession.
- 1:06:00Speaker 6: And it was successful. I think we need to look
- 1:06:02Speaker 6: at that type of initiative.
- 1:06:03Speaker 12: What Republicans have done is use the tax code to
- 1:06:07Speaker 12: provide massive tax breaks to their billionaire donors while leaving
- 1:06:11Speaker 12: everyday Americans behind.
- 1:06:13Speaker 3: Could you see the Democratic leadership putting together an equivalent
- 1:06:18Speaker 3: of what the Democrats did in 2006, which was a
- 1:06:21Speaker 3: six for six, like a set of policy ideas that
- 1:06:23Speaker 3: would be that most Democratic candidates, whether incumbents or challengers,
- 1:06:26Speaker 3: could run on? Is that one of the things you
- 1:06:28Speaker 3: guys in your leadership team are thinking about?
- 1:06:30Speaker 12: Yeah, it's definitely under discussion, and we've been in conversation
- 1:06:33Speaker 12: about that. Initially, we wanted to make sure that we
- 1:06:36Speaker 12: just articulated a framework around three different issues. The economy affordability,
- 1:06:40Speaker 12: issue one. Issue two, health care. And issue three, corruption.
- 1:06:45Speaker 12: And to make clear to the American people, listen, what
- 1:06:48Speaker 12: we'll focus on as House Democrats are driving down the
- 1:06:50Speaker 12: high cost of living because America's too expensive. We're focused
- 1:06:54Speaker 12: on fixing our broken health care system, which Republicans are destroying.
- 1:06:59Speaker 12: Largest cut to Medicaid in American history. Hospitals, nursing homes,
- 1:07:03Speaker 12: community-based health clinics closing all across America because of their
- 1:07:07Speaker 12: one big ugly bill. Their refusal to extend the Affordable
- 1:07:10Speaker 12: Care Act tax credits. That's a disaster. They're attacking the
- 1:07:14Speaker 12: Centers for Disease Control, the National Institute of Health, making
- 1:07:18Speaker 12: it harder for people to get vaccines, including children. It's
- 1:07:21Speaker 12: an all-out assault on the health care of the American people.
- 1:07:24Speaker 12: We need to fix our broken health care system. And
- 1:07:26Speaker 12: then third, deal with the corruption that exists in the Congress,
- 1:07:31Speaker 12: in the courts, and of course with the administration, the
- 1:07:34Speaker 12: most corrupt presidential administration in American history. Now that we've
- 1:07:38Speaker 12: got a framework of the issues that we want to
- 1:07:40Speaker 12: work on, economy, health care, corruption, I think the logical
- 1:07:47Speaker 12: next step for us is to begin to articulate to
- 1:07:50Speaker 12: the American people some more concrete ideas as to what
- 1:07:54Speaker 12: a Democratic majority in the House would look like.
- 1:07:56Speaker 3: On the Obamacare tax credits, Senator Schumer is reportedly going
- 1:08:00Speaker 3: to propose a three-year clean extension and try to force
- 1:08:03Speaker 3: a vote on that. You guys have been pushing that.
- 1:08:06Speaker 3: Where does that stand, and are you open to negotiating
- 1:08:08Speaker 3: with the Republicans on it, or is the three-year clean
- 1:08:11Speaker 3: extension your bottom line?
- 1:08:13Speaker 12: Well, our view is that the most urgent and important
- 1:08:17Speaker 12: thing that we can do right now is to extend
- 1:08:19Speaker 12: the Affordable Care Act tax credits and the legislation and
- 1:08:22Speaker 12: the path to getting something toward an up or down
- 1:08:24Speaker 12: vote in the House right now runs through the House
- 1:08:27Speaker 12: Democratic proposal in our discharge petition. All 214 Democrats support
- 1:08:32Speaker 12: that discharge petition, which means, as you know, Dan, that
- 1:08:36Speaker 12: all we need are four Republicans. There are 219 of them.
- 1:08:40Speaker 12: Dozens of them have said that they know we need
- 1:08:44Speaker 12: to extend the Affordable Care Act tax credits. All we
- 1:08:46Speaker 12: need are four to join us. And then, of course,
- 1:08:49Speaker 12: in the Senate, let's see what happens next week. Now,
- 1:08:52Speaker 12: Months have gone by, and we've repeatedly said to our
- 1:08:55Speaker 12: Republican colleagues, we are willing to work together to find
- 1:08:59Speaker 12: a bipartisan path forward, find some common ground, but we
- 1:09:03Speaker 12: have to extend the Affordable Care Act tax credits on
- 1:09:06Speaker 12: a multi-year basis. And Republicans have talked a lot and
- 1:09:12Speaker 12: done nothing. So, I think time is running out to
- 1:09:16Speaker 12: do anything other than a straight extension, but You know,
- 1:09:20Speaker 12: when we return to Washington next week, if there are
- 1:09:23Speaker 12: traditional Republicans who put a proposal forward in good faith,
- 1:09:29Speaker 12: we'll certainly evaluate it.
- 1:09:31Speaker 6: But their leadership.
- 1:09:32Speaker 12: Has shown no interest in doing anything, which is why
- 1:09:37Speaker 12: we launched a discharge petition and are working hard to
- 1:09:40Speaker 12: get four House Republicans to join us.
- 1:09:43Speaker 3: The other big news happening on Capitol Hill today is
- 1:09:46Speaker 3: the Trump administration briefed senior members of Congress, Intel, the
- 1:09:50Speaker 3: Armed Services Committee leaders about this very controversial boat strike
- 1:09:54Speaker 3: in Venezuela that involved a second strike that killed two survivors.
- 1:09:59Speaker 3: I understand they showed the video. Have you been briefed
- 1:10:02Speaker 3: on that by your team? And what's your reaction to
- 1:10:05Speaker 3: where this stands right now?
- 1:10:07Speaker 12: Yeah, I haven't had the opportunity to go down to
- 1:10:10Speaker 12: the SCIF to view the video during the time. that
- 1:10:13Speaker 12: the admiral was there, but individuals who have seen the
- 1:10:16Speaker 12: video have made clear it's very disturbing and certainly demands
- 1:10:22Speaker 12: further investigation, which is what I expect will take place.
- 1:10:26Speaker 12: Pete Hegseth clearly is a disgrace, called for his resignation
- 1:10:30Speaker 12: months ago, and the sooner he's gone, the better off
- 1:10:35Speaker 12: for the American people. And I think the American people
- 1:10:38Speaker 12: increasingly know that. The question for us is, You know,
- 1:10:44Speaker 12: why is it that we have a president who claims
- 1:10:49Speaker 12: to want to stop the flow of narcotics into this country,
- 1:10:54Speaker 12: is engaging in what appears to be extrajudicial killings? We've
- 1:10:58Speaker 12: yet to see any authority or evidence presented to the Congress,
- 1:11:03Speaker 12: either in a public way or in a secure location,
- 1:11:07Speaker 12: to justify the strikes that have taken place, including this
- 1:11:10Speaker 12: horrific one, And yet, same period of time, Donald Trump
- 1:11:16Speaker 12: pardons one of the biggest narco traffickers, narco terrorists, the
- 1:11:21Speaker 12: former Honduran president, in the world. And so it's very
- 1:11:29Speaker 12: unfortunate that the administration can't really be taken seriously here.
- 1:11:36Speaker 12: And now we've seen efforts by them to obfuscate the
- 1:11:40Speaker 12: fact that.
- 1:11:42Speaker 6: The buck should stop with the leadership.
- 1:11:45Speaker 12: And that certainly means the so-called Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth.
- 1:11:51Speaker 3: Earlier in this sort of as reporting came out about
- 1:11:54Speaker 3: this with the big Washington Post story and some subsequent reporting,
- 1:11:57Speaker 3: there seemed to be an appetite, at least in the Senate,
- 1:12:01Speaker 3: but maybe in the House too, for bipartisan investigations into
- 1:12:04Speaker 3: this bipartisan oversight and the way in which Congress used
- 1:12:07Speaker 3: to operate before these Republicans got in charge. Do you
- 1:12:11Speaker 3: see any chance of that in the House? Or was
- 1:12:13Speaker 3: this briefing probably enough to get sort of the lemmings
- 1:12:16Speaker 3: back in line?
- 1:12:18Speaker 12: You know, well, I got to be honest that I'm
- 1:12:20Speaker 12: very skeptical of the Republican willingness to actually act like
- 1:12:26Speaker 12: a separate and co-equal branch of government. Because what we've
- 1:12:28Speaker 12: seen from the very beginning of Donald Trump's time in
- 1:12:31Speaker 12: office is that they're just sycophants. And when he says jump,
- 1:12:35Speaker 12: they say how high. They're nothing more than reckless rubber
- 1:12:39Speaker 12: stamps for his extreme agenda. But it has been interesting
- 1:12:43Speaker 12: to see Republicans, certainly in the Senate, and even Mike Rogers,
- 1:12:47Speaker 12: who issued a strong statement calling for an investigation and
- 1:12:53Speaker 12: then followed it up by opening up the investigation and
- 1:12:57Speaker 12: demanding that the admiral come to Capitol Hill as part
- 1:13:02Speaker 12: of the process of that ongoing investigation. So now it
- 1:13:05Speaker 12: remains to be seen when Donald Trump cracks the whip,
- 1:13:08Speaker 12: what's going to happen But this issue is now broken
- 1:13:10Speaker 12: into the public domain. And it's going to be hard
- 1:13:14Speaker 12: for them to try to misdirect the attention of the
- 1:13:21Speaker 12: American people at this point because it's horrific what has occurred.
- 1:13:26Speaker 12: And as you know, the American people overwhelmingly are not
- 1:13:29Speaker 12: interested in another foreign war. It's deeply unpopular, including with
- 1:13:34Speaker 12: elements of Donald Trump's MAGA base. So I think it
- 1:13:38Speaker 12: may be the case that some Republicans are both repulsed
- 1:13:42Speaker 12: by Pete Hegseth and also understand that parts of their
- 1:13:48Speaker 12: base aren't necessarily interested in the path that Donald Trump
- 1:13:52Speaker 12: seems to be dragging us down as it relates to
- 1:13:56Speaker 12: Venezuela and the possibility of another failed foreign war.
- 1:14:00Speaker 3: I assume that if the Republicans, if there's no bipartisan
- 1:14:04Speaker 3: oversight of this, the Republicans do not do their duty here,
- 1:14:07Speaker 3: that this would be a ripe line of investigation for
- 1:14:10Speaker 3: a Democratic majority in 2027.
- 1:14:12Speaker 6: Yeah, there's no doubt about it. But listen, the line
- 1:14:15Speaker 6: is also very long.
- 1:14:16Speaker 12: We've got an out-of-control Homeland Security Secretary, an out-of-control Attorney General,
- 1:14:25Speaker 12: an out-of-control Secretary of Health and Human Services, all doing
- 1:14:29Speaker 12: great harm to the American people, to due process, to
- 1:14:32Speaker 12: the rule of law, to law-abiding immigrant families and communities
- 1:14:37Speaker 12: because of what has been unleashed by ICE and the
- 1:14:40Speaker 12: Department of Homeland Security in ways that are turning off
- 1:14:43Speaker 12: the American people significantly. And then, of course, we've got
- 1:14:46Speaker 12: the most unqualified so-called Secretary of Defense in American history.
- 1:14:51Speaker 12: And so from an oversight standpoint, there's going to be
- 1:14:54Speaker 12: a lot to do.
- 1:14:55Speaker 3: Yes, I can imagine.
- 1:14:56Speaker 6: And we are prepared to do it all.
- 1:14:59Speaker 3: Going back to the Tennessee election for a second, the
- 1:15:02Speaker 3: Democrat did overperform by 13 points. That's a few points
- 1:15:04Speaker 3: less than Democrats have traditionally have been performing in these
- 1:15:07Speaker 3: congressional special elections this year, about five points. Part of
- 1:15:10Speaker 3: the discourse that happened afterwards among a lot of sort
- 1:15:13Speaker 3: of political strategists and pundits was the candidate, the nominee,
- 1:15:17Speaker 3: who I think ran a vigorous race in terms of
- 1:15:19Speaker 3: turning out the base, particularly in Davidson County where Nashville is,
- 1:15:23Speaker 3: but was probably not the best ideological fit for the district.
- 1:15:27Speaker 3: She was quite liberal. endorsed by the DSA, had been
- 1:15:31Speaker 3: a very active organizer who had a lot of videos
- 1:15:34Speaker 3: of the Republicans sort of weaponized. I don't know that
- 1:15:36Speaker 3: another candidate would have won that race. I'm not arguing that.
- 1:15:39Speaker 3: But as you think about 2026, to win the majority,
- 1:15:45Speaker 3: and especially win a sustainable majority where you actually have
- 1:15:48Speaker 3: a margin for error, you're going to have to win
- 1:15:50Speaker 3: districts that Trump won by five, six, seven, eight, nine,
- 1:15:52Speaker 3: sometimes more than 10 points. How are you thinking about
- 1:15:56Speaker 3: candidate selection there? And are you and the DCCC planning
- 1:15:59Speaker 3: on getting involved to sort of ensure that the candidates
- 1:16:02Speaker 3: that you think are the best fit would be nominated?
- 1:16:06Speaker 12: Well, it's certainly the case that we want to make
- 1:16:08Speaker 12: sure that there are Democrats whose life experiences and whose
- 1:16:14Speaker 12: perspectives match the districts that they're hoping to represent. That's
- 1:16:18Speaker 12: the reality all across the country. And that will differ
- 1:16:20Speaker 12: from place to place. In the Deep South, It differs
- 1:16:24Speaker 12: from the Midwest. In the Midwest, it may differ from
- 1:16:26Speaker 12: the coast in terms of the type of candidate, the
- 1:16:31Speaker 12: type of life experiences, the type of perspective. We've got
- 1:16:34Speaker 12: to make sure that they're authentic, of course, that they're
- 1:16:37Speaker 12: communicating on the issues that matter, as was done in
- 1:16:41Speaker 12: Tennessee in terms of speaking aggressively to the issue of affordability,
- 1:16:46Speaker 12: but that there's a sense that they can connect to
- 1:16:51Speaker 12: the broadest possible swath of the electorate. And there are
- 1:16:56Speaker 12: always two things that have to be done, as you know,
- 1:16:59Speaker 12: to win these elections. Energize the base and then move
- 1:17:04Speaker 12: swing voters who can go either way in your direction.
- 1:17:08Speaker 12: And we certainly, I think, are going to make sure
- 1:17:11Speaker 12: that there are as many candidates who are able to
- 1:17:15Speaker 12: do both as possible. Everybody on Capitol Hill, whether you're
- 1:17:18Speaker 12: a progressive or a blue dog or a new damn nose,
- 1:17:23Speaker 12: To win these tough seats, you got to do both things.
- 1:17:26Speaker 12: Energize the base and move swing voters in your direction. Now,
- 1:17:30Speaker 12: a lot of that has to do with speaking to
- 1:17:32Speaker 12: the issues that matter authentically around driving down the high
- 1:17:35Speaker 12: cost of living and, of course, addressing the healthcare crisis
- 1:17:39Speaker 12: that exists in America and just generally wanting to make
- 1:17:42Speaker 12: life better for the American people. But, you know, I
- 1:17:47Speaker 12: think what was successful for us in 2018 was And
- 1:17:52Speaker 12: there were New Dems and there were Blue Dogs and
- 1:17:54Speaker 12: there were progressives like Katie Porter who won swing districts.
- 1:17:59Speaker 12: But what they had in common was that they spoke authentically.
- 1:18:04Speaker 12: They were from their communities. They had a real close, authentic,
- 1:18:09Speaker 12: affectionate relationship that was developed with the people that they
- 1:18:13Speaker 12: were hoping to represent. And they had life experiences that
- 1:18:19Speaker 12: made clear to folks that, you know what? I'm not
- 1:18:22Speaker 12: a career politician. I'm interested in serving the people.
- 1:18:29Speaker 3: Your counterpart, Speaker Mike Johnson, has been having a tough week.
- 1:18:32Speaker 3: It seems like chaos is breaking out across the Capitol.
- 1:18:35Speaker 3: You have members of his own leadership team attacking him.
- 1:18:37Speaker 3: There were brief fears that there was going to be
- 1:18:42Speaker 3: members just retiring left and right, even further narrowing his
- 1:18:44Speaker 3: incredibly narrow majority. I don't know how much scuttlebutt you're
- 1:18:47Speaker 3: picking up or what you're able to observe on the floor,
- 1:18:50Speaker 3: but what is happening over there in the Republican caucus
- 1:18:51Speaker 3: right now?
- 1:18:53Speaker 12: Yeah, I mean, it's the GOP civil war that is raging.
- 1:18:56Speaker 12: The bottom line is they can't stand each other. And
- 1:19:00Speaker 12: a lot of them hate Mike Johnson.
- 1:19:02Speaker 2: We have that in common.
- 1:19:05Speaker 12: Well, this is somebody who apparently has repeatedly lied to them,
- 1:19:09Speaker 12: And we know he's repeatedly lied to the American people.
- 1:19:12Speaker 12: And they're falling apart over there. They have no affirmative agenda.
- 1:19:16Speaker 12: They've done nothing to make life better for the American people.
- 1:19:19Speaker 12: And I think we kind of reached a boiling point
- 1:19:22Speaker 12: to some degree this week because, again, you've got them
- 1:19:27Speaker 12: not doing a damn thing to even pretend like they
- 1:19:31Speaker 12: care about dealing with the high cost of living or
- 1:19:34Speaker 12: addressing the fact that the Affordable Care Act tax credits
- 1:19:37Speaker 12: are going to expire this In just a few weeks.
- 1:19:40Speaker 12: And I think a lot of Republicans like Elise Stefanik,
- 1:19:43Speaker 12: who I've never really agreed with on any other issue before,
- 1:19:47Speaker 12: but clearly she can't stand him at this point and,
- 1:19:52Speaker 12: you know, believes.
- 1:19:53Speaker 6: That they're rudderless.
- 1:19:55Speaker 12: And then you've got a group of other people who
- 1:19:57Speaker 12: are like, why have we continued to castrate our majority
- 1:20:02Speaker 12: and not even pretend as if we are a separate
- 1:20:06Speaker 12: and co-equal branch of government? And I think as Donald
- 1:20:08Speaker 12: Trump's approval ratings continue to speed rapidly toward the basement,
- 1:20:14Speaker 12: he's at 36 in Gallup, maybe it in fact is
- 1:20:17Speaker 12: the case that some House Republicans are like, yeah, do
- 1:20:21Speaker 12: we have to agree with him on every single thing?
- 1:20:24Speaker 12: Can't we find some space, particularly now that we're heading
- 1:20:28Speaker 12: into an election cycle that looks increasingly difficult for us?
- 1:20:33Speaker 12: So it's going to be very interesting to see how
- 1:20:35Speaker 12: things unfold. in the next week or so, they already
- 1:20:41Speaker 12: have such a narrow majority. And this I think was
- 1:20:44Speaker 12: underappreciated heading into this year, that it was a tough
- 1:20:49Speaker 12: cycle and it's very bitter for all of us to
- 1:20:53Speaker 12: have to absorb that we're dealing with this guy at
- 1:20:55Speaker 12: 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue again. And that of course we fell
- 1:20:59Speaker 12: just short in the House of Representatives. But the reality
- 1:21:04Speaker 12: is that when Donald Trump came into office, in 2017,
- 1:21:09Speaker 12: he just lost the popular vote, but he walked into
- 1:21:13Speaker 12: a Congress with a majority of 241 House Republicans and
- 1:21:17Speaker 12: only 194 Democrats. This time around, Donald Trump wins the
- 1:21:22Speaker 12: popular vote and unfortunately does better directionally in every single
- 1:21:27Speaker 12: state in the union, and yet he doesn't walk into
- 1:21:32Speaker 12: Congress with a big majority He walks into Congress with
- 1:21:36Speaker 12: the narrowest majority that any party has had since the
- 1:21:39Speaker 12: Great Depression. 220 House Republicans, 215 Democrats. And so things
- 1:21:46Speaker 12: are very fragile for them. And that is also why
- 1:21:51Speaker 12: we're starting to see the cracks really emerge, because just
- 1:21:55Speaker 12: a handful of Republicans who express dissent can collapse the
- 1:21:59Speaker 12: whole situation.
- 1:22:01Speaker 3: Last question for you, Leader Jeffries. You brought up, you
- 1:22:04Speaker 3: talked about how corruption is part of the message. You
- 1:22:06Speaker 3: brought up Trump's pardon of the drug trafficker. I want
- 1:22:11Speaker 3: to talk to you a little bit about Trump's pardon
- 1:22:15Speaker 3: of your Democratic colleague, Congressman Cuellar, who serves in one
- 1:22:18Speaker 3: of the most endangered districts in the country. You told
- 1:22:21Speaker 3: CNN you thought that was probably the right outcome. Is
- 1:22:23Speaker 3: that really the right outcome here, or would it have
- 1:22:25Speaker 3: been better to go through the actual court process?
- 1:22:28Speaker 6: Yeah, here's what I thought.
- 1:22:29Speaker 12: You know, what Donald Trump has done in other instances
- 1:22:31Speaker 12: is actually pardon people after the fact who've already been
- 1:22:35Speaker 12: convicted by a jury of his or her peers in
- 1:22:39Speaker 12: a court of law. That's completely and totally unacceptable. Now,
- 1:22:43Speaker 12: I don't know why Donald Trump actually decided to go
- 1:22:46Speaker 12: down this road, but it is my view that the
- 1:22:51Speaker 12: charges that have been brought against Cuellar, and he's innocent
- 1:22:56Speaker 12: until proven guilty, and whether you're a member of Congress,
- 1:23:00Speaker 12: or an everyday American taxpayer, hardworking American taxpayer, you're entitled
- 1:23:05Speaker 12: to that presumption that the charges that had been filed,
- 1:23:10Speaker 12: to me, read as very thin. Now, there may be
- 1:23:16Speaker 12: members of the Department of Justice who brought this case,
- 1:23:19Speaker 12: who take a different perspective, and that's certainly fair for
- 1:23:21Speaker 12: them to take that perspective.
- 1:23:24Speaker 6: But what we've also.
- 1:23:25Speaker 12: Seen is that these type of cases have repeatedly been
- 1:23:29Speaker 12: thrown out by the Supreme Court. Now this has happened
- 1:23:34Speaker 12: over and over and over again by people on the
- 1:23:39Speaker 12: Supreme Court who don't otherwise agree with each other. Literally
- 1:23:43Speaker 12: 8090 decisions. Everyone from Ketanji Brown Jackson to Elena Kagan
- 1:23:52Speaker 12: to Sonia Sotomayor joining with John Roberts and Justice Kavanaugh
- 1:23:57Speaker 12: and others. throwing out these very cases. And so that's
- 1:24:03Speaker 12: the perspective that I articulated. And it wasn't just based
- 1:24:06Speaker 12: on the specific facts connected to that case that was brought,
- 1:24:12Speaker 12: but the pattern that has repeatedly appeared over and over
- 1:24:16Speaker 12: and over again, ultimately resulting in public servants being exonerated
- 1:24:23Speaker 12: by the Supreme Court, whether they were Democrats or Republicans.
- 1:24:27Speaker 3: But I mean, so I'd say a couple of things here.
- 1:24:29Speaker 3: One is, yeah, everyone, you're exactly right, is presumed innocent
- 1:24:32Speaker 3: until proven guilty. There will never be an opportunity to
- 1:24:34Speaker 3: prove someone guilty here. But it's also in many of
- 1:24:37Speaker 3: these cases, and as you say, he's presumed innocent right now.
- 1:24:42Speaker 3: But many of these cases, it's not that the conduct
- 1:24:44Speaker 3: was actually not corrupt. I'm not talking about this specific
- 1:24:49Speaker 3: case involving Representative Acquiar, but in the cases that have
- 1:24:51Speaker 3: been thrown out by the Supreme Court and other courts,
- 1:24:54Speaker 3: It's that the Supreme Court has just raised the threshold
- 1:24:56Speaker 3: of what an actual crime of bribery is. It's so
- 1:24:59Speaker 3: high that it's hard to meet. And so under this
- 1:25:02Speaker 3: current threshold, you're getting– there's a lot of corruption that's
- 1:25:04Speaker 3: happening that is not criminal. Having said that, I think
- 1:25:08Speaker 3: the question here is– I'm not a legal scholar. I
- 1:25:11Speaker 3: can't argue that case, so I won't. But from the
- 1:25:15Speaker 3: political perspective here, corruption is one of your– the three pillars,
- 1:25:20Speaker 3: as it absolutely should be. I 100% agree this is
- 1:25:22Speaker 3: the most corrupt– administration in history, more corrupt than Nixon.
- 1:25:25Speaker 3: And there's nothing that better embodies that corruption than Trump's
- 1:25:29Speaker 3: pardon process, where he's just doling out pardons to crypto
- 1:25:33Speaker 3: people who have given his family money, to people doing
- 1:25:36Speaker 3: business deals with his son, to these drug traffickers. Do
- 1:25:40Speaker 3: you think it makes it harder for Democrats to run
- 1:25:43Speaker 3: against those pardons or criticize those pardons when the one
- 1:25:45Speaker 3: pardon we're okay with is the one that happens to
- 1:25:48Speaker 3: be for someone on our side?
- 1:25:50Speaker 12: Well, there actually, I think, have probably been a few
- 1:25:53Speaker 12: other pardons that he's issued in the criminal justice area
- 1:25:57Speaker 12: related to people, African-Americans largely. And a lot of this
- 1:26:00Speaker 12: happened during the first Trump administration. And I, of course,
- 1:26:04Speaker 12: worked with some parts of the administration to enact the
- 1:26:09Speaker 12: First Step Act, the largest, most successful criminal justice reform
- 1:26:13Speaker 12: legislation to merge through Congress in a century. And it,
- 1:26:18Speaker 12: in fact, has resulted in tens of thousands of people
- 1:26:22Speaker 12: being released from incarceration because of the failed war on
- 1:26:26Speaker 12: drugs that we've finally begun to turn around in some way, shape,
- 1:26:30Speaker 12: or form. We've still got a lot of work to
- 1:26:32Speaker 12: do to deal with mass incarceration and particularly its impact
- 1:26:36Speaker 12: on black and brown communities. So I take your point
- 1:26:40Speaker 12: more broadly on the corruption issue. I think that our
- 1:26:45Speaker 12: view on corruption is that we've got to clean up
- 1:26:47Speaker 12: the mess in every single institution. So that means the Congress,
- 1:26:51Speaker 12: that means the courts, and that certainly means the administration. Now,
- 1:26:56Speaker 12: in that vein, I think the one piece of legislation
- 1:27:00Speaker 12: that we've united behind as House Democrats and Senate Democrats
- 1:27:05Speaker 12: is that we have to prohibit congressional stock trading. And that,
- 1:27:10Speaker 12: you're right, if we're gonna go after corruption, we should
- 1:27:13Speaker 12: go after it wherever we find it, which is why,
- 1:27:17Speaker 12: Out of the gate, our view is we need to
- 1:27:19Speaker 12: ban congressional stock trading.
- 1:27:21Speaker 6: It should not happen. There's no justification for it.
- 1:27:24Speaker 12: It also shouldn't happen in terms of judges or justices
- 1:27:29Speaker 12: who get to decide cases before them where they may
- 1:27:33Speaker 12: actually have a financial interest connected to stock that they own.
- 1:27:36Speaker 12: And it also should never happen with the administration. Donald Trump, J.D. Vance, president,
- 1:27:41Speaker 12: vice president, cabinet secretaries. It's insane that Donald Trump has
- 1:27:46Speaker 12: actually most recently purchased hundreds of thousands of dollars, if
- 1:27:51Speaker 12: not millions of dollars, in Warner Brothers stock at the
- 1:27:53Speaker 12: same time his administration is deciding on a potential merger
- 1:27:57Speaker 12: that would be a financial boon to the company and
- 1:28:00Speaker 12: therefore any stockholders. But on this issue, the corruption issue,
- 1:28:06Speaker 12: we've intentionally decided to start by addressing the mess that
- 1:28:12Speaker 12: exists in our own house. And that's why we've led,
- 1:28:16Speaker 12: to your point, to make sure that we maintain the
- 1:28:19Speaker 12: high ground on banning congressional stock trading.
- 1:28:23Speaker 3: And will you guys sign the discharge petition that a
- 1:28:25Speaker 3: Republican representative has put forward to try to bring this
- 1:28:27Speaker 3: to a vote?
- 1:28:28Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 1:28:28Speaker 12: So I am scheduled to talk with a few of
- 1:28:30Speaker 12: the leaders on that issue over the weekend. And that
- 1:28:34Speaker 12: includes you know, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, of course, Pramila Jayapal,
- 1:28:39Speaker 12: Joe Morelli, Seth Magaziner, whose legislation is connected to the
- 1:28:43Speaker 12: bill that may be discharged, to figure out what path
- 1:28:46Speaker 12: we want to take and whether Republicans are serious. Part
- 1:28:48Speaker 12: of the challenge that we have here is Mike Johnson
- 1:28:52Speaker 12: immediately said, we're not bringing that bill to the floor
- 1:28:55Speaker 12: of the House of Representatives.
- 1:28:58Speaker 6: And so.
- 1:28:59Speaker 12: We haven't had the opportunity to even talk to our
- 1:29:02Speaker 12: Republican colleagues about, okay, what's the strategy? We can try
- 1:29:05Speaker 12: to discharge this bill, but then are they going to
- 1:29:08Speaker 12: stick with us when Mike Johnson erects these other procedural
- 1:29:12Speaker 12: obstacles that he could erect to try to prevent the
- 1:29:15Speaker 12: bill from getting an up or down vote? So we
- 1:29:17Speaker 12: just want to make sure that we've got reliable, at
- 1:29:21Speaker 12: least I want to make sure we've got reliable partners
- 1:29:24Speaker 12: on the other side of the aisle so we can
- 1:29:26Speaker 12: see this through. and make a clear promise to the
- 1:29:28Speaker 12: American people that we're going to deliver it. Now, I
- 1:29:30Speaker 12: can guarantee you, when House Democrats take back control of
- 1:29:33Speaker 12: the majority, if this issue is not resolved, we are
- 1:29:36Speaker 12: going to resolve it and make sure that we ban
- 1:29:39Speaker 12: congressional stock trading and then move on to the other
- 1:29:41Speaker 12: aspects of corruption that exist in the other branches of government.
- 1:29:45Speaker 12: But we're going to start by making sure we address
- 1:29:48Speaker 12: the challenges that we have in our own house.
- 1:29:51Speaker 3: Leader Jeffries, thank you so much for joining us, and
- 1:29:53Speaker 3: we'll talk to you again soon.
- 1:29:54Speaker 6: Thanks so much, man.
- 1:30:00Speaker 2: That's our show for today. Thanks to Hakeem Jeffries for
- 1:30:02Speaker 2: coming on. Alex Wagner will be back in the feed
- 1:30:05Speaker 2: on Sunday with a discussion with The Atlantic's Michael Scherer
- 1:30:07Speaker 2: about the rise of RFK Jr. Check it out. Bye, everyone.
- 1:30:11Speaker 3: Bye, everyone.
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