Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 529 - 6/11/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome to episode 529 of the All Systems Go sports
- 0:19Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:22I am your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:31Happy Thirsty Thursday, another day here in the arena guys and
- 0:35it is a very special day for multiple reasons, sports betting
- 0:39and of course non sports betting related.
- 0:40I'll tell you that here in a second, but a lot to get to on
- 0:43today's podcast. I'm giving the final official 22
- 0:48trains leaving the station last. Call the official last.
- 0:51Call to join the Applebaum World Cup Survivor contest with Splash
- 0:56Sports. I actually spent the morning
- 0:58picking my four teams, so in round one.
- 1:01Group stage you got to pick. Four teams to.
- 1:03Get out of the group stage. There's twelve groups.
- 1:05There's four. Teams per group, the top 2
- 1:07advance. So I'm actually going to walk
- 1:09through my thought process of how I pick these four teams.
- 1:13You may agree. Or disagree but.
- 1:14This is the way I ended up figuring it out using the Splash
- 1:17Sports Advance analytics percentage chance to advance
- 1:21also by looking at the World Cup projections here from
- 1:25Polymarket. So just want to mention, as
- 1:28always, final, final invitation here.
- 1:30Come on in join the World Cup Survivor contest.
- 1:33This contest closes at 3:00 PM Eastern Time today.
- 1:36So by the time this pod gets posted, you're only going to
- 1:38have an hour, maybe 2 hours to get in.
- 1:41But we're up to 54 entries so it's nice to see.
- 1:45Big, big. Push here With more people
- 1:46joining, $25 per entry. You can win up to 22,500.
- 1:51And again, it starts with picking your four teams and then
- 1:54you'll go round by round in the elimination round, knockout
- 1:56round by just picking one team per round.
- 1:58So we're going to talk some World Cup.
- 2:01We are also going to talk some MLB.
- 2:03I have two Major League Baseball.
- 2:04Plays for you today guys. 2 favorites.
- 2:06A day game and a night game. 1 short favorite, one bigger
- 2:10favorite. And then I got to play in the
- 2:12NHL Stanley Cup Finals. That's right.
- 2:15Just when they just want to think I'm out, they pull me back
- 2:17in. So this is another scared money.
- 2:19Don't make no money. Play with a sharp line move.
- 2:23Good bet splits. And also maybe taking advantage
- 2:25here, hopefully of a it's available to me, hopefully it's
- 2:28available to you and odds boost that bet MGM is offering to give
- 2:32us a better number. Here, so a three pack overall.
- 2:34Two MLB, one NHL. We're going to talk World Cup
- 2:37again. You got to get into this contest
- 2:39before 3:00 PM Eastern Time today.
- 2:41We're going to see if we can go 2IN1 eek out a winning day now
- 2:44real quick, I told. You.
- 2:45It's a big. Day sports betting and non
- 2:47sports betting related. You know what the?
- 2:49The non sports betting related big day part is for me.
- 2:52Tonight me and the wife got an early advance tickets to go.
- 2:57See disclosure day. That's right.
- 3:00I'm a huge Steven Spielberg fan. And you may or may not know I'm
- 3:03a huge alien person. I believe in aliens.
- 3:06We're getting to a point where I don't even know if you have to
- 3:08believe anymore. We're seeing a lot of a lot of,
- 3:10you know, whistleblowers and. All these pilots who.
- 3:13And again, here I go on a tangent before we get to all of
- 3:15our betting, but all these, you know, fighter pilots and people.
- 3:19With all these, great. Credentials who have flown
- 3:21planes for the military forever. Why would they?
- 3:24Lie. Why would they?
- 3:25Make themselves look stupid. Why would they go out on a limb
- 3:28if they weren't fully, you know, aware and fully truthful about
- 3:32what they've seen? So disclosure day.
- 3:35It is the IT. Is the new Spielberg movie.
- 3:37We got tickets tonight and we're going to drop off my daughter.
- 3:40At her at. Her grandma's house and me and
- 3:43the wife get to go out to dinner and go see Disclosure Day in
- 3:47theaters in the big screen, and I'll give you a.
- 3:49I'll give you a. Film review tomorrow.
- 3:51But again, I'm a believer. I woke.
- 3:53I grew up watching The X-Files with my mom.
- 3:56I went to Roswell. A couple years ago, with the
- 3:58wife, it was. A religious experience and I
- 4:01think we're getting closer to to maybe some some answers here.
- 4:04So Spielberg, don't let me down tonight.
- 4:07I've already heard good things and I cannot wait to watch
- 4:10disclosure day tonight on the big screen, big screen with the
- 4:13wife. So that's the non sports
- 4:15betting, you know info there now looking back to her last night,
- 4:19kind of look at it a couple ways guys.
- 4:20One overall was a disappointing night, one in 3 -, 2.2 units
- 4:24MLBO and three. Astros had an.
- 4:27Opportunity. I can't believe.
- 4:29They were tied 2:00 to 2:00. There was a run scored that I
- 4:33thought was a run. Scored, Alvarez slid.
- 4:35In and there's my my daughter starting to cry.
- 4:37I'm home alone with her. So maybe you have to pause this
- 4:39and go, go hold my daughter. I'll see how much I can get to
- 4:43before she cries too hard. You know, you kind of like, oh,
- 4:45there's a cry, maybe it'll dissipate or maybe it'll go to
- 4:47level 2. Well, we'll see here.
- 4:49But anyway, I thought the Astros would give us a late night
- 4:51winner because I thought Alvarez scored on a plate at the plate.
- 4:54Looked like he was safe they. Called him out.
- 4:55They lose in extra innings. Blue Jays lost seven to four
- 4:59against the Phillies. Scherzer, you might be washed up
- 5:01and done. The worst beat of the year
- 5:04though. The Nationals, our early day
- 5:06game yesterday, guys, they were up 9 to one in the eighth
- 5:09inning. How many times you up 9 to one
- 5:12in the eighth inning and you win that game?
- 5:13I would say 99.9% of the time. What happened?
- 5:16They gave up ten runs over the next two innings, 5 in the
- 5:20eighth, five more in the ninth. They got walked off on a Grand
- 5:22Slam. I don't even want to talk about
- 5:24it. It hurts too much to talk.
- 5:25About. But one of the worst beats I've
- 5:27suffered in quite a while. Up 9 to one in the eighth and
- 5:30you lose that game. How is that even freaking
- 5:32possible? But the most amazing play of the
- 5:35night. Again, I can't believe I didn't
- 5:36lead off. The pod today with.
- 5:37It the New York Knicks, unbelievable guys.
- 5:42They were down 29 points. It was one of the most
- 5:45frustrating games I've watched in a while.
- 5:46Here I am, you know, with the Knicks money line ticket.
- 5:49And of course, you know, we had a rhythm recommendation.
- 5:52We had a juice reel sharp mush. We had the percentages, splits,
- 5:55line move. Everything is lining up and it's
- 5:57like, here we go again. Everything lined up and I'm
- 5:59going to lose another NBA postseason play.
- 6:02But then maybe it was a little revenge or a little sweetener
- 6:05from our gnats implosion. But the Knicks came back from 29
- 6:08down, ended up winning the game. Unbelievable.
- 6:12I was looking at the live line on my odds logic live odds page
- 6:15and one book I saw when they're down by like 27 got up to plus
- 6:192500 on the live line from the comeback.
- 6:22So I don't know if anyone catch the plus 2500, but the Knicks
- 6:25unbelievably coming back, that was just absolutely incredible.
- 6:29And also haven't said this in a while, but.
- 6:31But that's why we. Always money line short.
- 6:34Favorites. Because the Knicks won the game
- 6:36by one. If you laid a 1 1/2 or A2 or a 2
- 6:381/2, you lost. If you went money line -125 you
- 6:41won the bet. So, you know, as as thrilling as
- 6:44that Knicks win was incredible. Obviously the Nats, the Blue
- 6:47Jays, that's in particular, and the Strohs let us down be the
- 6:51way guys sometimes. That's going to happen. 1 and 3
- 6:54-, 2.2 units. We're going to see if we can.
- 6:56Get a couple. Breaks today, hopefully cash.
- 6:58A couple. Sharp bets.
- 7:00So first put on the board or actually let me just mention
- 7:02this real quick. I want to give you a quick
- 7:04example of of how I came to select my four teams to advance
- 7:09out of the group. Stage.
- 7:09So reminder, when you join the Applebaum World Cup Survivor
- 7:13contest, you got to pick four teams first to advance.
- 7:16Don't don't expect by three. O'clock, today you just.
- 7:18Got to pick one team. No, you got to pick. 4.
- 7:20So here's my thought process looking at the the four teams
- 7:24and who to to. To to.
- 7:25Select, I should say the first thing I'm looking at is the
- 7:28percentages at Poly market, you know, huge prediction market
- 7:32here to, to win the World Cup. So basically my thought process
- 7:36is I don't want to use any of the good teams for my first 4
- 7:40picks. I want to save them.
- 7:41So Spain 17%, France 16%, England and Portugal 11%,
- 7:46Argentina and Brazil 9%. Those are 12345123456 teams that
- 7:53I want to save for the knockout round.
- 7:55Germany and the Netherlands, they're right behind them, 5%,
- 7:58four percent. OK, maybe I'll use them.
- 8:00And then Norway, Belgium, Colombia, Japan, Morocco, all
- 8:032%. Every other team is 1% or less.
- 8:06So I basically want to save Spain, France, England,
- 8:08Portugal, Argentina, Brazil, and maybe Germany and the
- 8:12Netherlands to use the knockout round.
- 8:14My next angle is I'm going to go to.
- 8:17The Splash Sports. Page and look at these
- 8:19percentage chances to advance because splashboard just comes
- 8:23out and tells you OK, here are the percentages.
- 8:25So the first team that I picked to advance was Morocco.
- 8:29They're in Group C. They have an 89% chance to
- 8:32advance. Brazil's the favorite 98%.
- 8:35But remember, you only need 2 teams to advance.
- 8:37But my angle to take Morocco is 89% chance and then the other
- 8:42angle is Scotland and Haiti. Those are the other.
- 8:44Two teams and they are I would knock on.
- 8:47Wouldn't say unlikely to advance because Scotland is +1000 to
- 8:52advance out of the group. Stage Haiti is plus. 1200 so I'm
- 8:55thinking Morocco 2% chance. Pretty good team took Morocco
- 9:00then I took Belgium. Belgium is 94% to advance out of
- 9:05their group stage. And I don't know, I'm close to
- 9:08having to grab my daughter. She's she's crying even harder.
- 9:11Where? Where's the wife when you need
- 9:12her? She's out at her.
- 9:14Chiropractor appointment. Anyway, group GI took Belgium to
- 9:19advance. They're the favorite.
- 9:20They're 94%. Belgium is in that. 3rd category
- 9:23so. They are not in the top 8,
- 9:26they'll be actually the 10th best odds, but they're 94% to
- 9:29advance and the other three teams in their in their.
- 9:33Group stage Egypt. +400 Iran plus 650 New Zealand plus 2000
- 9:39Belgium is -245 to advance and Belgium is a team that again, is
- 9:44not in the top 8. But very likely to.
- 9:47Advance. So I I took Belgium.
- 9:49I also took Uruguay. They are in.
- 9:51Group H So Uruguay. Has an 88% chance to advance.
- 9:56Uruguay. What I like about them is
- 9:59Spain's the favorite 98%, but you also got to look who are the
- 10:02other teams, two teams in the group.
- 10:04Stage for group H, the other. Two aside from Uruguay and Spain
- 10:09in Spain are Saudi Arabia and Cape.
- 10:11Verde, Saudi Arabia is. +3000 to win the group.
- 10:15Cape Verde is. +6000 so they're very unlikely.
- 10:18So I took Uruguay 80. 8% and Uruguay has I think the 12th
- 10:23best odds to win it all. So I'm trying to pick good teams
- 10:26that aren't the top teams but have a good match up in their
- 10:29group stage and hopefully can advance.
- 10:31Then the last team I picked was Colombia.
- 10:34Colombia is an 88% chance to advance out of group.
- 10:38K They have the. Second best odds to win their
- 10:41group at plus 190. Now Portugal's 94%.
- 10:44They're most likely going to advance.
- 10:46But again, who are the other two teams in this group?
- 10:49The Congo they are plus 1400, Uzbekistan is plus 3500, and
- 10:55Colombia has a 2% chance to advance.
- 10:57So I picked Morocco, Belgium, Uruguay and Colombia.
- 11:01These are teams that. All.
- 11:03Have at least 1% or more chance to win the whole thing.
- 11:05So it tells me they're in the better group of of teams.
- 11:09They have a high percentage chance based on the splash model
- 11:12and they're basically in a group where the other two teams that
- 11:15they have. To beat out.
- 11:17Because again, only top 2 have to advance have pretty, you
- 11:20know, long shot. Odds, so that's.
- 11:22How I did it, you might do it differently, but I just wanted
- 11:24to you know, give some insight into how I I selected those
- 11:27teams. So let's.
- 11:29Go, I got to got. To survive the first round,
- 11:31that's the key. Morocco, Belgium, Uruguay,
- 11:33Colombia. Hopefully they can all advance.
- 11:36Now let's look toward our. Games here for today guys First
- 11:39off. I want to talk some MLB I got.
- 11:41Two bets on the. Board first one is a early game
- 11:441:10 PM Eastern Time. First pitch we got the Minnesota
- 11:47Twins visiting the Detroit Tigers.
- 11:51So this is the rubber match of a three-game set.
- 11:53The Tigers are 28 and 40 on the year.
- 11:55They did win the opener for US. 3:50 came through a couple.
- 11:58Days. Ago as a -, 135 home favorite.
- 12:01Then we saw the twins, who are 31 and 38 on the year.
- 12:05They bounce back. With a six.
- 12:06To four win yesterday came through as a + 140 Rd.
- 12:11Dog. Now for the pitching matchup for
- 12:13this early afternoon showdown again, 1:10 PM Eastern Time
- 12:16first. Pitch, We have the.
- 12:18Twins going with the ready Zebby Matthews.
- 12:20He's two and three with a 4.15 ERA.
- 12:24We have the Tigers. On the other hand, going with
- 12:26the fellow ready Kaider Montero, he is 2 and four with a 3.95 ERA
- 12:31on the year. Now what have we seen across the
- 12:33market? Will this game open with Detroit
- 12:35listed as a -, 120 home favorite Minnesota A + 100 row dog and
- 12:40sharps going with the Tigers here.
- 12:42That's what I'm doing. Let's go Detroit cuz we've seen
- 12:45this line move. Further toward Detroit.
- 12:47They went from -120 now up to around -130 some shops even as
- 12:51high as -135 now. I like the.
- 12:54Splits on the Tigers. Over at Circa in Vegas, Really
- 12:57Sharp split 57% money line bets but 94% money line dollars.
- 13:02So it tells me. A lot of big money in Vegas
- 13:03going with the Tigers here. Just want to mention this.
- 13:06I'm on the Tigers money line. I got them -125 at Bally Bet, a
- 13:11lot of other books -130 even -135 but I did notice a lot of
- 13:15big money is on the Tigers run line as well.
- 13:17So if you're a little more bold -1 1/2 got to win by two or
- 13:20more, that's plus 160. And right now, DraftKings only
- 13:2451% spread bets, but 84% spread dollars are coming in on the
- 13:29Tigers run line. Now we got a lot of money line
- 13:32systems lighting up on Detroit. If you're a home favorite -140
- 13:36or less, which the Tigers match here, those teams are 182 and
- 13:39one 3657% with a 3% ROI This year.
- 13:44If you're a home favorite -140 or less facing an opponent who
- 13:47missed the playoffs the previous year, those teams are 120 and
- 13:518259 percent, 8% ROI. And then here's the best system
- 13:56when both teams are below 500. The home favorite -140 or less
- 14:00is 90 and 59. That is a 60% win rate, a 10%
- 14:04ROI this year. Now I want to fade Zebby
- 14:07Matthews. He's O and two with an 8.71 ERA
- 14:10on the road this year. And he's also been worse during
- 14:13the day. There's a day game, he's got a
- 14:155.19 ERA during the day, 2.77 at night.
- 14:20Hopefully the Tigers bullpen can hold it down for us.
- 14:23They have the better bullpen. ERA of 4.2 O versus 4.97 for
- 14:28Minnesota. That's the third worst in
- 14:29baseball. Tigers.
- 14:31Also nothing. Crazy, but a winning team at
- 14:33home, 17 and 16. Twins 13 and 20 on the road, A
- 14:37losing team. So a short number with Detroit
- 14:39Lions gone up. Toward the Tigers, we got a good
- 14:41split. At Circo we got a.
- 14:42Lot of system matches. Hopefully the Tigers bats.
- 14:45Can get to Matthews and oh by the way, noticed three rhythm
- 14:49recommendations, all three lighting up in favor.
- 14:52Of Detroit, so first bet. Of the day guys, would be nice
- 14:55if we can get a afternoon winner, not start off like
- 14:58yesterday's afternoon game where the Nats lost 9:00 to 1:00 on
- 15:00that. You know what?
- 15:01I'll never forget losing Nats 9 to 1 yesterday.
- 15:04I'll never forget winning Knicks down 29 yesterday.
- 15:07That's just the way betting goes.
- 15:09But anyway, first bet for me guys.
- 15:10Tigers -125 at Bally Bet next one for you.
- 15:14Let's look toward a six. 40 PM Eastern Time.
- 15:17Pitch for a match up here between the LA Dodgers and the
- 15:21Pittsburgh Pirates. Now this is the rubber match of
- 15:24a three-game set. Dodgers who are. 43 and 25 on
- 15:27the year they dominated the opener. 12 to three came through
- 15:30as a + 100 Rd. dog. Then we saw the.
- 15:33Pirates who are 30. 5 and 33 come back unbelievably.
- 15:37I think they were down like 8 to one or something.
- 15:39Came back in one 9:00 to 8:00. Yesterday as a plus. 170 home
- 15:44dog. And there we go.
- 15:45My daughter's crying. Let me, let me grab her.
- 15:48So pitching match up here for today.
- 15:51We have the lefty. Justin Roblevski going for the
- 15:53Dodgers, He's seven and two with a 2.62 ERA.
- 15:57Meanwhile, the Pirates going at the ready.
- 15:59Mitch Keller, He is five and three with a 4.81 ERA now.
- 16:04What have we seen across the market?
- 16:05By the way, you might hear my daughter making some Coos.
- 16:07I am now holding her in my arms as I.
- 16:09Record this pod I guess. As a dad, when mom's not here,
- 16:12you got to get creative. But anyway.
- 16:14We've seen this line open dodgers -150 on the.
- 16:17Road Pittsburgh around a. Plus 130 home dog and the line
- 16:21is moved up. Toward the Dodgers, get went
- 16:23from -150 up. To -170.
- 16:27Good. Splits on the Dodgers.
- 16:28At DK 88. Percent of money line bets 99%
- 16:32of money line. Dollars in their favor over at
- 16:35Circa Dodgers getting. 69% of money line bets, 90% of money
- 16:40line dollars. So we're seeing.
- 16:41A heavy split. Pro and Joe Low.
- 16:44Bets higher dollars at both DK and Circa in favor of LA.
- 16:47Now. Noticed a really good system
- 16:50lighting up. On the Dodgers.
- 16:51Know it's a bigger number here. I got Dodgers at minus. 166 at
- 16:55FanDuel. Definitely shop brown.
- 16:57We got some. Mostly minus one 70s.
- 16:59Even -170. Four I noticed, but we have non
- 17:02division Rd. favorites who are -150 or more.
- 17:06With a good. Win percentage of 610 or greater
- 17:09Dodgers would match. Those teams are 49 and 2170%.
- 17:13With a 7% ROI since the start of 2025.
- 17:17Also when both teams are above. 500.
- 17:20Just take the team receiving line movement.
- 17:22Dodgers would match here with that -150 up to -170.
- 17:26Those teams are 88 and 5362% with a 15% ROI this year.
- 17:32Roblevski, knock on wood, has been really good this year,
- 17:34especially on the road. He's four and one with a 2.31
- 17:38ERA. At night he's five in one with a
- 17:402.4 for, uh, a. And of course, he's on the road
- 17:44and playing a night. Game tonight.
- 17:46Meanwhile, Keller. He has an. 8.31 uh a.
- 17:49In his last five starts, he's given up. 24 earned runs.
- 17:52And 26 innings. Pitched.
- 17:54So I want to fade Keller. At home 5.22 uh a.
- 17:57Versus on the road 4.32 So he's giving up, you know, almost a
- 18:02full. Run more at home than on the
- 18:03road. And then during the day he's
- 18:05been decent 3 point O 7 ERA but at night 7 point O3.
- 18:10Dodgers, meanwhile. They're hitting 270.
- 18:12Against righties and 275 on the road, those are both number one
- 18:17in Major League Baseball. So it is a little bit bigger of
- 18:20a number here. We got a sharp line move toward
- 18:22the Dodgers. I was also reading how Otani
- 18:24last night was mad that he he didn't challenge a call and
- 18:28Dodgers blew a big lead. So Dodgers are a good.
- 18:30Proud team. You blow a lead.
- 18:32Come back the. Next day, I think they're
- 18:33motivated, or you would imagine they would be.
- 18:36So I'm back in the Dodgers here guys -1. 66 at FanDuel.
- 18:40Again, shop around. A lot of books closer to minus.
- 18:43170 ish. So, Tigers and Dodgers, let's
- 18:46try to get at least one. If we could get.
- 18:48Both. That'll be even better.
- 18:51Now last bed of the night. I would follow this under scared
- 18:54money. Don't make no money because
- 18:56again, had a couple plays early for NBA Finals and NHL Stanley
- 19:01Cup finals lost in heartbreaking faction fashion.
- 19:04I'm like, OK, why am I putting myself through this torture?
- 19:07Let's stick to MLB. But then last night, I don't
- 19:10know, maybe with that Knicks comeback, maybe that's the the
- 19:13betting world saying hey, don't give up on NBA or NHL.
- 19:16So that being said, I'm going to a number here that has moved up
- 19:20and it is now game five of the Stanley Cup Finals, Carolina and
- 19:24VGK. We have the Carolina Hurricanes
- 19:28with the series. Tide 2:00 to 2:00.
- 19:30Coming back home and. Carolina line was little has
- 19:33moved a little bit. They're like -150 up to like
- 19:36-160 But I'm going over here, guys.
- 19:39If I lose this openers lose this over, so be it.
- 19:42But this is a play that I've been trying to make.
- 19:44Last couple games I've been again, talking myself out of it,
- 19:47paralysis by analysis. And tonight you can't get an
- 19:51over 5 1/2 anymore. Unfortunately, I don't know if
- 19:53we'll see any more 5 and apps the rest of the series, but this
- 19:56line has gone up. It opened at 5 1/2.
- 19:59It quickly got bet up to 6. Now you're seeing a lot of books
- 20:02at 6 1/2. Now here's the key for me #1 the
- 20:06totals gone up tells me a lot of big money going over.
- 20:08Now why is this line going over? Well, just look at the box
- 20:12scores. The Over is 4 and O this series.
- 20:15Game one we had nine goals. Game two we had seven goals.
- 20:19Game three we had nine goals. Game four we had eight goals.
- 20:23So both teams are really good offensively.
- 20:26They play at a fast pace and they're not very good
- 20:29defensively or in terms of their goaltender.
- 20:31So that's why you're seeing all these overs and I'm hoping that
- 20:34it continues here for tonight. But we have the total creeping
- 20:37up 5 1/2 up to 6 or 6 1/2. The splits look really good at
- 20:42DraftKings. 82% bets 86. Percent.
- 20:45Dollars on the over at Circa. 92% bets. 97% dollars on the
- 20:52over. So we got a lot of big money
- 20:54about DK and circa on the over. So we have low bets, higher
- 20:57dollars and line movement over. Bless you to my baby marks here.
- 21:02And then lastly, I popped open. So First off, I wanted to find
- 21:06the over six. You can't get the five, but
- 21:08there are some books at six, like over 6 - 120.
- 21:11A lot of books are 6 1/2. I want to at least be able to
- 21:15push a bet. So if it's a four to two game,
- 21:17A5 to one game, you know, you can't tie three to three.
- 21:20We it would be awesome. It was 3 to 3 going in overtime.
- 21:23Then we're guaranteed another goal to get the over.
- 21:26But I did find an over 6 - 118 at Bet MGM and Bet MGM was also
- 21:31offering me a Stanley Cup Finals odds boost.
- 21:35So I had a 5% odds boost to take that over 6 - 118 down to over 6
- 21:41- 113. So again, I'll be I'll be at the
- 21:45movie theater watching Disclosure Day, Me and the wife
- 21:48and Steven Spielberg. And hopefully we get a lot of
- 21:50goals as this game is going on here tonight.
- 21:53But the lines gone up. The splits are.
- 21:55Are pointing toward the over and I got it a hopefully advantage
- 21:59here with the Bet MGM odds boost.
- 22:01So I did take Vegas and Carolina over six goals at -113 with the
- 22:06Bet MGM odds boost. So go Tigers, go Dodgers, go VGK
- 22:11Carolina, let's get another high scoring game.
- 22:13I don't care who wins, just give me seven goals or more.
- 22:16So that about does it for episode 529 of the All Systems
- 22:19Go Sports Betting podcast Powered by Rhythm.
- 22:22This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up, and I
- 22:24always start first by saying thank you.
- 22:26Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in, thank you for
- 22:29grinding in the arena with me every single day through the
- 22:32incredible Knicks Come from behind wins or the terrible Nats
- 22:3691-UP91 and losing bad beat losses.
- 22:40Honestly can't remember a. Day where I had such a great bad
- 22:44beat and are such a terrible bad beat and such a great, you know,
- 22:47come from behind comeback winner.
- 22:49I guess that's just that's life that's betting.
- 22:51But anyway, if you do enjoying this pod, you value the
- 22:54insights, win or lose, you want the the take on where the smart
- 22:57money is leaning well #1 thank you for listening #2 help me
- 23:01grow this podcast. Give this pod a five star review
- 23:04on Spotify or iTunes. Leave a nice comment rate and
- 23:08review if you want to recommend the pod to a friend, word of
- 23:11mouth, retweet the pod when I put it out on Twitter at Josh
- 23:14under score insights. Any or all those things would be
- 23:17fantastic. Next, if you enjoy this, the
- 23:21style of sports betting, data-driven sharp contrarian
- 23:23betting and you want to learn more about data-driven betting
- 23:26or if someone in your life who could use some data-driven tips
- 23:29or you got to get a Father's Day gift.
- 23:31Well, don't wait until the final day before Father's Day.
- 23:34Get it out of the way now go to Amazon.com, buy one of my books.
- 23:38They're like 20 bucks or less and Bezos will drop it right in
- 23:41front of your your front porch. But my first book is the
- 23:44everything guide to sports betting.
- 23:46My second book is the NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 23:49Grab one or both of my Brooks, bring the sports book.
- 23:52I'll sign up for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
- 23:54ale and we'll sweat some MLB and NHL tonight.
- 23:58Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Real yet?
- 24:00My two favorite sports betting apps.
- 24:02They help me win. They're going to help you win.
- 24:04I love it when Rhythm or Juice Reel are kind of another box to
- 24:08check off with rhythms, AI backed models and predictions
- 24:11for game bets and player props. And then Juice Reel where you
- 24:14can get the sharp mush edges. You can get a running report
- 24:16card of your action by syncing up your sports books.
- 24:19You can also get the Robo Jackson best bet picks as well
- 24:22as the shop for the best line futures.
- 24:25And if you really want to be a hero and you want to make my
- 24:27day, I would love for you to support the pod by signing up to
- 24:30get a week or more of the best bet picks.
- 24:33You can get them directly from Juice Reel.
- 24:35It costs $9.99 a week or $24.99 for a month or $199.99 for a
- 24:43year. And again, I consider it a tip
- 24:46jar. Basically, the pod is free, so
- 24:49if you want to support the pod, you value the insights.
- 24:51Hopefully I'm helping cash a bet here or there, get a week or
- 24:54more of those best bets. Again, you can get them directly
- 24:57from Juice Reel. As soon as I make the bet, it
- 24:58goes right to Juice Reel. But download Rhythm, download
- 25:02Juice Reel, give them both a five star review in the App
- 25:05Store. Next, do you have a live odds
- 25:07page? If you don't have one, you
- 25:09really do need one because the live odds page is so important.
- 25:13The live odds page allows us to track the betting market.
- 25:16Margie it's OK. Margie, we're finishing up the
- 25:19pod. Margie.
- 25:20It's OK, Margie. We're finishing up the pod.
- 25:23Margie, it's OK, here we are. This is the first pod where I've
- 25:27had to hold her at the very end of the pod.
- 25:29But anyway, you can tell I'm really screwed when the wife
- 25:31goes back in the maternity leave ends.
- 25:34But anyway, the odds logic live odds page, it's the best one
- 25:37around. You can track the betting
- 25:39market, you can identify the best number for the Knicks to
- 25:42come back and win from. You can also get shop for the
- 25:46best line opportunities as well as again looking at line
- 25:49movement and live in game wagering odds.
- 25:51So give it a shot, go to oddslogic.com/josh 123 that'll
- 25:57give you a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month of
- 26:00service. Lastly, got to join the
- 26:04Applebaum Survivor contest. Again, you only got about an
- 26:07hour or so left once this pod is posted, but 25?
- 26:10Bucks could win you. Up to 22. 1000 and I.
- 26:13Got to cut this pod short because she is going nuts on me
- 26:16right now. She's probably hungry, maybe has
- 26:18to get burped. But anyway, join the Survivor
- 26:21contest. You can go on the link on my
- 26:24Twitter page at Josh under score Insights and hope somebody out
- 26:27there listening ends up winning a boatload of money.
- 26:30So as always guys, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic
- 26:33City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook in New
- 26:35Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut, at the
- 26:39Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge Park Casino, MGM Springfield or
- 26:43the Nash, and my neck of the woods on the border of
- 26:45Massachusetts in New Hampshire. Route in the desert.
- 26:48Or the true grinders get down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
- 26:50runners where the lowest juice possible is found, the South
- 26:53Point, wherever it may be. Or jumping in the stadium swim
- 26:56pool. Of course, when you cash an
- 26:58epic, epic Knicks ticket, come from behind.
- 27:01That's why we money line short favorites at Circo, wherever it
- 27:04may be. You're going to walk up to me,
- 27:06that Nats ticket, we're going to RIP it up and just put it behind
- 27:09us. It hurts too much to even talk
- 27:10about, but show me that next money line, man.
- 27:13Put that in the Hall of Fame on the greatest caches of all time.
- 27:17Show me the next ticket. First one's on me.
- 27:19Next one's on you will post about the book Sweatshop
- 27:21Contrarian. Plays all night long.
- 27:24So as always, guys coming off a one and three or three and one,
- 27:26A4 and O&O and 4A2 and 2A winning night, a losing night, a
- 27:30hot streak, a cold streak. We just got to stay even keeled,
- 27:34never get too high and cocky and arrogant when things are going
- 27:36well. Don't get down in the dumps and
- 27:38get depressed and want to smash your your head through a window
- 27:41and things aren't going our way. We just got to stick to the
- 27:43model, stick to the blueprint and grind long term, finding
- 27:47games that fit our model against the public with the house, with
- 27:51the pros flat bet, avoid parlays and get that COV.
- 27:54If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
- 27:57So join again. Last call to to join the World
- 28:00Cup Survivor contest. You have until 3:00 PM today
- 28:03Eastern Time. And then again, I'll give you
- 28:06the disclosure day review after I see the movie tonight.
- 28:09Cannot wait. What's better than a Spielberg
- 28:12alien movie? I would argue hopefully nothing,
- 28:15but good luck everyone, enjoy your night.
- 28:17I'll see you tomorrow for a big fade.
- 28:19The public Friday edition. That'll be episode 530 of the
- 28:22All Systems Go sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 28:25Good luck everybody, and let's get some goals in Carolina.