Latest / In the Loop AI / THIS WEEK IN AI: Pope Approves Anthropic, Comparing AI Plans, Starcloud SpaceX Partnership
Transcript
- 0:00Josh: Everyone needs to stop forgetting about Meta, the social media company turned
- 0:04Josh: AI company, because this week they have released quite a few new plans and options
- 0:08Josh: that I think are going to be interesting to someone.
- 0:11Josh: If you're watching this, chances are you will be affected by these new subscriptions.
- 0:14Josh: What we're going to do is not only share the new meta subscriptions,
- 0:17Josh: but also compare them to all the existing subscriptions that you can go and
- 0:21Josh: pay for, whether it be for social media platforms like X or through AI like
- 0:25Josh: Gemini, Claude, Anthropic.
- 0:27Josh: There is now a full spread of all the different types of subscriptions you could
- 0:31Josh: have to different models.
- 0:32Josh: And we're going to walk through them systematically, starting with Meta,
- 0:35Josh: who started on the social front this week, offering $4 plans for Instagram,
- 0:40Josh: Facebook, and WhatsApp.
- 0:42Ejaaz: Yeah, exactly. So Meta is getting into the subscription game,
- 0:45Ejaaz: which they're probably following in the lead of like Anthropik and OpenAIR.
- 0:48Ejaaz: They're seeing these annual recurring revenue numbers just kind of skyrocket.
- 0:51Ejaaz: And they're like, I want some of that as well.
- 0:53Ejaaz: Also, So like a bit of important context here, Meta's now spent around $30 billion
- 0:58Ejaaz: between AI CapEx GPUs and like acquiring talent and trying to build their own
- 1:03Ejaaz: AI products. But I mean, Josh, I think you share the same opinion.
- 1:06Ejaaz: Which of the meta AI products have you actually used. This is their kind of
- 1:10Ejaaz: like foray to try and get people to use it. So it comes in the form of a few
- 1:14Ejaaz: different subscriptions.
- 1:15Ejaaz: Now, the consumer ones look like Instagram Plus for not $4, but $3.99 a month.
- 1:21Ejaaz: You've got Facebook Plus at $3.99 a month, and you've got WhatsApp Plus at $2.99 a month.
- 1:25Ejaaz: Now, if you're wondering like why anyone would be using these kind of like individual
- 1:29Ejaaz: apps and individual subscriptions, it's because Instagram kind of caters towards
- 1:33Ejaaz: a content creator-focused type of platform.
- 1:36Ejaaz: Facebook Plus, a lot of enterprises and business run their business on there via ads.
- 1:41Ejaaz: The ad business for Meta alone is absolutely huge.
- 1:44Ejaaz: And they're actually growing at a faster rate than Google did at the equivalent
- 1:47Ejaaz: time that they existed in their lifecycle right now.
- 1:49Ejaaz: And then you've got WhatsApp as well, which handles a lot of customer support
- 1:53Ejaaz: for a lot of these enterprises. So you can think about one particular user,
- 1:56Ejaaz: not just subscribing to one of these subscriptions, but many.
- 1:59Ejaaz: And then collectively, there's this new enterprise plan. I think it's on the
- 2:03Ejaaz: MetaOne AI subscription plan, which we'll get into in a second,
- 2:07Ejaaz: which is kind of like this collective suite of access.
- 2:09Ejaaz: Now, the thing that jumped out to me the most here is
- 2:12Ejaaz: honestly, how cheap the accessibility is here.
- 2:15Ejaaz: If you are a content creator, the chances are it's a very competitive game and
- 2:19Ejaaz: you're not really earning as much money as like some of these like Fortune 500 companies.
- 2:23Ejaaz: Now, if you want to get access to some, maybe not frontier intelligence,
- 2:27Ejaaz: But a model that's good enough to do the thing that you're hyper-focused on,
- 2:31Ejaaz: such as advertising or creating content or using the right SEO-timed words,
- 2:35Ejaaz: meta is in the attention game.
- 2:37Ejaaz: That is what all their models have been trained on, using their own data.
- 2:39Ejaaz: They've been in this game for over a decade and they know how to capture people's attention.
- 2:43Ejaaz: That's very useful for the particular type of users that they're going after.
- 2:47Ejaaz: But I wonder how this compares directly to some of the other major frontier
- 2:50Ejaaz: labs like Google or Anthropic.
- 2:52Josh: Yeah, a helpful way of looking at Metis plans is there's three different types of them.
- 2:56Josh: One is the one that we just mentioned for $4 a month, you get access to Facebook
- 3:00Josh: and Instagram plus, which gives
- 3:02Josh: access to extra features like profile customization, super reactions,
- 3:06Josh: story insights, among other things this is still very new we're still figuring
- 3:09Josh: out what exactly this includes second to this sitting on top of it are their
- 3:13Josh: standard plus premium and max plans those are if you are an actual creator on
- 3:18Josh: the platform that gives you the verified badge if you see people with blue check marks
- 3:22Josh: not on a platform like X, they are paying for these plans.
- 3:25Josh: That includes lots of things noteworthy. It doesn't include the skipping of
- 3:30Josh: ads. No matter what, you cannot escape ads, it appears.
- 3:33Josh: And then third to this, we have Meta's AI plan. And Meta's AI plan is the one
- 3:36Josh: that we're going to sit on.
- 3:37Josh: We're going to spend some time on and we're going to start comparing to the
- 3:39Josh: other companies because it's starting pretty cheap.
- 3:42Josh: Meta's AI subscription service starts at $8 a month.
- 3:46Josh: What does that get you? We're not entirely sure just yet. It's
- 3:49Josh: called meta one plus and it will give you access to presumably the latest
- 3:53Josh: in meta's ai tools what those ai tools look like
- 3:56Josh: we're not entirely sure this is all very new and novel but the second thing
- 4:00Josh: is the 20 a month plan and that 20 a month plan is seeming to be the one that
- 4:04Josh: wants to compete head to head with the other companies like claude and chat
- 4:09Josh: gpt and gemini so how does it compare is what we're going to get into here i.
- 4:13Ejaaz: Think a good place to start is uh looking at their creative plans and pricing
- 4:17Ejaaz: that they have for their existing subscriptions.
- 4:20Ejaaz: Now, this isn't the latest subscriptions that we just spoke about,
- 4:23Ejaaz: but it kind of implies what the other kind of new subscription types will include.
- 4:28Ejaaz: Now, I've noticed that across Plus, Premium, and Max, you have this thing being
- 4:32Ejaaz: brandished right in front of you, which is protect your brand.
- 4:35Ejaaz: I think a lot of Meta's users who are business users who care about the kind
- 4:38Ejaaz: of social image and branding online across all their different platforms...
- 4:42Ejaaz: Get a lot of impersonators so this is something that like i
- 4:45Ejaaz: think ai is going to result in a proliferation of it's
- 4:48Ejaaz: just kind of like fake content people that copy your content copyright issues etc
- 4:51Ejaaz: this kind of like collectively protects you against
- 4:54Ejaaz: that i'm wondering how that actually works but it seems like there's some
- 4:57Ejaaz: form of like agent interaction uh whether they're human or digital and there's
- 5:01Ejaaz: also maximized discovery i think this is really where meta kind of like shines
- 5:05Ejaaz: compared to like the google ai models the anthropic ai models and open air themselves
- 5:10Ejaaz: um Meta really has been focused on the search engine optimization role of things.
- 5:16Ejaaz: Now, in a world of AI, you can think that the search engine kind of like evolves quite a bit.
- 5:21Ejaaz: Google's been speaking about this quite a bit, which is the AI model itself
- 5:25Ejaaz: or the AI agent ends up becoming the customer.
- 5:27Ejaaz: And you need to cater to an AI agent versus a human.
- 5:29Ejaaz: That SEO role looks very different. And Meta is trying to pioneer what that model looks like.
- 5:34Ejaaz: The first model that they released a few months ago, I believe, is MewSpark.
- 5:38Ejaaz: And it excels at this type of work. Whereas compared to like regular LLM work, it kind of sucks.
- 5:43Ejaaz: Now, I want to look at like a direct comparison between Google,
- 5:47Ejaaz: Meta and the other likes. And we have this really cool artifact here.
- 5:50Josh: Yes. So thank you, Claude, for creating this artifact. We are clearly paying
- 5:53Josh: for the Claude plan, or at least I am to say the least.
- 5:56Josh: But this is a really helpful table that compares the different types of offerings
- 5:59Josh: from all these companies. We have Meta, Google, Claude, ChatGPT and X slash Grok.
- 6:04Josh: The entry level pricing is something that is used by almost all companies except
- 6:08Josh: for Claude at $8 per month.
- 6:10Josh: You can get access to meta one google's ai plan chat gpt
- 6:13Josh: and x slash grok on x that gives you the blue check mark plus access to grok
- 6:17Josh: chat gpt gives you the go plan so you get ads inside of your offerings that
- 6:22Josh: when you type into your llm claude noteworthy doesn't do ads so they have no
- 6:26Josh: plan at this level google plus is ai supported and then the same with meta one
- 6:31Josh: now standard is the 20 a month.
- 6:33Josh: X is noteworthy and the fact that they don't have one they
- 6:36Josh: actually started $30 but among the others this is
- 6:39Josh: the point where i think a lot of people will pay the most attention because people
- 6:42Josh: are willing to pay $20 a month and in most cases it's very much worth it if
- 6:46Josh: you are using a chat gpt plan if you are using a cloud plan that's free you're
- 6:50Josh: currently on an old cheap model that doesn't really work nearly as well as the
- 6:55Josh: frontier models are and if you want to judge the progress of ai models,
- 6:59Josh: you really need to be on this $20 a month plan because it at least gives you
- 7:03Josh: access to the Frontier models as they're being released.
- 7:06Josh: To Opus 4.7, to ChatGPT 5.5, and Gemini and soon Meta's new offerings.
- 7:11Josh: So if we're comparing these, the standard level, I'm not sure who would really
- 7:16Josh: want to pay $20 for Meta's offering when you can go and get ChatGPT premium,
- 7:21Josh: Claude premium, Google premium even at the same $20 price point. That's a bit difficult.
- 7:25Josh: Then these go up and really just the the higher tiers
- 7:28Josh: of this are more tokens so there's not a huge difference in
- 7:31Josh: terms of feature set it's mostly just the ability to use it
- 7:34Josh: more productively so as a starting point the 20 month plans are all very competitive
- 7:38Josh: except for the fact that two of these are frontier models and the others are
- 7:43Josh: not so if you're looking for frontier level intelligence top intelligence per
- 7:46Josh: token it's really cloud and chat gpt google has a lot of fun tools if that's
- 7:51Josh: where you like to spend your time.
- 7:52Josh: But aside from that, Meta and Grok's offerings leave a lot to be desired.
- 7:56Ejaaz: I'm kind of split on this, okay? So like on the one half, I agree with you.
- 8:00Ejaaz: On the other half, I'm like, I do think Meta is going after a different type of market.
- 8:04Ejaaz: Like when I look at like a $7.99 a month plan, I instantly think of OpenAI's ChatGPT Go plan.
- 8:10Ejaaz: Do you remember they launched that specifically just in India?
- 8:12Ejaaz: And I think it was like five bucks a month.
- 8:15Ejaaz: That resulted in adding, I think it was like tens of millions of new users over
- 8:19Ejaaz: the next couple of weeks since they launched it, right?
- 8:21Ejaaz: And I think that Metz is trying to do a similar thing here. They're going for
- 8:23Ejaaz: a very specific archetype of individual, which is like,
- 8:26Ejaaz: You're out in the content game. They understand that, like, you may not have
- 8:29Ejaaz: an abundance of money yet, but they want to kind of, like, lead you on that exponential.
- 8:32Ejaaz: And they know that they have search and discovery kind of, like,
- 8:35Ejaaz: nailed to the bone. And so they want to kind of, like, offer that or be the
- 8:38Ejaaz: first major AI provider for that.
- 8:40Ejaaz: Now, on the other hand of things, like, I can imagine as I see all these,
- 8:44Ejaaz: like, new models released from Anthropic and OpenAI, the next model release
- 8:47Ejaaz: means that the previous models released is, like, even cheaper.
- 8:50Ejaaz: In fact, the newer model releases end up being cheaper than the old model releases,
- 8:53Ejaaz: which is kind of antithetical because you like get a smarter model which
- 8:56Ejaaz: is kind of cheaper than the previous model so it's like bang for your
- 8:59Ejaaz: buck i also think that with more gpus and
- 9:02Ejaaz: semiconductors as that all scales you end up just getting uh
- 9:05Ejaaz: more tokens per watt i believe it's performance per watt it's just going to
- 9:09Ejaaz: end up kind of driving lower so i don't know about the staying power of meta
- 9:14Ejaaz: subscriptions here their models do need to improve pretty rapidly and this kind
- 9:17Ejaaz: of leads me on to like an overarching theme that i have on meta which is this
- 9:21Ejaaz: is actually like good news for Meta.
- 9:23Ejaaz: And this is desperately needed by Meta because they've blown around $30 billion
- 9:27Ejaaz: over the last 12 months, acquiring talent and investing in this AI thing with
- 9:32Ejaaz: nothing to show for it. They released a MuseSpark model.
- 9:35Ejaaz: It was kind of like whatever people have forgotten about it.
- 9:36Ejaaz: People aren't really kind of using it aside from people who actually use Meta's different platforms.
- 9:40Ejaaz: But this could technically or theoretically on paper result in kind of like a goldmine for them.
- 9:45Ejaaz: If you imagine like they can convert like 100 million users for like their $20
- 9:49Ejaaz: dollar a month plan, that is reasonable income coming in.
- 9:52Ejaaz: But I've also seen comments from Zuck earlier this week, which talks about if
- 9:55Ejaaz: this doesn't play out, this subscription thing,
- 9:58Ejaaz: if their AI models aren't used by a lot of people, they're willing to go down
- 10:01Ejaaz: the NeoCloud route, which is what Elon Musk has done recently,
- 10:04Ejaaz: and partner with major AI labs to rent out their compute and data classes,
- 10:08Ejaaz: which they've invested billions of dollars in.
- 10:09Ejaaz: So I think Zuck is being pressured quite a lot by shareholders at this point.
- 10:14Ejaaz: He's being forced to kind of show some kind of revenue, he fired or laid off
- 10:18Ejaaz: 8,000 plus people over the last seven days.
- 10:20Ejaaz: And that was like one of like, I think five cuts in the last couple of months.
- 10:24Ejaaz: So Meta's like backed into a corner right now and they need to kind of like
- 10:28Ejaaz: show the goods or they need to pivot pretty aggressively.
- 10:31Josh: You mentioned the word neocloud, which is funny because I have some neocloud news.
- 10:34Josh: This is, again, if you're listening to this, this is a Friday roundup.
- 10:36Josh: We're covering all the news. So we're going to speed run this.
- 10:38Josh: It's a very busy morning at Limitless HQ.
- 10:40Josh: So we're going to try to get through these as quick as we can,
- 10:42Josh: starting with the StarCloud news, which I found to be really interesting.
- 10:46Josh: Elon and SpaceX have a new partner. They are working with, it's funny enough,
- 10:50Josh: Gavin Baker here is in the photo. We just recorded an episode with him yesterday about his portfolio.
- 10:55Josh: Clearly he is bullish on space. And the announcement is that StarCloud
- 10:58Josh: is building star cloud three that is going to
- 11:00Josh: be launching on the new spacex starship this is
- 11:03Josh: starship version three this is the test flight that they just had last week that
- 11:06Josh: we covered and the idea is that that three-ton
- 11:09Josh: spacecraft is designed to fit inside of the pes dispenser inside of starship
- 11:14Josh: the ceo philip johnson claims that star cloud three would be the first orbital
- 11:18Josh: data center that's actually cost competitive with terrestrial at about five
- 11:22Josh: cents per kilowatt if commercial costs land near $500 per kilogram.
- 11:28Josh: So again, this is fully contingent on Starship being able to get it up into orbit.
- 11:31Josh: The idea is that commercial access should open up around 2028-2029 given the
- 11:38Josh: amount of time that it's going to take to get Starship online and then start launching these,
- 11:43Josh: aircraft in space but it's a really cool announcement where we have an actual,
- 11:47Josh: client for SpaceX that is going to be launching serious payloads into space
- 11:50Josh: and fully pursuing the AI data centers in orbit plan.
- 11:54Josh: It's going to take a little while but this is where we build the foundation
- 11:57Josh: this is where companies are starting to plan these launches for the next couple of years.
- 12:02Ejaaz: We have another SpaceX AI alliance member Josh you know over the last couple
- 12:06Ejaaz: of weeks you've got Elon partnering with Anthropic twice you've got them partnering
- 12:11Ejaaz: pretty aggressively with cursor,
- 12:12Ejaaz: which is going to result in a $60 billion acquisition 30 days after the IPO,
- 12:16Ejaaz: which is expected to be sometime next month.
- 12:19Ejaaz: And now you've got this partnership with StarCloud. Now, what I love about this
- 12:22Ejaaz: is if you think of SpaceX owning the highway or the toll booth into space,
- 12:27Ejaaz: they're going to need the goods to be putting out into space, right?
- 12:30Ejaaz: So they've got Anthropik to kind of tentatively agree to say like,
- 12:33Ejaaz: yeah, we're going to actually use some of your space AI data centers,
- 12:36Ejaaz: but also you need the goods to get out there.
- 12:39Ejaaz: Now, Elon Musk is investing a ton of money over the next five years into something
- 12:42Ejaaz: called the TerraFab, which will end up becoming the largest chip fab in America
- 12:47Ejaaz: if it plays out how he plans it to.
- 12:49Ejaaz: And there's an interesting statistic from that goal, which is 70% of the chips
- 12:53Ejaaz: that are produced are going to be radiation hardened and sent out into space.
- 12:56Ejaaz: So he's very much like committing his entire focus and goal into this.
- 13:00Ejaaz: That's why the SpaceX IPO is valued at expectedly a $2 trillion valuation.
- 13:06Ejaaz: But he needs the goods to be able to do that now I'm looking at this tweet up here
- 13:10Ejaaz: Saying that StarCloud recently, or is in the process of raising $200 million
- 13:13Ejaaz: at a $2 billion valuation, that is cheap.
- 13:16Ejaaz: If StarCloud can actually put out radiation-hardened GPUs, which, by the way, they have.
- 13:21Ejaaz: There's currently, I think it's like a stack of like H100s that are currently
- 13:25Ejaaz: orbiting space that are training and inferencing on it, as Gavin mentioned in the previous tweet.
- 13:28Ejaaz: What's stopping Elon from acquiring them and now having the actual goods to
- 13:32Ejaaz: be able to do that? Obviously, he's still relying on NVIDIA.
- 13:34Ejaaz: He has a good partnership with them. But I just I'm extremely bullish about
- 13:37Ejaaz: this, and I like that he's choosing to kind of partner with different firms
- 13:41Ejaaz: versus trying to build everything himself.
- 13:43Ejaaz: But moving on, there is another company that is raising a pretty decent valuation
- 13:47Ejaaz: right now, Cognition, which is the, I believe they started Devin,
- 13:51Ejaaz: yeah, two years ago, which was the OG AI agent.
- 13:55Ejaaz: They raised over a billion dollars at $26 billion valuation.
- 13:59Ejaaz: Now, the coolest part about these guys is everyone thought that they were completely
- 14:03Ejaaz: cooked after Anthropic and OpenClaw kind of like launched their like autonomous agents.
- 14:09Ejaaz: But what I liked about Cognition is they have a lot of staying power.
- 14:12Ejaaz: And we've spoken about on previous episodes that there's this company called Cursor.
- 14:16Ejaaz: And everyone blamed them for being like kind of like, or criticized them for
- 14:19Ejaaz: being like a rapper, a thin rapper around an AI model.
- 14:21Ejaaz: But what ended up being the case was they had this sort of agent harness,
- 14:25Ejaaz: this agent mode, which kind of like orchestrates how models work.
- 14:28Ejaaz: Uses the right models, uses the right prompts, and it's an incredibly valuable
- 14:33Ejaaz: mode when it comes to training a model.
- 14:35Ejaaz: Cognition is probably second in the ranking of having or owning this particular type of mode.
- 14:41Ejaaz: And Josh, I know you wrote an entire essay about this recently.
- 14:44Josh: I'm a big fan of harnesses. I really like harnesses. If you haven't subscribed
- 14:48Josh: to a newsletter, I would highly recommend.
- 14:49Josh: I released an entire essay about harnesses earlier this week.
- 14:52Josh: It's basically all of the peripherals required to turn the brain of an LLM into
- 14:57Josh: a full body, into something fully capable of doing agentic tasks that are long-running.
- 15:01Josh: One thing I found funny from this announcement was the idea that Cognition uses
- 15:04Josh: now 90% of their own code.
- 15:07Josh: And if they're valued at a $26 billion valuation, clearly there's a lot of value
- 15:10Josh: there. So this is a continuation of the wrapper wars.
- 15:13Josh: We now kind of have very clear winners on who's winning the LLM wars,
- 15:17Josh: the large language models that sit on the frontier, how you package them,
- 15:21Josh: how you add a harness for them will be the differentiator.
- 15:23Josh: We saw Cursor with a $60 billion deal with SpaceX. Now we have Cognition raising another big round.
- 15:28Josh: The current war, that new frontier, is being fought on the wrapper level with the harnesses.
- 15:34Josh: Cognition's the new eccentric in that. I'm pretty bullish, pretty excited on Cognition.
- 15:38Ejaaz: Josh, on your bingo card for this week, did you expect the Pope to sign a partnership
- 15:42Ejaaz: with the Major Frontier AI Lab?
- 15:44Josh: A partnership? Tell me about this partnership. What do you mean partnership?
- 15:48Ejaaz: Okay, so listen, we don't typically get into the swing of reviewing biblical
- 15:53Ejaaz: architecture here on this show, but we are going to today.
- 15:56Josh: Who got the mandate of heaven?
- 15:58Ejaaz: Yeah, yeah, exactly. So Pope Leo kind of blew the newsroom wide open this week,
- 16:04Ejaaz: releasing his Magnifica Humanitas of His Holiness, Pope Leo,
- 16:09Ejaaz: on safeguarding the human person in the time of artificial intelligence.
- 16:12Ejaaz: Now, my initial reaction to this is,
- 16:15Ejaaz: I actually kind of love it because kind of like the religious pious leaders
- 16:19Ejaaz: don't tend to kind of like technology a lot or get involved with it much.
- 16:23Ejaaz: The fact that he's written, I believe this is like a 50 page plus script on
- 16:28Ejaaz: his kind of like thoughts of how this plays out,
- 16:30Ejaaz: how AI is going to evolve, how it kind of equates to like ethical use and religious
- 16:37Ejaaz: scripts. He gets into a whole thing.
- 16:39Ejaaz: Like there's this thing I was reading earlier on where it's like between two
- 16:41Ejaaz: biblical images and talks about the construction of the Tower of Babel and these
- 16:45Ejaaz: two scenes within the Bible.
- 16:46Ejaaz: And the main takeaway that I got from this entire thing is he's trying to be
- 16:50Ejaaz: extremely thoughtful and careful about how these models are developed because
- 16:54Ejaaz: he knows about the power of influence that these models will have on kids,
- 16:58Ejaaz: young adults, and everyone across every single age in the future.
- 17:03Ejaaz: And so he knows that it's gonna guide a lot of education and learning about
- 17:06Ejaaz: religious scripts and all these kinds of things. And so he wants to make sure
- 17:09Ejaaz: that it's developed in the right way.
- 17:10Ejaaz: Now, one of the biggest call to actions that he has out of this entire document
- 17:13Ejaaz: and the preceding hearing or talk or discussion that they had after this was,
- 17:18Ejaaz: He wants there to be governance instilled into this.
- 17:21Ejaaz: Now, the governance, he suggests, comes from two particular parties,
- 17:24Ejaaz: one being the national government that runs the entire country,
- 17:27Ejaaz: respective country where it's operating in,
- 17:29Ejaaz: the model it's operating in, as well as the church or religious groups involved
- 17:34Ejaaz: so that they can kind of mold the personality and ethics of this.
- 17:37Ejaaz: Now, when I kind of like speak about this, I think of one particular AI lab,
- 17:41Ejaaz: which is Anthropic, who have been speaking to religious leaders independently
- 17:45Ejaaz: of their own accord over the last, I believe, couple of months.
- 17:48Ejaaz: And the Pope actually calls that Anthropic saying like, we would like to walk
- 17:52Ejaaz: together. So I thought that was a pretty interesting update.
- 17:55Josh: That's fun. It's nice when there's more awareness being raised around the idea.
- 18:00Josh: It's like this will bring a lot of new eyes to the world of AI.
- 18:03Josh: It will start a conversation that is going to need to happen.
- 18:06Josh: It is going to bring awareness in a way that is constructive,
- 18:09Josh: not damaging, hopefully. And I think it's just, it's a fun...
- 18:13Josh: Cool thing and it's a testament to how large ai has
- 18:16Josh: gotten where this is now sitting at a global scale and it is top of
- 18:19Josh: mind and i like the idea that all of these people are going to be working together
- 18:23Josh: to figure out the best way to navigate forward as a society and that that's
- 18:27Josh: pretty exciting so glad i'm glad the pope's getting on board and uh hopefully
- 18:31Josh: a lot of people who you know respect and trust him will take ai a little bit
- 18:35Josh: more seriously and start considering this conversation and.
- 18:37Ejaaz: Then next on the docket we have two more topics we're going to breeze through
- 18:40Josh: It All right, bang them out.
- 18:41Ejaaz: Josh, something that you and I complain about a lot is when a new model releases,
- 18:46Ejaaz: you have these fancy benchmarks, right?
- 18:48Ejaaz: But we don't know what that means. And often these benchmarks are maxed out
- 18:52Ejaaz: or gamified and doesn't actually tell us or portray what the model can actually do.
- 18:57Ejaaz: So let's say a model is super good at coding and then a software engineer actually
- 19:00Ejaaz: uses it for their specific work. It's actually not good enough.
- 19:05Ejaaz: Now, what a bunch of people ended up doing was they developed this new benchmark
- 19:08Ejaaz: called DeepSWE, and it focuses on agentic AI engineering specifically.
- 19:16Ejaaz: So when you spin up multiple instances of Claude or ChatGPT,
- 19:20Ejaaz: for instance, to do a bunch of your coding work in parallel, how good is it actually?
- 19:24Ejaaz: Now, the typical benchmark, and this is, by the way, like the holy Bible, to use a pun here,
- 19:29Ejaaz: of the holy grail of benchmarks, which is software engineering verified,
- 19:34Ejaaz: which is what every AI lab kind of like shows off when they release a new model.
- 19:40Ejaaz: Currently, Claude and ChatGPT
- 19:43Ejaaz: at the top of this, but it's tested against pre-approved solutions and answers
- 19:50Ejaaz: against a particular problem. So the model already knows the answer.
- 19:53Ejaaz: And so it's not really authentic or genuine.
- 19:55Ejaaz: What this benchmark ends up doing is providing not only new problems of which
- 19:59Ejaaz: the models have no idea what the answer is, they're not given the answers beforehand,
- 20:02Ejaaz: but also real long horizon tasks that go for between 7 to 12 hours.
- 20:06Ejaaz: And so they're put to the test. And we have a new ranking over here.
- 20:10Ejaaz: GPT 5.5 and GPT 5.4, their predecessor model is number one and two of this new benchmark.
- 20:16Ejaaz: You've got Claude Opus 4.7 just behind on 54% and Sonnet 4.6 as well.
- 20:21Ejaaz: Gemini 3.5 Flash, even though it is their latest model, comes out at a pretty poor 28%.
- 20:26Josh: Yikes. I do like the idea of more benchmarks. I think benchmarks are fun. They are important.
- 20:31Josh: They are oftentimes games. So if we can come up with ways in which we could
- 20:34Josh: organically test these,
- 20:35Josh: if you ask me the way that i choose to
- 20:38Josh: do my benchmarks it's purely vibes based i'll get
- 20:41Josh: in i'll do the day-to-day task you could very much feel a model
- 20:44Josh: if you use it every day you could feel where it's better feel where it's worse i find
- 20:47Josh: that they're oftentimes spiky in the sense that they're very very
- 20:50Josh: good at specific things and oftentimes a lot weaker than others and that
- 20:53Josh: kind of spike complex changes over time as these
- 20:56Josh: new models get released but i'm glad we have a more formal way
- 20:59Josh: of doing this greater than vibes and greater than the
- 21:02Josh: things that have been gamed recently now last thing on the agenda is
- 21:05Josh: snowflake stock um the headline i'm seeing is snowflake stock jumps 30 percent
- 21:11Josh: in a day this was after the earnings report that just came out this week and
- 21:16Josh: for those that don't know snowflake is a cloud compute providing platform and
- 21:20Josh: clearly they've done something right because uh wow this is a lot of revenue in one day.
- 21:24Ejaaz: Yeah, so to give a bit of context here,
- 21:27Ejaaz: there's something, there's a phenomenon happening called the SaaS-pocalypse,
- 21:32Ejaaz: software-as-a-service apocalypse, where basically as Claude and ChatGPT end
- 21:36Ejaaz: up upgrading their own models,
- 21:38Ejaaz: they become able to replace a bunch of subscription software tools and services
- 21:44Ejaaz: because they could just vibe code it or rebuild it from scratch.
- 21:47Ejaaz: And this has led to a massive decline. I'm talking tens to hundreds of billions
- 21:51Ejaaz: of dollars lost in the stock market for all these different SaaS products.
- 21:54Ejaaz: I remember a time where Anthropic would release a plugin update for,
- 21:57Ejaaz: let's say, a security review tool, and all the cybersecurity stocks were absolutely done, right?
- 22:02Ejaaz: And so the point here is the trend has been kind of not only broken, but inverted.
- 22:07Ejaaz: Snowflake, which is a major SaaS provider for a lot of enterprise companies,
- 22:11Ejaaz: not only had their stock jump up 35%, but it's because they defined a moat that
- 22:15Ejaaz: sat on top of Claude and ChatGPT.
- 22:17Ejaaz: Now, in previous episodes, we've spoken about Anthropic and OpenAI signing what's
- 22:21Ejaaz: known as a joint venture with some major private equity firms.
- 22:24Ejaaz: And the intention of this is to place their own engineers, they're known as
- 22:28Ejaaz: forward-deployed engineers, into Fortune 100 companies so that they can kind
- 22:33Ejaaz: of like design and architect-specific workflows, so AI-agentic workflows,
- 22:37Ejaaz: using Core or using ChatGPT.
- 22:39Ejaaz: Now, the only reason why they would be doing that is because their own generalized
- 22:42Ejaaz: LLM isn't good enough. And so you need someone to kind of like guide this kind of orchestration.
- 22:47Ejaaz: Snowflake is basically arguing in their latest quarterly earnings that they already have that data.
- 22:51Ejaaz: They already have that design and they're doing it themselves using a mixture of Claude and ChatGPT.
- 22:56Ejaaz: And that's why the stock jumped up massively. It just shows that not only are
- 23:00Ejaaz: SaaS companies here to stay, but they also might be having or creating a defensible moat.
- 23:04Josh: I feel like we need a dartboard that we can start throwing darts at to pick
- 23:07Josh: the companies that are going to go up 30% because every week it seems like there
- 23:10Josh: is 10 new ones that are going absolutely nuclear.
- 23:12Josh: But that wraps up the episode today. Thank you all so much for watching.
- 23:15Josh: If you have made it through all of our previous episodes this week,
- 23:18Josh: you are now fully caught up.
- 23:19Josh: You can go touch grass, enjoy your weekend, have an amazing time.
- 23:21Josh: And we will be back as always with a new episode starting bright and early next week.
- 23:25Josh: Thank you guys so much for watching. Have an amazing weekend and we'll see you next time.