Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 07/22/26
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: Ball systems going clear, lift.
- 0:40Speaker 2: What is going on?
- 0:41Speaker 3: Ship at Nation back with my guy Tee Rising, and
- 0:44Speaker 3: we got day baseball going on, we got night baseball.
- 0:47Speaker 3: I think there's what seventeen games in total, an eight
- 0:50Speaker 3: game early slate, nine game obviously one of those being
- 0:52Speaker 3: a doubleheader with the Yankees and the Pirates. After that
- 0:56Speaker 3: game got waxed yesterday, no cours field back in our
- 0:59Speaker 3: lives here ge Rising, and we got an early start time.
- 1:01Speaker 3: We got a five forty start last game, tipping off
- 1:04Speaker 3: at seven to ten in the Lord's time zone. Should
- 1:07Speaker 3: be a nice early night of baseball overall. Bring you
- 1:10Speaker 3: in man, Happy Happy Wednesday. What the hell's up with
- 1:13Speaker 3: your boy?
- 1:13Speaker 2: Framber?
- 1:14Speaker 3: Man?
- 1:14Speaker 2: What a what a pivot that was? We?
- 1:16Speaker 3: Uh we We thought we were pretty sharp getting off
- 1:18Speaker 3: the chalk there, and Framber said, not so fast, my friend.
- 1:22Speaker 2: Fuck Framber. Fucking ass that guy.
- 1:24Speaker 4: I told you, he's like a fucking he got no
- 1:27Speaker 4: mental game. Nothing between the mirrors. Man, You could probably
- 1:29Speaker 4: look in this year and see fucking daylight right out
- 1:32Speaker 4: the other side, is what I'm thinking. Aid's like that
- 1:35Speaker 4: dude is fucking like I don't know if you watched it,
- 1:38Speaker 4: but like he got a few guys on and then
- 1:40Speaker 4: they hit that like little blue pop up that bounced
- 1:43Speaker 4: behind first base and the right fielder came in and went.
- 1:45Speaker 2: Over his head. I was like, it's over.
- 1:49Speaker 4: He done lost it right there, Like, I was like,
- 1:51Speaker 4: he done throwing the towel right there. Like I was like,
- 1:53Speaker 4: he ain't gonna make it out of this damn inning now,
- 1:55Speaker 4: like guaranteed, sure enough, he didn't even make.
- 1:58Speaker 2: It out of that inning.
- 1:59Speaker 4: I was like, man, this guy here is just for
- 2:02Speaker 4: a guy on this professional level, and you just see
- 2:04Speaker 4: it over and over and over and over again. It's like,
- 2:07Speaker 4: as soon as he loses, there's no recovering for that
- 2:09Speaker 4: fucking guy. But either way, that's DFS Baseball for you,
- 2:13Speaker 4: that's for sure. But dude, I was looking at the
- 2:16Speaker 4: pitching today, I was like, yeah, how could it possibly
- 2:18Speaker 4: be worse than yesterday? I'm like, in it is, it's
- 2:22Speaker 4: like fucking gross.
- 2:23Speaker 2: Man. Like, dude, like when when when you're.
- 2:26Speaker 4: Looking at Sandy fucking elegant Tara Cantara, whatever.
- 2:32Speaker 2: His damn name is, is like, you know, one of your.
- 2:34Speaker 4: Better pitchers, It's like like wow, man, like this is
- 2:37Speaker 4: absolutely insane.
- 2:38Speaker 2: Date, So the dude it's like we got what.
- 2:42Speaker 4: Mengangs, you said five forty, you know, it's you know,
- 2:44Speaker 4: for most it's six forty. I mean we're in the
- 2:46Speaker 4: Eastern time zone around here, so six forty. But you're right,
- 2:50Speaker 4: the latest game is at eight ten. We don't have
- 2:52Speaker 4: any late games, so it's like all the whole slate
- 2:55Speaker 4: is basically gonna end in an hour and a half.
- 2:57Speaker 4: It's gonna be fucking hot, so there is no late
- 3:00Speaker 4: little swap in figuring shit out. So but uh yeah,
- 3:05Speaker 4: interesting one to talk about that is, for sure, we
- 3:07Speaker 4: don't have any like obvious shit today, like you know,
- 3:09Speaker 4: we don't have any thirteen game total or you know,
- 3:13Speaker 4: we don't have any you know, premiere strikeout pitchers. We
- 3:17Speaker 4: don't even have any premier kickball pitchers on this slate.
- 3:19Speaker 4: They all stink. It's you know, they're all like guys
- 3:22Speaker 4: that you wouldn't normally play like, I mean, I kind
- 3:24Speaker 4: of think Bradish is probably one of the better plays,
- 3:27Speaker 4: but I mean, now you're going against a hot Red
- 3:29Speaker 4: Sox team, so it's like, I don't know, it's kind
- 3:32Speaker 4: of funky nades, but uh yeah, good night, it's finally
- 3:36Speaker 4: cooled off. Smoke's have gone away around here. The Canadians
- 3:39Speaker 4: ain't smoking us out in Michigan anymore. I mean that
- 3:43Speaker 4: was awful for a few days around here, hot and
- 3:46Speaker 4: shit and you couldn't even see like three blocks over,
- 3:49Speaker 4: you couldn't even see the flag.
- 3:50Speaker 2: It's it's you know, on the front yard because it
- 3:52Speaker 2: was so damn foggy.
- 3:53Speaker 4: Around here or smoky, and you know, it smelled like
- 3:58Speaker 4: some kind of rotten ast like or something.
- 4:00Speaker 2: It didn't even smell good.
- 4:01Speaker 4: Like maybe Canadians just start exporting marijuana weed, you know,
- 4:05Speaker 4: when we get these fires and shit, at least we
- 4:07Speaker 4: get a buzz around here.
- 4:08Speaker 2: Maybe you know, have some fun out of the deal.
- 4:11Speaker 4: Like, shit, it's been terrible, but uh, yeah, Nate's what
- 4:15Speaker 4: do we got nine games on h on DK and
- 4:19Speaker 4: I think there's what seven games on fan duel? Missing
- 4:21Speaker 4: out the uh missing out the spanky game, the doubleheaders,
- 4:25Speaker 4: so missing out on that one. But yeah, I mean
- 4:27Speaker 4: we got a decent slate. Man, what a big day
- 4:29Speaker 4: of baseball day?
- 4:30Speaker 3: Seventeen games, yeah, massive, obviously two double headers. Right, That's
- 4:35Speaker 3: why people are like, why, well, how is there seventeen
- 4:37Speaker 3: games when there's thirty teams in the league, Right, well,
- 4:40Speaker 3: when you've got two double headers, that that makes up
- 4:42Speaker 3: for it there. Uh so, yeah, pitching, you gave a
- 4:47Speaker 3: good kind of overview. I didn't think pitching could get
- 4:50Speaker 3: worse than yesterday. But here we are. We're back. We're back.
- 4:54Speaker 3: But then when we get to offense, I mean, as
- 4:56Speaker 3: bad as pitching looks, offense doesn't.
- 4:59Speaker 2: Look much better.
- 5:00Speaker 3: G Rise. And so this is like one of the
- 5:02Speaker 3: weirdest slates I remember in some time, it's gonna be
- 5:05Speaker 3: kind of a lot of I mean, this is an
- 5:07Speaker 3: MM Paradise slate, or anyone out there who has kind
- 5:11Speaker 3: of strong conviction conviction, don't I mean throw out whatever
- 5:15Speaker 3: the hell ge Rise and I talk about half the
- 5:16Speaker 3: time we talk about nonsense on here anyways, and just
- 5:20Speaker 3: go with because that's kind of slate. It is right,
- 5:22Speaker 3: it doesn't there's no clear cut spots, right t which
- 5:25Speaker 3: does make things better for a tournament's guy. And kind
- 5:28Speaker 3: of you can use ownership to kind of dictate a
- 5:30Speaker 3: little bit more, just because when everything looks kind of similar,
- 5:34Speaker 3: why would why play into the ownership that everyone else
- 5:37Speaker 3: is gonna But even from the picture aspect, you see
- 5:39Speaker 3: this right here, Hidestone pitcher right around thirty percent, and
- 5:43Speaker 3: that's gonna be Sandy Elkintar like you, Like you alluded
- 5:46Speaker 3: to the guy on the other side, Peter Lambert, I
- 5:48Speaker 3: expect a lot of teams to kind of be those
- 5:50Speaker 3: two guys paired.
- 5:51Speaker 2: When I run projections in the dry.
- 5:53Speaker 3: Run, I'm getting a bunch of Lambert, I'm getting a
- 5:55Speaker 3: bunch of Max Freed, getting a bunch of Elkintara, and
- 5:57Speaker 3: a bunch of Rangers Swarez. But the issue there, g
- 5:59Speaker 3: ri And is Max Freed and Ranger Swarz are both
- 6:02Speaker 3: making their first starts off the IL, So you have
- 6:04Speaker 3: no clue. We just saw Mazerowski pitch sixty five pitches
- 6:07Speaker 3: on Monday. These guys coming off extended rest right off
- 6:12Speaker 3: the IL and then all started like you just have
- 6:14Speaker 3: no clue really what the pitch counts are going to
- 6:16Speaker 3: look like, especially for those two guys. So personally, for me,
- 6:20Speaker 3: Freed and Swarz are kind of out of my pool.
- 6:22Speaker 3: I won't be shocked just with the way the pitching
- 6:25Speaker 3: slate shakes up if if they posted some scores, but
- 6:29Speaker 3: both of them are gonna get played because of the
- 6:30Speaker 3: price points, right, Max Freed, the name recognition alone at
- 6:33Speaker 3: eighty eight hundred on a slate where pitching looks pretty gross,
- 6:36Speaker 3: and then Ranger swore the same thing as hot as
- 6:38Speaker 3: the Red Sox. Ben people are looking kind of penciling
- 6:41Speaker 3: in four win points for Ranger Swarz there. So those
- 6:44Speaker 3: two guys are going to play into ownership and there's
- 6:46Speaker 3: a bunch of unknowns for me. They didn't really make
- 6:48Speaker 3: my pool. But talk to the talk to me. Let's
- 6:50Speaker 3: just do the eight k and above. We'll go Montero,
- 6:54Speaker 3: your guy, Montero pitching in the Wrigley wind blown in
- 6:57Speaker 3: game there.
- 6:57Speaker 2: That worked out well for our boy yesterday.
- 7:02Speaker 3: Does he come back and then talk about Kyle Bradish
- 7:05Speaker 3: same price point as Peter Lambert, half the ownership exact
- 7:08Speaker 3: same price.
- 7:09Speaker 2: Yeah, he gets the red hot Red Sox.
- 7:11Speaker 3: But Bradish I still think has talent and he's gonna
- 7:15Speaker 3: be on own on a slate where everyone's gonna play
- 7:17Speaker 3: the other guy at nine K. So, I think there's
- 7:19Speaker 3: some interesting tournament ways to go from a pitching aspect,
- 7:22Speaker 3: but al Qatara does look like the best overall option
- 7:25Speaker 3: on the slate.
- 7:30Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean we'll start out on the bottom there
- 7:32Speaker 4: with Montero against the color I mean, Montero just for me,
- 7:38Speaker 4: he's just he doesn't have any strikeout capability. I mean
- 7:41Speaker 4: his strikeout percentages are pretty low, which is kind of scary.
- 7:46Speaker 4: Fifteen percent to the left side, nineteen percent to the
- 7:49Speaker 4: right side. That's not terrible, but I mean he has
- 7:53Speaker 4: been getting buriled up by lefties nine percent. Ground ball
- 7:56Speaker 4: rates really low to lefties, fly ball rate thirty three percent.
- 8:00Speaker 4: It is more of a ground ball lean pitcher to
- 8:01Speaker 4: the right side. So, I mean the Cobies, though we know,
- 8:05Speaker 4: can do some damage from that left side. PCA has
- 8:07Speaker 4: been just hot as can be. Bush has been looking good.
- 8:11Speaker 4: I mean, come on, Bush always looks good. And then
- 8:13Speaker 4: you know Happ's been, you know, not bad there on
- 8:16Speaker 4: the left side. Three sixty six who but against righty.
- 8:19Speaker 4: So I'm not really all that much of a fan
- 8:21Speaker 4: of Montero. I mean, I just don't see the upside
- 8:25Speaker 4: Griffin jacks Man. I like last start, he gave up
- 8:30Speaker 4: a bunch of Runzie only gave up one homer, which,
- 8:33Speaker 4: you know, I think it is interesting. He had three points,
- 8:37Speaker 4: but before then he was pretty steady in the team
- 8:39Speaker 4: twenty three points, eighteen twenty four, eighteen eighteen. You know,
- 8:43Speaker 4: so he's been pretty consistent, so I think, definitely think
- 8:46Speaker 4: he's a guy five to six strikeouts pretty much most starts.
- 8:50Speaker 2: He's been getting five innings.
- 8:52Speaker 4: If he can get past that six inning mark there
- 8:54Speaker 4: for a quality start on FanDuel, that would be definitely
- 8:57Speaker 4: something that I'm usually trying to look for, is a
- 9:00Speaker 4: guy that I think can get me that quality starting
- 9:02Speaker 4: to win, especially being ten points combined over there. So
- 9:05Speaker 4: I think Jackson in the conversation, I don't really like
- 9:08Speaker 4: the matchup though against Toronto.
- 9:10Speaker 2: It's not really that strong. You mentioned alcan Terra.
- 9:14Speaker 4: I mean this is a guy I mean I haven't
- 9:15Speaker 4: really even thought about playing much all this year. I mean,
- 9:19Speaker 4: he's priced at eighty five hundred. He's looked good. His
- 9:21Speaker 4: last three starts. He's had seven k's, eight k's, eight k's.
- 9:25Speaker 4: His last handful of starts, been up over one hundred pitches,
- 9:28Speaker 4: six innings, seven innings, eight innings, been looking really good. So,
- 9:33Speaker 4: I mean, he did it too against the Brewer team
- 9:36Speaker 4: Cleveland and and also in Sacramento.
- 9:40Speaker 2: So it ain't like he's had some you know, cake
- 9:42Speaker 2: cupcake matchups either.
- 9:43Speaker 4: So I'm gonna ride the hot hand and I'm gonna
- 9:46Speaker 4: call Sandy my my favorite pitcher, especially on DK. I
- 9:50Speaker 4: do like him on FanDuel as well. So the matchup
- 9:53Speaker 4: he's got against Houston, I mean, it's okay. It's not
- 9:57Speaker 4: one that I'm jumping up and down about and overly
- 10:00Speaker 4: excited about. But you know, I mean, you do have
- 10:05Speaker 4: a couple of strikeouts there at the back of the lineup, Trammel, Dispenser,
- 10:09Speaker 4: he's in their ward, Christian Walker, They're all above the
- 10:13Speaker 4: twenty two lines. So you know, I think Sandy's a
- 10:15Speaker 4: guy that I can live with. I mean, and I think,
- 10:18Speaker 4: you know, just kind of looking at the slate, I mean,
- 10:21Speaker 4: it's it's Bob as good as we're gonna get in
- 10:24Speaker 4: reality here today. I mean moving up the line too.
- 10:27Speaker 4: I think you're right about Freed and Suarez, both of them.
- 10:31Speaker 4: I think I read was that Freed went three innings,
- 10:34Speaker 4: they yanked them, and the Suarez went like fifty some
- 10:37Speaker 4: pitches in his last rehab start.
- 10:39Speaker 2: And and and to kind of go on what you said,
- 10:41Speaker 2: I I have.
- 10:42Speaker 4: I mean, I have a few guys that I've known
- 10:45Speaker 4: over the years that have had experience pitching at the
- 10:47Speaker 4: major league level, and I've asked even in my DFS
- 10:51Speaker 4: years and asked guys who are major league pitchers, like,
- 10:54Speaker 4: what are things that bother you?
- 10:55Speaker 2: Was it like, you know, rain or cold or you know.
- 10:58Speaker 2: I've always asked.
- 10:59Speaker 4: That, and you know that the answer I always got
- 11:01Speaker 4: was when they went off of their normal routine.
- 11:04Speaker 2: Like pictures are creatures of routine.
- 11:07Speaker 4: Like they want to do the same things, do the
- 11:09Speaker 4: same things in between their three or four days, how
- 11:11Speaker 4: they practice, how they stretch their arms, and then they want.
- 11:14Speaker 2: To go full go.
- 11:15Speaker 4: When you start disrupting that, that that fucks them up.
- 11:18Speaker 2: Man, They're creatures a habit.
- 11:20Speaker 4: So pictures don't like to to mix up their routine.
- 11:24Speaker 4: So I need to see Freed and Squarez a little
- 11:27Speaker 4: bit before I'm even going gonna look there. Now, looking
- 11:31Speaker 4: at Lambert and Bradish, I think I think everybody's got
- 11:34Speaker 4: it wrong. So I think Bradish should be the guy
- 11:37Speaker 4: who should be more highly owned than when Lambert's gonna
- 11:41Speaker 4: be here against teaching. I think the only reason why
- 11:43Speaker 4: everybody's looking at Lambert is because this is the last
- 11:46Speaker 4: start he had ten K's you know, it's the recency
- 11:48Speaker 4: bias that we talked about yesterday, Nate. It's like everybody's
- 11:51Speaker 4: after Lambert. Everybody's all excited about him today, you know,
- 11:55Speaker 4: and you're gonna sit there and you look at his numbers.
- 11:58Speaker 2: We could look there.
- 11:59Speaker 4: First of all, all, I'm afraid he's gonna see one, two, three, four,
- 12:03Speaker 4: five six lefties. His walk rate against lefties is fourteen
- 12:07Speaker 4: point two percent. That's pretty that's alarming. His fly ball
- 12:11Speaker 4: percentage is almost at thirty two percent. That's that's alarming.
- 12:15Speaker 4: He has been getting buriled up a little bit by
- 12:17Speaker 4: right he's at nine percent. So I'm a little bit concerned.
- 12:21Speaker 4: If Lambert's control is not there, he's he's he's not
- 12:25Speaker 4: gonna get you where you need to be. I mean,
- 12:27Speaker 4: he has looked pretty good in his last three starts
- 12:29Speaker 4: twenty seven, twenty six, twenty six points.
- 12:32Speaker 2: A couple times in between he did struggle.
- 12:34Speaker 4: So sure, I do believe he's he is ranking up
- 12:38Speaker 4: there one of the better plays. But you turn around,
- 12:40Speaker 4: you look at Bradish here against the white the red Sox,
- 12:43Speaker 4: and I'm looking at a guy. Sure he's got some
- 12:45Speaker 4: walk rates issues also, eleven percent to the left side,
- 12:48Speaker 4: ten percent to the right side. His strikeout percentages are
- 12:52Speaker 4: a little bit better left side, so twenty two percent,
- 12:54Speaker 4: twenty four percent. He has been getting buriled up a
- 12:56Speaker 4: little bit by righties, but I mean his grand bow
- 13:00Speaker 4: all percentages are better fifty percent, ground balls to both sides.
- 13:03Speaker 4: Fly ball percentages are low twenty two percent, nineteen percent.
- 13:06Speaker 4: So you know, I'm looking at the strikeouts. We got
- 13:09Speaker 4: Contraras twenty eight percent, Durant thirty percent, Devar's at the
- 13:12Speaker 4: bottom thirty two, Siegler, They're all The only one that
- 13:16Speaker 4: really doesn't have strigo is Yoshida and Durbin are the
- 13:19Speaker 4: two that I'm not looking at. So when I'm kind
- 13:21Speaker 4: of looking at the numbers from a blind perspective, names
- 13:23Speaker 4: it kind of looks like to me, the Bratish numbers
- 13:26Speaker 4: are a little bit better than I feel Lambert's seem
- 13:30Speaker 4: to be at this point. Lambert, I mean, they're both
- 13:32Speaker 4: in the same perspective, but when I'm looking for thin margin,
- 13:35Speaker 4: I'm I actually prefer.
- 13:36Speaker 2: Bradish over Lambert. I guess when I'm getting at.
- 13:38Speaker 4: So, I think, you know, that would be a type
- 13:42Speaker 4: play that I could get along with, and then you know,
- 13:45Speaker 4: you start looking at anything lower below. I mean, I
- 13:48Speaker 4: think it's a kind of slate you can start with
- 13:50Speaker 4: your bats kind of see what you got left with
- 13:52Speaker 4: some pitching. There isn't any pitching I feel that's gonna
- 13:55Speaker 4: blow you away today, Like you know, like you gotta
- 13:58Speaker 4: have type guys, you know, So if we see a
- 14:00Speaker 4: bunch of offense here today, I think there'll be a
- 14:02Speaker 4: different combinations of pictures that could be in your pool
- 14:05Speaker 4: that could get you to the top. But I just
- 14:07Speaker 4: don't really see that, Oh shit, you know, ten k
- 14:10Speaker 4: strikeout guy here tonight, that's gonna, you know, blow us away.
- 14:13Speaker 4: So I think I'm kind of looking for outs Naid's
- 14:16Speaker 4: like it's so bad. I think I'm looking for outs,
- 14:19Speaker 4: Like who's gonna get me that six innings?
- 14:21Speaker 2: Especially on FanDuel like that. That's what I'm kind of
- 14:23Speaker 2: looking at.
- 14:24Speaker 4: If I can get me a guy that gets me
- 14:25Speaker 4: five k's and gets me that six innings and potentially
- 14:28Speaker 4: a win, I think as bo as good as I'm
- 14:30Speaker 4: gonna get on this sleeve.
- 14:31Speaker 3: Be honest with you, Yeah, the issue is and not
- 14:34Speaker 3: there might not be one of these pictures that goes
- 14:36Speaker 3: six innings. To be honest, when when you're when you
- 14:39Speaker 3: look when you when do you look at it? So
- 14:41Speaker 3: that does make things challenging. I agree with a lot
- 14:43Speaker 3: of what you said. Lambert does check out pretty good
- 14:46Speaker 3: for me, and his ownership's not gonna be off the
- 14:49Speaker 3: chart at least. Projections wise, I don't know. I don't
- 14:51Speaker 3: know how much Garrett Cole and Ranger sworet or not
- 14:55Speaker 3: Garrett Cole excuse Max Freed and Ranger Suarez kind of
- 14:59Speaker 3: kind of moonwalk.
- 15:00Speaker 2: I don't know right now.
- 15:01Speaker 3: Projections wise has Lambert the same as Ranger Sworez and
- 15:06Speaker 3: Max Freed basically, And I know what I'm getting with Lambert.
- 15:09Speaker 3: Lambert's got three twenty plus games in a row. We
- 15:12Speaker 3: just saw what m I did in this exact same
- 15:16Speaker 3: matchup last night. Yeah, the Marlins have really good at
- 15:19Speaker 3: ops against right handed pitching, but Lambert pitching at home.
- 15:22Speaker 3: And I think this Houston lineup is much better than
- 15:26Speaker 3: what people are giving a credit for right now when
- 15:28Speaker 3: they add in what Christian Walker's back in there now,
- 15:31Speaker 3: and they got another guy back as well. I'm a
- 15:36Speaker 3: little worried about Sandy on the other side. So for me,
- 15:38Speaker 3: between the two, I do have Lambert number one. I
- 15:41Speaker 3: do really like Kyle Bradish as well at nine K.
- 15:44Speaker 3: I like both of those nine K pitchers, and then
- 15:46Speaker 3: my third guy is actually gonna be Griffin Jack. So
- 15:49Speaker 3: I have it ranked Lambert Bradish, jax El Kintara up
- 15:53Speaker 3: in the top. I'm not messing with Montero. I'm not
- 15:55Speaker 3: messing with Bennett or not Bennett.
- 15:57Speaker 2: Excuse me.
- 15:58Speaker 3: These freaking double head our guys are shown in here
- 16:02Speaker 3: in Saber, in the in the screen that I'm looking at.
- 16:05Speaker 2: So for me, it's really those four guys.
- 16:07Speaker 3: I'm not messing with the Rangers fours and Max re
- 16:09Speaker 3: reed if you wanted to, they have upside because we
- 16:12Speaker 3: really don't know. I mean we just said, I don't
- 16:15Speaker 3: know if any of these pitchers go six innings or
- 16:17Speaker 3: makes it into the six inning.
- 16:19Speaker 2: I'm kind of.
- 16:20Speaker 3: Plant my flag on those four, Sandy, I am a
- 16:22Speaker 3: little worried about just because Houston's hitting the ball pretty
- 16:25Speaker 3: well right now. It is a much better lineup overall
- 16:28Speaker 3: when you add in Jeremy Pania back in there, I mean,
- 16:32Speaker 3: Christian Walker's back in there. Yeah, you got some guys
- 16:35Speaker 3: like Taylor, Trammel and Spence and Diaz in the back half,
- 16:39Speaker 3: but that top six is the pretty legitimate roster gee Risen,
- 16:43Speaker 3: which hasn't been the case for much of the year.
- 16:44Speaker 3: That's why people have been streamlining pitchers against this team.
- 16:49Speaker 3: I wouldn't be shocked if Sandy has a good day,
- 16:51Speaker 3: but he hasn't looked amazing this year. I mean, he's
- 16:53Speaker 3: got an eighteen percent strike out rate against both sides
- 16:56Speaker 3: of play. The Astras don't strike out a ton. When
- 16:58Speaker 3: you look at the last month twenty team k rate
- 17:02Speaker 3: ISO number over two hundred. I'm a little worried about
- 17:05Speaker 3: a chalky Sandy Alkintara when I like the other four
- 17:08Speaker 3: guys that I mentioned up here more in Bradish, Lambert,
- 17:12Speaker 3: Jacks and Even and even Sandy. But those other three
- 17:18Speaker 3: guys I like a lot more. Is kind of how
- 17:20Speaker 3: I shake up the slates from the top tier. But
- 17:23Speaker 3: I do think you can spend down again right, double
- 17:26Speaker 3: spend down one yesterday with Rocker and our guy Peterson,
- 17:30Speaker 3: of all guys, right on the other side of that
- 17:32Speaker 3: freaking Framberg Cup collapse, it was all Cubs in that one.
- 17:38Speaker 3: I don't know if it's gonna do it right. Obviously
- 17:40Speaker 3: yesterday doesn't really matter for today, but I do think
- 17:43Speaker 3: there's some cheaper guys down here. I think Colin Rays
- 17:47Speaker 3: pretty interesting. I think secone or Sosoni is kind of
- 17:51Speaker 3: interesting at seventy two hundred sixty four hundred and then
- 17:56Speaker 3: Spencer Miles at fifty five hundred on a slate where
- 17:59Speaker 3: pitchings grow, maybe that allows you to spend up for
- 18:02Speaker 3: those Dodgers' bats that I have some interest in. But
- 18:05Speaker 3: outside of those guys, it's really headlining for me on
- 18:08Speaker 3: Slade Coconi versus Sony Colin Ray is kind of the
- 18:12Speaker 3: the main two guys down here and then just punting
- 18:14Speaker 3: all the way down and do a Spencer Miles if
- 18:15Speaker 3: you need salary.
- 18:19Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the Miles thing is.
- 18:23Speaker 4: I mean, I think there's enough cheaper pitching today where
- 18:26Speaker 4: that fifty five hundred dollars dart throw, I don't see
- 18:29Speaker 4: any like gem that I'm paying up for, like a
- 18:32Speaker 4: high end pitcher or you know there. I mean, what
- 18:34Speaker 4: if you want some maybe some Dodgers.
- 18:36Speaker 2: You know, maybe if you wanted to go that route.
- 18:38Speaker 4: But I mean, the dude just I mean, he hasn't
- 18:41Speaker 4: gone past four innings and or sixty pitches in quite
- 18:45Speaker 4: a while, so I'm I'm I.
- 18:47Speaker 2: I could see.
- 18:47Speaker 4: I mean, if you just feel like pitching is just
- 18:49Speaker 4: not gonna you know, no there's gonna be hardly any
- 18:52Speaker 4: twenty point plus pitchers today, which you know, I think
- 18:55Speaker 4: you'll still see a few.
- 18:57Speaker 2: I mean I do overall.
- 18:58Speaker 4: I mean of all the pitchers, Lamb Bradish Alekantera Jacks.
- 19:02Speaker 4: I mean, yeah, you could play all those guys and
- 19:05Speaker 4: be happy and kind of just live in that range.
- 19:07Speaker 4: I mean, Colin Rays another guy I think you can play,
- 19:09Speaker 4: just because what we saw yesterday, the wind blowing in
- 19:12Speaker 4: raise more of a groundball type pitcher, so I think
- 19:16Speaker 4: I think he's definitely in play. I saw some Aaron
- 19:19Speaker 4: Nola love against the against the Dodgers.
- 19:22Speaker 2: I mean I can't. I can't do it.
- 19:25Speaker 4: I guess the Dodgers maybe if it was another type
- 19:28Speaker 4: team that had some strikeout capability in this spot, I
- 19:30Speaker 4: would like Aaron Nola a little bit more. I mean,
- 19:32Speaker 4: it is a tournament play, so I don't mind it's
- 19:34Speaker 4: seventy four hundred. It's not a bad price to pay
- 19:37Speaker 4: for him if that's you know, if you want to
- 19:39Speaker 4: take that chance. But I mean after that, I mean,
- 19:43Speaker 4: I'm not playing Bailey over I'm not. I mean SISONI
- 19:48Speaker 4: if you wanted to go there, I could, I could
- 19:50Speaker 4: possibly do that. It's just not really any kind of
- 19:52Speaker 4: strikeouts for me, So I mean it's thin pickings all over.
- 19:56Speaker 4: I think I would kind of just stay up in
- 19:57Speaker 4: the top with the guys we were talking about Lambert's
- 20:01Speaker 4: bradish can tell Alcintara Jacks. I think that's where maybe
- 20:05Speaker 4: throwing Colin Ray maybe that'd be like the five.
- 20:08Speaker 2: I think I would use Naids. I think that'd be
- 20:10Speaker 2: about it.
- 20:10Speaker 4: Really, to be honest with you after that, I mean,
- 20:12Speaker 4: if you want to throw some darts at some other
- 20:14Speaker 4: guys like it's a slate, I mean I don't fault you,
- 20:18Speaker 4: but I just don't see any really reward for you know,
- 20:21Speaker 4: some of these guys that really just a don't have
- 20:24Speaker 4: long leashes and haven't have had a prior pass to
- 20:27Speaker 4: where you know, they're not getting the innings that we want.
- 20:30Speaker 4: So I'm gonna kind of be looking at the slate
- 20:32Speaker 4: for guys that are gonna get me past the sixth inning.
- 20:35Speaker 4: That's why I like Ella Caintara the most, especially on
- 20:38Speaker 4: Fan Duel, just because I feel like I'm gonna get
- 20:40Speaker 4: sixteen innings out of them now. I saw Douglas say, hey,
- 20:43Speaker 4: you know Darren here say no, probably get beat up
- 20:46Speaker 4: for it, but because the Marlins have lost ninth straight.
- 20:50Speaker 2: The thing is is, whenever that comes up, everybody's looking
- 20:53Speaker 2: at what.
- 20:54Speaker 4: The Vegas odds are, like, you know, like with the likelihood,
- 20:56Speaker 4: and that game is pretty damn close to flip them,
- 20:59Speaker 4: so you know, I mean, no one else has really
- 21:02Speaker 4: taken they considered. Now, if that was like a minus
- 21:04Speaker 4: two hundred, you know, and Lambert was a minus two
- 21:07Speaker 4: hundred against the team has lost nine in row, I mean,
- 21:10Speaker 4: that'd be a bigger difference, like then Lambert would probably
- 21:12Speaker 4: be a way better play, but you know.
- 21:14Speaker 2: They're not even seeing it that way. So I think
- 21:17Speaker 2: that's more of what comes into play is what the
- 21:20Speaker 2: you know, what the.
- 21:20Speaker 4: Odds are for that team to win. And then really
- 21:23Speaker 4: the best way to look at it, too is the
- 21:25Speaker 4: first five innings, right. You can see that quite a
- 21:27Speaker 4: bit when you're looking at you know, sports bets. Most
- 21:29Speaker 4: books give you the odds for the first five innings,
- 21:32Speaker 4: which generally is a game that you're gonna look at
- 21:34Speaker 4: involves just the starting pitching. So you know, I think
- 21:37Speaker 4: that's what I kind of like to look at too, Like,
- 21:39Speaker 4: what are the odds of him in the first five innings,
- 21:42Speaker 4: you know, like winning that first five innings, So I
- 21:45Speaker 4: think that's something too that needs to be looked at.
- 21:47Speaker 4: But yeah, man, pitching's kind of thin today, Like it's
- 21:50Speaker 4: it's tough. But yeah, you know, I, like you said,
- 21:54Speaker 4: offense isn't great either, So it's not like I can
- 21:56Speaker 4: tell you, oh, man, you know, hey, a bunch of
- 21:58Speaker 4: people that are gonna play, you know, like we talked
- 22:01Speaker 4: about Peterson yesterday. Oh, if you play them, you're probably
- 22:03Speaker 4: gonna have a bunch of gnats on your team because
- 22:06Speaker 4: you're gonna, you know, have salary. And that's pretty much
- 22:09Speaker 4: what happened. So I just don't see that team today.
- 22:12Speaker 2: Obviously, no Cores game, no Sacramento game, nothing of that sort.
- 22:16Speaker 4: I mean, we literally have just basically an East Coast
- 22:19Speaker 4: Midwest type slate here tonight. There's nothing late past eight ten.
- 22:22Speaker 4: So yeah, I mean, we're gonna have to fish for
- 22:26Speaker 4: some offense here tonight. It just seems like here in
- 22:28Speaker 4: recent times the offense has been coming from the later
- 22:30Speaker 4: times and the warmer you know, the warmer type spots.
- 22:33Speaker 4: But interesting slate though. Nate's man, we see it every
- 22:36Speaker 4: day and we talk about it. It's like how many
- 22:38Speaker 4: times we catch ourselves saying, like, man, we haven't seen
- 22:40Speaker 4: a slate like this in a while.
- 22:41Speaker 2: But I think that's what makes baseball fun. Yeah, that
- 22:45Speaker 2: does what that is what makes baseball fun?
- 22:48Speaker 4: It is.
- 22:50Speaker 3: It is uh daily right, it is uh anything can happen, right,
- 22:55Speaker 3: every slates differently.
- 22:56Speaker 2: There's really no slate that's the same.
- 22:58Speaker 3: Even obviously majority of the he's our three and four
- 23:01Speaker 3: game series, right, so you see a lot of the
- 23:03Speaker 3: same kind of matchups, and we do the same the show,
- 23:06Speaker 3: so we're we usually hit the same kind of pitching
- 23:08Speaker 3: rotation every time, and it still shakes up pretty differently
- 23:12Speaker 3: every time. I do want to make this point though,
- 23:15Speaker 3: I get the but I mean when the pitching is
- 23:18Speaker 3: that bad, Miles did go sixty pitches in the last start.
- 23:21Speaker 3: He does have strike on ability, keeps the ball in
- 23:24Speaker 3: the ground, I know it.
- 23:25Speaker 2: Right.
- 23:25Speaker 3: Oh, the Rays just beat up Kevin Gosman. But Gosman
- 23:29Speaker 3: is just kind of a pitcher that it doesn't really
- 23:31Speaker 3: match it. It's more of if he has it, he
- 23:34Speaker 3: has it, if he doesn't he doesn't, right kind of thing.
- 23:36Speaker 3: I know the Rays are good and they're pesky in that,
- 23:39Speaker 3: but I mean Miles his sierra is the best in
- 23:41Speaker 3: the slate. He's got twenty seven percent strikeout rate, he's
- 23:44Speaker 3: got good k per nine stuff. And when pitching is
- 23:46Speaker 3: this bad, I mean, I don't think it's the worst
- 23:49Speaker 3: play in the world because it does get you on
- 23:50Speaker 3: a different rostering construction.
- 23:52Speaker 2: But he is definitely kind of the distant guy.
- 23:54Speaker 3: My favorite guys down here would definitely be Colin Ray,
- 23:57Speaker 3: and then I have a little more interest than you
- 23:59Speaker 3: did in a guy like Slaate Sosoni. But majority of
- 24:03Speaker 3: my teams are gonna be two of the guys up
- 24:05Speaker 3: at the top, Bradish Lambert Elkintara and Griffin Jacks. Kind
- 24:09Speaker 3: of those four guys is really where I'm headlining my
- 24:13Speaker 3: team's around. Ray would be the fifth, So we do
- 24:15Speaker 3: kind of see it eye to eye in that regard. Here, guys,
- 24:19Speaker 3: when we jump over talk hitters here, let's go ahead
- 24:23Speaker 3: and refresh our other stone that does show the lineups. Here,
- 24:30Speaker 3: I'm gonna talk a lot about bullpens because I think
- 24:33Speaker 3: the slate is probably gonna end up being one at
- 24:35Speaker 3: the end of the night by against the bullpens. First
- 24:39Speaker 3: to start us off here, Dodgers, Phillies, Aaron Nola. People
- 24:42Speaker 3: were talking about him. He's had some home run issues.
- 24:45Speaker 3: It's really good hitting weather here the best of the slate.
- 24:47Speaker 3: Dodgers do look like the best overall offensive spot for
- 24:50Speaker 3: me here tonight.
- 24:51Speaker 2: I know, Phillies bullpen's good.
- 24:52Speaker 3: I know Aaron Nola is a pretty solid, but at
- 24:55Speaker 3: its current state, him against lefties is just not that great.
- 24:58Speaker 3: He's gonna see six lefties in here, and all really
- 25:02Speaker 3: good ones at that. I think the Dodgers are super
- 25:06Speaker 3: interesting here. They're not going to be super low owned,
- 25:08Speaker 3: but ownership is gonna spread amongst pretty much everyone on
- 25:10Speaker 3: the slate, and it's gonna be pretty similar in this
- 25:12Speaker 3: game from both sides.
- 25:14Speaker 2: I lean the Dodgers in this one.
- 25:15Speaker 3: I think the Dodgers are, all things considered, probably my
- 25:18Speaker 3: overall stack, a favorite stack on the slates.
- 25:21Speaker 2: But talk to me here first game, Dodgers and the Phillies.
- 25:27Speaker 4: Yeah, the Dodgers and Phillies for me, I mean, they
- 25:30Speaker 4: better get the Nola pretty quick off the top. I
- 25:32Speaker 4: mean that bullpen behind Nola is is pretty good. You
- 25:37Speaker 4: mentioned the trouble Nola's head with with lefties. I mean
- 25:41Speaker 4: that's definitely going to come into play today. But like
- 25:44Speaker 4: I said, and you said at the top, I mean bullpens.
- 25:46Speaker 4: I think in this uh, I mean, pitching isn't great,
- 25:50Speaker 4: offense isn't great. So yeah, I mean that's definitely a
- 25:54Speaker 4: good type strategy to just think to yourself, you know, yeah,
- 25:57Speaker 4: I'm gonna attack this or you know, like any kind
- 26:00Speaker 4: of slate you go into, you should have some sort
- 26:02Speaker 4: of you know, some sort of a strategy. I do
- 26:05Speaker 4: like the strategy of looking at some bullpens here. I
- 26:07Speaker 4: mean we kind of look at that most days, but
- 26:09Speaker 4: maybe today a little bit, we just look at it
- 26:11Speaker 4: a little bit more because you know what, we're not expecting.
- 26:13Speaker 2: We even said, we don't know.
- 26:14Speaker 4: If any pitcher will go six innings. I do think
- 26:17Speaker 4: Sandy has a good chance. That's why I did, you know,
- 26:21Speaker 4: kind of highlight him today. But yeah, so I think
- 26:23Speaker 4: bullpens are going to come into play. But the Phillies
- 26:25Speaker 4: have one of the best bullpens, so I mean, to me,
- 26:28Speaker 4: I'm I'm a little concern with the Dodgers and for
- 26:31Speaker 4: them to be up on top. I actually got two
- 26:33Speaker 4: other teams ahead of them. I do have them third actually, so,
- 26:36Speaker 4: but Dodgers are definitely in play. You got a game
- 26:39Speaker 4: total sitting at nine and a half, So, I mean
- 26:41Speaker 4: that's one of the higher game totals up on the
- 26:44Speaker 4: on the board today. But yeah, I mean Dodgers, you
- 26:48Speaker 4: can't argue going against going against Nola from the left
- 26:51Speaker 4: side as well as three sixty two twenty eight ISO
- 26:54Speaker 4: ten percent barrel rate, fly ball rate up at thirty percent,
- 26:58Speaker 4: ground ball eights pretty low.
- 27:00Speaker 3: Uh.
- 27:00Speaker 4: So, I mean you got some guys over here on
- 27:02Speaker 4: the Dodgers that definitely can get the ball up in
- 27:05Speaker 4: the air show hey gets it, thirty one percent. I
- 27:08Speaker 4: mean they got one, two, three, four, five, six hitters
- 27:11Speaker 4: that are over thirty percent fly ball rate. So I think, uh,
- 27:15Speaker 4: Nola could Nola could be in trouble in this one.
- 27:18Speaker 4: I mean that's one you could either play Nolar, you
- 27:20Speaker 4: could play against them. Uh, I'd prefer I'd rather go
- 27:23Speaker 4: against them. I just don't have the Dodgers up as high.
- 27:26Speaker 4: And I did consider ownership into my decision by having
- 27:30Speaker 4: them third.
- 27:31Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I get the reasoning there. I'm definitely gonna
- 27:34Speaker 3: have a lot of Dodgers. I think they're pretty If
- 27:37Speaker 3: I had to kind of just close my eyes and
- 27:39Speaker 3: pick one team, it'd probably be them. As the highest
- 27:42Speaker 3: likelihood to score the most runs. But yeah, Phillies do
- 27:44Speaker 3: have the second best bullpen. Trying to pull up their
- 27:46Speaker 3: bullpen usage here and just see how rested they are,
- 27:50Speaker 3: because we haven't seen Philly on a main slate. They
- 27:54Speaker 3: used two arms yesterday, four arms the day before that,
- 27:57Speaker 3: I mean forty two thirty one they got them are
- 28:00Speaker 3: some innings on or pitches on majority of their guys
- 28:03Speaker 3: in that bullpen arm. Every guy has thrown at least
- 28:07Speaker 3: eighteen pitches in the last three days. That doesn't matter
- 28:10Speaker 3: a ton, but at the end of the day, it's
- 28:12Speaker 3: still the Dodgers. On paper, they do check out pretty good.
- 28:14Speaker 3: I don't really like the Phillies side of things, Eric Lower,
- 28:18Speaker 3: I don't think is very good. So that's why people
- 28:20Speaker 3: are going to the Phillies here at least projection ownership
- 28:23Speaker 3: wise that they have the Phillies higher than the Dodgers.
- 28:27Speaker 2: At least we do here.
- 28:29Speaker 3: Turner can always be in play against the lefty, but
- 28:32Speaker 3: I mean, you got guys like Derek Hill, so some
- 28:34Speaker 3: of these guys are pinch hit guys anyways, So yeah,
- 28:37Speaker 3: I'm not in on the Phillies. Dodgers do have a
- 28:39Speaker 3: really good bullpen as well. It's Dodgers or bust for
- 28:42Speaker 3: me in that game from an offensive standpoint. Next spot
- 28:45Speaker 3: on the slate here, though, I'm gonna have some interest
- 28:48Speaker 3: in the team that I never usually really like much.
- 28:52Speaker 3: I think Bailey Ober is not very good. I think
- 28:55Speaker 3: he sucks. And the Guardians get our guy j Rat
- 28:57Speaker 3: back Jose Ramirez at forty eight. I mean, we were
- 29:00Speaker 3: paying what sixty two hundred, sixty four hundred for this guy.
- 29:04Speaker 3: He's at forty eight hundred hitting second. You got de
- 29:06Speaker 3: Lauda right behind him, Bizana's backet and Manzaro. This lineup
- 29:11Speaker 3: has some guys now pack with Jay ram they still
- 29:13Speaker 3: suck as a as an offense. I know you're gonna
- 29:16Speaker 3: call them the Indians here, but the Twins, I'm talking
- 29:18Speaker 3: about bullpen's Twins. Second worst bullpen in baseball and not
- 29:24Speaker 3: a great starter. And you add in the fact that
- 29:26Speaker 3: they had two guys throw forty nine forty seven pitches yesterday,
- 29:30Speaker 3: twenty eight pitchers. They're very very text I talked about
- 29:33Speaker 3: the Phillies bullpen usage forty nine pitches, forty seven pitches,
- 29:37Speaker 3: forty five pitches, thirty six pitches, thirty twenty eight. They
- 29:41Speaker 3: have majority of their bullpen at least twenty eight pitches
- 29:45Speaker 3: or more in the last three days. That's that's been
- 29:47Speaker 3: pretty tax and they're not good at that. I think
- 29:50Speaker 3: the Guardians have a path to success on a slate
- 29:52Speaker 3: like this, that nobody's really gonna play them, and that's
- 29:55Speaker 3: got to be a big morale booster.
- 29:56Speaker 2: Getting Jay Ram back. Talk to me, I could get
- 30:00Speaker 2: into play in a little bit of Indians on this slate.
- 30:03Speaker 2: I mean, I don't mind it at all.
- 30:05Speaker 4: I mean, common Zarto is a great play, and that
- 30:09Speaker 4: PD guy at the bottom too, I think is a
- 30:11Speaker 4: great play. He's pretty help and he's cheap as well.
- 30:13Speaker 4: I mean that dude's got a forty six percent fly
- 30:15Speaker 4: ball ray names. He's got a twelve percent baril rate
- 30:19Speaker 4: against against righties too, so does Manzarto. So I think
- 30:23Speaker 4: both of those guys are in play. Pe d the
- 30:26Speaker 4: bottom that lineup, you can flip them around there if
- 30:30Speaker 4: if you want to do that too. So yeah, I
- 30:33Speaker 4: think them getting Jay Ram back, I mean, that's definitely
- 30:36Speaker 4: gonna help out a little bit. So I think the
- 30:39Speaker 4: Indians are definitely in play. You mentioned that bullpen stinks,
- 30:42Speaker 4: so I don't mind that at all. I think it's
- 30:44Speaker 4: a play. I don't think i'd go over weight or
- 30:47Speaker 4: too heavy on it. I do think you can pluck
- 30:49Speaker 4: this game for some cheap homers too, you know, like
- 30:51Speaker 4: Manzarto's cheap, That PD guy's cheap. You know, like the
- 30:55Speaker 4: only one really expensive up at the time is Jay Ram, right.
- 30:58Speaker 4: So I mean I think you got some guys there.
- 31:00Speaker 4: They do have some power potential, crappy bullpen like you said,
- 31:04Speaker 4: So I think, yeah, that's definitely in play.
- 31:06Speaker 2: Now the other side of that up against the Sony
- 31:10Speaker 2: you know.
- 31:11Speaker 4: For me, so Sony is you know, more of a
- 31:12Speaker 4: groundball type, lean pitcher, doesn't really give up too many
- 31:16Speaker 4: fly balls, maybe twenty six percent to lefties. But I mean,
- 31:20Speaker 4: you know, maybe you could look at somebody like a
- 31:22Speaker 4: Cody Clemens, if you wanted to look at something like that.
- 31:25Speaker 4: He's got a decent flyball rate. Other than that, I
- 31:28Speaker 4: I I really do prefer the Indians in this one. So,
- 31:32Speaker 4: I mean six forty start, have you know, get a
- 31:35Speaker 4: couple Indians. I mean, they they do have some power
- 31:38Speaker 4: in that left side. So I don't mind attacking over
- 31:40Speaker 4: He's just he's been bad. I mean you look up
- 31:42Speaker 4: and down his stats against lefties so far K percentage
- 31:46Speaker 4: is at fifteen percent. I so two fifty six, ground
- 31:49Speaker 4: ball rates, low, flyball rates, high, barrel rates high. Everything's
- 31:52Speaker 4: high except except me at this point in time. That'll
- 31:56Speaker 4: that'll change after the show's over, those Nates. But yeah,
- 32:00Speaker 4: so I think they're definitely in play. And I you know,
- 32:02Speaker 4: I don't have the I have the Indians below the Dodgers,
- 32:06Speaker 4: which already said I had two teams ahead of the Dodgers.
- 32:09Speaker 2: But I do have the Indians in my top five today.
- 32:12Speaker 3: Yeah, I just like them a lot. I just don't
- 32:14Speaker 3: think people are gonna play them. And it allows me
- 32:16Speaker 3: to double spin. So like going to Lambert Bradish team, right,
- 32:20Speaker 3: I can play all the best hitters throwing a help
- 32:23Speaker 3: and wrap it around to the top.
- 32:24Speaker 2: Played to laut or play j Ram, play Bazon. I
- 32:27Speaker 2: play these guys and then still.
- 32:29Speaker 3: Be able to pluck off some of these Yankees or
- 32:31Speaker 3: these Dodgers or the Braves spend up guys. I just
- 32:34Speaker 3: like how it sets up, and it's gonna be unknown
- 32:36Speaker 3: on this slate. And I do want to call out
- 32:38Speaker 3: a guy DK in here probably shouldn't even throw them
- 32:40Speaker 3: up here. I apologize if we hurt your feelings. We're
- 32:42Speaker 3: not getting any business from the show.
- 32:44Speaker 2: This is a free show.
- 32:45Speaker 3: We do this for you guys, and obviously to market
- 32:48Speaker 3: our tools in that and hopefully some of you guys
- 32:50Speaker 3: see value in our tools. But there's plenty of other
- 32:54Speaker 3: shows out there. So I do apologize we did hurt
- 32:56Speaker 3: your feelings, but yeah.
- 33:00Speaker 2: Flake ass somewhere else anyway. I don't give two ships,
- 33:02Speaker 2: to be honest with you. Yeah, yeah, go ahead.
- 33:05Speaker 4: If you get worried about that, then dude, just get
- 33:07Speaker 4: out of here. I mean, then put yourself in a bubble.
- 33:09Speaker 4: Then what you don't watch TV? You don't do anything
- 33:12Speaker 4: because ship ESPN is fucking everything's racial on ESPN, So
- 33:15Speaker 4: get out of here. I call the team the Indians,
- 33:18Speaker 4: and you're mad they should be the Indians anyway.
- 33:21Speaker 3: Yeah, literally, it's a it's a free show that that
- 33:24Speaker 3: we do Monday through Friday for you guys. But yeah, no,
- 33:28Speaker 3: next game on the on the docket here, do have
- 33:30Speaker 3: the chalk of the slate Yankees? Are they gonna gonna
- 33:34Speaker 3: bounce back here? Bubble Chandler, he's got a pedigree, gee,
- 33:38Speaker 3: rozen kind of like what we talked about with Kumar Rocker.
- 33:40Speaker 3: It came through for Rocker last night. Issue with Chandler
- 33:44Speaker 3: is he just has no idea where the pitch is
- 33:45Speaker 3: gonna go when he throws, and that can lead to
- 33:49Speaker 3: some long innings against a pretty I mean, I I
- 33:54Speaker 3: don't want to say patient because they do strike out
- 33:56Speaker 3: a lot, but a pretty powerful offense at that. So
- 33:59Speaker 3: you start fall behind these guys like ben Rice, Jash, Chisholm,
- 34:02Speaker 3: who's red hot right now, Grisham, I mean, Dominga is,
- 34:06Speaker 3: all of these guys. It can lead to a long
- 34:10Speaker 3: game Pirates bullpen right now as it stands since mid
- 34:16Speaker 3: kind of mid pac twelfth in terms of x FIP.
- 34:19Speaker 3: Obviously they're they're the first game is going on. I
- 34:21Speaker 3: don't know if it's over or what. I haven't paid
- 34:22Speaker 3: attention day. John kind of took up all my time today.
- 34:25Speaker 2: But talk to me here. How do you see this one?
- 34:27Speaker 3: Yankees at the end of the day probably gonna be
- 34:29Speaker 3: the highest on stack on the board, at least projections
- 34:32Speaker 3: would say. So I got about seventy five percent Yankee
- 34:34Speaker 3: sacks when I ran the dry run, So how.
- 34:37Speaker 2: Do you see it?
- 34:39Speaker 4: Yeah? I got the Yankees is my favorite stack. Actually, lefties,
- 34:43Speaker 4: especially Bubba sucks man. Bubba can't get anybody out. If
- 34:47Speaker 4: I keep saying Bubba, my cat's gonna come running because
- 34:50Speaker 4: that's my cat's name. So but either way, I mean,
- 34:53Speaker 4: Bubba's has been bad twelve percent. He's been walking quite
- 34:56Speaker 4: I mean he's got a thirteen percent walk rate overall,
- 34:59Speaker 4: thirteen percent the right, twelve and a half to the left,
- 35:02Speaker 4: Woolba three forty seven ground ball percentage low flyball percentages
- 35:06Speaker 4: high to both sides getting buriled up by lefties. I mean,
- 35:09Speaker 4: you don't want to be a team that a pitcher
- 35:12Speaker 4: that's gonna, you know, just been struggling with lefty power,
- 35:15Speaker 4: because the Yankees are gonna bring it with with the
- 35:18Speaker 4: lefty power. So, as you mentioned, bullpen isn't all that good.
- 35:22Speaker 4: I think Yankees definitely for me stand out. Yankees are
- 35:25Speaker 4: not on FanDuel because of the doubleheader issue there, but yeah,
- 35:29Speaker 4: I do, uh, I definitely have the Yankees ranked up
- 35:32Speaker 4: there pretty high.
- 35:33Speaker 3: The game the first game did go into ten innings,
- 35:36Speaker 3: so you're talking from a bullpen standpoint. The Pirates used
- 35:41Speaker 3: three guys including their their their closer, and Soto, so
- 35:45Speaker 3: he's probably gonna be unavailable. He threw thirty I don't
- 35:48Speaker 3: know how many.
- 35:49Speaker 2: Let me see how many.
- 35:50Speaker 3: I don't know how many pitches he's he threw, but Malaude,
- 35:54Speaker 3: Montgomery and Soto both threw. The Yankees did use after
- 35:58Speaker 3: Garret Cole. Garret Cole obviously went seven seven innings with
- 36:02Speaker 3: eleven strikeouts, but they used four guys after Cole. So
- 36:08Speaker 3: with the double header on the back to back, I mean,
- 36:10Speaker 3: you can have some merit here. I don't like picking
- 36:12Speaker 3: on Max Freed because he usually keeps the ball in
- 36:15Speaker 3: the ground, but his I mean, we already seen this, right,
- 36:18Speaker 3: We already seen the circus come back once Jee risen
- 36:21Speaker 3: and then he went back on the il.
- 36:23Speaker 2: And when he came back, I mean he had some issues.
- 36:25Speaker 2: He did.
- 36:26Speaker 3: He didn't look like himself. His strikeouts were down, his
- 36:28Speaker 3: velocity wasn't there. I won't be shocked to see the
- 36:32Speaker 3: Pirates put up some runs here on the other side
- 36:35Speaker 3: of the chalky Dodgers or the other side of the
- 36:37Speaker 3: chalky Yankees game. I don't love picking on a Yankees team,
- 36:43Speaker 3: but they did use four arms in that first start.
- 36:46Speaker 3: They used a ton of arms. With the double header
- 36:49Speaker 3: on Sunday where all of their bullpen really threw thirty
- 36:52Speaker 3: plus pitches. So I won't be shocked. I mean, Valdez
- 36:56Speaker 3: Murder's left handed pitching. I think he's an elite one
- 36:59Speaker 3: off on this At four K. I don't know what
- 37:01Speaker 3: this guy has to do to get priced up. DraftKings
- 37:03Speaker 3: just clicks the four thousand dollars price point. The intern
- 37:06Speaker 3: out there just says, oh, yeah, this guy's been scoring
- 37:09Speaker 3: twenty DraftKings points a night. Let's just keep them at
- 37:11Speaker 3: four K. In the outfield where you get to play
- 37:13Speaker 3: three guys. So I think valde is an elite option
- 37:15Speaker 3: on the slate. Gonzales if he's in there, Alzuna, I
- 37:18Speaker 3: think he can. He can pull some of these value
- 37:20Speaker 3: power guys, Henry Davis if he's in there. I think
- 37:24Speaker 3: the Pirates have some sense, But yeah, Yankees very hard
- 37:26Speaker 3: to kind of ignore, especially on the back end of
- 37:30Speaker 3: a back to back.
- 37:31Speaker 2: Here.
- 37:32Speaker 3: I do like this game, but I have the Yankees
- 37:34Speaker 3: behind the Dodgers. Personally myself, I do have the Guardians
- 37:38Speaker 3: ahead of the Pirates, but I have some interest mainly
- 37:42Speaker 3: Valdez kind of headlines the Pirates for me. Next spot
- 37:45Speaker 3: on the slate Rays Blue Jesus is one I don't
- 37:47Speaker 3: love from a DFS perspective. Two good bullpens here, two
- 37:50Speaker 3: pitchers that really on Griffin Jackson side, I think you
- 37:53Speaker 3: can play. I'm not really buying what happened yesterday.
- 37:57Speaker 2: Again.
- 37:57Speaker 3: This is all I care about is tonight. This is
- 37:59Speaker 3: I don't love this spot for offense here up in Toronto,
- 38:03Speaker 3: in Canada.
- 38:04Speaker 2: With the smoke.
- 38:08Speaker 4: Yeah, they can keep all that damn smoke. That was terrible, man.
- 38:11Speaker 4: I mean you know, it's hard to breathe. It felt
- 38:13Speaker 4: like you ran a marathon when you're outside for like
- 38:15Speaker 4: even a half hour twenty minutes.
- 38:17Speaker 2: But either way, yeah, this one here, I'm not too
- 38:20Speaker 2: big of a fan on this one for offense.
- 38:23Speaker 4: I just I don't like picking on I'm not gonna
- 38:26Speaker 4: pick on Jack's I like him today and then with
- 38:29Speaker 4: Tampa Bay against Fisher and I just I mean, you
- 38:33Speaker 4: can play Junior camin Aro. I mean, man, what a
- 38:36Speaker 4: what a performance that guy put on during the All
- 38:38Speaker 4: Star home run contest. I mean you just if that
- 38:40Speaker 4: dude was anywhere else, like in a bigger market, Naids,
- 38:43Speaker 4: that dude would be like just it just they would
- 38:46Speaker 4: just publicize him being just way more better of a
- 38:48Speaker 4: ball player than he is. He'd get way more love
- 38:51Speaker 4: than being stuck down there Tampa because Junior can hit
- 38:54Speaker 4: the ship. Isn't he your guy that hit the home
- 38:55Speaker 4: run one year Parlay that time one Junior?
- 39:00Speaker 3: Yeah, Yeah, Junior was the hero his fit that back
- 39:04Speaker 3: because they were raking everyone on the team damn near
- 39:07Speaker 3: the home run besides Junior. And I'm over there playing
- 39:10Speaker 3: duck pin bowling with Tamba and Hoop drinking, drinking our
- 39:14Speaker 3: freaking whatever, getting cut off from a wristband because the
- 39:17Speaker 3: damn place doesn't have a bunch of Wisconsin night's coming
- 39:20Speaker 3: to drink, so they keep cutting us off. And gee,
- 39:23Speaker 3: Risen's over there watching the TV and he goes, hey, nay,
- 39:25Speaker 3: it's I look over cam and Errow's doing the trot
- 39:28Speaker 3: and I hit the five like parlay for like forty
- 39:31Speaker 3: five hundred or something of you and him.
- 39:33Speaker 2: Didn't you guys talk about it on the show? I
- 39:35Speaker 2: think he talked about it on the show. Yeah, we talked.
- 39:37Speaker 3: We talked about on the show, and it was all
- 39:39Speaker 3: headlined around Camonierro and uh, I think we hit all
- 39:42Speaker 3: four that night on the show.
- 39:44Speaker 2: So there was a bunch of celebrations.
- 39:46Speaker 3: It was an epic moment that will never never get
- 39:49Speaker 3: forgotten about and hopefully is Yeah, hopefully we can run
- 39:54Speaker 3: it back in in Vegas in about a month, right
- 39:57Speaker 3: that that'd be fun. But yeah, go ahead it and
- 40:00Speaker 3: any any additional takes you from this game, Yeah, yeah, pass.
- 40:06Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't love it either.
- 40:07Speaker 3: You can always play a spend up to be contrarian
- 40:10Speaker 3: junior Cameron Arrow at fifty eight hundred, like you talked about.
- 40:12Speaker 3: Always have a soft spot for him, But yeah, I
- 40:14Speaker 3: don't love that game on either side. Next bottom the slate,
- 40:18Speaker 3: we got the Red Sox and the Oreos Red Sox
- 40:20Speaker 3: going for what fourteen in a row?
- 40:21Speaker 2: Now? Did they win? Did they win the first game
- 40:25Speaker 2: of the doubleheader? Is it still going? I haven't seen
- 40:28Speaker 2: let me see Red Sox. Maybe I'm just totally mistaken.
- 40:35Speaker 3: Yeah, they won six to three, So now they're going
- 40:37Speaker 3: what going for fifteen in a row?
- 40:40Speaker 2: Something like that. They faced Kyle Bradish here in terms
- 40:43Speaker 2: of it's it's wild, isn't it. The team just goes
- 40:48Speaker 2: into the killing it in DFS. I mean, they wont
- 40:50Speaker 2: all these games.
- 40:54Speaker 3: That's what I talked about yesterday, right, is they've been
- 40:57Speaker 3: scoring like four or five runs.
- 40:59Speaker 2: It's like the Brewer right.
- 41:00Speaker 3: Brewers continue to win and just don't be relevant for
- 41:02Speaker 3: a DFS because they don't hit home runs and they score.
- 41:05Speaker 3: There's six runs, but you have no idea. It just
- 41:07Speaker 3: doesn't bode well. Red Sox used four three bullpen arms
- 41:11Speaker 3: that Oriols only used one arm. Orioles do have a
- 41:14Speaker 3: really good bullpen. Dean Kramer was able to go six
- 41:17Speaker 3: innings with five strikeouts. I think I think our guy
- 41:21Speaker 3: Bradish is a better pitcher. I think Bradish has a
- 41:25Speaker 3: lot of appeal. As you talked about in the pitching aspect,
- 41:28Speaker 3: Red Sox are hitting the opto I don't know how
- 41:31Speaker 3: much of that is gonna hold true here. I don't
- 41:33Speaker 3: love this game from a DFS perspective. Here it is
- 41:36Speaker 3: a good place to hit. You got some wind blown
- 41:39Speaker 3: out towards kind of right field in this one. Temperature
- 41:43Speaker 3: is right around the upper seventies.
- 41:45Speaker 2: Talk to me here, how do you see this one?
- 41:49Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 41:49Speaker 2: I mean you got two good pictures.
- 41:51Speaker 4: I think in this one, you know, I think it's
- 41:54Speaker 4: you know, are you gonna get any kind of leverage
- 41:56Speaker 4: for me? I don't feel like I am so for me,
- 41:59Speaker 4: it feels like it's just too big of a risk
- 42:02Speaker 4: for me to feel like one of these teams is
- 42:04Speaker 4: going to be able to to be one of the
- 42:07Speaker 4: stacks I need here today. I just I don't love
- 42:10Speaker 4: going against either pitcher or the or the staffs.
- 42:13Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean both bullpens are are are rested. Even
- 42:17Speaker 3: with the first game, Like I said, oh Is only
- 42:19Speaker 3: used one guy. Red Sox did use more, but the
- 42:22Speaker 3: rest of their guys are all pretty rested in there. Yeah,
- 42:24Speaker 3: I just I don't love that game from a DFST perspective.
- 42:27Speaker 3: The next game, do I do have? Someone mentioned Michael
- 42:30Speaker 3: King in the chat from the pitcher aspect, I have
- 42:32Speaker 3: zero interest. I actually have a lot of interest in
- 42:35Speaker 3: this Braves offense. They're hitting the wet ball well right now.
- 42:39Speaker 3: Michael King can get wild at times and just not
- 42:42Speaker 3: have it, and this Braves offense is starting to starting
- 42:46Speaker 3: to come to life here here. G Risen, I think
- 42:49Speaker 3: the Braves are super interesting here in terms of the padres.
- 42:52Speaker 3: Obviously we know that bullpen is good, but they used
- 42:55Speaker 3: four arms yesterday, including Mason Miller who threw twenty one pitches.
- 42:59Speaker 2: I have probably a pretty strong.
- 43:02Speaker 3: Feeling that Miller's probably not going to go back to back.
- 43:05Speaker 3: They obviously don't like throwing that that massive contract back
- 43:09Speaker 3: to back days for a good reason. Matsui threw twenty
- 43:13Speaker 3: one yesterday, Rodriguez through fifteen and seventeen on Monday. He's
- 43:16Speaker 3: gonna be unavailable. Wandy Peralta is thrown twice in the
- 43:19Speaker 3: last three days. I mean, you're probably looking at some
- 43:23Speaker 3: of the lesser arms coming out of that bullpen and
- 43:25Speaker 3: a guy who I think is fairly attackable. Braves look
- 43:29Speaker 3: pretty interesting here to me is a pivot off of
- 43:30Speaker 3: the Yankees and the Dodgers at similar price points.
- 43:33Speaker 4: Talk to me here, yeah, I mean, if you like
- 43:36Speaker 4: the Braves, I mean you're gonna want to look at
- 43:38Speaker 4: the lefties against King. I mean he's given up a
- 43:40Speaker 4: ten percent barrel rate so far this season, twenty percent.
- 43:44Speaker 2: K raid his walk rates at ten percent.
- 43:47Speaker 4: But I mean, this guy's like a mid ground ball
- 43:49Speaker 4: lean pitcher for almost forty six percent to the left side,
- 43:53Speaker 4: he's forty four percent to the right side. So with
- 43:56Speaker 4: that in mind, I'm gonna look over it the Braves here,
- 44:00Speaker 4: knowing I do like some lefties, and I'm gonna want
- 44:01Speaker 4: some guys that hit the ball up in the air,
- 44:03Speaker 4: Asi Albies and is thirty six percent fly ball rate,
- 44:06Speaker 4: Olsen thirty four, Austin Riley, even Yastrimsky. Basically the top
- 44:11Speaker 4: six of that lineup. I think I think you can
- 44:14Speaker 4: leave in there with basically the only righty being Austin Riley.
- 44:18Speaker 4: So I think you know the top six there. I
- 44:21Speaker 4: don't like Dubon. He's more of a grand ball type
- 44:25Speaker 4: type hitter, low fly ball percentage twenty three percent.
- 44:28Speaker 2: So yeah, I don't prefer, like prefer the seven eight
- 44:32Speaker 2: nine hitters in this lineup, but I do think you
- 44:35Speaker 2: could get to.
- 44:36Speaker 4: Now we talk about bullpens, I don't really like the
- 44:39Speaker 4: fool with the San Diego bullpen all that much, so
- 44:42Speaker 4: that kind of puts them back a little bit behind,
- 44:44Speaker 4: like my top five.
- 44:45Speaker 2: But I mean, if you like some Brays, I think
- 44:47Speaker 2: the lefties are definitely employed.
- 44:50Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I don't. I don't love the padres here.
- 44:54Speaker 3: I mean Tatis is getting going Machana coming off two
- 44:56Speaker 3: home runs yesterday. I mean Bray's bullpen is good as well.
- 45:02Speaker 3: In terms of their bullpen usage, they're all arrested. They
- 45:05Speaker 3: only threw one guy yesterday to on Monday, so they're
- 45:09Speaker 3: they got really every arm available there. Martin Perez is
- 45:12Speaker 3: not a great army by any means.
- 45:14Speaker 2: But I just I don't know.
- 45:16Speaker 3: If there's one team that's gonna get ownership, then I'm
- 45:19Speaker 3: gonna sell on the most. It's definitely gonna be the
- 45:22Speaker 3: Padres here. I think the Padres are your Chalky value
- 45:25Speaker 3: stack to add with your Dodgers and your Yankees right
- 45:28Speaker 3: when people are going there. Because ty Franz thirty two hundred,
- 45:31Speaker 3: Luis Renhifo hitting second for twenty seven hundred two dual
- 45:34Speaker 3: position eligibility Corona word twenty eight hundred dual position eligibility.
- 45:38Speaker 3: I mean, you got Jackson Merril at four to three. Like,
- 45:41Speaker 3: I just think this is the team that everyone's gonna play.
- 45:44Speaker 3: I'm a little worried. I'd prefer the Brave side. Actually,
- 45:47Speaker 3: that top six. You don't have to worry about ownership
- 45:49Speaker 3: with them, so you don't have to worry about messing
- 45:51Speaker 3: with the seven eight nine guys to get different like
- 45:53Speaker 3: you did with Coorsfield and stuff like that. I just
- 45:56Speaker 3: like the way Drake Baldwin's playing right now. He's forty
- 45:59Speaker 3: six hundred. Olsen's always good Albi's like you talked about
- 46:02Speaker 3: Harris Riley, and it's a pretty taxed Padre's bullpen. Being
- 46:07Speaker 3: as good as they are, some of their better arms
- 46:10Speaker 3: are probably unavailable here tonight, which.
- 46:12Speaker 1: I do like.
- 46:14Speaker 3: Next game rick Ley Cubs Tigers Montero Colin Ray. We
- 46:17Speaker 3: had a decent amount of interest in Colin Ray here,
- 46:20Speaker 3: but he's not bulletproof by any means. Maybe some of
- 46:23Speaker 3: these Tigers lefties can get to him. He is susceptible
- 46:26Speaker 3: to the left side. He actually gives up a lot
- 46:28Speaker 3: more power though to the right side, and his strike
- 46:31Speaker 3: cuts are lower. The issue is is Tigers don't outside
- 46:34Speaker 3: of Torgelsen and Dingler, who I think are two really
- 46:36Speaker 3: elite kind of mini stacks, on this slate, They're probably
- 46:40Speaker 3: going to hit close to each other. I won't be shocked.
- 46:43Speaker 3: I just overall, I don't love this game for a
- 46:45Speaker 3: defense perspective. It's not great hitting environment here. Talk to me,
- 46:49Speaker 3: how do you see this one?
- 46:50Speaker 4: Yeah? I mean if you're going after Ray, I mean
- 46:52Speaker 4: it is better to go after him with the right side,
- 46:55Speaker 4: I mean a little reverse splitzy. Ground ball rate is
- 46:58Speaker 4: higher almost fifty percent to the left side to thirty
- 47:00Speaker 4: eight percent to the right side, so flyball rate almost
- 47:04Speaker 4: thirty seven and a half to the right side, So
- 47:07Speaker 4: you know, any kind of rity that can get the
- 47:09Speaker 4: ball up in the air. Dylan Dingler, I mean, dude,
- 47:12Speaker 4: dude's been just smashing the shit out of the baseball.
- 47:15Speaker 4: Torkal Sin, as you mentioned too, I do like, but yeah,
- 47:19Speaker 4: I mean overall, I don't care for the Tigers overall
- 47:22Speaker 4: as a as a stack against the Cubs. Like you said,
- 47:25Speaker 4: the weather is going to be tough from what I'm seeing,
- 47:29Speaker 4: and blown in about what ten nine to ten miles
- 47:31Speaker 4: an hour, so it's only seventy degrees now. It's been
- 47:34Speaker 4: pretty hot up here in the Midwest in recent weeks.
- 47:37Speaker 4: Is not as hot any at this point in time,
- 47:40Speaker 4: even here in Michigan. I think it's only like seventy
- 47:42Speaker 4: four or seventy two or something like that. But yeah,
- 47:45Speaker 4: so maybe some wan offs as you mentioned. But Dingler's
- 47:48Speaker 4: been really hot, man, This dude's been just smashing the
- 47:50Speaker 4: shit out of the baseball here in recent times.
- 47:53Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Dingler torkal Sin are really interesting. Those
- 47:56Speaker 3: two righties there, we haven't projected hit five and seven.
- 48:00Speaker 3: Nobody's gonna play those two guys, and I think they're
- 48:02Speaker 3: pretty interesting.
- 48:03Speaker 2: Cubs.
- 48:04Speaker 3: I don't have a ton, but Cubs got the job
- 48:06Speaker 3: done yesterday against Framber. But I think anyone would have
- 48:09Speaker 3: got the job done yesterday against Framber because he's a
- 48:11Speaker 3: head case. PCA though, I think is an elite spend
- 48:14Speaker 3: up to be contrarian off of some of those Dodgers
- 48:17Speaker 3: in those Yankees outfielders.
- 48:18Speaker 2: Uh, he's been insane all year. Suzuki has been really.
- 48:22Speaker 3: Good, so I think this game is much more of
- 48:26Speaker 3: one offs, two man sacks, something like that. Probably don't
- 48:29Speaker 3: get to this game much for a full five man overall.
- 48:32Speaker 2: Next one on the.
- 48:33Speaker 3: Slate, White Sox and the Rangers. I mean White Sox
- 48:36Speaker 3: got blanked yesterday by Kumar Rocker. I mean call me crazy,
- 48:41Speaker 3: call me stupid, call me whatever you want. I'm right
- 48:45Speaker 3: back in on the White Sox.
- 48:47Speaker 2: I don't care.
- 48:48Speaker 3: It's daily fantasy for a reason. They burned a lot
- 48:51Speaker 3: of my teams yesterday. I mean, cal Quantrill, I've stacked
- 48:55Speaker 3: I would stack hoops little league team against this guy.
- 49:00Speaker 3: Antononaci muror Commi Montgomery, Colson Montgomery being back in there
- 49:03Speaker 3: helps a ton great in Montgomery. I mean, give me
- 49:06Speaker 3: all of these lefties. And then don't forget about Vargas.
- 49:09Speaker 3: Don't forget about a cheap knee draw at thirty seven
- 49:12Speaker 3: hundred at second base, which in a weak position. I'm
- 49:15Speaker 3: back in, and sign me up for it for some
- 49:17Speaker 3: White Sockx again, and don't sleep on the Rangers again.
- 49:19Speaker 3: Anthony k has He's got some pedigree, but he hasn't
- 49:22Speaker 3: been great. White Langford is murdered left handed pitching. He
- 49:26Speaker 3: hit a bomb last night. Foscu's been red hot against
- 49:29Speaker 3: lefties all season. He's a little bit of pinch hit
- 49:32Speaker 3: concern there. Probably potentially only could see two or three
- 49:36Speaker 3: at bats, But thirty four hundred at second base, I
- 49:39Speaker 3: don't care second base as a ghost. A Wasteland Burger
- 49:42Speaker 3: looks good. Nimmo hit a bomb last night during It's
- 49:45Speaker 3: really the top kind of five are the main guys
- 49:48Speaker 3: for the Rangers. I don't really want to mess with
- 49:50Speaker 3: these other guys, these JR. Broni's at the back half.
- 49:53Speaker 3: Definitely not playing Nicky Lopez, I'll tell you that for free.
- 49:55Speaker 3: But the top half of the Rangers. And then I
- 49:58Speaker 3: love the White Sox, especially the lefties.
- 50:01Speaker 4: Yeah, the White Sox of that other team I was
- 50:03Speaker 4: talking about when the Dodgers, me liking the White Sox
- 50:06Speaker 4: a little more than the Dodgers, and that pretty much
- 50:08Speaker 4: is strictly just pretty much due to just what I
- 50:11Speaker 4: felt like ownership gonna look like.
- 50:13Speaker 2: I mean, Quadrille, as you mentioned, is just terrible.
- 50:15Speaker 4: Three ninety wOBA against against lefties, fifteen percent barrel rate.
- 50:20Speaker 4: I mean he's walking at almost ten percent. He's got
- 50:24Speaker 4: seventeen percent K rate. I mean, this guy's just been
- 50:27Speaker 4: just absolutely terrible. And on top of that, he just
- 50:31Speaker 4: beene even just as bad against the right side with
- 50:36Speaker 4: this k percent is sitting at ten percent, So I mean,
- 50:38Speaker 4: this guy isn't gonna be striking out any righties and
- 50:41Speaker 4: he's gonna looks like he's gonna be getting pounded by
- 50:44Speaker 4: lefties now. Yesterday, I will say I was a little
- 50:45Speaker 4: disappointed when I saw the lineup come out and Colson
- 50:47Speaker 4: Montgomery wasn't in there for the for the White Sox,
- 50:50Speaker 4: and that.
- 50:50Speaker 2: Should have been my cue, like maybe back off a
- 50:53Speaker 2: little bit on him.
- 50:54Speaker 4: And I'll tell you I had three lineups on FanDuel
- 50:56Speaker 4: yesterday and all dann three had White Sox in him,
- 50:58Speaker 4: So I kind of bit me.
- 51:00Speaker 3: In the ass.
- 51:00Speaker 2: But as you said, I'll go right back at him
- 51:02Speaker 2: here today.
- 51:03Speaker 4: Uh, Tyler and Alexander gonna start out that game, so
- 51:07Speaker 4: you know, Vargas smashes the ship out of lefty, so
- 51:09Speaker 4: he'll he'll probably get an extra base hit at the
- 51:12Speaker 4: beginning of the of the game there, and then you're
- 51:15Speaker 4: gonna get Quantrille to come in and you know, coming
- 51:19Speaker 4: back around. I mean, I wouldn't doubt it if you know,
- 51:21Speaker 4: you get to the top of that lineup back by
- 51:24Speaker 4: the middle of the second inning. So yeah, I could
- 51:27Speaker 4: definitely see the White Sox being up at the top
- 51:30Speaker 4: of the boards here today. I'm gonna go back at
- 51:32Speaker 4: him hopefull. Everybody's a little scared off by him, but
- 51:35Speaker 4: I'm gonna go right back at I mean, they've been
- 51:37Speaker 4: one of the better teams against UH as far as
- 51:41Speaker 4: hitting righties all year, So I think I think the
- 51:44Speaker 4: White Sox from me are one of my favorites. Murakami
- 51:46Speaker 4: probably go deep today, just like yeah, I love UH.
- 51:50Speaker 3: I love the White Sox here overall, much different spot
- 51:54Speaker 3: here than than facing Rocker.
- 51:56Speaker 2: Rocker at least has some pedigree. He's up and down trail.
- 52:00Speaker 3: We know what he is, And yeah, the point you
- 52:02Speaker 3: brought up Tyler Alexander gonna open that helps Vargas. That's
- 52:05Speaker 3: probably why Vargas is hitting third regardless. I mean, he
- 52:09Speaker 3: doesn't really venture too far. He's been their best hitter
- 52:12Speaker 3: arguably all season. Fifty six hundred fields gross to click
- 52:15Speaker 3: for for Miguel Vargas, but good chance he he probably
- 52:19Speaker 3: hits a home.
- 52:19Speaker 2: Run in his first at bat there. Yeah, I love
- 52:22Speaker 2: I love the White Socks.
- 52:22Speaker 3: Don't forget about Tristan Peters either, at three k down there,
- 52:26Speaker 3: hitting ninth. He's got some speed, got some power as well.
- 52:29Speaker 3: Didn't he have a three home run game about a
- 52:32Speaker 3: month ago something like that, scored like fifty five Draftings points.
- 52:36Speaker 3: But when the White Sox put up like twenty some runs,
- 52:39Speaker 3: So yeah, I love that. And then that rangers that
- 52:41Speaker 3: top five. I think it's really interesting. You don't have
- 52:45Speaker 3: to get cute because they're gonna they're not gonna get
- 52:46Speaker 3: owned either. So during Nimo Berger Foscue ling for really
- 52:50Speaker 3: like white length for forty five hundred, He's he's another
- 52:54Speaker 3: one that just never gets priced up. He's kind of
- 52:55Speaker 3: in that es Merlin Valdez range. Right, where what do
- 52:59Speaker 3: these guys have to do to get priced out, but
- 53:00Speaker 3: I don't care. I'll keep taking the points for a
- 53:03Speaker 3: value price point. Last game of the slate, Sandy Elkintara
- 53:07Speaker 3: Peter Lambert, two of the most popular pitchers on the slate,
- 53:10Speaker 3: both look.
- 53:10Speaker 2: Really good overall. However, you got a.
- 53:14Speaker 3: Really really good hitter in this game, and Jordan Alvarez,
- 53:17Speaker 3: who is in played every time he's on the slate.
- 53:19Speaker 3: I think he's an elite spend up to be contrarian
- 53:21Speaker 3: as well. Marlins, I think you can still home run hunt.
- 53:25Speaker 3: Joe Max got two home runs back to back. I mean,
- 53:28Speaker 3: I'd look at some of these lefties a Stours, a Hicks,
- 53:31Speaker 3: a Mac, but if I'm going to the Marlins, it's
- 53:33Speaker 3: more of the value guys. But we don't expect pictures
- 53:37Speaker 3: to go long, and you always have that Houston bullpen
- 53:40Speaker 3: and the Marlins bullpen behind both of these guys.
- 53:42Speaker 2: Talked to me last game of slate. Yeah, I think
- 53:45Speaker 2: you're gonna see Marlins.
- 53:47Speaker 4: I think they're gonna be more of a type small
- 53:49Speaker 4: ball kind of game against Lambert, especially that walk percentage
- 53:51Speaker 4: at fourteen percent. I mean, you look at the Marlins too,
- 53:54Speaker 4: they got a lot of patient hitters, so I can
- 53:56Speaker 4: see them getting on just you know, moving runners around
- 53:59Speaker 4: the bases and so forth. I don't see Lambert. I
- 54:03Speaker 4: mean his his flyball percentages are fairly high, thirty over
- 54:07Speaker 4: thirty percent of both sides. So you know, I think
- 54:10Speaker 4: Starwars there thirty two percent, Hernandez thirty four. I mean,
- 54:14Speaker 4: those got Liam Hicks. Maybe those are the guys I'd
- 54:17Speaker 4: kind of look at with Lambert if you're looking for
- 54:19Speaker 4: some power. But the Houston Bats, as you mentioned with Elikantera,
- 54:23Speaker 4: I mean, I guess the only way I'd want to
- 54:25Speaker 4: even go after him is with lefties. Flyball percentage is
- 54:28Speaker 4: twenty seven percent to nineteen percent to righty, so definitely
- 54:32Speaker 4: they're the ground ball percentage thirty nine percent to fifty
- 54:36Speaker 4: four percent against righty, So yeah, you're gonna want some lefties.
- 54:39Speaker 4: Jordon forty three percent fly ball that's just that's that's sick.
- 54:43Speaker 4: So Jordon is definitely a guy. I mean, you're obviously
- 54:46Speaker 4: gonna pay up for him, but I mean, hey, pitching
- 54:48Speaker 4: is pitching's fairly cheap today, so Jordon's definitely a guy
- 54:52Speaker 4: that that you may want to look at. So I mean,
- 54:55Speaker 4: to me, I just don't love the overall offense. I
- 54:58Speaker 4: just think Alikanta has been pretty good. But you're down
- 55:00Speaker 4: if you're home run hunting. I mean, how can you
- 55:02Speaker 4: not play him. He's one of the best hitters in
- 55:04Speaker 4: baseball this year.
- 55:06Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I kind of agree.
- 55:07Speaker 3: More. It takes us to the summary of the show,
- 55:11Speaker 3: your favorite pitching combination or your top three pitchers, your
- 55:14Speaker 3: top three stacks, and then a home run call if
- 55:17Speaker 3: you have one. I'll do the same and we'll get
- 55:19Speaker 3: out a year.
- 55:21Speaker 4: I'm gonna say Ela Qantara, but that is just more
- 55:25Speaker 4: driven for FanDuel two.
- 55:26Speaker 2: But I like him more.
- 55:27Speaker 4: But I do have interest in Lambert and bradish on DK,
- 55:32Speaker 4: also Griffin Jackson probably being fourth. I think I like
- 55:35Speaker 4: bradish More actually on DK. Obviously he's not on fan duel.
- 55:40Speaker 4: But as far as my stacks go, as I said,
- 55:43Speaker 4: I do have. I got some Yankees, White Sox, Dodgers.
- 55:49Speaker 4: I think those are teams I'm looking at. I think
- 55:52Speaker 4: low owned kind of stack. As we mentioned the Indians,
- 55:55Speaker 4: and I'm gonna say Kyle Manzardo is the guy that's
- 55:58Speaker 4: I'm gonna call. It's gonna be my home run here tonight.
- 56:01Speaker 2: Kyle Benzarno. I like that.
- 56:03Speaker 3: I'm gonna go I'll go Peter Lambert, I'll go Colin Ray,
- 56:08Speaker 3: and then I will go Kyle Bradish is kind of
- 56:11Speaker 3: the three main guys there. El Kintara, I get it.
- 56:15Speaker 3: I'm gonna have some some of him for sure, And
- 56:19Speaker 3: that kind of summarizes that. My top stack Dodgers number one.
- 56:22Speaker 2: I'll go.
- 56:23Speaker 3: I'll put the Yankees third, just due to the ownership.
- 56:26Speaker 3: I'm a little worried about them, but Dodgers braves Yankees,
- 56:31Speaker 3: and then my low own kind of sneaky sleeper stack
- 56:34Speaker 3: would would be those Guardians there. I like them a
- 56:37Speaker 3: lot in the White Sox. So that's kind of my
- 56:38Speaker 3: top five there. And I gave you more my home
- 56:41Speaker 3: run call. I don't want to do it because I've
- 56:44Speaker 3: been ice cold with these damn calls. I mean, I
- 56:46Speaker 3: fucking gave out Joey Ortiz yesterday and then he comes
- 56:49Speaker 3: on today. HiT's like a triple triple is. It never fails,
- 56:53Speaker 3: So I know I'm gonna play this guy. I don't
- 56:55Speaker 3: want to give him because the whole purse thing that
- 56:59Speaker 3: people throw out, But I'm going to Valdez on the
- 57:02Speaker 3: other side of that in that exact same game. This
- 57:05Speaker 3: dude has murdered left handed pitching. He's four k, he's
- 57:08Speaker 3: too cheap. I like him a ton, and then I
- 57:11Speaker 3: will go another lefty to Michael Harris for the Braves.
- 57:15Speaker 3: I'm going doubling down with two lefties or not two lefties,
- 57:18Speaker 3: but Michael Harris and Valdez both in that kind of
- 57:21Speaker 3: four K range hitting in the hearts of that order
- 57:24Speaker 3: to round us for g Rising, I'm Nate's good luck
- 57:28Speaker 3: tonight in those contests. Thanks for all the comments. It
- 57:31Speaker 3: was fun to keep the chat interactive. Never seen the
- 57:34Speaker 3: chat fly so fast after we uh we brought that
- 57:37Speaker 3: buddy up on the screen there.
- 57:39Speaker 2: But yeah, well well no harm, no files, no harm,
- 57:42Speaker 2: no file. I mean, we we appreciate.
- 57:47Speaker 3: That's the best part about doing shows with you. We
- 57:49Speaker 3: we speak what's on our mind. We don't sugarcoat crap,
- 57:51Speaker 3: and if you don't like it, that's all right. There's
- 57:53Speaker 3: other places of the other shows across the industry that
- 57:56Speaker 3: you can go and look, we're doing this for free
- 57:58Speaker 3: for you guys at the end of the day, So
- 57:59Speaker 3: we y'all for g Rising, I'm names We'll catch you
- 58:02Speaker 3: guys next time.
- 58:03Speaker 2: We're right here, PEC