Latest / Simply Bitcoin / BREAKING: Billionaire RAISES $13M Bitcoin Price Prediction!! | EP 1261
Transcript
- 0:00Michael Saylor just went on the national news and changed his
- 0:03mind about his original $13 million Bitcoin prediction by
- 0:082045. What if $13 million Bitcoin was
- 0:12bearish? Well, today we're going to be
- 0:14crunching the numbers with a Bitcoin kegger calculator to
- 0:17explain why Michael's 21 year forecast is slowly getting more
- 0:22bullish by the day. As Ruston says, let's roll the
- 0:26clip. The last six months have been
- 0:29tremendous. All of the fundamental planets
- 0:31have aligned. Bitcoins been acknowledged as
- 0:34the one digital commodity in the world by the administration.
- 0:38The banking regulators have given a green light to bank
- 0:42Bitcoin. The accountants have have
- 0:44upgraded the accounting to fair value accounting.
- 0:48There's been a surge of Bitcoin treasury companies.
- 0:50There's like 100 public companies or more.
- 0:53They're holding Bitcoin on their balance sheet.
- 0:55And every single week there's another announcement.
- 0:59I think that you know, it used to be we're focused on the
- 1:02halvings, but at this point the entire natural supply of Bitcoin
- 1:06is only 450 Bitcoin available for sale every day.
- 1:09That's sort of about forty $550,000,000 a day at this
- 1:14level. That is all being that is all
- 1:17being consumed by the Bitcoin treasury companies and the
- 1:20Bitcoin ETFs are are coming on strong.
- 1:24So I'm very bullish My, my, my forecast in July of last year in
- 1:31Nashville was bitcoins going to appreciate 29% a year on average
- 1:37for the next 21 years. And that moves it from it was
- 1:41about mid 6065 thousand to 13 million a coin in the year 2045.
- 1:47I'm getting more bullish on that forecast, but I'm certainly
- 1:52comfortable forecasting 30% a year ARR on average for the next
- 1:5720 years. I think Bitcoins up 57% a year
- 2:03for the past 4 1/2 years. Again, that's double the mag 7.
- 2:08That's quadruple the S&P. You know, that's you know, it's
- 2:128 times real estate and bonds are down 4%.
- 2:16So so Bitcoin is smashing everything Joe love to hear and
- 2:22of course I'm here with the wonderful Internet selfie as a
- 2:25Co host today. But as dice forever said in the
- 2:28chat, why is Michael Saylor so bearish now obviously trolling
- 2:32again, Let's just recap some of the the stuff he was saying that
- 2:35is making him more bullish. We've been saying this on the
- 2:37show for a long time. You know, we have nation state
- 2:40interest in Bitcoin. We have the institutional flows
- 2:42coming into Bitcoin. And if you do the math, you
- 2:45know, only 450 Bitcoin a day are released onto the network,
- 2:49roughly 45 to 50, $1,000,000 of Bitcoin buying pressure that can
- 2:53buy that up. And it sounds like these Bitcoin
- 2:55treasury companies are buying, you know, are at least trying
- 2:59and predicting and saying they're going to buy billions of
- 3:01dollars of Bitcoin. Of course, we're seeing the
- 3:04banks get into it, which probably makes us all feel a
- 3:06little icky here. And then the Bitcoin treasuries
- 3:10just they're going, they're going nuclear right now.
- 3:12Everyone is following Michael Saylor's lead.
- 3:16It can't stay at these prices for that long.
- 3:18Now the real meat of this though, is Sailor essentially
- 3:22getting even more bullish on the national news.
- 3:24Of course I have the metrics here for you guys.
- 3:26So we're going to start with his original prediction and this is
- 3:30of course from last year as he said it, roughly around 65K per
- 3:34Bitcoin. Bitcoin's 21 year forecast to
- 3:372045. We have the three cases, bear
- 3:39case at $3,000,000 with a 21% kegger, base case $13 million
- 3:44with a 29% kegger and a bull case of $49 million per get
- 3:49Bitcoin with a 37% kegger. Now he did only increase this by
- 3:541% on a kegger, but I think if you do the numbers and I'm going
- 3:58to do the numbers for you guys right here, it really starts to
- 4:01get crazy when you start compounding this year over year
- 4:04and of course, bigger number in Bitcoin.
- 4:07So it's going to be a bigger number in the future.
- 4:09Now the interesting part though is what sailors said towards the
- 4:13end the last four years, 4 1/2 years, essentially Bitcoin has
- 4:17been going up about 50%, fifty, 7% CAGR over year over year.
- 4:22Now, we're not saying bitcoins going to do that, but if you
- 4:25look at these numbers and it does continue on this
- 4:27trajectory, then even is bull case of 40, $9 million per
- 4:30Bitcoin and now 20 years seems very bearish here.
- 4:35So, you know, Sailor, I don't think he's been shy about
- 4:38talking about some crazy price predictions out there.
- 4:41But you got to remember the audience here, he's on the
- 4:43national news. He's got to be a bit
- 4:45conservative when he makes these price predictions.
- 4:48And now he's just doubling down, tripling down.
- 4:50He's like, yeah, 13 million is probably bearish here, guys.
- 4:53And here's my reasons. And I think that signal is
- 4:55starting to spread out. Other people are starting to
- 4:58kind of feel the same thing. I know we've been feeling that
- 5:00here on the show. I know you guys saw Nico's
- 5:02progression from perma bear to now starting to feel bullish on
- 5:06the show. You know me, I'm I'm highly
- 5:08regardedly bullish every single day on the show.
- 5:11So let's go into the numbers. I have a kegger calculator here.
- 5:15And based on his initial prediction, I'm going to do this
- 5:19off his initial prediction of 65 K Bitcoin, 30% kegger, just a 1%
- 5:25increase. And you can see it was at 29%,
- 5:28which meant $13 million Bitcoin. And now with a 21 year, which is
- 5:33actually one year ahead, it's roughly 16.2 million.
- 5:38So 1% increase on the kegger here adds about 3 million to the
- 5:43market cap. You know, not really something
- 5:45to just laugh about here, but I want update that for today's
- 5:50price of Bitcoin, roughly 104 Ki think it actually hit 105 K
- 5:54before the show. So I did these numbers for you
- 5:57guys. We'll chat about it and then I
- 5:59have a more realistic prediction for you guys, maybe not 20 years
- 6:02down the line. I know a lot of people yell at
- 6:04us on the show about like you, dude, 20 years from now, like
- 6:07it's going to go up. Who cares?
- 6:09Like tell me what it's going to happen in four years.
- 6:11So first let's do the updated prediction based on today's
- 6:15price, 104K with a 30% K in 20 years.
- 6:19Remember the the date was 2045. That would mean a $20 million
- 6:24Bitcoin from today's price with a 30% keger here and of course
- 6:28keger compounding annual growth rate here.
- 6:30So it means it's going to grow by 30% minimum over the next 20
- 6:35years per year. Now we could argue it's going to
- 6:39go higher. We've seen in the last four
- 6:40years it's doing about 50 ish. So I have these updated numbers
- 6:44for you guys to kind of, you know, persuade you that it's
- 6:47going to go into some big numbers here soon.
- 6:49So you don't have to wait until you're 20.
- 6:51You know, we won't have to wait until we're in our 50s to see
- 6:54these crazy price predictions. It might come sooner than you
- 6:57think. But so before I go into the, you
- 7:00know, the more conservative price predictions of four years
- 7:03down the line, why do you think sailors getting more bullish?
- 7:06Obviously you heard his explanations, but I think the
- 7:08real question is, is why is he saying this on the national
- 7:12news? I mean it depends.
- 7:14Was this video from yesterday? It was this morning.
- 7:16Oh, then, well, it's it's not hard to see why he would say all
- 7:20of this. I think that he's watching the
- 7:23US go in decline in real time. I think our government is
- 7:27falling apart, I think, but things are shifting in ways that
- 7:32we could have never really imagined.
- 7:35But what we could always predict is that the money printer would
- 7:38go Burr. And as soon as that starts to
- 7:41happen, Oh my God, then there's no telling how high Bitcoin
- 7:46could go. I would have changed my mind
- 7:48too, from one day to the next. And so the biggest thing that
- 7:52you could do for yourself, the biggest hedge that you could
- 7:54have on these uncertain, unreliable times is buy some
- 7:58Bitcoin. And the more people buy it, the
- 8:00more valuable gets because there's only going to be a
- 8:02certain amount per, you know, ever.
- 8:05So, you know, it's kind of not difficult to see why Michael
- 8:08Saylor would be saying that in lieu of, you know, what's been
- 8:11going on. Yeah, 100%.
- 8:14And I mean, Saylor's been saying for a long time that the the
- 8:17three things that take Bitcoin to $5 million now they're
- 8:20completely clear. Of course, it's the ETF, it's
- 8:23Saab 121 and it's banks custody and of course loaning Bitcoin.
- 8:27And literally all those dominoes had fallen literally this week,
- 8:31you know, JP Morgan came out and said that this week.
- 8:33We've seen the ETF last year, of course, ever since Trump came in
- 8:37the SAB 121 fair accounting is is now in play.
- 8:42People are taking advantage of this.
- 8:44So everything seems to be going well.
- 8:46We do have a more friendly administration.
- 8:48The regulations around Bitcoin seem to be, you know, clearing
- 8:52up. I know they're they're kind of
- 8:53really going hard on stable coins recently, but Bitcoin gets
- 8:56through the door. Bitcoin gets through the door
- 8:58there anyway. So OK, we talked about the you
- 9:01know, crazy 20 year price predictions and everyone in the
- 9:03chat's like, bro, I'm going to be 65 when this when this 20
- 9:07million $50 million Bitcoin happened.
- 9:09Could this happen sooner? Now I know you guys on YouTube,
- 9:13you love the when can I retire on Bitcoin?
- 9:16You know, what are these more short term price predictions now
- 9:20we don't tell you guys to trade. We're not short term traders
- 9:22here. We are hodlers.
- 9:23We are long term holders of Bitcoin, but to put he's in a
- 9:26little more realistic numbers, let's pull up the kegger for the
- 9:30next 4 years via this new prediction of Sailor.
- 9:35So first of all, I have kind of a crazy one here.
- 9:38This might be the moon shot. This might be what happened.
- 9:41We don't really know. But based on today's value of
- 9:44Bitcoin, 104 K, of course, I think it's up a little bit.
- 9:47It's 105 I saw this morning. I, I haven't checked the price
- 9:49yet. Actually I can check it right
- 9:50now, it's at 100 and four 980. So you know, this is just round
- 9:55numbers here with a roughly 56.57, roughly a 57% kegger,
- 10:02that means 625 K Bitcoin in the next 4 years.
- 10:07Basically what we've done in the last four years.
- 10:09If we can project this into the future 625K, it's kind of our
- 10:13base case right here. You know, we'll, we'll take that
- 10:1657%. Who knows if it's going to hold
- 10:18up. So, but I don't know, let's
- 10:20start with this 1625 in, in four years, is this, is this bearish?
- 10:25Do you need this to go faster? I mean, I know I I've been, I've
- 10:28been living at your house now for a week and and constantly
- 10:31like Nico, can I buy this stuff for the house?
- 10:33So is 625 going to be enough for Sophie to survive in four years?
- 10:38Maybe we could always go higher. Totally, totally this.
- 10:44So I think that's a good point, though the base case I think
- 10:47would be, you know, like the average price.
- 10:49This isn't really accounting for like a parabolic run up.
- 10:53Yeah. I think that this is just taking
- 10:55into account, you know, the next four years where we're at
- 10:59exactly in this moment in time, which is weird because in this
- 11:02moment in time, we would have already expected to kind of
- 11:05like. Hit 625 this year.
- 11:07Yeah, exactly, Exactly. So Like if we're here in four
- 11:12years and that just means that the next cycle we might be
- 11:16hitting close to a million. You never know.
- 11:19It's definitely going to hit it. So I think that's kind of the
- 11:22point just because we're seeing this number of cores
- 11:25compounding, compounding annual growth rate here, but that's not
- 11:29really accounting for the parabolic runs here.
- 11:31So it could go to the mill and then kind of pull back to the
- 11:35625 and that's what roughly like a 50% bear market ish.
- 11:40All right. But these are just the numbers
- 11:42based on the last four years. So let's go to sailors, a 30%
- 11:46kegger, which is roughly 300K in four years.
- 11:50Now that seems a lot more bearish here.
- 11:53I, I've been thinking 300 K this year.
- 11:55So I don't know. I mean, maybe this is 300 K bear
- 12:00market, which I I would I'll deal with the 300 K bear market.
- 12:03I don't think that's going to be the bear market.
- 12:05I think that's going to be the run up.
- 12:07I think if we're doing it exactly 4 years from today, then
- 12:11we'll be at 300 K, looking at 506, 100, maybe $100,000
- 12:17Bitcoin, You know that that seems to like follow the pattern
- 12:21more closely to previous cycles. But we basically have to see
- 12:25what is going to happen this time around because unlike any
- 12:29other cycle, I mean, like I said, we were expecting to
- 12:32already be at 500K right now. What happened, we don't know.
- 12:37The news has never been more positive, but the number has
- 12:40never been more stable, which is awkward for Bitcoin, but but it
- 12:45is what it is. And is this the end of cycles?
- 12:48Is this the beginning of a new, more, I mean less volatile
- 12:53Bitcoin? We don't know.
- 12:55Maybe we won't come back down to, you know, the, the 30-40 K
- 13:00range when it's the bear market. Hopefully we don't because that
- 13:04would be very painful. But if we do, then you know,
- 13:07maybe it's because we can expect a 500K or 300K Bitcoin.
- 13:12Yeah, well, we have a a few different deferring takes in the
- 13:16chat. First we have salty apologist
- 13:18and he goes 600K in four years and one mil after next cycle is
- 13:22way too bearish. I kind of agree.
- 13:25And then we have MPC 3G goes basically 600K in four years.
- 13:31That would be fantastic because I plan to retire in five years.
- 13:35So maybe this is just the age different in the chat here.
- 13:38Like us younger guys are like, you know, I guess I can wait 20
- 13:42years for $20 million Bitcoin, but like, I feel like a million
- 13:46is around the corner here. And the guys maybe with a little
- 13:49more capital, like, hey, 600K in four years, that sounds awesome
- 13:52to me. So who knows what's going on
- 13:55now, guys? Let's, I don't know, maybe maybe
- 13:59people in the chat, what, what do you think is going to be the
- 14:01compounding annual growth rate moving forward?
- 14:03Like Sophie saying, and I'm, I've kind of been feeling this
- 14:06sentiment as well. I'm I'm starting to lean towards
- 14:09the idea that we're not going to see a bear market like a huge
- 14:1380% drop, but that that's probably what the market makers
- 14:17want. You know, they're just going to
- 14:18be like all these bitcoiners are getting over leveraged.
- 14:20Everyone's taking loans out. You know, they're they're
- 14:23putting he locks on their house. Let's dump the price here and we
- 14:27get absolutely nuke. But I'm starting to see the, oh,
- 14:29it actually worked stepwise function.
- 14:32It's kind of the vibe I'm getting until we get something
- 14:34that really breaks the levy here.
- 14:37And that could be the nation state to Bitcoin treasuries.
- 14:39Again, there's hundreds now. And I don't know if you saw, but
- 14:43I forget what the company is, but someone reported today it
- 14:46was like Frank and Frank Templeton or one of these big
- 14:49firms basically said like there's going to be about 2000
- 14:52Bitcoin treasury companies on the horizon.
- 14:54And again, there's only 450 Bitcoin a day that are released
- 14:59by the network. And the next chart in the
- 15:01numbers that I'm going to show you, things could start to get
- 15:04pretty crazy again. Remember how much Bitcoin is,
- 15:07and I'm going to say supposedly being bought by these Bitcoin
- 15:11treasuries already, everyone seems to be doing the sailor
- 15:14strategy. They're trying to buy billions
- 15:16dollars of Bitcoin. Where's the Bitcoin?
- 15:20Because the price has to go crazy.
- 15:22Yeah, I was about to say show me the reserves.
- 15:24I haven't seen the reserves. I want to see them.
- 15:28I think that proving it will probably, you know, drive number
- 15:34up and it'll drive other institutions to like, really get
- 15:38it together and purchasing more Bitcoin because like you said,
- 15:41there's only 450 that are made per day.
- 15:44So yeah, that's not a lot in the scheme of things.
- 15:46And how much has been mined in its totality?
- 15:49Like over 97%? It's or.
- 15:53No higher or 95 I believe. Let me check.
- 15:56Let me check 94.64. 4.64 I'm not good with numbers.
- 16:00All I know is that it's over 90% and we're nearing the end.
- 16:03Ladies and gentlemen, it's not going to last forever.
- 16:06So you better buy your Bitcoin now, get it into self custody
- 16:09and sit and wait because these next couple of years are going
- 16:13to be interesting. Yeah, listen, OK, we got Rexana
- 16:19goes 50 to 70% kegger seems realistic.
- 16:22So let's pull this up real quick and I'll do.
- 16:25I did the roughly the 70% kegger here and that would equal 850K
- 16:32per Bitcoin in four years. Now someone else in the chat
- 16:36said 70 to 80 over the next four years.
- 16:40So, so I think that's $1,000,000 Bitcoin here, a million over the
- 16:47next four years, 76 now that seems kind of high.
- 16:49I'm not going to lie, that seems a little high.
- 16:51But let's see. Let's see what these numbers
- 16:54have to be. Yeah, that's way high.
- 16:57That is way high bro. You're you're tripping 86.
- 17:02So actually maybe not, maybe not.
- 17:04I don't know. I don't know.
- 17:05Let me know is is 86% kegger even even possible here?
- 17:11I know it's done it in the past, but moving forward, I don't know
- 17:14guys. I I look, I know we're hoping
- 17:17them dealers here on YouTube, but now we're getting into
- 17:20unrealistic territory guys. So this is getting crazy.
- 17:23Let me see, does anyone else deal with another one?
- 17:27Now we're talking. I like these numbers.
- 17:28OK, all right, all right. You like this, You like this.
- 17:31Yes, the dollar is dying. So maybe these kind of overblown
- 17:36predictions to, to put it lightly, maybe they're not that
- 17:40crazy. I don't know if you guys saw and
- 17:41I, I'm not covering it today, but the Treasury just did the
- 17:45biggest bond buyback ever. They bought 10 billion of their
- 17:50own debt yesterday. So and we've been covering this
- 17:53last couple days like the money printer is on, it's stealth
- 17:56money printing and we didn't get time to cover it yesterday, but
- 17:59I'm sure you guys have heard about it.
- 18:00You know, Elon and Trump are fighting, going crazy.
- 18:04Trump's talking about eliminating the debt ceiling.
- 18:06So it looks like the constraints right now are there.
- 18:11They might get completely thrown out the window.
- 18:13And as someone said in the chat, Trump seems to be killing the
- 18:16bear out there. Now.
- 18:18I was explaining this to Sophie yesterday.
- 18:20We were talking about the money printer, the debt ceiling.
- 18:22And she's like, wait, isn't this a bad thing?
- 18:24And it's like, yeah, the more money they print is obviously
- 18:28going to be bad for like the majority of people.
- 18:31But it when you consider the global M2 liquidity, more
- 18:36dollars in the system finding hard assets as bitcoiners, that
- 18:40just means the price is going to go up.
- 18:42Now, of course, we do not want our best financial advice on the
- 18:46Internet, of course, as bitcoiners, and this is what we
- 18:51do on the show. You know, This is why we're on
- 18:53YouTube. We want to get this information
- 18:56in front of as many people as possible before things start to
- 18:59blow up. And again, remember, we're not
- 19:01the only ones talking about things blowing up.
- 19:03We have Ray Dalio, one of one of the longest, most wealthy
- 19:08investors of our time, infamous or rather more famous and
- 19:12really, really well regarded investor telling us there's
- 19:15probably a a looming debt cycle crisis in three years.
- 19:21So I don't know. This is why we're here.
- 19:24We want more people to save in Bitcoin because if things really
- 19:26do crazy, if we do go full Weimar here, our Bitcoin's going
- 19:31to go up. But I think everyone's standard
- 19:33of living is going down and that's not a not a pretty
- 19:37picture to say the least. Yeah, that being said, if you
- 19:40guys are watching the show, please feel free to smash the
- 19:44like button and share the show with your friends.
- 19:47By sharing it with people, you will not just be helping us out,
- 19:51you'll be helping them out by sharing the hopium that is that
- 19:56is carrying us all through this week.
- 19:58Yeah, we're we're definitely all through them.
- 20:00The opium. This is a good comment though.
- 20:03Valeris goes kegger only needs to get silly once at like 80%,
- 20:07then it could cool off down to like 20 or 30%, but will be so
- 20:11much higher initially the numbers go silly, True.
- 20:14And then of course we have the just standard bulletard in the
- 20:19chat. That's Samson Mao's prediction.
- 20:22And I personally think Samson Mao is a very serious man.
- 20:27So I, I kind of, it could be, I believe him and he really, he's
- 20:33tweeted about it multiple times. So it's possible.
- 20:36And you're, you're referencing this comment, right?
- 20:38Yeah. OK, OK.
- 20:39All right. So for the audio listeners, we
- 20:42have salty apologist goes we could go to 1,000,000 this year,
- 20:45but let's get real. We go ballistic and then taper
- 20:48off. I like it, I like it.
- 20:50I'm OK with this. And Winey gets in the chat.
- 20:53Nico isn't here, so let's misbehave, yes?
- 20:56He's not. We're doing wine.
- 20:57What do you think we're doing? Yeah, he's not even in ear, ear
- 21:01shot. So we can, we can get as crazy
- 21:03as we want. All right, guys, you guys got
- 21:07the Sailor prediction. He is moving up his $13 million
- 21:11prediction and we did the math based on today's number, or
- 21:14rather based on last year's numbers, it's about 16.2
- 21:18million. Now you update that to today's
- 21:21numbers, 30% kegger AT104K per Bitcoin.
- 21:25That shoots it up to 20 million per Bitcoin in 20 years.
- 21:29Obviously, we don't have a crystal ball.
- 21:31We don't know where it's going, but we all know the famous
- 21:34quote. It's going up forever, Laura.
- 21:36The money printer is coming. The big print is on the horizon
- 21:40and it's all going to have to find a home.
- 21:42Now the big signal we've been talking about lately, we're all
- 21:45macro experts. No one wants bond, no one wants
- 21:48government debt. And I think the biggest signal
- 21:50that we saw yesterday is the Fed can't even incentivize anyone to
- 21:55buy their debt. They had to buy it back from
- 21:56themselves. So I don't know about you.
- 21:59Take this information as you will here, but all the roads are
- 22:03leading to Bitcoin. It's super, super simple.
- 22:07Keep it simple. Stack Bitcoin, take it into cold
- 22:09storage, stay solvent. All the memes, this is how it
- 22:13goes. All right, let's see.
- 22:14I don't I don't know how to do this, bro.
- 22:16Oh, oh, OK. Actually, I do know.
- 22:18We'll we'll do this one real quick and then we'll move on.
- 22:20OK, so you said at a million. Let me see is that a million?
- 22:28Yes, that's a million. What?
- 22:31The next four years I have I have to put in a final value
- 22:34here. I don't know man.
- 22:36Like 20. Yeah, see that's crazy guys.
- 22:43You guys are, you guys are tripping.
- 22:46That's 70. So it's like 3 mil.
- 22:50OK, so at $1,000,000 Bitcoin with a roughly 30% kegger 4
- 22:57years after that, that is $3,000,000 Bitcoin.
- 23:00So yes, once the numbers get big enough, we can go down to these
- 23:05normal, you know, 2030% That's funny we say normal.
- 23:08We could go down to these bearish, you know, Bitcoin
- 23:11keggers here and it's going to essentially triple in four
- 23:15years. So obviously now we're now we're
- 23:18really getting into speculative mode.
- 23:20But hey, you know, you going to get this, this calculator
- 23:23yourself. It's actually ICICI direct here.
- 23:26Let me let me drop this in the chat for you guys.
- 23:28You guys can play for it at home.
- 23:30It's not just a Bitcoin kegger, but you know, play with it.
- 23:34Tell me what you think. And you know what?
- 23:36We'll chat about it another day. All right, guys, we got a jam
- 23:40packed show for you guys. I actually have, you know, this
- 23:43chart here which starts to explain some of this math and
- 23:46literally how little of the global capital has to go into
- 23:49Bitcoin. And then we have Trump, the
- 23:52Trump media just they're, they're, they fully have
- 23:55activated the Michael Saylor strategy and they're going
- 23:59bananas on trying to acquire as much Bitcoin.
- 24:02So we got all that covered for you guys and then also stick
- 24:05around. I, I do, I don't know, Sophie,
- 24:08do we call this a meme on the culture?
- 24:10I yes, it's a meme. It's a meme.
- 24:11I got a meme for you guys. It's a video though.
- 24:14I, I, I got a good little chuckle out of it and it's going
- 24:17to spark a good conversation here.
- 24:18So before we move on though, guys, I want to remind you to
- 24:22smash the like button, Subscribe, of course, comment on
- 24:25this video. Are these keggers realistic?
- 24:29Are we smoking the opium? Is $20 million in 20 years
- 24:33feasible? Is that bearish?
- 24:35I want to see it in the YouTube comments right now.
- 24:38And of course, the Rumble guys, you can comment as well.
- 24:41Anyways, we got to give a huge shout out to our boys over at
- 24:45Bitcoin. Well, they are the best place to
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- 25:08We do not want you to leave your Bitcoin on exchanges.
- 25:11There's been way too many examples of people doing this
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- 25:16So we're ensuring that once you buy Bitcoin, yes, you will have
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- 25:43All right, guys, on that note, let's get into the show.
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- 27:15today. Yeah, hold on South, before we
- 27:22get on, some of these comments in the chat are hilarious.
- 27:26On the 1st segment, first one, where'd it go?
- 27:28I just had it. We had CBQ 3,000,000 is number
- 27:33for ants Yes. And then this one is this ones
- 27:38crazy and and I love it because this is this is what we're
- 27:41doing. Salty apologist full bull tart
- 27:43in the chat. 50 million in 20 years is feasible.
- 27:45We quickly forget that they can't stop printing or the whole
- 27:48thing implodes. There is no talk to Bitcoin
- 27:50because Fiat has no bottom. Yes, this is what you have to
- 27:56keep in mind. Of course, as the saying goes,
- 27:59all your models are broken. So even our forecast of what we
- 28:03could, you know, conservatively predict it could get even
- 28:06crazier than that because we never know just when that huge
- 28:10print is coming. We never know when the Fiat
- 28:11system will potentially blow up in their faces.
- 28:14So when a lot of people hear that all your models are
- 28:17destroyed, they usually think of it as like, oh, it's going to,
- 28:20you know, underperform. I think very few people are as
- 28:23bull tarted as salty apologist in the chat and realize it could
- 28:28over perform and all your models break.
- 28:30Now we haven't seen that happen in the last couple of years, but
- 28:33it's not out of the realm of possibility.
- 28:35You got to keep that in mind in mind guys.
- 28:37So there we go. Anyways, let's go to the numbers
- 28:42on Clark Moody's dashboard. So it's a little under 105.
- 28:46I saw it hit 105 this morning, but it looks like we are
- 28:49currently at a price of 104,860 Bitcoin or yeah $160 per Bitcoin
- 28:56sats per dollar AKA how much your Bitcoin is worth in dollars
- 28:59AKA how much Bitcoin you can buy in dollars wait did I say that
- 29:04already anyways, 954 stats per dollar and the big news here
- 29:08guys on the numbers. The block height has reached
- 29:12900,000 blocks guys. We are currently at 900,000 and
- 29:1763 blocks, 900,000 blocks guys, you know, I, I think I got in
- 29:24Bitcoin in the 600,000 era. Now we're in the 900,000 era and
- 29:28there's new bitcoins coming in we're going to get to 1,000,000
- 29:32blocks. We're going to get the 210
- 29:34etcetera, etcetera, etcetera. But 900,000 it's over 900,000.
- 29:39I, I actually saw a lot of people celebrating this.
- 29:41I saw Mandrick say he's like, yeah, I literally woke up just
- 29:44to watch the 900 and I'm like, bro, I was asleep I slept great
- 29:47last night, but it is a huge achievement in Bitcoin.
- 29:52Do not underestimate the fact that we are at 900,000 blocks
- 29:56guys. Bitcoin chugging along TikTok
- 29:58next block Anyways, the market cap in Fiat terms is currently
- 30:01at $2.08 trillion. The Bitcoin versus gold market
- 30:05cap is at 8.81%. Still a long way to run in the
- 30:09hard money game. And the total percentage of
- 30:12Bitcoin that will ever be issued is currently 94.64%, roughly
- 30:1519.87 million Bitcoin in circulation.
- 30:19And the realized monetary inflation is .85, literally the
- 30:22hardest money in the world. And as of today, we are
- 30:25currently down 6.4%, you know, a measly -6% from all time high.
- 30:31And everyone is acting like it's completely over.
- 30:33I mean, even Sophie said we're going to 58 K again guys, can we
- 30:36put 58K to rest already? Let's go to 158 when they can
- 30:41bring it back in and, and I'll have fun at that mean.
- 30:44But please don't say 58 K again as the price of Bitcoin.
- 30:48We're going to to 158. So we're going to 158.
- 30:52From your lips to God's ears. OK, All right guys.
- 30:56So today I don't have a video, but I saw this tweet yesterday
- 31:01and it's got a really good chart.
- 31:03And again, I wanted to connect this with what Sailors saying.
- 31:07So Sailor was talking about, you know, the nation state interest,
- 31:11the institutional interest, the Bitcoin treasury strategy going
- 31:15viral. And of course, he didn't really
- 31:19even factor in the retail money coming in.
- 31:22But we have the regulations clearing up.
- 31:24We have some clarity here, the fabled regulatory clarity.
- 31:28But when you really break down the numbers of, of potential
- 31:31capital that can get into Bitcoin and remember what Tom
- 31:34Lee said yesterday, guys, he believes that the potential
- 31:38demand for Bitcoin in the face of everything we're seeing is
- 31:42going to collide with a 21 million hard cap supply.
- 31:46It's simple economics, demand supply economics.
- 31:49And I think a lot of us have underestimated the demand.
- 31:52Well, especially if you aren't a bitcoiner.
- 31:55I know, I know someone in some people in the chat are like,
- 31:57bro, I'm overestimating the demand because I'm predicting
- 31:59$50 million Bitcoin in like 10 years.
- 32:02So maybe you're the only one that's overestimating the
- 32:04demand. But a lot of people still
- 32:07haven't fully understand what is at stakes.
- 32:10They haven't fully understood Bitcoin.
- 32:12They don't understand the problem, therefore they don't
- 32:15get the solution. I mean, we even have Elon Musk
- 32:17spurging out on the timeline talking about the problem, but
- 32:20he hasn't hit on the solution yet.
- 32:22He's going and the Fed the the deficit's getting out of
- 32:24control, government spending too much money and all the
- 32:27Bitcoiners are just sitting there like, bro, can you say
- 32:30your safe word Bitcoin again? Like it's like literally he's
- 32:33even talking about doing his own political party and we're like,
- 32:36hey, we already have one. It's orange bro.
- 32:38Like come join us. Come join us over here anyways.
- 32:42I think Elon's just butt hurt because a bunch of us Maxis were
- 32:46really mean to him and he can't stand it when people are mean to
- 32:49him because he's the world's richest man in the world.
- 32:52So yeah, he's never going to. He's never going to come on our
- 32:56side, at least not publicly. I think he hoards a lot of
- 32:59Bitcoin. I mean, Tesla has a lot of
- 33:01Bitcoin still, right? That they haven't sold.
- 33:04So yeah, I think he's a Bitcoiner.
- 33:07He's just never going to actually admit it because we
- 33:09were all a little mean to him. Yeah, I mean, Nico has been
- 33:13saying for a while that it's it's must ego that he's got to
- 33:19get over because he's, you know, he, even though he's a big fish
- 33:24in a big pond as the richest man in the world, in the Bitcoin
- 33:28world, I don't think he'd had the highest IQ around.
- 33:31There's I think there's higher IQ people, smarter IQ people in
- 33:34Bitcoin. And he probably doesn't want to
- 33:36just be another kind of engineer in the Bitcoin space.
- 33:39Well, yeah, Bitcoin humbles everybody.
- 33:42It changes you, as they say. So it's it must be very
- 33:46difficult for someone who launches rockets that land back
- 33:50on Earth to humble themselves to a monetary system that they
- 33:54didn't invent, especially when they tried to invent a monetary
- 33:59system like PayPal. Well, you know, just to just to
- 34:03spurge out here a little bit allegedly shooting rockets into
- 34:07space. No, I'm not.
- 34:08I'm not a flat earther. I actually believe in space.
- 34:10I'm just trolling. I'm just trolling, OK?
- 34:12Even the flat earthers believe in space opti like.
- 34:15No, they believe in the firmament, right?
- 34:17Yeah, yeah, yeah. Go, go read your Bible.
- 34:20Apparently it's in there. All right.
- 34:21All right. Anyways, anyways, we are not
- 34:23here to discuss Flat Earth stuff.
- 34:25Nikko would freak out. OK, Check out this chart guys.
- 34:29And again, the numbers, like first of all, a lot of people
- 34:34forget just how much capital is in the system.
- 34:36We really can't fathom just how much capital is sloshing around
- 34:41out there and it has to hit a 21 million supply of Bitcoin and
- 34:46even further, it's probably going to be way less than that.
- 34:49So check out this tweet here. This is by Tephra Digital LLC.
- 34:53I really don't even know what they do here, but it's a great
- 34:55chart. So shouts out to you guys here,
- 34:58but it goes 107 trillion in capital identified and a 5%
- 35:02allocation equals $5 trillion and there's only 1.1 million
- 35:06Bitcoin left to mine. 62% of active supply hasn't moved in
- 35:10over a year. This may be the greatest supply
- 35:13demand mismatch in financial history.
- 35:15It won't happen overnight, but this is a direction for
- 35:18contacts, $5 trillion is 116 X larger than all net flows into
- 35:24Bitcoin in 2024. Now I'd I, I, I not going to lie
- 35:29to you and pretend like I fully get the multiplier effect around
- 35:32Bitcoin, but from what I remember Luke saying, it's
- 35:35something about 3 or 4X every dollar that comes into Bitcoin.
- 35:39So these numbers get crazy and you can see down here before I
- 35:44kind of breakdown this chart for the audio.
- 35:46This chart reflects roughly 100 hours of Tefra research across
- 35:49US wealth platforms, central banks, 4O1K providers, state
- 35:53funds and corporate cash data. We think it's one of the
- 35:56clearest illustrations of capital pressure building
- 35:58against bitcoins fixed supply. So from that, this is just US
- 36:03guys. This is just one nation here.
- 36:05Obviously, we're the richest nation on the on the planet
- 36:08right now, but this is just one nation and we can compound that
- 36:11with every other other nation. They're probably similar
- 36:14numbers. So it goes.
- 36:15Tefra identified capital pools lining up for Bitcoin total of
- 36:19107 trillion. Now, breaking this down, we have
- 36:23US wealth platforms, 50 trillion or 31 trillion of 50 trillion
- 36:27still restricted or prohibited. That's the money, the capital
- 36:30that can excape from the system, but soon will be unlocked.
- 36:33And then of course, the top 21 central banks.
- 36:35OK, this so this global $34 trillion.
- 36:38And then we have 4 O 1K plans, 9 trillion.
- 36:41And we just heard that the SEC essentially said, hey, you know,
- 36:45you can, you can invest in, in Bitcoin or they put a note out
- 36:48and they're like, yeah, we're no longer going to push people away
- 36:51from using their four O 1 OK to buy Bitcoin.
- 36:54Then we have state manage investments, the pension funds
- 36:56and stuff. We have our boy Dom Bay on that
- 36:58mission. We have, you know, Dennis Porter
- 36:59on that mission to get the pension fund, state manage
- 37:03investments to buy Bitcoin. And then of course, S&P 500
- 37:06corporate cash, roughly $7 trillion.
- 37:09Now the part that gets crazy, and of course, you got to love
- 37:12this visual. It's a huge pyramid on top of a
- 37:14little pyramid, which is the Bitcoin total supply.
- 37:19And they're using the remaining supply to be mine, of course
- 37:22till 2141 point 1,000,000 and then the total mine supply of
- 37:2619.9 million as the base with a market cap of 2 trillion.
- 37:30So 5% allocation. And this seems to be the norm
- 37:34right now, the black rocks of the world, they're saying, you
- 37:36know, 1 to 2%, some people are saying 5%.
- 37:39We're basically saying just get off 0.
- 37:41So if 5% of that allocation, $5 trillion, meets the hard cap
- 37:45supply of Bitcoin, I don't know what the multiplier effects of
- 37:49this would be. But if this happened in one
- 37:51year, as you can see from this tweet, 116 X larger than the net
- 37:56flows into Bitcoin in 2025. Course, it's not going to happen
- 37:59overnight, but I do like this framing here and really paints a
- 38:03picture of just how small Bitcoin is compared to how huge
- 38:07the global capital markets are. And it's got to hit a hard, hard
- 38:11supply, hard cap supply of 21 million.
- 38:13I don't know, Sophie. This is starting to make me feel
- 38:15a lot more bullish. Yeah.
- 38:16Well, when you look at it this way, when you look at the world
- 38:20global supply entering Bitcoin and finally opening their eyes
- 38:24and realizing, hey, we don't have to actually rely on the
- 38:28dollar here. We can actually store our wealth
- 38:31in a harder asset that and and then we won't be policed for the
- 38:36rest of our lives. Doesn't that sound like like a
- 38:38good deal? And it's a an investment that
- 38:42will go up over time. Sign me up.
- 38:45As soon as people find out that this is the way you know it.
- 38:49That's the beginning of hyper bitcoinization.
- 38:52That's really the beginning of it.
- 38:53Because when the government starts to do it, these
- 38:55institutions start to do it. They start telling their
- 38:57clients. They start telling the world's
- 38:59richest people in the world, then whatever you're asking.
- 39:06At the chat, the chat, the chat. Globetart alert.
- 39:08I'm a globe tard apparently. What does that mean?
- 39:11I believe that the earth is a planet and it's in space.
- 39:14So I'm a globe tard. You know, it's like the planets,
- 39:16a globe anyways. God.
- 39:17Forbid that's. That's Flat Earth humor,
- 39:19apparently. God forbid we believe in that
- 39:21the earth is round. Anyway, all I'm saying is it it
- 39:28looks like this is the beginning of hyper bitcoinization.
- 39:30All of the cards are laid out. The scene is set.
- 39:34The the cobwebs have kind of been moved out of the dark
- 39:37forest, and we're starting to see the light at the end of the
- 39:39tunnel where all the news is good.
- 39:42All the all, everyone is like kind of getting out of our way.
- 39:45JD Vance just spoke at the Bitcoin conference and said,
- 39:48look, we're not going to get in your way.
- 39:50He didn't really say much of value, but just saying that he's
- 39:53not going to get in our way was good enough for me.
- 39:56And if that's the case, other countries are not just going to
- 39:59follow. They actually might go all in.
- 40:02When they realized that they have much more to gain from this
- 40:05than staying on a Fiat standard. Totally.
- 40:10Great. Great question in the chat,
- 40:12Salty apologies. Does this even include real
- 40:14estate, collectibles, etcetera that will rotate to Bitcoin?
- 40:17No, it doesn't appear to include real estate and other store
- 40:21values. Of course, I showed you that
- 40:23chart yesterday. Those that's 1000 trillion
- 40:27dollars here. I think real estate if I
- 40:29remember correctly, it was like $318 trillion.
- 40:33Yeah. Yeah.
- 40:33Well, it's it's one quadrillion, but for people to I I-1. 1000.
- 40:381000 trillion dollars. You know, when you get to these
- 40:41big numbers, Sophie, you got to make up numbers so they make
- 40:44sense. I feel like we're talking about
- 40:46space here. Like now all the subjects are
- 40:48getting mixed up for me. Are we talking about space?
- 40:50Are we talking about like these are like high end scientific
- 40:53numbers for me? 1 quadrillion is 1000 trillion.
- 40:57It's like, you know, a billion to 1000 million.
- 41:00You know, we don't say that anymore, but they used to say
- 41:03that. But there's a lot of capital out
- 41:06there. The point remains the same.
- 41:07There is so much capital out there and this is only talking
- 41:09about 107 trillion that can potentially find its way into
- 41:13Bitcoin. So again, these numbers can
- 41:16break the models to the upside. I know a lot of people that are,
- 41:20you know, maybe they're skeptical, they're cynical, they
- 41:23just, you know, they haven't drinking the orange kool-aid
- 41:26yet. Or there may be a little more
- 41:29sober when it comes to the Bitcoin price predictions.
- 41:31But when you'd look at the math and the capital that will
- 41:34eventually find its way into Bitcoin, just a small portion of
- 41:39those getting into Bitcoin means huge numbers.
- 41:42It's will it happen this year? Will it happen in four years?
- 41:45No, but again, as Taylor's saying, I think in 1020 years
- 41:49all of this is going to happen. I, I, I was mentioning a
- 41:53conversation I had with Luke and I haven't told you this, Sophie.
- 41:56Luke was literally telling me Monday.
- 41:58He's like, bro, I think it's over in three years.
- 42:01I think Bitcoin won. Jacob's like, I kind of agree
- 42:03with you. And I'm like, OK, what's over
- 42:05mean like $1,000,000 Bitcoin. He's like, no, dude, $10 million
- 42:08Bitcoin in three years. Like the Fiat system's done.
- 42:10And even I was like, yo, like now you're getting in some crazy
- 42:15prediction. So maybe we'll talk about that
- 42:17on Monday because Luke is coming in on hosting the show Monday.
- 42:20But yeah, we'll we'll talk about that.
- 42:22Opti, if I would have told you 3 days, 72 hours ago that Donald
- 42:27Trump and Elon Musk would be breaking up, would you believe
- 42:32me? Like severe ugly breaking up.
- 42:35Would you believe me? Nah.
- 42:39I OK, no, I so imagine what I. Mean, I, I wouldn't believe you
- 42:45in like a day, but I, I, I was kind of suspecting it wouldn't
- 42:49last that long. OK.
- 42:50Fine, if I would have told you this like a month ago.
- 42:53No, I would be like no, probably by the end of.
- 42:55The year so imagine by the end of this year everything with all
- 42:59the information that we have about the economy, about the
- 43:03dollar, about how Bitcoin works, about the amount of money that's
- 43:07coming into Bitcoin. I mean, it's not that
- 43:08unbelievable. It's just unbelievable for
- 43:11people who are watching this show and who have been following
- 43:13us for a really long time and for ourselves because we've been
- 43:16holding for what seems like an eternity and we've been waiting
- 43:21for this moment forever. So, so we're a little impatient
- 43:26right now. We kind of thought that Bitcoin
- 43:28would be at least at like 150 right now, right?
- 43:32150K and it hasn't happened yet. But that's what huddling is all
- 43:38about. It's about maximum pain and it's
- 43:40going to happen. And we just got to be patient
- 43:42and see how things play out. Agreed.
- 43:45Sophie just basically told me to lower my time preference.
- 43:49Guys, guys in the chat as I move on, what is the Max Payne
- 43:54scenario right here? Is Max Payne sideways a drop or
- 43:59is Max Payne just Bitcoin ripping and everyone sitting on
- 44:03the sidelines? I, I want to gauge the
- 44:04temperature as I hit the transition.
- 44:06So in the news, we're going to be talking about the Trump
- 44:08media. They are activating the sailor
- 44:12strategy. They're going full bullet hard
- 44:14on this. So it's getting crazy out here.
- 44:16And I, I think I say Sophie was saying earlier, we can't really
- 44:20predict how many of these companies are going to do
- 44:23something similar. Once that Bitcoin bug hits, all
- 44:26bets are off the table and we're seeing it happen in real time.
- 44:30So let's chat about it, but drop what Max Payne scenario is in
- 44:33the chat. I want to give a shout out to
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- 46:43All right, guys, that's all. I want to hit a couple of these
- 46:46Max Payne scenarios. The lowest Max Payne is lockout
- 46:48rally to the upside. Everyone thinks it's too
- 46:50expensive. Again, we have fear.
- 46:52Lego dropping probably Max Payne this year on 90K.
- 46:58Max Payne is holding all this run.
- 47:01Max Payne is ripping. Max Payne is we retest the
- 47:05weekly FPG in the 30s. OK let's see so many on the
- 47:09sidelines that get left behind. Let's do last one dice forever.
- 47:13Max Payne is Bitcoin ripping while everything else in the
- 47:16market dumps. Everyone on earth while watching
- 47:18Payne while Bitcoin Max has become the new socially.
- 47:22Honestly, as much as a Bitcoiner like my Max Payne scenario is
- 47:28obvious, like being all in and you know, all our business is
- 47:32completely relying on Bitcoin. Max Payne for us would
- 47:34definitely be a drop. But when you think of outside
- 47:38our ecosystem, I think that's the Max Payne.
- 47:41That's the real Max Payne scenario.
- 47:43Everyone else, markets are dumping and the price starts
- 47:47ripping. And as we saw yesterday, again,
- 47:49I don't know if you guys were catching the legendary spat
- 47:52between Musk and Trump yesterday.
- 47:54We were sitting over here like watching basically soap operas
- 47:58on the timeline last night, just having a ball and laughing at
- 48:01everyone's commentary. But you know, the world's
- 48:04richest man in the world's most powerful man had a very public
- 48:09fight and all the markets naked, instantly naked.
- 48:13And look at us. Bitcoin is right back up to
- 48:15where it was. Whoever is selling their Bitcoin
- 48:18because they're fighting is just ridiculous.
- 48:20But it got all the way down to like 101 and now we're back.
- 48:22It hit 105 earlier. We're back at 1:04.
- 48:25So I think the real Max Payne scenario and this is kind of my
- 48:29my intuitions, my vibes, vibes, Capital Management take Max
- 48:34Payne is Bitcoin ripping while everything else is dumping and
- 48:37everyone is just caught off guard on the sidelines that that
- 48:41seems like Max Payne scenario. Anyways, let's go into this
- 48:44Trump news guys. So this came over Twitter and
- 48:49shout out to Bitcoin Mag actually this morning, new
- 48:52Bitcoin treasury company Trump Media registers up to $12
- 48:55billion in new securities in the new S3 filing.
- 48:58And just to kind of look into the press release, it goes
- 49:01primary offering of 12 billion, again, 12 billion common stock,
- 49:06preferred stock, debt securities, warrants, rights
- 49:09units, secondary offering. So I do have a little article
- 49:12here kind of explaining and then I have a great tweet from
- 49:16someone kind of breaking down the mechanics here.
- 49:18So I don't know if you remember, but they did start off and talk
- 49:21about we're just, we're going to do a $2.4 billion basically, you
- 49:25know, it's Michael Saylor strategy to buy Bitcoin.
- 49:29Now it looks like they're raising another 12 billion.
- 49:32So in total for you guys back at home, 14.44 billion, I don't
- 49:37know, kind of a significant buy here.
- 49:40Where's all the Bitcoin coming? So let's read the article and
- 49:43then we'll do a full breakdown. So Trump Media stock on retail's
- 49:46radar after stock slides 8% on much viewed and dilution
- 49:50worries. Trump Media fight a preliminary
- 49:52prospectus to offer up to $12 billion in security, raising
- 49:57investor concerns over dilution as existing shareholders,
- 50:00including the Trump family, see their ownership stakes reduced.
- 50:04It really does remind me of the strategy, you know, freak out.
- 50:07Everyone's like, oh, sailors issuing way too much stock is
- 50:11diluting our shares. And sailors like, hey, guys,
- 50:14relax. It's about Bitcoin per share.
- 50:16And that is increasing. I'm sure the the MAGA faithful
- 50:20that are buying the Trump media stock, they don't understand any
- 50:24of this. But it seems like the Trump
- 50:26Media Group is starting to understand what Sailor is doing
- 50:30and they are doubling down on it.
- 50:31So retail sentiment toward Trump Media and Technology Group
- 50:35Corporation turned sharply negative on Thursday as
- 50:37investors digested 2 major concerns, A deepening political
- 50:41feud between Trump and Musk and fears of shareholder dilution
- 50:44stemming from a multi billion dollar securities offering.
- 50:48The stock closed at 8% at $20 on Thursday, though pre market
- 50:51trading showed a modest rebound of 1.9% to 20 point $20.50.
- 50:58Of course we don't need to read that, we don't need to read
- 51:01that, but here we go. The day G the Donald J Trump,
- 51:05the Parent Company, or DGTDJT, the parent company of True
- 51:08Social, filed A preliminary prospectus with the SEC for a
- 51:12public offering of up to $12 billion in various securities, a
- 51:15move seen by many as potentially diluted for current
- 51:18shareholders. And just days earlier, on May
- 51:2030th, the company disclosed that it had been that it raised 1.44
- 51:25billion via equity at $25 and 72 cents per share, an additional 1
- 51:31billion in convertible senior notes.
- 51:33And the proceeds are earmarked for establishing a Bitcoin
- 51:36treasury, making an unusual strategic shift for a social
- 51:39media firm. And as a result of these
- 51:41finances, the Trump's family ownership stake in DJT dropped
- 51:46from 52% to 41%. So again, adding this up, it
- 51:51sounds like, you know, they're trying to raise about 14 1/2
- 51:56billion to buy Bitcoin. Now, I got a good tweet here
- 52:00kind of breaking this all down. Yesterday's Trump media and
- 52:03technology DJ TS3 filing officially adopts the Bitcoin
- 52:08Treasury strategy, Registers up to $12 billion in new securities
- 52:13that can be used to buy Bitcoin. This is in addition to the 2.44
- 52:18billion they already raised via private placement.
- 52:21Mentioned Bitcoin 362 times compared to just once in the
- 52:25prior S3 filing. If they complete the full
- 52:28offering, they could theoretically purchase 140,000
- 52:33Bitcoin at current prices. And now the S3 requires a form
- 52:37effect from the SEC to become effective.
- 52:39So this is just a plan, a prospectus of them to create.
- 52:44You know this 14 1/2 billion dollars to stack a Bitcoin
- 52:49treasury. Again, remember only 450 Bitcoin
- 52:54are released daily and we've been showing you the numbers,
- 52:58roughly 2 million Bitcoin on exchanges.
- 53:02I think the number that I've been hearing, it's been, it's
- 53:04been changing from, you know, I think it was 95% of Bitcoin held
- 53:09by individuals. I showed you the number earlier,
- 53:1162% of that Bitcoin hasn't moved.
- 53:14So the majority of Bitcoin is in the hands of the individual.
- 53:17Now the real question is where is the Bitcoin coming?
- 53:21I've seen a lot of people trolling on the timeline.
- 53:22Sophie, it's going to be funny when these Bitcoin treasury
- 53:25companies add up all their Bitcoin and and it equals more
- 53:27than 21 million bitcoins. So again, something, something
- 53:33is going to break here, whether that's the amount of paper
- 53:35Bitcoin and we find out that the emperor has no clothes, that
- 53:39there's some fractional reserve banking.
- 53:40Maybe it's Coinbase doing some iffy stuff.
- 53:43I know a lot of people have been saying BlackRock doesn't
- 53:45actually have that Bitcoin. Others are saying you can track
- 53:48it on the blockchain again. Can you though?
- 53:51You can you. Can has someone actually, Yeah,
- 53:54yeah. It's like Sony and Checkmatey,
- 53:57they've been going pretty hard and tracking that big.
- 53:59Allegedly. Obviously we have no
- 54:01confirmation, but they swear that all that Bitcoin for those
- 54:05ETFs have been accounted for. Again though, where is all the
- 54:10Bitcoin? Why is the price going sideways?
- 54:12Is everyone in the chat saying like, what is going on here?
- 54:15When you're hearing the nation, states, institutions, Bitcoin
- 54:18treasury companies raising billions of dollars to buy
- 54:21Bitcoin, it's hard to think that we're only going to 150 K this
- 54:26year. Well, it makes me just very
- 54:29skeptical of the institutions because it's not like they've
- 54:34been 100% truthful this whole entire time.
- 54:36It's not like they have the greatest track record.
- 54:40They could be lying. They could be, you know, they
- 54:43could have internally been like we made this product, it's
- 54:46called Bitcoin and it's based on Bitcoin and it's based on the
- 54:49price. But we issue the shares of
- 54:51Bitcoin that aren't actual Bitcoin, but we buy some of it
- 54:55so that it can appear as if though we have some bit, you
- 54:58know what I mean? Like what if they like rug pull
- 55:01us and like do something like that?
- 55:03Well, not us because we have our Bitcoin in cold storage.
- 55:07But yes, rugging you if you are buying these stocks because you
- 55:11think you're going to get a better return than Bitcoin.
- 55:16So yes, but how about this tweet here guys?
- 55:18And you reminded me of this earlier in the show, you know, I
- 55:22know a lot of people out there and, and I've been making fun of
- 55:24Nico a little bit because he's, he's gone full MAGA trusts the
- 55:27plan. And he, he, he actually hasn't.
- 55:29I'm just kind of trolling him. But how's Max Kaiser laying this
- 55:34out, which I find very interesting here.
- 55:37This is Sailor or sorry, Kaiser's take.
- 55:40And I don't know if you're following him on Twitter, but he
- 55:43has moved up his 200K prediction to $2.2 million prediction.
- 55:48So we're all getting more bullish.
- 55:50And you know, this is is when we we enter the parabolic phase is
- 55:53when we get way more bullish. But here's Kate Kaiser's take on
- 55:56this Trump's plan remove the debt ceiling, print trillions of
- 56:00dollars, see the Bitcoin price smash $1,000,000 and then buy
- 56:05billions in Bitcoin. I think it might be reversed
- 56:07though, you know, print trillions of dollars to buy
- 56:09billions in Bitcoin. See the bitcoins price smash
- 56:12$1,000,000. That that you know, he that was
- 56:15a that was a drop ball by by Kaiser.
- 56:17But I don't know. Are we trusting the plan now,
- 56:20Sophie Is is he going to just turn on the money printer and
- 56:23pump our bags? What's going on here?
- 56:26I personally trust DJTA 100%. I'm, I'm team Trump.
- 56:32I don't know who Elon is. I I'm sorry.
- 56:36I'm I'm definitely going to trust the guy that's going to
- 56:38print so much money that it's going to be in unstable.
- 56:42Yeah, do it, do it. ASMR printed Donald, I want him
- 56:48to do this because it's going to be great for Bitcoin.
- 56:50It's just going to accelerate things, you know, and I'm all
- 56:53for accelerating things. I'm all for efficiency like stop
- 56:56wasting everybody's time. Let's just like, get the ball
- 56:59rolling. The quicker you RIP off that
- 57:01Band-Aid and make people realize that Fiat just isn't it, that we
- 57:06shouldn't be on a Fiat standard, then the faster we can be on the
- 57:11road to hyper bitcoinization. And the faster we are on the
- 57:14road to hyper bitcoinization, the happier world we will be.
- 57:18And then we will regard Donald J Trump as the greatest president,
- 57:22whoever lived. Facts.
- 57:24Facts eliminate capital gains. He'd be the best president ever
- 57:28we have. He he will have to.
- 57:29He will have to. I, I think that there's a really
- 57:33great argument for just explaining that Bitcoin is
- 57:36currency and you can't put a capital gains tax on currency
- 57:41that's coming. I don't, I'm not worried about
- 57:43that. What I am worried about is not
- 57:46purchasing Bitcoin fast enough. Like we got to get this, this
- 57:49Fiat printing. We got to we got to Fiat mine so
- 57:52that we can buy more bitcoins on like what are you doing?
- 57:56Get it together. Get it together Donnie, get it
- 58:00together. I want to comment on this zoot
- 58:03suit. First of all, love your name.
- 58:05Huge fan of zoot suits. Latino and me loves the zoot
- 58:07suit. Trump is not a real bitcoiner.
- 58:11Get real. Obviously.
- 58:13Yeah, I think I think we would agree with you.
- 58:16But his son seemed to be real Bitcoiners, and he does listen
- 58:19to his children and it seems like they have caught the bug.
- 58:23Whether they're just here for the Fiat games, we don't know.
- 58:26But they are playing the game of accumulation.
- 58:29They are getting that FOMO of I need to buy as much of this as
- 58:33possible. So maybe Trump himself isn't a
- 58:36real Bitcoiner quote UN quote, but it looks like his family are
- 58:41becoming Bitcoiners in real time.
- 58:43Let let me just be very clear, Trump is not a real Bitcoiner,
- 58:48but I am. And like, that's kind of the
- 58:53only thing that I care about. If Trump is a real Bitcoiner or
- 58:57not is immaterial to me. If our incentives align, that's
- 59:01a net positive for me and everybody who owns Bitcoin.
- 59:05Who cares if Trump is a real Bitcoin?
- 59:07Like what is this purity test? I thought that was so 2017.
- 59:11Like let's leave that in the past.
- 59:13Let's take a page from Ross's speech at the Bitcoin conference
- 59:17and like unite. Let's unite so that we can get
- 59:22to our goal because if we start like picking and choosing and
- 59:25whatever like it's, it's just, it's, it's going to hold us back
- 59:28like nothing is perfect. Trump is not a real bitcoiner
- 59:31and I don't think anyone is saying that he is.
- 59:33But it doesn't really matter because we are.
- 59:36And that's, that's what's important here.
- 59:39Fully look some some Mama Sophie wisdom in here.
- 59:42If Trump just gets out of the way, he's a real bitcoiner as
- 59:45far as I'm concerned. And Chad's saying Sophie's
- 59:47spitting bars. So all right, we'll give Sophie
- 59:50some porn. All right, guys, So hey, it's
- 59:54Friday, Nico's not here. We do a little trolling.
- 59:57I got this meme video. I think it was.
- 1:00:01I think it's perfect and it's going to spark a great
- 1:00:03conversation. So let's play some memes guys.
- 1:00:06I know you've been throwing tomatoes for memes.
- 1:00:08Well, I got a meme and it's a long form meme.
- 1:00:11All right, So you know, give me give me some leeway here.
- 1:00:14You know, they're not on every show, but I'll bring them in
- 1:00:16when I can. So we got a meme for you.
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- 1:02:16today. All right guys, so as I told
- 1:02:23you, the long-awaited semi meme review is back.
- 1:02:26I got I saw this video yesterday and I think in the face of all
- 1:02:31this drama around the deficit spending and the debt, I wanted
- 1:02:36to put it on the show and then I don't have a guest here today.
- 1:02:39It's Friday. You know, we're going to we're
- 1:02:41going to do some trolling. I literally said that like 20
- 1:02:43times that we're going to do some trolling today.
- 1:02:45So I don't know if you guys saw this, but I thought this was
- 1:02:48absolutely great. Let me pull it up.
- 1:02:50I thought I had it here. All right, so this is a meme.
- 1:02:54It's a video aliens discussing debt here.
- 1:02:57So let's watch this and then we will discuss.
- 1:03:00That's about it. I don't know what I found out
- 1:03:01the other day. What do you want out the other
- 1:03:03day? Did you know the entire Earth is
- 1:03:05$315 trillion in debt? Whoa.
- 1:03:09Yeah. What?
- 1:03:10Who do they owe money to, bro? Who are they getting money from?
- 1:03:13It blows my mind that First off, you have everything on the
- 1:03:17planet here to live for free. You literally have everything
- 1:03:20you need. And then you invent a system
- 1:03:22that creates a deterioration of your own resources.
- 1:03:27You created a store of value. That's literally early storing
- 1:03:31less and less value every day, every day, and you're increasing
- 1:03:34your technology, and yet somehow you still owe money to someone
- 1:03:39and it's $315 trillion. There's not enough paper to
- 1:03:42print that much. Of cash.
- 1:03:45What are they doing? Earth is like the worst meme
- 1:03:49coin. It's the worst.
- 1:03:50It got rugged. OK, all right there you go a
- 1:03:57meme for you guys. All right, guys, but it's not
- 1:04:04just a meme review because it I think because it kind of makes
- 1:04:09it super ridiculous. It does make like a really good
- 1:04:12point about like where it who do we owe debt to?
- 1:04:16What? Where is this money coming from?
- 1:04:18And like they said, you guys invented a store of value that
- 1:04:21literally loses value. Like what kind of idiocy is
- 1:04:25this? This is why we're Bitcoiners.
- 1:04:26And it sounds like they might be more like chick corny, but
- 1:04:29they're they seem to be bitcoiners there.
- 1:04:31But this is really one of those questions of like guys, and
- 1:04:35maybe it works because they're like aliens and they're blue.
- 1:04:38If you take an objective look of our system and you pull away all
- 1:04:42the emotions and you kind of, you know, you look at it like an
- 1:04:45artist, AKA, you know, Elon Musk, and you spurge out on the
- 1:04:48timeline, it just makes no sense.
- 1:04:51It absolutely makes no sense. And This is why we're Bitcoin is
- 1:04:54like, look, there's no debt. You know, you it's not debt
- 1:04:57money. It's not fake IOU debt money.
- 1:04:59It's computationally energy back money that no one can create
- 1:05:03more from. It means we all get richer over
- 1:05:06time. It means the whole world's
- 1:05:07productivity is now smashed into 21 million Bitcoin.
- 1:05:11And you guys don't think this is a good idea?
- 1:05:13Like what is wrong with you guys?
- 1:05:15What, like in what world doesn't this make sense to you?
- 1:05:18But hey, I guess you know, it takes a meme to kind of expose
- 1:05:21ourselves to ourselves. So self, I know you were
- 1:05:24laughing about this. I got a real good chuckle out of
- 1:05:26this. Maybe not like a fool lol but
- 1:05:28you know, like a good dad chuckle, which I'm not a dad yet
- 1:05:31but you know, allegedly good dad chuckle Sophie.
- 1:05:35Damn up dude. Is there something you want to
- 1:05:36tell us? I'm just saying I don't know,
- 1:05:38OK? I mean, it's funny that they
- 1:05:42said there's not enough, there's not enough paper to print all
- 1:05:46that money. And it's facts.
- 1:05:48Yeah. Because it's just numbers on a
- 1:05:50screen. Like they literally just run up
- 1:05:52the numbers on a screen and and that's it.
- 1:05:54And who do we owe that money to? Ourselves, I guess.
- 1:05:58Well, well, you got to remember Sophie.
- 1:06:00Debt. What?
- 1:06:01What did they say? What did I can blame?
- 1:06:03Debt is future money we owe ourselves or whatever.
- 1:06:07It's stupid. It's re dicking oh look, I'm
- 1:06:11getting trolled now clock is ticking Opti become a father.
- 1:06:14Opti OK dude, maybe I already am I don't know you know who knows
- 1:06:18who knows All I'm saying all I'm saying is I don't know All I'm
- 1:06:24saying is I don't know but one of the the big numbers though
- 1:06:28and maybe maybe we got a Fact Check this the number they
- 1:06:31started with though $315 trillion in debt.
- 1:06:37I've never heard that number, but that's Yep, $315 trillion is
- 1:06:45the current estimate for total global debt as of early 2024.
- 1:06:49OK. So update this, it's higher than
- 1:06:51$315 trillion global debt. Doesn't it go up a trillion
- 1:06:56dollars every 100 days? Yeah.
- 1:06:57So we're at like 320. Wait 12, maybe 3?
- 1:07:04100. No, no, 'cause it says early
- 1:07:072024 every hundred day. 317 Three Almost 3. 318 that's crazy
- 1:07:14OK, so that number is increasing is this the point where I pull
- 1:07:19up the US debt clock again? I already did it this week.
- 1:07:21I already did it this week but are.
- 1:07:23You really a bitcoiner if you don't pull up the debt.
- 1:07:26Clock and you know, you know the crazy part about this stuff.
- 1:07:28I don't know if you saw, but everyone keeps telling me to go
- 1:07:30bottom right because it used to have unfunded liabilities here
- 1:07:34they completely naked unfunded liabilities from this chart,
- 1:07:37which is probably a telling example of just how much money
- 1:07:41is. It just keeps racking up and if
- 1:07:43I remember correctly, it was in like the hundreds of trillion.
- 1:07:46So this national debt on. The.
- 1:07:49Screen yeah, exactly that's. What the aliens should have
- 1:07:51said. They're like, there's not enough
- 1:07:52paper in the like bro, there's not enough space on the screen
- 1:07:56to write the number that you need to pay back this debt.
- 1:08:01Let's actually one last thing and then we'll wrap up today.
- 1:08:04Let's see what is the US unfunded liabilities and then
- 1:08:11we'll wrap up today's show. Let's see, did I get the right
- 1:08:15one? This is saying 78.3 trillion.
- 1:08:20I could have swore it was way higher than that, but hey, oh,
- 1:08:25here we go, here we go. We got the number, we got the
- 1:08:28number. Some analysts, including broader
- 1:08:30future commitments and using different methodologies,
- 1:08:32estimate the US fiscal imbalance, including all
- 1:08:35unfunded obligations. It is at $162.7 trillion.
- 1:08:42Oh, you guys can't even see? It we're just working for free
- 1:08:45and everyone is is like just printing it it's.
- 1:08:49Crazy. Yeah, you see it here, guys.
- 1:08:52And I, I guess I didn't show you the, the debt clock, but you
- 1:08:55know, here we go. It's, it's a lot guys.
- 1:08:58And it keeps going up. This is why we're bitcoiners.
- 1:09:01Those blue alien, those avatars were right.
- 1:09:06Why? What?
- 1:09:07Who do we owe this money to? This to the numbers that's
- 1:09:11unfunded liabilities. No, just like add like the whole
- 1:09:14national debt clock to the numbers and be like, this is
- 1:09:17what we're fighting against. Yes, actually this.
- 1:09:19Is why we Bitcoin. Exactly, Actually great comment
- 1:09:22here. And I, and I did, I did bring
- 1:09:24this up in the beginning of the week, but Nico was ranting so I
- 1:09:27I didn't want to interrupt him. But the interest on the US debt
- 1:09:30is the big elephant in the room as debt grows.
- 1:09:33And just to show you guys that number, where is it again on
- 1:09:39the, oh, here we go again. The interest on the debt is
- 1:09:46greater than the money we spend on defense currently at $1.02
- 1:09:52trillion interest on our debt and the defense spending is what
- 1:09:59904 billion. So that is interesting.
- 1:10:05It's it's just to finance his debt, just to pay off the
- 1:10:09interest on our national debt. We spend more than all the money
- 1:10:13we spend on wars. It's absolutely insane.
- 1:10:16It's obviously not sustainable. So on the one hand, you know,
- 1:10:21Elon spurging out on the timeline, we totally get it.
- 1:10:25On the other hand, you know, the Trump big beautiful bill or
- 1:10:29whatever it's called, he's a little more pragmatic.
- 1:10:33It got crazy yesterday. I don't even want to get all
- 1:10:35into it. You already know, you guys
- 1:10:37already saw it. What's going on.
- 1:10:39But what a crazy end of the week guys.
- 1:10:42It's it really feels like we're in the, you know, 4 turning 4
- 1:10:46turning is here. We're Bitcoiners.
- 1:10:48We can kind of just sit on the sideline and laugh about it on
- 1:10:52Twitter and see everyone freak out.
- 1:10:54Just keep stacking. Make sure you have cash flow
- 1:10:57coming in. Take that Bitcoin into self
- 1:11:00custody and we can just watch all the crazies freak out
- 1:11:05because it's only going to get crazier from here anyway.
- 1:11:07So if you want to say some last word before we send this one.
- 1:11:12Buckle up ladies and gentlemen, because can only go up from
- 1:11:16here. OK.
- 1:11:18Perfect. Both the debt.
- 1:11:19And the number and the number, OK, one last question someone
- 1:11:23asked what is the debt per citizen?
- 1:11:27You can see here it is 107,854 debt per citizen and then debt
- 1:11:34per taxpayer is 323,000 and $51.00.
- 1:11:39So that is that is your share you have to pay.
- 1:11:45OK, Anyways guys, this was episode.
- 1:11:49What is it 1261? It is Friday, June 6th in the
- 1:11:54year 2025. As you can tell, I'm here once
- 1:11:57again with the wonderful Internet Sophie AKA Nico's wife.
- 1:12:01So guys, chill out in the chat, guys, you know, a girl comes on
- 1:12:05the show and you guys spurge out in the chat, get outside, cut
- 1:12:09some grass, eat some sun, hang out with people you know.
- 1:12:14Be be nice to our wonderful Sophie here.
- 1:12:16And then for next week, Nico is working on something behind the
- 1:12:21scenes. Honestly, I think you might be
- 1:12:23stuck with me all week. This itinerary, I keep hearing
- 1:12:28it gets pushed back even more. He first said he'll be back
- 1:12:31Wednesday. It's looking like he might not
- 1:12:34even be back till Thursday. So he might be back Friday.
- 1:12:38I'm guessing I'm going to put the team on my back next week.
- 1:12:42So you have a whole week of Opti shows.
- 1:12:45If you don't like me, you can TuneIn next week or the
- 1:12:47following week, but you already know we're going to get highly
- 1:12:51bull tarted next week. I have Luke filling in with me,
- 1:12:54so you know it. We're going to be going even
- 1:12:56harder on the price prediction. We're going to get super bullish
- 1:12:59on the show. So I hope you guys have a good
- 1:13:01weekend and this has been your boy Opti and the wonderful
- 1:13:06Sophie and we will see you next week.
- 1:13:09See you guys have a good one. Today's episode was brought to
- 1:13:13you by bitcoinwell.com, a Bitcoin only platform on a
- 1:13:17mission to enable financial independence.