Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 362 - 9/29/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 362 - 9/29/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:18
  Hello and welcome to episode 362 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:24
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:27
  I am your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
• 0:35
  Happy Monday, a new week begins. The final two days here in the
• 0:39
  month of September. Guys, by the time we get to
• 0:41
  Wednesday, it'll officially be October 1st.
• 0:44
  So we got Halloween in the air before, you know what,
• 0:46
  Thanksgiving, I mean, we're really getting to the tail end
• 0:49
  or the beginning of fall, but the tail end of 2025.
• 0:51
  So that is quite all right with me because we are grinding
• 0:54
  football, both pro and college. I have some interesting Nuggets,
• 0:57
  some stats on college football versus NFL, at least for me so
• 1:01
  far this year. I'm excited or interested to see
• 1:03
  if you guys agree. Or maybe it's the opposite for
• 1:05
  you because one has been doing a lot better than the other.
• 1:07
  But either way, guys, it's also Sox Tober.
• 1:11
  Well, you know what that means. If you're like me in New
• 1:12
  England, you were you were raised on on title Town and then
• 1:16
  you had a bit of a drought here, but the Red Sox back in the
• 1:18
  postseason. So I have baseball here
• 1:21
  postseason Red Sox baseball for the first time since 2021.
• 1:25
  So they got me my over 85 and F win total.
• 1:28
  I remember I went on Patrick Maher's show visa live tonight
• 1:30
  right after they traded Devers and at the time the Sox were
• 1:33
  plus 175 to make the postseason. I said, hey there, there could
• 1:37
  be some value there. Well, that came through and we
• 1:39
  will have some postseason baseball to get down on starting
• 1:42
  tomorrow. And I know we dialed back
• 1:44
  baseball quite a bit. That was what we you know, it
• 1:46
  was death, taxes and three baseball games a day for so
• 1:48
  long. We're turning a pretty good
• 1:50
  profit and then obviously the month of September was so
• 1:52
  unpredictable we dialed back. So it'll be good to kind of get
• 1:55
  back in with fewer games. Public will load up on these
• 1:57
  games more than usual. We have some good angles, some
• 2:00
  good system. So we'll see if we can get back
• 2:02
  into the swing of things with Major League Baseball.
• 2:05
  Now, that being said, before we recap the weekend, guys, I do
• 2:08
  have one play for you tonight. Just one play, it's a double
• 2:11
  header in the NFL to finish up Week 4.
• 2:13
  Jets, Miami and Cincinnati, Denver one official play.
• 2:17
  So I'll give you that here in a second.
• 2:19
  Looking back toward the weekend, though, guys, Friday was a good
• 2:22
  night if you remember. 2 and O + 1.58 units, both Virginia +7
• 2:27
  winning outright in Arizona State on the money line, both
• 2:30
  unranked, first ranked, importance of money lining,
• 2:32
  short favorites. Arizona was pretty much around
• 2:34
  -3 and they won by three and they came back and had a huge
• 2:37
  comeback there late. But again, you lay a three, you
• 2:40
  push your money line, you won. So both Arizona State, fishy
• 2:43
  unranked, first ranked favorite, and then UVA, the classic
• 2:46
  unranked first ranked conference dog, both came through.
• 2:48
  So that was great to see. 2 and O + 1.58 units.
• 2:52
  And then Saturday 2 and 1 + 0.68 units.
• 2:55
  We had Ole Miss coming up, bigly low scoring game.
• 2:58
  So maybe Kiffin was playing mind game saying take the over.
• 3:00
  But they were able to get the winner there.
• 3:02
  And remember, we saw that line move toward Ole Miss.
• 3:05
  They had some great bet splits. It was kind of a fade, the
• 3:06
  trendy dog Ole Miss came through and maybe his daughter was a a
• 3:10
  psyop dating the * linebacker of LSU because right when the Ole
• 3:15
  Miss team won, she rushed the field or you know, went to go
• 3:18
  see her dad and celebrate. It's like, aren't you dating the
• 3:20
  kid on the other team? But anyway, maybe it's all part
• 3:22
  of the Lane Kiffin inside game inside story here.
• 3:25
  But anyway, those that came through, Bama was huge.
• 3:28
  Plus 3 1/2 winning outright. Only loser was Arkansas.
• 3:32
  They got their doors blown off. But either either way, 2 and 1 +
• 3:34
  0.68 units. I had a really exciting and fun
• 3:38
  time on Saturday hosted the party.
• 3:40
  A lot of you guys are DM ING me, but my buddy Richie brought the
• 3:42
  projector over. We put the Alabama game against
• 3:45
  the side of my house. We had a huge beer pong
• 3:47
  tournament. We brought a bouncy house for
• 3:49
  the kids. You know, we're getting older,
• 3:50
  people got kids now, dogs, all that.
• 3:53
  But we had a had a great time, had a bonfire late so I was able
• 3:56
  to survive and had a had an awesome time celebrating the
• 3:59
  book book release as well as my wife's birthday.
• 4:02
  So our birthday is actually today.
• 4:03
  So going out to dinner right after I finish this pod.
• 4:06
  Now all great things must come to an end cuz Sunday NFL.
• 4:09
  Oh, and three goose egg -3 units frustrating day because Vikings
• 4:13
  dog to fave international favorite everything lining up
• 4:16
  perfectly. You know, we didn't count on
• 4:18
  Carson Wentz looking like the terrible Carson Wentz throwing
• 4:21
  picks left and right. They made it interesting late
• 4:23
  but came up short. The other one that was kind of
• 4:26
  frustrating was Cleveland plus 10 1/2.
• 4:28
  They got blown out. That's frustrating because got a
• 4:30
  good number there. The hook, 10 1/2.
• 4:32
  They closed 10/9 and 1/2, so some CLV, but it didn't matter.
• 4:35
  The Lions blew him out. But I don't know what it is
• 4:38
  about the Rams guys. I bet against them and get
• 4:41
  beaten on on excruciating, disgusting fashion.
• 4:44
  I bet on them. They let me down.
• 4:46
  So I remember last week, the missed field goal blocked.
• 4:49
  They bring it back, they lose. They don't cover the 3 1/2.
• 4:51
  Well, I had Colts plus 3 1/2. They're up in the fourth
• 4:54
  quarter, two straight touchdowns by the the Rams to win by 7.
• 4:59
  So that's not fun when he got 3 1/2.
• 5:01
  So Rams maybe maybe I just shouldn't bet on you or against
• 5:04
  you either way. But even though it down Sunday,
• 5:06
  guys, Good Friday, good Saturday, see if we can finish
• 5:09
  up the week strong here on Monday Night Football.
• 5:11
  So that being said, two games, I don't want to force a plan on
• 5:14
  both games. So I just got one play here,
• 5:16
  guys, I'm going to focus and then I'll I'll talk about the
• 5:18
  Cincinnati Denver game in a second because I think there's a
• 5:20
  couple things going on here and I'll tell you why I don't want
• 5:23
  to play it. I think it's important to not
• 5:25
  just people tuning in the pod. They say, just give me the
• 5:27
  picks. A lot of people are like that.
• 5:28
  That's fine. I try to preach.
• 5:30
  Hey, let's try to talk through what it means so that I'm giving
• 5:33
  you an example of a game here. But then you can apply that, you
• 5:36
  know, teach you how to fish. You can fish on your own, that
• 5:38
  sort of thing, But also you got to know when to walk away and
• 5:40
  not force something. Just because the game is on TV
• 5:42
  doesn't mean you have to bet it. I do want to mention one thing
• 5:45
  though. Sorry, I, I, I, I said this
• 5:47
  earlier. I was just looking at some of my
• 5:49
  results and I always recommend downloading a bet tracking app.
• 5:52
  Going to DM me There's one that I really like.
• 5:54
  But you sync up your sports books, you track your action
• 5:57
  Juice field is a great job of of syncing up your books.
• 6:00
  But I was like man college is going pretty good.
• 6:02
  I noticed my college place to start the year 22 and 1069% up
• 6:07
  7.9 units. College has been great.
• 6:10
  NFL 16 and 1650% -. 2.2 units. So do you guys agree?
• 6:17
  Are you feeling the same thing? Are you doing well in college
• 6:19
  and NFL has been more difficult? Maybe it's the opposite.
• 6:22
  Maybe you're crushing NFL. Maybe college has been hard, but
• 6:24
  I just thought that that was kind of interesting because you
• 6:27
  know, NFL was in the green positive up until an old three
• 6:30
  day yesterday, but 5050 NFL. But college has really been a
• 6:33
  money maker. So makes me get excited every
• 6:36
  Saturday and these, you know, these Thursday Friday night
• 6:38
  games as well. So just thought it was a nugget
• 6:40
  that maybe you agree or disagree with.
• 6:43
  But anyway, I'll give you my one plate tonight, guys, because
• 6:46
  again of both games didn't want to force it.
• 6:48
  But let's just talk about Jets and Dolphins is my best bet
• 6:51
  here. 7:15 PM Eastern Time. It's the early game in the
• 6:55
  doubleheader. Both teams come in O and three,
• 6:58
  so they both need to win Jets O and three.
• 7:00
  They just came up short against the Bucks 2927 but did cover the
• 7:04
  6 1/2. That was a block kick that
• 7:05
  actually helped us. If you're on The Jets with me in
• 7:07
  the points, Dolphins O and three as as well just fell to the
• 7:11
  Bills 3121 but did cover the 11 1/2.
• 7:13
  Remember they really showed up that Thursday night and kept it
• 7:16
  closed and covered the number. Now what do we see across the
• 7:18
  market? Well, the Dolphins opened around
• 7:20
  a 2 1/2 point home favorite. And if you look at the open
• 7:23
  number and the current number, it looks pretty much the same,
• 7:25
  right? Just dolphins -2 1/2.
• 7:27
  So what's going on? It's important not to just
• 7:29
  program your eyes to say, oh, I'm looking for 1/2 move, full
• 7:32
  point, move point and a half, two points.
• 7:34
  Like you got to be able to, even if though it may not smack in
• 7:37
  the face with a huge -2 and up two and half, up to 3 1/2, you
• 7:41
  got to be able to dig in a little deeper.
• 7:42
  So as I'm digging deeper on this game, I'm noticing that all
• 7:45
  movement and liability is on the Dolphins.
• 7:47
  How do I know that? Well, first this game open -2
• 7:50
  1/2 -, 110 Miami. Now it's -2 1/2 - 115 -, 120
• 7:55
  Miami. So the juice is rising, becoming
• 7:57
  more expensive on Miami. You look at the fact that this
• 8:00
  line has never gotten down to 2 and some books are actually
• 8:04
  touching 3, so it never got to two.
• 8:06
  It's only been juiced up 2 1/2 and moving toward 3.
• 8:09
  So again, not a huge full point move point and a half severe
• 8:12
  move, two points. But the juice in the movement is
• 8:15
  all leaning in One Direction toward Miami.
• 8:17
  It's not like this was down to 2, up to three, down to 2.
• 8:20
  And no, it's always been showing liability on the Dolphin side.
• 8:24
  Now let's dig a little bit deeper here.
• 8:25
  Splits look pretty good on the Dolphins.
• 8:27
  Believe it or not. DraftKings is pretty much down
• 8:29
  the middle. Only about 53% of spread bets
• 8:31
  are on Miami. So it tells me that the public
• 8:34
  is relatively split. They're like, hey, both teams
• 8:35
  are O and three might as well take the points of the dog,
• 8:38
  right? However, if you look out at
• 8:40
  Circa, 52% of bets are on Miami, but 73% of spread dollars on
• 8:46
  Miami. So that tells me we got a low
• 8:48
  bets, higher dollars good split out in Vegas at Circa telling us
• 8:51
  the bigger, sharper wagers here are going with the Dolphins.
• 8:55
  Now, the important thing to me is to make sure if you're going
• 8:58
  to play Dolphins, your two options would be not laying a
• 9:00
  three, but the 2 1/2 because key numbers three, you got to win by
• 9:03
  three cover and cash that bet. But also I like the money line
• 9:07
  short favorite. So I played Miami on the money
• 9:09
  line. I got dolphins -145 at ESPN bet
• 9:13
  shop around because a lot of books are -150 even -155 but
• 9:17
  here's why I like to money line a short favorite. 1/2 and 1/2
• 9:21
  close game. They win by, you know, three.
• 9:24
  You lose a 2 1/2, they win by one or two.
• 9:26
  You don't cover the 2 1/2. You want to protect yourself.
• 9:30
  So in this case, paying up the Jews saying I just got to win
• 9:34
  the game, that's a way to protect yourself.
• 9:36
  But also the splits are meaningful because you should
• 9:39
  always pay attention what the split say on the money line,
• 9:41
  especially low spread games like when the spread is 7 or 10.
• 9:45
  Like it doesn't really matter what the money line says because
• 9:48
  you're really not taking a big pool of bets.
• 9:51
  It's more of just value, like the team's plus plus 10 or, you
• 9:55
  know, plus 1000, you're going to play them or you know, you're
• 9:57
  going to lay a minus number in a money line parlay, But they are
• 10:00
  meaningful in a short spread because again, you have pros
• 10:03
  might be saying, Hey, I'd rather protect myself and, and lay the
• 10:06
  the minus money line versus the minus points.
• 10:09
  So when I looked at circa, only 41% of money line bets, but 88%
• 10:13
  of money line dollars are on Miami.
• 10:15
  So really good low bets, higher dollar split.
• 10:18
  You look at favorites in general this year, straight up they are
• 10:21
  43 and 1871 percent, 6% ROI. Tua in particular, 25 and 974%
• 10:30
  straight up in his career at home, 19% ROI.
• 10:33
  So 2 is literally winning three out of four times at home.
• 10:36
  It's been really good at home in his career.
• 10:38
  He's also five and O straight up against The Jets.
• 10:41
  Both teams are O and three in that case, both O and three
• 10:45
  entering week 4, the favorite. It's a small sample.
• 10:47
  It doesn't happen often, but it's 7 and 464% with or since
• 10:52
  2006 with a small ROI there. But I also like aside from the
• 10:57
  sneaky juiced up liability Miami, all these straight up
• 11:00
  system matches on the money line Miami, but Miami also has a good
• 11:04
  rest advantage. Rest first tired because Miami
• 11:07
  played, if you remember that Thursday against against the
• 11:12
  Bills, whereas you have obviously The Jets playing
• 11:15
  Sunday and they're on the road and they're on the road again.
• 11:18
  So Jets are playing their second straight Rd. game on on a
• 11:21
  regular week's rest or a week in a day.
• 11:23
  It's a Monday night. Miami's on an extended rest
• 11:26
  played Thursday and then obviously this is Monday.
• 11:28
  So good rest first tired there on Miami.
• 11:32
  If you are going to play The Jets.
• 11:33
  I mean, I'm not going to argue with the teaser.
• 11:35
  You take them 2 1/2 up to 8 1/2. Go through some key numbers.
• 11:39
  The total is also intriguing to me because it opened around 44
• 11:42
  1/2. It really hasn't moved, but it
• 11:43
  is juiced up -115 little bit to the under and the under.
• 11:47
  DK 58% bets, 89% dollars. We've seen outdoor divisional
• 11:51
  unders do well. Ten and six this year, 62%,
• 11:55
  they're 54 percent, 5% ROI since 2018.
• 11:59
  Prime time under 7 and six this year, 58% since 2019.
• 12:03
  And then here's another angle. It isn't like, you know, rain or
• 12:07
  wind or snow or any of that. You're in Miami obviously, but
• 12:10
  even though it's 80°, about 10 mile per hour, winds, gusts up
• 12:13
  to 20 mph. I don't know if it's a hurricane
• 12:15
  or something going on down there, but that would qualify as
• 12:18
  technically a windy under. So in this case, movement
• 12:23
  liability toward Miami. Again, you could tease The Jets
• 12:26
  up. You could play this under if you
• 12:28
  want, but I think we've built a pretty good case to play the
• 12:31
  Dolphins. And also, if we add in two more
• 12:33
  factors here, rhythm has dolphins -3.1 again, your money
• 12:38
  lining them, 2 1/2, a little bit of an edge.
• 12:40
  And then I popped open Juice Reel 7%, nothing amazing, but 7%
• 12:45
  sharp mush edge here in favor of the Dolphins.
• 12:48
  So add it all up here, guys. I'm playing Miami here to win
• 12:52
  this game. Got some good numbers here with
• 12:54
  2A straight up at home, 2A straight up against The Jets,
• 12:57
  movement, liability, Juice all moving toward Miami.
• 13:00
  Good splits on the money line, rest advantage, I'm going Miami
• 13:04
  Dolphins -145 money line, ESPN bet.
• 13:08
  Now, I'm not playing this game, but I kind of want to just let
• 13:10
  you know my thoughts on it and just maybe you guys agree,
• 13:12
  disagree, but the Bengals and the Denver Broncos.
• 13:16
  Now, the reason why I'm not playing it is because I feel I
• 13:18
  can kind of make a case on both sides.
• 13:20
  And anytime you're going into a bet and it's like, hey, there's
• 13:23
  some good things for team A, there's some red flags, there's
• 13:26
  some good things for team B, there's some red flags.
• 13:28
  If you can't line up everything at least very lopsided in favor
• 13:32
  of one side or the other, I always think the best idea is
• 13:35
  just to lay off. So the reason why I'm laying off
• 13:37
  Cincy Denver is that if you can talk about the Denver side, the
• 13:40
  line has moved toward the Broncos.
• 13:42
  They open -6 they're up to 7 1/2.
• 13:44
  They're getting 67% bets, 90% dollars at Circa.
• 13:48
  So it looks pretty good. Low bets, higher dollars, line
• 13:51
  move in their favor. You also have a non division
• 13:56
  favorite. So all this is is leaning toward
• 13:58
  Denver. What I don't like, though, is
• 14:00
  that the Bengals match a lot of betting systems for me.
• 14:03
  One, it's not a sharp play, but it's a contrarian play.
• 14:06
  You're only getting around 35% of bets in a heavily bet
• 14:09
  primetime game, so you can bet against the public.
• 14:12
  This reminds me a little bit of believe it or not.
• 14:13
  The Cowboys last night ended in a tie, which is hilarious.
• 14:17
  But that line moved big toward I think it was almost the same
• 14:19
  thing -6 up to seven for the Packers.
• 14:23
  And obviously it's a tie and Cowboys cover the number.
• 14:26
  And I was a contrarian dog, heavily bet primetime game,
• 14:30
  unpopular play. So same thing with the Bengals.
• 14:33
  They're not sharp, but inflated line.
• 14:35
  I think it's important to keep an eye out on the hook right now
• 14:38
  because it's mostly -7 half Denver -110 both sides.
• 14:41
  Do you see it get like if you want to play Cincy, and I'll
• 14:44
  give you a few more angles here, then you want to get the seven
• 14:47
  and half and see it get down to seven, get juiced up +7 and half
• 14:51
  -115 -, 120 get down to seven. If you are watching this line
• 14:56
  move on your odds logic live odds page, Odds logic.com/josh
• 15:01
  1237 day free trial, 50% off your first month.
• 15:04
  But if you look at the odds page and it gets juice up toward
• 15:06
  Denver like it's going to 8, OK, then maybe it's Denver in a
• 15:10
  blowout and late movements breaking toward the Broncos.
• 15:12
  So pay attention to that because it's it's, it's kind of rare.
• 15:16
  You're at 7 1/2 with a hook and -110 both sides.
• 15:18
  Usually it's it's trending back down or or continuing to go up,
• 15:21
  but being contrarian. Also system matches big dogs
• 15:24
  getting 6 1/2 or more. They're they're eight and six
• 15:27
  ATS this year, 57%. They're 56% ATS since 2020.
• 15:31
  Two, 6% ROI prime time dogs, 8 and 4 ATS, 67% this year.
• 15:38
  They're 53 percent, 3% ROI since 2020.
• 15:40
  And then when my favorite system matches dogs off a blowout loss
• 15:44
  of 20 points or more, you get blown out like since he did
• 15:47
  losing 48 to was it 48 to 10 against the Vikings?
• 15:51
  Of course, they blow them out then and then lose for me in in
• 15:53
  Ireland, of course, isn't that funny?
• 15:56
  But typically public says you're terrible.
• 15:58
  I want nothing to do with you. But actually those are kind of
• 16:00
  the over or undervalued teams that you want to take advantage
• 16:03
  of. Lose by 20 or more, come back
• 16:05
  the next week. Those teams are four and one ATS
• 16:07
  this year. They're 57% ATS since 2018, 9%
• 16:11
  ROI. So if you tell me like Denver,
• 16:13
  I'll be like, yeah, the line moved in your favor.
• 16:14
  You got good splits at Circa. You tell me.
• 16:17
  Like Sensi, I'm going to say, yeah, you're contrarian,
• 16:19
  inflated line, kind of like the Cowboys last night.
• 16:21
  A lot of system matches. So because I can make it.
• 16:24
  And here's the other thing, Denver, you want to tease them
• 16:25
  down 7 1/2 down to 1 1/2. I'm not going to argue that
• 16:28
  either. That being said, I feel like I
• 16:30
  can make cases for both sides, which is my betters intuition
• 16:34
  telling me to lay off and not play it.
• 16:36
  So that's why I'm not touching it.
• 16:37
  But I wanted to kind of walk through that at least kind of
• 16:39
  give you guys some thoughts there.
• 16:41
  But whether you're taking the point Sensi, whether you're
• 16:43
  going Denver, hey, best of luck. Obviously only one of those will
• 16:47
  win, but that's my reasoning for laying off and only going Miami
• 16:52
  money line. So that about does it for
• 16:55
  today's pod. Little short and sweet here on a
• 16:57
  Monday. I got to pick up some flowers
• 17:00
  and meet up with my wife taking her out to dinner tonight, 35th
• 17:03
  birthday. So we got to, we got to say I
• 17:05
  love you Elise, as we always do, but wrapping things up as we
• 17:09
  always do with some final thoughts first, as always, I
• 17:12
  want to say thank you. Thank you for listening, thank
• 17:14
  you for supporting the pod. Thank you for tuning in.
• 17:17
  It means the world to me that we've created this betting
• 17:19
  community based on not gut instinct, bias, hot takes, click
• 17:23
  bait. You know, it's it's nerdy, it's
• 17:26
  numbers, but the numbers really show you they're the key.
• 17:29
  They're going to tell you, you know, the majority of the story.
• 17:32
  If you're going to bet on sports, your your the numbers,
• 17:35
  the data, not your bias and your opinions.
• 17:37
  So if you do enjoy the pod, please could you give it a five
• 17:40
  star review on Spotify or iTunes.
• 17:42
  If you want to leave a nice comment or click the follow
• 17:44
  button or recommend the pod to a friend, I would also very much
• 17:46
  appreciate that. Next, if you enjoy the style of
• 17:50
  betting breakdown, data-driven sharp contrarian betting again
• 17:53
  focusing on line movement split system matches, taking a
• 17:56
  contrarian approach, bankroll discipline, bankroll management,
• 17:59
  no parlays, flat betting. If this type of betting has
• 18:02
  appealed to you, you've kind of adopted some of these
• 18:04
  philosophies. You look at sports quite
• 18:07
  differently now you then you did before.
• 18:08
  It's providing A blueprint to attack the market.
• 18:11
  If that's the case, you want to let me know you appreciate the
• 18:13
  pod or you have someone in your life who could use some
• 18:15
  data-driven tips. I would love for you guys to go
• 18:18
  to Amazon.com, type in the NFL sharp betting playbook.
• 18:22
  It's my baby. It came out about a month ago.
• 18:25
  Really proud of it, but please continue to send me your your
• 18:30
  your photos. I'll retweet them If you want to
• 18:32
  give the NFL sharp betting playbook 5 stars and a nice
• 18:35
  review on Amazon. I would really, really love
• 18:37
  that. And I also wrote another book
• 18:38
  called the the everything guide to sports betting.
• 18:40
  So grab one or both of my books. You can be a hero and get both
• 18:44
  of them. Bring them to the sports book.
• 18:45
  I'll sign them for you. Buy a beer or ginger ale or
• 18:48
  some, I don't know, you know, rum and coke, whatever you want.
• 18:52
  And we'll get down on the dolphins hopefully to win
• 18:54
  tonight next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown and
• 19:00
  you want some more resources that are right up our alley as
• 19:03
  data-driven sharp contrarian betters, then you should go
• 19:05
  download rhythm and juice reel. My two favorite sports betting
• 19:07
  apps rhythm fantastic for their AI back models and predictions
• 19:11
  for game bets and player props. Remember every Thursday 6:00 PM
• 19:14
  Eastern Time we have the rhythm rundown.
• 19:15
  The live stream show that I Co host.
• 19:18
  So make sure you tune in use promo code start 25 for 25% off
• 19:22
  enter the leaderboard contest. You can win up to 1000 bucks
• 19:24
  each week. There's a refer a friend where
• 19:27
  you both get a nice little discount and there's a discord
• 19:30
  channel. If you guys want to talk to
• 19:31
  other rhythm betters then also download juice reel.
• 19:34
  Juice reel is great. It's got a bunch of awesome
• 19:36
  features. This pod is free.
• 19:38
  It cost you nothing to listen so if you want to support the pod
• 19:40
  you know what you can do. You can sign up to get the all
• 19:43
  systems go official best bet picks exclusively only on the
• 19:46
  juice reel app. You can get get them all for
• 19:49
  $4.99 a week. So hopefully you feel like, you
• 19:53
  know, the insights are worth a dollar a day or less than that
• 19:56
  because it's seven days of place.
• 19:58
  But aside from the ASG best bet picks, you also get the sharp
• 20:02
  motion indicators, arbitrage play shop for the best line
• 20:04
  futures, the Robo Jackson best bet picks, all located within
• 20:08
  the rhythm app or sorry, the Juice Reel app, I should say.
• 20:11
  So download Rhythm, download Juice Reel, give them a five
• 20:13
  star review in the App Store. Next you have a live odds page.
• 20:17
  If you don't, you need one. It's so important.
• 20:19
  I cannot stress this enough. You got to be able to track the
• 20:22
  market, what are the line open at, what are, what are all the
• 20:25
  current numbers, Shop for the best price, figure out
• 20:27
  direction, lines going, pull up the line history, live scoring,
• 20:30
  live in game wagering, identify steam when a team gets lit up in
• 20:33
  red. But again, always following the
• 20:35
  market and getting the best price.
• 20:36
  That's what you can do using odds logic.
• 20:39
  So download or just you can sign up and get odds logic.
• 20:42
  Just go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 20:46
  Make sure you do the slash Josh 123 at the end.
• 20:49
  That'll get you 7 day free trial, 50% off your first month
• 20:52
  of service. And then of course Novig.
• 20:54
  Novig is a betting exchange. If you don't know what a betting
• 20:56
  exchange is, that's OK. It's a relatively new thing.
• 20:59
  It's basically like a sports book, but also it's not it's
• 21:02
  like a sports book because it you just download it, it's like
• 21:04
  an app, you fund it, you put in money and you can go start
• 21:09
  betting on whatever you want. It's legal in I think like 37
• 21:11
  States and counting or maybe more than that.
• 21:14
  So make sure it's legal in your state.
• 21:15
  But instead of betting against the house, you're betting
• 21:18
  against other betters. So if you lose, another betters
• 21:21
  making money off you. I don't like that.
• 21:23
  I don't want to lose, but it's better than me giving money back
• 21:25
  to the house. And when you win again, you're
• 21:27
  taking it from another better. So they won't limit you.
• 21:30
  If you win, you won't get booted.
• 21:32
  You get better numbers too. Like it's no vague, but again,
• 21:35
  no vague, no juice. But pretty much every game
• 21:38
  spread money line or spread in total, I should say is -110
• 21:43
  minus one O 5. You're getting better juice
• 21:45
  prices, which will help you win. So download Novig and use the
• 21:49
  promo code Josh 123 for a 25100% deposit.
• 21:54
  Match up to 25 bucks. You put in 25, use promo code
• 21:58
  Josh 123. They'll add another 25.
• 21:59
  You'll be off and running. So that about does it for
• 22:02
  episode 362 of the ASG pod on a Monday as we get back into the
• 22:06
  swing of things. Any big week ahead here,
• 22:09
  hopefully starting off with a Miami straight up winner.
• 22:12
  But as always, guys, two final thoughts.
• 22:14
  One, whether I see you at the Borgata and Atlantic City, Twin
• 22:17
  River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
• 22:19
  Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut, the Encore in Boston, Plain
• 22:22
  Ridge Park, Casino, MGM, Springfield and Nash in my neck
• 22:26
  of the woods in New England. Or out in the desert where the
• 22:27
  true grinders get down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
• 22:30
  runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the South
• 22:32
  Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
• 22:34
  plays, jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
• 22:36
  When you catch a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
• 22:38
  you're going to walk up to me, Show me UVA and Arizona State
• 22:41
  from Friday, show me Bama and Ole Miss from Saturday.
• 22:45
  Boy, was that a winner. Those are great, whatever you do
• 22:49
  Colts, man, Vikings. I don't know what it is about
• 22:52
  the Rams. I'm cursed.
• 22:53
  Betting on or against the Rams. So first one's on me, next one's
• 22:56
  on you. We'll post about the book on
• 22:58
  Sweat Sharp and train place. Sweat the Fins tonight.
• 23:00
  So as always, guys, coming off of five and a weekend and O and
• 23:03
  five weekend, A2 and 3A3 and 2A1 and 4A, four and one, whether
• 23:07
  hot, whether we're cold, that's the name of the game.
• 23:09
  Betting is hard. There's a lot of ups and downs.
• 23:11
  You got to overcome the juice, bad beats, unlucky, random, all
• 23:15
  that kind of stuff. But you know what we can do?
• 23:17
  Even though we can't control the outcome of the game, we can't
• 23:19
  control the way we view the market, the way we make smart
• 23:23
  bets. And if we can stay true to the
• 23:24
  model, find games that fit our philosophy against the public,
• 23:28
  with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get
• 23:31
  that CLV, if we can do that, we're going to be successful
• 23:34
  sports bettors. So have a great money on
• 23:36
  everybody. Let's go Fins.
• 23:37
  I will see you guys tomorrow, right back at it on a Tuesday,
• 23:41
  hopefully finishing up the the month of September on a hot note
• 23:44
  with some MLB postseason baseball on tap.
• 23:47
  That'll be episode 363 of the All Systems Go sports betting
• 23:50
  podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody, and have a
• 23:53
  great Monday night. Go Fins.