Latest / Disguised Coverage / Inside Bills vs Steelers: Preview, X's & O's, Breakdown, & more | DC
Transcript
- 0:00It's thirty eight. All bills can win in here, Wake puts it down.
- 0:03The kick is on the way and dock m the bell good one?
- 0:07How the hell that one home? How one? They were a party one
- 0:14not party way? Incredible? Why not combat by my bell? Jacksonville's perfect
- 0:21record on the line right here, quick kicking, look excited. Touchdown Kyle
- 0:43Williams touchdound amazing, unbelievable. They puttied william who's hats to full back and
- 0:56he scores a touchdown. It's wealthier to face tackle. What's good? Folks,
- 1:17Family, friends, loved ones, enemies, friendemies, wizards, which
- 1:21is Muggles, mud bloods, people of Middle Earth. To another episode of
- 1:23disguised coverage. The only podcast in existence that gives you an equal amount of
- 1:26blueberries in each muffin, and that is presented by the best pizza in Buffalo,
- 1:30New York, and that is one PI Pizza. Find me online menu
- 1:33in the episode show notes. So they're here on YouTube or whichever podcasting app
- 1:36and or platform you are listening to this show on. I am your host,
- 1:40Anthony Prohaska. Find me on Twitter at pro underscore underscore and that's pro
- 1:44two underscores a n T. In tonight's episode of Disguise Coverage, it is
- 1:49playoff time for the Buffalo Bills. They clinched earlier in the afternoon on Sunday
- 1:53with the loss by the Jacksonville Jaguars. But then they follow up that initial
- 1:57clinching with a nice satisfying victory against the Miami Dolphins to cap and end the
- 2:02regular season, not just for the Bills, but for the entire NFL,
- 2:06giving them the number two seed in the AFC, clinching the AFC East Division
- 2:09crown for the fourth year in a row, and that propelled them into the
- 2:13playoffs to face the seventh seed Pittsburgh Steelers. And that's gonna be the focus
- 2:16of tonight's episode. Myself and my guests are going to dive into the x's
- 2:22and o's of Bills versus Steelers. What will decide the game? Matchup pieces,
- 2:25variables, anything and everything that you need to keep your eye on in
- 2:29terms of what will decide this game and why? What are the wisess In
- 2:35case I sound a little weird, I feel pretty sick, pretty under the
- 2:37weather. Not great, but you know, it's playoff time. Everybody's hurt
- 2:39this time around A lot of people are injured. You got to play through
- 2:43it, you got to gut through it, and I'm trying to do that
- 2:45right now. And yeah, so bear with me if I sound crazy or
- 2:49I have to mute a bunch when I go solo later because I have to
- 2:51cough and I can't stop. Who knows, But that's part of the fun
- 2:53for everybody. Also part of the fun is my guest for tonight's episode,
- 3:00mister Joe Marino, host of course of Locked on Bills and co hosts of
- 3:02Locked on NFL Scouting. Joe, I appreciate you taking the time to join
- 3:07me for yeah, some good playoff bills talk and some happiness I hope listen.
- 3:12Anthony, good to be on with you. Always fun talking football with
- 3:15you. We've got a chance to do this a few times over the last
- 3:17six seven months, and I've enjoyed that. I'll be bugging you pretty soon
- 3:22here, hopefully not that soon. Four more, right, that's the whole
- 3:24thing for more and then we can get into off season stuff. But always
- 3:29enjoy being part of your podcast and part of everything that's going on to cover
- 3:32one. Really appreciate you, guys, and I love what you guys.
- 3:35Do for Bill's Mafia. I appreciate the kindness in those words, and yeah,
- 3:38right back. Actually, you know, I don't think enough praise can
- 3:40be heaped upon you for what you do from a Bill's perspective and from a
- 3:44draft perspective. And I'm excited to hear you say, you know, some
- 3:46collaboration stuff. I'm sure I'll be calling on you as we go forward.
- 3:50I had a good time with you last year. You'll bringing you on the
- 3:52show, and we did kind of like building the ideal Buffalo Bill's draft.
- 3:54I'm always so torn because I love college football and I love like the so
- 4:00obviously like I want the Bills to continue. But the silver lining that's been
- 4:02in the back of my mind is like, all right, well, if
- 4:04things go sideways, it's just full on into draft mode. I don't just
- 4:08start watching college tape and then go from there. But you know, that's
- 4:11the only thing that kind of keeps you know, keeps me a little happy
- 4:14if things go sideways. But to your point, four more potentially for this
- 4:18Buffalo Bills team as they also again like another year where they get the two
- 4:21seed and like there's no more buy for the two I was thinking of that
- 4:25earlier, like of course, like now they're just rolling like consistently as the
- 4:28two not getting to buy. But at least they made it, and like
- 4:30I said in the intro, they clinched the AFC's Division title. And Joe,
- 4:32this team this year man like trials and tribulations that they have faced on
- 4:39the field, off the field, even really going back to like how last
- 4:43year's season ended getting waxed by Cincinnati. You've got the Digs and Allen stuff
- 4:47on the sideline, and then like Digs, you know, being a little
- 4:50disgruntled after that game, and then some stuff carrying into the off season Digs
- 4:54related, and then just the poor performance to start the year against the Jets,
- 4:58the ups and downs, the firing your Ken doors, see the story
- 5:00that you know, mister ty Dunn put out about Sean McDermott and all that
- 5:04kind of stuff, even going back to I guess the end of twenty twenty
- 5:08two with the DeMar Hamlin piece, Like this team in a full calendar year
- 5:12has just been up and down in a multitude of ways, and then also
- 5:16injuries and things that they've experienced this year. But you know, I say
- 5:19all that to preface this question to you, this Bill's team again, they
- 5:24win in Miami, they win five in a row, they clinch that two
- 5:27seed in the AFC's Division title. How do you feel about this Bill's team
- 5:30heading into the playoffs to potentially make a playoff run as opposed to other years?
- 5:35You know, this year for so many years, I feel like the
- 5:39conversation has been had, or at least going into this year, I saw
- 5:42a lot of people saying, you know, who cares what happens in September
- 5:45through November. Just get hot come December and get in. And the Bills
- 5:47seemingly have done that to get in. So with all that being said,
- 5:51again, they still have injuries and all these things, how do you feel,
- 5:55you know, with this team in general coming into the playoffs here?
- 5:58It's quite the setup there for the question, and a good reminder that it's
- 6:01never a straight line, right, no matter what the season is, It's
- 6:05just never a straight line. And if we told you before the season that
- 6:10the Bills would be the number two seed in the AFC East Champs, you'd
- 6:13be like, yeah, that checks out. But if I told you that
- 6:15after Week twelve, when the Bills were six and six, you might have
- 6:19tried to, you know, tell me that I needed some type of new
- 6:23prescription, right, based on just how crazy that sounds. But here we
- 6:27are, right and the Bills are hot. They've won five in a row,
- 6:30they've won six of seven, they're playing really outstanding defense. Their passing
- 6:34game the last couple of weeks has really flipped a switch. And I said
- 6:40the last couple of weeks on purpose. I know that the Patriots wasn't a
- 6:44great day of statistical production in the passing game. But you know, Anthony,
- 6:47you're a tape guy and I'm a tape guy, and I'm sure you
- 6:50saw the opportunities that existed in that Patriots game. And I had a level
- 6:55of comfort going into this Dolphins game that they were going to execute better.
- 6:59And they did. And Josh Allen have a crazy historic game, the first
- 7:03quarterback in the history of the NFL regular season to pass for over three hundred
- 7:06and fifty yards, to rush for over sixty five yards and complete seventy five
- 7:11percent of the passes. I mean, we just saw a really special performance
- 7:14by Josh Allen. And it's hard to appreciate that because of how it started
- 7:17with really some crazy missed opportunities with the first two drives, and of course
- 7:21the sequence before the end of half, right that cloudies everything. But if
- 7:25you really go back and watch that game, Josh Allen was vintage elite special
- 7:30Josh Allen, and that coupled with his comments about how the ball was coming
- 7:36off his hand as good as it ever has towards the end of that game,
- 7:40that should get you a pretty dog on excited. Coupled with the defense,
- 7:44and coupled with the efficiency this team has found running the football, and
- 7:47so I do have a fair amount of confidence for the Bills going into the
- 7:51playoffs. I think the path is really good. We're going to talk a
- 7:55lot about the Pittsburgh Steelers today and candidly, and I respect every team in
- 8:00the NFL, right, I mean, anyone that's listening to me talk.
- 8:01I don't sit there and I never expect the Bills to mop the floor with
- 8:05any opponent. I really don't. But if you were to put the entire
- 8:09playoff field out there, AFC and NFC and say who would you like to
- 8:13play in the first round, You're probably picking the Steelers. I mean maybe
- 8:18the Bucks, but probably the Steelers. And so you've got a good draw
- 8:24and then you play I mean, if the Dolphins and Chiefs game goes away,
- 8:28I think you're gonna play the Chiefs. You're gonna play the Mahomes in
- 8:33Western New York, right for the first time in the playoffs. That feels
- 8:35pretty good. And then what the Ravens probably because they got to play the
- 8:41winner of Houston in Cleveland. Let's face the Ams championship game, and the
- 8:46Bills have played Baltimore and Lamar Jackson as good as any team right outside of
- 8:50probably some of the divisional dynamics, and so let's go, right, I
- 8:54think I think the path is is fairly clear. I like a lot of
- 8:58the dynamics of this team, and I do that they're battle tested. There's
- 9:01a deep inventory of history, not only throughout the regular season, but in
- 9:05the playoffs. The Bills have been to the playoffs was just a fifty year
- 9:09in a row, Like it's just normal to us, right, it was
- 9:11the craziest thing in the world for the longest time, Like the playoffs.
- 9:13You had the seasons over in Week seventeen. Now we just yeah, we
- 9:16go to the playoffs every year. It's just something we expect at this point
- 9:18in time. And they're battle tested. They've won at least one playoff game
- 9:22in each of the last three seasons, one of only two teams in the
- 9:24league to do that, along with the Chiefs. So you have a battle
- 9:26tested team that's playing good football, you have a clear path, like let's
- 9:31go, let's do this. So I like it. I like where they're
- 9:35at, and you got to play them all. You got to see what
- 9:37happens. Anything can happen in the NFL. The Steelers are I mean,
- 9:41kind of a hot team in some regards, but I like the Bills and
- 9:46their chance as good as any I mean, probably second only to Baltimore.
- 9:50Right who has the buye is gonna host either Cleveland or Houston and then a
- 9:54host probably the AFC champion team. You'd like to be them, but if
- 9:58you can't be them, you'd like to be the Buffalo Bills. You know.
- 10:00That's it's such a good point with how things kind of played out.
- 10:05I was sitting there Sunday thinking like, man, like I kind of had
- 10:11forgotten what it was like to worry if the Bills were going to make the
- 10:15playoffs, and then that hit me and I was like, WHOA, that's
- 10:16actually kind of like wild because exactly your point, it's just kind of ho
- 10:20hum happenstance, like those are making the playoffs, like that's it. It's
- 10:24been more of a conversation of how far can they go in the playoffs instead
- 10:28of Man, I wonder if they're gonna make it, and so much with
- 10:31the Josh Allen conversation, I feel like it's such a good microcosmo and like
- 10:35representation of this team because he's been a roller coaster at times this year.
- 10:39This team has been a roller coaster at times this year, and honestly,
- 10:41so is really the AFC conference as a whole. Like you can legitimately maybe
- 10:46obviously not some of the teams that made the playoffs, but you can make
- 10:50a case for Baltimore going to the super Bowl. You can make a case
- 10:52for the Bills, you can make a case for the Chiefs. Hell,
- 10:54you could like even make a case for Miami even though they're they're scuttling and
- 10:58like looking real sluggish right now on both sides the ball, and it's so
- 11:01wide open, and that's encouraging if you're a Bills fan, and I think
- 11:07you know, to your point, any team that's in the playoffs right now
- 11:09on the AFC side, I can see the Bills beating any of those teams
- 11:13and going to the Super Bowl. I can honestly really see them like having
- 11:16a bad day and losing to any of those teams, which is how like
- 11:20this season is gone, and yeah, the way it's shaped up, I
- 11:22was sitting there hoping, you know again, I'm as similar boat as you,
- 11:26like, there are no like really bad players or bad teams like in
- 11:28the NFL, despite how you know, everybody kind of likes to put things
- 11:31out there, but this is the path that I did prefer. I was
- 11:33hoping, Okay, you get the Steelers in that first round, you're playing
- 11:37against Mason Rudolph, like you should be able to beat Mason Rudolph. And
- 11:41then that second round potential matchup of Kansas City beats Miami. Man like that
- 11:46would also be Mahomes's first game ever on the road in the playoffs, which
- 11:50is just nuts to think about. Like even in the years where they haven't
- 11:52been the one seed, things have always kind of fallen into place for them
- 11:56to still play at home, and it would be maybe a little, you
- 11:58know, at a justice if his first game on the road is in Buffalo
- 12:01and the Bills finally slay that dragon. There so many storylines and so many
- 12:05pieces, and again it all kind of brings together and ties together what this
- 12:09team has gone through this year. And I like that battle tested piece.
- 12:13I had Alex Braski on the show several weeks ago and we talked about that.
- 12:16It's just, you know, for again, for everything that they've been
- 12:18through positively but honestly really negatively, the injuries, the off the field stuff,
- 12:22on the field failures, execution, storylines, drama, all this stuff.
- 12:28They've kind of weathered the storm and maybe, you know, you try
- 12:31to put a silver lining to it, a little baptism by fire and battle
- 12:33tested piece. And they get into the playoffs and face the Pittsburgh Steelers,
- 12:37and that is where we shift our conversation. For those playing at home or
- 12:41those who don't know how this show is going to go. Myself and Joe
- 12:43are each going to give three matchup pieces and or variables that we think will
- 12:48go a long way towards deciding this Bills and Steelers game. It could be
- 12:52very large scale, like casting a wide net. It could be very granular.
- 12:54It could be a side of the ball versus another. It could be
- 12:56players specific, coach specific formations, whatever, whoever, anything goes. I
- 13:03don't know Joe's answers, he doesn't know mine. We're gonna kind of go
- 13:05back and forth, each give our answers, talk about each other's answers,
- 13:09have some organic ball talk, and then go from there for again. For
- 13:11those Joe who are joining us live, whatever you got, whatever you think
- 13:15is most important, whatever matchup you are watching for, throw it up into
- 13:18the chat. I'm gonna star as many things as I can, and then
- 13:20once we send Joe on his merry way, dive into that and do a
- 13:22bunch of live chat pieces to close out the show. Also, feel free
- 13:26to tell myself and Joe how awesome our points are or how terrible our points
- 13:31are. Whatever floats your boat. Either way, the choice is yours,
- 13:33Joe, the floor is yours. I don't know if you have anything everything
- 13:37ranked, or if you have one you want to you know, fire off
- 13:41the hip first, but the floor is yours. Do as you wish.
- 13:43Yeah, I've got two that I think are more important than the third one.
- 13:46But and I can't. I can't decide of my top two points which
- 13:52one is more important. So I'm gonna just pick one and we'll show that
- 13:58all the time. I'm horrible. It always ranking on my I can't do
- 14:01it right, dude, I do that. My co host for Lockdown NFL
- 14:03Scouting, Kyle Crabs, he hates it because he'd be like, what's the
- 14:07number one thing here? And I'm like, well, I don't know what
- 14:09the number one thing is here, but three things that I think are important.
- 14:11You know I'm that guy. So let's go. Yeah, so let's
- 14:16start here. Protection. I think offensive line pass protection is going to be
- 14:20absolutely critical in this game. And people are probably thinking, Joe dj Watt's
- 14:24not playing. Yeah, I'm aware dj Watt's not playing. I'm still concerned
- 14:28about what the Pittsburgh Steelers can do with their front seven rushing the passer.
- 14:33And I know this is gonna this. People might laugh at this, but
- 14:37I remember a preseason game against Pittsburgh Steelers, and Sean McDermott does too.
- 14:41Brother. Sean McDermott brought that up in his press conference this week, and
- 14:46what's crazy is like, one of the most controversial episodes of Lockdown Bills that
- 14:50I've ever done was my reaction to the Pittsburgh Steelers preseason game this year where
- 14:54I went in on Josh Allen and the protection. I'm like, he's escaping
- 15:00clean pockets, he's not seeing free runners, he's not getting to his hot
- 15:03reads. Like this is disjointed. It looks like a mess. Like I'm
- 15:07concerned about it, right, Yeah. And then like I don't know,
- 15:09I was kind of validated to an extent with how he looked against the Jets.
- 15:13You know, it's a lot of a lot of similar type stuff,
- 15:15and you know, I think that's I mean, that also feels like one
- 15:18hundred years ago, right, I mean it was basically we're talking was a
- 15:22preseason like Week two or three or something like that. Sea, Yeah,
- 15:26late August at least, it feels like forever ago. But those are the
- 15:30things that do creep up still, like not in as heavy of a dose.
- 15:35But when I think this passing game has its troubles, it's when there's
- 15:39pressure in the face of Josh Allen, when there's some blitz looks and he
- 15:41can't id the free rusher and he holds the ball and maybe there's not a
- 15:43sight adjustment that you're looking for to get the ball out quick, and you
- 15:48just get some goofy passing moments. And Pittsburgh has been a good team rushing
- 15:52the passer this year. And they blitz. They blitz thirty four percent of
- 15:56their plays, a's six highest in the National Football League this year. And
- 15:58it's it's kind kind of that recipe that's given this team some challenges. And
- 16:03part of my optimism last week against Miami was because Miami isn't that. Miami
- 16:07is not a blitz aggressive team. You know, they play a lot of
- 16:10zone. They don't want to have a plus one player in the box,
- 16:12and I felt like it was a good matchup for the Bills. Now,
- 16:15what I was what I thought Miami would do and what I hope that they
- 16:18would do, is that they would reinvent themselves a little bit for one week
- 16:22and try to blitz and do that type of stuff. And they did,
- 16:23and the Bills made them pay. Right, Like, you can't reinvent the
- 16:26way you play football based on your opponent. You have to cling to your
- 16:30rules of what your scheme is in play ball, right Like, you can't
- 16:33just suddenly try to become a different team for one week. That's why option
- 16:36offenses work, right, because all of a sudden, you know, you're
- 16:40not playing as a team that's as talented as you, but you're gonna have
- 16:42to play defense a completely different way, and it's hard when you only have
- 16:45to do it once in a while. And I know that's kind of maybe
- 16:48a weird parallel, but the point I'm trying to make is that the Miami
- 16:51Dolphins trying to become a man coverage blitz aggressive defense was a poor decision in
- 16:56my opinion, because that's just not how they play. But that is how
- 17:00the Pittsburgh Steelers play. And no, they don't have TJ. Watt,
- 17:03but they have some really talented players still. Alex Heighsmith outstanding edge player,
- 17:10Cam Hayward on the interior. That dude's a monster. I know he's getting
- 17:14a little bit old and stuff like that, but he can still ball man
- 17:17and playoffs, and you know they're playing with house money. You know,
- 17:19they back toward into the playoffs. You know, they had to get hot
- 17:22at the end. They had a terrible streak of like losing to the Cardinals
- 17:26and the Patriots, you know, to kind of get into a little hole
- 17:30and then back out of it. You know, Cam Hayward fired up back
- 17:33twilight of his career, Larry Young Goodjobi's a good interior rusher, Nick Herbig's
- 17:37a super athletic young player that gave the Bills a ton of problems in the
- 17:41preseason. And then they have a savvy Vet and Marcus Golden. So no,
- 17:44they don't have TJ. Watt, but they got all of that,
- 17:47you know what I mean. And so there's some ways that they can stress
- 17:48the protection schemes for the Buffalo Bills. And I think Josh Allen is going
- 17:52to have to play smart football. And the reality is I mean, like
- 17:56go back to that Week one game two year years ago where the and I
- 18:03don't want to get to my next point because it's gonna spoil like what I
- 18:06want to get to. But Pittsburgh has relied on a certain formula to win
- 18:10games, and you can fall into their script, right, So my biggest
- 18:14concern here is the Bills, you know, just kind of falling in line
- 18:18with how Pittsburgh needs the game to go because it's happened before, not just
- 18:21against other teams, but against Pittsburgh. So yeah, I think I don't
- 18:25want to get too far ahead of myself, But first and foremost for me
- 18:29is the protection dynamics and how the Steelers play football defensively and the challenges that
- 18:33that's presented the Bills offense this year. I love that point, and I
- 18:37love the comment from you about, you know, the Steelers getting teams to
- 18:41fall into their trap. I literally was thinking of this last night. I
- 18:45was watching. I'm a Clippers fan, so I was watching Clippers suns and
- 18:49one of my favorite things about kaw Kawhi Leonard, and it's been said for
- 18:52like so long with him playing, is the pace that he plays at.
- 18:56He makes other teams and defenders like play it his pace, And I was
- 19:00thinking to that in the relation to the Steelers, like it just seems like
- 19:03no matter who the Steelers play, you end up playing Steeler football like you
- 19:07fall and that doesn't always work for them. They're not always like going undefeated
- 19:11and winning every game, but for whatever reason, they seem to always get
- 19:14you into the type of game script that they want to get you into,
- 19:18regardless of what type of offense you are or defense you are. So I
- 19:22love that point. That's very well said, and yeah, your point,
- 19:26I'm gonna I'll stick on that side of the ball and kind of tie in
- 19:27some things with my first point here. But yeah, obviously teaj walk going
- 19:30down is a huge loss. But you're sitting there looking at the rest of
- 19:33the dudes on the offensive line. I actually want to start with Nick Herbig,
- 19:37who he had some You're a college scouting dude, you know. I
- 19:41like to paint myself in that vein as well. I liked a lot of
- 19:44what her Big did at Wisconsin, and I also fell into the It was
- 19:47the opposite of on the offensive side, I was banging the drum for tanked
- 19:52out. I didn't care about the size. I didn't care about anything.
- 19:55And on the other side, I was like her BIG's size, Like where
- 19:59does he play and what does he do? And he came out of the
- 20:00gate hot in the preseason, especially against the Bills. He's no slouch.
- 20:04Marcus Golden is no slouch. You're sitting there looking at Alex Highsmith. He's
- 20:07thirteenth amongst all edges in total pressures. He's thirty eighth out of one hundred
- 20:11and twenty in pass rush of productivity. And then you mentioned Cam Hayward,
- 20:15third amongst one hundred and forty three defensive tackles and stop percentage. He may
- 20:19not be the pass and run threat that he used to be, but he
- 20:23is still stout on the inside. And then the rest of the dudes up
- 20:27front, he mentioned Ogunjobi. I loved that they. I love Keanu Benton,
- 20:32and I thought it was a great pick by them. He's flashed a
- 20:33bunch, like with what he can do standing strong at the point of attack
- 20:37on the line of scrimmage or also getting penetration like they have dudes up front
- 20:41that can still get the job done, and then even on the back end,
- 20:45you know, having we'll see how healthy he is. But welcoming back
- 20:48Minka Fitzpatrick to that lineup and KZ maybe that makes him feel a little more
- 20:52confident and comfortable with what they do with their fronts. And yeah, so
- 20:56I respect that defense. And I'll go with my first point here because it
- 21:00ties in, you know, your point ties into mind. My first point
- 21:03is just the yin and the yang of Josh Allen, Like which Josh Allen
- 21:07do we get in this game? Because it's been and you know, honestly,
- 21:10this that past game against the Dolphins was a bit of a microcosm.
- 21:14He makes some plays that you are so pissed about, like just whether it's
- 21:18decision making or not pulling the trigger, or not recognizing a hot router or
- 21:22seeing the hot route and not throwing the hot router thinking that it's a coverage
- 21:26that it's not, and not recognizing the front. He does so many things
- 21:29that make you go like, what the hell is going on with this guy?
- 21:33And then he misses a deep ball shot and you're like, dude,
- 21:36he's got to get it together. And then he makes an off platform throw
- 21:38to Stefan Diggs that's on a dart and a dime and it makes you forget
- 21:41kind of about everything else. And then he furthers that by running through four
- 21:45defenders on third and thirteen to get a first down, and that pendulum swing.
- 21:49That nature of how Josh Allen plays every game for me, especially this
- 21:56year, He's always played that way. You've had those high variance plays,
- 21:59like the horrible, god awful boneheaded plays and then the god tier alien type
- 22:04plays that he makes, but usually he makes more of those god tier alien
- 22:08type unicorn type plays and they drown out more of the riskier ones or the
- 22:11boneheaded ones. This year, I feel like the ratio has gotten closer,
- 22:15and each game it just seems like this team is always going to always going
- 22:19to go as far as Josh Allen takes them, especially this year with the
- 22:22injuries that they've had on defense. But it seems like even more so with
- 22:26how he's playing that pendulum swing type of game, if he has a bad
- 22:30day or an off game, they're dead in the water. And if he
- 22:33has a superman Josh Allen moment, they succeed. And again even that can
- 22:37vary play to play, drive to drive, quarter to quarter. And you
- 22:41look at his numbers, like on the year, he's third in EPA per
- 22:45play, he's third, and success rate, he's second in completion percentage over
- 22:48expected. But since the bye week, you know, so the last five
- 22:51games, he's thirteenth in EPA per play, eleventh and success rate, ninth
- 22:55in completion percentage over expected. And we've continued again to see a lot of
- 22:59the things that I think, whether rightly or wrongly, people attributed to Ken
- 23:03Dorsey. Well, these are this is Ken Dorsey's fault, and Ken Dorsey
- 23:07broke Josh Allen, like a lot of people were kind of giving him the
- 23:10benefit of the doubt for anything. We're seeing a lot of those errors and
- 23:12those issues still present in his game, but again at the end of the
- 23:17day, these past several weeks when he's had these wins, he's made play
- 23:22Situationally, he doesn't have a good game against the Chargers, but when they
- 23:23needed it, he's making pinpoint throws on third downs. He's getting those drives
- 23:27at the end of the game to either get a touchdown or execute those four
- 23:30minute drives or hit that game winning field goal. He's been so good situationally,
- 23:34and then bringing in those high variance plays that again, it drowns out
- 23:40a lot of what's happened. Steelers defense comes into this game. They're seventh
- 23:42in EPA per play, their eighth and success rate, their eighth and passing
- 23:47EPA. They're ninth and passing success rate. They're eleventh in rushing EPA.
- 23:51They're fifth in rushing success rate, sixth overall in DVOA, sixth against the
- 23:56pass, ninth against the run. They're gonna miss TJ. Watt, but
- 23:59they still have dudes up front. I my first matchup piece really tying into
- 24:03that Steelers defense against Josh Allen. Can they force Josh Allen into the bad
- 24:08version of Josh Allen, the Yen which is and yet Yeah, Yen is
- 24:11the bad one, Yang is the good one. Can they force him more
- 24:15into that Yen world. Can they force him into a mistake early on and
- 24:18then cause that to snowball a little bit and make him think, Okay,
- 24:21I got to make up for it. And can they put the pressure on
- 24:25him from a mental standpoint and even potentially physically tying into your protection piece,
- 24:30because we know when he gets pressured early and things break down up front,
- 24:33he starts to evade pockets earlier than he needs to. He starts to think,
- 24:37Okay, you know, I'll let me do all this on my own,
- 24:40and I'll make something happen on my own. And granted to his credit,
- 24:42a lot of times it's worked, but this year we've seen a lot
- 24:45of times where it hasn't. I think Pittsburgh comes in, aims to stop
- 24:49the run, and then they look to play Russian Roulette with Josh Allen in
- 24:52hopes that they get that dark, negative side of him and kind of force
- 24:56him and the Bills to play into their hand. Slow the game down,
- 25:00make it ugly, make it nasty, make the Bills offense inefficient, and
- 25:04then try and sneak out of a buffalo with a win, Anthony, We've
- 25:07heard a couple of different teams come out and say that their game plan defensively
- 25:14is that they want Josh Allen to put the cape on and then fall into
- 25:18his mistakes. Right, Robert Salas said it. Yep, they said it.
- 25:22Somebody on the Dolphins said it this past week. He'll eventually he'll put
- 25:25his cape on it. He'll make mistakes. But here's what I'll say about
- 25:27all of that. There's been a lot of bozo Josh Allen this year,
- 25:32more than we've seen in a while. How many times that he walked off
- 25:36the field this year and didn't have the lead. Oh, this is a
- 25:41good one. Yeah, twice, twice. Two times he's cleans up for
- 25:45even when he makes those mistakes, he makes a mess, he tends to
- 25:48clean up that mess. He does. Jaguars game, in the Bengals game.
- 25:52Jaguars game was goofy, they were in London, just a goofy game.
- 25:55And then the Bengals game, and I don't know, I hated Sean
- 25:57mcdermot's defensive game plan with the Blitzegrev stuff. He made it really easy on
- 26:00Joe Burrow. Yeah, so I don't I mean, I don't know.
- 26:03I don't. I don't look at Josh Allen when I think about the the
- 26:06reasons the Bills lost those games. I thought Josh was great against Jacksonville.
- 26:08I really do so. I mean, yeah, here, you right,
- 26:11totally valid, concerned about what you're saying. But as I was thinking about
- 26:17the Dolphins game last week, and I was having like a very condid,
- 26:21candid conversation with my brother, and I'm like, hey, man, no
- 26:23bs, let's talk about this game, Like what's what's your what's your biggest
- 26:26concern? All right? Well, and my answer to that was I'm concerned
- 26:30that I'm concerned that I don't know how Josh Allen's gonna play in this game.
- 26:34And then that put me on this mental exercise. Well, I'm like,
- 26:37man, Josh has had bozo games this year, but I'm pretty sure
- 26:40he's left the field with more points than the other team every single time and
- 26:42then the defense couldn't couldn't figure it out at the end. Yeah, twice
- 26:47twice this year he didn't leave the field a winner, right, Like,
- 26:52so that gives me a level of confidence that like, like we kind of
- 26:55got into here, like, yeah, he's made some messes but man,
- 26:56he does clean them up. And I think I think for as much as
- 27:03there is some variance in the possibility of some bozo, Josh gotta have some
- 27:07confidence he can clean up the mess. Oh yeah, And that's very fair,
- 27:11I guess. I guess this is too for me with like the paranoia
- 27:15that always exists in the back of my brain, Like in a in a
- 27:18one game playoff, all it takes is that one time for him to not
- 27:22be able to clean up his mess and you're done. Yeah, and against
- 27:26the team like Pittsburgh with their defense to again like TJ. Watt as we
- 27:32both talked about, like that is that is a big miss. But this
- 27:36defense, it seems like year after year, whether it's Mike Tomlin or the
- 27:40core pieces and players and leaders they have on that side of the ball,
- 27:42every year, it's like the same group no matter who they plug in.
- 27:45They play fast, they play physical, they play with confidence. It doesn't
- 27:48matter if they're trotting out all their starters or they're playing some fourth or fifth
- 27:52string guy. Everybody's got bite and like swaged to the type of style that
- 27:57they play and they're not gonna in a buffalo with any type of fear and
- 28:00also tying into you know, one of your points there that preseason game the
- 28:03Sean McDermott remembers. Maybe I don't know if the Steelers saw that preseason victory
- 28:07as any type of revenge. But how many of these dudes remember going into
- 28:11Buffalo last year and just getting absolutely embarrassed by the Bills, Like how much
- 28:15does Micka fitzpatch or remember Gabe davis joint getting that ball away from him on
- 28:18a massive day and a monster day for Gabe Davis. And I want not
- 28:22that anybody needs more motivation come playoff time, but does that play a role
- 28:27at all? And yeah, they've got dudes. If they can hunt up
- 28:30front, if high Smith and Hayward and Herbig and Golden and Benton can get
- 28:33some things working early, if they can styn me the run, get some
- 28:37pressure early, how much does that swing the pendulum into their favor? And
- 28:41then can they get the Josh Allen who missus Reed's makes poor decisions, doesn't
- 28:45pull the trigger, poor ball placement or you know how much off platform,
- 28:49poor mechanic Josh do we get and how many completions and amazing throws does he
- 28:55make versus throwing it into a bad spot and somebody's taken advantage of it,
- 28:57and yet to your point, bit to mine as well, then you're playing
- 29:00into that Steeler's hand and you're playing that Steeler football that they want to force
- 29:06you to live and die with. It's a good segue into my second variable.
- 29:11This isn't necessarily a matchup, but this will be a variable of the
- 29:12game as we're trying to consider what the key elements are for this game,
- 29:18and it is that Steeler script, and that Steeler script is really about takeaways
- 29:25and giveaways. Pittsburgh. You're not going to look at this team up and
- 29:29down and be like impressed with how good their offense ranks or how good their
- 29:33defense ranks. But there is a certain area where that they do exceed.
- 29:37They don't give away the football, and they take it away a lot.
- 29:41Pittsburgh has the second fewest giveaways this season with sixteen. They have the second
- 29:47best turnover differential in the NFL at plus eleven. And they didn't get here
- 29:52because their quarterbacks are amazing, they've been through three of them. They didn't
- 29:55get here because their offense is amazing. Like they were celebrating scoring thirty points
- 29:59for the first time in like one hundred years, right like this is this
- 30:02has been a real like like it's it's not a high flying football operation,
- 30:07but they're here. They're ten and seven, they won their last three and
- 30:11they were six and three at one point with Kenny Pickett like literally just not
- 30:15being able to He was like JP Losman Kenny Pickett where he just couldn't hit
- 30:18like throws that are five yards in front of him. Was embarrassing. But
- 30:21they're winning football games because they give themselves a chance, because they don't turn
- 30:25it over and they take it away, right, Like that's for the NFL.
- 30:27We get so interested in like dynamic players and in physical traits and dude,
- 30:33I love all of that, but you want to give yourself a chance
- 30:37to win every game. Don't turn it over and take it away from your
- 30:40opponent. And that's what the Pittsburgh Steelers have done. That is the Steelers
- 30:42way right now. And on top of that, they don't commit penalties.
- 30:45They have eighty five penalties this year, six fewists in the NFL. So
- 30:48they have a simple formula where they invite you to beat yourself and guess what
- 30:53the Buffalo Bills are happy to do from time to time beat themselves and so
- 30:57you can't fall into the Steeler script. You can't live in this world like
- 31:03you What was the percentages with the Chargers game? The Bills were with a
- 31:07minus three and turnovers in that game that was three to nothing if I'm not
- 31:10mistaken, was it? Was it like a less than ten percent of the
- 31:12teams in the history of the NFL win games with that type of turnover differential.
- 31:18You can't do it again. If you have a three to zero turnover
- 31:21differential in favor of you, you have a ninety point seven chance of winning.
- 31:26So yeah, basically, don't fall into that script. And so what
- 31:30was that? There was a Ken Dorsey quote that I actually kind of like
- 31:32you used to always say, uh smart not conservative, right, Yes,
- 31:37you got like good, it's a good mindset, right, Like you've got
- 31:41to be aggressive, you got to go make plays, but you can't give
- 31:45away the football. And like, this is the type of game where you
- 31:48have to be willing to say drives at ending kicks are okay, it's gonna
- 31:52be okay, right, Like you're gonna have another possession. And so this
- 31:56isn't a try to do everything on every single drive just play the damn game
- 31:59and don't fall into the script. I love that point, and so my
- 32:04third one it ties right into that. My third one, I gave it.
- 32:07Your point is one of the sub points in my point here, which
- 32:12is make Mason Rudolph beat you. And one of those points is, yeah,
- 32:15don't turn the ball over. Do not fall into that Steeler game plan
- 32:19where you're slugging it out with this team. You should not be slugging it
- 32:22out with. Part of that again connects into the Josh Allen piece. You
- 32:25don't need to be a hero in this game. It's okay to have like
- 32:29a third and six and not like something and be like, all right,
- 32:30cool, let me throw it away and live to fight another day. I
- 32:32do not care if the Bills win this game by fifty or they win it
- 32:37by five. The dub is the dub survive in advance. It does not
- 32:40matter how No one's going to if the Bills win the Super Bowl this year.
- 32:44No one's going to look back and be like, remember when they only
- 32:46beat the Steelers like fourteen to nine. No no one's gonna care, you
- 32:50know why, because they won the Super Bowl. And that's all that matters.
- 32:52At the end of the day. And so I love that point,
- 32:54like not falling into that Steeler game plan, and for me, that ties
- 32:57into the bigger piece of making Mason Rudolph beat you again. That's the overarching
- 33:01theme, but it's made up of these subplots. And make him go through
- 33:07his progressions, make him make tight window throws, limit chunk plays. Don't
- 33:12let the Steeler run game get going. That's part of it too. They'll
- 33:15get turnovers on defense. Slug it out with you, They'll give it to
- 33:17Naji Harris and Jalen Warren or when they used to do it for forever with
- 33:21like every single with the Willie Parkers of the world and Rashard Mendenhall's of the
- 33:24world playing that Steeler ball. Don't let them get the run game going.
- 33:28Don't get gashed on screens. Change the pre to post snap picture on Mason
- 33:31Rudolph on the back end, but also with your fronts. I want to
- 33:35see simulated pressures and creepers dictating protection pre snap by putting guys on the line,
- 33:39covering up that center. See if you can get some five to zero
- 33:43protection from the Steelers and play games with them, challenge their wide receivers at
- 33:47the line of scrimmage and again, don't give the ball away. On offense,
- 33:52they need to make Mason Rudolph show he can consistently read the defense pre
- 33:57to post snap, make him diagnose pressure, hit his hots. Put the
- 34:00onus on him to beat you. The only way the Bills should lose this
- 34:04game. They shouldn't, but if they should, it's because Mason Rudolph put
- 34:08on some masterclass and you tip your cap to Mason rudolphus say, hey,
- 34:12good job. I don't want to see one of those games where yeah,
- 34:15the Bills turned it over three or four times and Mason Rudolph was ten to
- 34:20twenty one for ninety three yards and two touchdowns. Or he dumps it down
- 34:24to Jalen Warren on a screen and Jalen Warren takes it fifty five yards for
- 34:28a huge chunk play. Or he completes a little drag or seven yard slam
- 34:31or something to George Pickens and you're you miss attack, or you're off on
- 34:35your angle and Pickens house. Is it none of the easy plays for the
- 34:38Steelers offense because despite the fact that Rudolph has been better these past several weeks,
- 34:44like he's got a good QB rating, he's got a good complete percentage
- 34:46over expected. He's doing decent from an overall standpoint, especially considering to your
- 34:51point, like what they had gotten earlier in the year, which was not
- 34:53great stuff from Mitch Trubisky and also not great stuff out of Kenny Pickett.
- 34:57It's very telling that Pickett is available for this game and Mike Tomlin is you
- 35:00know, quote unquote riding the hot hand and going with Mason Rudolph, which
- 35:05no disrespect to Mason Rudolph, but if Mason Rudolph is your hot hand or
- 35:07the hot hand that you're riding, it tells you something about the quarterback room
- 35:12on your team. He has to be the one to beat them in this
- 35:15game. And that's why I think it goes really in lockstep, you know,
- 35:17with your idea of not getting sucked into that Steeler like game plan.
- 35:21Don't turn the ball over, don't think you have to get everything on one
- 35:23play, don't think every single play has to be a home run shot on
- 35:28either side of the ball. You are the better football team from an on
- 35:30the field standpoint, and as much as scheme and structure matters so much,
- 35:35and you can win with scheme instructure, but you can also win with talent.
- 35:37And at the end of the day, a lot of football just comes
- 35:40down to which guy is better than the other guy, which team has better
- 35:44players than the other team. The Bills have that advantage from an on the
- 35:46field roster on paper talent perspective. Lean into that play within yourselves from a
- 35:52scheme instructure standpoint, but the advantages with you do not let yourself get sucked
- 35:57into that game plan that you have against lower tier teams this year like the
- 36:01Patriots, like the Broncos. Don't get caught playing into that lower quality type
- 36:06of football game, especially against a team like you said that is very adept
- 36:10at sucking teams into that black hole of making them play there that game.
- 36:15The only way this game gets away from the Bills is if they make life
- 36:19easy for Mason Rudolph and like the run games cooking, or they start with
- 36:23multiple drives like Inside the Buffalo forty because the Bills are turning the ball over.
- 36:28You don't have to get cute, just don't get sloppy, play mistake
- 36:30free, sound technical football, and you come away with the victory in this
- 36:34game. I really agree with that and Actually, my last point is about
- 36:37Mason Rudolph as well. And I like your angle of making Mason Rudolph beat
- 36:44you and that dynamic. I think that's really good. What I want to
- 36:47lean into from my Mason Rudolph angle is the Sean McDermott versus Mason Rudolph dynamic.
- 36:55And you know this team was sparked by Mason Rudolph. They were and
- 37:00seven, We're all nervous, Mike Damn Towin's gonna have a losing season.
- 37:04Well, Mason Rudolph comes in. They win three in a row. And
- 37:06in those first two games they score thirty four points against Cincinnati, they scored
- 37:09thirty in Seattle, and then of course the last game was the Ravens game
- 37:14in Baltimore. That was like just raining the whole time. They scored seventeen
- 37:17points. But offensively, Mason Rudolph gave this team two of its best performances
- 37:22in years. And he's really sparked this football team. And I don't think
- 37:28much of Mason Rudolph. I don't, right I think he's a backup quarterback
- 37:30in the NFL. But for this team right now, he's given them a
- 37:35spark and I think part of that is his skill set in terms of what's
- 37:37the what is he what did he do with Oklahoma State? He threw routes
- 37:42on the on the line you're playing, and he's got a good linear playing
- 37:45receiver in George Pickens. It kind of works, right, and so that's
- 37:49that's kind of what's what's happened, and that's not what Traviisky or Pickt is
- 37:52and so that that's part of what has worked for them. And he kind
- 37:58of went up against a couple of bad defenses and Cincinnati and Seattle. But
- 38:02the Sean McDermott dynamic, you know it. Sean mcdermot's in his bag right
- 38:07now, dude. He is coaching his ass off. Over this five game
- 38:12win streak for the Buffalo Bills, opponents are averaging sixteen point eight points per
- 38:16game two hundred and seventy seven total yards per game. They face Kansas City,
- 38:21Dallas, and Miami, three of the better off two I mean Dallas
- 38:24in Miami, you're really your top two scoring offense in the NFL. Held
- 38:27them all under twenty points. You've held four of your last excuse me,
- 38:31your last four and seven of your last eight opponents under two hundred passing yards.
- 38:37All right, like Sean is dialing it up, Keep it up,
- 38:42keep it up, right. I mean, this is Mason Rudolph at your
- 38:44place in the playoffs. I'm surely Mason Rudolf hasn't started a playoff game that
- 38:49matters, right he's I mean, yeah, he's played the last three,
- 38:51but a playoff football is different. Josh Allen has plenty of experience doing that,
- 38:54at least two playoff starts in each of the last three seasons. So
- 39:00it's riding the hot hand of this defense, and yet there could be some
- 39:02short handedness. You're probably not gonna have Dots in this week. You're probably
- 39:07not gonna have Russeill Douglas, but you do have Dan Jackson, who's played
- 39:10a lot of football for you. Was great against Miami Dolphins last week.
- 39:14I mean huge, like game ceiling plays in that second half there to end
- 39:19those drives. I mean the Dolphins five possession seventeen plays. Dame Jackson was
- 39:25the reason that two of those drives ended with the pass break up in the
- 39:28middle of the field against Edric Wilson and then that tackle against Dane Jackson,
- 39:30Like those were the drive endors. Why didn't they have more production in the
- 39:34second half. Well, it's because Dane Jackson ended drives. So I feel
- 39:39a little bit comfortable there. I thought Balen Specter kind of held his own,
- 39:42filling in for a Tyrell Dotson. Like the big thing for me with
- 39:45Balen was that his head wasn't spinning. He did his one eleventh. He
- 39:47was fine against the defense, or me against the Miami offense. That puts
- 39:52a lot of stress on you as a linebacker with all their motions and how
- 39:55they flood zones. And he held his own And that gives me a level
- 39:59of couragement compared to like Dorian Williams, who's fast and physical, but he
- 40:02makes a whole lot of full speed mistakes. You know, you can't you
- 40:06can't even die with that. The Patriots knew it, man. The Patriots
- 40:07saw Dorian Williams out there and that start and said, as long as he's
- 40:10out there, you are not gonna stop us. The Giants did it too.
- 40:14The Giants are just like, where's Dorian, We're just gonna mislead him
- 40:15in attack. He was the where's Waldough? Right? He just was.
- 40:19It's unfortunate, and so so with Specter, I think he'd gold his out
- 40:22a little bit better in that capacity. So yeah, you might be a
- 40:24little bit short handed, but stay in your bag, Sean McDermott. You've
- 40:29been limiting Dak Prescott Intua. Who's might Those are the statistically the best two
- 40:32quarterbacks in the league this year, right Like you held them both under two
- 40:36hundred yards passing. Uh, you know, so keep it up, man,
- 40:39Like, lean into this hot hand that you have defensively, and damn
- 40:45it if Mason Rudolph goes into Orchard Park and beat you in the playoffs,
- 40:50I don't know what to say, you know, Like that's gonna be a
- 40:52tough pill to swallow. This defense is hot, Let it stay hot.
- 40:55I love that, and he's done such a good job. You and I
- 41:00talked about it the second time I was on Lockdown Bills with you. I
- 41:06think the first time we talk about twelve personnel and Kinkaid and stuff. In
- 41:07the second time, yeah, we talked about Bills defense under McDermott, and
- 41:10part of the things we talked about were, you know, him getting into
- 41:14a little bit of that Carolina Sean McDermott. And we've seen that more down
- 41:16the stretch, like even just the simple cross dog blitz that he's bringing with
- 41:21Bernard and Dotson, like those were Carolina staples with Keith Ley and Thomas Davis,
- 41:24and he starting to incorporate that more. I like how he's using We're
- 41:28seeing more tight front we're seeing more odd fronts overall. He's covering up centers
- 41:32and he's mugging gaps and he's dictating protection. We're not just seeing the same
- 41:37old four to three over front knowing what coverage is going to be behind,
- 41:39you know, playing I never thought how much two man I would see the
- 41:44Bills playing lo and behold here they are playing it on the last drive.
- 41:47Yeah, I love it. And it fits too with how big and strong
- 41:52Benford is, similar to with what Rasoul Douglas is, but also Dan Jackson's
- 41:55skill set, like he's not the most athletics. So let them get up
- 41:58into dude's faces, get into their ca reroute them. You know, Taylor
- 42:01rappints interception with the Bills playing two man, They're varying coverages. He's he's
- 42:06done so many cool things this year, playing Tampa to Robber where you know
- 42:09he's got you know, a split hot or it might have a single high
- 42:13look or a two high look pre snap and he's spinning a safety down to
- 42:15be the robber, and that he's dropping Tarren Johnson is one of the split
- 42:17field safeties like he's really especially down the stretch, started to add more a
- 42:24little bit of like a mad scientist type feel to the defense because they haven't
- 42:29had you know, Trey White is out, Matt Mulano is out, Daiquon
- 42:32Jones was out for a while, and then even in this past game,
- 42:36you know, you talk about that second half performance against Miami. Five drives
- 42:39forty seven yards, three three and outs, four punts, one interception,
- 42:45seven total minutes of possession for the Miami Dolphins offense. And I know Jalen
- 42:50Waddle being out hurts them where he moster being out hurts them. Maybe Tybreek
- 42:53Hill is still kind of banged up. They got injuries on the offensive line.
- 42:57The Bills have a ton of injuries on defense as well, and that
- 43:00entire second half performance came without Tyrell Dodson and without Rasoul Douglas. To your
- 43:05points, that's why we saw Dan Jackson, that's why we saw Baile inspector
- 43:07and for him to do that against honestly, like I know nobody wants to
- 43:12give Miami credit for everything. I caught a whole bunch of flak from the
- 43:15live chat on this show last week because I was talking about how I thought
- 43:17Devin Hang was great and talking about how wild his numbers were this year.
- 43:22But Mike McDaniel's a real quality schemer and designer on the offensive side of the
- 43:25ball, and Sean McDermott out schemed him, out coached him, and he
- 43:30did it while missing critical pieces and multiple levels of the defense. And yeah,
- 43:35even the Spector piece. I love that from you. You know,
- 43:37I'm gonna give kudos to McDermott. Also to Bobby Babbage. I was very
- 43:40worried, especially I think it was maybe his first full drive or second full
- 43:45drive. At the end of the first half, Miami runs that their RPO
- 43:49seam wheel flat combination and they suck up Bailen Spector and they hit it right
- 43:53behind him. And as soon as the play has done, Bernard is giving
- 43:55him hand gesterures and the body language indicates like, yo, bro, don't
- 44:00do that, you need to do this instead, and they're communicating, and
- 44:01my thought was, are they just gonna attack Bailee Inspector and put him in
- 44:07hell and make him have to live and die mentally, And that's one that's
- 44:09not what happened. And I think it's a credit to Bobby Babbage coaching him
- 44:13up McDermott, using him in a way that wouldn't make his head spin,
- 44:15and being able to stay in an advantageous situations with the defense so they could
- 44:21stay in those dime linebacker looks and bring in Poyer for Spector and then have
- 44:24rap and hide on the back end. Yeah, he's just been Ever since
- 44:28that Philly game when he kind of choked things away in the second half,
- 44:30this defense has been rolling well. I think an important note on Bailenspector this
- 44:35week is there's a big difference in preparing all week to be a starter,
- 44:40good point, and then all of a sudden having to go into a game.
- 44:43You think Baile Inspector got a single first team rep in practice this past
- 44:46week in preparation for the Miami Dolphins. Not a single one, right,
- 44:51and so he had to do all this play literally half the game, like
- 44:54without a first team rep. To go in there and do it like that'll
- 44:58be different. They're gonna know that this week that he's going to be their
- 45:00starter, and he's gonna get every first team rep and prepare to start the
- 45:04game right. And I think that's gonna be a big, big difference where
- 45:07you know, he wasn't the slug this past week under those circumstances, it
- 45:12should be better this week. That's a great point. Yeah, he's They're
- 45:14gonna coach him up all week. He's gonna be getting stuff from Bernard and
- 45:16the rest of the defense, especially from like a coverage standpoint in terms of
- 45:20here's what we do with this and really getting him on point. I'm a
- 45:23little less concerned with him from a run standpoint. He flashed a bit in
- 45:28this game against Miami, and you know, I think that's more of a
- 45:30natural feel for him, given what he did at Clemson. In that type
- 45:34of role, obviously, you still have to have, you know, the
- 45:36the proper run fits and so on and so forth and diagnosing, but this
- 45:39game striped against Pittsburgh also kind of helps him get acclimated a little bit.
- 45:44In addition to that, you have an entire full week of practice out they're
- 45:49coming out and playing some pass heavy spread team that's going to try and put
- 45:52him into hell and make him. You know, have to live and die
- 45:54on every single play. So that's a good point as well. My last
- 45:58point to kind of tie it all together, I'm wondering which pass catcher or
- 46:01pass catchers produce for the Buffalo Bills offense. Looking at the Steelers defense and
- 46:07their ranks versus specific positions from a debailway perspective, they're eighth versus wide receiver
- 46:13ones. They're eleventh versus wide receiver twos, they're twenty seventh versus wide receiver
- 46:17threes, they're sixth versus tight ends, and thirteenth versus running backs. The
- 46:22disconnect between Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs has been talked about for a heavy majority
- 46:27of the back end of this season, although you know, and I broke
- 46:30down a bunch of it with Eric in the film room last week. If
- 46:32Allen just completes a couple, like literally two or three of these deep balls
- 46:37to Digs down the stretch here throughout the season, these numbers look completely different,
- 46:39and a lot of this conversation isn't happening. But to the point,
- 46:44Diggs has struggled, especially since Joe Brady took over as offensive coordinated but we
- 46:47saw them get back on track a bit versus Miami. We saw that deep
- 46:51ball completion after missing one earlier. We saw there's been the you know,
- 46:55the clips from NFL films of them Viben on the sideline and Digs talking to
- 46:59all and looks like they're you know, I don't think their relationship was ever
- 47:01in doubt, but the on the field chemistry piece wasn't up to snuff like
- 47:06we had seen prior in prior years. Does that type of disconnect continue in
- 47:09this game or do they get a bit back on track? And how many
- 47:14resources do the Steelers have to allocate in order to limit Stefan Diggs. A
- 47:19lot of the limitations for him down this stretch hasn't been anything, you know,
- 47:23otherworldly from defenses. It's not teams going with these crazy brackets or a
- 47:28lot of these double teams. You're seeing that here and there, especially from
- 47:30the Patriots. But a lot of teams are just taking their corner and lining
- 47:34them up inside with inside leverage and taking away like the easy dunk and dunk
- 47:37stuff that Allen loves to live with, and then changing some things on second
- 47:40down because they treat second down like third down, and so if they do
- 47:44take digs away and if Gave Davis is out, I know where this might
- 47:47go for some people in the chat. I don't want to hear everybody starts
- 47:50saying, well, Gabe Davis sucks anyway, and he's terrible, YadA YadA.
- 47:52He does more than you realize. Especially you know again, I know
- 47:55this isn't sexy, but as a blocker in the run game or in the
- 47:59past game, he was the reason, part of the reason that Shakir busted
- 48:01off that big run after catch in this past game against Miami. But he
- 48:06pulls coverages more often than not as that clear out route runner and that person
- 48:12in this offense. It's part of the reason why his yards per route run
- 48:15aren't necessarily there, because he's doing all those dirty work pieces. But all
- 48:19that being said, yeah, who produces in this game? And I'm wondering
- 48:23based on those numbers for the Steelers and again wide receiver one, two or
- 48:28three. That data comes from FTN Fantasy where Aaron Schatz works now as he
- 48:32brought his Dboa model over there after things with football outsiders on ferry sideways,
- 48:37some of that in terms of who's a one to two three is somewhat subjective,
- 48:39but I'm wondering if this is a Khalios Shakir game, especially with how
- 48:43the Steelers are built and some of the wild numbers he's put together targets and
- 48:47sample size will skew things a little bit here. But out of one hundred
- 48:52and ninety seven qualifying pass catchers on the year, wide receivers, running backs,
- 48:55tight ends, Khalios Shakir leads the NFL at EPA per target at zero
- 49:00point eight seven. Brandon Aiyuk is second at zero point six to three,
- 49:06and Nico Collins and Khalif Raymond are tied for third at zero point five to
- 49:09five. Breaking it down even further into just the bills EPA per target for
- 49:15bills, wide receivers and tight ends on the year, Shakira's first at zero
- 49:19point eight seven on forty five targets. Deontay Hardy zero point two to two
- 49:22on twenty one targets, Gabe Davis zero point one seven on seventy nine targets,
- 49:28Digs at zero point one two on one hundred and sixty one targets.
- 49:31Kinkaid is barely above zero at zero point zero two on ninety two targets.
- 49:37Trent Sherfield negative zero point two to four on twenty two targets and Dawson Knox
- 49:42negative zero point three to nine on thirty five targets. Based on how things
- 49:45shape up the Steelers despite not having strong linebackers. Again, they're six versus
- 49:50tight ends, they've done well in that regard, but being twenty seven versus
- 49:52wide receiver threes and thirteen versus running backs, do we see Granted, maybe
- 49:58the weather'll player role here too, but do we see more of the running
- 50:00backs involved in the pass game, which is a specialty of Joe Brady?
- 50:04Is this more of a James Cook and the receiving aspect type of game?
- 50:07Do we see any checkdowns or anything for Leonard Fournette? And then, yeah,
- 50:09that wide receiver piece, who is it? I do think the Bills
- 50:13have the advantage from athleticism standpoint with the tight ends versus the second level of
- 50:16the Steelers defense, although you know, Minka Fitzpatrick being back and what they
- 50:21do with him does potentially throw a wrench into those plans and he's a significant
- 50:23reason why they are so good against tight ends. But who is that pass
- 50:28catcher for the Buffalo Bills? Who's option number? One who produce. Who's
- 50:31to consistent go to for Josh Allen because he's had to find different players in
- 50:36different games down the stretch, especially with you know, him going to dig
- 50:38struggling a little bit, and for a defense that again wants to force you
- 50:44into play a certain way. And if they bring the house, if they
- 50:46blitz, if they're playing man coverage and doing all these things, who does
- 50:50he trust to consistently beat coverage, be on the same page as him and
- 50:52bail him out of situations. And it could be the person producing overall from
- 50:57a volume standpoint, but even more so situationally, who's he going to in
- 51:00the low red zone if it's not schemed up, Who's he going to on
- 51:02third down? Who produces and provides that outlet in that easy button for Josh
- 51:07Allen, hopefully the open guy. It's all to the open guy, you
- 51:13know, I think that's what he should do. Yeah, I think that's
- 51:15a good call out. And what I like about this Bills team is that
- 51:20I feel pretty good about the depth of playmakers right where where. Yeah,
- 51:23maybe it's Digs, maybe it's Shakir, maybe it's Kincay, maybe it's James
- 51:27Cook, Right like there's options. Dawson Knox still plays for this football team,
- 51:30you know, like there's there's people out there that can make these plays,
- 51:34and I think you'll get a feel early in the game for how that's
- 51:40gonna go. I really can appreciate this past week against Miami how it felt
- 51:46like Fangio was more intentional about scheming for James Cook in the passing game,
- 51:52and I felt like that really lifted a lot of coverage from the middle of
- 51:55the field, which Josh was what seventeen to twenty one to the middle of
- 52:00the field in this game, which was like pretty pretty high compared to where
- 52:04he's been all year. And I thought a lot of that had to do
- 52:06with some of that, at least with James Cook and some of the attention
- 52:09that they gave their right. You can't spy Josh Allen play man coverage against
- 52:15the running back, you know, like and have a middle zone defender Like
- 52:19it's hard, yeah, And so I think you make them respect those running
- 52:22backs, and if they do, you work the middle of the field,
- 52:25and if they don't, you get these running backs going, and that should
- 52:29open up things. Like I think that was a big X factor in how
- 52:32the offense opened up in the passing game was I felt like there was more
- 52:36attention placed on the running backs and Josh was able to take advantage of that.
- 52:40I think that's a good point, and I wonder how much again that
- 52:45correlates with their success or lack of success running the ball potentially versus the Pittsburgh
- 52:51Steelers. The Bills have been one of the best running teams on the entirety
- 52:54of the year, and I'm talking the Josh Allen run game is a fun
- 52:58piece as well, both in designed and with scrambles, but just from running
- 53:00back carries. They've been consistently top five in epay per attempt all year.
- 53:06It's been them in Philly and Baltimore and Miami. Miami really because of you
- 53:09know most it's been doing well, but A Chang's just been killing it.
- 53:13Like They've been a good running football team. And they've got three legitimate concepts
- 53:16that they can work with. They love running that tackle wrap, that dart
- 53:19play, they can run duo, they can run that mid zone. Can
- 53:22they control the line of scrimmage enough versus that Steelers front that especially that Steelers
- 53:27defensive line, and we know again part of that Steelers script and that Mike
- 53:30Tomlin's script is you don't run the ball on them, like they will not
- 53:34let you run the ball. And to your point earlier, like we've seen
- 53:37and heard other coaches be like, yeah, we want to force Josh Allen
- 53:39to put the cape on and when they've struggled to run the ball this year,
- 53:45the offense has been more sluggish than not. And do we see Joe
- 53:49Brady tie in some more play action this week if they can get the run
- 53:52game going or if they can't, just what are those outlets? What are
- 53:55those release points, those safety valves, those breathe easy moments or Josh Allen,
- 54:00how do they come if that running game can't get going, which I
- 54:04really think the Steelers are gonna try and limit and try and stifle and try
- 54:06and snuff out. Oh man, this is I'm very excited, but very
- 54:09nervous, as I think everybody should be in every single playoff week. It's
- 54:13here and after you know you said it earlier, the Bills are sitting there.
- 54:16If you would really at any point like Ben like all my bills are
- 54:20gonna come back on the AFC East, like people are looking at the numbers
- 54:22and then from the emotion standpoint, just sitting there thinking, no, man,
- 54:24this team's kind of like dead in the water. And for them too,
- 54:28it hasn't been the prettiest for the entirety of the year, even down
- 54:30this stretch when they're winning these games. But they're battle tested. They've grinded
- 54:35games out. And the Steelers, as unsexy as they are, they're battle
- 54:39tested too. And they're coming into this game not caring that they're the underdog.
- 54:44They're not seeing that double digit, you know, points spread in favor
- 54:46of the Buffalo Bills. They are coming in thinking they are the Pittsburgh Steelers.
- 54:51They're gonna play fast, they're gonna play physical, they're gonna play angry,
- 54:53and we'll see what happens in this game. Joe, I appreciate the
- 54:57hell out of you for joining me tonight and riding with me episode of disguised
- 55:00coverage. I'm pretty sure everyone knows who we are and what you do,
- 55:04but just in case they do not, the floor is yours. Tell everybody
- 55:07where they can find your work, everything you do, whatever you got,
- 55:08go for it. Yeah, I appreciate it. My dude, Joe Marino
- 55:12follow me on X are we doing this? Are we saying X yet or
- 55:15you can say in Twitter. I'm saying Twitter. That was the first time
- 55:17that I said X, And then I find out that you still say Twitter.
- 55:21So I'll go over there and it just sounds weird, like I don't
- 55:23like it at the Joe Marino Locked on Bills is the daily podcast and the
- 55:29Buffalo Bills free and available on all platforms, and of course the Locked on
- 55:32NFL Scouting podcast also daily. We talk about team building, right, that's
- 55:37kind of our theme there, so two daily podcasts. Try to tweet from
- 55:40time to time. Love talking to Bills mafia, and thanks for having me,
- 55:44Anthony. You are one of the best Joe for anything and everything Buffalo
- 55:47Bills and then especially come off season time and draft content and player evaluation and
- 55:52fits and all that stuff. So I respect your work and all the different
- 55:54arenas that you exist in and live in. Again, thank you very much
- 55:58for taking the time to join me. Enjoy the rest of your Tuesday,
- 56:00Enjoy the rest of your week. I'll sure, I'm sure I'll see you
- 56:02around on Twitter and God speed man. Thank you again. Thanks dude,
- 56:06Go Bills, Go Bills. Joe Marino, carl I see your super chat.
- 56:10I'm gonna pull that up in a minute as we start to shift focuses
- 56:15here. Also see Nicki's comments saying, oh, I missed it. That's
- 56:19fine, We're still rolling here on this show, Nikki, and then when
- 56:22the show is done, you can go back and see the parts with Joe
- 56:24again. I appreciate him taking the time to join me, especially on a
- 56:28night where, like I mentioned in the intro, I am sick and I
- 56:30am not feeling good. So I'm glad I had somebody who I could,
- 56:34you know, if necessary, could kind of give the reins too. I
- 56:37was super afraid that I was going to hit a coughing fit or just a
- 56:39moment where I had to switch the camera off. But you know, I'm
- 56:44powering through, and I think a lot of that was the confidence in Joe
- 56:45knowing that he was my right hand in this episode. Let's pull this comment
- 56:50from Carl. Also, I got a bunch of other comments that I've been
- 56:52keeping an eye on, So any questions, thoughts, comments, concerns.
- 56:55Of course, now I'm going to start to cough when Joe's not here because
- 56:59I'm gonna have to talk more. Of course, any questions, thoughts,
- 57:01comments, concerns, anything and everything that you folks have, something about the
- 57:05Dolphins game, something about the Bills, something about this game against the Steelers,
- 57:07anything and everything, start to throw it up into the chat. We're
- 57:10gonna do a whole live chat and engagement piece towards the back end of this
- 57:15episode. Again, it's playoff time, and I love to make the show
- 57:17as engaging and as interactive as possible. So you know, with this playoffs
- 57:22here and I know there's a lot of emotion, a lot of thoughts,
- 57:24comments, questions, and concerns. Figure we'll roll with that for the back
- 57:27half of this episode. Bring up the super chat here from Carl again,
- 57:30Carl, I appreciate you being here and is always you know, your generosity
- 57:34with the super chat, So thank you very much. Carl says, besides
- 57:37a Bill Bill's win, the one thing that I really want to see is
- 57:40for Josh to drop it right into the bread basket to Diggs when he has
- 57:45his man beaten. Yeah. He we talked about it earlier in the episode,
- 57:49that off platform throw against the Blitz drops it literally right into Diggs's hands,
- 57:55like you couldn't have placed it any better, and Digs to his credit
- 57:59makes a beautiful sliding catch, the balls around his knees, slides, keeps
- 58:04his hand underneath it. It's a gorgeous catch. Earlier he had missed a
- 58:07deep shot that Digs. So much of this digs in Allen conversation, you
- 58:10know, in terms of their disconnect and the numbers not being there and the
- 58:14stats not being there, so on and so forth, So much of it
- 58:15changes. Like I mentioned earlier, if he just hits literally one of these
- 58:20more a game, or two of these total, or three of these total,
- 58:22the numbers changed significantly for Allen four digs, And honestly, some of
- 58:27the games change that Patriot, that first Patriots game, if he hits Digs
- 58:30on a deep shot, changes the outcome of that game. If he doesn't
- 58:32underthrow Digs on the one ball against Jacksonville and doesn't overthrow him on the other,
- 58:37or actually under throw them on both, one leading into an interception,
- 58:42one to the leading like a fifty yard catch where Digs got stopped in midfield,
- 58:44maybe that game against Jacksonville is a little different. There's such a fine
- 58:49and small margin for error when you go deep. It's a lower percentage throw.
- 58:52That's why it's high risk. Ky reward like you can get a fifty
- 58:55yard chunk play or you're sitting there at an incompletion like it's harder to get
- 58:59balls leaded down the field. And Allen has not been as sharp this year
- 59:02when it comes to those deep balls. Where are my numbers? Let's pull
- 59:07it up here. So yeah, so Josh Allen's numbers are down this year
- 59:12on throws of twenty yards. We're seeing him struggle with the deep ball again,
- 59:15especially just Stefan Diggs until he isn't like he did against Miami. But
- 59:19Allen on throws of twenty yards or more this year has a passer rating of
- 59:23seventy five point one. Last year he had a rating of ninety seven point
- 59:27four and the year before he had a rating of one sixteen point four.
- 59:30And then if we're looking at his total EPA on throws of twenty or more
- 59:35yards, this is his lowest since twenty nineteen and twenty nineteen, his EPA
- 59:38on throws of twenty or more was negative five point seven to two twenty twenty.
- 59:44You know that offseason he gets into the lab, he's working with Jordan
- 59:46Palmer doing all this stuff. Twenty twenty EPA of twenty six point twenty seven,
- 59:51twenty twenty one, thirty three point eight two last year, and EPA
- 59:54of thirty one point five to one this year and EPA of eleven point twenty
- 59:59four on those deep balls again, throws of twenty or more yards. We're
- 1:00:01just seeing those little inconsistencies from Josh Allen this year, just those again,
- 1:00:09those slight misses here or there. He just hasn't been He just hasn't had
- 1:00:13that overall sharpness to his game this year. And I don't think he's always
- 1:00:15the sharpest guy again with a lot of what he does, and we talked
- 1:00:20about it earlier, so much what Alan does is or are those high variance
- 1:00:24plays like he makes a horrible and completion, or he makes an interception,
- 1:00:28he makes a stupid throw and then he pulls off a throw that only like
- 1:00:30three quarterbacks on the planet can make, or he scrambles for thirty something yards
- 1:00:36and he ran through a defensive tackle and stiff armed a linebacker and juked out
- 1:00:39a corner and just does all the nonsense that a unicorn can do. But
- 1:00:44we're just seeing, we're just seeing that lack of sharpness, and I think
- 1:00:47you're seeing it overall, and Allen's game this year really from a mental standpoint,
- 1:00:51I don't know if he's not seeing the game as well or he's in
- 1:00:53his own head, and that's part of the reason why he's not pulling the
- 1:00:57trigger on some open guys. But that overall lack of sharpness, granted,
- 1:01:00we are seeing it from an overall standpoint, but I really think it's being
- 1:01:04reflected in the deep ball. You know, his mechanics and his footwork aren't
- 1:01:07what they have been the past several years. Whether or not it's, you
- 1:01:10know, due to the work that he's doing in the off season or not
- 1:01:13doing in the off season, don't know, can't say. But when you
- 1:01:16have those deep balls, those throws again our lower probability. They are harder,
- 1:01:22and when you are off platform, or your arm angle isn't right,
- 1:01:24or your motion or your torso or your shoulders aren't pointed in the right direction,
- 1:01:28you don't get the right body position, it's easier for those throws to
- 1:01:31go awry because again they are further downfield, they are harder to complete.
- 1:01:36And that's why again my first point, you know in this matchup was,
- 1:01:39you know, the yin and yang of Josh Allen and kind of Josh Allen
- 1:01:43versus himself. How does he do? Does he Do we see that error
- 1:01:49prone, inconsistent Josh Allen that is all over the place and is inefficient and
- 1:01:53kind of kills himself and kills the team. Or do we see the high,
- 1:01:59the successful, you know, more reward than risk type of Josh Allen,
- 1:02:01the Yang version of Josh Allen. Or do we just see enough positivity
- 1:02:06that it drowns out or outweighs the negative like we did against the Chargers,
- 1:02:08like we did against the Patriots, like we did this past week against the
- 1:02:13Miami Dolphins. And that's honestly gonna be like a matchup piece every single week.
- 1:02:16What version of Josh Allen do you get? I don't think anyone knows
- 1:02:20going week to week. I don't think Alan knows, I don't think McDermott
- 1:02:22knows. I don't think Joe Brady knows. You have no idea what Josh
- 1:02:25Allen you're gonna get. And I think that's been pretty true for a majority
- 1:02:29of his career. We've just usually seen more good that's drowned out or washed
- 1:02:34over the bad. This year, we've seen more bad, whether in volume
- 1:02:37or in terms of the severity of the bad it's kind of crept into those
- 1:02:40minds a little bit more. What are we Nick coming in and saying that
- 1:02:47shoulder is bothering for the long ball? Yeah, there's the shoulder piece.
- 1:02:52Might be the finger injury too that he's had. Like there's all these little
- 1:02:55like variables and questions around Alan It's yeah, it's it's unfortunate Porte coming insaye.
- 1:03:02Does the snow benefit the Steelers? I don't know. You know,
- 1:03:07I know the Steelers want to mash the ball, But I think if the
- 1:03:10Bills know that they're gonna mash, then they can just stack the box and
- 1:03:14they'll be fine. I think with Daiquan Jones back, I think the Bills
- 1:03:16have the physicality and the guys up front to kind of control the run game
- 1:03:22and get penetration. The only way I see it helping the Steelers more than
- 1:03:25the Bills is the Bill's pass game is so much better than the Steelers and
- 1:03:30if there is snow or wind, wind is my bigger concern. But if
- 1:03:34there is snow and wind, how much does that limit the Bills passing game?
- 1:03:37That's the bigger question for me, because it'll limit both teams passing games,
- 1:03:40but the Steelers passing game is in anywhere close to what the Bills passing
- 1:03:45game is, So it would help the Steelers in that regard. I think
- 1:03:47for that piece, Cecilia is saying, all the good defensive coordinators have a
- 1:03:53play for James Cook. Yeah, they kind of need to. Now,
- 1:03:57the yardage totals that he's put up in the run, the pass, hold
- 1:04:00on. I gotta take a drinker about the cough all over myself. Oh
- 1:04:05yeah, the numbers that he's put up in the run and in the past
- 1:04:09game. And that's even with some of the drops that he's had, you
- 1:04:12know, the drop against Philly, the drop against Dallas, the drop this
- 1:04:15past week against Miami. He's really had a good season now, and I
- 1:04:20don't put any weight in the Pro Bowl, but the fact that he was
- 1:04:23voted for the Pro Bowl outright is pretty honestly pretty cool, Like for a
- 1:04:27Bill's running back, and especially one in his second year, and especially one
- 1:04:30that doesn't get a lot of touchdowns and doesn't get a lot of like the
- 1:04:32overall hype and credibility because he doesn't get those low red zone goal line touches
- 1:04:38that other running backs do so to see him produce the way he has has
- 1:04:42been a nice piece for this offense. And there was stretches for this Bills
- 1:04:45team where James Cook was the second best or best weapon for this offense after
- 1:04:51Josh Allen. Just again what he's been able to do on the ground and
- 1:04:54in the past game, Joe Brady's kind of unlocked him a little bit more.
- 1:04:59And again something that you know I predicted on the show myself and Eric
- 1:05:01talked about in the film room. Joe Brady again very adept like getting his
- 1:05:05running backs involved in the past game by design, and when I say by
- 1:05:09design, I mean having them be you know, first or second in the
- 1:05:12progression, being primary or secondary options naturally in the route distribution, not just
- 1:05:17being like okay, like you're gonna pass protect if nobody blitzes, go ahead,
- 1:05:23release and then we'll check it down to you. No, he gets
- 1:05:25his guys involved, whether it's that super mesh play that you know, mesh
- 1:05:28traffic in the low red zone or you know that slither concept that Brady likes
- 1:05:32to refer to it as where you're just kind of throwing everybody one way and
- 1:05:35having James Cook leak out back across the flow and kind of hoping the defenders
- 1:05:39get caught in the traffic, are caught in the wash. Yeah, the
- 1:05:44defenses have to account for James Cook now, which is all I ever wanted
- 1:05:48from the running back position, when you have Josh Allen, when you have
- 1:05:50Stefan Days and then the rest of the weapons that I know they could upgrade
- 1:05:55at several of the weapons from a pass catching standpoint, but they, like
- 1:05:58Joe said, like they've got good enough depth or good depth. So if
- 1:06:00you have another piece that can play in the run game or at that running
- 1:06:04back position, it just gives you another option that you have to account for.
- 1:06:08So if you're a defense, you can't just come in and holistically sell
- 1:06:11out to stop Josh Allen because you have to account for that run game.
- 1:06:15Even in this game. One of the points I was talking about, like,
- 1:06:17I do think the Steelers are gonna come out and try and make Josh
- 1:06:21Allen play hero ball and beat them. And part of the way I think
- 1:06:25they're gonna do that is by trying to take away the Bill's run game.
- 1:06:29But the difference between that this year versus years past is one it's harder to
- 1:06:33take away the Bills run game because of how good it is and how varied
- 1:06:36and multiple it can be. But also they actually have a real run game.
- 1:06:41It's not just like okay, like we can commit lighter bodies or just
- 1:06:44play like this and we can stop the run like. No, you have
- 1:06:46to genuinely scheme for the Bills run game. It's not just the thought this
- 1:06:50year. You have to spend time in the lab, on the field,
- 1:06:54in the film room, gaming and scheming against this Bill's run game. It's
- 1:06:58a very real piece. And then you have to plan for James Cook in
- 1:07:01the passing offense as well, if they split him out, if they release
- 1:07:04him out of the backfield, if teams want to play man coverage because they
- 1:07:09don't think the Bills receivers and pass catchers can separate versus man, Okay,
- 1:07:13that probably means you're getting a linebacker one on one versus James Cook. And
- 1:07:16that's big time advantage Bills because of what James Cook can do against linebackers,
- 1:07:19especially against the Steelers linebackers. Yeah, he's been a real nice surprise this
- 1:07:26year. And might I say surprise, I mean the level at which he's
- 1:07:29played at, and I think a lot of that is a testament to Joe
- 1:07:31Brady. You know, the Bill's run game has been cooking since the beginning
- 1:07:34of the year, and that's a credit to Ken Dorsey and Aaron Cromer as
- 1:07:38well. But I think what Brady did was continue that success with the run
- 1:07:42game, but also, like we talked about, just more design touches for
- 1:07:45James Cook in the pass game. Again, that's another chess piece advantage that
- 1:07:48I think I wanted to see more from Dorsey that we didn't, and Brady's
- 1:07:53been able to tap into that kind of Georgia version of James Cook this year.
- 1:08:00Elizabeth coming in and saying this game, I'm concerned about the time of
- 1:08:01possession if we have mistakes. Our rundee is better this season, obviously,
- 1:08:05especially with Day one Jones, but hoping that d can get the ball back
- 1:08:09to Josh when the Steelers pound the rock. I think that's very well said,
- 1:08:13and I think that also goes into what Joe and I were saying earlier.
- 1:08:15That's part of that Steelers game script, right, Like you you don't
- 1:08:18want the Steelers to run the ball successfully on you, because one, it
- 1:08:23just makes it easier for Mason Rudolph, And like I talked about, you,
- 1:08:26you want if you're going to lose in this game, it's because Mason
- 1:08:29Rudolph balled the f out and beat you. Like, you do not want
- 1:08:31to lose a game to the Steelers the way you lost to the Patriots in
- 1:08:35the first game, where you just allowed Matt Jones to stay in rhythm,
- 1:08:39stay on time, throw the ball short at the top of his drop,
- 1:08:42and then allow them to run the football with Ramandre Stevenson Ezekiel Elliott, Like,
- 1:08:45you do not want that to happen with the Pittsburgh Steelers. If you're
- 1:08:47going to lose to the Steelers, it's because Mason Rudolph had a game that
- 1:08:51where he kind of like planted his flag as a real quarterback in the NFL.
- 1:08:56And so that being said, you don't want the Steelers run game to
- 1:08:58get going front in that record. But also to your point here, and
- 1:09:00it's a good point. If you can run the ball, you know you're
- 1:09:03turning out yards and turning out first downs. Not only are you churning out
- 1:09:06yards and turning out first downs, you're keeping the ball away from the Bills
- 1:09:12offense the time. You know the clock isn't stopping. There's more time that's
- 1:09:15getting chewed up. It's part of the reason I've said it. I've given
- 1:09:16the example so many times in the show. Part of the reason for years,
- 1:09:19you know, with the Greg Roman offense, but even this year under
- 1:09:23Todd Munkin, why always thought the Ravens were a good foil for the Chiefs
- 1:09:26was, you know, went healthy, they had a good defense, but
- 1:09:29their style of offense allowed them to churn out yards and points while also keeping
- 1:09:33the ball away from Patrick Mahomes. And so that's a game you do not
- 1:09:36want to play with the Steelers. You don't want to you do not want
- 1:09:39to play into that Steeler ball where you are not taking up time on offense,
- 1:09:43you're turning the ball over, you're kicking, you're you're punting you know,
- 1:09:46three and outs, or you're only you know, having five plays here,
- 1:09:48six plays here, where you keep giving the ball back to Pittsburgh where
- 1:09:51it's a field position game, or you know, you're making life easy on
- 1:09:56Mason Rudolph and or limiting your own possession. So that's a very very very
- 1:09:59very good peace. Daniel coming in saying Josh's physical mechanics have gotten a bit
- 1:10:03sloppy this year. I agree, arm angled stuff, shoulder direction placement stuff,
- 1:10:11footwork, platform stuff, and again some of this is you know stuff
- 1:10:15We've seen a bunch throughout his career. You know, he makes these off
- 1:10:19platform throws. He makes these ridiculous arm angle throws. I mean, the
- 1:10:23hell the completion to digs against Miami, the nice one, the deep one
- 1:10:27is off platform, kind of falling away and he just drops it in the
- 1:10:30bucket. We've seen him do that a bunch. But it feels like this
- 1:10:31year, not even feels like this year we're seeing more errors or more misses
- 1:10:39with when those mechanics break down or when he does go for those instances and
- 1:10:42does go for those shots. We're seeing more misses than we are kind of
- 1:10:45hits like we have in the past. M mmmmm. I like this comment
- 1:10:51here from Zach of ball Trees, saying, and let the tree heal you.
- 1:10:54The tree is the giver of life. Man if if the tree could
- 1:10:57heal me from the sickness I feel right now, I wouldgree appreciated from either
- 1:11:00tree. I would take what I could get. I would take what I
- 1:11:02could get. Dan with the question here saying do you think this with the
- 1:11:05success of the offense with Sherfield and mainly Shakir, do we start to see
- 1:11:10less of game. Also, I want to see Hardy get reps. He's
- 1:11:13so fast and shifty, perfect for screens and drags. I don't think the
- 1:11:18quote unquote success of the offense this past game was necessarily because Gabe wasn't out.
- 1:11:24Even with Gabe Davis going out, like, this offense didn't really ball
- 1:11:26out against Miami, Like, yes, they played better, but they still
- 1:11:30weren't great. I know what the raw numbers were for Alan and all those
- 1:11:32pieces, but this offense still had some issues and some missteps. And Gabe
- 1:11:38again, he does the dirty work that does not get credit. And I
- 1:11:41know people don't like that answer, and then answer sucks because people see a
- 1:11:44wide receiver and they want to see catches and yards and touchdowns and big plays
- 1:11:47and all that stuff. But he's a really good blocker in the run.
- 1:11:50He's a really good blocker in the past. He opened up that run after
- 1:11:54catch for Khalil Shakir this pass game, and he does do a good job
- 1:11:57going down field clearing out space for other wide receivers. And again, as
- 1:12:01a person who watches a ton of the tape. He's open more often than
- 1:12:05he gets credit for, and he has not gotten the ball from Josh Allen
- 1:12:09this year as much as he should have. Now you could Devil's advocates say,
- 1:12:13well, Allan doesn't want to look towards him, or isn't looking towards
- 1:12:15him because he doesn't trust him, because he has had some drops, so
- 1:12:16on and so forth. But I don't think with the with the success of
- 1:12:21the offense with Sherfield and Shakiro, I don't think it means we see less
- 1:12:25of Gabe. I think Gabe Davis is still an important piece, for better
- 1:12:28or for worse of this offense. I'm not ready to input, you know,
- 1:12:32Trent Sherfield into more of a wide receiver wide receiver, you know two
- 1:12:36or three roll and limit Gabe Davis more. I do think we should see
- 1:12:41more Secure in the offense. I felt that way since last year. I
- 1:12:44wanted to see him get more of those slot wraps, more inside outside stuff,
- 1:12:48and so I do think we should continue to see more Colier secure,
- 1:12:51not just from a snap perspective, but from a target share perspective. And
- 1:12:55then as far as Deontay Hardy Yeah, I felt this way about Hardy all
- 1:12:58year. It just doesn't click. Sometimes his routes are really lazy and he's
- 1:13:01not separating as much as he should. I keep waiting for. You know,
- 1:13:06this game was awesome against Miami because he had the partner turn for a
- 1:13:09touchdown. I keep waiting for, like the big breakout game for Deontay Hardy,
- 1:13:14especially as the Bills receivers and pass catchers have had some issues separating versus
- 1:13:16man coverage. Or I keep waiting for more of a manufactured touch game or
- 1:13:23design game, you know, whether it's a screen like you said, or
- 1:13:26it's you know, some kind of reverse or pop pass or jet motion something
- 1:13:29to kind of take advantage of his speed. I keep waiting to see more
- 1:13:31of that. Maybe they've been keeping it in the vault for the playoffs.
- 1:13:35I still do like Deontay Hardy. I like this signing this offseason. I
- 1:13:39didn't think it was going to be a world beater, but I thought he
- 1:13:41would be a good piece for this offense, and we just haven't seen it
- 1:13:45this year. I would like to see more of him because I still do
- 1:13:48believe in him. But time will tell. Question here, do you have
- 1:13:53any thoughts on Dable with Wink leaving the g Men. Yeah, I keep
- 1:13:56seeing a lot of the drama and disagreement stuff between Wink and Day. I'm
- 1:14:00not too keyed into it as of now. I know a bunch of like
- 1:14:02some dudes who I really cover or that I respect to cover the Giants are
- 1:14:06kind of just being like it so like it's done with, Like it's kind
- 1:14:09of it's a dead story. Let's you know, kind of not sweep it
- 1:14:12under the rug. Woul kind of be done with it and move on from
- 1:14:14it. But I think there's a scenario where it was a frustrating year for
- 1:14:16the Giants. All the injuries, the success they had last year, the
- 1:14:19lack of success they had this year. So many things did not fall into
- 1:14:24place for them. I think it was a frustrating year overall for the entire
- 1:14:28organization. I think Dable and Wink kind of clashed and but it heads a
- 1:14:30little bit, and that's why Wink pieced out and he's gonna get another job.
- 1:14:34Like Wink is a quality defensive mind in football, He'll he'll be good.
- 1:14:45Dobbs saying, I wonder if we see more misdirection motion pitch ups to
- 1:14:47Cook to get him on the perimeter copy of Miami from Sunday. He can't
- 1:14:49drop it, though, Yeah, I wonder if we get that in the
- 1:14:51past game. I thought we ran too many tosses and pitches, mainly tosses
- 1:14:56against Miami, trying to get the edge and it did not work. I
- 1:14:59was extremely a with the amount of it was just like toss after toss and
- 1:15:03it was not working. Brandon Jones, safety for the Dolphins, did a
- 1:15:06really good job on several of the reps and turns, boxing things in and
- 1:15:10closing things down with the sense of urgency that he clicks and closes with.
- 1:15:14But yeah, I'm interested to see what kind of game plan we get from
- 1:15:15James Cook. Is he evolved in the past. How is it a run
- 1:15:19game? How is it a gap scheme type of game with tackle wrap and
- 1:15:24dart is it and duo? Is it a zone game with mid zone or
- 1:15:27outside zone? Very interested to see because I do. I think that is
- 1:15:31an important piece. Adam coming in saying why don't the Bills run play action
- 1:15:38bootlegs with the run pass option considering Josh's ability to run. I don't know,
- 1:15:42Adam. We've been clamoring for play action, more play action for a
- 1:15:45bunch of this year. Myself and Eric have talked about it in the film
- 1:15:48room. Just quarterbacks in general do better with play action, but especially Josh.
- 1:15:53It seems like the rhythm of play action passes kind of get his mechanics
- 1:15:59back in line. You see him have good you know, posture, good
- 1:16:03platform, good base when he is in play action, and it gives the
- 1:16:09opportunity to suck the defense in and then scare them and force them to bail
- 1:16:12out, maybe get some opportunities underneath and creative stuff. But I've always thought
- 1:16:15that they could lean into more of the play action game, especially with the
- 1:16:17struggles of the passing offense down the stretch that we've seen since Week eleven and
- 1:16:23really in the past, you know, five weeks since the buy. I
- 1:16:26don't know why they don't run more play action in general, and I don't
- 1:16:29know why they don't run more play action boot legs. Maybe this is a
- 1:16:30Week two where you do see more boot legs or attempts to kind of move
- 1:16:33the pocket given you know. Again, I know TJ. Watt is out.
- 1:16:38That's a huge blow to the Steelers defense. But Marcus Golden is no
- 1:16:40slouch. Alex high Smith is no slouch. Keanu Benton, Larry Ogun,
- 1:16:44Jobi cam Hayward, Like they can push the pocket, they can penetrate.
- 1:16:46They've got a bunch of dudes who can win with a combination of power,
- 1:16:49penetration and or technique. So you know, maybe we'll get some more bootlegs
- 1:16:54this week and attempts to move the pocket and kind of keep keep them out
- 1:16:57of getting comfortable on that defensive side of the ball. Good comment here from
- 1:17:01Spin saying an early lead is key to beating lesser teams. It forces the
- 1:17:04teams to go outside of what they want to do. I'm very much on
- 1:17:08board with that. Again, I think it ties into what Joe and I
- 1:17:10were saying earlier, like you don't want to fall into that Steelers game script,
- 1:17:13into that Steeler ball type of recipe. And I think part of that
- 1:17:16recipe is the longer this game is close, the more confidence or the further
- 1:17:20confidence that the Steelers gain, and the more you continue to play into their
- 1:17:25hands. So if you can get out to you know, hot out of
- 1:17:27the gate and it's ten to nothing or fourteen nothing, you can build a
- 1:17:30double digit lead on the Steelers early it'll force them to play a vision of
- 1:17:34football they do not want to play, and a lot of that. Again,
- 1:17:38the more points you put on and limit them, the more that ball
- 1:17:41has to go into Mason Rudolph's hands, the more you get to get into
- 1:17:45your bag if you're Sean McDermott, and really start to play with coverages and
- 1:17:48play with fronts, and play with pressures and blitzes and games and protection schemes.
- 1:17:54So that's a great point in general, Smith, but especially especially this
- 1:17:58week. Spin says, and how long you're gonna get away with having two
- 1:18:06trees? As long as I want? Spin, I don't know. Usually
- 1:18:12this the big tree, the Christmas tree, quote unquote. Usually I keep
- 1:18:15it up from November through January ish. Maybe I'll keep it up through February
- 1:18:18ish. I don't know. Hurts my eye. I feel too sick to
- 1:18:23think about it right now, but we'll see. But I'm going to get
- 1:18:27away with it for as long as people let me get away with it.
- 1:18:30I appreciate the recognition, though, Dan saying, I just think we need
- 1:18:34more than blocking from wide receiver two. Shakiro has proven to be better and
- 1:18:38more reliable a wide receiver two cannot be a coin flip to have two or
- 1:18:41more catches. I think part of it though too Again, don't get caught
- 1:18:45up in the production piece like I do think. And again this is a
- 1:18:49bit of a chicken egg scenario. Like I said, you know, I
- 1:18:51do think Gabe is getting open more than he gets credit for, and Alan
- 1:18:57is not going towards him or is making wrong reads and having that miscommunication with
- 1:19:00him. And again miscommunication is on both of them, but I think a
- 1:19:03lot of the miscommunications that we've seen are more on Allen than they are on
- 1:19:06Gabe. That being said, I do think part of the reason that he's
- 1:19:10not looking towards Gabe more is, you know, it's not just because he's
- 1:19:13not seeing the field greade or he's not processing great, which I do think
- 1:19:15that is some of it. But I also think it's because he doesn't have
- 1:19:18a ton of you know, faith in Gabe Davis. But I would like
- 1:19:21more from a wide receiver two. I would like a true wide receiver two
- 1:19:26for this bills. I would like a wide receiver two that, if Stefan
- 1:19:30digs is out ken function is a high end two or ideally more of a
- 1:19:33low tier wide receiver one, So I am in lockstep with you there,
- 1:19:38like I do think they need more than just a blocking piece as wide receiver
- 1:19:42too. That being said, I think Gabe is more than just a good
- 1:19:45blocking wide receiver two. I just think the numbers aren't reflecting that. And
- 1:19:49again a lot of it is also tied up into the role. Like his
- 1:19:51production isn't just because he's not good or he's only good at blocking, or
- 1:19:56because he has drops. A lot of his production is tied to what is
- 1:20:00asked of him as being that deep threat, clear out kind of guy to
- 1:20:02open things up underneath. And again that production is also tied to Alan just
- 1:20:08not hitting him when he's been opened a bunch like I could. We could
- 1:20:10literally do a full episode or a half a segment every week, or a
- 1:20:14full segment every week. I'm Gabe Davis getting open and just not getting the
- 1:20:17ball. And I'm not saying getting open like well, the play took five
- 1:20:20seconds and he finally got open. I'm talking routes where he's the primary secondary
- 1:20:25guy and he's open and Alan just either isn't going towards him or there's pressure
- 1:20:29and it forces Alan the other way. So don't just tie it purely to
- 1:20:32production when you're looking at what a wide receiver two is. But that being
- 1:20:35said, I do think they need more from a wide receiver too, so
- 1:20:39that is a fair point. What else? What else? Oh? Good
- 1:20:48question from Jared. Do we find out how Dawkins's hand got cut? He
- 1:20:51said it, but I don't remember. I think his hand got caught on
- 1:20:56a face mask or jammed up somehow. It was gross. I can't believe
- 1:20:59they show with all that blood on TV. I was hoping it was.
- 1:21:03I didn't really look too much because I was afraid it was like a broken
- 1:21:05finger or a really bent Gnarley finger. And I don't like seeing digit injuries
- 1:21:10like that. I saw the Jalen Hurts one and I didn't like that.
- 1:21:12Dawkins said how he heard it, so it is out there. I just
- 1:21:15don't remember, but it is there. RJ saying it's been two straight calendar
- 1:21:23years. I have been pleading for more play action. It is very interesting
- 1:21:27that we haven't seen more from really anybody, Dorsey Brady. I also do
- 1:21:31think it's funny though, that everybody and their mother was torching, including hugar
- 1:21:35J. It was torching Dorsey for not using play action, but no one's
- 1:21:41really saying about it with Brady, and the play action numbers have actually gone
- 1:21:44down under Joe Brady than they were with Ken Dorsey, which again to the
- 1:21:47point like I don't I don't know why play action is an easy recipe for
- 1:21:53success for offenses in general, even more so when you're a good running football
- 1:21:58team. No, you don't need a run game to have a good play
- 1:22:00action game. Yes it does help. And then also with the added explosives
- 1:22:03built into it, like you can generate explosives from a play action game,
- 1:22:06it's nice to just go play action. It hit somebody on a deep comeback
- 1:22:10or a dig or if you're working the ball downfield, you know, throwing
- 1:22:14some deep shots and kind of making something happen. I am surprised that we're
- 1:22:17not seeing more play action. I know RPO stuff kind of works into that
- 1:22:23realm of play action, but just like straight up kind of drop back five,
- 1:22:27step seven, you know, step drop back play action. I do
- 1:22:30wonder why we're not seeing that. Mm hmm. I like this. It's
- 1:22:36the rally tree. Ah, Yes, I like where Zach's head is at.
- 1:22:40Zach says, not get more trees, assert your dominance. I like
- 1:22:45that. I like it a lot. I like it a lot. Bob
- 1:22:48saying I grew true trees this year. They're a great taste. Yeah you
- 1:22:50got, I mean, more trees, the better. I just uh,
- 1:22:55I just you know, I'm down for it. Nikki saying, in reference
- 1:22:58to game Dave is the clearout guys wide receiver three role, not the number
- 1:23:00two's fair, but he can only run what's being asked of him. I
- 1:23:05think some of the clear out or I think some of what is being asked
- 1:23:10of Gabe is due to his skill set, for sure, but it's also
- 1:23:14just being what's asked of him in this system and in this scheme. And
- 1:23:16granted, Joe Brady is still running mainly Ken Dorsey scheme. Like you can't
- 1:23:20uninstall an offense and install a new one at like week ten, eleven or
- 1:23:26nine, wherever they were in the year when Dorsey got fired. So this
- 1:23:28still is Ken Dorsey's offense for intents and purposes. But again, this is
- 1:23:33what's asked of him. He can only run what is being asked of him.
- 1:23:36And again I do think what is being asked of him is tied to
- 1:23:41his skill set, but he's he's doing what is asked of him more often
- 1:23:46than not, and it's the reason he's out there a whole bunch, you
- 1:23:48know, like it or not. I like what Troy says hit that like,
- 1:23:53but yes, absolutely we got a good chunk of people in here.
- 1:23:56If you are enjoying this content, whether you're watching live or listening later,
- 1:24:00please please please think you drop ake on this video. It goes a sincerely
- 1:24:01long way towards helping myself and the entire Cover One team to track and trend
- 1:24:05in front of more eyes and ears likes of the lifeblood of these streams.
- 1:24:09So please, please, please thank you. If you have not already,
- 1:24:10please drop alike on this video. Are you saying Davis being a clear out
- 1:24:15guy isn't great either because other guys are not being clear and open by him.
- 1:24:18See that's not true. Like, that's not true. Gave Davis is
- 1:24:21running these routes that are getting man, this is been coming to Gave Davis
- 1:24:25episode. He is running these routes that are pulling coverage and bringing guys open.
- 1:24:30The throws just aren't getting there. Or there's times where Allan's getting pressured
- 1:24:33and he has to evade and he can't hit the throw Like I'm not saying
- 1:24:36he's always you know, clearing out coverage and dudes are running wide open.
- 1:24:40But I disagree. I don't. I don't think that's true. Carl saying
- 1:24:44one of these shows and it's gonna have a line of like five trees behind
- 1:24:46him. I've actually never never thought of this, but now I kind of
- 1:24:51just have the awesome idea of like going live and yeah, from like next
- 1:24:57to this tree here, all the way here, it's just tree, maybe
- 1:25:00different sizes, where maybe I just get a whole bunch of big trees and
- 1:25:01my entire backdrop is trees. I like it. I like it a lot.
- 1:25:09This is awesome. Not Dawkins bladed. The NFL is rigged and fake.
- 1:25:12I like it. I like it. We got some wrestling action here
- 1:25:15in the NFL. No, I'm not gonna keep going with with dig Gabe.
- 1:25:20But are you saying it's mainly because no teams respect Gabe Davis as a
- 1:25:24good wide receiver. That's not true. That's not true. He's open a
- 1:25:29bunch. I posted some stuff on Twitter. I kept a lot of it
- 1:25:31in the back pocket, but I posted some stuff on Twitter, especially in
- 1:25:33that Philly game. He's wide open, Like, it's not that teams aren't
- 1:25:36respecting him, it's you know, poorly coincidental stuff. It's Alan not going
- 1:25:42to him, some of which is because of Alan, some of which has
- 1:25:44become because of Gay. But you can't make a blanket statement and saying it's
- 1:25:47mainly because no teams respect Gabe Davis, Like that's that's just that's a big
- 1:25:51assumption RJ. Although you are happy that, Hey, I got the motion
- 1:25:56I asked for with Brady, So yeah, you got one out of two.
- 1:25:58Very fair, very fair. Oh and Spid says you can't take the
- 1:26:01tree down while the Bills were running. Absolutely. I even thought before the
- 1:26:03show I was gonna shave and trim the beer, and then I was like,
- 1:26:09I can't because of playoffs. So I'm not gonna do Uh, I'm
- 1:26:13not gonna do anything. Can't change you. Gotta stick with you, Gotta
- 1:26:15dance with the girl that brought you. Gotta dance with the girl that brought
- 1:26:17you. Yeah, tree has to stay up ed soil after the super Bowl
- 1:26:19earliest. That's fair. The tree won't come down until the regular season ends.
- 1:26:23I like where your head is at, and if it ends early out
- 1:26:26still keep it up. But I don't even want to say that and go
- 1:26:28for that piece. Yeah it's and I guess we'll stick on that Gay Bavis
- 1:26:30conversation for a little bit because I know he did tie into you know,
- 1:26:35the points for one of the points for myself earlier in the episode. I
- 1:26:39with Joe to a degree like, I don't think he's this stud can't miss
- 1:26:44wide receiver too. I do think you would like more from your wide receiver
- 1:26:45too, especially from a skill set standpoint. For me, at the very
- 1:26:47least, I know he's good enough going deep, and he's been far more
- 1:26:53successful vertically than he really should given his speed. I'd want more from a
- 1:27:00wide receiver two for the Buffalo Bills, preferably someone with a speed element.
- 1:27:03I want somebody who's got some juice to his game. I'd like some more
- 1:27:06precision and deception as a route runner, a little more shake, a little
- 1:27:11more wiggle. I think Gabe Davis is more of a nittroll guy or a
- 1:27:15guy who fits into a really good, you know, power running type of
- 1:27:19offense. Like taking Gabe Davis and putting him into or not even power running
- 1:27:23offense, just more of a run based multiple offense from a run game standpoint,
- 1:27:28like putting him putting him in Atlanta or putting him in Chicago, the
- 1:27:32opportunity to kind of play off that run in pass game where his size is
- 1:27:35more of a factor as a blocker and as a chess piece. I think
- 1:27:40he can be more successful there. Again, I'm fine with what he's done
- 1:27:44for the Bills, and I wouldn't even mind him coming back, depending on
- 1:27:46the type of contract that he's going to get. But I do think he'll
- 1:27:48get offered a decent enough chunk of chains that it'll price himself out of Buffalo.
- 1:27:55But I would like more from a wide receiver too. In that pet,
- 1:28:00Jared says, do I book a hotel for the parade or is that
- 1:28:03at Jakes? That is an absolute jinx, Jared, you cannot book the
- 1:28:06hotel. Although I do appreciate someone being proactive and trying to get a good
- 1:28:10deal, but it is also a jinx. Like I don't know, I
- 1:28:15get worried. Dave saying, who's your ideal wide receiver? Two? Aunts
- 1:28:19ooh ideally, my, some many of these guys are like viewed as like
- 1:28:28wide receiver one's two a degree, though my ideal wide receiver two is I
- 1:28:30don't want to necessarily want to go with a person or make a comp but
- 1:28:32it's just somebody who schematically you can do enough with that. If your wide
- 1:28:39receiver one is down, you don't feel the effects too much. So like
- 1:28:43with Grant Against, some of these are wide receiver ones, but like what
- 1:28:45the Bengals have with T. Higgins, like what the forty nine ers have
- 1:28:48with Iyuk and Debo, which technically I don't even know who wide receiver one
- 1:28:51is now in San Francisco with the year that I you can or you know
- 1:28:55AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith, like what you've had from that regard somebody my
- 1:29:00ideal wide receiver too. If I'm looking at from a skill set perspective,
- 1:29:03precise route runner. And when I say precise, I mean like they have
- 1:29:06deception, they have pace, they have nuanced they got good body language,
- 1:29:13they can stamp off routes, good hip flection, good are good ankle flexion,
- 1:29:15good hip fluidity, reliable hands, a vertical element, and some size.
- 1:29:21They kind of put it all together. It would be a big piece
- 1:29:26for me. Again, is looking at the overall skill set for a wide
- 1:29:28receiver two For me, is somebody who, if your wide receiver one is
- 1:29:31down, your wide receiver two mitigates that loss enough, like if Stefan Diggs
- 1:29:38is down in a week. I don't think the Bills have anybody that mitigates
- 1:29:43that loss enough. And granted, some of the guys I named are more
- 1:29:46like wide receiver ones, but even with what you know, Pittsburgh has,
- 1:29:50like you've got Deontay Johnson and then you've got George Pickens. Those pieces there.
- 1:29:56I like that aspect again, someone with a skill set that allows you
- 1:29:59to mitigate the loss of a wide receiver one. Oh, Chris comes in
- 1:30:01and says, Malik neighbors. Man, if the Bills could get neighbors,
- 1:30:03that'd be awesome. I don't think they will, but yeah, man,
- 1:30:12I like Aspin says a good thing. There are no YouTube adversaries. Ant's
- 1:30:14enemy would prank by taking his trees. I would just wouldn't do the stream.
- 1:30:16I would be distraught, and then until one of you from the chat
- 1:30:19did the detective work and figured out who took the tree, I would just
- 1:30:23like hold the stream hostage and not do anything. Dob's saying Aunt is Gabe
- 1:30:27Davis running option routes where Josh is picking the opposite break as Gabe. Sometimes
- 1:30:31I'm seeing a little bit of it less under Brady, but yeah, you're
- 1:30:35still seeing some of that option piece, which is another good element that I
- 1:30:39didn't speak about earlier. Earlier, Dobbs like that that option piece means you
- 1:30:45do have to be on the same page. So if Gabe sees A but
- 1:30:46Josh sees B, you know, you guys aren't gonna be on the same
- 1:30:50page. The Philadelphia example, it is a good one, right, that
- 1:30:54overtime and completion. Gabe reeds, the leverage goes one way, Alan thinks
- 1:31:00he's gonna do something else, and we get that miscommunication and we get the
- 1:31:02incompletion. But I so there is some of that. Again, it's a
- 1:31:06multitude of things. There's never This is a good microcosma of what I'm about
- 1:31:11to say as well, like there's never, very rarely is there ever one
- 1:31:15cover all, cure all answer for what has happened in the NFL, whether
- 1:31:17it's player related or scheme related. So you know, Gabe's lack of production
- 1:31:21this offense is a little bit because of what's asked of him, which is
- 1:31:25a little bit because of his skill set, it's a little bit of Josh
- 1:31:28not seeing the field well at times. It's a little bit of Josh not
- 1:31:30having faith and Gabe it's a little bit of the option route aspect. It's
- 1:31:33a little bit of sometimes him getting open and pressure coming from that side,
- 1:31:38so Josh has to go somewhere else. It's a multitude of pieces. But
- 1:31:42to your point, Dobbs, that is one. You know, we've seen
- 1:31:45less option stuff to a degree under Brady, but it's still a present element.
- 1:31:49Collier Secure is tremendous with it. A lot of the times what you're
- 1:31:51seeing from Kalio Secure, especially when they're in those stacked alignments, those two
- 1:31:57by twos. He does a really good job on option routes, his feel
- 1:32:00for leverage in space. He and Allen have actually been developing a really good
- 1:32:03rapport on that piece. But yeah, some of Gabe Davis, you know,
- 1:32:09where Josh is picking the opposite break or he thinks Gabe is going to
- 1:32:11do something else, or again he has to come off that read and go
- 1:32:14somewhere else. That's a good point. That's a good point. De Looks
- 1:32:17is glad to know I'm not the only superstitious fan. I'm extremely superstitious.
- 1:32:20I am extremely superstitious. I am super superstitious. I like where next side
- 1:32:27is at. I started my beard at the beginning of the Playoffroun, I'm
- 1:32:29not shaving till it's over. Nick gets it. Nick, you get it,
- 1:32:31my man. I appreciate you. Dave. Yeah, that's a good
- 1:32:34question of what you asked for in a wide receiver two. Again, there's
- 1:32:36a lot of it. Think how you define a wide receiver two versus a
- 1:32:41wide receiver one again is somewhat arbitrary. I think most people are just going
- 1:32:44to point to certain dudes like, oh, I want Jalen Wattle as my
- 1:32:47wide receiver two world, I want t Higgins. But those dudes really could
- 1:32:50be like wide receiver ones for their teams. Honestly, even like a rookie
- 1:32:55Tank Dell is like a good wide receiver two to me, or even Nico
- 1:32:59Collins. I know Nico Collins has been balling out, like I think he's
- 1:33:01starting to maybe get into the wide receiver one conversation, But I think the
- 1:33:04Nico Collins is really solid too, and then tanked out can be a really
- 1:33:09solid too. Someone again, who has multiple skill set pieces that stress a
- 1:33:12defense size could be sized, but tanked Doll doesn't have that. But what
- 1:33:15does tanked el have. He's a tremendous route runner. He's got speed,
- 1:33:18he's got very good hands, and that route running plus speed allows him to
- 1:33:21do a variety of things. So you just need to have a skills For
- 1:33:25me at least, this is how I define it, like a skill set
- 1:33:27that just allows you to do multiple things schematically and mitigate the loss of a
- 1:33:30wide receiver one. I like that. Zachavall Trade says all roads lead to
- 1:33:34what ant It's a Twitter joke. All roads lead to Rome aka Romodunze,
- 1:33:40who I really think has no shot of becoming a Buffalo Bill. He's gonna
- 1:33:43go probably in the first half of round one, depending on how many quarterbacks
- 1:33:45we see. But again it's super early, like playoffs haven't even started.
- 1:33:48We'll see how everything kind of shakes out, but we will see from there.
- 1:33:55Supremum comes in and says Jalen Polk, Yes, the other Washington wide
- 1:33:59receiver with Jaylen McMillan number eleven, they're slot receiver. But yeah, Jalen
- 1:34:01Polk does some fun stuff. I think Bills fans should get a familiar with
- 1:34:06Jalen Polk, whether he creeps into the first round, back into the first
- 1:34:10round, or you know, it's maybe a second round target, depending on
- 1:34:15what the Bills do. I would get familiar with mister Jalen Polk. Where's
- 1:34:23that com man here from Francisco saying receivers seem to recognize the blitz and make
- 1:34:27themselves available on the hot route sooner in the second half. Need them to
- 1:34:30keep that anticipation throughout the postseason. Yeah, it seemed like the Bills were
- 1:34:32a little flustered by the cover zero piece and the blitz piece from Miami.
- 1:34:38I haven't gotten through all of the offensive film from the Miami game because I've
- 1:34:44just been out of action yesterday in the majority of today. I'm finishing up
- 1:34:49the defense later tonight'sash tomorrow and then finishing the offense tomorrow as well. But
- 1:34:54I would agree from that from a broadcast perspective, But again I could be
- 1:34:58wrong from that per perspective. What else do we get? Dobbs saying,
- 1:35:01I think that first Miami interception looked like communic miscommunication, maybe on Josh's part.
- 1:35:05Again, I haven't watched the offensive tape, but my initial thought with
- 1:35:09it was he throws it before he looks, so the blitz comes again.
- 1:35:15This is the first interception, the one that eli Apple makes, and of
- 1:35:17course he went to eli Apple, who's like the worst. But he's looking
- 1:35:21right, He's looking at Kincaid. He turns left, but he doesn't turn
- 1:35:29left and then throw. He looks off of Kincaid and then starts throwing as
- 1:35:35he's turning left, Like I don't think he I think miscommunication is a fine
- 1:35:41way to put it. I don't even know if it's miscommunication, And I
- 1:35:44mean, I guess it could be. Maybe he thought Gabe was going to
- 1:35:45be somewhere that Gabe wasn't, and Gabe thought something else, But it just
- 1:35:50looked like he just threw it before he even looked. And I guess it
- 1:35:55probably again to the point he probably thought Gabe was going to be in a
- 1:35:57certain spot and Gabe wasn't. But I don't think this would like the Philly
- 1:36:00one. They saw the leverage differently and made different reads the first Miami interception.
- 1:36:09I don't think Allen even saw the leverage or saw the positioning or anything
- 1:36:12like he can even see it, like even if you're just watching on the
- 1:36:15broadcast. They show that end zone angle. I'm gonna end up posting it
- 1:36:17on Twitter tomorrow once I cut it up. But he's not. It's not
- 1:36:21like all Kinkaid's covered, Let me look left cool, let me throw He
- 1:36:26sees Kinkaid is covered, and he gets into his wine if he's already loading
- 1:36:29and starting to follow through before his eyes even meet Gabe. And that's part
- 1:36:33of the reason why he just chucks it right to Eli Apple like. The
- 1:36:35ball doesn't even go too far inside or too far outside. He just throws
- 1:36:41it like I And again, it's probably because he thought he was going to
- 1:36:43be in a certain spot and he wasn't. But or maybe Gabe did something
- 1:36:45differently. But he throws that ball before like he's even looking, which sometimes
- 1:36:51it works, sometimes it doesn't. Carl's saying that he trusts a big ball
- 1:36:56er being to select us a good wide receiver in the twenty twenty four draft.
- 1:37:00I like it. I like it. I like it. Oh Dobb's
- 1:37:04saying, I think Shaki will be the Bills number two next year. Steve
- 1:37:06says the ideal wide receiver two needs to be enough of a threat to keep
- 1:37:10the other team honest, enough to not just take away your number one one
- 1:37:13hundred percent of the time. I like that definition. Ooh Aiden saying,
- 1:37:15I'm incredibly invested in potentially drafting Brian Thomas Junior. I've seen some flashes of
- 1:37:20him in watching Malik Neighbors. But yeah, there's a bunch of people that
- 1:37:27are high on Brian Tomas. I'm gonna get to him at some point on
- 1:37:29the film, but I'm excited to see that piece. Jay Dubbs says,
- 1:37:33depends on your QB. Josh needed a guy like Mandy Sands when he was
- 1:37:35coming up. I love that you're saying, Mandy Sans, that's awesome.
- 1:37:38Now with Diggs getting up there, we need a young wide receiver too who
- 1:37:41can send. I think that's a good point as well in relation to Diggs.
- 1:37:43Now like the wide receiver two you need to get. Should have wide
- 1:37:48receiver or could should have wide receiver one upside because Diggs is getting a little
- 1:37:54long in the tooth, not too long, ad He's just like hitting do
- 1:37:57as they're actually I'm me look at her up right now. As if I
- 1:38:00don't have the power of the internet. Stefon Diggs is how old? Why
- 1:38:06is the internet not working for me? Steven Diggs is thirty years old,
- 1:38:14so yeah, not too old, but he's getting up there. At some
- 1:38:15point you'll need to kind of break into that new wide receiver one terror,
- 1:38:20So I think that's a fair point. Chris chris Key, chris Key,
- 1:38:25I'm falling apart. The sickness is like taking on me. Chris Key says,
- 1:38:28any thoughts on Xavier Lagette, wide receiver from South Carolina. I've only
- 1:38:31watched one full game on him as of right now, but I can read
- 1:38:35you a scouting report on him right now. Physical tools and traits. He's
- 1:38:41got size plus athleticism, he has gears to his speed. He's got good
- 1:38:45hips, he can sink lack. Again, this is only one game.
- 1:38:48I get a three to four game sample size. I just haven't finished everything
- 1:38:51yet with all the bills stuff still going on. Lacks precision in his routes,
- 1:38:56more rounded cuts and paced routes that rely on speed. He runs nines,
- 1:39:00deep comebacks, deep outs, posts and deep overs and some you know,
- 1:39:03short little hooks and stuff. He's got a good catch radius. He
- 1:39:05plays big at the catch point, and he's a stretch the defense guy.
- 1:39:10He does a lot of clear out routes for South Carolina, but because of
- 1:39:13his plus long speed, he gets open on those clear out routes and he's
- 1:39:16a legitimate threat. Oh Oh, Trek reviewer is down on Exavier log at
- 1:39:23ooh, Carl's saying, what wide receiver is gonna is gonna be first on
- 1:39:27our board when we selected pick thirty two. I am not fully enough into
- 1:39:30draft mode yet or I can confidently make a statement, and I don't want
- 1:39:34to just throw some crap against the wall and hope something sticks. I will
- 1:39:36get there at some point, though, Carl, I appreciate you. Spin
- 1:39:40says you're supposed to look where you're throwing before you throw passes into the end
- 1:39:43zone. That is correct, and Roy says, yeah, Josh threw it
- 1:39:45up just simple or right, just threw it up simple? Zach saying,
- 1:39:49how do you feel about a d Mitchell oh wide receiver from University of Texas?
- 1:39:54And my buddy at Espianation, Jpacosta, who's been on the show a
- 1:39:57bunch throughout the season, he did a mock draft for Espignation today and I
- 1:40:01believe he had ad Mitchell mocked to the Buffalo Bills. Again, haven't fully
- 1:40:05watched his tape, but he him and Xavier Worthy, the other wide receiver
- 1:40:09from Texas and Whittington. There are other wide receiver number thirteen with the dreads.
- 1:40:13Who's going to be at the Super Bowl? All intrigued me a bunch.
- 1:40:16Mitchell's got good size, He's a good ball winner, downfield piece,
- 1:40:20red zone piece. I'm excited to get into his tape and see what he
- 1:40:24offers from a precision standpoint. Thank you r J telling me that Diggs is
- 1:40:30thirty. Ooh Arjaine Diggs having that back issue scares me. Thirty with a
- 1:40:33back issue isn't great since back issues don't really ever go away permanently. That's
- 1:40:38actually a good point. I jacked up my back when I was like fifteen
- 1:40:41sixteen and it still hurts me to this day. Oh Spin saying what about
- 1:40:45devontees Walker from North Carolina. I will be watching him soon and or shortly.
- 1:40:49He will be at the Senior Bowl, So I'm going to see him
- 1:40:51liveman in person when I go down to Mobile at the end of January the
- 1:40:56twenty ninth through February first. But I haven't watched this yet. Obviously,
- 1:41:00the athleticism and like the stuff that jumps off the charts, but I haven't
- 1:41:02watched his tap, but he's possibility to see that. Ib's saying, I
- 1:41:08would like to see a speeds to wide receiver with good hands and Chris sprouts
- 1:41:11a faster digs. A lot to ask for, Yeah, it's very a
- 1:41:13lot to ask for, but you know, the good thing is this this
- 1:41:18offense, for this offense, this draft class offers you a lot from the
- 1:41:21wide receiver perspective, so you can get and you can make the case for
- 1:41:26going wide receiver early or a little later. Right, Like, the class
- 1:41:30is so strong that you can get a wide receiver one at the end of
- 1:41:32the first round, or a high end wide receiver two, or you can
- 1:41:35take another position in need at the end of the first round and still get
- 1:41:40a wide receiver two in the second round potentially, like like the year when
- 1:41:43the Bills took Cody Ford and Terry McLaurin went in that second round, Deebo
- 1:41:46Samuel went in that second round, DK Metcalf went in that second round.
- 1:41:49So this class is is super deep. Oh Trek reviewer saying, I think
- 1:41:54wide receiver Brendan Rice from USC or Johnny Wilson from Florida State who was six
- 1:41:59seven two would be good for fits for the Bills. Both of them will
- 1:42:01be at the Senior Bowl. I know Wilson is. I think Brendan Rice
- 1:42:04will be as well. So I'm gonna be digging into that tail their tape
- 1:42:08as well. Oh nice, is Zact saying, that's where I seen it
- 1:42:09from. It was from JP. Yeah, the Texas wide receivers are cool.
- 1:42:13Mitchell and Worthy. They got some dudes with juice who can really play,
- 1:42:16so it'll be nice to see what they can do. Nick says,
- 1:42:20what about Shorter, we already have him. I would hate to see him
- 1:42:24get away like Hodgens. I mean, he's more of a project project.
- 1:42:28You know. He's got the size, he's got the speed and and and
- 1:42:32the frame like he looks the part. I just don't know what we've seen
- 1:42:36from because we haven't seen him in a game this year. I don't know
- 1:42:40what they have in him. He needs to be worked on from a route
- 1:42:43precision standpoint and a nuanced standpoint again, like being able to run the whole
- 1:42:46route tree, the deception within it, the sharpness, the suddenness, those
- 1:42:50type of things, like what type of quality routes can he run? At
- 1:42:53his size, with that high cut frame and long legs, and we haven't
- 1:42:57really seen him this year, so we don't know. So the only people
- 1:42:59who know what the people were seeing him at practice every day, and I
- 1:43:02haven't seen or heard anything yet. So Justin Shorter could potentially be a guy
- 1:43:05going forward, or he might just you know, in a negative way,
- 1:43:09just be a guy. We're not really gonna know until we see him in
- 1:43:12camp next year and in the preseason next year or this year. I should
- 1:43:15say him this offseason because they're in twenty twenty four. We just don't know
- 1:43:18at this point. Oh Roy saying Shorter will be a special teams player,
- 1:43:24no more than a wide receiver. Six. I'm saying, if we lose
- 1:43:29out in the playoffs, I have a feeling we might have to get a
- 1:43:30first round wide receiver, if you know what I mean. That's fair.
- 1:43:34That's fair, That is fair. Yeah, it'll be interesting to see what
- 1:43:38the Bills do with with the roster as a whole, regardless of what happens
- 1:43:42these playoffs. Like that, that's a fun conversation to have going forward.
- 1:43:45You potentially can make the case for the Bills maybe needing two safeties. You
- 1:43:50know, does Michael Hyde come back? Do the Bills want him back?
- 1:43:54What does he want to does he even want to come back with again him
- 1:43:57having the stingers and the neck injuries. The stingers are relate to the fusion
- 1:44:00he had in his neck, So is this his last ride? Jordan Poyer's
- 1:44:06looked a little long at the tooth in time at times this year? Do
- 1:44:09they move on from Poe? I have to look at his contract see if
- 1:44:11that's even possible or even realistic. But do they need one or two safeties
- 1:44:15this offseason? What happens at the edge position? Like do they bring back
- 1:44:18Ajpanessa? Do they bring back Leonard Floyd? With the question marks around von
- 1:44:23Miller, I know nobody wants to hear this edge could be a legitimate need
- 1:44:27for this team because right now, the only known quantity you have under contract
- 1:44:30next year is Greg Russo. Again, you have von Miller under contract,
- 1:44:33but we don't know what we're gonna get out of von Miller. And then
- 1:44:36even on the interior defensive line, cool you got at Oliver, you have
- 1:44:40no other defensive tackles, Like there's no Tim Settle, there's no Punafod,
- 1:44:43there's no da Que Jones, So you could also make a case the defensive
- 1:44:45tackle is needed on the interior. They also might need a running back in
- 1:44:50the draft at some point, just because of what's gonna happen with Murray and
- 1:44:53Harris and Ty Johnson, although I would welcome back any of those dudes,
- 1:44:57like I like the rotation they have this year, but you could also suspected
- 1:45:00running backs you can always get like a solid one, even on Day three.
- 1:45:02So it'll be interesting to see what happens with this team from a roster
- 1:45:05standpoint, a free agency standpoint, and then how that funnels into the draft
- 1:45:10from a needs perspective, and how that shapes the board for the league as
- 1:45:13a whole. So we're going to see a lot of those pieces and RJ
- 1:45:18coming in and saying, I have a funny feeling that Hyde is done after
- 1:45:20this year do that neck issue. I also think Poyer may be done.
- 1:45:24He's looked shot all year. Trying to get two new safeties to start will
- 1:45:27be tough, yeah, especially if like you don't want them to both to
- 1:45:30be rookies. There's two safeties who I love in this draft, cam Kinchins
- 1:45:33from the University of Miami and Tyler Nuban, safety from Minnesota. Right now,
- 1:45:39I have cam Kinchins as number one. I think you can make a
- 1:45:41case that Nuban could even be number one. Both are two good safeties,
- 1:45:45but it's tough to have two rookie starting safeties. There's also going to be
- 1:45:48some really good safeties in free agency. Antoine Winfield Junior is a free agent.
- 1:45:55Jeremy Chin is a free agent, I believe, but Chin has been
- 1:45:58playing more of an Apex box roll for Carolina, So I don't know what
- 1:46:02that transition back potentially looks like. We'll see, but yeah, it'll be
- 1:46:08It'll be tough to get two new safeties to start, but the Bills did
- 1:46:11it before. You know. They got Hide and Ployer in the same offseason.
- 1:46:13Both were you know, Hyde was more known, but both were kind
- 1:46:15of man free agents in the larger landscape in the NFL, and they both
- 1:46:18turned out to be all pro quality and arguably the best safety duo in the
- 1:46:23league for a lot of years. Magic Catfish says is Rap under contract.
- 1:46:28No. Taylor Rap is on a one year deal for the Buffalo Bill,
- 1:46:31So it could be like a handshake type of deal where he came here with
- 1:46:34the opportunity to earn a spot next year, and you know, maybe he'll
- 1:46:38resign in the off season. But yeah, it's uh, they it's rough
- 1:46:44there. It's rough. Ooh. RC three coming through and saying Cam can't
- 1:46:46you cam kinsches in the first round? If he's still there, Johnny Wilson
- 1:46:49in the third or fourth, then I don't care what they do. Yeah,
- 1:46:53it'll be interesting to see what what the needs shakeout like for this team.
- 1:46:57And again, a bunch of it will be who they receed, who
- 1:47:00they bring back like and not even just from a quality standpoint, right,
- 1:47:04Like you can make the case, okay they need a better player at position
- 1:47:06A or position B or position C. There also might be spots where it's
- 1:47:12like they just need bodies because they don't have enough depth, like or warm
- 1:47:16bodies period, let alone quality. So and it's going to be interesting to
- 1:47:21see what we get out of this roster going forward given the cap situation and
- 1:47:26where they are. Jadab says, don't you think Cam Lewis is being growed
- 1:47:30for a safety spot? Hamlet could still develop? They could. I think
- 1:47:33both are more depth guys than they are true starters in the league. I
- 1:47:38think you can get away with starting DeMar Hamlin or Cam Lewis. I don't
- 1:47:45think they're and I'm trying to find the right way to phrase it. I
- 1:47:47don't think they're like quality starters. I think their quality depth. I think
- 1:47:53at best they're more of low tier starters at this point. Now. Either
- 1:47:56could ascend potentially, but having you know, can Lewis being more of a
- 1:48:00smaller frame type of dude, which I kind of like because I like that
- 1:48:03cam Lewis can play safety, but he also can play slot. He can
- 1:48:06play in that nickel, so I like his versatility. But I think cam
- 1:48:10Lewis is more of a deaf guy, and I think DeMar Hamlet is more
- 1:48:13of a deaf guy. I think, you know, there's a chance one
- 1:48:15of them, or even both could be a low tier type of starting safety,
- 1:48:18but I don't think. I don't think we're seeing that. I don't
- 1:48:24think the Bills have other than hide and ployer. I don't think the Bills
- 1:48:27have a starting safety on the roster right now. Taylor Rap I think you
- 1:48:30can make the case for it because he's been a starter before. I do
- 1:48:32think he has somewhat of a limited skill set, but I do like his
- 1:48:34skill set, but we'll see Roy says. At least we're not talking about
- 1:48:42needing to right tackle anymore. No, I don't think spent I don't what
- 1:48:44the numbers say. I don't think Spencer Brown has been a world beater,
- 1:48:46but he's been a fine right tackle. And that's all I've ever wanted from
- 1:48:49Spencer Brown. You don't need to be an all pro at right tackle.
- 1:48:51Just don't be atrocious. Don't be this horrible roller coaster and vulnerability at right
- 1:48:58tackle. And he has not been a vulnerability. I still think, you
- 1:49:01know, he is having some struggles that I don't think are being talked about
- 1:49:05on a wide scale basis. But he's fine for me at right tackle.
- 1:49:09I'm not looking at right I would love to. I would take an offensive
- 1:49:11lineman in every draft, every single year, just because I think you always
- 1:49:14need to replenish offense. You can never have enough offensive line dep so I
- 1:49:16will always take an offensive lineman. I don't care where, tackle, guard,
- 1:49:19center, whatever, like. I will always take offensive lineman in the
- 1:49:23draft. But I don't have right tackle as that premier need right now like
- 1:49:27I did last year. Oh, Trek, if you were saying maybe running
- 1:49:30back autric estimate from Notre Dame in the fourth or fifth round. He's fast
- 1:49:34enough for a big dude, and he's an absolute hammer coming downhill. That
- 1:49:36would be a fun kind of thunder and lightning pairing with James Cook. So
- 1:49:42we'll see there. I like it's coming from Steve Say. McDermot gets more
- 1:49:45out of the late round dbis than any coach I've ever seen. Yeah,
- 1:49:47given what he did with Levi Wallace, Dane Jackson, Christian Benford and even
- 1:49:54like not late round draft guys, but like kind of free agency, whatever's
- 1:49:58like Michael High, Jordan Poyer. That's the fun conversation And I've said it
- 1:50:00on Twitter a bunch like where you can make the argument on either side right
- 1:50:04where you don't have to spend a premium pick or premium money on a defensive
- 1:50:11back because Sean McDermott is so good at getting all of the blood out of
- 1:50:15the stone for any dB that he gets right, So you can take a
- 1:50:18Christian Benford in the sixth round and turn him into a CB two. So
- 1:50:21why do you need to take a corner in round one or round two or
- 1:50:25pay a premium free agency or pay a premium free agent right, So you
- 1:50:29can make that case. But then it's also fun to have the other conversation
- 1:50:32of So, if he's so good, you know McDermott, if he's so
- 1:50:35good at getting all the blood out of these late round and free agency cast
- 1:50:40off stones, imagine what he could get out of a premier free agent at
- 1:50:44that position or a high round pick. But he can make the case either
- 1:50:47way. But yeah, his track record with late round dbs is pretty wild.
- 1:50:53Dirty Jersey is saying, what do we do with Elam? You keep
- 1:50:56letting him ride? I mean, if somebody believes in it more than you
- 1:51:00do and wants to offer you like a Day two pick, like I'll take
- 1:51:04like a second or third for him. But I still think he has room.
- 1:51:09I always thought he was going to be not as long of a project
- 1:51:12as he's been. Granted he's had some injuries, but I always thought he
- 1:51:17would take a bit of time to transition to the NFL because of how physical
- 1:51:21and grabby he was at the college level. There is no illegal contact penalty
- 1:51:27in the NFL, and he was very physical at Florida, but physical in
- 1:51:30the very gravy way. There's a reason why in that first training camp.
- 1:51:33They put the boxing gloves on him to make him stop grabbing dudes in drills.
- 1:51:38So I always thought it would take him time to transition from that aspect,
- 1:51:41but also transition from more of a man scheme to his own scheme.
- 1:51:45He still is trades up, he still has tools because of that. Like,
- 1:51:47I'm not jettisoning him off yet. I still trust to McDermott and his
- 1:51:54staff to get the most out of dudes. I'm keeping him and I let
- 1:51:57him battle. You know, next year you're looking at what's an interesting conversation
- 1:52:00is the cornerback room. Next year, you have a returning for Davious White,
- 1:52:03you who probably won't be ready to start the season. Maybe he will
- 1:52:08be, I don't know. But you've got a returning Ford Deavius White,
- 1:52:11You've got Christian Benford, You've got Rosuell Douglas. Dan Jackson is a free
- 1:52:15agent, will see if they bring him back. And you still have Kyer
- 1:52:16Elam, so you can do a lot of things with the Elam. I'm
- 1:52:19I'm sitting on him and I'm keeping him there. See what he does and
- 1:52:23see what he turns into. But if some team wants to offer you like
- 1:52:27a Day two pick for him, I'd be fine pulling the trigger, but
- 1:52:33Roy says, I think Torrence has struggled a bit lately. Yeah, he
- 1:52:35struggled a bit against Wilkins. He's had some struggles. Overall, I think
- 1:52:40he's had a fine rookie year. He's improved the run blocking, He's been
- 1:52:43fine enough in pass protection. I think the floor that he set for himself
- 1:52:46this year has been very encouraging. I think he's performed fine overall. I
- 1:52:50do think he has struggled a bit more as the season has gone on,
- 1:52:54but not enough that I'm worried about him or think he's a vulnerability. I
- 1:52:57think you've got a good You've had a good rookie season from second round guard
- 1:53:00in Osirius Torrence. Chris says, an't any under the radar prospects. You're
- 1:53:04a big fan of oh Man. I'm not. I'm not fully into draft
- 1:53:12prospects stuff yet. I will say I mentioned some of the safeties I like,
- 1:53:16you know, a granted they're more top heavy, but I like Cam
- 1:53:18Kinchen's. I like Tyler Nuban. Tyler Nuban is even talked about enough as
- 1:53:23a safety. I like Tyler Nuben a bunch some of the running backs who
- 1:53:26I like. I like. I like Marshaun Lloyd from USC. I like
- 1:53:30Bucky Irving from Oregon. But I'm not I'm not there yet with like draft
- 1:53:36stock conversations yet. Talk to me in By the end of February, I'll
- 1:53:43be in a much better spot. But definitely, obviously March and April and
- 1:53:45all that stuff I will see. So Nick says, too early to worry
- 1:53:48about the draft. Worry about when the seedon is the filling officially over.
- 1:53:53I'm always thinking draft. I love the draft. I love college football,
- 1:53:56so I'm watching a ton of college ball in the year. No Roy,
- 1:54:00I see. Roy says we're still in the playoffs. Too early for draft
- 1:54:02talk. It's never too early for draft talk, even if even when we're
- 1:54:05in October, it's never too early for draft talk. I love talking prospects
- 1:54:09and evaluation and fits. College ball is awesome. I love it pretty much
- 1:54:14just as much as I love the NFL. So it's a fair point.
- 1:54:17But yeah, it's oh, it's a good time. It's a good time.
- 1:54:23Steve says, with his athleticism, there any chance they try to convert
- 1:54:25elim to safety, it's a different world moving from corner to safety. You're
- 1:54:29seeing the game from a different vantage point. There's different things that are asked
- 1:54:31of you. I also think with his struggles in tackling, I don't want
- 1:54:35him at safety because I don't trust him fitting the run from depth and filling
- 1:54:39alleys and making tackles and or taking on blockers. It's just a different level
- 1:54:44of responsibility. It's possible. Again, it's always potentially possible, but there's
- 1:54:50a reason you don't see a lot of dudes convert from corner to safety like
- 1:54:55it is a tough ask or dudes that do. It's not always like an
- 1:54:58easy or successful transition. Can be a bit tough, but we'll see again.
- 1:55:01I like the tools and trades that he has, and I trust him
- 1:55:05McDermott and this staff, so I feel like they can still coach him up
- 1:55:08and if they feel like they can't, and take whatever you can get for
- 1:55:11him. But I'm not getting rid of him unless like right now, like
- 1:55:14I'm not getting rid of him this offseason, unless somebody gives you, like
- 1:55:15a second round or a third round pick, maybe maybe a fourth given what
- 1:55:19Rasoul Douglas has turned into. And I like the idea of coming back next
- 1:55:23year with Trey Douglas and Benford, but again, we don't know when Trey
- 1:55:27White's going to be ready. So unless they re signed Dave Jackson, your
- 1:55:30top three corners going into next year are Raseul Douglas, Christian Benford and Kyrie
- 1:55:33Elam, So they still kind of need Kyri Elam. I view corner the
- 1:55:36same way I view offensive line. You can never have enough depth, So
- 1:55:42I'm in that spot. Dobbs says. Some other channels are talking about Bills
- 1:55:47and Case and Bills and Ravens. One game at a time, absolutely,
- 1:55:50one game at a time, and it's going to be a fun an exciting
- 1:55:56game. Speaking of fun and exciting, I always bring it up a different
- 1:55:58points of the show. Onepy Pizza, the best pizza in Buffalo, New
- 1:56:00York. I mentioned it or in the intro and the lead into the show.
- 1:56:03Their shaw at, their episode show notes, their contact information, and
- 1:56:08online men. You can be found in the episode show notes, or they're
- 1:56:10here on YouTube or whichever podcasting app and our platform you're listening to this show
- 1:56:14on. They make a great sweet sauce pie cup and sharp pepperoni. A
- 1:56:18good sweet sauce, a good cheese, a sauce ratio. They make their
- 1:56:20own homemade blue cheese. I've also talked about the aspect too, like when
- 1:56:24you get veggies, like they dice them up and then sprinkle them all over
- 1:56:27the pizza, so it's nice and even you're not just getting like chunks and
- 1:56:29it's like where it's just like lazily put on like a topping. They do
- 1:56:31great work and they do a bunch of stuff and give them back to the
- 1:56:33community, Toys for Tots, partnering with Roswell, the SPCA, the Alzheimer's
- 1:56:40Foundation. They do a lot of good for the city and they do a
- 1:56:42lot of good for your taste bluds with how good their food is. So
- 1:56:44go get yourself some one pie pizza again. Their contact and phone online men
- 1:56:47you can be found in the episode show notes, whether here on YouTube or
- 1:56:50whichever podcasting app and or platform you are listening to this show on. With
- 1:56:56that being said, I'm gonna throw up the band and says Tootles, folks,
- 1:56:59I'm enjoying this conversation is playoff time, and I kind of want to
- 1:57:00keep rolling, but the sickness is really getting to me. My head feels
- 1:57:03like it's going to explode. Despite the fact that I'm wearing a hoodie and
- 1:57:08fleece pants and beanie. I'm extremely cold, so I'm going to go and
- 1:57:13take a hot shower and drink some tea and go to bed. I appreciate
- 1:57:15you folks to ride with me here in this episode of Disguised Coverage. If
- 1:57:18you have not already, please please, please and thank you drop a like
- 1:57:21on this video here on YouTube. Like I said earlier, it goes a
- 1:57:24long way, so telling myself and the entire team to track and trend in
- 1:57:27front of more eyes and ears like are the lifeblood of these streams and the
- 1:57:30algorithm. So please, please, please, and thank you drop a like
- 1:57:34on this video, whether you're watching live now before you leave, or if
- 1:57:39you're watching later on YouTube in a non live fashion. If you're listening on
- 1:57:43one of the podcasting apps or platforms, that's cool too. Please rate and
- 1:57:45review and subscribe to Disguised Coverage. Subscribe to the Disguised Coverage channel here on
- 1:57:53YouTube as well under the Cover One channel. As a whole, we have
- 1:57:54you covered every single day of the week with anything and everything puffle of those
- 1:57:57varying levels of depth to the content based on what show or person you are
- 1:58:00looking towards and looking for. Thank you to mister Joe Marino for ride with
- 1:58:05me here on this episode of Disguy's coverage. It's always a good time to
- 1:58:10have him join me here in talkball, you know. And it's nice to
- 1:58:13do the crossovers with him. You know, he's been on this show.
- 1:58:15I've been on Lockdown Bills multiple times. He's a good dude, knows his
- 1:58:17stuff, so it was awesome to have him on. So major thank you
- 1:58:20to him. Appreciate you Nick and Banta for the well which is oh man,
- 1:58:27if I feel for your Banta being sick going through all that at Christmas.
- 1:58:30That was my one. I usually get sick once or twice a winter.
- 1:58:33Usually it's only once I avoided it through the Christmas time. I think
- 1:58:36this is the one that's hitting me. So I'm not as I say that,
- 1:58:41my left shoulder is like achy. But yeah, oh and as r
- 1:58:44J says, one pie Pizza needs to come out to Rochester, legit awesome
- 1:58:46pizza. I love that. RJ. Appreciate the hell outa for that.
- 1:58:48And I'll talk to him maybe about you know, expanding and you know,
- 1:58:50planting the flag out there in Rochester. What Spinnon says, he hasn't been
- 1:58:56sick and over five years. I actually kind of believe that, like Jerry
- 1:58:59Seinfeld where he has thrown up since like nineteen eighty two or whatever it was.
- 1:59:02But yeah, I appreciate you folks, whether you watched live, watched
- 1:59:05the recorded version, listened, whatever your view, listen, download, whatever
- 1:59:11have you. I greatly appreciate all the support that you folks show myself in
- 1:59:15the entire brand and team and whatever former fashion it comes in. Thank you
- 1:59:18very much to Carl for your super chat earlier. Thank you very much to
- 1:59:21Joe Marino for joining me as my guest on this show. I will see
- 1:59:25you next Tuesday for another episode of Disguised Coverage live nine pm Eastern. Regardless
- 1:59:30if the Bills loser win against the Steelers, you'll get another episode of Disguised
- 1:59:33Coverage next week here on the channel again live every Tuesday, nine pm Eastern.
- 1:59:41Tomorrow Night, Wednesday, January tenth, seven pm Eastern, Join myself
- 1:59:45and Eric Turner in the Cover one Film Room as we break down a bunch
- 1:59:47of tape from the Dolphins and Bills game this past week in Week eighteen,
- 1:59:55bang it here for that again, rate review, like subscribe. Also word
- 1:59:59of mouth is allay is awesome. Tell your family and friends and loved ones
- 2:00:00about this show and the channel and the brand and how awesome you think it
- 2:00:03is, or if you think it's terrible, tell your enemies and try and
- 2:00:05ruin their day with it. Greatly appreciate you, folks, and I appreciate
- 2:00:10all the uh. I don't like bringing up to like kind things for myself,
- 2:00:13so I think it's corny. But I see all the well wishes and
- 2:00:15the nice stuff in the chat and throughout the entirety of the episode. So
- 2:00:18even though I don't pull it up or don't necessarily acknowledge it, know that
- 2:00:21I see all that stuff. And I greatly appreciate you folks and the kind
- 2:00:27words and the well wishes for me with having the plague here, but also
- 2:00:30just in general for tuning in every week, especially the regulars that are here,
- 2:00:33and just all the support, whatever form or fashion it comes in.
- 2:00:35I greatly appreciate you, folks, and the entire team at Cover one do
- 2:00:39as well. If you're going to the game this week, have a good
- 2:00:44time, Be safe, travel safe. If you're traveling, or if you
- 2:00:46know your tailgame, whatever you're doing, have a good time, but be
- 2:00:48responsible, be safe, have a great time at the game. Brave the
- 2:00:51elements whatever you're living. If you're on the East Coast with all the storms
- 2:00:56and everything happening, batting down the hatches, you know. I hope you
- 2:01:00folks are doing well, and I hope you and your family and friends and
- 2:01:02loved ones are all doing well and staying safe. Be kind to one another,
- 2:01:05take care of one another. I will see you next week nine pm
- 2:01:09Eastern Tuesday for another episode of Disguised Coverage. Playoffs are here. It's the
- 2:01:15more we've all've been waiting for. I'm super excited and super nervous, and
- 2:01:17I'm sure a lot of you feel the same way. Until next Tuesday at
- 2:01:20nine pm Eastern, or until tomorrow a seven pm Eastern for another episode of
- 2:01:25the Film Room. I am Anthony Preaska. This has been another episode of
- 2:01:28Disguised Coverage. I appreciate you folks, God's speed and as always, go Bills