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CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT FUTURES (Part 3) | College Basketball Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that. I just
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: anything like this, Man, with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man, with bookends the slump
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached a
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: new pink. Actually, I'm gonna burn my bruins hat Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the bruins
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have with you,
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: as I always am until I die at least oh
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years. Doing this. I don't know what to
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. Slump, the slump of discontinuous.
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: even know what I should do at this point, other
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: than potentially end it all. What's up? Everybody's sewed back
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: with you. This is gonna be toadstool sports. This is
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: the last of the conference tournament futures videos for the
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: small conferences. I'm gonna do one more for the big conferences,
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: plus the American which is not vinalized yet. So I
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: think all the other ones are done, so you can go.
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, I would say you could go back and
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: watch the other two videos that I did on this,
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: but I think all those tournaments would be done now,
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: so I don't. Hopefully I didn't miss any I don't
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: think I did, so I'm gonna get the rest of
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: them done here while I have the a Sun Championship
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: bond right now between Queens and Austin. Austin. P No,
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: Queen's in Central Arkansas. Oh God, that means Queen's is
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: gonna lose. Oh no, mister Penzy, what's up? Yeah? I
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: mean I said high point was gonna win that game. Yeah, Like,
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know what else to say about it. Yeah,
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: they're definitely a deeper team Winthrop. Yeah, mostly goes through
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: their big man there, and I don't think he's totally healthy.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I was arguing with somebody in the chat
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: about that. This morning. I said high Point would win.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: They did, all right, So yeah, we did have a
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: few clinchers already. This morning, high Point won the Big
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: South there in Northern Iowa. I was also correct about
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: them this morning. They won the Missouri Valley. Not the
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: worst team that could get in from the Missouri Valley
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: of course, in fact the second best. So I guess
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: I'll take it, even though if you're not first, your last.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: And then actually I think it was just those two.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: I was watching the Colgate Lehigh game and I was
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: wrong about that one colegate eliminated. I don't know what's
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: going on in the Navy game right now. I want
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: to get this done so I can watch the end
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: of these two PM games though, and watch the craziness ensue. Here.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: Let's get into the rest of these tournaments. Man. So
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: the last tournaments that I did, I think were the
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: ones that I went up through the ones that start
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: on March eighth, I believe, which I did the Southland.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: I think that was the the last one that I
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: did as far as like when it starts. So I
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: was gonna do the Swack next, which starts tomorrow, and
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: the bracket wasn't ready yet, and I clicked on the
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: bracket here and it goes to the women's bracket. They're
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: like really trying to force the women on you. Man,
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: that sounds wrong. But I'm like, wait, Alabama A and M.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: They're not the number one seed. What Mississippi Valley State's
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: not the worst team in the country. What are you
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: talking about? This isn't right. Oh yeah, that's because that's
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: the women's No, we're looking at the men's. Oh, we're
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: gonna look at the Swack here. But Thune Cookman basically
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: ran away with the SWACK. I mean, this is a
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: conference that I'm not gonna be getting involved in it.
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is there's no way, like I almost
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: don't even get involved with the regular season here. I
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: think I was right about Bethune Cookman losing their last
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: game though, because they just didn't have anything to play for.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: They ran away with the conference. They're the one seed.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: They are actually the best team in the conference. Like
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: I said, I think Southern is the second best team,
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: and then Alabama A and M third, or no, excuse me,
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: I guess according to kem Boon's ring is Grambling A third,
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: then Alabama A and M, and then all the rest
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: of the teams of the conference are outside the top
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: three hundred, including the worst team in the entire country,
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: Mississippi Valley State, who did win two games in conference play. Though.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: Looking at the bracket here, so we have a it's
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: like a double by situation. So the one and the
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: two seeds get the double buys and they're gonna play
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: whoever gets through this mess of the so Bethune Cookman's
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: gonna get the winner of the ten verses eleven verses
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: eight set up here, and the seven verses nine versus
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: twelve winds up playing Florida A and M the two seed,
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: while the three, and then it's like kind of a
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: normal structure after that. So it's almost like those teams
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: play into the seven and eight seeds, and then you
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: have the four and the five, the three and the six,
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: and that's about it. You know, I don't really have
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: a whole lot to say about this one. I mean,
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: you have some real bad games to start out here,
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: Alabama and Alcorn State in the ten to eleven matchup,
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: winner of which will play Prairie View A and M.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Alabama State actually won this conference last year. I mean,
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: that is just a whole mess where really, I think
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: anybody could come out of that mess there. Alcorn State
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: is actually pretty bad though, so I would expect it's
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: probably not them because they're in the bottom like fifteen
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: in the country. So I'm guessing one of those other
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: two teams probably gets out of that mess. Plays Bethune, Cookman,
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: Mississippi Valley State. This is hilarious that Grambling. I just
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: told you that the third best team in the conference
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: and they're in the nine seed. So I think Grambling
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: is probably gonna get through multiple rounds here. Man, I
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna beat Mississippi Valley State and Jackson State probably,
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: even though Jackson State the one thing they have in
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: their pocket is that they played a really difficult out
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: of conference schedule, which I was talking about. But they're
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: three hundred and forty second in the country according to kembom.
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: That's not gonna do it. Man, so I don't see
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: that happening. Grambling, by the way, is the best defense
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: in this entire conference, so that's something they can hang
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: their hat on. Bethune Cookman is second, just a much
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: more balanced team than Florida A and M. Pretty good
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: on the defensive side as well, you know me, I
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: like defense, so and then Alabama State actually not horrible
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: defensively either. So Alabama State actually probably would be my
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: pick to get through to play Bethune Cookman, but I
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: mean that's just a complete guess really. And then yeah, Grambling,
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know how they want them as the nine
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: seed because I think they'll get through. I think they
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: should win these two games here, and then against Florida
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: A and M. Florida A and M is actually pretty
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: bad too outside the top three hundred. I could see
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: Grambling going on a big run here actually, and then
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: Southern is gonna have to take on whoever gets out
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: of this mess here. But Thune Cookman gets a really
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: nice setup though. Texas Southern, Alabama A and M. I
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: mean those teams are Texas Southern has a name recognition
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: in this conference, but they're not that great. I mean,
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: my guess would Bethune Cookman does win this conference, but
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: a lot of times this conference tournament becomes chaotics. So
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: I just think that they have kind of a sizeable
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: edge over most of these teams. You know, I could
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: see it being Bethune Cookman and Southern getting to the final.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: If you really want to complete long shot, I think
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: it would be Grambling. Again, I don't know how they're
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: the nine. See, they're like clearly the most underseeded team
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: in this conference. You actually have odds for this Southern
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: and believe it or not, has the best odds to
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: win this conference. At plus two twenty. You can get
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: Bethune Cookman at plus two thirty. Where's Crambling? Grambling is
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: plus thirteen hundred, Man after Texas Southern at plus nine hundred,
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: Alma A and M plus nine fifty Florida A and
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: M plus nine fifty Pine Bluff, Arkansas, Pine Bluff plus
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: twelve hundred, and then Grambling. I mean again, if you
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: want a really long shot, Grambling would be my choice here.
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: But I do think one of these top two teams
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: is gonna win at and I Bethune Cookman I think
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: is the best team, So getting them at lesser odds there,
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: and I don't think their path is particularly difficult, So
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: you know, I think Bethune Cook would probably would be
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: the shot to fire on, and then Grambling if you
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: want to take a real long shot on that. And
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: then they get to this game against Florida A and
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: M maybe start hedging a little bit or something like that,
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: or if they get they might even get all the
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: way to this game and play. I would guess Southern
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: would probably get through there. So yeah, I mean it's
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: I guess it's kind of an interesting setup. It's just wild.
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: The Grambling is not that bad of a team, and
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: they're just so far down in the conference standings it's crazy.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: But they're you know, they have the best defense in
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: the entire conference and that can carry you pretty far.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: So that's that conference there. What other tournaments we have
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: starting on March ninth? You don't have any? All right,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: let's go to March tenth. We have Conference USA. We'll
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: be up next, which is Liberty and Sam Houston in
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: that conference there where you know me, I think Liberty
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: is pretty overrated. Man. Oh what do you know? I
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: think we actually have the Oh no, we don't. We
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: don't have a the bracket is not filled out on
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: the on the website. There, thanks, Conference USA. Let me
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: bring back up Wikipedia. Then I should just keep Wikipedia up. Man,
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: this USA twenty twenty six tournament. Let's go here. It
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: is all right Wikipedia. I mean the people do a
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: good job. They did not keep this up to date.
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: What the hell, dude, I was gonna say, usually they
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: keep this up to date. Is Conference USA playing today?
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: Do I have to skip it right now? Hold on? So, yeah,
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: I apologize. I might have to do Conference USA after
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: this too. I don't think so. I think the bracket
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: is set. Yeah, I don't think Conference USA is playing today?
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: What the hell, dude? Only yeah, that's what I thought.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: Only the American and then the big conferences are playing today,
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: aside from the conference tournaments that are already in action. Yeah,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: what the fuck? Looking right now? Actually? Hold on? Oh no, yeah,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: that's fine, fine for fine. Yeah, this is just insane.
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: Men's bracket was announced, all right, show it to me.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: Here it is, yeah, and it's all colored. Nice. This
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: is the one that ESPN should link to. Man, all right, yeah,
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: this looks correct. Liberty is the one seed, Sam Houston
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: the two, and then so on. I believe this is correct. Yeah,
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: So there is an opening round in this tournament, and
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: then this is a weird tournament structure actually where it
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: looks like the It's almost like the Horizon Tournament, but
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: it's crazier. So the eight and nine play each other,
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: which is FIU and Missouri State. The winner of that
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: is going to play Liberty. Then the seven to ten
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State in New Mexico State, who I think is
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: a ridiculously underseated team. They just keep losing though. The
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: winner of that plays Sam Houston though, so you know,
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: probably Sam Houston wins that anyway, and then the winner
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: of the Liberty game is going to play the winner
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: of the four or five matchup LA Tech and Middle Tennessee. Oh,
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: by the way, I forgot to measure with the Swack tournament.
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: I forgot. The whole thing is being played outside of Atlanta, Georgia,
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: and it's pretty much all on ESPN Plus up until
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: the final on ESPN two. Just because I shout out
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: where you can find these things. Matthew, what's up man,
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: I'm rooting for Queens Man. Hopefully you're not gonna lose
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: money on how if they lose though, because I told you,
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: from a betting perspective, I thought Central Arkansas would win. Dave,
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man? Thanks for hanging out all right. This tournament,
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: by the way, again, same structure were pretty much all
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: of It's on ESPN. Well, ESPN Plus is carrying the
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: early games, and then it switches over to the CBS family.
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports gets the semifinals. In the finals here, the
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: three six match up will be Western Kentucky and Kennesaon
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: the winner of that game will play the winner of
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: Sam Houston versus the winner of that opening one. So yes, sir,
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: my picks for today are already up on Twitter. I
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: did that this morning, man, but they none of the
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: games have started yet. So I've got uh Nebraska minus
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: the points, San Francisco minus the points in college basketball,
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: NBA have got what were my plays in the NBA,
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: uh Pacers plus the points, and Bucks plus the points,
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: and then I had Chicago Blackhawks puck line and hockey.
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: Those are my plays today. Although I'm limited right now,
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: you know, I'm getting dude, I'm getting pissed because the
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: books are limiting me, like I might have to just
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: like I'm gonna still do my show. But I got
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: to figure out, like what I want to do for
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: my own purposes, you know what I mean? Moving forward?
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: Like I'm still gonna do the show because I'm autistic
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: and I'll give you all all the information, but I
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: don't know. I want to be able to make more money, man,
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: I gotta find something to do. Yeah, high Point, I
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: told you high Point would win that game. Winthrop. Uh
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: you know, Winthrop not a great free throw shooting team,
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: I don't think, but they were particularly bad in that game.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: I believe that game had a couple of crazy swings
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: in it. But let's get this done, man, because I
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: do want to watch the second half of the Queen's
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: game too, and watch Navy versus BU. Since I am
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: a Boston guy and my parents and sister all went
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: to BU, so I'm the bastard of the family who
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: didn't go to BU. But let me see, I didn't
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: go to BC either, though, so they can't hate me
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: that much, all right, Conference USA? Yeah? So I mean
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: Liberty I really think is an overrated team, man. I mean,
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: we can look at ken Pom about this. They are
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: actually still the highest. Actually, I think Sam Houston might
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: be higher rated. Now, Yeah, Sam Houston's won ten According
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: to kemp Palm, Liberty one seventeen. Liberty is the second
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: luckiest team in the country. As I've been talking about,
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: they've been extreme in the luck index here. Whoever jumped
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: them to become number one? I think I faded them
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: with one of my plays yesterday. No, I didn't not
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: go to stone Hill. I'm not a I don't know
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: what do they do. It's like, what are the majors
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: at Stonehill offers? I don't know. I did some summer
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: programs at Stonehill, though, all right, and yeah, Sam Houston,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: I mean they're the more well well rounded team. They're
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: the better defense than Liberty. Liberty is outside the top
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: two hundred defense. Man. I just I don't think Liberty
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: is gonna win this conference, dude, I really don't. Even
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: though they didn't have any conference losses until really late
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: in the season, and some of the losses at the
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: end of the season were because they just didn't care
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: about the game anymore. I don't trust Liberty. Sam Houston
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: is again more balanced. They're slightly worse offensively, but they're
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: the better defense. I could definitely see Sam Houston winning
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: this conference. So I could see this conference being somewhat
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: chaotic too, and again, Liberty was barely getting by a
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: lot of these teams. I'm not even convinced that they're
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: gonna get by FIU versus Missouri State. To be honest,
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: this whole tournament is Huntsville, Alabama, by the way, just
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: so you know it's all a neutral location. Yeah, I
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: mean FIU versus Missouri State. I mean even right away,
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: like those teams are not that bad compared to the
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: other teams in the conference. FIU's in the top two hundred,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: Missouri State's a little bit outside the top two hundred.
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: You know, I could see Liberty even having trouble in
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: this first game. Again, I think New Mexico State is
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: extremely underseated. It's just that they never could seem to
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: win the free throw battle. They're at one two in
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: the country. They're super unlucky. They're facing Jacksonville State right
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: out of the gate. Though Jacksonville State wasn't even that
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: bad either, So, like, I don't even know what to
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: do with this conference, dude. Looking at how the team's order.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: According to Kenbom here, Liberty Sam Houston is first, then Liberty,
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: then there's a little bit of a drop off to
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky, who is actually the three seed. They are
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: the third best team. Then Middle Tennessee was really I
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: think flying quite under the radar. I've been talking about
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: how they're a decent team. Then Kennesaw is actually next,
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: Then New Mexico State, so I guess New Mexico State's
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: like sixth, then FIU. So yeah, it's a pretty interesting setup,
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: I guess. But I do think Sam Houston will get
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: through their first game there Liberty, I mean probably will,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: but I do think these teams, Liberty, I think is
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: gonna run into some problems. Western Kentucky has to face
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: Kenisaw right off the bat too, and that's the third
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: and fourth best teams in the country in the conference
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: pretty much, or third and fifth, I mean, facing off
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: right away there in the three six. Middle Tennessee is
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: up here at the five. Middle Tennessee should beat Latch
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: pretty easily, and then they could be Liberty. Dude. I mean,
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: I think, if you want like a long shot here,
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee might be it because I think, you know,
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee versus Liberty, whoever wins that game, assuming that,
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: assuming it even gets to that, I think Sam Houston.
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: Their side of the bracket is much more difficult. New
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: Mexico State's not bad as a ten seed, believe it
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: or not. They're not that bad. And like I said,
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky and Kennis Are are not even that bad either.
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: So Sam Houston might not get through this thing just
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: they have a more difficult side of the bracket. Let's
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: see what the what are the odds that we have
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: here in this conference? Conference? USA Liberty is plus two hundred,
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: which is not great. Sam Houston plus two ten, Western
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: Kentucky plus six fifty Middle Tennessee right there plus seven hundred,
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: then Kennisaw plus twelve hundred. New Mexico State's all the
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: way down to plus thirty three hundred because they do
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: have to win an extra game in La Tech plus seventeen.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: I don't like law Tech. Man, they're the next best team,
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: I guess actually, yeah, after Jacksonville State. They're next after that,
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: So they're like seventh or eighth in the conference. Yeah,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: I'm not buying that they're an overseed at four seed.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna do anything with this conference, I
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: would actually probably take the shot with with Middle Tennessee
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: at seven to one. I think they could get through
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: this thing. And again Middle Tennessee, I mean, if you
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: look at their defensive rating, they're not actually LA Tech.
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: The one good thing about them is they have a
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: good defense, best defense in the conference in fact. But
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: they also have the second worst offense in the conference.
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: So what do you do with that? I don't know.
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess their defense could be somewhat dangerous,
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: but Middle Tennessee is much more balanced. Western Kentucky has
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: a decent defense, and they're more balanced as well, Sam Houston,
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: like I said, they're more balanced as well. But those
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: teams have to play each other. So yeah, I don't know.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: I I do think, yeah, Middle Tennessee would probably be
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: the value play here rather than looking at one of
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: those other teams that you know are the top two
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference. All Right, People just talk about
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: Liberty too much, man, because they make the tournament so often.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: They're always like this team that everybody kind of like
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: hypes up. And like last year they got absolutely drilled
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: in the first round by who do they play Oregon?
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: Maybe they got absolutely crush dude. So yeah, I don't know,
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: I'm I'm not buying it. I'm not buying liberty. All right,
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: the ACC, I'm gonna wait until tomorrow. I'm probably gonna
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: do the I'm gonna do one of these for the
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: big conferences tomorrow, ACC, Big ten, it looks like those
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: those are all starting on Tuesday, let me see here,
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: and then Big twelve and Conference well Conference USA starts
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: on the same day too. All right, well, what else
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: do we have? We have a few more conferences I
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: haven't talked about. We have the MEAC, which is not
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: an interesting conference. It's as bad as the SWACK basically,
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: or maybe even worse. Look at how ugly this graphic is.
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: Holy crap. This is the MEAC Conference tournament here where
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: it looks like we have only seven teams in it.
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: This is a wild graphic here where they don't do
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: left to right here they did it two sides. Howard
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: is like, by far the best team in this conference,
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: so that's something to keep in mind. The whole conference
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: is bad, but Howard is the only one that's even
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: close to cracking the top two hundred. Howard's still not
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: even very good, to be honest. It's just the rest
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: of this conference is absolutely atrocious. No other team in
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: this conference is even inside the top three twenty. Basically.
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: Norfolk State is next at three twenty one, so I
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: would be kind of surprised if Howard didn't run through
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: this thing. They only have to win like two games
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: to win this thing. Norfolk State starts out playing South
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: Carolina State. I think that's a mismatch as well. South
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: Carolina State is ass They're like in the bottom ten
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: in the entire country. So yeah, Howard, by the way,
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: almost in the top one hundred on deepfense, Like, they
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: are so much better on deepfense than the rest of
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: this conference. It's insane, but I would expect Norfolk State
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: to beat South Carolina State here. Howard should beat them.
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: Morgan State is an absolute fraud, is a two seed.
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: I've been telling you that they're really really bad. They're
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: like a bottom fifteen team in the country, bottom twelve
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: basically in defense. But they're facing an equally bad Delaware
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: State team, if not worse. Delaware State's actually the worst
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: offense in the entire country, but their defense is actually
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: pretty good. So there is the possibility Morgan State bounced
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: right away. I don't trust them at all in the
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: two seven matchup there and then the three six is
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: NC Central and Maryland Eastern Shore NC Central. I don't know, man,
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: I keep thinking NC Central is the better of those
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: teams that it looks like they're really not. I mean
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: they're really they're actually really bad, worse than I thought.
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: Maryland Eastern Shore actually at least as a decent defense
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: compared to the rest of these teams. They're second in
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: the conference and defense. So Maryland Eastern Shore also did
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: I think they gave which team was? They gave some
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: team like a real run for their money in the
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: out of conference Bethune Cookman, by the way, almost beat
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: Auburn early in the season. They took them to overtime.
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: But Maryland Eastern Shore played well. I think it was
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: against Georgia Tech, which isn't that impressive. But yeah, I mean,
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: I don't think there's really gonna be any value to
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: be found, you know, playing any of these other teams here.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: Maryland Eastern Shore, I mean, their defense could carry them
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: into the championship potentially as the sixth seed, just because
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: their defense is better than the rest of these Howard
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: is minus three to end to win the conference. That's
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: how much better they are than the rest of this conference.
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: And this is again Howard is not even good. That's
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: just how bad. The rest of this conference is Norfolk
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: State's plus five hundred, Morgan State plus seventeen hundred. I
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: would absolutely completely avoid them, NC Central plus two thousand,
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: Maryland Eastern Shore plus twenty two hundred if you want,
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: you know, a real long shot with Maryland Eastern Shore there.
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I just see no value in playing this
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: conference at all. I would be really really shocked if
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: Howard doesn't win it. Uh So those are my thoughts
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: on that one. All right. Oh, when I close Wikipedia again,
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: hold on, I'm gonna bring it up just in case
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: I need to use it for more. More of these
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: brackets here, all right, I'm gonna leave the Mountain West
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: for the end of the show because it's a it's
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: a more fun one to talk about. The Big East
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about tomorrow. Actually is the Mountain West?
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: Don I think it is set, so we will talk
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: about that one. I feel like I have to talk
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: about the Mac. Where the fuck is the Mac? Well
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: we'll talk about the Mac close to last two. Why not?
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: Because the Mac, you know, is the one that everybody's
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: gonna be talking about all right, we'll talk about the
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: Big West, which is at the Lee's Family Form in Henderson.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: To that, I kept saying they play in the in
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: uh Las Vegas. Close enough, they play in Henderson. Delaware
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: State Hornets versus Florida A and M Rattlers? Is that
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: who they are? Florida A and M is the way
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: better logo? Dude, I don't like is it even a comparison?
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: Do you want me to bring that up again? Let
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: me see here? Where are we looking here? MIAC Mid
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: Eastern Athletic Conference. Yeah, I would say Florida A and
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: M has got to be it, right if you can
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: see it here? I don't dude, I don't think Delaware
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: States looks that good. The hornet there, it's just kind
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: of boring a red hornet. Florida A and M. Well
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: we have to look at the swack for Florida A
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: and M. But yeah, Florida A and M is definitely
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: better though, dude, although I already close well, I couldn't
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: even bring up well, I can bring up this way.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: Do they have the do they even have the logos here? Actually? Well,
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: you can see it here. This is them Florida A
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: and M. I mean it looks like it needs an update,
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: but I think it's a way better logo the Rattlesnake.
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: It's more intimidating for sure, and plus I like Green
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: so I'm definitely giving it to Florida A. And m
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: all right, what was I talking about? Oh yeah, we're
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: talking about the Big West Conference tournament. I didn't even
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: know who got the one seed here, man, I wasn't
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: paying attention. I think Hawaii lost last night to Long
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: Beach State, so they fell to the two seed. You see,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: Irvine got the one seed. Fullerton is the three. I'm
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: gonna guess they're not gonna win the conference. Northridge got
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: the four. I don't know if I liked Northridge got
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: to cover last night. I think they at least won.
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they covered, but that was one
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: that I almost put on my card. And then we
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: have you see San Diego I think is actually still
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: a threat to win this conference, and Santa Barbara actually
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: probably is to it. They're all the way down to
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: a seven seed. So this conference, the top eight teams
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: get in and the rest of the teams get dropped.
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: So Long Beach I think, even though they went all
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: the way to Hawaii Long Beach, who let me down
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: in their final home game. They went out to Hawaii
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: and they played really well in their final game and
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: beat Hawaii, which is crazy. I think Hawaii, you probably
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: started looking ahead to the tournament. Here. None of these
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: teams are in the top one hundred and ken Bomb
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: Hawaii is close. You see Irvine is close. Actually, you
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: see Irvine is the best ken bomb ranked team right now,
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: but it's close between them. And then you see San
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: Diego actually has moved their way up to the second
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: in ken BOM's rankings here. Then Hawaii is third, then
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: Santa Barbara, like I said, there's still a threat I
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: think in this conference. There fourth. You see Davis's fifth,
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: and those two teams are playing each other in the
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: first round. I think. Then Fullerton is after that sixth,
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: I guess is what that is. And then Northridge is
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: seventh best in the conference. So keep all that in mind.
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: You see Santa Barber is the best offense, they lack
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: on defense. You see Irvine as the best deepfense with
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: their offense kind of sucks. Second best defense is Hawaii,
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: but they are also kind of offensively inept. And then
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: you see San Diego could win this thing. Man, they're
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: the best balanced team. Top those three teams are top
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: one hundred deepfense, and you see San Diego is not
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: as bad on the offense. They won this conference last
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: year and they really struggled early in conference play this year,
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: but they've really moved up. So this is gonna be
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: a tournament where a lot of things can happen. Man,
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: the winner of you see Davis and you see Santa Barbara.
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: I think the winner of that game is going to
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: beat Fullerton, I want to say, because I think Fullerton's
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: just not as good and the team that wins that
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: first game will have a little bit of an advantage
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: because they'll have played a game already and we're playing
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: you know, we're looking at these games are being played
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: in Henderson, Nevada. Like I said, I actually I might
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: have to look at because the graphic that I ever
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: doesn't tell me what the structure is like where these
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: games are on TV looks like it's ESPN plus the
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: first couple of rounds, then ESPN you ESPN two for
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: the finals. So this is kind of a cleaner representation
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: of the bracket here. But it's a really simple bracket. Really,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: it's just that this style works way So this is
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: like that wide style, like the Sun Belt, but this
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: works way better when you only deal with eight teams,
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean? This is kind of more
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: of the ideal bracket. It's just that you have kind
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: of a chaotic conference where a lot of teams didn't
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: like no team really separated themselves. Here. I think you
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: see San Diego easy win over cal Poly. It should
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: be for them, even though I think they might have
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: lost to them once this season. I think they get
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: through north Ridge as well. I don't think north Ridge
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: is that good, and you see San Diego will have
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: a game under their belt, which will then set up
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: a really crazy meeting between you see San Diego and
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: U see Irvine. Then on the other side here, you
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: know what, Hawaii has an easier path here, dude, they
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: really do, because Davis and Santa Barbara, one of them
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: is gonna get bounced right away. Fullerton is not that good,
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: and if they happen to win that game, I think
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: Hawaii almost gets a free pass to the final. Man.
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: I don't want to quite say that, but I think
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: the value actually is gonna be on Hawaii here because
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: you see San Diego and you see Irvine both being
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: on the same side here, and I think they're probably
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: gonna wind up matching up in this semi final. Hearing
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: either one of them could win that game. Although if
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: you want to really go with the long shot here,
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: I think you see San Diego probably does have some
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: value here as well, because they're one of the best
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference, but they have to win three games.
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: Let me see here, Big West, do we even have
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if we have odds on this,
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: Oh we do? You see Irvine is plus one forty,
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: Hawaii plus one eighty five. You see San Diego plus
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: seven to fifty, But they do have the second best,
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: third best odds to win it. Then north Ridge plus
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: eleven hundred, Santa Barbara plus fourteen hundred, Fullerton. This is
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: how fraudulent they are wherever they're seated plus six teen
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: hundred as a three seed. Yeah, good luck with that.
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: I think Hawaii is probably the legitimate shot here. Again,
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: I think they have the softer side of the brackets,
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: so they might be worth a shot. But again I
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: should point out again I've been talking about this on
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: my show recently we're talking about about the futures markets here,
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: But I think the better way to play some of these,
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: or the better way to play a future in these tournaments,
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: is to do it roll over instead. And what that
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: means is you play that team on the money line
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: and then whatever you win on that bet, like make
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: it a smaller bet for each one of these, but
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: you take whatever you win from that bet, you roll
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: it over and bet it again on that same team
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: the next game if they win, you know what I mean,
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: and keep doing that because the payout is actually gonna
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: be more if you do it that way, and you
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: could stop at any point, you know what I mean.
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: But of course, if you do have a future, you
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: can let it ride and then you can potentially hedge
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: it if you're right. So I mean, I'm still not
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: really opposed to it, but I think the rollover approach
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: is actually better if you get what I'm saying, if
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: that makes sense. Mass at Hawaii canceled their home and
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: home football games. I have no thoughts on that U
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: mass is switching conferences, right, They're they're U mass is
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: moving down. Well wait a minute, what U MASS is
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: moving out of FBS football? So I don't. I don't
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: care what they do their FCS. I don't pay attention
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: to FCS at all. And then Hawaii. So wait U
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: Mass and Hawaii we're gonna play each other? Is that
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: what you're saying? That makes no sense. I mean, those
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: wouldn't be games that I would pay any attention to anyway.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: Hawaii is an FBS team and them playing an FCS team,
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: I don't care, dude. U Mass was absolutely pitiful this year.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: They were the worst team in f C f FBS.
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: They were the worst team by far. Anyway, Hawaii, if
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: you want like the legitimate shot to win this thing,
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: I think they're the way to Look here, you see
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: Oravin could certainly still do it, but I think as
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: a longer shot, I think U See San Diego at
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: plus seven point fifty offers a pretty decent amount of
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: value there as well. Those are my thoughts on the
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: Big West Conference tournament there. Okay, so that was one
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: of the ones starting on March eleventh. Then we have
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: the Whack, which is really whacked. They're playing at the
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: Orleans by the way, so they're playing in the same casino,
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: maybe not the same arena, maybe the same arena as
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: the WC saying, because I think the whack might just
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: start after that one's over. This is whack here. This
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: graphic is like covering this whole thing. But this is
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: only a seventeen tournament. There's only a seventeen conference now.
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: So Utah Valley did wrap up the one seed. They
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: had a crazy game last night against Utah Tech, which
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: I think Utah Tech must be invisible. They're the three seed,
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: but I don't even see where the fuck are they here.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: These graphics suck, dude, But yeah, Utah Tech must be
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: the three seed. They played a really crazy game against
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: Utah Tech last night and orseuse against Utah Valley went
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: into double overtime in Utah Valley, I think one by
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: one point. I was watching the end of that. It
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: was wild. Utah Valley is definitely the best team in
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: this conference. I can bring it up here so we
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: could actually see the bracket. Yeah, so Utah Tech is
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: the three seed. That graphic is just ass dude. They'll
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: play the winner of the of that opening game. So
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: there's an opening round game between the six and the seven.
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: Abilene Christian and Tarlatan Utah Tech. I think Utah Tech
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: is not really that good though, and then Southern Utah
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: I think it might be the worst team in this
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: conference and they got the five seeds somehow. All these
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: games are on ESPN Plus until the finals on ESPN two.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: Like I said, the whole thing is being played in
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: Vegas at the Orleans. Utah Valley should win this thing, man,
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know Utah Tech has looked competitive this year,
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: but they're also down on cal Baptist side here Utah Valley.
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: I don't see them losing to whoever wins this four
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: or five game between Arlington and Southern Utah. Cal Baptist
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: is an okay team, but yeah, the whole thing is uh.
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: So it looks like Utah Valley won their injunction though,
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: so congratulations to them, because you remember they're leaving the
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: Whack for the Big West, and I think the Whack
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: should really disband. I mean, they can't really continue with
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: six teams, right, that's ridiculous. And one of those teams
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: gets an auto bit I mean, come on, So, but
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: I like Utah Valley. They're actually legit. They're actually a
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: top one hundred km bomb team, and they're suing the
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: big way. They're suing the Whack because the Whack wasn't
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: going to allow them into this tournament because they didn't
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: pay the exit fee. Utah Valley sued the Whack and
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: now they have a temporary restraining order or whatever. And
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: in this case, the restraining order means that they have
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: that they have to be closer to the Whack because
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: they have to play in their tournament. But they want
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: to it. I think it's good for the Whack, Dude.
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: The Whack wants their best team to get in, right,
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: and that is clearly Utah Valley. Here are Utah Valley,
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: by the way, famed for being the site of the
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: horrendous Charlie Kirk assassination. That's what they're known for now,
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: So that's great. Utah Tech was are you wait what
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: Dixie State? No way, there's no way they were called
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: Dixie State in Utah. But I assume that's a joke anyway.
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: And this is unfortunately, this is sponsored by the Air
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Force Reserve, but whatever. I'm dude, I oh, and sponsored
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: by University Credit Union. Dude. I like to make fun
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: of the sponsors like I do with the bulls. But
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: I've been I've been really slacking on that. I made
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: fun of the barbasol one for whichever conference they were,
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: you know, sponsoring. But other than that, you know, I
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: missed out on that. I gotta get this done so
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: I can watch the rest of this game. It looks
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: like it's a fun game right now. Queen's up one
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: point right now. Man, Wow, you're all over the place, Matthew.
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: You went to Weaver State, all right, fair enough? That
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: is a bizarre It's bizarre. I would expect Dixie State
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: to be in Alabama or something like that. Anyway. Yeah,
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: so Utah Tech is down here underneath the graphic where
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: my cursor is here. So that's how this gra this
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: bracket is set up. Looking at ken Bomb here, good
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: old Ken Bomb. He's got Utah Valley in the top ninety.
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: They're a good team, man, They're pretty balanced. They're a
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: top one hundred defensive team. The best defensive team in
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: the conference is actually as actually ut Arlington, then cal Baptist,
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: then Utah Valley. But Utah Valley is the more balanced team.
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: As far as how good these teams are, it is
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: Utah Valley, then cal Baptists almost in the top one hundred.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: Then there's a decent drop off to u T Arlington third.
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: Then Utah Tech is actually the fourth best team, so
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: they're actually still not horrible as far as this conference
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: is concerned, but it kind of sucks that Utah Valley
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: might actually, you know, they will have to play ut
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: Arlington here probably. I think ut Arlanson should beat Southern Utah.
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: Southern Utah's got awful either. Like I said, they're actually
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: the worst ken bomb team in this entire conference. Utah
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: Valley is going to have to get through ut Arlington.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: They should, but that's not really an ideal matchup for them.
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: Mental though, cal Baptist is gonna have to probably face
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: Utah Tech. I would guess that's not gonna be that
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: easy either. I think we should get Utah Valley cal
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: Baptists in the final as long as we If we
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: do get that, then regardless of which team wins, it's
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: gonna be a first time tournament entry because neither of
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: those programs have ever made the men's tournament. So that's
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: something interesting. Let's see what we got with the with
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: the old odds. Here for the whack, Utah Valley is
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: favored over the whole field at minus one fifty. Cal
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: Baptist plus one ninety, and then U T. Arlington plus
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: eight fifty. No surprise this year, they're all the odds
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: are all in order of how good they are really
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: Utah Tech plus fourteen hundred, and then the rest of
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: the teams are all long shot. Southern Utah extreme long shot,
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: you know, I mean ut Arlington Now that I think
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: about it, I mean, if you really want a long shot,
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: maybe they do have some value at plus eight fifty.
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: I think Utah Valley should get through this thing. Though
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: they are still the better team, they will be favored
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: as long as they can get through Arlington. After Arlington
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: has won an easy game against Southern Utah, it should
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: be theirs. I mean, cal Baptists may be a threat
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: Utah attack. I doubt it, even though they looked good
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: again against Utah Valley last night and they beat them
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: once this year. So maybe Utah Valley doesn't want to
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: face Utah Tech. But these teams all played each other
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: three times during the regular season, two at pretty much
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: because it's a seventeen conference here. But yeah, I this
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: is not one that I would really want to do
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: anything with man as far as this conference is concerned.
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess you could make the argument that
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: cal Baptist has a better path because they avoid ut Arlington,
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: if you want to make that argument. But Utah Tech
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: is okay. But Utah Tech is not a good defensive team.
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: They're the second best offensive team in the in the conference.
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: So and you know, I like defense when it comes
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: to tournament times. So that's that. What other tournaments we
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: got here? We have the Atlantic Ten, unless I want
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: to save that for last, then SEC American is not
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: set yet. We already talked about the MIAC. I'm gonna
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: save the Mountain West for the end of this video.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: All right, Yeah, let's go to the Atlantic ten. Although
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: I haven't talked about the MAC yet. The MAC has
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: got to be somewhere. The Atlantic ten. It's all in
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: the CBS family, I think for the most part, So
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports Network has at least the last two rounds.
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: USA Actually I forgot USA Network carries a lot of
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: this conference. They have all the opening round games. That's
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: like always the case. This is a huge tournament because
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: all thirteen teams get in, which is really stupid. But
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: Saint Bonaventure being the last seeded team in the tournament
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: kind of or excuse, you know, Loyola Chicago is. Of course,
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: Loyola Chicago is. They're the fourteen. There are fourteen teams
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: in Saint Bonaventure being the thirteen is kind of ridiculous,
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: So I think they're better than that. I expect them
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: to at least beat LSAL here. Then they would run
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: into George Mason, who I think is overrated, and they're
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be over hyped after they just blew out
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis last night. Saint Louis has hit a lull
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: at the end of the season. Man, but I think
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: they're gonna turn it on tournament time. They're still a very,
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: very good team and there's still the team to beat
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: in this conference. The problem for Saint Louis, though, is
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: George Washington and Dayton are both on their side of
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: the bracket, and George Washington, I don't know how George
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: Washington is a nine seed. Dude, George Washington is the
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: third best team in this conference. I'm pretty sure them
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: being a nine seed is insane. Let me see kenbom
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: as a Saint Louis fortieth. Now they've really really dropped off.
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: They were in the top twenty five on Ken Palm
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: like pretty much all season, and now they're actually lower
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: than VCU, believe it or not, in Kenbom's rankings. And
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: George Washington, oh no, that's offense, my mistake. Saint Louis
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: is only five ranking spots higher than VCU though, and
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: both those teams are actually very well rounded. They're both
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: very very balanced offense deepense. Although Saint Louis beat VCU twice.
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: But yeah, those are both the top two teams, is
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: no doubt about that. Then Dayton is the best deepense
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: in the conference. They're really they're quite good as well. Dayton.
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: Actually I was wrong. Dayton's actually the third best team
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: in the conference. George Washington is the third best offense,
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: and they are the worth best team in the conference
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: right now. Currna Kempon but really close in ranking to Dayton.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: Then George Mason's really not that far off from that
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: as the fifth team then, believe it or not, Davidson.
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: Davidson is the top one hundred offense or excuse a defense,
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: top one hundred defense, So do Fordham and Rhode Island.
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: Believe it or not. Those are good defenses too, but
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: they just can't score at all. So a lot of
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: things to look at here. Bonaventure is not really close
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: to the worst team in this conference. Like I said,
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: LaSalle and Loyola are easily the worst two teams here,
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: so you know, I expect bonn Adventure to get through that.
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: It's this is a very difficult side of the bracket
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: for Saint Louis though. I mean, Fordham good defensively. George
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: Washington probably will beat them. George Washington almost won at
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis this year, so they are a very very
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: dangerous team here. Dayton is very good. Like I just said,
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: I think Dayton probably wins the against the winner of
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: George Mason, and I assume Saint Bonaventure Dayton probably wins
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: that game, and then you know, I could definitely see
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: this being Saint Louis versus Dayton here though, and then
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be crazy as well. Saint Louis really really
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: is gonna be up against it in this tournament structure, man,
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: So they're gonna be looking probably to get in at
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: large bid here. They're they're gonna have to, dude, if
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: they lose their first game in this tournament, they're actually
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: really really gonna be in danger of missing the tournament.
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: As insane as that sounds, because they've been ranked up
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: until the last game of the regular season. They should
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: not have lost to George Mason. Man, they kind of
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: needed that game, although I told you I kind of
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: liked George Mason to cover that. Even though I think
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: George Mason's been an overrated team all year. They're not
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: too bad really fairly Mallance. To be honest, Ducaine is
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: an interesting team as well. They're not really bad in anything.
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: They're pretty balanced as well. So yeah, Ducaine not bad.
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: And we got on the other side here, VCU has
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: they get the winner of Duquine and Rhode Island, who
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: is a good defense. I kind of think Ducaine will
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: get that one, and then they might give VC a
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: little bit of an issue here. The rest of this
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: side of the bracket is a little bit weaker, though.
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: Saint Joe's being a three is insane being the three seed.
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: They're not that good as you can see here. They're
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: they're like the sixth best team in the conference. They're
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: pretty overrated Saint Joe's. They are going to defense, though,
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: you gotta give them that. They're top almost the top
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: fifty defense. Their offense is extremely weak, though, you know,
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: I think Richmond certainly better than Loyola, probably gets through that. Davidson.
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: I kind of think Davidson gets through this portion of
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: this bracket here, but you know, I'm kind of spitballing here,
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: but Davidson is a good defense and they could kind
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: of ride that through. Although Rhode Island. Wait what are doing?
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: We're talking about Richmond. Yeah, Richmond is just an okay team. Yeah,
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: Rhode Island's up here in this other portion of the
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: bracket here where VCU is. Yeah, this is a crazy bracket.
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: There's way too many teams in it. But yeah, I
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: think Saint Joe's is absolutely not gonna win this thing.
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: VCU the setup for them is a bit better for sure,
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: So I think, look look at towards VCU to get
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: this thing done, and they might even avoid like if
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis could drop out somewhere on this half of
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: the bracket and then VCU might get somebody else in
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: the conference final here, So I don't mind, uh VCU,
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: they might have the best value in this tournament. Let
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: me see here. Yeah, VCU is actually favored to win,
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: so go figure plus were they're not favored against the field,
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: but they have the best odds plus one forty five
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis plus one seventy Dayton plus six hundred because
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: they do have to go through Saint Louis George Washington
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: at plus six sixteen hundred. So, like I said, Saint
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: Louis is on a very dangerous part of the bracket.
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: Man Vcus is somewhat clear. Davidson is at plus two thousand,
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: and Saint Joe's even though they have to play one
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: fewer game than Davidson does, they're worse. They have worse
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: odds to win than Davidson does at plus twenty two hundred,
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: and then George Mason at plus thirty five hundred. I
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: would not go anywhere near them. If you want, you know,
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: a future here, I would say VCU. I think they
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: might get it done. They have the softer side of
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: the bracket. The odds do bear that out them. Maybe
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: the odds aren't quite good enough to do it, but no,
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: I don't mind that. I don't mind. George Washington at
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: plus sixteen hundred is like kind of a main like
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: major long shot there, but or maybe even Davidson at
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: plus two thousand. But each of them is gonna have
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: to get through one of these better teams, so that
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: makes it a bit difficult. Yeah, you know, and I
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: don't love the George Washington just isn't that good on defense.
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm rooting for Saint Louis to make the tournament. Dude,
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: it looked like they were a lot to make the tournament. Like,
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: we don't want Robbie Avila to not make the tournament.
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: A viola to make the tournament. He's got to do it, man,
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis, I think they got to at least get
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: one win here and then I think they probably will
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: be safe to get in. But I don't know, man,
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: We'll see. So that that is a very interesting conference
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: tournament there. All right, let's get through the rest of
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: this here. Let's get it done. We already talked about
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: the MIAC Mountain West I haven't talked about yet. We're
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: gonna get that done. I think the only one we
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: have left, we have, well, the MAC is the only
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: one left. Let's let's talk about the MAC, even though
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: it starts after the after the Mountain West does. Uh,
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: So the MAC. This is all said, every it's all
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: ESPN plus first round and then CBS Sports for the
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: middle rounds here and then the Well for the semi
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: finals and then the finales on ESPN two. This whole
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: thing being sponsored by Credit Union One. There you go,
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: and this is in Cleveland, Ohio. Now the MAC they
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: have a more straightforward tournament structure. The top eight teams
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: get in and they just play a tournament. They play
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: it out. So Miami, Ohio of course got the one seed.
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: I do think Akron is better though, but of course
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: Akron took that one loss at Miami Ohio even though
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: Akron was the favorite. So Akron is the two seed,
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: and then we have Kent State is the three seed.
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: I think they are probably the third best team in
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: the conference, and they did get the three seed. Toledo
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: is the four. Bowling Green good on defense, not good
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: on offense, got the five. Buffalo got in as the seven.
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: Ohio got in is the six. I don't think Ohio
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: is that good. I think Ohio is just gonna go
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: down right away to Kent State. Kent State's better than
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: they are in Ohio, coming up that game against Miami
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: where they went all out. I don't like Ohio to
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: even win a game in this and then my boys
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: at you Mass got in in the eighth number eight spot. There.
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: You Mass was pretty decent at the beginning of the season,
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: and they actually almost beat Miami when they played them.
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: I think they might have played them twice. Actually, You
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: Mass definitely I was rooty for them to get in
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: here because they're definitely not the worst team in this conference,
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: like not even close. Uh So I liked that you
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: Mask got in. I'm looking at the power ratings here
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: on ken Baum, Akron sixty first in the country, so
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: they're number one in the conference. Miami Ohio is down
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: to ninety their second, then Toledo at one thirty six
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: is next, then Bowling Green believe it or not, at
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: one forty eight. Then Kent stayed at one fifty three,
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: so I got that wrong. They've shuffled around a bit,
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: and then every other team is two hundred or worse.
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: You Mass is right at two hundred though, and Bowling
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: Green has the best depfense in the conference, but they're
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: outside the top one hundred, so this is not a
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: very defensive conference. Akron is very good on offense, in fact,
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: better than Miami Ohio, believe it or not. Miami Ohio second,
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: and Acrot is actually better on defense than Miami Ohio
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: as well, and they're the second and third best defenses
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: in the conference. And then Toledo is all offense and
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: they're the third best offense in the conference. There. Buffalo
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: also all offense. Decent on offense, but not really any
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna defense at all. So yeah, looking at this,
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, it almost seems like it's almost assured that
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get Miami Ohio against Akron in the final.
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio does have to play a weird eleven am
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: game though, on Thursday against U mass so you know,
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: we'll see what happens with that game. I'm looking at
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: the odds here. Akron has the best odds so wing.
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: In fact, they're favored against the entire field at minus
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: one ten. And dude, Akron, when they opened, they were
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: like plus one ten or something, so you could have
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: gotten Acrod at plus money. So I would have preferred that,
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: But I think if you want Akron here, and I
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: think Akron is going to in this tournament. They played
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: Buffalo and then they kind of get off easy with
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: Ohio and Kent State on their side. Kent State, they're
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: really not a good defense. So I think Akron has
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: the easier side of this bracket too. You know, Miami
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: has Bowling Green, who is a good defense at least
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: on their side. Toledo gave them kind of a run
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: for their money. Although Toledo, I don't know how good
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: they really are, but you know they're they're actually good
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: on offense at least like I said, and then you
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: mass not really horrible really, So yeah, I think the
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: bracket setup is better for Akron as well. So I
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: think Akron is probably where the value is. I mean,
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: the hype is all Miami Ohio. They're at plus two thirty.
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: You gotta think the public is gonna be taking Miami
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: Ohio here. But again, you could have gotten Akron at
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: like plus one ten when these odds open. So I
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: think if you like Akron, I would probably do a
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: rollover thing again and play them moneyline in every game.
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: But you will be playing them as a favorite all
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: the way up until the final. In fact, even in
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: the final, you'll be playing them as a favorite. So
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: even if it's against Miami Ohio, Akron will be favored
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: in that game. So that's what's going on in this conference.
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: As far as you know, any long shots here. I mean,
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: Kent State is at plus eleven hundred because I like Akron,
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't really like Kent State to get
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: through them. Toledo's at plus twelve hundred, Bowling Green plus
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: twelve hundred, you know, and then you Mass doesn't, well
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: you Mass doesn't have odds because you know it's I'm
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: in Massachusetts, so you can't bet on you Mass. Unfortunately,
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: Queens is winning. Yeah, I dude, I gotta get out
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: of here and watch the end of that. I gotta
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: watch the end of that game. So anyway, that's the MAC. Yeah,
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: I like whatever I said. I like Akron to win it,
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: all right. And then Mountain West is the last one
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: I did, right, Yeah, because I did the whack. I
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: did the A ten. American starts on the eleventh as well,
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: but they're just not finished with the regular isn't all right?
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: Mountain West and then I'll get out of here. The
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: Mountain West, I think is gonna be chaos. Two. This
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: is a pretty solid conference, like it usually is. A
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: few pretty good teams in here. Utah State is the
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: best still at thirty fifth in the country according at kembomb,
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: then San Diego State at forty seventh, New Mexico forty ninth,
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: Boise believe it or not at fifty six, Grand Canon
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: at sixtieth, Nevada seventy sixth, Colorado State at eighty fourth,
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: and Wyoming at ninety eighth, and then UNLV just outside
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: the top one hundred and one oh four. This conference
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: has a lot of teams in the kembomp top one
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: hundred man. This is wild. Utah State did get the
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: one seed. No, I guarantee you Utah State is not
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: winning this conference. There are too many competitive teams in
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: this conference. They're not gonna win it. Nope, not happening.
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: They get I mean UNLV Wyoming right off the bat.
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: The winner of that probably UNLV. UNLV has they beat
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: Utah State I think both times this year, so Utah
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: State is almost gonna immediately run into a team that's
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: given them a ton of problems. They got Grand Canyon
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: on their side of the bracket too, which is, you know,
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: not great. Although San Diego State does have to contend
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: with New Mexico and Boise and Colorado State on their side,
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: so I agree this side is more unpacked here on
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: the San Diego State side. Man, I mean I kind
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: of like Grand Canyon to get through this, you know. Yeah,
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: Like yeah, Utah State side of the bracket is softer.
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna deny that, but I don't know, Man,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: Grand Canyon beat them once this year, gave them problems
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: both games as well. Yeah, I think Grand Canyon might
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: be worth a shot in this one, and then other
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: than that, you know, maybe Boise is a really long
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: shot because they're not gonna lose to San Jose State
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: and they you know, New Mexico. New Mexico is good,
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I don't know. I mean, they are balanced.
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: I keep picturing New Mexico is like this not very
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: good defensive team, but that's not the case this year.
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: They actually are the third best defense in the conference.
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: The best defense is Grand Canyon. They're just not that
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: good on offense. San Diego State's second best defense. You
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: doest State is the best offense, and they are more balanced,
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: you know, me, I don't like offense though, really as
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: opposed to defense, Nevada is actually quite balanced, Boise is
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: very balanced, Fresno actually pretty good on the defensive side,
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: Colorado State really good on offense, and UNLV pretty good
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: on offense as well. This conference is insane, dude, like
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: anything could happen. Really, let me see what the odds
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: are on this. No team is gonna be favored to
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: win this over the field. You doest State is at
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: plus one seventy Yeah, well, good luck with that because
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: they're an underdog against the entire field. They're not gonna
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: win it. Plus, they're not gonna be the most motivated
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: team here because they're gonna make the tournament even if
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: they don't win this conference. When is the last time
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: that the one seed won this conference? Tell me when
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: the one seed like never wins it? And again, these
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: other teams are gonna be more motivated in this tournament
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: because they're all in the bubble. San Diego State at
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: plus three twenty New Mexico plus four or eighty Grand
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: Canyon plus seven hundred Boise plus nine point fifty for
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: the odds here, and then plus sixteen hundred Nevada plus
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: twenty seven hundred Colorado State because they do have to
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: go through an extra game, Wyoming plus forty five hundred,
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: and then UNLV is at plus five thousand. I still
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: think Grand Canyon as kind of a long shot there
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: plus seven hundred. You know, I mean if one of
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: these teams, if San Diego State orn't in Mexico, whatever
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: team wins, if one of those teams wins through and
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: gets to the championship game, that team is going to
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: be dangerous as well, quite obviously. But again, you know, Boise,
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: they do have to play an extra game, but it's
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: basically a bye. They're not gonna lose the San Jose State,
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: So Boising is dangerous. They're not that much worse than
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: New Mexico. San Diego State does set up a little
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: bit better here, Like I think they will take care
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: of business against Colorado State. They are the better defense.
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: So San Diego State at plus three twenty, I don't
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: really hate that either. Getting through this half of the bracket.
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: I would not shock me if Boise gets up gets
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: to the semifinals though, honestly. And then yeah, so I
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: think there was some value there. And then Grand Canyon, Yeah,
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: they will probably have to contend with Nevada. I mean,
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: Nevada will beat air Force. Air Force is god awful,
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: so Grand Canyon will have to contend with Nevada here
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: in Las Vegas. This game, all these games are at
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: the Thomas and Mac which is UNLV's home arena by
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: the way, So UNLV usually kind of makes some noise there.
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: Probably they will at least get a game in this tournament. Yeah,
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: so UNLV plays at home basically, so Utah State gets
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: to have to play them in their home arena. So
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: great there twenty twenty three. Yeah, but how okay, fine,
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: but how often does it happen? San Diego State? This
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: conference is so competitive, dude. This year it's this is
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: one of the most competitive Mountain West slates that I've
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: ever seen, dude, Like, this is an unbelievably competitive conference.
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: Like I showed you the Ken Bomb rankings here. You know,
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: we got like whatever, like five teams within the top
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: like sixty or so and Ken Palm and a couple
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: of teams just outside of that. It's an insane conference.
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: So yeah, those are my thoughts on that. You know,
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: I kind of like Grand Canyon and San Diego State
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: maybe as far as having some money and Boise as
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: far as having some value here, Grand Canyon has to
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: win fewer games though, you know, they might have to
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: beat Utah State. But you know, those are my thoughts
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: on the Mountain West. You know, Utah States side of
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: the bracket isn't as insane as I thought it would be.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: But you know, I still don't think they're gonna get
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: through it. I think picking one specific team to get
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: through it is probably not gonna happen. But I'm looking
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: for value, and I don't think the value is with them,
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: because again, they're the only team in this conference that's
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: likely to get it at large even if they lose.
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: But I guess that'll motivate them in their first game,
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: because as long as they win that first game, I
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: think they're fine. We'll see what happens. The Mountain West
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: seems to always have something insane happening, though. That's gonna
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: do it? Man, all right, an hour long for this one.
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: I thought I was gonna go. Not as long as that,
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna get out of here and watch the rest
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: of these games. Thanks guys. Learn it Towe on Instagram,
• 1:00:44
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• 1:00:47
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• 1:00:51
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• 1:00:56
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• 1:00:59
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• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: is Learned to Toad. You can find it on my
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: link tree anyway on Twitter as well. And then uh,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: I keep saying covered to you. I already said covered
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: to you Loser Cast every Tuesday night. Check that show
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: out too. That's gonna do it. I appreciate it. Thanks, guys.
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: You know I will disagree with everybody, but you know,
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm also a dick. But I appreciate it. Everybody.
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, sticking with me. Let's have some
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: winners today. Peace,