Latest / Best of Business / Nicola Willis: Finance Minister unveils plan to bring down deficit in 2025 Budget
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from News Talks Be follow
- 0:12Speaker 1: this and our wide range of podcasts now on iHeartRadio.
- 0:16Speaker 2: With us as the Finance Minister, Nikola Will this evening, Nicolab.
- 0:19Speaker 3: Good evening, Heather.
- 0:20Speaker 2: Now I see that you're talking about starting to pay
- 0:23Speaker 2: down our debt. Are you going to start paying down
- 0:24Speaker 2: the debt this budget?
- 0:26Speaker 3: Well, the first step to paying down debt is getting
- 0:28Speaker 3: the budget back in balance. Because New Zealand has been
- 0:32Speaker 3: a deficit, spending more than we earn since twenty nineteen,
- 0:35Speaker 3: and we've previously said that we want to consolidate gradually.
- 0:39Speaker 3: Our goal is to get back into surplus by the
- 0:41Speaker 3: twenty seven twenty eight financial year. That goal remains the same.
- 0:44Speaker 2: Okay, So we get back to surplus twenty seven twenty
- 0:46Speaker 2: eight and then we start hammering the debt. Is that right?
- 0:49Speaker 3: That's right, because once you're in surplus, of course you're
- 0:51Speaker 3: no longer borrowing to pay for the groceries and you've
- 0:53Speaker 3: got the ability to pay down debt. Of course, we're
- 0:55Speaker 3: borrowing every day right now to keep our hospitals, schools
- 0:59Speaker 3: and police going. But we can't do that forever as
- 1:01Speaker 3: a country. We need to get the books back in balance.
- 1:04Speaker 2: So what do you reckon is a good level for
- 1:05Speaker 2: debt to sit at?
- 1:07Speaker 3: Well, percent is where I would like to get it too.
- 1:10Speaker 3: I want it tracking down to there. Between twenty and
- 1:13Speaker 3: forty percent is where the government has said is what
- 1:16Speaker 3: we're comfortable with. It's now up over that level, Treasury say,
- 1:21Speaker 3: beyond fifty percent, it becomes a bit of a problem
- 1:24Speaker 3: if we get an earthquake or a climate shock or
- 1:28Speaker 3: any kind of big economic event.
- 1:29Speaker 2: Okay, hold on, So are you saying that when you
- 1:31Speaker 2: leave the role as Finance minister one day, forty percent
- 1:35Speaker 2: will be a good good spot to get it too?
- 1:37Speaker 3: Yeah, well, I want it tracking down to forty percent.
- 1:39Speaker 2: Isn't it only twenty two and a half at the moment.
- 1:42Speaker 3: Yes, that's right, But it's forecast to keep growing while
- 1:45Speaker 3: we're still in deficit. To what my first goal is
- 1:47Speaker 3: to get it bending back down to forty and then
- 1:50Speaker 3: we think it should comfortably sit between twenty and forty.
- 1:53Speaker 2: Okay, And so what is it going to track it?
- 1:54Speaker 2: What is it going to reach? It its height according
- 1:56Speaker 2: to forecasts?
- 1:57Speaker 3: Well, that's what I'm going to tell you at the
- 1:58Speaker 3: budget okay, very budget sensitive figure. And it needs to
- 2:02Speaker 3: be forwarded to dating.
- 2:03Speaker 2: Then you've got to have a stretch goal, right. You
- 2:05Speaker 2: can't be doing like forty three percent down to forty percent.
- 2:07Speaker 2: That's not impressive.
- 2:09Speaker 3: Well, as I say, the first thing is get your
- 2:11Speaker 3: books back in balance, and New Zealand is listening to
- 2:14Speaker 3: this will understand that the first thing to start being
- 2:16Speaker 3: able to pay down your credit card debt is to
- 2:18Speaker 3: actually not be spending more than you earn each week.
- 2:21Speaker 3: And right now New Zealand is spending more every year
- 2:24Speaker 3: than we are earning, and so we have to get
- 2:26Speaker 3: that right. And that's the prerequisite of being able to
- 2:29Speaker 3: pay down debt. And of course labor at every instance
- 2:32Speaker 3: say the answer to every problem is to spend more,
- 2:36Speaker 3: and they forget the fact that right now it's all
- 2:38Speaker 3: on the credit card and that credit card needs to
- 2:40Speaker 3: be repaid by your kids and my kids.
- 2:42Speaker 2: Nicholas is the received bank currently independent of view it is, well,
- 2:48Speaker 2: how did you get them to change their mind about
- 2:49Speaker 2: the capital funding? Once Adrian all left because he was like, no,
- 2:52Speaker 2: I don't want to know, I don't want to do
- 2:53Speaker 2: what you want. He's out the door. Christian and Neil
- 2:55Speaker 2: quickly decide to do what you want, Well, they took.
- 2:58Speaker 3: That decision independent of me. You'll know that there's been
- 3:01Speaker 3: a Select Committee inquiry occurring at Parliament and to the
- 3:05Speaker 3: banking sector, and one of the issues that's been raised
- 3:07Speaker 3: by Omitta after submitter is the impact the changes in
- 3:12Speaker 3: the Reserve Bank's capital adequacy ratios have had on lending.
- 3:16Speaker 3: I think the Reserve Bank has observed that public debate
- 3:19Speaker 3: and in their own words, they've decided it's an appropriate
- 3:22Speaker 3: time to check in and see whether the decisions they
- 3:24Speaker 3: made back in twenty nineteen still stack.
- 3:26Speaker 2: I would agree with you on this, and I think
- 3:28Speaker 2: that they're doing the right thing. But you've got a
- 3:29Speaker 2: problem here, haven't you, Because what's being suggested in the
- 3:32Speaker 2: media today is that Neil Quigley is not independent as
- 3:35Speaker 2: the as the chair because he is with White Cutter University.
- 3:39Speaker 2: He wants you to give him a medical school. Christian
- 3:41Speaker 2: Hawksby is not independent is the acting governor because he
- 3:44Speaker 2: wants the job full time. So he's going to do
- 3:45Speaker 2: what Both of them have interests in doing what you want.
- 3:49Speaker 2: There's the perception problem, isn't that.
- 3:51Speaker 3: Well, I just reject that completely and I think it
- 3:54Speaker 3: impugnes the integrity of both of those people. Well, does
- 3:57Speaker 3: it not lead you to they take their roles more seriously?
- 4:00Speaker 2: But does it not lead you to the point where
- 4:02Speaker 2: it has become obvious that neither of them can hold
- 4:04Speaker 2: those positions?
- 4:06Speaker 3: Well, no, I continue to have confidence in the Reserve Bank,
- 4:10Speaker 3: both the Acting Governor and in the chair of the
- 4:13Speaker 3: Reserve Bank Board.
- 4:14Speaker 2: But even outside of this, do they actually deserve those
- 4:17Speaker 2: positions Because Neil Quigley was there, while Adrian All was
- 4:20Speaker 2: there and that thing was just a complete hot mess,
- 4:22Speaker 2: and so was Christian hawksby right, So they are all
- 4:24Speaker 2: part of the same kabal. Don't you need a proper
- 4:27Speaker 2: clean out?
- 4:28Speaker 3: Well, I'm very pleased that we've started by getting the
- 4:31Speaker 3: funding situation under control and stopping this business of massive
- 4:35Speaker 3: increases and how much the Reserve Bank is spens. Yeah,
- 4:38Speaker 3: I think that will go a significant way to changing culture.
- 4:42Speaker 3: I've also refreshed some of the membership of both the
- 4:44Speaker 3: Monetary Policy Committee and the Board, and I have further
- 4:47Speaker 3: opportunities to do more of that in the next few months.
- 4:51Speaker 3: All of those things are relevant, and I share your
- 4:54Speaker 3: concerns about some of the decisions that the Reserve Bank
- 4:56Speaker 3: made when it was in Cohertz with Grant Robertson and
- 5:00Speaker 3: they printed too much money. Yes, and I have said
- 5:03Speaker 3: previously that I do think is a country we need
- 5:06Speaker 3: to review some of that decision.
- 5:07Speaker 2: But both of these there at the same time, Nichola,
- 5:10Speaker 2: can they continue to hold their jobs if they were
- 5:12Speaker 2: part of that administration?
- 5:14Speaker 3: Well, look, I'm satisfied that the Reserve Bank Board recommended
- 5:18Speaker 3: to me that Christian Hawksby was the best person for
- 5:21Speaker 3: that temporary role while they search for a permanent governor,
- 5:24Speaker 3: and he meets all of the criteria needed.
- 5:27Speaker 2: Okay, now listen, have you caught up on the fact
- 5:29Speaker 2: that you guys are still doing co governance? Are you
- 5:31Speaker 2: aware of this?
- 5:33Speaker 3: Well, I don't think that's quite fair. I think you're
- 5:35Speaker 3: referring to the situation in the way takes Yukland Council
- 5:39Speaker 3: is currently consulting on a proposed interpretation of a deed
- 5:46Speaker 3: and look, that's out for consultation. People will have their say.
- 5:50Speaker 3: None of it, as I understand it would override existing governance.
- 5:53Speaker 2: What have I got wrong?
- 5:54Speaker 3: Statutory?
- 5:54Speaker 2: What have I got wrong? Calling this co governance?
- 5:57Speaker 3: Well, as I understand it, the proposal being consulted on
- 6:01Speaker 3: is not final. First second, I understand it's not intended
- 6:05Speaker 3: to override the existing governance structure or the statutory powers.
- 6:10Speaker 2: What government structures and strategory powers are you talking about.
- 6:14Speaker 3: Well, I'm talking about the fact that the Council is
- 6:16Speaker 3: still the democratically elected Council, that the Crown is still
- 6:18Speaker 3: the democratically elective crown. Well, so that will ensure that
- 6:23Speaker 3: the positions of the Crown and the Council continue to
- 6:28Speaker 3: be represented effectively. Whooped to do?
- 6:30Speaker 2: It's co governance. It's a committee that makes decisions. Fifty
- 6:34Speaker 2: percent of it is tongue's if you know, with fifty
- 6:36Speaker 2: percent is Crown and Council. That is co governance.
- 6:39Speaker 3: Well, look to anyone listening, it's out for consultation right now.
- 6:42Speaker 3: So why are you doing this?
- 6:45Speaker 2: When you guys are elected. You came out against three Waters,
- 6:47Speaker 2: you came out against the new RMA, and it was
- 6:49Speaker 2: implicit in that that you guys were going to stop
- 6:51Speaker 2: the co governance. So why is the same stuff happening
- 6:54Speaker 2: under you guys.
- 6:55Speaker 3: Well, this relates to an Act of Parliament from two
- 6:58Speaker 3: thousand and eight which already sets up a deed and
- 7:01Speaker 3: Auckland Council are currently consulting on how they want to
- 7:05Speaker 3: give effect to that deed. No decisions have been made.
- 7:08Speaker 3: People should have their say.
- 7:10Speaker 2: Are you cool with us?
- 7:12Speaker 3: Well? To be honest, hither, the first I heard of
- 7:15Speaker 3: it was about half an hour ago when my press
- 7:17Speaker 3: team said, heither wants to ask you about this, so
- 7:20Speaker 3: I will be seeking to get more information about it.
- 7:23Speaker 2: In that case, I feel slightly bad coming as hard
- 7:26Speaker 2: at you as I have, But can you go away,
- 7:28Speaker 2: have a look at it, take some advice, come back
- 7:31Speaker 2: to me and let me know if your government is
- 7:32Speaker 2: chill about this, because it would be a huge disappointment
- 7:35Speaker 2: to me if you were. But while we're on the
- 7:37Speaker 2: subject of things that we are discovering now, it seems
- 7:42Speaker 2: to me that what you've given Winston is a picture
- 7:45Speaker 2: of a train? Is that what's happened?
- 7:50Speaker 3: As I said, look, I respect Winston's desire for privacy.
- 7:55Speaker 3: When I gave he told me that birthday, oh he
- 7:58Speaker 3: told you? Okay, yeah, well, then that's absolutely fine. If
- 8:00Speaker 3: he's revealed that information. Then I gave him a vintage
- 8:04Speaker 3: poster from the railways from the seventh and it's pretty cool.
- 8:09Speaker 2: From his heyday. So the thing is, do you realize
- 8:12Speaker 2: he hasn't even looked at it yet.
- 8:14Speaker 3: Well, he looked at it with me in front of him,
- 8:17Speaker 3: but I don't think it's on display or anything.
- 8:20Speaker 2: I don't think it's soaked in, because he said to me, oh,
- 8:22Speaker 2: I was really busy and I was going to go
- 8:23Speaker 2: out the door, and I haven't actually looked at it.
- 8:24Speaker 2: So you might have to get him, might have to
- 8:26Speaker 2: get him back there and looking at it again. Do
- 8:28Speaker 2: you know what I mean?
- 8:29Speaker 3: Anyway, Well, I'm glad that he's got more important things
- 8:32Speaker 3: to do than look at train posters. Hey, can it
- 8:34Speaker 3: be with the world as it is? Right?
- 8:36Speaker 2: No, listen on Winston though, Are you guys going to
- 8:37Speaker 2: support this definition of a woman that he's putting into
- 8:40Speaker 2: a member's bill.
- 8:41Speaker 3: Well, look, we haven't taken that bill to caucus yet.
- 8:43Speaker 3: Our practices that we decide our positions on bills as
- 8:47Speaker 3: a team when bills are pulled from the ballot. For
- 8:51Speaker 3: my part, what is a woman? Well, a woman is
- 8:54Speaker 3: an adult human female. That's pretty clear to me. Let
- 8:58Speaker 3: live person. So how people then choose to self identify,
- 9:03Speaker 3: that's over to them. But the law often needs to
- 9:06Speaker 3: be a bit more black and white than that. So
- 9:08Speaker 3: we just a matter of how does this axually apply
- 9:11Speaker 3: to the law what I'm peple I.
- 9:12Speaker 2: Have Nicholas, thank you for your time. As always, we'll
- 9:14Speaker 2: talk next week about co governance. That's Nicola Willi's Finance Minister.
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