Latest / Elon Musk Thinking / Back in 2013, Old Interview of Elon Musk!!!
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yeah, and I heard a wonderful story of when you
- 0:03Speaker 1: were six years old and you started breaking the rules
- 0:07Speaker 1: even then. So you were six years old and you
- 0:10Speaker 1: were invited by your cousin to a birthday party, but
- 0:13Speaker 1: there was only there were two problems with that. One
- 0:16Speaker 1: you were grounded, and two it was on the other
- 0:19Speaker 1: side of town. So can you explain, tell, tell the
- 0:23Speaker 1: audience how you got there?
- 0:25Speaker 2: All right, Well, I mean this was when I was six,
- 0:27Speaker 2: so the memory is a little fuzzy at this point.
- 0:30Speaker 2: But as I recall, yeah, I was grounded for some reason.
- 0:37Speaker 2: I don't know why, but I think I felt that
- 0:39Speaker 2: was unjust and and I really wanted to go to
- 0:46Speaker 2: this party. My cousin's party, who was five, you know,
- 0:50Speaker 2: is a kid's party. So I at first I was
- 0:59Speaker 2: going to take my bike. But then and I told
- 1:02Speaker 2: my mom this, which is a mistake, and she's she
- 1:07Speaker 2: told me some story about how you needed a license
- 1:09Speaker 2: for a bike and the police would stop me. So
- 1:11Speaker 2: I wasn't harmstead sure if she was that was true
- 1:13Speaker 2: or not, but I thought i'd better walk just in case.
- 1:17Speaker 2: So yeah, just I sort of thought I knew the way,
- 1:21Speaker 2: but it was clear across town. So I don't know
- 1:22Speaker 2: it was ten or twelve miles away. It's really really
- 1:25Speaker 2: quite far further than I realized, actually, And so I
- 1:30Speaker 2: just started walking to my cousin's house and he took
- 1:33Speaker 2: me about four hours. And just as my mom was
- 1:38Speaker 2: leaving that party with my brother and sister, she saw
- 1:41Speaker 2: me walking down the road and freaked out. And then
- 1:46Speaker 2: I saw I saw she saw me. So I then
- 1:49Speaker 2: sprint into my cousin's house and I was just about
- 1:51Speaker 2: two blocks away, and then climbed a tree and refused
- 1:53Speaker 2: to come down.
- 1:56Speaker 1: So the first of many rule briefing adventurest mask. So
- 2:01Speaker 1: by the time you were twelve, you're already an entrepreneur
- 2:04Speaker 1: and making a profit. I understand you earned five hundred
- 2:09Speaker 1: dollars equivalent and rand for creating a video game. Can
- 2:13Speaker 1: you tell us about that and what the inspiration wash?
- 2:16Speaker 2: Yeah, sure, So I when I was about ten, I
- 2:21Speaker 2: walked into a computer store in South Africa and saw
- 2:25Speaker 2: an actual computer. I previously had some some early sort
- 2:30Speaker 2: of precursors to to the Atari system, and then I
- 2:33Speaker 2: got the Atari system, which I'm sure a lot of
- 2:35Speaker 2: people here have played. And and but then so you
- 2:40Speaker 2: can actually have a computer where you can make your
- 2:41Speaker 2: own games. And it was a Commodore VIC twenty. So
- 2:45Speaker 2: I was the first computer I bought, and I got
- 2:49Speaker 2: some books on how to teach yourself programming, and.
- 2:54Speaker 3: This was like the coolest thing I'd ever seen.
- 2:56Speaker 2: So I was just like, this is super awesome, and
- 3:00Speaker 2: uh so start programming games and and then selling games
- 3:04Speaker 2: in order to actually buy more games. So a bit
- 3:09Speaker 2: a bit of a circular thing. So and more games
- 3:11Speaker 2: and better computers and that kind of thing.
- 3:13Speaker 4: Right, So the money wasn't the end goal for you.
- 3:17Speaker 4: It was more a means to an end.
- 3:19Speaker 2: Yeah, basically I'd spend money on yeah, better, better computers
- 3:24Speaker 2: and dungeons and Dragons, modules and things like that, nerd
- 3:31Speaker 2: Master three thousand, basically.
- 3:34Speaker 1: So I understand at that time you were heavily into comics.
- 3:38Speaker 4: I'm curious to know. Did you love iron Man, the
- 3:42Speaker 4: comic Iron iron Man?
- 3:44Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 3:46Speaker 1: Did you ever imagine that you would be the inspiration
- 3:49Speaker 1: for the movie version?
- 3:50Speaker 3: I did not? That was that was that was pretty
- 3:53Speaker 3: That was pretty much. I would say Zerups, I would
- 3:56Speaker 3: have said, zerups, and.
- 3:57Speaker 4: Chance, what kind of kid? Were you? Kid?
- 4:00Speaker 1: You can you look back and see yourself where you
- 4:02Speaker 1: Were you a bit of a lunar kid bookie?
- 4:04Speaker 3: I certainly I wasn't that much of a loaner, at
- 4:08Speaker 3: least not willingly so.
- 4:13Speaker 2: But but I certainly was quite I was very very bookish.
- 4:17Speaker 2: I was reading all the time. So I was either reading,
- 4:21Speaker 2: working on my computer, reading comics, playing Dungeon Dragons, that
- 4:25Speaker 2: kind of thing.
- 4:27Speaker 4: I understand.
- 4:28Speaker 1: Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, that wonderful book by Douglas Adams.
- 4:32Speaker 4: That was a that was a key book for you.
- 4:34Speaker 4: What was it about that book that that fired your imagination?
- 4:38Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 4:38Speaker 2: So I guess when I was in the around twelve
- 4:43Speaker 2: or thirteen, a head company existential crisis, and I was
- 4:45Speaker 2: reading various books on trying to figure out the meaning
- 4:49Speaker 2: of life and or like what does it all mean?
- 4:51Speaker 2: Because it's seeming quite meaningless.
- 4:56Speaker 3: And then.
- 4:59Speaker 2: We haven't have like some books by Nietzs and Schopenhauer
- 5:02Speaker 2: in the house, which you should not read at age
- 5:04Speaker 2: fourteen is bad, it's really negative. So so, but but
- 5:12Speaker 2: then I read the Hitchhack's Guy the Galaxy, which was
- 5:15Speaker 2: like quite positive, I think, and and it sort of
- 5:18Speaker 2: highlighted the an important point, which is that a lot
- 5:22Speaker 2: of times the question is harder than the answer, and
- 5:24Speaker 2: if you can properly phrase the question, then the answer
- 5:27Speaker 2: is the easy part.
- 5:29Speaker 3: And so.
- 5:32Speaker 2: The if to the agree that we can better understand
- 5:36Speaker 2: the universe, then we better know what questions to ask.
- 5:39Speaker 2: And then whatever the question is that most approx approximates,
- 5:43Speaker 2: what's the meaning of life? You know that that's that's
- 5:47Speaker 2: the question we could ultimately get closer to understanding. And
- 5:52Speaker 2: so I thought, well, to the agree that we can
- 5:55Speaker 2: expand the scope and scale of consciousness and knowledge human knowledge,
- 6:02Speaker 2: then that would be a good thing.
- 6:04Speaker 4: Wow, So you're having these deep thoughts of what age
- 6:06Speaker 4: ten fourteen?
- 6:07Speaker 2: Yeah, sort of in the puberty, I guess there's right,
- 6:12Speaker 2: thirteen thirteen through fifteen probably the most traumatic years.
- 6:16Speaker 1: And so by the time you were seventeen, were you
- 6:19Speaker 1: were ready? You were actually left right? I assume you
- 6:22Speaker 1: hatched the plan earlier when you were around fifty fourteen fifteen.
- 6:26Speaker 2: I didn't hatch the plan earlier. Actually I tried to
- 6:28Speaker 2: hatch several plans which they did not hatch.
- 6:33Speaker 1: But by seventeen you were on a plane from South Africa.
- 6:36Speaker 1: You had enough of South Africa, you were ready to
- 6:39Speaker 1: seek new pastures.
- 6:41Speaker 4: Now, why was.
- 6:41Speaker 1: It the United States was your destination? Why not Europe
- 6:45Speaker 1: or somewhere else in the world.
- 6:46Speaker 2: Well, just whenever I'd read about cool technology, you would
- 6:49Speaker 2: tend to be in the United States, you know, or
- 6:52Speaker 2: more broadly North America or including Canada. So I kind
- 6:57Speaker 2: of wanted to be where the cutting edge of technic
- 7:00Speaker 2: algi was.
- 7:01Speaker 3: And of course within the.
- 7:02Speaker 2: United States, Silicon Valley is is the it is where
- 7:07Speaker 2: the heart of things is. So although the time I
- 7:11Speaker 2: didn't know where to looking value wise, it sounded like
- 7:14Speaker 2: some mythical place. So yes, I wanted to come to
- 7:20Speaker 2: the to the US. I try to convince my my
- 7:22Speaker 2: mother or father, who were divorced, if either one of
- 7:24Speaker 2: them would move.
- 7:25Speaker 3: To the United States, then I could then I could
- 7:26Speaker 3: get there.
- 7:27Speaker 2: At one point I convinced my father, but then he
- 7:29Speaker 2: renegged unfortunately, but you.
- 7:32Speaker 4: Had him convinced and then he changed.
- 7:34Speaker 3: You did say yes, and then and then he changed
- 7:36Speaker 3: his mind. Why, I don't know.
- 7:39Speaker 2: I guess he was sort of he was fairly established.
- 7:42Speaker 2: He's an engineer, and he's sort of established in South Africa.
- 7:45Speaker 2: Didn't want to have to go through that again in
- 7:46Speaker 2: another country, right, So you got.
- 7:48Speaker 4: On that plane all by yourself at seventeen.
- 7:51Speaker 2: Uh yeah, so I actually got My mother was born
- 7:57Speaker 2: in Canada, and actually her father was a American, but
- 8:01Speaker 2: unfortunately she didn't get her American citizenship, so then that
- 8:04Speaker 2: broke the link and I couldn't get my American citizenship.
- 8:06Speaker 2: But she was born in Canada, so I could get
- 8:09Speaker 2: I actually pulled up the forms for her and got
- 8:12Speaker 2: her Canadian passport and me too. And then as soon
- 8:15Speaker 2: as within three weeks of my getting my Canadian passport,
- 8:18Speaker 2: I was in Canada, right.
- 8:20Speaker 1: And then you ended up at University of Pennsylvania. Yeah,
- 8:23Speaker 1: I was in physics and business.
- 8:26Speaker 2: Yeah, so I was in Canada for a few years
- 8:30Speaker 2: at Queen's University, got a scholarship to go down to
- 8:34Speaker 2: University of Pennsylvania because one of the downsides of coming
- 8:38Speaker 2: to University of North America was that my parents said
- 8:41Speaker 2: they would not pay for college if it was or
- 8:44Speaker 2: my father said he would not pay for college unless
- 8:46Speaker 2: it was in South Africa. So it was either so
- 8:49Speaker 2: I could have free college in Sotoca or find some
- 8:52Speaker 2: way to pay it here. And fortunately I got a
- 8:54Speaker 2: scholarship at Yupan and and so did did he business
- 9:00Speaker 2: underdual undergraduate business and at Upaen Wharton, And it.
- 9:05Speaker 1: Was there that you came up with this idea of
- 9:07Speaker 1: three main areas that you felt were most important to humanity.
- 9:11Speaker 1: Can you describe how you came upon them? Was it
- 9:13Speaker 1: just one day or the flash of inspiration? These are
- 9:16Speaker 1: the three areas that are important and I want to
- 9:18Speaker 1: concentrate on or how did that? How did that inspiration
- 9:21Speaker 1: come to you?
- 9:23Speaker 3: Now?
- 9:23Speaker 2: I think I was thinking about it for a couple
- 9:24Speaker 2: of years, and during sort of freshman and sophomore year
- 9:29Speaker 2: at Queens and then also at Yupan, and I was
- 9:34Speaker 2: trying to think what would most influence the future?
- 9:37Speaker 3: Uh, you know, were the problems that that we have
- 9:40Speaker 3: to solve?
- 9:41Speaker 2: And and I actually talked a lot to friends and
- 9:47Speaker 2: my housemates and that kind of thing, and dates, which
- 9:50Speaker 2: is not maybe not the best thing. Yeah, I actually
- 9:58Speaker 2: met met a woman at I dated briefly in college
- 10:02Speaker 2: even now it works at Scientific American as a writer.
- 10:05Speaker 2: And uh and and she she related that anecdote that
- 10:08Speaker 2: uh we were on a date.
- 10:10Speaker 3: I was all I was talking about was electric cars.
- 10:14Speaker 3: That was not a bit a winning conversation.
- 10:17Speaker 4: So it was a bit of a monologue.
- 10:18Speaker 3: Was it? Yeah, she said, she said.
- 10:21Speaker 2: The first question I asked her was do you ever
- 10:22Speaker 2: think about electric cars?
- 10:28Speaker 4: So you'll learn from that. That wasn't the best shot
- 10:30Speaker 4: out life.
- 10:30Speaker 3: It wasn't wasn't great. It has recently it's been more effective.
- 10:37Speaker 1: There you go, that's wonderful. Well, we'll get on to
- 10:44Speaker 1: Tesla soon, but I want to I want to go
- 10:49Speaker 1: from from University of Pennsylvania. You ended up in Silicon
- 10:52Speaker 1: Valley and you've described Silicon Valley as Darwinian.
- 10:55Speaker 4: Can you talk about what it.
- 10:57Speaker 3: Was the most positive sense? Really?
- 11:01Speaker 1: Can you elaborate on what that means and why it
- 11:03Speaker 1: had to be Silicon Valley? What what drew you to
- 11:06Speaker 1: Silicon Valley?
- 11:09Speaker 2: Well, uh, well, I was at I was at penn
- 11:14Speaker 2: and there was a professor who who was chairman of
- 11:19Speaker 2: a company in Silicon Valley that was working on advanced
- 11:21Speaker 2: capacitors for use in electric cars, potentially for use in
- 11:25Speaker 2: electric cars. As it turns out there they're way too expensive.
- 11:27Speaker 2: But I thought, well, this is this is really awesome.
- 11:31Speaker 2: Because then I asked if I could get a summer
- 11:34Speaker 2: job because it was in Silicon Valley and working on
- 11:38Speaker 2: technology for electric cars. I thought well, that's that's pretty
- 11:40Speaker 2: much as good as it gets. So I got a
- 11:43Speaker 2: summer job here was in Los Gatos, actually at Pinnacle
- 11:48Speaker 2: Research doing electrolytic electric pastors, which were but they had
- 11:57Speaker 2: the problem was that they used a ruthenium tanglum marks
- 12:00Speaker 2: side and there was I think only a few tons
- 12:03Speaker 2: of ruthenium mind in the world, so not very scalable,
- 12:08Speaker 2: and that you know, they'd sell it to you by
- 12:10Speaker 2: the sort of millogram, so you know that's you know,
- 12:13Speaker 2: there's a problem.
- 12:16Speaker 3: But I had a pretty high energy density.
- 12:17Speaker 2: It's sort of roughly equivalent to a lad Asto battery,
- 12:19Speaker 2: which for a capacitor is huge.
- 12:22Speaker 4: But you ended up then after that at Stanford.
- 12:25Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 12:26Speaker 2: So then I thought, well, Stanford is in Silicon Valley,
- 12:31Speaker 2: sort of epicenter, and so that's where I wanted to
- 12:34Speaker 2: come to Stanford, Berkeley and Stanford sort of Sunnier.
- 12:38Speaker 3: So I like to that's going.
- 12:41Speaker 1: I knew, I understand you were at Stanford University for
- 12:43Speaker 1: a whole two days before you decided, no, it's time
- 12:48Speaker 1: I'm going to do my first startup.
- 12:50Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 12:50Speaker 2: I figured, well, so this is a summer of ninety
- 12:54Speaker 2: five and and I've been working on some Internet software.
- 13:00Speaker 2: So because the three things I though would depict the
- 13:02Speaker 2: world with internet, sustainable energy, and uh space exploration, making
- 13:07Speaker 2: life multiplanetary so the but but on the Internet thing,
- 13:13Speaker 2: I just couldn't figure out how to make enough money
- 13:16Speaker 2: to feed myself, you know, because like if I didn't
- 13:20Speaker 2: make make money, then I would like run out of
- 13:22Speaker 2: food and eye. So that was that was not good.
- 13:25Speaker 2: Uh yeah, literally, So whereas you know, if I was
- 13:32Speaker 2: a student, then I could be teaching assistant and do
- 13:37Speaker 2: do various things and and and do research on electricicle
- 13:41Speaker 2: tech technologies.
- 13:42Speaker 3: That that was my default plan.
- 13:43Speaker 2: But but then I also thought that if I if
- 13:46Speaker 2: I did a PhD a Stanford, then I could I
- 13:49Speaker 2: would spend several years watching the Internet go through this
- 13:52Speaker 2: incredibly rapid growth base, and that would be really difficult
- 13:55Speaker 2: to handle. Like it's like you really wanted to be
- 13:57Speaker 2: doing something.
- 13:59Speaker 3: Growing.
- 14:00Speaker 2: It sort of really seemed like things were going to
- 14:01Speaker 2: take off. Although nobody had made any money on the
- 14:04Speaker 2: Internet at the time. In ninety five, there was really
- 14:06Speaker 2: nobody was making any money on the Internet, and in fact,
- 14:08Speaker 2: even on sand Hill Road, people like watch the Internet.
- 14:11Speaker 3: They were amazingly.
- 14:15Speaker 2: When we try to get funding for a company, and
- 14:17Speaker 2: I think it was November or something of ninety five
- 14:20Speaker 2: there about October November. More than half of the bench
- 14:24Speaker 2: capitalists we met with did not know what the internet.
- 14:26Speaker 3: Was and had not used it.
- 14:27Speaker 4: That's amazing.
- 14:28Speaker 2: Yeah, literally, it's like, isn't that They're literally asking, isn't
- 14:32Speaker 2: that something that the government and universities used?
- 14:34Speaker 3: Like uh for now you know. Yeah.
- 14:40Speaker 2: But then then Netscape went public in late ninety five
- 14:42Speaker 2: I think it was. And then after that, even though
- 14:45Speaker 2: a lot of bench capitals still didn't understand it and
- 14:47Speaker 2: still hadn't used it, they somebody had made money on it.
- 14:50Speaker 4: So now that it was on the radar.
- 14:53Speaker 2: Yeah, so when we went to get funding the second
- 14:55Speaker 2: time we try to get funding, everyone was interested.
- 14:58Speaker 3: Right.
- 14:58Speaker 4: So this company was zip two, that's.
- 15:01Speaker 3: Right, and terrible name.
- 15:03Speaker 4: Yeah. What what was the reason for that name?
- 15:07Speaker 2: Well, we were just incredibly stupid at the time. I
- 15:09Speaker 2: think that's the main reason for that name. And because
- 15:16Speaker 2: we got some ad agency because we thought, well, we
- 15:18Speaker 2: don't know anything about names, so we'll get some ad
- 15:21Speaker 2: agencies to suggest a bunch of options, and then Zip
- 15:26Speaker 2: too seemed.
- 15:26Speaker 3: Kind of speedy. I don't know, what the hell, Why
- 15:28Speaker 3: the hell we chose that stupid name and it has
- 15:31Speaker 3: a digit, It's like, why would you pick it? Because
- 15:33Speaker 3: it could be zip t O, could be a zip
- 15:36Speaker 3: t w O, it could be zip t o O.
- 15:39Speaker 2: So like people like literally spelled the name every variation,
- 15:43Speaker 2: which is bad if you go to U r L
- 15:45Speaker 2: and you don't have the other ones. So so ZIP
- 15:50Speaker 2: two started off as basically, like I said, we're trying
- 15:55Speaker 2: to figure out how to how to make enough money
- 15:57Speaker 2: to exist as a company. And so since there wasn't
- 16:02Speaker 2: really any advertising money being made, we thought we could
- 16:07Speaker 2: help existing companies get online bring their stuff online. So
- 16:11Speaker 2: we developed software that helped bring love the newspapers and
- 16:15Speaker 2: media companies online because a lot of them just didn't
- 16:18Speaker 2: They also didn't know what the Internet was customers, and
- 16:23Speaker 2: even the ones that were aware of the Internet didn't
- 16:24Speaker 2: have a software team. So they were very good at
- 16:27Speaker 2: developing functionality. And so we had as investors and customers
- 16:33Speaker 2: the New York Times company night Ritter or Hearst, and
- 16:37Speaker 2: so we were able to get them to pay us
- 16:39Speaker 2: to develop software for them to bring them online, so
- 16:41Speaker 2: online publishing stuff, and we did maps and directions and
- 16:44Speaker 2: yellow pages and white pages and various other things, and
- 16:49Speaker 2: were developed quite sophisticated technology actually, but it wasn't actually
- 16:56Speaker 2: being employed super well by the media companies, Like we
- 17:01Speaker 2: would suggest ways to use it and then it would
- 17:03Speaker 2: not be used as effectively as it could be.
- 17:05Speaker 3: It was very frustrating, right, Whether you.
- 17:07Speaker 1: Did sell that company successfully to Compac, yeah, right, and
- 17:12Speaker 1: that allowed you to go on and create egg dot com.
- 17:16Speaker 3: That's right, yeah, exactly.
- 17:17Speaker 2: So the Compact had had ulta vista, so I thought,
- 17:24Speaker 2: was combined Altivist and a bunch of other technology companies
- 17:27Speaker 2: and see if that would if that would work, which
- 17:29Speaker 2: it did not, but but nonetheless they they they were
- 17:33Speaker 2: pretty nice guys and bought the company and and that
- 17:35Speaker 2: gave me the capital to to do another company. And
- 17:38Speaker 2: I want, I want to do another company and the Internet,
- 17:40Speaker 2: because I thought we don't really reached the potential that
- 17:43Speaker 2: we could have with with zip too, because we had
- 17:47Speaker 2: really sophisticated software. I mean, our software was sort of
- 17:50Speaker 2: at least comparable to what Yahoo or Excite or others had.
- 17:53Speaker 2: In fact, I mean I thought in some ways it
- 17:55Speaker 2: was better, so but it wasn't because it was all
- 17:59Speaker 2: for through these partners. It wasn't getting properly used. So
- 18:03Speaker 2: I thought, well, I want to do something that could
- 18:06Speaker 2: be more more significant contributor contribution to the Internet. And
- 18:12Speaker 2: so the initial thought was with financial services.
- 18:15Speaker 3: Because money is digital, it's low bandwidth.
- 18:19Speaker 2: At the time, there was you know, most people were
- 18:21Speaker 2: on modems, still on modems.
- 18:23Speaker 3: And because this was late ninety eight early ninety nine,
- 18:28Speaker 3: So this was x.
- 18:29Speaker 1: Dot Com was a precursor to PayPal. Basically you merged
- 18:32Speaker 1: with Confinity and it became PayPal, major success.
- 18:37Speaker 3: Yeah, so it worked out better than we expected.
- 18:41Speaker 2: Yeah, so yeah, Confinity. So initially Confinity and x com
- 18:49Speaker 2: started out from slightly different directions and it converged to
- 18:52Speaker 2: the same point with With x the thought was to
- 18:55Speaker 2: create integrated seat of financial services, so you could go
- 18:59Speaker 2: to one place into all of your financial anything.
- 19:02Speaker 3: And and then as.
- 19:03Speaker 2: A feature, we had the ability to transfer money or
- 19:06Speaker 2: securities or anything simply by entering unique identifier, so like
- 19:09Speaker 2: a you.
- 19:11Speaker 3: Know, email address or phone number or something like that.
- 19:14Speaker 2: And when we were demo the system, the hard stuff,
- 19:18Speaker 2: which was the integration of all the financial services, people
- 19:22Speaker 2: would not be interested in, but they'd be really interested
- 19:24Speaker 2: in it. In being able to transfer money using an
- 19:26Speaker 2: email address. You know, that was actually quite easy, and
- 19:30Speaker 2: so we focused our energy on that.
- 19:32Speaker 3: And although it's.
- 19:33Speaker 2: Easy in principle, what gets really hard is adding security
- 19:39Speaker 2: whiles still keeping it easy to use. That so because
- 19:44Speaker 2: you know, it's like the Willie Loman quote, like why
- 19:45Speaker 2: do people why do you rob banks? Because that's where
- 19:47Speaker 2: the money is, So why do people rob PayPal for
- 19:49Speaker 2: the same reason?
- 19:51Speaker 3: And and so you can, you can dial.
- 19:53Speaker 2: Up the security to a really high level, but then
- 19:56Speaker 2: you're going to make it very hard to use. And
- 19:59Speaker 2: and so the that that was that was one of
- 20:01Speaker 2: the toughest things we wrestled with. And then Confinity originally
- 20:06Speaker 2: started as kind of software for Palm pilots and then
- 20:10Speaker 2: they had a demonstration application with stability to beam money
- 20:13Speaker 2: from one pomp pilot to another using the infrared port.
- 20:16Speaker 2: Yeah people remember that one. Yes, that was big at
- 20:19Speaker 2: one point. And then they had a website sort of
- 20:25Speaker 2: parallel to that were you because once you'd beamed the
- 20:28Speaker 2: infrared tokens, you had to slow then synchronize your pomp
- 20:34Speaker 2: pilot and do the transfer via the website. So but
- 20:38Speaker 2: then people went that interested in the pomp pilot stuff,
- 20:41Speaker 2: but they were interested in the website, so we kind
- 20:42Speaker 2: of converged to the same point and we're quite close together.
- 20:46Speaker 2: So we started to merge the companies and in I
- 20:51Speaker 2: think January or so two thousand, it was very turbulent
- 20:55Speaker 2: period and if the the growth in the company was
- 21:01Speaker 2: was pretty pretty crazy. When we had at the end
- 21:05Speaker 2: of the first sort of four or five weeks, we
- 21:09Speaker 2: had one hundred thousand customers.
- 21:10Speaker 1: It's incredible. Did you anticipate that when you started that?
- 21:15Speaker 3: Definitely did not. And it wasn't all good because.
- 21:21Speaker 2: We had some bugs in the software, and you know,
- 21:25Speaker 2: even if the bug only occurs one in a thousand times,
- 21:29Speaker 2: still I never heard one hundred.
- 21:32Speaker 3: Very angry customers like where my money?
- 21:34Speaker 2: That would be you know, reasonable and reasonable concern that
- 21:38Speaker 2: people that have. And then we had customer service on
- 21:43Speaker 2: University and Avenue in Palo Alto. There were five people,
- 21:48Speaker 2: so when something went wrong customer service phones would basically explode,
- 21:53Speaker 2: and so we had many challenges. And then the various
- 21:57Speaker 2: financial regulatory agencies were trying to shut us down. VI's
- 22:00Speaker 2: in Massacot trying to shut us down. EBA was trying
- 22:02Speaker 2: to shut us down. FTC was trying to shut us down.
- 22:06Speaker 2: There were a lot of battles there.
- 22:08Speaker 1: Wow, it is quite incredible with all that adversity you
- 22:12Speaker 1: conquered and you came out with Yeah, that was one
- 22:15Speaker 1: hundred million, right.
- 22:17Speaker 3: Yeah, it was a close call. We definitely, I mean,
- 22:20Speaker 3: came very close to dying there in two and two
- 22:22Speaker 3: thousand and one.
- 22:23Speaker 1: And what was the reason for that success? What would
- 22:26Speaker 1: you put it down to in that case? How did
- 22:28Speaker 1: you overcome?
- 22:32Speaker 3: Uh?
- 22:32Speaker 2: Well, you know, I think we had a really talented
- 22:34Speaker 2: group of people at PayPal, and a lot of those
- 22:37Speaker 2: people have actually gone on to start many other companies. Yes, know, YouTube, LinkedIn, Yelp, yammer.
- 22:46Speaker 2: It's like quite a long list actually.
- 22:50Speaker 1: So for you personally, there you were with several hundred million.
- 22:54Speaker 1: Were you not tempted just to go on by an island?
- 23:01Speaker 1: What was it the drul of you when I'm getting
- 23:03Speaker 1: at because I know you didn't. Sure what I'm getting
- 23:05Speaker 1: at is, why were you so driven to jump into
- 23:08Speaker 1: the next thing? Well, I was Did you take any
- 23:12Speaker 1: time off?
- 23:13Speaker 2: I did take a bit of time off because after
- 23:18Speaker 2: a PayPal I did reasonably welcome PayPal. It was largest
- 23:22Speaker 2: sholder in the company. So and we were required for
- 23:26Speaker 2: about a billion and a half in stock, and then
- 23:29Speaker 2: the stock doubled, so.
- 23:32Speaker 3: So you know, it did reasonably reason well.
- 23:35Speaker 2: But the idea of like lying on the beach as
- 23:38Speaker 2: my main thing, it just sounds like the worst. That
- 23:41Speaker 2: sounds horrible to me because I would go bonkers. I
- 23:46Speaker 2: would have you know, I would have to be on
- 23:50Speaker 2: serious drugs. I mean, right exactly. I mean it's just
- 23:58Speaker 2: I'd be super duper bored.
- 24:02Speaker 3: So that I mean I like, I like high intensity.
- 24:06Speaker 2: I mean I like going to beach for a short
- 24:08Speaker 2: period of time, but not much longer than like, you know,
- 24:11Speaker 2: a few days or something like that.
- 24:12Speaker 4: Right, So let's talk about the scenes of SpaceX.
- 24:15Speaker 1: I understand it started not as the idea of it,
- 24:18Speaker 1: let's let's start a rocket ship company.
- 24:21Speaker 4: You had a philanthropic idea.
- 24:23Speaker 1: You were really surprised when you find out that NASA
- 24:26Speaker 1: didn't have any plans to go to Mars, and you
- 24:29Speaker 1: came up with this idea of let's put a greenhouse
- 24:32Speaker 1: on Mars. So can you explain how that whole idea
- 24:37Speaker 1: came into being for SpaceX?
- 24:41Speaker 3: Sure?
- 24:41Speaker 2: Well, so when I was thinking of like what I
- 24:45Speaker 2: thought would would affect the world, as a student. It
- 24:48Speaker 2: wasn't really from the standpoint of those are the things
- 24:50Speaker 2: I'll get involved in.
- 24:51Speaker 3: It was kind of more in the abstract, these are the.
- 24:53Speaker 2: Things I think will happen that will affect the world,
- 24:56Speaker 2: but but not that I will be involved in them.
- 24:58Speaker 3: As it turns out I have.
- 24:59Speaker 2: But uh, I always thought that we would make much
- 25:03Speaker 2: more progress than space and it just it just didn't happen.
- 25:09Speaker 2: It was it was really disappointing. So, uh yeah, I was.
- 25:15Speaker 2: I was was really quite bothered by it. So you know,
- 25:19Speaker 2: when when we went to the Moon, we were supposed
- 25:23Speaker 2: to have a base on the Moon, We're supposed to
- 25:24Speaker 2: send people to Mars and that stuff just it just
- 25:28Speaker 2: didn't happen. We went backwards, we got the Space Shuttle,
- 25:32Speaker 2: but the Space Shuttle could only go to low with orbit,
- 25:34Speaker 2: where Saturn five could go to the Moon. Now Space
- 25:37Speaker 2: Shuttle is gone, and so that just seemed like a
- 25:41Speaker 2: really bad thing.
- 25:42Speaker 3: So I thought, well, maybe it was a question of
- 25:49Speaker 3: of they're not being enough attention or will to do this.
- 25:54Speaker 3: But this, this was was this was a wrong assumption.
- 25:58Speaker 3: So I.
- 26:01Speaker 2: So, but that's that's the reason for the greenhouse idea.
- 26:04Speaker 2: It was the thought was if, if, if it could
- 26:08Speaker 2: be sort of a small philanthropic mission to Mars. You know,
- 26:11Speaker 2: so I wasn't I was expecting to lose all all the.
- 26:14Speaker 3: Money that I invested in that. But if we could
- 26:19Speaker 3: send a small greenhouse to the surface of Mars with
- 26:22Speaker 3: with seeds and India hydrated nutrient jail and you hydrated
- 26:24Speaker 3: upon landing, and you'd have this great shot of you know,
- 26:28Speaker 3: little greenhouse with with little green plants with on on
- 26:31Speaker 3: a red background. I thought that would get people excited.
- 26:35Speaker 4: You literally imagined a photograph inspiring.
- 26:38Speaker 3: And you got to sort of imagine the money shot,
- 26:41Speaker 3: if you will.
- 26:44Speaker 2: So so yeah, I think I think, you know, green
- 26:46Speaker 2: plants and the red background would be bad. And and
- 26:50Speaker 2: people tend to get interested and excited about precedents and superlatives.
- 26:54Speaker 2: So this would be the furthest that life's ever traveled,
- 26:56Speaker 2: the first life on Mars as far as we know.
- 27:00Speaker 3: And and I thought, well, maybe that would result in
- 27:04Speaker 3: in a bigger budget for NASA, and and and then
- 27:09Speaker 3: we could sort of resume the journey. That was the
- 27:12Speaker 3: basic idea.
- 27:13Speaker 2: And I spent several months on this actually and went
- 27:16Speaker 2: to Russia three times because I was able to figure
- 27:21Speaker 2: out how to get the cost of the spacecraft low
- 27:23Speaker 2: and the communications and the the greenhouse and all that
- 27:27Speaker 2: to a reasonable number, reasonable meaning several million dollars.
- 27:33Speaker 4: And you have did you actually physically draw the greenhouse
- 27:37Speaker 4: of how you manage that?
- 27:38Speaker 3: Yeah? Actually, I hope we've got that somewhere.
- 27:40Speaker 4: That'd be amazing to see.
- 27:42Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'm sure it looks pretty goofy in retrospect,
- 27:46Speaker 2: but but that's the that's the idea that we had,
- 27:49Speaker 2: and it's so and I spent several hundred thousand dollars
- 27:53Speaker 2: just kind of getting the design worked out and engaging
- 27:58Speaker 2: some companies to come up with the design specifications for
- 28:02Speaker 2: the subsystems. And then but it then came to buying
- 28:08Speaker 2: the rocket, and the problem was that the cost of
- 28:11Speaker 2: rockets is really high. And the lowest cost rocket in
- 28:16Speaker 2: the US at the time was the Delta too, Bowing's Delta.
- 28:22Speaker 3: Two, and that would have.
- 28:24Speaker 2: Been about fifty million dollars. Yeah, and then you still
- 28:30Speaker 2: need to have it like an upper stage from WHI
- 28:31Speaker 2: so probably sixty million all in. And that was and
- 28:34Speaker 2: I wanted to do two of these missions because I
- 28:37Speaker 2: thought if but it just did just one and it
- 28:40Speaker 2: didn't work, then that could have it like the opposite
- 28:43Speaker 2: of effect, Like, look how dumb it is to.
- 28:45Speaker 3: Do to drite?
- 28:46Speaker 4: Did all this money down the drill or an idiot?
- 28:50Speaker 2: So so I wanted to do too, and I just
- 28:52Speaker 2: didn't have enough money to do two complete missions.
- 28:57Speaker 4: So you had a budget of about one hundred million
- 28:59Speaker 4: something like that.
- 29:00Speaker 2: Well, I was hoping it would be less than that,
- 29:01Speaker 2: but but not more than I mean not more than that.
- 29:08Speaker 2: But then, yeah, I guess roughly on that order was
- 29:11Speaker 2: about most of be I mean I couldn't I couldn't
- 29:15Speaker 2: spend much more than that.
- 29:17Speaker 4: So the Russians didn't help you out.
- 29:22Speaker 3: Had three three quite interesting trips to Russia to try
- 29:25Speaker 3: to negotiate purchase of to Russian ICBMs.
- 29:33Speaker 4: Yeah, and did they think you would evil intent?
- 29:35Speaker 3: No, they just thought I was crazy.
- 29:38Speaker 2: But I mean that's not good either if you're buying ICBMs,
- 29:44Speaker 2: but minus the nuke, I mean I think that would
- 29:46Speaker 2: have been a lot more.
- 29:48Speaker 3: So you didn't talk, Luke, No, I mean I didn't.
- 29:52Speaker 3: I got slightly got the feeling that that was on
- 29:54Speaker 3: the table if which which was a very alarming.
- 30:02Speaker 2: But but yeah, that was that was those are very
- 30:06Speaker 2: weird meetings with the Russian military and whatnot. I mean
- 30:12Speaker 2: I think that they thought I was a bit crazy,
- 30:14Speaker 2: but then they thought that they read about paypals.
- 30:16Speaker 3: Okay, it was crazy.
- 30:17Speaker 4: He's got money, he did something right.
- 30:20Speaker 2: Yeah, well and more importantly I could pay him right. Yes,
- 30:24Speaker 2: So that's that's really I mean there. Yeah, it was
- 30:27Speaker 2: remarkably capitalist. Was was my impression of the Russians.
- 30:31Speaker 4: Yeah, right, I have heard that before.
- 30:34Speaker 1: So tell me how what was the turning point from
- 30:37Speaker 1: you know, talking with the Russians and then deciding, Okay,
- 30:39Speaker 1: I'm going to do this, I'm going to set up
- 30:41Speaker 1: a company.
- 30:41Speaker 4: What was that turning point for you?
- 30:43Speaker 3: Well, I guess I.
- 30:47Speaker 2: Had I came conclusion that my initial premise was was wrong,
- 30:52Speaker 2: that in fact, the there's there's a great deal of
- 30:58Speaker 2: will uh you know that there there's there's not such
- 31:01Speaker 2: a shortage, but people don't think there's a way, and
- 31:06Speaker 2: and that if people thought there was there was a way,
- 31:08Speaker 2: or at least something that wouldn't break the federal budget,
- 31:12Speaker 2: then that then people would support it, which in retrospect
- 31:16Speaker 2: I think is actually kind of obvious. Because the United
- 31:21Speaker 2: States is a distillation of.
- 31:23Speaker 3: The human spirit of exploration. People came here from other places.
- 31:27Speaker 2: I mean, it's you know, there's no nation, there's no
- 31:31Speaker 2: I mean, there's no nation that that's more a nation.
- 31:33Speaker 3: Of explorers in the United United States. But but people
- 31:36Speaker 3: need to believe that it's possible. And it's that it's
- 31:38Speaker 3: not you know, it's they're not to give up like
- 31:40Speaker 3: healthcare or something important. You know, it's just it's gonna
- 31:43Speaker 3: be that that that's that's important.
- 31:45Speaker 2: So so I thought, okay, well, then it's not a
- 31:48Speaker 2: question of will, it's it's a question of showing that
- 31:50Speaker 2: there's a way. And and the and I started reading
- 31:55Speaker 2: quite a bit about rockets to try to understand why
- 31:57Speaker 2: they're so so freaking expensive. You know, it's just something
- 32:03Speaker 2: you know, where does the sixty million dollars go for
- 32:06Speaker 2: the delta too? And that's subsequently, now delta two I
- 32:09Speaker 2: think is one hundred, one hundred million dollars or something
- 32:12Speaker 2: even some crazy number. And delta two is I mean,
- 32:17Speaker 2: if that's a relatively small rocket. So if you go
- 32:20Speaker 2: to like a really you know, one of the bigger rockets,
- 32:22Speaker 2: it's anywhere from two hundred to four million dollars anyway,
- 32:27Speaker 2: So so I came conclusion that there wasn't really a
- 32:30Speaker 2: good reason for rockets to be so expensive, and and
- 32:34Speaker 2: and that there could be a lot less and even
- 32:37Speaker 2: in inexpendable format, they could be less and uh and
- 32:42Speaker 2: and that in if one could make them reusable like airplanes,
- 32:46Speaker 2: then the cost of rocketree would would drop dramatically. Costs
- 32:51Speaker 2: of space travel wuld drop dramatically because the the cost
- 32:55Speaker 2: of the fuel was maybe anywhere from point to two
- 32:58Speaker 2: point five percent of the cost of the rocket. You know,
- 33:03Speaker 2: it's kind of like a plane. I mean, how much
- 33:04Speaker 2: is the cost of the fuel and the plane versus
- 33:06Speaker 2: the plane itself. It's at least a too or of
- 33:09Speaker 2: mag two difference. But nobody had really been able to
- 33:13Speaker 2: make a.
- 33:14Speaker 3: Reasonable rocket work so that that But so I thought,
- 33:18Speaker 3: okay that if we can do that, then that would
- 33:20Speaker 3: that would really be the key breakthrough for space travel, right,
- 33:24Speaker 3: But you also said that therefore we have not succeeded
- 33:27Speaker 3: point You've.
- 33:28Speaker 1: Also said that failure was the most likely I would come.
- 33:32Speaker 1: Can you talk about failure in that sense and in
- 33:34Speaker 1: a broader sense of being an entrepreneur and innovator? Why
- 33:38Speaker 1: is failure so important?
- 33:41Speaker 3: Well, I mean, I think I think failure is bad.
- 33:45Speaker 3: I don't think it's good.
- 33:46Speaker 2: But if if something is important enough, then you you
- 33:50Speaker 2: do it even though the risk of failure is high.
- 33:54Speaker 2: And and so I think my advice if somebody once
- 33:57Speaker 2: you start a company is they should bearn that the
- 34:00Speaker 2: most likely outcome is is that it's not going to work,
- 34:03Speaker 2: and they should reconcile themselves to that strong possibility.
- 34:08Speaker 3: And they should only do it if they feel that
- 34:10Speaker 3: they're they're they're really compelled to do it, you know,
- 34:16Speaker 3: because it's it's it's gonna The way starting company works
- 34:19Speaker 3: is like usually the beginning, it's the very beginning, it's
- 34:22Speaker 3: kind of fun, and then it's really hellish for for
- 34:27Speaker 3: a number of years.
- 34:28Speaker 4: You're talked about chewing glass.
- 34:30Speaker 2: Yeah, there's there's a friend of mine who's successful entrepreneur
- 34:36Speaker 2: and started actually his career around the same time as
- 34:40Speaker 2: I did. And he has a good, good, good phrase.
- 34:42Speaker 2: Name is Billy. He said, yeah, you're starting a company
- 34:46Speaker 2: is like eating glass and staring into the abyss. And
- 34:50Speaker 2: and you agree with that generally true, Yeah, and and
- 34:55Speaker 2: and and if you don't eat the glass, you're not
- 34:57Speaker 2: going to be successful.
- 35:00Speaker 4: That's tough medicine. Medicine. So let's move along.
- 35:05Speaker 1: We're going to get down into innovation and motivation shortly,
- 35:08Speaker 1: but I want to just go through your whole business
- 35:11Speaker 1: career first. So shortly after funding SpaceX, you then got
- 35:17Speaker 1: interested in electric vehicles. And I understand you watched the
- 35:20Speaker 1: vigils for the death of the EV one when they
- 35:23Speaker 1: were all smashed. Talk about that and why you felt,
- 35:28Speaker 1: even after founding SpaceX, I have to get involved with Tesla.
- 35:35Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I said, like myntioned electric vehicles goes back
- 35:40Speaker 2: a long time too, you know, goes back twenty scene.
- 35:44Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly.
- 35:46Speaker 2: And in fact, the original reason I came to Silking
- 35:48Speaker 2: Value was to work on electric vehicle energy storage technology.
- 35:54Speaker 2: And I thought that that the big car companies would
- 36:00Speaker 2: developed electric cars because.
- 36:01Speaker 3: Obviously the right move and and and and I thought.
- 36:05Speaker 2: That was indicated when General Motives and uh TO announced
- 36:10Speaker 2: their General Motives doing the e V one, the electric
- 36:14Speaker 2: vehicle one Turner did the Electric GRABH for the original one,
- 36:19Speaker 2: and they made those announcements and then and they prot
- 36:22Speaker 2: those to market, and I thought, okay, well, this is
- 36:24Speaker 2: this is great.
- 36:25Speaker 3: Yeah, we're gonna have electric cars.
- 36:27Speaker 2: GM is gonna obviously do the EV two and three,
- 36:30Speaker 2: and then you know, they just get keep.
- 36:31Speaker 3: Getting better and everything would be cool and uh.
- 36:35Speaker 2: And then when when California relaxed its regulations on electric cars,
- 36:42Speaker 2: GM recalled all of the e V one'es uh and
- 36:46Speaker 2: crushed them into little cubes, you know, which is seem
- 36:49Speaker 2: kind of nutty. So in fact, uh, the people didn't
- 36:56Speaker 2: want their ev ones recalled, and in fact they tried,
- 37:00Speaker 2: if they tried court orders to stop the cars from
- 37:02Speaker 2: being recalled, they held a candle lit vigil.
- 37:06Speaker 3: Okay, at the yard where the cars were crushed. I did,
- 37:11Speaker 3: I did not.
- 37:12Speaker 2: I did not, Well, certainly, I mean it's it's crazy
- 37:17Speaker 2: if I mean, when is the last time you heard
- 37:20Speaker 2: about any company customers holding a candle lit vigil for
- 37:24Speaker 2: the demise of that that.
- 37:25Speaker 3: Product, particularly a GM product.
- 37:31Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, what bigger wake up call do
- 37:35Speaker 2: you need? It's like, it's like, hello, the customers are
- 37:38Speaker 2: really upset about this.
- 37:40Speaker 3: They were really preferred if it didn't get recalled, so
- 37:44Speaker 3: so that that that kind of blew my mind. So
- 37:46Speaker 3: it was like wow, okay.
- 37:50Speaker 2: And then and then we had the advent of lit
- 37:52Speaker 2: them on batteries, which really helped helps the It makes
- 37:57Speaker 2: you know, that's that's one of the key things for
- 37:59Speaker 2: making electric cars.
- 38:00Speaker 3: It's still nothing. And so.
- 38:03Speaker 2: In two thousand and three actually had lunch with one
- 38:07Speaker 2: of the other co founders of the company, JB. Strabel,
- 38:09Speaker 2: who was actually working I think on like a hydrogen
- 38:13Speaker 2: aeroplane or something, and he mentioned to me the T
- 38:21Speaker 2: zero car that was done by AC propulsion. A propulsion
- 38:26Speaker 2: I think consisted of guys, some of whom had actually
- 38:28Speaker 2: been on the EV one program, and they took a
- 38:32Speaker 2: gasoline sports car kind of a kit car, and outfitted
- 38:36Speaker 2: it with with lithiumon batteries considered consumer grade cells, and
- 38:44Speaker 2: they created a car which is which is essentially the
- 38:50Speaker 2: pre coursor of the roadster. And and in fact it
- 38:55Speaker 2: had very similar specifications, so sub zero a sub four
- 38:59Speaker 2: second sero to sixty miles an hour turn, fifty mile
- 39:03Speaker 2: range and also two seater sort of sports car. But
- 39:07Speaker 2: it had but it was quite primitive. It didn't have
- 39:10Speaker 2: a roof one thing at all. And in fact, I
- 39:14Speaker 2: don't know if it had doors, but it didn't have
- 39:18Speaker 2: any safety systems, no airbags, It wasn't home alligated, so
- 39:21Speaker 2: you couldn't sell it.
- 39:23Speaker 3: So in order to sell a car.
- 39:25Speaker 2: In order to create a commercial version of the car,
- 39:27Speaker 2: something that a manufacturer could produce and sell people, there
- 39:31Speaker 2: was a.
- 39:31Speaker 3: Favoit of work that was required.
- 39:34Speaker 2: But anyway, I kept trying to get AC Propulsion to
- 39:36Speaker 2: commercialize the T zero and I said, look, I'm gonna
- 39:40Speaker 2: I'll fund the whole effort. You know, you really need
- 39:44Speaker 2: to do this, and they just they just sort of
- 39:47Speaker 2: refused to do it.
- 39:49Speaker 3: They didn't want to do it. They wanted to make.
- 39:51Speaker 2: A I think the it's what's that they want to
- 39:55Speaker 2: make like an electric sign, which in principle sounds good,
- 39:59Speaker 2: except that would cost seventy five thousand dollars and nobody
- 40:02Speaker 2: wants to buy seventy five thousand dollars on, and and
- 40:08Speaker 2: the technology just was not ready that there was just
- 40:10Speaker 2: no way to.
- 40:12Speaker 3: Make a good value for money proposition.
- 40:19Speaker 1: What was it that compelled you to say I have
- 40:21Speaker 1: to be CEO here and lead this company? Why not say,
- 40:25Speaker 1: you know, I'll help you JB get this get this ruling?
- 40:28Speaker 2: Well, I really didn't want to be CEO of two
- 40:31Speaker 2: companies if I tried really hard not to be actually,
- 40:36Speaker 2: And yeah, so anyway, so ACR Repulsion finally said Okay.
- 40:41Speaker 2: I actually told ac Repulsion, look, if you're not going
- 40:45Speaker 2: to do this, I'm going to create a company to
- 40:48Speaker 2: do this. And they said, well, there's some other guys
- 40:50Speaker 2: who are also interested in doing that, and you guys
- 40:54Speaker 2: should combine efforts and and create a company. And that's
- 40:59Speaker 2: basically how Tails came together. And uh and then we
- 41:06Speaker 2: had like a lot of drama and uh but I
- 41:12Speaker 2: mean I had since I was the you know, I
- 41:16Speaker 2: provided like ninety five percent of the money, so I
- 41:19Speaker 2: could have been the CEO of from day one. But
- 41:21Speaker 2: I really you know, that CEO of two startups at
- 41:26Speaker 2: the same time was not appealing and.
- 41:30Speaker 3: Shouldn't be a feling.
- 41:30Speaker 2: By the way, if anyone's thinking that's a good idea,
- 41:32Speaker 2: it's really terrible idea.
- 41:34Speaker 1: But then again, you know, going back to your trajectory here,
- 41:38Speaker 1: not only did you take ON two, you took on three.
- 41:41Speaker 1: You had an epiphany at Burning Man, I understand, and decided.
- 41:48Speaker 3: Not necessarily what you should pursue, and you came up
- 41:55Speaker 3: with the idea.
- 41:57Speaker 2: Yeah, it's uh, well, you know, the solar is kind
- 42:01Speaker 2: of part of the whole sustainable energy thing. So sustainable
- 42:04Speaker 2: energy you have to have sustainable means of producing and
- 42:08Speaker 2: consuming energy. And so even if you have electric cars,
- 42:14Speaker 2: you have to have the other side of the equation, say,
- 42:16Speaker 2: how do you produce energy in a sustainable way? And
- 42:20Speaker 2: I think solar is the obvious primary means of sustainable
- 42:23Speaker 2: energy generation.
- 42:25Speaker 3: In fact, the Earth is almost entirely sole power today.
- 42:28Speaker 2: That the only reason we're not a frozen ice bowl
- 42:32Speaker 2: at three degrees Calvin is because of the Sun. And
- 42:37Speaker 2: the Sun is responsible for all precipitation, It's responsible for
- 42:41Speaker 2: the vast majority of the ecosystem.
- 42:43Speaker 3: Apart from sort of chemotrophs the bond of the ocean.
- 42:46Speaker 2: So there's just a tiny amount of energy that people
- 42:53Speaker 2: that people.
- 42:54Speaker 3: Consume to power civilization.
- 42:57Speaker 2: It's actually a very tiny amount of energy relative to
- 42:59Speaker 2: the amount of nage that the Sun sends in our
- 43:01Speaker 2: general direction. And so in order to deal with that,
- 43:06Speaker 2: we couldn't in fact, how the entire world was still
- 43:09Speaker 2: of power quite easily.
- 43:10Speaker 3: This is maybe not super obvious to people, but so was.
- 43:13Speaker 4: That the epiphany you had at Burning Man? Was it?
- 43:15Speaker 3: I knew that long and long. I knew that in college,
- 43:17Speaker 3: But what what.
- 43:18Speaker 1: Was the key vision that came to you at Burning Man?
- 43:23Speaker 1: We all want to imagine.
- 43:24Speaker 4: There vision that.
- 43:27Speaker 3: Uh no, it was it was more the the.
- 43:35Speaker 2: I wouldn't say it was a particular perphony. It was
- 43:38Speaker 2: more that I was at Burning Man with with with.
- 43:43Speaker 3: My cousins or to my cousins.
- 43:45Speaker 2: Uh, Peter, he are awesome guys, and they and they
- 43:51Speaker 2: were sort of trying to think what should they do
- 43:53Speaker 2: after there.
- 43:56Speaker 3: After their first startup.
- 43:57Speaker 2: So they did company called ever Dream, which did large
- 44:01Speaker 2: scale management of computers. So if you've got like sixty
- 44:03Speaker 2: thousand computers, it's kind of hard to manage them. So
- 44:05Speaker 2: they wrote they created software that enables companies to do that,
- 44:10Speaker 2: and that company actually got sold to Dell.
- 44:13Speaker 4: So they were looking for a new venture, looking for
- 44:16Speaker 4: your ideas.
- 44:17Speaker 2: Well, I wouldn't say the initially looking for my ideas,
- 44:18Speaker 2: but I actually was trying to convince them that they
- 44:20Speaker 2: should do solou and.
- 44:25Speaker 3: Because I just thought I just thought it was an.
- 44:27Speaker 2: Area that needed people like them here, really good got entrepreneurs.
- 44:32Speaker 2: So and since I was like somewhat over committed, I thought, yeah,
- 44:40Speaker 2: I thought well, and I said like, look, if if
- 44:42Speaker 2: you guys will do a solo company, I'll find you
- 44:47Speaker 2: fight all the funny and you know whatever, guidance, I can,
- 44:51Speaker 2: I will help, I can provide, I do that. And
- 44:55Speaker 2: that's and I thought it was really important that there'd
- 44:58Speaker 2: be you know, good entrepreneurs like them in in sol
- 45:03Speaker 2: solar because it just wasn't wasn't doing very well as
- 45:06Speaker 2: an industry. So and I thought people were kind of
- 45:11Speaker 2: focusing on not the they weren't focusing on the right problem.
- 45:17Speaker 2: The I already sort of thought that the the panel
- 45:22Speaker 2: was the problem, but actually it's it's not. It's it's
- 45:25Speaker 2: a problem, but it's not. It's not the it's not
- 45:27Speaker 2: the most important problem. It's the and and the panel
- 45:33Speaker 2: is somewhat commoditized at this point, so it's you know,
- 45:35Speaker 2: making standard efficiency solar panels is about as hard as
- 45:39Speaker 2: making drywall. It's really easy. In fact, that's the drivewall
- 45:41Speaker 2: is probably harder and bit But what what is a
- 45:47Speaker 2: thorny problem is trying to figure out how to get
- 45:51Speaker 2: solar on tens of thousands, eventually hundreds of thousands of
- 45:55Speaker 2: roof tops.
- 45:55Speaker 4: The logistics part.
- 45:57Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's kind of like you've got to re
- 45:59Speaker 2: roof millions of buildings, right, and then figure out how
- 46:04Speaker 2: the great interconnects work and then manage all those systems. Like,
- 46:08Speaker 2: so if you've got hundreds of thousands or maybe millions
- 46:10Speaker 2: of systems, eventually you've got to manage all these distributed systems.
- 46:14Speaker 2: You have this really complex distributed utility effectively, which I
- 46:18Speaker 2: think actually plays to to their strengths in creating their
- 46:22Speaker 2: price strength in creating really scalable software for managing you know,
- 46:26Speaker 2: hundreds of thousands of computers in a distributed.
- 46:29Speaker 3: Fashion ice right, And that's that's kind of what they did.
- 46:34Speaker 3: And then it's an awesome job.
- 46:36Speaker 2: It was just like I basically would show up at
- 46:38Speaker 2: the board meetings to hear, what's the good.
- 46:40Speaker 3: News this time? You know, it's like, really, you know,
- 46:42Speaker 3: we had like.
- 46:42Speaker 2: Maybe a couple of bad news board meetings, well late
- 46:46Speaker 2: two thousand and eight, there were some bad news board
- 46:48Speaker 2: board meetings, but for the most part, apart from a
- 46:51Speaker 2: few a few times when the macroeconomic conditions were really terrible,
- 46:56Speaker 2: they just did an amazing job with you know, almost
- 46:59Speaker 2: no help for me.
- 47:00Speaker 4: So you've been able to leave in their good hands.
- 47:03Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that is the vast majority of the credit
- 47:07Speaker 2: for for success in that company.
- 47:08Speaker 4: Awesome.
- 47:09Speaker 1: So I'd like to move on to innovation and motivation.
- 47:11Speaker 1: There's been a lot of talk lately about the fact
- 47:14Speaker 1: that innovation is leveling off. We're not making the dramatic
- 47:18Speaker 1: increases or improvements and innovation like we did when the
- 47:21Speaker 1: plane was invented.
- 47:22Speaker 4: You do you agree with that?
- 47:24Speaker 2: And No, I don't agree with that. I don't think
- 47:26Speaker 2: that's true. I think we've we've seen well, and I'm
- 47:31Speaker 2: not sure what time period that is exactly, but we've
- 47:34Speaker 2: seen huge improvements in the Internet and new new things.
- 47:41Speaker 2: I mean, you know, in recent years, Twitter and Facebook
- 47:44Speaker 2: being being pretty huge when people kind of thought the
- 47:46Speaker 2: Internet was done. And you know, I think that there
- 47:52Speaker 2: are some of the things that we're doing, like like
- 47:54Speaker 2: you know, electric cars or a new thing.
- 47:58Speaker 3: And I do think this is pretty significant breakthroughs.
- 48:03Speaker 2: I mean, in genomics, we're getting better and better at
- 48:07Speaker 2: decoding genomes and and being able to write genetics. I
- 48:10Speaker 2: think that's going to be a huge, huge area. I
- 48:13Speaker 2: think there's likely going to be some breakthroughs in artificial intelligence.
- 48:19Speaker 2: And I suspect we will even see the flying car.
- 48:23Speaker 1: All right, Is that is that going to be an
- 48:25Speaker 1: ill and Musk production. No, you're gonna let someone else
- 48:29Speaker 1: do that.
- 48:30Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, I think someone else. I think someone else
- 48:34Speaker 3: is doing that, all right, Okay.
- 48:36Speaker 1: That's another conversation. Do you feel the government is standing
- 48:40Speaker 1: in the way of innovation at all?
- 48:43Speaker 3: Well, sometimes the government.
- 48:45Speaker 2: I don't think the government tends to stand the way
- 48:47Speaker 2: of innovation, but sometimes it can overregulate industries to the
- 48:50Speaker 2: point where innovation becomes very difficult, right, I mean in
- 48:54Speaker 2: the the order industry used to be a great hotbed
- 48:58Speaker 2: of innovation at the beginning of the twentieth century, but
- 49:02Speaker 2: but now there's so many regulations that are intended to
- 49:05Speaker 2: protect consumers. I mean, the body of regulation for cars
- 49:10Speaker 2: could like full you know this room. It's just crazy
- 49:13Speaker 2: how much regulation there is that down to like what
- 49:16Speaker 2: the headlamps are supposed to be like, and the they
- 49:21Speaker 2: even specify the use some of the elements of the
- 49:23Speaker 2: user in her face on the dashboard, which and some
- 49:27Speaker 2: of these are completely anachronistic because they're they're relating back
- 49:31Speaker 2: to the days when you had like a little light
- 49:34Speaker 2: that would illuminate an image, so like we have to
- 49:38Speaker 2: reserve space on the instrument panel of the models for
- 49:42Speaker 2: where all of the.
- 49:43Speaker 3: The indicators like that a car would have. You know,
- 49:46Speaker 3: you've got like these little lights like.
- 49:49Speaker 4: Or whatever.
- 49:50Speaker 2: Yeah, like all these little little things, there's like a
- 49:52Speaker 2: whole bunch of them, and we can't have anything else
- 49:54Speaker 2: in that space, like a, well, how would if we
- 49:57Speaker 2: have one space and render a different graphic.
- 50:00Speaker 3: Oh no, because people are expecting to see him that space.
- 50:02Speaker 3: Like nobody is expecting to see him that space.
- 50:06Speaker 4: Yeah, so you feel you can argue with these regulations,
- 50:08Speaker 4: you just have to Well you.
- 50:10Speaker 3: Can argue with them, but not with great success, and
- 50:15Speaker 3: you can't actually get these things changed. But it takes ages.
- 50:19Speaker 3: Like one of the things we're trying.
- 50:21Speaker 2: To get is like like why should you have side
- 50:24Speaker 2: mirrors if you can have say little video cameras, tiny
- 50:28Speaker 2: video cameras and have them display an image inside the car,
- 50:33Speaker 2: But there are all these regulations saying you have to
- 50:35Speaker 2: have side mers And I went and met with the
- 50:39Speaker 2: Secretary of Transport, like can you change this regulation? Still
- 50:43Speaker 2: nothing has happened. That was like two years ago, you know.
- 50:47Speaker 4: So you're banging your head against a wall here in
- 50:48Speaker 4: a little bit.
- 50:49Speaker 3: It's not easy to get these regulations changed.
- 50:51Speaker 4: So talking to.
- 50:52Speaker 1: Government, President Obama is obviously trying to do what he can.
- 50:56Speaker 1: If you had five minutes with President Obama, what would
- 50:59Speaker 1: you advise him for one, stimulating the economy and entrepreneurship
- 51:04Speaker 1: and creating jobs. Is there one thing that if you
- 51:08Speaker 1: could successfully get through that would be a big stimulus
- 51:12Speaker 1: to think?
- 51:13Speaker 3: Well, I think actually, I think the reality of being
- 51:19Speaker 3: president is that you're actually like the captain of a
- 51:22Speaker 3: very huge ship and have a small rudder because because obviously,
- 51:28Speaker 3: if I mean, if there was a button that a
- 51:30Speaker 3: president could push that said economic prosperity, you'd be like,
- 51:33Speaker 3: they're hitting that button real fast.
- 51:35Speaker 2: Imagine the speed of light by how fast they mentioned
- 51:37Speaker 2: they press that button, because that would be that's called it,
- 51:40Speaker 2: like the reelection button. So so so I'm not sure
- 51:46Speaker 2: how much president can really do. But but I think
- 51:51Speaker 2: I think, you know, I'm generally a fan of like
- 51:56Speaker 2: minimal government interference in the economy, Like the government should
- 52:01Speaker 2: be kind of a like the referee but not the player,
- 52:05Speaker 2: and there should be too many referees.
- 52:09Speaker 3: But but but.
- 52:12Speaker 2: There is an exception, which is when there's uh an
- 52:15Speaker 2: unpriced externality, such as the CO two capacity of the
- 52:20Speaker 2: oceans and atmosphere. So when you have an unpriced externality,
- 52:23Speaker 2: then the normal market mechanisms do not work, and then
- 52:25Speaker 2: govern is government's role to to intervene in a way
- 52:29Speaker 2: that's sensible. And the best word intervene is to is
- 52:33Speaker 2: to put it is to assign a proper price to
- 52:37Speaker 2: whatever the common good is that's being consumed.
- 52:42Speaker 4: And then I know you're saying there should be a
- 52:43Speaker 4: tax on gas.
- 52:44Speaker 3: They should be attack on carbon.
- 52:46Speaker 2: You know, if if the bad thing is carbon accumulation
- 52:49Speaker 2: in the atmosphere, then there needs to be at taxed
- 52:51Speaker 2: on on that, and then we can that will and
- 52:55Speaker 2: then you can get rid of all subsidies and all
- 52:57Speaker 2: everything else. And it seems like logical that you should
- 53:03Speaker 2: tax things that are most likely to be bad rather
- 53:05Speaker 2: than you know, like that's why we tax cigarettes and
- 53:08Speaker 2: alcohol because those those are probably bad for you. Certainly
- 53:12Speaker 2: cigarettes are and so so yeah, so you want to
- 53:22Speaker 2: err on the side of taxing things that are probably
- 53:24Speaker 2: bad and and not tax things that are that are good.
- 53:28Speaker 2: And so I think, given that there is a need
- 53:32Speaker 2: to gather tax for the you know, to pay for
- 53:36Speaker 2: the federal government, we should shift the tax burden too too.
- 53:40Speaker 3: Bad things, and then adjust that that tax of that bad.
- 53:44Speaker 2: Thing according to whatever's going to result in the behavior
- 53:48Speaker 2: that we think is beneficial for the future. I mean,
- 53:50Speaker 2: I think currently that you know what we're doing right now,
- 53:53Speaker 2: which is mining and burning trillions of tons of hydrocarbons
- 53:56Speaker 2: that that used to be buried very deep underground, and
- 53:59Speaker 2: now we're seeking them in the atmosphere and running this
- 54:01Speaker 2: crazy chemical experiment on the atmosphere.
- 54:05Speaker 3: And then you've got the oil and gas companies.
- 54:06Speaker 2: Which have ungodly amounts of money, and you can't expect
- 54:11Speaker 2: them to just roll over and die like.
- 54:12Speaker 3: They don't do that. So actually what they're much preferred to.
- 54:16Speaker 2: Do is spend you know, enormous amounts of money lobbying
- 54:20Speaker 2: and running focused ad campaigns and that kind of thing.
- 54:23Speaker 3: To preserve their situation. You know, it's a lot. It's
- 54:28Speaker 3: a lot like tobacco companies in the old days. I mean,
- 54:30Speaker 3: they used to run these.
- 54:31Speaker 2: Ads with doctors, like a guy with a doctor, you know,
- 54:33Speaker 2: whether the pretending he's a doctor, you know, essentially applying
- 54:37Speaker 2: that smoking is good for you, and like having pregnant
- 54:40Speaker 2: mothers on ads smoking.
- 54:43Speaker 1: You have a message for the climate change skeptics and
- 54:47Speaker 1: and the big oil people.
- 54:51Speaker 3: Well supports climate change skeptic. I mean, like I'm you know,
- 54:54Speaker 3: I like to.
- 54:55Speaker 2: I believe in the scientific method, and one should be
- 54:57Speaker 2: one should have a healthy skepticism of things in general.
- 55:00Speaker 2: And you know, if you're first things from a scientific standpoint,
- 55:04Speaker 2: you always look at things probabilistically, not definitively. And so
- 55:07Speaker 2: I think a lot of times if somebody is a
- 55:10Speaker 2: skeptic in the science community, what they're really saying is
- 55:11Speaker 2: that they're not sure that it's one hundred percent certain
- 55:14Speaker 2: that that this is the case. But that's that's that's
- 55:16Speaker 2: not the point. The point is that is looking from
- 55:20Speaker 2: the other side, So what do you think the percentage
- 55:23Speaker 2: chance is of this being catastrophic for some meaningful percentage
- 55:28Speaker 2: of those population?
- 55:30Speaker 3: Is it greater than one percent? Is it even one percent?
- 55:34Speaker 3: If it is even one percent, why are we running
- 55:37Speaker 3: this experiment?
- 55:39Speaker 4: Called it a Russian roulette. We're playing Russian roulette with
- 55:41Speaker 4: the atmosphere.
- 55:42Speaker 2: We're playing Russian roulette. And then and and as each
- 55:44Speaker 2: year goes by, we're learning more rounds in the chamber.
- 55:47Speaker 3: It's not it's not wise.
- 55:51Speaker 2: So so that's and and what makes it super insane
- 55:54Speaker 2: is that we're going to run out of oil anyway.
- 55:59Speaker 2: Like It's not like there's some infinite oil supply, We're
- 56:01Speaker 2: going to run out of it, so we know we
- 56:04Speaker 2: have to get to a sustainable means of of transportation
- 56:09Speaker 2: no matter what, So why even run the experiment?
- 56:14Speaker 3: So Will's dumbest experiment.
- 56:16Speaker 4: Yeah, so let's move on.
- 56:26Speaker 1: To focus on Silicon Valley. Steve Jobs is it wasn't?
- 56:30Speaker 1: Is a wonderful Silicon Valley icon. Is he someone that
- 56:33Speaker 1: you've admired and what have you learned from Steve's life
- 56:36Speaker 1: and work?
- 56:39Speaker 2: Well, certainly someone I've admired. Well, I did try to
- 56:43Speaker 2: talk to him once at a party, and it was
- 56:45Speaker 2: super rude to me. But I don't think it was me.
- 56:49Speaker 4: I think it's you know, I think you weren't the first, the.
- 56:53Speaker 2: First, no, but but yeah, and I was actually there
- 56:58Speaker 2: with like Larry Page's an old friend of them. I've
- 57:00Speaker 2: known Larry since before he got venture funding for Google.
- 57:02Speaker 2: And Larry was the guy that introduced me to Steve Jobs.
- 57:04Speaker 2: So it's not as like I'm going like entugging on
- 57:06Speaker 2: his coat, like, you know, please talk to me. But
- 57:11Speaker 2: it was introduced by Larry Page. Is not bad, but
- 57:15Speaker 2: I mean he obviously he was an incredible guy and
- 57:17Speaker 2: made fantastic products. That that, you know, and I know
- 57:21Speaker 2: there was like a certain the guy had a certain
- 57:25Speaker 2: magic about him, you know, just sort of that was
- 57:27Speaker 2: kind of that was really inspiring. So I mean, I
- 57:30Speaker 2: think that's that's really great.
- 57:31Speaker 4: Is there is there that magic that you try and emulate?
- 57:34Speaker 3: Uh No, I think Steve Jobs is way cooler than
- 57:38Speaker 3: than I am.
- 57:38Speaker 4: So okay, So.
- 57:42Speaker 1: I'd like to get inside your head a little bit
- 57:45Speaker 1: about you know, when you come up with an idea,
- 57:48Speaker 1: do you doodle it, you know, in a pad of
- 57:50Speaker 1: paper or do you get your iPad out and and
- 57:53Speaker 1: take notes? I mean, when you come up with something new,
- 57:56Speaker 1: you know, and new rocket design or whatever it is,
- 57:59Speaker 1: how does that manifest itself?
- 58:01Speaker 4: Could we see you being creative?
- 58:05Speaker 2: I mean it's more cliche, but it's happens a lot
- 58:07Speaker 2: in the shower. I don't know what it is about showers.
- 58:12Speaker 3: Exactly. Get the camera like, no, I'm just I do
- 58:22Speaker 3: I just kind of stand there in the shower.
- 58:25Speaker 4: Do you have long showers?
- 58:29Speaker 3: Sounds wrong, but yeah I do. There's no running men
- 58:38Speaker 3: epiphanies if that those are those are huge. So yeah,
- 58:44Speaker 3: I think that's yeah.
- 58:47Speaker 2: And and and then there there are sometimes like late
- 58:51Speaker 2: at nights if I've been thinking about something, then I
- 58:53Speaker 2: can't sleep and I'll be.
- 58:54Speaker 3: Up for you know, for several hours.
- 58:58Speaker 2: I think about sort of sitting around the house and
- 59:01Speaker 2: thinking about things, and occasionally I'll sketch something or send
- 59:07Speaker 2: myself an email or something like that.
- 59:09Speaker 3: Right, so we have a.
- 59:10Speaker 4: Question from the audience. Who inspires you or do you
- 59:14Speaker 4: have a mentor?
- 59:17Speaker 3: Well, I don't have a mentor per se, although I
- 59:20Speaker 3: try to.
- 59:21Speaker 2: I try to get feedback from as many people as possible,
- 59:25Speaker 2: and so I have I have like friends, and I
- 59:28Speaker 2: asked them to you know, what they think of this,
- 59:31Speaker 2: that and the other thing. And you know, as mentioned,
- 59:35Speaker 2: you know, Larry's a good Larry Page is a good
- 59:38Speaker 2: friend of mine, value his advice a lot, and have
- 59:43Speaker 2: many other good friends. And so so I think it's
- 59:46Speaker 2: good to solicit feedback, and particularly negative feedback actually because
- 59:50Speaker 2: you know, obviously people aren't don't love the idea of
- 59:52Speaker 2: giving you negative feedback.
- 59:54Speaker 3: Let's listen. It's like some you know, on on on
- 59:57Speaker 3: flogs they do that.
- 59:59Speaker 4: Yeah, Hi, do you deal with negative feedback?
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: Because you've got some tough criticism, especially with SpaceX, you
- 1:00:06Speaker 1: had incumbents like Neil Armstrong even speaking out and saying
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: this is wrong. We don't want you know, commercial companies
- 1:00:15Speaker 1: in space. It's not a place for commerce.
- 1:00:18Speaker 3: So how did you deal with that?
- 1:00:20Speaker 4: And how do you deal with me there in general?
- 1:00:21Speaker 4: Because you've had a lot.
- 1:00:23Speaker 2: Yeah, that was kind of troubling because you know, growing up,
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: Neil Laanstow is kind of a hero, so it's like
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: this kind of sucks too.
- 1:00:30Speaker 3: Yeah, the back, that's a bit of a blow. Yeah.
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean I think in his case, he
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: was somewhat manipulated, you know, by other interests. I don't
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: think he caught White knew what he was saying in
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: those in those congressional hearings.
- 1:00:45Speaker 3: So yeah, okay, and.
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: Talk about you know, it's one thing to have these
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: wonderful ideas in the shower of burning Man, but there's
- 1:00:55Speaker 1: another thing to build, motivate and retain a team of
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: excellent people. Can you talk about some tips and some
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: things you've learned that obviously.
- 1:01:05Speaker 4: Work for you?
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: Yeah, Well, I mean, think about a company. A company
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: is a group of people that are organized to create
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: a product or service. That's a sort of company is
- 1:01:16Speaker 2: So in order to create such a thing, you have
- 1:01:20Speaker 2: to convince others to join you in your effort, and
- 1:01:26Speaker 2: and and so they have to be convinced that that
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: that it's a sensible thing, that it's like that there's
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: at least some some good, some reasonable chance of success,
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: and if there is success, that the reward will be
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: commensurate with the effort involved.
- 1:01:42Speaker 3: And you know.
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: So, So I think that's getting people to believe in
- 1:01:49Speaker 2: what you're doing, uh, and in in you is is important.
- 1:01:55Speaker 2: So in the beginning there will be there will be
- 1:01:59Speaker 2: a few people who do who believe in you or
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: what you're doing. And but then over time, as you
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: may progress, that the evidence will build and more and
- 1:02:10Speaker 2: more people will believe in what you're doing. So I
- 1:02:14Speaker 2: think it's a good idea when creating a company too,
- 1:02:19Speaker 2: to create a tab a demonstration or you know, if
- 1:02:21Speaker 2: it's a product, to have like a good mackup, or
- 1:02:24Speaker 2: if it's even if it's if it's software, to have
- 1:02:27Speaker 2: good demo ware or to be able to sketch something
- 1:02:30Speaker 2: so people can really envision what it's about. Like that,
- 1:02:33Speaker 2: that's try to get to that point as soon as
- 1:02:35Speaker 2: possible and then iterate to make it as as real
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: as possible as fast as possible.
- 1:02:43Speaker 3: Yeah, if that makes sense. Good.
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: Okay, So you're running your CEO of two companies, your
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: chairman of Solar City, talk about time management.
- 1:02:52Speaker 4: How on earth do you do this?
- 1:02:55Speaker 3: Well?
- 1:02:56Speaker 4: Do you get any sleep?
- 1:02:59Speaker 3: Sometimes?
- 1:02:59Speaker 2: Not enough sleep is really great because because if I
- 1:03:03Speaker 2: find if I don't get enough sleep.
- 1:03:04Speaker 3: Then I'm quite grumpy. I mean, obviously I think most
- 1:03:08Speaker 3: people that way.
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: And and also like I try to sort of figure
- 1:03:13Speaker 2: out what's the right amount of sleep because I found
- 1:03:16Speaker 2: I could have I could drop at a certain threshold
- 1:03:19Speaker 2: a sleep and although I'd be awake more hours and
- 1:03:21Speaker 2: I could sustain it, I would get less done because.
- 1:03:27Speaker 3: Mental acuity would be affected.
- 1:03:30Speaker 2: So I found generally the right number for me is
- 1:03:32Speaker 2: around six to six and a half hours on average
- 1:03:35Speaker 2: for night.
- 1:03:36Speaker 4: That's not too bad. And any other tips on average?
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: Any other tips on just managing to run two companies simultaneously.
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: I mean, do you do you find I mean, I
- 1:03:47Speaker 1: know you're up here on Monday Tuesday? Is it all
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: Tesla when you're up in Silicon Valley and all SpaceX
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: Wednesday Thursday.
- 1:03:56Speaker 3: Having a sort of.
- 1:04:00Speaker 2: Having a smartphone is incredibly helpful because that means you
- 1:04:02Speaker 2: can do email during inter social periods like if you're.
- 1:04:05Speaker 3: In a car, you're walking in the bathroom, everywhere.
- 1:04:08Speaker 2: You can do email practically when you're awake, and so
- 1:04:13Speaker 2: that's really helpful to have email for SpaceX and Tesla
- 1:04:17Speaker 2: integrated on my phone.
- 1:04:21Speaker 3: And then and then interest, you have to apply a
- 1:04:26Speaker 3: lot of hours to actual working, actually working. So the
- 1:04:29Speaker 3: way I generally do it is I'll be.
- 1:04:33Speaker 2: Working at SpaceX on Monday and then Monday night, flight
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: to the area, spend Tuesday and Wednesday at the Barrier,
- 1:04:44Speaker 2: then at Tesla, and then fly back on Wednesday night, spend.
- 1:04:48Speaker 3: Thursday and Friday at SpaceX.
- 1:04:51Speaker 2: In the last several months, then I would fly back
- 1:04:54Speaker 2: here on a Saturday and either spend Saturday and Sunday
- 1:04:58Speaker 2: at Tesla or spend Saturday at Tesla and Sunday at SpaceX.
- 1:05:06Speaker 4: And where and where do the boys fit in? You
- 1:05:08Speaker 4: have five sons?
- 1:05:10Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 1:05:11Speaker 4: What did they tag along with dad on some of these?
- 1:05:13Speaker 3: They? I do drag them along in a lot of things.
- 1:05:15Speaker 3: Actually they're remarkably unimpressed by.
- 1:05:21Speaker 2: I wish they would be sort of more interested, But
- 1:05:23Speaker 2: I mean they're only the twins are eight in the
- 1:05:25Speaker 2: triplets for six, so maybe they'll get more more interested later.
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: But do you see one day grooming one of them
- 1:05:31Speaker 1: or several of them to take over your companies?
- 1:05:35Speaker 2: Well, I mean, I think if if they're inclined to,
- 1:05:39Speaker 2: I mean, if they're really interested in working at Tesla
- 1:05:41Speaker 2: or SpaceX.
- 1:05:42Speaker 3: Then I, you know, help them do that.
- 1:05:45Speaker 2: I'm not sure i'd want to necessarily try to insert
- 1:05:49Speaker 2: them into the CEO role at some point.
- 1:05:51Speaker 3: You know.
- 1:05:53Speaker 2: It's kind of like if if if the rest of
- 1:05:56Speaker 2: the team and the board kind of felt that they
- 1:05:59Speaker 2: were the right person, then that would be that would
- 1:06:01Speaker 2: be fine. But I wouldn't want people to feel like
- 1:06:05Speaker 2: I kind of, you know, installed you know, my kid there,
- 1:06:10Speaker 2: And I don't think that would be good for either
- 1:06:12Speaker 2: the companies or the kid, really, but I have I
- 1:06:20Speaker 2: was actually at more point of a school thought that,
- 1:06:23Speaker 2: you know, it's best to give away kind of ninety
- 1:06:25Speaker 2: nine percent or more of one's assets, kind of like
- 1:06:29Speaker 2: the Buffet school of thought.
- 1:06:31Speaker 3: And I'm still mostly of that incline in that direction.
- 1:06:35Speaker 2: But after seeing what happened with Ford and GM and Chrysler,
- 1:06:39Speaker 2: where GM and Chrysler went went bankrupt but Ford did not,
- 1:06:43Speaker 2: and Ford seemed to make better long term choices than
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: the other two companies, and that's in part because of
- 1:06:50Speaker 2: the influence of the Ford family. And I thought, well, okay,
- 1:06:53Speaker 2: there may be some merit in having some longer term
- 1:06:57Speaker 2: family ownership, at least at least a portion of it.
- 1:06:59Speaker 2: So it's it acts as a positive influence. Uh, I mean,
- 1:07:04Speaker 2: this is still something I'm thinking about, but acting as
- 1:07:06Speaker 2: a positive influence in the long terms that the company
- 1:07:09Speaker 2: kind of does.
- 1:07:10Speaker 3: There's proper long term things. And like I'm you know,
- 1:07:15Speaker 3: look at what happened also in Silicon Valley with with
- 1:07:18Speaker 3: HP and I think it's quite quite quite sad, and
- 1:07:24Speaker 3: and that that that to some degrees because there was.
- 1:07:28Speaker 2: Much diminished, uh, influenced by the Hewlett and Packard families.
- 1:07:37Speaker 2: I think they should have prevailed in in their you
- 1:07:40Speaker 2: know where they were opposed to the merger that took
- 1:07:42Speaker 2: place at one point, and I think they were right.
- 1:07:45Speaker 4: Actually, I'm keeping and looking to the future for SpaceX.
- 1:07:50Speaker 4: Is there an I P O plan for this year?
- 1:07:52Speaker 3: No, there's no idea of plan. Let's say, running a
- 1:07:57Speaker 3: public company does does have a strong so you're not
- 1:08:01Speaker 3: in a hurry.
- 1:08:03Speaker 2: No, I mean, in the case of Tesla and SpaceX,
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: we had to raise capital, and and we had kind
- 1:08:14Speaker 2: of complex equity structure that needed to be resolved by
- 1:08:17Speaker 2: by going public, and and so so I thought we
- 1:08:23Speaker 2: kind of needed to do that in those two cases.
- 1:08:26Speaker 2: We don't have to do that in SpaceX. I think
- 1:08:28Speaker 2: there's a good chance well, at some point in the future.
- 1:08:31Speaker 2: But but SpaceX's objectives are super long term, and the
- 1:08:36Speaker 2: market is is not. So I'm a bit worried that
- 1:08:39Speaker 2: if we did go public, certainly if we're in public
- 1:08:42Speaker 2: too soon, that that market pressure would force us to
- 1:08:46Speaker 2: do a short term things and abandoned kind of long
- 1:08:50Speaker 2: term projects.
- 1:08:52Speaker 3: Right, very long term.
- 1:08:54Speaker 1: Yes, that's an important one. So you do have other
- 1:08:56Speaker 1: projects on the back burner. You've talked about the hyper loop,
- 1:09:01Speaker 1: a way of getting people from downtown LA to downtown
- 1:09:04Speaker 1: San Francisco on under half an hour, and the electric
- 1:09:07Speaker 1: supersonic airplane. Yeah, which of those two are bubbling up
- 1:09:11Speaker 1: that we might hear more about in their future.
- 1:09:14Speaker 3: Well, I did promise that I'd.
- 1:09:18Speaker 2: Do some paper on the on the hyperloop idea, and
- 1:09:23Speaker 2: things got a little a little hectic towards the end
- 1:09:26Speaker 2: last year because it had I had these I committed
- 1:09:30Speaker 2: to to make these milestones at Tesla to to the
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: public markets, and I had to stay true to that obligation,
- 1:09:38Speaker 2: which required just just an insane level of work and attention.
- 1:09:44Speaker 3: And uh.
- 1:09:45Speaker 2: And then we also had the Solar City i PO,
- 1:09:47Speaker 2: which was a very difficult i PO to get done.
- 1:09:51Speaker 2: And that IPIO occurred just by the skin of its teeth,
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: and there was so so such a tough one.
- 1:09:56Speaker 4: We you just determined it had to be in December.
- 1:10:00Speaker 2: Well, if it wasn't in December, it would mean pushing
- 1:10:05Speaker 2: it out, you know, quite a bit. And and the
- 1:10:10Speaker 2: problem is that we'd already pushed it out quite a bit.
- 1:10:12Speaker 2: So if we didn't go public, we'd have to do
- 1:10:14Speaker 2: a private.
- 1:10:14Speaker 3: Round and then and it just the whole thing wouldn't
- 1:10:19Speaker 3: feel right. You know. It's like you're sitting at the
- 1:10:22Speaker 3: it's like your spirit, you know, at the at the altar,
- 1:10:25Speaker 3: and you don't do the do the wedding.
- 1:10:28Speaker 2: It's like it's a bit awkward, to say the least.
- 1:10:33Speaker 2: So we really needed, we really needed to do it.
- 1:10:36Speaker 2: And and and I think if we hadn't done if
- 1:10:39Speaker 2: you would have looked at it as a failure, and
- 1:10:41Speaker 2: it would have been good because there's just been too
- 1:10:44Speaker 2: many failures in the solar or too many not enough
- 1:10:47Speaker 2: success let's say in the solar arena.
- 1:10:49Speaker 3: They needed to be sort of, we need to choke
- 1:10:51Speaker 3: up with success and.
- 1:10:52Speaker 4: A rare piece of sunshine for the solar ironically, for.
- 1:10:56Speaker 3: A solar industry does not have a lot of that.
- 1:10:58Speaker 1: Yes, so is time on for only for the last question.
- 1:11:01Speaker 1: You've come a long way since you were that six
- 1:11:04Speaker 1: year old little boy breaking the rules. You turn forty
- 1:11:08Speaker 1: two this year, right, what is on the cards? Or
- 1:11:12Speaker 1: do you where do you see yourself in ten years time,
- 1:11:15Speaker 1: twenty years time, forty years time? Because you famously said
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: you want to die on Mars just not unimpact.
- 1:11:21Speaker 3: Right exactly?
- 1:11:26Speaker 4: Tell us about that dream?
- 1:11:30Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I actually ask by journalists do you want
- 1:11:33Speaker 2: to die on Wis and I said yes, but wait,
- 1:11:36Speaker 2: no impact just too clear.
- 1:11:37Speaker 3: This is that's one of the possibilities. So yeah, so, uh,
- 1:11:47Speaker 3: I guess.
- 1:11:49Speaker 2: I mean I'd like to be able to go to
- 1:11:51Speaker 2: Mars while I'm so able to manage the journey regionally.
- 1:11:56Speaker 3: Well, so I think, like, I don't have to be
- 1:11:58Speaker 3: like seventy five and go to Mas.
- 1:12:00Speaker 4: You don't take your zimmer frame with you, right, you know, it.
- 1:12:04Speaker 2: Could be, at least in the beginning, could be, you know,
- 1:12:07Speaker 2: mildly arduous. So I wanted to, I'd like to, I'd
- 1:12:11Speaker 2: like to get there.
- 1:12:14Speaker 3: I don't know. I mean, ideally in my fifties that
- 1:12:16Speaker 3: would be. That'll be kind of cool.
- 1:12:18Speaker 4: So you see that happening, and then well.
- 1:12:20Speaker 2: I mean, I aspire to make that happen. And I
- 1:12:24Speaker 2: can see the potential for that happening. And I'm not
- 1:12:30Speaker 2: saying it will happen, but I think it can happen.
- 1:12:36Speaker 2: I'll try to make it happen, right, ladies and gentlemen,