Latest / Engineering Matters / #286 AI In the Real World
Transcript
- 0:09The group that I'm particularly
- 0:11focused on, really, is the
- 0:14convergence of
- 0:16response to applications and transformation.
- 0:21So how do we actually take this technology,
- 0:24not just at a high level or as
- 0:26a sort of, you know, an AI whitewashing
- 0:28type
- 0:30blur, but how do you actually practically apply
- 0:32it around some
- 0:34significant industrial problems?
- 0:37Earlier this year, we talked to Darren Martin,
- 0:40CDO of Atkins Realis,
- 0:42about the relationship between AI and humanity.
- 0:46We saw how Darren had used big data
- 0:48in his early career as a clinical psychologist
- 0:51to identify effective treatments for severe mental illness.
- 0:55We saw that machine learning and big data
- 0:58could be powerful tools,
- 1:00but they were not a fix for every
- 1:02problem.
- 1:04But what does it mean to live in
- 1:06a world where AIs control autonomous devices that
- 1:09work alongside us?
- 1:11As machine autonomy replaces or supplements human work,
- 1:15what does that mean for how we design,
- 1:17build, and live in cities?
- 1:20These are some of the questions that Darren
- 1:22has been examining along with fellow members of
- 1:25the World Economic Forum's
- 1:27AI Governance Alliance.
- 1:29This really boils down to,
- 1:31for example,
- 1:33how my robots and people
- 1:36relate to each other and work with each
- 1:38other in a safe way
- 1:39on a mega
- 1:41project, like an, a project in the Middle
- 1:44East where we're building huge
- 1:47cities, and how might we
- 1:48help achieve that construction
- 1:51faster
- 1:52with the AI
- 1:54and the people working together.
- 1:57Bringing that together in a safe, practical way
- 1:59is really important.
- 2:00But if you then flip out into
- 2:03different
- 2:04areas of opportunity
- 2:06and discuss the pros and cons of this
- 2:08technology with and the applications
- 2:11The impact of these technologies will be felt
- 2:14throughout our society
- 2:16We will be leaning into conversations about health.
- 2:19We'll be leaning into conversations about
- 2:21defense and security.
- 2:24It has the potential to do great harm,
- 2:27but also has the potential to
- 2:29do great good.
- 2:45Welcome to Engineering Matters.
- 2:47I'm Johnny Dowling.
- 2:49And I'm Rian Owen. Earlier this year, we
- 2:51heard from Darren Martin, chief digital officer of
- 2:54our partner, Atkins Realis,
- 2:56about the importance of considering human needs in
- 2:59our deployment of AI.
- 3:01In this episode, Darren returns to look at
- 3:03what it means for humans to live and
- 3:05work alongside autonomous devices
- 3:08and what that implies for the relationship between
- 3:10big tech and architecture,
- 3:12engineering, and construction professionals.
- 3:14One day, autonomous devices will be close at
- 3:17hand wherever we go. But for now, we
- 3:20are in some corners of the world most
- 3:22likely to encounter them on the road.
- 3:33In San Francisco, for example,
- 3:35one can get in a car without a
- 3:37driver
- 3:39and pay a fare and go.
- 3:44So the Uber concept has evolved to a
- 3:47a Robot Taxi
- 3:49concept.
- 3:50Now taking the learnings from San Francisco, which
- 3:52is is very healing, but it's a grid
- 3:55city. So it's, you know, it's a traditional
- 3:57American city with the grids, and taking that
- 4:00to where I live, and I latest it
- 4:02with our single lane country lanes and, you
- 4:04know, the all of the complexity that comes
- 4:07with having a deer in the middle of
- 4:08the road, and and how does the robot
- 4:10taxi deal with
- 4:13that? The ability of AIs to operate potentially
- 4:15dangerous equipment in public spaces
- 4:18is being proven in the neat grids of
- 4:20American
- 4:22cities. Development now is focused on improving the
- 4:24safety of these systems and verifying that safety
- 4:27so that they can be deployed
- 4:29around the world.
- 4:31It's bringing these two things together, like like,
- 4:33what does the consumer need? How might that
- 4:36be enabled?
- 4:38And also,
- 4:39what are the benefits for doing that?
- 4:42If these autonomous devices can be shown to
- 4:44be safe enough for our roads,
- 4:46then they'll be well on their way to
- 4:48working alongside us everywhere.
- 4:54We can already see autonomy
- 4:59autonomy in the workplace at ports around the
- 4:59world. Here, autonomous rubber tire gantry
- 5:00cranes move containers around ports
- 5:03without human intervention.
- 5:05In applications like this, the autonomous equipment is
- 5:08separated from human staff by a fence.
- 5:11Part of the terminal will be exclusively autonomous.
- 5:14And part of it will be operated by
- 5:16people.
- 5:19There are many
- 5:21quite advanced examples now with
- 5:24the safety case has been lowered
- 5:27for the technology, because people are not allowed
- 5:29in there. And so if the technology goes
- 5:31wrong,
- 5:32it's embarrassing, it's expensive, but no one was
- 5:35hurt. So the profile of it is much
- 5:37lower.
- 5:39But to extract the real efficiency benefits of
- 5:42AI autonomy,
- 5:44we need to be able to work with
- 5:45these devices in the same space.
- 5:47So the question is,
- 5:49under what conditions can one move away from
- 5:51a a closed loop scenario?
- 5:55So
- 5:56it's about the interoperability
- 5:58of of humans
- 6:00and the robot systems.
- 6:03That could then allow a new generation of
- 6:06robot workers to work in environments far more
- 6:08complex and unpredictable than a modern port.
- 6:12If we then translate that back into
- 6:15how do we operate
- 6:17a really complex,
- 6:19dangerous, multi level, multi layered, multi machine
- 6:22construction
- 6:25site. The advantages of using a robot to
- 6:27do something that
- 6:29is dangerous, like working at height, working with
- 6:31heavy loads,
- 6:33working with dangerous substances,
- 6:35for example,
- 6:37is really appealing.
- 6:39But some workplaces are even more risk laden
- 6:42than a construction site, like a nuclear power
- 6:44plant.
- 6:49We're currently,
- 6:51talking to a number of research institutes
- 6:54to really explore how that is gonna work
- 6:56in the future and start to trial it
- 6:58in our ways of working. And and as
- 7:00an organization where
- 7:02we know we own,
- 7:04one of the 6
- 7:06nuclear technologies,
- 7:08that are licensed on this planet and that
- 7:11there's a significant
- 7:12need for
- 7:14more nuclear
- 7:15facilities to be built.
- 7:17The interoperability
- 7:18of of humans
- 7:20and the use cases of robots to keep
- 7:23people safe and to to,
- 7:26make sure we can design, run, and maintain
- 7:28those facilities in the safest way is really
- 7:31attractive.
- 7:33There's a whole community of people that have
- 7:36spent their whole lives working in those environments
- 7:39and they're extremely
- 7:41proud of what they've done
- 7:43and long may that continue.
- 7:45Their ability to get suited up and and
- 7:48operate in that environment
- 7:49and then move away from that environment, it
- 7:52might take a whole day to spend
- 7:54around 40 minutes or
- 7:56maybe an hour in that environment, but it
- 7:58would take a whole day to kinda go
- 8:00through that process.
- 8:01So your time on tools and your ability
- 8:03to
- 8:04interact and perform accurate maintenance
- 8:07could be significantly improved if the human safety
- 8:10factor
- 8:11could be lowered.
- 8:17An engineering business like Atkins Realis is well
- 8:20placed to develop systems that can work in
- 8:22these hazardous environments.
- 8:24On one level, engineering is all about the
- 8:27assessment and control of risk.
- 8:29But as engineers,
- 8:30architects, and construction managers build new infrastructure,
- 8:34they must also think about creating an environment
- 8:36that is suitable for the use of autonomous
- 8:38machines.
- 8:40But the
- 8:41disadvantages
- 8:42that occur when you have these closed loop
- 8:45systems, you and you don't have people and
- 8:46machines together, There's still many things the machines
- 8:49can't do very well,
- 8:51not nearly as well as humans. So the
- 8:53advantage of that interoperability
- 8:56of these two entities is is appealing. It's
- 8:59and for me, personally, it is really appealing.
- 9:01Like like,
- 9:03from an academic perspective it's appealing, but also
- 9:05from a real value
- 9:07in terms of
- 9:08doing things faster
- 9:10and safer,
- 9:12which is right at the ethos of
- 9:15the construction industry.
- 9:18From a design perspective,
- 9:19how do you how does one design a
- 9:22construction site? How do you even design a
- 9:24city?
- 9:25Where, as I mentioned before, you know, the
- 9:26the robot taxis can operate in? But also,
- 9:29how do we actually design
- 9:30buildings so that we can
- 9:33design for manufacturing
- 9:36with people,
- 9:37with 3 d printing,
- 9:39and with robotic devices that have high mobility
- 9:42and interoperability with people.
- 9:45And I think I think that whole piece
- 9:47is
- 9:49we're scratching the surface of that.
- 10:01Construction sites and the building materials supply chains
- 10:04that support them can be designed to support
- 10:07the use of autonomous devices.
- 10:09We can imagine robots able to manipulate and
- 10:12install large modular components
- 10:14alongside human workers,
- 10:16And this may give us the pace needed
- 10:18to build new cities to house a rapidly
- 10:21growing, urbanizing
- 10:23and aging population.
- 10:28As we think about how much infrastructure's gotta
- 10:31be built to replace the aging infrastructure we've
- 10:34got,
- 10:35how the population keeps on growing, and there
- 10:37are many more sustainable
- 10:39energy transition
- 10:40initiatives that have to be built
- 10:43to
- 10:45make sure we
- 10:47are able to all survive on this planet.
- 10:49I think that the ability to think about
- 10:52how would
- 10:53how do we design it in a way
- 10:55that allow for modular construction, design for manufacturing,
- 10:58and how would we
- 10:59design it so that
- 11:01there were some closed loop
- 11:03environments where it's really not safe for a
- 11:05human being to be in, but we designed
- 11:08also for the for those two things to
- 11:09come together.
- 11:11The urban planners of the near future
- 11:13shouldn't just be considering how construction sites can
- 11:16safely allow for humans and machines to work
- 11:19together.
- 11:20They need to think about how to make
- 11:22the best use of space
- 11:24within cities
- 11:25where new forms of transportation
- 11:27are possible.
- 11:29When I bring this back to an AEC,
- 11:30an architecture engineering construction
- 11:33situation,
- 11:34the master planners, the architects of the new
- 11:38cities,
- 11:39the retrofitters of our existing cities,
- 11:42how are we thinking about
- 11:44transportation,
- 11:45how are we thinking about social value, so
- 11:48how are we thinking about
- 11:49walkways that allow people to walk and cycle
- 11:52and scoot for example and be more active
- 11:56and be safer
- 11:57but also how might we be thinking about
- 12:00the utilization of car parking space?
- 12:03Is that now social housing opportunities?
- 12:06We've seen older people returning back to cities.
- 12:10Is that community space for communities to
- 12:14experience
- 12:15different social interactions than our cities have typically
- 12:19seen and how might you
- 12:21design
- 12:23a roadway system for robot
- 12:25cars
- 12:27preferably robot taxis because if we all have
- 12:29robot cars parked outside wherever we choose to
- 12:32live and work, we're taking up unnecessary real
- 12:35estate space that
- 12:37just doesn't really add a lot of value
- 12:39other than the prestige of owning the car.
- 12:42We live today in cities that have for
- 12:45decades
- 12:45been closed loop systems,
- 12:48designed to allow for the widespread use of
- 12:50unsafe,
- 12:51unreliably controlled machines.
- 12:55We mark off huge swathes of our cities
- 12:57for cars, segregating roads from pavements and dedicating
- 13:01space for them to sit unused.
- 13:04Now urban planners should be thinking beyond these
- 13:07risk controls.
- 13:08If truly safe autonomous vehicles
- 13:10designed to be shared and used constantly were
- 13:13available,
- 13:14what other uses could we find for those
- 13:16spaces?
- 13:18If you are gonna be in a car,
- 13:20let's make sure that car is a robot
- 13:22vehicle that isn't just going to park and
- 13:24take up precious real estate.
- 13:27I can trust you in a study at
- 13:28the moment between
- 13:30Cranfield University, Open University
- 13:33and Oxford and Cambridge
- 13:35looking at the some of the connections between
- 13:37those
- 13:38cities, those educational institutes and how do we
- 13:41create thriving
- 13:43natural
- 13:44corridors between waterways,
- 13:46cycle path routes, and so on to make
- 13:49the the connectivity
- 13:50of those parts of the world better.
- 13:59Autonomous devices will change the way that we
- 14:01build and design cities.
- 14:03They will increase the pace at which we
- 14:05build and create new space for us to
- 14:07build in.
- 14:08AIs are pattern matching machines.
- 14:11They can mimic human communication,
- 14:13allowing for their control by anyone,
- 14:16and they can select designs that are safe
- 14:18and buildable.
- 14:19Taken together, this will allow for a tailored
- 14:22design process
- 14:23previously only available to the very rich.
- 14:26And so when I think about high end
- 14:29luxury goods, there have been some organizations
- 14:32that have really brought in
- 14:35the consumer into the personalization
- 14:38process.
- 14:39So hyper personalization.
- 14:43Consumers of trainers and sunglasses can adapt designs
- 14:46to their own taste, but within the options
- 14:49offered by a drop down menu.
- 14:53What would it mean if this personalization
- 14:56could be taken beyond a set of fixed
- 14:58choices
- 14:59and intersections of the economy more vital to
- 15:01life than luxury consumer goods?
- 15:03But all of these are within parameters, so
- 15:06the manufacturers
- 15:08are able to offer a premium
- 15:11differentiated
- 15:12product,
- 15:13but something that they can still affordably
- 15:16manufacture and make profit from in a sustainable
- 15:20and safe way.
- 15:22Around the world, cities are now being planned
- 15:24from scratch.
- 15:26Robot workers will deliver the pace needed to
- 15:28house 1,000,000,
- 15:30and AI systems will allow residents to have
- 15:32a real say in what their new homes
- 15:34will look like.
- 15:35Where we need to go
- 15:37is the ability to
- 15:40draw in
- 15:41enough parameters
- 15:43so the consumer can have ownership
- 15:46and identify with that modular experience,
- 15:49but at the same time, the benefits
- 15:52of,
- 15:53the construction process, the efficiencies, the sustainability
- 15:56of it, the ongoing
- 15:58operational maintenance of it are much better than
- 16:01we've achieved in the past.
- 16:09AI and autonomy
- 16:10will allow us to build cities in a
- 16:12new way.
- 16:13We'll be able to rapidly construct
- 16:15personalized
- 16:16homes
- 16:17and to interact and travel in a more
- 16:19human way, free from the risk and waste
- 16:21of cars.
- 16:23But the climate crisis makes clear that even
- 16:26designing cities from scratch is not enough.
- 16:30We must leverage these new technologies
- 16:32to consider and analyze our whole planet.
- 16:37Part of my job and other people's at
- 16:39Atkins Real Estate's job is to constantly
- 16:42look at
- 16:44what do certain technology partners bring
- 16:48to our customers,
- 16:49and what value together do we bring
- 16:52to drive a better societal outcome for our
- 16:55customers.
- 16:56And one of the examples that, you know,
- 16:58we're really interested in
- 17:00is the impact of climate change
- 17:02and the impact it has on society
- 17:05and thinking about resiliency.
- 17:08The risks and uncertainties of climate change have
- 17:10undermined the functioning of insurance markets.
- 17:13Without understanding the impact of climate change and
- 17:16the resilience of our buildings and infrastructure,
- 17:19many regions are becoming increasingly
- 17:22uninsurable.
- 17:23And just, you know, at the moment there
- 17:25are some questions being asked around the bond
- 17:28market,
- 17:29the insurance bond market and
- 17:32with the
- 17:33frequency and the the impact of
- 17:36climate change and weather,
- 17:38impact on on critical infrastructure across the globe,
- 17:42how do we keep on paying for it,
- 17:44who underwrites it and it's a bet that
- 17:47in the past used to come off quite
- 17:49nicely. It's quite a profitable industry,
- 17:51but actually a lot of these bets are
- 17:53starting to become
- 17:55loss making.
- 17:56And in some places now,
- 17:59all over the world.
- 18:00Our current tools don't allow for reliable assessment
- 18:03of risk and resilience.
- 18:06Getting more precision from AI
- 18:09about the exact nature
- 18:12or and likelihood
- 18:13of resiliency
- 18:16impacts and also putting in remedial action to
- 18:19mitigate against them where possible
- 18:22is
- 18:23really important because if you own real estate
- 18:25or you own a business or you run
- 18:27a school, you wanna make sure that it
- 18:29can be insured and protected.
- 18:34Atkins Realis is already using AI systems to
- 18:37analyze the impact of climate change across tens
- 18:40of thousands of properties
- 18:42at a time.
- 18:43We've done work with the federal emergency
- 18:46management agency, FEMA, in the US,
- 18:49where we've
- 18:50been able to do surveys on properties that
- 18:53have been impacted by, severe
- 18:55climate change and prioritise
- 18:57the surveying of those properties
- 19:00to measure the impact
- 19:02and to help,
- 19:03free up funds
- 19:05to get people back
- 19:07in those homes or in new homes.
- 19:11That's a 150,000
- 19:13potential surveys that needed to be done.
- 19:17Relying on human assessment
- 19:19would leave those impacted by climate change in
- 19:21vulnerable situations for weeks or months.
- 19:25AI can allow support to be delivered where
- 19:27it's most needed, when it's most needed.
- 19:31With, being able to use AI to 0
- 19:34in on
- 19:35around,
- 19:361 5th of them that really needed to
- 19:38be done as a huge priority
- 19:40to,
- 19:41make sure people were
- 19:43helped and looked after as a result of
- 19:45that,
- 19:47climate
- 19:48impact on their lives. And so
- 19:50zeroing in and removing waste and prioritizing and
- 19:54getting help and resources to people is something
- 19:56that that I think
- 19:57AI is a really good example of where
- 19:59it can do it, and I think we
- 20:00need to get better at that.
- 20:03AI based analysis can identify the impact of
- 20:06climate events across cities and regions.
- 20:09One vision of the interaction of machine learning
- 20:12and city planners has already been tried in
- 20:15Canada.
- 20:15In this vision, tech led the way and
- 20:18engineering followed.
- 20:20Google Sidewalk Labs,
- 20:22it's, it's this company as part of the
- 20:24Alphabet group that was set up,
- 20:26and
- 20:27its first project was to look at the
- 20:30Quayside project,
- 20:31on the South Bank of Lake Ontario,
- 20:34which was a port area
- 20:37back in Toronto,
- 20:39and then the idea there was that
- 20:42big government had aligned with big tech, Google,
- 20:45and that this
- 20:47large,
- 20:49real estate project was gonna be put put
- 20:51in and that it would it had some
- 20:53fantastic benefits. I was looking at some of
- 20:55the stats and I'm not an expert on
- 20:57on this area, but just looking
- 20:59at the stats,
- 21:00it said by 2040, it would generate around
- 21:0344,000
- 21:04jobs. So it's an industrial pool, and it
- 21:07was being turned into a,
- 21:10you know, as we have in the UK,
- 21:12you know, some really good
- 21:13waterside
- 21:15retail
- 21:16business
- 21:17and
- 21:18residential,
- 21:20quadrants and and and locations.
- 21:22And
- 21:23it was reducing emissions of that industrial site
- 21:26by 89%,
- 21:28and it was reducing the cost for
- 21:30social housing,
- 21:31assets
- 21:32that were being put into that alongside some
- 21:35higher end housing assets.
- 21:37But the typical cost for a social housing
- 21:39asset was
- 21:4140%
- 21:42below the market rate.
- 21:46Sidewalks Labs' plan had been to offer more
- 21:48jobs and cheaper housing in an attractive environment,
- 21:52managed and maintained using sophisticated
- 21:54monitoring.
- 21:55But by 2020,
- 21:57the project had fallen apart.
- 21:59Stymied by the impacts of COVID and by
- 22:01a lack of trust in the monitoring systems
- 22:04used to manage the district.
- 22:06Darren believes that projects like this need to
- 22:08draw on the established expertise
- 22:10of architecture,
- 22:11engineering, and construction businesses.
- 22:17Big Tech came in
- 22:18and did a deal with big government,
- 22:22and local government, and local sentiment, and human
- 22:26permitting
- 22:27considerations,
- 22:28objections,
- 22:30community resistance
- 22:32wasn't dealt with in the same way
- 22:35that perhaps Atkins Realis would have
- 22:38understood
- 22:39the nuances
- 22:41of engaging with local government, understanding the planning
- 22:44rules,
- 22:45understanding how to engage with communities
- 22:48to help them understand what the changes and
- 22:50what the benefits are for them, but also
- 22:53to adapt the master planning concept
- 22:55based on consultation with those communities.
- 22:59But just as Alphabet is moving out of
- 23:01city building,
- 23:02other big tech players are moving into engineering.
- 23:06Cognizant
- 23:08have put forward
- 23:10and acquired
- 23:117 companies
- 23:12in the with engineering focus since 2021.
- 23:15So Cognizant typically would have been, you know,
- 23:19Indian HQed
- 23:20IT and Business Process Outsourcing Organization
- 23:24competing with the likes of, you know, IBM,
- 23:27Japan's Fujitsu, and so on. Probably doing so
- 23:29on a lower price point.
- 23:32It made a 1,300,000,000
- 23:34acquisition
- 23:35of an engineering company
- 23:37in June 24.
- 23:39Tata,
- 23:40for example, bought an automotive
- 23:43engineering company recently.
- 23:45Accenture
- 23:46have bought
- 23:48IoT
- 23:49companies,
- 23:50a whole range of industrial and engineering
- 23:54expertise.
- 23:56As the space between big tech and engineering
- 23:58closes,
- 23:59those leading and investing in these sectors
- 24:02should really think critically about the skills each
- 24:04sector brings.
- 24:06You have to ask the question,
- 24:08is
- 24:09a company like Cognizant becoming an engineering company?
- 24:18Professional services businesses in architecture, engineering, and construction
- 24:23should not, Darren believes, try to themselves into
- 24:26tech firms.
- 24:28Big tech is not accustomed to dealing with
- 24:30the human complexity of urban planning.
- 24:33This is not a space in which you
- 24:35can just move fast and break things.
- 24:37So how do these 2 sectors work together
- 24:40in a new age of AI driven autonomy?
- 24:43What can they learn from a project like
- 24:45Sidewalk Labs?
- 24:47Perhaps there wasn't the,
- 24:50awareness
- 24:51and the,
- 24:53sensitivity
- 24:54and experience
- 24:55that an architecture engineering and
- 24:57construction company would apply
- 24:59in getting that project to work.
- 25:01You can work out, for example, when the
- 25:04lifts are being used
- 25:05and, you know, are people exiting the building,
- 25:08and how many people are in the in
- 25:10the lifts, and what's the weight of the
- 25:11lifts.
- 25:12There are there are a number of less
- 25:14intrusive ways
- 25:16of understanding
- 25:17how the,
- 25:19buildings and the
- 25:20the environment are being used
- 25:22that don't require, you know, quite personal sense
- 25:26of information to be shared. So once you're
- 25:28in a community,
- 25:29people don't want to feel that they're being
- 25:31observed. Their movements are you know, who are
- 25:33they talking to? How long are they spending
- 25:35in these spaces?
- 25:38The experienced human planners of an AEC business
- 25:41can work alongside local governments and citizens
- 25:44to deliver projects that really consider
- 25:47human
- 25:48needs, desires, and privacy.
- 25:51While emerging technologies will have a vital part
- 25:54to play, it is this human expertise and
- 25:57experience
- 25:58that will be key to meeting human needs.
- 26:02We form part of a partner ecosystem,
- 26:05which in some cases might be tech enabled,
- 26:08in many cases it will.
- 26:11We're highly differentiated
- 26:13from Big Tech in our ability
- 26:16to
- 26:18create environments that are both progressive from an
- 26:21economic standpoint but sympathetic to to communities and
- 26:26enhance the communities.
- 26:41Engineering Matters is a production of Reebi Media.
- 26:44This episode was written and produced by Will
- 26:46North and hosted by me, Rianne Owen, and
- 26:48by Johnny Dowling, editing and series supervision by
- 26:50John Young, sound engineering by Ross Macpherson, and
- 26:53the human intelligence that steers our use of
- 26:55data is Rory Harris.
- 26:57Special thanks to our partner for this episode,
- 26:58Atkins Realis, and thank you for listening. You
- 27:01can find us on all podcast apps and
- 27:03on our website engineeringmatters.
- 27:04Rebi.media
- 27:05and on LinkedIn.