Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process

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UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: All system's going clear the left.
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: Of what's going on. Everybody Happy Thursday.
• 0:39
  Speaker 3: If you're watching on Friday or Saturday, I hope you
• 0:41
  Speaker 3: have a great weekend ahead. We are talking some fights
• 0:44
  Speaker 3: noon eastern on Saturday, so if you want to have
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: some planed Saturday night, not miss any fights you are
• 0:49
  Speaker 3: able to do.
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: So.
• 0:50
  Speaker 3: We are in Abu Dhabi, thirteen fights, a lot of
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: big favorites. I'm trying to refresh this or have it
• 0:56
  Speaker 3: come through. It has not yet, but Big Marley did change.
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: And alive and Goose go off to a four star
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: and that will make no five star fights for.
• 1:04
  Speaker 3: Big Marley on this card. That means usually pretty spread out.
• 1:07
  Speaker 3: I do think ownership will be spread out. I don't
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: think it's a card to leave too much money on
• 1:11
  Speaker 3: the table, though is I don't see too many dogs barking.
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: We'll see how Big Marley sees it though, excited talk
• 1:16
  Speaker 3: and fights.
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: How we doing today?
• 1:18
  Speaker 4: Yeah? Doing good? I think you said starts at noon eastern,
• 1:21
  Speaker 4: but it starts at nine eastern, so even earlier eastern.
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: Oh? Yeah, so my time?
• 1:28
  Speaker 3: What was I Yeah, I'm tweaking actually because I did
• 1:31
  Speaker 3: see all right, nine a m.
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: Eastern I apologize completely different.
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: Any thoughts on this card, anything from last week, anything
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: you want to talk about before we dive in.
• 1:43
  Speaker 4: I think this this car is tough, man. I think
• 1:45
  Speaker 4: it's also even gonna be tougher for the casual fan
• 1:47
  Speaker 4: because they're gonna come into this and not know who
• 1:49
  Speaker 4: half of these fighters even are. So I do think
• 1:51
  Speaker 4: that's gonna be a plus for us. But it's also
• 1:54
  Speaker 4: just such a high variance card I think where there's
• 1:59
  Speaker 4: a lot of things that could go wrong, a lot
• 2:00
  Speaker 4: of things that could go right. I think you could
• 2:02
  Speaker 4: leave a lot of salary on the table if you
• 2:04
  Speaker 4: wanted to, But I also don't think that ownership is
• 2:07
  Speaker 4: going to be too condensed where you really even need
• 2:09
  Speaker 4: to do that. So I think it's a card to
• 2:10
  Speaker 4: look forward to as long as we keep all these fights,
• 2:15
  Speaker 4: and hopefully it's a good one.
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: Yeah, so you see it a little different already, You're
• 2:18
  Speaker 3: gonna sounds like leave a little more salary than I am.
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: Upper tier.
• 2:21
  Speaker 3: There's a lot of high priced fighters that probably are
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: going to score over one hundred. But again, we talk
• 2:26
  Speaker 3: about it a lot. Ninety eight hundred, ninety seven hundred.
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: You not only have to do a lot dogs have
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: to win. The other upper tier doesn't have to do
• 2:33
  Speaker 3: as great. This is a plus one forty to finish.
• 2:36
  Speaker 3: This just came out recently, this line, so that makes
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: ten of the thirteen fights this week expected to finish
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: or at least a coin flip or better to finish,
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: which is definitely good for this card. Again, a lot
• 2:47
  Speaker 3: of big favorites in the nine k's because as you
• 2:50
  Speaker 3: see minus five to fifty, minus nine to fifty, minus
• 2:52
  Speaker 3: two eighty eight three twenty five, four hundred, eight hundred,
• 2:55
  Speaker 3: we have plenty of big favorites litter throughout the cards.
• 2:57
  Speaker 3: So we'll go through five fight fight like always. We
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: got Marquee in here. I think you said it best.
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: Not my favorite Mma Slade either, but that being said,
• 3:05
  Speaker 3: there is thirteen fights just picking the dogs or picking
• 3:09
  Speaker 3: which big dog comes to as little tough ys ends
• 3:12
  Speaker 3: in here site so close last week, going for gold
• 3:15
  Speaker 3: this time.
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: Good luck Nate d as Well.
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: I always appreciate you guys hanging out like pun subscribe
• 3:20
  Speaker 3: button all we asked for and before we start, want
• 3:22
  Speaker 3: to give a shout out to Matt, Kay, Kenny and Ricardo,
• 3:26
  Speaker 3: everybody in the ship and nation. Discord moved on last
• 3:29
  Speaker 3: week to the MMA Championship. So fifteen of you guys
• 3:34
  Speaker 3: are going to Philadelphia and they'll put you up in
• 3:36
  Speaker 3: the suite.
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: I know.
• 3:37
  Speaker 3: I'm sorry, Big Marley, a little bittersweet, but shout out
• 3:40
  Speaker 3: to our Discord members over there getting the job done.
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: Heading to Philadelphia for MMA Live Final anything, Big Marley others.
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: I'm going to start with the first fight of the night.
• 3:50
  Speaker 4: Now. I made a couple other changes, so we'll see
• 3:52
  Speaker 4: if it refreshes or not. But I'm ready when you are.
• 3:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know why, it's just tweaking. Oh okay,
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: there we go. Did the other changes come?
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: No?
• 4:03
  Speaker 4: I got another one. I got some names switched up,
• 4:05
  Speaker 4: so I moved a three to a four and a
• 4:07
  Speaker 4: four to a three. But all right, we'll get to it.
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: Sounds good.
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: Well, we're gonna start our first fight of the night
• 4:12
  Speaker 3: a big favorite, Abdul husseyin minus five to fifty taking
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: on Cody Gibson plus four hundred minus two to fifteen
• 4:17
  Speaker 3: for this fight to finish. Who'saying minus two ten inside
• 4:20
  Speaker 3: the distance Gibson plus nine hundred Hussein in round one
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: plus one seventy five. Good lot, a lot of line
• 4:28
  Speaker 3: movement on the Who's saying inside the distance prop open
• 4:30
  Speaker 3: minus one forty now minus two ten. Yeah, that's very,
• 4:35
  Speaker 3: very noticeable. Cody Gibson thirty eight years old. As you
• 4:38
  Speaker 3: can see on the stone, we'll have a height and
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: reach advantage in this one. But uh yeah, I think
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: Hussein probably gets a CEM mad and dominates from there.
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: How do you see it?
• 4:48
  Speaker 4: Yeah? I kind of agree. He is ten years younger
• 4:51
  Speaker 4: than Gibbs in he looks like he could be the
• 4:53
  Speaker 4: real deal. Gibson really didn't show me much in his
• 4:57
  Speaker 4: last couple of fights, but he is an aggressive starter.
• 5:00
  Speaker 4: He'll look for takedowns early and often. I think that
• 5:02
  Speaker 4: could really work against him in this one. If he
• 5:04
  Speaker 4: gets a takedown, I think he could get submitted, even
• 5:06
  Speaker 4: if he's in top control. So I think it's after
• 5:10
  Speaker 4: round one it's all husaining, but it also could be
• 5:12
  Speaker 4: Hussein in round one as well. I think he's just
• 5:15
  Speaker 4: a better fighter everywhere. I will pick him and get
• 5:17
  Speaker 4: a submission, but it wouldn't shock me to see him
• 5:19
  Speaker 4: get a knockout either. I think he's just better than
• 5:21
  Speaker 4: gives him everywhere at this point, and it's a fight.
• 5:23
  Speaker 4: I think the UFC wants him to win, so for me,
• 5:26
  Speaker 4: it's gonna be Hussein or Pass ninety three hundred. I'm
• 5:30
  Speaker 4: totally fine with. But I'm also fine paying up for
• 5:32
  Speaker 4: other guys, and I'm fine paying down for others as well.
• 5:34
  Speaker 4: So I'm probably gonna be right around the field, if
• 5:37
  Speaker 4: not a little bit overweight on Husne.
• 5:39
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I ideally kind of want to be a little
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: overweight as well. Like again, the upper tier is loaded,
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: but ank Elia's two hundred more, Dulatov is five hundred more,
• 5:48
  Speaker 3: Zynikov's only one hundred less, Sam Patterson's one hundred more,
• 5:52
  Speaker 3: Tushilov four hundred more. So I mean, there's a lot
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: of good ones, but a lot of them are more expensive,
• 5:56
  Speaker 3: especially when you're looking at the inside the distance prof
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: rusaying it's one of the best point per dollar on
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: the card. So I think U Sayin's a very strong
• 6:04
  Speaker 3: play to start it off some takedown upside. I don't
• 6:07
  Speaker 3: like Cody Gibson much, but I will say I like
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: Cody Gibson more than everyone priced below him, so maybe
• 6:12
  Speaker 3: that leaves him in play for me cap him at
• 6:14
  Speaker 3: fifteen something, but I don't love it. I do also
• 6:18
  Speaker 3: want to note from the top, I'm gonna butcher plenty
• 6:20
  Speaker 3: of these names.
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: A lot of ov's and AEVs and stuff like that
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: to finish.
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I butcher names anyway, you guys are used
• 6:29
  Speaker 3: to that. We're going bottom of the top, so you
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: know which fights we're talking about, which fighters were talking about.
• 6:34
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I haven't even set a lot of these names
• 6:35
  Speaker 4: out loud yet, so we'll see how this goes.
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I have to go first, unfortunately, But talking totayo,
• 6:41
  Speaker 3: it's good to see a next fight on the card.
• 6:45
  Speaker 3: Neural neural a Alvia hold on Eliev Nuriel Aliev taken
• 6:52
  Speaker 3: out of Mike Davis Ali of minus two twenty Mike
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: Davis plus one eighty five. That was one I didn't
• 6:57
  Speaker 3: know and that I should have got right, So this
• 6:58
  Speaker 3: is really gonna be bad. Plus one fifty for this
• 7:01
  Speaker 3: fight to finish, which right now is the most likely
• 7:03
  Speaker 3: on the card to go the distance. Davis the underdog
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: better inside the distance prop by a little plus three
• 7:08
  Speaker 3: hundred Alley of plus three twenty five. Both are plus
• 7:11
  Speaker 3: six fifty in round one, so a mid tier fight.
• 7:14
  Speaker 3: You can see on the stone. Both average over two
• 7:16
  Speaker 3: takedowns per fifteen minutes. This is the most likely fight
• 7:19
  Speaker 3: to go the distance on the card, though, let me
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: see yet open minus one zero five to finish now
• 7:25
  Speaker 3: plus one fifty, So that's quite a bit of line
• 7:27
  Speaker 3: movement on the over how do you see it?
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah?
• 7:30
  Speaker 4: I don't really care for this fight too much, but
• 7:32
  Speaker 4: I do prefer the underdog. Aliev is just the better grappler,
• 7:38
  Speaker 4: better wrestler, but he's not a high enough paced guy
• 7:41
  Speaker 4: for me to feel good about him scoring well unless
• 7:43
  Speaker 4: he's able to land multiple takedowns in each round or
• 7:47
  Speaker 4: get a finish, and I still feel good about either
• 7:49
  Speaker 4: of those. Mike Davis, on the other hand, really good athlete.
• 7:53
  Speaker 4: I think he's a more powerful, better all around striker period,
• 7:56
  Speaker 4: but he has offensive wrestling in his game. I don't
• 7:58
  Speaker 4: know if he can really use that as a defense
• 8:01
  Speaker 4: to keep Aliev off of him, but if he can,
• 8:03
  Speaker 4: then I think Davis can win this fight on the feet,
• 8:05
  Speaker 4: maybe even knock him out for some sneaky high ceiling value.
• 8:09
  Speaker 4: So I do prefer Davis in this one, but I
• 8:13
  Speaker 4: posted this on Discord earlier. Fighters that last name ends
• 8:17
  Speaker 4: in V in the last seven Abu Dhabi cards are
• 8:21
  Speaker 4: twenty five one and one, So that makes me feel
• 8:25
  Speaker 4: not as good about my Davis picking this one, and
• 8:27
  Speaker 4: it was kind of me searching for underdogs on a card.
• 8:31
  Speaker 4: Don't feel great about it, but I I am a
• 8:34
  Speaker 4: believer in Davis as an athlete overall, and he's still
• 8:37
  Speaker 4: only thirty three years old, so I'm not gonna give
• 8:39
  Speaker 4: up on him yet.
• 8:40
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, man, his I like Mike Davis a
• 8:43
  Speaker 3: lot his uh not really this week.
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: This week he's fine.
• 8:46
  Speaker 3: I agree with a lot of what you said, but
• 8:48
  Speaker 3: like his Mason Jones fight back in the day only
• 8:50
  Speaker 3: back in the day a couple of years ago was
• 8:52
  Speaker 3: absolutely phenomenal, but man since then was not great agains
• 8:57
  Speaker 3: far as Zem, I'm still believer in Zem.
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: I know he lost last fight, really.
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: Disappointed, but he still was taking down four times, controlled
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: for half of that fight, and then even as Mitramrz
• 9:06
  Speaker 3: fight after Ramirez was out striking him, it was pretty
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: competitive and Ali it is better than Mitramir.
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: So I'm a little worried with Mike Davis.
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: He's dealt with a lot of injuries thirty three years old,
• 9:16
  Speaker 3: but we're playing a salary based game on a card
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: that I don't like many dogs, and he has the
• 9:20
  Speaker 3: better finishing prop than the favorite for eight hundred. More
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: so that does put me liking Davis more than Ali
• 9:25
  Speaker 3: of quite a bit. Again, the eight hundred goes a
• 9:27
  Speaker 3: long way. He's gonna be a dog I mix in
• 9:29
  Speaker 3: at seventy seven hundred, even if if he scores seventy
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: five eighty points this week is seventy seven hundred, I'm
• 9:35
  Speaker 3: taking that. Obviously not guaranteed to be optimal, but I'm
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: not sure how many dogs win on this card. I'm
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: not picking too many, so and yeah, very interesting stat
• 9:44
  Speaker 3: it's got to.
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: Regress to the mean, you think a little bit. But
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: obviously they're big favorites.
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: But if you're if you're parlaying and stuff like that,
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: you've made a lot of money so far in the
• 9:54
  Speaker 3: last Abu Dhabi appearances. I'm on Mike Davis in this one.
• 9:57
  Speaker 3: Hope he gets a job done, but mainly it's like
• 9:59
  Speaker 3: you said. And his debut at three takedowns for like
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: ten minutes of control time eleven fifty one actually, and
• 10:06
  Speaker 3: he scored ninety one DK points. I'm not sure that's enough.
• 10:09
  Speaker 3: At eighty five hundred, he landed a nineteen significant strike,
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: so I really think it have Davis would have to
• 10:14
  Speaker 3: continue to get back up or Elliot would have to
• 10:16
  Speaker 3: get a finish or something, and I just don't think
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: that happens. So Davis are passed mainly for me. Let's
• 10:23
  Speaker 3: go to the next fight on the card. Second highest
• 10:25
  Speaker 3: price Magomed tucci Loov minus one thousand taking on Brentson
• 10:29
  Speaker 3: Robero plus seven hundred minus eight hundred for this fight
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: to finish Tuccilove minus four to fifty inside the distance
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: Roberto plus six hundred. Tutilov in round one minus one
• 10:40
  Speaker 3: seventy five. Yeah, I guess. I mean he's ninety seven hundred.
• 10:43
  Speaker 3: That's the main talking point. Compare him to Duladov, who's
• 10:47
  Speaker 3: ninety eight hundred. How much do you think you're getting?
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: What are you doing in this one?
• 10:51
  Speaker 4: Yeah? I have no idea. With the two of those,
• 10:53
  Speaker 4: I feel like they're kind of the same. So I
• 10:55
  Speaker 4: would imagine I get more tuccil out just because he's
• 10:57
  Speaker 4: one hundred dollars cheaper, I mean weighs more as well.
• 11:01
  Speaker 4: Maybe he's got more power for that reason. I also
• 11:03
  Speaker 4: thank Rovero's more of a quitter than tournament, so I
• 11:07
  Speaker 4: guess I sided with Tuccillov, but he is only six
• 11:10
  Speaker 4: and zero UH, so he is early in his career.
• 11:13
  Speaker 4: But he is fighting in home in UH in front
• 11:15
  Speaker 4: of his home country, which is good. So it's a
• 11:16
  Speaker 4: set up fight from the UFC for him to win
• 11:18
  Speaker 4: in front of his fans. And I think he is
• 11:20
  Speaker 4: the better, more powerful striker. I also think he's the
• 11:23
  Speaker 4: better wrestler, but I'm gonna pick him to win with
• 11:26
  Speaker 4: a knockout. I just think it has to be early,
• 11:29
  Speaker 4: and maybe even a quick win bonus. I mean at
• 11:31
  Speaker 4: ninety seven. I never like paying ninety seven and ninety
• 11:33
  Speaker 4: eight hundred dollars period, but I think if I can
• 11:36
  Speaker 4: get there, I'm fine with either one of them because
• 11:38
  Speaker 4: I have him both winning in round one, and I
• 11:41
  Speaker 4: think Tucilov could get a knockout on the feet or
• 11:43
  Speaker 4: a ground and pound knockout, which which could be nice
• 11:46
  Speaker 4: as well. Yeah, I think he scores more than a hundred.
• 11:49
  Speaker 4: I just don't know that I have enough underdogs to
• 11:51
  Speaker 4: be able to get up to him. And I'm not
• 11:53
  Speaker 4: gonna be playing any Roberto Verbero wins. It's not gonna
• 11:56
  Speaker 4: be my night. I'll be turning the fights off early.
• 11:58
  Speaker 4: I just don't think that's gonna happen. I think Toucillo
• 12:00
  Speaker 4: early in his career, but I just think he's better already.
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: Agree with everything you said, Glad, I don't really have
• 12:05
  Speaker 3: to elaborate much. I'm not playing Robero twot Telave does
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: score one hundred plus.
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: I do agree with that. Is it enough at ninety
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: seven hundred more than likely? I'll be hoping not.
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: I probably will end up underweight to the ninety seven
• 12:16
  Speaker 3: to ninety eight hundred guys, because like Sam Patterson at
• 12:19
  Speaker 3: ninety four hundred still could outscore Tuccilov in a vacuum.
• 12:22
  Speaker 3: And if you play Patterson to leave the three hundred
• 12:24
  Speaker 3: and you're talking in other spots like that's your way
• 12:27
  Speaker 3: to get different. So I think I'm more likely to
• 12:29
  Speaker 3: do something like that. You'd be a fool. I think
• 12:32
  Speaker 3: if you're building ten plus teams X out Tuccilov, But
• 12:35
  Speaker 3: ninety seven hundreds.
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: Too big of a price take. I think for me
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: to get too overweight. What's up?
• 12:40
  Speaker 3: Lone Wolf Marquis totally agreed. Ninety seven hundred is a lot.
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: Let's get to a I'm really excited for this fight.
• 12:46
  Speaker 3: I think this is one of the best fights of
• 12:48
  Speaker 3: the night. Exel Sola is male Bomb Theme solo minus
• 12:52
  Speaker 3: two twenty Bombfing plus one eighty five. This fight is
• 12:56
  Speaker 3: minus one sixty to finish AXL plus one twenty five
• 12:58
  Speaker 3: inside the distance bombing plus two to eighty five Axel
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: in round one plus three point fifty. I want to
• 13:05
  Speaker 3: say this line's moved quite a bit. A lot of
• 13:07
  Speaker 3: these fights. The lines moved quite a bit. It opened
• 13:10
  Speaker 3: minus one eighty, went down to minus two ten, back
• 13:13
  Speaker 3: up to the minus one eighty range, just stayed in
• 13:15
  Speaker 3: that range for a decent amount minus one eighty to
• 13:17
  Speaker 3: minus two hundred, and then this past day Soul has
• 13:20
  Speaker 3: taking a decent amount of money opened up to minus
• 13:22
  Speaker 3: two twenty. Man that Mason Jones I've mentioned a multiple
• 13:26
  Speaker 3: times already, but Mason Jones alex Exel Sola phenomenal fights.
• 13:30
  Speaker 3: So even though Soul is coming off a loss, his
• 13:32
  Speaker 3: first pro loss, I think his stock rows in that fight.
• 13:36
  Speaker 3: And the biggest difference between these two all six of
• 13:38
  Speaker 3: Bomb Theme's losses have come by finish Sola. He'll fight
• 13:42
  Speaker 3: for your dollar, He'll be aggressive. He's got that dog,
• 13:45
  Speaker 3: and it feels like bomb them folds when the when
• 13:48
  Speaker 3: the pressure gets real tough. So I'm on SOLA, but
• 13:50
  Speaker 3: I will say minus two twenty. I put this up
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: on Tuesdays minus one seventy two. Now minus two twenty.
• 13:57
  Speaker 3: That is a big that's a big price. I thinks like,
• 14:00
  Speaker 3: if I had to bet this fight, maybe Bombfime at
• 14:02
  Speaker 3: this point. And I do like him for DFS, but
• 14:06
  Speaker 3: for line movement. For DFS, I think Solo is my
• 14:08
  Speaker 3: preferred play. But that's fifty cents in a couple of days,
• 14:10
  Speaker 3: how do you see it?
• 14:13
  Speaker 4: I like the underdog in this one. Actually, Bonfime is
• 14:16
  Speaker 4: probably my favorite underdog on the entire card. Sola. I
• 14:20
  Speaker 4: think he is the better wrestler, He's gonna have better cardio,
• 14:22
  Speaker 4: he's got less quit in him as well. But Bonfime,
• 14:26
  Speaker 4: I think he's getting a little bit too much taken
• 14:29
  Speaker 4: off of him from his last two losses. I do
• 14:31
  Speaker 4: think he is a solid talent. I think he's the
• 14:32
  Speaker 4: better boxer, really better overall striker, and he's got a
• 14:36
  Speaker 4: grappling game early in himself. If he wants to, I
• 14:40
  Speaker 4: just I just don't trust him if the fight gets
• 14:43
  Speaker 4: extended or if he has to face any adversity. Really,
• 14:46
  Speaker 4: but at seventy six hundred dollars, I'm not risking as much,
• 14:49
  Speaker 4: so I'm totally finding way overweight on bomb theme on
• 14:53
  Speaker 4: this card. Also, when I was looking at the cards,
• 14:57
  Speaker 4: I asked chat JPT to handicap every and they handicapped
• 15:02
  Speaker 4: Bonfie minus three twenty five, which blew my mind. I
• 15:06
  Speaker 4: wouldn't have it anywhere near there. I think it should
• 15:08
  Speaker 4: just be closer to pick them. But it did make
• 15:10
  Speaker 4: me like them a little bit more, But I just
• 15:13
  Speaker 4: I couldn't agree with it at all. But man, bomb
• 15:16
  Speaker 4: theme at seventy six hundred dollars is gonna be really
• 15:18
  Speaker 4: hard for me to get away from Solo definitely in
• 15:20
  Speaker 4: play because you mentioned Bomb Team. All these losses are
• 15:23
  Speaker 4: are finishes, so that should put Solo up to a
• 15:25
  Speaker 4: good score. But there's a lot of favorites I want
• 15:27
  Speaker 4: to get up to on this card, and that's I
• 15:29
  Speaker 4: think it's gonna put me on. Like if I'm making
• 15:31
  Speaker 4: ten lineups, i'd imagine half of them are gonna have
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: bomb theme on this card. Not gonna feel great about it,
• 15:36
  Speaker 4: but I just don't feel great about this card in general,
• 15:39
  Speaker 4: and I would rather take a bond fame for one
• 15:41
  Speaker 4: hundred dollars cheaper than Mike Davis, who I said I
• 15:43
  Speaker 4: like earlier.
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: That makes sense. I do agree with that as well.
• 15:47
  Speaker 3: I prefer Bomb Theme to Mike Davis if choosing to,
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: I just prefer this fight to that fight. But I
• 15:53
  Speaker 3: do like Solo quite a bit at eighty six hundred
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: as well. I'm gonna be overweight this fight. Ideally I
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: could be overweight both guys. Hope it's high pace. Hope
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: either sold a success wrestling bombfime he breaks him at
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: some point, or Bomb Theme's just better, which, like I said,
• 16:06
  Speaker 3: if I had to bet the fight right now, I
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: do think the line's gotten two wide, So I do
• 16:09
  Speaker 3: agree with you there minus three fifty.
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: Maybe chat gpt ne's an upgrade in the mm A streets,
• 16:14
  Speaker 3: but yeah, we'll save that for another.
• 16:17
  Speaker 4: Actually, it also gave me a pick online on two
• 16:19
  Speaker 4: Chilava Robero, so you can't really trust check.
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's all I need to hear. Holy cow, what's
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: up Rose Bowl? Great to see U.
• 16:26
  Speaker 3: Yeah, he's the one that won fifty thousand and they
• 16:29
  Speaker 3: head to head championship a couple months back. Next fight
• 16:33
  Speaker 3: on the card, Sam Patterson taking on Santiago Ponz and
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: Nibbio Patterson minus five hundred, Ponds plus three seventy five
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: minus three twenty five for this fight to finish, Patterson
• 16:44
  Speaker 3: minus two to fifty five inside the distance Pons plus
• 16:47
  Speaker 3: seven twenty five. Patterson in round one open plus one sixty.
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: Now it's minus one twenty on bet online. I do
• 16:55
  Speaker 3: want to say that bet on mine's minus one twenty,
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: and I'm seeing plus one forty at quite an other
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: or quite a few other books. That's why you should
• 17:01
  Speaker 3: always price shop. And I couldn't imagine giving up sixty
• 17:04
  Speaker 3: cents betting a prop, but bet online does, in my opinion,
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: is the sharpest for MMA. At least one of them
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: puts out their lines early, so that's what I track,
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: and plus one sixty to minus one twenty is a
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: huge that's a huge line movement, especially for around one prop.
• 17:19
  Speaker 3: So I think Patterson's a very good play. When I
• 17:22
  Speaker 3: wrote it up, it was a minus four hundred Patterson
• 17:25
  Speaker 3: like we saw on Tuesday, and I just was like,
• 17:28
  Speaker 3: I think this line's super light. I mean, minus four
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: hundred's usually it is a big price take, but I
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: think he should be like minus six hundred minus seven hundred.
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: I'm a big Patterson believer. I know the MVP fight
• 17:38
  Speaker 3: was terrible, that's what MVP fights are. But he's good
• 17:42
  Speaker 3: on the feet, he's good on the Matt Ponds. He's
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: thirty nine years old, forty pro fights. I think he
• 17:47
  Speaker 3: gets knocked out pretty brutally. Maybe a club and sub.
• 17:50
  Speaker 3: Maybe he just takes him down submit some but I
• 17:53
  Speaker 3: think he knocks them out. And I think at ninety
• 17:56
  Speaker 3: four hundred, he's gonna be in check in terms of ownership,
• 17:58
  Speaker 3: and I'm definitely gonna be overweight and good to try to.
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: So what are your thoughts?
• 18:04
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm cool with that. I mean Patterson is just
• 18:07
  Speaker 4: the more well rounded fighter. He's nine years younger. I
• 18:10
  Speaker 4: think he's the slicker striker, way better on the ground.
• 18:13
  Speaker 4: But I would worry in a striking match against Ponzi.
• 18:17
  Speaker 4: Ponzi's allowed for a knockout in this fight, for sure,
• 18:19
  Speaker 4: but I also think Ponzi could keep it close in
• 18:21
  Speaker 4: a fifteen minute striking match if Patterson's not going for
• 18:24
  Speaker 4: any takedowns. So I think the line's a little bit
• 18:27
  Speaker 4: too wide. I would not be betting Patterson. That line
• 18:29
  Speaker 4: is four hundred and I actually think Ponzinibbio is the
• 18:31
  Speaker 4: cheapest I'm looking to go on this card. I'm not
• 18:34
  Speaker 4: gonna play Guskov at sixty seven hundred dollars and a
• 18:37
  Speaker 4: good amount of ownership. I would rather go up one
• 18:40
  Speaker 4: hundred more to ponzinibbio at half of that ownership and
• 18:44
  Speaker 4: take the same amount in my in my opinion, the
• 18:46
  Speaker 4: first round knockout equity in ponsinibbio. So I am okay
• 18:51
  Speaker 4: getting some super cheap exposure to ponsinibbio. But I think
• 18:56
  Speaker 4: it would be a really easy fight. If Patterson wants
• 18:58
  Speaker 4: to mix in takedowns, I think he'd get a submission
• 19:00
  Speaker 4: in the first round if he wants. He is also
• 19:02
  Speaker 4: live for a knockout because Ponzi is declining as well.
• 19:05
  Speaker 4: But man, I would just be a little bit nervous
• 19:07
  Speaker 4: in a striking match if I'm laying four to one
• 19:10
  Speaker 4: on a guy like Sam Patterson. But I do like
• 19:12
  Speaker 4: that he scored almost one hundred points in all of
• 19:14
  Speaker 4: his wins. I think I moved this to a four
• 19:17
  Speaker 4: star as well once I noticed that ninety eight seven
• 19:21
  Speaker 4: and one hundred. I mean, I'm absolutely cool with all
• 19:24
  Speaker 4: those at his.
• 19:25
  Speaker 3: Precedent Ponzinibbio or Cody Gibson. If you had to choose Ponzinibbia,
• 19:32
  Speaker 3: I'm on Gibson.
• 19:33
  Speaker 4: There.
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: It's close though, but yeah, I mean you're not even.
• 19:36
  Speaker 3: Laying four to one on on Patterson now here laying
• 19:38
  Speaker 3: five to one. The market keeps running, So there are
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: a lot of big favorites on this card. Getting who
• 19:44
  Speaker 3: the right upper tier one is gonna be tough. Yeah,
• 19:46
  Speaker 3: Like I said, it's not my favorite DFS card, and
• 19:48
  Speaker 3: I believe it was Nate earlier today, Like, is this
• 19:51
  Speaker 3: a good card to like Max or go, like more.
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: Of your bank WORLL than usual?
• 19:54
  Speaker 3: I said, no, Maybe that's just a personal thing because
• 19:57
  Speaker 3: like I don't have the best read on it.
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: I don't think.
• 20:00
  Speaker 3: But in terms of ownership, amount of fights on the card,
• 20:03
  Speaker 3: it's good that way. I just think where I struggle
• 20:06
  Speaker 3: a little bit is it's hard for me to justify
• 20:09
  Speaker 3: leaving like four hundred plus five hundred plus on.
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: Too many teams. And when you can do that a.
• 20:13
  Speaker 3: Lot more easily or it feels easier, usually that's when
• 20:17
  Speaker 3: the mid tiers loaded or there's not as many big favorites.
• 20:20
  Speaker 3: That's when I feel a little better about the card
• 20:22
  Speaker 3: to get a little different combinations that way, whereas I'm
• 20:25
  Speaker 3: gonna be zeroing out or leaving one hundred, two hundred
• 20:28
  Speaker 3: and most of my teams this week, which feels a
• 20:30
  Speaker 3: little more difficult to get completely different. But thirteen fights
• 20:33
  Speaker 3: probably no one about fifty percent a fatal main event
• 20:36
  Speaker 3: definitely could be worse, no doubt about that. Do I
• 20:40
  Speaker 3: judges make this a little easier to predict any wins
• 20:42
  Speaker 3: by decision? All right, let's get to the next fight
• 20:45
  Speaker 3: on the card again. Appreciate everyone hanging out. All we
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: ask is the like button and subscribe button helps us
• 20:49
  Speaker 3: out a ton Dustin Jacoby taking on Muhammad said minus
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: one seventy five. Jacoby plus one fifty is said minus
• 20:57
  Speaker 3: one seventy for this fight to finish, Jacoby plus one
• 21:00
  Speaker 3: sixty inside the distance said plus.
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: Two point fifty.
• 21:04
  Speaker 3: Yeah, it looks like you're on the same page as me.
• 21:07
  Speaker 3: Sheets is in our discord, and he put out a
• 21:09
  Speaker 3: couple things. Me and Sheets are completely different. This week.
• 21:12
  Speaker 3: On who he liked, he liked Jacoby. I don't like
• 21:15
  Speaker 3: Jacoby much. It's hard for me to justify just the
• 21:18
  Speaker 3: striker at minus one seventy five eighty seven hundred in
• 21:21
  Speaker 3: a fight that's slightly favored to go the distance. I
• 21:24
  Speaker 3: like said More for twelve hundred cheaper in this one. Again,
• 21:27
  Speaker 3: any dogs on this card that twelve hundred goes a
• 21:29
  Speaker 3: long way?
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 21:31
  Speaker 3: Man, eighty seven hundred just as a striker is pretty
• 21:34
  Speaker 3: tough for me. But he's gonna be low owned, and
• 21:37
  Speaker 3: obviously Sheets is sharp, so maybe I'll get a little
• 21:39
  Speaker 3: more Jacoby than I plan because of Sheets. But I'm
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: on the Said side in this fight for DFS at
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: nine and oh what about you?
• 21:47
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I just don't want to pay eighty seven hundred
• 21:49
  Speaker 4: dollars for a kickboxer in Jacoby. I think he's gonna
• 21:52
  Speaker 4: need a knockout at some point for him to be
• 21:54
  Speaker 4: on the optimal lineup. I do think he's the better
• 21:57
  Speaker 4: minute winner. He is the better striker, and said is
• 22:01
  Speaker 4: a striker. It's just that Jacoby's pushing forty years old.
• 22:05
  Speaker 4: He's taking some damage, and say Ed has some power.
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: I think he could knock out Jakoby if Jacoby's playing
• 22:11
  Speaker 4: with fire. So another thing I like is on DraftKings,
• 22:14
  Speaker 4: his name is set Off, so ends in a v
• 22:17
  Speaker 4: I like that, So I'm gonna go with say Edov
• 22:20
  Speaker 4: in this one seventy five hundred dollars. I still like
• 22:23
  Speaker 4: Bonfime more for one hundred dollars more, just because I
• 22:26
  Speaker 4: am more confident in his abilities and I think he
• 22:30
  Speaker 4: would score well in any win. I think say ed
• 22:33
  Speaker 4: could score like fifty sixty points in a way, and
• 22:36
  Speaker 4: if he's not getting a knockout, if it's just a
• 22:38
  Speaker 4: striking match, he's landing a takedown or two throughout the
• 22:41
  Speaker 4: fifteen minutes, and maybe he's getting a shitty Abu dabi judging.
• 22:46
  Speaker 4: But I'm just not looking to pay the seven hundred
• 22:49
  Speaker 4: dollars for Jacoby. So on a card, I'm definitely gonna
• 22:51
  Speaker 4: be limiting my lineups. I'm gonna x out Jacoby. I
• 22:54
  Speaker 4: just don't see me going there with one fifty. There's
• 22:56
  Speaker 4: no way I would x him out. He does score
• 22:58
  Speaker 4: more than one hundred quite a bit, I think, But
• 23:02
  Speaker 4: I would just rather get up to a lot of
• 23:03
  Speaker 4: other favorites and we'll be talking about one in the
• 23:05
  Speaker 4: next fight for one hundred dollars more than I would
• 23:07
  Speaker 4: rather have than Jacoby. So for me, say it off
• 23:10
  Speaker 4: or pass.
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: Yeah, for Jacoby, it's one of those spots like, yeah,
• 23:15
  Speaker 3: I'm in agreement. If I'm playing very few teams handbuilding,
• 23:17
  Speaker 3: I'm not putting him in the larger the tournament though.
• 23:20
  Speaker 3: That's when I get to like, all right, his run
• 23:22
  Speaker 3: one prop plus four twenty five plus four twenty five
• 23:25
  Speaker 3: nineteen percent. If I knew he's getting around one knockout,
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: I would definitely want him. It's not guaranteed to be optimal,
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: but at his ownership, I do think he probably comes in.
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: Lower than nineteen percent owned. So that's one way to
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: look at it.
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: And then that's why you will see the best players
• 23:39
  Speaker 3: pretty much play all fighters unless there's a really really
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: big underdog. If they're playing one hundred and fifty, they're
• 23:45
  Speaker 3: getting some exposure to everyone because there is a percentage
• 23:48
  Speaker 3: that each fighter does win. Even when you're plus seven
• 23:52
  Speaker 3: hundred plus seven hundred is twelve point five percent chance
• 23:56
  Speaker 3: to win.
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: So that's why people play stuff like that.
• 23:58
  Speaker 3: So I would probably be around to cap my Jacobe
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: exposure at the round one ownership of nineteen percent, but
• 24:04
  Speaker 3: I probably will come in lower owned than that. Sense, Yeah,
• 24:08
  Speaker 3: eighty seven hundred for a kickboxer, no thank you on
• 24:12
  Speaker 3: this card, And yeah, we're going to the next fight,
• 24:14
  Speaker 3: who I do think will be more popular. Such a
• 24:16
  Speaker 3: Kobe would be a pivot, but it is Walter Walker
• 24:19
  Speaker 3: and Thomas Peterson minus one eighty five. Walker plus one
• 24:23
  Speaker 3: sixty is Peterson minus one seventy for this fight to finish,
• 24:26
  Speaker 3: Walker plus one oh five inside the distance Peterson plus
• 24:30
  Speaker 3: three seventy five.
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, is Walter Walker gonna make it five straight
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: heel hooks? Like that's really the only question.
• 24:37
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I think he is. I mean, I just think
• 24:39
  Speaker 4: he looks are hard to deal with for heavyweights who
• 24:42
  Speaker 4: are not used to training that sort of game. But
• 24:45
  Speaker 4: this is another tricky one because I do think Peterson
• 24:48
  Speaker 4: is our better minute winner. I think he's our better
• 24:52
  Speaker 4: overall striker, and I think he could be the better
• 24:54
  Speaker 4: offensive wrestler. But Walker only needs one takedown and it's
• 24:59
  Speaker 4: over shortly after. I just don't think Peterson'll be able
• 25:01
  Speaker 4: to deal with it. So I'm gonna keep picking Walker
• 25:03
  Speaker 4: until he faces a real grappler who would know how
• 25:06
  Speaker 4: to deal with something like that. And I feel like
• 25:08
  Speaker 4: seventy percent of the heavyweight division won't know how to
• 25:11
  Speaker 4: do it. So give me Walker round one heel hook.
• 25:15
  Speaker 4: I would rather, I mean a eight hundred dollars. I
• 25:17
  Speaker 4: want to be pretty high on Walker just for that
• 25:19
  Speaker 4: round one equity if he doesn't get a round one
• 25:22
  Speaker 4: heel hook. I don't think he's on the optima lineup,
• 25:24
  Speaker 4: but that's got to be his most likely pat to Vickery.
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know, more than likely.
• 25:29
  Speaker 3: I'll probably come in underweight if he does get steam
• 25:32
  Speaker 3: like I think he might. And again, everyone's ownership's gonna
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: be in check with thirteen fights. But so it open
• 25:37
  Speaker 3: minus two hundred Walker two minutes later was minus three
• 25:40
  Speaker 3: point fifty Walker. Then ever since then, money's been coming
• 25:43
  Speaker 3: in on the Peterson side at minus one eighty five
• 25:46
  Speaker 3: plus one sixty. Now, when it's on the feet like
• 25:49
  Speaker 3: I want Peterson, I think he can at least back
• 25:51
  Speaker 3: you up. He use his jab, Peterson can get his
• 25:55
  Speaker 3: own takedowns, and I do think that might be a mistake,
• 25:58
  Speaker 3: but you know, this whole camp, that's all he's to
• 26:00
  Speaker 3: train for is how to avoid that position. Now, if
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: it does get to the mad and Walker finds his
• 26:06
  Speaker 3: way to the to his ankle and stuff, yeah, I
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: mean he's gonna take it and Peter and Walker is
• 26:10
  Speaker 3: gonna win with all that being said, though Balter can
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: get a first round submission and not get one takedown
• 26:16
  Speaker 3: or anything and just score like ninety two DK points,
• 26:19
  Speaker 3: that's not gonna work at eighty eight hundred, so he
• 26:21
  Speaker 3: has to get offensive takedowns. As you can see on
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: the stone, both of them can. But man, the fight's
• 26:26
  Speaker 3: minus won seventy to finish it open minus one fifty,
• 26:29
  Speaker 3: so money's going that way, but over one and a
• 26:31
  Speaker 3: half is still favored at minus one fifty five. Like
• 26:34
  Speaker 3: Walker's third round submission more than likely isn't enough. If
• 26:37
  Speaker 3: he does get it that way, and the longer it goes,
• 26:40
  Speaker 3: I'm not sure it benefits him. So I actually like
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: Thomas Peterson is my preferred play, but again a lot
• 26:45
  Speaker 3: of it comes back to he's fourteen hundred cheaper. He's
• 26:48
  Speaker 3: in the seven k's and I need seven k fighters.
• 26:51
  Speaker 3: Peterson sayad bomb theme, Mike Davis, these are the guys
• 26:55
  Speaker 3: you're looking at For me. I prefer more that like
• 26:58
  Speaker 3: in the middle seven k's than I do the complete
• 27:00
  Speaker 3: punts on this card. Next fight on the card, we
• 27:05
  Speaker 3: have a Bukar Vagayev taken on saigid Is Guy Makiev.
• 27:12
  Speaker 3: We're gonna go with Vagayev minus two thirty five and
• 27:16
  Speaker 3: Saygid plus two hundred plus one for this fight to
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: finish individual props.
• 27:22
  Speaker 2: Again, these aren't even out at all books, but we have.
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: Zaki Mayev plus three thirty and vaggay plus three eighty.
• 27:30
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna send it to you on this because I
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: do not want to keep saying these dudes' names.
• 27:35
  Speaker 4: Yeah, this is the one I started with four star,
• 27:38
  Speaker 4: moving down to three star because I was thinking it
• 27:40
  Speaker 4: was the other two names I can't pronounce two fights later,
• 27:44
  Speaker 4: but this one, I think is I really don't have
• 27:47
  Speaker 4: as much interest because it is supposed to go the distance.
• 27:51
  Speaker 4: Is Magakmayev or whatever it is. He really relies on
• 27:54
  Speaker 4: takedowns and a heavy top control game, so if he wins,
• 27:59
  Speaker 4: I think he's gonna score okay, But I just don't
• 28:01
  Speaker 4: think that he is a good enough fighter to win
• 28:04
  Speaker 4: three rounds that way. In the UFC, I think the
• 28:05
  Speaker 4: guy is the better overall fighter. He has a wrestling
• 28:09
  Speaker 4: game too, but I think he's a better striker. He's also,
• 28:11
  Speaker 4: I believe, nineteen and one in decisions, and this fight's
• 28:15
  Speaker 4: supposed to go to a decision, So give me the
• 28:17
  Speaker 4: guy nineteen one indecisions. I just don't really feel good
• 28:20
  Speaker 4: about his eighty nine hundred dollars price tag. I'd rather
• 28:23
  Speaker 4: go down one hundred more to Walker, So I don't
• 28:25
  Speaker 4: think I'll be getting too much on DraftKings. I might
• 28:28
  Speaker 4: move this down to a two star once I make
• 28:30
  Speaker 4: my lineups, but they both end in v's. You never
• 28:34
  Speaker 4: know what these guys and I also, I don't even
• 28:36
  Speaker 4: remember very much tape from Sunday on these guys, so
• 28:40
  Speaker 4: I'll have to do a little bit more research kind
• 28:42
  Speaker 4: of refresh my memory. But I think this is a
• 28:44
  Speaker 4: fight to fade, with Vigaya being my pick to win.
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I see it the same. I think this is
• 28:50
  Speaker 3: more of a fade fight as well. The second most
• 28:51
  Speaker 3: likely to go the distance on the card, the guy
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: of nineteen. Let me make sure I got this right.
• 28:57
  Speaker 3: Nineteen of his twenty four wins have I have come
• 29:00
  Speaker 3: by decision. Three of his four losses by ko. On
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: the other side, for Saygid thirteen of his twenty two
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: wins by submission, he's finished sixteen of them, so at
• 29:09
  Speaker 3: least he does a little more. But man, this va
• 29:11
  Speaker 3: guy of dude, I just think he's better wherever the
• 29:13
  Speaker 3: fight goes. If he ross theressel, he probably can. I
• 29:16
  Speaker 3: think Sygid's too good too.
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: I think it was a high level fight, but usually
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: high level fight not usually Sometimes high level fights don't
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: translate to good scores for dfs, and I do think
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: again with his fight plus one forty to finish, that's
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: probably the case. So I don't plan on having too much.
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: If I have to pick a preferred play, I'm gonna
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: go with Sygod because again he's seventy three hundred.
• 29:36
  Speaker 3: We need dogs on this card. Fifty five in a
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: win could be enough there, whereas Vigeev needs a good score.
• 29:42
  Speaker 3: What's up modified great to see. I hope you're doing well.
• 29:47
  Speaker 3: Next fight on the card, resvon Kuoniye have taken on
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: Tyrell Fortune Cooney of minus three thirty five Fortune plus
• 29:54
  Speaker 3: two to seventy five minus one fifteen for this fight
• 29:56
  Speaker 3: to finish, Cooney of plus one forty five inside a
• 29:58
  Speaker 3: distance fortune plus for fifty Cooniev in round one plus
• 30:02
  Speaker 3: three point fifty. Kind of talking about fights that we
• 30:06
  Speaker 3: didn't love too much, I think I can group this
• 30:09
  Speaker 3: one in here. It's a heavyweight fight, so I'm not
• 30:11
  Speaker 3: going to exit out but man Coonia fights have been
• 30:15
  Speaker 3: pretty boring so far. I think Fortune doesn't have success wrestling.
• 30:18
  Speaker 3: I think Kuniyea can probably push him up us his
• 30:20
  Speaker 3: big body against the fence, grind out wins, get a
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: unanimous decision, go home not hurt with extra money in
• 30:27
  Speaker 3: his pocket.
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: But not if you are playing him in DFS.
• 30:30
  Speaker 3: I don't love it. It's heavyweights, though, so I don't know.
• 30:33
  Speaker 3: I doubt I exit out, but I don't want too much.
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: What do you think?
• 30:37
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I just moved it down to a two star
• 30:39
  Speaker 4: actually because I mean plus three point fifty in round
• 30:42
  Speaker 4: one for Kuniev not really good at nine K and
• 30:45
  Speaker 4: I think that would be his most optimal path would
• 30:49
  Speaker 4: be a first round knockout. Fortune is the better wrestler,
• 30:52
  Speaker 4: I think, the better offensive wrestler. He's got some boxing too,
• 30:56
  Speaker 4: but Kuoniev is hard to take down. I mean he
• 30:58
  Speaker 4: just faced and Jyalton al Made, who I think are
• 31:03
  Speaker 4: both better wrestlers than Fortune and Uh. I think Koniev
• 31:07
  Speaker 4: is the better striker in this one. I do think
• 31:08
  Speaker 4: he can cage push as well and really just slow
• 31:11
  Speaker 4: this fight down, tire Fortune out and just win the
• 31:14
  Speaker 4: fight on the feet. So give me Koniev to win,
• 31:16
  Speaker 4: but I feel like he's not even gonna score ten
• 31:18
  Speaker 4: x in this fight. It might be another seventy point
• 31:21
  Speaker 4: type of win for Kuoniev, and if that's the case,
• 31:23
  Speaker 4: there's an easy fade all around. So yeah, I moved
• 31:26
  Speaker 4: it down to two star, and I think it is
• 31:28
  Speaker 4: like my second, maybe third least favorite fight on the guard.
• 31:33
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm totally with you, all right, we'll keep it rolling.
• 31:36
  Speaker 3: Four fights left. We got Mago matt Zinikov minus two
• 31:41
  Speaker 3: seventy five taking on Damien Rezepki plus two thirty five
• 31:45
  Speaker 3: minus one fifteen for this fight to finish, Zinikov plus
• 31:48
  Speaker 3: one fifty inside the distance Resbectee plus four to twenty five.
• 31:53
  Speaker 3: I mean, I'm glad these fights are back to back
• 31:55
  Speaker 3: because it's right in the same price range as that
• 31:57
  Speaker 3: fight we just talked about. I do prefer this fight
• 31:59
  Speaker 3: definitely to the Kunia fight, but very similar both minus
• 32:02
  Speaker 3: won fifteen to finish somebody, Oh has to go eight
• 32:05
  Speaker 3: to o Zinikov ten and Oh Rezek. I think it's
• 32:09
  Speaker 3: a solid fight and on again. On Tuesday, this fight
• 32:13
  Speaker 3: was minus two to eighty eight Zynikov. He's now minus
• 32:16
  Speaker 3: two seventy five. He was all the way down to
• 32:18
  Speaker 3: minus four hundred though five days ago, and then he's
• 32:22
  Speaker 3: slowly but surely Rezeki has taken some money.
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on this one?
• 32:27
  Speaker 4: Yeah, this is another one where I just don't really
• 32:30
  Speaker 4: remember these guys very well from when I did my
• 32:32
  Speaker 4: film study on Sunday. But Zainukov was on the Dana
• 32:37
  Speaker 4: Whites Contender series. He landed two hundred and thirty five
• 32:40
  Speaker 4: significant strikes and two takedowns. I mean, any any stats
• 32:46
  Speaker 4: like that, I'm always going to be interested in. But
• 32:48
  Speaker 4: when when I was watching his other fights, he doesn't
• 32:50
  Speaker 4: typically fight with that type of pace, so I don't
• 32:53
  Speaker 4: think we can rely on it. But the fact that
• 32:55
  Speaker 4: he did it, and he was mixing in takedowns as well,
• 32:58
  Speaker 4: makes me always want to get a little bit of it.
• 33:00
  Speaker 4: Exposure to this guy. His name ends and a V.
• 33:02
  Speaker 4: We're in Abu Dhabi. I mean, ninety two hundred dollars
• 33:05
  Speaker 4: isn't a crazy price, but I just think there's a
• 33:08
  Speaker 4: lot of ways this fight could go, and I don't
• 33:10
  Speaker 4: love to pay that price on him, but I think
• 33:12
  Speaker 4: for right now it is going to be Zynikov are
• 33:16
  Speaker 4: pass I'm gonna have to refresh myself on Respeccy. I
• 33:19
  Speaker 4: put that I do think he's a pretty decent fighter everywhere,
• 33:22
  Speaker 4: and it could be a close fight, but I just
• 33:24
  Speaker 4: think that Zinikov is the better fighter and he's gonna
• 33:27
  Speaker 4: be the one dictating where the fight takes place. So
• 33:29
  Speaker 4: picked him to win. He is going to be my
• 33:31
  Speaker 4: preferred play on DraftKings, But I just wouldn't expect that
• 33:34
  Speaker 4: same pace that we saw on the Dana West Continna series.
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that pace was insane. I do think for Resbeccy,
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: like I have interest there.
• 33:42
  Speaker 3: Though he's twenty four years old, finished nine of his
• 33:45
  Speaker 3: ten fights, four wins by Knackou, five wins by sub
• 33:48
  Speaker 3: I think I think he's gonna fight for the dollar
• 33:50
  Speaker 3: at seven K and I do not like many.
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: Really really cheapies.
• 33:54
  Speaker 3: So Resbeccy is definitely someone that I'm going to be
• 33:57
  Speaker 3: interested in, and Zinikov as well. I mean, when you
• 33:59
  Speaker 3: throw well, when you land over twitter significant strikes, that
• 34:02
  Speaker 3: just shows that what kind of output you can throw,
• 34:06
  Speaker 3: what your ceiling is in DFS. Do you think Zainakov
• 34:09
  Speaker 3: wrestles at all in this one? Do you think riz
• 34:11
  Speaker 3: Becky tries how do you see it going that way?
• 34:14
  Speaker 4: Man, I don't. I'm not to refresh myself just to
• 34:17
  Speaker 4: see how I think this fight plays out. But I
• 34:20
  Speaker 4: would think that Zinacom is the more likely wrestler, but
• 34:23
  Speaker 4: either one of them could mix in takedowns for sure.
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: All right, before we go to the next fight, got
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: a couple left still to talk about.
• 34:30
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• 34:32
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• 35:18
  Speaker 2: Three fights left.
• 35:19
  Speaker 3: The biggest favorite on the card actually tied for the
• 35:21
  Speaker 3: biggest favor but the highest priced Islam Dulodov minus one
• 35:25
  Speaker 3: thousand taking on Wellington terament plus six seventy five minus
• 35:28
  Speaker 3: six fifty for this fight to finish, Duladov minus four
• 35:31
  Speaker 3: hundred inside the distance tournament plus six fifty Duladov in
• 35:35
  Speaker 3: round one minus two twenty five.
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: So comparing him to Tuccialov from earlier, Tukulov has a
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: better inside the distance prop by fifty cents, but Dulodov
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: has a better round one prop by fifty cents. That's
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: pretty interesting, I mean, just based on that in the
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: round one prop. And for me not even knowing Wellington,
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: Ternamin was still in the UFC until I saw his
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: name this week, Like, yeah, I'm on team dual Off.
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: If money wasn't a thing, I still think I prefer
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: more than Tucca Loov. I don't know.
• 36:04
  Speaker 3: It's not a strong take, but I just don't really
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: It's hard to pay ninety seven hundred and ninety eight
• 36:09
  Speaker 3: hundred when you literally can get a quick win bonus.
• 36:12
  Speaker 3: And I saw someone comment this last week or two
• 36:14
  Speaker 3: weeks ago, like you're gonna need him when he gets
• 36:16
  Speaker 3: a first quick win or quick win bonus. There is
• 36:19
  Speaker 3: a card that I shifted with Armin Serukian and six
• 36:22
  Speaker 3: months ago or whatever, forget who it was, but the
• 36:25
  Speaker 3: guy did get a first minute bonus, scored like one
• 36:27
  Speaker 3: twenty seven. The next highest score in the card was
• 36:29
  Speaker 3: like one oh seven, and he wasn't on the winner
• 36:32
  Speaker 3: because again, we play a salary based game. If there's
• 36:34
  Speaker 3: not enough underdogs come through, it really doesn't matter what
• 36:37
  Speaker 3: you score unless you're scoring like one fifty plus. So yeah,
• 36:41
  Speaker 3: I just I think it's hard to click. Ninety eight
• 36:43
  Speaker 3: hundred and ninety seven hundred. Definitely not clicking.
• 36:45
  Speaker 4: Wellington Tournament, Yeah same, I'm gonna x out tournament. I mean,
• 36:50
  Speaker 4: all of his wins in the UC, they're no longer
• 36:53
  Speaker 4: in the UFC anymore. He hasn't thought in three years.
• 36:56
  Speaker 4: I figured he was in another organization and came back,
• 36:59
  Speaker 4: and then I looked at his record and he just
• 37:01
  Speaker 4: hasn't fought in three years. So I want nothing to
• 37:04
  Speaker 4: do with Urman. I'm I'm fine with Dulatov if you
• 37:07
  Speaker 4: can pay ninety one hundred dollars. I'm pretty against ninety
• 37:10
  Speaker 4: eight hundred dollars in general. But Dulatov, I do think
• 37:13
  Speaker 4: he gets a round one knockout. He's a really good striker.
• 37:16
  Speaker 4: I just think he overwhelms Turman, throws punches and bunches
• 37:19
  Speaker 4: and knocks him out in the first round. Probably does
• 37:21
  Speaker 4: score right around one ten, one fifteen, But I just
• 37:26
  Speaker 4: don't know that one ten, one fifteen is gonna do
• 37:28
  Speaker 4: it at ninety hundred dollars on a card where I'm
• 37:30
  Speaker 4: not picking very many underdogs. I think I picked well
• 37:33
  Speaker 4: like two hundred dogs on this card, So yeah, that's it. Uh.
• 37:38
  Speaker 4: And when I was looking at it, Ersa was a
• 37:40
  Speaker 4: slat underdog, but now he's a favorite for DraftKings, so
• 37:43
  Speaker 4: that one doesn't even count. So yeah, I have two
• 37:45
  Speaker 4: hundred dogs and that's just not gonna get me there.
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I only picked u Sayed and Peterson.
• 37:51
  Speaker 4: Saiaid I picked him as well.
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, three is my only two is Scott Mayev.
• 37:58
  Speaker 3: I think is a little interesting, but yeah, it's it's
• 38:01
  Speaker 3: really tough when it comes to dogs. Yeah, we're gonna
• 38:03
  Speaker 3: get to the comin event though coin flip fight eighty
• 38:05
  Speaker 3: two hundred ak actually not even a coin flip anymore.
• 38:08
  Speaker 3: As you can see on Tuesday, Temerov was a favorite.
• 38:11
  Speaker 3: Let me just say from the top right now, so
• 38:13
  Speaker 3: Temrov opened. Now, it's like, come on, give me a
• 38:21
  Speaker 3: sec because I know there's been a decent amount of
• 38:23
  Speaker 3: line movement in this one. Right now, it's Temrav minus
• 38:25
  Speaker 3: one twenty four, Steve Urseg plus.
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: One oh four.
• 38:29
  Speaker 3: I'm not sure it's gonna go plus one ten for
• 38:31
  Speaker 3: this fight to finish. The big thing right here Tamra
• 38:33
  Speaker 3: plus one eighty five inside the distance and Steve Erseg
• 38:37
  Speaker 3: plus four fifteen, So pretty much a coin flip fight.
• 38:40
  Speaker 3: But Temerov is double the chance to get a finished
• 38:45
  Speaker 3: than Erseg. And yeah, I don't know why this isn't
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: showing it's it's not showing me line movement, which is annoying.
• 38:49
  Speaker 3: But for me, I don't love this fight because I
• 38:53
  Speaker 3: think it goes to the distance like his favor to do.
• 38:55
  Speaker 3: So I was plus one hundred to finish now plus
• 38:57
  Speaker 3: one ten some money coming in on the over, but
• 39:00
  Speaker 3: my preferred play it's Temerov because he's plus one eighty
• 39:03
  Speaker 3: five to finish and Ersex plus four fifteen and wins.
• 39:07
  Speaker 3: Ersg is gonna score a lot less more times than
• 39:09
  Speaker 3: not than Temrov when he wins, is how I see it.
• 39:12
  Speaker 3: This fight can still bust for sure, but Ersk I'm
• 39:14
  Speaker 3: questioning his chin and Temarrov throws bombs. I'm gonna play
• 39:18
  Speaker 3: some at ak and I don't like much Erseg. I
• 39:20
  Speaker 3: know this is one that I'm different from our man
• 39:22
  Speaker 3: cheats though, So yeah, what are your thoughts?
• 39:26
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I just don't really care for the fight in general.
• 39:28
  Speaker 4: I think Timarrov has the higher ceiling because he's more powerful,
• 39:32
  Speaker 4: throws heavy kicks, heavy overhands as well. I think he
• 39:36
  Speaker 4: could knock out Ersig in round one, and if that's
• 39:40
  Speaker 4: the case, he's on the optimum lineup at a K.
• 39:43
  Speaker 4: But I also think that if he doesn't knock out
• 39:45
  Speaker 4: Ersig in round one, I think it'd be the momentum
• 39:47
  Speaker 4: moves to Ersig's side. And I think he is the
• 39:49
  Speaker 4: higher paced fighter, just a better overall fighter who could
• 39:53
  Speaker 4: mix in takedowns as a better grappling game, and I
• 39:57
  Speaker 4: think he could win the second in the third rounds,
• 39:59
  Speaker 4: so I picked to win on the cards. But if
• 40:02
  Speaker 4: Verstik is winning the second in the third rounds and
• 40:04
  Speaker 4: getting his hand raised for a decision, I just don't
• 40:07
  Speaker 4: think he's on the optimal lineup. He could score sixty
• 40:10
  Speaker 4: five points and at eighty two hundred dollars. Really, at
• 40:13
  Speaker 4: any price, I'm pretty against sixty five points. So I'm
• 40:16
  Speaker 4: gonna try to fade this fight. If if I'm making
• 40:19
  Speaker 4: my lineup and I have eight k or eighty two
• 40:22
  Speaker 4: hundred dollars for my last spot, I'd be okay with it.
• 40:25
  Speaker 4: But I'm sure as hell not starting any lineup with
• 40:28
  Speaker 4: either of these guys. And ideally, if I'm making let's
• 40:32
  Speaker 4: say ten or less lineups, I would full fade this
• 40:35
  Speaker 4: fight if I could.
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: I agree with you there, I yeah.
• 40:38
  Speaker 3: Like on the money line, if I had to bet
• 40:39
  Speaker 3: this fight, I'm taking the plus one oh four on
• 40:42
  Speaker 3: Steve versag all day. But for dfs again, he can win,
• 40:46
  Speaker 3: and I still don't think he scores in most of
• 40:48
  Speaker 3: his wins or at least ten or up plus one
• 40:49
  Speaker 3: eighty five inside the distance has upsided every round. He
• 40:53
  Speaker 3: does throw with a lot of power, Alright, it's the
• 40:57
  Speaker 3: main events. It was supposed to be Maga Met and
• 40:59
  Speaker 3: Calive take on Khalil Roundtree. That would have been a
• 41:01
  Speaker 3: lot more fun in my opinion than Maga man Nklive
• 41:04
  Speaker 3: and vog Don Guskov. But that's what we get this week.
• 41:07
  Speaker 3: Minus six hundred onc plus four to twenty five Guskov
• 41:10
  Speaker 3: minus four hundred for this fight to finish, minus two
• 41:12
  Speaker 3: thirty five. It's yeah, minus two thirty five inside the
• 41:16
  Speaker 3: distance for on plus four seventy five for Guskov ank
• 41:19
  Speaker 3: in round one plus two point fifty. Man, it's not
• 41:23
  Speaker 3: popping off any of this line movements. I think I
• 41:26
  Speaker 3: wrote it though. Let's see, so it opened minus three hundred,
• 41:30
  Speaker 3: inc alive, and now he's all the way up to
• 41:32
  Speaker 3: minus six hundred. So that's quite a bit of line movement.
• 41:34
  Speaker 3: Oh I wrote up the last line movement too, so
• 41:36
  Speaker 3: ersk open plus one thirty went to minus one fifty
• 41:40
  Speaker 3: five shortly after, and then it's come back. So I
• 41:42
  Speaker 3: knew there was quite a bit of line movement on
• 41:44
  Speaker 3: that one. Wanted to circle back, but no buy back
• 41:47
  Speaker 3: in this one. Minus three hundred now minus six hundred.
• 41:51
  Speaker 3: Money keeps coming in on him. He's ninety five hundred
• 41:54
  Speaker 3: dollars though, and as you can see on the stone, a.
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: Notorious, boring, boring fighter.
• 41:59
  Speaker 3: About that being said, a former champ, in my opinion,
• 42:03
  Speaker 3: should have been two time champ. I thought he'd beat Yanvlohovich,
• 42:07
  Speaker 3: but that's for another day. Guskov, I think's out match
• 42:09
  Speaker 3: pretty much wherever the fight goes. The question for me
• 42:12
  Speaker 3: is does Anklve score enough and ninety five hundred to
• 42:15
  Speaker 3: be optimal?
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: What do you think? Se?
• 42:18
  Speaker 4: Yeah, first, I had this as a five star because
• 42:20
  Speaker 4: I was thinking Ank Alive could knock him out in
• 42:22
  Speaker 4: the first round. He could wrestle and just dominate this
• 42:25
  Speaker 4: fight if he wants to. He has multiple ways to
• 42:27
  Speaker 4: score one hundred plus points in this fight, and I
• 42:29
  Speaker 4: think this is all ank Alive. I just think he's
• 42:31
  Speaker 4: a better fighter everywhere if he doesn't get knocked out early.
• 42:35
  Speaker 4: I really think like a first round knockouts Guskov's only
• 42:38
  Speaker 4: path to victor, maybe second round as well. But he
• 42:40
  Speaker 4: is taking this fight on short notice. It is an
• 42:43
  Speaker 4: Abu Dhabi. The crowd's going to be behind on Calive,
• 42:47
  Speaker 4: and I just think he is the better overall fighter.
• 42:49
  Speaker 4: But I moved it down to a four star because
• 42:50
  Speaker 4: I was looking at his fight log and he hasn't
• 42:52
  Speaker 4: scored one hundred points in the last ten fights, so
• 42:55
  Speaker 4: terribly Yeah, a Lee, I'm not trying to pay ninety
• 42:58
  Speaker 4: five hundred dollars for that. I mean, he could get
• 43:00
  Speaker 4: a second round win and score eighty points, so it
• 43:05
  Speaker 4: may be moved down to a four star. I might
• 43:07
  Speaker 4: even move it down to a three star and just
• 43:08
  Speaker 4: try to get away from the main event ownership. And
• 43:11
  Speaker 4: if that helps me get up to like Dulatav or Tuccilv,
• 43:15
  Speaker 4: then then that that would make me feel better. But
• 43:17
  Speaker 4: I just don't know how I'd be able to do
• 43:19
  Speaker 4: that without getting different than other people, Like if they
• 43:22
  Speaker 4: all play the same three dogs as me, we're just
• 43:24
  Speaker 4: gonna end up with the same lineup. So I'm not
• 43:26
  Speaker 4: sure what I'm gonna do on this fight. I was
• 43:29
  Speaker 4: originally leaning Ank Live or pass, but the more I
• 43:33
  Speaker 4: think about it, the more I really don't want Ank
• 43:35
  Speaker 4: Live in my lineup either, so I am going to
• 43:38
  Speaker 4: pick him to win. He could win by any method,
• 43:41
  Speaker 4: but if you want a decision, it could be a
• 43:44
  Speaker 4: real boring decision, like seventy something points from him, So
• 43:49
  Speaker 4: maybe maybe not a player I'm looking to get to,
• 43:51
  Speaker 4: and I think gus Gov just being innimate event his
• 43:54
  Speaker 4: ownership will be higher than I want to get to,
• 43:57
  Speaker 4: so I'm gonna x him out. I'm just gonna try
• 43:59
  Speaker 4: and find other ways to get different on this card
• 44:01
  Speaker 4: with my underdogs, and as I mentioned, maybe ponz and
• 44:04
  Speaker 4: Ibbia would be a real sneaky way for me to
• 44:06
  Speaker 4: do it. I don't feel good about him winning either,
• 44:09
  Speaker 4: but half the ownership than Guskov, that's just something I
• 44:13
  Speaker 4: would rather go to. And at the same thing, like
• 44:16
  Speaker 4: maybe who's seen over ank Eliev, I think his ownership
• 44:20
  Speaker 4: could be lower than a Nkliath, so that could be
• 44:22
  Speaker 4: a move I'm willing to make as well, and leave
• 44:24
  Speaker 4: the two hundred dollars on the salary, or even go
• 44:26
  Speaker 4: down to Walker and leave that seven hundred on the salary.
• 44:29
  Speaker 4: So yeah, the more I think about it, I'll probably
• 44:31
  Speaker 4: want to try and get away from this fight and
• 44:33
  Speaker 4: just hope ank Aliav wins and doesn't hit a hundred again.
• 44:37
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I prefer who's saying in Sam Patterson for sure
• 44:40
  Speaker 3: for one hundred less two hundred less, probably they're going
• 44:43
  Speaker 3: to be less owned, especially Patterson. I just doesn't score,
• 44:47
  Speaker 3: but I don't like Guskov, and I'd like your thought,
• 44:49
  Speaker 3: if you're playing five sixteen something like that, to play
• 44:52
  Speaker 3: no Guskov, because I do think he gets a little
• 44:54
  Speaker 3: more steam than he otherwise would with it being a
• 44:56
  Speaker 3: five round fight, and obviously it's not even favored to
• 44:59
  Speaker 3: go to the five. And that's kind of the thing
• 45:01
  Speaker 3: with unk Calia of two. He's gonna just naturally get
• 45:04
  Speaker 3: main event steam because it's five rounds, but the fight's
• 45:07
  Speaker 3: not even supposed to go five rounds. Over one and
• 45:09
  Speaker 3: a half over two and a half is plus money,
• 45:12
  Speaker 3: so the fight's supposed to have finish before three rounds,
• 45:15
  Speaker 3: so you're paying ownership premium for pretty much nothing, and
• 45:19
  Speaker 3: if it does go late, more than likely it's not enough.
• 45:21
  Speaker 3: Plus two to fifty in round one. Even if he
• 45:23
  Speaker 3: does get it around one finish like one oh three
• 45:27
  Speaker 3: might not be enough. I like Ankliave in terms of
• 45:30
  Speaker 3: I picked him a lot. He continued to win for me,
• 45:34
  Speaker 3: but for DFS he's just not someone I want to
• 45:36
  Speaker 3: click on very much, especially at ninety five hundred and
• 45:39
  Speaker 3: an ownership premium in the main event. So I plan
• 45:41
  Speaker 3: on being underweight the main events and hoping it soaks
• 45:45
  Speaker 3: up ownership. I mean it will soak up ownership, but
• 45:49
  Speaker 3: ideally Nkliave's like thirty five percent plus, Guskov is eighteen
• 45:53
  Speaker 3: percent plus.
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: I'm not quite sure.
• 45:55
  Speaker 3: Maybe they're right around there, but I do think because
• 45:57
  Speaker 3: there's thirteen fights, a lot of other big favorites that
• 46:00
  Speaker 3: people kind of catch on game log watch, and it
• 46:02
  Speaker 3: doesn't go too crazy in terms of ownership.
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: Marquee, I got mine. I'll let Big Marley answer first.
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: Great question though, again no five star fights on this one.
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: I don't think there's an obvious answer.
• 46:13
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't think I've never had a no five
• 46:15
  Speaker 4: star fight car before and I was really struggling as
• 46:19
  Speaker 4: I was looking at that question. But I think mine
• 46:21
  Speaker 4: is going to be the same answer as yours. Give
• 46:24
  Speaker 4: me bon Feme and Solo as my favorite fight to target.
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: Yep, that's mine as well.
• 46:29
  Speaker 3: I mean, eighty six hundred and seventy six hundred leaves
• 46:31
  Speaker 3: a lot more outs for them both to get there
• 46:33
  Speaker 3: as well. The unders taking money and yeah, I mean
• 46:38
  Speaker 3: I think it's a high paced fight. They're gonna fight
• 46:40
  Speaker 3: for your dollar, probably fight in the night if I
• 46:42
  Speaker 3: had to pick one as well, So I will go
• 46:44
  Speaker 3: with that one as well.
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: Awesome stuff.
• 46:46
  Speaker 3: Big Marley always loved talking fights with you, and yeah
• 46:48
  Speaker 3: from the top, I hope, I hope.
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: People Then just listen to the first twenty seconds when
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: I said noon Eastern Star time and head out. They're
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: missing lock. It's nine a m. Eastern. I was thinking
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: my time.
• 46:59
  Speaker 3: I just got it wrong, period, so it's gonna be
• 47:02
  Speaker 3: six am I time, nine am Easter. Make sure to
• 47:04
  Speaker 3: get your teams in Saturday morning, Friday night, whenever it
• 47:07
  Speaker 3: may be. All of our content will be up tomorrow. Projections, ownership,
• 47:11
  Speaker 3: slate Station which gets you the slate plan, the tier rankings,
• 47:15
  Speaker 3: all that good stuff, and Big Marley's fight rankings. All
• 47:18
  Speaker 3: of this will be color coordinated and filled out as well.
• 47:23
  Speaker 3: I don't thought it's Big Marley.
• 47:25
  Speaker 4: Yeah man tricking card definitely. If you're in the discord,
• 47:31
  Speaker 4: I'll post some stuff in there. Check out my fight rankings.
• 47:33
  Speaker 4: Things could change for sure, and once I start building
• 47:37
  Speaker 4: my lineup so I'll have a better feeling for things
• 47:39
  Speaker 4: as well, so I might move around a lot of
• 47:40
  Speaker 4: these fight rankings. I need to refresh my memory on
• 47:43
  Speaker 4: a couple of these guys. But I think it could
• 47:45
  Speaker 4: be a fun and tricking card. So hopefully it's a
• 47:48
  Speaker 4: good way to start our Saturday. Good luck to you title,
• 47:50
  Speaker 4: good luck to everybody listening. Let's ship it.
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: I'm always loving some morning violence. Get up.
• 47:55
  Speaker 3: Hope to see that bank account a little higher in
• 47:58
  Speaker 3: the mid afternoon and it's all said and down. Hey,
• 48:01
  Speaker 3: next thing, you know, we're gonna be parling these m
• 48:03
  Speaker 3: m A Saturdays.
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: Of football Sundays.
• 48:05
  Speaker 3: I'm not gonna get there yet, though, it's gonna be
• 48:08
  Speaker 3: a lot of fun, just a little little longer. Appreciate
• 48:10
  Speaker 3: ever hanging out. Hope you guys and gals have a
• 48:13
  Speaker 3: great weekend. Do us a favor life button on the
• 48:15
  Speaker 3: way out, subscribe button, head over to ship the Nation
• 48:18
  Speaker 3: dot com. That'll do it for us. For Big Marley,
• 48:20
  Speaker 3: I'm titled talent. Good luck, Be safe,