Latest / Pod Save America / The Wilderness Chapter 5: Working-Class Latinos in Las Vegas
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Melanie Arizmendi started canvassing when she was 18, before the
- 0:03Speaker 1: 2018 Nevada primaries. She went with her mom, a proud
- 0:09Speaker 1: member of Culinary 226, the biggest union in Las Vegas,
- 0:13Speaker 1: one that deployed 500 canvassers to knock on more than
- 0:15Speaker 1: half a million doors for Joe Biden.
- 0:18Speaker 2: She likes to teach me. She's like, no, Melanie, you
- 0:21Speaker 2: got to do it this way. She's very loud. I
- 0:24Speaker 2: don't know if you've seen a Mexican mom trying to
- 0:26Speaker 2: push a point.
- 0:28Speaker 1: Melanie's family hasn't had it easy. No matter how hard
- 0:31Speaker 1: they've worked, it's never been enough to keep up with
- 0:32Speaker 1: the cost of housing. Starting with the crash that led
- 0:35Speaker 1: to the Great Recession of 2008.
- 0:36Speaker 3: Now it's official, we are in a recession.
- 0:39Speaker 4: A report out today says nearly 213,000 homeowners got foreclosure
- 0:45Speaker 4: notices just in July. Nevada is ground zero for the
- 0:50Speaker 4: housing crisis.
- 0:51Speaker 2: I was born in California, in Los Angeles. Moved to
- 0:54Speaker 2: Vegas when I was three because my parents thought it
- 0:57Speaker 2: was too expensive in California.
- 0:59Speaker 5: Moved to Vegas.
- 1:01Speaker 2: We lived here until 2008. We moved to San Diego
- 1:04Speaker 2: because we lost the house in 2008. It's very tough
- 1:07Speaker 2: moving all the time. I think I went to like
- 1:09Speaker 2: 10 different schools. It was pretty lonely, but it's okay.
- 1:13Speaker 2: I got used to it. If you are able to
- 1:15Speaker 2: stay in the same house from the time you were
- 1:17Speaker 2: like a kid, it's very fortunate.
- 1:21Speaker 1: Housing is way too expensive almost everywhere right now, but
- 1:24Speaker 1: Las Vegas is one of the worst markets in the country.
- 1:26Speaker 1: Melanie's also a full-time nursing student, and when the pandemic hit,
- 1:29Speaker 1: She couldn't afford her own place, so she and her
- 1:31Speaker 1: boyfriend moved back home to live with their parents, just
- 1:34Speaker 1: like millions of other young people did during COVID, which
- 1:37Speaker 1: is one reason she's out knocking on doors in another
- 1:39Speaker 1: midterm election.
- 1:42Speaker 2: Hello, my name is Melania Arizmendi. I'm with the Culinary Union.
- 1:45Speaker 2: I just want to.
- 1:47Speaker 1: The culinary workers have proposed a ballot initiative for the
- 1:50Speaker 1: 2022 midterms that would institute rent control in the predominantly Latino,
- 1:54Speaker 1: working-class neighborhood of North Las Vegas.
- 1:57Speaker 2: The union asked us, what do you think is the
- 1:59Speaker 2: most concerning right now. Most of us said housing. For
- 2:03Speaker 2: the whole entire paycheck to go to housing, how is
- 2:08Speaker 2: that attainable? You need a down payment. You need to
- 2:12Speaker 2: be able to live, you know, like to eat.
- 2:15Speaker 1: Rent control would be life-changing for people like Melanie and
- 2:18Speaker 1: her family, which is why she spent her summer collecting
- 2:21Speaker 1: signatures in 100-degree heat. Because housing's an issue that too
- 2:25Speaker 1: many politicians aren't doing anything about or even talking about.
- 2:28Speaker 6: I have such a story about this.
- 2:33Speaker 7: Remember Congresswoman Katie Porter from our last episode?
- 2:36Speaker 6: When I met with my first political consultant and he said, well,
- 2:40Speaker 6: you know, what do you see as the issues that
- 2:43Speaker 6: you want to run on? Like, who's Katie Porter going
- 2:45Speaker 6: to be? And I said, housing. And the political consultant,
- 2:50Speaker 6: who's no longer my consultant, by the way, said, well,
- 2:53Speaker 6: that's not really like a thing.
- 2:55Speaker 7: And I said, no, no, no.
- 2:57Speaker 6: Listen to me, this is the crisis that people are facing,
- 3:02Speaker 6: and this is the crisis that we're coming into as
- 3:04Speaker 6: a country. But generally, this is thought about as a
- 3:08Speaker 6: private problem, right, not a public one. There's sort of
- 3:11Speaker 6: this category, public housing, and we know what that conjures
- 3:14Speaker 6: up and what that typically means. And the rest of
- 3:16Speaker 6: it is sort of thought about as, like, not really
- 3:18Speaker 6: the government's problem. That's completely untrue.
- 3:23Speaker 1: Melanie and the Culinary Union are fighting to make sure
- 3:25Speaker 1: housing is the government's problem. And that's why they're also
- 3:28Speaker 1: focused on November.
- 3:30Speaker 2: Now we're going to go tell people to go vote
- 3:33Speaker 2: because that's the most important thing.
- 3:36Speaker 7: It is indeed.
- 3:39Speaker 1: Nevada is one of the most important battlefields of the
- 3:41Speaker 1: 2022 midterms. When organizers like Melanie are knocking on doors
- 3:45Speaker 1: about rent control, they're also trying to convince voters to
- 3:48Speaker 1: re-elect Democratic Governor Steve Sisolak, who's facing off against the
- 3:51Speaker 1: big-lie-believing sheriff of Clark County, Joe Lombardo. But the biggest
- 3:56Speaker 1: race in Nevada is also one of the closest in
- 3:58Speaker 1: the country. The campaign between Adam Laxalt, a Trump-endorsed son
- 4:02Speaker 1: of a political dynasty, who my Pod Save America co-host
- 4:04Speaker 1: Dan Pfeiffer calls the Conor Roy of Nevada, and Democratic
- 4:08Speaker 1: Senator Catherine Cortez Masto, the first Latina senator in U.S. history,
- 4:13Speaker 1: and one of the few candidates who's made affordable housing
- 4:15Speaker 1: central to her campaign.
- 4:17Speaker 3: I have been working with so many in my state
- 4:19Speaker 3: to figure out what is it that we need to
- 4:22Speaker 3: do to address affordable housing.
- 4:25Speaker 1: Like Pennsylvania, control of the US Senate may come down
- 4:28Speaker 1: to Nevada. Unlike Pennsylvania, Nevada is the only Biden state
- 4:33Speaker 1: where the president didn't improve on Hillary Clinton's 2016 performance,
- 4:37Speaker 1: even though the electorate became more diverse.
- 4:41Speaker 7: So what happened?
- 4:44Speaker 1: For years, political experts have predicted that a diversifying America
- 4:47Speaker 1: would favor the Democratic Party, particularly as a growing number
- 4:51Speaker 1: of Latino immigrants and their children have become voting citizens.
- 4:55Speaker 1: making up a larger share of the electorate with each
- 4:57Speaker 1: passing year. That prediction seemed like an especially good one
- 5:01Speaker 1: in 2016, when the Republican Party nominated someone who announced
- 5:05Speaker 1: his candidacy like this.
- 5:06Speaker 4: When Mexico sends its people, they're not sending their best.
- 5:11Speaker 7: They're bringing drugs.
- 5:13Speaker 5: They're bringing crime.
- 5:14Speaker 7: They're rapists.
- 5:16Speaker 1: Sure enough, Trump lost Latino voters in 2016 by 40 points.
- 5:21Speaker 1: In 2018, when he made the final months of the
- 5:23Speaker 1: midterms about invading caravans full of immigrants, Republicans lost Latino
- 5:27Speaker 1: voters by a similar margin. But in 2020, something unexpected happened.
- 5:33Speaker 1: Donald Trump still lost the Latino vote, but he did
- 5:36Speaker 1: a lot better than he did in 2016. And Republicans
- 5:39Speaker 1: didn't just do better with any kind of Latino voter.
- 5:42Speaker 1: They made their biggest gains with working-class Latinos who don't
- 5:45Speaker 1: have a four-year college degree, which is about 85% of
- 5:47Speaker 1: all Latinos. In a state like Nevada, where Latinos make
- 5:52Speaker 1: up nearly 20% of the electorate, one of the highest
- 5:55Speaker 1: shares of any state in the country, the Democrats simply
- 5:58Speaker 1: can't win if they keep losing working-class Latino voters. The
- 6:03Speaker 1: same is true in other states with big Latino populations
- 6:06Speaker 1: like Arizona, Texas, Colorado, and Florida. But it's also true
- 6:11Speaker 1: in very competitive states with smaller Latino populations, like Georgia, Wisconsin,
- 6:15Speaker 1: and Pennsylvania.
- 6:18Speaker 7: So what can we do?
- 6:20Speaker 1: How can Latino organizers like Melanie and her mother win
- 6:22Speaker 1: over enough of their neighbors and coworkers to make sure
- 6:24Speaker 1: that housing's more affordable, Nevada stays blue, and we re-elect
- 6:28Speaker 1: the country's first Latina senator? A few miles from the
- 6:33Speaker 1: Vegas Strip, where a lot of the culinary members work,
- 6:35Speaker 1: I sat down with seven working-class Latino voters. Everyone in
- 6:39Speaker 1: this group identified themselves as an independent, but some were
- 6:42Speaker 1: certainly more conservative than others, and it was the only
- 6:44Speaker 1: group where two voters had supported Donald Trump in 2020.
- 6:47Speaker 1: Two others voted for Biden, one voted third party, and
- 6:50Speaker 1: the last two didn't say who they voted for. As usual,
- 6:53Speaker 1: I gathered together a team of experts to help unpack
- 6:55Speaker 1: this conversation.
- 6:56Speaker 5: Hey, Carlos Odio.
- 6:57Speaker 8: I am co-founder of Equis Research and Equis Labs.
- 7:00Speaker 7: Yeah, I'm Rui Teixeira.
- 7:02Speaker 9: I'm currently a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.
- 7:05Speaker 5: Faz Shakir.
- 7:06Speaker 3: I was Bernie Sanders' presidential campaign manager and still retain
- 7:10Speaker 3: essentially a title of chief advisor to Bernie. And I
- 7:13Speaker 3: have started a media organization called More Perfect Union that
- 7:17Speaker 3: is focused on telling the stories of working people by
- 7:20Speaker 3: and for working people.
- 7:22Speaker 7: We'll hear from Carlos, Rui, Faz, and seven Nevada voters
- 7:25Speaker 7: after the break.
- 7:34Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 7:38Speaker 9: I stay away from Twitter. I figured it'd be bad
- 7:41Speaker 9: for my mental health.
- 7:43Speaker 7: You were correct.
- 7:44Speaker 9: Carlos is out there somewhere, right?
- 7:46Speaker 7: Yeah, Carlos Odio is here. I went to Vegas because, well,
- 7:51Speaker 7: it's Vegas.
- 7:52Speaker 1: But I also wanted to sit down with some of
- 7:54Speaker 1: the working class Latino voters who've been drifting away from
- 7:56Speaker 1: the Democratic Party in recent elections. There's been a big
- 7:59Speaker 1: heated debate among political pundits and strategists about why this
- 8:02Speaker 1: is happening. So I wanted to make sure I brought
- 8:04Speaker 1: together some experts who could represent the different sides of
- 8:07Speaker 1: this debate and actually bring some data and experience to
- 8:10Speaker 1: the conversation. Carlos is a brilliant strategist and former Obama
- 8:14Speaker 1: campaign colleague who runs one of the best Latino polling
- 8:16Speaker 1: firms in the country. Roy was one of the leading
- 8:19Speaker 1: proponents of the demographics or destiny theory, who since changed
- 8:23Speaker 1: his mind and now has views on the subject that
- 8:25Speaker 1: are a bit more controversial within the party. And Faz
- 8:28Speaker 1: didn't just run Bernie Sanders' winning Nevada caucus campaign. He
- 8:31Speaker 1: was a top advisor to Nevada's most successful political leader,
- 8:34Speaker 1: Harry Reid, and now runs a group that's focused on
- 8:37Speaker 1: organizing workers. I sat down with the three of them
- 8:39Speaker 1: a few weeks after I came back from Vegas to
- 8:41Speaker 1: share what I'd heard, and I asked them to help
- 8:43Speaker 1: us break it all down.
- 8:46Speaker 7: I want to start by getting some opening thoughts from
- 8:48Speaker 7: each of.
- 8:48Speaker 1: You on the long-running debate you've all been part of
- 8:52Speaker 1: about the Democratic Party's relationship with Latino voters. Where does
- 8:56Speaker 1: it stand? What are some common misconceptions? What are campaigns
- 8:59Speaker 1: and candidates getting wrong? Carlos, you've been closest to the
- 9:02Speaker 1: data and you've probably seen countless focus groups like the
- 9:06Speaker 1: one that we're about to hear from.
- 9:07Speaker 7: What do you think?
- 9:08Speaker 8: I think what we know is that there's a lot
- 9:11Speaker 8: of swing in the Latino vote. And I think for
- 9:13Speaker 8: a period of time, we took for granted that they
- 9:16Speaker 8: were part of the Democratic coalition. And I would say,
- 9:18Speaker 8: you know, you have different waves, but really after the
- 9:21Speaker 8: immigration debates of 2006, 2007, you had this period where
- 9:24Speaker 8: where there was a vision of the Republican Party formed
- 9:28Speaker 8: within those immigration debates that created a group norm among
- 9:31Speaker 8: many Latinos that was, we can't vote for them. They're anti-Latino.
- 9:35Speaker 3: They're racist.
- 9:36Speaker 7: They're anti-immigrant. It's the whole package.
- 9:38Speaker 8: And that helped create an inflated Democratic coalition, right? And
- 9:41Speaker 8: gave a sense of a two-third majority that almost seemed permanent.
- 9:45Speaker 8: And as younger Latinos age into the electorate at a
- 9:48Speaker 8: very fast rate, would only persist, if not grow. What
- 9:53Speaker 8: we saw after 2016 during the Trump tenure is some
- 9:57Speaker 8: erosion of that group norm, right? Where it stopped being
- 10:01Speaker 8: so socially unacceptable to vote for Republicans, in particular for Trump.
- 10:06Speaker 8: And there was a shift, right? And where we are
- 10:07Speaker 8: right now is a great deal of uncertainty, right? It
- 10:10Speaker 8: could fall either way. There's a lot that can happen
- 10:12Speaker 8: between now and the end of the election because a
- 10:14Speaker 8: lot of Latino voters are still in that undecided column.
- 10:17Speaker 1: Roy, I know you've written quite a bit about this.
- 10:20Speaker 7: Your thoughts?
- 10:22Speaker 9: I think the Democrats have become increasingly identified with a
- 10:25Speaker 9: set of positions on sociocultural issues. They really don't sit
- 10:29Speaker 9: that well with a lot of Hispanic working people who
- 10:32Speaker 9: tend to be conservative to moderate in their social views.
- 10:36Speaker 9: And then you combine that with people's views. Initially, at
- 10:39Speaker 9: least the Trump economy worked quite well until the COVID
- 10:42Speaker 9: epidemic hit. After that, you had A lot of Hispanics
- 10:45Speaker 9: being worried about, well, are the Democrats really serious about
- 10:48Speaker 9: reopening the economy? Many of these people work in law enforcement.
- 10:51Speaker 9: Many of these people work in resource extraction industries, oil
- 10:54Speaker 9: and gas. There's a sense in which Democrats are seen
- 10:57Speaker 9: as being hostile to those industries. And to some extent
- 10:59Speaker 9: with the Democrats, it comes down to what have you
- 11:01Speaker 9: done for me lately? That's a question that they can't
- 11:04Speaker 9: answer satisfactorily.
- 11:06Speaker 1: As you know, Nevada politics very well ran a campaign
- 11:10Speaker 1: there that won over quite a few of the voters
- 11:11Speaker 1: we're about to hear from.
- 11:13Speaker 7: What do you think?
- 11:14Speaker 3: You're talking about communities that have a recent immigrant past
- 11:18Speaker 3: or a not-too-distant immigrant past. They at least can remember
- 11:21Speaker 3: the immigration story by which they came here. And so
- 11:24Speaker 3: when you think about why they came to America and
- 11:27Speaker 3: what they're trying to do in America is a reflection
- 11:31Speaker 3: on a story of America that they can remember, that
- 11:34Speaker 3: this is a story of opportunity. And for some who
- 11:37Speaker 3: come and try to make their own life here, they see, whoa.
- 11:41Speaker 7: A lot harder work.
- 11:43Speaker 3: A lot more challenging, a lot more corrupt. And so
- 11:46Speaker 3: what type of politics that I think appeal to them
- 11:49Speaker 3: are values oriented around the original ambition of America is that, hey,
- 11:52Speaker 3: this is a land of opportunity, a land of freedom,
- 11:54Speaker 3: and it's values oriented.
- 11:56Speaker 1: I think you will all find echoes of everything that
- 11:59Speaker 1: the three of you just said and some of the
- 12:00Speaker 1: clips that we're going to be hearing. I wanted to
- 12:02Speaker 1: start by finding out what issues were most important to
- 12:04Speaker 1: these voters.
- 12:05Speaker 7: Let's take a listen.
- 12:07Speaker 1: What are some of the biggest issues that you think
- 12:09Speaker 1: are affecting Las Vegas and and Nevada overall?
- 12:15Speaker 10: Housing.
- 12:15Speaker 5: Housing.
- 12:16Speaker 2: Housing.
- 12:16Speaker 5: Housing.
- 12:17Speaker 11: I've lived in and out of Vegas for 32 years.
- 12:20Speaker 11: Every sign used to have 99 and move in special, everything.
- 12:24Speaker 11: You can't find that no more. And then they want
- 12:26Speaker 11: the credit to match. Like we were one of those
- 12:28Speaker 11: people where the owner sold right from under us. And
- 12:32Speaker 11: I had, there was no weeklies for us to go to.
- 12:34Speaker 11: We were hotel hopping. And that's 70 to a hundred
- 12:38Speaker 11: and something dollars for us to go to a decent hotel.
- 12:42Speaker 11: And I had to do that for three months before
- 12:44Speaker 11: we got our house.
- 12:46Speaker 12: Rent has gone up a few hundred dollars within the
- 12:48Speaker 12: last couple of years. That's a pretty big amount for
- 12:50Speaker 12: a family to have to incur.
- 12:52Speaker 13: I don't understand why there's no rent control in the state.
- 12:55Speaker 13: I really don't. I was a renter for so long.
- 12:56Speaker 13: And if I had a rent right now, it'd be
- 12:59Speaker 13: hard because, you know, wages aren't going up, but yet
- 13:01Speaker 13: housing is.
- 13:02Speaker 14: I can't think of somebody like graduating college let's say
- 13:06Speaker 14: 20 or 30-year-old, how they can buy a house now
- 13:09Speaker 14: at $ 60, 000 a year income because the prices have gone
- 13:11Speaker 14: up so much.
- 13:12Speaker 15: Well, gas prices and groceries going up.
- 13:15Speaker 16: It's just furious because the way they use this pandemic
- 13:18Speaker 16: to take advantage of the situation.
- 13:22Speaker 5: Inflation makes millionaire more millionaire.
- 13:25Speaker 13: Climate change, people think it's hypothetical or it's not real, but...
- 13:29Speaker 13: Being in Vegas, we don't see any rain. We see
- 13:31Speaker 13: extreme weather. I think about that because my kids, what's
- 13:33Speaker 13: going to happen in 30 years, 40 years? What are
- 13:35Speaker 13: they going to inherit when I'm gone?
- 13:37Speaker 10: Is anyone else concerned about climate change?
- 13:39Speaker 15: The decline in water and just the fact that we
- 13:42Speaker 15: share water from like four different states.
- 13:45Speaker 11: I mean, and I know it's probably upset, but the
- 13:48Speaker 11: abortion and the gun thing, I have a big issue
- 13:50Speaker 11: with that. How dare you tell me what to do
- 13:53Speaker 11: with my body, but I can't tell you if you
- 13:54Speaker 11: own a gun? And then the fact that your gun
- 13:56Speaker 11: might kill my.
- 13:57Speaker 5: Kid that goes to school?
- 13:59Speaker 11: That's a big issue for me because you can tell
- 14:01Speaker 11: me I got to have a kid, but I can't
- 14:03Speaker 11: tell you you can.
- 14:03Speaker 6: Own a gun.
- 14:06Speaker 1: So I asked this question in every focus group and
- 14:08Speaker 1: in every focus group. I would say that the cost
- 14:11Speaker 1: of living issue that I heard about the most that
- 14:14Speaker 1: politicians talk about the least is housing. And it was here. Obviously,
- 14:19Speaker 1: there have been housing issues in Nevada for a long time.
- 14:21Speaker 1: I heard it in Orange County from all the young voters.
- 14:24Speaker 1: That was their top issue. I heard it a little
- 14:26Speaker 1: bit in Pittsburgh as well. and yet we don't hear
- 14:29Speaker 1: that as much in the national political debate.
- 14:32Speaker 7: Faz, why do you think that is?
- 14:33Speaker 3: Well, first of all, some of the policy measures that
- 14:36Speaker 3: would be required have been deemed to be so offensive
- 14:40Speaker 3: to the wealthy and the rich landlords. So if you
- 14:42Speaker 3: think about the words that were mentioned, rent control, I mean,
- 14:45Speaker 3: it's become almost toxic in many political conversations. The idea
- 14:48Speaker 3: of government coming in and imposing a market condition on
- 14:50Speaker 3: the economy is just so foreign. So I think it's
- 14:53Speaker 3: become an issue that particularly among wealthier folks have decided
- 14:56Speaker 3: it's politically toxic, shouldn't talk about it. But I think
- 14:59Speaker 3: what sometimes Democrats forget and is important here is the
- 15:02Speaker 3: working class emotions around the issue. Because when you talk
- 15:07Speaker 3: about housing, you're also talking about people who feel a
- 15:10Speaker 3: sense of shame. It's a big part of narrative that
- 15:12Speaker 3: goes through is like, if I can't provide for my family,
- 15:14Speaker 3: I feel a sense of shame for myself. I feel
- 15:16Speaker 3: a sense of shame about my children. I feel worried.
- 15:18Speaker 3: I feel anxious all the time. That condition is really
- 15:22Speaker 3: important to also access when you're thinking about policy. So
- 15:24Speaker 3: not not only just say, hey, it's a policy. Here's
- 15:27Speaker 3: an emotion where people are on the edge. They're struggling
- 15:29Speaker 3: and we got to connect with it.
- 15:31Speaker 1: Carlos, do these answers that you just heard track with
- 15:34Speaker 1: the data that you've been looking at?
- 15:36Speaker 8: You could take a transcript of this focus group and
- 15:40Speaker 8: copy and paste it in any state and with any
- 15:42Speaker 8: demographic and people would buy that it's that that it's legit.
- 15:46Speaker 8: We're a divided country, but I would say that the
- 15:49Speaker 8: voters are united among a set of concerns at this point.
- 15:52Speaker 8: It is the perverse thing about something like rising prices
- 15:55Speaker 8: and inflation is that everybody feels it. Everybody sees it
- 15:58Speaker 8: in some way or another, some people more than others.
- 16:01Speaker 8: But it's consistent at their dinner table. It demonstrates that
- 16:05Speaker 8: there is this disconnect between the D.C. discourse and what
- 16:09Speaker 8: people are talking about. And the question is, how does
- 16:11Speaker 8: our politics become more responsive to those needs? People feel
- 16:16Speaker 8: a lot of anxiety. They don't know what's going to
- 16:18Speaker 8: happen next. Then you have crisis upon crisis upon crisis.
- 16:21Speaker 8: And the challenge for Democrats in this moment is that
- 16:23Speaker 8: fairly or not fairly, they're blaming the people in charge
- 16:27Speaker 8: and they perceive Joe Biden to be the person in charge.
- 16:30Speaker 1: Roy, one thing I noticed in this group is that
- 16:32Speaker 1: while economic issues came up quite a bit, you also
- 16:36Speaker 1: heard people become animated about issues like abortion, guns, climate,
- 16:41Speaker 1: and these aren't liberal Democrats.
- 16:43Speaker 7: What do you think about that?
- 16:43Speaker 10: Mm-hmm.
- 16:45Speaker 9: Well, I mean, I think if you look at the
- 16:47Speaker 9: survey data, it's pretty clear that Hispanic voters overall are
- 16:53Speaker 9: supportive of a moderate position on abortion rights, moderate position
- 16:56Speaker 9: on gun control, and generally are in favor of doing
- 16:59Speaker 9: something about climate change. The problem is relative salience, in
- 17:02Speaker 9: my view. I think, generally speaking, the issues that are
- 17:06Speaker 9: driving them tend to be different. They're mostly concerned about housing,
- 17:10Speaker 9: the cost of living, jobs, health care, their kids, their community.
- 17:15Speaker 9: Other issues are important. And to the extent the Democrats
- 17:18Speaker 9: are viewed as being on their side on those kinds
- 17:20Speaker 9: of issues, that's fine. But if the Democrats aren't viewed
- 17:23Speaker 9: as being effective on core issues about housing, about the
- 17:27Speaker 9: cost of living, about the way the economy is working,
- 17:30Speaker 9: what's happening with real wages. I mean, one way I
- 17:32Speaker 9: always think about it, or a phrase I like to use,
- 17:34Speaker 9: Hispanic voters are normie voters, right? They just want a
- 17:38Speaker 9: better life. They want to move up. They're patriotic. They're
- 17:42Speaker 9: here for opportunity, as Faz has been emphasizing. And sort
- 17:45Speaker 9: of that's what they want to take advantage of.
- 17:48Speaker 1: Although one thing I've been wondering as I listen to
- 17:51Speaker 1: more voters in these groups is, you know, we tend
- 17:52Speaker 1: to like separate the issues and there's economic issues and
- 17:56Speaker 1: then there's sort of cultural issues that are discussed a
- 17:58Speaker 1: lot in the media and by elites and people tend
- 18:02Speaker 1: to care more about economic issues. But what I'm hearing
- 18:05Speaker 1: from people on some of these issues now, especially post-Dobbs
- 18:08Speaker 1: with abortion, is people become animated by issues that really,
- 18:13Speaker 1: I mean, it sounds simple, but but affect their own
- 18:16Speaker 1: lives and people who know them. And the way that
- 18:18Speaker 1: people have talked about climate is not the way that
- 18:21Speaker 1: a lot of politicians talk about climate, but like.
- 18:23Speaker 7: Hey, we're seeing a drought in our state, right?
- 18:27Speaker 1: The way people talk about abortion is, I'm now concerned
- 18:29Speaker 1: that someone I know couldn't get an abortion and had
- 18:33Speaker 1: to drive to another state, or I knew someone who
- 18:36Speaker 1: was involved in a mass shooting. I don't know if
- 18:38Speaker 1: Carlos or Faz, you guys have any thoughts on that too?
- 18:41Speaker 3: With any urgent issue and the issues that any voter
- 18:44Speaker 3: might indicate are high salience of them, they want to
- 18:46Speaker 3: know that you are going to fight on them. And
- 18:49Speaker 3: there's this question of how emotionally resonant and credible you
- 18:54Speaker 3: are in that fight. And I think on the right,
- 18:58Speaker 3: what we're dealing with as people, particularly in this Trump
- 19:00Speaker 3: Republican Party, is that they embrace friction. They're often fighting.
- 19:03Speaker 3: They're always yelling. They're always angry about something. And That's
- 19:05Speaker 3: what Trump has brought them to. And if I asked
- 19:08Speaker 3: you today, like, hey, what does Joe Biden and what
- 19:10Speaker 3: do Democrats really get emotionally fired up about? Just ponder
- 19:15Speaker 3: and reflect on it. Honestly, I say that with all
- 19:18Speaker 3: due respect to him and to the whole party, honestly.
- 19:21Speaker 3: What do you think people would think you get fired
- 19:24Speaker 3: up about? And just answer that question for yourself for
- 19:26Speaker 3: a moment and see where you're at.
- 19:28Speaker 8: I think there's a narrative sometimes that Latinos... are moving
- 19:31Speaker 8: toward Republicans because there's values alignment there of some sort, right?
- 19:35Speaker 8: And they reject where Democrats are on some of these
- 19:37Speaker 8: cultural issues and they're more aligned with Republicans. Where I
- 19:39Speaker 8: think it's actually closer to what Faz was just saying
- 19:41Speaker 8: in terms of priorities, that they perceive that Democrats are
- 19:45Speaker 8: not talking about their priorities. Less I would think about
- 19:48Speaker 8: rejection on the particular thing Democrats are talking about and
- 19:51Speaker 8: more just saying the things I care about the most,
- 19:53Speaker 8: the things that I'm intense about, you don't seem to
- 19:56Speaker 8: be talking about. Meanwhile, these Republicans, well, they don't seem
- 19:59Speaker 8: to give a shit about me, but they are ruthless
- 20:02Speaker 8: in prioritizing the economy. And so if I'm going to
- 20:04Speaker 8: vote on that issue, that's the way I'm going. What
- 20:07Speaker 8: I think Democrats miss in these moments is what keeps
- 20:10Speaker 8: a majority of Latinos with Democrats above and beyond their
- 20:13Speaker 8: demographics is a sense that Democrats care more. The question is,
- 20:16Speaker 8: can Democrats deliver? But it was wild to me while
- 20:19Speaker 8: I'm talking in the context of the economy that after Uvalde,
- 20:22Speaker 8: you had some arguing that Democrats should just say nothing
- 20:26Speaker 8: about guns because on guns, Democrats don't have a natural advantage.
- 20:30Speaker 8: They're not trusted more. Well, listen, The advantage is the
- 20:34Speaker 8: Democrats care more. You got to lean into the caring.
- 20:36Speaker 8: In a moment like that, like Uvalde, when you had
- 20:39Speaker 8: these kids being gunned down, if you can't show care,
- 20:41Speaker 8: then you're undermining the one brand strength you have that
- 20:45Speaker 8: is still carrying you forward.
- 20:47Speaker 1: So when I asked about most important issues, one person
- 20:49Speaker 1: in the group raised immigration, which I know is an
- 20:51Speaker 1: issue that some pundits just assume is Latino voters' top priority.
- 20:55Speaker 1: But it did set off a discussion about the issue.
- 20:57Speaker 1: Let's take a listen.
- 20:59Speaker 10: Are there.
- 21:00Speaker 1: Big issues that are debated even either in Nevada or
- 21:04Speaker 1: nationally that are affecting you personally.
- 21:06Speaker 10: That you think about?
- 21:07Speaker 5: Well, the immigration issue.
- 21:09Speaker 10: Immigration?
- 21:10Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 21:11Speaker 16: Every person of those that are going to come here,
- 21:13Speaker 16: they're going to qualify for welfare, food stamps, housing, and
- 21:19Speaker 16: who's going to pay for that?
- 21:20Speaker 10: Okay.
- 21:21Speaker 5: It seems like chaos.
- 21:22Speaker 11: Chaos.
- 21:23Speaker 12: The Texas border, when you see those big lines under
- 21:25Speaker 12: that bridge, it seems like chaos. Maybe in the past
- 21:29Speaker 12: there was times where immigration policy was kind of heartless,
- 21:33Speaker 12: where they were purposely doing things that they knew were
- 21:36Speaker 12: going to kill people to deter them from trying to
- 21:38Speaker 12: come over. That's pretty heartless, but I think now it's
- 21:41Speaker 12: way too.
- 21:42Speaker 5: Just careless.
- 21:43Speaker 13: They need to get a policy in stick with it,
- 21:46Speaker 13: no matter which party's in charge. I mean, you've got
- 21:49Speaker 13: kids that are down there. They're the ones who have
- 21:51Speaker 13: to suffer. You know, they're just trying to get a
- 21:53Speaker 13: better life.
- 21:54Speaker 1: How many people think it should be easier to immigrate
- 21:57Speaker 1: to the United States? And how many people do you
- 21:59Speaker 1: think it should be harder to immigrate to the United States?
- 22:01Speaker 5: It should be allowed. It should be controlled. It's not easy.
- 22:04Speaker 5: It's not easy.
- 22:05Speaker 16: I mean, you've got people here with 30 years. They're
- 22:08Speaker 16: not criminals, they pay taxes every year. They don't do drugs.
- 22:12Speaker 16: And then these people, they haven't paid a tax in
- 22:14Speaker 16: their life here. They just come over, except Mexico, because
- 22:18Speaker 16: if you're Mexican, you don't qualify. But if you're from
- 22:20Speaker 16: any other country, You just come here, put your foot here, oh,
- 22:24Speaker 16: you qualify for everything.
- 22:25Speaker 11: How sad it is that all those people died in
- 22:27Speaker 11: a truck to come to a country, and we sit
- 22:29Speaker 11: up here in this country and talk shit about our
- 22:31Speaker 11: own country, how shitty we are, and these people died
- 22:33Speaker 11: in a truck to get here so they can have
- 22:35Speaker 11: a little bit of what we have.
- 22:37Speaker 10: That's sad to me as an American.
- 22:39Speaker 11: That all those people lost that, and we let it happen.
- 22:42Speaker 13: You know, my buddy's married to his wife for 20 years.
- 22:45Speaker 7: She's not a U.S.
- 22:46Speaker 13: Citizen, and they've been trying to do it for six
- 22:47Speaker 13: years now. Immigration lawyers aren't cheap, you know, and the
- 22:50Speaker 13: paperwork to get it, they make it harder in that way, too.
- 22:53Speaker 13: There should be some kind of way to at least
- 22:55Speaker 13: help and assist so it can be a smoother process, and.
- 22:58Speaker 7: That's not happening.
- 23:00Speaker 1: So it certainly seemed to me that, at least in
- 23:02Speaker 1: this group, views about immigration are are a bit more
- 23:05Speaker 1: nuanced and complicated than the political debate we've heard over
- 23:08Speaker 1: the last few years.
- 23:09Speaker 7: Carlos, what do you think?
- 23:11Speaker 5: John, there is so much there.
- 23:12Speaker 8: There's the border, and there is this idea of a
- 23:14Speaker 8: pathway to citizenship. And we try to conflate all of
- 23:18Speaker 8: these things as being one thing. But the border is
- 23:20Speaker 8: really a different issue in voters' minds, especially in Latino
- 23:23Speaker 8: voters' minds, where it's more, as you heard and they
- 23:25Speaker 8: talked about in the group, a concern about public safety,
- 23:28Speaker 8: a concern about order, a concern about resources. At the
- 23:31Speaker 8: same time, and I would say this is a category
- 23:32Speaker 8: that's the plurality of Latino voters in our polling, both
- 23:35Speaker 8: believe in increased border security and a pathway to citizenship.
- 23:39Speaker 7: You heard it.
- 23:40Speaker 8: They're separating between do something about the border, but also
- 23:42Speaker 8: take care of the people who are already here. And
- 23:44Speaker 8: so it is a both-and. Now, what Democrats have done
- 23:47Speaker 8: of late is none of the above. And so among
- 23:51Speaker 8: Latino voters, the president's worst numbers across all of our
- 23:54Speaker 8: states on issue areas is immigration because the border crowd,
- 23:58Speaker 8: the pathway to citizenship crowd, and the both crowd all disapprove.
- 24:02Speaker 8: Inaction has led to disapproval. And so this thing that
- 24:06Speaker 8: helped differentiate between the parties among Latino voters no longer
- 24:10Speaker 8: has that power. The key swing voters don't see a
- 24:13Speaker 8: meaningful difference between the parties on this issue, at least
- 24:16Speaker 8: in believing that Democrats would actually do anything about it.
- 24:19Speaker 9: But I think we have a problem in the Democratic
- 24:22Speaker 9: Party where not only obviously not much progress is being
- 24:26Speaker 9: made on a path to citizenship, but There's a real
- 24:30Speaker 9: resistance to trying to do anything that smacks of border security.
- 24:35Speaker 9: This is a big loser for the Democrats in general,
- 24:38Speaker 9: and I think even among Hispanic voters, because that's not
- 24:43Speaker 9: their preference structure. They want to see order at the border.
- 24:46Speaker 9: They think there should be a fair and humane system
- 24:48Speaker 9: for people to come to this country and then work
- 24:51Speaker 9: their way up. This is a nation of immigrants, and
- 24:53Speaker 9: we need to have a functioning democracy. rule-based immigration system
- 24:57Speaker 9: that gives people a fair chance to come here.
- 25:00Speaker 3: What I hear now is like a desperation in those voices.
- 25:03Speaker 3: You see people yearning and hungry for somebody to own
- 25:07Speaker 3: the political struggle that is required to try to solve
- 25:11Speaker 3: the problem and to grapple with the difficulties of governing
- 25:16Speaker 3: it and to tell each side like, hey, you can't
- 25:19Speaker 3: all get what you want. Especially when you get into
- 25:21Speaker 3: South Texas and you talk to some of those communities,
- 25:23Speaker 3: they live with it as a crisis and they live
- 25:25Speaker 3: with it as a sense of public safety. You know,
- 25:27Speaker 3: I remember who've gone down there for Jessica Cisneros and
- 25:30Speaker 3: we're working on the campaign. Bernie and I were meeting
- 25:33Speaker 3: with so many people and they were expressing just generally
- 25:36Speaker 3: concerned about the crops and the animals and, you know, break-ins.
- 25:40Speaker 3: And it was very much a sense of, I don't
- 25:42Speaker 3: feel safe. And if they don't feel like you're even
- 25:45Speaker 3: addressing their safety, right, then you're not accessing their emotion,
- 25:51Speaker 3: their feeling about the issue.
- 25:55Speaker 1: After the break, the voters tell us how they really
- 25:57Speaker 1: feel about politics, parties, and politicians.
- 26:10Speaker 7: Welcome back.
- 26:11Speaker 1: After talking with the Las Vegas group about the issues
- 26:13Speaker 1: that mattered most to them, we got into politics. I
- 26:16Speaker 1: started by asking these voters how they felt about politics
- 26:18Speaker 1: and the state of the country.
- 26:23Speaker 5: I mean, I guess I'm just confused.
- 26:39Speaker 15: There's a lot of open sides to everything.
- 26:42Speaker 13: I look back when Reagan and Tip O'Neill, polar opposites,
- 26:44Speaker 13: but yet they always came to a way to come
- 26:47Speaker 13: together and make policy work. We don't do that anymore.
- 26:50Speaker 5: It's not America anymore.
- 26:52Speaker 13: It's two separate parties that are basically saying, we're not
- 26:55Speaker 13: going to make you look good, even if it suffers
- 26:57Speaker 13: the American people.
- 26:58Speaker 10: Why do you think both parties are so divided?
- 27:00Speaker 13: I think it's a power trip. I really think that
- 27:02Speaker 13: they want to control. Like Nancy Pelosi, she should have
- 27:06Speaker 13: been gone a while back. And then you've got McConnell.
- 27:10Speaker 10: Why are they still there?
- 27:11Speaker 13: There should be term limits. It's like, how many times
- 27:14Speaker 13: can you play an album on a stereo turntable until
- 27:17Speaker 13: it's not as good as it once sounded and still
- 27:19Speaker 13: starts fading off the quality? And that's what it's like
- 27:21Speaker 13: with those guys.
- 27:22Speaker 10: Bring in some new blood.
- 27:23Speaker 14: Politicians, they promise you a lot of things, but then
- 27:26Speaker 14: when they get in there, I don't see the results.
- 27:28Speaker 7: A lot of times.
- 27:30Speaker 15: Yeah, so... Because it gets... way too confusing, way too quick.
- 27:36Speaker 15: And there's a lot of perspectives of how I'm supposed
- 27:39Speaker 15: to live my life and different policies that are going
- 27:41Speaker 15: out that I just feel is way too stressful. I'm
- 27:44Speaker 15: not about to go and put that into my mind
- 27:47Speaker 15: and then have these household chores and tasks and work
- 27:52Speaker 15: that I have to focus on.
- 27:55Speaker 1: Faz, do you think that the surprising flurry of activity
- 27:59Speaker 1: in Washington of late might have some kind of effect
- 28:03Speaker 1: on these voters' views about politics or the state of
- 28:07Speaker 1: the country.
- 28:08Speaker 3: Well, yes, it's nice to pass bills and it's nice
- 28:10Speaker 3: to show government working. But then, you know, you go
- 28:12Speaker 3: out there and you start talking to regular working class
- 28:14Speaker 3: people and you say, hey, we passed a historic thing
- 28:16Speaker 3: to reduce prescription drug prices in America. So if you're
- 28:19Speaker 3: somebody in the suburbs, you've got a nice six-figure income,
- 28:22Speaker 3: not really worried about prescription drug costs in your life,
- 28:25Speaker 3: and you hear.
- 28:25Speaker 7: That, you're happy.
- 28:26Speaker 3: Hey, my team, the Democrats, we did something good for
- 28:29Speaker 3: the world. Now, what if you're a person living on
- 28:31Speaker 3: the edge who really needs prescription drug costs to go down?
- 28:35Speaker 3: It's eating away at your life.
- 28:36Speaker 7: You stress about it.
- 28:38Speaker 3: And you go and tell that person, we reduce prescription
- 28:41Speaker 3: drug costs in America. And they look at every penny
- 28:45Speaker 3: on that prescription drug cost that they have. and they
- 28:48Speaker 3: don't see anything happen. Nothing has happened and nothing will happen, right,
- 28:51Speaker 3: for another few years. The gap between a Democrat and
- 28:54Speaker 3: a working person will just grow. They will hear you saying,
- 28:58Speaker 3: I did something for your life. Meanwhile, they're looking at
- 29:00Speaker 3: their prescription drug costs staying the same or going higher.
- 29:03Speaker 3: It is fine to be honest and direct about saying
- 29:06Speaker 3: we passed these important measures and in 2025, this will happen.
- 29:08Speaker 3: 2026 will happen. It was historic.
- 29:10Speaker 7: It was hard. We fought big pharma.
- 29:11Speaker 3: But there's like, how's you got to conclude that sentence?
- 29:14Speaker 3: And if you put us back in office, here's what
- 29:17Speaker 3: I want to do next. And I'm going to continue
- 29:21Speaker 3: to take those guys on. And I'm going to advocate
- 29:24Speaker 3: for these next two, three reforms that will have even
- 29:27Speaker 3: more impact in reducing your prescription drug costs. And the
- 29:30Speaker 3: reason I have credibility about that is because I did it.
- 29:33Speaker 3: I just did it in the last two years when
- 29:35Speaker 3: you put us into office, but my work is not
- 29:37Speaker 3: yet done. You got to put me back so I
- 29:39Speaker 3: can keep taking on these bastards and keep delivering for you.
- 29:43Speaker 1: Carlos, I was struck by that last comment from a
- 29:47Speaker 1: young woman named Daisy about how politics feels confusing and
- 29:51Speaker 1: stressful and she's just too busy working to pay attention.
- 29:53Speaker 1: It seems like she's exactly the kind of person Democrats
- 29:57Speaker 1: need to reach. but how do we reach her if
- 29:59Speaker 1: she's not paying attention to politics or it's too confusing?
- 30:04Speaker 7: That's a great question.
- 30:04Speaker 8: It's, you know, it's typical in focus groups to hear
- 30:07Speaker 8: people say, well, you know, I don't know what to believe.
- 30:09Speaker 8: They have a hard time seeing through the news fog
- 30:11Speaker 8: until they turn off the news. And I think in
- 30:14Speaker 8: that case, there's a small number of things that are
- 30:17Speaker 8: really going to break through. Going into the geographies where
- 30:20Speaker 8: our voters live, a lot of the organizing ends up
- 30:22Speaker 8: getting clustered in very urban areas. We aren't going into
- 30:26Speaker 8: the spots where voters actually live. And then similarly, we're
- 30:28Speaker 8: not going where they communicate online. So YouTube is a
- 30:31Speaker 8: major source of news and information for Latino voters. Latinos
- 30:36Speaker 8: actually spend twice as much time as non-Latinos on YouTube.
- 30:39Speaker 8: But on some circles, YouTube is seen as like beneath us, right?
- 30:43Speaker 8: From an organizing standpoint, it's not like the cool place
- 30:45Speaker 8: to organize and it takes a very big investment. And
- 30:48Speaker 8: so when people want to know about an issue, what
- 30:50Speaker 8: is going on with gas prices? If they're going on YouTube,
- 30:54Speaker 8: The information that is helping them make sense of the
- 30:56Speaker 8: world is largely coming from the right wing or is
- 30:59Speaker 8: just not there.
- 31:00Speaker 1: I asked about people's views of both political parties and
- 31:04Speaker 1: which party was better for working people.
- 31:06Speaker 7: Here's what they said.
- 31:07Speaker 16: I used to vote Democrat all the time. But in
- 31:11Speaker 16: the second term of Obama, I just went to the Republicans.
- 31:15Speaker 10: What made you change?
- 31:17Speaker 16: Because for the workers, for me, it's my opinion, the
- 31:21Speaker 16: Republicans is better. But if you own welfare and food
- 31:24Speaker 16: stamps and government health, if you qualify for that, you're
- 31:28Speaker 16: good with Obama. And you held insurance, you went out
- 31:32Speaker 16: with Obama.
- 31:34Speaker 5: It's too expensive. So to me, the Republicans, they're better
- 31:40Speaker 5: for the people that work, if you work.
- 31:43Speaker 1: That's a great question that I was about to ask.
- 31:46Speaker 1: Which party do you think is a better party for
- 31:49Speaker 1: working people?
- 31:50Speaker 10: Sergio, you think Republican. Robert, what do you think?
- 31:53Speaker 13: It depends on your income bracket, unless you're in a
- 31:55Speaker 13: corporate position. So I'd say Democrats.
- 31:58Speaker 10: Democrats.
- 31:58Speaker 12: I would say Republicans now, but I'd say it used
- 32:01Speaker 12: to be Democrats.
- 32:02Speaker 10: Okay. Vince?
- 32:03Speaker 5: Democrat.
- 32:04Speaker 10: Democrats. Democrats. Eric?
- 32:05Speaker 5: Republican.
- 32:06Speaker 15: I mean, I don't really know the difference, to be honest.
- 32:12Speaker 1: Roy, why do you think people like Sergio and Cesar
- 32:15Speaker 1: have changed their views on which party is better for
- 32:18Speaker 1: working people?
- 32:20Speaker 14: So.
- 32:20Speaker 9: I think a lot of the way people vote between
- 32:22Speaker 9: political parties depends on sort of a long-term weighted assessment
- 32:27Speaker 9: of who's been better for you and your family and
- 32:30Speaker 9: the kind of people you know. And when that starts
- 32:32Speaker 9: to decay under the press of circumstance, the picture becomes
- 32:36Speaker 9: cloudy and you can sort of move away from your
- 32:39Speaker 9: traditional loyalties. As I've mentioned before, Democrats seem to be
- 32:44Speaker 9: getting sort of more preoccupied with issues in the sociocultural realm,
- 32:48Speaker 9: and they seem to be less interested or less focused
- 32:51Speaker 9: on the problems of working people. So I think frequently
- 32:55Speaker 9: that just leads to a sense of frustration where even
- 32:58Speaker 9: if they like the Democrats a bit better than the Republicans,
- 33:01Speaker 9: it's not like they have a great deal of faith
- 33:03Speaker 9: in them. And then there are some people who are
- 33:04Speaker 9: just going to conclude the opposite. The Republicans are better.
- 33:07Speaker 9: And there are some people who throw up their hands
- 33:08Speaker 9: and say, you know.
- 33:10Speaker 5: I don't know.
- 33:10Speaker 9: I mean, things don't seem to change that much no
- 33:12Speaker 9: matter who's in charge.
- 33:14Speaker 7: Faz, what do you think?
- 33:15Speaker 1: I feel like these are some of the very same
- 33:17Speaker 1: voters who Bernie was trying to reach You know, obviously the.
- 33:20Speaker 3: Democrats, less of a labor party now than probably it's
- 33:23Speaker 3: kind of historic and storied past.
- 33:26Speaker 7: And that's part of the problem.
- 33:27Speaker 3: In the first six months of this administration, coming in
- 33:30Speaker 3: the midst of the pandemic, we had progressive economics, John.
- 33:33Speaker 3: You remember it really well. We had the stimulus, we
- 33:35Speaker 3: had unemployment insurance, expansion, child tax credits, pandemic, food relief
- 33:40Speaker 3: for people. It was a whole bunch of things to
- 33:42Speaker 3: lift folks. And then inflation hit. And inflation hit pretty
- 33:46Speaker 3: hard in August. And I think we lost the narrative
- 33:48Speaker 3: around What did you cause inflation?
- 33:52Speaker 14: Right?
- 33:52Speaker 3: I mean, that was the more natural question that everyone's got.
- 33:56Speaker 3: How did inflation come about? And was it your fault
- 33:59Speaker 3: that you did all these nice things for working class people?
- 34:02Speaker 3: You know, Donald Trump, if you go back and look
- 34:04Speaker 3: at his rhetoric, just not policy, just look at his rhetoric.
- 34:06Speaker 3: That guy talked about corporations, named them by name, blasted
- 34:11Speaker 3: them on Twitter, blasted them in public speeches more than
- 34:14Speaker 3: probably any modern president in history. And so if you're
- 34:16Speaker 3: a worker at any of those companies and you take
- 34:18Speaker 3: all those companies by name, what do you hear? That
- 34:21Speaker 3: president is taking on my boss. Holy moly, that guy's
- 34:24Speaker 3: taking on my boss.
- 34:26Speaker 1: Carlos, obviously there's a lot of data that shows Republican
- 34:29Speaker 1: gains among Latino voters are concentrated among specifically working class
- 34:36Speaker 1: and also folks without a college degree. Do you think
- 34:40Speaker 1: This is economic in nature. And do you think a
- 34:42Speaker 1: message like Faz just delivered would help sort of bring
- 34:46Speaker 1: these voters back into the fold?
- 34:47Speaker 8: I mean, at most, you're talking about 25% of Latino
- 34:51Speaker 8: voters being college educated. So when we say that the
- 34:53Speaker 8: trends happen mostly among non-college, like, I think it obscures
- 34:57Speaker 8: sometimes more than elucidates because we're talking about an overwhelming
- 35:00Speaker 8: majority here of the vote. I think the challenge is
- 35:02Speaker 8: we ask ourselves, well, what's moving people toward Trump? And
- 35:05Speaker 8: I think the better question is to start with the
- 35:07Speaker 8: first half of it, which is what constrained them in
- 35:09Speaker 8: the past because Joe Biden still won a majority of
- 35:11Speaker 8: non-college Latinos. So there's still something that's holding this all together.
- 35:15Speaker 8: What has held back other more conservative looking Latinos, people
- 35:19Speaker 8: who by demographics, you'd say, these look like they might
- 35:21Speaker 8: be Republicans. And that's where I think there's a challenge
- 35:24Speaker 8: in thinking that the argument should be entirely economic, right? Obviously,
- 35:28Speaker 8: I think Latinos care about the same things everybody else
- 35:30Speaker 8: cares about. But this idea that we should go colorblind,
- 35:33Speaker 8: the Democrats should erase racial and ethnic identity from the question,
- 35:37Speaker 8: even though that has been central to what kept Latinos
- 35:40Speaker 8: in those large numbers voting for Democrats. I think part
- 35:43Speaker 8: of the narrative about the working class is part of
- 35:45Speaker 8: a global trend that we're talking about, right? The right-wing
- 35:48Speaker 8: parties have kind of taken over the working class, and
- 35:51Speaker 8: what is left is kind of liberal elites plus, and
- 35:53Speaker 8: this is the part that kind of gets left out,
- 35:55Speaker 8: minority parties and the children of immigrants. So there's still
- 35:58Speaker 8: something about being a minority and feeling othered within a
- 36:02Speaker 8: country that that is still very potent. And so we
- 36:05Speaker 8: can't just reduce this to materialist concerns in this moment.
- 36:10Speaker 1: We finally get to the midterms, and I asked about
- 36:12Speaker 1: one of the most competitive Senate races in the country
- 36:14Speaker 1: between Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto and Republican Adam Laxalt.
- 36:17Speaker 7: Here's what these voters are thinking.
- 36:20Speaker 13: Laxalt's got too much baggage.
- 36:21Speaker 10: What kind of baggage?
- 36:22Speaker 13: Well, when he was in office here, there was some investigations,
- 36:26Speaker 13: but I think for him, he's just more inclined to
- 36:30Speaker 13: take more PAC money. I think he's going to go
- 36:32Speaker 13: ahead and take money from the corporate more than she will,
- 36:35Speaker 13: and I think he'd be more influenced by them. And also,
- 36:37Speaker 13: the big lie. I know people think that, but facts
- 36:42Speaker 13: are facts. But you've got all these people endorsing this
- 36:45Speaker 13: big lie. It turns me off big time.
- 36:47Speaker 10: Cesar, have you made up your mind on Laxalt, Masto?
- 36:51Speaker 12: I don't think I know enough yet, but probably Laxalt.
- 36:56Speaker 12: Masto doesn't seem... sincere and genuine to me. She seems
- 36:59Speaker 12: like a new Democrat team player. And she just, whatever
- 37:03Speaker 12: the party line is, that's what she's gonna do. And
- 37:06Speaker 12: I don't respect that as a politician.
- 37:08Speaker 5: I haven't picked one out yet.
- 37:09Speaker 1: You haven't picked one out yet? What would make you decide?
- 37:12Speaker 1: What are you looking for in a candidate? Or are
- 37:14Speaker 1: there issues that would help you decide?
- 37:19Speaker 16: I guess keep their word and do what they're gonna
- 37:22Speaker 16: do instead of the big lie.
- 37:27Speaker 1: Carlos, after hearing them say that the media covered January
- 37:30Speaker 1: 6th too much, I was also surprised to hear a
- 37:33Speaker 1: couple of them say the embrace of the big lie
- 37:35Speaker 1: was disqualifying. What do you make of that and sort
- 37:38Speaker 1: of this race? Is there advice you'd give to the
- 37:40Speaker 1: Masto campaign? Would you highlight Laxalt's extremism?
- 37:44Speaker 7: What would you do?
- 37:45Speaker 8: Yeah, Cortez Masto is an interesting case, right? Because even
- 37:47Speaker 8: though she herself is Latina, she wasn't particularly well-known in
- 37:51Speaker 8: the Latino community previous to this cycle. And so she's
- 37:53Speaker 8: kind of had to reintroduce herself.
- 37:55Speaker 1: Mm-hmm.
- 37:56Speaker 8: And she does have some attributes that seem to appeal
- 37:59Speaker 8: to Hispanic voters that kind of set her apart from
- 38:02Speaker 8: a generic Democrat. Even things she's done around, for example,
- 38:05Speaker 8: human trafficking that kind of take her out of the
- 38:09Speaker 8: realm of just DC talking points and your typical MSNBC
- 38:13Speaker 8: issue agenda and differentiate her and show her as a
- 38:15Speaker 8: person of action. And then Laxalt, in some ways, Democrats
- 38:19Speaker 8: drew the best person they could in Laxalt. I mean,
- 38:21Speaker 8: what you hear in focus groups that we've done in
- 38:23Speaker 8: the state is just Guy is seen as something of
- 38:26Speaker 8: a zero, right? Somewhat boring. And the attributes about him
- 38:29Speaker 8: that are more exciting are the fact that he's very
- 38:31Speaker 8: much a Trump guy. And so in some ways, this
- 38:34Speaker 8: is one of the hardest races Democrats have right now.
- 38:38Speaker 8: But so far, things have fallen slightly better configuration, at
- 38:42Speaker 8: least as it concerns the Latino electorate.
- 38:45Speaker 1: Faz, in addition to having run a campaign that won
- 38:49Speaker 1: a Nevada caucus, you're also a Harry Reid staffer.
- 38:51Speaker 7: So you know the state well.
- 38:52Speaker 3: Two thoughts that come to the top of my mind
- 38:54Speaker 3: is that Nevada is a strong labor state. Culinary is
- 38:56Speaker 3: strong there. It's baffling to me that more Democrats aren't
- 39:00Speaker 3: talking about the Starbucks and Amazon organizers and others. It's
- 39:03Speaker 3: like one of the most generationally important things that's happened.
- 39:06Speaker 3: I don't think any Democrat ever really talks about it.
- 39:08Speaker 3: But you can imagine for a strong labor orientation in Nevada,
- 39:13Speaker 3: it would be very persuasive. Number two is like housing.
- 39:15Speaker 3: You're going back to the first comment that you raised.
- 39:17Speaker 3: How do you get attention? How do you break through
- 39:19Speaker 3: in a narrative? Sometimes it's just start talking about things
- 39:21Speaker 3: that other people aren't talking about. But if you look
- 39:23Speaker 3: actually in Nevada, there are housing ordinance and ballot measures
- 39:27Speaker 3: that are trying to be pushed through in various parts
- 39:29Speaker 3: of that state. So all you got to do is
- 39:31Speaker 3: try to keep your base engaged, get your message out,
- 39:35Speaker 3: get Democrats understanding your credibility, your desires, your fight, your empathy,
- 39:39Speaker 3: your goals. And I think she should do all right,
- 39:41Speaker 3: but she's got some work to do.
- 39:44Speaker 1: So I usually end by asking the group to talk
- 39:46Speaker 1: about their dream candidate, someone they'd be excited to vote for.
- 39:49Speaker 1: This crew gave one of the more interesting sets of
- 39:51Speaker 1: responses I've heard.
- 39:53Speaker 7: Let's listen.
- 39:54Speaker 1: If you could assemble your dream candidate, what qualities would
- 40:00Speaker 1: that candidate have that you'd be excited to vote for
- 40:02Speaker 1: that person for president of the United States?
- 40:05Speaker 13: When Trump first ran, I liked him because he would
- 40:08Speaker 13: always tell he had no influence. He liked being in
- 40:10Speaker 13: the middle. Nobody had any say what he would do,
- 40:12Speaker 13: any decision making. So I'd want an independent candidate that's
- 40:16Speaker 13: not going to have influence from outside the Parties, resources,
- 40:19Speaker 13: but it's not going to ever happen. But I want
- 40:21Speaker 13: someone who's going to be able to make a decision
- 40:23Speaker 13: on what he thinks is best for the country, not
- 40:24Speaker 13: best for his party or her party.
- 40:27Speaker 2: Okay.
- 40:28Speaker 10: Eric, what about you?
- 40:30Speaker 14: Yeah, I'd take Trump as a younger guy if he was.
- 40:33Speaker 14: Let's say his kids would go around or something. I'd
- 40:35Speaker 14: go around.
- 40:36Speaker 10: Younger Trump.
- 40:36Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 40:37Speaker 10: Anis, what about you?
- 40:38Speaker 5: Integrity.
- 40:39Speaker 10: Integrity.
- 40:40Speaker 11: And personal integrity, not just integrity for their party, but
- 40:43Speaker 11: to really have, because if you have personal integrity, you'll
- 40:46Speaker 11: do what's best. instead of going with your party.
- 40:49Speaker 10: Daisy, what about you?
- 40:51Speaker 15: I like what you said about how Trump was, like,
- 40:53Speaker 15: talking about not being influenced. I like that, just going
- 40:56Speaker 15: off for, like, surprise, not really going, I don't know, like,
- 41:01Speaker 15: according to, like, everyone else's opinions or just, like, pressured.
- 41:05Speaker 5: A strong character like Trump.
- 41:08Speaker 7: Strong character.
- 41:08Speaker 16: I mean, I don't like half of his things, but
- 41:12Speaker 16: the other ones.
- 41:13Speaker 7: Some of the stuff. Here's the truly weird part.
- 41:16Speaker 1: Just so everyone listening knows how complicated voters can be,
- 41:19Speaker 1: the first man you heard, Robert, said he liked Trump
- 41:21Speaker 1: because he seemed like he was in the middle and
- 41:23Speaker 1: he wasn't being influenced by anyone. Robert later said that
- 41:26Speaker 1: he couldn't vote for Trump again and that he's leaning
- 41:28Speaker 1: toward Ron DeSantis in 2024. But then he said that
- 41:32Speaker 1: he loves, quote, loves AOC and thinks she'd be a
- 41:36Speaker 1: great speaker. And he said that because she has stood
- 41:38Speaker 1: up to Nancy Pelosi and her party and he respects
- 41:41Speaker 1: that kind of integrity. Can anyone make sense of a
- 41:45Speaker 1: voter saying, who's leaning towards Ron DeSantis, but loves AOC
- 41:49Speaker 1: and hopes she'll be speaker.
- 41:51Speaker 7: Anyone want to take that?
- 41:54Speaker 3: I feel like we should start with the diagnosis of Trump.
- 41:56Speaker 3: I think what sometimes is missed about the original intent
- 41:59Speaker 3: of Trump is that the sales pitch is not that
- 42:02Speaker 3: I was a disruptor who was going to revolutionarily bring
- 42:06Speaker 3: down this government. The aspirational pitch of Trump for many
- 42:10Speaker 3: of these voters that worked is, I'm a businessman. I
- 42:13Speaker 3: did well in life. I don't need this job. I
- 42:17Speaker 3: game this system for myself. I know how this system
- 42:19Speaker 3: is corrupt. I know how it works. And now I'm
- 42:22Speaker 3: going to game it for you. People are looking for,
- 42:25Speaker 3: at the end of the day, trust in an elected
- 42:27Speaker 3: official to do the things that they don't have the time, patience,
- 42:29Speaker 3: or inclination to give a damn about. Like, hey, I
- 42:31Speaker 3: elected you. You go figure this shit out. Give me
- 42:33Speaker 3: somebody who wants to come in here, tell me that
- 42:36Speaker 3: they're going to take on some powerful people, be a disruptor,
- 42:39Speaker 3: but do it for me. They're basically giving you the
- 42:42Speaker 3: pulse of of populism, of their lived condition of real lives.
- 42:46Speaker 3: And if you tap that, that's good populism that you
- 42:48Speaker 3: can marshal for good politics. Otherwise, people are going to
- 42:52Speaker 3: move towards the authoritarian autocrats who want to disrupt this
- 42:56Speaker 3: stuff because the whole government ain't worth shit.
- 42:59Speaker 7: That's the argument. Roy, what do you think about that?
- 43:02Speaker 9: People are thirsty for someone who basically hates and will
- 43:08Speaker 9: bash and is different from the elites who they believe
- 43:11Speaker 9: are running the country. and running it into the ground
- 43:13Speaker 9: and don't really care about them. Why would someone simultaneously
- 43:17Speaker 9: like DeSantis and AOC? Well, AOC's out there bashing people too.
- 43:20Speaker 9: They like the fact that she seems sort of unleashed.
- 43:24Speaker 9: She just tells it like it is. She's not afraid
- 43:27Speaker 9: of saying stuff that's really unpopular. So does it hang
- 43:30Speaker 9: together coherently as an ideology?
- 43:32Speaker 7: No, not at all.
- 43:32Speaker 9: But let's never forget, people like us whose ideologies hang
- 43:36Speaker 9: together are really weird. Most people have a lot of
- 43:39Speaker 9: views that are contradictory all over the place. But we
- 43:43Speaker 9: have to realize that if they don't hear someone who's
- 43:46Speaker 9: making that kind of pitch, who convinces them they're not
- 43:49Speaker 9: just another one of the elites, they can go in
- 43:51Speaker 9: a bad direction.
- 43:52Speaker 7: Carlos, we'll end with you.
- 43:53Speaker 1: You know, you said earlier Democrats sort of need to
- 43:56Speaker 1: show that they care across not just economic issues, but
- 44:00Speaker 1: a whole host of issues. Can showing that you care,
- 44:03Speaker 1: can that exist alongside some of the populism that both
- 44:07Speaker 1: Faz and Roy were talking about, where you are bashing
- 44:10Speaker 1: some powerful people?
- 44:11Speaker 5: Yeah, absolutely.
- 44:12Speaker 7: Because, you know, it's care and it's deliver.
- 44:14Speaker 8: And what Republicans have for them is the ruthlessness. And
- 44:17Speaker 8: so in general, I think someone has equated in the
- 44:20Speaker 8: past as trying to stand on a plank or a seesaw,
- 44:22Speaker 8: which is you need to have a strong stance on
- 44:24Speaker 8: both sides. You need to take strong positions, but on
- 44:27Speaker 8: both sides in a way that kind of balances you out.
- 44:30Speaker 8: And I think people are looking for people who subvert
- 44:32Speaker 8: their expectations, who aren't just saying what they would expect
- 44:35Speaker 8: to come out of the mouth of an average Democrat
- 44:38Speaker 8: or an average Republican. And so what Democrats, the challenge
- 44:41Speaker 8: for them right now is showing that they have the care,
- 44:43Speaker 8: but show they got a little of that ruthlessness in them, too.
- 44:46Speaker 9: Message, I care, but I'm ruthless.
- 44:50Speaker 3: Muscularity matters.
- 44:52Speaker 7: I care ruthlessly.
- 44:53Speaker 9: All right.
- 44:53Speaker 7: We figured it out here.
- 44:54Speaker 5: We figured it out.
- 44:56Speaker 7: Faz, Rui, Carlos, thank you so much.
- 44:58Speaker 3: Thank you.
- 44:58Speaker 5: It was fun.
- 44:59Speaker 9: Thanks for having us.
- 45:00Speaker 5: See you guys.
- 45:02Speaker 1: Latino political strategists will often make the point that the
- 45:05Speaker 1: Latino community is not a monolith. In fact, all 50
- 45:08Speaker 1: states have seen growth in their Latino populations in the
- 45:10Speaker 1: last decade, and these communities stem from over 20 countries.
- 45:15Speaker 7: It's precisely because this.
- 45:16Speaker 1: Growing demographic is so diverse that it's foolish and even
- 45:19Speaker 1: insulting to make assumptions about Latinos' partisan loyalties or policy priorities.
- 45:25Speaker 1: Roy argues that Latino voters, especially working-class Latinos like the
- 45:29Speaker 1: people I spoke to in Vegas, are quote-unquote normie voters.
- 45:33Speaker 1: which he defines as voters who aren't very partisan and
- 45:36Speaker 1: care mostly about their jobs, the cost of living, the
- 45:38Speaker 1: quality of their schools, and the safety of their communities.
- 45:42Speaker 7: And certainly, that's a lot of what we heard from
- 45:44Speaker 7: these voters.
- 45:46Speaker 1: And it's the same thing we heard from other struggling
- 45:48Speaker 1: voters who don't follow politics that closely. None of these
- 45:52Speaker 1: voters have much faith in the political system because they
- 45:55Speaker 1: don't feel like the system has made life better for
- 45:57Speaker 1: people like them.
- 45:58Speaker 7: People who aren't rich.
- 46:00Speaker 1: But Carlos makes a persuasive argument that it would also
- 46:03Speaker 1: be a mistake for the Democratic Party to just ignore
- 46:05Speaker 1: the racial and ethnic identities of Latino voters, especially when
- 46:09Speaker 1: so many right-wing xenophobes are using those identities to marginalize
- 46:13Speaker 1: and exclude Latino Americans from the country they love and
- 46:17Speaker 1: call home. It is true that views about immigration among
- 46:22Speaker 1: Latino voters may be more complicated than some pundits and
- 46:25Speaker 1: activists assume, especially around border issues. and especially among Latinos
- 46:30Speaker 1: who live in border communities. We certainly heard concerns about
- 46:33Speaker 1: public safety and fairness from these voters. But we also
- 46:37Speaker 1: heard empathy and compassion for immigrants who have risked everything
- 46:41Speaker 1: to come here in search of a better life. These
- 46:44Speaker 1: voters may not have much faith in American politics right now,
- 46:47Speaker 1: but they still believe in the American dream. Not just
- 46:50Speaker 1: because it holds the promise of opportunity, but because it
- 46:53Speaker 1: does so regardless of what you look like or where
- 46:55Speaker 1: you come from or what language you speak. And what
- 46:58Speaker 1: they really want are leaders who are actually willing to
- 47:01Speaker 1: fight for that promise, who are relentlessly focused on the
- 47:05Speaker 1: issues we heard about in Vegas. If Democratic candidates don't
- 47:09Speaker 1: show that kind of fight, there's a real danger that
- 47:11Speaker 1: these voters could either give Republicans a chance or give
- 47:14Speaker 1: up on politics altogether, a trend we've seen in the
- 47:17Speaker 1: last few elections. People like Melanie are doing their best
- 47:20Speaker 1: to make sure that doesn't happen. In August, the North
- 47:24Speaker 1: Las Vegas City Council actually struck down the rent control initiative.
- 47:27Speaker 7: So despite all their hard.
- 47:28Speaker 1: Work and the overwhelming support from the community, it won't
- 47:31Speaker 1: be on the ballot this fall.
- 47:33Speaker 2: That's very frustrating because we put a lot of work
- 47:35Speaker 2: towards that. It's like a slap in the face.
- 47:37Speaker 1: But Melanie and the other organizers aren't giving up that easily.
- 47:41Speaker 1: The Culinary Union says that they're going to keep talking
- 47:43Speaker 1: to voters and that they plan to run what they're
- 47:45Speaker 1: calling the largest field program in Nevada history.
- 47:49Speaker 2: We're going to strike harder. You know, we're going to
- 47:51Speaker 2: take this to Clark County. We're not going to just
- 47:54Speaker 2: give up here. We're going to.
- 47:56Speaker 5: Make it bigger.
- 47:57Speaker 1: So the Culinary Union is now going door-to-door collecting signatures
- 48:00Speaker 1: for a county-wide version of their rent control proposal. But,
- 48:04Speaker 1: as Melanie learned, none of that matters if they can't
- 48:07Speaker 1: elect leaders who will support these types of policies. So
- 48:10Speaker 1: they'll also be working to elect candidates up and down
- 48:12Speaker 1: the ballot who will finally do something about the cost
- 48:15Speaker 1: of housing. From Catherine Cortez Masto and Steve Sisolak to
- 48:18Speaker 1: their local city council members.
- 48:20Speaker 7: It's not just about making history.
- 48:22Speaker 11: It is about ensuring we have a seat at the
- 48:25Speaker 11: table to get something.
- 48:28Speaker 9: Done, right?
- 48:30Speaker 7: Because I'll tell you what, don't you think it is.
- 48:32Speaker 11: About time that we had diversity in the United States Senate?
- 48:37Speaker 2: Every day matters. There's so little time. We have to
- 48:41Speaker 2: make sure we talk to everyone that we can. As
- 48:43Speaker 2: far as I see on the doors, a lot of people,
- 48:45Speaker 2: they've given up. They don't think it's going to help
- 48:47Speaker 2: people vote. We have to tell them why it's so
- 48:50Speaker 2: important to go vote, why we're out here in the heat.
- 48:52Speaker 2: You know, we're not out here for no reason.
- 48:55Speaker 1: They're out there because of what voting can do, because
- 48:58Speaker 1: of what it can change. It's the reason that so
- 49:00Speaker 1: many people have fought so long and so hard for
- 49:03Speaker 1: access to the ballot.
- 49:04Speaker 7: It's why they're still fighting.
- 49:06Speaker 17: When we say things like our democracy is under attack,
- 49:09Speaker 17: when we say things like we are living in a
- 49:10Speaker 17: climate crisis, People of color, particularly Black people in America,
- 49:14Speaker 17: are hit first and worst by all of those things.
- 49:16Speaker 17: So we also know that we can't afford not to vote.
- 49:19Speaker 17: I think the question on the table is, you've told
- 49:21Speaker 17: them to vote, they've been voting, and what have we
- 49:23Speaker 17: gotten for our vote?
- 49:24Speaker 7: That's what you hear from folks.
- 49:26Speaker 1: Next week, for our final episode, we talk to Black
- 49:28Speaker 1: voters in Atlanta, Georgia, where organizers are battling cynicism and
- 49:32Speaker 1: suppression in a place that's become central in the struggle
- 49:35Speaker 1: to save our democracy.
- 49:37Speaker 7: See you then.
- 49:50Speaker 1: The Wilderness is an original podcast from Crooked Media. Season
- 49:53Speaker 1: 3 is produced by Dust Light Productions. I'm your host,
- 49:57Speaker 1: Jon Favreau. From Crooked Media, our executive producers are Sarah Geismar,
- 50:00Speaker 1: Katie Long, and me. Special thanks to Allison Falsetta and
- 50:04Speaker 1: Andy Taft for production support. And to Mike Kulishek from
- 50:07Speaker 1: Benenson Strategy Group, who helped us with our focus groups.
- 50:11Speaker 1: From Dusklight, our executive producer is Misha Youssef. Arwen Nix
- 50:15Speaker 1: is our executive editor. Stephanie Cohn is the senior producer.
- 50:18Speaker 1: Tamika Adams is the producer and Francesca Diaz is the
- 50:21Speaker 1: assistant producer. This episode was sound designed by Stephanie Cohn.
- 50:25Speaker 1: Valentino Rivera is our senior engineer. Martin Fowler is the composer.
- 50:30Speaker 1: Thanks to our development and operations coordinator at Dusklight, Rachel Garcia,
- 50:33Speaker 1: and to Chrissy Marin for archival legal review. If you
- 50:37Speaker 1: want to learn more about how you can take action
- 50:39Speaker 1: in the fight for our democracy, head over to votesaveamerica.com
- 50:43Speaker 1: slash midterms.