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Inside Bills vs Dolphins: X's & O's, Preview, Stock Up, & more | DC · Disguised Coverage

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  And thirty eight. All Bills can win it here, Wake puts it down.
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  The kick is on the way out and he's got on the bill.
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  Good one, hell good one. He one. They won a party one
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  up thirty eight incredible. What a combat by my Bill Jackson Bills perfect record
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  on the line right here, keep it looks side touchdown Kyle Williams touchdown.
• 0:46
  Amazing, I'm believable. They put in william who's hats the full back and
• 0:56
  he scores a touchdown. It's wealthier to face tackle. What's good, folks,
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  The family, Friends, loved Ones, Enemies, Friendemies, Wizards,
• 1:19
  which is Muggles Mudblood's People of Middle Earth. To another episode of Disguise Coverage,
• 1:23
  the only podcast in existence. It gives you an equal amount of blueberries
• 1:26
  in each muffin and then is presented by the best pizza in Buffalo, New
• 1:30
  York, and that is One Pipe Pizza. Find the online menu in the
• 1:34
  episode show notes. Whether you're here on YouTube or whichever podcasting app and or
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  platform you are listening to this show on. I'm your host, Anthony.
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  Find me on Twitter at Pro Underscore Underscore ant that's Pro two hundred scores a
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  nt in tonight's episode of Disguise coverage, it's Bills Dolphins Week, which has
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  gained more importance these past several years, and a lot more last year when
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  the Dolphins and two A Tungo Violoa and Mike McDaniel and Tyreek Hill, that
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  whole crew really started to arrive. They look tremendous. This year, the
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  Bills have started to turn things around after a disappointing Week one loss to the
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  Jets, and it is culminated in it's early in the year, first quarter
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  of the season, but what it's culminated into an important Week four matchup in
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  terms of AFC standings for the Bills AFC standings with them already having a division
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  loss under their belt their belt versus the Jets, and this game just really
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  presents a lot of important pieces from a general standpoint, but a lot of
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  intriguing ones from a schematic standpoint in this episode in terms of the xs and
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  os for the Bills and Dolphins, how they match up with one another,
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  and what will really decide that game. And that's what we're going to dive
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  into in the first portion of this episode. The back end of the episode,
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  as is tradition, here on the show will be stock up and stock
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  down for the Bills coming out of their Week three victory versus Commanders. Will
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  dive into some game tape and break down some things towards the back end of
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  that episode. But without further ado, I bring in my guest for this
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  episode, mister J. P Acosta, writer for esp Nation and who I
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  told offline and I'll say it again now, is genuinely one of my favorite
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  follows on Twitter. You know Ball, you geek out, and you nerd
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  out for a lot of the same things that I geek out and nerd out
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  with, so one I enjoy your presence too. I appreciate you taking the
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  time and joining me. Thanks for stopping by, No problem, man,
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  This has been one of my even one of my favorite follows go to for
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  Bill's coverage. You are one of my favorites when it comes to the landscape
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  of knowing Ball and talking anime and pro wrestling. It's just super fun always
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  interacting with you. So I'm excited to hop on. I appreciate you.
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  That's very kind. You know, it's important I think like when you're like
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  the guest to like butter up the host. So whether you're telling the truth
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  or lying. I appreciate the hell out of you for being so kind to
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  me. Thank you so much. Let's start with some general overall thoughts.
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  Bill's Dolphins. You know, you do a great job covering the entire landscape
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  of the NFL. And what you know attracted to me, me to you
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  in the first place, is I gravitate towards whether it's writers or shows,
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  people who break down things from a schematic standpoint. The ex's no, was
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  the real like the nitty gritty, the bones and the structure and the scheme
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  and all those pieces that really decide the matchups and the science of football.
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  And you're great at doing that. You know, you watch a ton of
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  tape, you write about the league, obviously, so I was pumped to
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  get your overall high level perspective. And let's start with that piece. You
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  know coming into this game, Bills Dolphins, like I mentioned in the intro,
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  Miami's riding high. They absolutely mrked the Broncos this past week. And
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  what was just like I didn't even enjoy enjoy watching the tape because it was
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  just like so bad for Denver. I felt like I was watching a snuff
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  film At certain points, the Bills have turned it around a bit. But
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  when you're looking at this game from a high level standpoint, Bills Dolphins is
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  what's the first thing that comes to your mind? Is there something that immediately
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  like kind of the turns on the light bulb for you, or is there
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  like a couple of little pieces like where's your mind at from a high level
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  perspective when it comes to this game. So yeah, of course, coming
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  from the top down is kind of a bird's eye view as a general viewer
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  of the NFL. I think the first thing that I always gravitate towards is
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  the offensive and defensive lines. I think because I used to play defensive line,
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  that's always where I'm gonna go to and this is ultimately where games are
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  won. And I think it's not going to be any different for the Bill's
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  interior defensive line against the Dolphins interior offensive line. That's ultimately where this game
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  is going to be won. Against the Broncos, of course, you said
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  you pretty much nailed it. Every time, it felt like the Dolphins,
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  Like you know, I was watching back the replay and it felt like every
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  three play is Kevin Harlan was saying insert Dolphins player here, wide open over
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  the middles, or insert Dolphins player here, big run. It just felt
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  like every time it felt like you were watching a boxing match where the where
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  the underdog is very clearly just not ready for whatever the guy was throwing at
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  him. Heymakers left and right, and it was over in the first quarter.
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  I'm really intrigued by this matchup of the Dolphins interior offensive line against the
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  Bills interior defensive line. Dolphins have kind of retooled that little that middle three
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  area went out and got a zaah Win resign Conor Williams. He's had a
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  little bit of issues with a snap in the early parts of the season.
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  But one way that I think Mike McDaniel and the Dolphins offense is kind of
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  masked the deficiencies along the offensive line just in terms of sheer talent is using
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  misdirection and motion. You saw it perfectly as soon as they got back devon
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  a chain and to Ron Armstead, That's exactly what the Dolphins run game wants
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  to be. They want this direction combined with that sweet and Tahron Armstead kind
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  of being Miami's version of Trent Williams. With how Mike mcdanie is Trent Williams
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  in San Francisco getting him out in space. The big a chain run to
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  Ron Armstead was pulling and wrapping around in the space and you got him one
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  on one with a dB. One thing that I've always thought was very interesting
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  about the Bills, especially under Sean McDermott, is they by design they play
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  the run in light boxes. I've always said to Ron Johnson is one of
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  my favorite players in the league because he's like one hundred and ninety pounds,
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  but he's just throwing his body at two hundred and fifty pounds tight ends,
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  and that's gonna play a big role in this game, especially with all the
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  motion that the Dolphins use. I wonder how McDermott is going to keep to
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  Ron Johnson out of that motion conflict, because what I noticed against the Commanders
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  is when the Commanders were motion into their run game, you would either bump
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  to Ron Johnson into the box or out of the box and create favorable numbers.
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  That way, you know that they're gonna play light. To Ron Johnson's
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  going to be involved in the run action. But that's just going to be
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  something that they have to account for in the run game. I think in
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  the passing game at Oliver has been fantastic to start this year, and I
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  think he's gonna have to have a huge game against the Dolphins. I think
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  the best way to pressure to attack of Valola is up front, up through
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  the middle. I think he's shown the ability to evade pressure on the outside
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  on the edges of the defense, you know, with edge rushers coming through
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  off the edge. I think the best way to disrupt all the middle of
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  the field passing is get a hand though, get in his face up front
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  immediately, and that way you pressure him either rolling out of the pocket where
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  you can use speed to track them down, or force them into a lower
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  percentage throw on the outside edges of the field. That's really what you want
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  to do. You can't necessarily completely take this offense to a complete halt,
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  or what you want to do is take away their most efficient passes over the
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  middle of the field. The Patriots kind of did it. It wasn't as
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  effective, but they forced them to go away from the middle of the field.
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  They forced him to go to the edges and the result was twenty four
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  points, which compared to the other two weeks that the Dolphins have played.
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  That seems like one of the lowest games they've played. So that's really going
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  to be one of the big points here in Dolphins Bills the interior offensive line
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  against the Bills interior defensive line. I love it, just there's so much
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  to unpack said, like that's such a you made so many great points.
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  I love the piece you mentioned with Aaron Johnson for the Bills. Like my
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  favorite thing when we're talking about him is he's like a nickel corner who doesn't
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  realize he's a nickel corner. Like he plays like he's Jowan Bentley from the
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  Patriots, Like he's just like, no, I'm just gonna be like a
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  he's seeking missile and like fit, like he'll fit the run versus like like
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  pulling tight ends and pulling guards and he'll like box in as if he's yeah,
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  he's two forty five, two fifty, Like he does not care.
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  And early in his career it led to him kind of having injury concerns.
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  But you know, fingers crossed and no jinks here, he's really kind of
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  like stemmed that these past several years and in Today's NFL. I did an
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  episode last offseason about how important the nickel position is. I just think,
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  like, especially those dudes who can do it all from like a run and
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  pass perspective to Taron Johnson's the Mike Hilton's I love Kenny Moore with the Colts,
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  Like you get those dudes who can fit against the run but then can
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  function in man and zone in the past game, and it allows you to
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  stay in that nickel perspective or stay with those light boxes because you can match
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  that way. And it's the Bills have gotten ding for it at times by
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  a lot of the fan base being like, well, this is a run
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  heavy week, how come they're staying in nickel, YadA YadA. And it's
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  because Taron Johnson can play the run like a linebacker despite the fact that he
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  is not linebacker size, and he's having another phenomenal year. I love a
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  lot of the points you brought up, and I think that's a great way
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  to lead us into this, you know, starting this whole conversation here,
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  and so for the viewers here on the show, folks know how we do.
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  We're gonna go through the matchups. JP and I are just going to
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  go back and forth. He does not know my answers. I do not
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  know his. We're each going to alternate comment on each other's matchup pieces and
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  dive into it and just have a good organ a conversation talking ball and going
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  back and forth with those of you watching live and playing with us at home.
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  Feel free to comment on each of our matchups in the comments they're feel
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  free to let us know what your top matchups are, what you'll be watching
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  for. I'll start everything and go through as much as I can, and
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  then bring it through and bring it up towards the back end of the show,
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  as we always like to make everything is gauging here on the show as
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  possible. All right, JP, you are the guest, so I'm gonna
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  let you go first here you can, you can start it. I don't
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  know if you ranked them like one through three or three through one. You
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  can lead off whichever way you choose. The floor is yours. What is
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  your first or third whatever you want to lead off with. You know matchup
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  piece that will decide Bill's versus Dolphins here in week four. Yeah, so,
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  actually kind of hinted at it at the beginning. It's the offensive line,
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  defensive line up front, that is where the game is going to be
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  one. One thing that I've really liked about how Sean McDermott has called the
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  defense early is you can still see the bones and the foundation of the Bills
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  defense is the same a lot of quarters quarter to quarter a half. That
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  stuff hasn't changed. But what I've loved is Sean McDermott has not been afraid
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  of showing pressure and sending pressure. They played a lot of cover three against
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  the Commanders. I thought that was kind of new from a from a Bill's
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  defense, and it kind of makes sense with where s mc dermott comes from
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  and the Carolina Band. It makes sense when you think about going back like
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  that. But I do wonder how much pressure they're going to send because two
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  has been really good against the blitz. And it's not because he's hitting teams
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  with haymakers throwing the ball down field. It's just he's so smart and can
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  throw the ball with anticipation where if you send a blitz from depth, he's
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  gonna see it and they're gonna run a guy right behind you and then they're
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  running for fifteen yards. So I wonder he does Sean McDermott send pressure or
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  does he rely on that front four to win their individual matchups at Oliver is
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  going to be huge in this game. I think he has to play a
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  great game. Leonard Floyd has actually led the Bills and pressures through the first
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  three games of the season. I think he's going to have a favorable matchup
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  against Austin Jackson, who's played well to start this season. But you know,
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  you're always wondering when that Levy is going to break. But the offensive
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  line, defensive line, especially up the middle of the defense, the bones
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  of that defense right there at Oliver. You think about guys like Jordan phil
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  in the run game against guys like Robert Hunt, theya Win, Connor Williams.
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  Those guys are going to basically decide this game. Especially with how effective
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  the Dolphins were in the run game last week. They want to try and
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  continue that and that's gonna be something that you have to try and stop or
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  else, like this game is gonna be over. You know, it's funny
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  that ties into a couple of my points here, so I like they were
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  kind of on the same page already. That's such a great point too,
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  you know, I think, I mean Aaron Donald's like a unicorn, But
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  Aaron Donald really started to open up the world of what dominant interior pressure can
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  look like. And then it was like and then you started to get like
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  more and it was like, Oh, there's Aaron Donald, and oh there's
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  Chris Jones, and oh there's Jeffrey Simmons, and oh there's Jonathan Allen and
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  those interior dudes who can really cause chaos and disrupt the interior the pocket and
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  cause problems from a depth perspective of the pocket for quarterbacks. They've gotten paid
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  handsomely. At Oliver got rewarded with a contract this offseason, and it really
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  came at a point where you know, Tremaine Edmonds had been lost, and
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  this was a conversation for a lot of fans like, well, we paid
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  ed but we didn't pay Edmunds. Fans were conflicted on what they wanted to
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  see between those two and the contract that ed got. When he's flashed,
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  he's flashed big time, and he looks every bit like the top ten pick
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  that he was, but then there's times where you forget that he's even played.
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  And so when he got that contract, it caused it was kind of
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  polarizing for the fan base. But he has started this year and just been
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  an absolute force on the interior, like you said, and you know I
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  love that piece, just with Leonard Floyd as well. And the Bill's front
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  has done a good job like getting pressure. They don't blitz a lot.
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  They've worked in more pressure looks under Sean McDermott, which is a great call
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  from you. You know McDermott comes from you know, we cut his teeth
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  with that Jim Johnson Eagles defense back in the day and then went to Carolina.
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  So he wants to rush for but he loves to bring simulated pressures and
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  creeper pressures and when he brings a five in a six man, it usually
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  gets home by design. But to your point, how does that work?
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  Because if you don't get home on TWA and you have blitz, now you
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  have less guys in coverage against the route distribution, which means more space for
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  Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle or if he dumps it down to Mostard or demon
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  E Chain and they take off like there's so much more space for these speedy
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  dudes just to work. And a couple stats here that go along with some
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  of your points, so per PFF, there's two hundred and thirty four qualifying
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  edges and defensive tackles. When it comes to pass rush productivity, so again
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  two hundred and thirty four, the Bills have six players in the top sixty
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  and four in the top twenty five for past rush productivity. For those who
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  don't know pass rush productivity. Instead of just an overall volume standpoint for your
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  pressures, it factors in your snap count and it will take pressures, QB,
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  hits, hurries, sacks, and then puts it all together with how
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  many times you rush the quarterbacks, so it's more of an efficiency metric.
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  Again, the Bills have six players in the top sixty, four in the
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  top twenty five. Leonard Floyd is ninth, At Oliver is nineteenth, Dakwon
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  Jones is twentieth, Jordan Phillips is twenty third, Greg Russou is thirty six,
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  and A. J. Banessa is tied for fifty six. And then
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  if you whittle those down to just interior players or just edge players, obviously
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  those players climb up. And one more piece. You know, you mentioned
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  that blitz piece for Tua, So I looked this up earlier for notes for
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  the show. So Tua versus five or more rushers this season, there's thirty
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  five qualifying quarterbacks. Okay, he's second in QBA in quarterback rating, He's
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  second in total EPA. He's tied for first in touchdown percentage, seventh in
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  total attempts, sixth in yards per game. He has the seventh lowest pressure
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  percentage of thirty three point three. He's sixth in on target throw percentage,
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  and then the bigger one zero interceptions and zero sacks. When teams are blitzing,
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  he's still decently staying in rhythm. He's thrown with anticipations so much this
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  year, and he's got that ability to just really gouge you when you bring
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  pressure. If you are the Bills, if you are Sean McDermott, are
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  you relying on your front four in this game or are you going to try
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  and send a little more pressure or do you want to just you know,
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  throw simulators and creepers at them because it's still just a four man rush.
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  What would be your rush plan when you're attacking to U. So I think
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  for me, philosophically, I've never been much better. I'm going to sit
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  back and let my front four win. I'm always think I want to try
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  and speed you up. I want to try and force the issue, and
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  that's something I think you have to do with this Dolphin's offense. You cannot
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  let them pick you apart and get into a rhythm, because when they get
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  into a rhythm, they're impossible to stop. I think you have to try
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  and force the issue at least early, try and force them into making those
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  decisions just a little bit quicker, or forcing to it to hold ball a
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  little bit longer, try and not even just like you said, Sean McDermott
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  has done such a good job of not only sending pressure but showing pressure looks
• 17:47
  and then dropping out of it. And that's something that thing's going to be
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  huge in this game. Trying to force to hold onto the ball a little
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  longer, try and try and buy as much time for that past rush as
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  possible. And it's really that's the big thing. You know, Offenses have
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  kind of land in the larger landscape of the NFL. They've kind of they've
• 18:07
  had the first punch, you know, with all the Shanahan wide zone play
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  action RPO stuff. Now defenses are starting to punch back, you know.
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  I feel like they're starting to get a little bit beefier up front. They're
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  starting to negate those zone runs, and I think this is kind of the
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  game that's going to be a very very big reflection of where the NFL is
• 18:27
  going to go, because this team, the Dolphins, they want to live
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  in that middle of the field where they can threaten you with speed vertically and
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  then get underneath you with that speed, and then it's up to you try
• 18:41
  and make the tackle on those guys, and good luck with that. So
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  I really do think you have to try and force the issue, try and
• 18:48
  speed up the process, try and change the picture a little bit. I
• 18:52
  love that point, you know, And it's and also good point too with
• 18:53
  like how that Dolphins offense works, Like they're so good at pulling coverage player
• 19:00
  and then running someone in behind it, or just like a basic high low
• 19:03
  like someone sits down and the second level defenders are like, oh, here
• 19:07
  we go, and it's like nope, there's a bender coming around behind it,
• 19:08
  and you just opened up all that space or vice versa tight you know.
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  I think there's like a basic dagger concept, like he'll just runs that
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  vertical out of the slot and pulls defenders with him, and here comes the
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  dig behind him and there's like a fifteen yard radius and nobody around. And
• 19:23
  I mean, you saw it on the first touchdown, the Tyreek Hill touchdown
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  against against the Broncos. Robbie I can't gonna say, Anderson, Robbie chosen
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  runs that in from the opposite side, and that backside safety comes poaching down
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  and he's ready to like jump on it, and then he'll literally comes and
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  runs the post behind it, and two it just waits and he chucks it
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  down. The other safety isn't even in the picture, and that's on the
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  wide angle all twenty two sideline you can't even see. I'm pretty sure I
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  think they're in cover six because that other safety was dropped into the deep path
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  on the other side of the field. And which makes sense how that backside
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  safety came dow out on Robbie. Like they can just make you pay in
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  so many forms and fashions. And you know, I like the idea that
• 20:04
  you got there, Like just try and heat up to what can you add
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  some beats to his rhythm to his drop back because right now he just and
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  this is a credit to him and McDaniel, he just seems so comfortable,
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  like he's dropping back and he's in rhythm. His progressions are imperfect, like
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  succinct steps with his footwork, like he's just firing on all cylinders, and
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  it's reflected to when it's time to throw. You know, per next gens
• 20:27
  stats is average time to throw this is two point three four seconds. That's
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  the lowest in league. That's nuts. I remember, was it a couple
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  of years ago Roethisburger's last year when his average time was like two point five.
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  Yeah, everybody was like just getting the ball out so quickly and two
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  of us like two tents of a second quicker than that. But his average
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  death will target is like eight yards or it's the it's so many they're breaking
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  every rule. And I think the coolest thing about how Mike McDaniels structured this
• 20:56
  offense is they blend everything together. Nothing is just a collection of It's not
• 21:02
  just a collection of plays. It's not just hey, we're gonna run this
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  cool shit. It's all the stuff builds together. I think about the Patriots
• 21:08
  game where you know, they do that little outmotion that they've started now where
• 21:14
  it's kind of building onto that slide flat RPO, but now instead of bringing
• 21:17
  Tyreetail all the way across. You're basically just arena footballing him and just give
• 21:21
  them a little burst motion back outside. It's basically arena football within the constraints
• 21:26
  of NFL rules. But what that does is you already are threatened with the
• 21:30
  threat of that speed, so you have to play fifteen yards off. I
• 21:34
  think the Broncos touchdown is a great example. The safety isn't even in the
• 21:37
  play because he's forty yards downfield because you're afraid to get beat over the top
• 21:41
  by that speed, and they can just run underneath you, and that's all
• 21:45
  they're gonna do. They're gonna get that burst motion, and it's to play
• 21:48
  against the Chargers. You get the burst. Tyreetail comes in with the dagger,
• 21:52
  and he's already he's got a wide lane, the splits are already,
• 21:56
  the spacing is already perfect, but they build off of that. You run
• 21:59
  that outmost against the Patriots, and you throw a screen to Jalen Waddle that
• 22:02
  goes for twenty yards because you're so worried about Tyreek Hill's threat of motion.
• 22:06
  You run that little outmotion and you can run outside that zone toss off of
• 22:10
  it like they dated against the Patriots. It's something where Mike McDaniel has blended
• 22:15
  everything together and now nothing looks the everything looks the exact same. Which is
• 22:21
  a problem for defense is because your head is spinning. Defenses are not.
• 22:26
  Defenses are much more attack react. You are not supposed to think too hard
• 22:30
  on defense, because that's that's wasting time you are on It's again, you
• 22:37
  are on the defensive. You cannot think too much. Your objective is to
• 22:41
  go, and the Dolphins make you think so much. And combine that with
• 22:47
  the threat of speed. The moment you think too long, Tyreek Hill is
• 22:51
  fifteen yards behind you, and it's so difficult. And like you said,
• 22:55
  I think the biggest thing to do if you're the dolphin, if you're the
• 22:59
  Bills, speed up that process. Either force them to get the ball out
• 23:03
  quicker, or force them to throw it a little later, you know,
• 23:06
  try and flood the windows after looking like you're sending pressure. Try and make
• 23:11
  it a little more difficult. Change the picture. For I love that,
• 23:15
  And you said so many things that got me excited because there's I have so
• 23:18
  many of my points tie in with that. I got some film that we're
• 23:22
  gonna look into too, I'm very excited. I'm gonna go with my first
• 23:25
  point, which ties in it picks up literally kind of where you left off.
• 23:27
  So it's very wordy. I hate how I worded this, but it
• 23:30
  is what it is. So how the Bills defense combats the Dolphins use of
• 23:34
  motion and then tying that in with getting pressure and getting home versus to it
• 23:37
  and that first piece you hinted it at it already. Miami uses motion to
• 23:44
  create leverage, to create spacing, and then force defenses to adjust at the
• 23:48
  last minute and process in real time as the snap happens. We talk about
• 23:53
  so much ironically from you know what kind of the fan geo tree did?
• 23:59
  Uh? You know fan you'll be in the DC in Miami now we talk
• 24:02
  like so much of the conversation for defense as the past several years has been
• 24:04
  like changing the pre to post snap picture and you mentioned it now with you
• 24:07
  know what you want to try to do to two. Miami does that on
• 24:11
  offense, like they change the pre to post snap picture with that fast motion
• 24:15
  of that first motion right at the last second before the snap happens, and
• 24:18
  then defenses all of a sudden have to be like oh and like they have
• 24:21
  to adjust in real time, and that's so hard in general, Like,
• 24:25
  as a defender, you not only need to execute your assignment, but you
• 24:29
  need to know that your teammate is going to execute the assignment you think they're
• 24:33
  going to make. And if you think I'm doing A, but I'm actually
• 24:34
  doing B that's where blown assignments happen and bust a coverages happen. And against
• 24:38
  the speed of Miami, it's even more of a problem. And so all
• 24:42
  of those pieces, the leverage, the spacing, the last minute adjustments in
• 24:47
  processing, those are problems in a vacuum on their own in and of themselves.
• 24:51
  Miami can cause all of those problems and those things that happen in one
• 24:55
  play. And then again, like you said, it's even more dangerous with
• 24:57
  them because of the speed that they have in their weapon regroup and especially from
• 25:02
  a processing standpoint. I love what you said, like you want to be
• 25:03
  reading and reacting when you have to think that much. As a defender,
• 25:07
  that means you're playing slower. That means you're hesitating, which is a problem
• 25:11
  again in and of itself, but even more so when you're playing an offense
• 25:15
  where everybody runs like a three nine forty and is just got rocket boosters attached
• 25:21
  to them. In like every step of the way, Miami forces you to
• 25:22
  think, and in that thinking they create hesitation in you. And while you're
• 25:27
  hesitating, Miami's wide receivers and running backs are running by you, even they're
• 25:30
  slower players like derham Smithe at tight end or just running by you because you're
• 25:37
  sitting there being like, okay, somebody came in orbit motion. Okay,
• 25:41
  there was a puller, but two as eyes are here, oh there goes
• 25:42
  the ball, and then you're beat and it's a problem. And when you
• 25:47
  look at that motion piece, so again that's in and of itself, but
• 25:49
  then you look at how Miami is executed with that motion. TWA has one
• 25:53
  hundred and one attempts on the year, eighty of them have come with motion.
• 25:57
  Out of thirty four qualified quarterbacks. When you know when they have somebody
• 26:02
  in motion. He's first in EPA at forty six point three forty six point
• 26:07
  three. Second is brock Purty at eleven point nine, and he's got ten
• 26:14
  less attempts. So it's not like, well two is thrown like seventy more
• 26:17
  attempts than him. It's only a ten attempt difference, and the EPA difference
• 26:21
  is forty six point three for two to eleven point nine for Purty. Two
• 26:26
  is also first in attempts with motion at eighty. Patrick Mahomes is also tied
• 26:30
  with him with eighty attempts with motion. Mahomes' EPA is negative zero point nine
• 26:36
  three. Again, two is his forty six point three with that motion.
• 26:40
  Again out of those thirty four qualifying quarterbacks, so first in EPA, first
• 26:44
  in total attempts, first in yards per game at two eighty seven point seven,
• 26:48
  first in yards per attempt at ten point eight, second in rating at
• 26:52
  one thirty nine point eight. He's been sacked zero times. He has the
• 26:56
  third lowest pressure percentage and only twenty two percent. It's just unreal how much
• 27:02
  they I guess, not unreal when you understand like the bones of it and
• 27:04
  who they have. But McDaniel has just crafted this offense to take advantage of
• 27:10
  the skill set that his players have, and then pairing that with these concepts
• 27:14
  and these last minute advantages and pre snap movements that just confuse defenses, make
• 27:18
  them have to think and make them have the process, and then tying within
• 27:22
  that again whether it's motion or not. Two, it just hasn't really been
• 27:26
  pressured to ton. It hasn't been sacked a ton per PFF amongst thirty four
• 27:32
  qualifying quarterbacks. Again, he's only been pressured on twenty one percent of his
• 27:34
  dropbacks. That's the lowest amongst all thirty four qualifying quarterbacks. Big one here,
• 27:40
  he has the second lowest pressure to sack percentage at four point five percent.
• 27:45
  He's twenty first in rating at fifty seven point seven, second lowest average
• 27:48
  time to throw when he's pressured at a whopping two point seven seven, So
• 27:52
  even when he's pressured, he's still getting the ball out quick. And then
• 27:55
  he's fifth. This is a bigger one though, when he's pressured he's fifth
• 27:57
  and average depth of target at thirteen point point seven. And then you put
• 28:00
  that focus shifted to the Bills defense. Their second in the NFL in pressure
• 28:06
  percentage per Sports and Folk Solutions at forty three point three percent. So you've
• 28:10
  got Tuah who is not getting pressure to ton, not getting sacked, pressures
• 28:15
  aren't being converted to sacks, and you've got this Bills defense that has been
• 28:18
  hunting week after week, generating pressures being efficient across the front four working with
• 28:23
  their simulated pressures, working with creepers, working with their five and six man
• 28:27
  pressures, showing pressure dropping out. They did it to Sam Howell a bunch
• 28:32
  in the Commander's game. One of my big things coming in was Howell will
• 28:34
  stay on his first target for too long and wait for things to come open.
• 28:37
  They confuse the picture on him on multiple times and allowed the front four
• 28:41
  to get home. Can you do that to Tah because again his average time
• 28:45
  to throw is two point three four seconds. He's getting the ball out quickly
• 28:48
  with timing, with rhythm, with anticipation. So that pressure piece is the
• 28:52
  larger scale overall perspective like can the Bills defense, can they get home?
• 28:56
  Can they generate pressure? Can they turn those pressures into sacks? Because teams
• 29:00
  have not been able to do that against two when Miami, so one of
• 29:03
  those things is going to have to budge. And then the smaller niche picture
• 29:06
  is just how do the Bills adjust to that motion because what gave them?
• 29:10
  You know, you mentioned Arn Johnson getting pulled from the box with motion that
• 29:12
  started last year the Packers game, that Sunday night game Lafleur, another you
• 29:18
  know Shanahan tree guy. They started using motion to pull defenders from the box
• 29:22
  and they turn a six man box into a five man box. And then
• 29:25
  they started gouging the bills with the run, and we saw with the Packers.
• 29:27
  The Dolphins did it later in the year. Like the motion caused problems
• 29:32
  from a run game perspective, Miami uses it to cause problems with the pass
• 29:34
  and a little in the run, which we're gonna get into in a bit
• 29:37
  with another one of my points. But man, it's just such a huge
• 29:40
  schematic piece for me. It's huge. And one of the things I love
• 29:45
  about how Mike McDaniels used Tyreek killed on that small burst motion is he noticed
• 29:49
  what problems defenses gave him when we kind of went, oh, they're starting
• 29:55
  to be figured out a bit. And that's just like last year. It
• 29:57
  was just damn them, like force them instead of blowing down to a with
• 30:03
  pressure and simulated pressure of books flow down the receivers too, get in their
• 30:07
  face, forced them to make a little bit of a move, forced them
• 30:11
  to waste time a little bit at the line of scrimmage. But you can't
• 30:14
  really do that now because of that burst motion. You're basically creating a free
• 30:19
  a free run for Tyreek Hill. You're giving You're giving him a free release.
• 30:23
  And offense is so much with motion. You are basically creating your own
• 30:29
  angles. It's it's geometry, it's it's basically just geometry. You're creating an
• 30:34
  angle for your fastest guys, which happened to be like the four fastest people
• 30:38
  in football. Ever, so what Tyreek Hill does is he can run that
• 30:45
  little burst motion. Instead of having him come all the way across and wasting
• 30:48
  that energy, just have him run a few yards and then start to play.
• 30:52
  Let them run directly at the at a corner. Who is now like
• 30:57
  has the fear of God put in him because Tyreek kills running at him at
• 31:02
  one hundred miles an hour and you don't really know what to do. And
• 31:03
  they can build so much off of that. Where you think that first motion
• 31:07
  is going to be used on a wheel route where he's going vertical, he
• 31:11
  can turn it into a comeback. He'll turn it into a dig and now
• 31:15
  you have that speed going every other direction. So I think that's gonna be
• 31:18
  the biggest point is how they adjust to motion, Like you said, in
• 31:22
  the passing game and how they adjust to motion in the run game. It
• 31:25
  actually ties into the second point I'm going to get into. Oh I love
• 31:27
  it, and that actually maybe ties into my second point a little as well.
• 31:30
  So I hit us with your second point. What do you got?
• 31:32
  So my second point is to attack a boy lovel versus the Bill's second level
• 31:36
  defenders. I think this is going to be another huge matchup in this game.
• 31:40
  Watching the Commanders game, you can tell the Bill's second level works so
• 31:45
  well together. I think about the first interception Sam how through where they use
• 31:48
  they try to use motion to get Tara Johnson in or out of the box.
• 31:52
  They move them in and Matt Milano just bounced right down to the flat
• 31:57
  and Tehron Johnson was able to pick up the over route whole Turner was running
• 32:02
  and he runs with him. That takes away the over and cover three,
• 32:06
  which is supposed to be the thing you can hit. And now you have
• 32:08
  multiple eyes on this hook on this hook route that samhow eventually throws and it
• 32:13
  ends up getting picked. They pass off routes so well. It's like it's
• 32:19
  like a It's like a good defensive soccer team. It's you are never going
• 32:23
  to find You're never gonna find a space where there aren't multiple sets of eyes
• 32:28
  watching you or watching this person try and go into this space, and as
• 32:31
  soon as you pass that ball, the laying closes. It's so fun to
• 32:37
  watch it. It's like Athletico Madrid from like years and years ago, and
• 32:39
  you SIMI only when they were running like they I mean, granted they like
• 32:42
  parked the bus, but you tried to get something in the boxer in that
• 32:44
  lower third and it was like, there's no space. You can't breed.
• 32:46
  Everybody's got eyes everywhere. You got nothing, There's nothing there. They are
• 32:51
  parking the bus on opposing offenses like you're you're gonna flood the little They're gonna
• 32:54
  flood the area, to flood the middle of the field, and that's gonna
• 32:58
  be the biggest thing on sports Info. Solutions two has forty two of his
• 33:02
  one hundred and one passing attempts targeted middle of the field. That's I think
• 33:06
  it's top ten in the NFL this year, but his total EP on those
• 33:09
  targets is almost ten points better than second place. He is so good over
• 33:15
  those areas, and through the first three games the season, the Bills are
• 33:17
  first in total EPA per pass allowed on targets hold the middle of the field.
• 33:22
  They've been really good in that area. And what they did against Commanders
• 33:27
  is they would spend a safety down late. And it's great to have Michael
• 33:30
  Hyde and Jordan Poyer are both healthy because those are two extremely smart defenders at
• 33:35
  safety. You can spend either of them down. They've seen a whole lot
• 33:37
  of ball, they know a whole lot of route combinations. They can basically
• 33:42
  see what's coming next. I think there was a route against Commanders where they
• 33:45
  tried to bring a slot receiver on like a little drag route and player just
• 33:49
  season McClaren and yeah McLaurin, and he just nails him for like a two
• 33:54
  yard game. That's just that's supposed to be open and they close it in
• 34:00
  an instant. And one of the things that I thought was really interesting about
• 34:04
  the Patriots game was the Patriots played the Dolphins kind of well in the second
• 34:08
  half that offense. I mean, it was kind of out of hand because
• 34:13
  the Patriots offense couldn't move the ball. But what they did was they would
• 34:16
  spin a safety down and they would drop into that middle hook area where you
• 34:22
  can just you just flood that area. I think about the Marte Mapu a
• 34:27
  legal hit where Matt Judon is running with Tyreek Hill and breaks up the past.
• 34:30
  That's changing the picture, but it's also moving guys flooding that middle of
• 34:35
  the field area. That's something they're going to have to do a lot force
• 34:38
  force tool to take the inefficient throws to the outside areas of the field.
• 34:43
  Of course, that is going to be you know, it's going to be
• 34:45
  difficult because Tyreek Hill and Jalen Wattle live in those areas. But you have
• 34:51
  a lot better You have a lot better option there than it is having him
• 34:54
  dice you over the middle of the field. I think the second level defenders
• 34:58
  are also going to be important because they have to tackle. You better be
• 35:01
  on your a game tackling. Against Miami Dolphins, they have their top five
• 35:07
  and broken tackles forced in the passing and run game. I think they're first
• 35:10
  and broken tackles forced in the run game. That's something that I noticed in
• 35:15
  the Patriots game and in the Broncos game where he Mostard has really good contact.
• 35:19
  Ballet team might not be I'm not even gonna say he's not the fastest
• 35:22
  guy anymore. Because he's like one of the four fastest people on that team,
• 35:25
  but they have such good contact balance. You better bring your a game
• 35:30
  tackling against the Dolphins because not only like they're not just gonna turn a five
• 35:35
  yard route into a ten yard game, They're gonna turn them in the fifty
• 35:38
  because of how fast they are. So those second level defenders Matt Milano,
• 35:43
  Tron Johnson, Throell Bernard is gonna have to play really well. They're gonna
• 35:46
  try and put the microscope on Bernard, and I wonder how Sean McDermott kind
• 35:51
  of insulates him against Mike mcdel basically trying to isolate him from everybody else on
• 35:55
  the field. I think he did it really well against the Commanders. So
• 35:59
  that's my second. I love that and it ties into my point as well,
• 36:02
  but I want to comment of yours first because I thought it was so
• 36:05
  well said. You know, I think what helps with Bernard too is Bernard's
• 36:07
  biggest strength is how good of a processor he is and how comfortable he is
• 36:12
  in these pro style coverages and matching coverage, you know, coming from that
• 36:15
  Dava Randas system at Baylor like he is. He's just so smart and so
• 36:19
  efficient and diagnosing processing, recognizing things in real time. And what he's shown
• 36:22
  now is his ability to like get everybody set pre snap and dictate and communicate,
• 36:29
  which has been a huge bonus. But I love that second level point,
• 36:30
  you know, I in watching well actually so the first two plays of
• 36:36
  the game against the Broncos. First play it's a random mostert and gets like
• 36:40
  six yards. Second play is just a run action and the second level gets
• 36:45
  sucked in, and two it hits. I think it like a three step
• 36:46
  drop and Durham SMIs just goes right behind the second level when he's wide open
• 36:50
  and boom, there you go. And two it just he hits so quick
• 36:52
  on those routes, and I think two. I always thought too, it
• 36:57
  was better than he was giving credit for, especially amongst you know I got.
• 37:00
  I got a lot of negative flat from Bills fans for a while for
• 37:01
  it. Here on the should like no, two what sucks? And I
• 37:04
  was like, no, Like he's better than me. Think he is.
• 37:06
  He. I still don't think he has the strongest arm, So I want
• 37:08
  to I want to make him live outside the numbers. Do not give him.
• 37:12
  You know, the shortest distance between two points in the middle of the
• 37:15
  field and be able to hit those quick throws over the middle and allow him
• 37:17
  to stay on time. I think this goes to the first points we were
• 37:21
  kind of talking about getting him off rhythm, like make him have to push
• 37:24
  throws, throws farther, make him have the layer throws outside and you know,
• 37:29
  over your flat defender and you know, or over a cloud corner.
• 37:31
  Make him have to make those harder throws because he will dice you up in
• 37:35
  the middle. I love the numbers you pulled to about like the middle of
• 37:37
  the field stuff and the Bills and Dolphins. That was absolutely tremendous and that's
• 37:42
  gonna be a huge piece. I have something similar for my second one,
• 37:45
  and we'll talk about it with it will Over on general. So it's it's
• 37:47
  the Bills defense versus the Dolphins run game in general. But it really ties
• 37:52
  in with your first point and interior defensive line and then the second level defenders.
• 37:57
  The Bills have to win up front verse is the run they have to
• 38:00
  win with the defensive line. They have to get penetration, they have to
• 38:02
  get pushed. Miami's gonna throw so much at you in the run game,
• 38:07
  and I'm gonna show a couple of clips of it in a minute that it
• 38:09
  is going to put those second level defenders in hell. It is going to
• 38:13
  make them, like you were talking about, it's gonna put them in conflict.
• 38:15
  It's gonna make them have to think like they have their coverage responsibilities.
• 38:19
  But then if the defensive line is getting eaten up, that's a bigger problem.
• 38:22
  And Miami's run game, you know, you mentioned a couple of the
• 38:25
  stats already, So Miami's run game this year, these are some big ones.
• 38:29
  Their first in yards after contact at two hundred and ninety one yards,
• 38:32
  their third in yards after contact per rush, their second and broken tackles,
• 38:37
  their second and miss tackles, their first in broken tackles plus mis tackles forced
• 38:43
  per rush at twenty five point eight percent, their second in EPA per rush,
• 38:47
  and their second in total EPA. This dangerous passing attack with all this
• 38:52
  speed now has a legitimate pivot and complementary piece in the run game. With
• 38:58
  again, two speedy backs with most earn in eight chain a chain has good
• 39:00
  contact balance. Two That was I know. I mean, he's a speed
• 39:02
  merchant, so it's understandable. My favorite thing about him when watching his tape
• 39:07
  at A and M coming out was he was such a tough runner, and
• 39:09
  he had a couple he showed a couple of times. The one touchdown run
• 39:13
  early I think, the one that put Miami up fourteen nothing. He dips
• 39:15
  under I think Singleton and then carries Demari Mathis and drags another defender like over
• 39:21
  the line for the touchdown. Like he's tougher. And so you have all
• 39:24
  that, the speed, the agility, broken tackles and all this in the
• 39:28
  run game for Miami. We know what they do with the past game as
• 39:30
  well. But the Bills defense from a rush perspective, they're giving up four
• 39:34
  point seven yards after contact per rush this year. That is the most in
• 39:37
  the league. The Broncos are second at three point four. So they've got
• 39:42
  over like they got to basically have a one point three yard difference between them
• 39:45
  and whoever's in the second. With the Dolphins speed and how they create leverage
• 39:49
  in space, that's very much less than ideal. And if you take it
• 39:52
  back to the Week fifteen game in twenty twenty two, the night game in
• 39:54
  Buffalo that the Bills won thirty two twenty nine, the Dolphins ran for a
• 39:59
  one hundred eighty eight yards in that game, and the Bills run defense in
• 40:02
  that game allowed five point six yards after contact per rush, that was the
• 40:07
  most in the league that week. The Raiders were second at four point five,
• 40:10
  so again over another full yard difference. And then the Bills defense in
• 40:15
  that game twenty three point eight percent broken tackle plus mistackle force percentage in that
• 40:21
  game. Miami also in that game had a point three six EPA per rush
• 40:25
  that was the highest in the league for that week. And for reference,
• 40:28
  the Lions in twenty twenty two led the entire NFL in EPA per rush at
• 40:32
  point zero nine, so the Lions were the best rushing team on the year
• 40:36
  at point zero nine. Miami had a point three six rushing EPA per attempt
• 40:39
  in that which is unreal, Like that's if teams could do that regularly,
• 40:44
  they would run the ball on every snap. It's just nuts what they can
• 40:46
  do from a statistical standpoint. And then this is, you know, with
• 40:51
  a couple of pieces that you mentioned, I wanted to bring up some tape
• 40:57
  peer Okay, good, this one I won the show. So this first
• 41:00
  play actually, now I'm gonna leave with the second one. First, this
• 41:04
  second one and it ties into you know what you were talking about Miami's past
• 41:08
  play last year, that whole like seam wheel, flat seam wheel, slide
• 41:14
  route that like they got too out of almost any personnel, any formation,
• 41:17
  anything they try to do. Now they're starting to incorporate that piece in the
• 41:21
  run. And it also works in with that fast motion or that first motion
• 41:24
  from Hills. So I got Tyreek Hill circled right now and you'll see it
• 41:28
  on the play. And this also ties into Toronto Armstead getting out on the
• 41:30
  perimeter. You get some crack toss action here like you're talking about earlier.
• 41:36
  Look at all the space for most dirt, what he does, armsteads out
• 41:39
  there making plays boom. Okay, so you have a successful run. But
• 41:42
  my bigger piece with it is, like you talked about earlier, how it
• 41:45
  ties in with everything else they're doing and what it looks like. So if
• 41:49
  we let the play run and we stop it right here, this easily,
• 41:52
  this could be your wheel, this could be your seam and goal could be
• 41:57
  the slide route or the flat route easily like it ties in so well.
• 42:00
  So if you're the defense, you're feel Badford to Mary mathis there number twenty
• 42:06
  seven. He sees Hill moving, he is out. He's like, oh,
• 42:07
  here it goes. You have to respect that speed. You have to
• 42:10
  also respect again that pass concept, the seam wheel flat piece, because of
• 42:15
  how dangerous it's been, and this run could have easily turned into that.
• 42:19
  So now they are, like you talked about, instead of having Hill come
• 42:22
  from here and going all the way across field, now they're lining him up
• 42:27
  on that same side and using that burst motion or that fast motion. And
• 42:30
  now they're also tying in some of their run concepts into that dangerous pass concept
• 42:35
  piece, which is again even more of a problem. And then this other
• 42:37
  play that I have, This run to me was just nuts. So you
• 42:42
  have most starts out wide motions into the backfield, and then you've got two
• 42:47
  by two condensed. This is a chain right here. They bring Barrios in
• 42:53
  orbit motion, who becomes essentially a lead blocker. They have the run action
• 42:59
  to moster, and then they were on the end around a chain and there's
• 43:05
  just so much space and there's denver bodies everywhere, and look at a chains
• 43:08
  just jump in and breaking tackles and carrying guys, and this piece from the
• 43:14
  end zone angle like we talked about it, right, like the hesitation making
• 43:16
  you have to think, like watch the second level defenders, is everything's happening
• 43:20
  here. So they start to shift alrighty because they're like, okay, here
• 43:22
  comes some motion. And then you get a flash of color because they ran
• 43:27
  a puller right here. So now it's like, oh, let me stop
• 43:30
  because maybe this is coming back this way. Plus I see the running back.
• 43:35
  He stopped moving. He stopped moving. He stopped moving, which is
• 43:38
  now created leverage because you're getting out on the perimeter and now you've created angles
• 43:44
  geometry for your offense to get out and seal these guys and make plays.
• 43:49
  And then they just everybody's caught inside. You have everybody leading out in front.
• 43:54
  This is so funny here just bodies body leave them in the way.
• 43:59
  I think the funniest part about this play is right there, that's Connor Williams.
• 44:04
  He popped the wheel. All this play is done and it doesn't matter
• 44:09
  because Devin eighteen is thirty yards downfield if you rewind it back. I think
• 44:14
  there's something really important here with this Dolphins run game. Look at how light
• 44:17
  they're playing. The Broncos are playing up front. Look at how light.
• 44:22
  That is they're playing a little like two two eyes and two edges. They're
• 44:25
  they're playing naturally light because you're so worried about the past and in the motion,
• 44:30
  I think this one I'm most worried about with to Ron Johnson motioning in
• 44:35
  and out of the box. They're gonna run that polar play, They're gonna
• 44:38
  run that pole, and I want to see if they bump to Ron Johnson
• 44:42
  inside the box. It aren't they going to incorporate to Ron Johnson? Are
• 44:46
  they gonna force him to keep hitting these guards over and over? And as
• 44:51
  much as I love to Ron Johnson, that shit hurts me. Hitting a
• 44:55
  three hundred pound man forty times a game that hurts. So I wonder what
• 45:00
  the Bills will try and do to keep to Ron Johnson. Not to say
• 45:05
  he's a liability here, but you want him not thinking, you want him
• 45:08
  reacting naturally. I wonder what they do to keep him out of conflict in
• 45:13
  this run game, because, like you said, they throw so much eye
• 45:15
  candy at you. They throw so much like the first play. The first
• 45:21
  run play was so it was so well designed because like you said, and
• 45:24
  incorporates everything that they run and look if you go back to it, what
• 45:30
  they did is that is the outside corner. That's the boundary corner right there.
• 45:35
  One of the things I love for offenses to do is force the corners
• 45:37
  to tackle. Yes, I talked about it last week show. Like in
• 45:40
  theory, the corners are the worst tacklers on the team. Make them living.
• 45:45
  That's the Bills have been doing it the way they've been running. They
• 45:47
  ran more traditional gap scheme of pollers this past week. But against the Raiders,
• 45:52
  they hammered duo and they washed it down and they made Bennett and Marcus
• 45:55
  Peters have to tackle over and over and it didn't like so sorry, I
• 46:00
  got excited. They get paid to cover, they don't get paid to tackle.
• 46:05
  And one of the things I notice, how is super cool about it
• 46:07
  is you can tell the Broncos are so worried about this burst motion because they're
• 46:13
  just locking the barn mathis on Tyreek kill. They don't want to leave that
• 46:16
  little hook area open with the communication of passing the route off because now now
• 46:22
  with the run play, you have so much space with how why Tyreek Hill
• 46:28
  gets and now you have a corner out there on a full back or tackle
• 46:32
  and like I said, they get paid to cover. They do not get
• 46:35
  paid to take on blocks. And now you're off to the races. So
• 46:39
  that's how you manage. The space that the Dolphins create in the run game
• 46:45
  is going to be such a critical thing for this game. How you manage
• 46:50
  to close that space, make them work in tight confined areas that goes to
• 46:54
  a run and pass game. Flood the area, make them squeeze them in.
• 47:00
  I think the biggest thing for the Bills is try and force everything back
• 47:04
  inside. Force it to your numbers. If you let them get to the
• 47:07
  outside, they're gonna win that foot race. They've shown multiple times they have
• 47:12
  multiple dudes who are going to win that foot race. Yeah, that's so
• 47:15
  well said. Like and what really scared me, Like as if I'm trying
• 47:21
  to figure out how to stop Miami or at least like again like slow them
• 47:23
  down that whole piece, like we and it was no last year. The
• 47:28
  spacing and the leverage in the conflict, all of it was known in the
• 47:30
  past game. Now they've managed to do one in the run schematically, like
• 47:35
  they're creating space, Like just show two runs there. Look how much space
• 47:38
  a chain had on that end a round look how much space Mostard had on
• 47:43
  that first one I showed, and that that was consistent, especially on the
• 47:45
  edges. And now that Tron Armstead is, you know, hopefully healthy for
• 47:50
  Miami. If you're a Miami fan, boo, if you're a Bills fan,
• 47:52
  he's now like you said, like he's pulling that Trent Williams action where
• 47:57
  he's just out in space crushing linebackers and save season. Both of those clips.
• 48:00
  He's downfield just making plays and them working on the perimeter with these crack
• 48:06
  toss runs is terrifying for a defense because it's creating runways for two of,
• 48:12
  if not the fat two fastest running backs in the NFL with Mostarn and eight
• 48:15
  Chain, And again that was something that you had to live with from a
• 48:19
  passing perspective, like, oh, like look at the way he schemed up
• 48:22
  Hill and waddle Man. It's so great and working with TWA. Now they're
• 48:24
  doing it with the run game and you can get caught out now in the
• 48:28
  run just like you can get caught out in the past. And when you
• 48:30
  get caught out against Miami, it's not like, well, seven yards turned
• 48:36
  into fifteen. It's no, seven yards turned into seventy five and you're done,
• 48:38
  and it's a touchdown, and it's problematic, and it is very problematic.
• 48:43
  All right, your last point, last schematic piece. What do you
• 48:46
  got? My last point is kind of a mix of schematics and the overall
• 48:51
  message I think the Bills wanted to send with their off season moves. A
• 48:54
  last point, Ken Dorsey versus Vic Fangio. This is this is a proof
• 49:00
  of concept game for the Buffalo Bills offense. You go out and get Dolphin
• 49:05
  Kincaid in the first ground because you want to live in twelve personnel. You
• 49:07
  want to force teams to get into their base defense and force you to have
• 49:13
  to make the choice either you get bigger upfront and we hammer you in the
• 49:16
  run game, or you play light up front and we I mean, if
• 49:21
  you get bigger, upon bigger upfront, we isolate Kincaid on the underneath defenders.
• 49:27
  If you get lighter up front, we will hammer you in the run
• 49:29
  game. The Dolphins defense has been I think they've been highly rated early.
• 49:36
  I think their EPA per play among passing attempts. I think they're seventh in
• 49:39
  the NFL for SIS. But I haven't been super impressed with either side,
• 49:45
  either facet of the game defensively for them. I mean, of course,
• 49:49
  you look back to Week one, the Chargers ran for what felt like two
• 49:52
  hundred and seventy yards. I think they had one of the ten most efficient
• 49:55
  running games in the last decade. And then you go look at the Patriots
• 50:00
  game. Yeah, they were better in the run game, but Matt Jones
• 50:04
  played arguably his best game since his rookie year against that defense. So I
• 50:09
  think there's there's an avenue here for the Bills to be really really effective on
• 50:15
  the offensive side of the ball. I think, you know, they really
• 50:17
  miss Jalen Ramsey. I think adjusting to this Vic Fangio defense is a big
• 50:22
  thing that was kind of underrated throughout this offseason. They're going from a Flores
• 50:28
  like Bill Belichick like up front, that's gonna be huge. They're going from
• 50:32
  that style of defense to gap and a half gap control instead of gap in
• 50:37
  the trade so different. It's such a different world, such a different world.
• 50:40
  And now you're playing lighter up front, and now you're trying to bring
• 50:44
  again kind of like the Bills, they're bringing a nickel into that run fit
• 50:47
  into that conflict. I think there's an avenue here for what the Bills wanted
• 50:52
  to do in the off season, what they what they're trying to be.
• 50:57
  There's an avenue for this to be a proof of concept game, or Ken
• 51:00
  Dorsey to try and maximize the efficiency of Josh Allen, try and maximize Dalton
• 51:05
  kincaide against I don't think the linebackers for the Dolphins are that good in coverage.
• 51:10
  I think they've been kind of hit or miss, And like I said,
• 51:15
  Chargers had one of the most efficient rushing games ever against the Dolphins in
• 51:20
  Week one. So this is gonna be a huge game for Kim Dorsey and
• 51:24
  to kind of violence a little bit of the issues kind of the complaints that
• 51:30
  people have about him. I think he's been fine as a coordinator. But
• 51:35
  this is the game that you're really like, this is the proof of concept
• 51:37
  for this offense against this style of defense. This is this is the style
• 51:43
  of defense you tried to build yourself to beat. Now I love it,
• 51:47
  and so I'm just gonna build down it. It's very similar to my third
• 51:51
  point. So my third point is Josh Allen and Ken Dorsey versus Josh Allen
• 51:57
  slash mcfangio. So all I'll tie in with your ear first pieces. So
• 52:00
  I want to start with the run. You know, I mentioned earlier how
• 52:04
  good Miami's rush attack is, and I mentioned how their second in EPA per
• 52:07
  rush and second in total EPA. The reason their second is because the Bills
• 52:12
  are first in EPA per attempt on the ground and first in total EPA on
• 52:15
  the ground. This run game, with the revamp on the offensive line,
• 52:20
  Connor McGovern, oh, Cyrus Torrance, especially Torrance his size and his skill
• 52:24
  set, it added a downhill element to this running game. And that's what
• 52:28
  you are seeing. You are seeing again they are spamming duo because it works,
• 52:31
  and Cook is so good at reading that play side linebacker and understanding,
• 52:37
  Oh he you know, float or scraped a little too much. I'm banging
• 52:39
  it inside. Oh he stayed in. We washed it down. I'm one
• 52:43
  on one with a corner and I either have the speed advantage or the break
• 52:45
  tackle attempt advantage when Cook's contact balance has been much better this year than it
• 52:50
  was last year, and much better than it was at Georgia, which has
• 52:52
  been a nice piece. And so that run game has been legitimate. What
• 52:54
  they did against Washington, they started using you know, they started pulling a
• 52:59
  little bit more. Cyrus Torrens was working on the poll like they ran some
• 53:01
  gh counter which was nice. You already know mcgoverned with his athleticism can pull,
• 53:07
  Mitch Morse can get out in space. Spencer Brown, for as much
• 53:10
  maligned as he's been in past protection, is phenomenal as a run blocker and
• 53:15
  great on the move. Deon Dawkins is good on the move as well,
• 53:17
  So they can lean into that world they need to. That run game has
• 53:20
  been so important, and I think it's so important in this game for again
• 53:24
  all that piece, you know, Alan and Dorsey versus Fangio, but also
• 53:29
  against Josh Allen themselves himself. Allan and I spoke a lot about this after
• 53:34
  the Bills lost to the Jets, because I hammered it all towards the end
• 53:37
  of last year, and man, you said so many good points. I
• 53:38
  could talk like fifteen minutes on this. So much of what happened down the
• 53:43
  stretch of Bills last year, so much of it was getting laid at the
• 53:45
  feet of Ken Dorsey, and I was like, oh man, he's calling
• 53:47
  all these vertical routes and all these vertical concepts people were acting like every pass
• 53:52
  play was just four verts and it wasn't. It was Alan trying to take
• 53:55
  those because he wanted that he wanted to go for the throat. Some of
• 53:58
  it was also his elbow in the angles that he had to throw at.
• 54:00
  But you know, I had this conversation down the stretch last year and again
• 54:04
  after that Week one game. Josh Allen wants to maximize everything on every single
• 54:09
  play. It does not matter the game, the score, the situation,
• 54:14
  the point of the year, it does not matter. He wants to maximize
• 54:17
  everything on every single play. The same thing that exists in him that makes
• 54:22
  him force an unnecessary throw is the same thing that makes him leap over a
• 54:27
  linebacker or run through somebody. It is the yin and the yang of Josh
• 54:30
  Allen. Like that is who he is, and when things go sideways,
• 54:35
  he wants to maximize things even more. There is no all right, let
• 54:39
  me kind of reset and get after it. No, He's like, oh,
• 54:42
  I screwed up. I got to make up for it right away.
• 54:44
  If he makes a mistake, he wants to get it all back, and
• 54:46
  he wants to get it all back as quickly as possible, which can lead
• 54:51
  him down a path where he stacks mistakes on top of one another and it
• 54:54
  starts to snowball and what we've seen the past couple of weeks. Again,
• 54:59
  I like the game planned that Dorsey had in Week one. Also, I
• 55:01
  was critical of Dorsey last year in October and into November, but I thought
• 55:05
  he got better as the year went on. I liked what he did starting
• 55:07
  in this season in Week one. Again, a lot of that loss offensively
• 55:10
  was on Josh Allen, but what he did against the Raiders and against Washington,
• 55:15
  he started working more formations, alignments and concepts that made things easier for
• 55:21
  Allen to take what's given to him, a lot of it from just a
• 55:23
  basic level, starting to work in a variety of sale concepts, from a
• 55:28
  variety of personnel groups and formations. And because defenses are trying to keep everything
• 55:32
  in front of them and make Josh Allen live efficiently, the underneath the flat
• 55:37
  route was open every time, and Allen's dumping it down to Cook and he's
• 55:39
  got seven eight yards of space and he's turning into a twenty yard game because
• 55:44
  what he can do after the catch. So Dorsey started kind of baking those
• 55:47
  pieces in who knows. Maybe he also gave him a stern talking to you
• 55:51
  know, during the week and be like, you better hit this frigging route
• 55:52
  because you're killing us. But he started working in again formations, alignments and
• 55:57
  concepts that made things easier for Allen to take what's given to him, and
• 56:00
  that plus the success of the Bill's run game big time difference these past couple
• 56:05
  of weeks. Also a big time difference is not having to play the Jets
• 56:07
  defense, who is one of the best defenses in the NFL. Different point.
• 56:10
  Alan has to take what's given to him. He's still the trigger man
• 56:14
  in this offense. So he can take what's given to him like he did
• 56:16
  versus the Raiders and Commanders, or he can force the issue like he did
• 56:20
  versus the Jets. And as a defensive coordinator, Vic Fangio almost the godfather
• 56:24
  of this whole disguising coverage change in the pre to post snap picture single high
• 56:30
  versus two high shells and middle of the field open versus clothes match coverage.
• 56:35
  All these pieces also a big thing that I wanted to mention just in passing,
• 56:37
  I think everybody assumes Vic Fangio two high shell all he runs is two
• 56:40
  high coverages. Vic Fangio runs a lot more single high than you think he
• 56:44
  does, especially cover three, and they'll match it, and they'll do a
• 56:46
  good job with it. Taking what's given to you against the Vic Fangio defense
• 56:52
  becomes even more important, and so in a high stakes game earlier in the
• 56:55
  year versus a defense with talent that's still adjusting with a good defensive coordinator versus
• 57:01
  a player in Christian Wilkins who Josh Allen hates with a passion. There is
• 57:07
  opportunity in this game from a variety of standpoints for the emotion of everything to
• 57:13
  bring out the inefficiency in Josh Allen. So does Josh Allen police himself?
• 57:17
  Ken Dorsey? Ken, Ken Dorsey police Josh Allen out? Like who reigns
• 57:23
  in? Who is it schematic? Is it emotional? What does Vic Fangio
• 57:27
  do to try and bring out that hide to Josh Allen's doctor Jacko type of
• 57:31
  thing? Does Dorsey continue to curate these well developed game plans and concepts.
• 57:36
  There's so many variables that go into it, which makes it such a complicated
• 57:39
  piece. But I think it ties so well into your piece because it's Dorsey
• 57:43
  versus Fangio, but also like Josh Allen versus Josh Allen, it's also Fangio
• 57:46
  versus Josh Allen, Like there's so many layers and pieces of it and how
• 57:51
  it all coalesces, Like because Miami's game plan last year again, different system
• 57:55
  and scheme in that Week three game. I know the heat was a huge
• 57:59
  element, but that defense they tax the hell out of Josh Allen physically and
• 58:04
  mentally. They made him have to make every single play they were they were
• 58:08
  just showing pressure and bringing it, and then they would they would show like
• 58:12
  a seven man pressure and Javon Holland is like on the edge and on the
• 58:15
  snap he's dropping is the post safety and a cover three look like last year's
• 58:20
  Week three game was nuts. And so it's a different flavor with Fangio,
• 58:22
  but it can still stress you of putting in a different mindset. And when
• 58:25
  Allen gets stressed and he makes mistakes, he has unfortunately the capability to stack
• 58:30
  him and build him one on top of the other. So I think that's
• 58:31
  a great point, and I got excited with how much it tied into mind.
• 58:35
  Yeah, I mean I think I've put I think I put it on
• 58:37
  Twitter after Josh Allen through the inner the fourth I think the fourth a reception
• 58:43
  on the fourth turnover against the Jets, Josh Allen plays like Cheese from Foster's
• 58:46
  Home for Imaginary Friends, Like he's gonna he's gonna have the TV TV TV
• 58:51
  TV TV TV TV like he's gonna he's gonna have that mode to him the
• 58:55
  entire game. He's going to go, He's gonna go Cheese mode. Sometimes
• 59:00
  that's what that's the best thing about Josh Allen. Sometimes it works, sometimes
• 59:02
  it doesn't. It's kind of like in Naruto when Naruto leads off every fight
• 59:07
  with the sing gun. You don't have to do this, but when it
• 59:10
  hits, it looks great. When it doesn't, you're destroying an entire city,
• 59:15
  like you just have. You have to be able to maximize the efficiency
• 59:20
  of Josh Allen while still allowing Josh Allen to do the Josh Allen wax.
• 59:24
  And I think another way that they can do this is get Stefon Diggs working
• 59:30
  underneath. That's something they did a lot of in that Week three game.
• 59:34
  It wasn't only working underneath, but on the outside. It wasn't every play
• 59:37
  running thirty yards downfield it was stop routes, it was hitches. Try and
• 59:40
  get him working back into a rhythm. Try and if they're gonna force you
• 59:45
  to take what's being given, take take the six yard hitch, Take the
• 59:50
  stop route to Stefon Diggs, because eventually they're gonna start trying to come up.
• 59:53
  You keep battering them with that, and you start being efficient with that,
• 59:57
  then you can start to hit the We're saying gone. You know,
• 1:00:00
  you gotta hit him with a few punches first. You know, it's it's
• 1:00:04
  like boxing. You know you're not gonna lead off with the knockout punch.
• 1:00:07
  You gotta you gotta throw the jab, throw the jab a little bit,
• 1:00:10
  and then once they start leaning for the jab, then you hit him with
• 1:00:14
  the haymaker. So I think that's where Josh Allen has to be in this
• 1:00:17
  game. I wonder how much Dalton Kincaid working underneath. We're gonna see.
• 1:00:22
  One thing that I love watching during the preseason was how much they used him
• 1:00:27
  as kind of the broken off. Why he's in the slot instead of attached
• 1:00:30
  to the line of scrimmage, and then he's just running option routes. It's
• 1:00:34
  very much I don't want to call it Kelsey, but it's very Travis Kelsey
• 1:00:38
  ish. We say, we say it's like the Cole Beasley piece around here,
• 1:00:42
  but the Kelsey piece is fair. Yeah, he's that more that f
• 1:00:44
  guy and they'll hit him off, or that they'll move him and use him
• 1:00:46
  as like a just a bigger Cole Beasley or yeah that you know. Yeah,
• 1:00:50
  Travis Kelsey has expectations, but it's fair. Yeah, it's the it's
• 1:00:53
  that way that they're using it. You can tell the Bills have played the
• 1:00:57
  Chiefs a lot during the Josh Allen era because they're like, hey, let's
• 1:01:00
  go get a guy that moves like that to try and help Josh Allen out.
• 1:01:04
  So I think getting King Kaid involved underneath against these linebackers, against the
• 1:01:09
  nickel corners, finding the ways to break this defense underneath, combining that with
• 1:01:15
  the run game, then that'll allow you to hit the deep shots. You
• 1:01:20
  cannot just come in and immediately think haymaker, that's gonna cause turnovers, that's
• 1:01:24
  going to force That's exactly how Vic Fangio wants you to play. They wants
• 1:01:30
  you to come in thinking with the pressure of oh, they're gonna try and
• 1:01:34
  take everything away underneath I gotta try and go get it now, because they're
• 1:01:37
  just gonna try and constrict you closer and closer as as the game gets tighter
• 1:01:42
  and tighter. They did that to Justin Herbert at the end of the game.
• 1:01:45
  They kept constricting the passing game. They kept constricting until Boom simulated pressure
• 1:01:50
  and Katerko who is running free at your quarterback. So I think Josh Allen
• 1:01:55
  has to be able to temper the cheese brain Josh Ellen with the uber efficient
• 1:02:01
  buzz saw Josh Ellen that we have seen he can be. Yeah, it's
• 1:02:06
  it's it's so hard to like live in the light and the dark, Like
• 1:02:08
  he's this unicorner and this alien whatever you want to, you know, label
• 1:02:13
  him as this, as so many people do. And he makes these plays
• 1:02:15
  that are just leave you an awe. And then he makes other plays that
• 1:02:19
  leave you an awe because they're awful. Like it's just both and you have
• 1:02:22
  to figure out, I love it, like how to balance it and how
• 1:02:24
  to temper it, and you know, it's it's one last piece on it,
• 1:02:29
  like the Fangio defense, the whole idea of it. Philosophically, we're
• 1:02:32
  gonna there's many philosophical pieces, but the idea, like it's trying to limit
• 1:02:37
  explosives, like even the whole gap and half piece, and like how that
• 1:02:39
  tied in with Staley, who's a Fangio tree guy, like going to that
• 1:02:43
  tight front and what he did there. The whole idea is just limiting explosives
• 1:02:45
  and trying to slow things out or string things out so your help can come,
• 1:02:51
  so you can rally, you can tackle, you can force things to
• 1:02:52
  a choke point, you can kill and go from there. Fangio like wants
• 1:02:57
  to keep everything in front of him and limit him and limit quarterbacks in general,
• 1:03:00
  even more so like quarterbacks that that system was developed to stop, like
• 1:03:04
  Alan and Mahomes and all these guys that could push the ball vertically. And
• 1:03:07
  Josh McDaniels had a really great point. I sat on the show last week
• 1:03:10
  at halftime of Bill's Raiders game. The reporter for that game she spoke McDaniels
• 1:03:15
  and she came out and McDaniels said, you know, I'm paraphrasing, but
• 1:03:21
  they wanted to see if Josh Allen would be efficient. They wanted to make
• 1:03:23
  him live efficiently, and he was, so now we got to change our
• 1:03:27
  game plan you're just going to continue to see that from coordinators and defenses in
• 1:03:30
  general, let alone a coordinator like Fangio, who kind of founded this system
• 1:03:36
  of keep everything in front of it, in front of you, forced it
• 1:03:38
  to certain points constrict, constrict, constrict. And that's an excellent point of
• 1:03:42
  what happened in that Charters game because you'll see the total stats and think like
• 1:03:45
  this Dolphins defense sucks. But as that game went on, things changed a
• 1:03:50
  little bit. And granted it was not a good overall performance, but when
• 1:03:52
  they needed to the most, they constricted everything, the passing windows, the
• 1:03:55
  route tree, the route distribution. And it can start that way in a
• 1:04:00
  hurry if you are not efficient, if you don't take what's given you and
• 1:04:02
  you a sale concept is a great idea or a great microcosm of what you're
• 1:04:06
  saying. If you take that flat route enough times, eventually they're going to
• 1:04:10
  honor it, and then the sail route becomes available, and that's when you
• 1:04:13
  gouge them for fifteen or twenty or twenty five, or if you hit the
• 1:04:15
  vertical if you want. But yeah, you can't just you know, old
• 1:04:18
  Al Davis Raiders style and just gun it. One hundred miles an hour.
• 1:04:21
  We're chucking vertical balls like every single play like it's not sustainable in this way.
• 1:04:27
  And then on top of that, playing against the Dolphins, the worst
• 1:04:30
  thing you can do offensively is have a one minute and five second drive or
• 1:04:35
  go three and out, and now you're handing the ball back to two because
• 1:04:38
  this Dolphins offense is in a similar mode of what the Chiefs offense was several
• 1:04:42
  years ago, where it was you don't want to give that ball back to
• 1:04:44
  Patrick Mahomes. That's why the Ravens were such a great foil for the Chiefs,
• 1:04:47
  one because they had this unicorn running game, but two it would ground
• 1:04:51
  up that clock and Mahomes is just sitting there on the sidelines, Twitter on
• 1:04:55
  its stumps. So if Alan is inefficient, not only are you not succeeding
• 1:04:59
  and not scoring and not moving the ball, you're turning it over. You're
• 1:05:01
  giving it back to Tua and that defense or that offense. And then you're
• 1:05:05
  also tiring out your own defense. You has to run around the field at
• 1:05:09
  one hundred miles an hour trying to cover everybody. Oh it just everything stacks
• 1:05:13
  and ties in and weaves into everything. JP I kept you longer than I
• 1:05:16
  said, so I sincerely apologize. Well, it's good, it's good.
• 1:05:19
  I was just thinking about another another point that was saying Allen like, I
• 1:05:25
  think it's kind of I kind of joked about it last year. You can
• 1:05:28
  tell when the Bills thought this was a big game or an important game based
• 1:05:31
  on how many times they design quarterback runs for Josh Allen. I wonder how
• 1:05:35
  much we're going to see design quarterback run Josh Allen on Sunday. I think
• 1:05:41
  the offense is kind of mature to the point where they don't have to lead
• 1:05:44
  on Josh Allen running the ball in the fifteen times a game. But I
• 1:05:47
  wonder if they kind of mix it in to keep the defense honest and kind
• 1:05:50
  of remind them like, yeah, this guy is an Ostrich running with the
• 1:05:55
  football. You don't you don't want to try and tackle him. But I
• 1:05:59
  wonder how much they temper that with. You know, Josh Allen can sometimes
• 1:06:02
  go cheese brain where if you let him kind of hold onto the ball a
• 1:06:06
  lot. That's basically what happened last year in Week three. Josh Allen tried
• 1:06:11
  to do far too much. He had to do far too much in Week
• 1:06:15
  three and you could tell he was forcing the issue. I wonder how they
• 1:06:18
  temper giving him the ball in the QB Run game to kind of keep the
• 1:06:23
  Dolphins defense honest while also not letting him think he has to do everything to
• 1:06:28
  keep this team in the game. I love that point that that Allen run
• 1:06:31
  game piece has always been kind of like the break glass in case of emergency
• 1:06:36
  type aspect. So yeah, you know, like when they're going into it,
• 1:06:39
  it's usually it's either a big game or it's a playoff time, like
• 1:06:42
  ironically, like he usually does it a lot against the Chiefs, did it
• 1:06:45
  a ton in that second half of the Bucks game a couple of years ago
• 1:06:46
  when they needed to make a comeback, and it was like, let's lean
• 1:06:48
  into this piece. And but again with that comes the risk part of the
• 1:06:55
  risk reward because it's like, okay, like let's start doing this. Is
• 1:06:58
  he going to try to hop over some buddy when he shouldn't. Is he
• 1:07:00
  going to try and run through somebody when he shouldn't, Like even just the
• 1:07:03
  little one the Jets one that got me that really killed me was he had
• 1:07:08
  the first down and all he had to like he's got it already, Like
• 1:07:11
  it's not even close, and he's surrounded by like three Jets defenders and instead
• 1:07:14
  of just like stepping on a balance, he tries to drop the shoulder and
• 1:07:16
  he gets wrecked. And it's that No, that's that's bad. Like you
• 1:07:19
  don't need that. If it's third and eleven and you're at the nine or
• 1:07:24
  the ten yards spot, cool, you got to go through somebody to get
• 1:07:27
  that first down. But if you've already got it, chill a little.
• 1:07:30
  But he doesn't, like he goes cheese brain like you said, and it's
• 1:07:32
  just and but that's also what makes him great, Like it's the reason he
• 1:07:35
  can do so many things. But how does he temperate and how does he
• 1:07:40
  match it? Because again, like this is a game where if you're off
• 1:07:44
  on the other side of the ball, the Dolphins are stacking up points,
• 1:07:46
  you're making mistakes. That also contributes to the yin and yang of Josh Hallen
• 1:07:50
  because if two in Miami are succeeding on offense and they're putting up points and
• 1:07:55
  he makes a couple of mistakes and the bills go down, I don't know,
• 1:07:59
  like fourteen nothing or seventeen nothing or something like that, then he presses
• 1:08:02
  even more, he's looking at the score, he's thinking of his own mistakes
• 1:08:05
  and what's happening, and he's like, all right, I gotta get it
• 1:08:08
  all back. I gotta get it all back now. And then you just,
• 1:08:10
  yeah, you get into this cycle where you're chasing your tail and stacking
• 1:08:15
  negativity on top of negativity, and oh man, this this game has so
• 1:08:18
  many fun pieces of fun layers. Bro, there's on both sides of the
• 1:08:24
  balling. We honestly like we focused a lot on the Dolphins offense or what
• 1:08:27
  they're doing, and rightfully so, because they're so schematically strong, and then
• 1:08:30
  that matchup versus the Bill's defense, who was looking schematically strong this year as
• 1:08:33
  well. But we really could have just shifted the focus to the other side
• 1:08:36
  of the ball too, Like there's there's so much from a coordinator standpoint,
• 1:08:41
  an individual players standpoint, and then yeah, the xus nos and schematics of
• 1:08:45
  all that, even just from a coach standpoint too. You know, we
• 1:08:46
  talked about Dorsey vers Fangio flipping on the other side too, like McDaniel versus
• 1:08:49
  Sean McDermott. Like Sean McDermot, who's been one of legitimately one of the
• 1:08:54
  most successful defensive coordinators for the last I don't know, like fifteen sixteen years
• 1:08:57
  when he's actually been at DC from his time Philly and then time in Carolina,
• 1:09:02
  like everything he's learned and what he's done, him going up against one
• 1:09:05
  of the best play callers and designers in McDaniel and that being their real first
• 1:09:10
  matchup against one another, because you know, with McDermott running the defense,
• 1:09:14
  like so many storylines and so many layers and so many pieces, and man
• 1:09:17
  like you crushed it on this episode. Is I hope you would I again
• 1:09:21
  apologize or keeping you longer than I said, I lied. This is great.
• 1:09:25
  This is awesome. I get chills talking about football, just talking football
• 1:09:30
  for a long time. This is awesome. I enjoyed it so much.
• 1:09:32
  That's great. I'm glad you got a good time. You again, you
• 1:09:34
  crushed it as I hoped you would and as I knew you would. Like
• 1:09:38
  again, I've been following your content for a while and you're absolutely tremendous.
• 1:09:41
  Then you've delivered as as I knew you would and I knew you were capable
• 1:09:44
  of. Just in case people don't know who you are what you do.
• 1:09:47
  The floor is yours for those watching and playing at home. We're going to
• 1:09:49
  continue to trudge on. We're gonna look at some tape from last week,
• 1:09:53
  do some stock up, stock down. But JP, right now the floor
• 1:09:56
  is yours. Tell everybody who you are, what you do where they can
• 1:09:59
  find you. You're tremendous and everybody should be following you and checking out your
• 1:10:01
  work. Yep, I am a NFL college football NFL Draft. Basically,
• 1:10:06
  wherever there's football being played, you can probably finally tweeting about it or talking
• 1:10:11
  about it at Espnation. Follow me on Twitter at a cost of thirty two
• 1:10:15
  underscore JP. My biggest thing is I have the column Established the Fun every
• 1:10:18
  Friday, where I take things that I see around football at any level and
• 1:10:23
  I just if they're fun, I write about it because football in the day
• 1:10:26
  is very fun and I like to try and have fun with it. And
• 1:10:29
  that's what that's what I enjoy. Football is fun and I like to establish
• 1:10:31
  that. So keep following along. There's a Twitter right there, follow my
• 1:10:36
  work at espnation and see where we're going. Yeah, you absolutely again,
• 1:10:41
  you do tremendous work. I love Established the Fun. I also like all
• 1:10:43
  like the random articles in the offseason of like which anime character, Like are
• 1:10:46
  each of these quarterbacks and all these different pieces like you just do so much
• 1:10:49
  good work combining all those things. So again, everybody, give JP a
• 1:10:53
  follow. He's great again anything college football, base, NFL base like.
• 1:10:57
  He's somebody who you can learn from and understand more about the game from a
• 1:11:01
  holistic like league wide perspective, XS and O scheme and all that stuff.
• 1:11:05
  JP. I appreciate the hell idea. Thank you for riding with me.
• 1:11:09
  I'll see you over on Twitter and on the interwebs. Have a good rest
• 1:11:12
  of your night. And again I appreciate the hollidea. Thank you so much,
• 1:11:14
  no problem, thank you for having me later. Bro. So yeah,
• 1:11:18
  absolutely tremendous guest. JP was fantastic. I appreciate you folks being so
• 1:11:24
  kind in your praise of him and the chat. Again, we're going to
• 1:11:28
  continue to go through here when I talk about some bills stuff, having a
• 1:11:33
  stock up stock down conversation going out of week three, And again, give
• 1:11:40
  JP a follow, sincerely, He's not just you know, it doesn't even
• 1:11:42
  just focus on one team. He covers league wide, four the entire RNFL.
• 1:11:46
  He's tweeting stuff on college on Saturdays, you know, breaking down college
• 1:11:50
  ball. He's a great followed during draft time, Like I think that's where
• 1:11:56
  I first started following him. We really started to click during draft time,
• 1:12:00
  like prospect breakdowns and evaluations. So again, he's one of the good ones.
• 1:12:02
  Give him a follow over there on the old Twitter. I think if
• 1:12:05
  for being so kind to him in the chat, We're going to trudge on
• 1:12:10
  here as we go forward, So questions, thoughts, comments, concerns start
• 1:12:14
  to funnel them into the chat. I know I've been keeping track of several
• 1:12:16
  as I could, but I don't like to get too off track when I
• 1:12:19
  have the guests on. But anything, questions, thoughts, comments, concerns,
• 1:12:21
  philosophies, ideologies, maxims, anything and everything bring it into the chat.
• 1:12:27
  Now. Try to bring up as many things as I can as we
• 1:12:29
  talk about stock up and stock down after week three. While your folks are
• 1:12:31
  potentially doing that, I'm going to plug the sponsor Onepie Pizza, the best
• 1:12:34
  pizza in Buffalo, New York. Delicious sweet sauce pie cup and jar Pepperoni,
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  a tremendous cheese the sauce Ratio. They make their own homemade blue cheese.
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  One of the favorite things are my favorite things about them, as I
• 1:12:47
  mentioned all the time, and I'm not just saying it, like how kind
• 1:12:49
  they are as people, all the different initiatives and drives that they do for
• 1:12:54
  the community, partnering with Roswell, Toys for Tots, the SPCA, the
• 1:12:57
  Alzheimer's Foundation, they just give in a lot of ways and in a multitude
• 1:13:00
  of ways. I also speak individually. You know, I had some stuff
• 1:13:03
  that I was dealing with over the summer and they were just not from like
• 1:13:08
  a business relationship standpoint, just from a person to person standpoint, tremendously kind
• 1:13:11
  and gracious and helpful to me and my family. So they're good people making
• 1:13:15
  great food. Go get yourself from One Pipe Pizza. The online men you
• 1:13:18
  can be found in the episode show notes, whether here on YouTube or any
• 1:13:24
  of podcasting apps or platforms you're listening to or watching this show on. If
• 1:13:28
  you haven't already and you're still here, watching live or watching later, please
• 1:13:31
  please please and think you drop a lic on this video likes go a sincerely
• 1:13:34
  long way toward telling myself in the entire team to track and trend in front
• 1:13:38
  of more eyes and ears. So, if you haven't already please, please,
• 1:13:40
  please, and thank you drop a like in this video. It helps
• 1:13:42
  promote the channel and the episode puts it to the front page. YouTube affects
• 1:13:46
  all the algorithms, so on and so forth. So if you haven't already,
• 1:13:49
  please and thank you drop a like on this video. It is greatly
• 1:13:53
  appreciated. Now let's talk about some stock up. We're gonna talk stock up
• 1:13:58
  from a film stand point. First. This Bill's game against the Commanders.
• 1:14:02
  There's a lot to choose from from a stock up perspective. They man,
• 1:14:06
  they really had a strong performance offensively and defensively, especially defensively obviously only given
• 1:14:13
  up three points. Really was a shutout. They gave up three points at
• 1:14:15
  the end when the backs were in there. Ron River kicked that field goal,
• 1:14:17
  which you know, to each their own didn't want to get shut out.
• 1:14:19
  Put three points up on the board, Go ahead, do you?
• 1:14:23
  That is fine? But I wanted to lean into some pieces on the defensive
• 1:14:27
  side of the ball. Myself and Eric Turner are gonna be doing the cover
• 1:14:30
  one Film Room tomorrow, Wednesday, September twenty seven, live at seven pm
• 1:14:33
  Eastern. We're we're gonna have a full comprehensive breakdown of anything and everything you
• 1:14:38
  need to know from Bill's commanders. But I wanted to dive into some pieces
• 1:14:42
  now, and so I'm going to share my screen so we can take a
• 1:14:47
  peek at some of these pieces from Bills and Commanders. So the first piece
• 1:14:54
  I wanted to bring up to Row Bernard, somebody who you know that that
• 1:15:00
  a linebacker position was I think one of heavy conversation going into this year,
• 1:15:04
  especially with what things looked like in the preseason. Bernard got hurt and like,
• 1:15:09
  Okay, Dodson was going to get a bigger opportunity. Dodson did not
• 1:15:11
  come through, kind of ironically played himself out of a starting opportunity, is
• 1:15:15
  how it looked from the outside. The Bill's draft Orion Williams. They spent
• 1:15:18
  another you know, Day two pick on a linebacker like they did the previous
• 1:15:21
  year with Terrell Bernard. Then they signed Christian Kirksey A J. Klein is
• 1:15:26
  still in the mix, like they have Babylon specters. You have all these
• 1:15:30
  things, and it's just kind of like, Okay, who are they going
• 1:15:32
  to lean into? What did they lean into? My big thing was,
• 1:15:35
  you know, how does it tie into the coverage as they play because what
• 1:15:39
  they asked of Tremaine Edmonds is hard to ask of other linebackers. But we've
• 1:15:42
  seen several strong flashes from Terrell Bernard early in the year. It obviously a
• 1:15:46
  tremendous game against Washington. We're gonna look at this first play here in this
• 1:15:50
  first piece, second and eighteen. This is a run defense snap for Terrel
• 1:15:58
  Bernard and one of my favorite things for him. Actually, i'll go back.
• 1:16:01
  I'm gonna let a play in real time as I talk over here,
• 1:16:03
  but here is Terrol Bernard right here next to Mamolano. One of my favorite
• 1:16:08
  things from Arrol Bernard was, you know, coming out of college, was
• 1:16:12
  how he comes forward, especially as a blitzer. He's not, you know,
• 1:16:15
  necessarily a blitzer here, but the way he comes forward, he comes
• 1:16:16
  forward like a heat seeking missile, and he can get to the quarterback,
• 1:16:21
  he can shoot gaps and get into the backfield, or if he gets encountered
• 1:16:26
  by a blocker, he can detonate on that blocker. He does it here
• 1:16:29
  against Cole Turner, the tight end for Washington, and again this is something
• 1:16:32
  that tracked on tape for him going back to his time at Baylor, and
• 1:16:38
  it's a tight end in this instance, but it could be a pulling guard,
• 1:16:41
  it could be a tackle, it could be a center, it could
• 1:16:43
  be a bigger tight end, a six offensive lineman, a fullback. Whoever,
• 1:16:46
  when he comes forward and he is fitting the run, he comes forward
• 1:16:50
  with bad intentions, literally a heat seeking missile. And it's a lot to
• 1:16:54
  you know, say that because he's only around like two hundred and twenty two
• 1:16:56
  hundred and twenty three pounds. He is not a big guy. He's more
• 1:16:59
  like a bigger bodied safety than he has a traditional NFL linebacker. But when
• 1:17:02
  he comes forward, it is a problem because of the physicality he comes forward
• 1:17:08
  with. And this is a nice piece here, so again got him circled
• 1:17:11
  here right here in the middle of the field. And it's nothing crazy,
• 1:17:15
  just first of all, the priest NEP communication pieces. We're seeing a little
• 1:17:17
  you're seeing a little glimpse of it here on this one. But he's calling
• 1:17:20
  out, he's given direction watch the play, so we get the insert here
• 1:17:25
  from the tight end comes forward, he sees the flash, watch him just
• 1:17:29
  drop the shoulder. Bang finishes the tight end Mortal Kombat style finishes him,
• 1:17:33
  takes him down to the ground, and then he didn't really get to see
• 1:17:38
  the mesh point on this, so he doesn't know who has the ball.
• 1:17:40
  So he goes and he looks the Gibson, but Gibson doesn't have the ball,
• 1:17:44
  so he's like, okay, Howell still has it. So then he
• 1:17:45
  gets his eyes back onto Sam Howell. We keep going in SlowMo. He
• 1:17:49
  finds his way through the trash. Epanessa makes a play, spins Howell around.
• 1:17:55
  Bernard finishes, just a physical, heady play. It's good processing,
• 1:18:00
  it's good physicality. It's nice to see. And again this is the type
• 1:18:05
  of action you need to see when you are playing. We're talking about from
• 1:18:09
  a structure standpoint. Here what the Bills have here. This is the light
• 1:18:13
  box one two, three, four five six four down lineman and then you
• 1:18:17
  got Bernard and you got Milano. So you have a six man box that
• 1:18:20
  is a light box. And this is a six man box against five offensive
• 1:18:27
  linemen and then the tight end. So it's six on six, which is
• 1:18:30
  an even numbers perspective. That's advantage offense because you always have one more gap
• 1:18:34
  than you do blockers. So if there's six blockers like there are here in
• 1:18:39
  the box, five offensive lineman plus the tight end. That means there's seven
• 1:18:42
  gaps. Again, the Bills only have six in the box, so they
• 1:18:45
  have six defenders for seven potential gaps. That means somebody has to steal a
• 1:18:49
  gap, somebody has to squeeze a gap down. One of the safeties from
• 1:18:53
  depth have to come and fill. There's got to be some adjustment that you
• 1:18:56
  have to make. You know, with JP at a great point earlier.
• 1:18:59
  You know from a pass game perspective, how it's about geometry and spacing and
• 1:19:01
  angles and all this. The run game perspective is about that as well,
• 1:19:05
  but it's more I don't know what mad what section of math is pure numbers
• 1:19:12
  based algebra. But you know, if you think, if you think of
• 1:19:15
  you know, the past game is like spacing in geometry. The run game
• 1:19:20
  is just basic mathematics. It's just basic numbers. It's just that piece there.
• 1:19:24
  And this is a really good job. Again, there's nothing really to
• 1:19:26
  go too much into, just it's a great play by Trurotte Bernard. He
• 1:19:30
  comes in, he fits, he blows up the tight end, checks the
• 1:19:31
  running back, sees he doesn't have the ball, and then makes the play
• 1:19:35
  on Sam. How again, break it down and SlowMo. Here he comes
• 1:19:40
  keys bang, blows up the tight end, immediately gets his eyes onto Antonio
• 1:19:45
  Gibson because he thinks, okay, does he have the ball? Cool?
• 1:19:48
  Let me look eyes on Gibson. No, he doesn't have the ball.
• 1:19:53
  Cool eyes back on Howell. He's got the ball. Fine ball, get
• 1:19:57
  ball, go hunt. Good play, Good play from to Rol Bernard.
• 1:20:01
  Again, physical play. This is something that is really tremendously helpful in this
• 1:20:06
  defense. Another play we're going to go to from mister Terrell Barnad. This
• 1:20:15
  play was called back for holding, so it technically doesn't count. You see
• 1:20:20
  the hold right here from Jordan Phillips. That's what keeps to Roll Bernard free.
• 1:20:25
  But the bigger thing that I wanted to highlight with this play. Watch,
• 1:20:29
  here's to Rol Bernard. Watch all the pre snap communication. So so
• 1:20:32
  much of the conversation for linebacker this offseason has been you know, could whoever
• 1:20:39
  is the starting middle linebacker? Can they wear that green dot like Tremaine Edmonds
• 1:20:42
  did? Can they call the defense? Can they communicate? Can they get
• 1:20:45
  everybody aligned? Can they make the adjustments pre snap? Can they give direction?
• 1:20:48
  You know, how does their processing ability pre and post snap really function
• 1:20:53
  because that's such it's such an important piece of the job. That was actually
• 1:20:57
  the biggest thing that made me think to Roll Bernard should be the starting linebacker
• 1:21:00
  coming into this year, and which made me think he would also win the
• 1:21:02
  job. I mentioned it earlier with JP. He's a tremendous processor. He's
• 1:21:06
  very heady. It was talked about last year during camp by Leslie Fraser and
• 1:21:11
  Sean McDermott about how he's a chalkboard to grass or whiteboard to grass kind of
• 1:21:15
  guy, which means you show him something on the whiteboard, he learns it,
• 1:21:16
  he goes out to the practice field and he applies it. He's very
• 1:21:19
  smart. He's a great processor. He's very strong from the neck up.
• 1:21:24
  And again here he is Rol Bernard. Just watch watch all the communication on
• 1:21:29
  this play. Again here he is. We're gonna get some motion, We're
• 1:21:33
  gona get some action from Washington. Just watch all the communication. He's calling
• 1:21:36
  it out. He's calling out the run, he's calling it out, he's
• 1:21:40
  directing, he's dictating, he's literally calling what's going to happen on this play.
• 1:21:44
  He's calling it out, he recognizes it, and then the play happens.
• 1:21:45
  Bank fine Ball get ball again, play doesn't count. You see the
• 1:21:50
  flag there that gets thrown it At the end, Jordan Phillips gets called for
• 1:21:53
  holding. It's part of the reason what keeps Bernard clean on this play.
• 1:21:58
  But again from this angle, let's go back. Here's mister Terrell Bernard.
• 1:22:02
  Just watch all the calling out, given direction, given direction. Now he's
• 1:22:10
  talking Milano, he's literally like, he's literally calling out the play. He's
• 1:22:13
  telling him like where it's gonna go, what's gonna happen, what needs to
• 1:22:15
  be done. And again they have another light box hide is potentially threatening up
• 1:22:18
  here, so you have a potential seventh defender coming in the box. But
• 1:22:21
  right now this is basically a six man box maybe six and a half,
• 1:22:24
  depend on how you want to look at it or quantify it. But Bernard's
• 1:22:27
  calling it out, he's giving direction, he's given communication. And then also
• 1:22:30
  what's nice on this piece I know again Jordan Phillips here he holds the garden
• 1:22:34
  the tackle, which is what keeps Bernard clean. But watch how Bernard dips
• 1:22:39
  as he fits here on the run. Watch how that little bend, just
• 1:22:43
  that slight changes his surface area so he doesn't he doesn't get the hand on
• 1:22:47
  him on his shoulder pad and it doesn't change his direction. He just dips
• 1:22:50
  a little bit, changes his surface areas, changes his surface area. I
• 1:22:54
  should say, sorry, fits makes a play again. This didn't call him.
• 1:22:59
  This didn't you know? Count was called back as the hold. But
• 1:23:02
  everything pre snap still counts. This is this is the leadership you want to
• 1:23:06
  see. This is the play recognition, This is the tape study, this
• 1:23:11
  is understanding the game. This is a huge piece. Right, So much
• 1:23:15
  of playing fast in the NFL isn't necessarily about being the fastest player. It's
• 1:23:21
  how you can process. Right. We talked about it earlier with JP.
• 1:23:25
  Right, what Miami's offense does. That's so one of the many things they
• 1:23:28
  do that's really tremendous is they make defenses have to think. They make defenses
• 1:23:30
  have to process pre snap and then post snap. And when you're thinking that
• 1:23:34
  much, when you are trying to process that much, you're not playing fast
• 1:23:39
  because you have to think think about it, right, Like, if you're
• 1:23:41
  just doing your job, if you have to think about what you're doing,
• 1:23:44
  you're moving slower. Then if it's just you know, kind of muscle memory,
• 1:23:47
  and if it's just reading and reacting and you're making things happen. It's
• 1:23:50
  a different kind of piece, right, And Bernard is able to play so
• 1:23:54
  fast because he's a good processor, he's got good play recognition, he's a
• 1:23:59
  smart do when it comes to the schematics of the game, and he had
• 1:24:01
  a very very, very very strong game against Washington. Eric did a really
• 1:24:05
  great breakdown, fully in depth for mister Terrell Bernard. So I didn't want
• 1:24:09
  to dive into too much of it because it was already existing on the channel,
• 1:24:12
  but I wanted to highlight those two plays in two pieces because again I
• 1:24:15
  wanted to speak on him a little bit because he had a very tremendous day
• 1:24:18
  and a very tremendous game. Another piece that I want to go into here
• 1:24:23
  is creeper pressure for the Buffalo bill So talked about it earlier with JP Sean
• 1:24:29
  McDermott, leaning into different pressure looks and pressure packages. Again, the Bills
• 1:24:32
  are not a heavy blitz team. They are a four man rush team.
• 1:24:35
  But what you can do just because you're a four man rush team doesn't necessarily
• 1:24:40
  mean you only have to rush these four players. That doesn't necessarily mean that
• 1:24:45
  you can bring a simulated pressure or a creeper pressure. Here the Bills bring
• 1:24:49
  a creeper pressure and a creeper For those who don't know, a creeper pressure
• 1:24:54
  is a four man rush where one of the four rushers is a non traditional
• 1:24:59
  rusher, and then you are dropping a traditional rusher into coverage. So the
• 1:25:01
  easiest way to think about it is a creeper pressure would be you are bringing
• 1:25:06
  one of these linebackers or a defensive back, and you are dropping one of
• 1:25:12
  your defensive linemen into coverage. It's the same thing as a simulated pressure,
• 1:25:15
  except a creeper pressure does not show pressure before the snap. So if you
• 1:25:21
  watch Matt Milano on this play, you know he's kind of hanging out,
• 1:25:26
  and as the snap happens, he gets closer and he blitzes. That's what
• 1:25:29
  makes it a creeper pressure. In conjunction with Leonard Floyd dropping out into coverage,
• 1:25:33
  it would be a simulated pressure. If Matt Milano was lined up right
• 1:25:36
  here in the a gap or head up on the center, and then on
• 1:25:40
  the snap Floyd dropped out, that would make it a simulated pressure. But
• 1:25:44
  because Milano is not showing pressure pre snap, it's a creeper pressure. What's
• 1:25:47
  nice about this is, you know, it falls into like kind of the
• 1:25:51
  Blitz family because of the non traditional rusher, but you're still only rushing four,
• 1:25:57
  so you get to drop seven into coverage. You still have the coverage
• 1:26:00
  numbers advantage. Now granted one of those coverage players as a defensive lineman where
• 1:26:03
  coverage probably is not their strong suit. So that's a bit of a hit
• 1:26:08
  from a coverage perspective. But when you bring a creeper or a simulated pressure,
• 1:26:13
  you can dictate protection depending on what you do. You can create one
• 1:26:17
  on one or advantageous matchups. You can force the offense to keep a running
• 1:26:20
  back or a tight end into block even though they don't need you. We
• 1:26:24
  talked about it in last week's episode of Disguise Coverage when we did stock up,
• 1:26:27
  stock down and the pressure packages that McDermott was sending and it looks that
• 1:26:30
  he was changing post snap. We showed how he made the Raiders on multiple
• 1:26:34
  snaps keep in they're running back in their tight end for a seven man protection
• 1:26:41
  because they thought the Bills were showing because the Bills showed heavy pressure. But
• 1:26:44
  then the Bills dropped out of it and only rushed a traditional four after the
• 1:26:47
  snap, So the Raiders kept in seven to only block four for the Bills,
• 1:26:51
  and the Bills had the big time coverage numbers advantage. That's a nice
• 1:26:55
  piece for the defense. So there's many advantageous reasons why you would run.
• 1:26:59
  A creeper run is simulated in this instance. We see again Matt Milano's starting
• 1:27:03
  to creep a little bit. Milano takes off, and what's nice about this
• 1:27:10
  is again, right, so the offensive line, they're honoring these four thinking
• 1:27:15
  those are going to be there force. So watch the right side of the
• 1:27:16
  offensive line here. Okay, so they're scanning, they're sliding. Basically,
• 1:27:23
  Ed Oliver is occupying these two. So that's kind of a waste. And
• 1:27:26
  then what's happening on the back end Because the back is releasing and where the
• 1:27:30
  center is a line, Rousseau goes inside. It creates a free runner here
• 1:27:36
  because now this left tackle has to pick between Milano or Epinessa. He picks
• 1:27:40
  Milano because he's going to pick the closest guy to the quarterbacks. So Epinessa
• 1:27:43
  comes free and that leads to Sam Howell rush on this throw. He throws
• 1:27:48
  it inside and it gets intercepted. So again a good schematic piece. With
• 1:27:53
  this creeper pressure, you get a free rusher right off the edge. It
• 1:27:55
  heats up the quarterback, Michael Hide makes a play on the ball. What's
• 1:27:59
  also nice about how Watch how Hide immediately makes a bee line for this running
• 1:28:02
  back. Gibson runs this route and kind of bends it to the point where
• 1:28:08
  Hide knows he's going right to the flat. He doesn't run it to the
• 1:28:12
  point where kind of more straight, to the point where Hide might think,
• 1:28:15
  Okay, is he gonna go inside? Is he gonna go outside? Let
• 1:28:18
  me stop and shuffle my feet and break down and figure out where he's going
• 1:28:21
  to go. The angle that Gibson takes out of the backfield because watch Hide
• 1:28:26
  Hide ideas him immediately spins down. This is also third and short. This
• 1:28:30
  is third and one or third and two. Hide spins down. Watch how
• 1:28:33
  he changes his angle once Gibson looks back for how Now, granted, this
• 1:28:38
  could be a huge cell job and Gibson's gonna look back and fake and then
• 1:28:42
  all of a sudden he's gonna pick up speed and run the wheel, and
• 1:28:44
  then Hide is going to be asked out. But that's not what we get
• 1:28:46
  on this play. Hide. Now see look at how he changes his angle.
• 1:28:49
  He was initially coming straighter. Watch him right here. He starts to
• 1:28:54
  flatten and now he's got his eyes on the QB because he knows the situation.
• 1:28:58
  He knows the call, and he's thinking his ball is going to come
• 1:29:00
  out. Flattens a little bit and then jumps inside and takes advantage, bates
• 1:29:06
  him. Great play, So great play by Micah Hide, great recognition.
• 1:29:10
  But again all of it is created because of that creeper pressure that the Bills
• 1:29:15
  had. Here. Let me go to the end zone. Angle on it.
• 1:29:18
  Where are we here? All right? We'll go from this one.
• 1:29:21
  So again, mister Matt Milanos, and see the center. He initially peaks
• 1:29:30
  right, sees who he's got to help. There's nothing. They basically wasted
• 1:29:32
  two and a half guys on this play. And then Rousseau knife's inside.
• 1:29:35
  So now Rousseau occupies, and look at see how he gets his hand.
• 1:29:40
  Rousseau gets his hand on the guard and then gets his other hand on the
• 1:29:42
  center. He's just pure, you know, traffic controller. He just wants
• 1:29:45
  to occupy that center and that guard so the Bills can create a two on
• 1:29:50
  one on this side, which is exactly what happens and exactly how it plays
• 1:29:54
  out. The left tackle knows, Okay, the shortest patch to the quarterback
• 1:29:58
  is from the inside. I have to keep going down, so I have
• 1:30:00
  to take milano. Ajbnessa comes screaming off the edge free and it forces an
• 1:30:06
  errand throw and it leads to a turnover. So great design from Sean mcdermomic,
• 1:30:11
  great timing of the call, great execution to let it run one more
• 1:30:16
  time. Here the overall perspective again, good design, good execution. Okay,
• 1:30:28
  I can see the other end zone angle here, and then we'll let
• 1:30:30
  the other end zone angle run as we go to the next play here,
• 1:30:34
  again good design. Creeper pressure creates the free runner, heats up the quarterback,
• 1:30:41
  and like I said, like you dictating protection or taking advantage of protection
• 1:30:45
  rules, like they create this two on one on the outside because of this
• 1:30:48
  luck and because of this pressure, it stresses protection rules and communication for offensive
• 1:30:54
  linemen and recognition from the quarterback pre snap in terms of identifying the front.
• 1:30:58
  If there's going to be a free runner, if it's a non traditional rush,
• 1:31:00
  who's coming, Whose man is the quarterbacks? What are my hot routes?
• 1:31:04
  What are my reads? If there is pressure, who am I checking
• 1:31:06
  it down to? And in this situation, the Bills can kind of bait
• 1:31:11
  you into taking that, look like they do to Sam Howell. Like Sam
• 1:31:15
  Howell's outlet here is Antonio Gibson. So when he sees Evanessa, he looks
• 1:31:20
  and he's like, oh, let me hit my outlet. Hide knows that,
• 1:31:24
  which is why he screams down and jumps it and makes the pick,
• 1:31:27
  especially knowing the down distance it's third and one, like you want to get
• 1:31:30
  the stop. Maybe he slow plays it a little more if it's third and
• 1:31:33
  ten because he knows he's got a bigger buffer in terms of the yardage.
• 1:31:36
  But great heady play by Hide. But it's all set up because of that
• 1:31:41
  dictation piece and taking advantage up front with that creeper pressure. So again only
• 1:31:45
  a four man rush, you still have the seven in coverage because Leonard Floyd
• 1:31:48
  drops out, but you create a free runner and a nice piece in that
• 1:31:54
  category again later in the game. So now this one we talked about a
• 1:31:58
  creeper pressure. This one now is a simulated pressure. Because you have this
• 1:32:01
  pressure. Look look at everything you've got up front. You've got one,
• 1:32:04
  two, three, four, five, six at the line, showing a
• 1:32:11
  six man pressure. Have your pressure. Look, you got guys in the
• 1:32:14
  A gaps. Everybody's covered. It's like, okay, what's going on?
• 1:32:16
  What are we gonna do for the offense? Watch on the snap. Okay,
• 1:32:20
  here's your two linebackers, Milano and Bernard. This is something Sean McDermott
• 1:32:25
  did a ton of in Carolina. He did it a little bit early,
• 1:32:29
  as you know, head coach of the Bills, and then sprinkled throughout you
• 1:32:31
  know Leslie Fraser's ten year as well. But this is something very heavy in
• 1:32:34
  Carolina. You know Luke keik Lee, Shack Thompson, Thomas Davis, mugging
• 1:32:38
  those A gaps, showing this kind of pressure, sugaring the A gap as
• 1:32:42
  it's referred to, showing it and then dropping out, playing games with quarterbacks
• 1:32:45
  showing it and then faking dropping out and then coming back in just all the
• 1:32:49
  different kind of games that you can do against an offensive line. But watch
• 1:32:55
  so again, here is everyone from Epanessa to Shack Lawson on the other edge.
• 1:33:00
  Watch on the snap. What happens? Ajpanessa drops out again? Let's
• 1:33:06
  go back. Here's a Japanessa. Here's Matt Milano. Sorry, I mugg
• 1:33:12
  the hell out of Matt Milano. Here's Mattmilano. Milana is gonna rush.
• 1:33:15
  Epanessa is gonna drop. So this one again is now a simulated pressure because
• 1:33:19
  you have showed pressure. You're showing a pressure, look, but you're only
• 1:33:23
  rushing four. But you now brought a non traditional rusher in a linebacker in
• 1:33:28
  Matt Milano, and you have dropped a traditional rusher in an edge player a
• 1:33:30
  j Panessa into coverage. What I also like about Milano, watch how he
• 1:33:34
  kind of fakes the dropout and then goes forward, kind of stops, kind
• 1:33:41
  of gives himself that angle so he can doesn't necessarily fake the drop off or
• 1:33:45
  fake like he's dropping into coverage, but he alters his an angle a bit
• 1:33:48
  so he can get around Jordan Phillips creates almost like a little twist action there,
• 1:33:53
  and then Ajvanessa is dropping. So again four man rush, simulated pressure.
• 1:33:58
  This is the Aja Banessa interest option. That's a pick six. Here's
• 1:34:00
  that Vanessa and coverage again. He is an edge player, he is not
• 1:34:03
  a coverage player. What's tremendous on this again, he makes the athletic play
• 1:34:08
  and the interception for a touchdown, which we're gonna show, but watch he
• 1:34:13
  scans right here. Look at him. Id he IDs the drag route.
• 1:34:17
  He IDs that he sees how we'll start to run. And the first thing
• 1:34:20
  that he does is see, okay, who's coming into my zone. He's
• 1:34:24
  not just blindly dropping to cover grass. And this is a really heady,
• 1:34:28
  good coverage play from a non coverage player. So I know the selling point
• 1:34:32
  for this play, and rightfully so is him jumping into the air making the
• 1:34:36
  interception, housing it, you know, pick six points of the defense.
• 1:34:40
  That's a tremendous play. But watch him. I d okay, he's dropping.
• 1:34:44
  He's watching Sam Howell bang. He IDs it. This is what makes
• 1:34:47
  him come up. So how Will runs. But he's also coming up because
• 1:34:50
  he's looking to close down on that route underneath comes through, how Well starts
• 1:34:58
  to flatten, he even starts to break down. You see how he doesn't
• 1:35:01
  just willy nilly, just like, oh, let me just speed through and
• 1:35:03
  just run past that underneath route. He's trying to live in between. He's
• 1:35:09
  trying to cover that route, but also understands that he is the one who
• 1:35:13
  has to stop Howell from getting this first down with his legs because there is
• 1:35:16
  all this space, it's on him. So he's trying to cover down on
• 1:35:19
  this route, while at the same time influencing Howell, so as he comes
• 1:35:23
  forward looking at him break down, so he doesn't just completely bail on the
• 1:35:27
  route and let Howell just kind of drop a floater or a tear drop over
• 1:35:30
  him. He breaks down a little bit, makes him hesitate, and then
• 1:35:32
  he gets into the air and then he makes a ridiculous play on the ball
• 1:35:38
  and houses it. Now show it in real time again. Six at the
• 1:35:41
  line, Boom Malanto comes Epanessa drops his out, drops out, diagnoses it,
• 1:35:45
  ball up, pick pushes Sam how very disrespectfully insubordinate and churlish from aj
• 1:35:51
  Panessa. Just a great play. Ends on angle Boom drops out here,
• 1:36:01
  he comes again, breaks down, trying to live in the light in the
• 1:36:04
  dark, cover down on that route, but also influenced the QB gets his
• 1:36:09
  hands up. Super athletic play. This is a really great to watch him
• 1:36:13
  just get out of here and then Oliver finishes him. Great play. We'll
• 1:36:18
  show it one more time in real time, real motion. Really great piece,
• 1:36:30
  really really really great piece. And now let's go too, got one
• 1:36:43
  more in this family, and then a couple of plays for one other player,
• 1:36:46
  and it's just a great play from Major Vanessa, Chuck and Howell.
• 1:36:49
  Touch down, good blocking down field, good job now this one. So
• 1:36:57
  this is a traditional six man pressure. This is a traditional blitz. This
• 1:37:00
  isn't assimulated, this isn't a creeper. I just really like the design of
• 1:37:02
  this play. This is a shout out to Terrell Bernard a bit as well,
• 1:37:05
  but this is really just the design and the scheme of it all sack
• 1:37:11
  for Terrell Bernard. So on the surface, it's wow, that's a really
• 1:37:14
  great play from Terrell Bernard. And it is again, like I mentioned earlier,
• 1:37:17
  one of my favorite pieces from him was his blitzing. He's a very
• 1:37:21
  good blitzer. And part of the reason he's a good blitzer, like I
• 1:37:25
  mentioned, he comes forward like a heat seeking missile. He comes forward fast,
• 1:37:29
  violent, and with purpose. But he also has good timing and good
• 1:37:32
  routes to the quarterback. So let's watch how this blitz develops. And this
• 1:37:39
  is six on six again. So you've got the five offensive lineman and you've
• 1:37:43
  got the running back versus the four down lineman for the Bills and the two
• 1:37:46
  linebackers for the Bills. So you got six on six even numbers should be
• 1:37:50
  fine. Body on a body. That means somebody either has to win one
• 1:37:54
  on one for the defense or you have to somehow create a one on two
• 1:38:00
  of the defense and create a free runner, which is what happens on this
• 1:38:01
  play. So watch as we go forward, Milano shoots and then takes on
• 1:38:08
  the running back. The big play on this one, and it's the one
• 1:38:11
  that's going to go unnotice. Watch Ed Oliver right here. Watch how he
• 1:38:15
  spikes inside boom. What happens similar to what Greg Russo did on the first
• 1:38:21
  creeper pressure that we show where he occupied the garden the center. Here's Ed
• 1:38:25
  Oliver occupying the garden the center, Matt Milano occupying the running back. So
• 1:38:30
  what does that mean to Rob Bernard? Is free to the quarterback. But
• 1:38:33
  the route that I just traced, that's a huge selling point here with Rob
• 1:38:36
  Bernard. Watch the route that he takes to the quarterback. It is tight
• 1:38:41
  to the block. He is hugging this block right here. He doesn't get
• 1:38:46
  out too far and then have to round things. He doesn't widen himself too
• 1:38:51
  much and have to like shuffle his feet and get back. He takes an
• 1:38:55
  efficient angle similar to if you ever played baseball, you know how you're supposed
• 1:38:58
  to kind of widen out a little bit, and may you want to hit
• 1:39:00
  that first base or third base at that right angle, at that right spot
• 1:39:03
  to maintain as smooth of a transition on the base path that you can go
• 1:39:08
  from one base to another, whether first, a second, or third to
• 1:39:10
  home. Watch the angle that he takes tight, he's hugging it. It's
• 1:39:15
  an efficient angle. He never has to break stride. Watch Bernard come through
• 1:39:19
  the hole. He never breaks stride. It is one smooth run. It's
• 1:39:25
  quick, he's got a good gate. He doesn't have to shuffle his feet,
• 1:39:28
  he doesn't have to cut. It's smooth. Right to Sam Howell right
• 1:39:31
  down on the quarterback. That's a kudos to Terrell Bernard his timing of it.
• 1:39:35
  Again, watch it from from the beginning, the timing and the angle
• 1:39:40
  and the pace. That's a great job by Terrell Bernard. But the design
• 1:39:45
  is solid. The timing of it from Milano was well. And then the
• 1:39:48
  unselfish play from Oliver to again occupy the garden. The tackle, because that's
• 1:39:53
  what makes it works. That's what makes it work. He occupies the garden
• 1:39:56
  the tackle, Milano comes here on the running back, and then Bernard is
• 1:40:00
  going to fit all the way around. Because it's six on six, it's
• 1:40:02
  even numbers. You got a body for a body, you have the opportunity
• 1:40:05
  to put a hat on a hat. But because of what Oliver does,
• 1:40:09
  it puts Washington one man down and that allows tru Roel Bernard to be the
• 1:40:13
  free runner. Boom occupied four for Washington, three for the bills, which
• 1:40:19
  means that other guy coming from the second level i e. To Rol Bernard
• 1:40:24
  has a free run and that's how we get the sack. Great design,
• 1:40:29
  great call. This is also an example of everybody doing like the quote unquote
• 1:40:31
  Sean McDermott, one eleventh. This play doesn't happen if at Oliver doesn't do
• 1:40:35
  his job, if Mamlano doesn't do his job. To Rol Bernard has to
• 1:40:40
  do his job. But Bernard can't do his job if they don't execute on
• 1:40:44
  the rest of the front and then the rest of that blitz. So a
• 1:40:45
  really good piece there that I liked as well. So highlighting at Oliver on
• 1:40:49
  that play, I want to continue to highlight at Oliver who you talked about
• 1:40:55
  it with JP. It was one of the first pieces JP mentioned earlier in
• 1:40:58
  the show talking about how the Bill's interior has to have a strong game against
• 1:41:03
  Miami and how good at Oliver has been to start this year for the Buffalo
• 1:41:08
  Bills. Again, I think it's no secret how a lot of Bills fans
• 1:41:11
  felt when he got that contract. It was really kind of like ah,
• 1:41:13
  really, I think for a lot of people. And instead he's come out
• 1:41:16
  this year and has absolutely bawled out on the interior against the past and against
• 1:41:21
  the run. I'm going to show this past year or this rep here from
• 1:41:25
  a past or standpoint, going to show it from the sideline angle and then
• 1:41:28
  from an end zone angle, just absolutely toying with a guard Boom runs through
• 1:41:34
  him, sack effortless again, show it comes off the line, hesitation right
• 1:41:43
  through his chest, bang knocks him back, sack. Show it from the
• 1:41:46
  end zone angle. This is a dominant rep. Here's at oliver two point
• 1:41:51
  stance, which is fun lined up almost in a four eye like he is.
• 1:41:58
  He's usually lined up more. You know, here's your zero, here's
• 1:42:01
  your two. He's usually lined up more closer to the goutside shoulder of the
• 1:42:04
  guard. He's lined up on the inside shoulder of the tackle, so he's
• 1:42:08
  in more of a four eye. This is a wide alignment for at Oliver.
• 1:42:10
  Here gives him a little more space to work with. Isn't that two
• 1:42:13
  point stance? Again? Comes out hesitation, hesitation, Bank puts his head
• 1:42:17
  down right into the chest, knock back, keeps himself free and gets the
• 1:42:23
  sack. Show it in real time for you, and then we'll go to
• 1:42:28
  the other end zone angle just to get another appreciation for it. Who real
• 1:42:33
  good. Let's go to the other end zone angle. There's that Oliver again,
• 1:42:39
  mister number ninety one. For those of you playing at home. I'll
• 1:42:42
  circle him right there and this is where you can really see the hand placement
• 1:42:45
  of the piece. Again, hesitation little almost like a little crossover step like
• 1:42:49
  he's playing ball. Drops bang. Look at the leverage. Look at the
• 1:42:55
  chest or look at the hands into the chest of the guard. Look at
• 1:42:59
  the extension he's knocked back. This guard is in bad is in a bad
• 1:43:01
  way. So now this guard's only hope. It's just try and anchor and
• 1:43:05
  stalemate at Oliver. He cannot his hands are flying again. Look at look,
• 1:43:10
  look at what happens with the guard Like he can't even keep his hands
• 1:43:14
  onto Oliver. His hands are completely off. It's easy to see because he's
• 1:43:18
  got the white glove. Like his left hand is in front of his face
• 1:43:21
  like there's no contact there, there's no there's no strength, there's no leverage,
• 1:43:25
  there's no attempt to really anchor, like you're done. He is flailing
• 1:43:30
  and Oliver has him flailed and then goes into him again, works through that
• 1:43:32
  shoulder, bang gets the sack onto Sam Howell. Another one from Ed Oliver.
• 1:43:39
  Again, another example of a selfless play from Ed Oliver. I'm gonna
• 1:43:45
  go straight to the not this end zone angle, this end zone angle.
• 1:43:47
  So it's a tackle for Terrell Bernard and on the surface it's like man.
• 1:43:51
  Another good play from Bernard. Watch the play from mister ver Oliver and Dekuan
• 1:43:56
  Jones had themselves a game in this one, just like they did against the
• 1:43:58
  Raiders, just like they'll need to again. It's Miami again. You have
• 1:44:00
  to control that interior. You have to steal gaps, you have to win
• 1:44:04
  one on ones, you have to figure out how to get penetration and pressure
• 1:44:09
  to and bring him down, but you also have to win against the run,
• 1:44:12
  and at Oliver. His ability to win against the run individually but also
• 1:44:15
  as a supporting piece for others has been huge. Watch all we works on
• 1:44:18
  the double team on this one. We broke down in the film room last
• 1:44:21
  week. How he he'll drop that knee. Watch him drop the knee.
• 1:44:26
  He anchors a bit of a different piece here. He doesn't necessarily reduce the
• 1:44:30
  service angle, kind of gets turned and mauled a little bit, but he
• 1:44:31
  still has the strength to stay strong at the point of attack. He just
• 1:44:35
  gums up everything here. It doesn't have to be the prettiest. It doesn't
• 1:44:38
  have to be a stack and chad or quick penetration or you know, blow
• 1:44:42
  somebody up. Sometimes it's just muddying the reed for the running back, clogging
• 1:44:45
  up the middle, gumming up the works, just making life hard on the
• 1:44:48
  offensive line. That's what he does on this one, and look what it
• 1:44:51
  leads to. He gums up this whole thing. Bernard sees the flash of
• 1:44:56
  color here, also sees what's going on here, scrapes over the top and
• 1:45:00
  gets Bernard the opportunity to fill and help make the play de Kuon Jones also
• 1:45:05
  helps make a play here too when I show it from this angle. I
• 1:45:09
  also want to give some love to some other sporting pieces on this one.
• 1:45:12
  Watch Greg Rousseau box in against one poller. And watch Taron Johnson, who
• 1:45:17
  me and JP talked about earlier. JP and I talked about. Watch him
• 1:45:20
  box in against the tight end poland this is nice. Here comes Rousseau,
• 1:45:28
  bang outside shoulder on, inside shoulder boxed in. Here comes Taron Johnson from
• 1:45:34
  the second level, bang outside shoulder boxed in. Robinson has to go here,
• 1:45:41
  he has to go. He has been funneled to Bernard from Taron Johnson
• 1:45:45
  and from Greg Rousseau. But again the reason Bernard can scrape and come through
• 1:45:53
  is because of what Ed Oliver does against the garden the tackle. He prevents
• 1:45:57
  that double team from climbing to Bernard getting a piece of him, and Bernard
• 1:46:00
  just feels and then at Oliver also again just Bernard fils Oliver. Also look
• 1:46:10
  at how he pops up and just rips through right here, kind of like
• 1:46:14
  the Undertaker, like popping out of the casket at the end of a pay
• 1:46:15
  per view. Watch him just bank reps right through, splits a double team,
• 1:46:21
  Widens gets himself some space so he can get through, ends up making
• 1:46:29
  a play on the ball tremendous. Ed Oliver has been an absolute stud overall
• 1:46:35
  versus the run versus the pass for the Buffalo Bills this year. This last
• 1:46:40
  play from ed Oliver also ties into a day Kuon Jones play as well.
• 1:46:44
  Let's watch the play here on the goal line. It is third and one
• 1:46:49
  should be advantage offense, right. All you gotta do is match this thing.
• 1:46:53
  Maybe they should have gone with a tush push here if they felt comfortable
• 1:46:55
  with it. That seems to be the most unstoppable play in football. But
• 1:46:58
  they don't. They were in a traditional play. Sam Howell is in gun
• 1:47:00
  with Brian Robinson next to him. You've got to win up front when you're
• 1:47:05
  on the goal line, offensively or defensively. The Bills win up front big
• 1:47:10
  time because of Oliver and de Kwon Jones and how they just gum up the
• 1:47:15
  entirety of the interior here, which allows Matt Mlano to knife in and come
• 1:47:18
  make a play. So here's de Kuan Jones, here's at Oliver, the
• 1:47:21
  two protagonists of our story here, and just watch. I love the quickness.
• 1:47:27
  On the snap, de Quan Jones slants inside and again he's already in
• 1:47:32
  his movement as the ball is snap. So that's a good get off from
• 1:47:35
  mister. De Kuan Jones slants in side bang he and at Oliver. Now
• 1:47:40
  this is not great, Like they're both in the wrong, like the same
• 1:47:43
  gap. So now you have the opportunity to be like, oh, you're
• 1:47:45
  in trouble. But because of what they're doing on the back end, so
• 1:47:48
  again he's going to go here, so Milano is going to go here.
• 1:47:51
  You know, you run a little gap exchange there. Milano shifts over the
• 1:47:56
  top. This looks bad. At this point, helmet the home You're like,
• 1:48:00
  oh, these two collided. They're in the same gap. This is
• 1:48:01
  the problem. Watch they push through. What also helps is Milano's timing.
• 1:48:09
  Milano knifing through makes this man have to peel off and try and pick up
• 1:48:13
  Milano. So it reduces the three on two to a two on two,
• 1:48:16
  and it's a one on which means it's one on one for Ed and day
• 1:48:19
  Quon and they both just run through and end up making the play. So
• 1:48:24
  it's a good team defense from Milano, day Quon and Ed Oliver keep playing
• 1:48:30
  it in fast motion for everybody. So again Milano Milano doing this helps box
• 1:48:35
  this in a little bit and force the run back to Oliver and day Kuan.
• 1:48:40
  And again Milano knifing in helps pull that center off of day Kuan Jones
• 1:48:45
  and turn the three on two into it just a two on two. But
• 1:48:47
  that's good defense from the interior. Watch Ed, watch day Kuan chaos.
• 1:48:53
  They get push, they create displacement for the defense, They re establish the
• 1:48:57
  line of scrimmage. They knock their men into the backfield. Again. This
• 1:49:01
  ball is on the one yard line. So here's the line, okay,
• 1:49:06
  and watch where Daiquan and Ed knocked their men back to boom. Their heels
• 1:49:13
  are on the three yard line. They've effectively changed about a yard two yards
• 1:49:17
  of the line of scrimmage and knocked back. And then again Milano dips.
• 1:49:21
  Really good play from Matt Milano, like the bend and the knifing. Watch
• 1:49:26
  Mlano here dip underneath, avoids that shoulder, He dips, he leans,
• 1:49:32
  but then he pops back in. So again he boxes that in, forces
• 1:49:36
  it back to his help, and then Ed and day Kuan are just absolutely
• 1:49:41
  crushing the rest of that interior and helps make that play real good job,
• 1:49:48
  real, real, real, real, real good job for the Bill's defense
• 1:49:51
  on that one. So that is some of the stock up pieces from a
• 1:49:57
  film perspective. There's others. I mean, there's a multitude of play who
• 1:50:00
  had a great game in Week three against the Commanders offensively, defensively. Those
• 1:50:02
  are the pieces I wanted to highlight really from a schematic standpoint with the tape,
• 1:50:06
  just from what they what they meant, and again what I wanted to
• 1:50:11
  break down because I don't think simulated pressures get talked about enough. Creeper pressures
• 1:50:15
  don't get talked about enough. You'll see people through all the terminology, but
• 1:50:17
  they don't really know what they are or explain what they are and why they're
• 1:50:20
  such a big schematic piece and why it's so nice. So I love this
• 1:50:25
  comment here. Dai Kuan always makes a huge impact when he's in yeah,
• 1:50:28
  and he's a big loss when he's not. Again, we talked about it
• 1:50:30
  so much. I think everybody really understood his value in that game against Cincinnati
• 1:50:33
  in the playoffs when he wasn't in there. So that's fair for how important
• 1:50:38
  Day Kuan is. So those are again tons of stock up pieces after this
• 1:50:42
  game. Didn't want to harp on you know, if we did a true
• 1:50:45
  stock up for everybody it we would be here for forever because so many people
• 1:50:49
  had a good game I mentioned earlier. So this is the one again.
• 1:50:54
  There's some some stock down pieces, but the one I really wanted to drill
• 1:50:58
  home that you know, yards after contact piece for the Bills defense. I'm
• 1:51:03
  pulling it up in my notes right now. The Bills defense again is giving
• 1:51:06
  up four point seven yards after contact per Russia attempt. That is the most
• 1:51:11
  in the league. The Broncos are second at three point four yards after contact
• 1:51:15
  per Russi attempt. And it's been basically just Week two was better, but
• 1:51:19
  Week one in Week three were rough. So in Week one against the Jets,
• 1:51:23
  the Bills gave up four point nine yards after contact per attempt. Week
• 1:51:27
  two versus Vegas two point two yards after contact per attempt, Week three versus
• 1:51:30
  Washington seven point one yards after contact per attempt. Started in the third quarter
• 1:51:39
  when Brian Robinson started to reel off some runs, Antonio Gibson rolled reeled off
• 1:51:44
  some runs just you know, broken tackles, some ankle tackles, some you
• 1:51:47
  know, missing with shoulders, not wrapping up, not getting guys down to
• 1:51:50
  the ground that cannot fly against Miami. Like JP mentioned earlier when we're speaking
• 1:51:55
  out the matchups of Bills Dolphins, where he Moster's contact balance is better than
• 1:51:59
  he gets credit four because he is a speed merchant, but that's really all
• 1:52:01
  that gets talked about for him. Devon a Chain is also a speed merchant.
• 1:52:04
  You've got two running backs who run in the four threes or low four
• 1:52:08
  fours, so it's understandable that you talk about their speed, but Devon a
• 1:52:11
  Chain is also better when it comes to contact balance and running toughness than he
• 1:52:15
  gets credit for. You cannot afford to miss tackles against most and against a
• 1:52:18
  Chain, because again, if you miss a tackle, especially in the open
• 1:52:21
  field, a five or six yard game doesn't just turn into a ten or
• 1:52:25
  a twelve yard game, it turns into a twenty yard game, or can
• 1:52:28
  turn into a house call. And then again, especially with that other piece
• 1:52:31
  of what you're doing in the passing game, you don't want to miss a
• 1:52:33
  tackle on Jalen Waddle. You don't want to miss a tackle on Tyree Hill.
• 1:52:36
  You know the Miami put up all those numbers and points against Denver.
• 1:52:40
  Denver also played terribly, but that's a whole another conversation. Jalen Waddle didn't
• 1:52:43
  play in the game against the Denver Broncos because of a concussion. He looks
• 1:52:46
  to be back for this game. You've just got players and pieces that individually
• 1:52:54
  you can't afford to miss tackles with or miss tackles on. But then you
• 1:52:58
  add in the schematic advantage that Mike McDaniel creates, and the leverage and the
• 1:53:02
  spacing and the concepts and all of this, like the Miami offense is just
• 1:53:06
  built to punish you for any hesitation, to punish you for any mistake,
• 1:53:11
  and that type of the mistackle piece, the yards after contact piece cannot continue
• 1:53:15
  again. Like I mentioned last year in Week fifteen against Miami when they ran
• 1:53:19
  for one hundred and eighty eight yards versus the Bills, the Bills averaged five
• 1:53:23
  point six yards after contact per rush against the Dolphins. Well, I should
• 1:53:28
  say the Dolphins average that against the Bills defense, that was the most in
• 1:53:30
  the league that week. The Raiders were second at four point five, so
• 1:53:33
  over a full yard more after contact per rush for the Dolphins running game against
• 1:53:39
  the Bills. Then what the Raiders opponent had that week that's bad. And
• 1:53:43
  then the Bills defense twenty three point eight percent broken tackle plus mistackle percent per
• 1:53:49
  attempted tackles in that game, which was most in the league. And then
• 1:53:53
  Miami had a point three six positive point three six EPA per rush in Week
• 1:53:57
  fifteen against the Bills, that was highest in the league that week. And
• 1:54:00
  for reference, the Lions led the NFL and EPA per rush last year at
• 1:54:04
  point zero nine, so point zero nine on the year, Lions led the
• 1:54:10
  league in EPA per rush, Miami had point three six, so a point
• 1:54:14
  two seven point difference, which is huge from an EPAU you know, per
• 1:54:17
  attempt standpoint. So Miami got some things rolling on the ground. Bill's got
• 1:54:23
  to tackle better. Bill has been flying around again. Part of it is
• 1:54:26
  the aggressive style of their defense. They are trying to fly around, they're
• 1:54:30
  trying to make plays. They are coming down and closing down on receivers.
• 1:54:32
  They are penetrating again. They're playing more aggressive. They're playing faster, they
• 1:54:36
  are playing freer. They're playing faster physically and mentally because of how Sean McDermott
• 1:54:41
  has curated this defense. So when you play that fast and you're flying around
• 1:54:45
  on the on the football field, It'll happen from time to time. They're
• 1:54:48
  gonna miss some tackles. That's understandable. So I'm not expecting the Bills to
• 1:54:53
  have a zero, you know, mistackle percentage of broken tackle percentage in this
• 1:54:56
  game. It's gonna happen at some point. Some guys are going to fall
• 1:54:59
  forward, some guys are going to run through a shoulder, break out of
• 1:55:00
  an arm tackle and make some plays. It's going to happen, but you
• 1:55:03
  got to tackle consistently. You cannot afford really in any week tackling. It's
• 1:55:09
  a big thing for me with I think a lot of it stems from the
• 1:55:12
  lack of physicality you have in the off season training camp, the lack of
• 1:55:15
  added practices and all the hitting that they do. I think tackling is kind
• 1:55:17
  of not necessarily fallen by the wayside in football, but I think tackling consistency
• 1:55:23
  has precipitously dropped over the years as practice on offseason habits have changed a bit
• 1:55:29
  from a structure and practice perspective. Once teams get together, so I think
• 1:55:32
  it's a larger conversation, but you can't afford to miss tackles really any week.
• 1:55:38
  But if you're playing a lesser opponent or you have a lead or an
• 1:55:41
  advantage, obviously there's some leadway, right, you have more of a margin
• 1:55:44
  for error. There is not that level of margin for error against the Miami
• 1:55:48
  Dolphins with what they have on offense, with how good they are schematically,
• 1:55:51
  play calling and design, how good and how efficient and effective TUA is right
• 1:55:57
  now, the explosivity that they can generate underneath and vertically, that's such a
• 1:56:00
  huge piece, right, Like you saw the screen for Jalen Wattle against New
• 1:56:03
  England. Again, New England played Miami well, but adding some of that
• 1:56:08
  susceptibility to the screen game that the Bills have had. The Bills, you
• 1:56:11
  know, have been vulnerable to screens each week this year. Miss an attackle
• 1:56:16
  on a screen to waddle or hill, or miss an attack on an underneath
• 1:56:19
  route to waddle or hill, or missing attackle on a run by most or
• 1:56:24
  a chain or a screen to either one of them. That is how you
• 1:56:28
  kind of get into a spot where again a four yard game or a five
• 1:56:31
  yard game turns into ten fifteen, or with Miami speed turns into a big
• 1:56:38
  big, big chunk play or a big explosive play, or you got somebody
• 1:56:41
  dead to rights and it's third and two when you have them at the line
• 1:56:43
  of scrimmager in the backfield and all of a sudden they find a way to
• 1:56:45
  get three yards or they get four yards, or they get too when they
• 1:56:48
  get that first down or make an easier fourth down situation. You have to
• 1:56:51
  be more efficient when it comes to that run game piece and that tackling piece.
• 1:56:58
  It'll kill you. It'll absolutely kill you. Beta Jim says how much
• 1:57:01
  of the mistackles has to do with the league changing how they want players to
• 1:57:03
  tackle over the years. That's you know, it's funny. I think I
• 1:57:05
  think that commic came in before I said what I said. Yeah, I
• 1:57:08
  think it ties into just I think it ties into well, I think it's
• 1:57:12
  a different point that I made. I think it ties into the change and
• 1:57:15
  offseason preparation and practice times when teams come together. And then yeah, I
• 1:57:18
  think it also either subconsciously or in the forefront of defenders minds, you know,
• 1:57:24
  like you can't really hit a guy here, you can't really do this,
• 1:57:28
  Like I think it's like the NFL has tried to take tackling out of
• 1:57:30
  football, even though it's such an integral part. So it's it's a very
• 1:57:34
  like double edged toward with how things have gone. I think all of it
• 1:57:38
  culminates in poorer tackling for teams, and it seems like the Bills have been
• 1:57:42
  hit with a lot of that as well, not necessarily because of the league,
• 1:57:45
  but just you know, because of you know, how they play,
• 1:57:49
  how they attack, and how they go forward. But then over all the
• 1:57:53
  larger structure pieces affects that as well. And again to tie into that running
• 1:57:58
  game piece, I wanted to end on, you know, I love the
• 1:58:00
  conversation that myself and JP had. I really want to drill home on that
• 1:58:03
  Miami run game first in yards after contact, third in yards after contact per
• 1:58:09
  rush second and broken tackles second, and mis tackles first and broken tackles plus
• 1:58:13
  mis tackles forced per rush second in EPA per rush, second in total EPA.
• 1:58:17
  They're cooking on the ground because of their speed and because of the schematics
• 1:58:21
  of their run game. You know what Mike McDaniel did with the Dolphins passing
• 1:58:26
  attack last year, He's started to do that with their run game. This
• 1:58:29
  year and it is paying dividends. They are a very lethal team on the
• 1:58:32
  ground. To now go with how lethal they are in the past, they
• 1:58:35
  are a problem. The Bills are gonna have to be on their p's and
• 1:58:38
  q's defensively and schematically to really slow down. Again, I don't think you're
• 1:58:43
  gonna stop Miami. You just want to slow them down. But even doing
• 1:58:45
  that is a tall task. And I think the Dolphins defense has a similar
• 1:58:48
  piece as well against the Bills offense. You know the reason the Dolphins,
• 1:58:53
  like I said earlier, the reason the Dolphins are second in EPA per rush
• 1:58:57
  and second and total EPA on the grounds because the Bills are first in the
• 1:59:00
  EPA per rush and second and totally EPA on the ground. And that goes
• 1:59:02
  along with how Josh Allen has been more efficient. You still know he's got
• 1:59:06
  that alien plague, you know, capability within him. He can hit explosives,
• 1:59:11
  he can generate big plays with his legs and with his arms. But
• 1:59:14
  now you have a legitimate pivot and I think lethal peace in the ground game
• 1:59:18
  with what the Bills have found. So I think the ground game is going
• 1:59:21
  to factor big for both teams for the Bills. It's more just keeping things
• 1:59:25
  on schedule and keeping things efficient and helping Josh Allen on the Dolphins side or
• 1:59:30
  on the Dolphins offense side with their run game. I think it's about the
• 1:59:32
  Bills trying to limit the explosives for the Dolphins run game and not letting the
• 1:59:35
  run game be just a slit throat opportunity like their past game can be as
• 1:59:42
  well, because they can kill you quick like. It's not just a bleed
• 1:59:44
  you slow with the run game that some other teams have. It's a bleed
• 1:59:47
  your quick type of run game like their pass attack and Who's it's It's going
• 1:59:53
  to be intense. BTMS says, do you think Miami leans more into their
• 1:59:56
  run game than throwing game this year? I really think it's gonna They're going
• 1:59:59
  to test it out. I think McDaniel is going to come out with a
• 2:00:00
  script and kind of poke and prod and test the cage a little bit.
• 2:00:04
  He said. Coming into the season, they wanted to focus on the run
• 2:00:06
  game. They wanted to be better with the run. He's overall as a
• 2:00:11
  team and they have been this year. You see the focus and the change
• 2:00:14
  schematically and the identity that they have he said something similar to the week leading
• 2:00:19
  into the Week fifteen game with the Bills last year against Miami, where they
• 2:00:23
  committed more to the run and Mostard had a big day that was also helped
• 2:00:27
  by a lot of poor tackling. So I think you're going to see early.
• 2:00:30
  I think you're gonna see a lot of poking and prodding and trying to
• 2:00:32
  see what they can get. I think they're going to try and get out
• 2:00:34
  on the perimeter. I know Miami has been a big zone team, that
• 2:00:38
  inside zone team and wide zone as well or outside zone, I should say,
• 2:00:43
  I think they're going to try and live on the perimeter with some crack
• 2:00:45
  toss stuff. Let toront Armstead work like a lot. What they did against
• 2:00:47
  Denver is so appealing to them as a defense. You know you're working in
• 2:00:51
  that fast motion and how you tied into their passing concepts. It's a really
• 2:00:56
  complicated piece, but I think you'll see a variety of runs early for them
• 2:00:59
  to figure out where the Bills defense is vulnerable. And then we're going to
• 2:01:02
  see their you RPO passing attack and what they're going to do with the intermediate
• 2:01:06
  and the timing and how they generated explosives in that area. So again,
• 2:01:09
  I think you'll see the script they're going to poke in prod early. You'll
• 2:01:12
  really see how they are leaning into things once I think quarter two heads or
• 2:01:15
  maybe that's midway through the second or third drive for Miami, once they realize,
• 2:01:19
  hey, we have the baseline of what we think we can do here.
• 2:01:25
  Boom, let's start to attack and lean into things. So I think
• 2:01:28
  you really start to see less early in the game, but more as the
• 2:01:30
  game goes along, right in that second or third drive for Miami, when
• 2:01:33
  they really start to realize, this is what we think we can win with.
• 2:01:36
  This is what we're going to lean into, and it's a tall task
• 2:01:39
  for both teams. This is a great game. This is one of the
• 2:01:41
  best games of the year, not just because of the two teams playing and
• 2:01:44
  the moment and all of those pieces, but schematically and how fun it can
• 2:01:47
  be from a matchup standpoint, like, this is a really good football game
• 2:01:51
  from an XS and os and schematic structure standpoint, And then you add in
• 2:01:57
  you know, Bills versus Dolphins history and the rivalry there, the rivalry that
• 2:02:01
  started to develop. Now what happened last year, what's going on Now.
• 2:02:04
  It's a really fun piece. This is gonna be a really fun game and
• 2:02:08
  a really exciting game. It's just as a football fan. You know,
• 2:02:10
  obviously, if you're a Miami fan or a Bills fan, this game has
• 2:02:13
  more to it and you're going to be more excited for it or be operating
• 2:02:15
  with more trepidation towards it. But just as a football fan, this is
• 2:02:19
  a really exciting game. I'm super pumped and excited to see what happens schematically
• 2:02:24
  in this game. I know there's a lot that I could have potentially gotten
• 2:02:28
  into as well. I'll be getting into a lot of that on Twitter.
• 2:02:30
  So follow me on Twitter at Pro Underscore underscore ant that's proh excuse me,
• 2:02:34
  that's pro two hundreds scores ant. I think I got hiccuped or breathe in
• 2:02:38
  at the same time. That was super weird. Follow me on Twitter at
• 2:02:41
  Pro Underscore underscore ant that's pro two hundred scores a n T. I'm gonna
• 2:02:45
  be breaking down a lot more film stuff from home, who the Dolphins are
• 2:02:48
  and what they've been this year, and posting that up on Twitter and breaking
• 2:02:53
  some more things down just otherwise these episodes would be like twenty hours long,
• 2:02:56
  and they're already very long. We've gone over two hours here, so following
• 2:02:59
  me on Twitter for more content and breakdown when it comes to the bills and
• 2:03:01
  just football stuff in general, give me following the old Twitter. I also
• 2:03:05
  realize with how everything went, you know, with JP and then getting into
• 2:03:10
  the film stuff, I know this episode was a little less engagement based with
• 2:03:14
  the comments and the chat than it normally is. I apologize for that.
• 2:03:16
  If there was anything that you really really wanted answered, or had a question
• 2:03:20
  or thought anything you wanted to get off your chest or question for me,
• 2:03:24
  or something you want engagement for, follow me on Twitter, dm me,
• 2:03:28
  message me on Twitter or leaving on YouTube and the comments and I'll answer it
• 2:03:32
  there. Again, I necessarily apologize to anyone who's question I did not get
• 2:03:35
  to in any form or fashion with how everything went tonight, so I apologize
• 2:03:40
  for that. I do always like to make this as engaging as impossible as
• 2:03:43
  impossible. I'm falling apart. I always like to make this as engaging as
• 2:03:46
  possible, so I do apologize for that. Thank you to everyone who wrote
• 2:03:51
  with me live here on this episode, and I appreciate all the kind words
• 2:03:55
  that are coming in for myself now as we go through. So thank you
• 2:03:58
  very much for appreciating the tent. Please drop a lig on this video,
• 2:04:01
  whether you're here live now or watching later, it goes on a long way,
• 2:04:04
  sincerely for myself and the entire team. And I know it's corny to
• 2:04:06
  ask for it, but please, please, please, and thank you.
• 2:04:09
  If you have not already, please drop a leg on this video. It
• 2:04:13
  means a lot more than you know. Thank you very much to everybody who
• 2:04:15
  wrote with me live. If you did not roll with Me live and you
• 2:04:17
  watched, you're watching this later, or you're listening to this show on one
• 2:04:21
  of the podcasting apps or platforms that is cool. Please rate and review and
• 2:04:26
  subscribe to disguised coverage on Apple Podcasts Spotify. Ratings are super helpful. Reviews
• 2:04:31
  and feedback or tremendously helpful, as are the subscriptions. Please subscribe on YouTube
• 2:04:36
  to disguised coverage and the cover in one channel. Appreciate you folks so much
• 2:04:41
  again. If you wrote with me live, if you're watching, if you
• 2:04:44
  didn't ride with me live and you're watching later, or you're watching live,
• 2:04:45
  or you're listening later, whatever have you whatever form or fashion or support comes
• 2:04:49
  in, I'm tremendously grateful for and tremendously thankful for so thank you very much
• 2:04:54
  for tuning in however you tuned in, and for consuming the content. Thank
• 2:04:58
  you very much for the kind words throughout the to give the episode. Thank
• 2:05:00
  you very much for being so gracious in the live chat to JP, who
• 2:05:02
  is phenomenal. Major thank you too, mister JP Acosta for joining me on
• 2:05:08
  the show. Again. Give him a follow on Twitter. I'm going to
• 2:05:11
  throw his handle out there one more time. His handle is Acosta thirty two
• 2:05:18
  underscore JP, Acosta three two underscore JP. He's a writer for sp Nation
• 2:05:27
  again. Dude is really smart breaks down ball again for a variety of teams
• 2:05:30
  in a variety of ways. So will help you up be a better fan
• 2:05:32
  and know more about this game and learning this game. So give him a
• 2:05:35
  follow again. Huge props and kudos to him for joining me and crushing it
• 2:05:40
  like I thought he would. This is a long episode, but it's understandable
• 2:05:44
  how big this game is, how important this game is. Again, I
• 2:05:46
  appreciate you folks. Tell your family and friends and the loved ones about how
• 2:05:49
  awesome this show is. If you thought this show was terrible, that's fair.
• 2:05:55
  Try and tell your enemies about the show then and try and ruin their
• 2:05:57
  day with this show. I appreciate you, folks. I appreciate a JP
• 2:06:00
  Big Week, Big Game. Give me a following on Twitter. We're gonna
• 2:06:03
  be getting at more of this matchup and other stuff going forward throughout the rest
• 2:06:08
  of this Wink Week week Wink Week falling apart, it's late. I appreciate
• 2:06:14
  you. I hope you and your family and friends and loved ones are all
• 2:06:15
  doing well and staying safe. Be kind to one another, take care of
• 2:06:18
  one another. Join myself and Eric Turner live tomorrow night, Wednesday, September
• 2:06:24
  twenty seventh at seven pm Eastern for the Cover one Film Room as we break
• 2:06:28
  down the entirety of Bill's versus Commanders. And if you're watching Disguise coverage now
• 2:06:32
  when it's after that Wednesday, go back and check the Cover one channel for
• 2:06:36
  the Cover one Film Room and watch myself and Eric Turner crush it. I
• 2:06:40
  appreciate you, folks. Enjoy the rest of your night. Again, take
• 2:06:44
  care of one another, be kind to one another, godspeed, and as
• 2:06:45
  always go Bills