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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Sunday 2/1/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man, with wookends.
• 0:34
  Speaker 2: Slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: a new peak.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hack Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the bruins. Arch
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: eye is that what it is? I don't even know
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: don't know what day it is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what day it is anymore. Man, back with
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody?
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports Sunday, February First,
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: I would wound up I think probably on the winning
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: side of January.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: Let me make sure. I would have to check, because
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: yesterday we did well, although I'm still not happy because
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: it looked like it was gonna be better than it was. Yeah,
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: we had a winning January, I'm pretty sure.
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah, not by a ton, but yes, thank you, sir tyson.
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: What's up? Yes, thank you? Yes, trying to give out
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: the winners here, thank you. Uh. We went five to
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: two yesterday.
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: It felt like it was way better because we started
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: out five and oh and it looked like it was
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: about to go six and oh, and that did not happen.
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: UCF started out outright win Fordham outright win is a
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: huge underdog, so we got two outright dog wins. There
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: actually three because Southern Miss hit as well, though they
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: were really small dogs, so I mean playing them, you're
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: basically just playing them to win the game. But the
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: Fordham one and the UCF one, That's why I always say,
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: if you're playing the underdog, like you're playing the spot,
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: but you're basically saying you think that they have a
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: decent chance to a better chance to win the game
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: than what the oddsmakers are giving them basically, So I
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: always recommend putting some amount on the money line. So
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: like for the UCF one small underdog, five point underdog,
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: I recommend ten percent of the bet on the money line,
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: ninety percent of it on the spread, and then the
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: big underdog Fordham, just because I feel like it's like
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: if they actually happen to win outright, and you feel like,
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: oh man, it's like such a missed opportunity that one,
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: like a twelve point dog, anything that's like ten between
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: like ten and like seventeen or so, I'm pretty much recommending,
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: like I would say, put three percent of the vet
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: on the money line, and then anything above that maybe
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: like one percent. Just put like a very small amount
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: on it just in case unless it's like a you know,
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: if it's like a thirty point underdog. Then all right,
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: then maybe yeah, just let it go. But I don't
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: like I don't like leaving money on the table man
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: when I'm right about something. Although of course you're gonna
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: lose a lot of those money line plays, but that's
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: the whole thing. Like, I think it still works to
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: your advantage in the end. Then we did get Long
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: Beach State. That number was up to eight and a half,
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: but luckily they covered and lost by seven. They were
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: pretty much hanging around in that game, but luckily they
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: did cover all the numbers both fail. It's covered as
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: well Syracuse and New Orleans. So wait, am I was
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: it six and two yesterday? Hold on, am I am?
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: I misremembered things? Did I add a no? Because we
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: had Yeah, it was six and two, I guess, because
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: I guess we had seven basketba Am I right?
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: Do we have seven basketball plays? Yeah? So it was yeah.
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: So we went at six and two yesterday, my apologies,
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: and we started out six and oh, I guess.
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: So it looked like we were gonna go seven.
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: And oh then with Albany, but Albany blew the game
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: and they were actually up.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: To two and a half point favorite.
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: So if you played that game late, you actually got
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a better number on it, and
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: they still didn't cover that.
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: They lost by three.
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: Very frustrating there, missing by a half point or one
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: and a half points, depending on what you played there.
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: I thought they would win the game and they were
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: in position to maybe do just that, and then that's
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: that was the end of the day.
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: And then I mean it was the end of the
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: wind streak.
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: The streak ends as the New Jersey Devils definitely were
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: a huge let down. The game was closer than the
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: final score looked. I think there was one empty net
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: goal maybe at the end. But yeah, I mean they
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: kind of fell apart in that game. They were tied
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: one to one and then fell down two to one.
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: They were still kind of in that game. It was
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: like statistically fairly close, which is what you want with
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: an underdog like that. But then yeah, it pretty much
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: went to hell. All right, let's move on to today.
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: We got college basketball. I have two plays today. They're
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: both in college basketball. You probably already know what one
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: of them is because I talked about it yesterday and
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: I already talked myself into it. And I think the
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: market is disagreeing with both of my plays, So be it.
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: We're gonna have these two plays here.
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: There are three hockey games that I'm not really interested in,
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: and there is a decent sized NBA board, but again
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: I'm skipping NBA.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: I might be being too selective, but I don't.
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: Like the NBA board. Man, It's just the way that
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: it is the way that I see things. I don't
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: love it, Jake, what's up?
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: Man? Thanks for hanging out. Hot sauce recommendation depends what
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: you're eating. And I'm gonna get annoyed here in a minute.
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: The stupid emergency broadcast system going off again on my
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: TV that I always have on over your Maybe you
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: should just not have the TV on. Hot sauce recommendation. Well,
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: since uh, we don't know what you're putting it on.
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: You want to go with something versatile, go with the
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: go with Secret art Vark, man, you can't really go
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: wrong with Secret Ardvark. It's a it's not too hot,
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: it has a decent amount of spice, it's got hob
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: and arrow in it.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: It's tomato based sauce.
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: They make some good stuff, man, the classic Secret ard Vark.
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: You're putting it on eggs, yet that works, Secret Ardvark.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: It's standard, man, you can put it on pretty much
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: anything and it works. It works well.
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: It's a very standard, classic hot sauce.
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: But it has a really good flavor and it's you know,
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: it's not too hot, so it's not gonna it's not
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: gonna to overwhelm.
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: You, but it does have enough heat that it will
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: hit you a little bit. Secret Ardvark, let's go with that,
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: Secret Ardvark Sunday. It is one of my favorite sauces. So,
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: I mean it's just it's definitely I mean it's it's
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: not an obscure sauce, but it's a you know, oh
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: yeah that is good. Queen Majesty Black Coffee oub and Arrow,
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: I have some more of that right now. Yeah, she
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: makes really good stuff. She has very few hot sauces.
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: In her line.
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: She is one woman, and every one of her sauces
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: is like, is very good quality. Because she puts out
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: so few sauces, you pretty much know that every one
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: of them is gonna be good.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Black Coffee oub and Arrow is probably the best
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: one that she does. Yeah, it's good. I mean that
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: one works on everything too.
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: That's very good on eggs as well, so I would
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: say it's mild heat factor, but it does have noticeable
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: heat as well, and good flavor on that too. Yeah,
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: I mean her standard three, like the Holy Trilogy from her.
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: That one the mildest one that she has in the trilogy.
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: There is the halopanio lime or whatever. I think it
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: might have cilantro in it too. I don't know that
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: one's good as well.
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: That one really good on chicken, but I mean all
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: of these still work on eggs too. Eggs can kind
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: of just have whatever hot sauce on them.
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: And then the third one in that trilogy, probably the
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: hottest one is the Scotch bonnet ginger.
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: The yellow sauce also good. I like ginger.
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you don't like ginger, you probably won't
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: like it, but if you do, then you probably will
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: that one. Probably that is a better US sauce for
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: chicken than anything else as well.
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: But it does work on other things.
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: It'll work on different Asian foods, it works on everything,
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: works on eggs too, So talker queen majesty there, man,
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: I do have those. I have all three of those
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: hot sauce, and then I think I have her. She
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: has one that has charcoal in it. I think it
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: has fig and I forget what else did. It might
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: be ghost pepper. I think it's a little bit hotter.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: I do have some of that right now too, although
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: I actually don't prefer that one over those other three.
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: It's a little bit odd, but it's not bad at all.
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: It is still pretty good. All right.
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: College basketball, let's get into it here, man. First game
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: is at noon on the USA Network on TV here.
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: Of course it's USA Network, so it's gonna be Atlantic ten.
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: It's Rhode Island at Duquane. This game, I think really
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: the main part of the handicap here is Rhode Island
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: just pulled off three really huge wins in a row.
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: They're coming up four big games in a row, actually
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: the last five games.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: If you look at their results, they're.
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: On this huge role where they destroyed Davidson on the
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: road and they were probably an underdog in that game.
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: They played fairly close at home against VCU. They went
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: on the road and pulled off what I presume was
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: another upset at Richmond, came home and beat George Mason,
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: who was I think maybe winless. Yeah, they were winless.
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: In the conference at that point. That was a huge win.
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: And then the upset Dayton on the road in the
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: most recent game, which was the biggest upset out of
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: all of those. So this Rhode Island team, they're on
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: this huge run right now, but I think there's got
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: to be a letdown come in here, man, and maybe
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: it comes here.
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: Two straight road games, three road games in the last
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: four games coming up, the biggest upset that they've pulled
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: so far.
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: I would have to lean towards Dukane in this game.
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: Ducaine coming into this game, I've lost the same Bonaventure
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: at home. Not a great loss, although the Bondies are
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: not really as bad as their record looks. But to me,
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: I think the spot sets up a lot better for Ducaine.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: The only issue is if they're looking ahead to George
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: Mason or not. But I think if you're Ducaine right
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: now after that loss, you're probably not really going to
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: overlook a team that's above you in the conference standings.
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: So Ducane would be my preference in this game. When
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: I looked earlier, the market wasn't agreeing. Yeah, it's not
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: agreeing with me. Ducaine's actually a favorite. They're down from
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: three to two and a half, fifty six percent of
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: the tickets, ninety four percent of the cash on Rhode Island,
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: so the money's coming in on Rhode Island. But I
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: do not agree with that. I would lean Ducuane in
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: this game. And again, like, why would anybody want to
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: lay points with the team with the worst record, right?
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: I mean, that is something that will always kind of
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: catch my attention when you see something like that. Osmaker's
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: telling you these teams are not separated by that much
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: power ratings wise.
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: CBS, we do have a big ten game.
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: There's some Big ten and SEC and Big twelve action
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: today Number twelve Perdue, who I think is definitely better
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: than the twelfth best team in the country. Man, it's
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: just that they're on a slide right now that's dropping
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: them in the rankings. They're at Maryland, I mean Purdue.
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: Obviously they shouldn't have much difficulty with this game against Maryland.
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: Purdue coming off a bunch of losses, you got to
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna show up for this game. But they
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: do have to travel to Maryland, which is a little
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: bit of a weird spot. Fourth road game in five games.
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: So you could make the argument it's a little bit
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: of a questionable spot, and they are coming off of
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: a couple of somewhat big games against Illinois. I mean,
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: obviously the Illinois game is huge, and they did lose
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: that game as a favorite, and then they did lose
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: again as a favorite at Indiana. But you know, Indiana
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: always gets up for Purdue. I think it's a bigger
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: game for Indiana. They were like the little brother at
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: this point in Indiana. So the fact still remains that
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: Purdue is coming off three losses in a row as
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: a favorite. They don't really have anything big upcoming Oregon next,
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: then they have their huge game against Nebraska. So I
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: kind of think Produce should bounce back here and show
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: up Maryland. I mean, they don't really have anything else
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: to do but show up at this point. They just
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: got obliterated by Michigan State on the road in their
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: last game, so they will show up as well. It's
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: just that Maryland is not a very good team at all.
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: Purdue is a fourteen and a half point favorite. They'll
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: be the public side eighty five percent of the tickets,
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: but it looks like they might be getting the money
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: as well. Ninety six percent of the cash. I would
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: probably lean towards purduing this one. Even though they like
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: to play slow, they can still score quite a bit.
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: This Maryland team is very bad, and if you're going
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: to actually get a focused Purdue for once off of
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: those three straight losses is a favorite, they probably should
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: take care of business. I mean, I highly doubt that
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: they lose the game outright, but laying points of that
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: magnitude is a bit of a different story. I don't
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: want to touch the game, obviously, but I think you
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: can also kind of explain the loss to Illinois because
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: Purdue was coming up that huge game, or excuse me,
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: the lost to Indiana because Purdue was coming off that
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: huge game against Illinois. All right, one pm ABC, we
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: have one of the biggest games of the day.
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: Number twenty three Alabama, number nineteen Florida.
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: I think both these teams are actually probably under ranked
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: by those rankings, although Alabama maybe less so ken Bum's
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: got Alabama sixteenth and he's got Florida seventh. So Florida
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: is still very underrated because they had a bunch of
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: losses in the out of conference schedule. They're extremely battle tested.
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: Both these teams have faced very difficult schedules. Though they
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: both play fast, they're both good offenses, but Florida.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: Has way more balanced. Florida is the significantly better.
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: Defense in this game, and even though Alabama is the
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: better offense, Florida is definitely the better team here, which
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: is why Florida is a substantial favorite here. But there
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: is a little bit of a revenge factor here because
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: Florida won both meetings last year. Florida one at Alabama
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: in a fairly close game, and then Florida won by
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: double digits in the SEC Tournament I'm pretty sure against Alabama,
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: So there might be a little bit of a revenge
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: mode of here for Alabama, although it's not really one
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: of those situations where this team ended our season because
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: both teams made the NCAA Tournament anyway, and they did
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: not meet up in the tournament because they're on opposite
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: sides of the bracket.
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: Alabama is coming.
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: Off destroying Missouri, but you know they're not going to
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: overlook Florida, especially after losing to them both times last year.
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: Florida coming off destroying South Carolina again, both teams kind
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: of coming into this with momentum. Both teams should show
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: up here the revenge MODEVE might like just push me
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: towards the Alabama side just slightly.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: Florida is the.
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: Better team, though, And that's the problem here where people
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: might look at this number and think, oh, well, these
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: teams are both ranked, they're not separated by that much
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: in the rankings, they both have somewhat similar records, and
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: might think that the line looks too big for what
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: is a competitive game like this. So in that respect,
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: you might want to be looking towards Florida, but the money.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: Is not agreeing with that.
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: And again, I think, based on the fact that Alabama
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: might want a little bit of revenge for last year,
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: I would, I guess, probably agree with the market and
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: lean slightly towards Alabama.
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: But I do not have a strong opinion here. Florida
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: did go up to an.
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: Eight point favorite, fifty six percent of the tickets on them,
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: sixty six percent of the cash on Alabama, so it
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: does look like some of the actual money is taking
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: it back on Alabama. We do have some interesting matt
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: Ac games here now, Sacred Heart, they're coming off a
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: loss or excuse me, a win where they didn't cover
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: Oh no, wait, my mistake, I thought they were coming
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: off that Niagara game last week, I think is what
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: it was where we took the loss on that one
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: because they didn't cover. But they probably were looking ahead
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: to Quinnipiac. I guess I didn't think that they really
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: would be, but that is what happened. Maybe I should
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: have left it off my card. But now Sacred Heart's
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: actually coming off a nice win, an upset win on
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: the road at Quinnipiac, and it was revenge for losing
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: them losing to them at home earlier in the season.
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: That was a big win for Sacred Heart. Man, So
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: they might just not have a whole lot left in
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: the tank here for Merrimack, so they have to play
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: these two big games.
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: In a row on the road.
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: Merrimack is not as good as Quinnepiac, though, even though
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: their record is better. I don't believe that they're power
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: rated higher than Quinnipiac. Problem with the looking towards Merrimack
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: in this spot, though, is that Sacred Heart lost at
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: home to Merrimack already, So there is the road revenge
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: angle in play here for Sacred Heart.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: Like they're not going to overlook Merrimac.
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: It's just a question of how much do they have
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: left in the tank at this point. But the other
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: thing is because Merrimack beat Sacred Heart at Sacred Heart,
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: or Merrimack might overlook them, and that's kind of the problem.
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: Merrimack is not exactly in a good spot here because
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: they just beat Saint Peter's to split the season series,
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: and they're the two teams that are atop the conference
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: right now, so that's a big win for them against
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: Saint Peter's. They only have Mount Saint Mary's up next,
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: so not really a look ahead. But both teams they
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: think are in kind of bad spots here, so they're.
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: Both coming up big wins.
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: The money is indicating on Sacred Heart for what it's worth,
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: Merrimack's is a six point favorite. I mean, I don't
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: know if I trust Merrimack to lay points like that
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: even when they are the better team. Uh one forty
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: six not very high total In that one, sixty seven
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets are on Merrimack, sixty eight percent
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: of the cap on Sacred Heart. I can't get involved
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: in it again because they You could make the argument
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: that both teams are in letdown spots, but I guess
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: I will agree with the market just because I do
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: think Sacred Heart will put in another effort and or
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: Merrimack might just not take them seriously because Merrimack already
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: beat them.
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: On the road.
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: Siana Atkenesius in the matt Act. I'm talking about this
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: game because Sianna just had kind of a bad performance
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: in Niagara and they're staying in Buffalo because Niagara and
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: Kenesius are both in Buffalo, so no real travel here
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: for Sianna, and they did not have a good game
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: there against Niagara.
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: Niagara is awful.
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: Sianna is a big favorite in that game, but I
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: think Sianna was probably in a letdown spot after they
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: had a big win over Maris by almost twenty points
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: the game before that, so they did not do well
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: against Niagara. I think because of that, they might bounce
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: back here. I guess you might have to be a
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: little bit concerned. They might be looking ahead to Iona,
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: because they did lose at Iona already, so maybe they'll
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: look ahead there.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: Although Iona is not doing that well in.
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: The standings, so I do think that after a close
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: game like that, maybe they will bounce back show up
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: for this. However, they did already beat Canesius by over
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: twenty points, so there is the possibility they do still
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: overlook this team as well, but I figured it was
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: an interesting game to talk about anyway. Canesius, though, they're
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: coming off a huge performance against Marist, so Marist was
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: definitely a favorite on the road. They're probably a decent
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: sized favorite on the road. Yet nine and a half
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: actually higher than I thought, and Canesius actually took them
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: into overtime, So I think this is a bad spot
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: for Canesius coming off of that game, even though ideally
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: they would show up for a game against Sianna, as
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: they already lost to them once they got Niagara on deck,
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: which is not good either because even though Niagara sucks,
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: they're Canesius's main rival because they're both in Buffalo, and
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: Canese just already lost to Niagara at home, very very ugly.
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: So I think that this might actually be a sandwich spot,
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: believe it or not Canesius, because the Niagara game is
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: a rivalry game and a revenge game, so I can't
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: get involved in the game.
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: Uh fifty seven.
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: Percent of the tickets on Canesius, which seems very strange.
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: I don't know why the public would want them seventy
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash on Sianna. Sianna is definitely
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: the better teams, no question about that. They're down from
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: nine to eight and a half here. I think given
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: the fact that Canesius is in the spot that I
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: just described, and primarily the fact that they just took
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: a team that's much better than they are into overtime,
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: whereas Sianna just barely scraped by is a big favorite.
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: I would agree with this market read, and I would
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: lean towards Sianna in the game. But there are definitely
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: some factors that contradict that a little bit, but I
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: think most of the factors line up in that direction.
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: Samford at Western Carolina. My first read on this was, well,
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: Western Carolina just upset East Tennessee State on the road,
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: huge upset. East Tennessee State is atop this conference here
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: the soacon and East tennis State was almost a ten
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: point favorite in this game.
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: They actually opened eleven and a half it looks like.
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: So that was a big upset for Western Carolina, and shockingly,
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: they actually swept East Tennessee seasons sweep. East Tennessee's two
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: losses were both at the hands of Western Carolina. It's
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: like they just have the matchup edge against them for
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: some reason. Now they're playing Samford, could be in a
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: bit of a letdown mode here. Although I would worry
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: a little bit because they did a lose at Samford,
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: you could you couldn't make the argument that there is
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a revenge factor here for Western Carolina.
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: Samford did actually technically cover that number al though they
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: only won by five, there were four and a half
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: when the game went off. But Samford might show up
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: because they do probably remember that game being a bit close,
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: kind of close for comfort as the favorite against Western Carolina,
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: so they might still show up for a road game here.
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: Problem with Samford though, is they're coming up a big
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: game themselves where they were looking for some road revenge
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: against firm who is one of the better teams in
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: the conference right now, and they fell just short by
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: five points.
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: As a I assume a bigger underdog than that.
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: Let me see five and a half, so not too
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: much bigger, but still a fairly big game that they're
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: coming off of there. And it's a third road game
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: in four games for them now, back to back road games,
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: So I have some concerns about Samford, although I still
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: lean that way because Western Carolina is coming off pretty
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: large upset there, but the money is coming in on
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: the Western Carolina side. I don't really agree with that.
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: Western Carolina is a one and a half point favorite.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: Eighty seven percent of the cash on them, fifty seven
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on Samford's the very strong market read
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: against what I think in that game on Western Carolina.
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: I don't really like bucking market reads like that unless
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: they have a very strong situational read on the game,
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: which I don't really hear. But you could also make
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: the argument that, well, why is Western Carolina favored in
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: this game when they.
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: Have the worst record, worst overall record?
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: It looks a little bit strie but osbigers are telling you, well,
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: Sanford's down from where they were the last couple of years.
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: These teams are not separated by that much. But I
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: still kind of lean towards Samford just because of the
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: let down aspect of that. Then ESPN two has Chattanooga
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: and Firman, which I guess is an okay game. I mean,
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: neither team is that great, They're both kind of mediocre
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: in the conference. Furman is the better team, though, Chattanooga
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: is actually second to last place right now in the conference,
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: even though I'm not sure that they're the second worst
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: team in the conference, though I don't really think so. Now,
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: these two teams did already play, and Chattanooga lost at.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Home to Furman by eighteen. So excuse me, I can't
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: do math by eleven.
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: I'm dude, I'm just like seeing things I'm seeing like
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: I don't know I'm looking at like the wrong lines,
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: like I don't know what I'm doing here Man, And
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: even then I was still wrong.
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know what I'm thinking.
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: Furman beat them by eleven at Chattanooga. Now, Chattanooga is
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: coming off a very, very disgusting loss to Wafford, who
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: is one of the better teams in the conference as
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: well right now, eighty one to fifty five at home.
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: Nobody wants to lose like that, So I do think
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: this is a maximum effort spot for Chattanooga. Here, they're
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: coming up an awful loss, they have the at least
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: on the scoreboard, they have the road revenge aspect of
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: this game, so that you know they will be focused.
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: But also it might mean Furman might not take them
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: that seriously. Firman is coming up to win over Samford
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: even though they barely covered. I don't know that they're
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: gonna pay attention to this because they do have East
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: Tennessee on deck, which is a much bigger game as
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: they're atop the conference, and I don't believe they've played
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: yet this season. So I like Chattanooga in this game.
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: Let me see what the market read looks like. Here,
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: looks like there is maybe some agreement there. Furman dropped
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: from eight and a half to eight.
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: They're gonna be public most likely, and the public might
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: get involved in this game.
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: Just because they want some TV action in the afternoon.
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: Ninety two percent of the tickets one hundred percent of
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: the cash is obviously accurate. But yeah, I don't really
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: have Yeah, I mean that game. I would only take
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: Chattananuga like. I don't really think there are too many
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: conflicting things there. I like Chattanooga and that one, and
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: that probably is That's probably the one that I have
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: the least conflict in my mind about out of all
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: the games I've talked about so far, which I've talked
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: about every single game so far, and that's going to
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: continue because we have Iowa State at Kansas State on
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: Fox number eight.
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: Iowa State. Iowa State probably actually better than that. They're legit.
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: They're rolling to this game off of three wins in
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: a row. They just beat Colorado, who cares. It's not
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: a terrible spot for a Iowa State coming into this one.
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: These teams haven't played each other yet. Weird things can happen, though,
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: when you go to Manhattan. You know, Kansas State could
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: get overlooked right now because they're way at the bottom
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: of the conference, so maybe you don't take them totally seriously.
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: Kansas State's lost a bunch of games here, then they
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: have one winning conference, so they're likely to just show
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: up against anybody. Iowa State certainly the way better team,
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: though Iowa State is laying double digits, are up from
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: twelve to twelve and a half, but they are gonna
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: be the public side seventy nine percent of the tickets,
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: seventy percent of the cash. With a ranked team like
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: Iowa State like that, you probably at least know that
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers are probably gonna have to skew the line
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: a little bit in their direction. So even though there's
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: no real situation here, and sometimes that does mean the
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: better team will show up and get the job done.
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: I kind of lean with the market in this one
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: and lead towards taking the points of Kansas State in
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: that one.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: Just as a home underdog.
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: That's a magnitude that I think is maybe a little
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: bit too much getting the double digits there at home.
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: So I would probably lean that way, but not a
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: strong opinion. CBS Sports at two pm, Kansas City at
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: Saint Thomas. I don't know why this game is tele advised.
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm sorry, but Kansas City is just not
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: a good team. Saint Thomas is one of the best
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: teams in the Summit, although unfortunately for them, they're probably
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: actually not as good as North Dakota State is at
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: this point. I wanted to see Saint Thomas get into
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: the tournament, man, but it might not happen. They still
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: haven't done it in their program history because they're pretty new.
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: To Division One.
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: I feel like North Dakota State gets into the tournament
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: fairly often, but Kansas City, they are a really bad
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: team in this conference. They're only better than Oral Roberts probably,
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: although you know they're gonna show up at least for
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: a game against Saint Thomas most likely because they're one
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: of the better teams in the conference. Saint Thomas is
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: coming up a pretty rough loss at home to North Dakota.
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: Saint Thomas were eleven and a half point favorites in
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: this game and they took the loss. So when a
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: good team takes a loss like that, usually they will
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: show up focus in the next game after a bad
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: game like that. But North Dakota is actually ahead of
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: them in the standings now, so you could actually make
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: an argue with that was a big game for both
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: teams level, I'd be looking more towards fading North Dakota
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: after that win that I would be looking to try
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: to fade Saint Thomas and thinking that, oh, that was
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: a big or anything.
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: I think probably because they were a huge favorite there.
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: Probably they do bounce back and show up in this game,
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: but I don't think i'd want to lay as many
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: points as they're laying here either, though they are up
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: from eighteen and a half to nineteen here. The money
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: is actually coming back on Kansas City formerly UMKC fifty
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets ninety eight percent of the cash
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: on UMKC, so the money is saying, UMKC there, some
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: of them might be a numbers read because that is
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: a lot of points to lay.
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: All though in the Summit League usually you get high
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: scoring games.
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: It's kind of a high scoring league, So I don't
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: really know what I would want to do with this game.
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: My first instinct was Saint Thomas should bounce back and
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: play better here than they did in that prior game,
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: So I was kind of leaning towards laying the points,
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: but the market is saying otherwise, and I don't have
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: a strong opinion really on.
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: The side there at all. Appleatch Franklin, what's up? Man?
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: Or should I call you? Should I call you?
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: Scott Adams? That that's Scott Adams's image almost looks like
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: Homer Simpson. Is it Bowling Green's year? No, I do
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: not think so. They have a good defense, they're one
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: of the best defenses in the MAC probably, but they're
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: definitely not as good as I mean, certainly not.
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: Akron.
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: Akron is still the best team in the MAC power
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: ratings wise, and in my opinion, Miami Ohio can't really
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: argue with them continuing to win, and they did yesterday too,
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: although that was against a weak team.
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: And in a decent spot.
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: But Miami Ohio is probably the second best team in
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: that conference. I mean, we could look at Ken Palm,
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: but I think there are probably at least four teams
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: in that conference that are ahead of So he has
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: got Akron first, Miami Ohio second. Significantly lower than Akron
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: by the way, he does have Bowling Green third. So
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: I was kind of expecting maybe Kent State or Ohio
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: to be ahead of them, but he's got Kent State fourth,
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: and then Toledo actually next, then you Mass, then Buffalo.
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: Where's Ohio. Ohio's way down? I had Ohio way off.
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: I guess Ohio very lucky team.
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: Still don't see Bowling Green get past those other teams.
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: But Bowling Green is a little bit sneaky.
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: In that conference because they don't look that good, and
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: teams that play defense usually get overlooked at.
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: Like people love offense, they don't like defense.
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: You know, so people overlook the more defensive teams and
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: think that they're worse than they actually are. But I
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: still think it's probably gonna come down to Akron to
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: Miami Ohio though, and I still think that maybe can
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: I would still I don't know, Man I just don't
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: see Bowling Green actually being better than like Kent State
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: a little.
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: They do have the better defense. We'll see. It's gonna
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: be an interesting conference tournament. All right.
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: We have ESPNU at two pm as East Carolina at
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: Florida Atlantic. I don't know who's gonna want to watch
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: this game either. Oh no, wait, sorry, Wichiton Tulsa.
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: My mistake.
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: I don't even think I want to talk about East
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: Carolina FAU. That game is so bad, so ugly. The
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: TV game is Wichiton Tulsa. All right, that's a better game.
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: Actually.
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: Wichita coming to this game off of beating Memphis though,
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: and whenever you beat Memphis in this conference, that's satisfying.
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: Even though Memphis looks like they're a little bit down
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: from where they were, I don't think they're really that
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: bad still this year though. Decent win for Wichita there,
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: although I don't really think they're gonna overlook Tulsa either,
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: because Tulsa is possibly the best team in this conference
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: in the American Tulsa coming up beating North Texas not
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: a huge game for them, really. They're in North Texas
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: a little bit down this year, but they do have
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: Florida Atlantic on DAK and Florida Atlantic is one of
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: their main competition right now in the conference standings, So
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: the game might have been leaning a little bit towards
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: Wichita here because they might get overlooked a little bit.
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: They're kind of just in the middle of the pack.
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: They're just kind of hovering around. To me, it seems
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: like they're getting overlooked a bit. I probably prefer Wichita
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: plus the points in this one. Tulsa's a six and
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite. Line hasn't really moved ninety percent
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: of the tickets on them, though the public likely will
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: be on them if they're gonna be playing this game,
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: but seventy eight percent of the cash, so less of
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: the money that the tickets on Tulsa.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't disagree.
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: With whichiton that one, though, Yeah, I mean, I just
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: think again, I think they have the potential to be
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: overlooked a little bit. Could be a look at spot
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: for Tulsa, although I guess you might have slightly worried
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: about Wichita being letdown mode after Memphis, but probably not
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: because Memphis isn't that good this year. In Tulsa is
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: right near the top of the conference, all right. I mean,
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: if you want me to talk about East Carolina FAU,
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: I could come back to it, but I don't.
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: Have any real opinion on it at all. It's just
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: an ugly game.
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: I am talking about the TV games though. TNT True
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: TV has TCU in Colorado, which is really not the
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: greatest matchup. TCU probably have kind of played their way
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: out of tournament consideration at this one. Another you don't
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: know what they're gonna do with the remainder of the season,
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: but they're coming off a pretty big performance against Houston.
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: Man they didn't cover.
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: They lost my nine, but they were kind of hanging
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: around in that game, so I think they could be
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: in a weird spot coming up that lost to Houston,
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: a big emotional game for them, Texas rivalry as well.
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: Now they have to go into elevation play Colorado. Though
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: they did go out into Utah already and they played
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: well against BYU, and then I think the reason they
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: lost to Utah on the heels of that is because
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: they had played a huge game against.
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: BYU, so I think they were probably hung over.
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: So you could say that TCU is already used to
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: playing in elevation at the very least in Colorado is.
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: Not as good as BYU obviously.
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: Now Colorado is coming off getting smoked by Iowa State,
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: though no real shame in that Iowa State's an elite team,
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: but Colorado might have more of a tendency to.
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: Bounce back from that.
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, they are gonna pretty much show up for
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: any game at this point because they have six straight losses.
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: So I do think the spot does set up better
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: for Colorado in this game.
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: That's the way I would lean. The line also looks a.
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: Little bit crazy where TCU is barely favored here. I
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: know it's because they're on the road, but I think
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: the public is gonna only want to lead towards CCU
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: in this one, even though the.
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: Record is not that much better.
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: It's a pick the winner type type of line there,
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: although of course it has the factor in home court
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: of course TCU. Yeah, I mean again, I would lean
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: to Colorado in this game. TCU did drop from two
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: to one and a half here, seventy one percent of
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: the tickets on them eighty percent of the cash, so
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: it does look like the cash percentages on them for now, but.
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: I think they will be the public side. I lean
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: towards Colorado and that one. Next game up you get
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: a TV game. It's an ugly Big Ten game, but
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: it is one of my best bets this This is
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: gonna be real ugly this one. I mean, either way
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: that I go in this game, it's gonna be ugly.
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: But I'm going the even uglier way. We're gonna take
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: Penn State plus one. So we basically need Penn State
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: to win the game. And I know they have not
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: won the Big Ten yet. They're bad, I know, but
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: Minnesota is not that much better. This is on Peacock.
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: It's a two PM mostly this is about spot. I
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: don't think Minnesota is in a good spot at all
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: as they're coming up a few pretty big games. They
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: were hanging around for a while against Nebraska before Nebraska
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: started running away with it in the end.
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: But Minnesota had that lead in that game in the
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: second half.
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: And then Minnesota turned around and went for revenge on
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: the road at Madison after Wisconsin beat them in Minnesota.
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: Minnesota played really well in the game. There were big
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: underdogs in this game. Wisconsin. I mean, they're likely to
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: be a tournament team at this point. They beat Michigan.
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: This is also a rivalry between Minnesota and Wisconsin, so
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: you know, Minnesota got up for that game.
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: It was a huge game for them.
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: Wisconsin were ten point favorites basically when the game went off.
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: So this is a huge performance from a big underdog,
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: and you know when a big underdog performs like that,
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: I like to look to fathe them in the next game.
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: But look at how the game played out too.
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: Minnesota was winning this game by twenty points right before halftime.
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: They still had a pretty sizable lead.
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: In the second half, Wisconsin just kind of clawed their
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: way back into the game, got back into it, and
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: then it was close for the rest of the game.
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: So Minnesota looked like they were gonna win the game
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: and maybe run away with it, and then they wound
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: up falling short and losing the game in a huge
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: rivalry game. Revenge game is a big favorite. That's pretty bad, man,
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: So I think you're gonna come up flat in the
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: next game after something like that.
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: And if that wasn't bad enough, they got to.
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: Play Michigan State next in three days, so that's a
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: huge game as well. So I just don't know what
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: they're gonna have in this game against the one team
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: it doesn't have a win yet in the conference. In
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: Minnesota is really not that much better than Penn State.
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: Like I said, both teams are pretty bad as far
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: as Big Ten is concerned. Minnesota's playing a second straight
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: road game. Penn State is coming back home, which I like.
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: I like it when teams come back home in college Man,
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: and they lost their last home game because I think
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: they tend to show up better because well, we lost
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: our last game at home. We're also talking about a
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: Penn State team that they've been somewhat competitive in some
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: of their home games.
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: Man. They lost by four to Michigan State.
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: They caught Michigan State in a good spot and that
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: was a play that we won on the show. So
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: there was that and we were getting a ton of points.
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: But still that was a good performance from them. And
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: they also only lost by eight at home to Illinois.
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: They lost by two to Michigan at home, and they
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: did also have an eight point road loss to Purdue,
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: and then coming off of that, they fell flat at home,
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: losing by double digits UCLA.
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: But this Penn State team has actually.
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: Competed in some of these games, Man, and a six
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: point loss at Ohio State's not a horrible result either,
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: So this team can perform. Man, I don't think they're
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: gonna be looking ahead to Michigan even though it is
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: their next game. You can't afford to overlook anybody, man,
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: when you're a winless team in conference like this and
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: you're coming off another ugly loss. So we are gonna
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: ride Penn State in this one. Market does seem to
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: agree with me. Now, Minnesota has gone up from one
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: to one and a half. Here you might be able
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: to get one and a half on this sixty five
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets on them, fifty five percent of
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: the cash, So the public is on Minnesota to some extent,
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: the ticket percentages on them, the cash percentage less, So
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: which I like to see. We're gonna take Penn State.
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: And as far as what ken Bump says, ken Bum
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: I believe has this is a one point win for Minnesota. Yeah,
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: he has Penn State pretty bad at one thirtieth, but
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: he's got them pretty unlucky. He two hundred and seventy six,
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: So that means they've underperformed a little bit. They're definitely
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: weak defensively, there's no doubt about that.
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: They play about.
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: They play kind of a mid tempo style, but I
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: think Penn State, because they are kind of known for
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: playing a bit faster recently, I think they might do
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: that in this game and just try to score, which
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: is not what Minnesota wants to do. Minnesota plays slow
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: and they play defense, and I know I usually like defense,
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: especially if they're getting points, although they're not here, but
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: in this case, it's a bad situation for them. I'm
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: gonna roll with the offense in this one and hope
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: the Penn State can can just run the floor and
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: get Minnesota uncomfortable by playing an up tempo game. That's
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: what we want here. That's probably what Penn State wants
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: to do here. They have the better offense, so the
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: Minnesota obviously has the better defense. Minnesota, they are unlucky though,
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: Corey to ken Bum's Lucky Index, we have two pretty
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: unlucky teams here.
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: Both teams have.
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: Faced a similarly difficult schedule, so that stuff is just
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: kind of a wash. But Minnesota does play excessively slow,
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: so I think if Penn State is able to speed
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: this thing up, that might be able to get this
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: game into their wheelhouse and they might be able to
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: actually get this thing done. Total is still low though,
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: at one forty three, but it has gone up a
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: little bit at the very least, although money looks like
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: it is coming back in on the under. And I
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: do think we could have sided total potentially correlated in.
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: A game like that. But I'm playing the side and
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: I'm playing the spot.
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: Man, I think it's a horrible sandwich spot that Minnesota
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: is in. So that's where we're going with that one.
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: I wasn't really planning on talking about the rest of
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: these games. Well, the matt Ex just has a lot
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: of situations going on in their conference, man, Like they
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: do have a Quinnipiac. I think it's coming off that
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: loss that I think I mentioned. Yeah, they lost at
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: home is a big favorite to say Sacred Heart, But
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: if you look at what Quinnipiac was coming off of,
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: they'd played a tough game on.
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: The road at Maris the game before.
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: That, so I think they were probably a bit hung
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: over after that game didn't play well against Sacred Heart.
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: Now I think it might be the bounce back spot
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: because they don't really have anything bigger upcoming, so I
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: think they might go into Fairfield and show up here.
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: Fairfield will get up for it too, though, because these
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: teams are close geographically. They're both in Connecticut and fairly
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: near by each other, fairfieldly near by each other, although
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: Sacred Heart is also one of those though, and that's
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: another reason why Sacred Heart probably did get up for
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: that game against Quinnepiac because Sacred Heart is actually also
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: in Fairfield. So these teams, you know, I think Quinnipiac
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: kind of has established themselves as sort of the bigger
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: brother out of there, so yeah, I guess for that reason,
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: maybe Fairfield will try to get up for this. Fairfield
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: is coming off a decent road win at Iona, though
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: I don't think this is a huge upset, but yeah,
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: Iona was like a one two point favorite there, but
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: that's still a pretty big win. Iona known for being
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: pretty good in this conference usually, so Fairfield is coming
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: off of that at the very least little. I don't
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: really see them overlooking Quinnipiac here, even though they do
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: have their rival Sacred to Hard up next and I
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: don't think they've played them yet this season, so both
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: of those teams being in Fairfield. But again, probably they
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: don't overlook Quinnipiac, but I kind of lean towards Quinnipiac
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: just because they are the better team and they're coming
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: off an ugly loss. Uh So the market seems like
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: it does agree. Even though Quinnipiac dropped from two to
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: one and a half. Sixty percent of the tickets are
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: on Fairfield for some reason, which doesn't make any sense
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: to me, because you'd think Quinnipiac would get the public
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: action because they have the better record too, I believe,
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: But fifty nine percent of the cash on Quinnipea, I
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: would agree with that market. On the Quinnipax side, there
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: we have Right State at green Bay.
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: Now, the first thing of.
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: Note here with Green Bay is they just took a
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: horrible loss to Cleveland State. Both of these teams just
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: lost to Cleveland State, which is pretty ridiculous because Cleveland
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: State is not good. They're one of the worst teams
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: in the horizon. Right State is probably the best team
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: in the horizon. Green Bay kind of establishing themselves as
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: a competitor here in the horizon. But Green Bay is
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: coming off that loss to Cleveland State, and I think
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: Green Bay might have overlooked that. Man, they might have
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: been looking ahead to this Right State game here. So
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: green Bay coming off a bad loss should be in
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: bounced back mode here should be extra focused. Right State
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: coming into this game off of beating Milwaukee second straight
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: road game.
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: Beating Milwaukee doesn't really matter. I know. These two teams
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: did already play.
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: Actually in Right State blew the doors off of Green
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: Bay at Right State they beat them by almost thirty points,
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: by twenty eight points, so there is a little bit
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: of a revenge modive here. Or again, it's more so
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: that Right State might not take Green Bay seriously after that.
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: Right State plays Robert Morris next, so I don't think
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: they've played yet. But Robert Morris did win the conference
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: last year at the very least, so that they're not
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: that good this year. I'm not saying Right State's gonna
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: completely overlook this game, but the fact that they already
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: demolished this team might mean they don't take them as
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: seriously might mean that Green Bay is gonna make the
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: adjustments to it.
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: Green Bay's coming up the horrific loss.
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: Right State already bounced back from there lost to Cleveland State,
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: so I would lean towards Green Bay in this one,
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: towards the green Bay Phoenix aka the Fighting Doug Gottliebs
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: because he is ridiculously their coach. Now eighty two percent
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: of the tickets on right state, so the public looks
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: like it's on the right state side, which is probably
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: not the right side in my opinion of this game,
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: eighty four percent of the cash on right state.
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: They dropped from five to four. I like Green Bay.
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: That's where with that one, all right, Then we do
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: have Maris and Niagara in the matt Act. Marius, like
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: I said, they're coming up a pretty bad game against Canesius,
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: but that was kind of explainable because Maris had just
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: beating Quinnipiac in a pretty big win the game before that.
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: So I think they didn't take Canesius seriously.
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: They overlooked them, barely got by them as a big favorite.
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: Now they're staying in Buffalo, and they.
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: Might actually show up for a game against Niagara because
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: they didn't play well against Canesius there, so.
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: I think they might show up here. Even though Niagara
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: is an awful team.
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: A Maris has ride or next to are also really bad,
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: maybe even worse than Niagara, So I do like Maris
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: in this one. Niagara, as I said, they're coming up
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: a big performance against Sianna. Now, while I think they
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: won't overlook Marius because Marius is still one of the
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: better teams in the conference. I mean there is at
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: least maybe the potential for that because they do have
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: their rival Canesius up next.
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: But I think that game would.
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: Be bigger for Canesius because they lost to Niagara already.
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: But yes, if I was gonna play this game, I
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: would be on the better team in the bounce back
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: spot versus the worst team that's coming off of almost
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: pulling off an upset.
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: So I prefer Marist in this game.
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: It looks like sixty percent of the tickets and cash
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: on Niagara very strange.
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: I would not expect.
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: Niagara to be a public side, which seems very bizarre.
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: Maris did drop from ten to nine here, so maybe
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: there is actually some professional money coming in on Niagara,
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: maybe for number reasons. Maybe it's a numbers play, but
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: I would lean towards Marist in that game based on
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: the situation, I would probably lay the points all right.
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: Skipping a couple of these games here, we have a
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: few big games.
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: Next.
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: One of my players is left. ESPN two has Tulane
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: at Memphis at three pm. In the American Tulane is
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: just not as good as the record looks. Man, Memphis
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: is definitely gonna be the favorite in this game. Tulane
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: is coming up a bunch of losses in a row,
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: five losses in a row, although most of those were
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: to team that are doing pretty well in the conference though,
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: so they're not exactly doing that badly.
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: But now they're playing a third road game in four games.
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: You know, I mean, they're not gonna overlook Memphis, but
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: I don't know, because this Tulane team just isn't really
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: that good. Memphis is coming off of beating FAU though
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: and absolutely drilling them. That was a big win for
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: Memphis because FAU was right near the top of the standings,
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: So there is the possibility Memphis is in a bit
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: of a let down here. They got UAB up next,
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: which might be a bigger game because UAB is kind
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: of middle of the pack and the standings higher than
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: Tulane is. But at the very least, Memphis might be
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: feeling really high on themselves after that.
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: Huge blowout win of FAU.
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: So I do actually probably lean to Tulane in this one,
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: even though I don't think that they're as good as
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: their record might indicate. Memphis down from eleven and a
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: half to nine, So that's kind of the thing here.
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: The line is something that you should take notice of
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: because like, why would.
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: A ten and ten team be laying basically double digits
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: against a twelve and nine team?
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: Right, Like, the line doesn't look right.
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: So the oddspeakers are telling you Memphis is the way
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: better team, but it does look like Memphis is getting.
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: The public action here.
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: Seventy eight percent of tickets on the probably because of
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: name recognition. Everybody sees Memphis making the tournament every year
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: and such, eighty nine percent of the cash on Tulane,
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: And I do agree with Tulane plus the points in
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: that one, and the line has dropped from eleven and
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: a half to nine, like I said, on Memphis, So yeah,
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: based on the spot, I would agree with Tulane there.
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: Then in the rise, when we have Cleveland State at Milwaukee,
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: and like I said, Cleveland State's coming off those back
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: to back ridiculous road upsets of Right State and Green Bay.
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: Right State, they were probably like fifteen.
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: Point underdogs in that game, maybe more, and then they
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: were probably close to ten point dogs against green Bay,
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: so they're coming up back to back monster upsets. Now
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: they're facing Milwaukee, who they did lose to at home though,
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: so that might keep Cleveland State focus just because they
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: are technically in a road revenge angle here because they're
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: playing a team that them at home, but coming up
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: with those two huge upsets and with Oakland on deck
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: in Oakland is right near the top of the conference
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: as well. It is also a sandwich spot the Cleveland
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: State is in here, so I think it's a really
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: bad spot for Cleveland State.
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: It's a pretty major letdown spot here.
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: It's just the revenge factor or the fact that Milwaukee
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: might overlook them is a little bit of a concern.
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: And the fact that Milwaukee just played Right State also
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a concern because that was a
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: big game.
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: They lost by seven.
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: I think the game wasn't as close as the final
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: looked though. They don't really have anything that big up
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: next either, so I lean Milwaukee in this game, but
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: it does not make my card. Cleveland State looks like
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: they're a public underdog, which is not really where you
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: want to look usually when you see a public dog,
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: because then the public is actually siding with the lesser team,
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: which is really not what you want. Sixty seven percent
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: of the tickets on Cleveland State, believe it or not,
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: and sixty percent of the cash, so less of the
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: cash on them. Milwaukee's laying eight point points. So maybe
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: the public just is looking at recency and thinking that
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: that line looks too big, because why would you want
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: to lay eight points with a below five hundred team, right,
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: So I think that's probably what the public is thinking.
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: But yes, I would lay the points with Milwaukee if
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: I was gonna do it.
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: Cleveland State they're bad. I mean, they just.
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: Pulled off those absurd upsets, all right. Fox Sports won
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: Actually probably the biggest game of the day. Number nine Illinois,
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: number five Nebraska in the Big Ten. This is my
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: other best bet, the only other one today.
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: Let's do it.
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: As I already said, we're gonna be on Illinois plus
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: the two and a half here now the two and
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: a half. It might even be three. Like I don't know,
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you wait, I don't know if the
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: public's gonna be coming in a Nebraska I think yeah,
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: I mean probably waiting is not gonna do you any
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: good because I don't know Nebraska is about a two
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: point favorite now two and a half. But I still
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: think it's good in this range, even though we missed
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: out on the three. Sixty seven percent of tickets sixty
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the cash on Nebraska, So for now
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: it looks like the cash percentage is on Nebraska.
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: But I expect them to be a public side.
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: Because it's like, well, you're picking the winner here and
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: Nebraska has one loss, right, so the public is going
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: to expect Nebraska to bounce right back, like, oh, Nebraska
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: is one loss and it was against an elite Michigan
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: team who they almost beat in an Arbors. The public
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: is probably gonna say, well, of course Nebraska will bounce
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: back from that, and you're just asking me to pick
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: the winner, right, So they will probably side with Nebraska,
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: and I am not gonna do that. The Oddsburgers are
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: first of all telling you by not giving Nebraska even
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: full home court here, they're telling you that Illinois is
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: actually the better team here. I agree with that. I
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: don't think these rankings are correct nine versus five here.
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: Ken Bomb actually has Illinois sixth in the country and
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: he has Nebraska twelve. So I apologize to Nate for
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: all of this, But I have no real bias here, man.
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: My only bias is towards the handicapping process and what
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: the process is telling me, what the situation tells me,
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: what the analytics are saying me, versus what the rankings
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: and makers are.
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: Trying to sell me.
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: So ken Bam is telling you what the oddsmakers are
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: telling you, that Illinois is the better team. I think
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: he does have this being a I believe he has
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: this being a one or two point win for Nebraska.
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: But this line, I don't know about this line, man,
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: because as you know, we played Illinois way back when
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: they were at home against Nebraska and they lost the
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: game outright. And if you remember, Illinois were like eleven
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: point favorites in this game, so sure, they probably shouldn't
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: have been favored by quite that much, you know, I mean,
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: Michigan was just favored by eleven against the Michigan is
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: better than Illinois. So okay, let's say that that line
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: should have been like nine Illinois and nine point favorite
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: at home against Nebraska probably would have been a fair
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: like actual line based on what we've seen since then.
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: And if that's the case, then Illinois should basically still
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: be a favorite in this game.
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: So this line just seems a little bit off to me.
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: Man, I think potentially the wrong team might be favored
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: in this one.
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: Illinois.
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: I liked how the setup is too, even though usually
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: the public is recency bias. I think they're just kind
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: of ignoring Illinois because they just have really one really
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: good win in here on the road at Purdue that
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: might catch the public's eye. But the public doesn't even
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: look that far back. Really, But you remember what I
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: did in Illinois's game after that, I faded them. I said,
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: play Washington plus the points at Illinois and Washington.
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: Sure enough, they covered. Illinois was okay.
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: In the game, and their momentum will continue, but they
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: were in a huge sandwich spot because they just pulled
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: off the big upset at Purdue, which is very difficult
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: to do, and they had this monster game at Nebraska
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: on deck, so that was a sandwich spot. So now
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: we have Illinois coming off a not great performance, but
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: it was explainable in a bad spot. They still won,
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: so the momentum continues, and now they get Nebraska in
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: a road revenge spot where it's a spot where Illinois,
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: as a big favorite at home, lost to this Nebraska team,
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: So I think Illinois will have the adjustments to.
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: Make in this game.
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna say Nebraska is gonna overlook them, but
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: I do think Illinois will have things to change after
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: that first game, figure out what went wrong. Because I
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: still think they are the better team, and the better
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: team with the adjustments to make, I think it's gonna
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: win out. Plus, I think Nebraska is in a horrible
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: spot because they're coming up a huge game against Michigan.
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: First of all, I know this is also a big
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: game against Illinois, but that was a monster game against
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: Michigan that was considered to be like the battle for
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: the best team, maybe even in the country according to
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: some people, which I don't think so. I mean, obviously
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: I think it's Michigan versus Arizona. But huge, huge game, man,
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: and Nebraska fell just short. I thought Michigan would have
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: an easier time winning that game, but no, Nebraska was
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: in that game the whole time, and they were winning
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: that game for quite a bit and Michigan had to
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: kind of escape with the win at the end. It
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: was a monster game for Nebraska. And what do I
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: always tell you when a team, especially this deep into
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: the season, Nebraska was one of three remaining undefeated teams left.
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: A team gets this deep into the season, they go
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: twenty and oh to start the season, and then they
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: finally lose. And this has been a great angle that's
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: worked this year, and I haven't really used it myself
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: very much, so of course this is gonna be the
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: one time where it loses, right But when a team
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: goes this deep into the season and they finally lose,
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: that usually hangs them over to It's like they lose
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: that same game twice because they haven't faced that kind
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: of adversity, right, Like, they're not used to it. They
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: haven't lost a game yet, so like, how do you
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: bounce back from that?
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean?
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: And it's happened in other cases this year already. It
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: happened to Vanderbilt, it happened to like some.
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: Of these other teams that were undefeated late into the season, Vandy,
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: and then who are the other ones? I forget, there
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: were a couple other ones and they all lost that
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: next game. So that's what we're going with here as well.
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: That angle is coming into play here. The I don't
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: know what to call it, but the.
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: Loss of perfection hangover spot here. Yeah, we're gonna go
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: with Illinois here man, And those are my two plays
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: on the day here, plus the points and obviously put
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: some of the bet on the money line as well
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: in that one, all right, And then we do have
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: a couple other TV games East Tennessee State and Wafford.
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: These two games are gonna be at night. A lot
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: of times there are no night games on Sunday, but.
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: There are now because this is the first Sunday since
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: the start of football season where we do not have
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: any football, no NFL on Sunday. Man feels like a
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: naked Sunday as we have to wait until next week
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: for the Super Bowl. And yes, I will have a
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: Super Bowl special episode. Probably i'll do it on Saturday,
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: because I don't think we're gonna get any I don't
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: think we're really gonna lose value on the line or whatever.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: And super Bowl, if you're fading.
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: The public, like the public is gonna come in and
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: like probably hammer some of these props in like an
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: opposite way. But generally I would say I don't really
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: have any statistical props yet that I really love, though,
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: Like I just have my kind of mind fuck props,
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: and those are ones where I fade the public. So
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: in those ones, I just wait like right up until
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: game time almost to get the best number because you're
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: fading the public, and the Super Bowl, the public's going
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: to influence the number. You know, it's like the only
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: game where the public can influence the number. So if
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: you like anything in the Super Bowl that's in opposition
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: to the public, basically you can wait up until the
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: game starts.
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: And most of my players are that way. So I'll
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: let people know.
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: If I do wind up with like some statistical prop
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: that I want to go with, it's not going to
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: factor into that. But as of now, I don't. I
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: just have the kind of my standard props and I
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: like the side in the game. What you already know,
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: I like New England. But I still think we're gonna
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: get the basically the same number for this entire week,
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: so and maybe a better number leading up towards game
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: time because they think.
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: The public is against them all right.
• 56:45
  Speaker 2: East Tennessee State at Wawford Night game, seven pm, CBS Sports.
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: This is a good game. This is the best game
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: in the SOACON today. These are the top two teams
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: in the conference. Record wise right now, and possibly power
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: ratings wise as well.
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: The mercers kind of in the mixed too.
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: East Tennessee State coming off that ugly loss to Western Carolina,
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: so I think they might have been looking ahead to Wafford.
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: I think they might bounce back here in this game
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: against Wafford. So East Tennessee State probably gonna be in
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: a bounce back mode here, and they are the better
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: team against Wafford. Wafford coming off of obliterating Chattanooga, like
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: I said, now, they're not gonna overlook East Tennessee, but
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: East Tennessee might just have a little bit more motivation
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: here just to bounce back from that horrendous loss, and
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: you might maybe get a little bit alive value that way.
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: So I like East Tennessee State in this game. Wafford
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: looks like they're the public side here. Seventy eight percent
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: of the tickets, only sixty eight percent of the cash
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: on them, and that is really not what you want
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: a home public underdog. That's you don't see those too
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: often and usually you want to fade those.
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: So you're getting the better.
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: Team and going against the public, and the public is
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: on the home team in that one, very very odd,
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: but yes, I would go East Tennessee in that when
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: the Osweggers are telling you there's still the better team
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: by a decent margin here in that their favorite on
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: the road. But the public is just seeing both teams
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: have the same record. They're seeing what teams did last. Oh,
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'll take the points right with the home team.
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: That's what the public is thinking in the game. But
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: the Oswegers are telling you to not think that way.
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: So you can kind of figure out, like the Osbakers
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: are telling you a tail sometimes with what they set
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: these numbers at, you know, to try to induce action
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: potentially a certain way, although really their goal is to
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: split the action though, but you know the fact that
• 58:35
  Speaker 2: they set a number out of certain.
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: Yeah, if they the fact that they set.
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: A certain number, they kind of have to know that
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: they're gonna get one way action in some of these cases, right,
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: And sometimes they seem to be just pretty much.
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: Okay with it.
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: And then Fox Sports won the late game. Eight PM
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: is a Big ten game with Iowa at Oregon and
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: I have conflicting reads on this game where Iowa didn't
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: get the job done for US against USC even though
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: They had a huge lead in that game against USC.
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: They fell short.
• 59:06
  Speaker 2: They lost the game, or excuse me, they didn't lose
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: the game, they fell short of the number.
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: Excuse it. They were blowing USC.
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: Out for a while there and then they wound up
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: almost losing the game, which is ridiculous. So now Iowa
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: is in a spot where they should have played better.
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: They almost lost as a big favorite, so they did
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: get a scare. Now I do like playing on teams
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: that had a scare because they.
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: Usually show up focus.
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: But I don't know if I want them in a
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: late night game going to an unfamiliar time zone and
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: unfamiliar environment.
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: Rightly, going out to Oregon. Oregon is definitely bad.
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: But of course I was gonna be a favorite in
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: this game for that reason too, But yeah, I worry
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: about it. Does seem like it should be a positive
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: spot for them, though, because they're coming up that close
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: game that shouldn't have been close. As a big favorite,
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: Oregon is gonna be desperate probably though, I mean, they
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: just they've been awful this year.
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: They have one conference win.
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: They haven't won for quite a while since I think, yeah,
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: really rolling in conference the first game in official conference
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: play was the last time they.
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: Won a game.
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: Uh, And they're staying in the Pacific times onto the
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: very least. So there's some things that are better for
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: Oregon here, like they're staying at home and they probably
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: can't overlook anybody at this point.
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: But Iowa, you know.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: The better team should be pretty motivated off of that
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: bad performance. Iowa's up from a nine point verage or
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: a ten nap point favorite, but they are the public
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: side seventy seven percent of the tickets and only sixty
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: three percent of the cash on them. So the market
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: read is saying, take the points with Oregon, and you
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: are getting a lot of points here, and what is
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: probably gonna be an ugly game totals low when it's
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: gone lower one thirty three. I mean, we know Iowa
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 2: plays slow, they play like low scoring games. Oregon plays
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: a lot of ugly, low scoring games as well, so
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: points might be at a premium there. So I'm not
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 2: really gonna disagree with taking the points with Oregon.
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: But I do not want any part of that game. Jeff,
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man?
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: Rider is a gross underdog? You think the line looks short?
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: I could talk about that game. I guess I haven't
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: talked about that game. I don't think. I think that
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: was one of the only games I skipped. I don't
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: like the game, but let me see. It's Saint Peter's
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: at Ryder. Saint Peter's is coming off. Oh, they bounced
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: back from that Merrimack loss. I guess they beat Mount
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: Saint Mary's, which they should have because they were.
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: A favorite there.
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: Now they're going to Ride, or they might overlook Ryder
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 2: because Ryder sucks and Saint Peter's did already beat them
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: by double digits at home, so I don't know. But
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: they only played Manhattan next, so that's not a big
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: look ahead spot or anything.
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: So I don't know.
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: I don't really see much in the spot one way
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: or the other for Saint Peter's there for Rider, they're
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: coming off a close loss at Manhattan. Now, how big
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: of an underdog were they in this game? Five and
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: a half, so they technically covered but not by much.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: That wasn't like the biggest game for Ryder though, And
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: I don't really think they're gonna overlook Saint Peter's after
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 2: they did lose to them, So you know, I don't
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: have much for this game, but I think I would
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: lean to ride or plus the points in this one
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: if I was going to play the game, and the
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: market seems like it is in line with that, as
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: Saint Peter's dropped from an eight point favorite to a
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: seven and a half point favorite. Seventy two percent of
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: the tickets are on them rider fifty four percent of
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: the cash though, so the money is agreeing with Ryder
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: in that game. Total has gone up a little bit,
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: but it's still low in the one thirties. I mean,
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: these teams both play pretty ugly games, but I mean,
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: I don't know, is it short. I mean Saint Peter's
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: is not a good team. Ken Bom has them well
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: outside the top two hundred. He has them very lucky,
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: twenty six in the country in luck. So he's telling
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: you Saint Peter's is nowhere near as good as they look,
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: and they need to lay that many points and they're
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: barely in the top three hundred offensively. According to ken
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: Bomb that is not something I would want to do
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: lay points with that team. Ryder is absolutely pitiful though
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: I know their offense is one of the absolute worst.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: Their defense is hardly any better than that, but they
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: are unlucky according to Ken Bomb at three hundred thirtieth.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: So I actually think there actually might be some line
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: value in that game with Ryder in that one because
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: of the what Ken bamb is telling you with the
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: luck index. He's telling you that Ryder should be at
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: least a little bit better than they look right now,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: and that Saint Peter's should be worse than they look.
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: And if the line seems short, you know, if it's
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: something that looks too good to be true. But yes,
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: I lean towards Rider in that game. That would be
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: my opinion, but I don't I don't want to. I
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: would not want to have any money on that. I
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: think you might be a little bit psycho if you
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: want to play that game at all. But again, if
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: you forced me to, I would take the points with
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: the Ryder in that one. All right, NHL, we have
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: three games here. There's an ESPN doubleheader as well. The
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: first game up is an afternoon game at three pm
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: LA Kings at Carolina.
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: The Kings just won at Philadelphia.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: I think both teams played yesterday, because almost every team
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: played yesterday except for my boss to Bruins, and I
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: think maybe their opponent today. Kings beat Philadelphia in overtime yesterday,
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: so they might be getting a little bit tier coming
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 2: off of that. Man, they're playing a third game in
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: four days, fourth game in six days, all in different cities,
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: and luckily for them, they did have a postponed game
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: prior to that, because it would be even worse for
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: them if they had to play have played that game
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: in Columbus. But still they're on back to back with travel,
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: coming off an overtime game, a pretty big win at Philadelphia.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: They're not going to overlook Carolina, but I do think
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: the spot sets up better for Carolina. Carolina's staying at home,
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: or no excuse me, they're not staying at home.
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: They went to Washington, but I think that might.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: Still be a little bit of an easier travel spot.
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: And they were at home the game before that, and
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: they had four days off prior to that, so Carolina
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: is the more rested team.
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: They lost yesterday.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: They did play an overtime game, but they lost at Washington,
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 2: so now they're back home.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: I think the spot does set up better for Carolina.
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: Even though the Kings are on the road, they'll show
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: up for a game against Carolina, but Carolina is the
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: better team it looks like the money's agreeing with Carolina.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: They went up for minus one eighty four to minus
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: one eighty five, seventy percent of the tickets and eighty
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash on them.
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: I agree with that. I would leave Carolina as well.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: If you want to play that game, he'd probably have
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: to do like make your own minus one puck line
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: on that, or you know, do Carolina to win in regulation,
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: which you know, I was not a fan of when
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: I was doing those bets. So I don't know though.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: For Carolina, it may be a better proposition to have
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: to get them to win in regulation because they only
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: have six overtime losses on the entire season, so when
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: they win, they usually do it in regulation. So there
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: is that aspect of it, and that would cut the
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: price down quite a bit. ESPN at six point thirty
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: has Boston my Boston Bruins not at Tampa Bay, although
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: the game's in Tampa Bay versus Tampa Bay. This is
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: one of these new stupid stadium series games, the Navy
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: Federal Credit Union Stadium Series. They're playing in Raymond James Stadium,
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: the Buccaneers Stadium. I don't know how this setup is
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: gonna be because in Florida, you would imagine it's not
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: cold enough to have like an ice rink out there.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: Although I don't know, people have said that it did
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: get cold in Florida recently, so.
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: I could be wrong about that.
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: But obviously when they scheduled this game, they couldn't bank
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: on that bank, no pun intended.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: But with both snow and a credit union, there you go.
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: So I don't know what this game is gonna look
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: like if they somehow make it indoors. I mean, it
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: seems very very bizarre to me. It's gonna be bizarre
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: for both teams.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: It's kind of a big event, so both teams will
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: probably show up for it. The Bruins coming.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: Up a pretty good looking win against Philadelphia coming into
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: this game. They I don't think they're gonna look ahead
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: because Tampa's just really really good this year, although the
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: Bruins do have so it's kind of become a hated
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: rival of theirs with Florida on deck because Florida's got
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: Myershawn Now Florida knocked the Bruins out of the playoffs,
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: not last year.
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: But both years the two years prior to that.
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: Still, I don't think they're gonna overlook Tampa in a
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: big event like this on ESPN. Tampa, they're at least
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: staying in Tampa.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: Though.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: Neither of these teams played yesterday, So almost every team
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: played yesterday, but not these two because I think it's
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: because they were getting a preparation time for this game.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: Tampa's on a little bit of a run. They're coming
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: up a win over Winnipeg at home, which is not
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: a great win.
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: Whatever, I think the spot probably does set up a
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: little bit better for Tampa in this one. Not going
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: to really disagree with Tampa here, unfortunately for my Bruins,
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: but the Tampa is but the Tampa, Yes, Tampa is
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: a pretty big favorite down for minus two h five
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: to minus two hundred, but seventy two percent of the
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: tickets on them, in eighty six percent of the cash
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: on them. It looks like every public side looks like
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: is also the money side in these three games today.
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: So I guess, do with all that information what you
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: want to? I mean, it would be if you're gonna
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: play Tampa, you'd have to pretty much play them puck
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: line or to win in regulation or something.
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: So I don't know.
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: I don't really want to do that. That's probably That's
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: probably the game where I have the least strong opinion
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: out of all three of these Vegas at Anaheim. Vegas
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: is coming up an ugly home loss to Seattle yesterday.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: It was Oh, I was gonna say, I thought it
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: was overtime.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: It wasn't though. A Vegas of course, was a big
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: favorite in that game. So they're coming off of a
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: game where they lost as a big favorite. You can
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: kind of explain that because they had a big game
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 2: against Dallas the game before that, and I did talk
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: about yesterday how I leaned to Seattle in that game.
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: Vegas coming up the big game against Dallas, this could
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: be a bounce back spot here. They do have to
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: travel to Anaheim, although that's not a huge travel leg
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: from Vegas to Anaheim.
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: No time off here though.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: Anaheim actually didn't play yesterday, so Anaheim does have a
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 2: rest advantage. But they have a huge disadvantage however as well,
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: because they were turning on from a road trip. I
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: think they've been on since Wednesday the twenty first, so
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: they went to Colorado. They actually started out the road
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: drip really well and then lost the last two they
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: are coming off the much much uglier loss of the
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: of the two, losing to Vancouver, and that was a
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: win for us on the show. We went with the
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 2: horrendously ugly Vancouver Canucks in that one because I hated
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: the spot for Anaheim coming off just a heartbreaking loss
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: with the way they lost to Edmonton after they potentially
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: could have won that game. Then they had this huge
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: ESPN Vegas game on deck, so I thought it was
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: a sandwich spot. Might have been a hangover spot too
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: because they lost a big win streak. So I liked
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: Vancouver in that one. We got it done.
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: Now. I think the perception would be while.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: Anaheim's gonna bounce back now now that they're back at home,
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: but I don't see that being the case. The return
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 2: home spot is really really awful, as I always point out.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: I know they've had a couple of days off here,
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: but when you return home, you have to get back
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 2: to home life. You got stuff to do, you got
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: to figure that stuff out. You know, it could be
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: a distraction. They're not going to overlook Vegas, but the
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: return home spot usually is at least somewhat of a factor.
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: So I think the travel spot is a little bit
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: better for Vegas, and the situational spot I think does
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: help Vegas here. Even though they did play yesterday, Anheim
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: did flip from plus one sixteen to minus one ten here.
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: And I don't know if that was again because of
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: goaltender announcements or what, but seventy three percent of the
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: tickets in ninety three percent of the cash on Vegas,
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: and I agree with the Vegas side in that one.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: But I don't have a play in any of those games.
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: But those are my opinions on the sides, and those
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: those are the two ESPN doubleheader games there. And I
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: don't think that this one is in any sort of
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: outdoor stadium.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: This one is actually just at Anaheim, So we'll see.
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: We'll see what that Tampa Bay versus Bruins Lightning versus
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: Bruins game looks like there, all right, And then we
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: have NBA.
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: We do have one ESPN game, which is Milwaukee at
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know why this. I guess when
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: the schedule makers put this out there, I guess, well,
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: they thought Giannis was gonna be there probably and he's not.
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: So the Celtics are a big favor here obviously. It
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: will be the return of Doc Rivers again to Boston,
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: although he's certainly played he's had his Milwaukee team.
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: Play in Boston since then.
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: Of course, I don't think he's a very good coach though,
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: to be honest, Like, I know, he won the championship
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: with the Celtics, but I don't think Yeah, I just
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: don't think he's doing a good job.
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: But Milwaukee, I mean, things couldn't really get worse for
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: them right now, because.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: They did just lose to Washington.
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: That is a horrible loss, and maybe they were looking
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 2: ahead to Boston with not a whole lot left to
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: play for here second game without Yannis, you know, a
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: lot of times you'll not play well in that second game,
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: even though they didn't even play well in the first
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: game without him, and usually they will step up there.
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: A team usually will step up their level of play
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: when their star player goes down. That first game, that
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 2: wasn't the case. But then with the Washington game, I
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: think maybe they were looking ahead to the brew to
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: the Bruins, to the Celtics a little bit.
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: I think Milwaukee will actually at least show up in
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: this game. Hopefully the Celtics don't lose, I mean they shouldn't.
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: They bounce back nicely with a win on Friday. We
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 2: got to win on that here on the show, laying
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: the points with the Celtics because that was a bounced
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: back spot for them. Now, the Celtics rested Jalen Brown
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: in that game, so he is probably gonna play in
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: the game here on ESPN, and he is their best player.
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: But a lot of times when the best player is
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: out for a game and they play really well without him,
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: a lot of times the team will kind of get
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: complacent and take their foot off the gas with him back.
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: So I worry about that aspect of this game for
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: the Celtics too. I mean, I don't think they should lose,
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: but and they don't have a huge game up next.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: So though it's another TV game at Dallas, it is
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: the start of a road trip. So I do lean
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: to the Bucks plus the points of this game, but
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: it's not a strong lean.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: The market seems like it does agree.
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: The Celtics are up to a thirteen point favorite from
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 2: twelve and a half. Eighty percent of the tickets on
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: the Celtics in seventy three percent of the cash, so
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: the money is sort of indicating on the Bucks.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: In the game.
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: I don't disagree, but it's not a strong opinion of mine,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: and I just hope that the Celtics get out of
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 2: there with the win.
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: For my rooting purposes.
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: Brooklyn is at Detroit. Brooklyn just ended a long losing
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 2: streak with a win, unfortunately against US that was my
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 2: loser on.
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: Friday with the Utah Jazz.
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: Brooklyn got the win, not a big win by any means,
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: so that was a road win. But I think what
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: that could do is that could give them some momentum now,
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: because when you break that losing momentum as a bad
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: team and you don't do it against a good team,
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: I think that will give you some momentum coming into
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: the next game.
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: Although they are playing a third game in four and.
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: A's in different cities, fourth and sixth, and a fifth
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: and eight and a sixth and ten all in different cities,
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: so that's a little bit worrisome.
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: I don't see them looking ahead to the Lakers, because
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: I don't think you overlooked at Detroit Pistons, who have
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: the best record in the Eastern Conference. But the travels,
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: just the travel spot and the the lack of rest
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: is a bit of a concern for Brooklyn here, but
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: the momentum might carry after that last win. Detroit did
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: just have a big win on the road against Golden State,
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: and now they're returning home from a road trip.
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: Not a long road trip, it was less than a week,
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: and you know, I like fading teams coming off of
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: those long road trips because stuff piles up at home.
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: You have stuff to do at home, so you can
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: get distracted.
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: I still think this is a bad spot for Detroit though,
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 2: even though it wasn't a long road trip. They went
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: into elevation beat Denver, that was without Jokich at the time,
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: and then they went out to the Pacific Coast and
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 2: now they're having to change time zones coming back home.
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: They do play Denver with Jokich in their next game,
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 2: so that could be a pretty major look ahead spot
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: there too. So the return home spot still could lend
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: itself to some distractions here. They're also playing a third
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: game in four days, fourth game in six days, in
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: a fifth game in eight days, all in different cities,
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 2: so the scheduling spot, like the amount of rest is
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: basically the same for both teams, so I have to
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: lean towards the nets in this one plus points the
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: money seems like it's.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: Not totally agreeing with that.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 2: Right now, the Pistons down from thirteen and a half
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: to thirteen eighty two percent of the tickets on the
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 2: ninety five percent of the cash on the Pistons for now.
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 2: That might change by the time the game happens because
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: it is an evening game. But I would only lean
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: towards the nets in that game man plus the points there.
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: I do not like the spot for Detroit, and I
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 2: would like it even less if it was a long
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 2: road trip that they were returning from, or if they'd
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: lost that game to Denver on the road. But I
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 2: still think that is actually probably one of the stronger
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: leans of the day. I like Brooklyn Chicago went Miami.
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: I was right about Chicago yesterday, so the zigzag was
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: in effect. Even though I thought the line actually might
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: have been a little bit short on Miami, Chicago still
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: got the job done. They went outright, they made the adjustments.
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 2: I think, although the first game was close, but now
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: I think the zigzag favors Miami here because they're playing
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: the same game again at Miami. The line is actually
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: a little bit shorter this time for Miami based on
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: yesterday's results alone, and if you look at this game,
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 2: this was actually way more of an outlier than the
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: first game. Was the Bulls hit fifty percent of their
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: three pointers. I know the Bulls do jack up a
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: lot of three pointers, but they hit twenty threes. Man,
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 2: they shot fifty percent from three versus Miami only shooting
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 2: twenty eight percent. That's a huge disparity that I think
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: basically was the difference in the game. So that is
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: definitely something that could regress coming off of that.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: So I like Miami for that reason.
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: But also it's that you know, the Bulls might be
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: the team that makes the adjustments here, because if you're
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: Miami and you just won this game yesterday, you don't
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: have anything to fix because or excuse me, if you're
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: the Bulls. I like Miami in this game. If you're
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 2: the Bulls and you won yesterday, you don't have anything
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 2: to fix, is what I'm trying to say here. This
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: line did open to three, so it was actually lower.
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: You could have gotten a much lower number. It was
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: at four and a half yesterday. It's still a little
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 2: bit lower than that. And I even thought the four
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 2: and a half was actually a little bit short, so
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: I would still lay this number with the Heat at
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: four four and a half, which is where it is now.
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: Eighty five percent of tickets ninety five percent of the
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: cash on the Heat, and you're also playing the better
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: team in the adjustment spot, in the bounce back spot,
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: and the Bulls should regress from three point and the
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: Heat should probably hit a few more of the three
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 2: pointers than they did yesterday.
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: So I like the Heat in that game.
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: They will be the team that has the adjustments to
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: make Chicago. Everything worked for them yesterday, so they don't
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: really have anything to fix.
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: Except I think they did lose the turnover battles, so
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: maybe there is that. I'm not gonna play the game,
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: but I like Miami in that one. Utah at Toronto.
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: Utah is on this bad losing streak, might be good
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: for them to just get out of home.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: Man, when they just.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 2: Lost almost every game in their home stand, culminating and
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: losing to Brooklyn and what I thought was a decent
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: spot to catch Brooklyn horrible, horrible result for Utah. So
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: maybe the best thing for them is to just forget
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: about that, go on the road. Focus on basketball, ignore
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: what's going on at home.
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: We'd travel spot to have to go up to Toronto.
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: But I do think Utah should show up in this
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: game with some focus. Toronto they just lost at Orlando,
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: so they are traveling as well coming back from Orlando.
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: A more difficult game.
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: They lost by ten, and Toronto potentially could have won
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: this game. Toronto was winning into the fourth quarter in
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: this game, and then they wound up falling short and
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: they were actually down double digits before the game was over.
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: They weren't a huge underdog in the game or anything,
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 2: but still was a big game with a pretty big
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: flip flop at the end of the game. And they
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: do have Minnesota up next to so I lean Utah
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: in this game. That's the way I would play it
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: if I was gonna play at Toronto. Down from eleven
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: and a half to ten here, Toronto's actually actually not
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: very good at home either, even though I know Utah
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: is not very good on the road either, But something's
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 2: got to give here. I prefer the spot for the jazz.
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 2: The money seems to agree with that. Sixty seven percent
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 2: of tickets on the Raptors, sixty five percent of the
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: cash though.
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: On the Jazz, So the money is on the Jazz.
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: I agree with the Jazz there with the take a
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: percentage being on Toronto Sacramento at Washington. I mean, this
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: is it doesn't get much uglier than this game.
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: Now. I think these two teams played. Yeah, not that
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: long ago.
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: Sacramento won by double digits in Washington, and I believe
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: that was without Sabonis because he didn't come back until
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: more recently than that. So Sacramento just beat that was
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: in Sacramento. Excuse the Sacramento beat Washington at home without Sabonis,
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: so they might take Washington a little bit lightly coming
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: into this game.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: Man, even though.
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 2: Sacramento shouldn't really overlook anybody at this point because they
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: haven't won a game and a bunch of tries.
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: Now, they've lost eight in a row. They haven't won
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: any game on this road trip. This is the final road.
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: Trip, so you you know, you could make the argument
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: they should show up for this game. They're coming up
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: a bad well not a bad loss, but they got
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 2: blown out by the Celtics, and I think it was
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 2: a bad spot because Sacramento played well the game before
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 2: that against Philadelphia, So I guess you could argue they're
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: gonna try to salvage the last game on the road trip,
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: and maybe they won't over look a Washington team they
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: beat easily the last time. Washington coming into this game
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: staying at home, and they got blown out at home
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: by over thirty points by the Lakers in their last.
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: Game, so they should probably be focused as well.
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 2: Though you might have to worry about the look ahead
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 2: here to the Knicks coming up next. But I don't
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: think Washington will overlook Sacramento because they lost at Sacramento,
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: like I said, and that was Sacramento without Simonis, and
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 2: I believe they do have him now. The Kings look
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: like they're getting all the money though, based on the
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: market read here, King's down from three to two and
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: a half, but they got seventy three percent of the
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: cash on them and sixty two percent of the tickets
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: are on the Wizards. Like, really, do you really think
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: the public is actually playing the Wizards in this game?
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: I mean maybe, because I guess the record is actually
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: better than Sacramento's now, believing around Sacramento is horrendous on
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 2: the road though, three and twenty two. Do you really
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: want to lay points with Sacramento on the road, even
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: against the bad Wizards team when they're three and twenty
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: two on the road and you're asking them to have
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: to win by a few points too, I'm not so
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: sure about that.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: Washington has been better at home than on the road.
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: They're eight and sixteen at home. I kind of lean
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: towards Washington in the game. I don't know what's going
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: on with that market read, but I disagree with that one.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: Orlando at San Antonio.
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: Orlando's coming into this game of a beating Toronto decent win,
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: but they do have some momentum. They're not gonna overlook
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: San Antonio, even though they do have Oklahoma City next.
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: This is a big game in its own right.
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: They're starting a road trip, even though it's only those
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: two games, but I expect Orlando to show up against
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: San Antonio.
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: Now. San Antonio is returning on from the road, although
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: it was only a two game road trip, not far
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: Houston and Charlotte. But they did play yesterday against Charlotte.
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: They did lose. Like I said, this Charlotte team is
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: not as bad as people might think. Man, I don't know.
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: People are starting to figure that out.
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: They've been playing one of the best teams in the
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: league over the last month or two. But San Antonio
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: did play yesterday even though they were a favorite and
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: they lost, and a lot of times I like it
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: team to bounce back when they were a favorite and
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: they lost.
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure it.
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: Happens here because they are traveling with no time off
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: and they have a huge now revenge game against the
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: Thunder next on ESPN on Wednesday, because they did finally
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: lose at the Thunder the last time, and they're hosting
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 2: the Thunder in the next game.
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: So I prefer the Magic in this game. I lean magic.
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: I actually think this might be one of the stronger
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: leans in the NBA today, and it is one of.
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: The stronger market reads as well.
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: Spurs down from six and a half to five here,
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: so the line has moved reverse moved against the public
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 2: Spurs side here sixty seven percent of tickets on the Spurs,
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: sixty two percent of the cash on the Magic. I
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: agree with that market read there. In that move, I
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 2: lean to Orlando and that one plus the points. All right,
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: Lakers at the Knicks to big game. It's on NBC.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: Two big games here, the NBC Peak OC doubleheader here
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: and this is one of the two.
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: Should be a good game, should be an interesting game.
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: Lakers probably the better offense, the Knicks definitely the better defense,
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: because the Lakers are just pretty horrendous defensively. The Lakers
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: might be getting a little bit tired out finishing a
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: road trip here they've been on for quite a while,
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 2: but they're not gonna overlook the Knicks on the road.
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: They're coming off an easy win over Washington in their
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: last game. But the Lakers have really only had one
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 2: real big test on this road trip. That was at Cleveland,
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: and they got obliterated by Cleveland. And I think the
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: Knicks are better than Cleveland. So I don't know, man,
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: I mean, I know the Knicks are better than Cleveland.
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: Cleveland with some injuries going on there too. The Knicks
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 2: are staying at home for this. They're coming off a
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: blowout win of re Portland, but they're on a roll
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: with five wins in a row, none of them really
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: that impressive against impressive teams. Really, the best one on
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: the road at Philadelphia before Paul George got suspended by
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: the Way, which I found out about that in the
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: middle of the day yesterday, So George got suspended and
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: the line dropped on the Sixers down to like five
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: and a half yesterday, and the Sixers covered that they
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: won by ten, so I thought the Sixers without that information,
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: I was leaning towards the Sixers covering the bigger number
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 2: being based on the situation, which I think they pushed
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: because I think the number was ten. But George is
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 2: suspended for PDS or something for like twenty five games,
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 2: which is crazy, but it does seem like the Sixers
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: stepped it up in the first game without him, So
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 2: it was the suspended player theory, which I don't think
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 2: is as good as the injured player there because the
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: injured player theory almost always results in the team rallying
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: for that player, but the suspension they might not rally
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: around that, you know what I mean, because it's not
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: like an accidental thing, so it I think it's kind
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: of it puts you in a more questionable headspace.
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: But anyway, the.
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: Knicks playing the la here, and I think really the
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: thing that you have to look at at this game,
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 2: because both teams will be focused, is these two teams
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: have very similar records, But why are the Knicks laying
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: like a decent amount of points here.
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: Four and a half, right, So I think.
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 2: The public gonna think there's value in a game that
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 2: appears to be competitive and want to take the Lakers.
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: I will disagree with it. I like the Knicks, and
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: the Knicks are also very strong at home nineteen and six,
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: Lakers not as good on the road seventeen and ten,
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: So the Knicks have some advantage there as well. Some
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: of that will be built into the line. Though.
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: The money I believe, looks like it is indicating on
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 2: the Knicks. Yeah, we have a fifty to fifty ticket
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: split hero actually fifty one percent now in the Knicks,
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: but seventy nine percent of the cash, So it looks
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: like the real money is on the Knicks, at least
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: for now. It looks like it's headed towards five and yeah,
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 2: I would lay it with the Knicks.
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: Just this would be more of a numbers play in
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: this one.
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: Just I think the Knicks are the better team by
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: more than what people think. And you know me, I
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: like the better defense, so I think the offenses are
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 2: actually somewhat comparable.
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: And then the other thing you do have to.
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: Look at here, though, I would wait to play the
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 2: Knicks here because the other thing, I'm glad I because
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: I forgot about this. I'm glad that I remember the
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: Lakers might be getting Austin Reeves back tonight.
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: He's questionable right now. So if he's announced that he's
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: if it's announced that he's going to come back, you
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: know what that means.
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: It's the reverse injured player spot. I talk about that
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: a lot when the when a crucial player comes back
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 2: for a team, the line's going to adjust for it,
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: and it usually over adjusts. So usually get value fading
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 2: that team. And when he comes back to the team,
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 2: a lot of times will like get a little bit
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: complacent just mentally because they.
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: Think, oh, well, you know, we're on a nice little
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: run here, and now we get one of our best
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: players backs.
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: You know, kind of just mentally, we don't have to
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 2: like quite try as hard.
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: That's the thing that just does happen mentally.
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: So usually you want to fade the team in that
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 2: first game with that player back, and the team has
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: to figure out their new roles again and adjusts to
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: us as a chemistry thing. Now, a lot of these
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: teams are they know this, So a lot of these
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: teams are kind of bringing these players back like incrementally now,
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 2: so like he might come back and he might come
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 2: off the bench, but I still I mean, I'm gonna
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: lead to the Knicks anyway, even if he doesn't come back,
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: but if he does, then he's coming off the bench.
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: I still think that's good because the oddsmakers, all they're
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 2: gonna know is that he's coming back. They can't predict
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: whether the Lakers are gonna put him right back on
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: the starting lineup or not really, so the line basically
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: is gonna have to fully adjust to him coming back.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: So if Reeves is coming back, I think this line
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: is gonna drop on the Knicks. So I would wait
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: because I don't want the Lakers in this game, so
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: I would wait, and if Reeves comes back, I think
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: I would.
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna make it a play on the show.
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: I'll avoid it, but the way that I would play
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: it is weight and then if the line does drop
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 2: and Reeves is coming back, the Knicks would be the
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: play there, although I still lean to the Knicks if
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 2: that doesn't happen as well.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: Clippers at Phoenix.
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: Clippers coming into this game off a pretty ugly loss
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: to Denver, which actually was the return of Jokic. I
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 2: apologize I didn't realize Jokic was coming back. The information
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: wasn't out there that morning, which it makes doing this
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: show in the morning a little bit difficult, man, because
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: you don't know what the personnel is gonna be in
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 2: the NBA. But I still do pretty well playing the
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 2: NBA doing it with the morning plays. So whatever, Clippers
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: did just take that loss, which it would have been
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 2: expected that Denver would have not played quite as well
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: first game with Jokic back, because he's the star player,
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: of course, and the team has to kind of adjust
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 2: to it again, the line would have moved whatever, but nope,
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 2: Denver covered. The line on Denver was actually still fairly
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: short in that game. I thought they were only like
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: five and a half point favorites with Jokic back. But
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers do continue to tell you that this Clipper
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: team is not as bad as their record looks.
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: They've been playing a lot better recently.
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: They've kind of found their thing again, and they still
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 2: have a lot of talent on this team with although
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: Kawhi Leonard is old and he's been playing pretty well
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: hard and is old too, but they're playing pretty well,
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 2: right now, Zubach is good kind of open. The Celtics
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 2: actually get Zubach though, because it seems like they might
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: be trying to trade for a big man. But the
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: Clippers may bounce back from that loss against Denver. For
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: the Suns, they're coming off a nice satisfying win against
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: Cleveland by double digits, so they might be feeling a
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: little bit high off of that, And they beat Detroit
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: by double digits the game before that, so two pretty
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: big wins might have them riding a bit of a
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 2: high here.
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: So I probably have to lean.
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 2: To the Clippers in this game for that reason. Phoenix
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 2: does have an NBC game up next against Portland ath.
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: I don't know if they're really gonna look ahead to
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: that necessarily, but it is at least a TV game.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: I like the Clippers in this one. And the other
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 2: reason for it is the line just makes no sense
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: if you're just looking at the records, like, why would
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 2: a below five hundred team be laying points on the
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: road against an above five hundred team right like it
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 2: looks the.
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: Line makes absolutely no sense.
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 2: But again that's because the Clippers have found themselves again
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: and the odds makers are telling you the Clippers are,
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 2: believe it or not, the Clippers are actually the better
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 2: team than the Suns. So I lean to the Clippers
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: for that reason too, because it's a very misleading line.
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 2: They've gone up from pick them to one and a
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: half here fifty nine percent of the tickets on them,
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: eighty five percent of the cash, so the market Reid
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: agrees with me on that one.
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: With the Clippers, that.
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 2: Would be my lean in that one, Cleveland at Portland.
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: Cleveland is coming off that loss that I just mentioned
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: to the Suns, so they might be in a bit
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: of a bounce back mode here. They were kind of
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 2: beating the Lakers, which is always a satisfying win, and
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: they crushed the Lakers and having to change time zones
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: and go out to Phoenix, so they could have been
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: in a bit of a letdown spot. Now, I guess
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: you might have to worry that because they lost that
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: game and they lost a five game win streak. You
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 2: might worry about the hangover a little bit coming into
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: But I don't know.
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: I think it might be more of a bounce back
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: spot for them coming into this one. For Portland, They're
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: not gonna overlook this game either though. Portland's coming off
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: a blowout loss to the Knicks. But the problem is, well,
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, I guess.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: There is the potential they might overlook it.
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 2: So I misspoke a little bit there, because Portland is
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: returning over from a road trip.
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: They've been on it since Monday. It wasn't a long.
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 2: Road trip, but they had to fly across country. They
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 2: played three games on the East Coast. They lost all
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 2: of them. In a lot of times, the public's tendency
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: will be to think, Oh, they're gonna bounce back at home,
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: but I tend to think that's not the case. I
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: hate these teams returning home from road trips, man, because
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: they get back to family life. It gets distracting. They
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: have stuff to do. As I keep saying, I don't
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 2: know they're necessarily going to overlook a team like Cleveland,
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: but it's possible they do. Because their next game is
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: against Phoenix. Phoenix is in their conference, a Western Conference team,
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 2: Man has a better record than Cleveland right now, and
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 2: that's a TV game. So there is actually the possibility
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 2: that Portland might overlook it. So based on all of
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 2: those things, I probably have to lean to the Calves
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 2: in this game. Calves are three point favorite. The money
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: has come in on the Calves a little bit. They're
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 2: a little bit heavier with a favorite now three with juice.
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 2: Eighty percent of the tickets whoops, and eight ninety five
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash excusey on the Calves side, So yeah,
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 2: they're gonna be the public side, but it looks like
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: some of the real money is on them as well.
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: And again, whenever you see those return home spots that
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 2: are from a trip that was like almost a week
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: long or greater, I would always have to lean towards
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 2: fading that team or just avoid the game. But even though, yeah,
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: I think, yeah, the Calves debatably could be in.
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: A bounce back spoty er. So yeah, I like the
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: Calves in that one.
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: And then we have OKAC at Denver the second of
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 2: the NBC Peacock doubleheader, and Denver is again with Jokic
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 2: back now, so this is gonna be an interesting one.
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: I think both teams are fairly intact.
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 2: For this one of the OKAC has been dealing with
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: some injuries throughout the season.
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: Looks like Caruso is.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: Still out for them, but I guess Jalen Williams is
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 2: still out but heart and seeing came back a little
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 2: while ago. As far as the Nuggets are concerned, let
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 2: me see, looks like Murray, Jokic and Gordon is out. Actually,
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: in my mistaatement, Murray and Jokic are both game time decisions,
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: but big ESPN TV game. If they could go, they're
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: probably gonna go against Okac. How as far as what
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 2: the spot looks like, okay, see, did just lose to Memphis,
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 2: so they are excuse me, Minnesota, that's that's better than
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: losing to Memphis. They did just lose at Minnesota by
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 2: double digits. But they're having to fly into elevation here, man,
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: So it's not that easy necessarily to.
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: Change times those like this fly into elevation.
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: But they might bounce back of a pretty ugly loss
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: losing by double digits, even though it was against a
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: solid Minnesota team. Denver probably sets up a little bit
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 2: better in this game because they're staying at home.
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: They just beat the Clippers, which still isn't that great
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: really Necessarily, Jokic came back in the game. He did
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: well in the game that should have been the injured
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: player theory spot game. But because they played well in it,
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: I just don't think there is gonna be one. Usually
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: the team plays better in the second game with that
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: injured player back, and that is what they have now.
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: But a lot of times that's because they bounce back
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: after the first game. Isn't that good?
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 2: But even so, I mean, he's still got that game
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: under his belt now, so that's a positive. Then now
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 2: there's momentum. The team's kind of reassumed their roles and whatever.
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 2: But this line has moved up to eight. So actually,
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 2: I don't know. Look, this line was not at eight
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 2: when I looked at the game earlier, so I might
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: have to reassessed. I gotta look at these injuries again.
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 2: Does that mean Jokic is not playing again here? No,
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 2: he's probable. So I don't know what's going on. I
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 2: don't know why that line has moved to eight. That
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 2: I mean, that line seems a little bit out of control.
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: Man. Let me see if Murray's playing or not probable.
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah, So I don't know what's going on with this line. Man,
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: I don't know why this line moved from three and
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 2: a half to eight. And the thunder, I mean, the
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: guys that I expected.
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: To play look like they will play, So for the Thunder.
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 2: So I don't know, sixty four percent of the tickets
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 2: ninety two percent of the cash on the Thunders. The
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: money is definitely on the side of the Thunder, but
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 2: I kind of disagree with it.
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know why this line is up to eight.
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: I think the spot's a little bit better for the
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: Nuggets and if the Nuggets are gonna have Yokic there
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: and whatever.
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I lean towards taking the points, even though Denver
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 2: hasn't been great at home really, but Oklahoma City seems
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: like they're being overvalued in a lot of these cases.
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: So that's it, man. That's gonna do it.
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 2: Longer show than I wanted it to be on a Sunday,
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 2: but that's that's the show. We have two plays college basketball,
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: Penn State plus the one or one and a half
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 2: is as ugly as it gets, and then Illinois plus
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 2: the two and a half.
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it.
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: Hopefully we can get some wins, big ten action there
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 2: for today. Learn it Tode on Twitter, Learn it Tode
• 1:35:20
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• 1:35:23
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• 1:35:26
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• 1:35:28
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• 1:35:32
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• 1:35:34
  Speaker 2: although either way, either way it'll get eyes on it.
• 1:35:38
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• 1:35:40
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• 1:35:48
  Speaker 2: don't know what else I was gonna say. Covered in
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 2: you because my yuke channel on YouTube. Check that out
• 1:35:52
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• 1:35:55
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• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: I'm on Tuesday nights and we'll be back on Tuesday.
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it for now. I appreciate it, guys.
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: Peace until tomorrow morning, I suppose peace