Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 11 Gambling Picks, Divisional Matchups, Jags are Frauds, Love is Beautiful

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NFL Week 11 Gambling Picks, Divisional Matchups, Jags are Frauds, Love is Beautiful · Three For The Money

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All right, now let's get to the show.
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MUSIC
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OK, OK, OK.
1:06
We're here. We're back.
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It's three for the money.
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New episodes every Thursday.
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Brought to you by the Trend Center.
1:14
And we're back.
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And we're on, uh...
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We're on week 11?
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Yep. Yes.
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Damn, this season is...
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...lying by.
1:25
It always does.
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Yeah, it's...
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I can't believe we just finished week 10.
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That was...
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Well, it's like...
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You have Sunday, which is the big day.
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And it's like, oh, you got Monday.
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And it's like, well, shit.
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There's a game on Thursday.
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And then on Thursday, you're like, shit.
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We're almost back to Sunday.
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It goes by so quick.
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Yes, so much structure comes to my life with NFL football.
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Is that sad? I don't know. We'll see.
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Only time will tell.
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But...
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But yeah, we're back.
2:01
Week 10, I think, went pretty OK for all of us.
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During Sunday, I felt like I was kind of down.
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I think that's because I took the band at Parley.
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That didn't go so great.
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But thanks to the Titans.
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But anyway, Chris...
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That was the only loss on the band at Parley.
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Oh, it was. Damn.
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I didn't even think about that.
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Shit.
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Frickin' Titans.
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OK.
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Now I'm mad that I was the one that lost.
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I didn't really...
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I guess I knew that.
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I just didn't really think about it.
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But I mean, yeah, I went well.
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Just all my bets.
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I went, what, I said 8-4-1?
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No, 9-4-1, excuse me.
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Sorry, the math was off there.
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So...
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Pretty solid day. I guess I'll take that.
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Hit my surefire again.
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Just crushing it. Cowboys.
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Wasn't even a sweat.
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But...
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Shout out to Tommy DeVito for being terrible.
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But yeah, so pretty good week.
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I think it was all in all pretty good week for the boys.
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How'd you guys do?
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I ended up going 6-3.
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I did lose my surefire pick.
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That was brutal.
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Just a bit of a sweat.
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That sucked.
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The under in that Mander Seahawks.
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Oh yeah, that was...
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Yeah, so.
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But yeah, I ended up going 6-3.
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Both Primetime Unders cashed.
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You know, it's...
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As always.
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It's like printing money, almost.
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So...
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But yeah, Sean, how did you do?
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I went 10-5-1.
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So, not bad.
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Lost the surefire though.
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Wait a minute, hold on.
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You had...
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I mean, I'm not shaming you.
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I'm the last person to do that.
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You had 16 bets.
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I did.
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How many did you double dip in?
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Just the bills game.
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Oh, okay.
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Which isn't good.
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Pretty much bet every game last week.
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I think you did.
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Yeah, I think...
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Well, there was one that I didn't.
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I can't remember.
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I mean, there's only 32 teams in four, but we're on by.
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So, I'm no...
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Yeah.
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I'm no math person, but...
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Yeah, hold on.
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This isn't exactly a math podcast, but I'm just saying.
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I didn't bet on the Texans-Bangles game.
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That's what it was.
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I don't think I did.
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Yeah, I stayed away from that game.
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There was the combination of two hot teams.
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Yeah.
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That was the only game I didn't bet on last week.
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Which is kind of a shame, but...
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Yeah, either way, I still have a winning record.
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I mean, no, that's a small one.
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It worked out.
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I didn't realize you had that many plays.
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Yeah, I mean...
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Well, this week alone has really brought me down to Earth from Sunday.
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I mean, I can't win a bet to save my life.
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I'm responsibly not taking anything tonight.
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And we're just going to start fresh with week 11 tomorrow
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for the Thursday night game with whatever band it picks.
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So at least if he picks something and I take it, it won't be my fault if it loses.
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Yeah.
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That's my thought process with it.
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That's boy math.
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Yeah.
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Yeah, you're playing with free money, essentially.
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I mean, it's real money.
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I'm putting my faith in a dog.
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Which is...
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We do it every week, so it's whatever, but...
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Putting the mortgage on bandit.
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Ah.
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No.
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Responsibly.
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I love them, but...
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No.
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No.
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OK, well, week 10's done.
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Week 11 is here.
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Let's start off this slate.
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We got a ton of divisional matchups this week.
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First game is the Steelers at the Browns, AFC North matchup.
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I'm going to throw it to Chris.
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What do you think of this?
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DeSean Watson, now out for the season.
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Perhaps maybe the greatest thief in American history.
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Stealing almost $300 million from the Cleveland Browns.
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Not even playing.
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I feel like he's in single digit games played.
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I don't know.
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What do you think, Chris, about the game?
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I'm sure.
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Not just DeSean Watson.
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I was trying to think how many games he has played.
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If it's double digits, it's the low teens.
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But don't you just hate it when bad things happen to good people?
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Isn't it just the worst?
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Obviously, I'm kidding.
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That guy's a scum bag.
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Which everyone's like, oh, yeah, karma.
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Karma finally got up to him.
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The guy's, he's getting what would you say, $250 million.
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He beat karma.
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It sucks, but he does.
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But call me crazy.
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I'm very, very tempted to bet on the Cleveland Browns this week.
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They've won without DeSean multiple times this season.
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They beat the 49ers without DeSean.
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The Steelers away from home are not the same team.
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I mean, the Browns at home are a completely different team.
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So I'm leaning Browns minus one here.
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I also kind of like this under, but it is so, so low.
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So I need some guidance.
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Someone tell me I'm crazy for taking the Browns
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or tell me that I'm a genius.
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OK, so I don't think you're crazy for taking the Browns here.
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I do think you're crazy if you do not take this under.
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All right.
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I do not have the stats to back this up,
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because as I was doing research for this week's pod,
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the Trend Center app was going under maintenance.
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On the lowest of keys, I have a theory
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that could be college basketball coming.
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Could be not.
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We will see.
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We will see what happens.
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I'm very hopeful, but I do think you're crazy
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if you do not take under 33 in this game.
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It's so low.
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You're right.
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It is so low.
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But this game just screams like 13 to like 10.
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Like you just and normally, you know, gambling math,
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it's like you kind of zig when you zag.
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You zig when everyone else zags.
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And that's how you really get the winners.
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But not for the AFC North, brother.
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Not for the AFC North.
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These two teams slug it out.
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They have both great defenses.
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I mean, I think all the points, there's
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a potential that all the points in this game
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could be scored on the defensive side of the ball.
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Like, can you pick it is how many touchdowns
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has he thrown for not a lot?
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Not a lot.
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I don't know the number, but yeah, definitely not a lot.
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Yeah.
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And the Browns quarterback, I cannot remember his name.
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This week, they said Dorian Thompson Robinson.
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I think that's his name is starting DTR.
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He has played at UCLA.
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Interesting.
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He's not good.
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Yeah.
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I think picking the Browns.
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I feel like, I don't know, they have to,
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I guess there would be more capable of scoring points.
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They do have some dogs on offense.
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So it's, I don't know, kind of a toss up when you pick
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insides, but I think you're crazy.
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If you don't take under 33, Sean, what do you think?
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Well, I just want to start off by saying that this line opened
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up at four and a half and the total opened up at 38.
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It's crazy now that this is basically a pick them.
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And this is basically an Iowa Northwestern game.
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I'm still, I have Steelers plus four and a half written down.
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Did you bet that?
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No.
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Oh, damn.
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I was like, if you got that early, then yeah, that's a dub
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automatically, it feels like.
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Yeah.
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I wish I would have done it when I saw it.
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I had it written down.
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Obviously, this was before the D'Shawn news broke.
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But I'm still going to ride with the Steelers.
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I'm probably just going to take a money line here.
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Plus one, basically a pick them might as well just
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bet the money line on either side.
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You're still going to get value out of it.
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Yeah.
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This just, this feels like a classic underdog
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spot for Tomlin, if I'm being honest.
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Got especially with the Browns coming off that huge comeback
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win over the Ravens.
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I don't really see them recreating magic again.
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Steelers are competitive.
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I don't know if I want to play this under either.
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I mean, you made a lot of good points.
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But 33 is about one of the lowest totals of an NFL
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total I've ever seen.
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And I don't want to be on the wrong side of it.
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So I'm just going to go Steelers money line.
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This may change.
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But that's what I'm going to give out right now,
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Steelers money line.
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OK.
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One thing before I move on, you
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says one of the lowest NFL totals you've seen,
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I do remember, oh, no, I ever, but OK.
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No, I'm saying it's one of the lowest I've seen ever.
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But I do remember a game in the COVID year,
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the Broncos and the Saints, the Broncos entire QB room
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had COVID and the Saints, I believe,
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had to start Taysom Hill.
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And I remember this game.
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The total was 33 and a half.
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And I think the over.
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I think the over, because I was like, that's so like,
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you could accidentally go over that.
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The final score was 33 to nothing Saints.
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Yeah.
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So now I'm like, I do remember this now.
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Now I'm like, well, I don't want to be on the wrong side
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of that again.
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So much take the other.
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Yeah, I mean, but obviously, these
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aren't the same circumstances as a COVID season
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where the entire QB room has COVID.
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But the Brown's QB room is a rookie
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who has yet to throw a touchdown in the NFL
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and no offense to my boy, but PJ Walker.
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Yeah, I mean, they might as well have COVID,
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but they might as well have COVID, but they don't.
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So they should compete a little bit.
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I might just take this over and just not even watch it.
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Just don't even check scores.
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Just around 330, just check it.
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But please God.
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Yeah.
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So I think I will be taking the under.
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I think that's as of now, that's my play.
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OK, well, the next game is another divisional matchup.
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We have the Tennessee Titans at the Jacksonville Jaguars.
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Tennessee Titans look like shit.
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The Jacksonville Jaguars look like frauds.
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Kind of tough, kind of a tough matchup to read here.
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I'm going to throw it to Sean.
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Sean, what do you think about this game?
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Jack's your favorite by 7.
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Right.
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I was thinking about this under of 40.
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I mean, these two teams last week
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combined for just nine points.
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That's bad.
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Titans had more.
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Yep.
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Suck it.
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Yep.
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Suck it, Jacksonville.
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But this, I mean, God, we're Titans fans.
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We've got to talk about it.
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It's obviously rivalry week.
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Like, I think I hate the Jacksonville Jaguars
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more than any other team right now.
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It used to be the Colts, but God, I hate this.
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I hate this team.
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And if the Titans can at least cover in this game,
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I'll be like, OK, OK.
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And as we all know, this is Derek Henry's homecoming game,
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I guess, being from, was it Yule?
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Yule, Florida?
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Something like that.
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I don't know.
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Exact.
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It's near Jacksonville, I'm pretty sure.
15:57
But I think I might sprinkle Henry any time
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touchdown during this game, just because he always,
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it always seems like he goes off in these Jacksonville games.
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But for right now, I'm going to take Titans plus six.
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It's still, even though he's been pissing me off,
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like this whole season, this is still
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Mike Vrable as an underdog in a division matchup.
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Any way you want to look at it, this is what it is.
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Yeah, God, I hate this.
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I hate this game.
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I'm very much not looking forward to watching this game,
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if you can't tell.
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But yeah, let's just hope the Titans front four on defense
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can get their job done and rattle Lawrence a little bit
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and let's just get the cover.
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Like we don't have to win.
16:58
We already know the Titans are not
17:00
going to do anything this season.
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Kind of in for the tank now that I'm thinking about it.
17:08
But yeah, just cover, just cover, plus six or plus seven
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or whatever it is.
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Chris, what do you think?
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What do you got?
17:20
Yeah, I mean, you mentioned that under,
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I do like that.
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I have that written down.
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Not that these offenses are good.
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The Jags are, I mean, they're a hell of a lot better
17:34
than the Titans, but they are frauds.
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They are not, they're not the great team
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that everyone thought they were.
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They might not win this division.
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The Texans can definitely win this division.
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But that would be crazy.
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But I mean, it's like you said, Vrable, Dog,
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like seven points, I don't care who, the division of game,
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seven points is a hell of a lot of, or six and a half,
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whatever it is, is a hell of a lot of points.
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I'm going to double to, if the Titans don't at least cover
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there in my graveyard, because there'll be three weeks
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in a row that they have shafted me.
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So Titans plus six and a half and under 40.
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If the Titans cover this game, this game's going under.
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There's no way it doesn't.
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So either win both or don't win at all.
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So it's part of the smarter strategy,
18:27
but let's ride Titans plus six and under 40.
18:32
Good.
18:34
What do you got, Will?
18:35
I will be taking the Titans plus seven here.
18:38
It's, I mean, it's like y'all said,
18:42
it's like seven points in a divisional matchup.
18:44
Like, Jags or frauds.
18:50
There's definitely, I guess, more value in taking the dog here
18:56
just because of the spot that they're kind of in.
19:00
You know, I hate that's such a cliche term to use value,
19:04
but you can kind of see value in anything.
19:07
But I see the value in Titans plus seven here.
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It's, yeah, we got to, it's about time for Will Levis
19:17
to give us another glimmer of hope.
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He's got to show me something.
19:25
Yeah, show me something, even though our O-line is complete dog
19:30
shit.
19:31
That's true, I guess.
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It's tough to perform when you're getting your shit rocked,
19:40
but I guess do your best.
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I don't know.
19:44
I don't know what to tell him.
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I'm gonna have to get the quarterback down.
19:47
All right, next game we have the Buccaneers at the 49ers.
19:51
The Niners are home favorites by 12.
19:56
Hold on.
19:57
OK.
19:58
Before we move on, can I ask a question?
20:02
Yeah.
20:03
Yes.
20:04
Should the Texans give Lovysmith like some sort of paycheck
20:12
now?
20:15
Yes.
20:15
Lovysmith got them.
20:16
Does it not make a paycheck?
20:20
No, he got fired.
20:21
Got fired because he won that last game.
20:23
Yeah, he won the last game, which had the Texans at two
20:27
in the draft.
20:28
I mean, if the Texans were like 100% going to take Bryce
20:33
Young, which I assume they were, I feel like whoever had it
20:37
was going to take him, then yes, 100% because they
20:41
would be screwed.
20:43
I mean, that team, he's making these receivers who
20:47
were like no names awesome.
20:50
And Bryce Young, I mean, the Panthers as a whole are terrible,
20:54
but he sucks.
20:56
So yeah, if they just a thought that I had once you mentioned
21:00
the Texans might win the division,
21:02
it's like they were the second worst team in the league last
21:04
year.
21:05
That pisses me off so much.
21:06
Yeah.
21:08
I'm just jealous.
21:10
No, they definitely should.
21:12
All right.
21:13
Bucks Niners.
21:15
I'm not happy.
21:16
No.
21:17
Bucks Niners.
21:19
Niners are home favorites by 12 against the Buccaneers.
21:23
As large as this spread is, I think it's right.
21:29
I think this number is correct.
21:33
I think that Niners should definitely
21:35
be a favorite by 12 here.
21:36
This is last week's matchup.
21:43
Niners coming off a buy.
21:44
So are the Jaguars, I think.
21:47
And it just seemed like with Brock Purdy and his weapons
21:55
and Trent Williams and Debo's back.
21:58
And all the players are back.
22:01
It just seems like, oh, yes, this is the Niners team.
22:05
This is the actual team that can beat the shit out of anyone.
22:13
So it's kind of like a choice here between was this
22:17
the Niners being the Niners or was this the Jags being frauds?
22:21
And I know I just said that the Jags were frauds,
22:25
but it's probably both, honestly.
22:28
Like all these superstar players on the Niners are back.
22:34
And so I think for that reason, I
22:36
will be taking Niners minus 12 here.
22:40
Double digit spreads.
22:42
Not great.
22:43
Don't like taking them.
22:44
But this is correct.
22:45
This is right.
22:47
This feels right.
22:48
This feels good.
22:51
But that's all I got for this game, Chris.
22:53
What do you think?
22:55
I 100% agree.
22:58
The Buccaneers defensive front, they
23:02
looked like world beaters last week,
23:04
excuse me, but that's because the Titans offensive line
23:07
is just shouldn't even be, half these guys shouldn't even
23:10
be in the NFL.
23:11
They're so bad.
23:14
But so the rest of the year, the Bucs have not been able to generate
23:18
much pass rush.
23:20
And if they're going to Blitz all day,
23:23
then that's Brock's just going to dink and dunk,
23:25
Debo, Kittle, McAfrey all day.
23:30
The Vikings, or the Vikings.
23:31
I have the Vikings right down right next to the Niners
23:33
on my sheet.
23:35
The Niners roll again.
23:38
I think they're back.
23:40
Everyone started to doubt them.
23:42
I think they're back.
23:44
They kind of need to string together a couple statement ones.
23:48
And I think they get another one here.
23:50
So yeah, Vikings minus 12.
23:52
Jesus, 49ers minus 12.
23:55
Excuse me.
23:57
I was going to say, Dobbs is making an impact.
24:01
Well, yeah.
24:04
They're written so close to each other.
24:09
49ers minus.
24:11
49ers.
24:12
49ers minus 12 is also my pick.
24:15
I love this.
24:16
I love this spread.
24:19
This is just a just yeah, we're back kind of spread.
24:23
And they're going to prove it.
24:25
There's no way the Bucs can cover this game.
24:29
There's no way.
24:30
Having Debo and Trent Williams back was huge.
24:33
And it showed last week.
24:35
And they're going to do the exact same thing this week.
24:40
But this time, they're not on the road.
24:43
They're at home.
24:45
And that makes me love it even more.
24:46
Like the 12 point world beating at home.
24:51
That's what you want.
24:53
And that's what's going to happen.
24:55
So 49ers minus 12.
24:58
OK.
25:00
We all seem to be sort of on the same wavelength here.
25:06
Well, we'll see if that works two weeks in a row.
25:09
Next game, we got the Vikings at the Broncos.
25:12
The Broncos are favored by 2 and 1 half.
25:16
This is the Vikings game, Chris.
25:21
This is also Sunday night football.
25:24
For this one, I'm going to throw it to Sean first.
25:27
What do you think, Sean?
25:28
I love the under here, under 42 and 1 half.
25:35
I think Josh Dobbs has been doing great things in Minnesota.
25:39
He has been lights out, getting them some dubs when they don't.
25:46
You thought they weren't going to get these wins.
25:51
But he just comes out from space.
25:54
And he's just there on the field.
25:57
And he's just balling out.
26:00
But I feel like that may come to an end this week.
26:08
It's a gut feeling.
26:10
I think the Broncos may be riding a little high
26:12
after winning Monday night against the Bills.
26:17
I wish nothing but the best for Josh Dobbs.
26:21
But I can't lay points here.
26:23
And I think this game could low-key suck.
26:28
Vikings have a pretty impressive defense, I would say.
26:33
And I think the Broncos' defense has been much improved
26:38
since they allowed 70 to the Dolphins.
26:42
So I'm going to rock under 42 and 1 half here.
26:45
Chris?
26:47
I mean, I feel like I just came out of the way in my last pick.
26:50
Vikings plus 2 and 1 half, I'm riding Dobbs
26:55
until the wheels fall off.
26:59
How was it?
27:00
A pause.
27:01
Don't worry, riding Dobbs.
27:03
Oh, OK.
27:05
I'm riding the spaceman.
27:07
He's, I have to be loyal to my guy.
27:11
So Vikings plus 2 and 1 half.
27:14
I'm not taking, I thought about the money line,
27:16
but I don't want to mess around with another last second field
27:19
goal like the Broncos just did on Monday night football.
27:23
So I'm going to take the Vikings plus 2 and 1 half.
27:28
I think they're the hot team.
27:30
The Broncos are hot too, like kind of under the radar.
27:33
But I think the Vikings are also better.
27:37
So like as a complete team.
27:41
So Vikings plus 2 and 1 half.
27:44
Will, what are you taking?
27:46
Well, you guys know me.
27:47
I'm the prime time under guy.
27:49
We'll be taking the under here.
27:51
And I'd like to make an announcement.
27:52
I will be taking, I will be auto betting every single prime
27:57
time under.
27:59
Because I think the past three, four weeks, all of them
28:07
have cashed.
28:09
I don't, I don't know.
28:10
Something like almost all of them have cashed.
28:13
So I will be taking the under in this game.
28:16
I do think if I had to choose a side, I might double dip.
28:21
I'd be taking the Broncos here.
28:24
It's just, it's not so much a slight to Josh Dobbs.
28:29
Is that the Broncos are hot.
28:31
And this is such an easy, easy letdown spot for the Vikings.
28:37
Like, yeah, you got your hopes.
28:40
You know, you got your backup QB.
28:44
You won two games on the road, I think.
28:47
Were they both on the road?
28:49
I don't know.
28:49
Last week was at home, I believe.
28:52
OK, both of them not on the road.
28:56
One of them was, one of them wasn't.
29:00
I've taken the Broncos just because this is such an easy
29:04
letdown spot in prime time for Josh Dobbs.
29:07
The internet loves him.
29:09
He made that, that can you make me go higher guy viral again?
29:15
I don't know if y'all guys saw that.
29:18
Did I see that?
29:19
I watched that no less than 100 times.
29:24
Right.
29:25
That dude hits that too.
29:27
Oh yeah, he hits those notes.
29:30
Yeah, and now everyone is stitching that video with just
29:36
random videos now.
29:38
And so he's going viral.
29:39
And so everybody's going to be on Josh Dobbs.
29:41
And this is such an easy letdown spot for the Vikings.
29:45
I will be taking the Broncos.
29:48
I'll probably double dip.
29:50
Depending on how my Sunday goes, the early Sunday
29:54
goes.
29:55
Right.
29:57
Do we want to break here?
30:00
Hold on, I got one more thing to say.
30:02
OK.
30:04
Well, Will, I don't think you needed
30:09
to make a special announcement that you're auto betting
30:12
prime time unders.
30:14
Uh-huh.
30:14
I think it's, I think everyone should just already assume it.
30:20
Like that's your thing.
30:21
That's what you do.
30:22
Well, we have to be transparent with the people, Sean.
30:25
I know, but it's every week.
30:28
It's every week.
30:30
Yeah, it is every week.
30:31
And it caches most weeks.
30:33
And it took you to week 11 to be like, I'm auto betting this.
30:38
Now it's on auto bet.
30:40
Now it's on auto bet.
30:42
Week 11.
30:43
Officially auto bet.
30:45
Six more weeks.
30:47
Yep.
30:49
What is that?
30:50
That's, let's see, that's three prime time games a week.
30:54
Six more weeks.
30:56
That's 18.
30:57
It's 18.
30:58
That's 18?
30:59
Yeah.
31:01
It's basic multiplication.
31:03
Yeah.
31:04
All right.
31:07
I was thinking of a different number.
31:10
OK.
31:13
All right, let's move on.
31:16
I don't know why I thought of the number nine there.
31:18
I was like, there's 54 more prime time games.
31:22
No.
31:23
Yeah, I don't even know.
31:24
I wish we would allow him to say that.
31:26
I don't even know.
31:27
Will's got dyslexies turning them sixes upside down.
31:33
Yeah.
31:34
OK.
31:38
All right.
31:39
Well, let's move on.
31:41
I'll start a new meeting.
31:43
OK.
31:44
OK.
31:45
All right.
31:46
I was ready for that one.
31:48
All right.
31:50
Can you take me higher?
31:56
OK.
31:57
All right.
31:59
Well, numbers aside, let's go on to Monday Night Football Eagles
32:05
at Chiefs.
32:07
The number that the Chiefs are favored by is two and a half.
32:10
It is in Kansas City.
32:12
It's Monday Night Football prime time.
32:15
It's a 45 and a half.
32:20
45.
32:21
That's what I saw today.
32:25
Or maybe I wrote that down wrong.
32:28
Or whatever.
32:30
Yeah, it's 45.
32:31
It's 45.
32:32
It opened at 48.
32:34
Oh.
32:35
Jesus Christ.
32:36
What happened?
32:37
The people know.
32:38
The people know.
32:39
They watch the show.
32:41
I mean, why wouldn't you just like every,
32:44
every week that lines come out just Thursday, Sunday, Monday,
32:49
under, under, under.
32:51
It's money.
32:54
I do not feel, I'll probably end up double dipping on this game
32:57
just because it's Monday and I need that kind of action in my life.
33:01
But I don't really feel strongly either way to this game,
33:07
unless one of y'all can sway me.
33:11
Yes, Christopher.
33:12
I got a juicy little nugget for you that I found out about 30
33:16
minutes before we started recording.
33:18
I love nuggets.
33:19
It has been reported that it is meet the parents weekend for the
33:26
Kelsey's and the Swiss.
33:29
Oh.
33:30
Yeah, apparently that's just the rumor I've heard.
33:34
I have no idea if it's true.
33:35
I saw it on Twitter.
33:37
I saw it on Twitter.
33:42
That Taylor Swift's parents and obviously Donnie Kelsey will be
33:46
in attendance.
33:47
So.
33:48
Travis wants to show out for possibly the future in loss.
33:54
So I'm taking chiefs, my two and a half.
33:57
That for that just X.
34:00
That alone.
34:01
That's a, that was a big part of it.
34:04
I'm not going to be honest, but also the Eagles,
34:07
there's just something about them.
34:09
She doesn't feel like, yes, they are very, very, very good.
34:13
But it's just like they let these like obviously they stomped
34:17
the dolphins, but the dolphins were frauds.
34:19
They let the Cowboys hang around the Cowboys.
34:21
If they didn't shoot themselves in the foot,
34:23
could have won that game.
34:25
The chiefs, I just think, I think they can take this by a field goal.
34:30
Also, I don't remember what the exact status.
34:33
I don't know what the exact status is.
34:35
I don't know what the exact status is.
34:37
I'm not sure I looked it up besides reading internet gossip,
34:40
but my homes is like really good against the spread on these like
34:44
minus two and a half.
34:45
Like, I have that stat.
34:46
Thank you, Sean.
34:47
Great transition, Chris.
34:54
I will also be taking chiefs minus two and a half because.
34:57
I think that's fantastic in spreads that are less than a field goal.
35:03
He is 26 and one in these situations.
35:09
That alone.
35:10
I also saw the Taylor Swift stuff and I was like, I don't care,
35:13
but that alone.
35:17
He wants to ball out.
35:19
Yeah.
35:20
Chris thinks their love is beautiful.
35:23
Also, I'm pretty,
35:24
I'm pretty sure that's the kind of thing that he's been doing.
35:27
I've never seen a single game she's been at.
35:29
Like, if you want to.
35:31
Great.
35:32
Good to know.
35:34
We've, we've gone off weirder before.
35:36
So yeah, that's true.
35:38
You're right.
35:39
You're right.
35:40
But anyway, that alone.
35:42
26 and one.
35:45
In spread spots.
35:47
Less than a field goal.
35:49
That's crazy.
35:51
I think that's the kind of thing that you're going to see on Monday
35:55
night football to Super Bowl matchup or Super Bowl rematch,
35:59
I should say.
36:00
I think possibly a Super Bowl preview to.
36:03
Yeah.
36:04
Yep.
36:05
Possibly.
36:06
I think the Niners will get there, but.
36:08
Yeah.
36:09
Yeah.
36:10
You never know.
36:11
Yeah.
36:12
Chiefs minus two.
36:14
And a half.
36:15
Let's go.
36:16
I'll probably end up taking that.
36:20
Um, we'll have a little bit of a break.
36:23
I mean,
36:25
I did not know what the fire double unit plays of the week.
36:28
I lost mine last week.
36:30
But I, I mentioned this earlier in the show.
36:33
I think if you don't take under 33 in Steelers Browns,
36:38
you're crazy.
36:40
And I just might be crazy enough to, to, to double unit that.
36:45
Double unit.
36:47
I said, I think that all the offensive points coming from this game could come from the
36:54
defenses.
36:55
I mean, both of them have just great elite defenses.
37:01
Pickett can't, he can't lead a team to win to save his life unless they're dog shit.
37:08
The Browns are not dog shit.
37:11
They're close.
37:13
Yeah, they're close.
37:15
The Browns defense is fantastic.
37:18
They're not going to be able to put up points with Dorian, whatever his name was.
37:23
Dorian Thompson Robinson, I think.
37:26
I got the first name right.
37:28
Either him or PJ Walker.
37:30
It's not going to go well.
37:32
It's going to go under.
37:33
It's not going to be a good game.
37:34
Nobody's going to watch it.
37:36
Nobody wants, nobody's going to want to watch it.
37:41
Number 33, that's my surefire, W to play Chris.
37:46
What is yours?
37:47
Glad you asked.
37:49
Well, I loved this pick a lot earlier before you guys started fading it.
37:57
It's Vikings plus two and a half.
38:00
I loved it.
38:02
And then I still love it, but y'all were saying, oh, it could be Josh Dobbs come back to Earth
38:06
moment.
38:07
I was like, ah, damn it.
38:10
I've been in space too long.
38:12
If I, haha.
38:13
I was going to come down every once in a while.
38:16
If I didn't love Joshua Dobbs so much, I would probably also take the Broncos, but
38:23
I love him so much.
38:26
And I've said this many times before, if being too loyal is my biggest flaw, then so
38:32
be it Vikings plus two and a half.
38:36
I'm riding to the wheels fall off.
38:38
So that's it.
38:40
W unit surefire, guaranteed not to lose play of the week.
38:43
Sean, what you got?
38:46
Well, I think all of our picks come from our, or all the games that we discussed.
38:54
Right.
38:55
Well, yours was also a game we discussed.
38:58
Yep.
38:59
Yeah.
39:00
And Chris, yours obviously came from a game we discussed.
39:02
I'm going to keep that train rolling and double unit 49ers minus 12.
39:10
I think this is just a perfect spot to come back home, put up points, beat the shit out
39:18
of Baker Mayfield.
39:21
Nothing would make me happier than Baker Mayfield to be put into the ground and just
39:28
take a dirt nap after what he did to us, making him look like a Hall of Famer last week.
39:38
But yeah, 49ers minus 12, it's a big spread.
39:43
I don't think I've ever had a spread this big be a surefire pick before.
39:48
And I lost my surefire last week, but we're going to make up for it this week.
39:54
I love this play.
39:55
I think it's a, I think, Will, what you said.
39:57
It's the correct number and it is, it is the correct number and they are going to put a
40:05
pounding on the Buccaneers.
40:11
Lock it in.
40:12
Okay.
40:13
Well, that's going to be our surefire picks of the week.
40:17
You've probably parlay them all.
40:19
I'm probably going to do that this week if I remember to.
40:23
But yeah, let's go into the rest of our cards.
40:27
Sean, I knew you just got done talking.
40:31
What is the rest of your card?
40:32
I've been throwing it to Chris a lot.
40:34
So good.
40:38
I kind of hate this pick, but I'm going to take it.
40:41
I saw a stat from Trent's Center about it.
40:43
I can't remember exactly what it is.
40:46
I would pull it up, but they're currently undergoing maintenance.
40:50
I do have the Panthers plus 10 and a half against the Dallas Cowboys at home.
40:56
I have the Houston Texans minus five against the Arizona Cardinals.
41:03
Packers.
41:04
Well, sorry, since I wrote some of these down early, these lines have shifted drastically,
41:09
which is crazy to me.
41:12
I've got the Packers plus three against the LA Chargers.
41:17
I have this one you might want to keep an eye on.
41:22
I have the Bear, sorry, not the Bears.
41:25
I have the Lions minus eight against the Chicago Bears.
41:30
Justin Fields may be back for this game.
41:32
It is currently undetermined.
41:34
I think they said earlier today he's starting.
41:39
Okay.
41:40
So that's probably why it went from 10 to eight, which is what I have written down.
41:46
But I will be taking the Lions minus eight.
41:50
I love this division matchup at home.
41:53
Right before Thanksgiving, Lions going to get that going to beat that ass.
41:58
That's what they're going to do.
42:00
I also have the Dolphins minus 12 against the Raiders or shit minus 13 and a half.
42:10
I'll probably still lay it.
42:13
Probably still do it.
42:15
I also have the Seahawks Rams under 44 and a half.
42:19
I don't think many points will be scored in that game at all.
42:22
Oh, it went up to 46.
42:25
Interesting.
42:26
Interesting.
42:27
Yeah, I'll be taking that.
42:32
The Vikings, oh, you talked about that.
42:35
And to round it out, I have the Jets plus seven against the Buffalo Bills.
42:42
I think the Buffalo Bills defense is...
42:45
It's horrible.
42:46
It's terrible.
42:48
And I know it's Zach Wilson, but God, the Bills defense looks bad.
42:56
And the Bills really don't look good either.
42:59
They might be bad.
43:00
They might be terrible, as you said, Chris.
43:05
But yeah, let's rest my card.
43:07
Will, I'm going to throw it back to you.
43:10
Okay.
43:11
As usual, I only have two more picks, keep it conservative here.
43:16
I don't want to go too off the board.
43:20
I have the Chargers at the Packers over 44.
43:24
I think that the Chargers cannot stop anyone.
43:30
I don't think they'll be able to stop Jordan Love.
43:34
Not that that's hard to do.
43:38
But it will be hard for them.
43:42
And the Chargers...
43:43
I mean, we know the Chargers can put up points.
43:47
We know that they're able to do that, but their defense can't keep them in games.
43:53
And the Packers defense is in all that great.
43:56
They're pretty mid.
43:57
So I am predicting over 44 in the Chargers Packers game.
44:02
And then I also have the Texans minus five.
44:05
Texans are super white, lava hot right now.
44:08
Everyone is jerking off CJ Stroud as we speak.
44:14
Kyler Murray not doing great.
44:16
Well, I mean, he won last week.
44:19
But everybody wants to see him fail.
44:22
And he's going to fail.
44:23
He beat the Falcons.
44:24
Yeah.
44:25
Way to go.
44:26
Yeah.
44:27
So did the Titans.
44:28
Yeah, right?
44:29
So did the Vikings with an astronaut for a quarterback.
44:36
So not to cut you off, but it's kind of just dawned on me.
44:40
The last three Falcons opponents were quarterbacks making their season debuts.
44:45
And they lost all three.
44:47
Oh, shit.
44:50
Damn.
44:52
That's hilarious.
44:55
That's interesting.
44:56
That's interesting.
44:57
Are they on bi-week this week?
45:00
I believe so.
45:02
Interesting.
45:03
Who do they play next week?
45:08
I don't know, but that's my card.
45:09
Chris, what is the rest of your card?
45:11
All right, I'm glad you asked.
45:12
Well, I'll start off Bears plus.
45:15
I got it.
45:16
I bet it today because I saw Justin Fields coming back and I knew this line was going
45:20
to move because I'm a sharp Bears plus 10.
45:24
I don't love it at plus eight, but 10 is a lot of points.
45:30
Yeah.
45:31
10 for a division, divisional mashup.
45:32
The line is defense does not look good at all, by the way.
45:35
Also, so if I had to, I would take the plus eight.
45:39
I don't love it, but that's why I got it plus 10.
45:43
So suck it.
45:46
Chargers minus three.
45:47
This is, I know their defense is so bad.
45:50
I'm fading the Packers until they give me a reason not to.
45:53
They're not good at all.
45:55
Let's see.
45:56
Raiders, Dolphins over 46 and a half.
45:59
Just because the Raiders have been so kind to me, I couldn't bet against them.
46:02
So let's root for some points.
46:04
It wouldn't shock me if this is 49, nothing Dolphins.
46:09
They love to beat up on these not good teams.
46:14
Cardinals Texans over 47 and a half.
46:18
Kyle Murray looked good.
46:20
CJ Stroud obviously looks amazing.
46:23
Both defenses suck.
46:24
So over 47 and a half and a rounded out jets plus seven.
46:29
I know the bills just fired their offensive coordinator.
46:34
Endor season.
46:35
Thank you so much.
46:37
I had it right up until I was about to say it.
46:41
It was obviously all his fault.
46:42
They lost that game.
46:43
He threw all those interceptions.
46:44
He was the tall man on the field.
46:47
He turned the ball over.
46:49
Yeah.
46:50
He fumbled the ball in the first place.
46:51
It was obviously, obviously all his fault.
46:54
The bills are going to win this game, right?
46:56
Actually, I mean, they'll probably win because it's the jets.
46:58
The jets always keep it close with the bills.
47:02
Even when Josh Allen is playing well, they keep it close with him and he's playing like
47:07
dog shit.
47:08
So jets plus seven to round it out and that is the car.
47:13
Yeah.
47:14
I think Josh Allen is coming down with a severe case of Madden curse.
47:19
I'm being honest.
47:21
Oh yeah.
47:22
Yeah.
47:23
I'm just detrimental to my MVP future that I placed back in August.
47:28
Hey, would you hit a future this past week though?
47:32
I did.
47:33
Thanks to Josh Allen actually.
47:34
Yeah.
47:35
Josh Allen, over six and a half rushing touchdowns hit it in week 10.
47:41
I don't know why that line was so low, but I'm not complaining.
47:45
Boss.
47:46
Thanks.
47:47
So hold on.
47:48
I just want to say something.
47:50
If my memory serves me correctly, you bet Josh Allen to an MVP because he is currently
47:55
dating Haley Steinfeld, correct?
47:58
That is 100% accurate.
48:00
And you're shitting on me for betting the chiefs because it's meet the parents weekend
48:05
at Arrowhead.
48:08
Well, okay.
48:10
That's saying.
48:13
We both apparently follow entertainment tonight on Instagram.
48:17
Look, look, look.
48:19
Look, first off, no, I do not follow entertainment tonight.
48:26
Second off, I am just, I am, I am exhausted.
48:30
I am exhausted with the amount of Taylor Swift news that I see on the daily.
48:36
When I don't go looking for it, it's just there.
48:40
And like, you know, it was fun.
48:45
It was fun when it started.
48:46
It was like, oh my God.
48:48
Like, oh, they're dating.
48:49
It's like, oh, that Travis Kelsey touchdown.
48:51
She's at the game.
48:53
She's there.
48:54
That was fun.
48:55
That's fun.
48:56
And you'd be a smart man to do that.
49:03
But I'm just kind of, I'm, I'm out of it.
49:06
It's, if it's on ESPN every day, it's starting to get to me like, like ESPN is running out
49:14
of things to talk about in the middle of football season when they, they start getting into
49:20
LeBron versus Michael debates.
49:24
And it's just like, I'm giving, I'm giving an example about how like ESPN just runs
49:31
out of things to talk about when they don't, when they have sports to talk about, they
49:35
just don't want to talk about it.
49:37
ESPN does not talk about the NHL.
49:41
Pretty much, and they have a huge partnership with the NHL, which I think is kind of messed
49:47
up, but it's pretty sus.
49:50
But they'd rather, they'd rather talk about the dating life of Travis Kelsey and Taylor
49:55
Swift.
49:56
And I'm just, I'm, I'm kind of over it.
49:59
And I'm just, I wish nothing but the best for them, but I, I'm over it.
50:07
So I may, I may have sounded hypocritical.
50:09
I apologize, but I am tired of it being shoved down my throat.
50:14
And I hope you, I hope you understand.
50:18
I didn't say that.
50:19
I didn't say that.
50:24
I just, I hope you know where I'm coming from.
50:26
No, I get it.
50:27
It just kind of dawned when you said the Josh Schellen MVP, I was like, wait a minute.
50:32
Yeah.
50:33
Because, I mean, that because of who he's dating.
50:35
Yeah.
50:36
I had, I had statistics to go off of that bet.
50:42
Why not?
50:43
It's Aaron Rogers.
50:44
I mean, it kind of still statistics.
50:50
They broke up.
50:51
He snapped his Achilles.
50:53
Yeah.
50:54
Just saying it happened.
50:55
It's not MVP this year.
50:58
He could, if he, if he, he won't, but if he takes a snap this year, does he get combat
51:06
player of the year over to Mar Hamlin?
51:09
Oh God.
51:10
I mean, I know we're really just grasping the straws, but it was really out there.
51:16
I, I don't like the comeback player of the year this year.
51:23
I mean, realistically, if Damar didn't die on the field, I would be putting money on
51:31
Josh Dobbs almost like depends how the rest of the year goes.
51:36
But yeah, I mean, I'd be thinking about it.
51:38
I'd definitely be thinking about it if Damar wasn't minus 300, but it's just irresponsible
51:45
to bet anything other than Damar Hamlin.
51:47
And it's just not fun.
51:50
That's how I feel.
51:52
It's just, yeah, he's going to win.
51:54
Can't name Gunny off, but, but, and that's pretty selfish way to think, but.
52:01
Oh, he actually.
52:03
So before last week, he was like creeping up to like minus like 110 to win it.
52:11
And then of course he plays his first two defensive snaps of the year and he's back
52:14
down to minus 200.
52:16
Yeah.
52:17
And he gets half, he got half a tackle.
52:19
Yeah.
52:20
Yeah.
52:21
I mean, I'm not shitting on him.
52:23
I was just, I was looking at the odds.
52:27
I was like, when you said minus 300, I was like, that's not that, but apparently it is.
52:32
Well, it was the other day.
52:34
It is now.
52:35
I mean, it's pretty much.
52:36
200.
52:37
Yeah.
52:38
But yeah, I should remember before last week, I saw like a thing on Twitter.
52:43
I forget who it was from.
52:45
Like it was from a sportsbook account, but it was like Aaron Rogers to when comeback play
52:50
the year at plus like 2000 or whatever.
52:53
You never know.
52:54
And it showed like the top five and Damar Hamlin was like minus 110.
52:58
I was like, he opened it like minus 600.
53:01
Yeah.
53:02
But the Aaron Rogers comeback play of the year, like all things considered, he might
53:12
not take a snap.
53:17
He could.
53:19
But I think it'd be like if the Jets are out of it by the time he's like healthy, it's
53:24
kind of like, why would you?
53:27
Yeah.
53:28
I mean, I was just floating that out there.
53:31
No, I think I think I think it's a it's a good thing to talk about, you know, we're
53:36
talking about it.
53:37
Some are saying some are saying some people are saying.
53:44
Yeah.
53:45
Okay.
53:46
Well, here are three for the money.
53:49
We stand for love.
53:50
Love is beautiful.
53:51
No matter what you're on.
53:53
Thank you so much for listening and watching.
54:03
We will be back next week twice like last year.
54:11
It'll probably be like two smaller pots.
54:15
One of them out probably Wednesday.
54:17
The other one out maybe Friday.
54:19
We'll see.
54:20
Tell them why.
54:21
Well, it's Thanksgiving.
54:22
We have to give thanks to football.
54:25
Damn straight.
54:26
Yeah.
54:27
So yeah, we is this the first year they do they're doing a Black Friday games?
54:33
Yeah.
54:34
Oh, yeah.
54:35
It's the Amazon Prime.
54:37
Who is Thursday?
54:39
It's Thursday night football.
54:40
I don't know.
54:41
I think it's like the Seahawks or in somebody.
54:44
Okay.
54:45
Well, we will the cock game.
54:50
We'll probably do the Thursday Friday games for the first pod probably out Wednesday.
54:58
Then probably the rest of Sunday will be will be the.
55:06
Probably not.
55:07
Yeah.
55:08
That'll be that'll be probably put out on on Friday.
55:12
Oh, yeah.
55:13
Just so there's like a little gap in between the two.
55:17
We observe Thanksgiving at three for the money.
55:20
Yes, we don't just automatically skipped Christmas.
55:22
Yeah.
55:23
Right.
55:24
Carrie.
55:25
Yeah.
55:26
The the prime game is dolphins jet set to PM.
55:31
No, weird time to have NFL game, but.
55:35
Okay.
55:36
Is that the only game on Friday?
55:37
Yeah.
55:38
Only NFL game.
55:39
There's some college, but yeah, there is college.
55:43
Weird time.
55:44
You know, while you're putting up your Christmas tree on Friday, the dolphins just game on
55:50
Amazon Prime at 2pm.
55:53
Oh, it's on Amazon Prime.
55:55
I thought you said it was on peacock.
55:57
No, it's the it's the prime Thursday night football game.
56:00
Like it's the Thursday night crew.
56:03
I know why I thought there was a game on peacock this year.
56:06
I mean, they're usually is that sounds like they're like so late like exclusively peacock
56:13
not like NBC.
56:14
Oh, I don't know.
56:16
I don't think so.
56:17
Okay.
56:18
I don't know.
56:19
I thought I heard that.
56:20
I thought it was this game.
56:21
So I take back my statement.
56:23
Word.
56:24
Okay.
56:25
Okay.
56:26
Yeah, let's get out of here.
56:30
Check out the link in our description for two week free trial and Trent Center.
56:35
Again, just a theory.
56:37
They're under maintenance right now.
56:39
It's Wednesday.
56:41
Could possibly be them adding college basketball.
56:45
We'll see just a theory.
56:46
Don't quote me.
56:47
Don't don't go out.
56:48
Don't to them say will from three for the money said that y'all have college basketball.
56:53
Don't say that.
56:55
Just do the two week free trial and get back to me in two weeks after you triple your bank
56:59
roll.
57:00
Follow us on everything.
57:05
He's in the bio or bandits Thursday night pick and his all dog parlay on Sunday.
57:13
He's got to hit one of these.
57:14
He's been doing good.
57:15
He's been doing good on Thursday.
57:16
Yeah, I'm talking about the parlay.
57:17
Yeah, well, it's it's hard.
57:18
He's a dog.
57:19
Yeah.
57:20
Yeah.
57:21
He's a dog.
57:22
It's supposed to get I guess, it's supposed to guess four games correctly.
57:23
That's hard for us humans.
57:24
Yeah.
57:25
It's tough.
57:39
But yes, follow us on everything.
57:42
Like comment subscribe.
57:43
We really appreciate it really helps our reach.
57:45
Am I forgetting anything?
57:49
Don't think so.
57:51
Okay.
57:52
That's going to be it.
57:53
Thank you so much.
57:54
What would you guys at least say?
57:56
A little bit.
57:57
Not that much.
57:58
We're proud to be here today.
57:59
Do we hear a lot again?
58:00
Yeah, what other people here do meet?
58:03
Anyway, Milne's dismissed, there's a lot.
58:10
Yes, that's got to be it for now, Mr.