Latest / Sleepy Facts About History / Who Were the Young Conspirators Behind the Sarajevo Plot? - The Sarajevo Plot and the Decisions of July 1914 | Sleepy Facts About History
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to Sleepy Facts About History. On the
- 0:12morning of June 28, 1914, a sequence of errors,
- 0:17coincidences, and small failures brought an Archduke's
- 0:22car to a stop directly in front of a 19 -year
- 0:26-old with a pistol. The assassination of Archduke
- 0:29Franz Ferdinand and his wife Sophie in Sarajevo
- 0:33is often remembered as a single inevitable moment
- 0:37that triggered the First World War. The actual
- 0:40history is far more uncertain. The plot was an
- 0:43amateurish near -disaster carried out by young
- 0:47radicals, and its success depended entirely on
- 0:50a wrong turn, a stalled engine, and a shouted
- 0:54command. This episode examines the specific circumstances
- 0:58of that morning. including the motivations of
- 1:02the young Bosnia conspirators, the failure of
- 1:05the first bomb attack, and the persistent myth
- 1:08that Gavrilo Princip was eating a sandwich when
- 1:11history found him. It also explores the distinction
- 1:14between the assassination and the war that followed.
- 1:18The conflict did not flow automatically from
- 1:21two bullets in Sarajevo, but emerged from the
- 1:24deliberate choices made in European capitals
- 1:27in the weeks afterward. I kept returning to one
- 1:31question while working on this episode. How do
- 1:34we understand an event that feels inevitable
- 1:36in hindsight, yet depended entirely on contingency?
- 1:41Exploring the gap between the conspirators' intentions
- 1:44and the catastrophic consequences that followed
- 1:46offers a way to look at July 1914 not as a mechanical
- 1:51unfolding of destiny, but as a branching path
- 1:54where different choices were still possible.
- 1:59On the morning of June 28, 1914, seven young
- 2:04conspirators armed with bombs and pistols lined
- 2:07a Sarajevo street to kill an archduke. By evening,
- 2:12two bullets had found their mark, not because
- 2:15of design, but because a wrong turn, a stalled
- 2:19engine, and a shouted command brought the target
- 2:22to a stop directly in front of a 19 -year -old
- 2:25who had already given up hope. On the morning
- 2:29of June 28, 1914, Sarajevo was a small provincial
- 2:34capital in a mountain valley. It was a city of
- 2:38roughly 50 ,000 people where the Miljaka River
- 2:42ran slow between stone embankments and the main
- 2:46road, the Apple Key, followed the water's curve.
- 2:50Above the rooftops, the minarets of the Ghazi
- 2:54Husrev Beg Mosque, and the spires of Orthodox
- 2:57and Catholic churches rose within sight of each
- 3:00other. This was because Bosnia -Herzegovina was
- 3:04a place where Ottoman and Habsburg layers sat
- 3:06close together. Along the quay, the imperial
- 3:11administration had built in the Habsburg style.
- 3:14The governor's residence, the military barracks,
- 3:18the post office with its clock tower. Behind
- 3:21the city, the mountains rose steeply, pine covered.
- 3:25trapping the summer heat. That morning, the Appelke
- 3:30was decorated with flags and bunting for a state
- 3:32visit. The heir to the Habsburg throne, Archduke
- 3:37Franz Ferdinand, had arrived with his wife, Sophie.
- 3:41A marriage to him had been controversial at the
- 3:44Habsburg court. They were scheduled to drive
- 3:47along the river to the city hall. The date was
- 3:51provocative. June 28 was St. Vitus Day for Dofton.
- 3:57the anniversary of the 1389 Battle of Kosovo,
- 4:00when Ottoman forces had defeated a Serbian -led
- 4:03coalition. In Serbian national memory, this was
- 4:08a day of martyrdom and sacred loss. It was a
- 4:12date that resonated through centuries of poetry,
- 4:15religious observance, and political aspiration.
- 4:19For a Habsburg archduke to visit Sarajevo on
- 4:23Vidovdan was, to Serbian nationalists, Either
- 4:27obliviousness or deliberate provocation, the
- 4:31governor of Bosnia -Herzegovina, Oskar Potiorek,
- 4:34had arranged the visit and the security. He had
- 4:38not arranged it well. What happened that morning
- 4:42is often remembered as a single gunman and a
- 4:45single moment that started the First World War.
- 4:49That memory is wrong in almost every particular.
- 4:52The assassination was not a well -executed plan.
- 4:58It was a plot that nearly failed. It succeeded
- 5:02only through a sequence of errors, coincidences
- 5:05and small failures that brought the Archduke's
- 5:08car to a stop directly in front of one of the
- 5:10conspirators. And the war that followed did not
- 5:14flow automatically from two bullets in Sarajevo.
- 5:18It came from decisions made in Vienna, Berlin,
- 5:22St. Petersburg and other capitals in the weeks
- 5:24after. Those decisions could have been made differently.
- 5:30To understand what actually happened, we need
- 5:33to look at who the conspirators were, how they
- 5:36obtained their weapons, how they positioned themselves
- 5:38along the motorcade route, and how the morning
- 5:41unfolded from the first failed attack to the
- 5:44final fatal shots. The conspirators were young.
- 5:50Gavrilo Princip was 19. Most of the others were
- 5:55teenagers or in their early 20s. They were 17,
- 5:5918, 19. Nadejko Obrinovi and Mohamed Mehmedboshi
- 6:06were older at 27. Danilo Ilic was 24. They were
- 6:13mostly Bosnian Serbs. The Mehmedboshi was a Bosniak.
- 6:19The network they belonged to, Young Bosnia or
- 6:22Mladá Bosna, included Croats as well. They were
- 6:27students, workers and intellectuals who had absorbed
- 6:30a mixture of revolutionary, anarchist and nationalist
- 6:33ideas. They opposed Habsburg rule not because
- 6:37of ancient ethnic hatred, but because they lived
- 6:40under an imperial administration that limited
- 6:42political representation, favoured certain groups
- 6:45over others, and had annexed their province without
- 6:48consultation. They wanted South Slav unification.
- 6:53They saw the Kingdom of Serbia as a potential
- 6:57center for that unification. Young Bosnia was
- 7:00not a tightly organized conspiracy. It was a
- 7:04loose network of like -minded young people who
- 7:07read forbidden literature, discussed revolutionary
- 7:09ideas, and occasionally took action. The Sarajevo
- 7:14plot was more concrete than most of their activities,
- 7:17but it was still amateurish in its planning and
- 7:20dependent on outside help for weapons. That help
- 7:25came through clandestine channels linked to the
- 7:27Black Hand. The Black Hand, formerly Ujedinjen
- 7:31Ilis Mert, Union or Death, was a secret society
- 7:36founded in 1911 by Serbian military officers.
- 7:40The most prominent of these officers was Colonel
- 7:44Dragutin Dimitriević, known as Apis. Its goal
- 7:49was Serbian national expansion through covert
- 7:52action, including propaganda, sabotage and assassination.
- 7:57It operated outside and often against the civilian
- 8:01government of Serbia. This distinction matters.
- 8:05The Serbian government under Prime Minister Nikola
- 8:09Bashi was a constitutional monarchy with its
- 8:12own internal conflicts. Auschwitz civilian administration
- 8:16was frequently at odds with the military intelligence
- 8:19circles of the Black Hand. There is evidence
- 8:23that Pesic had some awareness of weapons smuggling
- 8:26toward Bosnia and may have attempted to warn
- 8:29Vienna. The warning was vague and not acted upon.
- 8:33The extent and timing of his knowledge remain
- 8:36debated among historians. What is clear is that
- 8:41the Serbian government did not direct the assassination
- 8:43plot. Elements connected to the Black Hand facilitated
- 8:48the weapons. The young Bosnia conspirators conceived
- 8:52and carried out the attack. The weapons arrived
- 8:56through intermediaries, Major Vojislav Tenkosikic
- 9:00and Milan Sikanovic. They passed four Browning
- 9:04pistols and six bombs from Serbian military stocks
- 9:07to the conspirators in Sarajevo. The bombs were
- 9:12crewed based on a design from the Balkan Wars
- 9:15of 1912 -1913. The pistols were standard military
- 9:20-issue Brownings. The conspirators had some training
- 9:24in their use, but not much. They were not professional
- 9:28killers. On the evening of June 27, the seven
- 9:33conspirators positioned themselves along the
- 9:36announced motorcade route. They were spaced at
- 9:39intervals along the Apple Quay, each armed with
- 9:43a bomb and a pistol. The plan was simple in conception
- 9:46and fragile in execution. As the Archduke's car
- 9:51passed, They would throw their bombs. If the
- 9:55bombs failed, they would use their pistols. If
- 10:00the pistols failed, they would swallow cyanide
- 10:02capsules and try to drown themselves in the Miljaka.
- 10:07The cyanide, as it turned out, was old or weak.
- 10:11This would matter. The morning of June 28 was
- 10:16warm. Crowds gathered along the Apulki. Some
- 10:22were curious, some hostile. most simply present
- 10:25for a state occasion. The motorcade consisted
- 10:29of six cars. Franz Ferdinand and Sophie rode
- 10:33in the third, an open -top Graf Stift Double
- 10:36Phaeton with a folded convertible roof. The governor,
- 10:40Potiorek, sat with them. The driver was Leopold
- 10:45Locher, a professional chauffeur who did not
- 10:48know Sarajevo well. This too would matter. The
- 10:54first part of the drive proceeded without incident.
- 10:57The motorcade passed the first conspirators,
- 11:00who lost their nerve or judged the moment wrong.
- 11:04Then, as the cars approached the A. Umurhi Bridge
- 11:08near the central market, Nedeljko A. Abranovic
- 11:12stepped forward, pulled the pin on his bomb and
- 11:15threw it at the Archduke's car. The bomb arced
- 11:19through the air. Whether it struck the folded
- 11:23convertible roof or glanced off Franz Ferdinand's
- 11:26arm is unclear from the accounts. What is certain
- 11:30is that it did not enter the car. It fell behind
- 11:34the Archduke's vehicle and exploded under the
- 11:37following car with a sound that scattered the
- 11:40crowd. Several occupants were wounded, including
- 11:44Lieutenant Colonel Franz von Hara. A number of
- 11:48bystanders were hit by shrapnel or thrown to
- 11:51the ground. The explosion caused chaos. Ubrinovic
- 11:57swallowed his cyanide capsule and jumped into
- 12:00the Miljaka River. The cyanide only made him
- 12:04vomit. The river, in late June, was only 10 to
- 12:0915 centimeters deep in that stretch. He landed
- 12:13in shallow water and was immediately seized by
- 12:16police and bystanders, who beat him before authorities
- 12:19intervened. The motorcade continued to the city
- 12:24hall. Franz Ferdinand was angry, shaken, and
- 12:29determined to proceed with the official program.
- 12:31He gave his scheduled address, with blood from
- 12:35a minor cut on his cheek visible to those nearby.
- 12:39Then he insisted on visiting the wounded from
- 12:41the bombing at the hospital. This decision, to
- 12:45continue the visit rather than leave Sarajevo
- 12:48immediately, was one of several moments that
- 12:51morning when different choices might have produced
- 12:53different outcomes. The route to the hospital
- 12:56was supposed to differ from the original route.
- 13:00The drivers were supposed to proceed along the
- 13:02Apple Quay and then turn onto a different street,
- 13:06avoiding the area where the first attack had
- 13:08occurred. But the change was not communicated
- 13:11clearly to all the drivers. When the motorcade
- 13:15reached the junction of Apple Quay and Franz
- 13:17Josef Street, The first car turned onto Franz
- 13:20Josef Street as originally planned. Leopold Lacher,
- 13:25driving the Archduke's car, followed. Governor
- 13:29Potiorek, realizing the error, shouted at Lochte
- 13:33to stop and reverse. Lochte stopped the car,
- 13:37put it in reverse, and either stalled or simply
- 13:40stopped directly in front of a shop called Schiller's
- 13:43Delicatessen. Obrillo Prinz was standing there.
- 13:49He had been positioned along the original route.
- 13:52He had seen the motorcade pass after the bombing.
- 13:56He had assumed the plot had failed. He had wandered
- 14:01toward this spot. He was not eating a sandwich.
- 14:06There is no contemporary evidence for the sandwich
- 14:09story. It appears to be a later myth, possibly
- 14:13originating in a misremembered detail or a fictionalized
- 14:17account. It has no basis in the trial records.
- 14:21the investigation files or any witness statement
- 14:24from 1914. Princip was standing outside Schiller's
- 14:29because he had been walking along the route,
- 14:32because the shop happened to be there and because
- 14:35the car had stopped directly in front of him.
- 14:38He stepped forward, drew his pistol and fired
- 14:41two shots at close range. The first hit Franz
- 14:45Ferdinand in the jugular vein. The second hit
- 14:49Sophie in the abdomen. Both were fatal. Sophie
- 14:55died first, before the cart could reach the governor's
- 14:58residence. Franz Ferdinand died shortly after.
- 15:02He reportedly spoke words to her that have been
- 15:05variously recorded. One version is, Sophie, Sophie,
- 15:11don't die, stay alive for our children. But the
- 15:15exact wording is uncertain, and should be treated
- 15:17with caution. Princip attempted to swallow his
- 15:21cyanide, and then to shoot himself. But the cyanide
- 15:25was weak. and the pistol was wrestled from him
- 15:27by bystanders and police. He was arrested alive.
- 15:32The entire sequence from the car stopping to
- 15:35the shot being fired took seconds. The contingency
- 15:39is almost impossible to overstate. If the route
- 15:43change had been communicated clearly, if Logica
- 15:47had not followed the first car, if Potiorek had
- 15:50not shouted to stop, if the car had not stalled
- 15:54at that exact spot. If Princip had been five
- 15:57minutes earlier or later, any of these differences
- 16:01and the assassination fails. The plot was not
- 16:05a well -oiled machine. It was a near disaster
- 16:09that became successful through confusion. Princip
- 16:13was held in custody. In the days that followed,
- 16:16the other conspirators were identified through
- 16:19interrogation and arrested. The physical evidence
- 16:22was collected. The pistols, the bombs, the cyanide
- 16:26capsules, the clothes the young men had worn.
- 16:29The investigation, led by Austro -Hungarian authorities,
- 16:33established the basic facts of the plot, the
- 16:36weapons supply, and the connections to Serbian
- 16:39military circles. What the investigation found
- 16:43mattered less than what Vienna chose to do with
- 16:46it. The investigation also served political purposes.
- 16:51Vienna wanted to use the assassination to confront
- 16:54Serbia, to settle accounts that had been building
- 16:57since the annexation crisis of 1908 and the Balkan
- 17:01Wars. The assassination became a pretext, a casus
- 17:05belli, not a cause in any simple sense. On July
- 17:1023, Austria -Hungary issued an ultimatum to Serbia
- 17:15with demands so severe that full acceptance was
- 17:18virtually impossible. Serbia accepted most but
- 17:23not all terms. Austria -Hungary declared war
- 17:27on July 28. Russia mobilized in support of Serbia.
- 17:33Germany, which had given Austria -Hungary a blank
- 17:36check of support, declared war on Russia on August
- 17:401, and on France, Russia's ally, on August 3.
- 17:44Britain entered the war after Germany invaded
- 17:47Belgium. The alliance system activated. The machinery
- 17:53of European war. Built over decades of military
- 17:56planning, diplomatic rivalry and imperial competition
- 18:00engaged. None of this was inevitable. The assassination
- 18:06did not make war unavoidable. At multiple points
- 18:11in July 1914, different decisions were possible.
- 18:15The German government could have restrained Austria
- 18:18-Hungary. The Austro -Hungarian government could
- 18:22have accepted Serbia's partial compliance. The
- 18:25Russian government could have delayed mobilization.
- 18:28The Serbian government could have accepted the
- 18:31ultimatum in full. None of these choices were
- 18:35taken. The reasons they were not taken involved
- 18:39the specific calculations of specific men in
- 18:42specific circumstances, not the mechanical unfolding
- 18:45of historical necessity. The conspirators themselves
- 18:49did not expect or intend a world war. They were
- 18:54focused on Bosnia, on South Slav unification.
- 18:57on the local struggle against Habsburg rule.
- 19:01At his trial, Princip described himself as a
- 19:05Yugoslav nationalist who believed in the unification
- 19:08of South Slavs. He expressed satisfaction at
- 19:12the assassination, but showed no awareness that
- 19:15his act would produce continental catastrophe.
- 19:18The gap between his intentions and the consequences
- 19:21illustrates something important about political
- 19:24violence. Its effects are not controlled by its
- 19:27authors. The trial of the conspirators began
- 19:31in Sarajevo in October 1914. Princip, Abrinovic
- 19:37and Grebeth were too young for execution under
- 19:41Habsburg law. They received 20 -year prison sentences
- 19:45and died in custody during the war. Princip died
- 19:50of tuberculosis in April 1918. Others received
- 19:55various sentences. The trial records remain a
- 19:59primary source for understanding the conspirators'
- 20:02motivations. They must be read with awareness
- 20:05that judicial interrogation shapes testimony
- 20:08in particular ways. Post -war memoirs by surviving
- 20:12conspirators, including Vaso Akubralovic and
- 20:17C .V. Jetko Popovic, add detail but must be treated
- 20:21with caution. Memory changes over time, especially
- 20:25after transformative events. like war and revolution.
- 20:30These accounts are valuable but not transparent
- 20:33windows onto 1914. For decades, the assassination
- 20:37was described as the spark that ignited a powder
- 20:41keg. That image makes the war seem inevitable,
- 20:45as if Europe was waiting to explode. But the
- 20:49powder keg was not a natural phenomenon. It was
- 20:53built by human decisions, and different decisions
- 20:56could have diffused it. More recent scholarship
- 21:00has emphasized the specific failures of the morning
- 21:03in Sarajevo and the distinct choices made in
- 21:06July 1914. The traffic accident analogy for the
- 21:11assassination's contingency risks understating
- 21:14the deliberate intent of the conspirators. They
- 21:17chose to place themselves along the route. They
- 21:21chose to throw bombs and fire pistols. The assassination
- 21:26was not an accident. but its success was not
- 21:30assured. It was contingent on multiple failures
- 21:34that no one had planned. The sandwich story persists
- 21:38in popular memory because it offers a neat narrative
- 21:40irony. The assassin was eating lunch when history
- 21:44found him, but there is no evidence for it. Princip
- 21:49was standing outside a delicatessen, not eating
- 21:52at a café. The myth may have originated in a
- 21:56confusion between Schiller's delicatessen. and
- 21:59a nearby establishment or in a later fictionalization
- 22:03that gained credence through repetition its persistence
- 22:07illustrates how historical events are simplified
- 22:10and dramatized in popular retelling losing the
- 22:14texture of contingency and confusion that the
- 22:16actual morning contain what remains uncertain
- 22:20in the historical record the exact wording of
- 22:24franz ferdinand's last words to sophie The precise
- 22:28degree of black -hand control over the plot,
- 22:31whether Apis and his associates directed the
- 22:34operation or merely facilitated it, the full
- 22:38extent of Serbian government knowledge and the
- 22:40nature of any warning to Vienna, the exact sequence
- 22:44of decisions in the car after the bombing, particularly
- 22:47how the route change was or was not communicated
- 22:50to the drivers. These gaps do not prevent a clear
- 22:55understanding of the basic events. But they remind
- 22:58us that historical reconstruction is always partial,
- 23:02always dependent on surviving evidence that was
- 23:05created for particular purposes and that preserves
- 23:09some things while obscuring others. The conspirators
- 23:13themselves resist simple categorization as heroes
- 23:16or villains. They were young men who believed,
- 23:20with the certainty of youth and the intensity
- 23:22of political commitment, that violence against
- 23:25an imperial representative would advance the
- 23:28cause of national liberation. They were willing
- 23:31to kill and to die for this belief. They were
- 23:35also, in their methods and their associations,
- 23:39connected to a secret military society that operated
- 23:42outside democratic accountability. Their act
- 23:46produced not liberation, but catastrophe. It
- 23:50produced not -South Slav unification under favorable
- 23:54conditions, But war, empires collapse, and a
- 23:58troubled interwar kingdom that would itself dissolve
- 24:00in further conflict. They could not have foreseen
- 24:04this, but their actions contributed to it. Franz
- 24:09Ferdinand and Sophie were not simply symbols
- 24:12of imperial oppression. They were a married couple
- 24:15with three children, traveling together on a
- 24:18day that combined official duty with personal
- 24:21companionship. In Sarajevo, she sat beside him
- 24:26in the open car, and she died beside him. The
- 24:30human scale of the event, two people killed at
- 24:33close range on a city street, should not be lost
- 24:37in the abstraction of historical significance.
- 24:41Sarajevo, on June 28, 1914, was a specific place
- 24:46at a specific moment, not a stage for inevitable
- 24:49tragedy. The city was small enough that the conspirators
- 24:54could walk its main thoroughfare in half an hour.
- 24:57The river was shallow enough to wade across.
- 25:01A driver's wrong turn could bring an archduke's
- 25:04car to a stop in front of a 19 -year -old with
- 25:07a pistol. The imperial administration was present
- 25:11but thin. The security arrangements were inadequate.
- 25:16The political tensions were real but not deterministic.
- 25:21The assassination emerged from this particular
- 25:23conjunction. Young radicals with weapons supplied
- 25:26by secret military channels, a provincial capital
- 25:30on a symbolic date, a motorcade route that was
- 25:33public knowledge, a security apparatus that failed
- 25:37to protect its principle, and a series of small
- 25:40errors that combined to produce a fatal outcome.
- 25:43The war that followed was not contained in those
- 25:46two shots. It was constructed in the Chancellories
- 25:50of Europe in the weeks after, by men who chose
- 25:54to interpret the assassination as an opportunity
- 25:56or a necessity. They chose escalation over restraint.
- 26:02They chose to honour alliance commitments that
- 26:05might have been renegotiated. They chose to mobilise
- 26:09rather than to wait. The assassination was the
- 26:13occasion for these choices, not their cause.
- 26:17Without it, some other occasion might have served
- 26:20or might not the point is not that the war would
- 26:24have happened anyway the point is that it happened
- 26:27because of specific decisions made after sarajevo
- 26:31decisions that were not mechanically determined
- 26:34by the event itself to understand this is to
- 26:37recover a sense of historical contingency that
- 26:40is often lost in retrospective narration from
- 26:44the vantage point of 1918 or 1945 or 2024 The
- 26:50path from Sarajevo to the Somme, from Princip's
- 26:53Pistol to the collapse of empires, can look like
- 26:56a straight line. It was not. It was a branching
- 27:01path with multiple points where different choices
- 27:04were possible. The men who made the choices did
- 27:08not know what would follow. The outcome was not
- 27:11visible to those who had not yet lived through
- 27:14it. The task of historical understanding. is
- 27:18not to smooth this contingency into destiny,
- 27:21but to preserve it. It is to show how the actual
- 27:24emerged from the possible. It is to resist the
- 27:28temptation to treat what happened as what had
- 27:30to happen. Sarajevo remains a place where this
- 27:34contingency can be felt. The Latin bridge still
- 27:39crosses the Meljaka, near the site of the assassination.
- 27:43Schiller's delicatessen is long gone, but the
- 27:46corner where the car stopped is marred. It is
- 27:50visited by tourists who come with varying degrees
- 27:53of knowledge about what actually occurred. The
- 27:57city has changed regimes multiple times since
- 28:001914, but the corner where the car stopped is
- 28:03still marked. What the listener should carry
- 28:06away is this. The assassination of Franz Ferdinand
- 28:10and Sophie was a contingent act of political
- 28:13violence, carried out by young conspirators in
- 28:17a particular Bosnian and South Slav context.
- 28:20with weapons supplied through clandestine networks
- 28:23linked to elements of the Serbian military, but
- 28:26not to the Serbian civilian government. It nearly
- 28:30failed. It succeeded because of route confusion,
- 28:34driver error, and the chance positioning of Princip
- 28:37at the exact spot where the car stopped. It did
- 28:42not cause the First World War. The war came from
- 28:46the decisions of governments in July 1914. decisions
- 28:50that could have been different. The sandwich
- 28:54story is a myth with no contemporary evidence.
- 28:57The conspirators were neither simple heroes nor
- 29:01simple villains. The past is not a lesson, but
- 29:05a field of human action, constrained by circumstances,
- 29:09shaped by choices, and never fully determined
- 29:13until it has already happened.