Latest / Safe As Podcast / Ep 5: What you find in investigations isn't what you fix
Transcript
- 0:06We investigate, we analyse and we identify contributing
- 0:10factors. Then we recommend fixes.
- 0:13Simple right? Or is it our investigations such
- 0:17as the truth or more a game of socially negotiated whack, a
- 0:20mole influenced by competing socio political influences?
- 0:25Less about fixing issues and more about systemic pressures
- 0:28and biases shaping what factors we construct, find or dare to
- 0:32find. Let's explore how aspects other
- 0:35than causes influence what we find and fix.
- 0:38Good everyone. I'm Ben Hutchinson and this is
- 0:40Safe as a podcast dedicated to the thrifty analysis of safety,
- 0:44risk and performance research. Jump onto safetyinsights.org.
- 0:48More research. Today's study is one of my
- 0:52favourites titled What you find is not always what you fix how
- 0:56other aspects than causes of accidents decide recommendations
- 0:59for remedial actions by Lundberg, Roland Hagen and
- 1:03Hornagle published an accident analysis and prevention in 2010,
- 1:07so for methods they interviewed 22 accident investigators to
- 1:11understand the hidden constraints that pull
- 1:13investigations away from the ideal assumption.
- 1:17What you find is what you fix. In essence, how does the same
- 1:21organisational context that contributes to accidents also
- 1:24constrain the investigation process, shaping the causal
- 1:27factors that are identified for mediation?
- 1:31So what do they find? While investigators believe that
- 1:34they followed the what you find as what you fix ideal, the data
- 1:37showed that analysis and the design of actions are heavily
- 1:40influenced by practical constraints.
- 1:43As the authors put it, this results in the reality that what
- 1:46you find is not always what you fix.
- 1:48There's too much to cover in this paper, but here's a few of
- 1:51the key findings. What you fix depends on what you
- 1:54can understand. This relates to the
- 1:56investigator's experience and their knowledge of the task.
- 1:59This constrains what they can actually find and fix.
- 2:02What you fix depends on what you can afford to investigate.
- 2:05Resources and time are major limitations.
- 2:08What you fix depends on what you can find.
- 2:11Investigators struggle to speak with all of the relevant
- 2:13stakeholders, especially outside of their own company.
- 2:16What you fix depends on what you dare to find.
- 2:19Management isn't always open to criticism, which can hinder
- 2:22examining management influences, echoing findings from major
- 2:26accidents like the NASA Challenger shuttle disaster.
- 2:29What you are able to fix depends on what you find or when you
- 2:32stop looking. Investigations often stop based
- 2:35on arbitrary stop rules, like ticking off all the facts or
- 2:39identifying a set number of fixes, or stopping where you run
- 2:42out of time. They do this rather than a
- 2:45comprehensive understanding or deep dive.
- 2:48What you know how to fix is what you fix.
- 2:50Investigators might gravitate towards problems with known
- 2:53remedies, even if more complicated but effective
- 2:57strategies exist. This can lead to fixing what's
- 2:59easy, not necessarily what's best.
- 3:02What you fix depends on what is easy to understand and known to
- 3:06work. This prioritises readily
- 3:08available solutions and established rules, even if
- 3:11they're not the most targeted or suitable for that context.
- 3:15What you fix depends on what you're going to fix anyway.
- 3:17Sometimes investigations simply validate preconceived fixes or
- 3:22fixes that support their existing worldviews.
- 3:25So we find and fix things we were going to find and fix
- 3:27anyway. What you fix depends on what
- 3:30someone else decides. Recommendations may be overruled
- 3:33by higher ups and those with power, but also by people who
- 3:37might actually lack direct familiarity with the issues.
- 3:40And what you fix depends on the cost benefit balance.
- 3:43Despite claims for the contrary, cost often influence the types
- 3:47of actions taken, sometimes leading to less expensive
- 3:50temporary fixes. So there's a bigger picture.
- 3:54The authors argue that while thorough investigation methods
- 3:57are still useful, they're unlikely to prevent most of the
- 3:59factors mentioned by these investigators from leading the
- 4:02investigation away from that ideal of what you look for is
- 4:05what you fix. Said differently, these
- 4:08influences are at play in all investigations, regardless of
- 4:11the methods used. You might think that you're
- 4:14immune from these issues, or that using method A isn't
- 4:17susceptible, but these sorts of factors in some capacity in
- 4:21configuration likely exist in all investigations.
- 4:25Interestingly, no investigator blamed poor investigation
- 4:29methods as a constraint. Instead, they highlighted these
- 4:32external and internal pressures. This suggests that Acts
- 4:35investigation isn't purely rational, nor is the choice of
- 4:39actions. Perhaps, as the authors
- 4:41pragmatically suggest, it is actually irrational to consider
- 4:44the possibilities and constraints of a situation when
- 4:47selecting fixes. Also, it's not necessarily based
- 4:51on flawed thinking. Many of these constraints are
- 4:53sociopolitical, not cognitive biases.
- 4:57So what can we make of this? Besides the obvious of
- 4:59considering investigations as socially negotiated activities,
- 5:03another implication is how we treat the findings.
- 5:06If we see investigation findings as simply some areas for
- 5:09improvement, then happy dance. But if we see them as purveyors
- 5:13of reality, confirmation that our systems are working and risk
- 5:17are acceptable, then I think we really need to reconsider.
- 5:20Paraphrasing Andrew Hopkins, bad news doesn't travel well.
- 5:25So what were some limitations? Of course, with just 22
- 5:29investigators, sample size is always a consideration when
- 5:32considering. How generalizable are the
- 5:34findings? However, other research does
- 5:37support the investigations are indeed affected by various
- 5:40socioolitical influences. That's it.
- 5:43On Safe as I'm Ben Hutchinson and hoe you found this useful.