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Episode 330 - 8/5/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello and welcome to. Episode 3. 30 of the all.
• 0:23
  Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:27
  I'm your host, Josh. Applebaum, what's going on,
• 0:35
  everyone? Happy Tuesday.
• 0:37
  Another day here in the arena. Guys, as we kick off the month
• 0:40
  of August, you know what that means?
• 0:42
  We got. NFL preseason in full swing.
• 0:45
  Before you know, we're going to college football back and.
• 0:47
  Then it's going to be the regular season.
• 0:49
  And then don't even, you know, think too far ahead, but.
• 0:52
  We got the NBA. College basketball.
• 0:54
  Hockey's coming back in October again.
• 0:56
  Enjoy these dog days of summer because pretty soon the days of
• 1:00
  baseball. Only and some people.
• 1:01
  Might be happy about this, others may not because I love
• 1:04
  grinding baseball every single day, but pretty soon we're going
• 1:06
  to have a lot of different sports to choose from.
• 1:08
  So we've gotten to the groove of you know 3 packs in Major League
• 1:11
  Baseball trying to eke out two and one nights, which we did
• 1:14
  yesterday but just keep in mind that hey you know we're probably
• 1:17
  going to expand to maybe 4 bets a night 5 bets a night.
• 1:20
  I really don't try to go above 5 unless you.
• 1:23
  Really, really love. A bunch of plays because really
• 1:25
  the quickest way to to. Lose money and and see.
• 1:27
  Your bankroll dissipate or evaporate is when you have too
• 1:30
  many bets. And I always make the joke and
• 1:32
  actually included in my my new book, the NFL Sharp Betting
• 1:36
  Playbook that you got to limit your plays.
• 1:38
  If you have one glass of wine a night with dinner, hey, that's
• 1:40
  good. Some people even say a glass of
• 1:42
  red wine is good for your heart if you have 10.
• 1:44
  Glasses of wine every night. Or five or more, you probably
• 1:47
  have a problem. So I look at glasses of wine
• 1:49
  like I do number of bets I have each night, always trying to
• 1:53
  again focus on. And again, you may start a day
• 1:55
  with loving 7 or 8 bets and get them down to four or five or
• 1:58
  maybe got 5 down to three. Less is more when it comes to
• 2:01
  sports betting because there's always.
• 2:02
  Going to be more. Days and more games to bet on,
• 2:05
  but if you have too many plays, you need to overextend yourself
• 2:08
  again, that's when a bad night, you know, an O and three stinks,
• 2:11
  but an O and five, an O and seven, a one and eight, that's
• 2:14
  even worse. But I did want to get you guys
• 2:16
  to get a little bit excited because we're going to have a
• 2:17
  lot of these sports, especially football, of course, returning
• 2:20
  here pretty shortly. We did hit on and by the way, I
• 2:23
  do have another 3 pack of baseball plays for you guys
• 2:25
  today, 11 bigger line couple medium to moderate size numbers.
• 2:30
  So we're going to see if we can eke out another two in one
• 2:32
  night, but I wanted to mention. Just some of these.
• 2:34
  Preseason games, because we talked about it yesterday.
• 2:37
  There's three games coming up on Thursday, so just two days from
• 2:40
  now and we've all already. Seen a ton of line.
• 2:42
  Movement, one that really caught my eye.
• 2:44
  Was Vegas in Seattle? This is a 10:00 game on Thursday
• 2:48
  night and we actually opened this game.
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  Seattle favored. By about a point and a half.
• 2:52
  Well, we talked about how the line already flipped on
• 2:55
  yesterday's pod over to Vegas plus 1 1/2 to -2 1/2 and then
• 2:59
  right before I started the pod, I just.
• 3:01
  Saw Vegas get steamed up to -4 1/2 so a ton of movement toward
• 3:05
  the Raiders. This is one of those games where
• 3:08
  information based betting is super critical because it looks
• 3:11
  like Seattle's going to sit pretty much all their guys.
• 3:13
  Vegas is going to play a lot of their guys, which is why you're
• 3:15
  seeing this line flip toward Vegas.
• 3:18
  But. You know if you're minus. 2 1/2.
• 3:20
  -3 or less. You can convince me maybe?
• 3:23
  A money line play, you know -150 or less.
• 3:26
  But now that you're seeing Vegas up to -4 1/2, that's what an
• 3:29
  example of a game where if you're late to the party, like
• 3:31
  1, if you played it, if you got Vegas, like my guy Devin
• 3:34
  Hernandez, who did a great job, I think he got plus 1 1/2, then
• 3:38
  you're feeling great right now. There's nothing else you can do.
• 3:40
  You're getting. CLV like you read about, but if
• 3:42
  you haven't played it yet, I'm not going to rush to the window
• 3:45
  and lay 4 1/2. Maybe Vegas wins by, you know, 5
• 3:48
  or more and it doesn't matter. But really the point of these
• 3:51
  information based bets is getting down.
• 3:53
  Somewhat quickly before the line, really.
• 3:56
  Gets away from you. Like, for example, Vegas is now
• 3:58
  -5 -, 4 1/2. Let's say Vegas wins by three.
• 4:02
  That means everyone. And again, got to remember.
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  The key numbers 3. 76 You know 10 even seen with the extra
• 4:09
  point being moved back, you know, some more games that are
• 4:11
  landing on a margin of five. But the whole point being there
• 4:14
  is that. You know Vegas wins by. 3 Then
• 4:17
  that means. Everyone who got them early as a
• 4:18
  dog or -2 now for less. Wins.
• 4:21
  You lay a. 4 1/2 the worst of the number.
• 4:23
  To me. That's a cardinal sin in
• 4:25
  betting. You never want to lay the worst
• 4:26
  of the number. Now you may, you know, rob a
• 4:28
  bank and get away with it and not get caught, But if you
• 4:31
  consistently bet the worst of the number, it's like the
• 4:33
  opposite of CLV, then pretty soon you're going to get clipped
• 4:36
  and you're going to see people who bet the game before you cash
• 4:39
  and you're going to be, you know, steaming because you you
• 4:42
  lost and got the worst of it. I'm starting to look at some of
• 4:45
  these totals like also if you. Look at Cincy Philly.
• 4:47
  Same sort of thing Philly, actually.
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  Opened a short favorite. We flipped all the way to the.
• 4:52
  Bengals now minus. 6 1/2, I believe they're -4 yesterday or
• 4:57
  even as low as, yeah, I think they're -4 So that line
• 5:00
  continues to creep up. And then the same thing with
• 5:03
  Indy and Baltimore seeing that line continue to go toward the
• 5:06
  Colts. That was basically a Colts
• 5:08
  getting a point. Now to lane 4/4 and 1/2.
• 5:11
  So whole point. Being is.
• 5:12
  We're tracking these lines. But we got to pounce on them
• 5:15
  quick. And if you missed the number,
• 5:16
  it's OK to lay off. Remember, we're trying to pick
• 5:18
  spots and really not not get too crazy before the regular season
• 5:23
  starts. So that's when we're really
• 5:23
  going to make all of our money. So just wanted to address those
• 5:26
  big line moves that a couple people DM me and say, hey, you
• 5:28
  like Vegas 4 1/2. And I'm like, I like the steam
• 5:31
  in their favor, but I don't like laying the worst of it.
• 5:34
  So again, doing your part, staying glued to Twitter,
• 5:37
  figuring out what the coaches are saying, who they're playing
• 5:39
  and who they're not. If you can get on it early, you
• 5:41
  can really make some hay in the preseason.
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  But again, if you're late, don't push it.
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  I think we want to kind of just let the dust settle and we'll
• 5:48
  see how this goes between today and kick off on on Thursday.
• 5:53
  So that being said, little, just a little, you know, wet.
• 5:56
  Your whistle here with some some football talk, but I do want to
• 5:59
  get back to Major League Baseball.
• 6:00
  We did have a good start. To the week.
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  Last night 2 and. 1 + 0.3 units So got 1/3 of a unit, we'll take
• 6:06
  it. Had a couple.
• 6:07
  Nice hits. There with the tigers.
• 6:09
  Tigers are actually down early, came back in. 16 to 3:00.
• 6:13
  And then also the brew crew man break up the beer makers.
• 6:15
  Unbelievable 3 to one had a big hit there who was a Contreras
• 6:19
  and kid a Homer but they hung on.
• 6:22
  Only loser was Miami team that's red hot.
• 6:24
  Of course we play them, pick them to fave line move and they
• 6:28
  get blown out eight to two, so can't win them all, but hey, 2
• 6:31
  and 1/3 of a. Unit A winning night.
• 6:33
  We'll take it, put in our back pocket or reinvest it to today.
• 6:37
  That being said. Three pack for today.
• 6:39
  Guys, let's waste no. More time.
• 6:41
  I want to get this pot out a little early because I got some
• 6:44
  games I want to talk about South.
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  First one on the board, 6:40 PM Eastern Time. 1st.
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  Pitch, Let's talk, Twinkies. And Detroit Tigers right back to
• 6:52
  the scene of the crime last night.
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  All right, I guess what's the opposite of a crime?
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  Something that was really good because the Detroit Tigers won.
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  I hope that continues here tour for tonight.
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  So setting the stage, you have the Tigers. 66 and 48 on the
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  year. They won that opener for us last
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  night 6 to 3, coming through as a -185 home favorite in
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  tonight's rematch. The Twinkies 52 and 60 on the
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  year, They're going to go with the ready Zebby.
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  Matthews. He's.
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  Two and three with. A5 point. 6-7 ER a.
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  He'll be opposed by the Tigers fellow righty Chris Paddock, who
• 7:23
  they picked up in a trade, ironically from Minnesota.
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  He's 4:00 and 9:00 with a 4.77 ER a.
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  So what do you see across the market here?
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  Well, this game opened Detroit around a -, 135.
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  Home favorite Minnesota A + 115 row dog and I was kind of
• 7:38
  looking at this. Opening number.
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  Because some books were way off. Like I saw some opener number
• 7:42
  opening numbers of Detroit like. -160 -, 170.
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  But then I was looking at FanDuel and a couple others and
• 7:48
  they were more like -135 So you always got to kind of double
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  check and make sure you're getting kind of the true opener
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  because books are always going to fluctuate because they have
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  different, you know, clientele, whether they cater to casual
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  betters or recreational betters. Some books are opening lines
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  themselves, others are just piggybacking and just shading
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  one way or the other. But it looks like the the true
• 8:10
  opener here to me, look more like a -, 135.
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  And since that opener, it's all been movement back toward
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  Detroit. So it looks like pros pounced on
• 8:18
  Tigers around -135 that now steam them up to around -145.
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  Some shops even as high as -150. I jumped on the Tigers at -1.
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  38A. Little bit earlier today, looks
• 8:30
  like your best number is -140. Two currently at FanDuel, but if
• 8:34
  you. Look at the splits here.
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  Big Pro and Joe split in. Favor of the Tigers at
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  DraftKings. Getting 86%.
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  Of money line bets, 88% of money line dollars, so nice low bets,
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  higher dollar split in favor of Detroit.
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  This is a bit. Of a system match play for me, I
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  have 4 system matches. And a bunch of good ones here
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  lighting up on Detroit. Just give you a few of them.
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  Favorites off a win. With a winning record getting at
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  least $0.05 of line movement. Against the team who missed.
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  The playoffs the previous year. This is the same one that
• 9:03
  matched with Detroit yesterday, but that.
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  System is 133 and 61, 69 percent, 6%.
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  ROI this year home. Favorites in the second game of
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  a new. Series after winning the opener.
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  129 and 70. 464%. With a 3%.
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  ROI then if we isolate Detroit in particular in the spot,
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  they've been highly profitable. Detroit is 32 and 1765% win
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  rate. 5% ROI as a home favorite and when their home.
• 9:31
  Favorite getting at least $0.10 of movement.
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  In their direction. They're 25 and 7, 78 percent,
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  22%. ROI, in particular, the Tigers
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  are also. 18 and. Five against as a.
• 9:44
  Home favorite against a below. 500.
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  Team. That's a 78% win rate with a 20%
• 9:50
  ROI. Aside from the line move.
• 9:52
  The splits the. Systems.
• 9:53
  I'm going to lean on Detroit's bats, hopefully getting to
• 9:55
  Matthews. They're hitting 250 on the year,
• 9:58
  147 home runs, 549 runs scored. Minnesota, meanwhile, hitting
• 10:03
  only 240 with 129 homers and 465 runs.
• 10:08
  Scored now Paddock. On the year his numbers don't
• 10:10
  look great 4.77 ERA, but he just got dealt from Minnesota to
• 10:14
  Detroit and in his. Debut he's.
• 10:17
  Making a second start with Detroit tonight, but in his
• 10:20
  debut 6 innings, one run, seven to two went.
• 10:23
  Over the D backs, so maybe he's a reinvigorated.
• 10:26
  By going to a contender now. On the other hand, Matthews.
• 10:30
  He made three. Starts in July 6. .28 ERA and on
• 10:34
  the road 6.63 ERA at. Home.
• 10:37
  A decent 4.4 O, but he's really. Struggled in July and on the
• 10:41
  road and it's again past July and he's on the road tonight and
• 10:45
  then lastly. Little home Rd. splits I was
• 10:47
  notable to me. Tigers 37 and 21 at home.
• 10:50
  One of the better home teams in baseball.
• 10:52
  The Twins, only 22 and. 36 on the road, one of the worst Rd.
• 10:56
  Teams in baseball, so we've seen line.
• 10:58
  Movement toward Detroit. We got a.
• 11:00
  Pretty good. Pro and Joe Bet split a lot of.
• 11:02
  System matches here in general, but also.
• 11:04
  Specifically tied to the Tigers in the spot.
• 11:07
  Better bats, hopefully the better pitcher on the bump.
• 11:09
  I laid it with the tigers -138 again.
• 11:13
  Looks like your best price now is around -142 at FanDuel.
• 11:17
  Next one for you. Let's go to an 80. 5:00 PM
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  Eastern Time. First pitch out in Chicago.
• 11:23
  Yeah, get some. Chicago Dogs.
• 11:24
  I'm Chicago. Let's go, cubbies.
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  At home against the red legs, so Reds.
• 11:30
  Come in 59 and 54. They won last night's.
• 11:33
  Series opener 3 to 2 came through as.
• 11:35
  A + 115 row dog pitching match up here for tonight.
• 11:39
  Reds are going to go with the newly acquired Zach Litelle. 8
• 11:42
  and 8 three-point. 58 ERA just picked him up at the deadline
• 11:46
  from the Rays, the Cubs. Meanwhile, who are 65 and 47?
• 11:50
  They're going to go with the lefty shota and managa.
• 11:52
  Who's 8 and four with a three? .25 era.
• 11:56
  So what do you sit across the market here?
• 11:57
  Well, this game open cubbies around a -, 170 home favorite
• 12:01
  Red legs around a + 150 row dog. And pros have jumped all over
• 12:06
  the Cubs in this one. So I'm going cubbies.
• 12:08
  They've gone from -170 now up to -175 -, 180.
• 12:14
  Some shops. Even -190 a lot of.
• 12:16
  Steam here hitting. Chicago causing that line to go
• 12:19
  higher in their direction. So, you know, on the one hand,
• 12:21
  good thing it's clear you know lines going Chicago not great if
• 12:25
  you haven't bet it yet because again, this price is getting a
• 12:27
  little more expensive. But if you look at the.
• 12:29
  Splits over at DraftKings around 80%.
• 12:32
  Of bets and dollars. On the money line, going with
• 12:34
  the. Cubbies and the Cubs are also
• 12:36
  matching quite a few systems, and you know a few of these by
• 12:39
  now. One Chicago is great as a
• 12:42
  favorite. They're the second best.
• 12:43
  Chalk team in baseball. When the Cubs are favored,
• 12:46
  they've gone. 52 and 2667 percent, 8%.
• 12:51
  ROI when they're favored and getting line movement in their
• 12:54
  direction. Listen to this They're 45 and
• 12:56
  1674% with an 18%. ROI And then lastly, you might
• 13:03
  know the drill, but if you listen to the cap, as I kind of
• 13:05
  laid this game out, Cubs lost last night.
• 13:08
  Who do we? Love to bet off a loss the
• 13:10
  Cubbies, baby. The Cubs are 30.
• 13:12
  One and 1272%. 25% ROI off a loss, that is the best.
• 13:19
  Bounce back team in. All of baseball.
• 13:21
  Cubs also have some correlative betting value.
• 13:23
  They're a bigger. Favorite here?
• 13:25
  Again -175 -. 185 and they are in a low.
• 13:30
  Total game of seven. And a half.
• 13:31
  So when the line keeps going up to the favorite, you got a low
• 13:34
  total. Lot of these 7 halfs are even
• 13:36
  juiced. Under 7 1/2 under 7 half -115
• 13:41
  You always got to think about the weather.
• 13:42
  If it's a low total juiced under.
• 13:44
  Typically it means winds blowing in at Wrigley Field, which It is
• 13:47
  about 7 mph tonight from dead center, but the fair amount of.
• 13:51
  Expected runs scored. More likely to come from quote
• 13:53
  UN quote that better team was expected to win, which would be
• 13:56
  in this case the Cubs. Cubs bats have been better this
• 14:00
  year. Than the Reds hitting two 54160
• 14:03
  home runs, 581 runs. Scored.
• 14:06
  Meanwhile, the Reds. Are only hitting 247 on the air,
• 14:08
  116 home. Runs 500.
• 14:11
  And 15 runs scored. Now in managa the he's made. 15
• 14:15
  starts this year. The Cubs are.
• 14:16
  Ten and five in those games if you also look at lefty righty.
• 14:20
  The Cubs are going up against. Letel, who's a righty?
• 14:23
  Well, guess what? Chicago's hitting 255 against.
• 14:25
  Righty's this year, 6th best in baseball.
• 14:29
  Reds going up against Imanaga, a lefty.
• 14:31
  They're only hitting 221 against.
• 14:33
  Southpaws that's. 28th in baseball.
• 14:36
  Lastly, classic Home Rd. Splits since the couple games
• 14:39
  below. 500 as a visitor. They're 26 and 28.
• 14:43
  But if you look at Chicago. 35 and. 21 at home one of the
• 14:46
  better home teams in baseball. So you.
• 14:48
  Had me at. Cubs off a loss.
• 14:50
  We got some line movement, some good split, some good systems.
• 14:53
  I want to back in Managa and I want to fade Lattell.
• 14:56
  He's actually. Been a pretty decent.
• 14:57
  Pitcher last few years, but. You're going on a new team.
• 15:00
  It's a new catcher. It's a whole new, you know, set
• 15:02
  of teammates, surroundings. Coaching staff, that's a little
• 15:05
  bit of a sneaky. Fade.
• 15:06
  For me, guy making his debut on a new team bad all up.
• 15:09
  I'm going to sweat the Cubs tonight, guys.
• 15:11
  I got a -1. 75 at BET. MGM again, shop around.
• 15:15
  Some books are closer to -180 -, 185.
• 15:19
  Last bet of the night. Let's go.
• 15:20
  Out to the Rocky Mountains, 8:40 PM Eastern Time.
• 15:24
  The Blue Jays visiting the Colorado Rockies now coming into
• 15:28
  it, we got the Jays. 66 and 48 and they absolutely.
• 15:31
  Crushed the Rockies last. Night 15 to 1 and the opener
• 15:35
  coming through easily. As a -. 225 Rd.
• 15:38
  Favorite. Pitching matchup In tonight's
• 15:40
  rematch, we have the Jays going with the ready Jose Barrios.
• 15:44
  He's seven and four with a 3.84. ERA and the.
• 15:47
  Rockies who are 30 and 82. Yeah.
• 15:50
  That that's true. 30 and 82, what a record they're going to
• 15:53
  go. With the ready Anthony Molina.
• 15:55
  Who's O&O with A7? .27 ERA So what do we see across
• 15:59
  the market here? Well this game open very heavy
• 16:02
  tort Toronto a -. 200 Rd. favorite Colorado around a + 170
• 16:07
  home dog. What's notable to me is that
• 16:09
  when you open as a big Rd. favorite, you know, does the
• 16:12
  line go? Up higher in.
• 16:13
  Your favor? Because.
• 16:14
  Hey, it's a mismatch and you know they're.
• 16:15
  Going to roll for a reason. Because they're expected to.
• 16:19
  Or do you? See the line fall.
• 16:20
  Toward the home team because. It's just a good value play to
• 16:22
  take a big home dog. Well, it looks.
• 16:24
  Like in this one. It's pretty clear it's the.
• 16:26
  Former, not the latter, because this line is only shot up
• 16:29
  further. Toward the Blue Jays.
• 16:32
  Blue Jays went from -200 up to -2. 35 some shops.
• 16:37
  As high as even 240, even 250. So this is a big, big number and
• 16:41
  I really don't like betting laying big prices like this, but
• 16:45
  I'm seeing a lot of indicators, a lot of system matches on the
• 16:47
  Jays, so I'm playing the. Jays tonight, Big steam.
• 16:49
  I got a minus. 2:30. 5 Again big number.
• 16:53
  Always remember bettress not bet to win.
• 16:55
  If you're betting Jays tonight, or Cubs or Detroit or any game
• 16:58
  we ever mentioned, you're always betting to risk, not win.
• 17:01
  That means if. You're playing Jays.
• 17:02
  You're. Not risking. 2.3. 5 units to win
• 17:05
  one unit that would be betting to win.
• 17:07
  No, you're just risking your one unit like any other.
• 17:09
  Bet in this case you get a little less than 1/2 unit back
• 17:12
  if Toronto can come through. Now if you look at the splits.
• 17:15
  Lighten up, pretty. Good on the Jays. 93% of money
• 17:18
  line bets. Over 95%.
• 17:20
  Of money line dollars at DraftKings, then over at circa
• 17:23
  60% of bets, 98% of dollars. So a big low bets, higher dollar
• 17:28
  split telling us the wise guys in Vegas are having the courage
• 17:32
  to lay that big chalk with Toronto.
• 17:34
  Then we get into some of these system matches.
• 17:36
  Big Rd. favorites -200 or more. 37 and 14 this year, 73 percent,
• 17:43
  3%. ROI, so you're actually turning
• 17:45
  a profit. Even though you're laying these
• 17:46
  big prices. If a.
• 17:48
  Big Rd. favorite -200 or more is getting $0.20 of steam or more
• 17:52
  in their favor. They're 19 and four this year.
• 17:55
  83 percent 17% ROI. Toronto is 24 and 1267 percent,
• 18:01
  11% ROI as a favorite against teams who missed the.
• 18:04
  Playoffs the previous year, so cleaning up against.
• 18:07
  Bad teams doing. What you're supposed to do?
• 18:09
  Jays also off their offense. Went off yesterday but hope it.
• 18:12
  Continues tonight, they're hitting 267 on the year.
• 18:15
  They've scored five. 146 runs. Rockies are hitting 237.
• 18:20
  They've scored 419 runs. Weirdly enough, burrios.
• 18:24
  Has been better on the road 3.36 ERA and at night 2.68 ERA then
• 18:30
  at home 4.34. ERA and during the day five
• 18:34
  point. 8-9 ERA. So he's been better on the road.
• 18:36
  And at night and worse at. Home and in the day while he's
• 18:39
  on the road at night tonight, so that would match up well and we
• 18:42
  do have. Toronto 10 and 2.
• 18:44
  In his last 12 starts. Meanwhile, Molina.
• 18:48
  Don't feel bad if you never heard of this guy.
• 18:49
  I had never heard of this guy. I was wondering if he's one of
• 18:52
  the Molina, Benji Molina and all those catchers.
• 18:55
  I don't think he is. Maybe he is, I don't know, but
• 18:58
  he's only. Making his sixth appearance this
• 19:00
  year, his first appearance since June 20. 5th and in his.
• 19:04
  Appearances this year in MLB 77 earned runs at 8.2 innings
• 19:09
  pitched. And looks like he might be an
• 19:11
  opener, so it could even be a bullpen game for the Rockies,
• 19:14
  who happen to have one of the worst bullpens and traded away
• 19:16
  some of their guys at the deadline.
• 19:18
  We do have two. Righties on the bump The Jays
• 19:21
  are hitting 268 against righties.
• 19:23
  That ranks first. In baseball Rockies.
• 19:25
  Are hitting 240 that ranks. 25th and Colorado there's a lot of
• 19:29
  bad numbers you can pull out of a hat to show how terrible they
• 19:32
  are this year, but they're. 16 and 40 at.
• 19:35
  Home By far the worst home record in baseball.
• 19:38
  So again, this is a big number I.
• 19:40
  Really don't like going above -200 I'll be honest with you
• 19:43
  guys, the slate today was kind of difficult, like, you know, if
• 19:46
  think all things being equal. You know, I'll take a shot on a
• 19:49
  team that's a little bit cheaper.
• 19:50
  But I really. Didn't find a ton of.
• 19:52
  A great place today, not a bunch of not too many system matches
• 19:55
  and Toronto is one of them. So even though it's a little
• 19:57
  expensive, I want to lay with the Blue Jays here.
• 19:59
  Hope they can get a win in the Rocky Mountains.
• 20:02
  I got a -, 235 again. Shop around some books as high
• 20:06
  as. 240 or. Even 250.
• 20:08
  So tigers, cubbies. Blue.
• 20:11
  Jays, let's even get 2 out of 3. Eke out a winning day.
• 20:15
  So that about does. It for episode 3. 30 of the all
• 20:18
  systems go. Sports betting podcast powered
• 20:20
  by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod, of
• 20:22
  course, where. We wrap things up.
• 20:24
  And I start first by. Saying thank you.
• 20:26
  Thank you for taking the time out of your day.
• 20:28
  Out of your busy. Lives during the dog days of
• 20:30
  summer. I know you're all itching for
• 20:32
  football. But you keep grinding baseball.
• 20:33
  With me and I appreciate that if you want to let me know you
• 20:37
  enjoy the pod if you want to help me grow the pod, if.
• 20:39
  You haven't done it yet, could you please?
• 20:40
  Give this podcast a five star review on Spotify or iTunes if
• 20:44
  you want to leave a nice comment or click the follow.
• 20:46
  Button or recommend the. Pod to a friend.
• 20:48
  That would also be fantastic next.
• 20:51
  If you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
• 20:54
  sharp, contrarian betting. Hope you know when you tune in.
• 20:57
  You know these aren't my opinions of who I like today.
• 20:59
  This is based on the blueprint of reading the market, looking
• 21:03
  at line movement, split system matches, trying to figure out
• 21:06
  where the sharpest bets are if that is a style that has
• 21:09
  appealed to you. It's maybe provided you a.
• 21:11
  Blueprint to attack the sports. Betting market now.
• 21:14
  If you enjoy it and you. Want to learn more about it?
• 21:16
  Or maybe you know someone who could really use some
• 21:18
  data-driven. Tips.
• 21:19
  Well, I would. Love for you to go to Amazon.com
• 21:22
  and then type in the everything guide to sports betting.
• 21:25
  It's the first. Book ever wrote.
• 21:26
  Very proud of it, but it's got. Everything I've learned in the
• 21:29
  industry. How lines are set?
• 21:31
  How and why they move? How to read line movement?
• 21:33
  How to? Locate sharp action how to go
• 21:35
  contrarian how to. Place a bet in person or online.
• 21:38
  How to shop for the best line? How to set up a bankroll?
• 21:40
  Management plan. It's all included in the.
• 21:42
  Everything guide to sports betting and while you're.
• 21:45
  Picking up the everything guide stay.
• 21:47
  Right there on Amazon. And then type in the NFL.
• 21:49
  Sharp betting playbook. Believe it or not guys, my new
• 21:52
  book. The NFL.
• 21:53
  Sharp betting playbook. Comes out a week.
• 21:55
  From today. We are now just one.
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  Week away August 12th it goes live to the world.
• 22:01
  Can't wait for you guys to get your hands on it if you.
• 22:03
  Would like to. Pre-order a copy that way Jeff
• 22:06
  Bezos drops it off with a drone right on your front porch.
• 22:10
  You know, right there on August 12th.
• 22:12
  That would really make my day. You'd make my publisher Triumph
• 22:15
  Books. Happy.
• 22:15
  You'd make me happy and I think you're going to make.
• 22:18
  Yourself happy because I'm pretty proud of this thing.
• 22:20
  I've been working on it for quite a while, over three years
• 22:23
  at this point, and it's got everything I've learned about
• 22:25
  how to bet the NFL from a data-driven perspective.
• 22:28
  So I'd love for you guys to pre-order a copy and check it
• 22:30
  out. And then once you do.
• 22:32
  Bring the everything guide. Bring the NFL sharp betting
• 22:34
  playbook. To the sports book, I'll sign
• 22:36
  them for you. Buy a beer or ginger ale, we'll
• 22:39
  get some nachos, and we'll sweat some baseball games together
• 22:41
  tonight next, have you? Downloaded Rhythm in Juice.
• 22:44
  Real yet? My 2.
• 22:45
  Favorite sports betting apps? So if you haven't, you got to
• 22:48
  get on that because Rhythm is fantastic for their AI backed
• 22:51
  models and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 22:54
  Of course they got WNBA and MLB right now, but we got football
• 22:57
  coming up here shortly. Going to see those system
• 22:59
  matches populate. And they're really great for a
• 23:02
  lot of these like college games that are kind of unknown, like
• 23:04
  when, you know, I don't know, Kennesaw State is playing
• 23:10
  Western Michigan or I don't even know, like these obscure
• 23:12
  matchups with the rhythm predictions.
• 23:16
  They can really come in handy and help the handicap.
• 23:19
  But then also. Go download juice Reel.
• 23:22
  This is the part of the pod where I'm going to hold out the
• 23:23
  tip jar. This podcast is free if you want
• 23:26
  to support the pod. I'd love for you guys to sign up
• 23:28
  to get the All Systems Go official best bets, which you
• 23:31
  can only find on Juice Reel. So for $4.
• 23:34
  And $0.99 a week you're going to.
• 23:36
  Get every play I make. You can tail fade, do whatever
• 23:38
  you like, but hopefully you can get some insight and maybe beat
• 23:41
  some closing lines. And just know that you're
• 23:43
  tipping your. Podcast host that's the way I
• 23:45
  look at it and 5 bucks it's a couple a cup of coffee.
• 23:49
  So hopefully it's it's a it's a worthwhile endeavor for you.
• 23:52
  But also you're at the robo Jackson best bet picks the sharp
• 23:54
  mush indicators the arbitrage plays the shop for the best line
• 23:57
  futures sync up your sports books all available to you in
• 24:01
  the juice reel app. So download Juice Reel.
• 24:04
  Download. Rhythm, give them a five star
• 24:06
  view in the App Store and you'll be off and running making
• 24:08
  sharper bets. Lastly, do you have a live odds
• 24:12
  page? When I was giving you those?
• 24:14
  The baseball games, obviously, but all the football games, the
• 24:16
  preseason ones, I was looking at my odds logic live odds page
• 24:20
  telling me we had these big moves obviously toward, you
• 24:23
  know, like Vegas, we talked about in in Cincinnati and
• 24:26
  Indianapolis and the odds page is so.
• 24:29
  Critical to being a. Successful sports better?
• 24:31
  Because need a starting point. You got to know all the games
• 24:33
  available to bet, the start times, the live scoring, the
• 24:36
  live in game wagering odds. But most importantly.
• 24:39
  You got to know what the games opened at and what the current
• 24:41
  odds are. You can quickly see which
• 24:43
  direction the lines are moving. You can identify Steam when
• 24:46
  odds. Get lit up in red you can pull
• 24:48
  up the line history you can get. Obviously the shopping for the
• 24:52
  best line is always critical, but the live odds page is super
• 24:55
  important and the best one around for the cheapest price is
• 24:59
  odds logic, so maybe you have one you like.
• 25:01
  But it's expensive. Or you have 1:00 and it's free,
• 25:04
  but it's delayed and it doesn't. Give you any books you got to
• 25:07
  give odds logic a shot. I would really suggest trying it
• 25:09
  out now. That way once football gets back
• 25:11
  you'll have a little bit of of time under your belt knowing how
• 25:14
  to interpret it. But it's pretty straightforward
• 25:16
  and if you want to give it a shot with a 7 day free trial and
• 25:19
  50. Percent off your first month.
• 25:20
  Just use this special link Odds logic.com/josh 123.
• 25:28
  So that about does it. For episode 330 of the ASG Pod.
• 25:32
  On a Tuesday here guys. As always, I'm leaving with two
• 25:34
  final thoughts. Whether I see you at the Borgata
• 25:37
  in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
• 25:40
  Hampshire, Foxwoods, or Mohegan. Sun down in Connecticut.
• 25:43
  At the Encore in Boston or Plainridge Park casino MGM
• 25:46
  Springfield. Or the Nash around around these
• 25:49
  parts where I'm at, which is a little bit northwest of Boston,
• 25:52
  about 10 minutes. From the border.
• 25:54
  Of New Hampshire, or, of course, out in the desert, where the
• 25:56
  true grinders get down. Where?
• 25:57
  Billy Walter sends his. Number runners where the lowest
• 26:00
  juice possible is found at the. South point or sweat and sharp
• 26:03
  contrarian. Plays jumping in the stadium
• 26:05
  swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 26:06
  Circo, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
• 26:09
  Show me a nice. Brew Crew ticket, we'll # a beer
• 26:12
  together. We'll shotgun a beer for the
• 26:14
  beer makers and also the Tigers. And guess what?
• 26:17
  First one's on me, next one's on you.
• 26:18
  We'll post about the book and sweat some games together.
• 26:21
  As always guys two and one, one and two, three and OO and three
• 26:24
  after a winning. Night or losing night?
• 26:27
  A great night or a terrible night?
• 26:28
  Or just grinding, treading water we always got to get.
• 26:31
  You know, stay even keeled. I should say don't get too high,
• 26:34
  don't get too low when things are going well, don't get cocky.
• 26:37
  And arrogant because it's a difficult.
• 26:38
  Market to win consistently at, but also when you're struggling
• 26:42
  and you feeling like you can't, you know, hit the broadside of a
• 26:44
  barn, nothing's going your way. You're cursed.
• 26:47
  Don't get. Down on yourself, keep grinding,
• 26:49
  just stick with it because you're never as bad as you think
• 26:51
  when you're cold, you're never as good as you think when you're
• 26:53
  hot. But if we can stick to that.
• 26:55
  Model in that blueprint find games that.
• 26:56
  Fit our criteria against the public with the house, with the
• 27:00
  pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get that.
• 27:02
  CLV if we can do that. And I'm confident that we can
• 27:06
  then guess what we're going to be successful sports bettors.
• 27:09
  So have a. Fantastic Tuesday night
• 27:10
  everybody again, enjoy these. 3 pack of baseball nights because
• 27:14
  you know, pretty soon as there's going to be a lot more going on,
• 27:17
  but let's see if we can get some winners tonight.
• 27:19
  Go Tigers, go Cubs, go Jays, and I will see you guys back
• 27:22
  tomorrow on a big Wednesday edition, Hump day edition,
• 27:25
  episode 331 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
• 27:30
  powered by Rhythm. Good luck.
• 27:31
  Everybody and have a great Tuesday night.