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Football at Four: A Look at Eagles Updated Season Props Odds · Inside the Birds: A Philadelphia Eagles Podcast

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  Speaker 1: Football four powered by the Inside of the Birds podcast,
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  Speaker 1: watch the World Cup as it continues without the United States.
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  Speaker 1: I think a lot of people still watching our poll question.
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  Speaker 1: You can vote at Mike Gillshow, and right now, fifty
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  Speaker 1: one percent said yes, they are still invested in the
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  Speaker 1: World Cup. Forty eight percent said nah, they are bailing. Well,
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  Speaker 1: football might not be popular as football. He is here
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  Speaker 1: and we talk football every day at four o'clock and
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  Speaker 1: today to talk football with us, it's Adam Kaplan from
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  Speaker 1: the Inside of the Birds podcast. Adam, what's up man?
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, my deals report Mike on the twenty eighth, which
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  Speaker 2: is a Sunday. The first practice is the twenty ninth,
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  Speaker 2: So yeah, we're getting a little bit closer.
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  Speaker 1: We are getting there. It feels like we're getting there
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  Speaker 1: each and every day. We are getting closer and closer.
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  Speaker 1: And let's get into some of the divisional thoughts. Here.
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  Speaker 1: You know, this team won back to back NFC East championships, Adam,
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  Speaker 1: and that had not happened in twenty years, So what
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  Speaker 1: are the chances they can make it a three.
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  Speaker 2: P Yeah, I had it happens in two thousand and
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  Speaker 2: four when the Eagles were in the midst of winning
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  Speaker 2: three divisional championships the NFC East in a row. So yeah,
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  Speaker 2: last week, Mike, we did the player Eagles player props.
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  Speaker 2: This week and this on today's show, we'll do the
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  Speaker 2: NFC East, just the Eagles and the actually the win totals.
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  Speaker 2: We're going to go through all of them. They have
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  Speaker 2: some interesting props that our Friday show will do, the Commandos,
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  Speaker 2: the Giants, and the Cowboys. So yeah, let's get that started.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, So, if you look at the Eagles right now
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  Speaker 1: to win this for the third straight season, what are
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  Speaker 1: their odds right now to win the NFC East. Are
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  Speaker 1: they a heavy and clear favorite.
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  Speaker 2: They are a favorite, but they're not a happy favorite.
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  Speaker 2: They're plus one twenty five. So yeah, they've got the
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  Speaker 2: shorter sids to win the NFC East at plus one
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  Speaker 2: twenty five. Look, if you think that he's gonna win,
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  Speaker 2: you obviously want to do it now because quite look,
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  Speaker 2: there is definitely some hype. I could tell you there's
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  Speaker 2: definitely some hype around the Cowboys. It's usually misguided, unfounded,
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  Speaker 2: but I could tell you from because you know, I
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  Speaker 2: talk to people who actually work in the NFL, who
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  Speaker 2: who are in the who are looking at pro tape,
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  Speaker 2: and they definitely respect what Dallas has done this offseason,
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  Speaker 2: Christian Parker coming in a Vic Fangio disciple to run
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  Speaker 2: their defense. They're going to change that up and we'll
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  Speaker 2: get more into Dallas on Friday. But Dallas usually implodes.
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  Speaker 2: As our friend Jason Avant would say, Cowboys are just
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  Speaker 2: going to cowboy they usually do. That's why the Eagles
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  Speaker 2: are the favorite here.
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  Speaker 1: They are the favorite to win the NFC East. It's
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  Speaker 1: slight favorite too, plus one twenty five, so you can
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  Speaker 1: make a little bit of money there. What about just
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  Speaker 1: to simply make the playoffs.
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  Speaker 2: Well, usually I'll talk about this one, but I found
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  Speaker 2: this interesting. So, look, if the Eagles don't win the division,
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  Speaker 2: you kind of think they're going to be a wild card.
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  Speaker 2: You know, we'll we'll as we get closer to training
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  Speaker 2: camp look at the rest of the divisions. But to
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  Speaker 2: make the playoffs. Yes, minus one seventy five. If you
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  Speaker 2: think the Eagles won't make the playoffs, not only will
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  Speaker 2: they not win the division, but they want to be
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  Speaker 2: a wild card. Well, you're getting if you have for
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  Speaker 2: every hundred you get, you get one forty five plus
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  Speaker 2: your your bet back. I mean, so obviously that the
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  Speaker 2: money's clearly on the Eagles to make the playoffs. I
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  Speaker 2: never say a lot, because they could have an injury.
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  Speaker 2: You really never know for sure. Just when you think
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  Speaker 2: you know, then something else happens. But obviously they heavy
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  Speaker 2: moneies on them getting a playoff spot.
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  Speaker 1: So if you're a hater out there and you want
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  Speaker 1: to those people there are in the listening audience who
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  Speaker 1: just can't stand the home team, you want to make
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  Speaker 1: a little money, it's plus one forty five that they
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  Speaker 1: will not make the playoffs, right, So put your money
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  Speaker 1: where you where your mouth is, hater.
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  Speaker 2: So a friend of mine, that Scott Keith, who I
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  Speaker 2: played Ted. He's one of my tennis partners. He uh,
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  Speaker 2: he grew up. I'm gonna say he must have. I
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  Speaker 2: don't think he grew up. He didn't grow up in Philly,
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  Speaker 2: might be like Lancaster or Reading. He didn't have quite
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  Speaker 2: the Philly accent. He's a Cowboys fan, And I go, dude,
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  Speaker 2: how's that even?
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  Speaker 1: Pot?
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  Speaker 2: What is wrong with you? He goes, because everyone was
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  Speaker 2: on the Eagles baywagon. He wanted to be different, like, well,
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  Speaker 2: cand you pick like a team nobody liked like like
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  Speaker 2: growing up like this, he.
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  Speaker 1: Wanted to be different, So we picked the Cowboys like
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  Speaker 1: everybody else did. Right.
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  Speaker 2: I have to tell him that we're talking about getting
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  Speaker 2: off to text them if we haven't talked in a while,
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  Speaker 2: so he'll like that. But yet, so yeah, look, the
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  Speaker 2: Cowboys are the hype team. Now, there's no doubt about it.
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  Speaker 2: All right.
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  Speaker 1: Uh, let's look at wind totals here. Let's see where
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  Speaker 1: we can make a couple of bucks. If you, if
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  Speaker 1: you have in your in your heart of heart, how
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  Speaker 1: many wins you think the Eagles will get out there listening,
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  Speaker 1: here's a chance for you to make a couple of dollars.
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  Speaker 2: All right, So, Mike this we usually don't go this deep,
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  Speaker 2: but since we have a couple of minutes here, I
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  Speaker 2: want to go a little bit deeper in the wind totals. So,
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  Speaker 2: if you think the Eagles are an absolute lock to
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  Speaker 2: have a good year, well, at least be over five hundred.
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  Speaker 2: The over under total for eight and a half wins
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  Speaker 2: Just what I hate about these They won't do even
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  Speaker 2: number like it have to be where it won't sit
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  Speaker 2: on a number. So basically it won't be eight wins
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  Speaker 2: or nine wins, or ten wins or eleven wins. It's
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  Speaker 2: got to be eight and a half wins. So the
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  Speaker 2: over eight and a half wins is minus two thirty five.
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  Speaker 2: So obviously you're gonna pay a big number to take
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  Speaker 2: the over. Now the unders plus one ninety five. Look,
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  Speaker 2: if you think he was gonna take it, If you're
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  Speaker 2: an Eagles hater, as you mentioned, Mike, and you want
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  Speaker 2: to take the unders, for every one hundred dollars, you
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  Speaker 2: get your bet back and you would get one hundred
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  Speaker 2: and ninety five dollars if you really think they're gonna stick, So.
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  Speaker 1: Plus one ninety five if you think they're gonna go
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  Speaker 1: under eight and a half, which way, I don't think
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  Speaker 1: that happens.
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  Speaker 2: Wins are less, no.
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  Speaker 1: Way, So what's the sweet spot for you? What do
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  Speaker 1: we got over eight and a half?
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  Speaker 2: All right, So nine and a half wins is over
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  Speaker 2: the overs one forty five plus one twenty, and now
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  Speaker 2: it gets interesting, Mike, it is interesting. Think listen to
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  Speaker 2: this one. The ten and a half wins, right, I
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  Speaker 2: think I look at the Eagles being eleven and sixteen
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  Speaker 2: right of a seventeen game schedule. That's why I think
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  Speaker 2: you mentioned the sweet spot. Like I like the over
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  Speaker 2: plus one twenty, Mike, is the overs plus one twenty
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  Speaker 2: ten and a half, so eleven wins are more, it's
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  Speaker 2: plus one twenty the under, Wow, they really think the
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  Speaker 2: Eagles will not get eleven wins? Unders minus one forty five, Mike,
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  Speaker 2: that's my sweet spot. I like the over ten and
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  Speaker 2: a half.
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  Speaker 1: So if you want to go into the eleven twelve
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  Speaker 1: win range or some money to be.
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  Speaker 2: Made there is. So for every hundred you bet, you
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  Speaker 2: get your bet back if you win. If you Eagals
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  Speaker 2: get eleven points, eleven wins are more and you get
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  Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty. So yeah, I like that one.
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  Speaker 2: Now the next one's a little bit harder. Look, if
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  Speaker 2: you think the Eagle's gonna kick but twelve wins or more, right,
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  Speaker 2: the overs plus two hundred, boy, that's a look. If
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  Speaker 2: you think that he was going to kick butt, you
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  Speaker 2: take that the under Vegas does not see at all.
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  Speaker 2: He goes being being over eleven wins. So the under
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  Speaker 2: is minus two to fifty. So obviously they think there's
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  Speaker 2: just don't think. By the way, no one thinks Eagual's
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  Speaker 2: going to be the money right now, Mike is clearly
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  Speaker 2: it's it's heading obviously towards under. Nobody really thinks Eagual's
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  Speaker 2: going to be a twelve wins or more team. I could.
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  Speaker 2: I could understand that twelve.
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  Speaker 1: And a half. By the way, plus three fifty minus
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  Speaker 1: four fifty for under twelve and a half. So if
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  Speaker 1: you want to get him right at eleven, if that's
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  Speaker 1: your number, U plus three point fifty to go over
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  Speaker 1: to get the thirteen wins. Yesterday, Motion and I were
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  Speaker 1: talking about this because ESPN dot Com ranked all the
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  Speaker 1: starting rosters. Leave yeah, Ram for number one, Eagles were
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  Speaker 1: number two. So what are the chances that they would
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  Speaker 1: have the most regular season wins out of everybody?
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  Speaker 2: Well, here's the number, another one we have not talked
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  Speaker 2: about before. I wanted to add this to have the
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  Speaker 2: NFL's most regular season wins only right again, regular season,
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  Speaker 2: not playoffs at all. They're plus twelve hundred, so I
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  Speaker 2: we'll talk about. In fact, Jeff and I did. We
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  Speaker 2: have a brand new series starting on Inside the Birds,
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  Speaker 2: which we dropped yesterday and today, where we talk about
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  Speaker 2: and we're gonna do also Wednesday and Thursday the other way,
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  Speaker 2: what players or coaches were optimistic about on offensive defense
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  Speaker 2: and what players were pessimistic or concerned about on defense,
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  Speaker 2: and that includes coaches. And look, the Eagles have a
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  Speaker 2: good roster, there's no doubt, there's no doubt. But wow,
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  Speaker 2: to have the second greatest roster in the NFL. That's strong.
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  Speaker 2: And by the way, most regular season wins plus twelve hundred.
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  Speaker 1: Plus twelve hundred. If you think they can win, I
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  Speaker 1: guess you got to probably get the thirteen or fourteen
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  Speaker 1: wins to take you on that ground, right.
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  Speaker 2: Probably gonna have to be thirteen at least twelve If yeah,
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  Speaker 2: I would say thirteen. Yet, Mike, they're gonna have to
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  Speaker 2: be at least thirteen to four. You know they've been
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  Speaker 2: fourteen three before. It's possible, but we need to take
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  Speaker 2: a look at the AFC at some point before.
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  Speaker 1: Train can Well that's the one you can. That's the one.
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  Speaker 1: Maybe you throw ten bucks on at the beginning of
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  Speaker 1: the year and just if they end up getting twelve
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  Speaker 1: or thirteen wins. Yeah, and that pops. There you go.
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  Speaker 1: You got yourself a nice look hit there.
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  Speaker 2: It's a big hit. Yeah, yeah, no question about it.
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  Speaker 1: All right. So we just talked about the Rams. What
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  Speaker 1: are the chances. What's the odds for number one seed
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  Speaker 1: in the NFC.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, that in the NFC, it's plus a fifty. They're
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  Speaker 2: right up there. Rams are number one. Eagles are They're
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  Speaker 2: in the top five, Mike, they're in the top five,
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  Speaker 2: but they're plus a fifty. Boy, the Rams with that
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  Speaker 2: the Miles Garret trade, Holy smoke. Stafford's coming back. Craft Man.
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  Speaker 2: He's close to forty years old. It's really remarkable. They
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  Speaker 2: don't really have a third receiver, but they play. They
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  Speaker 2: have so many tight ends. Show me. FA is unbelievable, Mike,
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  Speaker 2: Nobody about five years ran more eleven personnel free receiver sets.
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  Speaker 2: All of a sudden, he went crazy with three tight ends.
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  Speaker 2: He just completely changed it. No one saw that coming.
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  Speaker 2: They're absolutely loaded. I get it. My money would be
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  Speaker 2: on the Rams to be the number one seed.
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  Speaker 1: That's plus a fifty for the number one seed in
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  Speaker 1: the NFC. Remember the Eagles do play the Rams in
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  Speaker 1: week number four, sow somebody who wants to bet that,
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  Speaker 1: you might want to see what happens in that Week
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  Speaker 1: four game and then maybe put the wayg drum although
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  Speaker 1: at the number would really shift. I would imagine whoever
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  Speaker 1: wins that game. What about to win the NFC and
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  Speaker 1: represent the NFC in the Super Bowl.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, so to be one of the two teams in
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  Speaker 2: the Super Bowl and win the NFC Championship game plus
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  Speaker 2: one thousand in one of the things, though, Mike, I
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  Speaker 2: do want to mention Sirianni over his first five years.
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  Speaker 2: It's got one of the best records on the road
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  Speaker 2: in NFL history. It's really amazing. Something like we rarely
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  Speaker 2: talked about how good, how good the Egles have been
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  Speaker 2: with Siri on the road. It's it's kind of underrated
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  Speaker 2: how good they've been. And obviously he's been despite a
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  Speaker 2: lot of people. And I think he's good head coach.
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  Speaker 2: Never had a losing record, playoffs every year and two
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  Speaker 2: Super Bowl appearances one one ring. It's pretty doing good.
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  Speaker 1: Well, wa Siriani has the record I think for most
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  Speaker 1: places seen down the Jersey shore. He takes up where
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  Speaker 1: has he been?
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  Speaker 2: I haven't noticed where's he is.
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  Speaker 1: He takes a picture with everybody. He was at Meco Amenco. Uh.
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  Speaker 1: He was at this place called Roote nine something or another. Uh.
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  Speaker 1: During Memorial Day weekend, he was at uh shooting hoops
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  Speaker 1: in the Avalon Rec Center. The other day he was playing.
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  Speaker 1: He was in Margate at tidelines this weekend. I'm just
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  Speaker 1: getting started. I mean I've seen him like like ten
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  Speaker 1: different spots. Cole Hamil's has been out in a battle
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  Speaker 1: lot down too.
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  Speaker 2: You know what what you're saying, Mike Joe Allenbeid, I
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  Speaker 2: don't doubt he's a father now. I don't think he
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  Speaker 2: does it. So years ago, probably first four or five
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  Speaker 2: years of his career, I would see him out all
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  Speaker 2: the time, well walking around yeah, oh in Philly bars right,
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  Speaker 2: Not in New Jersey.
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  Speaker 1: Not because there was a famous picture of him. This
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  Speaker 1: is a couple of years ago. He was just randomly
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  Speaker 1: walking down the street and Margie like, oh was right, yeah,
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  Speaker 1: yeah yeah, yeah, just like yeah, just walking down the street.
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  Speaker 1: You know, in a like a market, it's a very
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  Speaker 1: residential area. There's Joelle just walking down the street and
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  Speaker 1: his flip flops.
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  Speaker 2: How about that?
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, how about that? All right, let's go to what
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  Speaker 1: are the odds right now to win the Super Bowl
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  Speaker 1: for this Philadelphia Eagles team.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, not only do you have to get there, you
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  Speaker 2: actually have to win it. Plus eighteen hundred. It's not
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  Speaker 2: as long as I thought they would be. I'll say this,
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  Speaker 2: you les get the respect from the league. We talked
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  Speaker 2: about that when the schedule came out. How many primetime
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: games they have? He tells you what they think of
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: you by him primetime games. Again, the teams that only
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: get one, the leagu's telling you they don't think you're
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  Speaker 2: gonna be very good. Hey byther the heay they're not
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  Speaker 2: always right like they the league and everyone else missed
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: on the missed out on the Commandos two years ago.
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  Speaker 2: Then the Commandos fell off last season. But the Eagles
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  Speaker 2: to win the Super Bowl plus eighteen hundred.
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  Speaker 1: Plus eighteen hundred right now. So if you have a
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  Speaker 1: strong feeling that you think the Eagles are good enough
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  Speaker 1: to win the Super Bowl, plus eighteen hundreds probably the
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  Speaker 1: best number you're gonna get uh in a long long time,
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  Speaker 1: you know, because if they come out of the gates,
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  Speaker 1: they win a couple of games, that number starts to drop.
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  Speaker 1: So if you want to get on it now, probably
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  Speaker 1: want to hit that plus eighteen hundred to win the
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl. All right. The Inside of the Birds podcast drops
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: on all podcasting platforms, and Football at four continues, and
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: we are counting down to Eagles training camp. They report
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: on the twenty eight. First practice is on the twenty nine.
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: Adam Kaplan is back on Friday Show. Thanks man, thank you.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: All right, Adam Kaplan, everybody giving you the odds here
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: on the Sports Past Live on ninety seven to three
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: ESP Yeah,