Latest / Pod Save America / “The Chosen One.”
Transcript
- 0:20Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:22Speaker 2: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 0:23Speaker 1: Later in the pod, Dan's interview with Stacey Abrams, who
- 0:26Speaker 1: just launched a new effort to protect voting rights in
- 0:28Speaker 1: the 2020 election. Before that, We will try to assess
- 0:31Speaker 1: the damage from the president's latest meltdown, which, even by
- 0:35Speaker 1: Donald Trump's standards, was one for the ages this week.
- 0:40Speaker 1: Also check out Pod Save the World, where Tommy and
- 0:42Speaker 1: Ben talk about how Trump bullied Netanyahu into blocking Ilhan
- 0:45Speaker 1: Omar and Rashida Tlaib from visiting Israel. They speak with
- 0:47Speaker 1: a China expert from Human Rights Watch about the massive
- 0:50Speaker 1: protests in Hong Kong. Issue a call to action in
- 0:53Speaker 1: defense of California wine. That's a very Tommy topic. and
- 0:57Speaker 1: explain why Al-Qaeda released a blooper reel.
- 1:01Speaker 2: Wow.
- 1:02Speaker 1: Check it out. Finally, in the latest episode of our...
- 1:07Speaker 1: Tommy's promos for Positive of the World are just fire,
- 1:09Speaker 1: I have to say. Finally, in the latest episode of
- 1:13Speaker 1: our Crooked miniseries, Rigging North Carolina, our political director, Shaniqua McClendon,
- 1:17Speaker 1: examines the bonkers hearing the North Carolina State Board of
- 1:20Speaker 1: Elections held earlier this year to get to the bottom
- 1:23Speaker 1: of what happened in the congressional race for the 9th district.
- 1:27Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the news. So at one
- 1:30Speaker 1: point yesterday, these are the four headlines that ran on
- 1:33Speaker 1: the front page of the New York Times.
- 1:39Speaker 2: Trump urges unity against racism?
- 1:40Speaker 1: Yeah, right. Not that one. Not that one.
- 1:42Speaker 2: Okay.
- 1:43Speaker 1: They've moved past that. Here they are. New rule would
- 1:46Speaker 1: let U.S. hold migrant families indefinitely. NRA gets results in
- 1:51Speaker 1: one phone call with the president. Trump accuses Jewish Democrats
- 1:55Speaker 1: of disloyalty. and Trump canceled a meeting with Denmark over
- 1:58Speaker 1: its refusal to sell Greenland. Michelle Goldberg, a columnist at
- 2:03Speaker 1: the Times, posted a photo of the front page and
- 2:05Speaker 1: tweeted that it looked like one of those pre-election parodies
- 2:08Speaker 1: about what a Trump administration would be like. And the
- 2:11Speaker 1: worst part is, those headlines just scratched the surface of
- 2:15Speaker 1: all the unhinged, nasty, destructive shit the president said and
- 2:18Speaker 1: did last week. Dan, we're going to dig into these
- 2:21Speaker 1: headlines one by one, but I want to start by
- 2:22Speaker 1: asking you about... A theory that I've been hearing from
- 2:26Speaker 1: our old pal David Axelrod, which is that the voters
- 2:29Speaker 1: that Trump needs to win are getting exhausted by waking
- 2:34Speaker 1: up to this constant chaos and craziness day after day,
- 2:37Speaker 1: and it is sort of damaging his political standing with
- 2:41Speaker 1: probably some of the voters he would need to win
- 2:43Speaker 1: in 2020. What do you think of that theory?
- 2:46Speaker 2: I mean, there's definitely some merits to it. I'd like
- 2:48Speaker 2: to see, you know, research that suggests it. I Now,
- 2:52Speaker 2: I saw Amy Chozik of the New York Times tweet
- 2:54Speaker 2: this morning, when is a Democrat going to run on
- 2:56Speaker 2: the platform of Make America Boring Again? And I get
- 3:03Speaker 2: that idea. I think Michael Bennett also said this, which is,
- 3:06Speaker 2: wouldn't it be great if you had a president you
- 3:07Speaker 2: have to think about 24-7? I do think that Trump,
- 3:13Speaker 2: I would actually take Axelrod's theory and take it in
- 3:17Speaker 2: a less optimistic direction, which is, The result of Trump
- 3:22Speaker 2: exhausting the American electorate is not that people will vote
- 3:26Speaker 2: against him. It is that some people won't vote.
- 3:28Speaker 1: Right.
- 3:28Speaker 2: Is that it is so loud, so annoying, so terrible,
- 3:32Speaker 2: so miserable that they would rather check out than tune in.
- 3:36Speaker 2: And if that happens, that is going to hurt Democrats
- 3:39Speaker 2: because we depend on folks who have never voted before
- 3:42Speaker 2: or are less frequent voters to get the majorities we
- 3:45Speaker 2: need to win the electoral college, while Republicans have a
- 3:48Speaker 2: smaller but more— smaller but more reliable voting base?
- 3:56Speaker 1: I think you have to connect the argument to what
- 3:59Speaker 1: really matters in people's lives. Because if the argument is just,
- 4:03Speaker 1: we have a crazy president, every time you turn on
- 4:04Speaker 1: the news, he's done something else, you know, batshit crazy,
- 4:09Speaker 1: you know, then a lot of people could either, like
- 4:11Speaker 1: you said, say, well, then I don't want to vote
- 4:12Speaker 1: either way, or just turn off the news. But I
- 4:15Speaker 1: think if you frame it as, this country has enormous problems,
- 4:19Speaker 1: climate change, your healthcare costs are going up, Your wages
- 4:23Speaker 1: have been stagnant. You're having a tough time sending your
- 4:25Speaker 1: kids to college. And we have all these problems. And
- 4:29Speaker 1: what is the president doing the whole time? He's just
- 4:32Speaker 1: like spouting off every other day, pissing some people off,
- 4:35Speaker 1: pissing off foreign leaders, inciting hate and violence. He's just
- 4:40Speaker 1: making the country more divided. He's profiting off the White House.
- 4:43Speaker 1: He's doing all this bullshit. Well, all of these problems
- 4:46Speaker 1: that we have as a country are growing and no
- 4:48Speaker 1: one is actually fighting for you. So I think if
- 4:51Speaker 1: you connect it, it can be powerful, but I think
- 4:53Speaker 1: it can't just be Donald Trump's annoying on Twitter, and
- 4:58Speaker 1: that's why we should have a new president.
- 5:00Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that you make a very important point here,
- 5:03Speaker 2: which is you have to connect it to there have
- 5:05Speaker 2: to be consequences for his behavior in your life, like
- 5:08Speaker 2: either things that have gone wrong or missed opportunities to
- 5:11Speaker 2: make the country better. I do think that there is
- 5:12Speaker 2: an opportunity for a Democrat not to run on being boring,
- 5:16Speaker 2: but to take.
- 5:19Speaker 2: To basically connect the dots on everything that Trump is
- 5:21Speaker 2: doing and saying is that it's about Trump.
- 5:24Speaker 1: Yeah. Right.
- 5:25Speaker 2: These are his grievances, his fights, his temper tantrums, his
- 5:30Speaker 2: bottom line when it comes to his economic policies and
- 5:34Speaker 2: his corruption. And to say, have a message that's something like,
- 5:38Speaker 2: wouldn't it be nice if we had a president who
- 5:40Speaker 2: woke up every day thinking about you, not thinking about themselves,
- 5:43Speaker 2: who was fighting for you, not fighting everyone for themselves, right?
- 5:47Speaker 2: I think there's room for a candidate to do that.
- 5:50Speaker 2: And I think that is the key to tie this
- 5:51Speaker 2: all together. And I don't think Axe is suggesting this,
- 5:54Speaker 2: but boring is not a way to win an election
- 5:57Speaker 2: when your party depends on inspiring non-voters to vote.
- 6:01Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that. So let's start with Greenland,
- 6:05Speaker 1: a Danish island that was minding its own business until
- 6:07Speaker 1: Donald Trump offered to buy it for at least $ 600
- 6:09Speaker 1: million of our tax dollars per year. When the prime
- 6:12Speaker 1: minister of Denmark called the president's offer absurd, Trump called
- 6:15Speaker 1: her nasty and canceled his upcoming visit to Denmark and
- 6:18Speaker 1: attacked the country's NATO contributions on Twitter, successfully pissing off
- 6:23Speaker 1: yet another close ally of the United States. Dan, I
- 6:27Speaker 1: never thought I'd be asking this question, but why did
- 6:29Speaker 1: President Donald Trump get in a fight with the Danish
- 6:31Speaker 1: prime minister over his offer to buy Greenland?
- 6:36Speaker 2: We have come to expect the unexpected in the Trump era,
- 6:39Speaker 2: but I have to admit, This one threw me for
- 6:41Speaker 2: a loop.
- 6:42Speaker 1: Didn't see this one coming.
- 6:42Speaker 2: It is so insane. I mean, it's so crazy. It's
- 6:46Speaker 2: just like, you just hear it and you're just like,
- 6:48Speaker 2: what the fuck? How did we get here? And it's
- 6:51Speaker 2: not even like things are going superb all around the
- 6:54Speaker 2: country right now. We're just like looking for new things
- 6:56Speaker 2: to do. Trump has just checked everything off of his
- 6:59Speaker 2: list and the economy is humming. Congress is passing things.
- 7:02Speaker 2: People aren't getting killed in mass shootings. And it's like,
- 7:04Speaker 2: I just need a new project. So I'm going to
- 7:05Speaker 2: take on the Greenland thing. So it's absurd in the
- 7:09Speaker 2: best of times. It is incredibly absurd in the middle
- 7:12Speaker 2: of this week, which has felt, just on the events,
- 7:15Speaker 2: I'd say this summer, which has felt particularly chaotic and
- 7:19Speaker 2: traumatic and scary, even by the scale of that in
- 7:24Speaker 2: the Trump era. And so it's just like, I don't
- 7:26Speaker 2: really know what to say other than Trump has an
- 7:30Speaker 2: amazing ability to take the political conversation and focus it
- 7:33Speaker 2: on the stupidest part humanly possible.
- 7:36Speaker 1: And, I mean, we should talk for a second about
- 7:38Speaker 1: why he wanted to buy Greenland. He's not the first president,
- 7:45Speaker 1: believe it or not, to inquire about purchasing Greenland. I
- 7:48Speaker 1: think Harry Truman did. A couple other presidents did in
- 7:51Speaker 1: the past. You know, a legitimate reason could be, you know,
- 7:56Speaker 1: there's a geostrategic reason for this, you know, that Greenland
- 8:01Speaker 1: is by Russia and you could have military bases there, which,
- 8:04Speaker 1: by the way, you could have military presence there. through
- 8:07Speaker 1: NATO without actually buying the fucking island. But for Trump,
- 8:13Speaker 1: we know why Trump wants to buy Greenland, right? He
- 8:15Speaker 1: considers himself like a real estate guy and a builder.
- 8:19Speaker 1: And if he could be the president that like, you know,
- 8:21Speaker 1: added another, added an entire island to America and say
- 8:26Speaker 1: that he like increased the size of the United States
- 8:29Speaker 1: by 20%, you can see him like being excited to
- 8:31Speaker 1: brag about that because it's exactly the type of fucking
- 8:34Speaker 1: thing that Donald Trump gets excited about.
- 8:37Speaker 2: Did you have Spencer's Gifts stores growing.
- 8:40Speaker 1: Up in Massachusetts? I did, yeah. Loved Spencer's Gifts.
- 8:43Speaker 2: So for folks who may not have been around in
- 8:45Speaker 2: those days, Spencer's Gifts is like this classic 80s store
- 8:48Speaker 2: in malls that sold like posters and gag gifts and
- 8:51Speaker 2: like t-shirts from bands. And I remember at the Spencer's
- 8:54Speaker 2: Gifts in the Concord Mall in Wilmington, Delaware, they always
- 8:57Speaker 2: had this poster up that was like this dude, I
- 9:00Speaker 2: think he was like in tennis shorts and he was
- 9:01Speaker 2: surrounded by like a Ferrari and all this other stuff.
- 9:04Speaker 2: And it said at the bottom, in this like the
- 9:06Speaker 2: most quintessentially 80s thing, which is he who dies with
- 9:09Speaker 2: the most toys wins. And I've always thought that that
- 9:12Speaker 2: is like Trump who is himself a man trapped in
- 9:15Speaker 2: the 80s. Like that is his ethos. That is his
- 9:19Speaker 2: reason for being. And so like adding, buying stuff or
- 9:23Speaker 2: getting more land for the United States is to him
- 9:28Speaker 2: equal success. Without any thought of anything other, like the
- 9:30Speaker 2: purchase or the acquisition or possession of something is in
- 9:33Speaker 2: and of itself a win regardless of what you're using
- 9:37Speaker 2: it for or what purpose it would serve.
- 9:39Speaker 1: Yeah. He's also one of these guys who's clearly only
- 9:41Speaker 1: looked at Mercator maps that make Greenland look like five
- 9:44Speaker 1: times bigger than it actually is, you know? And so
- 9:47Speaker 1: he sees it on that fucking map and he's thinking
- 9:49Speaker 1: to himself, holy shit, that's big. I want to buy
- 9:51Speaker 1: that Island. Now the other, the bad reasons for this,
- 9:55Speaker 1: for trying to buy Greenland, which there are many, but
- 9:58Speaker 1: one of the worst is he basically just wants to
- 10:00Speaker 1: fucking drill. There's like plenty of oil and natural resources there.
- 10:04Speaker 1: And it's inhabited by about 50,000 people. A lot of them,
- 10:08Speaker 1: they're indigenous people in Greenland. And he basically wants to
- 10:11Speaker 1: go into their home and drill for a bunch of
- 10:14Speaker 1: fucking oil, and realize that, you know, with climate change happening,
- 10:18Speaker 1: Greenland is also, like, the ice on Greenland is melting,
- 10:21Speaker 1: so it's a perfect opportunity not to solve climate change,
- 10:24Speaker 1: but to drill for more fucking oil there. Now, the
- 10:26Speaker 1: most ridiculous thing of this whole offer is that he
- 10:30Speaker 1: can't buy Greenland even if the Danes said yes, because
- 10:34Speaker 1: they are not able to sell Greenland. There is something
- 10:36Speaker 1: in the Constitution that says that if Greenland wants to
- 10:40Speaker 1: separate from Denmark, or go somewhere else, or be on
- 10:43Speaker 1: its own. It's the people of Greenland that decide in
- 10:46Speaker 1: a referendum. They vote. So it is also so Trump
- 10:49Speaker 1: to think that he can, it's so fucking colonial of
- 10:51Speaker 1: him to think he can just pay some money for
- 10:54Speaker 1: a territory that is able to, that if it ever
- 10:58Speaker 1: wanted to leave Denmark, in the Constitution says that it
- 11:01Speaker 1: can decide that on its own.
- 11:05Speaker 2: What was it that Dinesh D'Souza or Newt Gingrich or
- 11:08Speaker 2: some other right-wing nutjob said about Obama that he had
- 11:11Speaker 2: The colonial, yeah. The neocolonial attitude, yeah. I think that
- 11:14Speaker 2: it always comes full circle in the Trump world, where
- 11:17Speaker 2: it's basically Trump becomes the absurd thing that conservatives accused
- 11:21Speaker 2: Obama of being, and then they embrace it.
- 11:23Speaker 1: Yeah, and let's also not let slide here that the
- 11:26Speaker 1: consequence of what happened this week is that we just
- 11:29Speaker 1: pissed off another NATO ally, which Trump has been doing
- 11:31Speaker 1: left and right. Sucks up to every dictator all over
- 11:34Speaker 1: the world and just pisses off our allies. You know, Denmark,
- 11:38Speaker 1: small little country in Europe, also sent troops to Afghanistan
- 11:43Speaker 1: after 9-11 to support us because we invoked Article 5
- 11:48Speaker 1: in NATO, lost 43 soldiers in Afghanistan, which is the
- 11:52Speaker 1: highest per capita death rate of any member of the
- 11:54Speaker 1: coalition fighting in Afghanistan, Denmark. And Donald Trump said, fuck you,
- 11:59Speaker 1: because you wouldn't accept my offer to buy an island
- 12:02Speaker 1: that I actually can't buy anyway. That's where we're at.
- 12:05Speaker 2: Would you support the acquisition of Greenland if it became
- 12:08Speaker 2: a state?
- 12:10Speaker 1: Well, their politics are pretty left-wing, so maybe we'd get another.
- 12:13Speaker 1: Elijah likes it. Elijah's looking at me. This is where
- 12:16Speaker 1: he's been going all week. Yeah, no, two senators from Greenland?
- 12:20Speaker 1: Two Democrats? Absolutely. Well, again, if the people of Greenland
- 12:25Speaker 1: want to decide that for themselves, then it's up to them. Okay,
- 12:29Speaker 1: next up on the crazy train. Multiple times this week,
- 12:32Speaker 1: the president accused American Jews who support Democrats of being
- 12:35Speaker 1: disloyal to Israel. Trump first made the anti-Semitic accusation as
- 12:39Speaker 1: he was attacking Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar, who
- 12:43Speaker 1: the president successfully lobbied Bibi Netanyahu to ban from Israel
- 12:47Speaker 1: of being anti-Semites. On top of that, Trump tweeted the
- 12:51Speaker 1: following quote from right-wing conspiracy theorist Wayne Allen, who believes
- 12:55Speaker 1: the mass shooting in Las Vegas was a Muslim plot. Quote,
- 12:58Speaker 1: The Jewish people in Israel love Trump like he's the
- 13:01Speaker 1: king of Israel. They love him like he is the
- 13:03Speaker 1: second coming of God, but American Jews don't know him
- 13:06Speaker 1: or like him. They don't even know what they're doing
- 13:09Speaker 1: or saying anymore. This was a tweet thread from the
- 13:13Speaker 1: president of the United States. Dan, should we go through
- 13:16Speaker 1: all the ways these comments aren't just stupid and offensive
- 13:19Speaker 1: and anti-Semitic, but actually dangerous?
- 13:22Speaker 2: Well, I mean, Trump using an anti-Semitic trope to call
- 13:28Speaker 2: Democrats anti-Semitic is Trumpism in a nutshell.
- 13:32Speaker 1: Peak Trump. It is.
- 13:35Speaker 2: It speaks to his stupidity. It also speaks of the
- 13:37Speaker 2: willful stupidity of the Republican Party, who had a fucking
- 13:41Speaker 2: hissy fit attacking Ilhan Omar for suggesting that her comments
- 13:48Speaker 2: were about loyalty and that she was using this exact
- 13:52Speaker 2: same anti-Semitic trope that Trump just used. And then all
- 13:56Speaker 2: of the people who attacked Ilhan Omar all defended Trump
- 13:59Speaker 2: for it. It's like you the price of being in
- 14:03Speaker 2: the Republican Party in the Trump era is that you
- 14:05Speaker 2: have to make yourself a little ridiculous three times a week.
- 14:09Speaker 1: It's also very Trump in that the typical dual loyalty
- 14:14Speaker 1: trope is that somehow American Jews aren't really loyal to America,
- 14:19Speaker 1: they're loyal to Israel. In Donald Trump's mind, American Jews
- 14:23Speaker 1: should be loyal to Israel, which means he doesn't really
- 14:26Speaker 1: see American Jews as Americans, right? It's such an It
- 14:32Speaker 1: fits with his ethno-nationalist worldview where he sees so many
- 14:38Speaker 1: people in this country as not really truly being American.
- 14:41Speaker 1: But if you're ethnic or you're Muslim or you're Latino,
- 14:47Speaker 1: you have a... Judge Curiel, the judge that he said
- 14:51Speaker 1: couldn't be fair because he was Mexican, even though it
- 14:54Speaker 1: was just like he was born in the United States
- 14:56Speaker 1: and he had Mexican heritage, right? Trump doesn't see people...
- 14:59Speaker 1: He only sees... like white Christians as fundamentally American. Everyone else,
- 15:04Speaker 1: you know, maybe you're okay if you like Donald Trump.
- 15:07Speaker 1: If you're not, you're disloyal, not only to Trump, but
- 15:11Speaker 1: to America. That's sort of, that's how he thinks. And
- 15:14Speaker 1: it's an extremely dangerous worldview at a time where white
- 15:17Speaker 1: nationalist domestic terrorism is on the rise and just happened
- 15:21Speaker 1: a couple weeks ago.
- 15:23Speaker 2: And it's this, in 2016, 71, according to the Expo,
- 15:27Speaker 2: 71% of American Jews voted for Hillary Clinton. That number
- 15:31Speaker 2: was 79% in the 2018 midterms. It's been around that
- 15:37Speaker 2: 70% number for a long time. So he's essentially saying
- 15:41Speaker 2: that 7 in 10 American Jews are disloyal and dumb.
- 15:48Speaker 2: Because the original comment was that they support, that they
- 15:51Speaker 2: are either disloyal or ignorant to explain their support of Democrats.
- 15:55Speaker 2: And we're just moving on. Like this happened, it happened
- 15:59Speaker 2: like 36 hours ago, we're on to the Greenland thing
- 16:01Speaker 2: and everything else, and we're just going to move right
- 16:04Speaker 2: past the president attacking with an anti-Semitic trope the Jewish
- 16:10Speaker 2: community in America.
- 16:12Speaker 1: Yeah, and look, a bunch of people noted if Elizabeth
- 16:14Speaker 1: Warren or Joe Biden had said this, this would be
- 16:16Speaker 1: the end of their campaigns. The media would never let
- 16:19Speaker 1: it go. It would be covered as the biggest thing
- 16:22Speaker 1: that ever happened. It would not last a day or two.
- 16:25Speaker 1: It would go on and on and on. But because
- 16:28Speaker 1: Donald Trump does five of these things per day, it
- 16:31Speaker 1: was one of many headlines on the New York Times
- 16:34Speaker 1: yesterday that was completely bonkers.
- 16:38Speaker 2: And Trump benefits in the minds of the press from
- 16:41Speaker 2: the fact that they think accurately that he's dumb.
- 16:45Speaker 1: Right.
- 16:45Speaker 2: So this is treated as a misstatement of someone who
- 16:51Speaker 2: talks a lot and generally doesn't know what they're saying,
- 16:54Speaker 2: as opposed to an actual... window into anti-Semitism into his soul.
- 17:00Speaker 2: And when you connect all the dots around this, right,
- 17:04Speaker 2: you connect his very fine people comments about the neo-Nazi
- 17:08Speaker 2: marchers in Charlottesville, the amount of times that he retweeted
- 17:13Speaker 2: anti-Semitic memes during and after the campaign. And then you
- 17:18Speaker 2: attach that to all the other examples of bigotry in
- 17:21Speaker 2: his life and in his presidency that It paints a
- 17:24Speaker 2: very clear picture, but instead we treat this as just
- 17:26Speaker 2: yet another thing Donald Trump said because he talks a lot.
- 17:30Speaker 1: It also shows like his political strategy here is based
- 17:34Speaker 1: on a fundamental misunderstanding, right? Which he thinks, and to
- 17:39Speaker 1: be fair, a bunch of Republicans around him think that
- 17:43Speaker 1: if they somehow cozy up to Bibi Netanyahu's government in Israel,
- 17:50Speaker 1: then American Jews will say, oh, well, I don't want
- 17:53Speaker 1: to vote for Democrats anymore because all I care about
- 17:55Speaker 1: is what happens in Israel, which is anti-Semitic all on
- 17:59Speaker 1: its own. As if Jews in this country wouldn't care
- 18:03Speaker 1: about the fact that Donald Trump, after a rally where
- 18:06Speaker 1: a bunch of people were marching with signs that said,
- 18:10Speaker 1: Jews will not replace us, said there are very fine
- 18:13Speaker 1: people on both sides. And all the other instances of
- 18:16Speaker 1: anti-Semitism in his life. Like, they wouldn't care about that.
- 18:19Speaker 1: They would care, by the way, about him being nice
- 18:22Speaker 1: to Bibi Netanyahu. I mean, it's just, it's so fucking,
- 18:26Speaker 1: it's crazy, man.
- 18:27Speaker 2: Not to mention caring about providing healthcare to people, or
- 18:31Speaker 2: saving the planet, or protecting people from gun violence, or
- 18:34Speaker 2: all the other issues that matter to people. But I think,
- 18:37Speaker 2: so I think in Trump's mind... He thinks this way
- 18:39Speaker 2: because he is such a fucking one-dimensional thinker. And the
- 18:42Speaker 2: collection of numbskulls he has surrounded himself are the same way,
- 18:45Speaker 2: which is to win election must win Florida. To win
- 18:50Speaker 2: Florida must win Jews. There are lots of Jews in Florida. Therefore,
- 18:53Speaker 2: I will do this. So I think that's how Trump
- 18:55Speaker 2: thinks because he's basically Homer Simpson as president. Like it's
- 18:59Speaker 2: not– the complicated thoughts do not work through that brain.
- 19:04Speaker 2: But I think the smarter Republicans– out there. And there
- 19:08Speaker 2: are some. And don't think about that. They think about
- 19:11Speaker 2: the strategy in the following ways. Yes, I do think
- 19:14Speaker 2: that part of this, to the extent there is strategy
- 19:17Speaker 2: behind these rants, painting Democrats as anti-Semitic is part of
- 19:23Speaker 2: the same strategy as painting Democrats as pro-socialists. It is
- 19:26Speaker 2: about Florida. Republicans do much better among older Jewish voters
- 19:29Speaker 2: than younger Jewish voters because they do better among older
- 19:31Speaker 2: voters than younger voters. And there is a disproportionate concentration
- 19:36Speaker 2: of that electorate in Florida. And so if you can
- 19:39Speaker 2: either hold on to or peel off some of those voters,
- 19:41Speaker 2: you're going to do better in Florida. So that's part one.
- 19:44Speaker 2: Part two is most of the Israel, the Democratic anti-Israel,
- 19:51Speaker 2: the butting up the BB Netanyahu is about the evangelical
- 19:54Speaker 2: vote in the rest of the country more so than
- 19:55Speaker 2: it is about the Jewish vote, right? And then the
- 19:58Speaker 2: third part about this is it is just yet another
- 20:00Speaker 2: way to try to scare white people by trying to
- 20:02Speaker 2: take two Muslim women and make them the face of
- 20:05Speaker 2: the It's about holding on to the evangelical vote, who
- 20:10Speaker 2: have many reasons to have questions about Trump's own personal morality.
- 20:16Speaker 2: And then it is about this idea that he thinks
- 20:19Speaker 2: if he makes the Democratic Party seem less white, he
- 20:22Speaker 2: will win the election.
- 20:23Speaker 1: Yeah. And just like everything else he does, it's not
- 20:26Speaker 1: about them thinking they can win the Jewish vote in 2020,
- 20:31Speaker 1: just like they don't think they can win the African-American
- 20:34Speaker 1: vote or win the Latino vote. They just want to
- 20:36Speaker 1: shave off um, some margins here for Democrats and they would,
- 20:40Speaker 1: and they don't care if you vote for Donald Trump
- 20:42Speaker 1: or you stay home, either one works for them. All
- 20:46Speaker 1: they want to make sure is that, uh, the Democrat
- 20:49Speaker 1: doesn't reach 50%. And the Democrat not reaching 50% or
- 20:53Speaker 1: 50% plus one is because they didn't get high enough
- 20:57Speaker 1: turnout among African-American voters or Latino voters or Jewish voters, right?
- 21:01Speaker 1: Like they're just, they're trying to sort of peel off
- 21:03Speaker 1: their constituencies and Just a little bit here so that
- 21:06Speaker 1: Donald Trump can again, you know, probably lose the popular
- 21:09Speaker 1: vote but win the electoral college. And you have just
- 21:12Speaker 1: enough people staying home or voting for third parties. That's
- 21:14Speaker 1: the whole strategy here, right? Yep. All right, let's talk
- 21:18Speaker 1: about the end of Donald Trump's latest flirtation with gun control.
- 21:21Speaker 1: Not even a month after two of the worst mass
- 21:23Speaker 1: shootings in recent history, all it took was one 30-minute
- 21:26Speaker 1: phone call from the NRA to scare the president away
- 21:28Speaker 1: from supporting legislation to expand background checks. Trump gave the
- 21:32Speaker 1: following reasoning to reporters on Wednesday, quote, I have to
- 21:36Speaker 1: tell you that it's a mental problem and quote, you know,
- 21:40Speaker 1: they call it the slippery slope and all of a
- 21:42Speaker 1: sudden everything gets taken away, which of course is a
- 21:45Speaker 1: long time NRA talking point. Dan, are you even a
- 21:48Speaker 1: bit surprised here?
- 21:50Speaker 2: John, I think it's unlikely that Dean McKay is going
- 21:52Speaker 2: to let me write New York times headlines, but you don't,
- 21:54Speaker 2: my headline for this would have been, what's that? No shit. Sherlock.
- 22:00Speaker 2: I mean, We've seen this. This is now the third
- 22:04Speaker 2: time this has happened in the less than three years
- 22:05Speaker 2: that Trump has been president. We have a tragic mass shooting,
- 22:09Speaker 2: first in Las Vegas, then at Parkland, and then earlier
- 22:13Speaker 2: this month in El Paso and Dayton. And every time
- 22:16Speaker 2: Trump says the right thing or considers the right thing early,
- 22:20Speaker 2: the NRA gets involved and nothing happens. This is the
- 22:23Speaker 2: cycle we are in. It is because we are a
- 22:26Speaker 2: country with a politics that was broken by a Republican
- 22:30Speaker 2: Party who cares more about winning elections and stopping people
- 22:36Speaker 2: from getting killed.
- 22:38Speaker 1: What do you think this says about the NRA's influence,
- 22:41Speaker 1: you know, even as they're engulfed in multiple scandals? You know,
- 22:45Speaker 1: we talked a couple pods ago about how they were
- 22:48Speaker 1: outraged and out-organized in 2018 by gun safety groups for
- 22:52Speaker 1: the And then something like this happens, and with one
- 23:00Speaker 1: 30-minute phone call, they get an entire gun safety agenda killed.
- 23:05Speaker 2: You know, every time one of these shootings happens, a
- 23:08Speaker 2: bunch of people on Twitter will tweet at every Republican
- 23:12Speaker 2: member of Congress who blocks gun control, which is every
- 23:16Speaker 2: Republican member of Congress. We'll tweet at them the amount
- 23:19Speaker 2: of money they took from the NRA. And I think
- 23:22Speaker 2: that's an important point to make, and we should continue
- 23:24Speaker 2: to make it. But I also think it has the
- 23:27Speaker 2: danger of oversimplifying the politics of this. Because the NRA,
- 23:33Speaker 2: what they have brought to the table is less about
- 23:36Speaker 2: the money that they give candidates and more about the
- 23:38Speaker 2: money they spend to win elections. And I think that
- 23:43Speaker 2: the politics of this are, of being for, and we'll
- 23:47Speaker 2: talk about this as it relates to Trump in a minute,
- 23:49Speaker 2: but the politics of this It's pretty easy you could
- 23:51Speaker 2: be for issues that have 60-some percent support among Republicans
- 23:55Speaker 2: and 90% support around the country. That's easy. But what
- 23:58Speaker 2: prevents it from happening is fear. It's fear of a
- 24:02Speaker 2: primary challenge. It is fear of getting attacked from the
- 24:05Speaker 2: right because even though they are a minority, the pro-gun voters,
- 24:11Speaker 2: the NRA voters essentially, are very well organized and they
- 24:15Speaker 2: turn out to vote. And so these Republicans fear that
- 24:18Speaker 2: if they do the right thing they will get primaried
- 24:21Speaker 2: in their next election and lose. Because even if it's
- 24:23Speaker 2: the right move for the general election, and even if
- 24:26Speaker 2: the right move for their party writ large, in a
- 24:29Speaker 2: more narrow primary universe, they could get killed for it.
- 24:33Speaker 1: Yeah, if you're Donald Trump, you also want the NRA
- 24:36Speaker 1: to be spending as much money as possible on 2020,
- 24:39Speaker 1: whether it's organizing, whether it's ads. And by the way,
- 24:43Speaker 1: some of these ads that the NRA runs, they're not
- 24:45Speaker 1: about guns. They know that's not as popular. They'll run
- 24:49Speaker 1: ads about immigration. They'll run ads about attacking the Democratic
- 24:53Speaker 1: candidate for all kinds of stuff. They don't give a shit.
- 24:55Speaker 1: They're just another interest group that's going to spend a
- 24:58Speaker 1: fuckload of money on the election, and Trump doesn't want
- 25:00Speaker 1: to piss them off. You're absolutely right. It is dangerously
- 25:04Speaker 1: oversimplifying the politics to just say, so-and-so got a couple
- 25:07Speaker 1: thousand dollars for the NRA, and that's why they vote
- 25:09Speaker 1: the way they do. because that's not necessarily the case.
- 25:11Speaker 1: You're right, it is fear. They have built an organization
- 25:15Speaker 1: that has scared a bunch of politicians because they have
- 25:17Speaker 1: a lot of money to run ads, to organize on
- 25:20Speaker 1: the ground, to disseminate propaganda, which they do very well.
- 25:24Speaker 1: It's just another big, expensive, right-wing organization.
- 25:29Speaker 2: And we should just point out exactly what the NRA is,
- 25:33Speaker 2: because they brand themselves as this group of citizen... Hunters
- 25:39Speaker 2: and sportsmen and hobbyists, that's not what they are. They
- 25:43Speaker 2: are a lobbying group for gun manufacturers. The reason their
- 25:47Speaker 2: ads are about immigration is it is in their interest
- 25:52Speaker 2: to scare people into thinking this country is dangerous and
- 25:55Speaker 2: they need to protect themselves with a gun, even though
- 25:57Speaker 2: all studies say that makes you less safe than if
- 26:00Speaker 2: you were to not have a gun. And so that
- 26:02Speaker 2: is what this is about. Everything that they do is
- 26:05Speaker 2: about selling more guns. so that they can get more
- 26:08Speaker 2: money from the gun manufacturers. And the Republicans want the
- 26:11Speaker 2: money from the gun manufacturers laundered through the NRA. And
- 26:13Speaker 2: so this is about electoral preservation more than anything else.
- 26:19Speaker 1: I will say, you know, looking at 2020, this may
- 26:21Speaker 1: not have been the politically smartest move by Donald Trump.
- 26:25Speaker 1: There was a new AP poll out this morning that
- 26:26Speaker 1: says only 7 in 10 Republicans approve of how he's
- 26:30Speaker 1: handling gun policy, which is the lowest rating from his
- 26:32Speaker 1: own party on any issue, obviously in Democrats and independents.
- 26:37Speaker 1: by large majorities, think he's not handling gun policy well.
- 26:40Speaker 1: We've talked a million times about, you know, the overwhelming
- 26:43Speaker 1: majorities of people who are for background checks, assault weapons bans,
- 26:46Speaker 1: all the rest of it. Trump, who is having particular
- 26:49Speaker 1: trouble with women, suburban women, even, by the way, non-college
- 26:54Speaker 1: educated women, white women, which is new this time around,
- 26:58Speaker 1: having trouble with all these groups. And, you know, I actually,
- 27:02Speaker 1: if he had passed background checks I'd be a little,
- 27:06Speaker 1: you know, I think that would have helped him politically
- 27:08Speaker 1: a little bit.
- 27:09Speaker 2: Yeah, it would have been a home run for him
- 27:11Speaker 2: on the following vectors. As you point out, suburban voters
- 27:15Speaker 2: are his biggest problem. That's where the biggest drop off
- 27:18Speaker 2: has been since the Republican Party in 2012. This is
- 27:21Speaker 2: an issue that matters a ton in the suburbs. His
- 27:24Speaker 2: second issue is he's basically seen as ineffective, you know,
- 27:27Speaker 2: because he's too busy engaging in Twitter wars to get
- 27:29Speaker 2: things done. And the third problem is that he ran
- 27:32Speaker 2: as someone who was going to be an independent voice
- 27:35Speaker 2: who is not captive to special interests. And he has
- 27:37Speaker 2: been just living... He's been the king of the swamp
- 27:40Speaker 2: for the last three years. And so this would have
- 27:42Speaker 2: dealt with all three things. Dealt with something that matters
- 27:46Speaker 2: to voters. Would have been able to say, I brought
- 27:49Speaker 2: Democrats and Republicans to pass background checks, something that Barack
- 27:52Speaker 2: Obama could not do.
- 27:54Speaker 1: Right?
- 27:54Speaker 2: That is a powerful message to a target group of
- 27:56Speaker 2: voters from him. And the third, he would get to
- 27:58Speaker 2: say that he bucked the NRA, that he stood up
- 28:00Speaker 2: against strong voices in his own party. Like that is...
- 28:03Speaker 2: political gold. And he was just too dumb or too
- 28:07Speaker 2: scared to take it on. Because if he were to
- 28:10Speaker 2: do it, it would have helped him with voters, but
- 28:11Speaker 2: hurt him with his key advisors. And by his key advisors,
- 28:14Speaker 2: I mean the people who are on Fox from 8
- 28:16Speaker 2: to 11.
- 28:18Speaker 1: So what do Democrats do now? You know, on Wednesday,
- 28:22Speaker 1: March for Our Lives released probably the most ambitious, comprehensive
- 28:26Speaker 1: gun safety proposal we've seen in this race yet. You know,
- 28:31Speaker 1: how do we get it passed? Win.
- 28:33Speaker 2: I mean, I think if you're angry right now, you
- 28:36Speaker 2: can give money or volunteer for March for Our Lives,
- 28:38Speaker 2: Moms Demand, Gabby Giffords Group, do all of that to
- 28:43Speaker 2: help them, because that's also going to help organize voters
- 28:45Speaker 2: for 2020, but also help pass these laws at the
- 28:48Speaker 2: state level, which is incredibly important. We have to win
- 28:52Speaker 2: in 2020. And then, you know, we've said this before,
- 28:55Speaker 2: but if we take the presidency and we take the Senate,
- 28:57Speaker 2: the only way we're going to get common sense gun
- 29:00Speaker 2: safety laws in this country is to eliminate the filibuster.
- 29:04Speaker 1: Which Mitch McConnell knows, which is why he wrote an
- 29:06Speaker 1: op-ed in today's New York Times about why the Democrats
- 29:10Speaker 1: should be very careful about wanting to get rid of
- 29:12Speaker 1: the filibuster. Because, you know, Mitch McConnell thinks the filibuster
- 29:15Speaker 1: is very important and he would never shake up the
- 29:19Speaker 1: Senate or violate any norms and institutions and rules because
- 29:23Speaker 1: Mitch McConnell, he's a defender of the Senate, Dan.
- 29:28Speaker 2: I mean, really?
- 29:29Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 29:29Speaker 2: The person most responsible for the completely fucked up situation
- 29:33Speaker 2: this country is in right now is Mitch McConnell.
- 29:35Speaker 1: It's also important to know that like Mitch McConnell has
- 29:38Speaker 1: basically gotten what he needs out of the Senate in
- 29:42Speaker 1: that he has eliminated the filibuster or the filibuster no
- 29:45Speaker 1: longer exists for judicial nominations at all. And what the Republican,
- 29:49Speaker 1: what the Republicans care about is cuts to benefits, tax
- 29:54Speaker 1: cuts and putting right wing judges on the bench. And,
- 29:58Speaker 1: You now don't need the filibuster for any of those things.
- 30:02Speaker 1: So there's some things, there's definitely some things that if
- 30:06Speaker 1: there were no filibuster, Republicans would be able to do
- 30:09Speaker 1: if they had control of government, for sure. But the
- 30:12Speaker 1: most important things to them, the things that get them
- 30:14Speaker 1: up in the morning, cutting taxes, cutting benefits, and putting
- 30:18Speaker 1: conservative judges on the bench, they can do that without
- 30:20Speaker 1: the filibuster.
- 30:21Speaker 2: If anyone thinks that if Trump wins the White House
- 30:24Speaker 2: and the Republicans keep the Senate, that Mitch McConnell is
- 30:27Speaker 2: going to keep the filibuster, they are fucking clueless. Mitch
- 30:31Speaker 2: McConnell held up Merrick Garland because of his long-held principles
- 30:36Speaker 2: about allowing voters to pick Supreme Court justices, then basically
- 30:41Speaker 2: was asked whether he would do the same thing with
- 30:43Speaker 2: Trump as president, and he said no. He is not
- 30:45Speaker 2: a man of his word, and I do not give
- 30:47Speaker 2: a fuck what all the Capitol Hill reporters who love
- 30:50Speaker 2: Mitch McConnell and believe in the legend of Mitch McConnell think.
- 30:55Speaker 2: He is a cynical, dishonest, anti-democratic force in this country.
- 31:00Speaker 2: And there are lots of things they can and would do.
- 31:03Speaker 2: The pressure, even if Mitch McConnell didn't want an unlimited filibuster,
- 31:05Speaker 2: you think a newly reelected Trump, that Mitch McConnell's going
- 31:08Speaker 2: to be able to stand up to him and hold
- 31:09Speaker 2: him back if there's something they want to do that
- 31:11Speaker 2: they can't get done?
- 31:12Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 31:12Speaker 2: Fuck no.
- 31:13Speaker 1: No way. And they'll all feel emboldened. The Republicans win again.
- 31:16Speaker 1: Trump wins again. They're not going to be scared. All
- 31:19Speaker 1: these senators that are, come on.
- 31:21Speaker 2: And the idea that this is Harry Reid's fault is
- 31:24Speaker 2: so absurd. So Mitch McConnell's piece today said, well, Harry
- 31:28Speaker 2: Reid did this, so I was forced to just take
- 31:30Speaker 2: it to its natural conclusion and eliminate the filibuster for
- 31:33Speaker 2: the Supreme Court. Let's just imagine for a second. Mitch
- 31:37Speaker 2: McConnell has stolen the seat from Barack Obama. Trump wins.
- 31:42Speaker 2: The filibuster is still in place for judicial nominations. Democrats
- 31:46Speaker 2: filibuster Neil Gorsuch because Mitch McConnell stole a Supreme Court
- 31:51Speaker 2: seat from the American people who selected Barack Obama. And
- 31:55Speaker 2: you think Mitch McConnell should be like, you know, norms.
- 31:59Speaker 2: Just going to go with eight Supreme Court justices for now.
- 32:02Speaker 2: Or you know what? I feel like it's so important
- 32:04Speaker 2: to have nine. Let's just put Merrick Garland on the court. No,
- 32:07Speaker 2: he would have eliminated the filibuster in two fucking seconds
- 32:09Speaker 2: and put on Kavanaugh, Gorsuch, anyone else.
- 32:14Speaker 1: Yeah. Michael Bennett disagrees with us, but I... I think
- 32:18Speaker 1: Mitch McConnell would have blown that thing up.
- 32:20Speaker 2: He doesn't even disagree with that. He sort of acknowledged
- 32:22Speaker 2: that Mitch McConnell would do that when I talked to
- 32:24Speaker 2: him about it.
- 32:25Speaker 1: Oh, yeah, that's right. Yeah, he did. He did.
- 32:27Speaker 2: I bullied him into that position, potentially, or badgered him,
- 32:29Speaker 2: I think is probably a better word.
- 32:32Speaker 1: We love Michael Bennett. All right, so after Trump said
- 32:43Speaker 1: no to gun safety... He said yes to indefinite detentions
- 32:47Speaker 1: for families and children who are fleeing violence and seeking asylum.
- 32:50Speaker 1: The administration unveiled a rule this week that, if it
- 32:52Speaker 1: survives court challenges, would supersede an old court settlement known
- 32:56Speaker 1: as the Flores Agreement that limits the detention of children
- 32:59Speaker 1: to 20 days. This announcement came after Customs and Border
- 33:02Speaker 1: Patrol said that families currently in detention centers will not
- 33:05Speaker 1: be given the flu shot, despite the fact that three
- 33:07Speaker 1: children have died of the flu already. And on Wednesday,
- 33:11Speaker 1: the president also told reporters that he's seriously considering eliminating
- 33:14Speaker 1: birthright citizenship through an executive order, even though it's a
- 33:18Speaker 1: right that's explicitly spelled out in the U.S. Constitution. He
- 33:22Speaker 1: first floated that towards the end of the 2018 midterms.
- 33:25Speaker 1: Now it's back. Dan, let's start with the Flores Agreement.
- 33:29Speaker 1: Why does Trump want to get rid of this court settlement?
- 33:31Speaker 1: And what's the administration's argument here?
- 33:34Speaker 2: Whenever there's a question about Trump's immigration policy, It's always
- 33:38Speaker 2: important to harken back to the comment from Atlantic columnist
- 33:42Speaker 2: Adam Serwer, which is the cruelty is the point.
- 33:45Speaker 1: Right.
- 33:46Speaker 2: That's why they want to do this, because it's cruel.
- 33:50Speaker 2: They argue it's about deterrence, but it's not. The Trump
- 33:53Speaker 2: administration argues for their immigration policy as deterrence the same
- 33:57Speaker 2: way that death penalty advocates argue for the death penalty
- 34:02Speaker 2: as a deterrent. It's not. The point is punishment.
- 34:07Speaker 1: Right. Yeah, because look, you could, you could try other
- 34:12Speaker 1: ways to deter immigration that do not involve, uh, keeping
- 34:16Speaker 1: people locked up indefinitely, children indefinitely, uh, cutting legal immigration
- 34:22Speaker 1: as they're doing the public charge rule that we spoke about. Um, now,
- 34:27Speaker 1: you know, not allowing anyone to seek asylum who hasn't already,
- 34:31Speaker 1: who's traveled through a third country from their home country.
- 34:34Speaker 1: That rule went into effect this week. Um, They fucking
- 34:37Speaker 1: let's remember just a few weeks ago, they held an
- 34:41Speaker 1: 18 year old American citizen for weeks because they suspected
- 34:46Speaker 1: that he was undocumented in horrible, horrible conditions. They held
- 34:51Speaker 1: an American citizen and it was not the first time
- 34:53Speaker 1: that they did that either. So, yeah, I don't think
- 34:57Speaker 1: you're telling us this is about fucking deterrence.
- 35:00Speaker 2: And just a side note, it's not just cruel. Their
- 35:03Speaker 2: policies are also stupid. They are not giving flu shots
- 35:09Speaker 2: to the people in these detention centers. As if there
- 35:12Speaker 2: was no history of large groups of people in temporary
- 35:16Speaker 2: facilities infecting each other with diseases and then spreading out
- 35:20Speaker 2: across the country. That's exactly how the fucking 1918 influenza
- 35:23Speaker 2: epidemic happened. It is just so stupid because that is
- 35:27Speaker 2: somehow they see giving people flu shots as weakness. As
- 35:32Speaker 2: if people are going to flee Central America go on
- 35:36Speaker 2: a dangerous march across Mexico, come to the US border
- 35:42Speaker 2: to get a fucking flu shot.
- 35:47Speaker 1: Yeah, it's, I mean, I do, it does seem like
- 35:50Speaker 1: this is, you know, the cruelty is the point, but
- 35:53Speaker 1: also this is a, this is a political strategy, right?
- 35:55Speaker 1: Like they, they want these announcements. They have, it's clear
- 35:59Speaker 1: they have a long list of things. And you could
- 36:01Speaker 1: tell when the president was asked about birthright citizenship. And
- 36:04Speaker 1: he said, Oh, how do you know we were considering that?
- 36:06Speaker 1: That's very good.
- 36:07Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 36:07Speaker 1: We've been seriously looking at that. We're looking at all
- 36:09Speaker 1: kinds of things. Like you just know that Stephen Miller
- 36:12Speaker 1: has a long list right now of anti-immigrant xenophobic policies
- 36:18Speaker 1: and rules they can take through executive action that they
- 36:21Speaker 1: want to roll out from now until November of 2020.
- 36:24Speaker 1: And I'm sure a bunch of them will happen in
- 36:26Speaker 1: the fall of 2020 when everyone's paying attention to the election,
- 36:29Speaker 1: because again, Trump's whole bet here is that he can
- 36:33Speaker 1: make this election about an invasion, about an immigrant invasion,
- 36:38Speaker 1: and he wants to scare people, and he wants to
- 36:40Speaker 1: say that Democrats care about undocumented immigrants, and I care
- 36:43Speaker 1: about hardworking Americans, right? Who, by the way, happen to
- 36:47Speaker 1: be white. That is the political strategy, and he wants
- 36:50Speaker 1: those headlines to crowd out all of the other headlines.
- 36:54Speaker 2: Tommy made this point on Twitter, but I think it
- 36:56Speaker 2: really explains everything about The mentality of the Trump administration
- 37:03Speaker 2: and the message of the Republican Party in 2020, which
- 37:06Speaker 2: is the reason the term indefinite detention sounds so familiar
- 37:10Speaker 2: to people is because that is the policy that the
- 37:14Speaker 2: Bush administration put in place to deal with members of
- 37:17Speaker 2: Al Qaeda and the Taliban. And which is the reason
- 37:21Speaker 2: why that matters is because it speaks to the fact
- 37:25Speaker 2: that they believe the invasion rhetoric. They believe the infestation rhetoric,
- 37:28Speaker 2: that this is ultimately a war for America's white soul.
- 37:32Speaker 2: And they want people to think that. And the more
- 37:34Speaker 2: they can do things like use indefinite detention, send the
- 37:37Speaker 2: military to the border, talk about walls, that's all about
- 37:42Speaker 2: creating this idea that it is a war for American culture.
- 37:47Speaker 2: And it is an important point that that is basically
- 37:50Speaker 2: ripped from the manifesto of the El Paso shooter. It
- 37:53Speaker 2: is the rhetoric that permeates 8chan and the other white
- 37:57Speaker 2: supremacist sites.
- 37:59Speaker 1: It is.
- 38:01Speaker 2: it is what it is, which is the Republican Party
- 38:03Speaker 2: has become a white nationalist party. It is in degrees
- 38:06Speaker 2: from Trump and Stephen Miller down to others, but ultimately
- 38:09Speaker 2: when your electoral strategy is you need to fire up
- 38:13Speaker 2: as many white voters as possible and via laws and
- 38:18Speaker 2: disinformation campaigns and other strategies disincentivize as many voters of
- 38:22Speaker 2: color to participate, then you are a white nationalist party.
- 38:26Speaker 1: Yeah, because again, there's a way to talk about the
- 38:29Speaker 1: influx of asylum seekers at the border in a way
- 38:33Speaker 1: that doesn't sort of evoke this idea of an invasion, right? Like,
- 38:38Speaker 1: you could imagine another administration, probably a Democratic administration, but
- 38:43Speaker 1: even a Republican administration, talking about and saying, look, we
- 38:45Speaker 1: have this influx of asylum seekers at the border. We
- 38:47Speaker 1: are a nation of immigrants. We do respect the asylum
- 38:51Speaker 1: laws internationally in this country. Right now, our system is overwhelmed.
- 38:56Speaker 1: We need more resources at the border so that we
- 38:58Speaker 1: can deal with these claims. We want to make sure
- 39:01Speaker 1: that people belong here, that are granted asylum, get asylum.
- 39:04Speaker 1: People who don't deserve asylum don't get it. We're going
- 39:07Speaker 1: to do this. We're going to secure our border in
- 39:08Speaker 1: the meantime. There's a whole bunch of ways to talk
- 39:11Speaker 1: about this as a problem that we have to deal
- 39:14Speaker 1: with that doesn't use the invasion rhetoric. They're using the
- 39:17Speaker 1: invasion rhetoric for political reasons. That's why it's in all
- 39:21Speaker 1: their ads. That's why it's in all the Facebook ads.
- 39:23Speaker 1: That's why it's in all their campaign ads. This is
- 39:25Speaker 1: a political strategy right now.
- 39:29Speaker 3: So.
- 39:31Speaker 1: Finally, let's talk about what may be the real cause
- 39:34Speaker 1: of Trump's meltdown this week, which is his intense anxiety
- 39:38Speaker 1: over mounting signs that the economy may be headed towards
- 39:40Speaker 1: a recession, anxiety that has led him to blame the
- 39:43Speaker 1: Federal Reserve, blame the media, blame the Democrats. acknowledge that
- 39:47Speaker 1: he's postponing more Chinese tariffs because they'll hurt American consumers,
- 39:51Speaker 1: and float that he's considering more tax cuts. At the
- 39:53Speaker 1: same time, Trump is also telling us that the economy
- 39:56Speaker 1: is the strongest it's ever been, that we don't really
- 39:58Speaker 1: need any economic stimulus after all, and that he's winning
- 40:00Speaker 1: his trade war, which he had to wage, because in
- 40:04Speaker 1: the president's words, quote, I am the chosen one.
- 40:11Speaker 2: I mean, this is an audio medium, so you can't
- 40:13Speaker 2: really get the beauty of it that he also pointed
- 40:15Speaker 2: at the sky when he said that.
- 40:18Speaker 1: He did. He did. Clearly a joke, but also maybe
- 40:21Speaker 1: not a joke in his mind. So what's with the
- 40:25Speaker 1: mixed messages on the economy here? What's going on with that?
- 40:29Speaker 2: John, are you saying that a– you know, you yourself
- 40:34Speaker 2: have written many an economic speech and you're an expert
- 40:36Speaker 2: in messaging. Are you saying that a message that is
- 40:39Speaker 2: the economy is working– the Fed has broken the economy,
- 40:42Speaker 2: the economy is great, the media is destroying the economy,
- 40:45Speaker 2: we're winning the China trade war, but we have to
- 40:47Speaker 2: eliminate the tariffs so it doesn't hurt people, is not
- 40:49Speaker 2: a coherent message?
- 40:53Speaker 1: It would be tough to write a speech with all
- 40:55Speaker 1: those messages. I will admit that. I don't know that
- 40:58Speaker 1: if I'd get that all in one message box.
- 41:01Speaker 2: Well, I mean, there is this sort of window into
- 41:06Speaker 2: Trump's brain always because, like, the distance between his brain
- 41:10Speaker 2: and his mouth is so short, which is we're watching
- 41:12Speaker 2: him in real time wrestle with a serious political problem,
- 41:16Speaker 2: which is he ran around touting his economic success as
- 41:20Speaker 2: the reason why voters should support him, even if they
- 41:24Speaker 2: are uncomfortable with his rhetoric or his other policies, right?
- 41:27Speaker 2: Which is, the economy's going great. I didn't fuck it up.
- 41:31Speaker 2: Stick with me. And so, like, he... He sort of
- 41:35Speaker 2: hung his hat on that, and now we're seeing that
- 41:37Speaker 2: collapse around him. And he's sort of trying to find
- 41:42Speaker 2: the right way to explain it, deal with it, et cetera.
- 41:46Speaker 2: And he doesn't have a strategy. He doesn't have a plan.
- 41:50Speaker 2: He doesn't have a team of smart people around him
- 41:52Speaker 2: who can help him come up with one. So it's
- 41:53Speaker 2: just sort of vomit things until he gets the right
- 41:56Speaker 2: amount of applause and sort of thinks he's hit on something.
- 42:01Speaker 2: I do think that what he ultimately– where there can
- 42:05Speaker 2: be success in that completely convoluted, inconsistent message is he
- 42:11Speaker 2: doesn't need to convince everyone about the state of the economy.
- 42:17Speaker 2: What he needs to do is create permission structure for
- 42:20Speaker 2: some group of voters to stick with him because he
- 42:23Speaker 2: has successfully convinced them that it's someone else's fault. Right.
- 42:28Speaker 2: Most people don't know who the Fed chair is, don't
- 42:30Speaker 2: know what the Fed chair does, don't care. Most people
- 42:32Speaker 2: think it's absurd that the New York Times or mainstream
- 42:35Speaker 2: media in general, a business whose economics are shaky, to
- 42:39Speaker 2: say the least, have the power to control the economy.
- 42:40Speaker 2: Because if they did, they would be doing much better.
- 42:43Speaker 2: We'd have, I don't know, local newspapers. But he just
- 42:46Speaker 2: needs to convince some people, a small group of people,
- 42:49Speaker 2: that it's someone else's fault. And that is the sense
- 42:51Speaker 2: where Trump really does have some natural political ability, where
- 42:55Speaker 2: he understands identity politics, where They're people who want to
- 42:58Speaker 2: be with Trump. And if he can just give them
- 43:00Speaker 2: enough of a reason to hang on to that, to
- 43:02Speaker 2: stick with their political tribe, that they will do that.
- 43:04Speaker 2: And I think that's what this is about.
- 43:06Speaker 1: Yeah. And I think, you know, he'll have some success
- 43:09Speaker 1: convincing a small group of people that are his biggest
- 43:11Speaker 1: supporters and fans in his base that that's the case.
- 43:15Speaker 1: He could have a little more trouble with most other voters.
- 43:18Speaker 1: I do think the added problem he has is, you know,
- 43:22Speaker 1: we've said this before, presidents tend to get credit for
- 43:25Speaker 1: the economy when the economy is doing well, get blame
- 43:28Speaker 1: for the economy when the economy is doing poorly. And
- 43:31Speaker 1: some of that credit and blame are both not really
- 43:34Speaker 1: deserved because the president doesn't have a ton of control
- 43:38Speaker 1: over the economy and economic cycles. But for this specific case,
- 43:44Speaker 1: it does seem like it is Trump's trade war that
- 43:46Speaker 1: he started on his own that is contributing, at least contributing,
- 43:51Speaker 1: to a potential economic downturn. And Trump has also passed
- 43:55Speaker 1: a giant tax cut, most of which went to the
- 43:58Speaker 1: wealthiest corporations and Americans, very unpopular. And that, at the
- 44:04Speaker 1: very least, hasn't done anything to help the economy long
- 44:06Speaker 1: term like they promised it would. So his only two
- 44:10Speaker 1: economic policies, his tax cut and his trade war, have failed.
- 44:14Speaker 1: And now we're in a recession. So I think that's
- 44:16Speaker 1: sort of that's an added challenge for him or there
- 44:18Speaker 1: would be an added challenge for any president in his
- 44:21Speaker 1: in his position.
- 44:22Speaker 2: And it makes it, I will say it makes it
- 44:24Speaker 2: harder to blame other people when you designate yourself the
- 44:27Speaker 2: chosen one, or you said on the convention stage that
- 44:29Speaker 2: I alone can fix it.
- 44:31Speaker 3: Yes.
- 44:31Speaker 2: He pitches himself as some sort of political messiah or savior,
- 44:36Speaker 2: and therefore he's going to, he potentially, we hope, will
- 44:41Speaker 2: be held to account for that in a way that
- 44:44Speaker 2: other people who make more nuanced arguments about the economy
- 44:47Speaker 2: and politics would be.
- 44:49Speaker 1: So, you know, he floated... Well, the White House also
- 44:52Speaker 1: floated a payroll tax cut. I think on Wednesday, he said, no,
- 44:56Speaker 1: we're not considering that anymore. What's a payroll tax cut?
- 45:00Speaker 1: And why do you think he proposed it?
- 45:02Speaker 2: Well, a payroll tax cut is a cut in your
- 45:05Speaker 2: payroll taxes, which go to Social Security and Medicare. In 2010,
- 45:09Speaker 2: when we were trying to help a struggling economy, we
- 45:14Speaker 2: actually ended up working with Republicans to put in place
- 45:16Speaker 2: a payroll 2% payroll tax cut, which puts more– your
- 45:20Speaker 2: paycheck is bigger, right? 2% bigger essentially. And it is
- 45:24Speaker 2: a well-known way of stimulating the economy, which is put
- 45:31Speaker 2: money in people's pockets, put more money in the economy.
- 45:33Speaker 2: Economy should grow. Economy grows more people higher. So the
- 45:38Speaker 2: problem with it for Trump is Republicans, after initially agreeing
- 45:42Speaker 2: to Obama's payroll tax cut as part of a deal,
- 45:45Speaker 2: tried to tank it. because they thought it would help
- 45:48Speaker 2: his reelection. And every Republican is, or most Republicans are
- 45:52Speaker 2: on record complaining about the damage it does to Social
- 45:55Speaker 2: Security because that 2% comes out of your contributions to
- 45:58Speaker 2: Social Security and Medicare, as I understand it.
- 46:02Speaker 1: Yeah. So Republicans are on record as opposing this in
- 46:05Speaker 1: the past. Of course, that won't stop them from switching
- 46:08Speaker 1: if Trump decides to go forward, I'm sure. But It
- 46:13Speaker 1: does seem like there's no universe where Donald Trump and
- 46:15Speaker 1: the Republican Party just put up a payroll tax cut
- 46:18Speaker 1: on its own with nothing else. And already it seems
- 46:22Speaker 1: like they have other tax cuts in mind as well.
- 46:26Speaker 1: One of them, a tax cut idea, is basically an
- 46:30Speaker 1: executive order to cut capital gains taxes, which would basically
- 46:36Speaker 1: cut capital gains taxes by $ 102 billion over the next decade.
- 46:42Speaker 1: And it's a tax cut that would give the top
- 46:45Speaker 1: 1% of Americans 86% of that benefit.
- 46:48Speaker 2: Because as we know, the people who are truly suffering
- 46:50Speaker 2: in this economy are the wealthiest. And so we need
- 46:53Speaker 2: a potentially unconstitutional bailout of rich people. It seems like
- 46:58Speaker 2: a winning message, if you ask me.
- 47:01Speaker 1: Honestly, I'm like, please let them do this. Fucking go
- 47:05Speaker 1: for it. Please try to unilaterally, unilaterally, without an act
- 47:10Speaker 1: of Congress, Cut taxes for the wealthiest Americans as we're
- 47:15Speaker 1: heading into a recession. Go for it. I cannot imagine.
- 47:21Speaker 1: You've seen polling your whole life. I have. We just
- 47:24Speaker 1: did a poll in Wisconsin. I cannot imagine a more
- 47:27Speaker 1: politically damaging thing for Donald Trump to do than cut
- 47:30Speaker 1: capital gains taxes as the economy looks like it's heading
- 47:33Speaker 1: into a recession on his own through an executive order
- 47:36Speaker 1: that will probably be overturned by the courts.
- 47:39Speaker 2: Do you think he would use the much-derided pen or
- 47:42Speaker 2: the phone to do this unilateral executive action?
- 47:46Speaker 1: I mean, it's just like... So much for Trump, the
- 47:49Speaker 1: fucking working-class nationalist hero. Trump, the economic populist. The country
- 47:54Speaker 1: is heading towards a recession. What does he do? Cut
- 47:56Speaker 1: some taxes for the richest investors in the country. I
- 48:00Speaker 1: couldn't even believe that I was reading it. You've got
- 48:04Speaker 1: to know that Kellyanne Conway, who is... awful for a
- 48:08Speaker 1: million reasons, but knows how to read a poll, thinks
- 48:11Speaker 1: that's a good idea.
- 48:13Speaker 2: I don't know. I feel like something in her has
- 48:15Speaker 2: been broken somewhere over the years. So it's possible that
- 48:18Speaker 2: she does not know that.
- 48:19Speaker 1: That's possibly true. But I do think that this whole
- 48:23Speaker 1: story about Trump and the economy is sort of, of
- 48:26Speaker 1: all the things we've talked about today, maybe the most
- 48:28Speaker 1: fertile ground for Democrats to make an argument. And again,
- 48:32Speaker 1: the argument is not just let's watch the stock market,
- 48:36Speaker 1: and let's watch the economic indicators. And when they're bad,
- 48:38Speaker 1: say Trump is bad. And when they're good, shy away
- 48:40Speaker 1: from this. Make an argument about Trump's economic policies and
- 48:45Speaker 1: what they have done. And don't just rely on, you know,
- 48:49Speaker 1: the headlines about the health of the economy. Rely on
- 48:52Speaker 1: the statistics about how people are struggling in this economy
- 48:56Speaker 1: with stagnant wages, with high health care costs, with high
- 48:59Speaker 1: tuition costs, and all the rest. Because there's a good
- 49:02Speaker 1: argument to be made whether we head into a downturn
- 49:05Speaker 1: or don't head into a downturn, that Trump's economic policies
- 49:09Speaker 1: have hurt the vast, vast majority of Americans, except for
- 49:12Speaker 1: his rich friends and corporations. Yeah.
- 49:15Speaker 2: Like, let's just try this one on for our size, Democrats.
- 49:18Speaker 2: Under Donald Trump, corporations never made more money or paid
- 49:21Speaker 2: less in taxes, but the cost of your healthcare, college, food,
- 49:26Speaker 2: retirement have all gone up. Amazon, you pay more for
- 49:30Speaker 2: your Amazon Prime subscription than Amazon pays in federal taxes.
- 49:33Speaker 2: If you think that's a good idea, vote for Donald Trump.
- 49:35Speaker 2: If you want something different, vote for a Democrat.
- 49:39Speaker 1: I realize this might be a boring argument to some
- 49:43Speaker 1: people listening to this, but to a lot of people
- 49:45Speaker 1: in this country, I think it would be very effective.
- 49:48Speaker 1: Very effective. All right. Let's end with a quick 2020 segment.
- 49:53Speaker 1: This week, Julian Castro became the 10th Democrat to make
- 49:56Speaker 1: the September debate stage. Jay Inslee dropped out of the
- 49:59Speaker 1: race on Wednesday night. And John Hickenlooper decided to enter
- 50:02Speaker 1: the Colorado Senate race. Beyond those developments... It's a pretty
- 50:06Speaker 1: stable primary with about six months to go. Joe Biden
- 50:09Speaker 1: has a small but persistent lead in all of the
- 50:11Speaker 1: early state polls. Elizabeth Warren is gaining on him in
- 50:14Speaker 1: Iowa and New Hampshire. Bernie Sanders is close behind her
- 50:17Speaker 1: or slightly ahead in some polls. And then Kamala Harris,
- 50:20Speaker 1: Pete Buttigieg, Cory Booker and Beto O'Rourke are in single
- 50:23Speaker 1: digits behind them. Dan, why do you think the race
- 50:26Speaker 1: is so stable?
- 50:29Speaker 2: You know, we've had this conversation both on the pod
- 50:32Speaker 2: and off the pod, and just it feels like a
- 50:35Speaker 2: gazillion things have happened. Because in the Trump era, every
- 50:38Speaker 2: day feels like a week and a week feels like
- 50:40Speaker 2: a year. It feels like this race has been going
- 50:42Speaker 2: on forever, but it is still incredibly early. And while
- 50:47Speaker 2: I think Joe Biden has certainly shown strength and the
- 50:52Speaker 2: race is very stable, I would like to read to
- 50:54Speaker 2: you the CNN USA Today Gallup poll from basically exactly
- 51:01Speaker 2: 16 years ago today. Joe Lieberman was winning the Democratic
- 51:07Speaker 2: primary with 23% of the vote. Dick Gephardt was coming
- 51:10Speaker 2: in second with 13%. Howard Dean had just surged to
- 51:13Speaker 2: third with 12%, and John Kerry had 10%. And so
- 51:18Speaker 2: my point here is the fact that the race has
- 51:21Speaker 2: not changed very much this between when everyone got in
- 51:25Speaker 2: early this year and August of the off year is
- 51:28Speaker 2: actually not unusual, right? And we don't remember that being
- 51:32Speaker 2: a big deal because 2003 was back before Apple, Facebook,
- 51:37Speaker 2: and Google broke the American cortex with dopamine injections via
- 51:40Speaker 2: the smartphone. And so it just felt like no one
- 51:43Speaker 2: paid attention to the race yet, but now we see it,
- 51:45Speaker 2: feel it, hear it all the time, but most voters
- 51:48Speaker 2: haven't tuned in yet. That doesn't mean the race is
- 51:50Speaker 2: going to change. I mean, it could stay exactly the same,
- 51:53Speaker 2: but it's not a new, the stability is actually historically
- 51:56Speaker 2: less unusual than I assumed until I went back and
- 51:59Speaker 2: looked at the numbers.
- 52:01Speaker 1: So the Biden campaign is, um, it's been out there
- 52:04Speaker 1: this week. Um, I mean, they've been making an electability
- 52:07Speaker 1: argument the whole time, but they've really been driving it
- 52:09Speaker 1: home this week. You know, uh, Biden went up with
- 52:12Speaker 1: his first ad in Iowa, I believe maybe it was
- 52:15Speaker 1: in some other early States, but I know it was
- 52:16Speaker 1: in Iowa. Um, and then, uh, Dr. Jill Biden, um,
- 52:22Speaker 1: was out there and she said, quote, your candidate might
- 52:25Speaker 1: be better on, I don't know, healthcare than Joe is,
- 52:28Speaker 1: but you've got to look at who's going to win
- 52:29Speaker 1: this election. And maybe you have to swallow a little
- 52:32Speaker 1: bit and say, okay, I personally like so-and-so better, but
- 52:35Speaker 1: your bottom line has to be that we have to
- 52:37Speaker 1: beat Trump. Just about as explicit as you can be
- 52:40Speaker 1: on electability. What did you think about the Biden campaign
- 52:45Speaker 1: leaning so heavily on this?
- 52:46Speaker 2: Well, there's no question that both from polling and just anecdotally,
- 52:50Speaker 2: Democrats are obsessed with beating Trump for good reason. Trump
- 52:54Speaker 2: is very bad. And so people want the person they
- 52:58Speaker 2: think can best beat Trump. And polls show for a
- 53:00Speaker 2: variety of unproven reasons right now that voters think Biden
- 53:05Speaker 2: is that person. So that is his strongest argument. I
- 53:08Speaker 2: do think the Biden campaign is selling Joe Biden short
- 53:12Speaker 2: by making that the only reason. He is someone with
- 53:15Speaker 2: a long career, a lot of accomplishments in his career before,
- 53:20Speaker 2: but also within the Obama administration he can talk about.
- 53:22Speaker 2: He is a good person. He is a good politician.
- 53:25Speaker 2: And I think electability should be subtext. And they have
- 53:31Speaker 2: made it the text of the entire campaign. And maybe
- 53:33Speaker 2: that could work. I mean, some strategists would say, just
- 53:36Speaker 2: lean into your strongest argument for as long as you
- 53:38Speaker 2: possibly can. But I think if the answer is, you
- 53:41Speaker 2: may not like Joe Biden, but you should take him
- 53:43Speaker 2: because he's the only one who can win, I think
- 53:44Speaker 2: that that is going to be That's a hard message
- 53:46Speaker 2: to sell over a long, sustained period of time.
- 53:49Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I will say that the flip side
- 53:51Speaker 1: of the poll that you read from summer of 2003
- 53:57Speaker 1: that showed Kerry at the bottom of the pack there
- 54:02Speaker 1: is in the fall when Kerry was sort of written
- 54:05Speaker 1: off for dead, the way that I was on that campaign,
- 54:09Speaker 1: the way that we came back and beat Howard Dean,
- 54:13Speaker 1: who was leading in the polls in the fall of
- 54:15Speaker 1: 03 and into the winter of 03, was with an
- 54:19Speaker 1: electability argument. And the reason that John Kerry's electability argument
- 54:22Speaker 1: was so powerful is that like right now in 2004,
- 54:28Speaker 1: sort of the emotion that pervaded the entire electorate was fear,
- 54:33Speaker 1: fear that George W. Bush, who people thought was the
- 54:36Speaker 1: worst president in their lifetime at the time, um, would
- 54:40Speaker 1: win again. And people and voters, again, were thinking like,
- 54:44Speaker 1: you know, I'm happy to hear all these candidates. Howard
- 54:46Speaker 1: Dean seems inspiring, but what we really need to do
- 54:49Speaker 1: is beat George W. Bush. And John Kerry rode that
- 54:52Speaker 1: electability argument all the way to the nomination. Now, I know,
- 54:56Speaker 1: then he lost. But in Democratic primaries, especially at a
- 55:02Speaker 1: time where there's an incumbent Republican president who a ton
- 55:05Speaker 1: of Democrats, all Democrats hate, with a passion and are
- 55:10Speaker 1: very afraid to see win again, electability is a really
- 55:13Speaker 1: strong argument. And the reason I bring this up is
- 55:18Speaker 1: that I do think Joe Biden's opponents, if they want
- 55:21Speaker 1: to beat him eventually, have to sort of respect voters'
- 55:26Speaker 1: fears and voters' desire for someone who can beat Trump
- 55:30Speaker 1: and make electability arguments of their own. I don't think
- 55:33Speaker 1: you should lead with electability arguments. I don't think they
- 55:36Speaker 1: should dominate the debate. I don't even think you need
- 55:38Speaker 1: to have them right now as much, but subtly, slowly,
- 55:43Speaker 1: I think each of these candidates has to tell voters
- 55:46Speaker 1: why they're the most, why they're gonna be the most
- 55:49Speaker 1: electable Democrat, you know? What do you think of that?
- 55:54Speaker 2: Am I crazy? No, it's not crazy. I still believe
- 55:57Speaker 2: electability is better shown, not told, right? And you demonstrate
- 56:00Speaker 2: electability by running a really good campaign, by having a
- 56:04Speaker 2: message that people like, by turning out crowds, by demonstrating competence.
- 56:08Speaker 2: on the step and in the debate. And yes, you
- 56:11Speaker 2: were on that campaign. I was not. Voters picked Kerry
- 56:17Speaker 2: in large part because they believed he was the most electable.
- 56:20Speaker 2: But Dean also raised questions about his own electability down
- 56:24Speaker 2: the stretch. Basically, he had sort of existed in a
- 56:29Speaker 2: different media environment without as much scrutiny. And when the
- 56:31Speaker 2: scrutiny kicked in and he was the front runner, he
- 56:34Speaker 2: didn't respond well to that scrutiny. He had some awkward
- 56:37Speaker 2: exchanges and some, some tense exchanges at town halls. And
- 56:41Speaker 2: then to the extent that he had a chance to
- 56:42Speaker 2: bounce back in a state like new hand after. So
- 56:45Speaker 2: to be clear, Carrie won Iowa. Dean did not. Dean
- 56:49Speaker 2: had been very strong in New Hampshire in the polling
- 56:52Speaker 2: to date because he was from Vermont. I know Carrie
- 56:55Speaker 2: was also from, uh, from nearby Massachusetts, but Dean has
- 56:59Speaker 2: shown strength, but Carrie, but Dean's, um, had a meltdown
- 57:04Speaker 2: on election caucus night and that essentially destroyed his campaign.
- 57:09Speaker 2: And so the, like the lesson from that, like you
- 57:13Speaker 2: can take two lessons, right? One is Kerry said he
- 57:16Speaker 2: was the most electable, showed he was, and therefore won.
- 57:19Speaker 2: Dean also gave people a reason to question his electability.
- 57:23Speaker 2: And so, you know, for someone like Warren, who tops
- 57:26Speaker 2: a lot of polls as the, as people's favorite choice
- 57:28Speaker 2: is the highest approval or the scene is the most
- 57:31Speaker 2: qualified or which, or, first choice for president or whatever,
- 57:35Speaker 2: yet has been dogged, at least in the media, by
- 57:38Speaker 2: questions of electability and doesn't poll as well on that measure.
- 57:41Speaker 2: She can show she's electable by running a great campaign,
- 57:45Speaker 2: which she has done to date, in winning Iowa, right?
- 57:48Speaker 2: Hillary Clinton also ran in a very different environment on
- 57:50Speaker 2: electability message and then lost Iowa and the bottom fell
- 57:53Speaker 2: out of her electability message. And so just run a
- 57:57Speaker 2: good campaign is the best way to be seen as electable.
- 58:01Speaker 1: And I will say that even in that in that
- 58:03Speaker 1: campaign when she was seen as the electable one and
- 58:05Speaker 1: Obama was the, you know, take a chance on what
- 58:08Speaker 1: you really believe candidate. Um, we started making sort of
- 58:12Speaker 1: subtle electability arguments and trying to show electability one with,
- 58:16Speaker 1: like you said, showing the enthusiastic crowds, right? Like if
- 58:19Speaker 1: Barack Obama is the nominee, these are the kinds of
- 58:21Speaker 1: crowds you're going to get in the general election. And
- 58:23Speaker 1: I think that was powerful to people. And, you know,
- 58:26Speaker 1: he would also, I remember in the Jefferson Jackson dinner,
- 58:30Speaker 1: he said, you know, when I, if I'm the nominee,
- 58:32Speaker 1: my opponent's not going to be able to say that
- 58:34Speaker 1: I voted for George Bush's war in Iraq, using the
- 58:37Speaker 1: fact that he opposed the war in Iraq and Hillary
- 58:39Speaker 1: Clinton supported it as a reason that he might be
- 58:41Speaker 1: more electable because he has a contrast, right? So there's
- 58:44Speaker 1: a million different ways to sort of subtly make electability
- 58:48Speaker 1: arguments to people that aren't just, check out the polls,
- 58:51Speaker 1: I'm the one who's beating Trump by the most. Right.
- 58:55Speaker 2: It's... Live by the polls, die by the polls is
- 58:57Speaker 2: the problem, right? Because polls, they change.
- 59:00Speaker 1: Yeah, I would say that to everyone. What do you
- 59:01Speaker 1: think could possibly shake up the race in the coming months?
- 59:04Speaker 1: Got a couple of debates. You've got some people starting
- 59:06Speaker 1: to run ads on television. What do you think?
- 59:10Speaker 2: The early state polls in Iowa in particular are leading
- 59:16Speaker 2: indicators of where the race is going because that's where
- 59:19Speaker 2: the voters have the greatest engagement with the candidates. Where
- 59:22Speaker 2: they see them in person is where they're going to
- 59:23Speaker 2: start seeing ads. It's where they consume local media that
- 59:27Speaker 2: is less process-oriented than the national media. And so if
- 59:32Speaker 2: we see a Des Moines Register poll, for instance, which
- 59:36Speaker 2: is I think the only one, only Iowa poll I
- 59:38Speaker 2: think can truly grab the political media by the throat
- 59:43Speaker 2: and have it change a narrative. But if we see
- 59:46Speaker 2: a Des Moines Register poll in September, October, whenever the
- 59:49Speaker 2: next one comes out and Elizabeth Warren is leading, I
- 59:52Speaker 2: think that will– change how everyone thinks about the race.
- 59:56Speaker 2: It'll mean more scrutiny for her, right? It'll potentially undermine,
- 1:00:03Speaker 2: at least temporarily, Joe Biden's primary argument for himself to date.
- 1:00:08Speaker 2: And it'll change the general dynamics of the race because
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: right now we live in this world where Bernie Sanders
- 1:00:15Speaker 2: and Kamala Harris's staff fight 24-7 about Medicare for all,
- 1:00:20Speaker 2: just like in some sort of Twitter war. Joe Biden
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: and Kamala Harris go after each other on the debate stage.
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: Julian Castro and Cory Booker go after other people, and
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: no one goes after Elizabeth Warren. I think it's fear,
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: both that she is very good and very popular, but
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: the candidate who has risen the fastest in the polls,
- 1:00:41Speaker 2: who seems the most likely to be the nominee if
- 1:00:46Speaker 2: the nominee is not Joe Biden, is the person that
- 1:00:48Speaker 2: no one wants to engage with. And if she takes
- 1:00:51Speaker 2: the lead, that will change that dynamic, and then we'll
- 1:00:53Speaker 2: have to see how that plays itself out.
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: Yeah, I was thinking the same thing. It is interesting
- 1:00:57Speaker 1: that no one has really engaged Elizabeth Warren on anything,
- 1:01:03Speaker 1: on her policies, on anything else. And it seems unlikely
- 1:01:07Speaker 1: that she can go through the entire primary in that situation.
- 1:01:11Speaker 1: She might be able to handle it really well, you know,
- 1:01:13Speaker 1: but then that's the test, right? Can you handle the
- 1:01:17Speaker 1: attacks when they're incoming? Okay, when we come back, we
- 1:01:21Speaker 1: will have Dan's interview with Stacey Abrams.
- 1:01:33Speaker 2: We are now excited to be joined by Stacey Abrams.
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: She is the chair of Fair Fight Action, which is
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: leading the Fair Fight 2020 initiative. She was the Democratic
- 1:01:40Speaker 2: gubernatorial candidate in Georgia last year. Stacey Abrams, welcome back
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: to Pod Save America.
- 1:01:45Speaker 3: Thank you guys for having me yet again. It's awesome.
- 1:01:48Speaker 2: We are always happy to have you here. You are
- 1:01:51Speaker 2: one of our all-time favorites. So you made a big
- 1:01:54Speaker 2: announcement this week, and unlike perhaps some of the media,
- 1:01:58Speaker 2: we're going to spend this interview talking about what you
- 1:02:00Speaker 2: decided to do not what you decided not to do.
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: So can you tell, I know that's crazy in this world,
- 1:02:07Speaker 2: but can you tell us what Fair Fight 2020 is
- 1:02:11Speaker 2: and what you're going to be spending the next many
- 1:02:14Speaker 2: months of your life doing?
- 1:02:16Speaker 3: Well, first of all, thank you for focusing on Fair
- 1:02:18Speaker 3: Fight 2020, which can be found at fairfight2020. org. When I
- 1:02:23Speaker 3: thought about how I could best serve the values I
- 1:02:28Speaker 3: hold dear and where I can best contribute to this
- 1:02:31Speaker 3: primary process and certainly heading into the general election, I
- 1:02:35Speaker 3: have an intimate awareness of voter suppression being one of
- 1:02:38Speaker 3: the most existential crises facing us, not just in terms
- 1:02:42Speaker 3: of winning elections, but really in terms of preserving our democracy.
- 1:02:46Speaker 3: And what we decided to do is look at the
- 1:02:48Speaker 3: 20 states that we consider battleground. That means battleground for
- 1:02:51Speaker 3: the presidency, battleground for Senate seats, but also down-ballot races,
- 1:02:56Speaker 3: secretaries of state, state attorneys general, and legislative seats, races
- 1:03:01Speaker 3: where if we have the right to vote made manifest
- 1:03:05Speaker 3: and protected, we know that we could possibly flip those
- 1:03:09Speaker 3: chambers and control redistricting in 2021. And so what Fair
- 1:03:13Speaker 3: Fight 2020 will do is three things. One, we are
- 1:03:16Speaker 3: going to fund setting up voter protection teams in those states.
- 1:03:21Speaker 3: That's going to mean having full-time staff, often for the
- 1:03:23Speaker 3: very first time in those states, working with state parties,
- 1:03:27Speaker 3: but making sure that no matter who the nominee is,
- 1:03:29Speaker 3: that those apparatuses are in place. Number two, we're going
- 1:03:32Speaker 3: to staff it. We're going to make sure that people
- 1:03:34Speaker 3: are hired who know what voter protection needs to look
- 1:03:37Speaker 3: like for their particular states. Because one of the most
- 1:03:42Speaker 3: pervasive parts and the most insidious parts of voter suppression
- 1:03:45Speaker 3: is that it looks different in each state. There's a
- 1:03:47Speaker 3: lot of cross-contamination. But each state has found a way
- 1:03:50Speaker 3: to make it work. And third is we're going to train.
- 1:03:54Speaker 3: We're going to make sure that folks are out there
- 1:03:56Speaker 3: who know what can be done, have the resources to
- 1:03:59Speaker 3: do it, and are doing it early. Because often voter
- 1:04:02Speaker 3: protection waits until September before the election. But by then,
- 1:04:06Speaker 3: the damage is done. The harm is ready to be
- 1:04:09Speaker 3: wrought across the electorate. And it's too late to really
- 1:04:14Speaker 3: stop it. We want to be there early. And so
- 1:04:16Speaker 3: we'll be there during the primaries in each of these states.
- 1:04:18Speaker 3: We'll be able to test the muscle memory, figure out
- 1:04:21Speaker 3: what the problems are. And by the time we get
- 1:04:23Speaker 3: to the general election, no matter who the nominee is,
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: we will be ready to protect the votes in those states.
- 1:04:27Speaker 2: How do you combat the actual laws? Like, let's say we're,
- 1:04:32Speaker 2: I'm sure many of the states that you are, you'll
- 1:04:35Speaker 2: be working in have voter ID law, for instance. Like,
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: what is the tactics or strategy you guys use to
- 1:04:42Speaker 2: push back on that or at least make sure, or
- 1:04:44Speaker 2: is it push back on it legally? Is it educate
- 1:04:46Speaker 2: voters about how the needs for an ID, like how
- 1:04:49Speaker 2: do you push past the law?
- 1:04:52Speaker 3: Well, we have to remember, you've got dozens of organizations
- 1:04:55Speaker 3: across this country that are each trying to tackle these concerns.
- 1:04:59Speaker 3: The problem is they're disparate organizations that may or may
- 1:05:02Speaker 3: not have a presence in each of these states. And
- 1:05:05Speaker 3: you have volunteers who are ready to do the work.
- 1:05:07Speaker 3: And so what we're going to do and what we've
- 1:05:09Speaker 3: done is done the research on each of these states.
- 1:05:11Speaker 3: We know what their laws say and we know what
- 1:05:14Speaker 3: the likely voter suppression tactics are going to be. And
- 1:05:17Speaker 3: so we'll work with the state party. That means working
- 1:05:19Speaker 3: with the county parties to find out if it's voter
- 1:05:22Speaker 3: ID that's the problem. You're not going to be able
- 1:05:24Speaker 3: to undo voter ID. Unfortunately, the Supreme Court has said
- 1:05:28Speaker 3: that that's going to be permitted. And they have created
- 1:05:31Speaker 3: a pipeline for even stricter rules. Well, what we can
- 1:05:35Speaker 3: do is make sure that the groups that want to
- 1:05:37Speaker 3: come in and help have someone to talk to. Because
- 1:05:39Speaker 3: as you know, Dan, sometimes the hardest part in politics
- 1:05:42Speaker 3: is not wanting to do the right thing. It's finding
- 1:05:44Speaker 3: out who can help you get it done. And so
- 1:05:46Speaker 3: by having these voter protection teams set up, they will
- 1:05:49Speaker 3: have access to people who are full-time employees, and this
- 1:05:52Speaker 3: is their only responsibility. But it's also going to be
- 1:05:55Speaker 3: about alerting folks to what's happening. So we're going to
- 1:05:57Speaker 3: be investing in digital communication and social media communication, making
- 1:06:01Speaker 3: sure that voters know what their rights are. and that
- 1:06:03Speaker 3: if they have a problem, they can call. There are
- 1:06:06Speaker 3: a lot of voter protection hotlines. 866-OUR-VOTE is a great
- 1:06:11Speaker 3: one that's operated by a consortium of organizations, but it's national.
- 1:06:15Speaker 3: What we want are local hotlines that are staffed and
- 1:06:17Speaker 3: sourced locally that are multilingual and that understand the contours
- 1:06:22Speaker 3: of how bad actions happen. So when you are in
- 1:06:25Speaker 3: Alabama or in Wisconsin and something has happened in your precinct,
- 1:06:30Speaker 3: you're not calling someone in D.C. to say, can you
- 1:06:32Speaker 3: help me with this? You're calling someone who is in
- 1:06:34Speaker 3: Sheboygan who can say, look, let me reach out to
- 1:06:37Speaker 3: the person we know who has this answer and we
- 1:06:40Speaker 3: can get back to you. Which is not to say
- 1:06:41Speaker 3: we don't want to be in partnership with those national organizations,
- 1:06:44Speaker 3: but we want to make sure we are creating as
- 1:06:46Speaker 3: much local presence as possible to support what the national
- 1:06:49Speaker 3: groups are doing.
- 1:06:50Speaker 2: So you mentioned that one of the criteria you used
- 1:06:53Speaker 2: for picking your 20 states was Secretary of State races. Now,
- 1:06:57Speaker 2: Probably more than any person walking the planet, you are
- 1:07:01Speaker 2: familiar with how important the Secretary of State office can
- 1:07:04Speaker 2: be in any state when it comes to access to
- 1:07:07Speaker 2: the ballot and free and fair elections. But could you
- 1:07:10Speaker 2: help explain to our listeners just how important it is
- 1:07:14Speaker 2: for Democrats to focus on winning Secretary of States all
- 1:07:18Speaker 2: across the country?
- 1:07:18Speaker 3: I think I shared the distinction of having... dealt with
- 1:07:23Speaker 3: the Secretary of State and the outcome of an election.
- 1:07:26Speaker 3: I think the only other person who's probably had a
- 1:07:27Speaker 3: sharper experience would be Al Gore and what happened with
- 1:07:31Speaker 3: Captain Aaron. But here's the thing. A Secretary of State
- 1:07:34Speaker 3: is the election superintendent. That is the person who is
- 1:07:38Speaker 3: responsible for the administration of elections in the state. And
- 1:07:42Speaker 3: in most states, that's an elected position that's also a
- 1:07:45Speaker 3: partisan position. In my case, I had the unique experience
- 1:07:50Speaker 3: of having the person responsible for the election, for the training,
- 1:07:55Speaker 3: the resourcing, and the administration of the election happened to
- 1:08:00Speaker 3: also be my opponent. So he got to be the
- 1:08:02Speaker 3: man at bat and the umpire, as well as the
- 1:08:05Speaker 3: guy posting the score. That did not work out well
- 1:08:08Speaker 3: for me. But what we have to understand is that
- 1:08:10Speaker 3: in most states, it's the Secretary of State who implements
- 1:08:13Speaker 3: the laws that are passed by your legislature. So even
- 1:08:15Speaker 3: the most innocuous law can become a weapon against voters
- 1:08:19Speaker 3: who if a policy is promulgated from that law that
- 1:08:23Speaker 3: narrows how it works or applies it differentially. And that's
- 1:08:26Speaker 3: why it's so important to have secretaries of state who
- 1:08:29Speaker 3: believe in our democracy and believe in our voters, because
- 1:08:32Speaker 3: this is the person who usually has constitutional authority to
- 1:08:35Speaker 3: decide how voters get access and how their challenges are
- 1:08:40Speaker 3: actually adjudicated. There is no stronger and more important a
- 1:08:43Speaker 3: job than the secretary of state when it comes to
- 1:08:46Speaker 3: administration of elections and Because that's also the person responsible
- 1:08:49Speaker 3: for training your county officials. You've got 3,100 different counties
- 1:08:53Speaker 3: that are administering an election on any given national election day.
- 1:08:57Speaker 3: But that person gets their resources. their training, and their
- 1:09:01Speaker 3: direction from the Secretary of State.
- 1:09:04Speaker 2: So, you know, one of the effects, and I think intense,
- 1:09:09Speaker 2: of voter suppression law, I mean, obviously the main point
- 1:09:12Speaker 2: is to stop people from voting in an immediate election, right?
- 1:09:16Speaker 2: But it is also, I've also found there's a larger
- 1:09:18Speaker 2: pernicious effect, which is to convince people that it's not
- 1:09:21Speaker 2: worth it to participate in the political process, that they
- 1:09:23Speaker 2: are not wanted. And so cynicism is the outcome of
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: these voter suppression laws. You've had a lot of success
- 1:09:31Speaker 2: in your gubernatorial race, despite all of the barriers that
- 1:09:38Speaker 2: your opponent put in front of people to vote, to
- 1:09:40Speaker 2: convince people to vote, to get people to the polls
- 1:09:43Speaker 2: for the first time to get off the sidelines. What
- 1:09:45Speaker 2: do you think is the best way to Or what
- 1:09:48Speaker 2: strategies do you recommend to people to accomplish that goal,
- 1:09:50Speaker 2: to get people to vote, to go from non-voters to voters?
- 1:09:54Speaker 3: You're absolutely right. One of the most pernicious effects of
- 1:09:58Speaker 3: voter suppression is not just that it blocks people from voting,
- 1:10:01Speaker 3: but it creates a sense of despair about the act
- 1:10:03Speaker 3: of voting. And often that's made manifest by people saying, oh,
- 1:10:07Speaker 3: my vote doesn't count. And they do it with bravado,
- 1:10:10Speaker 3: but really it's despair. My voice doesn't matter. And so
- 1:10:15Speaker 3: one of the ways we've always talked about voter suppression
- 1:10:18Speaker 3: is not as a given that your vote is gone
- 1:10:21Speaker 3: and you shouldn't worry about it or you'll never get
- 1:10:23Speaker 3: it back, but it's a call to arms. And during
- 1:10:26Speaker 3: our campaign, what I said over and over again is, yes,
- 1:10:28Speaker 3: voter suppression is alive and well in Georgia, but the
- 1:10:31Speaker 3: best way for us to fight it is to overwhelm
- 1:10:33Speaker 3: the system. They can't keep all of us out. And
- 1:10:36Speaker 3: you'll hear that one of the current tropes to push
- 1:10:39Speaker 3: back against me and our very clear and evidentiary-based accusations
- 1:10:45Speaker 3: of voter suppression is, well, you know, we had record turnout.
- 1:10:48Speaker 3: She had the most Democrats ever vote. Well, that's like
- 1:10:51Speaker 3: saying because more people get in the water, there are
- 1:10:53Speaker 3: fewer sharks. No, there's still a lot of sharks, but
- 1:10:56Speaker 3: the more people who are in the water, the harder,
- 1:10:58Speaker 3: you know, more people can survive. And the reality is
- 1:11:01Speaker 3: we have to treat voter suppression as what it is,
- 1:11:04Speaker 3: and that's theft. And when someone takes something that's yours,
- 1:11:07Speaker 3: you should take it back. And so we want people
- 1:11:10Speaker 3: to talk about and engage this fight in as a fight.
- 1:11:14Speaker 3: It is a fight to take back our rights. It's
- 1:11:16Speaker 3: a fight to take back our voices. And that means
- 1:11:18Speaker 3: you have to go to people you normally don't talk
- 1:11:20Speaker 3: to so they know that their voices are real. We
- 1:11:24Speaker 3: don't just go to the people who vote every cycle.
- 1:11:26Speaker 3: We go to the people who haven't voted since the
- 1:11:28Speaker 3: last time they heard a story about voter suppression. And
- 1:11:31Speaker 3: we're going to spend time in those communities. And the
- 1:11:33Speaker 3: most effective thing we can do is turn out as
- 1:11:36Speaker 3: many people as possible and arm them with the right
- 1:11:39Speaker 3: to vote. And it sounds ephemeral, but it's very basic.
- 1:11:44Speaker 3: Talk to people, tell them it's theirs, tell them someone
- 1:11:47Speaker 3: wants them to shut up. Because if they didn't want
- 1:11:50Speaker 3: us to be quiet, they wouldn't be working so hard
- 1:11:52Speaker 3: to shut us up. Let's be louder than they are.
- 1:11:55Speaker 2: We were fortunate enough last fall, right before your election,
- 1:11:59Speaker 2: to interview Latasha Brown from Black Voters Matter Fund. And
- 1:12:03Speaker 2: she said something incredibly interesting to us on stage, which was,
- 1:12:07Speaker 2: that non-voters are not apathetic, that they actually often make
- 1:12:12Speaker 2: a very considered decision not to vote. Was that your
- 1:12:16Speaker 2: experience as well?
- 1:12:17Speaker 3: That's absolutely true. When we started the New Georgia Project
- 1:12:22Speaker 3: in 2014, the first thing we did before we handed
- 1:12:24Speaker 3: out a single voter registration form was hire Fred Yang
- 1:12:30Speaker 3: from Garenhart Yang to do focus groups and polling. And
- 1:12:34Speaker 3: what we found is that non-voters People who didn't register
- 1:12:38Speaker 3: to vote for President Obama, these are people of color
- 1:12:41Speaker 3: who did not participate. They didn't participate because they actually
- 1:12:45Speaker 3: understood the system and they believed the systems were so
- 1:12:48Speaker 3: rigged against them that there was no purpose in participating.
- 1:12:53Speaker 3: Or they were concerned that they were going to make
- 1:12:55Speaker 3: the wrong choice and they decided not to make a
- 1:12:58Speaker 3: choice at all because that's actually one of your options.
- 1:13:01Speaker 3: What we try to do in our campaign and what
- 1:13:03Speaker 3: we do through everything and all the work we do,
- 1:13:05Speaker 3: both with Fair Fight and with my other organization, Fair Count,
- 1:13:09Speaker 3: is we try to provide not only the information, but
- 1:13:11Speaker 3: the motivation for why action is necessary. That when you
- 1:13:15Speaker 3: choose not to vote, and that's a legitimate choice to make,
- 1:13:19Speaker 3: you are still making a decision. And these aren't people
- 1:13:21Speaker 3: who are deciding out of ignorance. They're deciding because they've
- 1:13:23Speaker 3: been overwhelmed with how unwelcome they are in this process.
- 1:13:29Speaker 3: And our responsibility is to not only welcome them, but
- 1:13:32Speaker 3: to encourage them to be even more aggressive about with
- 1:13:36Speaker 3: their presence. Because it's not just about electing a president.
- 1:13:39Speaker 3: I mean, that's critical. And as we've seen the last
- 1:13:40Speaker 3: three years, it's essential. But it's also about making sure
- 1:13:44Speaker 3: that the school board member who represents your child actually
- 1:13:47Speaker 3: cares about that child. And that's what we saw in Quitman, Georgia,
- 1:13:50Speaker 3: when Secretary of State Brian Kemp arrested these 10 people
- 1:13:55Speaker 3: who had the temerity to use the voting system to
- 1:13:59Speaker 3: elect people who looked like the children in the school.
- 1:14:02Speaker 3: He had them arrested. He cost them their jobs. He
- 1:14:05Speaker 3: made sure they were all removed from the school board
- 1:14:08Speaker 3: and not a single person was convicted. There's an amazing
- 1:14:11Speaker 3: story on Yahoo News from John Ward. You should look
- 1:14:14Speaker 3: it up about the equipment 10. And it's proof of
- 1:14:17Speaker 3: not only how well informed these non-voters are, but how
- 1:14:22Speaker 3: dangerous voter suppression can be. Because with that action, they
- 1:14:26Speaker 3: didn't just stop these people from championing the needs of
- 1:14:29Speaker 3: their children. They stopped an entire community from believing they
- 1:14:33Speaker 3: should actually participate in the process. And that wasn't ignorance.
- 1:14:37Speaker 3: That was intention.
- 1:14:39Speaker 2: I'm glad you brought up Fair Count, which as I
- 1:14:41Speaker 2: understand it is an organization that's going to try to
- 1:14:44Speaker 2: help to make sure that the census accurately counts Georgia's population.
- 1:14:49Speaker 2: How are you going to go about doing that, especially
- 1:14:51Speaker 2: given the tremendous amount of mistrust there is with the
- 1:14:55Speaker 2: Trump administration across the country, but particularly in communities of color?
- 1:15:00Speaker 3: So Fair Count, like Fair Fight, were both born of
- 1:15:03Speaker 3: my 10 days of mourning after the election. And then
- 1:15:06Speaker 3: I thought, if I become governor, what would I have done?
- 1:15:10Speaker 3: And in lieu of having that job, what still needs
- 1:15:13Speaker 3: to be done? One is election protection and electoral integrity
- 1:15:17Speaker 3: and voter protection. But the second was making sure that
- 1:15:19Speaker 3: the mechanism that will decide the narrative of America for
- 1:15:23Speaker 3: the next decade, that it does not get to erase
- 1:15:26Speaker 3: people of color, immigrants, the poor, and children from that narrative.
- 1:15:31Speaker 3: And so Fair Count, which you can find out about
- 1:15:33Speaker 3: at faircount.org, faircount.org is designed to intervene and to say,
- 1:15:39Speaker 3: these are communities we're not only going to aggressively count,
- 1:15:42Speaker 3: we are going to build technologies to support them. And
- 1:15:45Speaker 3: so just this week, they are testing the Black Men
- 1:15:50Speaker 3: Count committees going around South Georgia, which are one of
- 1:15:53Speaker 3: the hardest places to get people to participate in the census,
- 1:15:56Speaker 3: and actually engaging churches and Black men's organizations to to
- 1:16:00Speaker 3: reach out to their community and not waiting until next year,
- 1:16:03Speaker 3: but doing it this year. This is the first year
- 1:16:05Speaker 3: that 45% of the census will be done online, even
- 1:16:08Speaker 3: in communities that don't have access to the internet. Well,
- 1:16:11Speaker 3: we are testing out in, I think, 20 counties or
- 1:16:14Speaker 3: 20 locations. We're testing out creating hotspots in community organizations
- 1:16:18Speaker 3: so that they can be the venue where you can
- 1:16:21Speaker 3: get your information and you can submit your census. But
- 1:16:24Speaker 3: we also recognize that Georgia, while it's one of the
- 1:16:27Speaker 3: largest states, we're the eighth largest state, and we have
- 1:16:29Speaker 3: one of the highest undercount possibilities, we're not alone. And
- 1:16:33Speaker 3: so Fair Count is also traveling the country, working with
- 1:16:36Speaker 3: the Congressional Black Caucus. We're going to be meeting with
- 1:16:39Speaker 3: the Hispanic Caucus and others. We want to make certain
- 1:16:42Speaker 3: anyone who represents communities that are hard to count, that
- 1:16:46Speaker 3: they have access to what we're testing, to the models
- 1:16:48Speaker 3: we're building, and to the information we have. There are, again,
- 1:16:52Speaker 3: great organizations across the country that are focusing on the census,
- 1:16:55Speaker 3: but we're one of the only ones in the country
- 1:16:56Speaker 3: that do nothing but census work.
- 1:16:59Speaker 2: And just for our listeners who don't know, help them
- 1:17:03Speaker 2: understand why it's so important that we have an accurate census.
- 1:17:07Speaker 2: What do people lose if the census is inaccurate or
- 1:17:10Speaker 2: communities like the ones you're targeting do not respond?
- 1:17:13Speaker 1: Sure.
- 1:17:14Speaker 3: Absolutely. So the census is how we count who is
- 1:17:16Speaker 3: in America. And it is so important because the allocation
- 1:17:21Speaker 3: of federal dollars are determined by the number of people
- 1:17:26Speaker 3: who are here and the needs of those people. If
- 1:17:29Speaker 3: you live in a community where you have an overcrowded school,
- 1:17:32Speaker 3: it's likely because they did not count how many children
- 1:17:35Speaker 3: lived in that community who would be apportioned to that school.
- 1:17:39Speaker 3: If you think that your state has been gerrymandered, part
- 1:17:42Speaker 3: of what happens with gerrymandering in the drawing of legislative
- 1:17:44Speaker 3: districts is that the apportionment, the number of people who
- 1:17:47Speaker 3: are divided up in that state is based entirely on
- 1:17:51Speaker 3: the census, and it can only happen once every decade.
- 1:17:54Speaker 3: You don't get to do a do-over. It happens once.
- 1:17:57Speaker 3: basically from February until, I think it's that the enumerators
- 1:18:01Speaker 3: are on the ground until August. But that's it. Once
- 1:18:05Speaker 3: it's done, if you haven't been counted, you do not count.
- 1:18:09Speaker 3: In Georgia, for example, if black men are undercounted at
- 1:18:12Speaker 3: the rate the Urban Institute estimates, that's $ 150 million a
- 1:18:16Speaker 3: year that Georgia will not receive. We'll still have the
- 1:18:20Speaker 3: same needs. We'll still need the same number of hospitals.
- 1:18:23Speaker 3: We'll still have the number. We'll have all of the
- 1:18:25Speaker 3: same needs, but we won't get the money. And if
- 1:18:27Speaker 3: you look at the states that are represented by CBC members,
- 1:18:30Speaker 3: by Congressional Black Caucus members, the aggregation of those 26 states,
- 1:18:34Speaker 3: it's $ 2. 5 billion a year that will be lost. And
- 1:18:37Speaker 3: that's not money that just doesn't get spent. It's money
- 1:18:40Speaker 3: that gets sent to somebody else. And so it's about
- 1:18:44Speaker 3: making sure that you get the resources that you're entitled to.
- 1:18:47Speaker 3: It's about making certain that you get the legislative resources.
- 1:18:50Speaker 3: you're entitled to. But the third is that they already
- 1:18:53Speaker 3: know you exist. That's why they're sending you the form.
- 1:18:55Speaker 3: The biggest fear I hear about with the census is
- 1:18:57Speaker 3: that somehow the census will be used to profile you
- 1:19:01Speaker 3: or track you. If you've ever paid a bill, they
- 1:19:03Speaker 3: know how to find you. What we want them to
- 1:19:05Speaker 3: know is that you know where to find them. and
- 1:19:08Speaker 3: that you want to be counted so that you get
- 1:19:10Speaker 3: the resources you're entitled to. And so a big part
- 1:19:12Speaker 3: of what we're doing is demystifying the census, putting out
- 1:19:15Speaker 3: good information, and dispelling bad information. And the biggest victory was,
- 1:19:19Speaker 3: of course, the fact that the citizenship question, which was
- 1:19:22Speaker 3: designed to force people not to respond, that that is
- 1:19:25Speaker 3: not going to be permitted in the census. If we
- 1:19:27Speaker 3: do the thing right, then we will know how diverse
- 1:19:30Speaker 3: and dynamic and multiracial and multiethnic this country is, but
- 1:19:34Speaker 3: we will also get the resources we're entitled to so
- 1:19:36Speaker 3: that we are a stronger nation overall.
- 1:19:39Speaker 2: So I read, or I heard you say in an
- 1:19:41Speaker 2: interview that you're not planning on making an endorsement in
- 1:19:45Speaker 2: this presidential race. So I'm not going to ask you
- 1:19:47Speaker 2: about that. But I am going to ask you if
- 1:19:49Speaker 2: you think Georgia can be won by a Democrat, and
- 1:19:54Speaker 2: if so, what is the right profile of a candidate
- 1:19:57Speaker 2: to do that? What's the right message or how do
- 1:19:59Speaker 2: you go about doing that if you believe it can
- 1:20:01Speaker 2: be put in the battleground column and maybe turn blue
- 1:20:04Speaker 2: this cycle?
- 1:20:05Speaker 3: Georgia is absolutely a battleground state. In a state where
- 1:20:08Speaker 3: the Secretary of State controlled the outcome of the election,
- 1:20:12Speaker 3: he still barely eked out a 1.4% victory. That's what
- 1:20:16Speaker 3: makes a state a battleground state. Not that it's constantly blue,
- 1:20:18Speaker 3: then we just put it in the blue column and
- 1:20:20Speaker 3: we move on. What makes it a battleground state is
- 1:20:22Speaker 3: that it's winnable and Georgia is absolutely winnable. what we
- 1:20:25Speaker 3: demonstrated is that the way to win is not necessarily
- 1:20:29Speaker 3: having an African-American woman as the candidate, although that's a
- 1:20:33Speaker 3: great option. The way to win is to actually talk
- 1:20:36Speaker 3: to the people of Georgia. We were the first campaign
- 1:20:39Speaker 3: to actually invest in deep canvassing across the state. By comparison,
- 1:20:44Speaker 3: my predecessors had spent maybe $ 15 million, and most of
- 1:20:49Speaker 3: that was on TV. The presidential race is As you know,
- 1:20:53Speaker 3: there hasn't been an investment in the presidential races in
- 1:20:55Speaker 3: Georgia since the 90s. Our campaign spent $ 42 million and
- 1:20:59Speaker 3: we achieved the highest single turnout of Democrats in Georgia history.
- 1:21:04Speaker 3: And that still was in a non-presidential year. You're going
- 1:21:07Speaker 3: to have billions of dollars spent on this presidential campaign.
- 1:21:10Speaker 3: Spending even a fraction of that in Georgia will win
- 1:21:14Speaker 3: Georgia because Georgia is ripe. We have a population that
- 1:21:18Speaker 3: is one of the most diverse in the country. We
- 1:21:21Speaker 3: have the highest percentage of African-American voters of any potential
- 1:21:25Speaker 3: battleground state. And I've proven people will vote if we
- 1:21:28Speaker 3: talk to them, if we invest in them. So to
- 1:21:30Speaker 3: your question, the profile of the person who wins Georgia
- 1:21:33Speaker 3: is the person who shows up, who has a clear
- 1:21:36Speaker 3: narrative for why they are running and why they want
- 1:21:38Speaker 3: to win, and who takes that narrative to every community.
- 1:21:43Speaker 3: We win elections, as President Obama demonstrated, not through technology,
- 1:21:47Speaker 3: but through organizing. Technology is a tool. It is not
- 1:21:50Speaker 3: a a strategy. The strategy is talking to people and
- 1:21:55Speaker 3: letting them know that you see them and you understand them.
- 1:21:58Speaker 3: And that's why I also spend a lot of time
- 1:22:00Speaker 3: talking about identity politics. We've allowed the Republicans to scare
- 1:22:04Speaker 3: us away from what has always been our strength. Democrats
- 1:22:07Speaker 3: win because we see each other, because we see the
- 1:22:10Speaker 3: problems and the barriers that block you from achieving opportunity.
- 1:22:15Speaker 3: And we understand that the barriers are different. If you're
- 1:22:17Speaker 3: physically disabled, If you are Latino, if you are Asian
- 1:22:21Speaker 3: Pacific Islander, if you're Native American, if you're LGBTQ, if
- 1:22:24Speaker 3: you're black, we see your identity not as a dispositive
- 1:22:28Speaker 3: of whether you are for us or against us, but
- 1:22:31Speaker 3: we see it as a reason to find out what
- 1:22:33Speaker 3: the barriers are for your success. Yes, you all want healthcare,
- 1:22:36Speaker 3: but let's understand why healthcare is harder for this community.
- 1:22:40Speaker 3: Let's understand why economic security is more difficult for this community.
- 1:22:43Speaker 3: Identity politics is how we win because it means we
- 1:22:46Speaker 3: see the people who make up our party and we
- 1:22:48Speaker 3: are willing to help them make up America.
- 1:22:52Speaker 2: That is such great advice for whoever our 2020 nominee
- 1:22:56Speaker 2: is going to be, and it's so important. Before I
- 1:22:59Speaker 2: let you go, I do want to ask, on behalf
- 1:23:03Speaker 2: of our listeners, if they want to help you with
- 1:23:05Speaker 2: Fair Fight Action 2020 or Fair Count, how can they
- 1:23:09Speaker 2: do that?
- 1:23:11Speaker 3: First, go to fairfight2020. org. You can sign up. We will
- 1:23:16Speaker 3: send you alerts. We are going to have someone in
- 1:23:19Speaker 3: the 20 battleground states. You can find out which states
- 1:23:22Speaker 3: those are. And even if you don't live in one
- 1:23:24Speaker 3: of those states, you can help because a lot of
- 1:23:26Speaker 3: the states are going to need volunteers coming in from
- 1:23:28Speaker 3: places that are safely democratic. And we are going to
- 1:23:31Speaker 3: be able to keep you apprised of all of the developments,
- 1:23:35Speaker 3: all of the calls to action, and all of the charges.
- 1:23:38Speaker 3: For the census, go to faircount.org. That is an extraordinary
- 1:23:43Speaker 3: opportunity to make certain that the communities that are usually
- 1:23:46Speaker 3: overlooked in your state get counted. They've got amazing resources.
- 1:23:49Speaker 3: We're continuing to build new tools. And what they know
- 1:23:53Speaker 3: is that they want everything they build to be replicable
- 1:23:55Speaker 3: and exportable. So it doesn't, we are starting in Georgia,
- 1:23:58Speaker 3: but this is a national movement. And we're going to
- 1:24:00Speaker 3: make sure that Donald Trump's attempt to defund the census
- 1:24:05Speaker 3: and to erase communities of color and others from the
- 1:24:08Speaker 3: narrative will not work in 2020. And so go to faircount.org
- 1:24:13Speaker 3: or fairfight2020. org. both those places, you can help, and we'd
- 1:24:17Speaker 3: love to have you.
- 1:24:18Speaker 2: Stacey Abrams, thank you so much for joining us on
- 1:24:21Speaker 2: Podsafe America again, and we hope to talk to you soon.
- 1:24:23Speaker 3: Dan, you're always delightful. Thank you so much for giving
- 1:24:25Speaker 3: us a chance to talk about great work.
- 1:24:32Speaker 1: Thanks to Stacey Abrams for joining us. I'm headed out
- 1:24:35Speaker 1: on vacation, so I'll be gone next week. Tommy's heading
- 1:24:38Speaker 1: on vacation. He'll be gone next week, but I believe
- 1:24:41Speaker 1: Dan and Lovett will be doing Monday's pod, and then...
- 1:24:46Speaker 1: On Thursday, I think you're on vacation too.
- 1:24:49Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm sort of on vacation.
- 1:24:51Speaker 1: So then, you know, then it's real trouble because then
- 1:24:54Speaker 1: it's just John Lovett on his own. So hopefully we're
- 1:24:55Speaker 1: going to have to get him some backup there. Because otherwise,
- 1:25:00Speaker 1: we'll all come back from vacation and it'll just be
- 1:25:02Speaker 1: Pod Save America with John Lovett.
- 1:25:04Speaker 2: Back in the world in which people still listen to
- 1:25:07Speaker 2: sports radio, I always used to be amazed by the
- 1:25:09Speaker 2: people like Colin Cowherd who could just speak for four
- 1:25:11Speaker 2: hours by themselves. And if there were any one of
- 1:25:13Speaker 2: the four of us who could do a solo pod
- 1:25:16Speaker 2: it would definitely be John Lovett.
- 1:25:18Speaker 1: We could go on forever because there's no way he's
- 1:25:20Speaker 1: listening to all the way to the end of this
- 1:25:22Speaker 1: pod I don't know if he listens to the Thursday pods.
- 1:25:26Speaker 2: I would guess not.
- 1:25:28Speaker 1: Anyway well I will I'll see you guys in a
- 1:25:31Speaker 1: couple weeks and take care yeah have a great vacation
- 1:25:35Speaker 1: you too bye music music music.
- 1:25:44Speaker 2: Pod Save America is a product of Crooked Media. The
- 1:25:46Speaker 2: show is produced by Michael Martinez. It's mixed and edited
- 1:25:48Speaker 2: by Andrew Chadwick. Kyle Seglin is our sound engineer. Thanks
- 1:25:52Speaker 2: to Caroline Reston, Tanya Somanator, and Katie Long for production support,
- 1:25:55Speaker 2: and to our digital team, Elijah Cohn, Nar Melkonian, and
- 1:25:59Speaker 2: Milo Kim, who film and upload these bad boys every week.