the goal isnt to be right | bayesian thinking, fitness, and the art of becoming less wrong

The examined life - Thoughts from Self · Jul 24, 2026 · 7m

Most people spend their lives trying to prove they're right.Bayesian thinking suggests something different: the people who improve the fastest are the ones willing to change their minds.In this episode, I explore one of the most useful mental models I've discovered and how it completely changed the way I think about fitness, learning, and life. We'll talk about why reality is always giving us feedback, why updating your beliefs isn't weakness but intelligence, and why the goal isn't certainty—it's getting closer to the truth.If you've ever struggled with letting go of old beliefs, changing…