Latest / Toadstool Sports / Thursday BEST BETS | Are We Back? | NHL Stanley Cup Finals + MLB & WNBA | 6/4/26

Transcript

Thursday BEST BETS | Are We Back? | NHL Stanley Cup Finals + MLB & WNBA | 6/4/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: Man, a hole in your chase, black coffee on the
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: felt Man, you look like a mist three Team Parlette
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 2: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: Your name steal means something in somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Put the glass down, baby, look at me, now, hold.
• 0:50
  Speaker 3: On, hold on nothing nice, now, hold on, hold on me.
• 1:06
  Speaker 4: That but it don't get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 5: Hold on, hold on.
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: Stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 6: Now, what's up?
• 1:28
  Speaker 4: Everbody?
• 1:28
  Speaker 6: It's towed back with you toad still sports. It is Thursday,
• 1:34
  Speaker 6: June fourth. I keep wanted to say May two and
• 1:38
  Speaker 6: one on the show yesterday. I mean, it was a
• 1:40
  Speaker 6: winning day, so I'm happy about that, with maybe a
• 1:43
  Speaker 6: couple of caveats. The easier win was the one that
• 1:46
  Speaker 6: I had on the fly during the show, the Red
• 1:48
  Speaker 6: Sox easy win. Whoever was in the chat that said
• 1:52
  Speaker 6: totally was gonna get destroyed. I did not agree with that,
• 1:55
  Speaker 6: and he did not. The Red Sox put up some
• 1:58
  Speaker 6: offense again, so it was an eight to one win.
• 2:01
  Speaker 6: That was an easy win. Whether you did money line,
• 2:04
  Speaker 6: run line, whatever. That all won San Francisco. They outplayed
• 2:09
  Speaker 6: Milwaukee in the game.
• 2:11
  Speaker 4: They were winning. They got the one run they scored
• 2:13
  Speaker 4: was in the fifth.
• 2:14
  Speaker 6: Inning and they somehow held on to that and one
• 2:17
  Speaker 6: one to nothing. They out hit Milwaukee in the game
• 2:19
  Speaker 6: like eight to three or something though, so San Francisco
• 2:22
  Speaker 6: was the better team in the game. Logan Web, A
• 2:25
  Speaker 6: huge part of that handicap was his numbers against Milwaukee.
• 2:29
  Speaker 4: I thought that he was undervalued.
• 2:31
  Speaker 6: He put in a really good performance yesterday, so I
• 2:34
  Speaker 6: liked that. That was good.
• 2:35
  Speaker 4: Hopefully you guys got the win on that.
• 2:38
  Speaker 6: I didn't really make it totally clear, but when I
• 2:40
  Speaker 6: gave that show, when I gave that play out on
• 2:41
  Speaker 6: the show, it was completely dependent on Web being the starter.
• 2:45
  Speaker 6: But Milwaukee had not even listed a starter yet. So hopefully,
• 2:49
  Speaker 6: if and when you made the bet, Because I basically said,
• 2:52
  Speaker 6: I don't even care who what Milwaukee's doing with their
• 2:54
  Speaker 6: pitching here. As long as they don't put in some
• 2:56
  Speaker 6: like good starter, I don't care, like we're gonna fade
• 2:59
  Speaker 6: them here.
• 3:00
  Speaker 4: I thought it was going to be Crow, but it wasn't.
• 3:02
  Speaker 6: They actually used Gasser for the majority of the pitching,
• 3:06
  Speaker 6: and they actually saved their bullpen because they just went
• 3:08
  Speaker 6: Gas or Patrick, and they actually pitched pretty well. But
• 3:11
  Speaker 6: San Francisco got that one run off a gas Er,
• 3:14
  Speaker 6: so I'm still happy about that. But again, if you
• 3:18
  Speaker 6: made that play the way I would have done it,
• 3:20
  Speaker 6: because I don't think I was clear. I said it
• 3:22
  Speaker 6: on my Instagram video, though, I would have selected Web
• 3:26
  Speaker 6: must start because he's a huge part of the handicap.
• 3:28
  Speaker 6: But in that case, you had no idea who Milwaukee
• 3:31
  Speaker 6: even had as a starting pitcher, so it was action
• 3:34
  Speaker 6: on the Milwaukee side.
• 3:35
  Speaker 4: Basically, if that makes sense.
• 3:36
  Speaker 6: Baseball, it's kind of crazy to bet, dude, because you
• 3:39
  Speaker 6: can specify both starters must start. You can actually specify
• 3:43
  Speaker 6: one of the two starters must start, or you can.
• 3:46
  Speaker 4: Specify action.
• 3:49
  Speaker 6: In the whole game and not even care about the
• 3:51
  Speaker 6: starting pitchers. So those are all the different ways of
• 3:54
  Speaker 6: doing And if you do any option that involves a
• 3:57
  Speaker 6: certain pitcher must start, if that picture winds up not starting,
• 4:02
  Speaker 6: then your bet doesn't count. You just get your money back.
• 4:05
  Speaker 6: It's avoided bet. Hopefully that'll all makes sense, Dirty sock,
• 4:09
  Speaker 6: what's up? Milwaukee didn't really change They never had announced
• 4:15
  Speaker 6: their picture, so what did you do I think if
• 4:18
  Speaker 6: you made that bet, it's still counted. Milwaukee never announced Crow.
• 4:22
  Speaker 6: I don't think like throughout the day they were still undecided.
• 4:25
  Speaker 6: When I gave the playout, they were undecided. So I
• 4:28
  Speaker 6: think as long as you made the play at that point,
• 4:30
  Speaker 6: I think it won. Right like it happened, I think
• 4:33
  Speaker 6: I'm counting it as a win on the show.
• 4:36
  Speaker 4: But yeah, I don't think they ever switched pictures.
• 4:38
  Speaker 6: I think they just waded into the later part of
• 4:41
  Speaker 6: the day to even announce who was starting. So no,
• 4:44
  Speaker 6: that was a win, and then Phoenix should have been
• 4:49
  Speaker 6: a win. Phoenix had a double digit lead in the
• 4:52
  Speaker 6: second quarter. They looked like they were starting to run
• 4:54
  Speaker 6: away with the game. Then I don't know what happened.
• 4:57
  Speaker 6: If Phoenix won the rebound battle by double digits, they
• 5:01
  Speaker 6: were clearly the better team in the game. They lost
• 5:04
  Speaker 6: that entire lead, and then they still pushed the lead
• 5:06
  Speaker 6: back to seven. They're winning the game by seven with
• 5:09
  Speaker 6: like two minutes to go, and then they like basically
• 5:12
  Speaker 6: didn't score again, and I think they might have allowed
• 5:15
  Speaker 6: the game to become tied or something. It became like
• 5:17
  Speaker 6: a two point game. Maybe again late in the game. Dude,
• 5:21
  Speaker 6: I don't know what that was. They went on like
• 5:23
  Speaker 6: a two minute drought, and I think it was like
• 5:25
  Speaker 6: two and a half left. They were up seven, so
• 5:27
  Speaker 6: it's like, all right, they're gonna get fouled a little bit,
• 5:29
  Speaker 6: they're gonna put the game away here. No, they just
• 5:33
  Speaker 6: didn't score again until they absolutely needed to right at
• 5:36
  Speaker 6: the end because they almost lost. And then the other
• 5:38
  Speaker 6: thing about that game is they hit three three pointers
• 5:41
  Speaker 6: in the entire game. So my last two WNBA plays,
• 5:45
  Speaker 6: those two teams have combined for four to three pointers
• 5:49
  Speaker 6: across two entire games. Like, you have to be kidding me.
• 5:52
  Speaker 4: Even the worst WNBA team.
• 5:54
  Speaker 6: Doesn't shoot that poorly, and I know we had the
• 5:57
  Speaker 6: worst in one of them, Connecticut, But Phoenix, this is
• 6:00
  Speaker 6: not one of the worst teams, and they did get
• 6:02
  Speaker 6: the win yesterday.
• 6:04
  Speaker 4: You know, a money line player would have won on them.
• 6:06
  Speaker 4: But I think I was correct. I think that was
• 6:08
  Speaker 4: a correct.
• 6:08
  Speaker 6: Play, like the money hard like the money came in
• 6:12
  Speaker 6: on Phoenix hard like that line went off seven and
• 6:15
  Speaker 6: a half and I gave it out when it was
• 6:17
  Speaker 6: five and a half.
• 6:18
  Speaker 4: Six, it was six throughout the day, and if you got.
• 6:21
  Speaker 6: Six or whatever, you obviously beat the closing number and
• 6:24
  Speaker 6: you got on the good side of the the key
• 6:27
  Speaker 6: number of seven.
• 6:28
  Speaker 4: So I don't know.
• 6:28
  Speaker 6: I don't think any of those plays were bad yesterday,
• 6:31
  Speaker 6: but it was a two and one day on the show,
• 6:34
  Speaker 6: the Giants counted.
• 6:36
  Speaker 4: I'm almost positive they did not switch their picture. But
• 6:40
  Speaker 4: I should have specified.
• 6:41
  Speaker 6: I did again, I did on the Instagram video that
• 6:44
  Speaker 6: I put out, like in the late afternoon, I said specified,
• 6:47
  Speaker 6: web must start, and I don't care about.
• 6:49
  Speaker 4: Who starts for Milwaukee first five. Wait what, I don't know.
• 7:01
  Speaker 6: What are you asking? Does it come down to whoever's
• 7:03
  Speaker 6: on the board. No, it's like the default behavior. It
• 7:08
  Speaker 6: doesn't matter if it's first five or full game. The
• 7:10
  Speaker 6: default behavior is is that the listed starters must start.
• 7:17
  Speaker 6: But you can change your bet, you can specify action
• 7:19
  Speaker 6: and whatever. You could do that on the first five
• 7:23
  Speaker 6: or the full game. All right, let's go to today's board.
• 7:28
  Speaker 4: Here.
• 7:29
  Speaker 6: We have nine baseball games today Thursday. Hopefully this will
• 7:32
  Speaker 6: be a little bit of a quicker show. And then
• 7:33
  Speaker 6: there is a couple There are a couple of WNBA games.
• 7:36
  Speaker 6: I have one baseball play today. We have some afternoon
• 7:41
  Speaker 6: games because these teams are finishing their series. San Diego
• 7:44
  Speaker 6: is trying to avoid getting swept again by Philadelphia, So
• 7:49
  Speaker 6: you gotta think San Diego is going to show up
• 7:51
  Speaker 6: with some motivation because Philadelphia already went out there swept them,
• 7:55
  Speaker 6: and now Philadelphia is about to do it at home too.
• 7:58
  Speaker 6: Each game has only been a one run win for Philadelphia.
• 8:01
  Speaker 6: I'm low scoring games because these offenses have not been
• 8:04
  Speaker 6: able to do anything. Now the question is, is Philadelphia
• 8:08
  Speaker 6: gonna be looking ahead to the White Sox That's who
• 8:10
  Speaker 6: they start playing tomorrow. I don't really think so. I
• 8:14
  Speaker 6: also am not gonna come in here and fade Zach Wheeler. Dude,
• 8:17
  Speaker 6: I'm just not gonna do it. This pitching matchup is
• 8:20
  Speaker 6: certainly not in favor of San Diego here, I will
• 8:23
  Speaker 6: tell you that. So I'm not gonna play this game.
• 8:26
  Speaker 6: Philadelphia used two relieve pitchers yesterday. San Diego also used two.
• 8:31
  Speaker 6: San Diego does have the better bullpen their rank sixth here.
• 8:35
  Speaker 6: They have one of the best bullpen in rays. Philadelphia's
• 8:38
  Speaker 6: is okay at thirteenth. Hitting wise, like I said, both
• 8:42
  Speaker 6: teams have been really bad. Philadelphia twenty eight. San Diego
• 8:45
  Speaker 6: is now tied in last place with the Mets at
• 8:49
  Speaker 6: twenty ninth really really ridiculous because these teams have more
• 8:53
  Speaker 6: talent on their offense than this.
• 8:55
  Speaker 4: So I still don't know what's going on here.
• 8:58
  Speaker 6: Some of it might be San Diego's pitcher friendly ballpark,
• 9:01
  Speaker 6: but these teams aren't hitting in Philadelphia either. Lucas Giolito
• 9:05
  Speaker 6: is pitching for San Diego. I don't think he's very
• 9:09
  Speaker 6: good man four point nine to seven ERA, one point
• 9:11
  Speaker 6: seven to four WHIP. His numbers looked pretty good with
• 9:14
  Speaker 6: the Red Sox last year, but there is a valid
• 9:17
  Speaker 6: reason why they did not resign him and why nobody
• 9:21
  Speaker 6: picked him up until a month into this season. The
• 9:24
  Speaker 6: underlying metrics, the analytics guys do not like Giliedo. They
• 9:28
  Speaker 6: will tell you that he's not really that good of
• 9:31
  Speaker 6: a pitcher, and once we start looking at his numbers, yeah,
• 9:33
  Speaker 6: you'll see that he's been really bad on the road
• 9:36
  Speaker 6: so far. Eight point two to two ROADYRA and that's
• 9:39
  Speaker 6: in two starts. His one good start was at home,
• 9:42
  Speaker 6: and I would say good kind of with a caveat,
• 9:45
  Speaker 6: because he had a ton of walks.
• 9:46
  Speaker 4: He's walked three guys or more in every.
• 9:49
  Speaker 6: Outing so far, twelve walks in twelve to two thirty innings?
• 9:53
  Speaker 4: Is that good? Is walking one guy in inning? Good? No? No,
• 9:57
  Speaker 4: it isn't Anny only.
• 9:59
  Speaker 6: A six strike outs and he has ten hits allowed
• 10:02
  Speaker 6: to go along with that. Somehow, San Diego's won all
• 10:04
  Speaker 6: three of his starts. His worst start was his last
• 10:08
  Speaker 6: time out at Washington. He got pretty much obliterated in
• 10:12
  Speaker 6: that one. Gielito's not very good. I don't want to
• 10:14
  Speaker 6: trust him here to try to avoid the sweep. His
• 10:18
  Speaker 6: numbers it gets Philadelphia are strange. It's a big sample size,
• 10:22
  Speaker 6: seventy two at bats, twenty four strikeouts.
• 10:25
  Speaker 4: That's pretty good. Nine walks not so much.
• 10:28
  Speaker 6: Two to eight batting average, Okay, cool, he's holding him
• 10:30
  Speaker 6: to a really low average.
• 10:32
  Speaker 4: Yeah, but they also have seven.
• 10:33
  Speaker 6: Home runs off him and he's allowed an eight eighty OPS.
• 10:37
  Speaker 6: These are numbers you don't usually see numbers like this,
• 10:40
  Speaker 6: where in a big sample size, an opposing lineup has
• 10:44
  Speaker 6: a really low batting average but a pretty high OPS
• 10:48
  Speaker 6: against that pitcher.
• 10:49
  Speaker 4: Very strange. It's like he doesn't allow that many hits,
• 10:52
  Speaker 4: but when.
• 10:52
  Speaker 6: He does, all those balls are like flying out of
• 10:55
  Speaker 6: the ballpark, and you could argue, well, maybe that's a
• 10:57
  Speaker 6: little bit fluky, but yeah, fu key for Luki Lucas Gilito. Yeah,
• 11:02
  Speaker 6: I'm not gonna trust him at all here. He also
• 11:04
  Speaker 6: has to oppose Zach Wheeler here. Which one of these
• 11:07
  Speaker 6: pitchers is better?
• 11:08
  Speaker 4: I don't know.
• 11:09
  Speaker 6: Wheeler two point two seven e RA point eighty five
• 11:13
  Speaker 6: Whip Wheeler is off and running after coming back from injury.
• 11:18
  Speaker 6: He came back a little bit late this season. He's
• 11:21
  Speaker 6: been good both home and away, very similar numbers. Had
• 11:24
  Speaker 6: his worst start last time out against the Dodgers on
• 11:28
  Speaker 6: the road. He gave up four runs against him in
• 11:30
  Speaker 6: six innings. It was still a good pitching line though,
• 11:33
  Speaker 6: five hits, allowed, four strike gots, one walk. He just
• 11:35
  Speaker 6: happened to allow four solo home runs in the game.
• 11:38
  Speaker 6: I'm gonna give him a pass for that. It was
• 11:40
  Speaker 6: against any elite Dodger lineup on the road. Other than that,
• 11:44
  Speaker 6: he allowed three or four run runs. In every other start,
• 11:46
  Speaker 6: He's allowed zero or one in the majority of them.
• 11:50
  Speaker 6: We know Wheeler's good. We don't really have to go
• 11:52
  Speaker 6: into it too much. He's got a decent strike out rate,
• 11:55
  Speaker 6: a low walk rate, and a really low hit rate
• 11:58
  Speaker 6: on the season, and he has good numbers against the
• 12:00
  Speaker 6: Padres as well.
• 12:02
  Speaker 4: The Fathers He's basically their daddy.
• 12:05
  Speaker 6: Seventy five at bats, one seventy three average, five forty
• 12:08
  Speaker 6: nine oh ps, twenty one to four strike out walk ratio.
• 12:13
  Speaker 4: Again, I can't come in, even though the.
• 12:15
  Speaker 6: Situation looks like it should favor San Diego, Like, how
• 12:18
  Speaker 6: can you go own six over a span of like
• 12:21
  Speaker 6: nine games against Philadelphia. Well, I think it's about to
• 12:25
  Speaker 6: happen because I think I would play Philadelphia if I
• 12:28
  Speaker 6: was gonna play this game at all. San Diego does
• 12:31
  Speaker 6: have the better bullpens, so you know, Philadelphia first five
• 12:35
  Speaker 6: makes some sense here as well.
• 12:36
  Speaker 4: But you're gonna be looking at a really big run line.
• 12:39
  Speaker 6: If you do that, probably ask him to be winning
• 12:42
  Speaker 6: by possibly.
• 12:43
  Speaker 4: Even two runs at the end of five full game.
• 12:47
  Speaker 6: The price is like in the minus two hundreds here,
• 12:49
  Speaker 6: and the money is coming in on San Diego. I
• 12:52
  Speaker 6: don't agree sixty percent of tickets eighty four percent of
• 12:55
  Speaker 6: the cash on San Diego. I know the motivation is there,
• 12:59
  Speaker 6: but baseball is pretty heavily matchup dependent. I think the
• 13:03
  Speaker 6: matchup is a mismatch in favor of Philadelphia. I mean,
• 13:07
  Speaker 6: this is not the pitching matchup you want to see
• 13:09
  Speaker 6: when you're trying to avoid a sweep.
• 13:11
  Speaker 4: That's all I'll say.
• 13:12
  Speaker 6: If it's somehow close later into the game, then yes,
• 13:15
  Speaker 6: San Diego's got a shot with their bullpen. But that
• 13:18
  Speaker 6: is what I have to say about that Philadelphia's favor.
• 13:21
  Speaker 6: Like I said, in the minus two hundreds range, the
• 13:24
  Speaker 6: totals eight and a half.
• 13:25
  Speaker 4: I don't really have a good read on the total.
• 13:27
  Speaker 6: It looks like some money sort of indicating towards the
• 13:29
  Speaker 6: over in that game. Again, yeah, I don't have a
• 13:33
  Speaker 6: good read on that because it seems like a bad
• 13:37
  Speaker 6: starting pitcher on one side and a good one on
• 13:39
  Speaker 6: the other. That's what I see. Baltimore at Boston. The
• 13:42
  Speaker 6: Red Sox got the win yesterday to bounce back. We
• 13:44
  Speaker 6: had that on the show, eight to one. I'm glad
• 13:47
  Speaker 6: I added that because that was an easy win. Peyton
• 13:50
  Speaker 6: totally good, Chris Bassett not good. It was kind of
• 13:54
  Speaker 6: as simple as that. This game does not look as
• 13:58
  Speaker 6: good for the Red Sox, though they.
• 14:00
  Speaker 4: Do still have a bullpen advantage.
• 14:01
  Speaker 6: They only use one guy out of the bullpen yesterday, Watson,
• 14:05
  Speaker 6: so their bullpen's fairly rested and still the better bullpen.
• 14:08
  Speaker 6: Baltimore used three guys out of their bullpen. The Red
• 14:11
  Speaker 6: Sox are up to third in bullpen arranged by whip here.
• 14:15
  Speaker 6: They also have one of the best bullpen ERA.
• 14:17
  Speaker 4: Is pretty good.
• 14:18
  Speaker 6: The Orioles twenty second in bullpen not good. Red Sox
• 14:23
  Speaker 6: do not have the hitting advantage though Baltimore eleventh. Red
• 14:27
  Speaker 6: Sox have hit better, though recently they've moved up to
• 14:29
  Speaker 6: eighteenth hittings.
• 14:30
  Speaker 4: So there you go.
• 14:31
  Speaker 6: I told you the Red Sox have a better lineup
• 14:34
  Speaker 6: than what they looked like early in the season. At
• 14:37
  Speaker 6: the very least, they're starting to hit at home.
• 14:39
  Speaker 4: Finally, will they do it here? They might.
• 14:42
  Speaker 6: This is a high total, dude, So the odds makers
• 14:45
  Speaker 6: are expecting a lot of runs in this game. And
• 14:48
  Speaker 6: again Fenway Park, it's hit her friendly, but there's no
• 14:51
  Speaker 6: wind scenario like there isn't Wrigly because Wrigley's right on
• 14:54
  Speaker 6: the lake. Fenway Park is not close to the water.
• 14:59
  Speaker 6: So yeah, there's no real like, I mean, win could
• 15:02
  Speaker 6: be blowing out, but it's not that much of a
• 15:04
  Speaker 6: factor in Fenway. Trevor Rodgers was pitching for the Orioles.
• 15:07
  Speaker 6: He's had a really bad season so far. Six point
• 15:10
  Speaker 6: eight four ERA, one point five to six WHIP. He
• 15:15
  Speaker 6: hasn't been pitching well. He did okay last time out
• 15:17
  Speaker 6: against Toronto. That was one of his better starts, really,
• 15:20
  Speaker 6: but it's still it was against a weak lineup. Red
• 15:24
  Speaker 6: Sox lineup has actually done a little bit better than Toronto's.
• 15:26
  Speaker 6: I still think Rogers he's pretty untrustworthy man. He's been
• 15:29
  Speaker 6: really bad on the road to eight point five to
• 15:32
  Speaker 6: nine roadra He pitched against the Red Sox once in Baltimore,
• 15:37
  Speaker 6: and that was the infamous seventeen to one Red Sox
• 15:40
  Speaker 6: game where the Red Sox basically couldn't hit it all
• 15:44
  Speaker 6: coming into that game and then all of a sudden
• 15:46
  Speaker 6: seventeen to one. So that was the game Rogers started.
• 15:49
  Speaker 6: So was that good that the Orioles lost.
• 15:52
  Speaker 4: Seventeen to one?
• 15:53
  Speaker 6: I don't know, but Rogers didn't make it out of
• 15:55
  Speaker 6: the second inning in that game. The Red Sox were
• 15:58
  Speaker 6: able to get to him, so I think they can
• 16:00
  Speaker 6: and again here, even though if you look at his
• 16:01
  Speaker 6: numbers they're not as bad as you would think against
• 16:05
  Speaker 6: them in thirty seven at bats to seventy batting average,
• 16:08
  Speaker 6: six to seventy six OPS, nine to three strike out
• 16:11
  Speaker 6: walk ratio, but I would still lean more towards the
• 16:13
  Speaker 6: Red Sox hitting against Rogers here. I don't know what
• 16:17
  Speaker 6: it is because he was actually really good with Baltimore
• 16:20
  Speaker 6: last year, although it surprised me because he wasn't good
• 16:22
  Speaker 6: in his career before that, and he has not been
• 16:25
  Speaker 6: good this year. The Red Sox are going with Brian BeO,
• 16:29
  Speaker 6: and it's very unfortunate that it looks like he is
• 16:31
  Speaker 6: starting here. I would keep an eye on this because
• 16:34
  Speaker 6: you know, the Red Sox have been using an opener
• 16:36
  Speaker 6: in front of him, and it's like you can't win
• 16:38
  Speaker 6: either way. So BeO is an enigma. Well, he's not
• 16:42
  Speaker 6: really an enigma. You can figure him out. So I
• 16:44
  Speaker 6: mean we could lead his game log here. Well, first
• 16:46
  Speaker 6: of all, he's got a five point six three ERA
• 16:49
  Speaker 6: one point six y four whip.
• 16:50
  Speaker 4: Yeah, all that is bad. We get that he's actually.
• 16:53
  Speaker 6: Been pretty good at home though, three point eight six
• 16:55
  Speaker 6: home ERA, so he's better at home. But you look
• 16:58
  Speaker 6: at his gamelog rec Oh, he gave up no runs
• 17:01
  Speaker 6: in each of his last two outings. He got blasted
• 17:04
  Speaker 6: by Atlanta the game before that, and he gave up
• 17:06
  Speaker 6: one run a piece in the two outings before that.
• 17:09
  Speaker 6: So yeah, it looks like he's pitching well. He had
• 17:11
  Speaker 6: a good month to may correct, he did. But what
• 17:15
  Speaker 6: was the difference between the four good starts or the
• 17:17
  Speaker 6: four good appearances and the one bad one, the one
• 17:21
  Speaker 6: bad one against Atlanta. Well, one difference is Atlanta is
• 17:24
  Speaker 6: a way better offense than Cleveland Minnesota filling in Detroit.
• 17:27
  Speaker 4: Yes, so he struggled against a good offense.
• 17:29
  Speaker 6: Baltimore is probably better offensively than all four of those
• 17:33
  Speaker 6: other teams as well though, So that's one thing, yes.
• 17:36
  Speaker 6: But the other difference was BeO started that game. It's
• 17:41
  Speaker 6: like it gets in his head, dude. So the games
• 17:43
  Speaker 6: where he pitched well, he came in behind an opener,
• 17:46
  Speaker 6: and all four of them, so it's like BeO is
• 17:49
  Speaker 6: a completely different pitcher when they put an opener in
• 17:51
  Speaker 6: front of him.
• 17:52
  Speaker 4: But they did this last time.
• 17:53
  Speaker 6: He made two good appearances with an open in front
• 17:57
  Speaker 6: of him, so it was like, oh, he's fixed.
• 17:59
  Speaker 4: They let him start. He got destroyed.
• 18:01
  Speaker 6: Then they said, okay, let's put an opener in front
• 18:03
  Speaker 6: of him again, and he pitched well again in those
• 18:05
  Speaker 6: two outings. Now what are they They're like, oh, he's
• 18:07
  Speaker 6: fixed again, let's have him start. I don't like it, man,
• 18:10
  Speaker 6: Bo He's only good when you put an opener in
• 18:13
  Speaker 6: front of him. So I would keep an eye on
• 18:14
  Speaker 6: this to see if the Red Sox are going to
• 18:16
  Speaker 6: do that, and they might not because the other thing
• 18:19
  Speaker 6: about this is, Yeah, even though Bao pitched well in
• 18:22
  Speaker 6: all those games where he was the follower, and he
• 18:24
  Speaker 6: pitched at least five innings in all of those games,
• 18:27
  Speaker 6: the thing about that is the opener gave up multiple
• 18:30
  Speaker 6: runs in every single one of those games, I'm pretty sure.
• 18:33
  Speaker 4: So they put an opener in front of him.
• 18:35
  Speaker 6: It was Moron in the first three, and then Somaniego
• 18:38
  Speaker 6: and the other one, and all of them gave up runs,
• 18:41
  Speaker 6: including last time out. Somaniego gave up four runs in
• 18:44
  Speaker 6: the first inning, and then BeO didn't give up any
• 18:47
  Speaker 6: pitched the rest of the game, and the Red Sox
• 18:49
  Speaker 6: were in too much of a hole to overcome and
• 18:52
  Speaker 6: almost still came back.
• 18:54
  Speaker 4: So what are we doing here, man.
• 18:55
  Speaker 6: I dude BeO, if he's starting this game, I would
• 18:59
  Speaker 6: I would be inclined to fade him here because he
• 19:01
  Speaker 6: has not been good when he's been starting. His only
• 19:05
  Speaker 6: good appearances have been with an opener in front of him.
• 19:07
  Speaker 6: But again, I would say you have to keep an
• 19:09
  Speaker 6: eye on this game. This would not be a game
• 19:11
  Speaker 6: where I would go action. I would say, if BeO
• 19:14
  Speaker 6: is going to have an opener in front of him,
• 19:18
  Speaker 6: possibly you would want to lean to the Red Sox here,
• 19:21
  Speaker 6: but it looks like that's not the case. The Red
• 19:23
  Speaker 6: Sox around minus one twelve or so here fifty eight
• 19:26
  Speaker 6: percent of the tickets fifty seven percent of the cash
• 19:28
  Speaker 6: on the Red Sox. So if BeO is starting, I
• 19:31
  Speaker 6: would probably have a tendency to lean against them a
• 19:33
  Speaker 6: little bit. And yes, Bao against Baltimore, by the way,
• 19:36
  Speaker 6: he does not have good numbers. Ninety nine at bats
• 19:39
  Speaker 6: twenty two strikeouts is pretty good, nine walks not great,
• 19:43
  Speaker 6: two ninety three batting average eight to seventy seven ops.
• 19:46
  Speaker 4: Bao.
• 19:47
  Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, I think it's more likely that Bo
• 19:50
  Speaker 6: does not do well in this game than that he
• 19:51
  Speaker 6: does do well. And if he's starting again, I would
• 19:55
  Speaker 6: make sure that he's starting, because it's a for whatever reason,
• 19:58
  Speaker 6: he's way different when he's a follower. If I was
• 20:01
  Speaker 6: gonna play this game, I think I would go over
• 20:03
  Speaker 6: the total if Bao is definitely starting, because I think
• 20:06
  Speaker 6: both offenses can get to both of these starting pitchers,
• 20:09
  Speaker 6: and then you have at least one pretty bad bullpen here.
• 20:12
  Speaker 6: The totals this high for a reason. Ten and a
• 20:15
  Speaker 6: half the oddsmakers do not respect either of these starters.
• 20:20
  Speaker 6: Ninety one percent of the tickets and ninety percent of
• 20:23
  Speaker 6: the cash on the over, though, so the public seems
• 20:25
  Speaker 6: to want the over. And I know Red Sox have
• 20:27
  Speaker 6: had a lot of low scoring home games. They haven't
• 20:30
  Speaker 6: scored well at home, but they are recently, so yeah,
• 20:33
  Speaker 6: I think over is the better way to look at that.
• 20:35
  Speaker 6: If BeO is definitely starting, and you will know pretty
• 20:38
  Speaker 6: shortly because this is an afternoon game, so you know,
• 20:42
  Speaker 6: I don't think they're gonna switch that at this point,
• 20:44
  Speaker 6: but you never really know. They could announce late that
• 20:47
  Speaker 6: they that it is going to be an opener, because
• 20:48
  Speaker 6: of course everybody's there, and they would just pull somebody
• 20:51
  Speaker 6: out of the bullpen to make the opener appearance.
• 20:54
  Speaker 4: So whatever, what place? Wait, what place are you at?
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: That?
• 21:01
  Speaker 4: That's not good? That sucks. It was a no bet,
• 21:04
  Speaker 4: but wait.
• 21:04
  Speaker 6: A minute, does that mean they don't even allow they
• 21:06
  Speaker 6: don't allow you to bet on it at all? Because
• 21:09
  Speaker 6: when I gave it out it was undecided, right, So
• 21:13
  Speaker 6: like shouldn't your bets still like take that into account
• 21:17
  Speaker 6: and just be that like, I don't know, I don't
• 21:19
  Speaker 6: get that. Braves and Canes, Garrett, what's up? Are the
• 21:25
  Speaker 6: Caines gonna reabound them? I will talk about that game.
• 21:28
  Speaker 6: I don't have a play on that game, so I
• 21:30
  Speaker 6: don't feel that strongly about it. Braves are already like
• 21:34
  Speaker 6: hot right now. Man Cleveland at New York, this is
• 21:38
  Speaker 6: gonna be my one play. Unfortunately, I'm going to go
• 21:47
  Speaker 6: with the hated Yankees here to avoid getting swept by Cleveland,
• 21:51
  Speaker 6: because that is the situation they're in. The Yankees are
• 21:54
  Speaker 6: the better team, they're at home, they're one of the
• 21:56
  Speaker 6: best scoring teams at home, and they're about to get
• 21:59
  Speaker 6: potentially swept by the Cleveland Indians. I don't think that's
• 22:03
  Speaker 6: gonna happen. And this is a picture that the Yankees
• 22:05
  Speaker 6: can certainly beat up. And I would say, if you
• 22:08
  Speaker 6: want to go Yankees over their team total in this game,
• 22:10
  Speaker 6: I think that's also an approach you could use. But
• 22:13
  Speaker 6: I'm actually gonna go with them having a pitching advantage here.
• 22:16
  Speaker 6: So Yankees minus one and a half on the run
• 22:19
  Speaker 6: line at plus one thirty and the rest of the
• 22:21
  Speaker 6: bet minus one seventy here. So if we look at
• 22:25
  Speaker 6: the splits here on that, you get about a minus
• 22:27
  Speaker 6: one seventeen minus one run line on this, and you
• 22:31
  Speaker 6: would put whips my mistake, you'd put a lot of
• 22:34
  Speaker 6: the bet on the money line, in this case, seventy
• 22:36
  Speaker 6: four of it. Basically, if you're trying to win one hundred,
• 22:39
  Speaker 6: seventy four would wind up going on the money line,
• 22:41
  Speaker 6: and then whatever.
• 22:42
  Speaker 4: That returns about forty four that goes on.
• 22:45
  Speaker 6: The run line part of it, if that makes sense.
• 22:50
  Speaker 4: So it's a split bet.
• 22:51
  Speaker 6: So if the Yankees win by one, it will be
• 22:53
  Speaker 6: a push. That is what we're going with. I'm gonna
• 22:56
  Speaker 6: go with the Yankees to avoid the sweep here. I
• 22:58
  Speaker 6: don't think there's a huge advantage bullpen wise, one way
• 23:01
  Speaker 6: or the other. Yankees used three guys out of the
• 23:03
  Speaker 6: bullpen yesterday. Cleveland I think did have to use some
• 23:06
  Speaker 6: of their better relievers to finish the game off, and
• 23:08
  Speaker 6: they use four guys out of the bullpen. I think
• 23:11
  Speaker 6: Dadis is their closer right now, so they did use
• 23:13
  Speaker 6: him two days in a row. So I think, if anything,
• 23:16
  Speaker 6: Cleveland is probably at a somewhat at somewhat of a
• 23:19
  Speaker 6: bullpen disadvantage here.
• 23:20
  Speaker 4: They are ranked a little bit higher than the.
• 23:22
  Speaker 6: Yankees eleventh in bullpen Yankees fifteenth. Yankees have a better
• 23:26
  Speaker 6: bullpen era though, and I think they're set up is
• 23:29
  Speaker 6: slightly better here. Yankees have the way better offense. They're
• 23:32
  Speaker 6: number two, and they are really good at home. Cleveland
• 23:35
  Speaker 6: tied in twentieth.
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: So not great.
• 23:39
  Speaker 6: And Cleveland is going with Slate chacone on the mound.
• 23:41
  Speaker 6: I think we could definitely fade him. He hasn't been
• 23:44
  Speaker 6: very good five point two five ERA one point four
• 23:47
  Speaker 6: to nine whip. He's been worse on the road as well,
• 23:50
  Speaker 6: five point seven to four road ERA. So we're gonna
• 23:52
  Speaker 6: fade his home. We're gonna go with his home road
• 23:56
  Speaker 6: splits here in fading him, he's easier to fade on
• 23:59
  Speaker 6: the road. I know Cleveland's won four of his five
• 24:02
  Speaker 6: games across the month of May, but he didn't even
• 24:05
  Speaker 6: pitch well in this month really. I mean, he gave
• 24:07
  Speaker 6: up thirty nine hits in thirty one and a third innings.
• 24:10
  Speaker 6: That's not good. Four point three to one rail over
• 24:13
  Speaker 6: the month, very mediocre, twenty five strike got seven walks.
• 24:16
  Speaker 6: Those numbers were fine, but he was having a lot
• 24:19
  Speaker 6: of shorter appearances. He was getting roughed up a bit,
• 24:22
  Speaker 6: so I don't think he's that good. His overall numbers
• 24:25
  Speaker 6: on the season, it's basically the same, too many hits.
• 24:29
  Speaker 6: Walk rate is actually higher than it was in May,
• 24:31
  Speaker 6: so his walk rate's kind of an issue too, and
• 24:33
  Speaker 6: his strike got rate is low. None of these numbers
• 24:36
  Speaker 6: are very good, and his numbers against the Yankees are
• 24:38
  Speaker 6: also not good. In twenty two at bats. I know
• 24:41
  Speaker 6: it's not a huge sample here, but the Yankees win.
• 24:44
  Speaker 6: They have faced him, they have gotten to him. Although
• 24:46
  Speaker 6: Aaron Judge, I think, is not in the lineup today,
• 24:48
  Speaker 6: so you have to take that into account. He is
• 24:50
  Speaker 6: two for two with a double and a home run
• 24:53
  Speaker 6: off but I'm still gonna go with this anyway.
• 24:55
  Speaker 4: Judge is injured.
• 24:57
  Speaker 6: I believe he didn't play yesterday, but I don't think
• 24:59
  Speaker 6: he's going on the injured list.
• 25:01
  Speaker 4: I don't even know what's going on with him.
• 25:03
  Speaker 6: It was kind of a spur of the moment thing
• 25:05
  Speaker 6: where I think he didn't play yesterday. He got injured
• 25:07
  Speaker 6: during the prior game, I believe. But anyway, the Yankees,
• 25:11
  Speaker 6: including his at bats, they have a three eighteen average
• 25:14
  Speaker 6: eleven forty eight ohps against Chaconi. Even if you take
• 25:18
  Speaker 6: Judge out, they still have good offensive numbers against him.
• 25:21
  Speaker 6: So that's what we're going with here, and we're gonna
• 25:23
  Speaker 6: back Carlos Redon here. His era is already pretty good
• 25:27
  Speaker 6: again three point three two. His whip is not that
• 25:30
  Speaker 6: good one point three to two. He is walking too
• 25:33
  Speaker 6: many guys right now, but he's trying to come back
• 25:35
  Speaker 6: from injury.
• 25:36
  Speaker 4: Man, he looks like he's improving with each start.
• 25:39
  Speaker 6: If you look at what he's done with the Yankees,
• 25:41
  Speaker 6: he was really bad in twenty twenty three, but then
• 25:43
  Speaker 6: the last two years he was pretty good with his
• 25:46
  Speaker 6: two full seasons.
• 25:47
  Speaker 4: With the Yankees.
• 25:48
  Speaker 6: So I'm expecting him to kind of be back in
• 25:51
  Speaker 6: somewhat in form like that. Basically, I'm expecting him to
• 25:54
  Speaker 6: be pretty much back to what he.
• 25:56
  Speaker 4: Was in those seasons.
• 25:59
  Speaker 6: And again, if you look at what he's done, he's
• 26:01
  Speaker 6: gotten better with each start, Like he gave up one
• 26:03
  Speaker 6: and run each in his last two starts. His last
• 26:06
  Speaker 6: one was his best start where he went six innings.
• 26:08
  Speaker 6: He's already up to like a full starters pitch count here,
• 26:11
  Speaker 6: and that was at the A's stadium, only give up
• 26:14
  Speaker 6: one ear and run. That was a solid start in
• 26:16
  Speaker 6: a pitcher in a excuse me, a hitter friendly ballpark
• 26:19
  Speaker 6: against a good offense. He held him to four hits,
• 26:21
  Speaker 6: two walks, three strikeouts. You'd like to see the strike
• 26:25
  Speaker 6: out rate have been higher, but he does have a
• 26:27
  Speaker 6: high strike out rate on the season a low hit rate.
• 26:29
  Speaker 6: The only problem is he was walking a lot of
• 26:31
  Speaker 6: guys when he first started pitching this season. But the
• 26:35
  Speaker 6: walk numbers gone down basically with every start as well,
• 26:38
  Speaker 6: so that's less concerning to me than it was. He's
• 26:42
  Speaker 6: also got good numbers against Cleveland for the most part.
• 26:44
  Speaker 6: In one hundred and six at bats, two thirty six
• 26:47
  Speaker 6: average allowed seven hundred ops. It's not excellent, but it's
• 26:51
  Speaker 6: still below that seven point fifty Mendoza liner. I would
• 26:54
  Speaker 6: say Rodon has the matchup edge against Cleveland's hitters.
• 26:58
  Speaker 4: Here twenty four st got twelve walks.
• 27:01
  Speaker 6: It's way too many walks, but when you look into it,
• 27:04
  Speaker 6: eight of the walks or Jose Ramirez. Ramirez has like
• 27:07
  Speaker 6: half of the atvats that this team has against him.
• 27:10
  Speaker 6: So and Ramirez hasn't done that well against him, really,
• 27:14
  Speaker 6: but he has walked him a bunch, so Radon he
• 27:17
  Speaker 6: can pitch around him. He's only gonna have to face
• 27:19
  Speaker 6: Ramirez so many times. So we're gonna take the Yankees here.
• 27:22
  Speaker 6: They're the better team, they're at home. I highly doubt
• 27:25
  Speaker 6: they get swept, although obviously it's more likely now that
• 27:28
  Speaker 6: they've lost the first two games.
• 27:29
  Speaker 4: And the money seems to be not agreeing with me?
• 27:32
  Speaker 4: Isn't that great?
• 27:33
  Speaker 6: Yankees are in the minus one sixty something range now,
• 27:36
  Speaker 6: so you might be able to get a little bit
• 27:37
  Speaker 6: of a better price on this. Fifty four percent of
• 27:40
  Speaker 6: tickets on the Yankees, seventy seven percent of the cash
• 27:43
  Speaker 6: on Cleveland. I don't get it. There's no way I
• 27:45
  Speaker 6: would back Chaconi. But again, another way of playing this
• 27:49
  Speaker 6: the money he is kind of indicating on the over
• 27:51
  Speaker 6: totals at eight and a half. I said, another way
• 27:54
  Speaker 6: that you could play this is to just take the
• 27:55
  Speaker 6: Yankees over their team total, because I do expect them
• 27:58
  Speaker 6: to score runs against Chacone plus Cleveland's unrested bullpen here,
• 28:04
  Speaker 6: and the Yankees are good offensive team at home. I
• 28:07
  Speaker 6: think they're the number one offensive team at home, So
• 28:11
  Speaker 6: that is what I would be looking at there.
• 28:17
  Speaker 4: Nope, they they they didn't have that. That makes no sense.
• 28:20
  Speaker 4: Do what what book is it? I want to know.
• 28:23
  Speaker 6: That's why you gotta have more books available to you, man,
• 28:25
  Speaker 6: But I have not seen that. Actually I don't do
• 28:29
  Speaker 6: I usually just do the default the starting, the list
• 28:32
  Speaker 6: of starters must start, so I don't do the action
• 28:35
  Speaker 6: stuff that often. But that was one game where it was,
• 28:38
  Speaker 6: like some of the books I had available, definitely allowed
• 28:40
  Speaker 6: that bet with the undecided pitcher. And when it's undecided,
• 28:45
  Speaker 6: the default behavior is that it's okay, the listed starter
• 28:49
  Speaker 6: has to start.
• 28:50
  Speaker 4: But the but it can be anybody for the other team.
• 28:52
  Speaker 6: I'm pretty sure that's how the default behavior is at
• 28:55
  Speaker 6: like some of the big books there all right, speak
• 29:00
  Speaker 6: of which San Francisco at Milwaukee these teams have or no,
• 29:04
  Speaker 6: they haven't. Split Milwaukee's two and one in the series
• 29:07
  Speaker 6: of far so this is the final game of the series.
• 29:10
  Speaker 6: Milwaukee finally lost the game yesterday. As I mentioned, San
• 29:13
  Speaker 6: Francisco had the lead at the end of five and
• 29:16
  Speaker 6: won in the full game capacity as well. San Francisco
• 29:20
  Speaker 6: on these two guys out of the bullpen, which was
• 29:22
  Speaker 6: good for them because they were they were getting shaky
• 29:26
  Speaker 6: in the bullpen man, and they have had some rest
• 29:29
  Speaker 6: issues in the bullpen, so that will help that at least.
• 29:32
  Speaker 6: Although it was a saves situation, Milwaukee only used Chad Patrick. Though,
• 29:37
  Speaker 6: like I said, so Milwaukee has the better bullpen and
• 29:40
  Speaker 6: they rested their bullpen better yesterday because they only used
• 29:43
  Speaker 6: a long relief man. So Milwaukee does have a bullpen
• 29:46
  Speaker 6: advantage here. Their ranked tenth in bullpen. Giants are all
• 29:49
  Speaker 6: the way down to.
• 29:50
  Speaker 4: Twenty fourth here. I don't think they're quite as bad
• 29:53
  Speaker 4: as that.
• 29:53
  Speaker 6: Their ERA is better than all these teams around them,
• 29:56
  Speaker 6: but they've definitely been struggling a bit. Surprisingly, the Giants
• 30:00
  Speaker 6: offense had moved up. They're at seventeenth year, but that
• 30:03
  Speaker 6: was somewhat because of that fluky Colorado game that they had,
• 30:07
  Speaker 6: so I'm expecting them to come back down a bit.
• 30:09
  Speaker 6: Milwaukee is at twentieth, tiede with Cleveland, who I already mentioned,
• 30:13
  Speaker 6: and with Arizona who is playing today as well. Do
• 30:16
  Speaker 6: with that information what you want. This starting pitching.
• 30:18
  Speaker 4: Matchup is a not exactly elite.
• 30:21
  Speaker 6: Adrian Hauser is pitching for the Giants five point five
• 30:25
  Speaker 6: nine ERA one point five to six whip. Those are
• 30:28
  Speaker 6: bad numbers. He's better on the road, though four point
• 30:31
  Speaker 6: seventy nine road ray again makes no sense with San
• 30:34
  Speaker 6: Francisco being a pitcher friendly ballpark. I don't know why
• 30:37
  Speaker 6: he's worse at home, but that's been the case so
• 30:40
  Speaker 6: far coming off a bad outing, but it was a
• 30:43
  Speaker 6: course field, so maybe you don't put that much stock
• 30:45
  Speaker 6: into that. But the fact that he has a nineteen
• 30:47
  Speaker 6: to eleven strikeout walk ratio through the month, that's in
• 30:50
  Speaker 6: the month of May.
• 30:51
  Speaker 4: That's what he posted. That's not good, even.
• 30:54
  Speaker 6: Though he had a three point eight one ERA, and
• 30:57
  Speaker 6: that's too many walks in twenty six innings, he only
• 30:59
  Speaker 6: allowed twenty hits. He's not a huge strikeout guy, but
• 31:02
  Speaker 6: his walk rate is just too high. His hit rate
• 31:05
  Speaker 6: over the course of the season is also too high,
• 31:07
  Speaker 6: and his strikeout rate is definitely low, so he's not
• 31:09
  Speaker 6: really fooling anybody. I don't think Howser is very good.
• 31:13
  Speaker 6: Milwaukee hasn't really seen much of him though they have
• 31:16
  Speaker 6: four hitters who have faced him before six at bats,
• 31:19
  Speaker 6: no strikeouts, one walk, three thirty three average, thirteen to
• 31:23
  Speaker 6: thirty three ops, and Sanchez has a home run off him.
• 31:26
  Speaker 6: I don't even know what to do with these numbers.
• 31:28
  Speaker 6: I mean, I know he's not that familiar to Milwaukee,
• 31:31
  Speaker 6: but he's been around for a long time. I don't
• 31:33
  Speaker 6: think Milwaukee's gonna have that much of an issue.
• 31:36
  Speaker 4: Getting something off of him here. That would be my
• 31:40
  Speaker 4: That would be my guess here. And as far as
• 31:44
  Speaker 4: Hawser though, he.
• 31:46
  Speaker 6: Might get a little bit more up for this game
• 31:48
  Speaker 6: because Milwaukee was where he spent most of his career,
• 31:50
  Speaker 6: but I'm assuming he's pitched against them since then because
• 31:54
  Speaker 6: he's he hasn't been on that team since twenty twenty three,
• 31:57
  Speaker 6: So a lot of times that first game that you
• 31:58
  Speaker 6: pitch against your former team, you get really up for it.
• 32:02
  Speaker 4: But I think he's already done that.
• 32:03
  Speaker 6: But still, maybe he gets a little bit extra motivation
• 32:06
  Speaker 6: here facing the team that he spent most of his
• 32:09
  Speaker 6: career with.
• 32:10
  Speaker 4: Coleman Crowe, who I thought was.
• 32:11
  Speaker 6: Gonna get the pitching duties yesterday, is going today for
• 32:15
  Speaker 6: the Brewers. Three point one, four point nine to eight whip.
• 32:19
  Speaker 6: Those are good numbers. I think he's only pitched on
• 32:21
  Speaker 6: the road so far, but he hasn't gone deep Brilli
• 32:24
  Speaker 6: into these outings his overall numbers, you know, I mean,
• 32:27
  Speaker 6: he doesn't strike out a lot of guys. He hasn't
• 32:29
  Speaker 6: put a lot of guys on base either, though low
• 32:32
  Speaker 6: walk rate, low hit rate, hasn't allowed that many runs
• 32:34
  Speaker 6: in any of his outings.
• 32:35
  Speaker 4: But I still don't know if I want to trust him.
• 32:38
  Speaker 6: I mean, if you look at his like scouting reports
• 32:39
  Speaker 6: and whatever, he's basically like his scouting reports projected him
• 32:44
  Speaker 6: to be what Milwaukee has him doing, which is a
• 32:47
  Speaker 6: spot starter slash long relief type of guy.
• 32:51
  Speaker 4: So that's what he is.
• 32:52
  Speaker 6: I don't think he's great, but he's been decent for
• 32:56
  Speaker 6: them so far. He's facing a Giants lineup that I
• 32:58
  Speaker 6: don't think is very good, and they haven't seen him before,
• 33:02
  Speaker 6: so Crow might have a little bit of an advantage here.
• 33:06
  Speaker 6: I'll probably lean to Milwaukee in this one. I think
• 33:08
  Speaker 6: they do have some advantages here. The money is not
• 33:10
  Speaker 6: agreeing with me on that one either. Sixty seven percent
• 33:13
  Speaker 6: of tickets on Milwaukee, seventy two percent of the cash
• 33:15
  Speaker 6: on San Francisco.
• 33:17
  Speaker 4: I don't know, man. A lot of that has to
• 33:18
  Speaker 4: do with the price, though, so I could see the argument.
• 33:21
  Speaker 4: I guess.
• 33:21
  Speaker 6: I mean, Milwaukee at minus one to eighty something or whatever,
• 33:25
  Speaker 6: does Crow deserve to be that big of a favorite.
• 33:29
  Speaker 6: Maybe not so, maybe that's the argument that the price
• 33:31
  Speaker 6: tag is just too high on Milwaukee. But I think
• 33:34
  Speaker 6: they should win this game. I think they have too
• 33:37
  Speaker 6: many advantages here. The money, it looks like it's pretty
• 33:40
  Speaker 6: strongly indicating towards an over here. I might not disagree.
• 33:44
  Speaker 6: Fifty to fifty on the tickets, ninety percent of the
• 33:46
  Speaker 6: cash on the over the totals nine.
• 33:49
  Speaker 4: Houser.
• 33:49
  Speaker 6: Like I said, I mean, I think he's gonna have
• 33:54
  Speaker 6: some issues here. He's been even though he's been a
• 33:56
  Speaker 6: little bit better on the road, he hasn't pitched well.
• 33:59
  Speaker 6: But I don't know if I quite want to do that.
• 34:01
  Speaker 6: Of course that freaked me out. Of course ad block
• 34:04
  Speaker 6: comes back. That was in my Chrome browser though that
• 34:07
  Speaker 6: was not on my shared screen, but that really freaked
• 34:09
  Speaker 6: me out because it came in behind it came up
• 34:12
  Speaker 6: over stream yard, So that's great anyway.
• 34:17
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't think I have too much.
• 34:18
  Speaker 6: I agree with an over here generally, but this is
• 34:20
  Speaker 6: a hard game to figure out.
• 34:21
  Speaker 4: Man.
• 34:22
  Speaker 6: I mean, Crow could pitch well here, Houser could potentially
• 34:25
  Speaker 6: pitch well here too, So I don't really want to
• 34:26
  Speaker 6: do that either. Total is nine, so it is kind
• 34:29
  Speaker 6: of high for a reason. But yeah, I want nothing
• 34:32
  Speaker 6: to do with that game. It's pretty unpredictable. Yankees team total.
• 34:39
  Speaker 4: Is four and a half minus one eighteen.
• 34:43
  Speaker 6: Yeah, all right, yeah, I mean that seems pretty reasonable
• 34:47
  Speaker 6: to me. Really, I asked him to get five runs
• 34:49
  Speaker 6: in that game. That seems okay to me. I mean
• 34:52
  Speaker 6: that that is a way that you could play it,
• 34:55
  Speaker 6: all right, uh, and then they could potentially still lose
• 34:59
  Speaker 6: the game and still get that right.
• 35:01
  Speaker 4: They scored four runs in each of the first two games.
• 35:05
  Speaker 6: Scoring five is obviously not that big of an ask
• 35:07
  Speaker 6: with an offense like that, and their face in those
• 35:10
  Speaker 6: other two games they had to face better pitchers too.
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: Well.
• 35:13
  Speaker 6: Ken Tillo is not great, but they faced Gavin Williams yesterday.
• 35:17
  Speaker 6: Chaconi is a lot worse than Gavin Williams. All Right,
• 35:21
  Speaker 6: Toronto at Atlanta for Garrett here, Atlanta's trying to get
• 35:24
  Speaker 6: a sweet pier, so they might overlook Toronto a little
• 35:27
  Speaker 6: bit after beating them in both games here. But who
• 35:30
  Speaker 6: does Atlanta play next? Well, they play Pittsburgh. Maybe they
• 35:33
  Speaker 6: do look ahead to that. Pittsburgh has been having a
• 35:35
  Speaker 6: good season, so maybe Atlanta does.
• 35:37
  Speaker 4: Look ahead to that.
• 35:38
  Speaker 6: It's a National League game, pretty big weekend series, you know,
• 35:43
  Speaker 6: so maybe they do look ahead to that. I think
• 35:45
  Speaker 6: they might have to face Skins during that series as well,
• 35:50
  Speaker 6: so it's interesting not tomorrow they don't though, because Skeen's
• 35:54
  Speaker 6: pitched the other day. Toronto has not listed a starter
• 35:57
  Speaker 6: yet for this game. I went back and I looked,
• 35:59
  Speaker 6: and five games ago, Toronto went with a total bullpen game.
• 36:03
  Speaker 6: Toronto's got too many issues right now. Man don't cease
• 36:06
  Speaker 6: when on the d L. So I don't know if
• 36:08
  Speaker 6: this is his spot or one of the other spots.
• 36:10
  Speaker 6: But they got rid of Eric Lower, you know. Uh,
• 36:13
  Speaker 6: Toronto's got some issues here, and if they're going with
• 36:15
  Speaker 6: a bullpen game here, which they did five games ago,
• 36:18
  Speaker 6: that might be an issue.
• 36:19
  Speaker 4: Though.
• 36:20
  Speaker 6: They've had a couple of okay bullpen games this year,
• 36:23
  Speaker 6: but I don't know if this is gonna be one
• 36:24
  Speaker 6: of them. Against a good offense. Atlanta used three relief
• 36:27
  Speaker 6: pitchers yesterday. They have the better bullpen. Toronto also used three.
• 36:32
  Speaker 6: I actually think Toronto did actually list Fluardi as the
• 36:35
  Speaker 6: opener here. He's not actually a starter. He's coming out
• 36:39
  Speaker 6: of the bullpen. Uh, so he's gonna be an opener here.
• 36:41
  Speaker 6: He's probably gonna go one, uh maybe one plus innings here,
• 36:46
  Speaker 6: So it looks like it's gonna be a full bullpen
• 36:48
  Speaker 6: game for Toronto, which I wouldn't trust that. I don't
• 36:51
  Speaker 6: love their bullpen. Atlanta's number one in bullpen in both
• 36:55
  Speaker 6: Whip Andy Ra. Toronto is twelve, not awful, but you're
• 37:01
  Speaker 6: gonna be getting their bullpen mediocre bullpen for an entire
• 37:04
  Speaker 6: game against the third ranked Braves offense. Toronto's offense is
• 37:09
  Speaker 6: not good. They're twenty six, so they've really had issues
• 37:13
  Speaker 6: and they're having to go up against Chris Sale, which
• 37:15
  Speaker 6: makes matters even worse. Sale is having another good season.
• 37:19
  Speaker 6: Two point oh one e RA point nine to four Whip.
• 37:22
  Speaker 6: He's been elite at home, A.
• 37:24
  Speaker 4: Point six home e RA ridiculous. He's been good all season.
• 37:30
  Speaker 6: He's a lot more than tour and runs only once
• 37:32
  Speaker 6: in a weird outlier start at Anaheim. He's got a
• 37:36
  Speaker 6: high strikeout rate, pretty low walk rate, low hit rate.
• 37:39
  Speaker 4: All of his numbers are good. We get it.
• 37:41
  Speaker 6: I had a good month of May as well, had
• 37:43
  Speaker 6: some tough offenses that he faced in there too. Dodgers
• 37:47
  Speaker 6: Cubs did well against those teams.
• 37:50
  Speaker 4: We get it.
• 37:50
  Speaker 6: He's an elite pitcher, possibly in the Sy Young conversation,
• 37:55
  Speaker 6: but I don't think he's gonna get it because there's
• 37:56
  Speaker 6: too much competition in the NL, you know, Sanchez, and
• 38:01
  Speaker 6: I don't know how Sanchez. Sanchez wound up doing really
• 38:03
  Speaker 6: well again yesterday, didn't he because they won the game again.
• 38:07
  Speaker 6: But yeah, Sanchez, scheins Mizierowski. You gotta deal with all
• 38:10
  Speaker 6: those guys. Sale does have good numbers against Toronto. They
• 38:14
  Speaker 6: only have five guys who have faced him, though Springer
• 38:17
  Speaker 6: has the majority of the at bats, thirty out of
• 38:19
  Speaker 6: the forty eight at bats are him, and eleven of
• 38:21
  Speaker 6: them are vlad Guerrero.
• 38:23
  Speaker 4: But overall they.
• 38:24
  Speaker 6: Have a two twenty nine team average against them, six
• 38:26
  Speaker 6: to seventy seven ohps, seventeen strikeouts, and five walks.
• 38:33
  Speaker 4: So yeah, I think Sale likely.
• 38:36
  Speaker 6: Pitches well again here against a struggling offense that doesn't
• 38:39
  Speaker 6: do well against them and hasn't not even like all
• 38:43
  Speaker 6: their heroters haven't even faced Sale before. So yeah, I
• 38:46
  Speaker 6: don't want to fade Atlanta here. I mean, they have
• 38:49
  Speaker 6: too many matchup advantages in this game. They're around minus
• 38:52
  Speaker 6: two hundred, the totals low seven and a half. Atlanta
• 38:56
  Speaker 6: does have some issues scoring at home. They're better off
• 39:00
  Speaker 6: defensive team on the road for whatever reason. Still, I mean,
• 39:04
  Speaker 6: I think Atlanta wins the game. Minus two hundred is
• 39:06
  Speaker 6: a pretty big ass Like, you know, you're not gonna
• 39:08
  Speaker 6: get any value playing the team with the best record
• 39:11
  Speaker 6: in baseball with their Hall of Fame pitcher on the mound.
• 39:14
  Speaker 4: So I don't think I would do that either.
• 39:16
  Speaker 6: But you know, if you want to do some money
• 39:18
  Speaker 6: line parlaying with Atlanta in one, I guess you could
• 39:22
  Speaker 6: do that. But again, situationally, I don't really want them
• 39:25
  Speaker 6: because they're they're looking for a sweet beer and I
• 39:28
  Speaker 6: usually avoid those teams at the very least, So I
• 39:30
  Speaker 6: don't know. I'm avoiding that game though, But Atlanta has
• 39:33
  Speaker 6: too many matchup edges. I expect them to win the game,
• 39:36
  Speaker 6: but we'll see. Kind of like what I said with Philly,
• 39:39
  Speaker 6: Kansas City at Minnesota, this is a new series that's starting.
• 39:43
  Speaker 6: Minnesota is staying at home, I believe. Yeah, they just
• 39:45
  Speaker 6: faced the White Sox. They lost eight nothing yesterday. They
• 39:49
  Speaker 6: won the series, but they got shut out yesterday. A
• 39:52
  Speaker 6: lot of times when a team gets shut out at home,
• 39:54
  Speaker 6: they will bounce back and do better. In the next game,
• 39:56
  Speaker 6: they have Kansas City coming in from Cincinnati. Not terrible
• 40:01
  Speaker 6: travel spot here. Kansas City was able to break their
• 40:04
  Speaker 6: losing streak and they actually won these series against Cincinnati.
• 40:07
  Speaker 6: I know Cincinnati early in the season hadn't lost a
• 40:10
  Speaker 6: series pretty deep into the season. I'm pretty sure they
• 40:12
  Speaker 6: have since then, though, and of course they did lose
• 40:15
  Speaker 6: that one against Kansas City. But Kansas City seems to
• 40:17
  Speaker 6: be at least playing a little bit less Kansas Shitty recently.
• 40:23
  Speaker 6: They still have a very bad bullpen though they only
• 40:25
  Speaker 6: us two guys out of the bullpen yesterday. But Kansas
• 40:27
  Speaker 6: City's bullpen is bad. Minnesota's is also bad, though, and
• 40:31
  Speaker 6: they used four guys out of the bullpen, So this
• 40:34
  Speaker 6: may be a series where we might be looking for
• 40:36
  Speaker 6: some overs here because these bullpens are that bad. Minnesota's
• 40:41
  Speaker 6: twenty seventh Kansas City is dead last thirtieth, but Houston's
• 40:46
  Speaker 6: still got the worst bullpen Eerra, so I always have
• 40:49
  Speaker 6: to just make fun of Houston's bullpen.
• 40:51
  Speaker 4: Man.
• 40:52
  Speaker 6: Kansas City's offense hasn't been good either. Their twenty seventh
• 40:55
  Speaker 6: Minnesota has been a bit better than that. Minnesota is
• 40:59
  Speaker 6: where are they at Actually they've fallen way down. They're
• 41:02
  Speaker 6: twenty third, so these offenses actually have been struggling. Seth
• 41:06
  Speaker 6: Lugo is pitching for Kansas City. I still think he's
• 41:09
  Speaker 6: a decent pitcher. You know, the advanced analytics guys really
• 41:12
  Speaker 6: don't like him three point five to five ERA. His
• 41:15
  Speaker 6: whip is a little bit high, one point three to five,
• 41:17
  Speaker 6: So I don't love that.
• 41:18
  Speaker 4: He's been good on.
• 41:19
  Speaker 6: The road this year two point seven road YRA and
• 41:23
  Speaker 6: that's where he is today. He had a nice outing
• 41:25
  Speaker 6: last time out. He's actually had a few pretty good
• 41:27
  Speaker 6: outings in a row after he had a couple of
• 41:29
  Speaker 6: rough ones. He pitched pretty well against Boston Seattle, both
• 41:33
  Speaker 6: those at home and then on the road against Texas.
• 41:35
  Speaker 6: I know Boston and Texas not elite lineups. In Texas
• 41:39
  Speaker 6: very pitcher friendly ballpark, but he's still strung together a
• 41:42
  Speaker 6: few good starts, so he's in better form right now.
• 41:46
  Speaker 6: Over the month of May, though, he did have too
• 41:47
  Speaker 6: many walks twelve walks, twenty nine strikeouts in thirty three
• 41:51
  Speaker 6: to thirty innings and too many hits allowed forty.
• 41:56
  Speaker 4: So yeah, I don't know he's I still.
• 41:58
  Speaker 6: Don't love the overall main numbers there, but his last
• 42:01
  Speaker 6: three starts were definitely better than that, and his walk
• 42:04
  Speaker 6: rate went down as well, and his hit rate went
• 42:06
  Speaker 6: down a bit as well. Over the course of the season,
• 42:08
  Speaker 6: he's allowed a little bit more than one hit per inning,
• 42:10
  Speaker 6: which isn't great. His walk rate isn't really that high though.
• 42:13
  Speaker 6: His strikeout rate is about what you expect. He's not
• 42:16
  Speaker 6: a huge strikeout guy, and he's fairly old now. Lugo
• 42:19
  Speaker 6: against Minnesota, they've seen a lot of them because he's
• 42:22
  Speaker 6: been in their division. As I click on the wrong
• 42:25
  Speaker 6: team here, he's not great against Minnesota and sixty eight
• 42:31
  Speaker 6: at bats two ninety four average allowed, seven H six
• 42:34
  Speaker 6: OPS isn't that bad though, so they have a lot
• 42:36
  Speaker 6: of singles against him thirteen strikeouts, three walks, but they
• 42:41
  Speaker 6: do hit him for contact. I don't know if I
• 42:43
  Speaker 6: really trust Lugo here. He is in better form right now,
• 42:46
  Speaker 6: though in his OPS against here is still pretty low,
• 42:49
  Speaker 6: so he might put in a decent outing here in Minnesota.
• 42:52
  Speaker 6: Looks like they're going with a bulpe end game because
• 42:54
  Speaker 6: they have Andrew Moore as listed as a starter. He's young,
• 42:58
  Speaker 6: He's twenty four, so I don't know if the going
• 43:00
  Speaker 6: to try to convert him into a starter, but his
• 43:02
  Speaker 6: numbers are not good four point ZHO seven e RA
• 43:05
  Speaker 6: one point five to Whip. I would not trust that.
• 43:10
  Speaker 6: He hasn't pitched that much. But he's made almost entirely
• 43:12
  Speaker 6: relief appearances year. He's allowed more than one hit per ending.
• 43:16
  Speaker 6: His walk rates not great, his strikeout rate is decent,
• 43:18
  Speaker 6: but the fact that he's putting that many guys on
• 43:21
  Speaker 6: base in relief appearances, that's not good. So yeah, I
• 43:27
  Speaker 6: don't love that here and Morris, I don't know how
• 43:29
  Speaker 6: much we need to dig into his numbers against KC,
• 43:32
  Speaker 6: but they actually haven't seen him before.
• 43:34
  Speaker 4: But I still don't trust this.
• 43:35
  Speaker 6: I think we're looking at a bullpen game from Minnesota here,
• 43:38
  Speaker 6: and I looked, and this would be Bailey Ober's turn
• 43:40
  Speaker 6: in the rotation. He's on the DL now, So I
• 43:44
  Speaker 6: think that's what we got going on with Minnesota. They're
• 43:47
  Speaker 6: basically forced into a bullpen game here that's not really
• 43:50
  Speaker 6: planned because Ober is now hurt. So that's not good.
• 43:54
  Speaker 6: So I think I would lean over in this game.
• 43:56
  Speaker 6: I don't quite want to do it. I mean, the
• 43:58
  Speaker 6: offenses are struggle.
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: Lugo.
• 44:00
  Speaker 4: I think could put together an okay outing here.
• 44:03
  Speaker 6: The money's indicating on Minnesota, I would tell you I
• 44:05
  Speaker 6: wouldn't do that. Sixty nine percent of tickets, ninety two
• 44:08
  Speaker 6: percent of the cash on Minnesota. There's no way I
• 44:11
  Speaker 6: can back a bullpen game with one of the worst
• 44:13
  Speaker 6: bullpens in baseball. I'm sorry, but I just can't do that.
• 44:17
  Speaker 6: Even though Minnesota looks like they should be in a
• 44:19
  Speaker 6: bounced back spot after yesterday's shutout loss that they had
• 44:24
  Speaker 6: Kansas City's actually favored at around minus one thirteen or
• 44:28
  Speaker 6: so here, So the odds makers are kind of telling
• 44:30
  Speaker 6: you that they would trust Lugo fairly significantly over a
• 44:35
  Speaker 6: Minnesota bullpen game.
• 44:36
  Speaker 4: Over is getting some money.
• 44:38
  Speaker 6: Eighty seven percent of tickets, ninety two percent of the
• 44:40
  Speaker 6: cash totals at nine juice to the over. If you're
• 44:43
  Speaker 6: gonna go over here, I would try to do that
• 44:46
  Speaker 6: and not let it get to nine and a half
• 44:48
  Speaker 6: because nine is a key number four to four tie needs.
• 44:52
  Speaker 4: To be broken.
• 44:53
  Speaker 6: So it's a lot better to go over nine than
• 44:55
  Speaker 6: nine and a half because you need another run if
• 44:58
  Speaker 6: you go nine and a half. So on that key
• 45:01
  Speaker 6: number there, over nine, Like if I was gonna play
• 45:04
  Speaker 6: that game. I think I would probably do that though
• 45:06
  Speaker 6: over nine is probably my preferred way to play that game,
• 45:10
  Speaker 6: but I don't want to do it.
• 45:11
  Speaker 4: The a is at the Cubs.
• 45:13
  Speaker 6: Cubs are on the verge of getting swept by an
• 45:16
  Speaker 6: American League team at home. Really now, the Cubs have
• 45:20
  Speaker 6: lost each game by one run, and they lost an
• 45:22
  Speaker 6: extra innings yesterday, so you know, they could have won
• 45:26
  Speaker 6: both games. We did have a winner on A's first
• 45:29
  Speaker 6: five in the first game of the series. That was
• 45:30
  Speaker 6: a rough situation with the Cubs returning home from a
• 45:33
  Speaker 6: road trip, so that's part of the reason why I
• 45:36
  Speaker 6: did that. But I thought the Cubs would bounce back.
• 45:38
  Speaker 6: They didn't yesterday. You gotta think they bounced back here
• 45:42
  Speaker 6: with Iamanaga on the mound right Emanaga is one of
• 45:44
  Speaker 6: their best starters, you got to think that they come
• 45:47
  Speaker 6: motivated and avoid the sweep. And that was kind of
• 45:48
  Speaker 6: where I started this handicap. I liked the Cubs, and
• 45:51
  Speaker 6: you look like you're getting kind of a cheap number
• 45:53
  Speaker 6: on the Cubs here because they're not playing good baseball
• 45:56
  Speaker 6: right now. I think they're still better than the A's
• 45:59
  Speaker 6: and they're at home. I of what a sweep looks
• 46:01
  Speaker 6: like you might want the Cubs here. The A's, by
• 46:04
  Speaker 6: the way, have a Houston next, so I don't know
• 46:06
  Speaker 6: if they're gonna look ahead to that, but it is
• 46:08
  Speaker 6: a divisional series that they have against Houston next. As
• 46:12
  Speaker 6: far as the bullpens, I think Chicago has the better
• 46:14
  Speaker 6: bullpen here the Cobs. The A's used a lot of
• 46:18
  Speaker 6: their relief pitchers because it was an extra inning game.
• 46:20
  Speaker 6: They use six guys out of the bullpen yesterday. That
• 46:23
  Speaker 6: is not what you want to see when you already
• 46:25
  Speaker 6: have a pretty questionable bullpen. Cubs also use a lot.
• 46:28
  Speaker 6: They use six guys or seven guys actually, but their
• 46:31
  Speaker 6: bullpen is a little bit better, so I think they
• 46:33
  Speaker 6: do have a bullpen advantage here, even though both bullpens
• 46:36
  Speaker 6: are unrested after yesterday, Clubs are number eight in bullpen
• 46:40
  Speaker 6: A's are nineteenth. Offense has have bolt been pretty good.
• 46:44
  Speaker 6: Cubs are eighth. Excuse me, as are ninth. J T
• 46:49
  Speaker 6: Ginn is going for the A's done. He's actually been
• 46:51
  Speaker 6: pretty good. Two point eight seventy RA one point one
• 46:54
  Speaker 6: for whip. He's better outside of that horrible A stadium,
• 46:57
  Speaker 6: which makes sense because again it's a or friendly Ballpark,
• 47:01
  Speaker 6: so his road ERA two point oh eight is a
• 47:03
  Speaker 6: lot better.
• 47:04
  Speaker 4: He's been good on the road.
• 47:06
  Speaker 6: He's coming off allowing no earned runs and six innings
• 47:09
  Speaker 6: against the Yankees, but he.
• 47:11
  Speaker 4: Has walked too many guys.
• 47:12
  Speaker 6: He had a solid month of May though, two point
• 47:14
  Speaker 6: sixty RA and only twenty four hits allout in thirty
• 47:17
  Speaker 6: four and two thirds innings. That was good, but he
• 47:19
  Speaker 6: also walks seventeen guys. That's not good. His walk RDE
• 47:24
  Speaker 6: actually was. It was interesting because eleven of those walks
• 47:28
  Speaker 6: came in two outings on the road against San Diego
• 47:31
  Speaker 6: and at home against Cleveland, so if you take those out,
• 47:33
  Speaker 6: his walk rate went way down. So it's like his
• 47:36
  Speaker 6: walks are all just kind of in spurts, and his
• 47:39
  Speaker 6: walk rade hasn't been as bad over the course of
• 47:42
  Speaker 6: the season, so it's like it's all or nothing with him.
• 47:45
  Speaker 6: It's like he comes in, he either walks a ton
• 47:47
  Speaker 6: of guys or he doesn't walk anybody so I don't know,
• 47:51
  Speaker 6: or walks like one guy. I don't know.
• 47:52
  Speaker 4: It's kind of ridiculous.
• 47:53
  Speaker 6: He didn't have thirty three strikeouts over those thirty four
• 47:56
  Speaker 6: and two thirds innings as well. Gin is a little
• 47:58
  Speaker 6: bit hard to figure out. He's a lot really few
• 48:01
  Speaker 6: hits this season. His walk rate is not good, like
• 48:05
  Speaker 6: I said, but that's a lot of it is because
• 48:07
  Speaker 6: he's had like four starts or three starts where he's
• 48:09
  Speaker 6: had really high walk numbers, and his strike out rate
• 48:12
  Speaker 6: is not that high. But he's not really a strikeout pitcher.
• 48:15
  Speaker 6: The A's have won the majority of his outings this year,
• 48:18
  Speaker 6: which is pretty good. Uh So, overall, I think Gan
• 48:21
  Speaker 6: actually is good, but these walk numbers do worry me
• 48:23
  Speaker 6: for sure. His numbers against the Cobs. They only have
• 48:26
  Speaker 6: four at bats against him. Only Bregman and Kelly have
• 48:29
  Speaker 6: ever faced him. Bregman has the only hit, a single
• 48:33
  Speaker 6: and as a walk off him, and Kelly has a strikeout,
• 48:36
  Speaker 6: but that's it. So Gan is pretty unfamiliar to the Cubs,
• 48:40
  Speaker 6: so that might be a little bit of an extra
• 48:42
  Speaker 6: advantage to him because they haven't faced him. I know
• 48:44
  Speaker 6: he's going up against the show to Imanaga, who is
• 48:47
  Speaker 6: good and is better than his era makes him look
• 48:50
  Speaker 6: four point three seven era. I know that's not good.
• 48:53
  Speaker 6: He's had a couple of questionable starts here recently though,
• 48:56
  Speaker 6: one point oh seven whip. That's not BADMA is good.
• 49:00
  Speaker 6: We've seen what he can do at the major league level.
• 49:02
  Speaker 6: He's been here for a few years now. At some
• 49:04
  Speaker 6: point he's going to be I think back to what
• 49:06
  Speaker 6: he once was. But he's been a little bit worse
• 49:09
  Speaker 6: at home four point five to seven home hera and
• 49:11
  Speaker 6: he had one start where he got tagged by Milwaukee,
• 49:14
  Speaker 6: but I told you going into that game, his matchup
• 49:17
  Speaker 6: numbers were horrible, like he specifically does really bad against Milwaukee.
• 49:21
  Speaker 4: I don't know why.
• 49:22
  Speaker 6: And then after that he did give up a bunch
• 49:23
  Speaker 6: of runs to Houston, but he had good command numbers
• 49:26
  Speaker 6: in that game, so I think he got a little
• 49:28
  Speaker 6: bit unlucky. But he followed that up with another pretty
• 49:31
  Speaker 6: rough outing against Saint Louis, so I don't know. He's
• 49:34
  Speaker 6: not really in good form right now. He's allowing a
• 49:36
  Speaker 6: lot of home runs right now, which is definitely concerning,
• 49:39
  Speaker 6: even though he had a thirty one to nine strike
• 49:41
  Speaker 6: out walk ratio during the month of May, which is good,
• 49:44
  Speaker 6: so his command numbers were right there, but the number
• 49:48
  Speaker 6: of home runs, so I do think he's still getting
• 49:49
  Speaker 6: unlucky though in the month of May, and the Cubs
• 49:52
  Speaker 6: lost four starts in a row of his but he
• 49:54
  Speaker 6: faced capable offenses in all four of them. You know,
• 49:58
  Speaker 6: I think at some point he is gonna bount He's
• 50:00
  Speaker 6: obviously nowhere near as bad as he's been pitching recently,
• 50:03
  Speaker 6: but you have to kind of figure out when is
• 50:05
  Speaker 6: he gonna come back into form and is it gonna
• 50:07
  Speaker 6: start in this game? Because the A's are a decent
• 50:10
  Speaker 6: offense too. I'm not so sure. His overall numbers are good,
• 50:13
  Speaker 6: by the way, way fewer than one hit per inning,
• 50:16
  Speaker 6: almost one strike up er inning.
• 50:18
  Speaker 4: His walk rates pretty low.
• 50:19
  Speaker 6: His home run rate is high, but again that's because
• 50:22
  Speaker 6: of those most recent starts where you give up a ton.
• 50:25
  Speaker 4: It might not come here, though.
• 50:27
  Speaker 6: His bounce back might not come here because the As
• 50:29
  Speaker 6: have nineteen at bats against him and they hit three
• 50:31
  Speaker 6: sixteen off him with a nine.
• 50:33
  Speaker 4: To forty seven OPS.
• 50:34
  Speaker 6: So I was thinking I might wind up playing the
• 50:37
  Speaker 6: Cubs here, but that's not gonna happen. His matchup numbers
• 50:40
  Speaker 6: just aren't good enough, im Naga.
• 50:42
  Speaker 4: Recent form worries me.
• 50:44
  Speaker 6: Six strikeouts, no walks over those at bats, by the way,
• 50:47
  Speaker 6: for whatever that's worth.
• 50:50
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I can't really deal with it, man. I mean,
• 50:53
  Speaker 4: in this game, the.
• 50:55
  Speaker 6: Money's coming in on the Cubs fifty take a sixty
• 50:58
  Speaker 6: four percent of the cash on them. They're around minus
• 51:00
  Speaker 6: one thirty four or so here. Yeah, they should be motivated.
• 51:05
  Speaker 6: They're trying to avoid the sweep here. The total's pretty
• 51:09
  Speaker 6: high ten ten and a half, which indicates wind is
• 51:11
  Speaker 6: blowing out here. That might not be good for im
• 51:14
  Speaker 6: Naga right because he's allowing too many home runs.
• 51:16
  Speaker 4: You do not want is if you're him.
• 51:18
  Speaker 6: Right now, you do not want to have a wind blowing.
• 51:21
  Speaker 4: Out game in Wrigling.
• 51:22
  Speaker 6: And that looks like that's what this is, because there's
• 51:23
  Speaker 6: no there's no way this total would be that high
• 51:26
  Speaker 6: otherwise with this pitching matchup, So you know, wind is
• 51:29
  Speaker 6: blowing out here. You know, I don't know, it might
• 51:35
  Speaker 6: sound kind of insane, but I might go with A's
• 51:38
  Speaker 6: over their team total here because I don't know if
• 51:41
  Speaker 6: I would want to take them to win the game,
• 51:43
  Speaker 6: but it looks like it's gonna be a high scoring game.
• 51:45
  Speaker 6: Imanaga is not a good form right now. He's got
• 51:47
  Speaker 6: bad matchup numbers against the A's. The A's could put
• 51:50
  Speaker 6: up enough of team total here to do that and
• 51:53
  Speaker 6: still not even win the game. The the underdog here,
• 51:58
  Speaker 6: so you're asking him to probably get to five there.
• 52:01
  Speaker 6: It's it's doable, I think in that game.
• 52:03
  Speaker 4: So I don't know.
• 52:03
  Speaker 6: That might be what I would do in that game.
• 52:05
  Speaker 6: I don't know, man, It's a tough game to actually handicap.
• 52:09
  Speaker 6: So I'm skipping the game obviously. Twomas, what's up?
• 52:14
  Speaker 4: Man, I don't know.
• 52:15
  Speaker 6: I still don't know how to pronounce I should because
• 52:17
  Speaker 6: I'm part Scandinavian, so show grin, I could pronounce that
• 52:22
  Speaker 6: a little bit better than you go, what's up?
• 52:25
  Speaker 4: Let's get some money.
• 52:28
  Speaker 6: I only have one play today, Like I said, it
• 52:30
  Speaker 6: is the Yankees split bet run line money line.
• 52:33
  Speaker 4: Pittsburgh at Houston continues.
• 52:35
  Speaker 6: This is a Fox Sports one game, so this is
• 52:37
  Speaker 6: the only like national TV game here. For whatever reason,
• 52:42
  Speaker 6: it's been a high scoring series though, I mean, it
• 52:44
  Speaker 6: looks like it could be an over series. And you
• 52:45
  Speaker 6: have two bullpends that aren't very good like this, and
• 52:48
  Speaker 6: two offenses that are more than capable.
• 52:50
  Speaker 4: And yeah, it's been a it's definitely been an over series.
• 52:53
  Speaker 6: Each team has won one game. Both games have been
• 52:56
  Speaker 6: really high scoring. Houston, they used most of their bullpen yesterday.
• 53:02
  Speaker 6: These well, five guys out of the bullpen that's not good.
• 53:05
  Speaker 6: Pittsburgh used four. Was that an extra inning game? No,
• 53:10
  Speaker 6: it wasn't, but it was eleven to nine. Houston with
• 53:12
  Speaker 6: the win yesterday on Pittsburgh I think won the first
• 53:15
  Speaker 6: game of this year is ten to six. Some real
• 53:17
  Speaker 6: high scoring affairs here. The bullpens are bad. Houston is
• 53:21
  Speaker 6: ranked twenty six, but they have the worst bullpen era.
• 53:24
  Speaker 6: Pittsburgh not very good either at eighteenth. I would not
• 53:28
  Speaker 6: trust either bullpen, especially with the lack of rest here.
• 53:31
  Speaker 6: The offenses have been good. Pittsburgh is number four, Houston
• 53:35
  Speaker 6: number seven. So again, that is looking like this could
• 53:39
  Speaker 6: be an over game, but the starting pitching, to me,
• 53:41
  Speaker 6: doesn't really look like it's an over starting pitching matchup.
• 53:45
  Speaker 6: Jared Jones is making his second start after having an
• 53:48
  Speaker 6: entire season missed with an injury.
• 53:51
  Speaker 4: He's going for Pittsburgh here.
• 53:53
  Speaker 6: I know his numbers look bad, ten point three eighty
• 53:55
  Speaker 6: or a two point oh eight whip. I would not
• 53:57
  Speaker 6: put much weight into that though, because he's trying to
• 53:59
  Speaker 6: go back from injury.
• 54:01
  Speaker 4: I gave up the.
• 54:03
  Speaker 6: Under in the first five and in his first game
• 54:06
  Speaker 6: back and it didn't work out. He wasn't great in
• 54:08
  Speaker 6: the game against Minnesota, But I think he is going
• 54:11
  Speaker 6: to get better as he works his way back, you
• 54:13
  Speaker 6: know what I mean. He was good in twenty twenty four,
• 54:15
  Speaker 6: his first season in the majors as a rookie. That
• 54:19
  Speaker 6: his numbers are pretty solid for a rookie campaign. So
• 54:22
  Speaker 6: I think Jones is good and I think at some
• 54:23
  Speaker 6: point he is gonna bounce back. Had a rough outing
• 54:26
  Speaker 6: against Minnesota, but he did have six strikeouts and two walks,
• 54:29
  Speaker 6: so command numbers were not that bad there. But he
• 54:32
  Speaker 6: got hit around for seven hits in fourn at the
• 54:34
  Speaker 6: third innings five and runs. And I know he's facing
• 54:37
  Speaker 6: a Houston lineup that is pretty difficult to go up against,
• 54:41
  Speaker 6: but they haven't seen Jones before. So I think Jones
• 54:44
  Speaker 6: is going to improve off of that start. He's got
• 54:46
  Speaker 6: that one start under his belt. Might have been a
• 54:48
  Speaker 6: little bit shaky, you know, his first start back in
• 54:50
  Speaker 6: the majors. Is still a young guy. He's twenty four,
• 54:53
  Speaker 6: you know, might have been shaky for that reason. After
• 54:56
  Speaker 6: not pitching in the majors for a year. I think
• 54:58
  Speaker 6: we're gonna see him start pitch better. He's got that
• 55:01
  Speaker 6: game under his belt. Houston's unfamiliar with him, so he
• 55:04
  Speaker 6: might be able to pitch well here, although Minnesota was
• 55:07
  Speaker 6: as well. Only Paradus has ever faced him before, and
• 55:10
  Speaker 6: he's zero for four with a strikeout in two walks
• 55:13
  Speaker 6: against him, but generally, yeah, he's completely unfamiliar to Houston.
• 55:18
  Speaker 6: Kaiwai Tang is getting to start for Houston. He's actually
• 55:21
  Speaker 6: been good, although keep in mind a lot of these
• 55:23
  Speaker 6: numbers came in relief appearances. Two point five seventy RA,
• 55:27
  Speaker 6: one point one whip. He's been pretty solid. He's got
• 55:31
  Speaker 6: the same era home and away, which is crazy. He's
• 55:34
  Speaker 6: actually been pretty good since they converted him to a
• 55:36
  Speaker 6: starter or two. He's gone five or more innings in
• 55:40
  Speaker 6: each of his starts here, unless actually, how many starts
• 55:43
  Speaker 6: does he have One of those might have been a
• 55:44
  Speaker 6: shorter start. No, he's got five starts, but in his
• 55:47
  Speaker 6: last three starts he's gone a little bit deeper and
• 55:49
  Speaker 6: he's been reasonably good here, except.
• 55:52
  Speaker 4: His walk numbers have been bad. That's kind of the problem.
• 55:56
  Speaker 6: So he's gone sixteen innings across three starts, so he's
• 55:59
  Speaker 6: only left three earned runs, which is good. He's only
• 56:02
  Speaker 6: allowed seven hits across that span, which is also really good.
• 56:05
  Speaker 6: But he's at eleven walks, which is a huge problem,
• 56:09
  Speaker 6: and he's got a twenty strikeout, so that's good. The
• 56:11
  Speaker 6: amount of strikeouts is good, but the amount of walks
• 56:15
  Speaker 6: is definitely concerning. Numbers against Pittsburgh he basically doesn't have
• 56:19
  Speaker 6: and he only O'Hearn has ever faced him before, two
• 56:22
  Speaker 6: for three with a strikeout, So yeah, it's this is
• 56:27
  Speaker 6: a difficult game to handicap man, but I kind of
• 56:30
  Speaker 6: lean towards both starting pitchers actually doing okay here. The
• 56:34
  Speaker 6: money looks like it's kind of indicating towards the over
• 56:36
  Speaker 6: and I think if you're gonna go over here, you
• 56:38
  Speaker 6: gotta go full game with it to take advantage of
• 56:40
  Speaker 6: these awful bullpens. Fifty five percent of the tickets, it's
• 56:44
  Speaker 6: fifty percent of the cash on the over here totals
• 56:48
  Speaker 6: in eight and a half for the full game.
• 56:50
  Speaker 4: That's not a high total.
• 56:51
  Speaker 6: Giving up bad these bullpens are, though, and how capable
• 56:54
  Speaker 6: these offenses are, which is kind of indicating to me.
• 56:57
  Speaker 6: The oddsmakers do think the starting pitching might be decent here,
• 57:00
  Speaker 6: so I think you could go under first five in
• 57:02
  Speaker 6: this game. That might be the way I would lean
• 57:04
  Speaker 6: if I was gonna do anything with this game would
• 57:06
  Speaker 6: be first five under. I don't really want to do
• 57:08
  Speaker 6: it obviously. I mean, there there are some question marks here.
• 57:12
  Speaker 6: The money is also back in Houston. For what that's worth,
• 57:15
  Speaker 6: seventy five percent of tickets eighty percent of the cash
• 57:17
  Speaker 6: on them because I know I'm fading the market with
• 57:19
  Speaker 6: my Yankee play. They're at around minus one ten here,
• 57:23
  Speaker 6: So do with that info what you want. It's basically
• 57:25
  Speaker 6: a pick the winner in that game. Then we have
• 57:28
  Speaker 6: Dodgers Arizona finishing their series. Arizona is trying to avoid
• 57:31
  Speaker 6: getting Oh no, they're not getting swept. They won the
• 57:33
  Speaker 6: first game of the series, my mistake. Then the Dodgers
• 57:36
  Speaker 6: took the last two, including beating Arizona seven.
• 57:39
  Speaker 4: To nothing yesterday.
• 57:40
  Speaker 6: You know, I talk about it when a team gets
• 57:42
  Speaker 6: shut out at home, a lot of times they bounce
• 57:44
  Speaker 6: back with a better effort in the next game. Arizona
• 57:47
  Speaker 6: may be able to do that here. They're not a
• 57:50
  Speaker 6: horrible team, but they did use four guys out of
• 57:52
  Speaker 6: the bullpen yesterday. Dodgers only used two. Dodgers have the
• 57:56
  Speaker 6: better bullpen. They're ranked number two, Arizona is four. Though
• 58:00
  Speaker 6: Arizona's era is still not that great out of the
• 58:03
  Speaker 6: bullpenber their bullpen's been at least decent, I would say,
• 58:06
  Speaker 6: but Dodgers have the better one and more rest. Dodgers
• 58:09
  Speaker 6: are number one in offense, Arizona is number twenty, so
• 58:13
  Speaker 6: they've fallen back. They're tied with Cleveland and Minnesota. As
• 58:16
  Speaker 6: I mentioned earlier, Dodgers are going with Justin Robleski, who
• 58:20
  Speaker 6: continues to pitch pretty well, even though he's not a
• 58:23
  Speaker 6: guy that goes in and blows people away. I don't
• 58:25
  Speaker 6: really know exactly how he's doing this, but he is
• 58:27
  Speaker 6: pitching effectively two point eight seven e RA one point
• 58:31
  Speaker 6: zero one whip. He's been slightly better on the road
• 58:34
  Speaker 6: four points or Sason four. That wouldn't be that good
• 58:37
  Speaker 6: two point seventy nine road ERA. But he's pitching in
• 58:40
  Speaker 6: Arizona here. Arizona is a more hitter friendly ballpark, so
• 58:44
  Speaker 6: we'll see what he can do here. Robleski, I mean,
• 58:47
  Speaker 6: he's coming off a decent month of May where he
• 58:49
  Speaker 6: had fewer than one hit all out for inning twenty
• 58:51
  Speaker 6: nine and thirty two to two thirds.
• 58:52
  Speaker 4: Innings, twenty five strike gots, five walks.
• 58:55
  Speaker 6: All those numbers were good, so it indicates his four
• 58:57
  Speaker 6: point one to three ERA that month actually should have
• 59:00
  Speaker 6: been better than that, so he hasn't really followen off,
• 59:03
  Speaker 6: and he's coming up a good outing against Philly. One
• 59:06
  Speaker 6: hit them through seven innings, though the one hit was
• 59:08
  Speaker 6: a home run, but nine strikeouts, no walks. That was
• 59:11
  Speaker 6: an awesome outing against Philadelphia and he only and he
• 59:13
  Speaker 6: did it only throwing eighty eight pitches, So I don't
• 59:16
  Speaker 6: think he's really gonna be in a tired spot, letdown spot.
• 59:19
  Speaker 4: Whatever.
• 59:20
  Speaker 6: He's doing pretty well. Even though his strikeout rate is low,
• 59:22
  Speaker 6: his hit rate is also low. His walk rate is
• 59:24
  Speaker 6: also pretty low, So.
• 59:26
  Speaker 4: I don't know.
• 59:26
  Speaker 6: I don't know how he's doing it without being a
• 59:28
  Speaker 6: strikeout pitcher, but that's what he's doing. Arizona has twelve
• 59:31
  Speaker 6: at bats against him across four hitters, and they have
• 59:34
  Speaker 6: hit him well five hundred average, eleven to fifty five ohps,
• 59:37
  Speaker 6: one strikeout, two walks.
• 59:39
  Speaker 4: So Rableski has not done.
• 59:40
  Speaker 6: Well against Arizona's few hitters who have seen him, but
• 59:43
  Speaker 6: I would not put that much weight into that small
• 59:45
  Speaker 6: of a sample size. Arizona's going with Ryan Nelson, who
• 59:51
  Speaker 6: has not been that bad this season. Of those ERA
• 59:53
  Speaker 6: is getting higher four point eight two eras whip is
• 59:56
  Speaker 6: still not bad though one point one nine. He's been
• 59:59
  Speaker 6: worse at home home though five point nine to seven
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 6: home y I ray, so he pitches worst in this
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 6: hitter friendly stadium. He just got tagged for four home
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 6: runs on the road at Seattle last time out. That's
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 6: not a great sign that he's allowing a bunch of
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 6: home runs and a pitcher friendly ballpark over the month.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 6: He had a two point nine to five RRA in May,
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 6: which was good. Thirty one strikeouts or excuse me, thirty
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 6: one strikeouts that would be pretty good. Twenty eight strikeouts
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 6: still pretty good. Actually, no, I mean that's not that
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 6: high because it was thirty nine and two thirds in
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 6: he his pitch, but whatever. Thirty one hits allowed not
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 6: too bad. Eight walks also not too bad, So his
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 6: numbers over the month actually weren't that bad. So he
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 6: pitched pretty well for the most part in May. His
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 6: overall numbers are not horrible. Few are the one hit
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 6: per inning. His walk rate is not too bad, his
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 6: strikeout rates a bit low. His problem is he's an
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 6: extreme fly ball pitcher and he's allowed fifteen home runs.
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 6: That might not be great in this stadium here, and
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 6: I think that's been part of the reason why he
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 6: hasn't been good at home.
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 4: Well, he's actually allowed kind.
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 6: Of an even number home runs home and away, though,
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 6: but being a flyball pitcher isn't that great in a
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 6: stadium like this, which is why I was pretty surprised
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 6: that Nelson pitched as well as he did last year
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 6: with Arizona. The other big surprise is that Nelson is
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 6: actually good against the Dodgers. They have ninety eight to
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 6: bats against, some twenty three strikeuts, eleven walks. That is
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 6: way too many walks, but he's held them to a
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 6: one ninety four batting average in six thirty oh ps.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 4: I bet you didn't expect that.
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 6: So Nelson has actually pitched well against the Dodgers, you know,
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 6: I mean, it kind of sounds crazy, but I might
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 6: lean Arizona here. Dodgers are public, They're around minus one
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 6: thirty something here. The money seems like it's kind of
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 6: knocking that money line down a little bit from where
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 6: it opened. Sixty five percent of ticket sixty five percent
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 6: of the cash on the Dodgers total here is nine.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 6: I could see the argument for an under here somewhat
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 6: that both pitchers might actually pitch okay here, but you
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 6: might be able to grab Arizona as a decent dog here.
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 6: Maybe I would only do it in the first five though,
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 6: because I do think they have a bullpen disadvantage here.
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 6: But they're gonna come out, probably with motivation to try
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 6: to avoid the sweep here. You're getting him as a
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 6: dog here in a pitching matchup that is not really
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 6: a mismatch, I would say, so, you know, I think
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 6: it's a little bit more of a to I think
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 6: the game is a little bit closer to a toss
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 6: up than maybe the odds makers are lying you. Although yes,
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 6: of course, like I said, the Dodgers do have the
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 6: better bullpen, they do have the better offense. You might
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 6: be able to argue Robleski is the better starter or two.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 6: But I think there are some indicators that Arizona as
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 6: a dog might make some sense there. All right, WNBA,
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 6: we have two games here. These are part of the
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 6: Commissioner's Cups. Still Prime Amazon Prime is where these games
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 6: are at. Nobody's gonna watch it, though, even though these
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 6: are actually decent matchups by WNBA standards, Atlanta had any
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 6: Indiana's the first game up and people are gonna look
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 6: at this, well, Atlanta six and two, Indiana's four and four,
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 6: So why would you want to take Indiana as a
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 6: small favorite here? Right, Well, that's exactly why I would
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 6: probably lean that way, because you're looking at the Oddsburgers
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 6: are telling you Atlanta is a slightly better team here,
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 6: but that it's really close, and not to buy into
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 6: these records too much. Indiana's coming off a game that
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 6: was embarrassing enough that everybody's talking about what are they doing?
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 6: They just lost at Portland. It gave up one hundred
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 6: points to Portland. Indiana's giving up one hundred points three
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 6: times this season, although one of them was an overtime
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 6: game and one was the first game of the season,
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 6: but still that's not good. But dude, I think they
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 6: got to fire their coach.
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 4: It seems like.
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 6: Their coach is intentionally benching Caitlan Clark. I don't know
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 6: what's going on. She's not giving Caitlan Clark the minutes
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 6: that she absolutely should be getting. And you know, I
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 6: think when Clark gets more minutes, the team tends to
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 6: play significantly better. Clark is good, dude, I don't know
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 6: what's going on a lot of people are blaming Clark
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 6: for this. It's not her fault, Like, I think she
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 6: only got like, I don't know if she didn't get
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 6: that many minutes in this game against Portland, I'm pretty sure.
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 6: So there's something going on here where it seems like
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 6: the coach has a grudge against Clark. Yeah, she only
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 6: played twenty two minutes. Like, what excuse is there you
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 6: as a coach. Even though Clark didn't shoot well in
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 6: the game. I get that she had six assists though,
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 6: so she was still not a non factor in that game.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 6: If you as a coach, what are you doing if
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 6: you have your best player only going twenty two minutes
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 6: in the game. It just doesn't make any sense, dude.
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 6: And Indiana's a pretty deep team. They got Soyvihe Cunningham
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 6: coming off the bench, they got Boston Mitchell. These are
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 6: pretty decent players here. So Indiana's better than the record looks. Again,
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 6: I think the coach needs to be fired. I think
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 6: she has a grudge against Caitlyn Clark for whatever reason.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 6: I won't exactly say what that reason is, but I
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 6: think you might know what it is.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 4: You know it has to do with the I don't
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 4: even know, I won't even say it, but you know
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 4: what I mean.
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 6: Now, Indiana, they're coming up that embarrassing loss too, so
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 6: I think this should be a decent spot for them.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 6: But they are returning home from the road, so that's
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 6: a little bit of a concern. I don't like teams
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 6: returning home from road trips. They were on the road
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 6: for a week, they went out to the Pacific Coast,
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 6: so I don't really want to play on Indiana for
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 6: that reason.
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 4: But it is the Cup.
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 6: They're coming off of an embarrassing loss, or everybody's talking
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 6: about how embarrassing they are. The line looks a little misleading,
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 6: so I think I would kind of lean Indiana here,
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 6: but I don't want to make it a play. Atlanta's
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 6: probably gonna be focused too. They're coming out of an
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 6: easy win over Connecticut in a return home spot. Connecticut
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 6: is awful, and then Atlanta is now going back out
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 6: on the road here kind of a short trip for
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 6: them to Indiana. I think Atlanta might show up focus
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 6: as well. I'm gonna lean slightly towards Indiana. You could
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 6: lay the one and a half or take like a
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 6: money line or something, but I would Yeah, I don't
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 6: want to play the game. And then Golden State Minnesota
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 6: is a pretty good game. These teams are both good.
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 6: I don't believe that Minnesota has a Collier back yet
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 6: because they think they'd be a heavier favorite than this
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 6: if they did. Let me see here, I think soon though,
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 6: they actually pushed her timetable back, so that's not good.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 6: But Minnesota is still playing pretty well even without her.
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 6: This is a good Minnesota team. But Golden State is
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 6: also good this season. They're definitely a team that's on
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 6: the rise. We were able to get some good spots
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 6: with them last season. I don't like that up now
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 6: five and two in the WNBA after starting up five
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 6: and ohero man. Golden State is also coming off beating
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 6: They're coming off beating Portland, excuse me, kind of an
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 6: easy win there. Going out on the road, you gotta
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 6: expect they will be focused here against Minnesota.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 4: It's a big game.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 6: This is a chance for Golden State to prove themselves
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 6: against one of the teams that's kind of one of
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 6: the elite teams in the WNBA, right because if you're
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 6: a Golden State, you're a new team up and coming
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 6: kind of they were a new team last year or
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 6: maybe the year before that or whatever. Minnesota won the
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 6: regular season title last year. You know, they were the
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 6: number one seed before Collier went down, they got upset
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 6: in the playoffs, whatever, So you know, Minnesota, they're a
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 6: team that a lot of teams are gonna have their
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 6: sites set on in Minnesota, even without Calliere. Seven to
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 6: two so far this season, they're hot right now. They've
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 6: won five games in a row. They just annihilated Phoenix,
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 6: put up one hundred and eleven points. But as I
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 6: pointed out with my Phoenix play last night, Minnesota definitely
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 6: could regress. After a game like that where they shot
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 6: over sixty percent from the field, fifty percent from three,
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 6: you gotta think there's gonna be some regression from Minnesota
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 6: coming off of that and the returning home from the road.
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 6: They went to Chicago and Phoenix. They were on the
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 6: road for almost a week coming back home.
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 4: So I would probably lean Golden State here slightly.
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 6: Not one that's gonna make my card or anything, but
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 6: I think Golden State might have a little bit more
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 6: motivation for a game like this in the Cup, where
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 6: you know, Minnesota's just kind of been here, done that,
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 6: like Hey, we've already won the regular season title, or yeah,
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 6: won the regular season title before whatever. You know, Golden
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 6: State might have a little bit more motivation or plus
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 6: the spot with Minnesota, you know, coming off of they
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 6: could be in a huge regression spot coming off a
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 6: major outl liar shooting performance and returning on from the road.
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 4: So I would prefer Golden State there.
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 6: I think that's probably the better of the two plays today,
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 6: now that I kind of think about it. But well,
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 6: the better of the options in the WNBA, but I'm
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 6: not doing I'm not gonna have a WNBA play in
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 6: those games, not strong enough in my opinion. Then we
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 6: do have the NHL Vegas and Carolina. Vegas was able
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 6: to win. They were down two nothing early in the
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 6: game and wound up winning the game. They played well though,
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 6: so there are some indicators here where I don't really
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 6: want to jump on Carolina, even though in a lot
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 6: of cases with these series you want to jump on
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 6: the home team after they lost game one, because it's like, well,
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 6: if they lose Game two, they're really really in a
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 6: tough spot, right because they're gonna have to go out
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 6: on the road. Vegas is better at home and Carolina
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 6: has not played in Vegas.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 4: It's October.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 6: They haven't been on the Pacific coast for a long
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 6: they haven't left like the Eastern time zone for quite
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 6: a while, so that's gonna be tough for Carolina to
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 6: make that trip. So if they're down two, pretty good
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 6: chance Carolina is not gonna win the series if they
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 6: go down oh two here, So yes, Carolina should be
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 6: here motivated. That's one of the reasons why you do
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 6: want to play on the home favorite. If they lost
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 6: Game one, I don't want to do it in this
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 6: game though, they're a little bit heavy of a favorite.
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 6: That wouldn't really stop me, But looking at the box
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 6: score is gonna stop me a little bit.
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 6: I did see some stat that Vegas was like one
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 6: of the only teams to overcome a multi goal deficit
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 6: in a finals game or something like that. But I'm like,
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 6: but that doesn't seem that weird, right, Like they were
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 6: down to nothing really early, Like that.
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 4: Doesn't seem like something that.
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 6: I mean, I know it doesn't happen that often, but
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 6: that seems like somebody that would happen often enough overcoming
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 6: a deficit like that. I don't know, because Vegas pretty quickly,
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 6: pretty quickly quickly was right back in the game, and
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 6: in fact, they wound up taking the lead and then
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 6: never trailed again after that.
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 4: It was a crazy game, crazy finish.
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 6: If we look at the game, though, Carolina did outshoot
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 6: Vegas twenty nine to twenty three, but Vegas won the
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 6: physicality battle here. They won the face offs slightly, but
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 6: they also had thirty five to twenty six hit advantage.
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 6: So that would worry me a little bit with playing
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 6: Carolina here because you want to see Carolina be a
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 6: more intense defensive team, and I think Vegas kind of
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 6: wants to turn these games into more shootouts because I
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 6: think they have they're a little bit more offensive minded
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 6: than Carolina is. Carolina plays a lot of kind of
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 6: slow games or they played defense and whatever, and that
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 6: didn't really work out for them. And Anderson obviously did
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 6: not have a good game. He's been really good throughout
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 6: the playoffs except for that one period against against Montreal,
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 6: but he wasn't good in this game for Carolina. I mean,
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 6: Vegas had twenty three shots and they got five goals
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 6: past Anderson.
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 4: That's not good.
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 6: That's not a good sign for Carolina, Carter Hart was
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 6: better and a lot of times you want that hotter goalie.
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 6: I think Heart might have been a little bit extra
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 6: motivated because of course, there's that whole stupidity.
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 4: I've already talked about.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 6: It on the show where all you know, the Carolina
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 6: fans in the arena are all you know, shouting no
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 6: means no and calling him a rapist and whatever, which
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 6: is I don't know if I don't know if we're
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 6: allowed to say that on YouTube, maybe we're not. But
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 6: calling him that the R word, not the R word,
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 6: the other R word. But I think it's just untrue, man,
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 6: because again, if you know anything about the case, it
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 6: seemed like it was just a night of drunken stupidity
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 6: amongst young people. The chick regretted it, she's unnamed, and
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 6: the judge threw her case out. The judge found her
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 6: to not be credible. She changed her story. Sounds like
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 6: a very typical like me too type of story. So
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 6: all this stuff against Carter Hart, I think it's stupid,
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 6: you know, so whatever, But he had a better goaltending
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 6: game in that game. I mean, though he did a
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 6: lot of four goals, but it was on a larger
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 6: amount of shots. So neither goalie was great. But Anderson
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 6: really kind of had a drop off in that game,
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 6: and maybe that's a concern. Maybe he bounces back though
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 6: I don't know, but I don't want to play the game,
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 6: you know I would if I was gonna play the game,
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 6: I would have liked to have seen Carolina with more
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 6: dominant stats there, Like Carolina dominated that series against Montreal statistically,
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 6: even in the close games, it was dominance from Carolina
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 6: in almost every game.
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 4: That wasn't the case in this game won against Vegas.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 6: Man, maybe Vegas's experience is starting to show here, because
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 6: that's the other thing Carolina, I think as far as
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 6: like their players or whatever, they haven't really been exactly
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 6: like right here before.
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 4: Vegas has more.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 6: I think championship pedigree on their roster. So that's the
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 6: other thing here. Now I would lean to Carolina slightly. Still,
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 6: though sixty five percent of tickets seventy eight percent of
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 6: the cash on Carolina, I'm still gonna lean that way slightly.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 4: The money is agreeing with it, you're paying more for it.
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 5: Though.
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 6: They were like minus one fifty five in game one
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 6: and now they're minus won sixty something here, So if
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 6: you want to do it, you kind of have to
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 6: split the bet like puck line, money line, whatever, or
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 6: you could just go money line. It's the playoffs. I
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 6: know it's a hefty price though, I just I don't
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 6: want to do it.
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 4: Man.
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 6: The price might be a little bit too hefty, even
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 6: though you're you know you're gonna get a motivated effort
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 6: out of them, I think, at the very least, because
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 6: you can't go down two in the first two home games.
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 4: Man, that's what I'll say.
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 6: But there are some aspects of that first game that
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 6: don't look good for Caroline. I will say that, So
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 6: we'll see what happens. But that is gonna do it.
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 4: Man. That's the show today, Thursday show for you. We
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 4: have one play short and sweet.
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 6: I guess, at least as far as my shows go,
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 6: we're going against the market apparently now, but we're gonna
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 6: have the Yankees here to avoid the sweep.
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 4: Unfortunately, I have to play the Yankees.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 6: She's squealed, if he's out there, sorry, I apologize.
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 4: I'm being a dick, she squealed. I'm being a dick
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 4: to everybody. I think.
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 6: I apologize to him and to uh who else is
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 6: out there? Gerald, Uh, yeah, yeah, you don't have You
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 6: don't have to tell me what book it is. I
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 6: mean you could, you could do it in private if
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 6: you want whatever, just because I'm kind of interested, because
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 6: the books seem to be doing differently, so I don't know.
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 6: Baseball is a whole different world, man, the baseball handicapping.
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 6: But yeah, so you're going with the Yankees here. I
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 6: think the listed starters here shouldn't be an issue. We're good,
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 6: you know what, If I don't say otherwise, usually I'm
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 6: saying that we're gonna go with the with the listed
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 6: starters here.
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 4: That is the case here.
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 6: I assume they're both gonna start, and of course, if
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 6: one of them winds up not starting, just like with
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 6: Burns the other day, it's gonna be a no play
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 6: for us here.
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 4: But we're going split bet Yankees.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 6: Partially on the run line at plus one thirty, partially
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 6: on the money line at minus one seventy. Most of
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 6: the bet goes on the money line in this case,
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 6: and you get the price down a little bit to
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 6: about minus one seventeen. So I think they'll be able
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 6: to do it against probably the less the least of
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 6: Cleveland's pitchers here Slay CHACONI the Yankees should be able
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 6: to get to him at least, and you know, I'll
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 6: actually put some stock in redon here as well.
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 4: So we're going with the Yankees. That's gonna do it.
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 6: I'll be back at some point, you know, at least
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 6: tomorrow with tomorrow's usual sh oh. Learn a tone on Twitter.
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 6: You can support me there if you want to. You
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 6: get into group chat. Not really active though. Jeffrey needs
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 6: to come back to this show to watching it, man,
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 6: but go check that out.
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 4: Learn a ton on Twitter, Learn a tone on Instagram.
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 6: For the short form of this, I think we have
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 6: an afternoon game today, so our day is gonna be
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 6: over quickly. I gotta get that video out shortly. This
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 6: show get yeah, like subscribe. We're getting a few subscribers
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 6: trickling in, so yeah, push it, tell people about it.
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 6: Let's get to five hundred, keep it going. And the
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 6: show's been around for a few years, so it's all slow.
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 6: But you just have to somehow hid it and get
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 6: like a burst.
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 4: Man. Maybe I need to change something. I don't know.
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 6: Maybe I need to not be a dick. I don't know,
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 6: but yes, like subscribe here, tell people about it. Listen
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 6: on audio as well, Apple Spotify Speaker. We're getting some
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 6: the numbers are going up over there too, so slowly,
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 6: but you know, it's.
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 4: A slow crawl. Dungeon mastering.
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 6: You because my ukul Lely cover channel on YouTube, you
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 6: can check that out as well. Patroon dot com learned
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 6: a tone. If you want to support me there, you
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 6: can do that. And I appreciate all of that for sure,
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 6: you know, even if you want to just throw me
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 6: some for giving out winners on the show here. So
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 6: we've had a good year so far, so it's it's
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 6: highly unlikely we're not gonna have a winning year this year.
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 6: And you know my track record, like, I've only had
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 6: two losing years in the whatever. I think it's now
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 6: nineteen years that I've done this. Only twice have we
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 6: had a losing year, and they were fairly small losing years,
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 6: and it sucks when they happen. One of them was recent,
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 6: one of them was I've only done the show for
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 6: I think three or four years now. One of those
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 6: losing years was during doing this show, but the other
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 6: years have been wins, so and a couple of big
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 6: ones too. So hopefully we can. We can keep getting
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 6: it done. Had a good end to last year to
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 6: finish with a decent winning year last year or too so,
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 6: and we're winning this year, and it's likely to be
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 6: a winning year this year.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 4: So let's keep it going. Yeah. Oh, and also we
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 4: have Loser Cast every Tuesday night. You can check that out.
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 6: And the g Spot Giants podcast, New York Giants. That's
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 6: gonna Nobody cares about the San Francisco Giants and they're
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 6: humping each other as a celebration.
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 4: It's Pride month now, man, that's gonna do it. Peace.
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 4: But don't you go quiet.
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 2: Don't you fade from the flow your name, Steal me
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: something to somebody for show.
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: Put the glass down, baby, look at me.
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 5: No hold on, hold on.
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 4: Lasting, No.
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 5: Hold on, hold on me for that bite, but it
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 5: don't get the crown.
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: Hold on, hold on and stay with me now