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Rangers/Mets MLB + NCAAF Best Bets Friday 9/12/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's what I'm
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: gonna start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you above that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all all
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: in four that have not had a good season. Man
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: my browins hack Man, I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: on with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what day it
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: is anymore. I don't even know what day it is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Own five the
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: about this anymore. The slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: it all. What's up, everybody, it's towed back with you
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: better off dead. This is Friday, September twelfth. We skipped
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: September eleventh. Man didn't want to knock down our own towers,
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: so they think some of my analysis was decent. Yesterday
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: we had whoever it was in the chat that had
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: the Yankees first five that was a winner for you yesterday.
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: I forget who it was, but we were in agreement
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: on that one. I had the Green Bay Packers correct.
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: That game was a little bit hard to figure out.
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: But man, I don't know if you guys watched that game,
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: but Packers their defense might be pretty legit. I mean,
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: they definitely slowed down Washington in that game. Washington had
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: fewer points than it even looked like really, because they
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: scored pretty much garbage time at the end to make
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: the score a little bit more cosmetic. Basically, at the
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: end with eight points at the end with a two
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: point conversion. So Packers played pretty well in that game.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: Man defensively. I told you Washington, I thought would take
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: a step back to second year with Jayden Daniels after
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: taking the league by surprise, like it could be like
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: similar to the CJ. Stroud effect. You know that second
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: year teams know what this team is gonna do now,
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: so they could take a little bit of a step back.
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: The college football game was just ridiculous. It looked like
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: way Forrest was gonna definitely cover, which that was a
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: lean I gave it on the show as well. They
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: were up fourteen and nothing, they gave up a touchdown,
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: and then they mentally lapsed basically and they gave up
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: a pick six to tie the game. But then they
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: bounced right back and they scored twice again to take
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: a ten point lead shortly before halftime. I think, although
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: they were held to a field goal instead of a touchdown,
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: and that actually wound up being the difference in the spread.
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: The fact that they couldn't get a touchdown after they
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: were I think inside the NC State ten, and then
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: wake Forest never scored again. An NC State scored the
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: remainder of the points in the game wound up winning
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: by ten, and like I said, I Wake had just
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: gotten that touchdown instead of that field goal that one time,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: they actually would have still wound up covering if the
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: rest of the scoring was the same. Seem like it
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: should have been a cover for Wake, even though they
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: did get outplayed in the second half. But they had
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: that big lead early man and or not big but
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: decent lead early, multiple score lead multiple times and blew
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: it and then the pick six really threw the game
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: off too, So I don't know. I think it probably
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: should have been a cover for Wake. Yeah, I mean,
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: don't have a whole lot else to say about. Yes,
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: So we'll move on to today. We don't have WNBA
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: as the WNBA concluded the regular season, so we know
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: what the playoff structure will be. So I don't know
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: if I'm gonna do like a maybe I will. Should
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: I do a w NBA bracket special? I don't know, man,
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: because I gotta do tonight. I have to do my
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: college football show in the NBAWNBA playoffs start on Sunday.
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: I think Sunday's a WNBA because they're blasphemous Sundays. A
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: w NBA game. I don't know. I gotta think about it, man,
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: maybe I will, but ESPN doesn't have a game for it.
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: This year, ESPN had a game to fill out the
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: WNBA bracket. I thought last year maybe they didn't. But
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: maybe I can find a site where I can fill
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: one out and go over that that real quickly. I
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: know everybody loves that. The w NBA we got a
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: full baseball card or board today. I have a full
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: card base I have three baseball plays today and another
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: lean to some extent that's fairly strong, I think. And
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: then I am gonna have a college football game that
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: is ugly. You guys are not gonna like him. I
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: mean the college football games that are on the slate
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: for to they are all ugly. Okay, So the one
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: that I'm actually gonna have a play in is actually
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: probably the least ugly of the games. But it's probably
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: a play people are not gonna really enjoy, but if
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: it makes money, you'll enjoy it. Baseball, we got a
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: lot going on in baseball. Man, it's Friday, full card.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out a play on Tampa and the Cubs,
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: So that'll be at the end of the show. Well. Actually,
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: first of all, I should say this is the breakdown,
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: but we do have another one of those afternoon Wrigley
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: Field games, even though usually there's no afternoon baseball on Friday,
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: but that means I will have an afternoon play in
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: that game. Kansas City at Philadelphia. I remember, we're mostly
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: starting new series here, so there are gonna be some
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: teams that have rest, some teams that don't. For the
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: most part, the teams that don't have rest or playing
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: each other, though, which is this is one of those
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: cases here. Kansas City was at Cleveland yesterday and now
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: they're going to Philadelphia. Kansas City has not been playing well.
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: They lost three out of four to Cleveland, so they
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: may want to bounce back from that. It may be
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: good for them just get out of there, go on
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: the road. They've fallen behind Cleveland and the standards think
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: Kansas City could be sort of resigned to the fact
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: that they know they're not making the playoffs at this point, though,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: so I don't know what their mindset is gonna be.
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're technically not eliminated Philadelphia, though they're coming
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: off a huge four game revenge sweep of the Mets.
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: Because they got swept by the Mets in New York
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: not that long ago in a three game series, I believe,
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: so they repaid the favor and then some of the
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: four games sweep. They're eleven games ahead of the Mets
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: now in the division. They might still be trying to
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: catch the Brewers because the Brewers have been collapsing, so
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia they have a chance to get the one seed
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: in the NL still home field throughout, so they might
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: still be playing for that. But you got to think
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: this is a bit of a letdown spot for Philly
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: man off of that massive, massive series against the Mets.
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: Huge lead on the Mets in the division, Philly, I mean,
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be one of the top two seeds. I
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: don't think anybody's gonna be able to catch them for
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: one the top two seeds. At this point. You might
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: see them go a little bit on cruise control here, man,
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: because I don't think they're gonna care that much about
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: the Royals coming into The Royals are gonna be an
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: underdog here and they might be a bit more of
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: the desperate team here. So something to consider in this one.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: The Royals have the better of the two bullpens here.
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: The only is one relief pitcher yesterday after some heavy
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: usage the day before that. But at least that means
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: most of their bullpen got rest yesterday, so that's not
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: terrible for Kansas City. Philadelphia only used one of their
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: relievers as well. Their bullpen's is not as good though,
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: so even though they're the more rested bullpen, Kansas City
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: I think still has the bullpen edge here. Philadelphia has
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: a big offensive edge. As we know, their offense is
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: way better than Kansas City's starting pitching. Oh boy, Michael
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: lorenz And is pitching for Kansas City. Mediocre season for him,
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: four point six three ERA, one point three to three WHIP.
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: He's been bad on the road five point two to
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: two road ERA. He's on ocase is coming back from injury.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: He was injured for a while for over a month,
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: came back in August. He's allowed no more than four
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: and runs than any of his starts, which isn't terrible,
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: and Kansas City actually won his first three starts. Hasn't
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: faced really any great offenses though the best offense he
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: faced over that stretch was Anaheim. Did pretty well in
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: that start, though, I mean his two starts this month
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: ten to one strike at walk ratio, so he did
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: pitch pretty well in those starts. They were both at home,
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: though he's only had one road starts. It's coming back
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: and gave up four and runs to the White Sox
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: in that once. That's not a great sign. Although the
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: White Sox had just faced him, he did have a
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: six to one strike at walk ratio and it says
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: command numbers were still pretty good there. Mediocre overall off
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: for him man four point seven to sixty RA and
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: his two starts this month. He'll be going up against
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: the Phillies, who are obviously not an offense that is
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: to be taken lightly. His numbers against Philly are not great.
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: In fifty nine at bats nineteen to twelve strike a
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, it's a lot of walks, two seventy one
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: batting average eight fifty two ops. So matchup numbers plus
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: the home road splits don't look very good for lorenz
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: in here. I'm not expecting him to do great here Philadelphia.
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: Who man, they're going with our old pal Walker Bueller
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: is gonna be making his Philly's debut after the Red
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: Sox threw him threw him to the garbage heap man,
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: which is basically where he belongs in my opinion. As
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: I've been saying with him for a while. Man, he's
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: never bounced back from his like multiple Tommy John surgeries.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: He has not been good since then. This year not good.
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: Five point four to five VRA one point five six whip.
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: He was good at home, well, not good, but he
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: was better at home four point three seven e RA
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: at home with the Red Sox. I don't know if
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: that's really saying that much. Obviously, he wasn't doing well
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: for the Red Sox down the stretch, and they wound
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: up getting rid of him. In the month of August.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: He had more walks than strikeouts, which is never a
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: good sign, so he was not pitching well. Even those
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: didn't look that bad. Four point three seven. You can't
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: put multiple guys on base, man, you cannot do it.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: Oh and I think the final straw was the fact
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: that they were about to sweep the Yankees and Bueller
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: didn't do well in that game. They think Bueller came
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: out of the bullpen in that game, though, if I'm
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: not mistaken, maybe I'm wrong about that. But he didn't
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: do well in that game against the Yankees, give up
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: two on runs. Although I know it's the Yankees, you
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: know they they hit well obviously, But Bueller will be
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: making his debut for the Phillies here, and he at
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: least gets an easy assignment here against Kansas City because
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: we know they're offense stinks. They only have four hitters
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: have ever faced him before, fifty five at bats thirteen
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: to three strike a walk ratio to eighteen batting average
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: of five to fifty ops. Does that mean Bueller actually
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: has the match up edge here against Lorenzen? Yeah, I
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: mean I guess he probably does. But man, it looks
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: like a really easy Uh. It almost looks too easy
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: to take Philadelphia here though. Man, they're down for min
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: just one thirty two to minus one thirty eighty percent
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: of tickets, eighty six percent of the cash on them.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: I'm not buying it. I mean, I don't know, man,
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: I just Philly. I think they're in a major letdown
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: spot too. I'm not sure you can really trust Bueller either,
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: so I would still worry about that a bit. It
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: does look like the money slightly coming out in Philly,
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: even though they are public. Yeah, I mean, I'll pass
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: on this one, I don't love it. Again if it
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: looks too easy A lot of times it is. Kansas
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: City does have the bullpen edge, so if you wanted
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: to go Philly, I think you would have to do
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: it in the first five innings. That might make sense.
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: I also would not really disagree with an over in
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: this game, just because I think it is possible that
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: both starters don't do that well here. And you don't
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: know like what Bueller's gonna do with his time off either,
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: although maybe he'll be excited to still be on a
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: contending team and a team that's more of a contender
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: than the Red Sox unfortunately, who knows, man, But we
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: have eighty two percent of tickets only seventy six percent
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over. But I mean I
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: could see it happening here. I mean, if ks either
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: bullpen at least isn't in the greatest rest shape, Philadelphia's
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: bullpen's not great. One of the teams has a good
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: offense at least, so the pitching could lend itself to
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: an over in that one. Pittsburgh at Washington. Washington is
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: returning home from a road trip. They went to the
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: Cubs and Miami and you know, I point out when
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: a team returns home from a road trip sometimes it
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: could be a bit of a distracted spot. You have
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: to get back to family life, home life, especially when
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: you're a team like Washington. You just lost a nice
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: wind streak that you had for a while there. You
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: just lost the last two games to Miami, which I
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: mentioned yesterday. They might be hung over into that game yesterday.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: And Ryan Weathers actually pitched well for Miami. That guy,
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: he could be good man moving forward. So something to
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: keep an eye on there. Keep an eye on the
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: weather there. The weathers so Washington. They also don't have
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: any time off, but they're not traveling that much just
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: because they stayed on the East Coast at least. Pittsburgh
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: also played yesterday at Baltimore. They got swept at Baltimore.
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: They've lost six games in a row, two straight sweeps
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: at the hands of Milwaukee and Baltimore. Baltimore actually playing
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: some decent baseball recently. They've kind of added some decent
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: starting pictures to their rotation. Pittsburgh coming in from Baltimore,
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: it's a much shorter trip for Pittsburgh here. Obviously, they're
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: basically just traveling up the highway from Baltimore to Washington,
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: so Pittsburgh does have a little bit of a travel
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: edge coming into this one. Don't love either bullpenal. The
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: Washington's bullpen is certainly the worse of the two. Pittsburgh
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: does have a bullpen edge, and they actually used a
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: little bit less of theirs yesterday, so we do have
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: a bullpen edge with Pittsburgh. Washington has the better offense,
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: even though neither offense is good. Pittsburgh is just that
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: bad and even worse on the road, I think, So
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: Washington has a little bit of an offensive edge here
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: if you want to even consider that to even matter.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: Neither of these teams have a whole lot to play
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: for him. Man, they're both playing out the stretch. They're
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: both out of it. Mitch Keller is pitching for the Pirates.
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: He's had an alright season four point one SIXTYRA, one
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: point two toy six whip. His era is almost the
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: same home and road, very insignificant home road splits. He's
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: been good in his last two starts against Boston and Milwaukee,
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: so that is saying something. Actually, his last three starts
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: have been good. One was against Saint Louis, which they're
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: not hitting well at all right now. But he's allowed
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: five and runs combined across those three starts in going
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: at least five innings in all three had really good
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: command numbers as well, twenty to two strike out walk
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: ratio over that span, so he's pitching well. In his
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: most recent starts against Washington, However, his numbers are actually
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: pretty bad, and seventy at bats seventeen to six strike
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio is not terrific. Three fourteen batting average,
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: eight sixty eight ohps. He's allowed three homers thirteen RBIs
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: to them. That's not terrific. That's not good at all.
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: So Keller might actually struggle in this matchup, even though
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: he has been pitching better recently. Washington is going with Lord,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: which I don't know why. I don't know why they
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: continue to do this. He's a converted relieve all though,
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: again he keeps taking me by surprise just by not
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: allowing that many runs, even though I still don't think
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: he's any good four point two ERA, one point three
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: to one whip, those are not great numbers. He is
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: worse at home five point two to three home BRA.
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: He's coming off a decent start where he went to
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: the Cubs and only gave up one e run and
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: five and two thirds two hits, but he walked four
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: guys and he had seven strikeouts, which that was one
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: of his highest strike I think that was his highest
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: strikeout total of the entire season. I don't think he's
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: really a strikeout pitcher. Though I don't know what we're
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: gonna get out of lore here man. He was really
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: bad over the prior three starts against the Mets, Yankees, Tampa.
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, none of those are bad offenses, really, even
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: Tampa's not that bad. But I don't I'm not really
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: expecting him to do that well here, to be honest,
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: even though I know he's stepping down in class. If
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: he's Pittsburgh, they're not a really good offense. They only
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: have nine bats against them, but they are four for
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: nine often one strike, got one walk, four forty four average,
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: one fifty six ops. This game, I would probably lead
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: to an over in this game, although the money seems
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: to be disagreeing with that. Seventy nine percent of tickets
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: on the over, sixty two percent of the cash on
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: the over. The total has gone down a little bit
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: for mayting eight o juice to the over to eight.
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: To me, the total doesn't quite seem like it's high enough. Man.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: You got a couple of bullpens that aren't really that terrific.
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: Washington's is particularly bad. Uh. So you have Washington, you
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: have Brad and bad. Uh. I don't like it, man,
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: I really don't. Even though the offenses aren't that good,
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: they might be able to take advantage of some not
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: stellar pitching here though. So that's kind of the way
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: I look at this game. Money's coming in on Pittsburgh
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: as well. Washington down for one ten to minus one
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: oh seven seventy five percent takes ninety five percent of
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: the cash coming on Pittsburgh. I wouldn't disagree with that, Pittsburgh.
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: I actually think they do basically have the pitching edge
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: across the board here. But I do worry about Keller's
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: matchup numbers here. Man, he is in better for him
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: right now. The Washington has a terrible bullpen and Washington
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: returning home from a road trip. So I don't disagree
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: with the Pittsburgh side and that one either. Jeffrey, what's
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: up man? Uh? The the under seven you all you
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: bought out? I recommend not doing the buyout because like
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: the cash out or whatever, because they never give you
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: good enough like money back on that. Like I I
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: recommend just letting it fly. Although I know that one
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: was a loser. I apologize for that. I'm not happy
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: about it obviously. Milwaukee Texas, that series really fucked me up.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: That wasn't good. Uh yeah, Brad Lord, Yeah he's he's
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: he's a very uh not powerful a sith Lord. I
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: guess yeah. He's on my bad side though, so I'll
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: put him on the on the dark side there because
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: I can never figure him out. Baltimore at Toronto. Toronto
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: could be in a little bit of a letdown spot here. Man.
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: They're coming off two big series against the Yankees and Houston,
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: big potential playoff matchups there. Toronto shut out Houston yesterday
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: six nothing to win that series, and now they're facing Baltimore,
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: which you know they could very well overlook the last
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: place team in the league, although Toronto does still need
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: to keep winning because they're hanging on to the Al
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: East by a thread here with the Yankees and the
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: Red Sox not that farm behind them. Although I don't
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: think the Red Sox is really gonna do anything. The
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: Yankees are definitely a threat Baltimore. They're playing some good
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: baseball right now. Like I said, man, they swept San Diego,
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: they almost swept the Dodgers, and although they almost lost
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: one of the other games to the Dodgers, of course
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: that was the game and they almost got no hit
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: by Yamamoto and they won that game. Now they're coming
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: off a sweep of Pittsburgh. So Baltimore, they've won whatever
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: that is, eight of their last nine games, they think
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: is what that is. And now they're starting a road
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: trip with some momentum here. So Baltimore. It's not really
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: the worst spot for Baltimore. It's it's a typically focused
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: spot there, and you gotta think they might focus because
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: they get to play the top team in their division.
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: Baltimore not going anywhere, but this is the type of
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: game they might show up for. And again, they've been
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: playing baseball like they actually want to be there and
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: win games, so that is something to there's something to
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: be said about that. Baltimore's bullpen is not very good,
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: though Toronto's hasn't been good over the last month either,
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: but I think Toronto still has the better bullpen Baltimore
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: used five relief pitchers yesterday. Toronto actually didn't use any
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: because Kevin Goussman I think pitched a complete game yesterday
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: for them. I think he had like a two hitter
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: in the game, so very good performance from him yesterday.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: So Toronto's bullpen does have the advantage in this game,
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: which is almost never the case at this point. Starting
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: pitching well hitting, obviously, Toronto has the way better offense.
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: Baltimore's offense not very good. Well, Baltimore's oves is kind
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: of mediocre. I guess I would say Toronto's is better.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: Baltimore I think, does have a starting pitching as with
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: Trevor Rodgers on the mound, he's been really really good
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: since joining the rotation. I mean, I don't think he
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: can keep this up, but one point five to one ERA,
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: point eight to seven whip. He's been a little bit
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: worse on the road, but one point eight one ERA
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: that's not bad. He allowed one run exactly in every
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: start throughout the month of August. His team got another
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: win in his last outing, even though he wasn't as
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: sharp against the Dodgers, allowed eight hits in five and
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: a third innings, but he kept them, held them to
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: tour in runs, six strikeouts, one walk against a potent
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: offense like that, that's still pretty good. Man. Baltimore's won
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: his last six outings, have won most of his outings
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: on the season. Rogers is good. He's still in good form,
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: and now he gets to go to his own building,
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: the Rogers Center, to face Toronto. Although Toronto is a
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: good offense man, but he's been pretty good against him
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: in the past. It's a small sample size, twenty six
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: at bats, five to four strike a walker ratio is
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: not good, but he's allowed no extra base hits to
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: them two thirty one batting average five sixty four oh ps.
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: And it looks like Bob Baschett is injured right now
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: because he's not listed as active here, So somebody keep
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: in mind there. Toronto is missing one of their better
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: at bats, but they still have a good offense even
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: with him not there. Chris Bassett, pitching for Toronto. I
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: think he's starting to become a little bit worse towards
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: the end of the season. I mean, I thought he
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: might regress a little bit. He's a bit of an
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: older dude and doesn't throw really hard stuff, which doesn't
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: mean he can last, you know, throughout the grind and
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: throughout the course of an entire season. But I just
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: think he was overperforming and he's not been quite as
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: good recently. He's got a three point nine to seven
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: e RA. One point three to two whip is definitely
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: too high. He is better at home though, two point
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: seven to six home ERA this month. He has a
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: pretty good looking one. I mean a good look in
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: one point six forty RA, but I would dial it
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: back a little bit on that because he has a
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: nine to five strike at walk ratio and he does
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: not have a nine to five job. But that strike
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: at walk raceio is not very good. Man. He's still
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: walking too many guys. That was the case last month too,
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: even though he got away with it with another low R.
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: I know he hasn't all lot more than three on
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: runs throughout going through the beginning of August. I get it,
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: but Toronto's lost almost all of his starts. They've only
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: won one of them since then, so they're not giving
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: him as much run support. But he's not really pitching
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: as deep into these games either or as well, so
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: I do think Rogers is the better of these two
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: pitchers here. Bassett against Baltimore not good numbers and sixty
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: three at bats nineteen to three strike a walk ratio
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: is obviously good, but three zero two batting average allowed
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: nine toh five ops, five home runs, two of them
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: from Henderson. Yeah, I mean I would have a slightlying
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: to Baltimore first five in this game. Toronto. I mean,
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: I do think they still have the better bullpend, so
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: I would limit it to the first five. Money looks
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: like it's coming into Toronto, even though they went down
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: for minus one thirty five to minus one thirty a
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: price like that, it just looks too easy to me
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: to take Toronto. Man, they have the better record fifty
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: six percent of tickets, though not a huge ticket percentage
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: on Toronto eighty one percent of the cash. But I
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: don't really buy it. I don't agree with it. Yeah,
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Baltimore first five. I think Rogers
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: has the edge over Bassett here. The total is getting
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: some movement on the under here, it's gone down from
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: eight and a half to eight fifty percent. Take his
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of cash on the under. The feeling there,
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: I think is that you're gonna get a pitching duel here,
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: and then you have a rested Toronto bullpen. I would
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: worry about Baltimore's bullpen though. Actually I can see the
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: arguments for the under in the first five. But I
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: worry about Bassett too because he's not really actually in
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: good form recently. He is definitely better at home, though,
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: so I'm not gonna give out a play in that game.
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: But those are my thoughts on that game. Yeah, the
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: buyouts are too stingy. Yeah, that's true. I mean, well,
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: it's not really them pussying out though, it's it's them
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: they're trying. They want you to use the buyout man,
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: like they want to try to screw you. It's just
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: that you did happen to beat them at their game
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: yesterday because your your bet wound up losing, So you
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: did beat them in that in that instance. White Sox
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: at Cleveland, God, this Al Central Divisional matchup here, I
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: think both teams pretty much know they're out of it,
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: although Cleveland's been playing better again somehow, even though their
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: offense stinks. Both these offenses are bad. Cleveland has the
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: better bullpend. They have a pretty solid bullpend. White Sox
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: do not. So somebody keep in mind there. Cleveland's offense
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: is so bad they're actually the worst of the two.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's won a bunch of games recently, though, they've won
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: six in the last seven games. They're coming up beating
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: Kansas City three out of four, staying at home. I
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: believe Cleveland did play yesterday, but they're staying at home
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: at least. White Sox also played yesterday and they are
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip, although it's not really a huge
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: trip to go from Chicago to Cleveland. White Sox coming
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: off beating Tampa Bay the last two games, so they
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: actually have won a couple of series in a row.
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: Two they're playing, I mean they're playing a little better recently.
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: Do they won three series in a row or whatever
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: that is? So a couple of teams that are playing
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: better than what you would think right now. They both
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: look like they're coming out to try to win these games,
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: so they might both actually have motivation here. The White
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: Sox bullpen, the usage has been a little bit heavier
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: over the last couple of days. Cleveland used more guys
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: yesterday out of their bullpen. Of the usage overhaul has
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: been a little bit less heavy. Starting pitching Martine Perez
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: pitching for the White Sox. He continues to be better
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: than you would think three point one five ERA, one
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: point seven whip with the White Sox. He hasn't pitched
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: that much for them this year, though so far it's
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: a small sample size. He hasn't been good on the
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: road five point three ERA, although it's all small sample size.
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: He's had a couple of weaker outings on the road,
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: one at Boston and then most recently at Detroit, and
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: both those teams are pretty good at home, and they
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: could both hit, especially in home. But he gave up
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: six earned runs against Detroit last time. I had three walks,
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: no strikeouts, A little bit of a concern. Perez is
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: not really a strikeout pitcher, more of a just a
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: guy that comes out there and relies in his command.
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know if one bad start is enough to say, oh,
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: he's gonna be in bad form now because he is
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: facing a weaker offense here in Cleveland. But I believe
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: Cleveland actually hits him pretty well. Yeah, in twenty six
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: at bats. It's not a big sample size, but one strikeout,
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: four walks, that's bad. Three eighty five batting average, one
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: eighty two oh ps. So his numbers are not good
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: against Cleveland, so I do worry about Perez coming into
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: this one. Cleveland has Tanner by Be pitching, who is
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: not having the greatest season here four point six ninety RA,
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: one point three whip. He is better at home though,
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: three point seven to seven home ERA. He's been all
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: right over his last couple of starts. I guess him.
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: His strikeout rate is way down, but he's allowed four
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: or fewer earned runs in each of the last two starts,
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: had seven strikeouts walks. It's still not terrific, but it's
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: better than what he was doing. He had a pretty
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: rough month of August. Last start, I mean, there were
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: some signs that maybe he's coming back a little bit,
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: because that was at Tampa, and that is a hitter
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: friendly ballpark, and that was his best start in over
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: a month basically, or even basically in two months for
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: the most part. So that was a pretty decent start
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: from him, even though his strikeout rate was still low.
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: BIBY against the White Sox, his numbers are okay. In
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: forty six at bats, twelve six strike a walk ratio
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: is not that good to sixty one average, six ninety
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: four ohps decent numbers there for him, So I think
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: Bibby actually probably does have the advantage here for the
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: money coming in against Cleveland, even though I think Cleveland
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: has a bullpen edge here slightly, and it started well
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: more than slightly. I guess the rest is just a
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: little bit of a disadvantage for them. Maybe Cleveland's down
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: for minus one sixty five to minus one forty three
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: of them, the money's coming in against them sixty two
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: percent tickets only fifty three percent of the cash on Cleveland,
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: so the money coming in against them, Not sure I
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: would agree with that. I actually probably would need to
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: an over in this game more more than the side.
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: I think the over is the way to look here
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: because I don't really trust either starting pitcher for the
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: most part here, and both bullpens not sure if I
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: trust them either. Totals just kind of sitting at eight
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: and we have seventy four percent of tickets seventy five
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over. That's probably the
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: way that I would lean in that game. You're gonna
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: watch the replay. Good day to you as well, man.
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: Uh yeah, I mean check out the replay later. I mean,
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: obviously this is up on YouTube, so you can watch
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: it whenever. It'll be on on the audio platforms as well,
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: if you want to listen while you're h if you
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: want to listen while you work and be one of
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: the dwarves. Let's see what else we got going on here.
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: Although you don't get the visual of me, you know,
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: looking all like I just rolled out of bed, but
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: is absolutely true, and whatever the other the visuals that
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: I give you, you know, I have the schedule up
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: here so you can visualize everything that I'm doing here.
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: Detroit at Miami kind of an interesting one here. Miami
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: played yesterday, well actually I think both teams played yesterday.
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: What am I saying? Miami won the last two games
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: against Washington. They're not traveling, they're staying at home. Detroit
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: is traveling in off of a big series against the
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: Yankees in the Bronx. So Detroit traveling down the East
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: coast here, and they lost the last game to the Yankees.
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: It makes it a little bit worse of a spot
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: for Detroit here having to travel. They did, and they're
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: coming up a big series, so it could be a
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: hangover spot there because you know, Detroit they're playing for
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: something here. Man I mean, they do have a big
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: lead in their division, though, so it is possible they
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: don't really pay attention to Miami here. That is certainly
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: possible after a big series against New York. I mean,
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: you know, you might not really be as up for
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: a game against Miami, so it could be a little
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: bit of a hangover spot there for Detroit. Detroit still
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: trying to maybe play for the one seed in am Man.
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, they still have that to play for. Miami
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: pretty much just playing out the stretch, but they might
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: show up for a game against Detroit. Detroit had a
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: bullpen game yesterday, so their bullpen usage looks pretty bad.
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: They have the better bullpen over Miami generally, although they
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: use their bullpen yesterday. But I think part of the
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: reason they did that is because they knew school Ball
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: was gonna be on the mound today and he's probably
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: gonna get them deep into this game. So I think
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: that's why Detroit did that. They pretty much know how
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: to manage these bullpen games, man, So Detroit is not
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: planning on using a lot of their bullpen in this game,
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: so they might still be okay with the bullpen they
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: have left here. Miami didn't use as much of their
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: bullpen yesterday, but their bullpen isn't really as good as Detroit's.
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: Starting pitching well, for Detroit has the better offense of
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: these two teams as well starting pitching. School Ball, as
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: I said, is on the mound. I mean, he's on
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: his way to probably being the cy young winner for
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: the American League. Two point one ERA point eighty six
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: whip really really good stuff, slightly better on the road
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: to two point oh two ERA. He's thrown three shutouts
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: in his last four games, going seven innings in all
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: three of those against Houston, Kansas City, and the White Sox,
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: though with only the Kansas City game being on the road,
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: so maybe dial it back a little bit. Although Houston
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: can hit decently, his start against the A's in the
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: middle of the there looked like it was rough. Excuse me,
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: but it was at the A's Ballparks is a very
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: hitter friendly stadium, and five of the runs he gave
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: up were unearned, so his fielding wasn't good. His strikeout
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: rate was still high, and I don't think we have
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: a whole lot else to say about school Well here, man.
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's pretty he's still pitching really well. This
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: late into the season. He's on point. I mean, we
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: know the drill. He's one of the best pitchers in baseball,
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: so more or less you're gonna get You're gonna get
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: a good start from him almost every time he takes
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: the mound. And Miami actually has never faced him before.
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: So even though school bl has been in the league
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: for multiple years, at this point, Miami very rare situation
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: here where you get the best pitcher in baseball. Andy
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: has an unfamiliarity edge. Miami hasn't seen him before, so
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: I don't expect Miami to do a whole lot with
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: their bats in this game. Miami's got Sandy al Contra pitching,
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: and he's pretty difficult to figure out. Man, Curtis, what's
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: up Man, Thanks for hanging out. Yeah, you said the Radskins.
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: Did you lose money on that? I didn't have a
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: strong opinion on that game, although I mentioned that I
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: leaned to green Bay my gauge on these teams coming
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: into the season. Sometimes that's the way I'll lean if
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: I don't have a strong opinion otherwise on like the
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: situation in the game, I think green Bay is pretty
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: good Man and my prediction so far that I thought
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: Green Bay was gonna win the NFC. I think it's
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: coming to fruition, man. But I probably should have put
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: money on that on the future because you could have
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: gotten them at like plus fourteen hundred to win the NFC,
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: I think before the season started. So you can't get
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: as good of a price now on them, especially after
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: they smashed Detroit. But they beat Washington easily too. You
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: don't bet, I mean once he I mean, maybe it's
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: like a thing where you just got to get over
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: that that hurdle. I'm not saying that you should do it,
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: like you should only do it if you can afford it,
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: But I mean, if you want to do it just
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: for small amounts of money, have some fun with it,
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: maybe my pixel will work out well. I mean, you
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: could do that just, you know, throw a little bit
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: of money on it if you want to have some
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: fun with it. But if you don't want to, that's
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: cool as well. It's up to you, man. Uh. Sandy
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: al Contra from Miami, he's a guy. I mean, I've
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: talked about him on the show quite a bit. Every
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: time he comes up in the starting rotation, I mentioned it.
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: He used to be really good, like almost Cy Young caliber,
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: and then he had elbow injuries. He had I think
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: multiple Tommy John surgeries, and he's never really been as
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: good since then. Hasn't had a good season five point
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: six seventy r A one point three to two whip.
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: He is better at home four point six seventy r
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: a home. But one thing to watch is he's actually
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: been pretty good for basically five starts in a row now.
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: His strikeout walk ratio has been better. He had a
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: three point six niney RA in August, thirty eight to
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: ten strike out walk ratio. Last outing, give up four
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: and runs to Philadelphia, but I mean Philadelphia and we
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: know they can hit, so that wasn't really a bad
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: outing either. He had four strikeouts, one walk. His strikeout
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: stuff isn't really at that level that it used to be,
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: but it seems like he is pitching better man, So
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: something to consider there for sure. Uh whips. I went
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: to the Dodgers. There, I went Detroit. I'll beget to Detroit.
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: Detroit only has four hitters. I've ever faced him before.
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: One of them is Charlie Morton, so we could throw
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: that out. He's only zero for one with a strikeout, though,
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: But even if you include him, Detroit has thirty at
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: bats against him, ten strikeouts, no walks, one extra mas
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: hit a double from bay As, who's really the only
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: Detroit hitter that hit Alcondra at all two underd batting
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: average four to thirty three oh ps. So al Condra
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: has a pretty decent unfamiliarity at year, and he's been
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: pitching better recently. I don't know if I totally trust him,
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: but this is this is close to being a play
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: for me, man. I like the under in this game.
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: Tickets on the under fifty one percent of the couch
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: on the over. The total looks like it's slightly moved up,
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: with less of the juice now and the seven juice
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: to the under, but that is a low total man.
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: Of course, A lot of that has to do with
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: the fact that school Blow is pitching. I think the
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: under does make sense in this game. I mean, you
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: could make it more granular, and I would not hate
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: a Miami under their team total either, because School is
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: probably gonna get you through a lot of that game.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: You might have to worry a little bit about Detroit's
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: bullpen not being rested there though, if you do that under.
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, you could look to a first five inning
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: under if you want to just focus on the starting pitching,
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: but you'll probably have to get like under three or
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: maybe three and a half if you're lucky, so I
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: worry about that too, But I would lean to an
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: under in that game. Though it's not gonna be one
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: that makes my card, but that is a lean for me.
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: That's it's one of the better leans. I would say.
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: That isn't one of my actual plays. NFL five team parlays. Yeah,
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: I recommend against parlays. I know. It's I mean, if
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: you want to do it like for fun money and play,
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: you know, like just try to get lucky basically, and
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: you can potentially win a good amount of money there. Yeah,
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: I mean I would say, yeah, I mean, that's that's fine.
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: But like for like a long term strategy, it doesn't
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: work out because you never get good enough odds on
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: the parlays, which is why the books promote the parlays
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: so much. They want you to do that because they
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: know they can give you odds. You always get like
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: an underdog price on it. So it looks very tempting
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: to do it, but they should be giving you more
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: of an underdog price than what they give you. And
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: especially because if you're doing a parlay like those results
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: are gonna be not correlated to each other, you know
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: what I mean, So you need all those independent results
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: to all fall your way. You're in California. California still
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: doesn't embedding. What the hell, man, California is the worst
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: of everything, man, You would think at least California being
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: such a shithole like liberal state, you would think at
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: least they would have game gambling being legal there, right,
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: Like most of the Democrat states have gambling legalized at
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: least like Massachusetts where I am. That's yeah, that's wild, man.
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, there are some states that are like conservative
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: states that have gambling legal, like Iowa, Iowa. There are
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: a few other ones too. I think Florida it's legal,
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: but like the hard rock has like a monopoly over
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: the whole thing, which is kind of lame. And I
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: think you might be able to go to the Native
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: American reservations as well. With the Florida and the Native Americans,
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: they're colluding with the state government basically to try to
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: keep the sports betting industry still out. But it's becoming
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: so popular. I don't know if maybe that won't be
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: the case eventually in Florida maybe I don't know, but Florida,
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: I think the hard rock has the monopoly over it
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: right now. But there are some other conservative states I
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: think they do have gambling legal as besides Iowa. I'm
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: trying to remember what though, But the states that have
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: the most books because you want to get them. I
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: don't going on a tangent here, but you want to
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: have the most like potential outs right, because you want
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: to be able to shop, find the best number whatever.
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: The states that have the most books available to you
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: do tend to be somewhat more left leaning. I think
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: Colorado has the most, and then Illinois has a lot.
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: Uh here in Massachusetts we have a lot. We have
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: like six seven of them. It keeps changing because some
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: of them fold like new ones come in barstool folded.
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: Early on. They were one of the one of the
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: books early on here. I think Illinois, or I said
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: Illinois on New York I think has a decent amount
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: as well. I forget what else. But then of course
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: obviously you get the states where you can bet in
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: person do have a pretty decent I think they also
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: have a decent online space now as well on Nevada
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: and New Jersey. But I think the way that those
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: work is probably that Actually Nevada, Nevada is different because
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: I've been there, and the casinos in Nevada the I
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: have an app for you to use for that specific casino,
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: but you can only use that app if you're inside
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: the casino. Like that's how specific it gets with your location.
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: It's insane. Like i haven't been to Vegas in a while,
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: and I'm mostly used to Vegas just doing it in person,
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: like I was. I was in Vegas, like before the
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: apps really exploded. I was in Reno for like the
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: Libertarian Convention more recently, and they had like the they
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: only had William Hill in the casino. In the casino
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: hotel that we were staying at. Us you could only
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: use William Hills. You couldn't shop numbers. I did place
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: a few bets, but you had to You could use
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: the app, but you had to be in the casino
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: to use it, like not even just in the hotel,
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: but I think you had to be in the casino.
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: Like it was insane, man Like, even like a slightly
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: outside of the casino. The app would be like, you're
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: not in the casino. I'm like, this is crazy, dude,
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: this is insane. Uh, it's wild. Some of the sites
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: block Yeah, so it means they're not legal in California. Yeah. Yeah,
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: I mean it differs state by say California. Man, that's yeah,
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: that's some bullshit. Reno, Yeah, World's biggest little city, Reno. Yeah,
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: I mean Reno basically, like the entire party atmosphere like
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: ends at like ten PM and Reno man, we we
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: kind of kept it going when we were there because
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: it's a libertarian convention where you know, at our hotel,
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: which is also a casino, so we're partying late into
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: the night just back at the hotel at the casino.
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: We did go to you know, the Dave Smith comedy
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: show that was there one of those nights, which was
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: in the actual city of Reno, because our the hotel
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: room is actually in Sparks, which is like the city
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: that's I believe it's east of Reno. Uh, so we
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: were technically not in Reno with where the hotel was.
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: We went into Reno proper for like the comedy show
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: and stuff like that. We're in Reno as well. But yeah,
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: I mean it seems like Reno shut down earlier than
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: you would expect at night. All right, what else we
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: got here? Man, Let's keep going here. I don't want
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: this to be too long. Here. We do have a
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: huge series beginning here between the Yankees and the Red Sox,
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: the last time these teams will play each other this season.
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox, i believe, are eight and two against
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: the Yankees this year, and this will be the final
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: series that they played this season. The Red Sox have
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: already won the season series. Yankees probably have revenge on
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: their mind. The Yankees did win the last game they
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: played against, so the Red Sox took three out of
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: four in New York, So the Yankees have some road
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: revenge on their mind here, which worries me as a
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: Red Sox fan. The Red Sox are also not in
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: a good spot. They're returning home from the Pacific Coast.
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: They just went to Arizona and the A's and they
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: split the road trip. They went three and three on
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: the road trip, which isn't that great. Red Sox are
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: a half game behind the Yankees. I mean, they're still
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: in a while car position right now. The Red Sox
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: fighting to make the playoffs, even though Red Sox are
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: dealing with some injuries right now. And I always talk
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: about how when you return home tends to be a
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: distraction spot. You have to get back to family life.
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: It's difficult to cross three time zones. Man, So the
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: odds maker, i mean, the schedule makers are not doing
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox any favors here with this one. Although
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox didn't play yesterday, so they did have
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: yesterday off and at least well having the day off.
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: Actually sometimes it's worse because it allows you to settle
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: back home. But the one good thing is it's the Yankees.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: You know, the Red Sox are not gonna like just
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: overlook their opponent here or anything like that. You know
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be focused. When it's the Yankees. The crowd's
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: gonna be crazy. A lot of Yankees fans come up
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: to the Boston games as well. You know it's gonna
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: be a wild crowd. It always is for Red Sox Yankees,
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: especially when it's the last series and both teams are
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: fighting potentially for the division and for wildcard positioning. It's
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: a big series. Man. The Yankees did play yesterday, so
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: I guess that's the one somewhat disadvantage they have. They
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: beat Detroit yesterday and now they're traveling in but they're
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: only traveling from New York, so their travel spot is
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: definitely better because that's a quick travel spot. Obviously, the
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: Yankees only used one relief pitcher yesterday and it was Yarbro,
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: so they pretty much saved their bullpen coming into this series,
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: and they're probably gonna need it, to be honest, because
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: Heel was on the mound for them today and he
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: doesn't really go that deep into his outings because he
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: walks way too many guys. So there is, you know,
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: there is that to consider here coming into this game.
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox have the better bullpen out of the two,
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: and neither bullpen really got used yesterday, so the Red
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: Sox do have a bullpen edge here. Yankees have the
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: offensive edge, although both offenses are pretty good. Obviously Red
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: Sox are pretty good, Yankees are really good offensively, so
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: Yankees have a slight hitting edge. As far as the
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: starting pitching, I actually think the Yankees do have the
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: edge here. This is the battle of the lgs, which
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: you remember when I mentioned that last series, I think
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: actually faced off against each other when the Red Sox
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: actually won that game. Neither start or actually did that
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: well in that particular game, and the Red Sox wound
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: up winning the game. I mentioned you could watch it
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: on an LGTV. But I think Heel is the better
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: of these two pitchers. Man, he's got a three point
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: three to one RRA, although I know his whip is
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: terrible one point five to three. I mean, you cannot
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: put one and a half guys on base per inning
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: and get away with it man, And Heel is not
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: as good on the road. He's a Heel on the
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: road five point one four r on the road. That's
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: pretty bad. So there are some things to consider with
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: Heel that aren't quite as good. He's been pretty good.
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, he hasn't pitched that much this year, so
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: you know, he's not wearing down because he's a young guy,
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: so sometimes you have to worry about is he wearing
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: down at the end of the season. But luckily for
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: him and the Yankees, he was injured for most of
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: the season, so he hasn't pitched that much. He just
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: finally reached the sixth inning mark in one of his
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: starts against Toronto give up one on and run, but
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: he walked for guys and he only had one strikeouts,
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: so again he'll he walks too many guys. Man, He's
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: walked four more than three of his last four outings,
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: and I know he hasn't allowed that many runs. He's
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: allowed two or four un runs in every outing since
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: his first outing, so he's difficult to hit, but he
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: puts way too many guys on base via the walk,
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: so he's kind of teetering on the edge of implosion
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: every one of his starts, but he bails himself out
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: with a lot of strikeouts. He's not a good ground
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: ball pitcher either, though. He gets a lot of fly balls,
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: and that might not be good in Fenway Park, especially
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: if the Red Sox have some right handed hitters. Though
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: he is also a righty, so usually left he's hit right,
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: he's better, but you know, Fenway Park is a pretty
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: hitter from the ballpark. Heel does have pretty good numbers
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: against the Red Sox overall, and forty eight at bats
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: fifteen to six strike a walk ratios. Again not great,
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: too many walks, but one sixty seven batting average for
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: sixty eight oh ps, so he has done well generally
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: against the Red Sox. He actually debatably pitched better than
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: Gilito did in that start where they matched up on
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: August twenty first, even though the Red Sox won the game,
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: He'll only allowed one earned run. There was an unearned
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: run that came home in that one. He went five innings,
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: but he threw ninety three pitches and he walked five guys.
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: So again, He'll walks way too many guys. He could
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: have given up a lot more runs in that game
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: with that many walks, So he wasn't exactly great in
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: that outing. Again, the walks are concerned with him. Uh,
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: Lucas Giledo for the Red Sox. The advanced analytics guys
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: will tell you that he's not as good as his
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: numbers look, even though I know he fixed something with
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: his mechanics not that long ago. But I don't really
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: trust Gilito. Man. His numbers are pretty good. Three point
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: three eighty RA, one point two to six whip. The
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: whip's a little bit higher than I would like. He's
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit worse at home three point five to
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: six home ERA last out last couple outings. I mean
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: he's allowed three or more walks in three of his
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: last four outings. That is an issue in my opinion.
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: Last out and he walked more guys than he struck
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: out against Arizona. Arizona good hitting team on the road,
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: difficult environment, difficult place to pitch, but he only allowed
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: two earned runs a couple of unterned runs score. But
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: still his walk numbers are looking pretty bad right now, man,
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: so I do worry about that. And against the Yankees,
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: he wasn't good in that game, even though they won
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: the game. He only went four to two thirds, gave
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: up three on runs, three walks, four strikeouts. So the
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: Red Sox bullpen advantage was coming into play in that
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: game for sure, as it was almost like a tail
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: of well not really a tail of two halves. Neither
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: pitcher really did well in that outing. Gielito against the
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: Yankees doesn't have great numbers either. In sixty five at
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: bats sixteen to end strike a walk ratio that is
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: again way too many walks two sixty two average is average,
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: seven to sixty ops is a little bit high. So
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: he doesn't do that well. I think heel does have
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: the uh, the edge of the starting pitching matchup in
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: this one. So for me, I'm gonna slightly lean to
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: the Yankees in the first five innings, but the money
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: looks like it's kind of disagree with that, even though
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: the Yankees are up for minus one to seventeen and
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty two odds makers are really disrespecting Gilito
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: in this one. I mean a lot of times you'll
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: pay a tax on the Yankees, but not necessarily when
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: it's Yankees Red Sox. And that is crazy to see
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: the Yankees favorite on the road, especially. I mean, in
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: a way, it almost looks too easy to take the
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: Red Sox, right because like you're getting the team it's
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: eight and two in this season series at home, and
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: you're getting them as an underdog. That worries me. Man,
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: But Yankees have fifty seven percent and Ticke it's fifty
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash, So the money looks like
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: it's somewhat disagreeing with the Yankees. I would not want
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: to be on the Red Sox though, I mean, Yankees
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: first five innings makes sense to me, but you might
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: have to pay a little bit of a price for that.
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, an over doesn't not make sense to me either.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: Like I think both starting pitchers might not go deep
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: into this game, just like last time. They might struggle
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: with the walks. Here the total has gone down from
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: nine to eight and a half. I know it's it
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: is a bit cool around in now. I think it's
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: in the sixties. I don't know what it's gonna be
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: like tonight. Let me see. I can look at my
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: my phone here. Yeah, it's not really gonna heat up today.
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be in the sixties during this game, and
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: it is at night, so that is more underconducive. But
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: three percent tickets, fifty nine percent of cash on the under,
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: money coming in on the under. I don't see it,
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: I really don't. I think both pictures of the Rays
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: are kind of misleading right now with the way that
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: they walk too many guys. So I would have a
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: slightly into an over in that game as well. You
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: know what I'm talking about. Yeah, Reno Sparks, Yeah, Sacramento
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: when I left, because there are no direct flights because
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: of course Reno's in the middle of nowhere basically, So
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: you know, the people that set up the I think
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: it was probably the regime Libertarians set up that convention
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: to make it so it was really difficult for everybody
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: to get to, although that was the mesa's takeover year,
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: so we still all made our way out there. But
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: there are no direct flights to Reno unless you're coming
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: from one of the big cities that are closer to it,
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: so I had to. I flew out. I went through Denver.
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: Denver Airport, by the way, is nephelim shit. I don't know.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: I top and Raven I've talked about that on NDS,
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: but it is the weirdest airport man. There's like a
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: whole underground like bunker thing going on there which you're
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: not allowed to go to. It has very very strange
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: artwork all over the place. Does a demonic like bronco
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: out in front of the airport. I forget the name
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: of it, but it's this big blue art piece and
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: its eyes light up red. It's bizarre as hell, and
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: you can see it when you're like landing as well
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: and taking off. Denver is a very very bizarre airport,
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: and it's really crowded, seemingly, and they have these Reid
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: will be unhappy. Read has probably been through that airport.
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: I mean he lived in Utah for a while, so
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: I'm sure he's been to the Denver Airport. They have
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: the walking the moving what do you call it, the
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: moving walkways whatever. He calls them escalators. They're not escalators
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: because they don't escalate you anywhere. They do have escalators
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: in the airport too, but you know, the moving walkways
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: for people to put their bag on so they don't
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: have to drag it and walk with it. But yeah,
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: people will stand in the middle of not go faster.
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: But the problem with the Denver airport is those things
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: take up so much of the walking space that you
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: can't even really like get around them because there's so
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: many other people. It's bad, man. But the bathrooms in
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: the airport smell like pine so I was like, oh,
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: this is pretty. It's a nice manly scent here, at
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: least the men's bathrooms, or the ones that I was in.
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: I was like, man, it's a nice manly smell in here,
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: all right. And they have some decent food options in
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: that airport as well, But overall, not a pleasant experience
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: in the Denver airport. And I think they probably perform
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: ritual sacrifices underneath the airport, the tunnels underneath it. A
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: bit of an aside there, and then on the way
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: home from Reno, I flew through San Francisco. I changed
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: my flight. Actually, I was originally gonna go through I
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: don't know if it was Denver again or it was
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: it might have been a different airport. I don't remember,
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: but I changed my flight based on how the timing
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: worked out. They whatever the airline was, let me change
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: my flight. So I was like, I think it was Delta. Maybe.
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: I was like, all right, sweet, So I got to
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: go through San Francisco. But then they changed my gate
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: in San Francisco's airport. I know this the toad stories man.
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: Hopefully you guys enjoy these asides, because I don't like
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: these these videos to go long. But San Francisco's airport,
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: at least the terminal I was in, I guess, was
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: like a star shape with like five legs coming out
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: of it. So my gate was supposed to be at one,
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: like very end of one of the legs, and then
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: at like the last minute, it got changed. This is
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: my It was a red eye flight San Francisco to Boston.
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: It got changed to like one of the other ends
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: of one of the other like legs of the star.
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: I'm like, oh, my fucking god. So I basically wound
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: up having like less than ten minutes basically to make
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: that entire journey. I mean, this is insane, dude. And
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: then my flight wound up being delayed. I actually made
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: it anyway, I was in time, but it was delayed
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: as well. So I was like, oh my god. Yeah,
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: the the airport experience, man, I don't like San Francisco's airport,
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: by the way, if that wasn't already clear, it's not.
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: It's not a great airport. There aren't too many airports
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: that I like, but I like the smaller ones. I
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: like the Reno Airport because it's small. It's really easy
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: to get their security the security line, there's no line.
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: The TSA is there, but they're just like, hello, sir,
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: how are you doing all right? Cool? I'm like, okay, yeah,
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: way way better than than the the clogged mess that
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: most airports are, the bigger airports that I usually wind
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: up going through. I like the smaller airports, man, that's
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: just the way that it is. I like Hobby in Houston.
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: It's pretty nice as well. That's a much smaller airport
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: in the Houston area than the bigger one. Is what
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: the George H. W. Bush he has, He has his
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: name and a fucking airport. I think it's he was.
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: Was he head of the CIA at one point? I
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: forget man whatever, I forget man, But yeah, his name
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: is on the bigger Houston airport. I'm pretty sure. But
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: when I've gone to Houston, I've flown in through the
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: better airport, Hobby, the smaller airport, which is like south
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: of the city, better option in my opinion. I don't
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: think it's that far out of the city either. I
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: think it's only about twenty thirty minutes outside of the city,
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: and Houston is a big city, and my technically even
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: still be in the city anyway. Yeah, Rangers Mets, as
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: you can see in the title, that's gonna be at
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: the end of the show. Try to get through all
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: these games because I still have to talk about college
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: football Houston Atlanta. I'm gonna have a play on this
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: game too, so I'm gonna skip those for now. Hopefully
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna take too long. At the end of
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: the show, here Arizona at Minnesota, and we'll actually we'll
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: see about Houston Atlanta because I don't know. Some of
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: it depends on what happens with the Houston starting pitcher here,
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: But I'm probably gonna give out a play on it,
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: but we'll make sure of that. Arizona at Minnesota. Minnesota's
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: are turning on from a road trip to the Kansas
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: City and then to Anaheim, so they're returning on from
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: the Pacific coast. Not a good spot from Minnesota. They're
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: just playing out the stretch here. They're looking like they
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: don't really give a shit anymore. They've lost most of
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: their recent games, not playing well. They lost the last
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: two on that road trip as well, although they only
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: lost by one in their last game. They had yesterday
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: off I believe, so Minnesota at least has some rest here,
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: but their bullpen is still bad. Both bullpens in this
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: matchup are bad. Arizona and Minnesota. Arizona I believe didn't
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: play yesterday either, so the bullpens are at least rested.
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: They're flying in from the Pacific coast from San Francisco,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: so both teams flying in from the Pacific coast. But
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: I think it's a worse spot from Minnesota because again,
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: you return home, you have home distractions to take care
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: of whatever, and both of these teams know they're not
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: going anywhere, so the motivation deathly is in question. Especially
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: with Minnesota, Arizona has the better offense. I think that's
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: Those are basically all the things to consider here. Nate,
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out. I'm not actually Indian,
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: though at least I mean I don't look like I
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: am doing hopefully not. Arizona's Brandon fot pitching. His number
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: is not great on the season, even though I think
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: he's better than his numbers have been this season. Five
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: point one eighty R, one point three eight whip not good,
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: and he's been particularly awful on the road seven point
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: one to three ROADI ra that's not good. He was
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: good last time out against my Red Sox, but that
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: was at home, where, for whatever reason, he's better at home,
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: even though it's a hit or friendly ballpark. He had
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: seven strikeouts, no walks, went six innings, loved one on
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: and run. His strikeout walk ratio has been pretty good
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: most of this time, but for the most part, he's
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: allowing a lot of hits. Man, He's just allowing way
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: too many hits a lot of contact, and that has
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: been the case throughout the season. So that's really kind
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: of his issues. So he's really difficult to trust here.
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: Although his numbers are good against minnesot it's only sixteen
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: at bats, only five of their hitters have faced him
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: before Buxton is listed amongst them. I don't know if
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: Buxton is back or not, because I think he missed
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: at least one of those games against Anaheim there, but overall,
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: and of course if he's out of the lineup, that
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: just makes these that's gonna make these numbers look better.
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: Fott has held in Minnesota to a one to eighty
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: eight batting average lifetime six' ten, ops three, strikeouts one.
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: Walk buxton does have the one home run off him
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: and two of the three, hits So fot might do
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: well just Because minnesota is a fairly weak lineup and
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: he tends to do well against, him and he's fairly
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar with, them and he's at least in good form
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: as far as his last start was. Concerned BUT i
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: do worry about his road numbers being, horrendous so don't
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: know if we could totally trust. Him Pablo lopez is
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: pitching for The. Twins good numbers this season two point
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: eight four E ra excuse THE era one point oh eight.
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: Whip he's been a little bit worse at home three
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: point three two era is still good. Though he was
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: injured for three months, basically and he just came back
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: and he pretty much picked up where he left. Off
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: he had a good start last time. OUT i gave
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: out the under in that game on my show and
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: that was a winner as. Well At Kansas city he
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: allowed touring runs and six, innings four, strikeouts one. Walk
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: So lopez he seems to just be right back and for,
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: him he's a good pitcher man and he might just
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: be happy to get back out there and be able
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: to pitch even though he knows his team isn't going.
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: ANYWHERE i, mean he was up for the, up for
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: the up to the task last time, out so that
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: was a good. Sign against the D, backs they don't
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: have a lot of experience against only three of their
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: hitters have faced him. Before they do have a three
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: thirty three average seven to seventy eight, ops two, strikeouts no.
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: Walks it's such a small sample size nine at, BATS
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: i don't think there's a whole lot that you can
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: draw from. THAT i, MEAN i see arguments for an
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: under in this, game BUT i would limit it to
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: the first five BECAUSE i really don't want anything to
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: do with the. Bullpens the totals at eight and a
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: half juice to the under eighty three percent tickets on
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: the over ninety eight percent of the cash on the,
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: OVER i would lean to the. UNDER i, MEAN i
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: Think fot with his matchup, numbers could actually maybe have
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: a good game for once on the road. HERE i
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: Trust lopez a bit, more and the money is coming
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: out Of minnesota up for minus one twenty five to
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty, seven fifty percent of tickets On arizona
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent of the cash On. Minnesota the public
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: doesn't really want The twins here because the public Tends
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: selene towards the better, offense which Is. Arizona minnesota is just,
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: ugly ugly and their, favorites so the public doesn't want them.
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: Either BUT i do Think lopez is the better pitcher
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: and the more trustworthy picture of a Fat minnesota probably
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: does actually have the better bullpen as well Against, arizona
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: even though neither of them are very. GOOD i worry
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: about the, spot The minnesota returning home spot that worries
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: me about Playing. MINNESOTA i would agree With minnesota as
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: far as the matchup is. CONCERNED i worry about the,
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: spot and then if you do want the, under WHICH
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: i don't, REALLY i don't disagree with the under, OBVIOUSLY
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: i would go under in the first five, innings WHICH
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: i forgot to, mention just avoid The. Bullpens Saint louis At. Milwaukee,
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: milwaukee they were returning over from a road. Trip they
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: went To pittsburgh And, texas and they got swept In.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: Texas So, MILWAUKEE i don't know if they got a
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: little bit. Complacent maybe who, Knows texas had a little
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: bit more to play for Their texas battling for a
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: playoff spot In milwaukee coasting a little bit right now
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: because they're still in the one spot in the ENTIRE.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: Nl But philly is kind of right on their heels, now,
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: man So milwaukee might have to pay. Attention and The
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: cubs are not that far behind them in the division.
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: Either But, milwaukee returning over from a road trip not
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: the greatest, spot might be a little bit distracted. THERE
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: i think both of these teams did not play. Yesterday
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: Saint louis is coming in From, seattle so they're actually
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: having to come in from The pacific. Coast they got
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: swept In. Seattle not really the greatest spot For Saint
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: louis either having to travel in From. Seattle but, Again
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: milwaukee could be a bit distracted on the return home
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: spot and might not pay attention to a team that
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: just really has not been playing, well especially. Recently Saint
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: Louis hawaukee has the better. Offense Saint Louis ovits has
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: been really bad for a. While Saint louis does have
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: the better Bullpen milwaukee with some bullpen injuries there as.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: Well milwaukee's bullpen is, okay though as far as other starting,
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: pitching you probably have to give the edge To. MILWAUKEE i,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: Mean Andre polante is pitching for The. Cardinals he's not very.
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: Good five point two EIGHTY, ra one point four to
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: three whip that's not. Good he's a little bit better
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: on the road four point nine to one ROAD. Era
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: was decent last time out Against San francisco touring runs
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: allowed at six, innings three, strikeouts one, walk but the
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: prior month In, august he was really bad with an
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: eight point six SEVENTY ra twenty five to fifteen strike
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: a walk. Ratio Saint louis lost all six of his,
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: starts So i'm not ready to say that he's back
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: in form or anything like. That it looks like that
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: is probably not the. Case up Against, milwaukee bad numbers
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: and fifty nine at. Bats they've seen a decent amount
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: of him thirteen to, eight thirteen to, eight strike a
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: walk ratio three zero, five batting average, allowed forty seven.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: Ops So, polante his numbers are not good against The.
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: Brewers he's going up Against Quinn, priester who continues to
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: refuse to. Lose that that should be The Quinn priester,
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: Motto man get some shirts made, up refuse to. Lose
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: he's got decent numbers three point twenty FIVE era one
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: point two to three whip a little bit higher THAN
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: i would like to, see but you, KNOW i, mean
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: he's getting the job. Done Red sox maybe should have kept.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: Him but it's been a little bit, mysterious. MAN i,
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: know the advanced analytics guys keep saying The priester is
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: gonna regress a. Bit they're not buying into what he's been.
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: Doing they're not buying what he's. SELLING i think he's fairly,
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: good but he's not as good as he, looks so
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: that's WHAT i will. Say he's not really a guy
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: that comes in and blows hitters, away but he is effective.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: Enough he has been worse at home, though three point
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: seven to ninety right at, home which is still not bad,
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: obviously but the refuse to lose is Because milwaukee has
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: won seventeen straight outings of his, now WHICH i believe
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: fourteen of them are, starts and the other THREE i
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: think he came in as an opener or he had
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: an opener in front of. HIM i. FORGET i think
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: he had an opener in front of him for the other.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: Ones but still he basically had like almost a starter's
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: workload in those other, ones and seventeen of them in a,
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: row and most of them have been. Starts milwaukee's won
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: every single one of, them which is totally. Insane and
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: over that stretch he's allowed more than two in runs
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: three times over that entire stretch and more than three
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: ear in runs only, twice so it is pretty. Crazy.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: Man last, outing he was, good but it was Against,
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh bad. Offense but he's allowed two or fewer in
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: runs now in four straight. Starts, again he allowed two
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: Against pittsburgh and seven, innings six, strikeouts one. Walk he's
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: pitching Well man Against Saint. Louis his numbers are actually
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: not that good, though in thirty at bats four to,
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: three strikeout walk, ratio three hundred, average seven ninety seven.
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: Ops so that's not that great, Man so, interact it's
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: an interesting. One the money in this one is coming
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: in on the, under sixty percent of the cash on the,
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: over seventy four percent of the cash coming in on the.
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: UNDER i don't see. IT i really. DON'T i know
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: the bullpens are both all. RIGHT i know both teams
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: are off, yesterday so the bullpens are. Rested, sure total
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: sitting at eight and a. Half It both starting pitchers
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: have bad matchup numbers, here, Man SO i actually don't love.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: IT i don't know IF i would SAY i would
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: lean to an, over BUT i would. Stay i'm gonna
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: stay away from the under. Here though the underlooks like
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: it's one of the most one of the professional plays
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: of the. Day it looks like it's the under in this.
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: Game maybe it'll, happen BUT i don't trust either, pitcher Especially,
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: polante SO i do worry about. That milwaukee, too much
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: of a price to lay With, milwaukee especially in a
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: return home. SPOT i don't think you could do. That
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: is nine to nine percent of the cash coming in
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: On milwaukee for one seventy five to win eighty on
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: the money, Line, YEAH i would worry about that. Too
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: so that's a stay. Away colorado At San. Diego these
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: teams actually started their series. Yesterday San diego won two to.
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: Nothing San diego two and a half games back of
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: The dodgers in their. Division they're still fighting for playoff,
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: positioning trying to at least make a wild, card trying
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: to potentially win the. Division colorado probably will come in
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: with some motivation still just because It's San, diego And
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: colorado probably wants to play well just because it is
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: them Facing San. Diego you, know it's one of the
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: better teams in their. DIVISION i THINK i was. RIGHT
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: i THINK i gave out an under in the first
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: five innings or, NO i did not excuse, ME i was.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: Wrong actually it Was vazkez against mccaid brown or whatever
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: the hell's name is, there so whatever it, Is, yeah
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: SO i actually was wrong about. THAT i thought that
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: was gonna be a higher scoring. Game whatever the case
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: is that's kind of. Crazy San diego has the better bullpend.
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: Here they only used three relief, pitchers didn't use them
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: for a lot of pitches, either so they have the
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: better bullpend a little bit more rested To colorado used
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: three relief pitchers, yesterday but not a good. Bullpen San
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: diego actually is the better offense as. Well colorado's is
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: bad on the road and they're bad, Anyway so Though
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: San diego's is still a bottom ten, offense they're better
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: than The colorado's and they have more talent Than colorado on.
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: Offense Tanner gordon pitcher For. Colorado not good, Numbers what
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: else do you? Expect six point SIX, era one point six.
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: Whip he's been really bad on the. Road nine point
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: three to THREE ra always confuses me when a guy
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: pitches better in corps field than on the. Road he
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: just Faced San diego and he got lit up in course.
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: Field three and two thirds In he's give up three on,
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: runs six earned. Runs he did have a five to
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: one strike at walk, ratio and he was pitching better
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: leading up to that in the prior few, starts so
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: he was actually pitching decently for a few. Starts there
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: interesting something to consider, there But San diego did just see,
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: him so that Means San diego's more familiar with him.
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: Now thirty one at bats For colorado against or For
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: San diego's using Against, gordon nine, strikeouts, walks two fifty
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: eight averages in that high but four home runs because
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: he allowed three home runs in that last. Outing nine eighty.
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: Ops so that's not great For. Gordon we'll see what
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: happens in this. Game. Man it's it's difficult to predict
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: what's gonna happen With gordon in this particular. Game. MAN i,
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: Mean i'm kind of leaning towards him not pitching that.
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: WELL Jp sears is pitching For San. Diego they picked
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: him up from The a's somewhere around the trade. Deadline
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: his numbers haven't been, good but remember that he was
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: pitching at That a's, stadium which is a very very
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: bad stadium to pitch in five point oh one era
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: one point three. Whip it's been basically the same home and,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: away but he might do a lot better in This
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: San diego. Ballpark he's made three starts since Joining San.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: Diego two of them were, bad but those are both
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: on the. Road is one home start was actually pretty.
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: Good Held San francisco to one and run in six,
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: innings two strike, ups one, walk although overall he hasn't
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: been that good With San diego five point five TWO,
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: era eight to three strike out walk, ratio and they
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: send them to the. Miners it looks like because he
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: hasn't pitched Since august twenty, fifth so he's missed some
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: of the he's missed at least one spot in the.
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: Rotation But, colorado they're not a good hitting, team and
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: they have thirty five at bats against, them seven to,
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: two strike a walk ratio one forty three, average three
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: eighty four oh. Ps So sears does do well Against colorado,
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: specifically if you Want San. Diego though the money is
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with. That they've dropped already from minus three to
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: fifteen to minus two forty eight in the money. Line
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: it's a huge drop on the money. Line eighty nine
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: percent of, tickets only seventy one percent of the. CASH
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: i don't think there's any way that you could really
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: Play San diego, here. MAN i MEAN i would probably stay.
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: Away seventy six percent of, tickets ninety four percent of
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on the over totally gone up
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: from eight to eight and a. HALF i, Mean i'm
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: almost kind of leaning To colorado to go under their
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: team total because they don't hit well on the. ROAD
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: i know they got blanked. Yesterday sears has good numbers against.
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: Them then we have a Good San diego bullpen, too
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: so that might be an approach in that. Game not
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: a game that's gonna be one THAT i would, recommend.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: Though Uh cincinnati at The. A'S i don't think either
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: of these teams played. Yesterday The a's are staying at.
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: Home they did just end a three game loss streak
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: with a win over The Red sox to finish that.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: Series they had yesterday. Off The a's have the worst
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: of the two bullpens. Here The cincinnati's bullpen is not terrific.
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: Either cincinnati's already on The Pacific. Coast they're coming in
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: From San diego and they have a day, off so
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: they're already adjusted to the time, zone and they have
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: a little bit of momentum and they have more to play.
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: For The a's are just playing out the. Stretch cincinnati
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: still potentially trying to get a wild, card even though
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be. Difficult at this, point but something to
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: keep in mind. There The a's have the better. Offense
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: cincinnati's offense is all right as. Well Brady singer is
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: pitching for It cincinnati here three point nine to EIGHTY
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: ra one point two to six whip alright season for,
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: him but he's actually been worse on the road five
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: point one to Eight ROADY. Ra which is weird because
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: he pitches in a hit or friendly ballpark Against. Cincinnati
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: this is another hitter friendly. Ballpark so which way is
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: it gonna? Go? Right? Like is he gonna be bad
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: again on the road or is it gonna is he
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: gonna do okay because he's used to pitching in a
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: hitter friendly. BALLPARK i don't, know man tough to figure.
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: Out his last few starts look pretty. Good he's allowed
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: three or fewer earned runs in every start going all
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: the way back into like early to Mid august, basically
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: but his walk numbers haven't been that great at three
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: or more walks at two of his last three. Outings
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: that's a little bit of a, concern although he has
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: been better recently in general two point four ONE era In,
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: august thirty nine to nine strike a walk ratio is not,
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: bad so, OVERALL i think he's an okay. Formula he
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: did walk four guys in his last, downing but it
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: was good generally against The. Mets gave up one on
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: run and six innings AND i still somehow law didn't
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: lose but my under in that, game but THAT i
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: give out on the show somehow still pushed go, figure
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: which was over last. WEEKEND i Think singer up against The,
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: a's his numbers are not. Good it's not that big
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: of a sample size twenty three at, bats seven to
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: two strikeout walker, ratio but he's a lot of three
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: zero four batting average and nine to twenty five ops
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: and a home run From, blade so his numbers are
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: not that good against The. A's The a's look like
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: they have not actually decided on a pitcher, here so
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: interesting it was listed AS. Jt. GINN i don't know
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: if it's gonna be him or. Not if it, is,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: again he has a four point nine to FIVE vra
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: one point three to four whip on the. Season not
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: great numbers, obviously and he's been pretty bad in this
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: home stadium, here six point six'. Four era that's. Not
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: good he was good in his last Starting against anaheim, five,
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: innings pitch one, on run five strikeouts and. NO walks
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: i don't know if it looks like maybe they're pushing
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: him back in the rotation. Or, what again he's, not
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: great but he's shown glimpses of being okay. At times
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: his numbers are Good, against cincinnati but in a small
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: sample thirteen, at bats, three strikeouts, no walks one fifty,
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: four average but actually seven to sixty nineps is a
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: little bit High because Benson and stevenson both have home.
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: Runs often but it might not begin in. This game
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: this game is very difficult to even figure out what's gonna.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: Happen here it looks Like the a's are sitting at
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: minus one aweight on the money line and the total
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: is up. OVER ten, i mean not knowing Who the
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: a's pitcher is. GONNA be i can see arguments for
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: an over in, this Game because singer doesn't have great
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: numbers Against. The a's he's not very good on. The,
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: road Whoever the a's throw out there might not be.
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: That great neither bullpen is, that great EVEN though i know.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: They're rested but an over might be worth a look
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: in that. Particular game a's. Excuse me Anaheim. At seattle by,
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: the way we do have a. Starting, Pitcher now i'm
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: gonna have to look, this up the starting pitcher In the,
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: houston GAME because i was gonna give out a play in,
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: that game AND now i. Might not so we'll see in.
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: A second Anaheim, At. Seattle seattle this series actually. Started
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: yesterday seattle is on a roll. Right now they won
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: six games in. A row they're actually now in a
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: tie with With the houston In The, al west and
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: it looks like they actually have the Tiebreaker against, houston
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: too AT least espn is listing Them above, houston now
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: so That's. Crazy seattle they're fighting for a, playoff, spot
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: obviously and it's not good for me As A red
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: sox fan because that's another, wildcard potential a team potentially
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: making the. Wildcard there so that's there are a lot
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: of teams in the wildcard. Race here seattle won the
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: game Yesterday against anaheim to start the series in, twelve
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: innings which does mean the bullpens got. Used yesterday seattle
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: has the better of these. Two bullpens they used most
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: of their bullpen, arms yesterday but So. Did ANAHEIM so
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: a ton of bullpen usage yesterday on. Both sides got
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: to give the bullpen edge Still to Seattle because anaheim's is.
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: So bad seattle actually has the better offense. As well
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: anaeim's offense is, all Right, BUT seattle, i mean they're still.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: Up here they're mid, TIER though, i Guess but anaheim's a.
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: Bit worse anaheim is actually now down to the bottom,
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: ten basically and are almost to the bottom ten, in
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: hitting and they do have some injuries on their offense at.
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: This Point Remember yosai kakuchi is Pitching. For anaheim he's not.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: That great four point ONE, eighty rra one point four
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: eight whip that's. Not good putting one and a half
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: guys on basin inning is, not. Good folks he's particularly
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: bound on the road five point four to five yrund.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: The road that's. Not good he's been awful in his last.
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: Three starts he's given up five or more and runs in.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: All three he's given up at least four in five
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: of his last. Six outings bad. Bad stuff a fourteen
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: point ZERO ninety rra and his two starts this month
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: seven to five strike a. Walk ratio he got lit
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: up at home in his last start too Against, the
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: a's so he wasn't even good, at home or he
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: usually he. Is better none of that is a. Good
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: sign seattle's seen a lot. Of him one hundred and seventeen,
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: at bats thirty two to eight strike a walk race
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: just fine, for him but two sixty five batting every
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: seven to ninety nine. Oh ps seattle has eight home runs,
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: off him although three of them Are A rosa ray
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: and on three of them are swa as they picked
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: up around the. Trade deadline but to me it Looks.
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: Like kakuchi he's in awful form. Right now he's not
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: good on, the road doesn't do that Well. AGAINST seattle
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: i think he's gonna give up some runs in. This
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: One luis castillo is Pitching. FOR seattle i think he
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: has the edge of the starting. Pitching matchup he even
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: though he hasn't been that great as of, laid either
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: but he's got the better numbers on. The season three
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: point eight five, y array one point two seven whip,
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: not horrible but not, good either two point seven to
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: nine array at, home though So like seattle's most Of the,
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: seattle starters they're pretty much all better. At home he
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: had a rough. Stretch man he had a six point
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: six to SIX evil Era in august and had some.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: BAD starts i had basically four bad starts in. A
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: row but bounce back in his last start with a
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: one run Performance against atlanta for, six innings, six strikeouts,
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: no walks so he may be back and form a little.
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: Bit here he does have an eleven to one strike
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio, this month and his bad start Was,
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: at tampa which, you know it's a very uh hit her,
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: friendly ballpark which seemed to Really throw seattle's. Pitchers Off,
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: so seattle by, the way once they make, the playoffs
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: the Fact that seattle their pitching is so bad on
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: the road that it might be what does the man
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: in The playoffs Castillo, against anaheim he does have decent
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: numbers and one hundred and eight at bats thirty to
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: six strike at walk ratio is really good two twenty two,
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: batting average so they have not hit him particularly well
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: for contact seven forty five ops is. Slightly higher he's
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: allowed seven home runs, to them but five of the
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: seven Are between Adele. And renhefo and Remember that adele
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: is dealing with vertigo. RIGHT now i don't, understand IT
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: but i don't know if he's gonna actually be in
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: the lineup. Or NOT so i Lean to seattle in, this,
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: GAME man I mean i was considering making it. A
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: play the money seems to be coming in. That way
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: they're up from one sixty five to minus one. TO
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: eighty i think they have the better starting, pitcher here
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: the better. BULLPEND here i think you're probably gonna see
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: some runs in this, game too which IS why i
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: don't understand the underplay at all in. THIS game, i
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: mean the bullpens are just wrecked. Right now eighty four percent,
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: of tickets one hundred percent of. The cash that can't
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: be Accurate. On seattle but if you wanted to take
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: a flyer On the seattle, run line you could. Do
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: that although again with a low total, like this it's
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: seven and a half a pitcher front, the ballpark it
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: makes it a little bit riskier because you need the
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: team to win by margin and runs are harder to
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: come by in a game of a. Low TOTAL but
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: i kind of think it's not going to be as, low.
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: SCORING man, I mean i can see reasons why both
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: starting pitchers might not be as, good Here. Especially kakuchi
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: both bullpens are torched right Now. In kakuchi Excuse the.
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: Anaeim's bullpen it is. Just AWFUL so i don't understand
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: all the. Underplay here seventy six percent tickets on, the
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: over eighty five percent of the cash on. The under
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: there's almost no room for error there with a seven
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: and a. HALF total i would not want to have
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: my money on the under in. That. One man i'm
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: not saying that you should play the OVER because i don't,
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: love fading you know where the professional money, is necessarily but, that,
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: one yeah that one seems a little bit crazy, to
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: ME so i would not want to. Do it and
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: then we do finish the slate here with The late
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: the latest late night GAME is La At San francisco
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: Dodgers In. San francisco it's, a big big series for
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: both for laughing At joy chess that year for both
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: for both, teams, HERE man I, mean la they're trying
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: to hang onto The Division. San francisco you know they're
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: gonna show up when It's the dodgers coming into. THEIR place,
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: i mean that's a reason enough to. Show up but
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: they still might be trying to fight for a Playoff
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: spot Joey chessnut apparently there's a a new nine nine
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: nine challenge where the nine nine nine usually is what?
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: Is it it's nine beers and nine hot dogs in, nine,
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: Innings right that's usually what, it WAS which I think
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: chessnutt did that in one of one of the games.
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: THIS year i think he. Did that but now he's doing.
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: Something different he's doing nine innings ninety nine. Chicken NUGGETS
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: and i don't know if he's drinking beer during this,
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: or WHATEVER but i mean that actually seems like it's
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: not insane. At all to, BE honestly I think i
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: might be able to eat ninety nine nuggets over a
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: course in. Nine innings like you're gonna be like two
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: to two and a half hours to, do it but
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: you know it'll be a spectacle at least. CHEST not,
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: i mean that's probably really easy. FOR him, i mean
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: this is the guy who can eat like seventy hot
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: dogs in. Ten, minutes man you think ninety nine nuggets
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: and nine Innings is he's not even gonna break, a
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: sweat but he might try to do it as quickly.
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: AS possible, i mean he could probably eat Ninety nine
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: nuggets in like one in eight if he. Really tried,
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: oh man We'll see chest not winning the hot dog
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: contests again after they allowed him. Back in he was
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: banned last year from The hot dog contest for being
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: a Spokesperson For impossible dogs or whatever the hell one
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: of the. Vegetarian dogs he's not even. A vegetarians i
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: don't fucking. Know anyway neither of these teams. PLAYED yesterday
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: i Don't Think san francisco Played an arizona last and
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: now they're actually staying at home, as well so they're NOT.
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: TRAVEL la i think it's only traveling from. Home, though
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: yeah they were at Home. Against colorado they've won four
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: games in. A row now they're already On the. Pacific
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: coast they're just going Up To, san francisco so not
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: a bad travel spot for. Either team they both had
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: YESTERDAY off la coming in with momentum, as well, so spot,
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: you know is a focused SPOT. For La san francisco
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: has the way, better BULLPEN though la has the better,
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: offense significantly so it's bullpen arms way better For, the
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: giants hitting way better For, the dodgers although they're not
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: as good on the road as they are. At home on,
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: the surface it looks Like the dodgers have the way
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: better starting, pitcher here Which Is. Yama Moto They Oceanoba
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: yama moto two point seven TO two era one point
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: zero one whip really good numbers. This year he is
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: a little bit worse on, the road, or no, excuse
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: me he's better on. The road WHAT am? I saying
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: two point three to THREE road era and this is
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: a pitcher. Friendly. Ballpark two he's been really good for
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: most of, the season and over the past month or
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: so he's. Been good the last. Three starts he's allowed
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: two or fewer, earned runs all three double digit strikeouts
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: in the last Two out because he's had twenty six
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: strikeouts and four walks over. That span he's definitely. On
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: point his command. Is good the one problem is he
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: might be in a bit of a hangover spot because
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: of what just happened in his last Start. At baltimore
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: he was one out away from a. No hitter he
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: was gonna be in the. History books and YOU know
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: i talk about this when a pitcher is one out
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: away from a no hitter and they lose it or
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: if they complete the. No hitter, either way it can
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: hang them over to the. Next, game man they could
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: be in a letdown spot or a hangover spot, after,
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: That man and that's brutal to not only lose the,
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: no hitter but then they lost. The game the bullpend
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: came in and blew the. Game too they shouldn't Just
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: let yamamoto finish, the game to, be honest at that point,
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: the bullpen their, bullpend sucks and their bullpen came in and,
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: blew it which is. Absolutely ridiculous yamamoto had a, great
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: performance but he also threw one hundred, twelve pitches which
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: is the most that he's thrown. All season he did
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: throw one hundred and ten in an Outing against arizona Back,
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: in may and he was fine still in the next are,
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: after that so he might still be. Fine AGAIN but
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: i worry about him a, little, bit man because that
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: was a lot of pitches to. Throw there, that was,
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: you know a heartbreaking loss of a no hitter there
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: right at, the end a lot of home run to
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: break up the, no hitter and then they took. Him,
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: out brutal just. Absolutely brutal so is he going to
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: be ready for? THIS game i. Don't, know generally his
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: numbers are all right Against s francisco in fifty at
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: bats thirteen. To six strike a walk ratio is not.
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: That great too, many walks but too twenty average seven to. Forty.
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: Four ohps we will see what. Happens here he's going
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: Up Against, justin verlander who is too old at. This
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: point he's got a four POINT, h ninetyra which still
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: isn't really. That bad one point three to nine whip
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: is not. Very good he's better at, home though more
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: pitcher friendly park three point seven TO seventy Rra and
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: verlander actually his three shutouts in his last. Five games
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: his last two performances has both been Shutouts against Baltimore And,
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: saint louis and he didn't even walk anybody in the
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: last One Against. Saint louis with six strikeouts, sixteen strikeouts
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: four walks over the last, Two outex verlander is pitching
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: a little, bit better al though those were against some pretty.
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: Bad offenses he's having to step it up to Face the. Dodgers,
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: here man this is a much, better offense, and yes,
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: throughout history he's been pretty good. Against him in eighty
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: six at batch twenty seven, to five strike a walk
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: ratio one fifty one batting average and four to seventy seven.
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: Oh ps verlander has shut these guys down in, the
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: past but they haven't faced him, this year which could
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: go one of. Two Ways because verlander is worse this
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: year than he ever has been in, his career so
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: maybe that's Bad. For VERLANDER but la hasn't seen, him
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: recently so they're not gonna be that familiar with him
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: coming into. This game so very. VERY interesting la is
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: the public, road favorite up for minus one fifty minus
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: one fifty four seventy six percent to take his seventy
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: three percent of the CASH, on la so the money
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: coming in, against them it looks like he just too
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: much of a Price delay On, the dodgers if you
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: wanted To Go, san francisco you'd want to do it
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: full game because you want to get their bullpen into
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: the mix there because it is the. Better bullpend the
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: totals law and, a half but it's actually gone up
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: a little bit juice to the over more eighty four
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety percent of cash on. THE over
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: i wouldn't disagree with. An, over honestly the total is
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: very very. Low here dodger's bullpen is a bit of.
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: A concern and again the starting pitchers there are both
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: some there are some question marks with both starting. Pitchers
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: HERE so i Don't necessarily i'm not necessarily gonna totally
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: agree with. THE over i might have a slight agreement
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: with it in. That one there's just not a lot
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: of leeway with that, total there so and it. Looks,
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: counterintuitive anyway we'll get into the, best bets, and yeah
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: let's do, best bets And then i'll talk about the
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: other football, games too and well it'll be it'll be
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: best bets plus. College football how about that first? One
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: UP like, i said is the. Afternoon game it's gonna
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: be the Under in tampa And the, cubs here it's
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: a seven and a. HALF total i mean that means
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: the wind is blowing In, and Wrigley and i'm gonna
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: guess that it's a, pretty cold, not cold but cool Day.
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: IN chicago, I mean i, could look let, Me see
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: i'll look real quick AT the mlb weather report here
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: For this cubs. Game here actually it's gonna be in,
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: the seventies a wind blowing from side. To side it's
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: a very, slight wind, BUT osmakers i mean the total
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: is almost like it's blowing. In here it's a. Low
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: total it's seven and. A HALF but i like the,
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: under here and some of it is because of the starting,
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup but we also have bullpens that are fairly. Rested.
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: Here Man, THE cubs, i believe didn't play Yesterday and
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: tampa they did, play yesterday but they only used two.
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: Relief pitchers both bullpens are fairly, solid TOO so i
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: think the bullpens are okay coming into. This, Game, chicago
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: yes they have a. Good offense tampa's offense, is okay
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: but when the wind is, blowing in when the weather
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: conditions are, you know a, certain way and in the at,
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: the stadium it tends to be an, underconducive STADIUM which
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: i think might be the. Case here we do see
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of the tickets on the, over of but
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of the cash can be inte on. The
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: under so much he's coming in in the under, Here
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: again i'm agreeing. With, that obviously total sitting at seven and,
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: a half juice to, THE under, i mean try to
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: get whatever the best prices that. You can if you
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: wind up having to go, under seven you could still
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: do that seven is the. Key, number obviously it's better
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: to get the seven and, a half so you win
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: if it. Lands seven, BUT yeah i think it's gonna
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: be a lower. Scoring game eighty four percent, of tickets
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the cash coming in On. The
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: cubs take from that what. YOU will i Guess the
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: cubs are down for minus one seventy to minus one
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: fifty six on the money, line though so some market
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: movement against the public. Side there Now the cubs their offense,
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: is good but they've been shaky over the last month,
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: or so so their offense isn't as isn't in as
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: good form as you. Would think they've been playing a
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: lot of lower, scoring GAMES so i think that helps.
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: Us out and looking at the, STARTING pitching i think
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a sneaky under on the
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: Side Of, shane bobs who's pitching for. THE race i
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: tend to think he's a little bit better than his.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: NUMBERS suggest, i mean his strikeout numbers are. Pretty good
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: he has, good, talent man it's just he's got to
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: stop being wild and two hit. A boy, i mean
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: he has kind of. Both problems but you'll SEE why
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: i like him in a, minute here four point NINE,
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: four era one point three to. FOUR whip i know
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: those are not good numbers on, the season but a
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: lot of the problems have come at home, for, him
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: man in that very hitter. Friendly park he's been much
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: better on the road with a three point five to NINE,
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: road era so he's it's better to play him in his. Road.
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: Games man he's went better over his last three, starts too,
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: he said at least six strikeouts in. Each one his
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: walk number has, BEEN okay, I guess i mean when
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: you combine, the two he's got a twenty one to
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: five strike out walk ratio over the last, three starts so.
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: THAT'S good i know two of the outings Are, against cleveland,
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: they suck So the cubs were obviously a better. Offense
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: here he Shut out seattle Too. In tampus that was
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: an interesting sign as well there that he's pitching better.
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: Right now he's allowed three or four earned runs in those,
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: three starts so he's kind of back and form. A.
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: Bit man his strikeout walk ratio is still not even
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: really that bad the, last month even though he was allowing.
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: Some RUNS so I think boz is a bit better
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: than he looks and then putting this over the edge
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: here is the fact That the cubs have never faced,
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: him before and these guys that are young pitchers who have,
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: decent talent the offenses could struggle sometimes to try to
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: figure them out the first couple of times they have to.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: Face THEM so i think that's an added Edge to
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: boz early in. The GAME so i like that side.
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: Of It matthew boyd pitching For. The cubs really good season,
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: for him two point NINE, two era one point zero.
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: Six whip THE issue i have with him is he
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: does look like he's wearing down a. Little bit that's
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: the one. Issue here he's thrown one hundred and sixty
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: six innings and he hasn't thrown that many since twenty Nineteen,
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: with detroit so that is. A. Concern definitely he is
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: way better, at home though two point ONE sixty ra
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: seemed to bounce back in his, last outing and his
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: previous two outings weren't even, that bad considering one was In.
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: Corps field he allowed four earned, runs there had, five strikeouts,
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: One walk so he seems like he is coming back
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: into for him a little. Bit here last Outing, against
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: washington two earned runs allowed in, seven innings, three strikeouts,
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: no walks so his form see pretty, good again even
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: though he had a couple of bad starts there in the.
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: Middle there one Was, against milwaukee they can hit, pretty
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: Well so i'm not totally ready to say he's out of.
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: Form Here and tampa's barely. Seen him they have two
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: batters we've ever seen him be for really, one though
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: because one of them List Is, adrian hauser so it's
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: really Just di as who was two for seven often with,
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: one strikeout, one walk no extra. RaSE hits, so basically
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: you have two starting pitchers who are pretty much completely
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar to the, opposing HITTERS and i think they're both solid,
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: starting pitchers so the unfamiliarity kind of puts this thing
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: over the, Top, here man that's an extra edge for
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: the pitchers Under raised cubs in the. Afternoon here, next
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: up we are also going to Go Under. RANGERS mets
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: i like the starting pitching matchup in this. One, Too
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: man this is gonna be a game where maybe the
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: public Sees the mets and maybe they will want to
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: come in on and over in a game With the
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: mets Because the mets offense is. Really good we have
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent tickets on, the over but sixty four
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on. The under flipping the total
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: from seven a half juice to the over to to.
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: The under now get whatever the best number is that
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: you can at. All, TIMES obviously i think you probably
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: still get a under seven and. A half it right
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: around minus. ONE ten i. Saw it reduced juice. Out
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: there money seems to be coming in on, the under
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: so it might keep moving. THAT direction i like the
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: under here for what. It's Worth the mets seem to
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: be getting the action as well as far as. The
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: cash they flip from plus one oh nine to minus one,
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: oh nine seventy one percent of the cash On, the
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: mets sixty five percent of Tickets, on texas so. The,
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: public oddly the public Is. ON texas i think that
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: has to do with the fact That de gram is Pitching,
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: for TEXAS so i think that's gonna get the public
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: to want to back him just because they have no
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: idea who tong is For. The METS but i like
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: both pitchers in this matchup man and the money seems
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: to be indicating that the professionals Actually like tong Over
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: to grom. Or not they at least like him enough
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: that they think That the mets offense can, come in
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: and you know that can basically Give the mets the
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: advantage Because the mets obviously have the. Better offense we
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: Know this texas offense is, not good although they're not
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: as bad on. The road texas has the, better bullpen
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: so all things to consider Here. THE mets i don't
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: Love the mets side though in, this one which Is
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: why i'm going with. The total part of the Reason
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: why i'm going with this one Of the mets have
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: been playing pretty. Bad baseball they've lost six games in,
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: a row and the returning home from a road trip
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: and coming off that big series Against, the phillies they've
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: fallen eleven games Behind. The phillies it's not a great spot, for,
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: them man EVEN though i know they're only coming back
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: Now from philly Back To, new york but they Were,
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: in Detroit, then Cincinnati, then philly so it's a long.
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: Road trip and, YOU know i talk about these road
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: trip returns sometimes these teams gonna, be, Distracted man and
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: that first came Back and i'm not quite Sure that
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: texas is a team that's gonna make them focus and
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: some people, might, think well they got to bounce back
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: because they lost so, many games but it doesn't usually
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: work like, That yet like you need an opponent to
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: draw your focus. Back IN so i actually worry About
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: the mets side a little bit in. This one so
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: that's NOT what i. WANT here i actually want. The
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: Total the mets did, Play yesterday texas coming off a
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: sweep of the met and starting a, road trip so
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: they're starting a road trip, with momentum so that's usually a,
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: focused spot a. Positive Spot and texas is still battling
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: for a wildcard spot and, the division so both teams
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: fighting for playoff. Position Here the mets probably are going
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: to have to worry about getting a wildcard at. This
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: point that's what they're gonna be able to do at,
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: this point but still they're both fighting. For that texas
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: could potentially still win. Their division texas was off yesterday
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: And the, mets weren't So that texas does have a
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: rest advantage here to, some extent and it could cool
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: off your bats a. Little bit when you've been off,
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: as well and when you're returning off from a. Road
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: trip both those things could cool off. Your bats so
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: that's another REASON why i liked The Under the mets
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: did use four relief, pitchers yesterday but They, Use Rogers,
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: tyler Rogers Not. TREVOR rodgers i get. Them confused he
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: only threw, six pitches so he'd probably be. Available again
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: But the mets bullpend usage hasn't been, that heavy and
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: they're a. Decent bullpend texas has a solid bullpend and
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: they didn't use, anybody YESTERDAY though i know the LAST
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: time i Went with texas's bullpen in a sid where,
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: they arrested they still. Fucked me but hopefully that doesn't
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: happen again because their. Bullpend's GOOD so i think the
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: bullpens are. Fine HERE as, i said We got Jacob
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: de grom Pitching. For texas he's having a, good season
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: even at his old age two point seven TO eighty
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: ra point nine to. Three whip he's been a little
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: bit worse on the road three point TWO, two era
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: but that's. STILL fine i would say he is facing his,
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: former TEAM but i don't know if that MATTERS because
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: i don't know if he's faced them or not, since
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: then because he had shortened Seasons with texas the last couple.
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: Of seasons this has been his first full season after
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: dealing with injuries for, multiple years and he's been really
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: good this. Season too but we can check real quick
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: to see if he's Played the mets. Since then i'm
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: pretty sure he has not faced them. This year this
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: is probably the only time they faced them. All year
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: he had a really shortened season, last year so this
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: might be an, extra yeah extra motivation for to. Grom
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: here this is actually his first time facing his, Former, team,
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: Like hey i'm, Back baby so he might be a
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: little bit pumped up to do well against his. Former
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: team and he's to pitching in. The stadium he's going
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: back to pitch at his former digs where he pitched
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: for so long throughout the course of. His CAREER so
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: i like that for D. GROM man i think that's a.
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: Good thing he's pitching. Well all the one thing to
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: consider is that they seemed to be somewhat limiting him a.
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: Little bit he's got exactly five innings and three of
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: his last four outings five and a third in his,
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: last one so he's a little. Bit limited, But again
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: texas has a good bullpen in, they're Rested so i'm
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: not too worried about that part of. THIS handicap i
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: think you're probably gonna gonna get five to six innings
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: out Of de grom as long as he can pitch
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: well against a. GOOD lineup i Know the mets have a,
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: good lineup so that's one thing to. Consider here But,
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: to grom even though he's not at his best, right
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: now he's still been alrighty had a three point three
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: eighty R, in august thirty one to seven strike a walk.
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: Right yere he's all have three or four earned runs
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: in his last, five outings even Though the mets Excuseually
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: the rangers have lost four of. The five part of
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: that is because the team. Can't hit so all that
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: to keep in, mind Here the mets actually have not faced.
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: HIM much i think only Three hitters i've ever seen
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: him in thirty seven at bats or they have, eleven strikeouts.
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: Four walks soto has a home run, off en but
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: they only have a two sixteen average six seventeen ops.
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: Against him So de grom pretty good numbers Against the,
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: mets here And the mets are pretty unfamiliar with. Him
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: too so even though he's not what he was at his,
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: young age but he's still going out there and fooling.
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: Hitters man so his strikeout rate is still not too.
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: Bad EITHER so i Think de gram should be. All
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: right and it's gonna be a battle of an elder
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: versus a youngster, here man as You Have jonah thong
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: going For, the mets who is fifteen years younger than. His,
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: Opponent here tong is a really talented young pitcher man,
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: with him you got to worry about how violent his wind.
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: Up IS as i, point out He's Drawing tim, linsem
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: comparisons and if you look at his wind up and
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: his follow, through it that is. Very ACCURATE he's i
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: think he's a little bit Taller, than linsigum but he's
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: still not that tall for as far as pitchers. Are
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: concerned but he's gonna get hurt at some point throwing.
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: That violently but as, for now he's. Good man We
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: know linsgan was good for at least. A while tong
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: he throws a pretty, hard fastball he's got different. Moving
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: pitches he can fool, hitters man and he's been decent
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: so far In the major's four point H nine era
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: one point one. Eight whip he's been better at home
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: one POINT EIGHT e ra. AT home i know it's
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: a really. Small stampo he's only made. Two starts his
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: first start was. At home he went, five innings, no walks,
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: six strikeouts one eron run Allowed, against MIAMI and i
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: had an under in. THAT game I think I think
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: i had an under in both of, his games and
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: we're oh one and one because his bullpend really imploded
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: on him after that start in. That one that was,
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: a terrible terrible game for. Both teams he got a
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: win in that game actually because they maintained the lead
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: in the game because his team scored so many runs in,
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: that game and then it was. A push last. Time
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: out he wasn't as good last. Time out it Was, at,
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: CINCINNATI though i mean it's a very hitter. Friendly ballpark
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: he gave up four, and runs but he gave up three,
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: home runs so really he's still limited. The damnage he
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: had six strikeouts and, six innings did walk, four guys
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: which a little bit of. A concern he was a
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: little bit. Wild there but overall he's looking pretty good
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: so far in, the majors And obviously texas has never faced.
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: Him before texas is a step down in class Again. From.
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati offensively texas is the worst of those, two OFFENSES
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: so I think tom could do, well, Here man so
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go with the under. Here man he has
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: the unfamiliarity edge here, as Well so under in that
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: game As well texas And. The mets now as Far
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: as Houston, AND atlanta i gotta figure out Who this houston. Pitcher,
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: is man he might be a guy make his major,
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: league debut Which Is? Jaden murray atlanta's flip from plus
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: one unders minus. One fifteen here we see a total
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: going up a little Bit from may to eight and.
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: A half Who Is? Jada murray will The Real jaden murray? Stand? Up?
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: Please yeah let's see who. He is, oh god he
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: might be a. RELIEF pitcher i don't even know who. He.
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: Is man he's got a ZERO era a. This year let,
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: me see he's made two. Relief appearances he's twenty eight,
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: years old so he's not like a prospect that's. Coming
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: UP so i think we're still gonna go with. This
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: man he's only made two of you is in his major,
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: league career hasn't allowed to, run yet has, one strikeout
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: no walks Face the yankees blanked them hasn't allowed to.
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: Hit either did Well, against texas but what are you
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: gonna get out of him one to? Two innings maybe
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: it looks like it's gonna be a bullpend Game for,
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: houston here and YOU know i don't love, Bullpend games
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: so you, know what, Fuck it we're gonna still. Do
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: it we're gonna Go, with ATLANTA although i know they
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: flipped to, a FAVORITE so i apologize. FOR that I
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: found atlanta earlier on at a plus one point fifteen
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: money line. Underdog price and the way this thing is,
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: SHIFTING around i think When since houston announced that they're
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: going with a, BULLPEN game I think atlanta moved to a.
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: Favorite HERE but i Still like atlanta even at a
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: short maybe. Favorite price you could probably find him around
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: minus one ten. OUT there I think i would still
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: do it at. THAT price i like how this sets
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: Up for, atlanta, HERE man I know whattlanta's just playing out.
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: The stretch they don't have a whole lot left to.
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: Play for they're staying at, home THOUGH and i believe
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: they didn't play, Yesterday Either so atlanta is resting and
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: they're staying. At home that's a good Sign because. HOUSTON'S come,
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: i mean they played yesterday and They, played toronto and
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: they're traveling Down. From toronto this is a much worse Spot.
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: For houston they're coming off three huge series in a
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: row Against, The, Yankees, texas toronto all teams that they're
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: battling for, playoff positioning and now they're coming Off that
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: toronto game having to travel with no. TIME off i
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: don't like the Spot for houston at, all, HERE man i.
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: Really don't atlanta's bullpen, Is okay HOUSTON'S bullpen i think
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: is the slightly, better ONE but i don't like the
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: spot that. They're, in Yeah, SO atlanta, i, mean yeah
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: they're not actually That good, atlanta's BULLPEN but i think
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: the spot kind of puts us over the. Top here
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: Even though houston generally has the, better bullpen they do
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: have some injuries in. THE bullpen, i know they only
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: use the colors out of the, bullpen yesterday so they
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: did save most of the bullpen coming into, this one
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: but they got injuries in. Their, bullpen man their bullpen
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: is not as good. Right NOW so, I mean i
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: think that is a bit of a. Concern here but
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: a lot of this is just the. Rest, scenario man
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: it's just way way in Favor. Of atlanta the travels
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: in Favor. OF atlanta I know houston needs to keep
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: playing because now they're tied for the. Divisional lead they gotta.
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: Win games atlanta's just playing out, the. STRETCH right I
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: think atlanta might play well in. This one And where
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: houston is going with a bulpe, end, Game here atlanta
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: is Going With, hurston waldrop who was a really talented. Young.
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: Pitcher man he's been good. So far he's got a
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: one point three TO three era one point zero six
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: width to start his major. LEAGUE career i know he's
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: a little bit worse at home one POINT. Five era
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 1: he is, still. Solid, though man his walk numbers are
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: a bit of. A concern i know he walked nine
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: guys in his last. Two outings that does worry me a,
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: little bit but he was on a roll with his
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: first six games all being wins for. His, team overall
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: he has a thirty eight to sixteen strike a. WALK
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: ration i know you'd like to see those walk numbers.
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: Go down he's only allowed twenty seven hits in forty
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: to two, thirds innings so he's, been very very very
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: difficult to. Hit again his wildness needs to get back.
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: Under control it wasn't a problem until those recent two
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: outings when Was. AT philadelphia, I mean philadelphia is a
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: good offense on. The road he's still held them to
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: won earn run And against seattle he's still held them
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: to tour, and run so he's still limiting. The Damage
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: so i'm a little bit less Concernal, the yes the
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: walks are a little bit of. A concern i. Get
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: that and the start prior to those two he didn't
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: strike out Anybody, against miami still held them to one ear,
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: and run so there are some signs. Are concerned but
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: he's allowed no more than tour and runs in any
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: outing and that was. Just once he's still pitching, well
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: man and Of course houston has never seen, him BEFORE
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 1: so I think waldrop does have a little bit of
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: an edge here man against a, Bullpen game so we
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: will go With the braves in. This one you could
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: go first five, innings too if you really are Worried
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: about atlanta's bullpen not being, that good but they're not
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: one of the like absolute worst bullpens in baseball and,
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: the rested so we will throw it out There on atlanta.
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: As well it seems a little. BIT dangerous i was
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 1: gonna do it and say just play Action. On atlanta
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: they're not even Caring who houston was, gonna start because
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: it looked like it was not gonna be a good Situation.
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 1: For houston but it looks like they're going with a.
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: Bullpen GAME so I know houston does that from time,
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: to time but and sometimes it does work out okay
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: because they can mix and. Match Pitchers but i'm. OLD
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 1: school i don't. LIKE it i think you're getting a
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 1: cheap Price on, atlanta there so we will Go, with
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 1: atlanta and they're at least still better than the. Record
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: looks and by, The way houston's just not that good on, the.
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: Road man they're five hundred on, the road which kind
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: of counteracts the fact That the braves are below five hundred.
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: At home they're not good, at Home but houston is
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: not that good on. The road and, TO me i think.
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: The public we don't see the, percentages yet but you
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: know the public's going to be coming In. On houston
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: the team with the way. Better record they're in the.
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: Divisional battle they, gotta, Win MAN so i think we're
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: probably fading the public with that. Play too let's go
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: to college football before we get out. Of here we've
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: GOT three fbs. Games here the first One is Colorado
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: and houston In a big twelve. Matchup here houston is
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: a five, point favorite sixty seven percent, of tickets sixty
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash coming In, on houston and
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 1: the total initially went up from forty three to. Forty
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 1: five it's a very low total for a. College game
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: eighty two percent, of tickets only sixty four percent of
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: the cash on The over those of the osmakers seem
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: to be saying this is an under type of, game.
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: HERE man i don't necessarily disagree, With that and this
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: is stupid that this IS the. Espn game although all
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: these games are gonna, be televised even some OF the
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: FBS versus fcs teams are gonna be, televised tonight so
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: some things to keep in. Mind there but, THIS game,
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: i mean both of these teams have, bad, Offenses Man
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: so i'm not SURE that i disagree with an under in.
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: THIS one I, mean colorado we know they Don't Have,
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: sugar sanders they Don't Have travis. Hunter anymore they won
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: thirty one to seven last time Out Against Dallas. Dallas
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: delaware delaware is new TO. The fbs delaware was hanging
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 1: in that game for. A. While man that game was ten,
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: TO seven, i think pretty late in. The Game so
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: i'm not Sure that colorado's offense really was anything to
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: write home about in. This game they did put up
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: three to ninety eight, yards Offense but delaware put up three.
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: Ninety six delaware was minus two, In Turnover so colorado
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: didn't exactly play that well against a NEWCOMER. To fbs
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: you would think maybe it would have A difficult i'm playing.
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: In elevation it was actually it was ten to seven
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: in the second quarter, never mind so the scoring was
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: spread out, a bit but it was not an impressive Performance.
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: For Colorado and colorado doesn't know who their. Quarterback. Is
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 1: man they, actually shifted they, switched quarterbacks so they don't
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 1: know who their. Quarterback is and, you know when a
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: team doesn't know who their quarterback is and there's a,
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: quarterback carousel it kind of ruins the, continuity there you
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: KNOW what. I mean so It was salter for a
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: while and then they put in stob towards the end,
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: of it and he was a little. Bit BETTER so
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: i don't even know which one of those guys it's. Gonna,
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: be man three different quarterbacks have gotten into the Mix for,
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: colorado again. Quarterback carousel there's no continuity for. Your offense that's.
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: Not Good and colorado they Did Face. GEORGIA tech I
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: Know georgia tech's. Fairly solid their defense isn't. NECESSARILY solid
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: I think houston might be the best defense they're gonna face. So,
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: far houston they had a decent defense. LAST year i
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: know they haven't played, anybody yet so that's the Concern
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: with houston is the Only played Steven f Austin, And
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: rice so they PLAYED an fcs team and then They.
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: Played rice rice does get up for Games, against, Houston,
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 1: though Man because rice is a little brother in the City,
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 1: of Houston and houston completely smack. Them DOWN although I
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 1: know rice is they got like a new. System there
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: rice is actually running a triple. Option Now so houston
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: has not really faced an offense that can really like
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: damage them through the area. Or whatever houston's defense was
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: pretty good, last Year so I'm not i'm not really
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: Thinking that houston's defense is. ACTUALLY bad, I mean i
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: don't think they're as good as they look so far
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: against those two. Bad OFFENSES but i don't think they're.
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: Bad Either so houston does have a. Better defense they
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 1: might be able To hold colorado's quarterback carousel situation. In.
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: Check here, HOUSTON'S offense i think is a. CONCERN though
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: i don't think their offense is, very talented don't think it's.
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: VERY good i don't know if they have another new quarterback,
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: this year some new. PIECES there i don't know what
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 1: the deal, is THERE but i honestly wouldn't disagree with,
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 1: an under especially with the total having gone up a.
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: Little bit the total still, looks really. Really low so the, public,
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 1: Thinks oh Colorado Is deon sanders as. The coach they think.
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: Like offense but that's not the case at all, right,
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: now man because again their guys got drapped in INTO.
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: The nfl So and houston again is one of the,
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: better defenses probably In the big, twelve still although their
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 1: offense reeks so. We'll See but houston also laying. Five
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 1: points houston hasn't played, anybody, though MAN so i would
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: hesitate to want to lay the Points. WITH houston i
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: Don't love colorado either because of the quarterback, Carousel SITUATION
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: so i don't, love. IT man i mean taking the
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: points with the really odal like that kind of. Makes
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 1: Sense ALTHOUGH houston i think probably has the better defense of,
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: the Two but colorado's faced the better opponents so far
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 1: just because They Faced. Georgia tech so all that you
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: know needs to be kept in. Mind here it's a
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 1: difficult game, to handicap difficult side to, Figure OUT so
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: i think the under is actually maybe the better way
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: to look at this game with both offenses potentially. In
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: question in, That game I'll Skip Kansas. State arizona i'll
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: do an extra, best, bet say because That's where i'm
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: gonna have the. Best bet you probably know what it
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: is already if you. Know me And Then new MEXICO
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: and ucla is the late, night game which is gonna
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: be On the big. Ten network that seems. So Weird
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: New mexico ucla On the big ten NETWORK because ucla
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 1: is In The. Big ten ucla went up from fourteen
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: to fifteen and, a half and now money is coming
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 1: back on the other Side On. New mexico fifty six
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 1: percent of the Cash On, new mexico fifty five percent
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 1: of the TICKETS on ucla total has gone up slightly
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 1: to fifty three and. A half don't really have a
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 1: feeling on the total in this game really. At all
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: eighty four percent of tickets seventy three percent of the
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: cash on, the over so it seems like money kind
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 1: of agree with an under in. This game i'm not
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 1: SURE that i would agree, with THAT because i don't
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 1: really know that either defense is really very, trustworthy. Here
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 1: MAN but i have a SLIGHTLY into ucla on the side,
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 1: HERE man i think that initial line move IS what
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: i would, agree with EVEN though i know you don't
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 1: get the minus. Fourteen anymore that number was gone, really
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: quickly and now at the, higher price the money's coming
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: in on the, other side so it ALMOST looks i
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: think it was a, setup initially like the professionals came
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 1: in And hammered ucla because they actually wanted to just
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: get it up above the two touchdown number to come
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: back and take the other Side Of. New Mexico but
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 1: i'm not. SO sure, A, MAN yeah I Know new
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: mexico played pretty Well against michigan in the first game
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 1: they had to go To The, big house But, remember
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: michigan it was their first game in the new quarterback
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: Man so Michigan With pryce underwood, there now so you
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: knew there were gonna be some potential like, growing pains
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: their continuity. Issues there we've seen that Out a michigan.
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: So Far so i'm not sure How great michigan. REALLY
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: is i know their defense is. Still Solid On, new
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 1: mexico they played better than people expected in That Game,
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: new mexico but they got a whole new thing. Here,
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: too man they have a new. COACH there i guess
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: he's supposed to be pretty good and the players. Like
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: Him but i'm still not sure what to Think Of.
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 1: NEW mexico i still don't think they're a very. Good
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: team last, time out they're way less IMPRESSIVE Beating Fcs
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 1: idaho state failing. To cover they only beat them thirty
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 1: two to. Twenty Two idaho state his own three, so
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: FAR although i know they played at LEAST two. Fbs
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: teams probably not as bad as that, record looks but
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 1: it was not an impressive Game For. New Mexico Man
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 1: ido state actually outgained them in the game by, fifteen yards,
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 1: that is and it Was At, new Mexico And new
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: mexico is like an eighteen. Point favorite, or something so
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: that's not a. Good Sign new mexico actually had more
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: first downs and possession, very slightly and the turnover battle,
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 1: was even so THAT is, i mean that doesn't look
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 1: good to Me For. New, MEXICO man i don't think.
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: THAT'S great i know they've already played an opponent BETTER
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 1: than Ucla. In michigan michigan is still BETTER, than ucla
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 1: so they are they at least have some experience playing
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 1: against a really strong team in a, hostile environment so
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 1: that not really gonna be INTIMIDATED playing. Ucla HERE but
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: i think the value might be THERE on ucla because
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: they've looked so ass in the first, two games even,
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 1: Though Yes new mexico has played the more, difficult schedule
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 1: and that's gonna come into play on the Play that
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: i'm gonna give out on the. Show here playing the
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: more difficult schedule. Does matter it means you're more, battle
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: tested so that is. A. Thing ucla they're owing two
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 1: very very disappointing. So FAR but i told you in that,
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 1: FIRST game I. LIKE utah I think utah is probably
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 1: the best team In the. Big twelve So, and utah, YOU,
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 1: know ucla they're a team FROM the. Pac TWELVE so
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 1: ucla doesn't do well against, physical Teams Which new mexico
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: is not one. Of Those so utah is, a punishing. Physical,
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: Team MAN so I thought utah was gonna do well in,
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: that game and they did BETTER than i. Even thought
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: utah absolutely. Destroyed them and That was UCLA's, Home opener
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: so that's kind of EMBARRASSING. FOR ucla i know they
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: were the underdog in, the game but. Still embarrassing utah is.
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: Really good they're better than people think they are even
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: but really did surprise ME because I thought ucla was
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: going to bounce back with a WIN. AT unlv unlv
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 1: undefeated SO far unlvl though they PLAYED an. FCS team
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: i think they were one of the teams That Played
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: idaho state AND then i forget who else they played.
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: LAST week i think it was somebody probably who was no,
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: good though or Two, weeks yeah they Played. Sam HOUSTON
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: so unlv they're not actually, that good which makes this
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 1: loss look WORSE for ucla REALLY because unlv isn't even
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: actually good even though. THEY'RE undefeated i WAS just i
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: was shocked. BY that i was SURPRISED that ucla did
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 1: so POORLY here unlv looks like maybe they're playing with
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 1: pink uniforms in. THAT game i. Don't know maybe it's
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 1: just the color scheme there doesn't. Look right, WHO knows
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: i don't know why it looks. Pink there but it
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 1: was a bad GAME. For ucla ucla scored a bunch
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: late to get back kind of close in, that game
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: and they got back into the, game late so they didn't.
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 1: Give Up AND ucla, i believe did. Outgain, Them yeah
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: UCLA outgained unlv in this game by seventy seven yards
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: If that matt. Is correct it's just they were minus two,
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 1: In turnovers they had more, first downs a ton of
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: penalties in the game on, both sides just not clean
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: at all in, that GAME and ucla had. More possession
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: so really the scoreboard is kind of misleading in, that,
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 1: Game man ucla kind of lost, THAT game i think
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: because they lost the turnover bat it because they actually
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 1: played better in that game than you. Would THINK so
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 1: I think ucla is a little bit better than. THEY appear,
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 1: i mean people might come in and look at this And, Think,
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: ucla oh they socked the row, and two and you're
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: having to lay that much of a PRICE with ucla
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: looks like something the public wouldn't really want, to do
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: EVEN though I know ucla is the. Name team both teams,
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 1: have turnover, though obviously like from last year to, This
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 1: Year new mexico has an entirely, new system. New COACH
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 1: but i think that's WORSE than ucla having the same
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 1: coach there and bringing In Iam ali ava or whoever
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: you pronounce. His name nico will, call him everybody Calls
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 1: him Nico. FROM tennessee i MEAN he's i don't think,
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: he's GOOD but i mean this is a better situation,
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: for him at LEAST man. I think, i mean he's
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 1: at LEAST faced, sec defenses and this is a huge
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 1: step down, in caliber facing This Stupid new. Mexico team,
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: not stupid but Facing This new mexico defense that is,
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: NOT good i don't. THINK so, i mean certainly not
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: anywhere near as good As even. Utah is so it
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 1: might be a little bit of an easier. Task HERE
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: although i know he didn't do WELL against unlv either
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 1: until the end of, the, game really but he will
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 1: be horrible in. That game, SO anyway i would LEAN
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 1: to ucla in. That game it's not a strong Opinion Though. New,
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: mexico zach what's? Up man You Like new mexico in?
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 1: THIS game i, Do not but the professional money seems
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 1: like it is coming back in on, That side so
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 1: do with that what. You Will and i'm gonna give out, a.
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: Play MAN so i guess it's gonna make my pick
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: six And pick Seven's that i'm in, college football Because
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 1: if i'm gonna give out a play, on it it's
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: gonna be one of my better plays of. The week
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: we're gonna Go With kansas state minus. The. One baby
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: Everybody's Saying kansas state. Is dead they're not. Dead. Yet
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 1: man this game is gonna Be. On Fox. Kansas state
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 1: they can still Win The. Big, twelve OKAY so i
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 1: think that their goals are not. Crushed yet they have
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 1: not faced a dream. Crusher. Yet MAN so I Think
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 1: kansas state they're not as bad as what they look.
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 1: SO far i think there's still one of the, better
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 1: teams at least, personnel wise In The. BIG twelve i
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: think they could still compete In The. Big, twelve again
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: it's not. OVER yet i know they're one and two so,
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 1: far overall but they've only played one conference game. So far,
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 1: and yes it was, a loss but it was a.
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 1: Close loss so they started this Season. IN dublin, I
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 1: know i Gave Out kansas state in. That Game kansas STATE.
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 1: Outgained i alowa stayed in, that, Game Man kansas state.
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 1: OUTPLAYED them i believe they lost the turnover bat and
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: they wound up losing a game they probably shouldn't. Have
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 1: lost AND then i think that hung. THEM over, i
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: mean the, next game they didn't play WELL Against Fcs.
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 1: North dakota they had a really close call against a
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: Really Ugly north dakota is not that bad IN, the fcs,
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: really though but as a, Big Favorite kansas state had
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 1: a really. Close call but they were traveling Back, from,
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: dublin man, you know off of a. Big GAME so
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: i think they were just not paying Attention To north dakota.
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: At all so you can explain that a little bit
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 1: more difficult to Explain the army game, last week which
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: they lost that game outright as like a seventeen or eighteen.
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 1: Point favorite that's a little bit of. A, Concern Yeah
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 1: kansas state losing an army like that in a game
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: where they should have been focused because they almost Lost To.
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 1: North Dakota. BUT army, I mean i, don't, know Man
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 1: Maybe kansas state they're just not as used to facing
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: these triple. OPTION attacks i don't know what the deal. Was.
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: There army maybe they're a little bit better than. WE think,
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: I mean i didn't think they were very good coming into.
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 1: The season they were good the last couple. Of years
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: they were actually quite good, last year but THEY lost
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: i think a lot of the personnel from. Last Year
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 1: so i'm not Really thinking army is. That good but
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 1: maybe they're not. That Bad And kansas, state again they
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 1: just maybe they just struggled to Defend that. Army Offense
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 1: They're kansas state's offense has been, Struggling Though But kansas
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 1: state was winning this game thirteen to nothing and then
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 1: they want up losing. The game they're still winning in the.
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: Third quarter they did have a kick return, touchdown though
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 1: and then they wound up blowing the game in. The
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 1: end they lost right at the end of. The game.
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 1: Pretty brutal their offense still needs to. Get. Better man,
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: for sure they got out Gained. BY army, i mean
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: there's no getting around that Fact that army did all.
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 1: Play them army completely. Outpossessed them but it, WAS like,
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: i mean that kind of leads me to Believe that
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 1: army's rushing attack was Just Like kansas state couldn't get
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 1: them off. The field And Maybe kansas state just didn't
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 1: know what they were doing with a. Triple Option but,
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 1: Arizona Here. MAN arizona i think they're in a down year.
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 1: Right now they're not expected to really be that good.
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: This year and one of the MAIN reasons I Like
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 1: kansas state is because they have faced more. Difficult schedule
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 1: now you do have to Worry That. Kansas state they
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 1: have some injury issues, on offense but it looks like
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: some of that is about to get Better, because edwards
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: who's running one of their, running backs is about to.
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 1: Come back so they have multiple solid running backs that,
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 1: they Use and edwards is one, of them and he
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 1: didn't play In the, ARMY game i, don't think so he's.
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 1: Coming back so that's a good Thing For. Kansas STATE
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 1: and i don't think that really gets factored into the
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 1: line that much because it's not like a star quarterback.
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 1: Coming BACK so i don't think you have to worry
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: about reverse injured player theory or anything like. That here
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 1: that's like a piece that nobody really pays. Attention To
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 1: kansas state does have. OTHER injuries i know, they have
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: like they like highly recruited tight end they brought anything,
• 1:56:49
  Speaker 1: Is injured but they do have other tight ends. Or
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 1: weapons they're missing one of their better. WIDE receivers i get.
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 1: All That, avery johnson, their quarterback who's an. Experienced, quarterback
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 1: man he's not, that bad but he hasn't looked good.
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 1: THIS season, I know i. Get it But Still, KANSAS state,
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 1: i mean they're known for having a, balanced ATTACK and
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 1: i still think that, can happen especially with their running
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: backs healthy, Here MAN so i still think they do
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: have that. BALANCED attack i think they could do Well.
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: Against arizona arizona is just not a good team. This. Year,
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: Man Okay. Kansas state They Faced iowa State. In, Dublin
• 1:57:21
  Speaker 1: MAN like, i said you can kind of explain what's
• 1:57:23
  Speaker 1: happened to them. So Far iowa state's the best team
• 1:57:25
  Speaker 1: that either of these two teams have faced. So Far
• 1:57:27
  Speaker 1: kansas state has definitely faced the more difficult Schedule and
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 1: army is better. Than anybody arizona's face, as well in.
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 1: My OPINION maybe, I mean Arizona faced Hawaii and HAWAII'S
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 1: quarterback i think was playing injured in. That game if
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 1: you watched, THAT game i think he was like limping
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: around in. That game there's something going. On. THERE fefeed
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 1: i guess it is. HIS name i think it was
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: him who was Injured. In hawaii, you know they come
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 1: to the mainland sometimes they really. Struggle There so i'm
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 1: not putting a whole lot of Weight into Arizona, smacking
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 1: hawaii EVEN though I think hawaii is maybe improved, this
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 1: year good enough to maybe make a, ball GAME but
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 1: i don't think they're. That good And then Arizona Beat
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 1: weber state like who? Really CARES and. Fcs team this
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: is a major step up in. Class HERE and i
• 1:58:08
  Speaker 1: know This is Arizona's First big twelve, home Game But
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 1: kansas state their expectations were much, much, higher man and
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 1: they're still they're they're still in the running to Win The, big,
• 1:58:20
  Speaker 1: twelve man so they got to get it. Done HERE
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 1: so I Think kansas state they face the more, difficult
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 1: schedule they're more battle tested. Right now they're the, better
• 1:58:27
  Speaker 1: team As the oswegers are. Telling YOU so i think
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: they're gonna come out and get, this, game man and
• 1:58:31
  Speaker 1: people are gonna look. At This kansas state's one, And
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 1: two arizona's two, and zero and people kind Of, think arizona,
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 1: you know they have, a name they're a. Decent Team
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: kansas state's looked, bad RECENTLY so i think the public
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: is gonna want to kind of come In on, arizona
• 1:58:43
  Speaker 1: here and they're just not the, better. TEAM man, i,
• 1:58:46
  Speaker 1: mean like it wasn't even close as far as if
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 1: you looked at the, odds preseason as far as their
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 1: odds like Win The, Big Twelve kansas state was considered
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 1: to be one of the best teams Of The, big
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: Twelve and arizona was considered to be like one of
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 1: the like bottom few teams in. This conference it isn't even.
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 1: That good so something's gonna, give. HERE man i think
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 1: things are gonna. Turn Around kansas state is the. Better
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: team the osriks are telling, you THAT and i actually
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 1: think you're maybe getting a Discount On kansas. State here
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: they're up from a pick them to a one and
• 1:59:12
  Speaker 1: a half. Point. Favorite here, THE money, i know looks
• 1:59:15
  Speaker 1: like it's Slightly, on arizona fifty three percent of Tickets,
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 1: on arizona fifty five percent of the Cash. On arizona but,
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 1: to me they look like they're kind of a public road,
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 1: Underdog here like it almost looks too easy to take
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 1: the undefeated team, At home like why are they are an?
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 1: Underdog HERE so I Think kansas state is the right, side,
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 1: here man and hopefully they start turning too the, fuck
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 1: around because they're definitely supposed to be a lot better
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 1: than what they've looked. So far arizona down for fifty
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 1: four to fifty three and a half or total down
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 1: for fifty four to fifty three and, a half juice to.
• 1:59:43
  Speaker 1: THE over i don't really have an opinion on the.
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 1: Total here it seems a, little high a little bit high,
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 1: to me and that when eighty four percent of take
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 1: a sixty eight percent of cash on, the over so
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 1: money's coming in in. The UNDER and i think if
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 1: it's an undertype, OF game i actually think That Helps
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: kansas state because their offense is not really. That Great
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 1: kansas city did return a lot of their defense To
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 1: And kansas city their defense hasn't really been the problem, this, year,
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 1: MAN really, i Mean Holding iowa state to, twenty four
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: that's not really. That bad and they didn't allow a
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 1: lot of yards in. That one they allowed more yards.
• 2:00:14
  Speaker 1: To arm maybe they just couldn't get them off. The Field,
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 1: kansas state their defense is still, not, bad man and
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 1: there's more continuity on. Their DEFENSE so i think you're
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 1: looking at the better Defense With kansas, State too and
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 1: that's part of this. Handicap too you get the better
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 1: defense and you're basically just gonna pick the winner. Line,
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 1: HERE yeah i, MEAN again i think it's a misleading
• 2:00:33
  Speaker 1: start to the season a little bit for. Both Teams
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 1: kansas state has obviously faced the more. Difficult schedule arizona's
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 1: basically not face to. Anybody yet so that's gonna, do,
• 2:00:41
  Speaker 1: IT man i think that's Gonna be that's gonna. Do
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 1: it that's gonna be the Play In. KANSAS state i
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 1: don't know if revenge is really. A motive i didn't
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 1: really look to see which team even won last year's.
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 1: MATCH up i think they had like an isolated midweek matchup. Last.
• 2:00:52
  Speaker 1: Year kids they did win at home thirty one to
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 1: seven in, That GAME but i don't think revenge is
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 1: like a huge. Factor. Here man teams, will, remember oh
• 2:01:02
  Speaker 1: this team beat us, last YEAR but i don't think
• 2:01:04
  Speaker 1: that's that huge of, A deal like it doesn't matter
• 2:01:07
  Speaker 1: as much, as oh this team ended our season last
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 1: year or anything, like that because these teams basically play
• 2:01:12
  Speaker 1: each other. Every year so it's a slight Motivator. For
• 2:01:14
  Speaker 1: Arizona But kansas state's in. Desperate, times man they gotta win.
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 1: The GAME so i know sometimes the pressure is on in,
• 2:01:20
  Speaker 1: that case but you're not even you're not really asking
• 2:01:22
  Speaker 1: them to do anything besides win the, Game here so
• 2:01:25
  Speaker 1: that's gonna. Do it long. Show today didn't expect you
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: to be, that LONG but i went on some tangents.
• 2:01:30
  Speaker 1: Once again the plays are the under In, raised Cubs, Under,
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 1: Rangers Mets atlanta braves, money line although you can't get
• 2:01:39
  Speaker 1: as good of a price on, that Now And kansas
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 1: state in college football will go with them on This
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 1: just kansastate minus one and. That one that's gonna. Do
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 1: it Learn it Toad, On twitter Learn it Toad. On
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 1: instagram you can check me. Out there i'll have some
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: videos for. These plays got to get the afternoon one
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 1: up pretty Quickly. On instagram, better, Off, dad like subscribe to, the,
• 2:02:01
  Speaker 1: channel man go check me out in, the audio give
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 1: me good reviews. On audio that really helps the. Channel
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: out helps, me, out man everything helps. Me out want
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 1: to get monetized er monetized, on audio but the money's
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 1: not flowing in until we get way way more listeners.
• 2:02:14
  Speaker 1: On audio so hopefully. We DO but i rant. Too
• 2:02:17
  Speaker 1: much people don't like my autism covered in you BECAUSE
• 2:02:20
  Speaker 1: my uke channel, on YouTube which i've been keeping up
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 1: with that haven't been keeping up With the. PATREON feed,
• 2:02:24
  Speaker 1: I know i KEEP saying i gotta get back. To
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 1: that it's almost, up TODAY but I think i have
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 1: about FOUR songs i have to get, up THERE so
• 2:02:30
  Speaker 1: i got to. DO that I promise i will do
• 2:02:33
  Speaker 1: that at. Some point AND know i Feel like i'm
• 2:02:35
  Speaker 1: busy all, the time and even just with the, sports
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 1: shit so we'll see that plus job hunting. And whatever
• 2:02:43
  Speaker 1: padroon dot com slash learn to tone you can help me.
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 1: Out there thanks guys for hanging out long. Video today
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 1: let's kick off the weekend on a. Good note i'll be.
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 1: Back Tonight remember i'm gonna do The College football, saturday
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 1: show which is probably gonna be a long. ASS show
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 1: i have some ideas of what my plays are, gonna
• 2:02:57
  Speaker 1: BE which i think are probably stronger than In This kansas.
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 1: State PLAY although i don't Mind The kansas state play, tonight,
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 1: either Obviously because i'm making it. A Play so i'll
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 1: be back, with, you guys back with you tonight around.
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 1: That time so be there, for, that man don't you
• 2:03:11
  Speaker 1: don't want to. Miss it we'll talk about a bunch
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 1: of the college. Football games it's, week three so we
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 1: have some good games to. Talk about that's gonna. Do
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 1: it peace, for, now everybody