Democrats Can Still Win The House in November
The generic ballot still shows a six-point Democratic advantage. Since early last year, Democrats have outperformed Kamala Harris's 2024 numbers by 13 to 15 points across 32 special elections. Republican enthusiasm is low, the party is divided, and Donald Trump is not on the ballot this fall.
Trump's approval on the economy, inflation, and immigration is worse than Joe Biden's numbers were at their lowest. The Iran war is historically unpopular, and with the Strait of Hormuz still closed, the worst economic pain — including potentially $10-per-gallon gas in California — has not yet hit…
The skinny
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