Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 232 - 3/7/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello and welcome to episode 232 of the All Systems Go Sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:37Happy Friday, the 1st full week of March is coming to an end and
- 0:41we got a lot to talk about to finish up our work week today
- 0:44guys, we're going to get right back to college basketball as
- 0:47conference tournaments heat up and March Madness is right
- 0:50around the corner. We spent a lot of yesterday's
- 0:51show talking about, you know, the contrarian bracket, how to
- 0:54think, start thinking about that.
- 0:56And of course, if you haven't done it yet, request you a
- 0:58rhythm bracket when you download the Rhythm app and log right
- 1:01into the homepage will be an option there to download the
- 1:04bracket, which is basically AI generated based on your level of
- 1:08criteria and your betting system matches.
- 1:10But for today, 3 college basketball bets.
- 1:13So we're going to see if we can go 2 and one eke out a winning
- 1:15night. And then I do have a play for
- 1:17you in biting in the UFC. It's been a couple weeks here in
- 1:21the UFC and I found one bout today that kind of all the
- 1:24planets align. I really like the bet split low
- 1:27bets higher, higher dollars in the line move.
- 1:29And then also, I saw a really great preview on vsin.com from
- 1:33Zaid Hussein, who jumped on the show and had a really great
- 1:36breakdown which aligned in this bout.
- 1:38This bite between basically aligned exactly with what the
- 1:41betting market is telling me. So I got to play for you in the
- 1:44UFC. 3 college basketball bats for tonight, see if we can
- 1:48finish off the week on a high note.
- 1:50And then always remember, you know, we have huge Saturday
- 1:53cards in college basketball. I'm looking tomorrow, you know,
- 1:55upwards of like 7580 games. So even though we don't have
- 1:59pods on the weekend, always remember you can read the sharp
- 2:01reports that I write for vsin.com.
- 2:03I always tweet them out at Josh under score insights.
- 2:06There's also a great promotion going on right now at V sin.
- 2:10You know, if you've never been introduced to V Sin or never,
- 2:12you know, kind of taken advantage of the bet splits or
- 2:14the articles that I write. Well, you can actually get V Sin
- 2:17for free. They're taking down the pay
- 2:19wall. You'll get all access to
- 2:20everything for a full week. So you have any questions about
- 2:23it, let me know, but you can just go to vsin.com.
- 2:25I tweeted about it as well, so you can be to the races there.
- 2:29But also from the Sharp report, if you just want the place, you
- 2:32can always get the best bets directly from the Juice Reel
- 2:35app. Every best bet from the All
- 2:37Systems Go pod will be located on the Juice Reel social tab.
- 2:40And all of course tweeted out each day at Josh under score
- 2:43Insights. A reminder that is $4.99 a week,
- 2:475 bucks to get all the best bets.
- 2:49Think of it as a tip jar. You like the free pod?
- 2:52Hey, get those. Get those plays for 5 bucks a
- 2:54week and hopefully we'll get some good CLV beats and closing
- 2:57lines. So before we dive in our sweats
- 2:59for tonight, good winning night last night guys 2 and 1 + 0.33
- 3:04units. So we'll take a 1/3 of a unit,
- 3:06put it in our pocket, reinvest it today, but had some good hits
- 3:09with Omaha. Really didn't have to sweat that
- 3:11one at all. They rolled pretty easily which
- 3:13was nice to see. I love seeing Cal State
- 3:15Bakersfield come through because they were pretty ugly at the
- 3:19beginning and really turned it around on senior night and
- 3:21played great down the stretch and pulled away.
- 3:23So Bakersfield got the win. The only loser was Pacific, even
- 3:27though we beat the closing line with Pacific, because I want to
- 3:29say Pacific closed, I want to say minus.
- 3:32Was it -2 1/2? I forgot the number on that one,
- 3:36but that was the early game. So yeah, like, I guess around 2,
- 3:39but they're sitting around 1 1/2 pretty much all day.
- 3:41So one of those CLV plays that didn't come through.
- 3:44What are you going to do? We'll take a two and 1/3 of a
- 3:47unit night winning night any day of the week.
- 3:50And of course, put it into today's cap.
- 3:52So that being said, let's get right into it and talk some
- 3:56college hoops for today. So first one on the board for
- 3:58me. Got a 7:00 game here and this is
- 4:01a conference tournament, so always be aware of this time of
- 4:04year. Is it a conference tournament
- 4:06game? If so, what's the rest situation
- 4:08for both teams? Obviously what's the betting
- 4:10market doing? But then also, if it is not a,
- 4:14you know, a conference tournament game, you know, make
- 4:16sure you know, if is it, is it a neutral site?
- 4:18Is it a true homecourt? These are little things that
- 4:20this time of year you got to be aware of going into going into
- 4:23the game. But anyway, 7:00 we got South
- 4:26Dakota versus North Dakota State.
- 4:29This is the Summit League quarterfinals.
- 4:30Both teams did not play in the first round coming off a bye.
- 4:34So it's the first conference tournament game for both sides.
- 4:37Now let's set the stage here. Talk some line movements, the
- 4:40line movement bet splits, some Ken palm, some rhythm, some
- 4:43sharp mush juice reel and I'll give you my play for this one.
- 4:46So coming into it we have South Dakota 18 and 13 on the year.
- 4:49They're the five seed in this conference tournament in the
- 4:52summit league. They just snapped A2 game losing
- 4:54skid with a win over North Dakota and again got to make
- 4:58sure you got in the right Dakotas there's South Dakota,
- 5:00South Dakota state, North Dakota, North Dakota State.
- 5:02Make sure if you're betting this game with me, you're picking the
- 5:05right one. If it helps this game 865866,
- 5:09but I can't tell you how many times you might screw up one of
- 5:11the Dakotas, which by the way we should make into just one state.
- 5:15Why do they have 4 senators and two of the small states where
- 5:18California has 2? Doesn't make any sense.
- 5:20Anyway, I won't get political on you, but they beat up on North
- 5:24Dakota 9279 covered as a four point home favorite in their
- 5:28regular season finale. Meanwhile, North Dakota State,
- 5:3021 and 10, the four seed they've won for their last five.
- 5:34They just beat South Dakota, same team, 82 to 78, didn't
- 5:38cover though as a 6 1/2 point home favorite in their regular
- 5:41season finale. So what are you seeing across
- 5:43the market here? Well, pretty clear movement
- 5:45toward North Dakota State. And wait until you hear this,
- 5:47Ken Palmer, which is a pretty big one.
- 5:49But North Dakota State opened this game as a very short 2 1/2
- 5:52point neutral site favorite. And pros think that line is a
- 5:56bit too low because they hammered North Dakota State -2
- 5:591/2, bet them up to -3 1/2. And now I'm seeing some shops
- 6:02even get up to -4 So pretty clear one way pro and Joe
- 6:07support on North Dakota State. Because if you look at
- 6:09DraftKings, even though this is a relatively low back game
- 6:12tonight, around 75% of bets in dollars are going with the North
- 6:16Dakota State Bison. Now, pretty clear, Land's going
- 6:19to North Dakota State. Ken Palm has North Dakota State,
- 6:21and I had to double check this to make sure it's right, but
- 6:23it's right. He's got him winning by 7
- 6:25points, 90 to 83. So he's also got him ranked much
- 6:30higher, 130th in the country versus 200 and 31st for South
- 6:34Dakota. Now, you might say, hey, Ken
- 6:35Palm's got him by 7. Let's lay the 3 1/2 for four.
- 6:38I'm still money lining the short favorite here, guys.
- 6:40I do not want to have North Dakota State win by one, 2-3 or
- 6:43four and we lose or push our bat.
- 6:46So I got North Dakota State on the money line at -170 a lot of
- 6:50good bet splits here on the bison at DraftKings, 84% of
- 6:54money line bets, over 92% of money line dollars on North
- 6:59Dakota State. So pretty clear, heavy, smart
- 7:01money going with the Bison or the Bison, however you want to
- 7:04call them. North Dakota State.
- 7:06Lot of stat advantages in this one.
- 7:08Better offensive efficiency. They ranked 51st in the country
- 7:11versus 116th for South Dakota. Better defensive efficiency, 200
- 7:16and 90th in the country versus 333 for South Dakota.
- 7:21Better effective field goal percentage, 58% versus 51%.
- 7:25Better three-point shooting. Believe it or not, North Dakota
- 7:28State's one of the best 3 point shooting teams in the league.
- 7:31Hopefully they can knock down their shots tonight, but they're
- 7:33hitting 40% of their threes versus 32% for South Dakota and
- 7:38better free throw shooting. If this is a tight game, I hope
- 7:41it isn't hope North Dakota rolls start to finish.
- 7:43North Dakota State, but they do have the better free throw
- 7:46shooting, 79% versus 72% and they're also better defensively.
- 7:51They're only giving up 74 points a game.
- 7:53The Coyotes of South Dakota are giving up 83 points a game.
- 7:57Also a little bit of a rest advantage.
- 8:00Now the Coyotes of South Dakota, they haven't played since March
- 8:031st, which is pretty good rest. That's six days, but the Bison,
- 8:07North Dakota State haven't played since February 26th.
- 8:10So they are really ready to go. Hopefully they've been
- 8:12practicing and you know, a lot of game plan here to beat South
- 8:16Dakota. So add it all up here guys.
- 8:18We got a really clear sharp line move in favor of North Dakota
- 8:21State. Ken Palms got him by 7.
- 8:23Rhythm has a -, 3.1 and I did notice on the Juice Reel app
- 8:28that there is a 13% sharp mush edge on North Dakota State. 13%
- 8:33more of the winning betters are in North Dakota State as opposed
- 8:37to losing betters leaning more towards South Dakota.
- 8:40So let's go North Dakota State on the money line.
- 8:43Let's win this damn game -170 next bet for you. 8:00 Eastern
- 8:49Time, let's go to the Ohio Valley Conference tournament.
- 8:52This is the semi finals 8:00 game here between Little Rock
- 8:55and Southeast Missouri State. Now Little Rock comes in 19 and
- 8:5913 on the year. They're the four seed in this
- 9:01tournament. They just played yesterday and
- 9:04beat Tennessee Martin 82 to 77. They pushed as a 5 point neutral
- 9:09site favorite. Meanwhile, Southeast Missouri
- 9:11State 20 and 11 on the year. They are the one seed.
- 9:14So they got a first round bye. So we're going to get to this
- 9:17rest first, tired in the second, but it's a rest first tired
- 9:19advantage for Southeast Missouri State.
- 9:21Then A10 game win streak going. They lost to Eastern Illinois in
- 9:25their final regular season game 73 to 58.
- 9:28They're a 5 1/2 point Rd. favorite and lost out right.
- 9:31So what do we see across the market here?
- 9:33Well, pretty clear movement on Southeast Missouri State pro
- 9:36seem to like the the one seed here at a short number.
- 9:39Now this game opens Southeast Missouri State very short one
- 9:42point. I even saw some books like a
- 9:44pick em around a one point favorite for Southeast Missouri
- 9:47State. Now Southeast Missouri State has
- 9:49been bet up to -2 1/2 even -3 at quite a few shops.
- 9:53So very clear movement tells me pros said hey, that's too low,
- 9:57maybe we got Missouri. Southeast Missouri State -2 1/2
- 10:01- 3 - 4 to begin with. Which is why they hammered the
- 10:04Red Hawks here as soon as that line opened 'cause that one way
- 10:07movement in their favor. The bet splits look really good
- 10:10on Southeast Missouri State at DraftKings. 78% of spread bets,
- 10:1490% of spread dollars. Circa 60% of spread bets, 98% of
- 10:20spread dollars. So both books, the public
- 10:22DraftKings, the the wise guy desert book circa really heavy
- 10:26low bets, higher dollars in favor of Southeast Missouri
- 10:29State. Now Ken Palmer, Southeast
- 10:31Missouri State only winning by 1.
- 10:34So even though he does have ranked higher two O 5th in the
- 10:36country versus 217th. But with that in mind,
- 10:39definitely want to go money line here.
- 10:41Again, we're paying a little more juice, but protecting
- 10:43ourselves because again, you know, let's say pros hit
- 10:47Southeast Missouri State -1 -, 1 1/2 - 2, even 2 1/2.
- 10:51You know, they win by three. You lay a late three, you lose,
- 10:54they win by two. You know, the early sharps win,
- 10:57you lose a 2 1/2. So let's make sure we're
- 11:00protecting ourselves here, especially in these conference
- 11:02tournaments where things can get a little crazy.
- 11:05So I got Southeast Missouri State on the money line at -145
- 11:09They have a pretty good bet split at DraftKings.
- 11:12Money line bets 78%, bets 87% dollars.
- 11:16That's another good split there in favor of Southeast Missouri
- 11:19State. Now a few advantages here for
- 11:21Southeast Missouri State, a lot of them are offensively, but
- 11:24they have the better offensive efficiency 243 in the country
- 11:28versus 3O3 for Little Rock, better effective field goal
- 11:31percentage, 52% versus 50%, better free throw percentage,
- 11:3672% versus 70%. And also found a huge
- 11:40discrepancy in terms of turning it over because if you look at
- 11:43the Red Hawks, Southeast Missouri State, they rank 86th
- 11:46best in the country at fewest turnovers.
- 11:49If you look at Arkansas Little Rock, they rank 3:30 fourth.
- 11:52They turn it over quite a bit. Now the rest, first tired,
- 11:55hopefully will be meaningful because again, Arkansas played
- 11:58yesterday. Southeast Missouri State hasn't
- 12:01played since March 1st. So if we Southeast Missouri
- 12:03State is locked and loaded, ready to go, Rhythm does have
- 12:07Southeast Missouri State -2.2, which is pretty much right on
- 12:11the 2 1/2. And there is an 18% sharp mush
- 12:14edge on Southeast Missouri State at Juice Reel, 18% of the
- 12:18sharper betters. We're going with the RedHawks
- 12:20here. So with this line move, you
- 12:22know, might pick a -, 1 up to -2 1/2 - 3.
- 12:26We got a lot of stat advantages. We got a rest first, tired.
- 12:28Let's hope that this one seed can advance here.
- 12:31Let's go Southeast Missouri State.
- 12:33I got him on the money line at -145 last night of the night,
- 12:389:00 Eastern Time. This is the second round of the
- 12:40West Coast Conference tournament.
- 12:42Both teams had a buy in the first round.
- 12:44I'm talking about Pepperdine, the dine against Portland.
- 12:48Now Pepperdine comes in 10 and 21 on the year.
- 12:50They're the nine seed. They dropped eight of their last
- 12:53nine and their last regular season game they fell to
- 12:55Washington State 90 to 83, didn't cover as a four and a
- 12:59half point home dog. You know, Portland slightly
- 13:01better record 912 and 19. They're the eight seed, then a
- 13:05two game win streak going. But then they lost to San Diego
- 13:0882 to 80 and their last regular season game they lost outright
- 13:12as a 1 1/2 point Rd. favorite. So what are we seeing across the
- 13:15market here? Well, this game opened Portland
- 13:18lists around A1 or 1 1/2 point home favorite.
- 13:22And earlier today, we saw some pretty good movement.
- 13:24Liability toward Portland got up to -1 1/2 -, 115 -, 120.
- 13:30So they got juiced up and some books even went to two.
- 13:33So that told me, hey, we got some money going here at
- 13:35Portland. So I put in Portland money line.
- 13:38I got them around -125 -, 130. Now, I fully admit, looks like
- 13:43there's some buyback on the Dine right now.
- 13:45This line is back down to 1. So maybe there's a little bit
- 13:48of, hey, you know, there's some early Portland money and then
- 13:51kind of came back down. Maybe there was some plus 2 + 1
- 13:541/2 on the Dine. But as always, you know, if
- 13:58you're going to now ask me and I always get this, like if you bet
- 14:01a game and the line starts to go away from you, what do you do?
- 14:04Now? I'm a big proponent of dancing
- 14:05with the one who brung me. I always make this joke.
- 14:08But remember the Sadie Hawkins dance in 8th grade.
- 14:11If little Samantha asks you to the Sadie Hawkins dance, you
- 14:14dance with her. You don't ditch her for some
- 14:16cuter girl. You, you are true to your word
- 14:19and you stick with the you know, you dance with the one who brung
- 14:22you. That's my analogy because I'm
- 14:25sure a lot of people will just say, oh, buy back Pepperdine.
- 14:27What are you going to do? You going to buy out cash out
- 14:29bet the other side? No, I'm sticking with Portland
- 14:32here. And I'll give you a couple
- 14:33reasons to kind of still want to stick with Portland.
- 14:36But first, let's get to the bet. Splits is a very low bet game,
- 14:39late night game, but you have 78% of bets, 83% of dollars on
- 14:43Portland at DraftKings at circa 58% of spread bets, 64% of
- 14:48dollars on Portland. So Portland does have that good
- 14:51bet split in their favor. You have seen wise guys look to
- 14:54mitigate some risk here and take Portland on the money line.
- 14:57That's what I did around -130 seventy, 7% of money line bets,
- 15:0184% of money line dollars. So it tells me we got a lot of
- 15:04money playing Portland to win this game.
- 15:05Straight up. Portland has the better
- 15:07offensive efficiency, 198 in the country versus 213 for
- 15:11Pepperdine, better effective field goal percentage, 50%
- 15:15versus 49%, and a big edge here. Free throws, boy, if this is a
- 15:19close game, let's have Portland hit their free throws.
- 15:21Let's have the Dine Missum 78% versus 71%.
- 15:26Now our friends at Rhythm have Portland -1.3, and we do have a
- 15:319%. Nothing amazing, but a 9% sharp
- 15:33mush edge on Portland at Juice Rail.
- 15:36Now, if you're getting nervous because this line fell back down
- 15:39a little bit toward the Dine, hopefully we see a little bit
- 15:42more of the same. And what do I mean by that?
- 15:44Portland played Pepperdine twice this year.
- 15:46They're two and O against the Dine, and both times they've
- 15:49beaten them by 20 points. They beat them 84 to 64 and then
- 15:5287 to 67. So I fully admit I was surprised
- 15:56to see this get back down to one because all these books are at 1
- 15:591/2 or even 2 earlier today. I'm gonna dance with the one who
- 16:02brung me. I'm gonna stick with my original
- 16:03play. Let's go Portland Pilots to win
- 16:07this damn game. You can now get him around -120
- 16:10on the money line. So North Dakota State, Southeast
- 16:13Missouri State, Portland 3 pack tonight, Let's try to go 2 and
- 16:161. Eek out a winning night.
- 16:18Now entering the Octagon, biting in the arena.
- 16:23UFC, baby. It's been a bit, but there was a
- 16:25play that jumped out to me when I saw a tweet from my friends at
- 16:30V Sin breaking down this game. I want to give a shout out to
- 16:33Zaid Hussein, who had a great breakdown from jumping on the
- 16:38the V Sin show earlier today with my buddy Dave Ross.
- 16:41But it coincided with a play that I got excited about when I
- 16:43got an e-mail this morning. So a little bit of a reminder
- 16:47here cuz UFC, you know, it's not our #1 sport, but we like to
- 16:51dabble here and come up with a, a model blueprint.
- 16:54Younger, taller, longer reach line movement, bet splits.
- 16:59And I'll I'll throw in another factor there like source place
- 17:01or people that are expert. I'm not going to call myself
- 17:04AUFC expert, but I am a data-driven better.
- 17:08So if they're experts that kind of align with what the data's
- 17:10saying, then to me it's a cherry on top.
- 17:13But anyway, I landed on the Co main event, lightweight Co main
- 17:17event Justin Gaichi against Rafael Fazeev.
- 17:22Now, if you remember Gaichi warrior, great, great fighter,
- 17:26remember what was it? I think he fought McGregor a
- 17:28couple times. Guys, guys a stud.
- 17:31But he's getting a little bit older.
- 17:33I'm going to fade Gaichi. I'm going Raphael Fazeev.
- 17:37So the first thing I like about Fazeev is the line movement.
- 17:40When I got that e-mail from my buddy John Ewing this morning
- 17:42from Bet MGM Fazeev, it was showing that he opened at -125
- 17:47he's now up to around -160 So the line in the market has moved
- 17:51toward Fazeev. That's what looks good on Fizzy,
- 17:54and he spells it Fiz i.e. FIEV betam GM Fizzy is only
- 18:01getting 25% of bets, but 61% of dollars.
- 18:05So good bets. What?
- 18:06They're only 1/4 of the tickets, but nearly 2/3 of the money.
- 18:10He has a youth advantage. He's 32.
- 18:12Gaichi is 36. He's a little bit shorter, 57
- 18:16versus 59, So he doesn't have the height, but he does have the
- 18:19reach advantage, 71.5 inches versus 70.
- 18:23So we have the line, move the bet, split the reach and youth.
- 18:27And remember, you know something that a mentor of mine in UFC
- 18:31always told me, Fade fighters 35 or older, Fade fighters 5 years
- 18:35older or more than their opponent.
- 18:36So Gaichi's only four years older.
- 18:39You don't have the five years older or more, but he is the
- 18:41fade fighters 35 or more. I did a little bit of digging
- 18:45here and here are some angles that I found in favor of Fazeev.
- 18:501 takedowns. He's the better grappler.
- 18:54Gaichi likes to be a striker, but Fazeev has a takedown
- 18:58percentage of 40% versus only 25% for Gaichi.
- 19:03He also does a better Fazeev job at defending takedowns, 89%
- 19:07versus 75%. He is the quicker and better
- 19:10striker with more power. So maybe we get a knockout that
- 19:13would be great. But also he takes less
- 19:16punishment. He absorbs, absorbs 4.97
- 19:20significant strikes per minute versus 7.46 for Gaichi.
- 19:24And the shout that I want to give to Zaid Hussein, who had a
- 19:29great breakdown of this, of this fight, he was talking about how
- 19:34Gaichi is kind of fading these, these guys actually fought each
- 19:38other a little while ago and Fuzzy won.
- 19:41So you have the angle of, you know, rematch.
- 19:42Typically whoever wins the first one wins the second one and it
- 19:45happens like 2/3 of the time. But Gaichi took a lot of
- 19:48punishment. He's taking a lot of damage.
- 19:51He's getting a little bit longer in the tooth.
- 19:53Basically, you know, Zaid was talking about how, hey, this is
- 19:57the time maybe, maybe Gaichi's last fight before he retires.
- 20:01So sure, he'll be motivated. But this is like the, the lion
- 20:04in the, when I was in Africa over the summer, you know, the
- 20:07lion at, at Amboseli, who, you know, used to be the, the king
- 20:11of the, of the jungle. And now he's getting older and
- 20:14maybe he's going to get taken down.
- 20:16Also, if you're looking at another angle here, this is
- 20:21actually, believe it or not, a late replacement because I
- 20:23believe Dan Hooker was supposed to fight Gaichi and they brought
- 20:27in Fazeve. And usually I want to fade
- 20:29fighters who are late replacements because it's just,
- 20:32you know, you're kind of up against it.
- 20:34You got to travel, you know, you're crunched on time.
- 20:36But it's notable to me that even though Fazeve is a late
- 20:39replacement, all the smart money is on Fazeve.
- 20:41So usually you see it the other way.
- 20:43You know, typically the sharps are going to fade.
- 20:44The guy who's a late replacement.
- 20:46That didn't happen here. This line moved toward Fazeev.
- 20:49So Long story short, we got our buddy Zaid Hussein who likes
- 20:53Fazeev. The betting market is high on
- 20:55Fazeev. I'm going to play Rafael Fazeev.
- 20:58I already bet it. Shop around because I found ESPN
- 21:01bet offering -155 so let's go Fazeev.
- 21:07So that about does it for episode 232 of the All Systems
- 21:10Go Sports Betting pod powered by Rhythm.
- 21:13Of course. This is the part of the pod
- 21:14where we wrap things up and I start first by saying thank you.
- 21:17Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
- 21:19busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
- 21:23sharp contrarian betting breakdowns of me.
- 21:25If you do enjoy the pod, if you value the insights, please do me
- 21:29a solid. Give this podcast a five star
- 21:31review. If you're listening on Spotify
- 21:33or iTunes, if you want to leave a nice comment and the reviews,
- 21:36that's great as well. If you want to recommend it to a
- 21:37friend, if you want to click the follow button, the way it gets a
- 21:41pop up on your phone or right to your Spotify library each day
- 21:44when it drops, that would also be great.
- 21:47Next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown, sharp
- 21:50data-driven contrarian betting, well, guess what?
- 21:52If you want to make my day and learn more about data-driven
- 21:54betting, you should go buy 2 books.
- 21:57You should first go to Amazon.com and type in the
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- 22:09betters, but I would even love more if you guys were able to
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- 22:16and type in the NFL Sharp betting playbook pre-order a
- 22:20copy. I cannot wait for this to drop
- 22:22because I've been working on it for a long time and I'm very
- 22:24proud of it. And if you guys want to help me
- 22:27continue to generate some buzz as we just went to the number
- 22:30one new release in sports betting on Amazon, that would be
- 22:33fantastic as well. And for those who have already
- 22:36pre-ordered a copy, thank you. I really appreciate it when I
- 22:39see at the book I'll buy you a beer and actually the wife and I
- 22:43are gonna check out the Nash this weekend, the new Nashua
- 22:46sports book and casino Nashua NH.
- 22:49So I'll give you guys a review when I come back on Monday's pod
- 22:54next. If you haven't done it yet, go
- 22:55download Juice Reel and Rhythm. My two favorite sports betting
- 22:58apps. But Rhythm fantastic for their
- 23:00AI backed models and predictions for game bets and player props
- 23:04across all the major sports. Got baseball coming up soon,
- 23:07great for college hoops right now NBA and make sure you
- 23:10request your bracket on the homepage of the rhythm app.
- 23:14And then juice reel great for following the all systems go
- 23:17best bet picks which you can find from the social tab.
- 23:21Again for $4.99 a week you get a full week of plays.
- 23:24There's also a free trial if you just want to test it out.
- 23:27But also you're going to get the robo Jackson best bet picks, the
- 23:30sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays shopping for the
- 23:33best line features all available in the juice reel app.
- 23:37So go to your App Store, download rhythm, download juice
- 23:40reel and while you're at it, give both a five star review.
- 23:43Of course, if you need a live odds page and you know you need
- 23:46one if you're listening to my voice, you're probably serious
- 23:48about sports betting. You want to win Well, if you
- 23:51want to win, you got to get the best number.
- 23:53You got to know what a line to open at how it's moved.
- 23:56You got to be able to read the market and odds logic is the
- 24:00number one sports betting live odds platform that you need to
- 24:04help you win. So live odds page is huge.
- 24:08Again, being able to track the market.
- 24:09Consider it like your your E*Trade account if you're a
- 24:12trader, but odds logic offers a 7 day free trial.
- 24:17I think you're going to really enjoy it.
- 24:18It's just a clean, crisp interface.
- 24:20It's got all the major books, including pinnacle and circa.
- 24:23You can look at all the market setting books and see the market
- 24:25move, you know, at the big ones and you know, pick off a, a slow
- 24:29moving number at a softbook. But if you want to give it a
- 24:31shot, go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
- 24:36That way they know that I sent you and you can give it a give
- 24:38it a shot for seven days and I think you're really going to
- 24:40enjoy it. That's oddslogic.com/josh 123.
- 24:47So that about does it for episode 232 on a big Friday here
- 24:51guys, as always, I'll leave you with two things.
- 24:53One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 24:56River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
- 24:59Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, or
- 25:02Plain Ridge Park Casino, or MGM Springfield in my neck of the
- 25:05woods in Massachusetts, or the Nash, which is now my new
- 25:09closest book. Can't wait to check it out this
- 25:10weekend. Or, of course, out in the desert
- 25:12where the true grinders get down.
- 25:14Or Billy Walter sends his number runners with lowest juice
- 25:16possible found at the South Point.
- 25:18Or sweat and sharp Contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
- 25:21swimming pool when they cash a big ticket at Circa, wherever it
- 25:24may be. You're going to walk up to me.
- 25:26You're going to show me an Omaha ticket, a Bakersfield ticket.
- 25:30Just don't, don't show me Pacific.
- 25:31They kept this from a sweep. But guess what?
- 25:33First one's on me, next one's on you.
- 25:35We're going to post about the book.
- 25:36Sweat some sharp contrarian plays all night long.
- 25:39So wish you the best of luck everyone.
- 25:41As always, two and one, one and 2-3 and OO and three again the
- 25:45previous day should never talk you into a good bet or a bad bet
- 25:49or talk you out of a good bet again.
- 25:50Each day you turn the page. It's a new opportunity to grind
- 25:53After a winning day, it's a challenge to have another
- 25:56winning day after a losing day, it's a challenge to bounce back.
- 25:59Sports betting ain't easy. It's difficult, it's hard.
- 26:01You got to beat these really sharp lines the odds maker set
- 26:04with their supercomputers. We got to overcome the juice.
- 26:07We got to avoid bad beats and you know, human error and refs
- 26:10and all that kind of stuff, but it doesn't mean it's impossible.
- 26:13So we can stick with that, that data-driven model against the
- 26:16public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays,
- 26:20get that closing line value. If we can do that long term,
- 26:23we're going to be successful sports bettors.
- 26:25So have a fantastic weekend everyone.
- 26:27Enjoy your Friday night. Again, big weekend for college
- 26:30hoops. Look out for the sharp reports.
- 26:32You can follow me on Twitter and find them there at Josh under
- 26:34score insights or again, get the plays.
- 26:37If you just want the plays. They'll be on the juicer lap
- 26:39this weekend. But have a great weekend and
- 26:41I'll see you guys back on Monday for episode 233 of the All
- 26:46Systems Go sports Betting podcast powered by rhythm.
- 26:49Good luck everybody. Have a great Friday and an even
- 26:52better weekend.