Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / The Favorites - Best Bets NFL Week 18

Transcript

The Favorites - Best Bets NFL Week 18 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: It's the favorite podcast presented by FanDuel. It's NFL playoff time,
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: and there's no better place to get in on the
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: action than FanDuel. I love betting with fandul because they're
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: app is safe, secure and easy to use, and because
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: they're offering exclusive offers, boosts and more all month long.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: And when I win with FanDuel, I get paid fast. Plus.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: FanDuel is now live in Ohio, so use promo code
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: favorites and download the FanDuel app today to start making
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: every moment more. Must be twenty one or older and
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: in select states gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: or visit FanDuel dot com slash r g in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan,
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee, Virginia, and Ohio one eight
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: hundred next step or text next step to five two
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: in Arizona one eight seven eight nine seven seven seven
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: seven or visit c CpG dot org slash chat in
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: Connecticut one eight hundred nine with it. In Indiana, visit
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: KS gambling help dot com. In Kansas one eight seven
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: seven seven seven zero stop. In Louisiana, visit m D
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Gambling Help dot Org in Maryland one eight seven seven
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: eight Hope and Why, or text Hope and Why four
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: six seven three six nine in New York, one five
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: to two four seven zero zero in Wyoming, or visit
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: to The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume podcast Network.
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: I'm Chad Nolman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: I am joined as I am every episode, I might
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: be ff my companion, my compadre professional better Simon Hunter,
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: who has already come out on Twitter and said, listen
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: to the show live on app because we've got some big,
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: big news and we do have news related to the podcast,
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: um much more importantly just breaking now. As we sat
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: down to record this was news from Cincinnati that Tamar Hamlin,
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: the Bill safety who needed CPR on Monday night and
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: the Bills Bengals game, has shown remarkable improvement, appears to
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: be neurologically intact, his luveness continue to heal. Uh. He
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: is awake and holding hands with family members, his agents
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: told CNN. So that's great news. We were all trying
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: to figure out, how are we as members of the media,
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: how are we as fans supposed to feel about all this,
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: other than being devastated by what we saw on Monday night?
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: And then how do we cover games? How do we
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: bet on games? What is the NFL going to do? Um?
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: A lot of our feelings aren't going to change about
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: what we saw. But remarkably good news that uh he
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: seems to be recovering uh and on pace too to
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: make a full recovery, which is great. Simon, you got
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: some news you I had no idea. You tweeted it
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: out this morning, and then Matt Mitchell and I in
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: slack or like, I wonder what the news is? I
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: have no idea, And so we sat down to record
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: the show and you shared the news. Please share it
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: with everybody else, so people are on pins and needles.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: It was a test and you both failed a test
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: that you both failed. I wanted to see if you
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: guys could wait. You could not wait for the show.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: You both they both made me tell them before we
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: came on. There where's the trust? Boys? I mean, come on,
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: you're four, you are you are a fucking wild card man.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: I remember, do you remember the one person who was
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: the most afraid of doing this show live was you
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: for fear of what you were going to say that
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: might get us both canceled, that might get you fired.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: I've turned a way down, though people don't know this.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: I'm up for a contract right now, so I turned
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: a way down just because I'm trying to get paid.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: And then we'll be back to the old ways. Christ
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: I'm kidding. Yeah, they both failed. They both wanted to
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: another info. So long story short. I go to Our Picks,
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: the same routine every week where I do it picks,
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: so the game's end, I checked the games to see
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: where we're at in the standings or where we're at
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: pick wise, and then me and Chad do our show twos.
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: And then I logged in Wednesday do our Picks. So
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: I go to log in do our Picks, and they're gone.
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: The contest is gone, and I panic and I find
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: out the hardway chat the contest is over. Last week
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: was the last week when I checked, after the Bengals
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: and Bills game. It was a glitch, I guess because
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: that game had gotten canceled where it looked as if
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: we stild a week left and we didn't. So sadly,
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: the contest is over. To all our great fans, and
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: we decided we're still going to do five picks. Right
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: this week, We're still gonna do five picks. We're not
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: gonna put them in the app because we want to
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: have fidelity to the contest. But we will make the
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: picks that we want to make today because we get
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: people will always complain. They're like, oh, they changed their picks,
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: go to the app. Nothing's changed exactly. See what we
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: did two years ago, as our loyal fans know me
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: Chad for the season, we came in for the whole season,
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: came place. I had a nice little pay there from that.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: This year it was doubly amount of people entered. So
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: over four thousand people entered. This year Chad and I
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: finished four people sixteen. We didn't make the money, but
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: it's not the money like we made. I think two
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: years ago we got four K and a check this
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: year two hundred dollars. Last we killed us. We went
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: fifty of eighty, so sixty two point five percent for
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: the season. So we did better than we did two
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: years ago. But the competition was that much differ. Sadly,
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: it was different to the contest we were in. You
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: could have multiples, which the year. We made it really
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: hot far you couldn't. I mean, this one guy, this
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: one group, let's see what their name is, we'll give
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: them a shout out, because they end up they end
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: up winning it. Investor only fifty, Investor only fifty five.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: He had three in the top ten. So this guy
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: was really really good. He end up winning all he wanted.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: Seventy two crazy, so you got again. We won fifty
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: of eighty. He went fifty eight of eighty. So just
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: an incredible season, you know, great year for me, Chad.
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: I'm I'm bummed out that the last week we didn't,
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: we didn't put together, we didn't make it into the
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: top money. But I would say I'll never complain about
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: a season we go sixt We know how hard it is.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: I know the fans now hard it is. So you
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: had two out of three years. We'll be back out
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: of next year and we'll talk to um, we'll figure
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: out what we're gonna do nex year for the contest,
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: if we need a proxy or anything like that. But
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: I would say, we love doing it, and it was
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: a fun year, Donut, and it's it's always a heartbreak
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: when you don't win. Up. We get how hard. It
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: is so sixty two. I'm shocked I didn't get us
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: into the top, but I mean top twenty. But it's
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: just it's stiff competition, so always looking at ow improof. Alright, So, hey,
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: congrats to Investor only fifty five. We gotta find whoever
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: that is and you know, bring him on the fucking
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: podcast and hire him in the Action network. So if
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: you're listening investoral or, you know, get in touch. Uh,
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: congrats on But also thinking about it, so we go
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: fifty and thirty, right, sty two and a half percent
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: against the spread five games every week. That's just fucking hard. Like,
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: let's put it in context. Put it in context. You
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: win against the spread, you're making money as a professional
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: better most betters are not going above. Even if you
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: do that, you're one of the best betters in the world.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: So doing it at and above that's fucking insanity. But
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: also think about this fifty that's one and a half
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: hands of games that we can count the course of
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: a year. Yeah, easily easily. The fil side is there's
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: probably eight other games that we you know, ended up
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: on the right side on it for a variety of
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: flukey reasons. So it all evens out we got remember
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: those we missed as I gotta blame the Jacks like
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: that that they killed us mid season. We kept getting
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: on because we kept saying the value was there. But
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: there's a couple of teams like that. I told you
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: I went through and it's just Um, we'll do even
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: more of a recap next next week once we know
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: all the seating. Because I went back and I finally
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: listened to our August show, which was just hilarious. Chad,
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: listen to us. Um, now that we're both beat down
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: at this point, but we you can hear the love
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: and excitement we have for football, and at this point
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: after eighteen nineteen weeks, I'm just so ready for the playoffs. Um,
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: it's just funny listening back. But yeah, I'll never ever
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: complain about a six or two point five percent. I'm
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: just pissed. Like you just said, we are so close,
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: and like I can see all of those little games
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: and all those little mistakes which this notebook I keep
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: throwing up every year I add more to it. Uh.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: This this was year three of me and Chad doing
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: a full time I'll take it to out of three years,
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: pretty pretty damn good. Uh, Matt Mitchell was sending us notes,
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: uh that we should make a comment that we do
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: have an advantage and that the lines often locked on Wednesday.
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: So we're betting some lines where we're getting some closing
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: line value, you know, half a point here or half
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: a point there. The flip side is a lot of
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: times we're not. I was gonna say totally disagree whatever
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: when anyone someone says that, I always disagree where there
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: might be the off chance we get half a point
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: of value. You can go through all our picks counted up.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: I counted five games the entire season that came down
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: to the line closing and kind of two games. Two
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: games we give out five games every week that we
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: got a number of other people didn't get, and that
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: it mattered to the spread. So I get when people
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: complain about that stuff. I think that's the I got
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: nothing to say. I don't know much about sports, So
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: all I'm gonna do is talk about closing line value.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: That's the honest truth. Like if you harp on closing
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: line value, you're a sucker and you're a long term loser.
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: It's like, yeah, it matters. I load up on games
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: irrelevant irrelevant where it's like we were gonna talk about
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: again today me and Chad load up on the products
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: at three and a half, that line is completely flipped.
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: I will take the chargers at three am. I gonna
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: be like, oh, it's because of my closing line value
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: the whole time. No, it's like we took a position
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: now and playing it. There's certain weeks where that does
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: really matter overall anytime someone complains it. So we gave
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: out those lines on Tuesday or Thursday's show, So it's like,
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: I get where they're coming from. But I hate when
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: people have bitched about that to us, where it's like
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: half the time we we took lines because it was
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: great value, it didn't work out for us. So like
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: that's why most of the years I think, I think
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: we probably we probably ended up like we could have
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: ended up top fifty like we were most of the
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: year if we didn't chase line, we hadn't been sort
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: of so enamored with a lot of games where we
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: fucking threw Atlanta in there this past weekend because of that.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: I bet there's five games over the course of a
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: week over the season that we could pinpoint that we
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: lost that we lost them, But a lot has to
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: do with the model. To the brother, we're like, I
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: do I do some gud betting, I do bets off
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: other people. A lot of a lot of my bets
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: and chat as well, comes down to I'm playing a model.
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: So it's just that's the same thing that Atlanta one
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: where I don't want to do it either. Brother, But
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: I had four and a half in my model. It
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: was three and a half. The line had all gone
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: up to six and a half. I was like, all right,
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: we're getting crazy value here. Um so I completely agree, though,
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: where that that feels like the lazy man argument against
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: our show, where all of you listening you can enter
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: these contests, see how hard it is. Picked five games
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: every week. You can pick them on was there Tuesday?
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: Whatever the contest locks try to go. It's brutally tough.
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: I promise you that much. At the end of the day,
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: we finished a hundred out of four thousand contestants. That's
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: top two, pot nine percent of all contestants. I'll take
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: top two, top three. I don't mind live in the
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: top three percent. Hile life you're living good, I don't
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: mind it. What would have life higher? But people can
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: fight to them a little snippy because I'm just mad
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: that it's over. Reminder, Foxhole, we had the Browns plus
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: two and a half. Simon says, we had the Titans
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: plus six and a half. Exact decision. You mentioned the Broncos.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: We're gonna get into it. I chose the Broncos plus
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: three and a half. That line is now Chargers plus
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: two and a half. A lot of flipping going on. Um,
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: we will make a big balls, we will do our
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: Scooch roulette, we will do our money line round robin parlay.
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: But first and foremost, we're gonna get to sharp cops. Hello,
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: who's there? I'm talking. It's off week where a lot
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: of these lines you're bouncing. We got a bunch of
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: QB news. We did that show what was It Tuesday Night,
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: and a bunch of QB news kind of came out
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: and like during Tuesday, Wednesday, Tuesday morning, Tuesday night, Wednesday morning,
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: Wednesday afternoon. We've seen all these lines shift really and
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: then a couple of lines haven't really shifted at all.
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: The sharp calls a couple of times are dead numbers.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: So it doesn't help anyone at all. People all over
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: the Broncos. I feel like we talked about it where
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: you took the number just in case it shifted when
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: news came out that charges might be sitting starters, and
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: that's exactly what happened. So that was one where I
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: think we both saw the show we were gonna bet
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: as many plus threes and a halfs as we could find,
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: and to no one's surprise, that completely shifted. So that
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: was one of the more sharp, sharp called shrupter greed
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: bets of the week. A game I I told Chat
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: I needed more calls on was that Carolina Panthers game.
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: The pros love the Saints. Uh, they love it. I'm
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: scared because I like the Panthers kind of, but I'm
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: not going against them. Uh. I don't even know. It's
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: up to like five different smart groups that came in
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: on this number, and then one guy came in the
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: opposite side took the Panthers up plus four. I'll end
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: up probably the Saints, but it's maybe that one I'll
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: just stay away from just because it's it's really split.
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: But pros I can tell you right now, they're gonna
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: come in on this Saints team. Uh. Game we didn't
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: talk about surprisingly was Atlanta. I know a couple of
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: really smart groups have come in Atlanta. Um, that was
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: the one game we missed by accident, so maybe we
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: could talk a little more about that one. I kind
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: of had an opinion on where I was gonna take
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: Atlanta because it felt like they were gonna play the
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: starters like there. They're one of those teams I just
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: play hard regardless, especially with a rookie quarterback in there. Um.
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: On the flip side, Tampa's resting. I mean everything I've
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: read it seems like Tampa's uh not playing that one.
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: So um, that's a game we'll definitely have to touch on.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: And then a game we loved that all the pros
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: are gonna love Tennessee. We said earlier in the week,
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: I thought Tennessee was gonna be just a pro bad game.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: In fact that it wasn't seven it was kind of
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: a telling sign. Um, it felt like I kind of
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: let you know that early money was gonna come in
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: on them. I think Chad looked it up and said
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: that all the money had come in early on Tennessee,
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: and that's what I expected. I just feel like that
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: was the normal play where every every guy's gonna have
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: that part. That's six point part that this week of Um,
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to go through it. I know, like
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs were in there and they bumped out all
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: way up to nine and a half. But I was
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: not shocked that to hear so many pros on Tennessee.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: But I was, honestly the the Atlanta went through me
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: for a little bit of a loop, just because that's
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: an interesting position to take. Um and the fact that
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: I didn't really anyone back in us with Cleveland. Um,
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: maybe they want the three, but I feel like two
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: and a half is a fair number. If you can
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: get the three, obviously that's great. But I thought that
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: was gonna be more more bet this week. And again
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: we're earlier this is it's not even one o'clock noon
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: yet East Coast on Thursday. But for the amount of
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: bets I usually taken this week, I was just shocked. Um,
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: that's so few of coming on the Browns. I do
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: really still like the spot of this Brown team. Alright, So, um,
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: let's talk about the Broncos. First, Broncos plus three and
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: a half. Look, we like the Broncos plus three and
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: a half at least I did uh on Tuesday. Not
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: it in a vacuum, right, the Chargers being on the road,
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: being favorites on the road. The Broncos have been a
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: team that we have backed pretty consistently all season long,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: especially is pretty really big favorites um this past weekend especially,
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: and I just feel like, again in a vacuum, their
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: defense is really good. The Chargers offense has been struggling,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: even if it is justin Herbert and sort of a
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: wide array of complimentary talent on the edges in Austin Ekeler. Now,
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: I think this game is flipped. I I haven't seen
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: news about the Chargers resting, but I do know that
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: they're seating is dependent aboud what happens earlier in the day,
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: So it's entirely possible they know what they're they know it.
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: They need to win to get better seating, or they
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: could win and nothing will happen depending on earlier games.
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: I think that's why it's flipped, right, Am I missing
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: something I'm saying? So it's like the easiest thing ever
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: if you want to bet, like a pro, pro is
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: always taking the money where you can. You literally if
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: you bet. I don't even know if you bet one year.
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: If you bet one unit on the three and a half,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: you take the three. You just take the three in
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: the Charges right now and you hope for that middle
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: or if it lands on a push, so be it.
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: But that's the exact thing what you just said. If
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: the Ravens or I forge out what the scenario is
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: that the Ravens are the Bengal, is one of them
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: pulls an upset or vice versa, the Bengals win, the
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: Ravens lose. I guess they don't need to play. If
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: the Ravens lose, but the Ravens win, they can move
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: up a seating. So that's why the Charges would have
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: to win this game to keep that seat in the
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: five hold. I guess so, and I could be wrong
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: because I'm not the best with the playoff scenario stuff,
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: but just looking at this movement, I just said it
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: like we'll take the dog and I took the under
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: as well, where if Herbert sits even better, it's gonna
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: be a low total. I don't know how many defensive
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: players are gonna arrest either the Chargers, but I could
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: just already see this being a low scoring game. The
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: denver is the bet I think Denver is gonna win
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: this game. Obviously, it changes everything now if it is
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: gonna be Herbert. So that's that's the thing. If you've
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: already missed the value on Denver, you can just set
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: it out and then once you have more clarity, maybe
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: bet the number before the game. Do you feel like
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: you take the two and a half for the Chargers
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: right now or do you wait? Do you wait until
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: Sunday when you sort of get a better sense of
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: what the Chargers might do based on their seating. Yeah,
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: and then because and also, I just don't tell people
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: to buy points. I hate telling people to buy points.
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: Um like, buy half a point to make it three
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: if you could get two and a half. But I
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: wouldn't fault you if you did it. I just played
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: the number. So like to me, if if I already
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: missed the three, I would throw a little on the
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: two and a half. But just if I'm already locked
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: into three and a half, that's the big bet. So yeah,
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: instead of putting half a unit on the two and
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: a half, maybe only put whatever point too on the
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: two and a half, just because it's it's a key number,
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: but it's not as key as three obviously just mathematically,
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: you know, the math doesn't work out where lands more
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: than three than does it? Too? Interesting? Game, fascinating, game,
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: fascinating this whole weekend, there could be a lot of
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: spots where, Yeah, I love these kind of games. You
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: might want to wait, right, I just love these games.
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: Are everyone's hoping for a middle and the book just
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: because it's so sharper this time of the year. They're
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: just they're dreading that they're just so they're gonna be
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: right on the middle. Another game, and I always referenced
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: Chris Raybond and Stucky in the Action Network podcast. Stucky
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: had a really good point about the Lions packers and
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: we we liked. We talked about this the other day.
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: We like the Lions at at four and a half. Yeah,
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: we're a couple of suckers regardless of the scenario, right
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: because the Lions will know before the game whether or
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: not they're in the playoffs or they're playing spoilers because
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: of the Seahawks earlier in the day of Seahawks and
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: screwed up. But honestly, is the better chat. I want
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: them to be the spoiler. Like them playing for the
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: playoff makes me more nervous than being a spoiler them
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: spoiler spot yeah to me is great, but but that's
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: what I think. I think and Stuck. You made a
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: really good point. It's very possible Seahawks win. Lins know
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: they're only gonna be spoilers. The line shoots up from
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: four and a half to five and a half to
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: six and a half because people think the Lions won't
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: play for anything. But if you're paying any attention, you
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: know the Lions are going to go balls to the
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: wall no matter what. So you might want to wait
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: and see if you can get an even bigger number
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: as the game nears kickoff, if you know what's happening
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: with Seattle. Yeah, and Matt just hit us on the slack.
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: That about people parlaying these things together, Um, like different
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: scenarios about different teams, how they're gonna make the playoffs,
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: and those exact scenaries need to happen for them to
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: make it. I love doing that stuff. I'll never bet
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: Seahawks to make the playoffs whatever it is right now.
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: Plus I'll parlay the scenarios together because that's the better value.
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: Last year is when not the funniest year I can
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: rever remember but it's close to it and it sounds stupid.
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: But that tie scenario and the last game of the year,
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: that was a real bet that came down to the
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: y there any over time, the clock was ticking down,
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: there was a minute ago, and that the legious naive
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: was there of them because the Raiders were gonna run
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: the clock out, and the coach of Charges did something
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: that I don't ever understand. He took a time out,
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: shot himself on the foot. They end up losing Charges
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs. Yead da YadA. Same thing this year.
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: I'll do those real bets with all of you. Like,
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: there's shows that are way more in depth on that
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: kind of betting style and people do write ups to
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: I think Action does a really good right up about
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: incentive betting, which is you bet certain player props for incentives.
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: Obviously the books have caught onto it, right they bumped
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: the props up. Still do it like they still over
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: the last three years doing it. I don't know if
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: it was Shawan Sean that did it last year, but
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: one of our guys had an article where it was
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: like just all every you could pick your own, pick
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: your own bets, but literally told you every single plan
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: what their sent up was pretty much for why they
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: were playing for what in the prop market, same thing
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: this year, like shop for that stuff as well. It's
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: obviously there's no full proof plan, but it's been profitable
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: over the last three years to me. So that's one
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: of those, right, just like I'm gonna look, I'm not
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: gonna bet every single thing people give out, but it's
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: like that makes sense if the matchup favorites favorites that
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: as well. Um, yeah, that bret those different props on
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: players playing your sentence, because that's the real thing. These
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: people are humans, their friends. I mean, everyone knows that
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: famous clip of Brady talking to Gronk and gron sty
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: like I need two more catches to hit the million dollars.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: Gronks like, I got you, baby, Brady's I got you
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: the there to go in back to back place and
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: they go off the field and that was it for
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: them for the season. So definitely something to keep an
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: eye out. It's it's fun bean that in the playoffs scenarios. Yeah, no,
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: it's totally true, and we did have a story about
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: that and will update that for this year. What about
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: luck rankings? You got anything good? For me this week
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: with luck rankings, because you guys killed it last week
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: with the I haven't seen the luck rankings yet this week,
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: but I did cut you off with the about Stucky
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: in their show. We were talking about the Lions and
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: the and the Packers. There were us there against us,
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: they were with us on the Lions. But also Stucky
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: was making the really good point that it might be
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: worth waiting because you might get a better number later day.
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: You probably won't go down against It won't go down
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: to like, it won't go below four. It could, but
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: I don't think i'll go blow through and a half, right,
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: So you you're if you want to wait, you'll still
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: get the lines of good number, and you might get
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: them at a better number depending on what happens, was
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: their point. No update for the lunk rankings yet, So
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: the other game the week that you got sharped. I'm
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: sorry what I was gonna say about the luck rankings
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: those if you've been tracking it, it's as I'm to
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: keep your eye on for the playoffs because that stuff
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: does matter in the playoffs. Like teams you'll see that
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: like they've not that they that Green Bays turned their luck,
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: but you've kind of seen that these last couple of weeks.
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: They were a team that was crazy on lucky if
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: you followed our charts all season, and these last couple
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: of weeks, it's kind of regressed back to the meme
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: for them where they're getting lucky year. Things are bouncing
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: Green Bay's way, so definitely something to follow in the playoffs.
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: Check out the luck rankings. Looking to get more out
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: of the NFL this season? Well, and that was the
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: perfect time to download Fandel America's number one sports book
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: because new customers get a no sweat first bet up
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: to one thousand dollars Jesus one thousand dollars. That's free
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: bets back if your first bet doesn't win. Just download
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: the vanduel sports buck app. It's safe, secure, and super
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: easy to use. Then you can bet on everything from
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: the money line to touchdown scores too over under yards.
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: For example, this week, my favorite bet is Denver plus
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: three and a half plus FanDuel even less. You can
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: bind your bets for a chance at a bigger pay
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: out with the same game parlay. Vanduel is also now
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: live in Ohio, so make sure you get in on
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: the action with great offers just for you now and
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: throughout January, so don't miss the chance to get your
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: no Sweat first bet up to one thousand dollars and
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: free bets when you join fandol of promo code Favorites,
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: Make Every Moment More with FanDuel and official sports betting
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: partner of the NFL. Must be twenty one or older
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: and in select states first online real money wager own
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: refund issued as non with trouble free bets that expires
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: in fourteen days. Restrictions apply see terms at sports fook
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: dot FanDuel dot com. Gambling Problem Call one eight hundred
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: gambler or visit FanDuel dot com slash rg in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan,
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Virginia one eight hundred next step
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: or text next step to five three three four two
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: in Arizona one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: seven seven seven or visit c CpG dot org slash
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: chat in Connecticut one eight hundred nine with it in Indiana,
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: k S Gambling help dot com in Kansas one eight
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one eight
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: seven seven eight hope NY or text hope n Y
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: in New York, Tennessee. Redline is one eight hundred eight
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: eight nine nine seven eight nine one eight hundred five
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: to two forty seven hundred in Wyoming, or visit www.
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: One eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. I'm
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: surprised as you are that people haven't come in on
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: the Browns given the trends. Mike Tomlin is a favorite,
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: given how spoiler trend spoiler trend, given that it's divisional
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: teams the number this division specifically, these games end up
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: being the underdogs end up playing really well in these games.
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: So I'm still comfortable with the Browns. Yeah, And I
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: just thought it was interesting where the pros I did
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: talk to their like us, they've come in on the
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: Browns and two and a half coming on too. Some
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: of them even got threes. I want to touch three
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: for a little bit, But I just think two and
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: a half is a great number for this game that
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: we know exactly what's gonna be. It's just gonna be
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: a close, slug it out game that's gonna come down
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: to a field goal, and two and a half We've
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: seen it plenty of times now. These weird scores these
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: fourteen thirteens, these uh you know, really random games and
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: these miss sextra points, so that two and a half
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: does matter the fact that they're not getting the three.
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: Those kind of telling like it feels like they know
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: the big money will come in if they touch us
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: three again, so they just keep leaving at two two
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: and a half. One of those where if we were
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: doing our contest pic this week got guaranteed would be
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: one of our five. It's just it's the game I
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: really like. It's a spot I really like. And it's
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: not that it feels right that Pittsburgh willa make the playoffs,
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: but it feels like they are definitely them. Them Them
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: are the Patriots get in the seventh seed. They feel
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: like I seventh seed teams. They're both teams with tons
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: of question marks, that are toughest ship that has good,
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: really good coaching, right Tomlin Belichick, They'll drag these corps
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: of a team across that finish line. Um, It's it's
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: tough going against Tomin, but I feel like Chad and
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: nailed it where it's like we love Tomlin as a dog,
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: especially at home. Usually we fade them in these spots
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: where they're kind of the public darling as a favorite
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: playing against a team that no one's really taken. So
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: we love the Browns. Let's let's do effects similarly of five,
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: we love the Browns. Would we would have Titans in
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: and we could talk about that game again if you want. Yeah, yeah, well,
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: as I was gonna get I was gonna that was
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: gonna be my last one. But let's talk about it now.
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: Um it's moved from six and a half to six.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: I'm not uncomfortable betting on Josh Dobbs. I'm not uncomfortable
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: betting against the Jags in this spot. For every bad
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: look that the Titans had against the Cowboys, that's how
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: good the Jags have looked against equally bad teams during
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: their streak, including they beat the Titans handily on the road,
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: but the Titans were really injured and in bad shape defensively.
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: I like a six point spread as an underdog for
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: Mike Rabel, who covers it a clip as a dog
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: of three or more in his career. I like a
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: team that's now basically took a bye last week and
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: it's totally healthy. I like Jobs, who was serviceable against
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys, having a chance to practice for two weeks
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: with the first team. I like this. I like the
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: circumstances here. Yeah, it's also that position the Jaguars had
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: never been in before. This is going to be a
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: legit playoff game, total playoff field for this this matchup.
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: And like you just said that, the label factors so
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: huched to me, Like I get where people are coming
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: from that day. They're not. They haven't been the same
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: old Tennessee team these last couple of weeks, right, they
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: just they really disappointed, especially Betters, Like I know some
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: really smart groups that you know, they've they've they've made
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: a lot of money off re Able these last couple
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: of years bent him when the public just kept undervalue
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: and him as a coach. And this defense, um me
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: and Tannehill was part of that too, right Tannehill, that
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: whole run with him and A J. Brown with Derrick Kennry,
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: that was a nice combo they had for those last
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: three years. We saw them a justice here. They really
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: didn't have any passing game and they were still covering
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: these games. I mean that middle of the season was crazy.
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: I'll never forget. I think it was a week two
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: they got blown out by Matt Mitchell's Bills. I mean,
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: the Bill's steam rolling in a primetime game. To go
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: all right Tennessee is a joke, like they're gonna be
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: bad all year. I think they won seven straight like
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: something crazy like that, where Dad's kind of the variabral
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: makeup of this team. And here we are sitting again
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: where they're left for debt. I mean, every probably talked
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: to they've coming on the seven, that came on the
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: six and a half, they're coming on the sixth. Just
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: makes sense. They're gonna be all betting this because I
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: feel like Chad nailed it. Like the Jaguars, they're the
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: ones feeling their pressure. I feel like Tennessee team is
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: gonna have no pressure here, especially with variable coach of them.
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: They're just they are that team. And I would say
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: if I didn't have such an emotional big bed, I mean,
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: we could talk about hedge in our position to here
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: um at the end of this. But it's one of
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: these games where I really do want to take Tennessee's
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: money line. Like the math works out, it's profitable to
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: take Raybele as a dog on the money line. Uh.
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: He usually wins and covers but I won't do it
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: because I do think the number is fair where it's
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: like this should be three and a half. So I'll
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: take the number, and I assume the Jacks will went
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: by a feelical call that's to have a modeled out
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: at And the biggest thing is the hedge chat. I
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: don't know if you want to talk about that now. Yeah,
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: this game shout out to our die hard fans have
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: believed in it with us the Jaguars, we talked about
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: it all year. Only a couple of you guys bet
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: it and I got it. I completely sure where people
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: are coming from where it's just well, well, guys will
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: see it. This offseason, we're gonna talk about teams that
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: are gross and it's impossible to really see it because
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: you're just so tuned into what happened the year before
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: and what you happened you saw the year before. But
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: it all lined up like we had a second year
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: QB the first pick. Overall, we had a new head
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: coach and a head coach that was light year is
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: better than the previous head coach, and a team with
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: a ton of talent. So do we get lucky as hell?
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: Did they happen in being the ANFC South. Yes, any
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: other division they would have a chance at this point.
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: But it was also the crazy part. At the time
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: we were talking about them at eight to one and
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: nine to one to win this division. It was the Colton,
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: Tennessee's division. Like you look back now, it's just crazy
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: to think how high even like listening back to our show,
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: how funny it was us talking about Uh not that
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: we are respected Colds so much, but we understood why
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: people are betting them. Right, they just made sense. And
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: that ugly, that ugly, ugly dog, that that Jaguars team,
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: they were just sitting there. Uh so for a hedging.
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: This is the dream scenario. Do you guys know exactly
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: what a pro does. This is exactly what I'll do.
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: I have tons of money invested, but we'll keep it simple, wized. Well,
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: just as if I have one unit on it. So
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: you have one unit, let's just say eight the one,
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: or you can do seven and one of people really
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: want if you've got even worse renumber, but eighth the
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: one that makes simpler. So you bet a hundred, you
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: win eight hundred, Right, That's how that works. You get
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: something in that position. Eight the one, the hedging. When
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: you have a dog like you do with Tennessee, it's
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: six and a half or six. You can take four
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: units and put it on the six and you're trying
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: to have the dream scenario of the Jaguars win, but
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: they win by under six, so you win both bet.
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: You win them the division, and you win your hedge
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: because they cover the number. And I mean all thought
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: I had the the best hedge I've ever seen ever
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: play out was last year's super Bowl. All these pros,
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: these really smart guys, all had the Rams for the
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: super Bowl. They had bet it all year. The super
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: Bowl came, what they do. They took the four. They
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: took the three and a half with the Bengals, So
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: right there, they're key. They're already covered on their hedge,
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: and they won both bets. The Rams went out right
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: by three. They won their hedge on the Bengals. So
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: that's what as a pro, I'm doing a bank roll.
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: That's what I do. If you're someone that just has
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: higher risk, you can do nothing. If you think that
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: Jacks are gonna win, you can do nothing. I just
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: would at least try to get your money back and
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: played safe and maybe put one or two units on
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: the six and a half with Tennessee, Like, that's just
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: an easy way to make sure you get your money
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: back in a little profit. Um. But I don't know,
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: It's I always feel weird telling people exactly to their money,
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: but that's what I do. Like I always take the
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: middle hedge where I always try to get exactly my
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: money back and halfway where it's like, no matter what,
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: I'm either gonna win twelve units or I'm going to
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: win whatever it works out through four units. It's just
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: I just try to always play that middle part. I'm
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: always gonna get money back instead of let my money run. Uh.
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: I'm listening to you, and this is amazing and fascinating,
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: And while you were talking about it, I had forgotten
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: what I how much money I put on the Jags
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: to win the to win the division. So I was
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: just checking it and I I happened to put exactly
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: the same amount on the Jacks to win the division
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: as I did on the Titans at plus six and
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: a half. There you go. Um, But yeah, it's just
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: I always tell people. The people always say like hedgans
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: for losers, for suckers. That's just that's like a stupid
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: like be a man kind of phrase where if you're
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: you got the money to burn, yeah, don't edge like
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: who cares. But if you're like taking this serious, you
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: want to learn how to build a bank roll, this
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: is it Like you literally are making these bets in
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: August to set yourself up for a profit down the
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: road to build up your bank roll. So um, it's
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: just one of those things where we talk all the
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: time about taking positions and this is one of them
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: that worked out. Now. I don't know if you want
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: to do it are I'm guessing we're gonna do it
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: next Tuesday. We'll do a full recap of that whole
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: August show. But yeah, let's get through. We gotta get
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: through this regular season, those regular and make sure it's
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: official official, right because like you know, we had the
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: Bears under Jets, so Jets under Lions over those were
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: the three big ones. I think we'll talk about all
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: that next week once everything's paid out. I mean like
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: two where we went one through seven from the nf
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: C a f scene like that's through that too. Yeah,
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: totally bills. It sucks you guys are getting to see
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: whatever it is if the Chiefs win this week, they
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: got the one seed, but they have to let them
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: play a neutral site. If it's Bills Chiefs in the
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: conference championship game, they can't give the Chiefs. To me,
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: they couldn't give the Chiefs home field. That just does
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: not feel right place first of the Bills. So split
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: it down the middle, let them play a neutral site.
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: Their fans can go fifty. Whatever it is. Still it up.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: That to me is the fairest thing, because, yes, the
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: Chiefs earned being the one seed. They played well all year.
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: They were in arguably a tougher division, whatever you want
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: to say. The Bills should not be punished for something
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: completely out of their hands. So I've been thinking about
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: it all the time because it is the most impossible
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: scenario ever. To me, they were never going to play
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: that a game every again. Once the Bills flew home,
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: that was over. That game was over. They're ever gonna
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: play that a game. But hopefully since he wins this week,
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: whatever it may be, so they can get that three seed.
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: The Bills get the two seed, Chiefs get the one seed,
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: let them play on neutral field if they both make it.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: If not, if the Bills lose, they stumble and they're
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: not in the conference championship. Yes, Chiefs can be the
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: home team, but I do believe that's the only fair
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: away where it's like it's such an out of this
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: world experience. There's no book on what to do here.
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: That just seems fair. Give them a neutral site. They
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: both deserved that. They're both the two best teams in
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: the a f C. Can we talk about the Rams
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: for a second. Yeah, the game, we haven't choice and
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: we have to bet. We have to bet the Rams. Yeah,
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: we don't like it lines up with every scenario that
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: linds up with teams that have been blown out being
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: under valued. It linds up with teams that had a
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: big win being overvalued at and saw team good one
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: week bad the next good one. We wind up with
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: teams potentially being eliminated versus teams that are already out. Like,
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: there's just no reason not to bet the Rams here.
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: I ate it. We can't can't help it. I mean,
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: it's makes me feel a little better than knowing the
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: numbers moved and moved up the six and a half
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: down to six, which is like all right, good at
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: least at least the pros are bending with us. Because
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: it was a little spooky that were i was just
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: sitting there at six and a half, I'm like, why
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: is this number not moving? Like that's the same thing
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: of the Tennessee. It's like these numbers feel inflated just
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: because of what happened last week. We're buying the value.
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: It's just can me and Chad know the RAMS guys
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: have all booked their vacation. They're completely gonna quit on
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: this game. No, we can't, but we know the math
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: works out now spoiler. This is a spoiler game. The
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: visional rivalry can't help it. Chat Like you said, we
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: cannot help, but we have to bet the six and
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: a half. It was contest six and a half, I'd
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: bet it six my pause, but I'm still been that Like, personally,
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: I'm still take the six, but for contest plays, I'd
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: want that half. I want that six and a half.
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: This is likely big balls better the week. Really is
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: this or one other game that is on my mind?
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: Let's say we've got four games we've decided on right now,
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: Brown's at the lines that currently exist, Brown's two and
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: a half, Tighten six Rams six and a half lines
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: four and a half. Do you feel good about those
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: I thought are big ball is gonna be the Saints.
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: I was gonna make me sick. I was going to
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: recommend the Rams with the Cardinals, all right, if I
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: had to pick Rams. Nobody wants to bet the Rams,
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: That's true. Nobody in the public does, whise guys do.
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: But like to me, the Saints are of us. Feel
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: strongly about the Saints like I leaned Panthers, and you know,
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: I feel like that's why it's the play where it's
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: like I just didn't really do that one as a
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: great one, but it's like the more I'm thinking about
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: it's just like, man, that that's gonna take. It feels
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: like the Bucks last week. It takes balls to go
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: against Carolina as a dog. Carolina is a good team.
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: It takes more balls to bet on the Rams at
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: six and a half after what agree with them plus
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: six and a half and you're right, Denver is already
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: shifted to minus two. Now, yeah, I mean that lines.
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: You know, it was running down increased juice at fan
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: duel at two and a half, So to be honest,
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: at two and a half with the increased juice, I
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: didn't bet it. I decided you know what. I'm on
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: the Broncos, riding with the Broncos. That's right, Broncos. That's
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: just a great number of Herbert does play. I know,
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: I know, I might have missed. I might have missed.
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It's sometimes it's so complicated, Simon, what
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: do we think about? We need to pick a fifth game.
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: I promised the fans I wouldn't do the Colts had
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: too many complaints. I won't do it. I won't do
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: and that was one of those other things they make
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: our big balls. But I'm not doing it. People relax.
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: People just got really upset there, like but they've quit.
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: I know, I've said they quit and we won't do it.
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: It's painful though, because I do love the Colts. But
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: we'll stay away. We'll stay away. I think we got
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: to do one of the two big spread games, either
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: the Giants Eagles or the Cardinals Miners or the sam
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: how Led Commanders. Couldn't run away faster from that game
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: because I was like, I loved I love them especially
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be anarchy. But even when I heard they
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: were gonna do like a back and forth, like he'll
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: play a couple of snaps and Sam was gonna come in.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: I I basically bought out positions the five and a half.
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: I was just like, there's no way I'm letting them
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: screw around with Dallas. They want that game, like I I.
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: The more I read it seems like Dallas is like
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: really actually playing that game straight where they want to
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: win it because they still think they can get that
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: one seed. So we're not the one seed, but win
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: the division um Giants or Arizona because it is a
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: coin flip. I mean, I truthfully, I've only bet Arizona.
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: I haven't bet the Giants yet, so I don't feel
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: great about either. I'll be honest, Like the Giants, I
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: feel great about the money line because I do think
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: they could try to play spoiler. But it's also the
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: fear of they really are going to sit everyone, and
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: it's all everyone. You know, they might already be prepping
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: for the Vikings, or they know that they're going to
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: be facing or they're gonna be facing the Eagles, so
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: why show them anything? And there's no Hopkins, let you
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: know that, right for Arizona, Hopkins is sitting now. Fourteen
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: is a big number. It's too big of a number
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: in the NFL. That's the Cardinals. Cardinals. There, we got it.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: I guess it's the last week of the year and
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: this is just a massive number. When do you see
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: a fourteen points bread? It feels different with the Giants
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: than with the Cardinals. Cardinals can let it all fly, right,
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: and whereas like the the Giants have reason to hold back.
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: All Right, I'll be talking because, like I said, I've
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: already bet the Cardinals. I took because I didn't think
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: it was gonna come down. I'm with you. I think
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: the fourteen's egregious like this, this should be closer at
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: twelve and a half. Thirteen. Um, just a little nerve
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: wracking has a moved. It just shows you that the
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: pros are kind of avoiding these big gas spreads. I guess, um.
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: I know one smart group that came in on the
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: Eagles at thirteen and thirteen and a half. But that's it, Like,
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know anyone else that's bet these games. Really. Um,
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: but I'll take I'll take you with the fourteen with you, child,
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna put that down. Let's do it. Let's do it.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: So what five you have more? One more thing? You
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: brought up the player incentives betting on those props. Action
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: Network is working on the story right now. Should be
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: up by the end of the day. Uh, there's multiple
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: people working on it. I am told in Rio time,
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: so uh quick up. I just got a message from
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell about a couple of listeners took the Bears
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: the first half. I gave out. Yeah, please buy out.
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: I refused to have money on Nathan Peterman. Uh, I'll
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: buy it, and I think a bad number two. I
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: think I took like, uh four and a half or
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: four with the Vikings was obviously the line of move
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: once the Peterman news came out. But yeah, completely bought
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: out of that position. It's a dead bet. I mean,
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: I try to get advantage. I thought it was gonna
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: be justin Fields obviously when that news came out of
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: wasn't him the line moved. I can't do it, can't
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: cannot bet on Peterman even a first half bet. So yeah,
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: if you, if you took it, I buy out already
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: did are five right now? Brown's plus two and a half,
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: Titans plus six Rons, plus six and a half Lions
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: plus four and a half Cards plus fourteen foxhol Brown's
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: plus two and a half Titans plus six and a
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: half exactly it is, Simon says, exact decision. Broncos plus
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: three and a half chose that on Tuesday, Big Balls
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: Rams six and a half. Scoot Roulette. It all comes
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: down to this week reminder. Some people ask me on
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: Twitter sometimes, can you explain the concept of scoot Roulette.
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: Bob Scucci, longtime Las Vegas casino executive. I've known the
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: guy for twenty five years. I wrote a book called
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: The Odds in about guys who bet on sports for
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: a living. I spent six months in Vegas, was with
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: professional betters and with bookmakers. They were all sort of
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: trying to beat each other in a game. And one
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: of the bookmakers who I profiled was Bob Scucci, who
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: was one of the bookmakers at the Stardust Hotel, which
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: was the place making all the lines at the time
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: pre sort of internet days, right when the Internet was
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: becoming a thing. Uh Scooch then came on and was
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: with me on the podcast at DESPN for years. On
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: the podcast here he got elevated into bigger jobs. Wasn't
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: really following week to week what's happening in the lines anymore,
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: but he and I played a game every week called
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: scoot Roulette, where he picked the game and I picked
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: a game. He went head to head Simon and I
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: have brought that back to honor Bob Scucci and his
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: contributions to the world of sports betting. So we go
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: head to head all we all season long, one game
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: when all hope is lost, all that's left is relief.
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: Let's play scoots Roulette, Simon. I think I won last week.
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: He did, so I get to choose first, and I
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: think we're tied. We are. This is for for all
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: the morables unless we keep going playoffs. It's all the
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: marbles right here. I am gonna go with Jesus Christ.
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna go with I can't believe I'm
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: saying this, but I look at this and feel like
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: the best value best in it. I'm going with the
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: Browns plus two and a half. That's smart, I'll go.
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: I'll go with our team Tennessee give me plus six.
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: I came down too. I came down to the Browns
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: and the Rams. Yeah. I just I just knew coming
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: in this week that she was gonna be want my
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: bigger bets. It's just that's I can't help it. It's
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: it's it's nothing personal, Jaguars. I love you guys, but
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: it's a good number. Alrighty, we did miss uh Tampa
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: Bay in Atlanta on Tuesday. Someone pointed that out on
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: Twitter as well. I sometimes I'm looking at the schedule
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: on my screen and in the app, and sometimes they
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: don't line up, and I think I missed the game.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: I was gonna say, I had already been up at
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: that point for eighteen hours, and Chad usually goes to
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: bet at eight, So that was the late show for
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: the boys. Exactly. We were way off on that day.
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: I had to go back and listen because I didn't
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: remember a thing I said on that show. It was
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: the right time that happens. Yeah, I was. I think
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: I was asleep midway through the fact that I've already
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: don't know, probably close to k now run out bet
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: on Atlanta for most of these guys. So they're like it, Alanna,
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: I'll take Atlanta with them, and just it makes sense
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: where they're coming from, right Atlanta. They have a bunch
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: of guys or try hards. They're gonna play their starters.
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: We expect Tampa not to play that many starters, then
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: the rest they rest a couple of key guys in
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: their defense at Lanta will be able to run it
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: all over them like a Lanna. Still still business usual
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: for this Falcons team. So I kind of wanted to
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: stay away from it because I was so pissed with
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: them for burn us last week. But I gotta move on.
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: It's a new week. Atlanta is the right side, so
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: it won't be one of my five bigger bets, but
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: I'm just gonna follow the pros in be Atlanta. Here.
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: My dog, your dog, your dog blocks dog round Robin
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: Robin every time Evan Evan tweets out. It's been historically horrible.
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: Now for nine weeks, been in the underdogs money line
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: who we're still doing these with us? It's been brutal.
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: We just keep getting these games too. Were like leading
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: with these dogs all game and they'll just lose at
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: the very end, so we still cover, but it's not
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: helping our money line around. Robins out at all. Four
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: of the games I would take are the ones we
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: bet like Brown's Titans, Rams, Lions. I agree with all
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: of them. The long star, freeing Chicago Bear fans, Let's
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: throw at Houston in there. The Bears can get the
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: number one pick the Texans. I think you have to
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: lose Texans. If Texans win, you guys lose, you get
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: the number one pick. Their two and thirteen and one.
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: You guys are three and thirteen, so they would be
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: they would have whatever half a win more than you guys.
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: So yeah, exactly, we'll do that for Chad. Then we'll
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: throw in Houston Houston fans. Houston Brown's Titans, Rams Lions
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: are the five for the money line round Robin Para.
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: I love it, and if you hate, you hate that.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: The Houston pick the Rams one like Chad was saying,
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: I love that one. All right, Browns are the foxhold
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: at plus two and a half. Simon says, is Titans
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: plus six and a half. Exact decision. Remember we said
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: it on Tuesday, so we ld Browns plus three and
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: a half. That line is now Brown's minus two big Balls,
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: Rams plus six and a half. Scoot Roulette Titans plus six,
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: Browns plus two and a half. Simon likes the Titans,
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: Chad likes the Browns. Money lying around Robin Texans, Brown's Titans,
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: Rams Lions. We're good to go. This has been the
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: favorite podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Melman.
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: He is Sun and Hunter producers Matt Mitchell. Download us
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: from Apple podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you get your podcast,
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: rate reviews, subscribe and leave us five stars. Say whatever
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: you want, feedback as a gift. Listen all the way
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: through until next time. I Love You. Action Network reminds
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: seven at eight hundred Gambler