Latest / Masters in Business / David Snyderman on Specialty Finance and Data in Investing
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. This is Master's in
- 0:11Speaker 1: Business with Barry rid Holds on Bloomberg Radio. This week
- 0:16Speaker 1: on the podcast, I have a fascinating and extra special guest.
- 0:20Speaker 1: David Sneinermann has put together an incredible career in fixed income,
- 0:26Speaker 1: alternative credit, and really just an amazing way of looking
- 0:30Speaker 1: at risk and trade structure and how to figure out
- 0:36Speaker 1: probabilistic potential outcomes rather than playing the usual forecasting and
- 0:42Speaker 1: macro tourist game. He is global head of all credit
- 0:45Speaker 1: and fixed income and managing partner at Magnetar. They have
- 0:49Speaker 1: an incredible track record. They've put together a string of
- 0:53Speaker 1: j huge returns. They are not like any other funds
- 0:58Speaker 1: that you'll hear me talk about. Their pre unique and
- 1:00Speaker 1: specific in the world. I found this conversation to be fascinating,
- 1:05Speaker 1: and even though we kind of wander off into the
- 1:07Speaker 1: weeds of private credit, it's so informative and so interesting.
- 1:12Speaker 1: I think you'll you'll really enjoy it. With no further
- 1:15Speaker 1: ado my discussion with Magnetars David Snyderman.
- 1:19Speaker 2: Thank you very much for having me, Barry. I really
- 1:21Speaker 2: appreciate it and I'm looking forward to our conversation.
- 1:24Speaker 1: I am. Also, I'm very familiar with Magnetar and it's history.
- 1:28Speaker 1: It's really a fascinating firm in so many ways. Let's start, though,
- 1:33Speaker 1: talking a little bit about your background. You grow up
- 1:37Speaker 1: in suburban New Jersey and then you head to Saint
- 1:41Speaker 1: Louis for college. Tell us a little bit about where
- 1:43Speaker 1: you went, what you studied.
- 1:45Speaker 2: Sure, I grew up in Freehold, New Jersey, so most
- 1:47Speaker 2: people a know home of Bruce Springsteen. You know, my
- 1:49Speaker 2: focus coming out of high school was playing football. I
- 1:52Speaker 2: want to play football at the highest level I could.
- 1:54Speaker 1: You are not much bigger than me. What made you
- 1:57Speaker 1: think you could play on the gridiron?
- 1:59Speaker 2: I don't know. I thought I could, but I definitely
- 2:01Speaker 2: thought I could at the time, and so I wanted
- 2:04Speaker 2: to play at the highest level possible. My parents were
- 2:06Speaker 2: much more focused on academic institution and so wash you
- 2:10Speaker 2: sort of met both criteria.
- 2:11Speaker 1: Did you play born college?
- 2:12Speaker 2: I did all four years. It was a lot of fun.
- 2:14Speaker 1: What position did you play?
- 2:16Speaker 2: I played strong safety, and yeah Division three is the
- 2:18Speaker 2: highest level I could play up, but I loved it.
- 2:20Speaker 1: Right, So safety you have to be pretty fast, and.
- 2:23Speaker 2: That was the issue.
- 2:26Speaker 1: So but for that you would have gone pro there
- 2:28Speaker 1: you go. What did you study at Washoe.
- 2:32Speaker 2: Washoo back then? Was it was a great They had
- 2:35Speaker 2: a great medical school and they still do today. And
- 2:37Speaker 2: in my family, being a doctor was the highest level
- 2:40Speaker 2: of achievement. So I had an older sister starting medical school,
- 2:43Speaker 2: and I had a relative that is actually a dean
- 2:45Speaker 2: of Duke Medical School. So I had this nice glide
- 2:48Speaker 2: path to be a doctor.
- 2:50Speaker 1: Right.
- 2:50Speaker 2: So I started off pre med, but I didn't end
- 2:52Speaker 2: pre med. I found out quickly that's not what I
- 2:54Speaker 2: wanted to do. The hardest part is telling my parents
- 2:57Speaker 2: and especially my grandparents, you know, no more pre med.
- 3:00Speaker 2: So I switched to be an economics major. I graduated
- 3:03Speaker 2: economics with a lot of courseworking accounting and finance.
- 3:06Speaker 1: Huh. Interesting. So you come out of college, you go
- 3:09Speaker 1: to Price Waterhouse Cooper and then Coke Industries, where you're
- 3:13Speaker 1: focusing on convertible securities, merger arm and special situations. How
- 3:19Speaker 1: do you get from medical school to that? What was
- 3:22Speaker 1: the career plan?
- 3:22Speaker 2: Yeah? My path was certainly non traditional. I didn't go
- 3:26Speaker 2: to one of the East Coast Ivy League schools, knowing
- 3:28Speaker 2: I wanted to go to Wall Street. I didn't even
- 3:30Speaker 2: know what Wall Street. Working on Wall Street meant at
- 3:32Speaker 2: the time, So for me, it was much more around,
- 3:35Speaker 2: you know, being around fantastic people and really taking advantage
- 3:38Speaker 2: of opportunities. It's like you said, I started a price
- 3:40Speaker 2: waterhouse and I went through a one year rotation there.
- 3:43Speaker 2: So it started with audit, so I saw many companies,
- 3:47Speaker 2: then tax and financial services, so it's a great training
- 3:50Speaker 2: ground to understand how, you know, theoretics went into the
- 3:54Speaker 2: practical business. From there, I went to Coke Industries and
- 3:58Speaker 2: I had a great experience of Coke. I was there
- 3:59Speaker 2: five years. I worked in three different places for them.
- 4:02Speaker 2: So I started in Houston, Texas, and I worked on
- 4:05Speaker 2: their natural gas business. Then this opportunity came up in Switzerland.
- 4:09Speaker 2: So it's a thirteen thousand person company and there were
- 4:12Speaker 2: going to be five people in Switzerland to manage about
- 4:16Speaker 2: several hundred million dollars more in cash optimization. So I
- 4:19Speaker 2: had the opportunity to be a junior person there. I'd
- 4:22Speaker 2: never left the US before, so I was sat in
- 4:24Speaker 2: the middle of Switzerland and sat there for two years
- 4:28Speaker 2: and worked in that business, and then went to Wichita, Kansas,
- 4:32Speaker 2: which tak Kansas was the home office and there were
- 4:34Speaker 2: sort of a dozen of us, very simply situated, you know,
- 4:37Speaker 2: all young and hungry. But they had great management at Coke.
- 4:41Speaker 2: They really encouraged us to start businesses. So I remember
- 4:45Speaker 2: writing the merger our business plan there and then implementing
- 4:48Speaker 2: the business. So a quick fun fact about Coke at
- 4:52Speaker 2: Magnetar today we have three of my prior bosses that
- 4:56Speaker 2: you know from Coke, so it's pretty neat. But to
- 4:59Speaker 2: answer your question, like, I had a lot of broad
- 5:01Speaker 2: experiences by the time I was in my mid twenties,
- 5:03Speaker 2: but no real direction on what my career was going
- 5:06Speaker 2: to be.
- 5:06Speaker 1: Where in Switzerland was a Geneva somewhere.
- 5:08Speaker 2: Else it was Frebourg, So a town twenty minutes from
- 5:11Speaker 2: Burnho was a tax free canton.
- 5:13Speaker 1: Uh huh.
- 5:13Speaker 2: So I was in a town that spoke, you know,
- 5:15Speaker 2: half French and half German and I spoke English.
- 5:18Speaker 1: So there you go. But no taxes, no income.
- 5:20Speaker 2: Taxes, no income taxes for the company.
- 5:23Speaker 1: And then Coke Industries. I don't think a lot of
- 5:25Speaker 1: people realized one of the largest private companies in the
- 5:29Speaker 1: United States and maybe even the largest. They're giant energy powerhouse.
- 5:34Speaker 1: What else does Coke do?
- 5:36Speaker 2: Yeah, so when I was there, that had thirteen thousand people,
- 5:38Speaker 2: and that was before they bought Georgia Pacific. I think
- 5:41Speaker 2: now it's probably thirty five thousand people. Immens It's immense,
- 5:44Speaker 2: and so they have many, many different business lines there.
- 5:48Speaker 2: For me, I sat mostly in their internal really an
- 5:51Speaker 2: internal hedge fund, so it was their excess cash. They
- 5:54Speaker 2: borrowed money at live bid at the time, so they
- 5:56Speaker 2: borrowed money very cheaply, and our job was to make
- 5:59Speaker 2: money on that money.
- 6:01Speaker 1: So you end up as head of global credit and
- 6:04Speaker 1: senior managing director at Citadel Investment Group. Was that right
- 6:08Speaker 1: from Coke Industries? That was seven years at Citadel. That's
- 6:11Speaker 1: supposed to be a tough shop.
- 6:13Speaker 2: To work at.
- 6:13Speaker 1: What was your experience like there?
- 6:15Speaker 2: It was a perfect job for me at the time,
- 6:17Speaker 2: So I always thought I worked at a high level
- 6:19Speaker 2: of intensity right right. But when I got there, I
- 6:21Speaker 2: realized I was one of many. But I had the
- 6:24Speaker 2: opportunity to work for gentleman Dave Bunning. He was one
- 6:27Speaker 2: of the original few handful of people that started at Citadel.
- 6:31Speaker 2: And Dave was fantastic in so many different ways. A
- 6:34Speaker 2: great leader, a great investor, but really a great person
- 6:38Speaker 2: and he took me under his wing there. It was
- 6:40Speaker 2: a lot of work, but a lot of formidable lessons
- 6:43Speaker 2: came out of my time there. Right. So the first
- 6:46Speaker 2: one that I think about is the investing business itself
- 6:50Speaker 2: is an operating business. So we really have to understand
- 6:54Speaker 2: what we're going to invest in. Value everything in the universe, rank,
- 6:58Speaker 2: order them, and then only can we put together portfolios.
- 7:01Speaker 2: And the second, and this is very credit specific, was
- 7:04Speaker 2: when you own a credit portfolio, your short volatility. So
- 7:08Speaker 2: what that simply means is if you have a dislocation,
- 7:10Speaker 2: you're gonna lose a lot of money, uh huh. And
- 7:12Speaker 2: so to put together credit portfolios, we have to find
- 7:15Speaker 2: hedges that offset that short volatility. So really learning the
- 7:19Speaker 2: value of options right was probably the biggest lesson coming
- 7:23Speaker 2: out of Citadel.
- 7:24Speaker 1: So I want to rephrase that for some of the
- 7:26Speaker 1: less option involve savvy members of the audience. When we
- 7:31Speaker 1: buy fixed income, we just wanted to be steady and
- 7:34Speaker 1: pay a divinend and not swing up and down. And
- 7:37Speaker 1: if it does swing up and down, the odds are
- 7:39Speaker 1: it's not in your favor. That volatility you can look
- 7:42Speaker 1: at as an insurance product. If the volatility goes up, Hey,
- 7:47Speaker 1: we can make a bet that will offset the draw
- 7:50Speaker 1: down in the bonds.
- 7:51Speaker 2: That's exactly right, all right.
- 7:53Speaker 1: And you you at Citadel, you were running a convertible
- 7:57Speaker 1: bond and credit trading desk. Is that what you eventually
- 8:01Speaker 1: ended up as head of Global Credit?
- 8:03Speaker 2: That's correct. I started there on the convertible bond arbitrage desk,
- 8:07Speaker 2: and then we started capital structure arbitrage, which meant we were,
- 8:11Speaker 2: you know, buying or selling credit and against that buying
- 8:14Speaker 2: and selling equities. And finally we consolidated that together and
- 8:18Speaker 2: I ran that business for Ken and Citadel.
- 8:20Speaker 1: And some of the folks Ken being Ken Griffin. When
- 8:24Speaker 1: people say Citadel is a lot of work, you don't
- 8:28Speaker 1: realize there's a whole other gear you have to move
- 8:31Speaker 1: into and its next level was that your experience.
- 8:35Speaker 2: It was and for me, I actually loved that part
- 8:38Speaker 2: of Citadel. It was sixteen hour days and it was
- 8:41Speaker 2: six or seven days a week, but you really got
- 8:43Speaker 2: to learn the financial markets there.
- 8:45Speaker 1: Huh. Interesting. So Magnetar launches in two thousand and five
- 8:50Speaker 1: with some capital and you joined. You you weren't one
- 8:53Speaker 1: of the original founders, but you joined not long afterwards.
- 8:56Speaker 2: That's correct. So Alec Litowitz and Ross Lazar founded the firm,
- 9:01Speaker 2: and you know I did join the day we launched
- 9:04Speaker 2: our main fund. Now, for me, Alec was a known quantity.
- 9:07Speaker 2: He ran equities at Citadel with Dave Bunning, my prior
- 9:13Speaker 2: boss there, and then when I moved up into Dave's spot,
- 9:16Speaker 2: Alec moved out and they started and he spent I
- 9:19Speaker 2: think two years in a noncompete and then started Magnetar.
- 9:23Speaker 2: Him and Ross Lazar co founded the firm, and they
- 9:25Speaker 2: had a vision to co found the firm, and I
- 9:28Speaker 2: bought into the vision immediately, and Alec always did a
- 9:31Speaker 2: great job of laying it out right. And first was
- 9:35Speaker 2: we're going to have a culture of collaboration. So back then,
- 9:39Speaker 2: you probably remember in two thousand and five, you know,
- 9:41Speaker 2: there were a lot of what they call pod shops,
- 9:43Speaker 2: so they give individual asset allocation to people and they'd
- 9:46Speaker 2: go invest their money. This was going to be a
- 9:49Speaker 2: multi strategy vehicle, so we'd have credit, we'd have equities,
- 9:52Speaker 2: we'd have hedge fund strategies, but with no silos. So
- 9:56Speaker 2: we're going to work together and put best opportunities into
- 9:59Speaker 2: the portfolio.
- 10:00Speaker 1: So you have people from Coke Industries with you. You
- 10:03Speaker 1: have people from Citadel. Did those prior employees have a
- 10:07Speaker 1: piece of you guys? Did they seed you, did they
- 10:09Speaker 1: invest you? Or was it just a clean break and
- 10:11Speaker 1: we're off on our own.
- 10:12Speaker 2: It was a clean break. And Ross Lazar came from
- 10:16Speaker 2: the fund of Funds World and he was the primary
- 10:19Speaker 2: money raiser and business builder there and so he did
- 10:21Speaker 2: a fantastic job. I think were the largest launch of
- 10:24Speaker 2: two thousand and five with about two point three billion dollars.
- 10:27Speaker 1: How long did it take you to get up and running?
- 10:29Speaker 1: Were you felt, oh, this is really all the pieces
- 10:32Speaker 1: are in place.
- 10:33Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a good question and funny funny you asked
- 10:35Speaker 2: that question because we talk about it often around Magnetar.
- 10:39Speaker 2: You know, I started and I hired three or four
- 10:42Speaker 2: people that I started with, and Ross Lazar, right, and
- 10:46Speaker 2: again he's a he's my partner, my close friend, and
- 10:50Speaker 2: a great business builder. Two weeks into it, he came
- 10:52Speaker 2: to me and said, what's the first investment, Like, when
- 10:55Speaker 2: are you going to start investing? And I said to Ross, look,
- 11:00Speaker 2: we were gonna build the systems in infrastructure to prepare
- 11:03Speaker 2: to invest first, and.
- 11:05Speaker 1: I need a computer and an internet netline and maybe
- 11:08Speaker 1: a trader to help us out.
- 11:09Speaker 2: That's exactly what what Ross was saying. And he very
- 11:12Speaker 2: politely said to me, you know, you're here to invest,
- 11:16Speaker 2: not to build software. And so he I think he
- 11:19Speaker 2: stopped by my desk for the next nine months every
- 11:22Speaker 2: single day and asked the same question. But it truly
- 11:25Speaker 2: took us nine months to build the systems in infrastructure
- 11:28Speaker 2: just to be investment ready.
- 11:30Speaker 1: Wow, that's amazing nine months. And I have to ask
- 11:34Speaker 1: why Evanston in Illinois? I mean, I like Lumel, Natty's
- 11:39Speaker 1: and super Dog as much as the next guy, but
- 11:41Speaker 1: why the middle of the Illinois suburbs the Chicago suburbs.
- 11:46Speaker 2: Yeah, so it was just north of the city and
- 11:48Speaker 2: it's across the street from Northwestern, so that would be
- 11:51Speaker 2: the draw. You know, the train lines in there, so
- 11:53Speaker 2: you can recruit people from the city. But it was
- 11:57Speaker 2: probably a little more selfish, like we all lived on
- 12:00Speaker 2: the north shore of Chicago and so it was an
- 12:02Speaker 2: easy commute for us to work, and so that that's
- 12:05Speaker 2: where we started the firm.
- 12:06Speaker 1: And that is really a lovely part of the world
- 12:09Speaker 1: on the lake. It's such a manageable, easy city to
- 12:14Speaker 1: operate within. I mean, the winters are a little cold,
- 12:17Speaker 1: but still it's a lovely place.
- 12:19Speaker 2: It's a great quality of life in Chicago and outside
- 12:22Speaker 2: of Chicago.
- 12:24Speaker 1: So only a few years later, we're right in the
- 12:27Speaker 1: teeth of the Great Financial Crisis. How did you guys
- 12:31Speaker 1: navigate that?
- 12:32Speaker 2: We were very fortunate and we performed quite well in
- 12:35Speaker 2: our credit strategies, which which certainly we can talk about.
- 12:38Speaker 2: We had both long and short credit products, and we
- 12:43Speaker 2: had a long voltary position, meaning meaning we protected the
- 12:47Speaker 2: balance sheet very well if there was a dislocation. And
- 12:50Speaker 2: I think that went back to some of the prior
- 12:52Speaker 2: lessons from prior firms, like we really need to have
- 12:55Speaker 2: portfolios that we protect the balance sheet and make sure
- 12:58Speaker 2: that we're able to stand up in difficult environments.
- 13:01Speaker 1: I have noticed that a lot of firms that describe
- 13:04Speaker 1: themselves as hedge funds really aren't very hedged. You guys
- 13:10Speaker 1: operated pretty fully hedged it most of the time, right.
- 13:13Speaker 2: We really did. And the systems in infrastructure we built
- 13:18Speaker 2: were not only to measure risk, but to manage that risk,
- 13:22Speaker 2: and so we'd find good investments both on the long
- 13:25Speaker 2: and short side.
- 13:27Speaker 1: So even if you have a position that that's long
- 13:29Speaker 1: you have an offsetting or matching position, or do you
- 13:33Speaker 1: just hedge out that long position with a short bet.
- 13:37Speaker 2: So there's a quality of earning's question embedded, and I
- 13:40Speaker 2: think what you said, and that's we're trying not to
- 13:42Speaker 2: take macro level bets. Those for us are low quality bets.
- 13:47Speaker 2: And so what we're trying to take is idiosyncratic bets,
- 13:50Speaker 2: meaning we're focused on one factor or're betting on that factor.
- 13:54Speaker 2: Then we're going to hedge out all of the macro
- 13:56Speaker 2: risks around the portfolio.
- 13:58Speaker 1: Huh. Really interesting. So we were talking about you guys
- 14:02Speaker 1: launched a few years right before the financial crisis. I
- 14:07Speaker 1: wanted to talk about a couple of trades from that era,
- 14:10Speaker 1: perhaps most famously, you guys put on a CDO bet,
- 14:15Speaker 1: a collateralized debt obligation bet that was designed to do
- 14:19Speaker 1: well if housing made some extreme moves and it was nondirectional.
- 14:24Speaker 1: It was hedge. Tell us a little bit about the
- 14:26Speaker 1: magnetar CDO bet from the financial crisis.
- 14:30Speaker 2: I talked about setting up the infrastructure to prepare to invest,
- 14:33Speaker 2: and we looked at every asset class. So we looked
- 14:36Speaker 2: at corporates, we looked at mortgages, we looked at credit cards,
- 14:40Speaker 2: and what we found in the mortgage market is something
- 14:43Speaker 2: you don't read about in textbooks. We found that we
- 14:46Speaker 2: could invest on the longside in what they called the
- 14:51Speaker 2: equity piece or the most risky piece of a CDO,
- 14:55Speaker 2: and we could short the next level up, so the
- 14:58Speaker 2: mezzanine piece, and we could short two or three times
- 15:02Speaker 2: the amount. But what was super interesting was we were
- 15:05Speaker 2: getting paid to hold an option that never happened.
- 15:08Speaker 1: Right, Options cost you money, and that's the old joke.
- 15:11Speaker 1: Option traders never die, they just expire worthless.
- 15:13Speaker 2: That's exactly right. In this case, we were going to
- 15:16Speaker 2: hold an option that we were going to get paid
- 15:19Speaker 2: fifteen to twenty percent a year.
- 15:20Speaker 1: Though, oh really, that's real money.
- 15:22Speaker 2: So you never see that and you never read about that.
- 15:25Speaker 2: But that's the way the markets set up. It was
- 15:27Speaker 2: just too fragmented. You had people that were willing to
- 15:30Speaker 2: buy pieces of these structured products because of the ratings,
- 15:35Speaker 2: and on things that weren't rated, no one was willing
- 15:37Speaker 2: to buy. So we took the other side of that trade.
- 15:40Speaker 1: So you bought the unrated portions and you shorted the
- 15:44Speaker 1: rated portions. That's correct, that's very contrary that's very interesting.
- 15:48Speaker 1: How did you identify that opportunity? That's such a talk
- 15:51Speaker 1: about idiosyncretic niche trades? How did you figure that out?
- 15:57Speaker 2: The firm was built on finding white spaces, and so
- 16:00Speaker 2: I remember back back in two thousand and five when
- 16:02Speaker 2: we first started, you know, we'd think about the banks.
- 16:05Speaker 2: The banks would have an equity trading desk and they'd
- 16:08Speaker 2: have a debt desk, and they'd both value the same companies,
- 16:11Speaker 2: and both sides of the firm with vlume completely differently.
- 16:14Speaker 2: And so for us, those are exactly the opportunities we
- 16:17Speaker 2: were looking for. But we didn't find it in the
- 16:19Speaker 2: corporate markets. We found it in the mortgage market. It
- 16:22Speaker 2: was so fragmented that the machine that sold rated products
- 16:27Speaker 2: hit all the right buyers, but no one could sell
- 16:29Speaker 2: the unrated piece. The unrated piece yielded twenty twenty five percent,
- 16:33Speaker 2: where the rated piece would yield three to five percent,
- 16:36Speaker 2: And so that difference was the arbitrage that we saw.
- 16:40Speaker 1: So heading into five six, we saw real estate peek
- 16:44Speaker 1: in I want to say, in volume in five and
- 16:47Speaker 1: price and six. So if you're getting paid fifteen twenty
- 16:51Speaker 1: percent to hold the unrated piece, isn't there a lot
- 16:54Speaker 1: of downside risk that hey, if some of these mortgages
- 16:57Speaker 1: go south, you could see, you know, you get cut
- 17:00Speaker 1: in half or worse.
- 17:02Speaker 2: That's exactly right, and so our what the modeling actually said, though,
- 17:05Speaker 2: is if nothing happens in the world, we make this
- 17:08Speaker 2: twenty percent return. But if anything happened, not only would
- 17:13Speaker 2: our equity piece suffer, but the short side or our
- 17:16Speaker 2: mezzanine pieces would make the money back. And that's the raceo,
- 17:20Speaker 2: that's the ratio we had to be on. So what
- 17:22Speaker 2: they call that is delta neutral in the options world.
- 17:25Speaker 2: So we had a we were hedging an option, and
- 17:29Speaker 2: that hedge made us a lot of money in downside scenarios,
- 17:33Speaker 2: but that was never the focus. We didn't know the
- 17:36Speaker 2: housing market would crash. We had no idea. What we
- 17:38Speaker 2: had was a trade or an investment that we'd make
- 17:41Speaker 2: twenty percent a year on and if anything happened in
- 17:44Speaker 2: the world, we've really protected the balance sheet. It just
- 17:46Speaker 2: happened quite quickly.
- 17:48Speaker 1: So let's talk a little bit about what's going on today,
- 17:51Speaker 1: especially in some of the private alternative spaces you've talked about.
- 17:58Speaker 1: Pensions are now facing ill equids. The issues because private
- 18:02Speaker 1: equity and venture capital have gates up a lot of
- 18:05Speaker 1: long term tie ups. How has this affected your business?
- 18:10Speaker 2: That's been the most challenging part of the business. Really,
- 18:13Speaker 2: it really hasn't. And pension funds they're on hold today,
- 18:16Speaker 2: they're not investing, and it's been not just a headwind
- 18:20Speaker 2: for us, but for the entire industry. So I'll step
- 18:22Speaker 2: back and I'll give you my view on it. So
- 18:26Speaker 2: pensions have this mandate, they have a diversified portfolio they
- 18:30Speaker 2: invest in, they receive cash flow from the portfolio, and
- 18:33Speaker 2: that supports their retiree benefits. So they're always making this
- 18:36Speaker 2: judgment while I produce enough cash to manage those liabilities.
- 18:41Speaker 2: What happened over the last year and a half or
- 18:43Speaker 2: so is rates went up and valuations went down. Now,
- 18:47Speaker 2: the handshake agreement with the venture firms and the private
- 18:51Speaker 2: equity firms was give them a dollar today and in
- 18:54Speaker 2: five years they'll give you back two or three dollars, right,
- 18:56Speaker 2: depending on how the fund did. They've stopped giving back
- 18:59Speaker 2: that capital today. Oh really, And so the pension funds
- 19:03Speaker 2: are faced with this illiquidity problem, and so they're borrowing
- 19:06Speaker 2: money against their portfolios. They're selling positions in their portfolios.
- 19:10Speaker 2: But what they're not doing is taking on new investments. Now,
- 19:13Speaker 2: there's a flip side to this. Whenever we have trouble
- 19:16Speaker 2: raising capital, the investment opportunities are usually very good. So
- 19:20Speaker 2: our pipeline is extremely robust today.
- 19:22Speaker 1: Huh, that's really intriguing. Do you see this across the
- 19:26Speaker 1: board or is it really just more generalized that when
- 19:30Speaker 1: you have the dislocation of five hundred plus basis points
- 19:34Speaker 1: in eighteen months, what does that do to the landscape.
- 19:38Speaker 2: It always changes the landscape, and so no one's ever
- 19:40Speaker 2: prepared for moves of that size, even though everyone says
- 19:44Speaker 2: they are. And so it's opportunities that have come out
- 19:48Speaker 2: of this mainly are around the banks today, right, and
- 19:51Speaker 2: so we can talk a little bit more about that.
- 19:53Speaker 1: Well, let's talk a bit about Magnetar has more of
- 19:56Speaker 1: a specialty finance focus than other credit managers. Tell us
- 20:01Speaker 1: about that and how has the shift and rates impacted
- 20:05Speaker 1: specialty financed.
- 20:07Speaker 2: Yeah, so after the GFC, these private credit markets really
- 20:11Speaker 2: developed and they went in two different directions. They went
- 20:13Speaker 2: in direct lending, right, and so ninety percent of the
- 20:16Speaker 2: market went direct lending. So that's going to middle market
- 20:19Speaker 2: companies and disintermating the banks and lending directly to them.
- 20:23Speaker 2: For us, we went in a different direction. We went
- 20:25Speaker 2: in specialty finance and especially finances is a bit smaller,
- 20:29Speaker 2: but it's been around for ages and it touches our
- 20:32Speaker 2: lives every day.
- 20:33Speaker 1: Define it if you would, Yeah, so's it's.
- 20:35Speaker 2: The cars we drive, so auto loans, it's the houses
- 20:38Speaker 2: we buyer ranso, it's mortgages. It's the podcasts that we stream, right,
- 20:43Speaker 2: so it's all the music royalties and streaming royalties. So
- 20:47Speaker 2: it's it's assets like that. And the interesting part about
- 20:50Speaker 2: these assets is there's a very strong investment thesis around
- 20:55Speaker 2: them because they have three attributes when combined together, that
- 20:58Speaker 2: most other asset classes don't have, and certainly I don't
- 21:01Speaker 2: think direct lending has. So the first is you can
- 21:04Speaker 2: find very stable payoff profiles. Second, you can find assets
- 21:10Speaker 2: or these payoff profiles that don't correlate to the overall market,
- 21:14Speaker 2: so you're not worried about them moving with the SMP
- 21:17Speaker 2: or the highyield index. And third, and most importantly, they
- 21:20Speaker 2: don't correlate to one another. And so I'll give you
- 21:23Speaker 2: an example of a three asset portfolio. So In our
- 21:26Speaker 2: music royalty portfolio, returns could be driven by an artist's
- 21:30Speaker 2: song downloads like Taylor Swift downloads. And in our solar
- 21:34Speaker 2: finance portfolio, it's by how much sunlight there is in
- 21:37Speaker 2: a particular region. Or lately we've been lending a lot
- 21:40Speaker 2: against in video GPUs for cloud usage and that's driven
- 21:44Speaker 2: by aim machine learning growth. If I think about just
- 21:48Speaker 2: those three assets, they shouldn't correlate to the SMP, but
- 21:52Speaker 2: they certainly shouldn't correlate to one another. That's how we
- 21:55Speaker 2: can really produce a high quality of earnings for our investors.
- 21:58Speaker 1: Really interesting you mentioned in banks earlier. I know that
- 22:02Speaker 1: Magnetar has had opportunities to partner with banks via what
- 22:07Speaker 1: some people call rig cap transactions. Tell us a little
- 22:10Speaker 1: bit about those.
- 22:11Speaker 2: So rag cap or some people call them significant risk
- 22:14Speaker 2: transfer transactions. That is a massive opportunity for credit funds today.
- 22:19Speaker 2: And so a lot of people would think that the
- 22:21Speaker 2: banks are selling assets, right, but in our experience, we're
- 22:25Speaker 2: seeing them efficiently transfer the credit risk of assets but
- 22:29Speaker 2: keeping the customer relationship. It's a very important distinction.
- 22:33Speaker 1: How do you do that either you have the asset
- 22:35Speaker 1: and the credit risk. I would imagine or if you don't,
- 22:37Speaker 1: if it's a mortgage, you sell the mortgage and you're out,
- 22:40Speaker 1: how do you have How are you a little bit pregnant?
- 22:43Speaker 2: Exactly? So the solution to that are these reglatory capital solutions.
- 22:48Speaker 2: And so you're taking a portfolio of credit risk and
- 22:52Speaker 2: you're transferring that credit risk to a private credit fund
- 22:55Speaker 2: like us, but maintaining the customer relationship. And what banks
- 22:59Speaker 2: I think eminently realizes the customer relationship is how they
- 23:04Speaker 2: drive revenues. So traditional banking FX advisory services, you know,
- 23:09Speaker 2: high net worth and so without that they start to
- 23:12Speaker 2: lose their franchise. This is the product that allows them
- 23:16Speaker 2: to transfer credit risk. And for private credit firms, we
- 23:20Speaker 2: all of a sudden have access to some of their
- 23:22Speaker 2: highest quality lending. Right It's it's been the fastest growing
- 23:26Speaker 2: part of our portfolio.
- 23:27Speaker 1: So I'm trying to figure out if they're transferring the
- 23:30Speaker 1: credit risk to you, I'm assuming you're taking some sort
- 23:35Speaker 1: of contract with the bank that you're going to assume
- 23:39Speaker 1: the liability if X happens, and then you, with your expertise,
- 23:43Speaker 1: are hedging out that risk through your options or credit desk.
- 23:49Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's exactly right. But importantly, the first thing
- 23:52Speaker 2: we're doing is we're using data to really understand what
- 23:55Speaker 2: the credit risk is. And with that data, then we
- 23:58Speaker 2: can start thinking about what what the likely hedges are
- 24:01Speaker 2: for the macro risk of the portfolio.
- 24:03Speaker 1: So let's talk about that. What is your approach to data,
- 24:06Speaker 1: How do you institutionalize data management and how do you
- 24:11Speaker 1: leverage the idea of hey, we know a lot about this,
- 24:15Speaker 1: here's how we monetize it.
- 24:16Speaker 2: People talk a lot about the importance of data, but
- 24:19Speaker 2: it's usually in a different context. It's usually for these
- 24:21Speaker 2: quantitative strategies or quantitative hedge funds. For US, data is
- 24:25Speaker 2: the lifeblood of specialty finance. So for US, we use
- 24:30Speaker 2: data to solidify our assumptions. What we do with the
- 24:33Speaker 2: data is we forecast a performance of assets by matching
- 24:38Speaker 2: statistically significant characteristics. So back to the redcap examples, we've
- 24:44Speaker 2: looked at hundreds and hundreds of these types of investments
- 24:48Speaker 2: and we've taken all the data from those transactions. Now
- 24:52Speaker 2: we look at a new transaction. A bank comes to us
- 24:54Speaker 2: and says, I need to produce more regulatory capital on
- 24:58Speaker 2: this one hundred to ten thousand loans. We can take
- 25:02Speaker 2: the character risks of their polio today and out of
- 25:05Speaker 2: sample price them through history. That helps us price the
- 25:08Speaker 2: credit right and understand what risk we're taking on.
- 25:11Speaker 1: So this is really fairly sophisticated financial engineering. That is,
- 25:17Speaker 1: it sounds like it's a way for the banks to
- 25:20Speaker 1: meet the SEC requirements, the increased post financial crisis financial
- 25:25Speaker 1: reserves that they're required to have, but not have to
- 25:29Speaker 1: sell off big parts of the business and not have
- 25:31Speaker 1: to sell off the relationships you described.
- 25:34Speaker 2: I think that's exactly right. And even when you get
- 25:36Speaker 2: to what happened earlier in twenty twenty three with Credit Swiss,
- 25:40Speaker 2: that again put pressure on the banks to really think
- 25:43Speaker 2: about how they're going to hedge their credit risk. This
- 25:46Speaker 2: is their hedge to credit risk.
- 25:48Speaker 1: And then related to the way you guys work with
- 25:51Speaker 1: data management, tell us a little bit about Magnetar Labs.
- 25:54Speaker 2: Yeah, Magnetar Labs has been a great initiative for us.
- 25:57Speaker 2: It's really the institutionalization of our data. So we're trying
- 26:01Speaker 2: to produce infrastructure where we can ingest large data sets
- 26:05Speaker 2: very quickly and not only use them in specific business lines,
- 26:09Speaker 2: but use it across business lines. So I'll give you
- 26:13Speaker 2: a few examples In our merger arbitrage business, we've tracked
- 26:17Speaker 2: every detail and every characteristic of every merger and acquisition
- 26:22Speaker 2: for the last twenty plus years, and even our recent
- 26:25Speaker 2: restaurant finance business, we have itemized bills of every customer.
- 26:30Speaker 2: This is really useful data. So here's an example from
- 26:33Speaker 2: just a couple of months ago. We were looking at
- 26:35Speaker 2: an auto loan transaction and the servicer tried to overload information,
- 26:40Speaker 2: so they gave us eighty million line items of information
- 26:43Speaker 2: on purpose or I don't know if it's on purpose
- 26:46Speaker 2: or not, but eighty million line items, one hundred different files,
- 26:50Speaker 2: forty gigabytes of memory. So that's far too much for
- 26:55Speaker 2: Excel to handle or any local Python right or overload
- 26:58Speaker 2: to any one machine. But our Magtar Labs team was
- 27:02Speaker 2: able to take that in in just minutes. Right now,
- 27:05Speaker 2: we can analyze the data and then look at look
- 27:07Speaker 2: at the attributes to that investment and see if it
- 27:10Speaker 2: fits in our portfolio. We actually made the made the investment.
- 27:14Speaker 1: So so what sort of hardware using is this? Old?
- 27:16Speaker 1: Cloud based? Is this I think of like, oh, sounds
- 27:19Speaker 1: like a mainframe. I don't even know if mainframes still
- 27:22Speaker 1: exist anymore.
- 27:22Speaker 2: Everything's gone to the cloud now, right, it is pretty amazing.
- 27:26Speaker 1: And that sort of distributed computer has no ceiling, essentially
- 27:30Speaker 1: no capacity correct, infinite capacity correct. Really really interesting. So
- 27:36Speaker 1: let's talk a little bit about the status quo. I
- 27:39Speaker 1: read something where you said it was important to not
- 27:43Speaker 1: maintain the status quo. Explain what that means.
- 27:46Speaker 2: We're not efficient market theorists, but we certainly believe that
- 27:50Speaker 2: in the medium for long term the markets are efficient.
- 27:53Speaker 1: Kind of mostly eventually.
- 27:55Speaker 2: Efficient, eventually efficient. Right, So we know that what works
- 27:59Speaker 2: today at work several years forward, right, And so I'll
- 28:03Speaker 2: give you the converts example. Like you mentioned, I've been
- 28:06Speaker 2: in the convert market for thirty years now, and sometimes
- 28:10Speaker 2: converts are very cheap, you know, commal bonn arbitrage, and
- 28:13Speaker 2: when they are, we have a lot of our portfolio
- 28:15Speaker 2: in it. But today we have less than one percent
- 28:17Speaker 2: of our portfolio in the asset class. And it's just
- 28:21Speaker 2: because it's not cheap or not cheap enough versus what
- 28:24Speaker 2: we can invest in.
- 28:25Speaker 1: And is the expectation is that whatever inefficiencies were there,
- 28:29Speaker 1: markets figured it out. It's arbitraged way, and the odds
- 28:33Speaker 1: are against that ever becoming really cheap or might it
- 28:37Speaker 1: you know, become a trade again.
- 28:38Speaker 2: Yeah, some of it's supplied demand, right, and you're driven.
- 28:42Speaker 2: But I think the most important part is we're not
- 28:45Speaker 2: hiring desks of people to stay in an asset class.
- 28:48Speaker 2: That's the status quo. That's not what we're looking for.
- 28:51Speaker 2: We're looking to aggressively rotate our capital to get to
- 28:55Speaker 2: the optimal portfolio, to get to the best risk adjusted return.
- 28:58Speaker 1: So does this mean you're exploring new business areas and
- 29:01Speaker 1: strategies or is it just that you're rolling through the
- 29:05Speaker 1: various other opportunities that you've fished in before.
- 29:09Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a good question. We maintain our diligence on
- 29:12Speaker 2: other strategies, but we always have a strong research and
- 29:15Speaker 2: development pipeline. Huh.
- 29:17Speaker 1: Really interesting. So let's talk about some of the things
- 29:20Speaker 1: that are going on today. Artificial intelligence AI dominated the
- 29:26Speaker 1: twenty twenty three narrative. You made investments in core Weave,
- 29:30Speaker 1: a specialized cloud provider. Tell us a little bit about
- 29:34Speaker 1: what you're doing in that space. Is that related it
- 29:37Speaker 1: all to what we talked about earlier with Magnetar Labs.
- 29:40Speaker 2: Yeah. Core Weave is such an exciting story for Magnetar.
- 29:44Speaker 2: I can't say enough good things about it. Sometimes the
- 29:47Speaker 2: stars just align. You have the right time, the right product,
- 29:50Speaker 2: the right team. And for the listeners that don't know
- 29:54Speaker 2: who core Weave is, corev is the largest owner of
- 29:57Speaker 2: GPUs outside of the hyperscalers, Google or Amazon Web services.
- 30:02Speaker 2: They sell is high performance compute, which is sort of
- 30:05Speaker 2: the picks and shovels to enable AI. So if you
- 30:09Speaker 2: are a new AI lab, you need somebody like core
- 30:13Speaker 2: Weave to host that specialized cloud for you. Now, we
- 30:17Speaker 2: were the first institutional investor, so all the way back
- 30:20Speaker 2: in twenty twenty and at that point, core We've had
- 30:23Speaker 2: just twenty six million dollars of top line revenue, and
- 30:26Speaker 2: I think we're the first firm to really get comfortable
- 30:29Speaker 2: lending against that asset called high performance compute. Right, So
- 30:34Speaker 2: they've had explosive growth, But what we haven't been is
- 30:37Speaker 2: just a capital provider. We've really been a partner to
- 30:40Speaker 2: them within the business. Are you guys also a customer
- 30:43Speaker 2: of their We're a customer there is in Magnetar Labs,
- 30:45Speaker 2: just like you intimated before, and so we use them
- 30:49Speaker 2: for Magnetar Labs. But we have Ernie Rodgers, our COO,
- 30:53Speaker 2: sits on their board. We have daily interaction between our
- 30:57Speaker 2: management teams. This company is growing so quickly they need
- 31:01Speaker 2: all the help they can get around them, and what
- 31:03Speaker 2: we try to help with is mostly balance sheet management.
- 31:06Speaker 1: So for a firm that specializes in credit, this almost
- 31:11Speaker 1: sounds like a venture investment.
- 31:12Speaker 2: There are parts of this that are venture ish, but
- 31:15Speaker 2: what's interesting is the underlying asset, this high performance compute
- 31:19Speaker 2: is something that we can really scale with and so
- 31:22Speaker 2: I think that's been the innovation in the marketplace. So
- 31:26Speaker 2: you mentioned in twenty twenty three on the venture side,
- 31:29Speaker 2: we actually let around for them a four hundred million
- 31:31Speaker 2: dollars Series B round, but we also let a two
- 31:34Speaker 2: point three billion dollar financing on their high performance compute assets.
- 31:38Speaker 1: So it's capital and credit, it's equity and credit.
- 31:41Speaker 2: It's equity and credit, and it's a true partnership between
- 31:45Speaker 2: the firms. Towards the end of last year, in December,
- 31:49Speaker 2: the firm got valued at seven billion dollars. And to me,
- 31:52Speaker 2: it's just a start. This company just the you're just
- 31:56Speaker 2: going to see it continue to grow over time.
- 31:58Speaker 1: Well, let me know about the C round when that comes.
- 32:01Speaker 1: What do you guys, in all seriousness, what are you
- 32:04Speaker 1: guys looking for? What sort of characteristics are you looking
- 32:08Speaker 1: for when a company like this comes along. You mentioned
- 32:11Speaker 1: idiosyncratic types of investment. This sounds very specific and not
- 32:16Speaker 1: all that usual.
- 32:17Speaker 2: It is. It's very specific, but we always start with
- 32:19Speaker 2: the assets. So it's assets, it's data, and its structure. Right,
- 32:23Speaker 2: So first on the assets, we're usually focused on specialty
- 32:27Speaker 2: finance because the assets drive the performance of the company. Right.
- 32:31Speaker 2: The next thing we need is data. We can't predict
- 32:33Speaker 2: the future, so we're trying to do is use historical
- 32:37Speaker 2: data to predict how an asset reacts in different states
- 32:40Speaker 2: of the economy, and finally we use structure around that
- 32:44Speaker 2: to protect the downside of the investment itself.
- 32:47Speaker 1: Huh. Sounds really intriguing. So as long as we're talking
- 32:51Speaker 1: about twenty twenty three, we saw a lot of bank
- 32:53Speaker 1: failures last year, we saw the response to a rapid
- 32:58Speaker 1: increase in rates. You had a front row seat to
- 33:01Speaker 1: what transpired. Share what that was like, and what did
- 33:05Speaker 1: you guys see in the space. Tell us about the
- 33:08Speaker 1: opportunities that came up from those events.
- 33:10Speaker 2: Those were stressful events for the entire community, you know,
- 33:14Speaker 2: for Silicon Valley Bank in particular. I remember it was
- 33:17Speaker 2: Friday night, and the question of moral hazard appeared immediately.
- 33:22Speaker 2: So it's California based, right. It was a lot of
- 33:25Speaker 2: venture funds that had accounts there, and the questions started
- 33:29Speaker 2: coming out, is their cash safe, will they be able
- 33:32Speaker 2: to access it? If so, when will they be able
- 33:34Speaker 2: to make payroll? A lot of these smaller companies were
- 33:37Speaker 2: very worried about payroll, and in California specifically will the
- 33:41Speaker 2: border directors be liable if they couldn't make payroll? And
- 33:44Speaker 2: then they started rolling it out to what about all
- 33:46Speaker 2: the similar situated banks. So we all know that by
- 33:49Speaker 2: Monday morning, the contagion risk was too high and the
- 33:52Speaker 2: government did step in. But the opportunities really arose from that.
- 33:56Speaker 2: And so the first opportunity, which is very similar to
- 33:59Speaker 2: doing regulatory capital investments with large banks, is being a
- 34:04Speaker 2: risk capital provider to the small and regional banks. And
- 34:07Speaker 2: I think we're going to see more and more of
- 34:09Speaker 2: this overtime. It's credit firms partnering with banks where we
- 34:13Speaker 2: have access to all the diligence around their customers and
- 34:17Speaker 2: together we can jointly underwrite and make loans.
- 34:20Speaker 1: You mentioned moral hazard. Where was the moral hazard with
- 34:24Speaker 1: Silicon Valley Bank? Was it the equity investors in the
- 34:27Speaker 1: bank or was it the customers with way over the
- 34:32Speaker 1: FDIC limits? And if there isn't a quarter million or
- 34:36Speaker 1: half a million dollar ceiling, did the Federal Reserve essentially say, okay,
- 34:41Speaker 1: FDIC insurance is now unlimited? Is that the moral hazard?
- 34:45Speaker 2: We found that to be the moral hazard. Who's the
- 34:47Speaker 2: governor of how much risk a bank can take? So
- 34:49Speaker 2: the federal government came out and they said, you have
- 34:52Speaker 2: a two hundred and fifty thousand dollars limit, but people
- 34:54Speaker 2: were putting in one hundred million dollars into the account
- 34:57Speaker 2: because they got twenty five basis points more of interest, right,
- 35:00Speaker 2: So how do you actually control that? That's the moral
- 35:03Speaker 2: hazard we saw now. I think at the end of
- 35:05Speaker 2: the day, it was just too big of a risk
- 35:07Speaker 2: to the economy.
- 35:08Speaker 1: The contagion risk was Hey, there's a moral hazard question
- 35:12Speaker 1: to the depositors. But rather than stand on ceremony, let's
- 35:16Speaker 1: stop this before it spreads.
- 35:18Speaker 2: That's exactly right.
- 35:20Speaker 1: Huh, that's really that's really kind of intriguing. What else
- 35:23Speaker 1: has been the result of this rapid spike in interest rates?
- 35:26Speaker 1: What do you see in the private credit world that hey,
- 35:30Speaker 1: blame the fed. But here's what's gone off the rails.
- 35:34Speaker 2: For credit investors. Everyone thinks about fixed rate risk, right,
- 35:38Speaker 2: but that's easily hedgable, and that's a choice that that
- 35:41Speaker 2: credit investors make. So for people like magnets, are we
- 35:45Speaker 2: swap everything back to floating rate, we don't have any
- 35:47Speaker 2: edge on a macro risk like that. But the second
- 35:50Speaker 2: order effect is much much more difficult, and that's the
- 35:53Speaker 2: business impact of rates changing. So when we think about businesses,
- 35:58Speaker 2: we think about that margins change as rates go up
- 36:02Speaker 2: or down, to originations change, What about the refinancing of
- 36:06Speaker 2: their debt? I think those are the things that are
- 36:08Speaker 2: going to keep lawyers and restructuring advisors very busy for
- 36:12Speaker 2: the foreseeable future.
- 36:13Speaker 1: So given this current environment where first rates went up
- 36:17Speaker 1: further and faster than it seemed like, the consensus amongst
- 36:22Speaker 1: analysts was they stayed higher longer than people expected. There's
- 36:28Speaker 1: no recession. People have been talking about that for two years,
- 36:31Speaker 1: and the expected rate cuts I guess tied to that
- 36:35Speaker 1: recession haven't showed up yet. We were talking about March,
- 36:38Speaker 1: now we're talking about May, even June of twenty twenty four.
- 36:43Speaker 1: How does this affect how you think about putting portfolios together,
- 36:47Speaker 1: constructing portfolios. And I am very aware that you guys
- 36:50Speaker 1: aren't macro tourists. You don't play that game. But given
- 36:54Speaker 1: the volatility and the various probabilistic outcomes, how does that
- 36:58Speaker 1: impact your thinking.
- 37:00Speaker 2: It's a very good question, and for us, we think
- 37:02Speaker 2: a lot about the affordability factor. So I'll give you
- 37:06Speaker 2: two examples at both extremes. So we have a partial
- 37:10Speaker 2: ownership in an auto loan business in Ireland, and so
- 37:13Speaker 2: when rates are at zero, we're loaning to consumers. It's
- 37:16Speaker 2: somewhere between five and a half and six percent, and
- 37:19Speaker 2: we're gaining market share rapidly. All of a sudden, risk
- 37:22Speaker 2: free rate goes to five percent, that equivalent loan we're
- 37:25Speaker 2: gonna have to charge consumers eleven percent. It's just it's
- 37:28Speaker 2: simply unaffordable.
- 37:29Speaker 1: Right, different calculus, different.
- 37:31Speaker 2: Calculus, And so we have a decision to make. We
- 37:34Speaker 2: can stay at eleven percent, keep the same margin but
- 37:37Speaker 2: reduce origination, or we can take our margin down and
- 37:41Speaker 2: try to keep market share. Either way, the business is
- 37:44Speaker 2: worth a lot less. That has a lot of affordability
- 37:47Speaker 2: factor effect to it. On the other end of the
- 37:50Speaker 2: stream is our music royalties business. So in music royalties,
- 37:54Speaker 2: you know, the simplification is you get some small part
- 37:57Speaker 2: of worldwide streaming revenue. So it takes Spotify. Spotify raise
- 38:02Speaker 2: rates recently and they had no customer churn, so some
- 38:06Speaker 2: percentage of that rate went directly to the royalty holder.
- 38:09Speaker 2: There was very little affordability factor. So we're veering away
- 38:13Speaker 2: from things that the business impact on affordability is high,
- 38:18Speaker 2: and we're investing in things where it's lower.
- 38:20Speaker 1: Private credit seems to be getting a lot of attention
- 38:22Speaker 1: these days. Why is that.
- 38:24Speaker 2: If you would have asked me going into the global
- 38:26Speaker 2: financial crisis, I know we keep going back fifteen years now,
- 38:29Speaker 2: I would have said the banks had it all right.
- 38:31Speaker 2: They controlled origination of all of the different asset classes,
- 38:34Speaker 2: especially finance and lending, so whether its credit cards or
- 38:38Speaker 2: mortgages or loans to their customers. But after as the
- 38:43Speaker 2: financial crisis happened, there was a spotlight flashed on their
- 38:46Speaker 2: balance sheet. They just had too much risk and so
- 38:49Speaker 2: the regulators came in to reduce that risk. So the
- 38:52Speaker 2: simple question is that private credit came in and stepped
- 38:56Speaker 2: in the shoes of banks and really took markets. But
- 39:01Speaker 2: this scale was much larger than anyone could have anticipated.
- 39:04Speaker 2: But for me, what I think about a lot is
- 39:07Speaker 2: the more profound effect is the talent transfer. The talent
- 39:12Speaker 2: transfer from the banks that went to the credit providers,
- 39:15Speaker 2: the private credit providers that set the stage for this
- 39:18Speaker 2: mass growth in private credit.
- 39:21Speaker 1: So let's talk about talent a little bit. One of
- 39:24Speaker 1: the things I know your firm is proud of is
- 39:28Speaker 1: more than half of your workforce has been with the
- 39:30Speaker 1: firm for five years or longer. So first, I'm assuming
- 39:34Speaker 1: that's not typical in your space, and second I have
- 39:37Speaker 1: to ask what contributed to that sort of retention.
- 39:42Speaker 2: I'm very proud. I think we're very proud of that fact,
- 39:44Speaker 2: and I think it is very atypical. But the credit
- 39:47Speaker 2: really goes to so many people at Magnetar. You know,
- 39:51Speaker 2: we're a global firm, but I think with a Midwestern ethos,
- 39:56Speaker 2: so it's work hard, stay humble, be a good teammate,
- 40:00Speaker 2: good person, And I think if we can consistently demonstrate
- 40:04Speaker 2: those qualities will attract people who value them. And it's
- 40:08Speaker 2: a virtuous circle. And what's incredible about the firm is
- 40:11Speaker 2: when we get when we're focused, how much we can
- 40:13Speaker 2: get done. So I'll give you a simple example. We
- 40:15Speaker 2: started a summer internship program several years ago, and we
- 40:20Speaker 2: started with two interns and we built the program around them,
- 40:23Speaker 2: and this last summer we had sixty interns for a
- 40:26Speaker 2: two hundred person organization. You know, it's pretty humbling when
- 40:30Speaker 2: you think about all the exceptional people around Magnetar and
- 40:33Speaker 2: how much we can get done.
- 40:34Speaker 1: So one of the things we've been hearing a lot
- 40:37Speaker 1: about as big companies try and get their staff back
- 40:41Speaker 1: in the office five days a week is corporate culture.
- 40:46Speaker 1: Tell us a little bit about what is differentiating Magnetar
- 40:51Speaker 1: from a cultural perspective. You know, starting with Evanston, Illinois,
- 40:57Speaker 1: not a lot of private credit shops in the neighborho
- 41:01Speaker 1: that's true.
- 41:01Speaker 2: You know, first principles, it's always about integrity. But I
- 41:04Speaker 2: think for most tenured firms integrity is high. But for us,
- 41:09Speaker 2: the north star is always creating the best portfolios to
- 41:13Speaker 2: deliver to our clients. And we really have two foundational
- 41:17Speaker 2: points there. One is we run a very flat organization
- 41:21Speaker 2: and secondly, we've thought a lot about alignment. So on
- 41:23Speaker 2: the flat organization, it doesn't matter who has the right answer.
- 41:27Speaker 2: We know we're trying to reach the right answer. So
- 41:30Speaker 2: I'll take our investment committees as an example. We have
- 41:33Speaker 2: bi weekly investment committees. And it's not the top two
- 41:37Speaker 2: or three people that sit on the investment committee. We
- 41:39Speaker 2: have one hundred and twenty people in that meeting, you know,
- 41:43Speaker 2: every two weeks. Wow, And we really want people to
- 41:45Speaker 2: voice opinions, right, and that's how we're going to get
- 41:48Speaker 2: to the best answer. You know, we talk about it
- 41:50Speaker 2: internally a lot. We're trying to manage investments by consensus,
- 41:54Speaker 2: and so especially in private credit, if someone doesn't like something,
- 41:58Speaker 2: we can change it. We can change you know, what
- 42:00Speaker 2: a structure looks like. And so we'll get to something
- 42:03Speaker 2: where we actually get consensus, you know. On the alignment point.
- 42:08Speaker 2: It really goes back to not giving individual capital allocations,
- 42:12Speaker 2: but incentivizing people to create the best portfolio. So you
- 42:16Speaker 2: asked about pretention before. I think the reason why people
- 42:19Speaker 2: stay at Magnetar long term is because they believe in
- 42:22Speaker 2: these philosophies and they believe if we get to the
- 42:25Speaker 2: right portfolio that everyone wins in the long term.
- 42:28Speaker 1: Huh. Really very interesting, So we only have you for
- 42:31Speaker 1: a limited amount of time. Let me jump to my
- 42:33Speaker 1: favorite questions that I ask all of my guests starting
- 42:37Speaker 1: with tell us what you've been streaming these days? What's
- 42:40Speaker 1: been keeping you entertained? Either video or audio, Netflix or podcast?
- 42:45Speaker 1: What's keeping you entertained?
- 42:47Speaker 2: Yeah, I think this will be different than most of
- 42:49Speaker 2: the people have stated on this show. But for me,
- 42:51Speaker 2: it's been.
- 42:51Speaker 1: Flow sports, flow sports.
- 42:54Speaker 2: Flow sports. So I have my older son is in
- 42:57Speaker 2: between high school and college right now, and he's playing
- 43:00Speaker 2: hockey and juniors for a year, and so all of
- 43:03Speaker 2: his games are on flow Sports. So Christy and my
- 43:07Speaker 2: son Jake and I sit around and watch every game together.
- 43:10Speaker 1: What does he what positions does he play?
- 43:12Speaker 2: He plays defense. It's been a lot of fun flow sports.
- 43:15Speaker 1: Is that like a YouTube channel on internet channel? How
- 43:18Speaker 1: do you find that?
- 43:19Speaker 2: We pull it up on Apple TV or on our phone,
- 43:22Speaker 2: and yeah, it's been great for a lot of youth sports.
- 43:26Speaker 1: Huh. Interesting.
- 43:26Speaker 2: And then on the podcast side, this podcast aside on.
- 43:29Speaker 1: Here you never have to bring this podcast up.
- 43:31Speaker 2: Of course. So I listened to one by Larry Burnsteed
- 43:35Speaker 2: what Happens Next, and he's been doing it since COVID,
- 43:39Speaker 2: and it's sort of six minutes of really relevant topics
- 43:43Speaker 2: that come out every weekend.
- 43:45Speaker 1: What happens next. I'm going to check that out. I
- 43:47Speaker 1: love the idea of these having done long form for
- 43:50Speaker 1: a decade, I love the idea of five, ten, twelve
- 43:54Speaker 1: minutes and you're done, And there's something very appealing about that.
- 43:58Speaker 1: Let's talk about your mentors who helped to shape your career.
- 44:02Speaker 2: You know, it always starts with their parents, and then
- 44:04Speaker 2: you know football coaches like like Larry Kimbaum. But I
- 44:08Speaker 2: mentioned Dave Bunning before. I think most people would say,
- 44:10Speaker 2: you know, I'm a product of his teachings over time.
- 44:13Speaker 1: Huh. Interesting. How about books? What are some of your favorites?
- 44:16Speaker 1: What are you reading right now?
- 44:18Speaker 2: You know I always like Michael Lewis books. We had
- 44:20Speaker 2: him at one of our off sites a few years ago.
- 44:24Speaker 2: You ever remember this book is one of my favorites.
- 44:26Speaker 2: You know, Memos from the Chairman by Alan Greenberg. Sure,
- 44:29Speaker 2: that was a.
- 44:29Speaker 1: Great bay Greenberg Greenberg correct.
- 44:32Speaker 2: And what was so interesting about his book is, you
- 44:34Speaker 2: know he's running the firm, but he's really in the
- 44:37Speaker 2: nuche of every detail.
- 44:39Speaker 1: It was very interesting, including the paper clips recycling.
- 44:43Speaker 2: Between every expense.
- 44:45Speaker 1: So let me interrupt you one second. Say I was
- 44:48Speaker 1: at a lunch just with you know, three people at
- 44:51Speaker 1: a table and he came in and sat like a
- 44:54Speaker 1: table or two over and the whole meal, I mean
- 44:58Speaker 1: this was later in his life. The whole meal was
- 45:00Speaker 1: a parade of people coming in to genuflect in front
- 45:04Speaker 1: of him and just pay their respects. It was like
- 45:08Speaker 1: the Pope was having lunch. I don't know how well
- 45:12Speaker 1: you know of him, and the book certainly is kind
- 45:15Speaker 1: of you know, you don't get a sense of how
- 45:18Speaker 1: other people perceived him, but fascinating guy.
- 45:21Speaker 2: I met him when he was at bear Stearns and
- 45:23Speaker 2: I felt the same way. He was a special person.
- 45:27Speaker 1: What other books are you reading? Anything else you want
- 45:29Speaker 1: to mention?
- 45:30Speaker 2: So my colleague and the head of our London ops,
- 45:32Speaker 2: Alan Schafferan, recommended the book The Missing Billionaires and the
- 45:36Speaker 2: reason that I just started. But the reason it's interesting
- 45:39Speaker 2: is it's very focused on asset allocation and mistakes and
- 45:44Speaker 2: asset allocation and how much that can cost a portfolio
- 45:47Speaker 2: over time. So it has a lot of parallels to
- 45:50Speaker 2: the way we think about asset allocation and magnets are.
- 45:52Speaker 1: Huh really interesting. Our final two questions, what sort of
- 45:56Speaker 1: advice would you give a recent college grad interest in
- 45:59Speaker 1: the career in either private creditor alts, fixed income, any
- 46:04Speaker 1: of the areas you specialized in.
- 46:06Speaker 2: It's what we think about for the firm. I know
- 46:08Speaker 2: what I tell my kids would be, it's people on platform.
- 46:13Speaker 2: You need to be around good integrist people that are
- 46:16Speaker 2: great mentors, and the platform needs to be growing over time,
- 46:21Speaker 2: so each seat should be more more than the person
- 46:23Speaker 2: in it.
- 46:23Speaker 1: Huh. Interesting. And our final question, what do you know
- 46:26Speaker 1: about the world of investing, of credit of risk management
- 46:31Speaker 1: today that you wish you knew when you were first
- 46:33Speaker 1: getting started thirty years or so ago.
- 46:35Speaker 2: Yeah, this may be an atypical answer, but I think
- 46:38Speaker 2: about luck versus skill a lot more than I ever
- 46:40Speaker 2: did before. If you make a decision today and don't
- 46:43Speaker 2: have an outcome for ten years, you don't really know
- 46:46Speaker 2: if you were good at it or not right, whether
- 46:48Speaker 2: you won or lost. If you're able to have a
- 46:50Speaker 2: much faster feedback loop now, you can really hone your
- 46:54Speaker 2: skills and understand whether you're making good decisions or bad decisions.
- 47:00Speaker 2: And so I think for me, and as we look
- 47:02Speaker 2: at people's track records, we really try to think about
- 47:05Speaker 2: how often do they get to make the same decision
- 47:09Speaker 2: and what's the process around that decision and how different
- 47:12Speaker 2: is it over time?
- 47:13Speaker 1: Very interesting. I have a book for you, but I'm
- 47:16Speaker 1: gonna bet you've already read it, Michael Mobison's book I
- 47:19Speaker 1: have not Please, Separating skill from luck in investing, business
- 47:24Speaker 1: and sports like that is right up your al that
- 47:27Speaker 1: is thank you, and he's a fascinating author and really
- 47:31Speaker 1: a fascinating book. I would bet you you would appreciate it.
- 47:34Speaker 2: Excellent.
- 47:34Speaker 1: Thank you David for being so generous with your time.
- 47:37Speaker 1: We have been speaking with David Snyderman. He is the
- 47:41Speaker 1: global head of Alternative credit and fixed income and managing
- 47:44Speaker 1: partner at Magnetar, a fifteen billion dollar multi strategy, multi
- 47:49Speaker 1: product alternative investment management firm. If you enjoy this conversation,
- 47:54Speaker 1: well check out any of the previous five hundred or
- 47:56Speaker 1: so we've had. You can find those ato Spotify, YouTube, Bloomberg,
- 48:02Speaker 1: wherever you find your favorite podcast. Be sure and check
- 48:06Speaker 1: out my new podcast at the Money, ten minutes each
- 48:10Speaker 1: week with an expert discussing a topic that's relevant to
- 48:14Speaker 1: you and your money. I would be remiss if I
- 48:17Speaker 1: did not thank the crack team that helps me put
- 48:19Speaker 1: these conversations together each week. Sarah Livesey is my audio engineer.
- 48:25Speaker 1: Attika val Brun is my project manager. Anna Luke is
- 48:28Speaker 1: my producer. Sean Russo is my head of research. Sage
- 48:32Speaker 1: Bauman is our head of podcasts. I'm Barry Ritolfs. You've
- 48:36Speaker 1: been listening to Master's in Business on Bloomberg Radio