Latest / What's Your Problem? / How AI Could Actually Make the World Better
Transcript
- 0:15Speaker 1: Pushkin. I'm Jacob Goldstein. This is what's your problem? And
- 0:31Speaker 1: my guest today is Josh Tieringel. He's a staff writer
- 0:35Speaker 1: at The Atlantic, and he just wrote a new book
- 0:37Speaker 1: called AI for Good And the subtitle of the book
- 0:41Speaker 1: explains the problem that Josh is interested in. The subtitle
- 0:44Speaker 1: is how real people are using artificial intelligence to fix
- 0:48Speaker 1: things that matter. As you'll hear, I talked with Josh
- 0:51Speaker 1: about several of these real people. Professor trying to understand
- 0:55Speaker 1: her nonverbal son, a general who ran the logistics side
- 0:59Speaker 1: of Operation Warp Speed, a hospital CEO trying to reduce
- 1:03Speaker 1: the rate of deadly infections. And one thing just to
- 1:06Speaker 1: note here is you know, and I guess this is
- 1:08Speaker 1: not surprising in the state of AI. Some of these
- 1:11Speaker 1: stories are not yet finished. They're kind of stories that
- 1:13Speaker 1: are still in the middle. But before we got into
- 1:16Speaker 1: the specific stories, I asked Josh what common threads he
- 1:20Speaker 1: saw across all these people he wrote about, who are
- 1:23Speaker 1: you trying to use AI to do good things?
- 1:26Speaker 2: They're largely stubborn. Uh huh, They're really stubborn. And you know,
- 1:30Speaker 2: one of the things that I admire. I'm very impatient
- 1:33Speaker 2: and when I see a problem. Oftentimes I have what
- 1:36Speaker 2: I think is a fairly normal human impulse, which is like,
- 1:39Speaker 2: wipe the mismatched puzzle pieces off the table and get
- 1:42Speaker 2: a different puzzle. Right, It's frustrating to dig into systems
- 1:46Speaker 2: to learn technology, and these people, they don't get frustrated,
- 1:51Speaker 2: not to the point of destroying the system. In fact,
- 1:54Speaker 2: most of them have no experience with AI or technology.
- 1:57Speaker 2: They care about medicine, they care about teaching, They care
- 2:00Speaker 2: about solving a really hard problem, and so they just
- 2:03Speaker 2: keep looking for solutions. And when something seems promising, their
- 2:07Speaker 2: ability to concentrate and learn, earn the technology of that
- 2:10Speaker 2: promise and apply it to their problem is through the roof.
- 2:15Speaker 2: And so I just kept being awed by the fact
- 2:18Speaker 2: that they were curious, they're patient, They were impatient at
- 2:22Speaker 2: exactly the right moments in the sense that things weren't moving.
- 2:26Speaker 2: They knew how to deploy either their political capital or
- 2:29Speaker 2: their temper in ways to get things moving. And you know,
- 2:34Speaker 2: I found time and time again that when I would
- 2:36Speaker 2: talk to other people who were witnessing these phenomenon, whether
- 2:38Speaker 2: it was in hospitals or in government, we would all
- 2:41Speaker 2: just kind of be like, Yeah, these are the ones
- 2:44Speaker 2: making it happen. They're kind of Samurai, right. They care
- 2:47Speaker 2: about their problem more than other people care about standing
- 2:50Speaker 2: in the way of the solution, and they get it done.
- 2:53Speaker 1: Tell me about Christy Johnson.
- 2:55Speaker 2: Yeah, So, Christy Johnson is certainly one of the most
- 3:00Speaker 2: inspiring interesting people I've met in my journalism career. So, I,
- 3:05Speaker 2: like a lot of people, was thinking about AI and
- 3:08Speaker 2: human connect and reading all the headlines about the sort
- 3:11Speaker 2: of parasocial crisis in which people were dating, chat GPT,
- 3:16Speaker 2: falling in love with Claude, realizing that this was mimicking
- 3:20Speaker 2: a lot of the worst elements of social media, seeing
- 3:23Speaker 2: the studies and getting very, very depressed about what AI
- 3:27Speaker 2: would mean for human connection. So I was having that
- 3:29Speaker 2: conversation with Rosin Picard, who runs the MIT Media Lab,
- 3:33Speaker 2: and she basically said, look, you got to meet Christy,
- 3:35Speaker 2: and so she introduced me. Christy Johnson was a physicist
- 3:40Speaker 2: and a brilliant student. She met another physicist in a program.
- 3:47Speaker 2: He is an astrophysicist and actually was on the team
- 3:50Speaker 2: that took the first picture of a black hole. The
- 3:53Speaker 2: two of them fell in the deepest form of nerd
- 3:55Speaker 2: love you could possibly imagine. I mean even the two
- 3:59Speaker 2: of them laugh at just how dorky their love letters
- 4:01Speaker 2: are to each other, all about physics and math and
- 4:04Speaker 2: the world. They get married and they have a kid,
- 4:08Speaker 2: and about a couple of weeks in she's like, there's
- 4:12Speaker 2: something wrong with my son. And she's kind of gas
- 4:14Speaker 2: lit by the medical profession for a year just hearing no,
- 4:17Speaker 2: he's fine, Stop worrying, enjoy your kid. Finally they get
- 4:21Speaker 2: some testing done and he has a genetic deficiency. And
- 4:26Speaker 2: the other six children like him in the world are
- 4:29Speaker 2: all severely autistic, epileptic, and completely nonverbal, and so this
- 4:35Speaker 2: is the kind of diagnosis that changes everybody's lives. Within
- 4:39Speaker 2: the family. They begin to grieve a little bit for
- 4:44Speaker 2: their expectations for their son, but they're also scientists, and
- 4:47Speaker 2: Christy and Michael both are like, we should understand this,
- 4:51Speaker 2: we should do something about it. A couple of years
- 4:54Speaker 2: ago past and Christy is like, no longer all that
- 4:57Speaker 2: interested in physics. She's very interested in her son. And
- 5:01Speaker 2: so what she set out to do was solve the
- 5:03Speaker 2: problem of the more than one million nonverbal Americans who
- 5:08Speaker 2: are stuck to their parents and their caregivers. That's it
- 5:11Speaker 2: for everybody in that universe, the universe shrinks.
- 5:16Speaker 1: Just to be clear, what is her dream? What is
- 5:18Speaker 1: the outcome she hopes to achieve.
- 5:20Speaker 2: Her dream is that her son and other people like
- 5:23Speaker 2: him can interact with people they don't know all that
- 5:25Speaker 2: well and share what it is they want and need.
- 5:29Speaker 1: So a machine will turn their nonverbal vocalizations into words. Yeah,
- 5:35Speaker 1: verbal people can understand that other people can respond to
- 5:38Speaker 1: and interact with. And so she made a bet. She
- 5:40Speaker 1: basically thought, look, I see where AI.
- 5:42Speaker 2: And machine learning are right now. My hunch is that
- 5:45Speaker 2: they will get better and better. But what I need
- 5:48Speaker 2: is data. And so she created a scientific protocol to
- 5:52Speaker 2: get vocalizations from these kids, and she used every tool available.
- 5:57Speaker 2: So she went on YouTube, she went on social media.
- 5:59Speaker 2: She said, this is me and my son. This is
- 6:01Speaker 2: what happens when he's hungry. Listen to that vocalization, and
- 6:04Speaker 2: now I'm recording it, and she began to generate a
- 6:08Speaker 2: little bit of momentum. She went to the MIT Media
- 6:10Speaker 2: Lab and spoke to Rosbaccard one night, kind of cold
- 6:13Speaker 2: calder and Roz realized, like, this woman has no qualifications
- 6:18Speaker 2: to be at the media lab, but my god, like,
- 6:21Speaker 2: what an incredible human she got there, she did her PhD.
- 6:27Speaker 2: And she proved that if you can gather enough of
- 6:29Speaker 2: these vocalizations as audio files, you can begin to attack
- 6:33Speaker 2: the problem. And so what she learned largely through using AIS.
- 6:36Speaker 2: At first you have to multiply the files, so a
- 6:41Speaker 2: system like chat, GPT or Claude is trained on potentially
- 6:47Speaker 2: trillions of data points in order to become as fluent
- 6:50Speaker 2: as it is. She had a couple thousand audio files.
- 6:54Speaker 2: So the first thing she did is get her graduate
- 6:57Speaker 2: students to figure out how to synthesize more data, how
- 7:00Speaker 2: to take those data files, those original sounds, and grow
- 7:04Speaker 2: them and multiply them.
- 7:05Speaker 1: It's like what they're trying to do with self driving cars,
- 7:08Speaker 1: right exactly, like drive on pretend roads essentially exactly.
- 7:12Speaker 2: It's called synthetic data. And AI is really good at
- 7:15Speaker 2: making synthetic data.
- 7:16Speaker 1: And they're even they're working on that for text, right
- 7:18Speaker 1: because now the current models basically are trained on the
- 7:20Speaker 1: whole Internet, so like there's no more real text for
- 7:23Speaker 1: them to read, so they need synthetic texts.
- 7:25Speaker 2: They're out of stuff, right, And so if you want
- 7:28Speaker 2: the training to advance, you have to synthesize a lot
- 7:30Speaker 2: of this data, and she's continuing to grow the organic
- 7:32Speaker 2: files as well.
- 7:34Speaker 1: Tell me about ROSCO.
- 7:36Speaker 2: Yeah, So ROSCO is a protocol and basically, you can't
- 7:42Speaker 2: do what Christy is trying to do without science because
- 7:46Speaker 2: you need some sort of rigorous idea of what you're
- 7:49Speaker 2: testing for or else. The data that you're recording is meaningless.
- 7:53Speaker 1: It's not really data.
- 7:55Speaker 2: It's not really data, it just sounds. And so working
- 7:58Speaker 2: with a grad student, what she figured out is, Okay,
- 8:00Speaker 2: we don't need all the data. All the data is unprocessable.
- 8:05Speaker 2: We need the right kinds of data for this task.
- 8:07Speaker 2: And so what they did is create this protocol where
- 8:10Speaker 2: they would run families through a certain kind of test
- 8:14Speaker 2: and it was split timed so that it was standardized,
- 8:16Speaker 2: and they would say, for two minutes, give your child
- 8:21Speaker 2: a YouTube video because we want to hear. And you know,
- 8:24Speaker 2: in the autism community, YouTube is great. It cues up
- 8:26Speaker 2: the same video as many times as you want. People
- 8:29Speaker 2: always have their favorite video, she said, whatever their favorite
- 8:31Speaker 2: video is queued up. At the one forty five mark,
- 8:34Speaker 2: they would introduce a beach ball and buffering.
- 8:38Speaker 1: Beach ball meaning the spinning wheel that says like pause,
- 8:41Speaker 1: it's loading.
- 8:42Speaker 2: Yeah, they would pause the video because what they wanted
- 8:45Speaker 2: to do was get a vocalization of dissatisfaction and frustration,
- 8:50Speaker 2: and so that was a way to do it. And
- 8:52Speaker 2: they would say, okay, this is a five minute snack period.
- 8:55Speaker 2: We want you to make sure that you are giving
- 8:57Speaker 2: them their favorite sack, and we want to hear what
- 9:00Speaker 2: that is like. And so they would do these things
- 9:02Speaker 2: that are really relevant to her ultimate goal, which is
- 9:05Speaker 2: making sure that these kids could be out there in
- 9:08Speaker 2: the world talking to other people and having needs met.
- 9:11Speaker 2: And so it was a very scientific protocol. And then
- 9:14Speaker 2: she would send it to families along with a phone
- 9:19Speaker 2: and a camera and basically say, record it from these
- 9:22Speaker 2: various angles, send it back to us, so that the
- 9:24Speaker 2: data is standardized. It's not just random vocalizations that they're
- 9:28Speaker 2: figuring out. And because the population is so specific and
- 9:32Speaker 2: because the keepers of the knowledge are so specific to
- 9:35Speaker 2: parents and caregivers, it took her a while to figure out,
- 9:38Speaker 2: that's how you actually want to get the data.
- 9:40Speaker 1: Huh. Yeah, it sounds like a lot of work. It
- 9:44Speaker 1: sounds hard to scale.
- 9:47Speaker 2: Yeah, And it would be hard to scale if not
- 9:50Speaker 2: for synthetic data, and if not for all of the
- 9:52Speaker 2: advances on the other side with translation.
- 9:54Speaker 1: Yeah, so you don't have to scale that much, is
- 9:57Speaker 1: what those things.
- 9:58Speaker 2: Well, you don't have to scale it nearly as much, right,
- 10:00Speaker 2: And what would have been a project that would probably
- 10:02Speaker 2: have happened over three scientists lifetimes yea, is now maybe
- 10:07Speaker 2: only over half of her career. And that's a real
- 10:10Speaker 2: form of progress. And so even though Christy doesn't have
- 10:13Speaker 2: the kinds of funding that Google or open Ai have,
- 10:17Speaker 2: she's able to kind of surf in their wake, and
- 10:20Speaker 2: they've made these progressions on things like zero shot translation,
- 10:23Speaker 2: with some people may have heard of. You know, historically
- 10:26Speaker 2: we would translate things by taking one set of language,
- 10:30Speaker 2: decoding each word and rewriting it in a different language,
- 10:34Speaker 2: and up until about ten years ago, that's what machine
- 10:37Speaker 2: translation was. Zero shot translation is actually a translation at
- 10:41Speaker 2: such a deep level that you're not translating language to language,
- 10:45Speaker 2: you're basically translating every language to every language simultaneously. And
- 10:50Speaker 2: then we got to a certain point recently where we
- 10:52Speaker 2: can translate based on audio waves. And so if you
- 10:56Speaker 2: can translate audio waves, it becomes much easier to translate
- 11:01Speaker 2: vocalizations from people who don't use words at all, and
- 11:05Speaker 2: so she you know, you mentioned a lot of these
- 11:08Speaker 2: stories aren't done. This is the least done story, right,
- 11:11Speaker 2: And you know what's interesting is that technology has already
- 11:16Speaker 2: changed the lives of lots of autistic people, because you know,
- 11:20Speaker 2: she showed me her phone.
- 11:23Speaker 1: Right.
- 11:23Speaker 2: So we were having dinner on our porch, and her son, Felix,
- 11:27Speaker 2: who's lovely sweet in many ways, a normal American teenager,
- 11:31Speaker 2: just picked up the phone and went off to go
- 11:34Speaker 2: do something. And then he came back and he dropped
- 11:36Speaker 2: off the phone, and she and her husband showed me
- 11:38Speaker 2: photos that he had taken of what he's fascinated by.
- 11:43Speaker 2: And so some of them were hairbrush bristles that were
- 11:45Speaker 2: actually these these kind of beautiful plastic forests. He'd used
- 11:49Speaker 2: a filter and he'd taken them and hundreds of these photos.
- 11:53Speaker 2: And before that, he'd taken photos of windows and was
- 11:56Speaker 2: really interested in the way windows around their neighborhood worked,
- 11:59Speaker 2: or castles or sketches of castles. And she said, like,
- 12:02Speaker 2: before the iPhone, when he's staring at something, I would
- 12:07Speaker 2: have no idea what he would have been daring. But
- 12:10Speaker 2: here's this really rudimentary piece of technology, at least now
- 12:13Speaker 2: and through that I'm able to understand what he's looking at.
- 12:17Speaker 2: I don't necessarily understand why he's fascinated by it, but
- 12:21Speaker 2: I know that he's interested. And I can make his
- 12:22Speaker 2: life richer by exposing him to more of it, and
- 12:26Speaker 2: I can frustrate him less by making sure there's always
- 12:28Speaker 2: a hairbrush around. And so those kinds of things I
- 12:32Speaker 2: have to say, like they make me more optimistic that
- 12:35Speaker 2: if we can wrestle this technology, like you know, tech
- 12:39Speaker 2: doesn't always have to be bad, Like we're not faded
- 12:41Speaker 2: to the world sucking because technology is coming out, but
- 12:45Speaker 2: we do have to figure out how we want it
- 12:46Speaker 2: to work. And so I left Christy feeling like she's
- 12:50Speaker 2: going to get there, and I know that that's not guaranteed,
- 12:54Speaker 2: but she is so stubborn, she's so motivated by love
- 12:58Speaker 2: and by problem solving, and the tech is moving so
- 13:01Speaker 2: fast that she's been at this ten years, right, and
- 13:04Speaker 2: ten years she's only gotten so far. But the next
- 13:07Speaker 2: ten years are going to move so much faster, and
- 13:10Speaker 2: more people are going to come and attack the problem.
- 13:11Speaker 2: And it wouldn't surprise me if ten years from now
- 13:15Speaker 2: she's successful.
- 13:18Speaker 1: So another story you tell in your book is about
- 13:22Speaker 1: Operation Warp Speed, and in particular it's about the logistics
- 13:26Speaker 1: of getting vaccines out to the public. And you know,
- 13:29Speaker 1: I knew a moderate amount about the vaccine development side,
- 13:33Speaker 1: but I really didn't know anything about the getting the
- 13:36Speaker 1: vaccine out to the world side. And I certainly didn't
- 13:39Speaker 1: know that it was an AI story. So tell me
- 13:42Speaker 1: about Operation Warp Speed, and in particular about this guy
- 13:44Speaker 1: you write about, this general named Gus Purna.
- 13:49Speaker 2: Look, I was writing, and I was hungry for understanding
- 13:53Speaker 2: and trying to figure out how exactly machine learning and
- 13:56Speaker 2: artificial intelligence integrate into society and ways are helpful, and
- 14:00Speaker 2: so I kind of tripped across this video of Gus Perna,
- 14:03Speaker 2: who oversaw Operation Warp Speed, who is not a technologist
- 14:08Speaker 2: by any means, He's a logistician. He oversees, generally, you know,
- 14:12Speaker 2: or did before he retired, the delivery of munitions and
- 14:15Speaker 2: uniforms and food so that we can fight wars. And
- 14:18Speaker 2: he was placed in charge of Operation Warp Speed and
- 14:21Speaker 2: the delivery of it so that you know, hopefully Big
- 14:23Speaker 2: Pharma can can execute on all these vaccines. But then
- 14:27Speaker 2: what how do they get into plastic vials and how
- 14:30Speaker 2: do those vials get delivered to everything from a CBS
- 14:33Speaker 2: to a doctor's office to in rural areas, sometimes a
- 14:36Speaker 2: general store that has no digital footprint. And so he
- 14:41Speaker 2: shows up in Washington and discovers that there's no plan,
- 14:46Speaker 2: like he is the plan. And so in Washington, like
- 14:50Speaker 2: it or not, everything starts with consultants everything, and so
- 14:54Speaker 2: people come in and they pitch him on things, and again,
- 14:57Speaker 2: not a technical guy, but he keeps hearing these crazy
- 15:00Speaker 2: pitches over the course of an hour. Somebody's like, we're
- 15:03Speaker 2: going to put a medical blockchain together and in a
- 15:06Speaker 2: couple of years, and he's like, no. Somebody else pitched
- 15:09Speaker 2: like hardware, We'll just put a hardware device in every
- 15:12Speaker 2: doctor's and he knows enough to say no. And finally
- 15:15Speaker 2: he meets with these two reasonably seeing people who are like, look,
- 15:19Speaker 2: you have a data problem. This can all be solved
- 15:21Speaker 2: if we get the right number of data streams flowing
- 15:24Speaker 2: into the right interface so that you can actually see
- 15:27Speaker 2: everything from plastic vials, metal needles, refrigerated trucks because remember,
- 15:33Speaker 2: half of the vaccines needed to be really cold refrigerated
- 15:37Speaker 2: for delivery. To track which states might want Johnson and
- 15:41Speaker 2: Johnson versus like you have to build a whole civilization
- 15:44Speaker 2: to do this stuff. And they said, look, you can
- 15:46Speaker 2: build a civilization in data, probably won't cost that much,
- 15:51Speaker 2: but we will need you to solve the human problem,
- 15:54Speaker 2: which is getting these various agencies to play ball, so
- 15:57Speaker 2: we can actually get to the data, clean it up,
- 15:59Speaker 2: and feed it to you. And so that's a machine
- 16:01Speaker 2: learning story. And when I went down the rabbit hole
- 16:04Speaker 2: of how it actually happened, it was really instructive because
- 16:07Speaker 2: obviously the end state was a huge success, underrated.
- 16:11Speaker 1: Every chance I get, I want to scream about how underrated,
- 16:15Speaker 1: worse feed is weirdly politically orphaned, right, Like the Republicans
- 16:19Speaker 1: decided they don't like vaccines even though they did it.
- 16:21Speaker 1: It was like, as far as I'm concerned, the great
- 16:24Speaker 1: success of Trump's first administration, and then because it was Trump,
- 16:27Speaker 1: the Democrats can't say it was great.
- 16:28Speaker 2: Right exactly, And so it's wandering out there, this great
- 16:31Speaker 2: American success story that just got buried by the stupidity
- 16:34Speaker 2: of our politics. But we did it, and we wouldn't
- 16:38Speaker 2: have been able to do it without really successful machine
- 16:41Speaker 2: learning and AI.
- 16:42Speaker 1: So how did it work? Like why was that an
- 16:45Speaker 1: AI problem? And what did they actually do.
- 16:46Speaker 2: So it was a data problem, but also an actionable
- 16:49Speaker 2: data problem. And so there's a company called Pounteer, very
- 16:54Speaker 2: very provocative company. A lot of people respond poorly to
- 16:57Speaker 2: its name, and it has this kind of mystical aura
- 17:01Speaker 2: to it, in part because it was founded by Peter
- 17:03Speaker 2: Chiel and co funded by the CIA, and in part
- 17:07Speaker 2: because it's named for the stones in the Tolkien trilogy.
- 17:12Speaker 2: But really all they do is plumbing.
- 17:14Speaker 1: I am not reflexively anti tech or anti company. I
- 17:18Speaker 1: have some amount of wariness toward Palenteer, I guess because
- 17:21Speaker 1: I associate them with domestic surveillance at some level, like
- 17:26Speaker 1: that piece of it I mean, but I don't know
- 17:28Speaker 1: it that well. I've never interviewed somebody from Palenter. I
- 17:30Speaker 1: haven't read a book about them. So, like, tell me
- 17:32Speaker 1: about Palenteer as a company. I guess, first of all,
- 17:36Speaker 1: like the side that makes people weary, and then I'm
- 17:39Speaker 1: curious more generally how they operate, what differentiates them, what
- 17:42Speaker 1: they actually do as a tech company.
- 17:44Speaker 2: Yeah. So as a company, they're created in two thousand
- 17:48Speaker 2: and three by two friends who have no business being friends.
- 17:50Speaker 2: One is Peter Thiel, who I think most of your
- 17:53Speaker 2: listeners really know about. He's a sort of largely libertarian Republican,
- 17:58Speaker 2: big Trump donor, has very controversial stances on pretty much
- 18:02Speaker 2: every possible.
- 18:03Speaker 1: Issue, including the Antichrist, weirdly including the anti Christ.
- 18:07Speaker 2: He really finds a way. His friend is a guy
- 18:10Speaker 2: named Alex Karp, who is kind of his polar opposite.
- 18:12Speaker 2: He's New York born, he's half black, half Jewish, largely
- 18:17Speaker 2: identifies as a socialist. A big donor to Hillary Clinton
- 18:21Speaker 2: and Kamala Harris. They met in law school. They argued
- 18:25Speaker 2: all the time. They agreed about the need for this
- 18:28Speaker 2: kind of technology, and the only other thing they agree
- 18:31Speaker 2: on is that in general, the world is better when
- 18:34Speaker 2: America is a strong actor and American values like freedom
- 18:38Speaker 2: are or propagated throughout the world. So that's what they
- 18:40Speaker 2: agree on.
- 18:41Speaker 1: Do you think that the liberal antagonism toward Palenteer is
- 18:45Speaker 1: misplaced or do you think it's valid in some ways?
- 18:48Speaker 2: It's incredibly complicated because it has now grown to include
- 18:52Speaker 2: not just surveillance, but Alex Karp's position on Israel, which
- 18:55Speaker 2: is that Israel should be supported by Palanteer products, just
- 18:58Speaker 2: as Ukraine should be. And so there's lots of different
- 19:02Speaker 2: valances where people can find something they don't like about Palanteer.
- 19:05Speaker 2: And by the way, I respect all of them.
- 19:08Speaker 1: Yeah, and so just as a tech company, what is
- 19:12Speaker 1: Palanteer's thing, What do they do? And in particular, what
- 19:15Speaker 1: did they do in Operation Warp Speed to get vaccines
- 19:18Speaker 1: out to the public.
- 19:20Speaker 2: I spoke to their chief architect and he's like, look,
- 19:22Speaker 2: we're the mole people of Silicon Valley. We take these
- 19:25Speaker 2: data streams, we lay them out, we clean them, We
- 19:29Speaker 2: integrate the data from various different places, so like, for instance,
- 19:32Speaker 2: a CVS and a right aid and a mom and
- 19:35Speaker 2: pop place and a trucking company, and we put them
- 19:38Speaker 2: together so that on an iPad or a laptop someone
- 19:42Speaker 2: could play the pandemic like a video game.
- 19:44Speaker 1: Right, play it like a video game, meaning there's like
- 19:48Speaker 1: a crazy dashboard, so you can see here's where the
- 19:50Speaker 1: people are, and here's where the vials are, and here's
- 19:53Speaker 1: where the vaccine is, and here's where the trucks are,
- 19:55Speaker 1: and we need to get these trucks to this vaccine
- 19:57Speaker 1: to these people. That's the exact video game you're playing.
- 19:59Speaker 2: Yeah, and constantly up to date and constantly accurate, and
- 20:04Speaker 2: literally an administrator can sit there and just move things
- 20:06Speaker 2: around and know that they're actually going to the right place.
- 20:09Speaker 1: Yes, a wildly hard problem. Like it's not sexy, like
- 20:12Speaker 1: developing a vaccine, and we've heard a lot about mRNA vaccines,
- 20:16Speaker 1: but like figuring out where the actual vaccine is is
- 20:20Speaker 1: totally non trivial health.
- 20:22Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a huge deal. And so there's two problems
- 20:24Speaker 2: you're solving right. One is the technical problem, and that
- 20:27Speaker 2: involves a lot of really dull, really unglamorous work, which
- 20:31Speaker 2: is like trying to figure out why this pipe you
- 20:34Speaker 2: know it's because it is pipe coming from a distribution
- 20:37Speaker 2: center is broken, and so AI can attack that.
- 20:40Speaker 1: When you say pipe, do you mean the pipe through
- 20:42Speaker 1: which data is flowing? What do you mean pipe in
- 20:44Speaker 1: this instance?
- 20:45Speaker 2: So, to build a data pipeline is basically a work
- 20:49Speaker 2: of code. But everybody's got lots of different code, and
- 20:52Speaker 2: so when your data pipelines are built in many many
- 20:54Speaker 2: different codes to many different standards, they have to be standardized.
- 20:59Speaker 2: You have to be able to see, oh, okay, this
- 21:01Speaker 2: data coming from CBS matches up to the data coming
- 21:04Speaker 2: from the trucking company. It's clean, it's modern. Most of
- 21:08Speaker 2: the that they were dealing with in fact was not
- 21:11Speaker 2: modern in any way. It was created a decade ago
- 21:16Speaker 2: using old code and often had bad information, and so
- 21:20Speaker 2: you need to standardize it, you need to clean it.
- 21:22Speaker 2: And then where it really gets fun is you can
- 21:25Speaker 2: use those pieces of information to recommend actions to note
- 21:30Speaker 2: that like, oh, you know you're overly distributing in one area,
- 21:33Speaker 2: you could be moving here. In fact, this rural area,
- 21:37Speaker 2: for instance, might really want the one shot doses, whereas
- 21:42Speaker 2: an urban area might want too.
- 21:43Speaker 1: And those suggestions might be coming from the machine learning model,
- 21:47Speaker 1: from the AI basic.
- 21:48Speaker 2: Correct, so that while you know, the very overtaxed humans
- 21:52Speaker 2: dealing with political problems and interagency problems are on the phone,
- 21:56Speaker 2: the AI is just kind of nudging them toward like
- 21:58Speaker 2: easier ways to make this whole project happen. So like
- 22:02Speaker 2: the technical is one problem, and then something that's kind
- 22:05Speaker 2: of a light motif of your show is the humans
- 22:08Speaker 2: are another. Because we create our own systems and there
- 22:12Speaker 2: is nothing more complicated than the federal bureaucracy. And I
- 22:15Speaker 2: mean that oftentimes with admiration and sometimes not with admiration.
- 22:19Speaker 2: And so inside of the CDC are many different agencies,
- 22:24Speaker 2: and a lot of them were even in COVID had
- 22:28Speaker 2: very sharp elbows.
- 22:29Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 22:29Speaker 2: They didn't want the Department of Defense, which was nominally
- 22:32Speaker 2: overseeing this effort, getting involved. They thought, no, this is
- 22:36Speaker 2: our territory. What do you possibly know about this? And
- 22:40Speaker 2: General Perna was so important because he really didn't know
- 22:44Speaker 2: that much about technology. He really didn't know that much
- 22:46Speaker 2: about vaccines. What he knew about was getting stuff done.
- 22:51Speaker 1: Yeah. You tell the story of a moment when he's
- 22:54Speaker 1: arguing with the governor about whether some amount of vaccine
- 22:58Speaker 1: has been delivered to the governor state. Tell me, tell
- 23:01Speaker 1: me about that.
- 23:02Speaker 2: Yeah. So, once the vaccines started to get delivered, this
- 23:06Speaker 2: is where the video game element, the dashboard Elmont really
- 23:08Speaker 2: became an important because they could see trucks pulling up
- 23:12Speaker 2: to a registered refrigeration point or warehouse point in every state.
- 23:16Speaker 2: And there were states that were really eager to get
- 23:19Speaker 2: the vaccines, and the governors felt that their entire political
- 23:23Speaker 2: futures depended on getting it and distributing it and being
- 23:26Speaker 2: able to tell their citizens like, hey, Massachusetts, we got it,
- 23:29Speaker 2: we got it. You can go to these places. Remember,
- 23:31Speaker 2: there are people, you know, frantically refreshing their browsers to
- 23:34Speaker 2: try and find weights up to three four weeks, and
- 23:37Speaker 2: so somebody would say, hey, you promised me this dosage.
- 23:41Speaker 2: I don't have it. And he said, oh, but you do.
- 23:43Speaker 2: Here's who signed for it. Go get them. I'm going
- 23:46Speaker 2: to stay right here. You go get them. And so
- 23:49Speaker 2: what he, you know, also did and he had plenty
- 23:51Speaker 2: of people working for him who help with this. These
- 23:54Speaker 2: systems need accountability. And what I think, what I saw
- 23:57Speaker 2: time and again in reporting on the book, is that
- 24:00Speaker 2: the accountability is human based. We respond to human beings saying, actually,
- 24:05Speaker 2: I'm calling your bluff because I can see the answer here.
- 24:08Speaker 1: Uh huh.
- 24:09Speaker 2: Actually, I'm gonna follow up with you because you said
- 24:11Speaker 2: you would do this pilot with us and you didn't.
- 24:13Speaker 2: And if you don't have the right human in that chair,
- 24:15Speaker 2: with the right temperament, the right force, the right seductive charm,
- 24:19Speaker 2: and that's what's called for, it's going to fail. And
- 24:22Speaker 2: so I can't say enough. Like my conversations with Perna,
- 24:26Speaker 2: I just came away thinking we should put him in
- 24:28Speaker 2: charge of a lot of stuff.
- 24:33Speaker 1: We'll be back in just a minute. So let's talk
- 24:46Speaker 1: about the Cleveland clinic. Your book has start of divided
- 24:48Speaker 1: into sections. There's a warp speed section. There's a healthcare section.
- 24:52Speaker 1: Healthcare sections basically the Cleveland Clinic. Why did you choose
- 24:56Speaker 1: for your healthcare section the Cleveland Clinic?
- 25:00Speaker 2: Mostly because they asked me to come in, and so
- 25:03Speaker 2: I was.
- 25:04Speaker 1: Really clicking phrase kings under the street light. Yeah.
- 25:07Speaker 2: And also, listen, healthcare is a universe, right, So what
- 25:09Speaker 2: I really wanted to explore is as much of that
- 25:12Speaker 2: universe as possible. Cleveland Clinic is one of the top
- 25:14Speaker 2: systems in the world and the United States, and they're
- 25:17Speaker 2: run by a really interesting guy named doctor Thomas Mihaliovich.
- 25:21Speaker 2: And so what he told me at the beginning is
- 25:24Speaker 2: I want you to wander around because what we do
- 25:27Speaker 2: with AI is going to be different than what a
- 25:28Speaker 2: lot of other people do. First of all, we actually
- 25:31Speaker 2: have one major priority, which is the treatment of our patients.
- 25:34Speaker 2: And so that means that when technology comes to the
- 25:37Speaker 2: Cleveland Clinic, it's not run by technologists. It's run by doctors.
- 25:41Speaker 2: And that is going to eliminate certain partners right off
- 25:43Speaker 2: the bat, because most software folks believe that software is
- 25:47Speaker 2: the most powerful force in the world, and they don't
- 25:50Speaker 2: want to explain themselves or work within some sort of
- 25:53Speaker 2: old fashioned medical system. I spent a fair amount of
- 25:57Speaker 2: time with the chief technical officer, who had come from
- 25:59Speaker 2: outside of healthcare and was recruited specifically from outside of it,
- 26:03Speaker 2: and he obviously knew tons about technology, but knew very
- 26:07Speaker 2: little about healthcare.
- 26:09Speaker 1: I'm somewhat frustrated in your book.
- 26:12Speaker 2: Yeah, he is frustrated because he's used to being in charge,
- 26:16Speaker 2: and what he learned in his first couple of years
- 26:19Speaker 2: is like, I'm not in charge.
- 26:21Speaker 1: And like every doctor is in charge in a weird way, right,
- 26:25Speaker 1: one of the maybe distinctive things about healthcare. And I
- 26:28Speaker 1: know doctors don't see it that way, but doctors have
- 26:30Speaker 1: a lot of autonomy and a lot of them don't
- 26:33Speaker 1: want AI.
- 26:35Speaker 2: They have a ton of autonomy, but they also have
- 26:37Speaker 2: a ton of authority. Doctor. You know, medicine is a
- 26:40Speaker 2: hierarchical business, and you want it to be that way
- 26:43Speaker 2: when you're the patient. You want someone who actually says,
- 26:45Speaker 2: I see all the data, I have all the inputs,
- 26:48Speaker 2: here's what we're going to go do, and then distributes
- 26:50Speaker 2: the tasks back. Technology doesn't work all that well that way,
- 26:54Speaker 2: and so ro heat Chandra came in and he's basically like.
- 26:58Speaker 1: This is this is the chief technology this is yeah,
- 27:00Speaker 1: this CTO, and.
- 27:02Speaker 2: He's like, I'm supposed to help turn this place around
- 27:04Speaker 2: with technology. The business is terrible. Our margins. You know,
- 27:08Speaker 2: Clinton Clinic is actually one of the more successful nonprofit
- 27:10Speaker 2: hospital systems, and it's got it two percent margin, which
- 27:14Speaker 2: most people would find horrifying. And so he goes at
- 27:18Speaker 2: it like a technologist, and time and again he runs
- 27:20Speaker 2: into this wall, which is doctor saying well, I don't
- 27:24Speaker 2: want to do it that way. Yeah, and sometimes with
- 27:26Speaker 2: good reason and sometimes not. But again, you can't just
- 27:30Speaker 2: solve the technical problem. If you want AI to actually
- 27:32Speaker 2: work for good, you have to solve both the technical
- 27:35Speaker 2: and the structural problem of what you're trying to fix.
- 27:38Speaker 1: So actually, at the Cleveland Clinic, you encountered this company
- 27:41Speaker 1: called Baesian Health, And as it happens, I interviewed the
- 27:45Speaker 1: founder of that company, Suci Saria, a few years ago
- 27:47Speaker 1: on this show, and they built this system where they
- 27:51Speaker 1: use AI to flag when patients are likely developing sepsis.
- 27:56Speaker 1: And you know, that was a few years ago that
- 27:58Speaker 1: I talked to her, and so I'm curious, how's it going,
- 28:00Speaker 1: How is it working in the world. At the Cleveland clinic.
- 28:03Speaker 2: Yeah, so's she's brilliant. And I talked to her as well,
- 28:07Speaker 2: and from a technical perspective of her ability to understand
- 28:10Speaker 2: not just what sepsis is, but again to create a
- 28:13Speaker 2: bunch of data streams and integrate them and create weights
- 28:16Speaker 2: between the streams, to create a flag for doctors to say, hey,
- 28:20Speaker 2: this might be sepsis. And just as a reminder, sepsis
- 28:24Speaker 2: kills more people every year than breast cancer, prostate cancer,
- 28:28Speaker 2: and the opioid crisis. Yeah, three hundred and fifty thousand
- 28:30Speaker 2: Americans a year, and it happens in hospitals. And so
- 28:33Speaker 2: the clinic, which loses in twenty twenty one, I think
- 28:37Speaker 2: lost about three thousand patients to sepsis, said well, we can't.
- 28:40Speaker 2: This is crazy. It may be the industry standard, but
- 28:43Speaker 2: it's crazy. So they brought in beision. I will tell
- 28:46Speaker 2: you that the founder, when first approached by the CTO
- 28:48Speaker 2: of the Cleveland clinic, said yeah, I'm not sure we're interested.
- 28:53Speaker 2: She said, you guys are a really big system. Your
- 28:55Speaker 2: doctors are going to be resistant. You're kind of a pain.
- 28:59Speaker 2: Prove to me that you actually want to implement this
- 29:01Speaker 2: in your hospital. And the CTO, who has a similar
- 29:04Speaker 2: attitude about medicine. Was actually like, oh, I see a
- 29:08Speaker 2: kindred spirit. I'm going to talk up the fact that
- 29:11Speaker 2: our doctors are committed and we're going to do this.
- 29:13Speaker 2: And so they went into Cleveland Clinic and they really
- 29:17Speaker 2: piloted for a year, and it was a hard year.
- 29:19Speaker 2: They had to figure out how it works, not just
- 29:22Speaker 2: in community hospitals in an emergency room in other places,
- 29:26Speaker 2: but like in the ICU and the Cleveland Clinic. ICU
- 29:29Speaker 2: is different even than most other healthcare ICUs because it's
- 29:35Speaker 2: a world famous institution. People come in from all over
- 29:38Speaker 2: the world, and a lot of sepsis looks exactly like
- 29:42Speaker 2: a cardiac infection, looks exactly like sixteen other things that
- 29:45Speaker 2: they're all flagging for. And so if you're an ICU
- 29:48Speaker 2: and doctor or nurse, your job is basically responding to
- 29:51Speaker 2: beeps coming from machinery near your patient. It can be
- 29:55Speaker 2: a huge pain in the ass. And so when a
- 29:58Speaker 2: sepsis flag isn't properly calibrated, when it flags too much
- 30:02Speaker 2: or flags too little, it's actually not doing its job.
- 30:05Speaker 2: So even though everyone may agree on the premise, which is, hey,
- 30:08Speaker 2: we want to reduce more metality, from sepsis because it's
- 30:11Speaker 2: twenty twenty six or whatever. You know, you think about
- 30:15Speaker 2: your own job, You think about the own annoyances you
- 30:17Speaker 2: have in getting your job done, and even though it's
- 30:20Speaker 2: life or death, those annoyances mount. And so the software
- 30:24Speaker 2: has to work within the way doctors work, or else
- 30:27Speaker 2: it's not going to get used well.
- 30:28Speaker 1: And I mean, just to be clear, it was a
- 30:31Speaker 1: little bit unclear to me in the book how good
- 30:34Speaker 1: the software is in that context, like.
- 30:38Speaker 2: Is it good enough?
- 30:39Speaker 1: Is part of the problem that there's too many false positives,
- 30:42Speaker 1: which is a real problem.
- 30:44Speaker 2: Not outside of the ICU. Okay, the ICU is the
- 30:47Speaker 2: is the last frontier because everything is so complicated in
- 30:51Speaker 2: an ICU.
- 30:52Speaker 1: Yeah, it's the hardest diagnosis essentially exactly. So outside of
- 30:57Speaker 1: the ICU, is there like empirical benefit, are fewer people
- 31:01Speaker 1: dying of sepsis?
- 31:02Speaker 2: Well? The clinic reported a forty one percent drop in
- 31:06Speaker 2: mortality over the course of a year using the software. Now,
- 31:10Speaker 2: some of it was because they had drawn everyone's attention
- 31:13Speaker 2: to the reduction of sepsis. It's the Hawthorne effect when
- 31:16Speaker 2: you say we're going to do this, and everyone's attention shifts.
- 31:20Speaker 2: But people are realizing that that sepsis is a very
- 31:23Speaker 2: perfect for AI kind of problem because it has all
- 31:26Speaker 2: of these inputs that are sometimes conflicting and so much
- 31:30Speaker 2: data that it can overwhelm a caregiver. And AI doesn't
- 31:34Speaker 2: get overwhelmed by too much data. It's really great at
- 31:37Speaker 2: processing data at scale, very very quickly. What it often
- 31:42Speaker 2: isn't as great at is figuring out how to tell people.
- 31:45Speaker 1: About it, especially probabilistically. Right that like correct, the AI
- 31:50Speaker 1: is very good at pattern matching and making a probabilistic assessment,
- 31:55Speaker 1: but that last piece seems like the hard to figure
- 31:59Speaker 1: out for humans piece.
- 32:00Speaker 2: Yeah, And so what Beijin did, much to their credit,
- 32:04Speaker 2: is they heard the caregivers and they said, look, it's
- 32:07Speaker 2: not good enough just to send a flag. I get
- 32:09Speaker 2: flags all day, Tell me why explain why this flagged
- 32:13Speaker 2: on this patient. And what Cleveland Clinic did in the ICU,
- 32:16Speaker 2: particularly because they're very aware that this was the hardest place,
- 32:21Speaker 2: they basically just set up a workstation. They called it
- 32:24Speaker 2: a command center. Command center is a little glorious for
- 32:27Speaker 2: what I saw.
- 32:27Speaker 1: It was a PC.
- 32:29Speaker 2: There's a lovely woman named Dana operating it. She would
- 32:32Speaker 2: look at the patients in the ICU. She would see
- 32:34Speaker 2: the flag, she would hover over the flag, and the
- 32:36Speaker 2: flag would say I flagged this because I'm noticing X, Y,
- 32:41Speaker 2: and Z, and so she would say, Okay, Well, what
- 32:45Speaker 2: I'm seeing when I go look at the patient is
- 32:48Speaker 2: they're actually okay, and I can see why the AI
- 32:51Speaker 2: might be confused about this. I'll keep an eye on it.
- 32:54Speaker 2: Other times it was very clear that like, yep, you're
- 32:57Speaker 2: seeing what we're seeing. This is validating what we're seeing.
- 33:00Speaker 2: And occasionally it would flag something and she would go
- 33:02Speaker 2: in and say to the caregivers, we have to do
- 33:05Speaker 2: a check right now.
- 33:07Speaker 1: When you step back, having learned what you've learned from
- 33:11Speaker 1: the Cleveland Clinic, when you think about healthcare and AI
- 33:14Speaker 1: in the next few years, what do you think about I.
- 33:17Speaker 2: Think that healthcare and AI are going to really beat
- 33:20Speaker 2: like peanut butter and chocolate. I think it's the best
- 33:23Speaker 2: place for AI to come into our lives and have
- 33:26Speaker 2: rational uses that make our health care better and that
- 33:29Speaker 2: make our costs lower. It is going to take change.
- 33:33Speaker 2: And so one of the most interesting people I met
- 33:35Speaker 2: at the clinic is this woman named doctor Rita Pappus,
- 33:38Speaker 2: who's a hospitalist and hospitalists oversee the administration of the hospital,
- 33:42Speaker 2: but from a medical point of view. And she started
- 33:45Speaker 2: as a nurse and in her thirties went back to
- 33:48Speaker 2: medical school, and so she's seen everything a hospital has
- 33:51Speaker 2: to offer, including every type of human in a hospital.
- 33:55Speaker 2: And one of the things she told me is like, look,
- 33:58Speaker 2: I know that roheat the CTO is finding lots of
- 34:02Speaker 2: resistance across the hospital, and guess what, I'm not the
- 34:06Speaker 2: least bit surprised. Doctors are trained a very particular way
- 34:10Speaker 2: and ultimately, like long term, two decades out, if we
- 34:13Speaker 2: want AI to take hold in hospitals, we actually going
- 34:16Speaker 2: to need different kinds of people to go into medicine
- 34:20Speaker 2: who are less lowercase C conservative, less grounded in their ways,
- 34:25Speaker 2: more collaborative, and more willing to trust that technology can
- 34:31Speaker 2: do some of the job. The people that she sees
- 34:33Speaker 2: going into the profession right now after hundreds of years
- 34:36Speaker 2: of selection, are very particular type. And so she didn't
- 34:40Speaker 2: say this in a value judgment. She's very objective about it,
- 34:43Speaker 2: but she said, look, that's what it's going to take.
- 34:45Speaker 2: We've already proven that it can work for our bottom line,
- 34:48Speaker 2: that it can work for patients if we're going to
- 34:50Speaker 2: scale it, education for doctors is going to have to
- 34:54Speaker 2: change too.
- 34:55Speaker 1: So at the end of the book you have this epilogue,
- 34:59Speaker 1: that's the one part of the book where you're basically like,
- 35:04Speaker 1: here's what you should do. You being a person who's
- 35:07Speaker 1: reading the book, who cares about the world it's interested
- 35:09Speaker 1: in AI, what should I do? What's your advice?
- 35:14Speaker 2: Well, I think, look, there's two pieces of advice here, right.
- 35:18Speaker 2: The first is it, if you're the kind of person
- 35:22Speaker 2: who cares about living in a better world, you're going
- 35:26Speaker 2: to have to use these tools to understand what they're
- 35:28Speaker 2: capable of. And that responsibility is really frustrating to people. Right,
- 35:33Speaker 2: We've now listened to technologists tell us that we have
- 35:36Speaker 2: to change our lives for whatever their product is for
- 35:38Speaker 2: the last twenty years, and it's annoying and they get richer,
- 35:43Speaker 2: and we spend more time adapting, and you haven't seen
- 35:46Speaker 2: a lot of public good come from it. But I'm
- 35:49Speaker 2: pretty convinced that in the right situations, these tools can
- 35:52Speaker 2: help us, can help their republic, can help education, medicine.
- 35:58Speaker 2: But if we leave that to the technologists, we're going
- 36:01Speaker 2: to get a bad result. So we need to figure
- 36:03Speaker 2: out what good they can play in our lives and
- 36:06Speaker 2: what kind of good we want to advocate for in
- 36:09Speaker 2: the public space. And if it's not hard, there are
- 36:12Speaker 2: lots of ways to understand what this stuff does. You
- 36:15Speaker 2: can do it in a couple minutes, in a day,
- 36:17Speaker 2: repeat it. It's a really important component to being a
- 36:22Speaker 2: citizen in the twenty first century. And it's a lot
- 36:24Speaker 2: of what the Pope wrote in his encyclical, which is
- 36:27Speaker 2: we cannot wish these away, but we do have to
- 36:30Speaker 2: make them more human. And the way to make them
- 36:31Speaker 2: more human is to be insisting that they be more human.
- 36:34Speaker 2: So you have to use them.
- 36:36Speaker 1: When you say make them more human, what does that mean.
- 36:40Speaker 2: Left to their own devices. This is going to be
- 36:42Speaker 2: enterprise software. It's going to be sold into the Department
- 36:46Speaker 2: of Defense. It's going to be used to eliminate jobs.
- 36:49Speaker 2: It's going to be used to make corporations more efficient.
- 36:53Speaker 2: And I think what we want to advocate for is, no,
- 36:56Speaker 2: we want these tools to make many, many people's lives better.
- 37:01Speaker 2: It's not to say that, you know, capitalism can't continue
- 37:04Speaker 2: churning on, but like you have to advocate for what
- 37:07Speaker 2: you want, and so in the same way, that mister
- 37:09Speaker 2: Johnson's use of AI is sitting way downstream of what
- 37:13Speaker 2: Google and open aiy ultimately want. We want to move
- 37:16Speaker 2: those things upstream, and so the only way to do
- 37:19Speaker 2: it is to know what the tools can do and
- 37:21Speaker 2: then insist that we get that kind of utility because
- 37:26Speaker 2: it's just not on the radar for these companies. So
- 37:29Speaker 2: that's one component of it, and the other, frankly, is
- 37:32Speaker 2: we probably need greater regulation for the negatives to prevent
- 37:36Speaker 2: them from happening.
- 37:37Speaker 1: Like what's good regulation?
- 37:39Speaker 2: The best model I've heard so far is really, you know,
- 37:43Speaker 2: kind of using nuclear power and nuclear weaponry as a model. Right,
- 37:49Speaker 2: that was the last thing we created that has this
- 37:52Speaker 2: kind of scale and power. The International Atomic Energy Commission
- 37:56Speaker 2: was established to make sure that we knew exactly how
- 37:59Speaker 2: much nuclear material there was in the world yea, and
- 38:01Speaker 2: who had control of it and what it was being
- 38:03Speaker 2: used for.
- 38:04Speaker 1: I mean, like, how does that map to this? I
- 38:07Speaker 1: get that it says big deal read flo but what
- 38:09Speaker 1: does it actually mean.
- 38:10Speaker 2: It means keeping an inventory of all of these models
- 38:14Speaker 2: and their capabilities, knowing how much energy they're using, knowing
- 38:17Speaker 2: how many chips they have, knowing how many floating point operations,
- 38:21Speaker 2: which is the technical term for what these models are processing.
- 38:25Speaker 2: Each model is doing. You could set a limit on
- 38:27Speaker 2: the floating point operations and say beyond this model, you
- 38:31Speaker 2: can't make it, at least for now.
- 38:33Speaker 1: So you're talking about like a global speed limit on
- 38:38Speaker 1: the development of bigger models.
- 38:40Speaker 2: Say, I think it's probably the simplest way to go
- 38:43Speaker 2: about regulating how AI works in the world and giving
- 38:48Speaker 2: governments and societies time to reckon with the consequences of
- 38:51Speaker 2: each new model.
- 38:52Speaker 1: And you think it might happen, I think.
- 38:55Speaker 2: Something akin to it is going to happen because I
- 38:58Speaker 2: think politically actors are realizing in twenty twenty six, AI
- 39:03Speaker 2: is likely to be one of the two or three
- 39:05Speaker 2: biggest issues in the election, and by twenty twenty eight
- 39:08Speaker 2: it's like to be the biggest. Look, it's America, and
- 39:12Speaker 2: in the end, America tends to regulate after the crisis.
- 39:16Speaker 2: That's historically what we do. If I had to beat
- 39:20Speaker 2: I would say that's probably what will happen this time.
- 39:22Speaker 2: Is something bad will happen and then we will all
- 39:25Speaker 2: be looking at the ashes of it and figuring out
- 39:27Speaker 2: what to do. I hope that's not the case.
- 39:35Speaker 1: We'll be back in a minute with the lightning round.
- 39:46Speaker 1: Let's finish with the lightning round.
- 39:48Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 39:49Speaker 1: Best Baltimore musician of all time.
- 39:53Speaker 2: Tupac Shakur did not know.
- 39:57Speaker 1: Baltimore.
- 39:57Speaker 2: A student of Baltimore School for the Arts and the
- 40:00Speaker 2: Baltimore Orioles recently gave out a Tupac Shakur bobblehead and
- 40:04Speaker 2: the stadium was full.
- 40:05Speaker 1: Were you there?
- 40:06Speaker 2: I was not, but I contemplated.
- 40:09Speaker 1: We were on the ground crew of the Orioles. Yeah.
- 40:11Speaker 1: In high school, what'd you learn?
- 40:15Speaker 2: I learned that the most disgusting thing in the world
- 40:18Speaker 2: is a tobacco ball combined with bazooka, and that most
- 40:22Speaker 2: relief pitchers would form that in their mouths, get the
- 40:26Speaker 2: juices out, spit it out into the air, and then
- 40:29Speaker 2: kick it into the outfield.
- 40:31Speaker 1: Incredible. What's your walk on song?
- 40:38Speaker 2: I really love the Rocky theme?
- 40:40Speaker 1: Amazing a cliche for a reason.
- 40:43Speaker 2: It absolutely is like, if you are working out and
- 40:46Speaker 2: you need to go that last quarter mile, just put
- 40:50Speaker 2: it on.
- 40:50Speaker 1: I really respect that you went to that instead of
- 40:53Speaker 1: some obscure hipster pick so right that you oversaw Times
- 40:59Speaker 1: Person of the Year when you were at time I did.
- 41:02Speaker 2: Yeah, what's a tip.
- 41:05Speaker 1: If I want to be Times.
- 41:06Speaker 2: Person of the Year, you know, it's really year dependent.
- 41:09Speaker 3: So I, like a fool, thought we would just evaluate
- 41:14Speaker 3: it based on the most important person of the year,
- 41:17Speaker 3: and that is in that case, it turns out it's like, oh,
- 41:20Speaker 3: but last year we did a bad person, so this.
- 41:23Speaker 2: Year we need to do a good person.
- 41:25Speaker 1: Well that makes some sense. There's a mix, it does.
- 41:28Speaker 2: You want to mix, but it is not the pure
- 41:31Speaker 2: thing that I was raised to believe.
- 41:32Speaker 1: It is. Were you there? There was a year I
- 41:36Speaker 1: remember exactly what it was. I don't know exactly when
- 41:39Speaker 1: you were there when they put like something reflective on
- 41:41Speaker 1: the cover in the Person of the Are was you?
- 41:43Speaker 2: Was that you?
- 41:44Speaker 1: Oh?
- 41:44Speaker 2: I was there? It was not me. I thought this
- 41:49Speaker 2: is pretty silly. You know, we could just make the
- 41:52Speaker 2: YouTube guys, the people of the year.
- 41:54Speaker 1: Failure is an orphan success as a thousand fathers failures. Yeah,
- 41:58Speaker 1: that was happening right now.
- 41:59Speaker 2: So I was no, no, no, I genuinely did not
- 42:01Speaker 2: oversee that one.
- 42:02Speaker 1: Is there nobody who would say I thought that was
- 42:04Speaker 1: a good idea.
- 42:05Speaker 2: I was asked forty eight hours before it went to
- 42:08Speaker 2: print to write the back page, and so I wrote
- 42:11Speaker 2: a backpage that, as I recall, was largely about Andy
- 42:15Speaker 2: Warhol and the notion of you know, fifteen minutes and
- 42:18Speaker 2: how that works in a distributed sort of technological I
- 42:21Speaker 2: don't want to go back and look at it or
- 42:23Speaker 2: defend it, but I will tell you it was not
- 42:25Speaker 2: my call to put the reflective view on the cover.
- 42:29Speaker 1: You know, everybody hated it at the time, and I
- 42:31Speaker 1: get that. I mean, for anybody to care at all
- 42:34Speaker 1: now it would be amazing. But it also, like you
- 42:37Speaker 1: could argue it's sort of the fifteen minutes of famous,
- 42:39Speaker 1: like the foreshadowing the creator economy or something, if you
- 42:42Speaker 1: wanted that.
- 42:43Speaker 2: I think others there have been others that have held
- 42:46Speaker 2: up worse.
- 42:47Speaker 1: If you were running a media company right now, what
- 42:51Speaker 1: would your play be.
- 42:54Speaker 2: I would really retreat to original reporting and high quality presentation,
- 43:00Speaker 2: because I think what you're really competing is right now
- 43:02Speaker 2: is a lot of noise and a lot of slop
- 43:05Speaker 2: and a lot of volume. And when you see that
- 43:07Speaker 2: going on, treat to quality and trust your taste because
- 43:12Speaker 2: the individual the taste of individuals is still pretty interesting,
- 43:16Speaker 2: I think. But I wouldn't try to compete everywhere. I
- 43:19Speaker 2: would try to compete on the most interesting stories and
- 43:22Speaker 2: make them, you know, keep it simple, make them as
- 43:24Speaker 2: good as you can possibly make them.
- 43:27Speaker 1: Thanks Mian, congratulations on the book.
- 43:29Speaker 2: Thank you so much.
- 43:38Speaker 1: Josh Tarrengel is the author of the book AI for Good,
- 43:41Speaker 1: How real people are using artificial intelligence to fix things
- 43:45Speaker 1: that matter. Please let us know what you think of
- 43:49Speaker 1: the show, which you want to hear more of, which
- 43:51Speaker 1: you want to hear less of particular guest ideas. You
- 43:55Speaker 1: can email us at problem at pushkin dot fm. I
- 43:58Speaker 1: read all the emails. You can also find me on
- 44:01Speaker 1: x run LinkedIn. Really do appreciate all the messages that
- 44:06Speaker 1: we get. Today's show was produced by Gabriel Hunter Chang
- 44:08Speaker 1: and The Menino. It was engineered by Hansdale She and
- 44:11Speaker 1: edited by Lydia Jane Kott. I'm Jacob Goldstein and we'll
- 44:15Speaker 1: be back next week with another episode of What's Your Problem.